New Anticancer Drugs: Reliably Assessing "Value" While Addressing High Prices

Countries face challenges in paying for new drugs. High prices are driven in part by exploding drug development costs, which, in turn, are driven by essential but excessive regulation. Burdensome regulation also delays drug development, and this can translate into thousands of life-years lost. We need system-wide reform that will enable less expensive, faster drug development. The speed with which COVID-19 vaccines and AIDS therapies were developed indicates this is possible if governments prioritize it. Countries also differ in how they value drugs, and generally, those willing to pay more have better, faster access. Canada is used as an example to illustrate how "incremental cost-effectiveness ratios" (ICERs) based on measures such as gains in "quality-adjusted life-years" (QALYs) may be used to determine a drug's value but are often problematic, imprecise assessments. Generally, ICER/QALY estimates inadequately consider the impact of patient crossover or long post-progression survival, therapy benefits in distinct subpopulations, positive impacts of the therapy on other healthcare or societal costs, how much governments willingly might pay for other things, etc. Furthermore, a QALY value should be higher for a lethal or uncommon disease than for a common, nonlethal disease. Compared to international comparators, Canada is particularly ineffective in initiating public funding for essential new medications. Addressing these disparities demands urgent reform.

Recommendations for asthma monitoring in children: A PeARL document endorsed by APAPARI, EAACI, INTERASMA, REG, and WAO

Monitoring is a major component of asthma management in children. Regular monitoring allows for diagnosis confirmation, treatment optimization, and natural history review. Numerous factors that may affect disease activity and patient well-being need to be monitored: response and adherence to treatment, disease control, disease progression, comorbidities, quality of life, medication side-effects, allergen and irritant exposures, diet and more. However, the prioritization of such factors and the selection of relevant assessment tools is an unmet need. Furthermore, rapidly developing technologies promise new opportunities for closer, or even "real-time," monitoring between visits. Following an approach that included needs assessment, evidence appraisal, and Delphi consensus, the PeARL Think Tank, in collaboration with major international professional and patient organizations, has developed a set of 24 recommendations on pediatric asthma monitoring, to support healthcare professionals in decision-making and care pathway design.

Racial and ethnic differences in perceptions of campus climate related to sexual violence

Objective: To assess perceptions of university institutional climate related to sexual violence and whether these differed by race/ethnicity. Participants: Matriculated undergraduates > age 18 (n = 1028). Methods: Students were invited via campus email to participate in an online survey. Results: Overall, only 20% agreed that the university is creating an environment in which unwanted sexual experiences seemed common or normal, but these findings differed by race. Black students were more likely than their white peers to feel the university is creating an environment in which unwanted sexual experiences seem common or normal (37.3% vs. 19.7%, p < .001) and creating an environment in which such instances were more likely to occur (33.3% vs. 13.4%, p < .001). Conclusions: Data suggest that while students generally perceive that the university is working to create a positive and safe climate, these perceptions vary by race. Further investigation is necessary to better understand the concerns of students of color.

The emerging role of digital health in the management of asthma

The most common reasons seen for lack of asthma control include misconceptions about disease control, low controller treatment adherence, poor inhaler technique, and the resulting underuse of controllers and overuse of short-acting beta2 agonists (SABAs). Narrowing these care gaps may be achieved through well-designed patient education that considers the patient's motivation, beliefs, and capabilities regarding their asthma and its management and empowers the patient to become an active participant in treatment decisions. Digital health technologies (DHTs) and digital therapeutic (DT) devices provide new opportunities to monitor treatment behaviors, improve communication between healthcare providers and patients, and generate data that inform educational interactions. DHT and DT have been proven effective in enhancing patient self-management in other chronic conditions, particularly diabetes. Accelerated integration of DHT and DT into the management of asthma patients is facilitated by the use of digital inhalers that employ sensor technology ("smart" inhalers). These devices efficiently provide real-time feedback on controller adherence, SABA use, and inhaler technique that have the strong potential to optimize asthma control.

Patterns of care in the management of high-risk COPD in the US (2011-2019): an observational study for the CONQUEST quality improvement program

Background

In this study, we compare management of patients with high-risk chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in the United States to national and international guidelines and quality standards, including the COllaboratioN on QUality improvement initiative for achieving Excellence in STandards of COPD care (CONQUEST).

Methods

Patients were identified from the DARTNet Practice Performance Registry and categorized into three high-risk cohorts in each year from 2011 to 2019: newly diagnosed (≤12 months after diagnosis), already diagnosed, and patients with potential undiagnosed COPD. Patients were considered high-risk if they had a history of exacerbations or likely exacerbations (respiratory consult with prescribed medication). Descriptive statistics for 2019 are reported, along with annual trends.

Findings

In 2019, 10% (n = 16,610/167,197) of patients met high-risk criteria. Evidence of spirometry for diagnosis was low; in 2019, 81% (n = 1228/1523) of patients newly diagnosed at high-risk had no record of spirometry/peak expiratory flow in the 12 months pre- or post-diagnosis and 43% (n = 651/1523) had no record of COPD symptom review. Among those newly and already diagnosed at high-risk, 52% (n = 4830/9350) had no evidence of COPD medication.

Interpretation

Findings suggest inconsistent adherence to evidence-based guidelines, and opportunities to improve identification, documentation of services, assessment, therapeutic intervention, and follow-up of patients with COPD.

Funding

This study was conducted by the Observational and Pragmatic Research Institute (OPRI) Pte Ltd and was partially funded by Optimum Patient Care Global and AstraZeneca Ltd. No funding was received by the Observational & Pragmatic Research Institute Pte Ltd (OPRI) for its contribution.

A study on the cross-section data of 43,44m,46,47Sc isotopes via (d,x) reactions on natural abundance targets under the effects of deuteron optical models

Many studies have investigated the influence of theoretical models and factors involved in the acquisition of cross-section data of a nuclear reaction. The implications of different models of various variables such as level density, gamma strength function, and optical potentials on cross-section calculations whether used solo or jointly are investigated in a significant portion of the works conducted in this perspective. The aim of this particular study is to investigate the influence of different optical models on the cross-section calculations in production of several scandium isotopes, known for various medical uses, from several targets with natural abundances by (d,x) reactions. For this purpose, the cross-section calculations using five available deuteron optical models of TALYS code in ^natTi(d,x)⁴³Sc, ^natTi(d,x)^44mSc, ^natTi(d,x)⁴⁶Sc, ^natTi(d,x)⁴⁷Sc, ^natV(d,x)⁴⁷Sc and ^natCr(d,x)⁴⁷Sc reactions were performed and the obtained calculation results were compared with the experimental cross-section data gathered from the literature. To understand whether there is a significant and consistent relationship between the experimental data and the calculation results, both have been plotted together and analyzed with the naked-eye. In addition, the calculations of the mean standardized deviation, the mean relative deviation, the mean ratio and the mean square logarithmic deviation were performed in order to evaluate the results numerically.

