Ustekinumab effectiveness in Crohn's disease with lesions in the intestines

Ustekinumab is prescribed for the treatment of patients with steroid-resistant moderate to severe Crohn's disease. We investigated its clinical outcome in patients with small and large intestinal lesions. Patients who were newly administered ustekinumab between March 2014 and December 2020 at Hamamatsu University Hospital were included in the study. The primary endpoint was Crohn's disease activity index score at baseline and weeks 8, 24, and 48 after the initiation of treatment, and secondary endpoints were albumin, hemoglobin, and C-reactive protein at these time points. Ustekinumab treatment retention was examined in both groups; the 2 groups were compared using the Friedman test, Mann-Whitney U test, or Fisher exact test. Overall, Crohn's disease activity index scores improved between baseline and 48 weeks, but the difference was not significant. However, there was a significant improvement between baseline and 48 weeks in patients with lesions in the small intestine only. Overall, patients showed significant improvement in albumin levels between baseline and 48 weeks but not in C-reactive protein or hemoglobin levels. When limited to patients with lesions in the small intestine, albumin and hemoglobin levels showed significant improvement. Both types showed high rates of treatment retention, although there was no significant difference. Ustekinumab appears to be a safe and effective treatment option that may be particularly effective in patients with lesions in the small intestine only.

Urine oxygenation predicts COVID-19 risk

Since February, 2023, the omicron variant has accounted for essentially all new coronavirus infections in Japan. If future infections involve mutant strains with the same level of infectivity and virulence as omicron, the government's basic policy will be to prevent the spread of infection, without compromising socioeconomic activities. Objectives include protecting pregnant women and elderly persons, and focusing on citizens requiring hospitalization and those at risk of serious illness, without imposing new social restrictions. Although the government tries to raise public awareness through education, most people affected by COVID-19 stay at home, and by the time patients become aware of the seriousness of their disease, it has often reached moderate or higher severity. In this review, we discuss why this situation persists even though the disease seems to have become milder with the shift from the delta variant to omicron. We also propose a pathophysiological method to determine the risk of severe illness. This assessment can be made at home in the early stages of COVID-19 infection, using urine analysis. Applicability of this method to drug discovery and development is also discussed.

Real-world effectiveness of full and booster mRNA vaccination for coronavirus disease 2019 against disease severity during the delta- and omicron-dominant phases: A propensity score-matched cohort study using the nationwide registry data in Japan

BACKGROUND

To date, few studies from the Asian region have reported the effectiveness of messenger ribonucleic acid coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccines against disease progression and death after hospitalization.

METHODS

We evaluated the data from the COVID-19 registry in Japan during the delta- and omicron-dominant phases. A propensity score-matched cohort study was conducted between the incompletely (0-1 dose) and fully (2 doses) vaccinated groups during the delta-dominant phase and among the incompletely, fully, and booster (3 doses) vaccinated groups during the omicron-dominant phase.

RESULTS

In the delta-dominant phase, 411 pairs were matched. The fully vaccinated group showed a significantly lower oxygen supplementation rate (24.1 % vs. 41.1 %, p < 0.001) but little difference in the mortality rate (2.2 % vs. 2.9 %, p = 0.66). In the omicron-dominant phase, 1494 pairs from the incompletely and fully vaccinated groups, and 425 pairs from the fully and booster vaccinated groups were matched. Full vaccination reduced both the oxygen supplementation rate (18.6 % vs 25.7 %, p < 0.001) and mortality rate (0.7 % vs 2.3 %, p < 0.001). Booster vaccination showed little difference in either the rate of oxygen supplementation (21.2 % vs. 24.7 %, p = 0.25) or mortality (1.2 % vs. 2.6 %, p = 0.21) compared with full vaccination.

CONCLUSIONS

Full vaccination reduced disease severity during the delta- and omicron-dominant phases; booster vaccination did not further enhance the protective effects against disease progression during the omicron-dominant phase compared to full vaccination. Future vaccine strategies and policy decisions should consider preventing infection or disease progression in the target population, as well as the characteristics of the dominant variant in that phase.

High diagnostic accuracy of quantitative SARS-CoV-2 spike-binding-IgG assay and correlation with in vitro viral neutralizing activity

Background

Antibody testing can easily evaluate the clinical status of patients, aid in the diagnosis of multisystem inflammatory syndrome, and monitor the immunity level in the population. However, the applicability of serological tests in detecting antibodies against the severe acute respiratory syndrome 2 (SARS-CoV-2) spike-binding protein remains limited. This study aimed to quantify both serum-derived neutralizing immunoglobulin-G (IgG) antibody activity and the amount of anti-SARS-CoV-2 Spike-IgG (S-IgG) in convalescent sera/plasmas and evaluate the direct correlation between the in vitro IgG-EC50 values and S-IgG values.

Methods

We evaluated the neutralizing activity of purified IgG (IgG-EC50), quantified S-IgG in the serum/plasma of consecutive COVID-19 convalescent individuals using a cell-based virus-neutralizing assay, and determined the correlation between IgG-EC50 and S-IgG. In addition, we evaluated rational cut-off values using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calculated the sensitivity and specificity of the quantitative S-IgG assay for moderate and high IgG-EC50.

Results

A high correlation was observed between S-IgG and IgG-EC50 with a Spearman's ρ value of -0.748 (95 % confidence interval [CI]: -0.804-0.678). Using an IgG-EC50 of 50 μg/mL and 20 μg/mL as the cut-off values for moderate and high in vitro neutralizing activity, respectively, the Youden's index values of 287.5 binding antibody units (BAU)/mL and 454.1 BAU/mL determined from the ROC curve showed the highest diagnostic accuracy, with Kappa values of 0.884 (95 % CI: 0.823-0.946) and 0.920 (95 % CI: 0.681-0.979), respectively.

Conclusions

Quantitative S-IgG tests are a useful and convenient tool for estimating in vitro virus-neutralizing activity, with a high correlation with IgG-EC50 when the rational cut-off value is carefully determined.

Albumin change predicts failure in ulcerative colitis treated with adalimumab

Anti-tumor necrosis factor (TNF) -α antibodies, including infliximab (IFX), adalimumab (ADA), and golimumab, which were the first biologic therapeutic agents, have a crucial position in advanced therapy for ulcerative colitis (UC). We aimed to investigate serum albumin (Alb) change as a prognostic factor for the therapeutic effect of ADA in UC. Thirty-four patients with UC treated with ADA were enrolled in this study and were divided into failure and non-failure groups. Biological data, such as Alb were compared between the two groups. Thirteen patients showed failure within six months. Examination of the biological data showed a significant difference between the two groups only in the week 2/week 0 Alb ratio. In receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis to predict failure, the cut-off value of week 2/week 0 Alb ratio was 1.00, and the area under the curve was 0.868 (95% confidence interval: 0.738-0.999). In addition, in the sub-group analysis of only clinically active patients, the week 2/week 0 Alb ratio of the non-failure group was significantly higher than that of the failure group, and the cut-off-value in ROC analysis was 1.00. Week 2/week 0 Alb ratio ≤ 1 predicts failure within six months of ADA for UC.

Differences in COVID-19 treatment across Japan: Analysis of the COVID-19 Registry Japan (COVIREGI-JP)

BACKGROUND

This study investigated the differences between metropolitan and non-metropolitan areas in the treatment of hospitalized patients with COVID-19 using data from the nationwide COVID-19 Registry Japan (COVIREGI-JP).

METHODS

Data of patients hospitalized for COVID-19 during waves 2-4 (June 1, 2020-June 30, 2021) treated in one of the 800 medical institutions participating in the Registry were extracted. Treatment and treatment outcomes were evaluated in inpatients with moderate 2 and severe disease using propensity score matching performed between metropolitan and non-metropolitan areas.