Assessing Knee Stability in Adolescent Athletes with Osgood-Schlatter Disease Using the Y-Balance Test

PURPOSE OF THE STUDY Osgood-Schlatter disease develops secondary to chronic patellar tendon overloading. The present study was designed to determine whether athletes with Osgood-Schlatter disease perform significantly worse in the Y-Balance Test compared to healthy subjects in a control group. MATERIAL AND METHODS The study involved ten boys (average age 13.7 years). Seven participants had bilateral knee pain, swelling and tenderness whereas three had unilateral knee pain, swelling and tenderness (left knee in two cases, and right knee in one). Overall, 17 knees were assessed (left knee in nine cases and right knee in eight).Ten healthy adolescent professional football players (mean age 14.6 years) were selected as a control group. In both groups, complex knee stability was assessed using the Y-Balance Test and their data were analyzed using the methodology developed by Plisky et al. The test outcome was expressed in indexed (normalized) values for the right and left lower extremities, and averaged values for the individual directions were compared. RESULTS Significant differences between both groups were shown in the posteromedial and posterolateral directions. CONCLUSIONS Using the Y-Balance Test, our study documented reduced performance in the above directions in patients with OsgoodSchlatter disease. Key words: Osgood-Schlatter disease, knee, balance test, movement patterns patellar tendon overload.

Systemic corticosteroids in asthma: A call to action from World Allergy Organization and Respiratory Effectiveness Group

Systemic corticosteroids (SCS) are a highly effective treatment for acute exacerbations and long-term symptom control in asthma. Long-term SCS use is highly prevalent across all asthma severities, occurring in over 20% of patients with severe or uncontrolled disease globally. It is now well known that exposure to both long-term and repeated acute courses of SCS is associated with a high risk of serious adverse effects (AEs), such as osteoporosis, and metabolic and cardiovascular complications, especially when prescribed onto a background of other corticosteroids. The aim of this call-to-action article, endorsed by the World Allergy Organization and the Respiratory Effectiveness Group, is to review the accumulating evidence on the burden of SCS on patients with asthma and provide an overview of potential strategies for implementing SCS Stewardship. Primary prevention of exacerbations and improvement of asthma control is a key first step in achieving SCS Stewardship, by optimizing maintenance asthma medications and addressing modifiable risk factors, such as adherence and inhaler technique. Other key elements of SCS Stewardship include increasing appropriate specialist referrals for multidisciplinary review, assessment of biomarkers, and consideration of oral corticosteroid-sparing add-on therapies (eg, biologics). In cases where SCS use is deemed clinically justified, it should be tapered to the lowest possible dose. In addition, patients receiving long-term SCS or frequent acute courses should be closely monitored for emergence of SCS-related AEs. Because of the extensive data available on the costly and burdensome AEs associated with SCS use, as well as the range of treatment options now available, there is a need for healthcare providers (HCPs) to carefully evaluate whether the benefits of SCS outweigh the potential harms, to adopt SCS-sparing and Stewardship strategies, and to consider alternative therapies where possible. Development of a structured and collaborative SCS Stewardship approach is urgently required to protect patients from the potential harm of SCS use.

Strategic management to optimize response to cardiac resynchronization therapy registry

Background

Cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) is guideline-recommended for the treatment of symptomatic heart failure (HF) in patients (pts) with reduced LVEF and prolonged QRS. Clinical trials report Clinical Composite Score (CCS) response rates from 60 to 75%. However, patients with common comorbidities, such as atrial fibrillation, are often under-represented in clinical trials. The Strategic MAnagement to optimize response to cardiac Resynchronization Therapy (SMART) Registry (NCT03075215) was designed to examine outcomes in CRT patients in the real world.

Methods

The SMART Registry was a global, multicenter, prospective, clinical registry that enrolled subjects undergoing a de novo CRT-D implant or upgrade from pacemaker to CRT-D using a quadripolar LV lead. CCS was assessed at 12 months post-implant.

Results

For study design and CCS outcomes see Figure 1. CCS at 12 months showed that 58.8% of pts improved and 20.1% stabilized. Of the 21.1% of pts that worsened, 8.4% were due to death, 7.8% non-fatal heart failure event, and 5% worsening of NYHA or patient global assessment. Notably, this registry had a high prevalence of pts with NYHA I/II (51%), Non-LBBB (50%), AF (37%), diabetes (35%), and bradycardia (31%) at baseline. Age (&gt;65), diabetes, ischemia, non-LBBB, atrial fibrillation (AF) and renal dysfunction correlated with worsened CCS outcomes. NYHA III/IV patients had significantly higher HF hospitalization (HFH) rates than NYHA I/II (P-value &lt;0.001) (Figure 2a) and patients with AF had higher HFH rates than those without (P-value &lt;0.001) (Figure 2b). Similar effects of NYHA score and AF were seen on mortality. The use of ACE/ARB, or ARNI, and MRA correlated with better outcomes, whereas diuretics and anticoagulants correlated with poorer outcomes.

Conclusions

In this large registry, clinical outcomes across important sub-populations are in line with expectations, with older age, ischemia, renal dysfunction, AF, non-LBBB, and diabetes associated with a lower likelihood of response to CRT. By including these patients, this study provides a clearer picture of the effectiveness of CRT in the real world. Future studies should examine optimization approaches to facilitate CRT effectiveness in these under studied patient populations.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Private company. Main funding source(s): This registry was funded by Boston Scientific (BSC)

The effect of distinct dietary interventions on proximal aortic stiffness; the DIRECT-PLUS randomized controlled trial

Background

Proximal aortic stiffness (PAS) reflects arterial aging and is strongly associated with increased cardiovascular risk. Plant-rich, specifically Mediterranean-style, diets are associated with reduced cardiovascular risk. The effect of dietary interventions on PAS remains unclear.

Methods

We randomized participants with abdominal-obesity/dyslipidemia to healthy-dietary-guidelines (HDG), Mediterranean, or green-Mediterranean diets combined with physical activity (PA). Both Mediterranean diets were similarly hypocaloric and included 28g/day walnuts. The green-Mediterranean group also consumed green tea (3–4 cups/day) and a Wolffia-globosa (Mankai) plant green-shake. PAS was estimated based on aortic-arch pulse-wave-velocity using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) at baseline and after 18-months.