RESULTS

A total of 32797 patients were identified during epidemic waves 2-4. After matching (wave 2, n = 307; wave 3, n = 913; wave 4, n = 479), the population comprised mostly elderly patients with a median age of ≥65 years (IQR: 52-81 years) and median SpO2 of 93/94 (IQR: 91%-96%), and the proportion of patients with moderate 2 (SpO2≤93%/require oxygenation) vs severe disease (ICU admission) ranged from 82.7% to 89.8% vs 10.2% to 17.3% in metropolitan areas vs non-metropolitan areas, respectively, across all epidemic waves. Noninvasive mechanical ventilation was used significantly more in waves 2 and 3 and invasive mechanical ventilation in wave 4 in metropolitan vs non-metropolitan areas, compared with other waves. In wave 2, death as an outcome was significantly higher in metropolitan vs non-metropolitan areas compared with patient discharge to home/transfer.

CONCLUSION

During the COVID-19 epidemic, starting from wave 2 up until and through wave 4, no clear differences in mortality rates and no regional differences in treatment provision patterns were observed between metropolitan and non-metropolitan areas in Japan.

Comparison of fecal calprotectin levels and endoscopic scores for predicting relapse in patients with ulcerative colitis in remission

BACKGROUND

Although the usefulness of endoscopic scores, such as the Mayo Endoscopic Subscore (MES), Ulcerative Colitis Endoscopic Index of Severity (UCEIS), and Ulcerative Colitis Colonoscopic Index of Severity (UCCIS), and biomarkers such as fecal calprotectin (FC) for predicting relapse in ulcerative colitis (UC) has been reported, few studies have included endoscopic scores for evaluating the entire colon.

AIM

To compare the usefulness of FC value and MES, UCEIS, and UCCIS for predicting relapse in patients with UC in clinical remission.

METHODS

In total, 75 patients with UC in clinical and endoscopic remission who visited our institution between February 2019 and March 2022 were enrolled. The diagnosis of UC was confirmed based on the clinical presentation, endoscopic findings, and histology, according to the current established criteria for UC. Fecal samples were collected the day before or after the colonoscopy for measurement of FC. Endoscopic evaluations were performed using MES, UCEIS, and UCCIS. The primary outcome measure of this study was the assessment of the association between relapse within 12 mo and MES, UCEIS, UCCIS, and FC. The secondary outcome was the comparison between endoscopic scores and biomarkers in enrolled patients with UC with mucosal healing.

RESULTS

FC and UCCIS showed a significant correlation with UCEIS (r = 0.537, P < 0.001 and r = 0.957, P < 0.001, respectively). Receiver-operating characteristic analysis for predicting MES 0 showed that the area under the curve of UCCIS was significantly higher than that of FC (P < 0.01). During the 1-year observation period, 18 (24%) patients experienced a relapse, and both the FC and UCCIS of the relapse group were significantly higher than that of the remission group. The cut-off values for predicting relapse were set at FC = 323 mg/kg and UCCIS = 10.2. The area under the curve of the receiver-operating characteristic analysis for predicting relapse did not show a significant difference between FC and UCCIS. The accuracy of the endoscopic scores and biomarkers in predicting relapse was 86.7% for UCCIS, 85.3% for UCEIS, 76.0% for FC, and 73.3% for MES.

CONCLUSION

The three endoscopic scores and FC may predict UC relapse during clinical remission. Among these scores, UCEIS may be the most useful in terms of ease of evaluation and accuracy.

Characteristics of preventive intervention acceptance for international travel among clients aged 60 years and older from a Japanese multicenter pretravel consultation registry

OBJECTIVES

Pretravel consultation (PTC) is important for older adults owing to health problems associated with overseas travel. Although older adults in Japan, their PTC characteristics are less known. This study aimed to investigate the epidemiology of clients aged ≥ 60 years based on data from the Japan Pre-travel Consultation Registry (J-PRECOR).

METHODS

Clients aged ≥ 60 years who visited J-PRECOR cooperative hospitals from February 1, 2018, to May 31, 2022, were included. The primary endpoint was a comparison of prescriptions for vaccines for hepatitis A, tetanus toxoid, and malaria prophylaxis in travelers to high-risk malaria countries in yellow fever vaccination (YFV)-available facilities with and without YFV.

RESULTS

In total, 1000 clients (median age: 67 years) were included. Although 523 clients were immunized with YFV, only 38.6% of the 961 unimmunized clients were vaccinated with the tetanus toxoid-containing vaccine. Malaria chemoprophylaxis was prescribed to 25.7% of clients traveling for ≤55 days. At YFV-capable institutes, 557 clients traveling to yellow fever risk countries took PTC, 474 of whom received YFV and 83 were unvaccinated. Lower age (odds rate 0.85 per 1 year; 95% CI 0.80-0.90) and lower hepatitis A vaccination rate (0.29; 95% CI 0.14-0.63) were significantly associated with YFV.

CONCLUSIONS

Preventive interventions other than YFV should be offered to older adults.

Factors Associated with Geographical Variability of Antimicrobial Use in Japan

INTRODUCTION

Evidence regarding the factors affecting the geographical variation of antimicrobial use (AMU) is relatively scarce. This study aimed to evaluate factors potentially associated with geographical variability of AMU per day per 1000 habitants in the 47 prefectures of Japan.

METHODS

This is an observational ecological study using the Japanese national database in 2019. The outcome was the defined daily doses per 1000 inhabitants per day by prefecture. Multivariable negative binomial regression analysis was conducted using patient- and physician-level variables.

RESULTS

The study included 605,391,054 defined daily doses of AMU in 2019 from the 47 prefectures. In the multivariable negative binomial regression analyses for the outcome of total AMU, the proportion of female individuals (adjusted rate ratio [aRR] 1.04 [1.01-1.08] per 1% increase, p = 0.021), the proportion of upper secondary graduates going to further education (aRR 1.01 [1.00-1.01] per 1% increase, p = 0.005), and the annual number of diagnoses related to upper respiratory infections (URIs) per 1000 inhabitants per day (aRR 1.21 [1.10-1.34], p < 0.001) were significantly correlated with total AMU.

CONCLUSIONS

In this ecological study, the variability of total AMU by Japanese prefecture was associated with the proportion of female individuals, education level, and the number of URI diagnoses per population. The results suggest the potential need for additional stewardship efforts to reduce unnecessary antimicrobial prescriptions for URI.

Association between seasonal influenza vaccination and antimicrobial use in Japan from the 2015-16 to 2020-21 seasons: from the VENUS study

BACKGROUND

Seasonal influenza vaccination might be considered an antimicrobial resistance (AMR) countermeasure because it can reduce unnecessary antimicrobial use for acute respiratory infection by mitigating the burden of such diseases.

OBJECTIVES

To examine the association between seasonal influenza vaccination and antimicrobial use (AMU) in Japan at the community level and to examine the impact of influenza vaccination on the frequency of unnecessary antimicrobial prescription for upper respiratory infection.

METHODS

For patients who visited any healthcare facility in one of the 23 wards of Tokyo, Japan, due to upper respiratory infection and who were aged 65 years or older, we extracted data from the Vaccine Effectiveness, Networking, and Universal Safety (VENUS) study database, which includes all claims data and vaccination records from the 2015-16 to 2020-21 seasons. We used the average treatment effect (ATE) with 1:1 propensity score matching to examine the association of vaccination status with frequency of antibiotic prescription, frequency of healthcare facility consultation, risk of admission and risk of death in the follow-up period of the same season (from 1 January to 31 March).

RESULTS

In total, 244 642 people were enrolled. Matched data included 101 734 people in each of the unvaccinated and vaccinated groups. The ATE of vaccination was -0.004 (95% CI -0.006 to -0.002) for the frequency of antibiotic prescription, -0.005 (-0.007 to -0.004) for the frequency of healthcare facility consultation, -0.001 (-0.002 to -0.001) for the risk of admission and 0.00 (0.00 to 0.00) for the risk of death.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that seasonal influenza vaccination is associated with lower frequencies of unnecessary antibiotic prescription and of healthcare facility consultation.