Results

Among 294 participants [age=51±10.6 years, body-mass-index 31.3±4.0 kg/m2, PAS = 6.1±2.7 m/sec, retention rate = 89.8%], 281 had valid PAS measurements. Higher PAS was mostly associated with aging, hypertension, dyslipidemia, diabetes, and increased visceral adiposity (p&lt;0.05 for all). After 18-months of intervention, all diet groups significantly reduced their PAS ([HDG: −4.8% (interquartile-range [IQR]: −22.3 to 8.7); Mediterranean: −7.3%, IQR (−20.8 to 11.9); green-Mediterranean: −14.0%, IQR (−27.0 to 2.4); p&lt;0.05 for within-groups changes).

Green-Mediterranean dieters had significantly greater PAS reduction than HDG dieters (p=0.007), also after controlling for age, sex, baseline-PAS, and Δweight. Further adjustment to baseline dyslipidemia, diabetes, and hypertension also revealed significant differences in PAS reduction between green-Mediterranean and Mediterranean groups (p=0.027). Specifically, greater green tea consumption was associated with greater PAS regression (p=0.04). ΔPAS was significantly associated with improvements in Δlow-density-lipoprotein cholesterol and Δtotal-cholesterol (p&lt;0.05, multivariable models). All lifestyle intervention showed aortic age regression as compared to the expected (1.8±0.14 years vs.: HDG: −2.9±7.5 years; MED: −4.1±7.4 years; green-MED:-4.9±8.0 years; p&lt;0.001).

Conclusions

Higher PAS is strongly related to aging and is associated with traditional cardiovascular risk factors. Lifestyle intervention promotes PAS reduction. Green-Mediterranean diet may be associated with more remarkable aortic rejuvenation.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Foundation. Main funding source(s): The Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG, German Research Foundation); the Israel Ministry of Health

Serum uric acid levels significantly improve the accuracy of cardiovascular risk score models

Background

This study evaluated the impact of serum uric acid (sUA) on the accuracy of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) pooled cohort equations (PCE) model, Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation score 2 (SCORE2) and SCORE2-Older Persons (OP).

Methods

We evaluated 19,789 asymptomatic self-referred adults aged 40–79 years who were screened annually in a preventive healthcare setting. All subjects were free of cardiovascular disease and diabetes at baseline. sUA levels were expressed as a continuous as well as dichotomous variable (categorized into sex-specific tertiles, with the upper tertiles defined as high sUA). Mortality and cancer data were available for all subjects from nationwide registries. The primary endpoint was the composite of death, acute coronary syndrome and stroke, after excluding subjects diagnosed with lymphatic spread cancer during follow up.

Results

Mean age of study population was 50±8 years and 69% were men. During median follow up of 6 years [2.0–13.1], 1,658 (8%) subjects reached the study endpoint. ASCVD, SCORE2 risk and high sUA were all independently associated with the study endpoint in the multivariable Cox regression model (p&lt;0.001 for all). Continuous net reclassification improvement analysis showed an improvement of 13% in the accuracy of classification when high sUA was added to the PCE and SCORE2 models (p&lt;0.001 for both). sUA remained independently associated with the study endpoint among normal-weight subjects in the SCORE 2 model (HR 1.3, 95% CI 1.1–1.6) but not among overweight individuals (p for interaction = 0.01). Addition of sUA to the models in normal-weight subgroup (N=6,624) resulted in a significant 20% improvement in the model performance for both SCORE2 and ASCVD when sUA was incorporated as dichotomous variable (p&lt;0.001 for ASCVD and p=0.026 for SCORE2 model).

Conclusions

sUA significantly improves classification accuracy of PCE and SCORE 2 models. This effect is especially pronounced among normal weight subjects.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Decreasing albumin within normal range is associated with increased likelihood of ischemic heart disease

Background

Albumin (ALB) is a known biomarker of frailty, and cardiovascular disease and frailty are interdependent. Epidemiological evidence demonstrates that low serum albumin levels are linked to events of ischemic heart disease (IHD), venous thromboembolism, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, and stroke.

Purpose

We aimed to investigate the association of variations in ALB levels that are within normal range with IHD events among apparently healthy adults.

Methods

A case-control retrospective study of self-referred adults participating in an executive screening program between 2002 and 2017. All subjects were free of IHD and diabetes at baseline and had their ALB documented in each visit. Only subjects with at least two ALB measurements and whose ALB levels were within the normal range at all visits were included. Relationships between ALB trend and occurrence of IHD (acute coronary syndrome or percutaneous coronary intervention) within 2 years from the last visit were investigated.

Results

The final study cohort included 16,386 subjects. Median age was 53 (IQR 45–60), 11,461 (70%) were men. Analysis included a total of 99,127 visits. Median number of visits per subject was 5 (IQR 3–9, median inter-visit time 1.02 years) and median ALB level was 4.4 (IQR 4.2–4.6). IHD within 2 years was diagnosed in 545 (3%) subjects. Of those, only 36 were female and they tended to have lower variations in ALB throughout the years. Hence, we conducted an analysis of the 509 males only, and created an equal-size age-matched cohort of IHD-free subjects. Our analysis demonstrated a progressive and significant decrease in ALB levels among IHD cases, but not among controls (mean decrease of 0.021 g/DL vs. 0.004 g/DL per year, p&lt;0.01; OR [CI] = 0.82 [0.72–0.93]; Figure 1). Similar results were found among subjects with at least 3 or 4 visits (0.015 g/DL vs. 0.006 g/DL per year, p=0.027, and 0.009 g/DL vs. 0.003 g/DL per year, p=0.045, respectively).

Conclusions

Kinetics of ALB within the normal range can identify men at risk for IHD in preventive healthcare screening programs.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Clarifying SABA overuse: Translating Canadian Thoracic Society guidelines into clinical practice

Patients with asthma frequently over rely on short-acting beta-agonists (SABA) to treat acute symptoms. This can adversely impact quality of life and increase the risk of exacerbations. SABA overuse is also associated with an increased risk of mortality. In their 2021 update on the diagnosis and management of mild asthma, the Canadian Thoracic Society (CTS) newly recommended that a combination inhaled corticosteroid (ICS) and long-acting beta-agonist, specifically budesonide/formoterol, may be used as-needed (PRN) as an alternative reliever to SABA. The CTS developed an algorithm as a guide for deciding for whom PRN budesonide/formoterol versus PRN SABA is appropriate as a reliever. While the CTS algorithm provides necessary and precise guidance, the somewhat complicated requirements for determining control and exacerbation risk may still end up leaving some patients at-risk of SABA overreliance. This communication simplifies the reliever decision algorithm developed by the CTS for application in daily practice. A 30-s evaluation of 2 simple questions related to reliever use can usually accurately assess if a patient’s asthma is controlled: How many SABA canisters do you use a year AND how many times do you use SABA a week? If the patient indicates use of > 2 SABA canisters per year or > 2 administrations of SABA per week for any reason, the patient does not have controlled asthma and PRN SABA is not an appropriate treatment regimen. Similarly, for patients using PRN ICS/formoterol, more than 2 administrations per week indicates a clinical review and reevaluation of their management, including augmentation. An education process is essential to inform patients, caregivers, and healthcare providers that overuse of any reliever is not acceptable and is potentially harmful.