Patient education in atopic dermatitis: a scoping review

BACKGROUND

Atopic dermatitis (AD) is a chronic inflammatory skin disease that affects children and adults. Poor treatment adherence in AD requires interventions to promote self-management; patient education in chronic diseases is key to self-management. Many international AD management guidelines published to date include a recommendation for educating patients as part of their treatment but there are no formal recommendations on how to deliver this knowledge. MAIN: We performed a scoping review to map the existing literature on patient education practices in AD and to highlight the clinical need for improved patient education in AD. The literature search was performed with the online databases MEDLINE, Embase, Grey Matters, ClinicalTrails.gov and the International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (ICTRP). The search strategy yielded 388 articles. Of the 388 articles screened, 16 studies met the eligibility criteria, and the quantitative data was summarized by narrative synthesis. The majority of studies were randomized controlled trials conducted in Europe, Asia and North America. Since 2002, there have been limited studies evaluating patient education in the treatment of AD. Frequent education methods used included group-based educational programs, educational pamphlets, individual consultations and online resources. Education was most commonly directed at caregivers and their children. Only one study compared the efficacy of different education methods. In all included studies, the heterogenous nature of outcome measures and study design limited the consistency of results. Despite the heterogeneity of studies, patient education was shown to improve quality of life (QoL), disease severity and psychological outcomes in AD patients.

CONCLUSION

This scoping review highlights that patient education is effective in a variety of domains relevant to AD treatment. Further comparative studies and randomized trials with longer-term follow-up are needed to provide validated and consistent patient education recommendations for AD; these may depend on age and population.

Trends of participants in convalescent plasma donation for COVID-19 in Japan as the pandemic evolved

Background

We aimed to investigate chronological changes in the characteristics of participants in a coronavirus disease 2019 convalescent plasma donation study that may benefit optimal collection methods in the future.

Methods

Data from a convalescent plasma donation study from April 30, 2020 to November 5, 2021 were collected and analyzed. After August 23, 2021, an interim analysis of factors linked to higher antibody titers led us to restrict our participant recruitment criteria to participants who were within 4 months of disease onset and to patients who were otherwise most likely to have sufficiently high antibody titers. Overall, 1299 samples from 1179 patients were analyzed.

Results

Over the duration of the study, 35.9% of the samples were deemed eligible for convalescent plasma collection. The overall eligibility rate initially declined, dipping to <20% after one year. During this period, the proportion of enrolled samples from patients who had severe illness also declined, and the proportion of samples from participants who were >120 days post disease onset increased. After the addition of days from onset and vaccination status to our participant recruitment criteria, the eligibility rate improved significantly.

Conclusions

As outbreaks of emerging infectious disease occur, it is desirable to construct and implement a scheme for convalescent plasma donation promptly and to monitor the eligibility rate over time. If it declines, promptly analyze and resolve the associated factors. Additionally, vaccine development and infection prevalence are likely to influence the effective recruitment of participants with high antibody titers.

Evaluation of potential rabies exposure among Japanese international travelers: A retrospective descriptive study

BACKGROUND

Although Japan has been a rabies-free country for >50 years, a few cases have been reported among people traveling abroad. This study aimed to investigate animal exposure among Japanese travelers using the Japanese Registry for Infectious Diseases from Abroad (J-RIDA).

METHOD

In this retrospective analysis, we examined Japanese overseas travelers with animal exposure, as included the J-RIDA database, reported from October 1, 2017, to October 31, 2019, with a focus on pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) administration and the animals to which the patients were exposed.

RESULTS

Among the 322 cases included in the analysis, 19 (5.9%) patients received PrEP and 303 did not. The most common purpose of travel was a non-package tour (n = 175, 54.3%). Most trips (n = 213, 66.1%) were to a single country for <2 weeks. Most patients (n = 286, 87.9%) traveled to countries with a rabies risk. The majority of patients with and without PrEP were injured in rabies-risk countries [n = 270 (89.1%) for non-PrEP and n = 16 (84.2%) for PrEP]. Animals associated with injuries included dogs (55.0%), cats (25.5%), and monkeys (15.5%). Most patients were classified as World Health Organization Category II/III for contact with suspected rabid animals (39.5% and 44.1% for categories II and III, respectively) and had exposure within 5 days of travel. Southeast Asia (n = 180, 55.9%) was the most common region in which travelers were exposed to animals.

CONCLUSIONS

Japanese overseas travelers had contact with animals that could possibly transmit the rabies virus, even on short trips. Promoting pre-travel consultation and increasing awareness of the potential for rabies exposure are important for prevention of rabies among Japanese international travelers.

Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma in patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis and ulcerative colitis: Two case reports

BACKGROUND

Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is an extraintestinal manifestation of ulcerative colitis (UC). PSC is a well-known risk factor for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC), and ICC is known to have a poor prognosis.

CASE SUMMARY

We present two cases of ICC in patients with PSC associated with UC. In the first case, a tumor was found by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in the liver of a patient with PSC and UC who presented to our hospital with right-sided rib pain. The second patient was asymptomatic, but we unexpectedly detected two liver tumors in an MRI performed to evaluate bile duct stenosis associated with PSC. ICC was strongly suspected by computed tomography and MRI in both cases, and surgery was performed, but unfortunately, the first patient died of ICC recurrence 16 mo postoperatively, and the second patient died of liver failure 14 mo postoperatively.

CONCLUSION

Careful follow-up of patients with UC and PSC with imaging and blood tests is necessary for early detection of ICC.

Investigation of oral macrolide prescriptions in Japan using a retrospective claims database, 2013-2018

Macrolide usage in Japan exceeds that in Europe and the United States. Investigating the actual conditions in which macrolides are used is important for identifying further interventions for appropriate antimicrobial use; however, this situation has not been evaluated in Japan. Therefore, we aimed to clarify the number of macrolide prescriptions and their changes before and after implementation of the Antimicrobial Resistance (AMR) Action Plan. In addition, we also investigated the names of diseases for which macrolides have been prescribed and the number of days of prescription. A retrospective observational study was conducted using JMDC claims data from January 2013 to December 2018. The proportion of all oral antimicrobials and macrolides used during this period and the diseases for which macrolides were used in the 3 years before and after the AMR Action Plan were determined separately for acute (< 14 prescription days) and chronic (> 14 prescription days) diseases. The number of prescriptions for macrolides constituted approximately 30% of those for all oral antimicrobials; of these, clarithromycin accounted for approximately 60%. Most prescriptions for acute diseases were for common cold, whereas allergic and dermatological diseases were included among chronic diseases. The names of these illnesses did not change before and after the AMR Action Plan. Overall, these results indicate that appropriate macrolide use involves a review of their use for common cold along with appropriate evaluation of their long-term use for skin and allergic diseases. They also indicate the need for further fact-finding studies and ongoing AMR measures.

Clinical efficacy of remdesivir for COVID-19 in children: A propensity-score-matched analysis

Clinical efficacy of remdesivir in children with COVID-19 is unclear. This propensity-score-matched retrospective cohort study of children with COVID-19 showed that the rate of patients achieving defervescence on Day 4 was higher in the remdesivir group than in the non-remdesivir group, but was not statistically different (86.7% vs 73.3%, P = 0.333).

Assessing the efficacy of health countermeasures on arrival time of infectious diseases

Public health measures to control the international spread of infectious diseases include strengthening quarantines and sealing borders. Although these measures are effective in delaying the importation of infectious diseases, they also have a significant economic impact by stopping the flow of people and goods. The arrival time of infectious diseases is often used to assess quarantine effectiveness. Although the arrival time is highly dependent on the number of infected cases in the endemic country, direct comparisons have not yet been made. Therefore, this study derives an explicit relationship between the number of infected cases and arrival time. Transmission behavior is stochastic, and deterministic models are not always realistic. In this study, random differential equations, which are differential equations with stochastic processes, were used to describe the dynamics of infection in an endemic country. Furthermore, the flow of travelers from the endemic country was described in terms of survival time, and the arrival time in each country was calculated. A scenario in which PCR kits were distributed between endemic and disease-free countries was also considered, and the impact of different distribution rates on arrival time was evaluated. The simulation results showed that increasing the distribution of PCR kits in the endemic country was more effective in delaying arrival times than using PCR kits in quarantine in disease-free countries. It was also found that increasing the proportion of identified infected persons in the endemic country, leading to isolation, was more important and effective in delaying arrival times than increasing the number of PCR tests.

Tin(II)-Based Metal-Organic Frameworks Enabling Efficient, Selective Reduction of CO2 to Formate under Visible Light

Certain metal complexes are known as high-performance CO2 reduction photocatalysts driven by visible light. However, most of them rely on rare, precious metals as principal components, and integrating the functions of light absorption and catalysis into a single molecular unit based on abundant metals remains a challenge. Metal-organic frameworks (MOFs), which can be regarded as intermediate compounds between molecules and inorganic solids, are potential platforms for the construction of a simple photocatalytic system composed only of Earth-abundant nontoxic elements. In this work, we report that a tin-based MOF enables the conversion of CO2 into formic acid with a record high apparent quantum yield (9.8% at 400 nm) and >99% selectivity without the need for any additional photosensitizer or catalyst. This work highlights a new MOF with strong potential for photocatalytic CO2 reduction driven by solar energy.

Association of acute-to-chronic glycemic ratio and outcomes in patients with COVID-19 and undiagnosed diabetes mellitus: A retrospective nationwide cohort study

AIMS/INTRODUCTION

To assess the association of undiagnosed diabetes mellitus and its acute-to-chronic glycemic ratio with clinical outcome in patients hospitalized with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) using a large-scale nationwide registry in Japan.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Overall, 4,747 patients were included between July 2021 and January 2022. We evaluated blood glucose and glycated hemoglobin levels at admission, and calculated the acute-to-chronic glycemic ratio for each non-diabetes mellitus, undiagnosed diabetes mellitus and pre-existing diabetes mellitus group. The primary composite outcome comprised in-hospital mortality, invasive mechanical ventilation, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation support, intensive care unit admission and transfer to a more advanced medical facility.

RESULTS

Compared with the non-diabetes mellitus group, the undiagnosed diabetes mellitus group was significantly associated with a worse COVID-19 outcome (odds ratio 2.18, 95% confidence interval 1.50-3.18). In patients with undiagnosed diabetes mellitus, the 3rd tertile of the acute-to-chronic glycemic ratio was linked with a worse COVID-19 outcome compared with the 1st tertile (odds ratio 3.33, 95% confidence interval 1.43-7.77), whereas glycated hemoglobin levels were not; among patients with pre-existing diabetes mellitus, glycated hemoglobin levels were linked with a worse outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with undiagnosed diabetes mellitus with COVID-19, the magnitude of elevation of blood glucose from chronic to acute levels is associated with worse outcomes.

Comparison of the clinical characteristics and outcomes of Japanese patients with COVID-19 treated in primary, secondary, and tertiary care facilities

AIM

To compare the characteristics and clinical course of patients with coronavirus disease (COVID-19) according to the healthcare level of the admitted hospital, to provide an insight into determining the appropriate level of care for each patient.

METHODS

This retrospective, observational study utilized data from the COVID-19 Registry Japan (COVIREGI-JP), the largest Japanese registry of hospitalized patients with COVID-19. Datasets were obtained from reports filed as of May 31, 2022.

RESULTS

A total of 59,707 patients (2004 in the primary care group, 41,420 in the secondary care group, and 16,283 in the tertiary care group) from 585 facilities were included in the analysis. Patients with established risk factors for severe disease, such as old age and the presence of comorbidities, were treated at higher care facilities and had poorer initial conditions and in-hospital clinical course, as well as higher mortality. Analysis of the fatality rates for each complication suggested that patients with complications requiring procedures (e.g. pleural effusions, myocardial ischemia, and arrhythmia) may have better survival rates in facilities with specialist availability. The number of deaths and severe COVID-19 cases in this study were notably less than those reported overseas.

CONCLUSION

Our results showed that more difficult COVID-19 cases with poor outcomes were treated at higher care level facilities in Japan. Attending to possible complications may be useful for selecting an appropriate treatment hospital. Healthcare providers need to maintain a broad perspective on the distribution of medical resources.

Characteristics of hospitalized COVID-19 patients with other respiratory pathogens identified by rapid diagnostic test

Rapid diagnostic tests (RDTs) significantly impact disease treatment strategy. In Japan, information on the use of RDTs for patients with COVID-19 is limited. Here, we aimed to investigate the RDT implementation rate, pathogen detection rate, and clinical characteristics of patients positive for other pathogens by using COVIREGI-JP, a national registry of hospitalized patients with COVID-19. A total of 42,309 COVID-19 patients were included. For immunochromatographic testing, influenza was the most common (n = 2881 [6.8%]), followed by Mycoplasma pneumoniae (n = 2129 [5%]) and group A streptococcus (GAS) (n = 372 [0.9%]). Urine antigen testing was performed for 5524 (13.1%) patients for S. pneumoniae and for 5326 patients (12.6%) for L. pneumophila. The completion rate of M. pneumonia loop-mediated isothermal amplification (LAMP) testing was low (n = 97 [0.2%]). FilmArray RP was performed in 372 (0.9%) patients; 1.2% (36/2881) of patients were positive for influenza, 0.9% (2/223) for the respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), 9.6% (205/2129) for M. pneumoniae, and 7.3% (27/372) for GAS. The positivity rate for urine antigen testing was 3.3% (183/5524) for S. pneumoniae and 0.2% (13/5326) for L. pneumophila. The positivity rate for LAMP test was 5.2% (5/97) for M. pneumoniae. Five of 372 patients (1.3%) had positive FilmArray RP, with human enterovirus being the most frequently detected (1.3%, 5/372). The characteristics of patients with and without RDTs submission and positive and negative results differed for each pathogen. RDTs remain an important diagnostic tool in patients with COVID-19 in whom coinfection with other pathogens needs to be tested based on clinical evaluation.

Regional trends in the use of steroids and favipiravir for COVID-19 treatment

BACKGROUND

Infectious diseases are treated based on clinical guidelines, which usually require a large amount of data and time to formulate. Therefore, various treatments are tried and used in the early stages of epidemics of emerging and reemerging infectious diseases. In this study, we focused on two drugs for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) treatment, i.e., steroids and favipiravir, and analyzed the changes in treatment trends by region.

METHODS

This was a retrospective study of cases from the COVID-19 Registry Japan. The proportion of patients who received steroids and favipiravir was calculated on a monthly and pandemic wave basis, and the trend of drug administration by region was estimated using logistic curves.

RESULTS

The effect of wave on steroid administration was as high as 2.75 [2.60, 2.90], indicating a rapid increase in the proportion of steroid administration. The odds ratios for Hokuriku and Hokkaido were 0.49 [0.35, 0.68] and 0.55 [0.43, 0.71], respectively, indicating that steroids were less likely administered in these regions. For favipiravir, the effect of timing was 0.43 [0.41, 0.46], denoting a decreasing trend. On the other hand, the odds ratio was very high in some regions, such as Hokkaido (6.66 [5.24, 8.48]), indicating that the administration trend varied by region.

CONCLUSIONS

The increase in the proportion of steroid use showed the same trend nationwide, although the rate of increase differed, confirming that the use of drugs with proven efficacy was spreading rapidly and that effective treatment was available nationwide. However, the results suggest that drugs such as favipiravir, which were initially expected to be effective, may continue to be administered. Registry studies include larger populations than clinical trials and enable real-time monitoring of medication status and trends. Further use of registry studies for treatment standardization is expected in the future.

Effects of population age structure on parenteral antimicrobial use estimations

Antimicrobial use (AMU) is conventionally reported as unadjusted defined daily doses (DDDs) or population-adjusted DDDs per 1000 inhabitants per day (DID). DID is frequently used to monitor national AMU trends, this metric does not intrinsically take temporal changes in population age structure into account. We examined the effects of population age structure on DID estimates of parenteral AMU in Japan, and predicted future trends in DDDs based on population projections. Parenteral AMU data from 2013 to 2018 were acquired from a national claims database. We assessed temporal trends in parenteral AMU by age group (children aged < 15 years, working-age persons aged 15-64 years, and older persons aged ≥ 65 years) using both DID and DDDs. In addition, we modeled DDD predictions based on age-specific population projections from 2019 to 2030. DID values for older persons were 8.08-10.15 times and 5.43-5.63 times higher than in children and working-age persons, respectively. DID was stable, but DDDs increased in older persons. The prediction models showed that DDDs will continue to increase until 2030 if DID remains steady or decreases. DID estimates were skewed by the older population. More rigorous antimicrobial stewardship efforts targeting geriatric care are needed to counter the aging-associated increase in AMU.