0454 Response to Lemborexant in Older Subjects with Insomnia Disorder and Comorbid Pain at Baseline

Introduction

The reciprocal relationship between pain and poor sleep has been well established. Pain interferes with sleep, and insomnia increases pain sensitivity, thus reducing quality of life. Therefore, it is of clinical importance to evaluate whether a sleep-promoting drug such as the dual orexin receptor antagonist, lemborexant (LEM; approved in multiple countries to treat adults with insomnia) can improve sleep in older patients, in whom both sleep and ongoing pain are prevalent.

Methods

Study 304 (NCT02783729), was a 1-month, double-blind, PBO- and active-controlled study in subjects age ≥55y with insomnia (full analysis set [FAS]=1006). Those who also endorsed some/severe pain at baseline on the pain/discomfort dimension of the EuroQual-5 Dimension-3 Level scale (EQ-5D-3L; no problems/some problems/extreme problems) at baseline were eligible for these post-hoc analyses. Medical history of pain conditions and/or ongoing therapy were not required for eligibility and were not evaluated. Subjects were randomized to bedtime doses of placebo, LEM 5mg (LEM5),10mg (LEM10) or zolpidem tartrate extended release (not reported here). Changes from baseline (CFB) in objective sleep parameters assessed by polysomnography (latency to persistent sleep [LPS]; wake after sleep onset [WASO]) were analyzed by mixed-effect repeated measures analyses adjusted for relevant factors.

Results

Approximately 18% of the FAS reported some or extreme pain at baseline (PBO=55; LEM5=78; LEM10=50). For LPS, baseline median values (minutes) were 31.0, 29.4 and 42.1 for PBO, LEM5 and LEM10, respectively. Median CFB for LPS were larger and statistically significantly different for both LEM doses compared with PBO at the beginning of treatment (mean of Nights 1/2: +2.5; -8.4, -15.8; P&lt;0.005); and were (mean of Nights 29/30: -7.1,-9.9, -9.0) at the end of treatment LEM5 (P=0.031), LEM10 (P=0.054). For WASO, baseline median values (minutes) were 101.0, 103.6 and 111.1 for PBO, LEM5 and LEM10, respectively. Median CFB for WASO were larger and statistically significantly different (P&lt;0.001) for both LEM doses compared with PBO at the beginning (Nights 1/2; -1.5; -41.5, -64.4) and end of treatment (Nights 29/30; -1.1, -37.9, -52.5).

Conclusion

These data suggest that lemborexant can effectively treat insomnia in older adults with concomitant painful conditions.

Support (If Any)

Eisai Inc.

Effects of combining some theoretical models in the cross-section calculations of some alpha-induced reactions for natSb

In cases where it is not possible to obtain the cross-section values experimentally due to various factors, the importance of obtaining them with theoretical models has been explained in many studies available in the literature. In this context, the comparison of the cross-section values obtained by using the theoretical models with the experimental data will also be very beneficial for updating and developing these models. Existing studies, which also serve this purpose, have given inspiration to this study and it is aimed to examine the effects of the simultaneous use of the alpha optical model potentials and the level density models on the cross-section calculations for some alpha-particle-induced reactions on natural antimony. The effects of theoretical models on the cross-section calculations were investigated by comparing the obtained calculation results with the experimental data taken from the literature. The TALYS code, which is frequently preferred in the literature, was used in all calculations within the scope of this study. For the comparison of the calculated results with the experimental data, not only a visual analysis by graphing the outcomes, but also a mean-weighted-deviation calculation was used, and the findings were interpreted by accounting for both of them.

Access Denied? The Unintended Consequences of Pending Drug Pricing Rules

The government of Canada now plans to bring into force new federal drug pricing regulations on 1 July 2022. We do not take issue with the goal of medication affordability, which is vital in healthcare the world over. Our concern is that the new guidelines are being implemented without due consideration for three major unintended consequences: regulatory changes will lower the number of clinical trials for new medications in Canada, fewer clinical trials will mean lower research and development investments, and changes will reduce patients’ access to new medications. Access to effective medications is a cornerstone of healthcare for Canadian patients. As physicians, our duty to patient care demands that we tell the government to protect the right of Canadians to timely access to life-changing medicines.

Variation in Demographic and Clinical Characteristics of Patients with COPD Receiving Care in US Primary Care: Data from the Advancing the Patient EXperience (APEX) in COPD Registry

Introduction

Little is known about the variability in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) management and how it may be affected by patient characteristics across different healthcare systems in the US. This study aims to describe demographic and clinical characteristics of people with COPD and compare management across five primary care medical groups in the US.

Methods

This is a retrospective observational registry study utilizing electronic health records stored in the Advancing the Patient Experience (APEX) COPD registry. The APEX registry contains data from five US healthcare organizations located in Texas, Ohio, Colorado, New York, and North Carolina. Data on demographic and clinical characteristics of primary care patients with COPD between December 2019 and January 2020 were extracted and compared.

Results

A total of 17,192 patients with COPD were included in analysis: Texas (n = 811), Ohio (n = 8722), Colorado (n = 472), New York (n = 1149) and North Carolina (n = 6038). The majority of patients at each location were female (>54%) and overweight/obese (>60%). Inter-location variabilities were noted in terms of age, race/ethnicity, exacerbation frequency, treatment pattern, and prevalence of comorbid conditions. Patients from the Colorado site experienced the lowest number of exacerbations per year while those from the New York site reported the highest number. Hypertension was the most common co-morbidity at 4 of 5 sites with the highest prevalence in New York. Depression was the most common co-morbidity in Ohio. Treatment patterns also varied by site; Colorado had the highest proportion of patients not on any treatment. ICS/LABA was the most commonly prescribed treatment except in Ohio, where ICS/LABA/LAMA was most common.

Conclusions and Relevance

Our data show heterogeneity in demographic, clinical, and treatment characteristics of patients diagnosed with COPD who are managed in primary care across different healthcare organizations in the US.

Incident cardiovascular events among middle-age men are associated with increased risk of subsequent prostate cancer diagnosis

Introduction

Prostate cancer is the second most common malignancy in men worldwide, but incidence is highly dependent on screening.

Purpose

We aimed to examine whether incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) events are associated with increased risk of future prostate cancer in middle-aged men.

Methods

We evaluated asymptomatic self-referred men who participated in a screening program. All subjects were free of CVD and cancer at baseline. CVD was defined as the composite of acute coronary syndrome, percutaneous coronary intervention, or stroke. Study endpoint was the development of cancer during follow up. Cancer and mortality data were available for all subjects from national registries. Cox regression models were applied with CVD as a time-dependent covariate and death as a competing risk event.