1147. Regional Trends in Favipiravir and Steroid Use in the Treatment of COVID-19

Background

Two years have passed since the global outbreak of COVID-19 began. Vaccines and many therapeutic agents have now been developed, and treatment is being conducted in accordance with guidelines. In general, it takes a long time for guidelines to be established, as a large amount of clinical data is required. Therefore, in the early and middle stages of an epidemic, treatment is often based on experience at individual centers. This study focuses on two drugs, Favipiravir and Steroid, and investigates how trends in drug use changed in different regions.

Methods

We compared the proportion of drug administered patients in the COVID-19 Registry Japan (COVIREGI-JP). Data from four COVID-19 epidemic waves, from January 2020 to June 2021, were included for the analysis. To compare regional trends, 10 categories were used based on existing classifications. In addition, Tokyo and Osaka were accounted for separately, for a total of 12 regions. Severity of each case was divided into mild, moderate 1, moderate 2 and severe based on the condition on admission, and the proportion of Favipiravir or Steroid administered cases was calculated for moderate 2 and severe cases.

Results

Favipiravir was administered to more than 50-100% of patients in the first wave. Thereafter, it declined nationwide, with sharp falls in Tokyo (34.9%, 16.5% and 4.3%) and Osaka (48.8%, 41.8% and 8.0%). In Hokkaido, on the other hand, 82.4%, 53.7% and 59.8% of the cases still continued to receive Favipiravir.

In the first wave, Steroid was administered to 20-40% of cases. The proportion gradually increased, with 50-80% in the second wave, and 85.5% in Tokyo, 93.4% in Osaka and 90.2% in Hokkaido in the fourth wave, the majority of cases.

Changes over time in the proportions of cases treated with Favipiravir and Steroid in each region.

The top four and middle four panels show the proportion of cases treated with Favipiravir and Steroid, respectively. The lower epi-curve shows the number of COVID-19 cases in Japan.

Conclusion

We confirmed that the more effective treatment was rapidly spreading throughout the country. More information is available in areas with a large number of cases, such as Tokyo and Osaka, and in facilities that see a large number of cases. On the other hand, it may be difficult for smaller facilities or facilities that do not see many COVID-19 cases. Information from registry studies would be useful in making more effective treatments available earlier and more widely. We believe that further use of COVIREGI-JP would promote standardization of treatment.

Disclosures

All Authors: No reported disclosures.

Characteristics and potential quality indicators for evaluating pre-travel consultations in Japan hospitals: the Japan Pretravel consultation registry (J-PRECOR)

Background

Awareness of pre-travel consultations (PTCs) and prevention methods for overseas travel-related diseases, and the understanding of PTCs among Japanese travelers and medical professionals remains low in Japan. A multicenter registry was established to examine PTCs in Japan. This study assessed the PTC implementation rate and examined the indicators of PTCs that can be used as criteria for evaluating quality.

Methods

Clients who presented for their PTCs at 17 facilities and were registered between February 1, 2018, and May 31, 2020, were included. Medical information was extracted retrospectively via a web-based system. Correlations between vaccination risk categories and advice/intervention proportions by the facility were evaluated using Spearman’s ordered phase relations (α = 0.05).

Results

Of the 9700 eligible clients (median age, 32 years; 880 [9.1%] aged < 16 years and 549 [5.7%] aged ≥65 years), the most common travel duration was ≥181 days (35.8%); higher among younger clients. The most common reason for travel was business (40.5%); the US (1118 [11.5%]) and Asia (4008 [41.3%]) were the most common destinations and continents, respectively. The vaccine number (median three per person) increased after the PTCs except for the tetanus toxoid. Only 60.8% of the clients recommended for malaria prophylaxis received anti-malarial agents. The gross national income; the incidence of human rabies, typhoid fever, falciparum malaria; and dengue risk category were associated with the percentage of hepatitis-A vaccines; explaining rabies post-exposure prophylaxis, typhoid-fever vaccinations, malaria-prophylaxis prescriptions; and mosquito repellants, respectively.

Conclusions

Although the characteristics of the travelers differed, the quality of the PTCs should be improved to address, for example, the lower rate of acceptance of malaria prophylaxis in Japan.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s40794-021-00160-4.

Statistical Analysis of Mortality Rates of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Patients in Japan Across the 4C Mortality Score Risk Groups, Age Groups, and Epidemiological Waves: A Report From the Nationwide COVID-19 Cohort

Background

The mortality rates of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) have been changed across the epidemiological waves. The aim was to investigate the differences in mortality rates of COVID-19 patients in Japan across the 6 epidemiological waves stratified by age group and Coronavirus Clinical Characterisation Consortium (4C) mortality score risk group.

Methods

A total of 56 986 COVID-19 patients in the COVID-19 Registry Japan from 2 March 2020 to 1 February 2022 were enrolled. These patients were categorized into 4 risk groups based on their 4C mortality score. Mortality rates of each risk group were calculated separately for different age groups: 18-64, 65-74, 75-89, and ≥90 years. In addition, mortality rates across the wave periods were calculated separately in 2 age groups: <75 and ≥75 years. All calculated mortality rates were compared with reported data from the United Kingdom (UK) during the early epidemic.

Results

The mortality rates of patients in Japan were significantly lower than in the UK across the board, with the exception of patients aged ≥90 years at very high risk. The mortality rates of patients aged ≥75 years at very high risk in the fourth and fifth wave periods showed no significant differences from those in the UK, whereas those in the sixth wave period were significantly lower in all age groups and in all risk groups.

Conclusions

The present analysis showed that COVID-19 patients had a lower mortality rate in the most recent sixth wave period, even among patients ≥75 years old at very high risk.

Gait improvement in stroke patients by Gait Exercise Assist Robot training is related to trunk verticality

[Purpose] Various types of Gait Exercise Assist Robot (GEAR) have been developed recently, some of which have enabled early improvement in patients with stroke. However, none has yet resulted in independent walking in these patients. Hence, we conducted an exploratory study of the effect of GEAR on achieving independent walking in stroke patients. [Participants and Methods] The participants were 16 patients with severe stroke. We evaluated patients’ ability to walk independently after GEAR training. The outcome measure was Stroke Impairment Assessment Set (SIAS) motor score (Hip Flexion, Knee Extension, Foot Pat, Abdominal and Verticality). Differences in five SIAS motor scores were compared between the independent and non-independent walking groups. [Results] There was statistically significant difference between the groups in terms of Verticality among the 5 SIAS items used in the present research . Verticality of SIAS score of 1 was the cut-off value for distinguishing walking independence. [Conclusion] Verticality of SIAS may be a marker of potential walking independence that can be used in rehabilitation plans using walking-assist robots in patients with stroke.

Importance of eosinophilic infiltration of the colonic mucosa in ulcerative colitis patients who are refractory to maintenance therapy: A prospective, single-center study

Eosinophilic infiltration is sometimes observed histologically in ulcerative colitis (UC), but the effect of the degree of infiltration on the treatment course for UC is not completely understood. We investigated whether short-term steroid administration in UC patients refractory to maintenance therapy, with high eosinophilic infiltration in the colonic mucosa, contributed to the clinical and endoscopic improvement. Ten patients with endoscopically active and pathologically high eosinophilic infiltration, based on pathological examination using endoscopic biopsy, were examined for the clinical background when starting steroid treatment. The clinical and endoscopic improvement before and after steroid use were assessed prospectively. The average initial steroid dosage and duration of use were 21.0 mg and 102.7 days, respectively. The mean values before and after steroid use of the clinical activity index, the Mayo endoscopic subscore, and the UC endoscopic index of severity were 2.4 and 1.0, 1.8 and 0.7, and 3.9 and 1.1, respectively. All scores improved significantly after steroid use (P = .042, P = .002, P = .002, respectively). Steroids were discontinued in all patients; no patients required steroid re-administration. There may be cases of UC with eosinophilic infiltration into the colonic mucosa and resistance to maintenance treatment, suggesting that short-term steroid administration may contribute to clinical and endoscopic improvements.

Comparison of clinical characteristics of COVID-19 in pregnant women between the Delta and Omicron variants of concern predominant periods

Background

Information regarding effects of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variant strains on clinical manifestations and outcomes of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in pregnant women is limited.