Results

Final study population included 18,282 subjects. Median age was 47 years (Interquartile range [IQR] 41–54). During median follow up time of 12 years (IQR 4–17) 2,047 (11%) subjects developed CVD, 406 (2.2%) developed prostate cancer and 694 (4%) died. Compared with patients who were free of CVD or prostate cancer during follow up, risk of death was 4, 6 and 15 times higher for patients who developed CVD event, prostate cancer, or both during follow up, respectively (p &lt;.001 for all). Time dependent survival analysis showed that subjects who developed CVD during follow up were 60% more likely to develop prostate cancer (95% Confidence Interval [CI] 1.2–2.1, p=.001). However, after multivariable adjustment, this association was no longer significant. Interaction analysis demonstrated that the association of incident CVD with the risk of future cancer diagnosis was age dependent such that in middle-aged men (age≤55 years; N=14,473) incident CVD was associated with a significant 70% increased risk of subsequent cancer diagnosis in multivariable model (95% CI 1.13–2.6, p=.011, p for interaction=.002). Exploratory analysis of men younger than 55 showed that independent association of incident CVD with subsequent cancer diagnosis was different among subjects with normal body mass index (BMI) (≤25 kg/m2) compared with those with increased BMI (HR 0.55; 95% CI [0.22–1.42]; p value=0.23 vs. 1.6; 95% CI [1.007–2.54]; p value=.047; p for interaction=.058, respectively).

Conclusion

Incident CVD is independently associated with increased risk of subsequent prostate cancer diagnosis among men ≤55 years. Routine prostate cancer surveillance should be considered after CVD event in this population.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Predictors of deterioration in cardiorespiratory fitness among healthy adults: the importance of sex and obesity

Introduction

Cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) is associated with cardiovascular co-morbidities and is a strong predictor of adverse cardiovascular outcomes. However, data on the natural history of cardiorespiratory fitness among healthy subjects is limited.

Purpose

This study investigated what are the predictors of deterioration in CRF over time.

Methods

We investigated 36,239 men and women who were annually screened in a tertiary medical center and completed an exercise stress test in all visits, with a total of 175,596 annual visits. Subjects who failed to complete maximal exercise stress test according to the Bruce protocol at their first baseline visit were excluded. In addition, subjects with less than five visits to the center or those who developed ischemic heart disease during follow-up were excluded. Fitness was categorized into age- and sex-specific quintiles (Q) according to Bruce protocol treadmill time. Change in CRF between the first baseline visit and the fifth visit was used to calculate fitness deterioration. The primary study endpoint was defined as the lower sex-specific quintile of change in metabolic equivalents (METS) between visits 1 and 5. Logistic regression models were applied.

Results

Final study population included 10,841 subjects. The mean age of the study population was 49±10 years, the mean BMI was 26±4, and 8107 (75%) were men. Median METS at baseline were 10.8 (IQR 9–12.6) and 11.1 (IQR 9.4–13) at the first and fifth visit, respectively (p&lt;0.001 for METS between visits). Overall, 2189 (20%) subjects met the study endpoint. CFR deterioration was higher among women as compared to men (p=0.023). Out of obesity, hypertension, fasting blood glucose, LDL, and HDL cholesterol, after adjustments for age, sex, and baseline CFR, only obesity was independently associated with fitness deterioration in the multivariate model (OR=1.4 95% CI 1.2–1.5, p&lt;0.001). The association of obesity with fitness deterioration was modified by sex such that the risk of CRF deterioration was more pronounced in women (OR=1.6 95% CI 1.3–2, p&lt;0.001) than in men (OR=1.3 95% CI 1.1–1.4, p&lt;0.001).

Conclusion

Obesity is an independent predictor of future CRF deterioration. The effect of obesity on future CRF deterioration is more pronounced among women as compared to men.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Incident cardiovascular events among healthy subjects are associated with increased risk of subsequent cancer diagnosis

Introduction

While Cardiovascular disease (CVD) and cancer share common risk factors, data on the temporal association between the occurrence of CVD and cancer is limited.

Purpose

This study investigated the association between incident CVD events future cancer among apparently healthy subjects.

Methods

We evaluated asymptomatic self-referred adults who participated in a screening program. All subjects were free of CVD and cancer at baseline. CVD was defined as the composite of acute coronary syndrome, percutaneous coronary intervention, or stroke. Study endpoint was the development of cancer during follow up. Cancer and mortality data were available for all subjects from national registries. Cox regression models were applied with CVD as a time-dependent covariate and death as a competing risk event.

Results

Final study population included 26,574 subjects. Median age was 46 years (Interquartile range [IQR] 40–53) and 69% were men. During median follow up time of 10 years (IQR 3–16) 2,463 (9%) subjects developed CVD, 2,040 (8%) developed cancer and 869 (3%) died. Most common cancer types were prostate among men (N=406, 2.2%) and breast among women (N=283, 3.4%). Compared with patients who were free of CVD and cancer during follow up, risk of death was 5, 34 and 54 times higher for patients who developed CVD event, cancer, or both during follow up, respectively (p &lt;.001 for all). Time dependent survival analysis showed that subjects who developed CVD during follow up were 50% more likely to develop cancer in a univariate model (95% Confidence Interval [CI] 1.3–1.7, p&lt;.001). Interaction analysis demonstrated that the association of incident CVD with the risk of future cancer diagnosis was age dependent such that in younger subjects (≤52 years; N=19,052) incident CVD was associated with a significant 30% increased risk of subsequent cancer diagnosis (95% CI 1.03–1.67, p=.027) while in older subjects incident CVD was not associated with increased risk of cancer in the multivariable model (p for interaction =.018).

Conclusion

Incident CVD is independently associated with increased risk of subsequent cancer diagnosis among young adults. Active cancer surveillance should be considered among young patients recovering from a CVD event.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Effects of deuteron optical models on the cross-section calculations of deuteron induced reactions on natural germanium

A common feature of scientific studies is that when experimental observation data are not available, theoretical calculations are used to obtain information about the subject under investigation. In this context, many parameters and theoretical models have been developed that can be used in nuclear physics studies just as it is in other branches of sciences. It is intended that by doing so, theoretical models can be improved using recent experimental data while also learning about outcomes where experimental data is unavailable or difficult to access. Among the many theoretical models available, there are also deuteron optical models whose effects are examined in this study. The objective of this study is to examine the effects of different deuteron optical models on the cross-section calculations of deuteron induced reactions on natural germanium. The cross-section values of ^natGe(d,x)⁷⁰As, ^natGe(d,x)⁷¹As, ^natGe(d,x)⁷²As, ^natGe(d,x)⁷³As, ^natGe(d,x)⁷⁴As and ^natGe(d,x)⁷⁶As reactions were calculated using five deuteron optical models in the TALYS code's v1.95 for this aim, and the results were compared to the experimental data available in the database known as Experimental Nuclear Reaction Data (EXFOR) library. Graphics and quantitative analyses were also used to present the findings and interpretations of the outcomes.

Management of asthma in childhood: study protocol of a systematic evidence update by the Paediatric Asthma in Real Life (PeARL) Think Tank

INTRODUCTION

Clinical recommendations for childhood asthma are often based on data extrapolated from studies conducted in adults, despite significant differences in mechanisms and response to treatments. The Paediatric Asthma in Real Life (PeARL) Think Tank aspires to develop recommendations based on the best available evidence from studies in children. An overview of systematic reviews (SRs) on paediatric asthma maintenance management and an SR of treatments for acute asthma attacks in children, requiring an emergency presentation with/without hospital admission will be conducted.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

Standard methodology recommended by Cochrane will be followed. Maintenance pharmacotherapy of childhood asthma will be evaluated in an overview of SRs published after 2005 and including clinical trials or real-life studies. For evaluating pharmacotherapy of acute asthma attacks leading to an emergency presentation with/without hospital admission, we opted to conduct de novo synthesis in the absence of adequate up-to-date published SRs. For the SR of acute asthma pharmacotherapy, we will consider eligible SRs, clinical trials or real-life studies without time restrictions. Our evidence updates will be based on broad searches of Pubmed/Medline and the Cochrane Library. We will use A MeaSurement Tool to Assess systematic Reviews, V.2, Cochrane risk of bias 2 and REal Life EVidence AssessmeNt Tool to evaluate the methodological quality of SRs, controlled clinical trials and real-life studies, respectively.Next, we will further assess interventions for acute severe asthma attacks with positive clinical results in meta-analyses. We will include both controlled clinical trials and observational studies and will assess their quality using the previously mentioned tools. We will employ random effect models for conducting meta-analyses, and Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation methodology to assess certainty in the body of evidence.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

Ethics approval is not required for SRs. Our findings will be published in peer reviewed journals and will inform clinical recommendations being developed by the PeARL Think Tank.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBERS

CRD42020132990, CRD42020171624.

A real-life comparative effectiveness study into the addition of antibiotics to the management of asthma exacerbations in primary care

BACKGROUND

Asthma exacerbations are major contributors to asthma morbidity and mortality. They are usually managed with bronchodilators and oral corticosteroids (OCS), but clinical trial evidence suggests that antibiotics could be beneficial. We aimed to assess whether treatment of asthma exacerbations with antibiotics in addition to OCS improved outcomes in larger, more representative routine-care populations.

METHOD

A retrospective comparative effectiveness study into managing asthma exacerbations with OCS alone versus OCS plus antibiotics was conducted using the Optimum Patient Care Research Database. The dataset included 28 637 patients; following propensity score matching 20 024 adults and 4184 children were analysed.

RESULTS

Antibiotics in addition to OCS were prescribed for the treatment of asthma exacerbations in 45% of adults and 32% of children. Compared to OCS alone, OCS plus antibiotics was associated with reduced risk of having an asthma/wheeze consultation in the following 2 weeks (children hazard ratio (HR) 0.84 (95% CI 0.73-0.96), p=0.012; adults HR 0.86 (95% CI 0.81-0.91), p<0.001), but an increase in risk of a further OCS prescription for a new/ongoing exacerbation within 6 weeks in adults (HR 1.11 (95% CI 1.01-1.21), p=0.030), but not children. Penicillins, but not macrolides, were associated with a reduction in the odds of a subsequent asthma/wheeze consultation compared to OCS alone, in both adults and children.

CONCLUSION

Antibiotics were frequently prescribed in relation to asthma exacerbations, contrary to guideline recommendations. Overall, the routine addition of antibiotics to OCS in the management of asthma exacerbations appeared to confer little clinical benefit, especially when considering the risks of antibiotic overuse.

GOLD 2021 Strategy Report: Implications for Asthma-COPD Overlap

In its 2021 strategy report, the Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease states: “we no longer refer to asthma-COPD overlap (ACO), instead we emphasize that asthma and COPD are different disorders, although they may […] coexist in an individual patient. If a concurrent diagnosis of asthma is suspected, pharmacotherapy should primarily follow asthma guidelines, but pharmacological and non-pharmacological approaches may also be needed for their COPD.” What does this mean for the treating physician? In this review, we explore the implications of this new guidance on treating patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, arguing for a personalized approach to treatment.

Childhood asthma outcomes during the COVID-19 pandemic: Findings from the PeARL multi-national cohort

Background

The interplay between COVID‐19 pandemic and asthma in children is still unclear. We evaluated the impact of COVID‐19 pandemic on childhood asthma outcomes.

Methods

The PeARL multinational cohort included 1,054 children with asthma and 505 non‐asthmatic children aged between 4 and 18 years from 25 pediatric departments, from 15 countries globally. We compared the frequency of acute respiratory and febrile presentations during the first wave of the COVID‐19 pandemic between groups and with data available from the previous year. In children with asthma, we also compared current and historical disease control.

Results

During the pandemic, children with asthma experienced fewer upper respiratory tract infections, episodes of pyrexia, emergency visits, hospital admissions, asthma attacks, and hospitalizations due to asthma, in comparison with the preceding year. Sixty‐six percent of asthmatic children had improved asthma control while in 33% the improvement exceeded the minimal clinically important difference. Pre‐bronchodilatation FEV₁ and peak expiratory flow rate were improved during the pandemic. When compared to non‐asthmatic controls, children with asthma were not at increased risk of LRTIs, episodes of pyrexia, emergency visits, or hospitalizations during the pandemic. However, an increased risk of URTIs emerged.

Conclusion

Childhood asthma outcomes, including control, were improved during the first wave of the COVID‐19 pandemic, probably because of reduced exposure to asthma triggers and increased treatment adherence. The decreased frequency of acute episodes does not support the notion that childhood asthma may be a risk factor for COVID‐19. Furthermore, the potential for improving childhood asthma outcomes through environmental control becomes apparent.

Maximizing Adherence and Gaining New Information For Your Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (MAGNIFY COPD): Study Protocol for the Pragmatic, Cluster Randomized Trial Evaluating the Impact of Dual Bronchodilator with Add-On Sensor and Electronic Monitoring on Clinical Outcomes

Background

Poor treatment adherence in COPD patients is associated with poor clinical outcomes and increased healthcare burden. Personalized approaches for adherence management, supported with technology-based interventions, may offer benefits to patients and providers but are currently unproven in terms of clinical outcomes as opposed to adherence outcomes.