Methods

A retrospective observational study was conducted using the data from the nationwide COVID-19 registry in Japan. We identified pregnant patients with symptomatic COVID-19 hospitalized during the study period. The Delta and Omicron variants of concern (VOC) predominant periods were defined as August 1 to December 31, 2021 and January 1 to May 31, 2022, respectively. Clinical characteristics were compared between the patients in the Delta and Omicron VOC periods. In addition, logistic regression analysis was performed to identify risk factors for developing moderate-to-severe COVID-19.

Results

During the study period, 310 symptomatic COVID-19 cases of pregnant women were identified; 111 and 199 patients were hospitalized during the Delta and Omicron VOC periods, respectively. Runny nose and sore throat were more common, and fatigue, dysgeusia, and olfactory dysfunction were less common manifestations observed in the Omicron VOC period. In the multivariable logistic regression analysis, onset during the later stage of pregnancy (OR: 2.08 [1.24–3.71]) and onset during the Delta VOC period (OR: 2.25 [1.08–4.90]) were independently associated with moderate-to-severe COVID-19, whereas two doses of SARS-CoV-2 vaccine were protective against developing moderate-to-severe COVID-19 (OR: 0.34 [0.13–0.84]).

Conclusions

Clinical manifestations of COVID-19 in pregnant women differed between the Delta and Omicron VOC periods. SARS-CoV-2 vaccination was still effective in preventing severe COVID-19 throughout the Delta and Omicron VOC periods.

Antibody titers and neutralizing activity in cases of COVID-19 after a single dose of vaccination

Vaccines for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) have shown high efficacy in preventing the onset of disease. However, the immune response to infection immediately after the first vaccination remains unknown. We examined the anti-SARS-CoV-2-binding-antibody titers and neutralizing activity in patients who developed coronavirus disease 2019 after the first vaccination. The amount of anti-SARS-CoV-2-binding antibodies and neutralizing activity drastically increased from the first to the second collection. Our results may provide important data on the course of immune response following vaccination.

Evaluation of the representativeness of data in the COVID-19 Registry Japan during the first six waves of the epidemic

The COVID-19 Registry Japan (COVIREGI-JP), a registry of patients hospitalized with coronavirus disease (COVID-19), contains the largest national COVID-19 inpatient population. Since COVIREGI-JP invites voluntary participation by facilities, selection bias is inevitable. The current study examined the representativeness of COVIREGI-JP data in comparison to open-source national data. The number of infections and deaths among hospitalized COVID-19 patients in COVIREGI-JP were compared to those in national data recorded during the six waves of the COVID-19 epidemic until March 6, 2022. During the period studied, patients in COVIREGI-JP represented 1% of the total COVID-19 cases according to national data; the proportion was high during the first wave (32.7%) and tended to decrease, especially after the fourth wave. The overall proportion of patients from each region varied from 0.8% to 2.5%, but case fatality rates in COVIREGI-JP tended to be higher than those in the national data, with the exception of a few waves, in several regions. The difference was smallest during the first wave. Although COVIREGI-JP consistently registered cases from all regions of the country, the proportion tended to decline after the beginning of the epidemic. Given the epidemiological persistence and the ever-changing epidemiology of COVID-19, continued case registration and data utilization in COVIREGI-JP is desirable, although selection bias in COVIREGI-JP registration of cases should be carefully interpreted.

Clinical characteristics of COVID-19 in hospitalized children during the Omicron variant predominant period

Introduction

Information regarding the clinical manifestations and outcomes of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in children under the Omicron variant predominant period is still limited.

Methods

A nationwide retrospective cohort study was conducted. Pediatric COVID-19 patients (<18 years of age) hospitalized between August 1, 2021 and March 31, 2022 were enrolled. Epidemiological and clinical characteristics between the Delta variant predominant period (August 1 to December 31, 2021) and the Omicron variant predominant period (January 1 to March 31, 2022) were compared.

Results

During the study period, 458 cases in the Delta predominant period and 389 cases in the Omicron predominant period were identified. Median age was younger (6.0 vs. 8.0 years, P = 0.004) and underlying diseases were more common (n = 65, 16.7% vs. n = 53, 11.6%) in the Omicron predominant period than those in the Delta variant predominant era. For clinical manifestations, fever ≥38.0 °C at 2 to <13 years old, sore throat at ≥ 13 years, and seizures at 2 to <13 years old were more commonly observed, and dysgeusia and olfactory dysfunction at ≥ 6 years old were less commonly observed in the Omicron variant predominant period. The number of patients requiring noninvasive oxygen support was higher in the Omicron predominant period than that in the Delta predominant period; however, intensive care unit admission rates were similar and no patients died in both periods.

Conclusions

In the Omicron variant predominant period, more pediatric COVID-19 patients experienced fever and seizures, although the overall outcomes were still favorable.

Lymphocyte to monocyte ratio and serum albumin changes predict tacrolimus therapy outcomes in patients with ulcerative colitis

Tacrolimus therapy for ulcerative colitis is ineffective in certain patients; these patients require biologics or colectomy. We examined the ability of serum albumin levels and leukocyte subtypes to predict the therapeutic efficacy of tacrolimus. Patients with ulcerative colitis treated with tacrolimus were divided into non-failure and failure (required colectomy or switch to biologics or systemic steroids) groups. Serum albumin levels and leukocyte subtypes at induction, week 1, and week 2 after reaching high trough levels were retrospectively examined. Tacrolimus therapy failed in 18/45 patients within 3 months. The week 2/week 1 albumin ratio was significantly different between the failure and non-failure groups (P < 0.001). The receiver operating characteristic curve analysis revealed optimal cut-off value of the week 2/week 1 albumin ratio was 1.06, and area under the curve was 0.815. Analysis of leukocyte subtypes revealed significant between-group difference in the week 1 lymphocyte to monocyte ratio (P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis showed week 2/week 1 albumin ratio ≤ 1.06 and week 1 lymphocyte to monocyte ratio ≤ 3.86. Therefore, a low week 2/week 1 albumin and low week 1 lymphocyte to monocyte ratio predicted failure within 3 months of tacrolimus induction; a combination of these markers could accurately predict failure.

Predictive model of risk factors of High Flow Nasal Cannula using machine learning in COVID-19

With the rapid increase in the number of COVID-19 patients in Japan, the number of patients receiving oxygen at home has also increased rapidly, and some of these patients have died. An efficient approach to identify high-risk patients with slowly progressing and rapidly worsening COVID-19, and to avoid missing the timing of therapeutic intervention will improve patient prognosis and prevent medical complications. Patients admitted to medical institutions in Japan from November 14, 2020 to April 11, 2021 and registered in the COVID-19 Registry Japan were included. Risk factors for patients with High Flow Nasal Cannula invasive respiratory management or higher were comprehensively explored using machine learning. Age-specific cohorts were created, and severity prediction was performed for the patient surge period. We were able to obtain a model that was able to predict severe disease with a sensitivity of 57% when the specificity was set at 90% for those aged 40–59 years, and with a specificity of 50% and 43% when the sensitivity was set at 90% for those aged 60–79 years and 80 years and older, respectively. We were able to identify lactate dehydrogenase level (LDH) as an important factor in predicting the severity of illness in all age groups. Using machine learning, we were able to identify risk factors with high accuracy, and predict the severity of the disease. We plan to develop a tool that will be useful in determining the indications for hospitalisation for patients undergoing home care and early hospitalisation.

Predicting Ulcerative Colitis Relapse in Clinical Remission With Fecal Immunochemical Occult Blood Test or Prostaglandin E-Major Urinary Metabolite

INTRODUCTION

The fecal immunochemical occult blood test (FIT) and prostaglandin E-major urinary metabolite (PGE-MUM) have been reported to predict the relapse of ulcerative colitis (UC) during remission. In this study, we directly compared FIT and PGE-MUM in predicting relapse and examined the effect of disease duration on these biomarkers.

METHODS

Measurements of 2 biomarkers and endoscopic examination were performed in 73 patients with UC in remission. The patients were followed up for 12 months, and clinical relapse was evaluated. In addition, we divided the patients into long-term disease duration and short-term disease duration groups for analysis.

RESULTS

Twenty-one patients (28.8%) relapsed within 12 months. FIT and PGE-MUM levels were significantly higher in the relapsed group than in the remission group. Cutoff values of FIT and PGE-MUM for predicting relapse using receiver operating characteristic analysis were 65.0 ng/mL (area under the curve [AUC]: 0.723) and 25.2 μg/g·Cr (AUC: 0.701), respectively. Patients with FIT ≥ 65.0 ng/mL and PGE-MUM ≥ 25.2 μg/g·Cr had a higher risk of clinical relapse. In the short-term disease duration group, the AUCs of FIT were larger than those of PGE-MUM using receiver operating characteristic analysis, in most instances. By contrast, the AUCs of PGE-MUM were larger than those of FIT in most cases in the long-term disease groups.

DISCUSSION

FIT and PEG-MUM were highly accurate in predicting clinical relapse in UC patients with short and long disease durations in remission, respectively.

Lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio is a short-term predictive marker of ulcerative colitis after induction of advanced therapy

Advanced therapies for patients with mild-to-severe ulcerative colitis (UC) may result in treatment failure. We examined whether the lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (L/M ratio) could predict the failure of advanced therapies. This retrospective, observational, cohort study included 73 patients who were treated with advanced therapies at the Hamamatsu University School of Medicine (Shizuoka, Japan) between February 2011 and November 2020. The patients were divided into the non-failure and failure groups, and their leukocyte counts and ratios before induction were examined. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify the prognostic factors. Advanced therapies failed within 3 months in 15 (20.5%) patients. Only the L/M ratio was significantly lower in the failure group than in the non-failure group (P = 0.004). Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis revealed that an L/M ratio of ≤3.417 was predictive of treatment failure; the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.747 (95% CI, 0.620–0.874). Kaplan–Meier analysis revealed that the failure-free rate was significantly lower in the group with an L/M ratio of ≤3.417 than in the group with an L/M ratio of >3.417 (log-rank test P = 0.002). Cox proportional hazard regression analysis identified an L/M ratio of ≤3.417 as an independent risk factor for failure within 3 months after the induction of advanced therapies. Furthermore, ROC analysis of patients who did not receive immunomodulators also revealed that the cut-off L/M ratio was 3.417 and the AUC was 0.796 (95% CI, 0.666–0.925). In patients receiving advanced therapies for active UC, the L/M ratio can predict treatment failure within 3 months. L/M ratios could facilitate the transition from advanced therapies to subsequent treatments.

Predictors of silent hypoxia in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 in Japan

INTRODUCTION

Silent hypoxia (SH) is common in patients with coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Japan and other countries. Early identification of SH is important as more treatment options for COVID-19 have become available. This study aimed to identify predictors of SH using a nationwide COVID-19 registry of hospitalized patients.

METHODS

Adult patients who were admitted to hospital with COVID-19 between January 2020 and June 2021 and who were hypoxic on admission (SpO₂: 70-93%), not transferred from another facility, and who did not have disturbance of consciousness, confusion, or dementia, were included. SH was defined as hypoxia in the absence of shortness of breath/dyspnea upon admission. Predictors of SH were identified using univariable and multivariable logistic regression.

RESULTS

The study included 1904 patients, of whom 990 (52%) satisfied the criteria for SH. Compared to patients without SH, patients with SH were older, more likely to be female, and had a slightly higher SpO₂ on admission. Compared to patients without SH, patients with SH had a lower prevalence of chronic lung disease (CLD) other than chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), asthma, and obesity. Multivariable analysis revealed that the independent predictors of SH were older age, a shorter interval from symptom onset to admission, higher SpO₂, and an absence of CLD or COPD.

CONCLUSIONS

The absence of underlying lung disease and older age were important predictors of SH. The results of this study, which is the largest such study reported to date in Japan, may help clarify the mechanism of SH.

The cumulative incidence of and risk factors for morphometric severe vertebral fractures in Japanese men and women: the ROAD study third and fourth surveys

This population-based cohort study with a 3-year follow-up revealed that the annual incidence rates of vertebral fracture (VF) and severe VF (sVF) were 5.9%/year and 1.7%/year, respectively. The presence of mild VF at the baseline was a significant risk factor for incident sVF in participants without prevalent sVF.

INTRODUCTION

This study aimed to estimate the incidence of morphometric vertebral fracture (VF) and severe VF (sVF) in men and women and clarify whether the presence of a mild VF (mVF) increases the risk of incident sVF.

METHODS

Data from the population-based cohort study, entitled the Research on Osteoarthritis/Osteoporosis Against Disability (ROAD) study, were analyzed. In total, 1190 participants aged ≥ 40 years (mean age, 65.0 ± 11.2) years completed whole-spine lateral radiography both at the third (2012-2013, baseline) and fourth surveys performed 3 years later (2015-2016, follow-up). VF was defined using Genant's semi-quantitative (SQ) method: VF as SQ ≥ 1, mVF as SQ = 1, and sVF as SQ ≥ 2. Cumulative incidence of VF and sVF was estimated. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to evaluate risk factors for incident sVF.

RESULTS

The baseline prevalence of mVF and sVF were 16.8% and 6.0%, respectively. The annual incidence rates of VF and sVF were 5.9%/year and 1.7%/year, respectively. The annual incidence rates of sVF in participants without prevalent VF, with prevalent mVF, and with prevalent sVF were 0.6%/year, 3.8%/year, and 11.7%/year (p < 0.001), respectively. Multivariate logistic regression analyses in participants without prevalent sVF showed that the adjusted odds ratios for incident sVF were 4.12 [95% confident interval 1.85-9.16] and 4.53 [1.49-13.77] if the number of prevalent mVF at the baseline was 1 and ≥ 2, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The annual incidence rates of VF and sVF were 5.9%/year and 1.7%/year, respectively. The presence of prevalent mVF was an independent risk factor for incident sVF.

Effectiveness of Favipiravir on Nonsevere, Early-Stage COVID-19 in Japan: A Large Observational Study Using the COVID-19 Registry Japan

Introduction

Several randomized controlled trials have compared the effectiveness of favipiravir with that of placebo. However, evidence regarding its effect on nonsevere, early-stage coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) remains insufficient.

Methods

We used the COVID-19 Registry Japan, a nationwide registry of inpatients with COVID-19, for evaluating the effectiveness of favipiravir on patients with nonsevere, early-stage COVID-19. Eligible patients, who did not need supplementary oxygen therapy at admission, were classified according to two regimens (starting favipiravir therapy within 4 days from admission vs. no favipiravir during hospitalization) and were then compared using a three-step method (cloning, censoring, and weighting). The primary outcome was supplementary oxygen requirement during hospitalization, and the secondary outcomes were the need for invasive mechanical ventilation or extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (IMV/ECMO) and overall mortality at 30 days.

Results

A total of 7654 cases were analyzed. The “start favipiravir” regimen did not show substantial differences in the primary outcome [hazard ratio 0.825, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.657–1.04, p = 0.098] and both of the secondary outcomes [need for IMV/ECMO and overall 30-day mortality, hazard ratio 1.02 (95% CI 0.649–1.60) and 0.869 (95% CI 0.519–1.46), p = 0.929 and 0.594, respectively].

Conclusions

In this large cohort from a COVID-19 registry, favipiravir was not associated with a positive effect on the clinical outcome on patients with nonsevere, early-stage COVID-19, suggesting that it is not an essential drug for COVID-19 treatment.

Clinical characteristics of the first three waves of hospitalised patients with COVID-19 in Japan prior to the widespread use of vaccination: a nationwide observational study

Background

Before widespread coronavirus disease (COVID-19) vaccinations, Japan experienced three COVID-19 epidemic waves. This study aimed to evaluate the characteristics of hospitalised COVID-19 patients and reveal temporal changes.

Methods

This study included 33,554 hospitalised patients with COVID-19 from 553 healthcare facilities. Data were analysed by age group and epidemic wave (first wave, 01/01/2020–05/31/2020; second wave, 06/01/2020–10/31/2020; and third wave, 11/01/2020–03/31/2021).