Methods

Maximizing Adherence and Gaining New Information For Your COPD (MAGNIFY COPD study), a pragmatic cluster randomized trial, aims to evaluate the impact of an adherence technology package (interventional package), comprising an adherence review, ongoing provision of a dual bronchodilator but with an add-on inhaler sensor device and a connected mobile application. This will compare time to treatment failure and other clinical outcomes in patients identified at high risk of exacerbations with historic poor treatment adherence as measured by prescription collection to mono/dual therapy over one year (1312 patients) versus usual care. Treatment failure is defined as the first occurrence of one of the following: (1) moderate/severe COPD exacerbation, (2) prescription of triple therapy (inhaled corticosteroid/long-acting β₂-agonist/long-acting muscarinic antagonist [ICS/LABA/LAMA]), (3) prescription of additional chronic therapy for COPD, or (4) respiratory-related death. Adherence, moderate/severe exacerbations, respiratory-related healthcare resource utilization and costs, and intervention package acceptance rate will also be assessed. Eligible primary care practices (N=176) participating in the Optimum Patient Care Quality Improvement Program will be randomized (1:1) to either adherence support cluster arm (suitable patients already receiving or initiated Ultibro^® Breezhaler^® [indacaterol/glycopyrronium] will be offered interventional package) or the control cluster arm (suitable patients continue to receive usual clinical care). Patients will be identified and outcomes collected from anonymized electronic medical records within the Optimum Patient Care Research Database. On study completion, electronic medical record data will be re-extracted to analyze outcomes in both study groups.

Registration Number

ISRCTN10567920.

Conclusion

MAGNIFY will explore patient benefits of technology-based interventions for electronic adherence monitoring.

Metabolic determinants of proximal aortic stiffness among healthy people with abdominal obesity

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): (1) the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft; (2) Israel Ministry of Health

Background

Increased proximal aortic stiffness (PAS) is directly associated with cardiovascular risk. Likewise, metabolic syndrome (MS) and abdominal obesity are associated with cardiovascular risk. The direct association between MS determinants and PAS among a healthy population with abdominal obesity remains to be examined.

Purpose

To examine the association between MS determinants and PAS among healthy participants with abdominal obesity.

Methods

We utilized the cross-sectional baseline data of the DIRECT-PLUS study (clinicaltrials.gov NCT03020186), where we recruited healthy participants with abdominal obesity/dyslipidemia. Along with anthropometric measurements and blood tests, all participants underwent magnetic-resonance-imaging from which PAS we assessed by calculating the aortic arch pulse-wave-velocity (from the ascending to the descending aorta). We defined MS according to the NCEP-ATP-III criteria.

Results

Of 282 participants who had a valid PAS estimation [mean-age: 51.0, 88.3% male, mean-body-mass-index: 31.2kg/m2, mean-waist circumference (WC): 109.5cm] 171 (60.9%) had MS. PAS was mainly associated with age (r = 0.735, p &lt; 0.001). PAS was associated with an increased 10-year Framingham Risk Score (β=0.165,p = 0.008 after adjustment for age and gender). Participants with MS had higher PAS than non-MS participants (6.6m/sec vs. 5.4m/sec, p = 0.002 after adjusting for age and gender). PAS increased along with cumulative number of MS criteria (p-of-trend &lt; 0.001). In multivariate models, adjusted for gender, age, and dichotomous-components of the MS, worse PAS remained significantly associated with high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-c; β=0.-116,p = 0.007) and increased blood-pressure (β=0.165,p &lt; 0.001), but not with fasting-glucose, waist-circumference or plasma-triglycerides (p &gt; 0.05 for all). In models adjusted for age, gender, and continuous determinants of MS, worse PAS remained associated with mean-arterial pressure (β=0.218,p &lt; 0.001) and HDL-c (β=0.-126,p = 0.004).

Conclusions

Among a healthy population with abdominal obesity, reduced HDL-c levels and increased blood pressure might be the more dominant predictors of poor PAS state, out of the MS components.

The Myth of Mild: Severe Exacerbations in Mild Asthma: An Underappreciated, but Preventable Problem

Asthma is a common, chronic inflammatory airway disease, characterised by unpredictable episodes of worsening symptoms, or exacerbations. Causes of asthma exacerbations include viral infections, exposure to allergen and air pollution, all of which increase the underlying inflammation that typifies asthma. Most (50-75%) patients are classed as having mild asthma, with symptoms that can be readily controlled with available inhaled medications. Paradoxically, for the past 30 years, the first treatment recommended in asthma management guidelines was short-acting β2-agonists (SABA), which not only have no anti-inflammatory properties but may, in fact, worsen inflammation. The Global Initiative for Asthma (GINA) 2019/2020 broke with this paradox by stating clearly that SABA should no longer be used alone as a reliever, for safety reasons. Instead, GINA now recommends an anti-inflammatory rescue/reliever approach for adult and adolescent patients, based on the combination of an inhaled corticosteroid with a rapid onset β2-agonist such as formoterol. This commentary highlights the fact that even patients with well-controlled mild asthma are at risk of severe, potentially life-threatening exacerbations, similar to those in patients with moderate or severe asthma, and therefore 'mild asthma', is a misnomer. The commentary describes the case history of a patient with mild asthma to illustrate how increasing use of SABA alone can worsen and prolong exacerbations when they occur. The author goes on to describe how the management of this patient's exacerbation could have been improved, and provides up-to-date advice on broader aspects of the management of mild asthma and exacerbations, supported by the recent changes to the GINA recommendations.

Artificial Intelligence/Machine Learning in Respiratory Medicine and Potential Role in Asthma and COPD Diagnosis

Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning, a subset of AI, are increasingly used in medicine. AI excels at performing well-defined tasks, such as image recognition; for example, classifying skin biopsy lesions, determining diabetic retinopathy severity, and detecting brain tumors. This article provides an overview of the use of AI in medicine and particularly in respiratory medicine, where it is used to evaluate lung cancer images, diagnose fibrotic lung disease, and more recently is being developed to aid the interpretation of pulmonary function tests and the diagnosis of a range of obstructive and restrictive lung diseases. The development and validation of AI algorithms requires large volumes of well-structured data, and the algorithms must work with variable levels of data quality. It is important that clinicians understand how AI can function in the context of heterogeneous conditions such as asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease where diagnostic criteria overlap, how AI use fits into everyday clinical practice, and how issues of patient safety should be addressed. AI has a clear role in providing support for doctors in the clinical workplace, but its relatively recent introduction means that confidence in its use still has to be fully established. Overall, AI is expected to play a key role in aiding clinicians in the diagnosis and management of respiratory diseases in the future, and it will be exciting to see the benefits that arise for patients and doctors from its use in everyday clinical practice.