Findings

By age group, 3% (under 18), 22% (young), 34% (middle-aged), and 41% (older patients) were aged 0-17, 18-39, 40-64, and >65 years; while 16%, 35%, and 49% were in the first, second, and third wave, respectively. The patients’ overall median age (58 years; interquartile range, 39–74) was lowest and highest during the second and third waves, respectively. The frequency of any comorbidity was lowest and highest during the second (44·5%) and third (63·6%) waves, respectively. The symptoms at admission and exposure history differed considerably with age. The overall case fatality rate (5%) was highest among older patients (11·4%). Case fatality rate was highest and lowest during the first (7·3%) and second (2·8%) waves, respectively. Medication use changed over time.

Interpretation

Although the overall case fatality rate remained relatively low, it was more than twice as high among older patients. After adjusting for age and comorbidities, the risk of death was highest in the first wave.

Funding

This work was supported by the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare “Research on Emerging and Re-emerging Infectious Diseases and Immunization” 19HA1003].

Antimicrobial Use Fell Substantially in Japan in 2020—The COVID-19 Pandemic May Have Played a Role

This study investigated the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on antimicrobial use (AU) trends in Japan in 2020 and explored its potential effects on appropriate AU. Using nationwide antimicrobial sales data, we examined the annual and monthly trends in AU from 2016–2020 according to the AWaRe classification (Access and Watch categories) and administration route (oral and injectable). To analyze the possible impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on AU, seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) models were used to predict AU in 2020 (based on the trends from 2016–2019) under the assumption that the pandemic did not occur. We observed a substantial reduction in AU in 2020 compared with preceding years. In addition, the reductions in AU for total antimicrobials and Watch category antimicrobials were greater than predicted regardless of administration route. These results suggest that the COVID-19 pandemic contributed to the observed reductions in AU, but it is also possible that the changes reflect recent efforts to improve AU. Continued AU surveillance and research are needed to optimize prescribing practices through appropriate antimicrobial stewardship.

Clinical characteristics and outcomes of COVID-19 in pregnant women: a propensity score matched analysis of the data from the COVID-19 Registry Japan

Background

Several studies have investigated whether pregnancy is a risk factor for developing severe COVID-19; however, the results remain controversial. In addition, the information regarding risk factors for developing severe COVID-19 in pregnant women is limited.

Methods

A retrospective cohort study analyzing the data from the nationwide COVID-19 registry in Japan was conducted. Propensity score matched analysis was performed to compare COVID-19 severity between pregnant and nonpregnant women. Multivariate analysis was also conducted to evaluate risk factors for developing moderate-to-severe COVID-19 in pregnant women.

Results

During the study period, 254 pregnant and 3752 nonpregnant women of reproductive age were identified. After propensity score matching, 187 pregnant women and 935 nonpregnant women were selected. A composite outcome of moderate-to-severe COVID-19 was more frequently observed in pregnant women than that of nonpregnant women (n=18, 9.6% vs. n=46, 4.9%; P=0.0155). In multivariate analysis, the presence of underlying diseases and being in the second-to-third trimester of pregnancy were recognized as risk factors for moderate-to-severe COVID-19 in pregnant women (odds ratio [95% confidence interval]: 5.295 [1.21-23.069] and 3.871 [1.201-12.477], respectively).

Conclusions

Pregnancy could be a risk factor for moderate-to-severe COVID-19 for women in Japan. In addition to the presence of comorbidities, advanced pregnancy stages may contribute to greater risks for developing moderate-to-severe COVID-19 in pregnant women.

Comorbidities as Risk Factors for Severe Disease in Hospitalized Elderly COVID-19 Patients by Different Age-Groups in Japan

Introduction

Old age is an independent risk factor (RF) for severe COVID-19; evidence for clinico-epidemiological characteristics among elderly COVID-19 patients is scarce. We aimed to analyze clinical and epidemiological characteristics and comorbidities associated with COVID-19 inpatients in age-stratified populations of an elderly COVID-19 cohort.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective cohort study, using nationwide registry data of COVID-19 patients hospitalized before October 31, 2020 (major information entered in the registry as of December 28, 2020). Participants were divided by age according to the Japan Geriatrics Society and the Japan Gerontological Society: pre-old (65–74 years), old (75–89 years), and super-old (≥90 years). Multivariable logistic regression (MLR) analyses were conducted to identify stratified risk and relationships with comorbidities associated with worse outcomes in different age-groups of elderly patients. Demographics and supportive care were evaluated by category.

Results

Data of 4,701 patients from 444 hospitals were included. Most patients (79.3%) had at least one comorbidity; the proportion of patients with hypertension was high in all categories. The proportion of patients with dementia, cardiovascular disease, and cerebrovascular disease increased with age. The percentage of patients who underwent invasive mechanical ventilation/extracorporeal membrane oxygenation was lower in the super-old group. In total, 11.5% of patients died (5.3%, pre-old; 15.2%, old; and 22.4%, super-old). MLR showed that the risk of critical illness differed among age-groups. Male sex was a significant RF in all ages. Collagen disease, moderate to severe renal disorder, and dialysis were significant RFs in older patients, while hematological malignancies and metastatic tumors were more important RFs for severe disease in relatively younger patients. Most of the RFs for critical illnesses were associated with death.

Conclusion

Differences in the epidemiological and clinical characteristics among the different age-groups were found.

Factors Associated With Prolonged Psychological Distress Among Nurses and Physicians Engaged in COVID-19 Patient Care in Singapore and Japan

This study explores the factors contributing to the prolonged psychological distress of frontline nurses and physicians caring for COVID-19 patients in hospitals in Singapore and Japan. A cross-sectional survey between September and December 2020 yielded 1,644 responses (23.8%), from 62 nurses and 64 physicians in Singapore and 1,280 nurses and 238 physicians in Japan. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that significant risk factors for prolonged psychological distress included being a frontline nurse [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 2.40, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.24-4.66], having an underlying medical condition (aOR = 1.74, 95% CI: 1.22-2.46), experiencing prejudice because they undertook COVID-19 patient care (aOR = 3.05, 95% CI: 2.23-4.18), having trouble dealing with panicked or uncooperative patients (aOR = 2.36, 95% CI: 1.71-3.25), and experiencing an outbreak of COVID-19 in the hospital (aOR = 2.05, 95% CI: 1.38-3.04). Factors inversely associated with psychological distress included age (OR = 0.98, 95% CI: 0.97-1.00), number of beds in the hospital (aOR = 0.73, 95% CI: 0.57-0.94), clinical practice of carefully putting on and taking off personal protective equipment in daily COVID-19 patient care (aOR = 0.52, 95% CI: 0.37-0.73), and knowledge on COVID-19 (aOR = 0.82, 95% CI: 0.72-0.94). These results could help us identify vulnerable healthcare providers who need urgent mental care during the COVID-19 pandemic. Measures that may reduce psychological strain include adequate supply of medical resources, education on precautionary measures, and communication strategies to combat discrimination against frontline healthcare providers.

Comparison of the clinical characteristics and outcomes of COVID-19 in children before and after the emergence of Delta variant of concern in Japan

Delta variant of concern (VOC) is the current predominant severe acute respiratory coronavirus type 2 strain causing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); however, information regarding the impact of the Delta VOC on clinical features and outcomes in pediatric patients with COVID-19 is limited. We conducted a retrospective observational study using the data of patients <18 years of age in COVIREGI-JP, the COVID-19 registry in Japan. The patients were divided into two groups according to the timing of enrollment in the registry (pre-Delta VOC era, October 2020 to May 2021; and Delta VOC era, August to October 2021), and the clinical characteristics and outcomes were compared between the two groups. During the study period, 950 and 349 pediatric patients were registered in the pre-Delta VOC and Delta VOC eras, respectively. The median patient age was younger and the proportion of patients with underlying diseases was higher in the Delta VOC era than that in the pre-Delta VOC era (10.0 vs 7.0 years, P < 0.001, and 7.4% [n = 70] vs. 12.6% [n = 44], P = 0.004, respectively). Significantly more patients were admitted to the intensive care unit in the Delta VOC era than in the pre-Delta VOC era (1.4% [ n = 5] vs. 0.1% [n = 1], P = 0.006), but no patient in either group died or required mechanical ventilation or extracorporeal membrane oxygenation throughout the study period, suggesting that the overall outcomes in children with COVID-19 remained favorable even in the Delta VOC era in Japan.