Potential Severe Asthma Hidden in UK Primary Care

BACKGROUND

Severe asthma may be underrecognized in primary care.

OBJECTIVE

Identify and quantify patients with potential severe asthma (PSA) in UK primary care, the proportion not referred, and compare primary care patients with PSA with patients with confirmed severe asthma from UK tertiary care.

METHODS

This was a historical cohort study including patients from the Optimum Patient Care Research Database (aged ≥16 years, active asthma diagnosis pre-2014) and UK patients in the International Severe Asthma Registry (UK-ISAR aged ≥18 years, confirmed severe asthma in tertiary care). In the OPCRD, PSA was defined as Global INitiative for Asthma 2018 step 4 treatment and 2 or more exacerbations/y or at Global INitiative for Asthma step 5. The proportion of these patients and their referral status in the last year were quantified. Demographic and clinical characteristics of groups were compared.

RESULTS

Of 207,557 Optimum Patient Care Research Database patients with asthma, 16,409 (8%) had PSA. Of these, 72% had no referral/specialist review in the past year. Referred patients with PSA tended to have greater prevalence of inhaled corticosteroid/long-acting β₂-agonist add-ons (54.1 vs 39.8%), and experienced significantly (P < .001) more exacerbations per year (median, 3 vs 2/y), worse asthma control, and worse lung function (% predicted postbronchodilator FEV₁/forced vital capacity, 0.69 vs 0.72) versus nonreferred patients. Confirmed patients with severe asthma (ie, UK patients in the International Severe Asthma Registry) were younger (51 vs 65 years; P < .001), and significantly (P < .001) more likely to have uncontrolled asthma (91.4% vs 62.5%), a higher exacerbation rate (4/y [initial assessment] vs 3/y), use inhaled corticosteroid/long-acting β₂-agonist add-ons (67.7% vs 54.1%), and have nasal polyposis (24.2% vs 6.8) than referred patients with PSA.

CONCLUSIONS

Large numbers of patients with PSA in the United Kingdom are underrecognized in primary care. These patients would benefit from a more systematic assessment in primary care and possible specialist referral.

Deep learning analysis provides accurate COVID-19 diagnosis on chest computed tomography

INTRODUCTION

Computed Tomography is an essential diagnostic tool in the management of COVID-19. Considering the large amount of examinations in high case-load scenarios, an automated tool could facilitate and save critical time in the diagnosis and risk stratification of the disease.

METHODS

A novel deep learning derived machine learning (ML) classifier was developed using a simplified programming approach and an open source dataset consisting of 6868 chest CT images from 418 patients which was split into training and validation subsets. The diagnostic performance was then evaluated and compared to experienced radiologists on an independent testing dataset. Diagnostic performance metrics were calculated using Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) analysis. Operating points with high positive (>10) and low negative (<0.01) likelihood ratios to stratify the risk of COVID-19 being present were identified and validated.

RESULTS

The model achieved an overall accuracy of 0.956 (AUC) on an independent testing dataset of 90 patients. Both rule-in and rule out thresholds were identified and tested. At the rule-in operating point, sensitivity and specificity were 84.4 % and 93.3 % and did not differ from both radiologists (p > 0.05). At the rule-out threshold, sensitivity (100 %) and specificity (60 %) differed significantly from the radiologists (p < 0.05). Likelihood ratios and a Fagan nomogram provide prevalence independent test performance estimates.

CONCLUSION

Accurate diagnosis of COVID-19 using a basic deep learning approach is feasible using open-source CT image data. In addition, the machine learning classifier provided validated rule-in and rule-out criteria could be used to stratify the risk of COVID-19 being present.

Right ventricular strain for prediction of mortality in patients with preserved ejection fraction

Introduction

Right Ventricular (RV) dysfunction is highly prevalent and has major prognostic implication in patients with Heart Failure (HF) with Preserved Ejection Fraction (HFpEF). Different functional indices have been proposed to evaluate RV function, most common are TEI-index, TAPSE and RVFAC%. Recent works suggested that 2-dimensional speckle tracking echocardiography (2DSTE) for RV global longitudinal strain (RVGLS) and free wall strain (RVFWS) are more sensitive in evaluating RV (dys)function than other functional and hemodynamic parameters in specific populations, such as HF with reduced EF.

Purpose

We aimed to assess if endocardial RVGLS, RVFWS, and RV Septal Wall Strain (RVSWS), might have a prognostic and additive value (on top of the conventional measurements) on the outcome of patients with preserved EF.

Methods

Retrospective analysis of RV parameters including Peak and End Systolic Strain of RVGLS, RVFWS and RVSWS, RV functional indices (RVFAC% and Machine like TAPSE), Systolic Pulmonary Artery Pressure, in 375 consecutive patients with Preserved Ejection Fraction (EF ≥50%; age 69.1±19; 51% female; Co-morbidity Charlson index 1 (3)). Multivariate Cox regression hazards model was used to determine the association between RV strain parameters to all-cause mortality.

Results

RVFWS, RVSWS and RVFAC% were strong predictors of mortality in univariate analysis (HR 1.07 [1.03–1.1]; p≤0.0001, HR 1.08 [1.05–1.12]; p≤0.0001, HR 0.97 [0.95–0.99]; p≤0.0002, respectively). Moreover, after adjustment for clinical (age, gender, Charlson index) and echocardiographic parameters (LA volume, E/e' average, systolic pulmonary pressure), all three parameters remained statistically significant predictors of all-cause mortality (p=0.004, p=0.024, p=0.026, respectively).

The best strain univariate predictor of mortality was RVGLS (HR 1.09 [1.05–1.13]; p≤0.0001), being superior to other RV functional indices and systolic pulmonary pressure. Also, after multivariate analysis it remained a statistically significant predictor of mortality (p=0.007).

All measurements had good intra-observer and inter-observer reproducibility (Single Measures ICC = 0.90 and ICC = 0.88, respectively).

Conclusions

2DSTE of RVGLS, RVFWS, RVSWS provides significant prognostic value to predict overall mortality in patients with Preserved Ejection Fraction with excellent reproducibility, incremental to routine clinical, hemodynamic and diastolic parameters.

Moreover, the strain results of the septal wall showed to be significant, thereover challenging the known hypothesis that the septal wall is mainly influenced by LV function.

Figure 1

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

Tiotropium in asthma - perspectives for the primary care physician

Asthma is a heterogeneous disease characterized by airway inflammation resulting from complex interactions between multiple hosts as well as environmental factors. As a chronic respiratory condition, asthma exerts a significant impact on patients and the healthcare system. Per the Global Initiative for Asthma (GINA), inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) with/without long-acting beta₂-agonists (LABAs) should be used as the preferred controllers for the management of asthma. Despite a range of therapeutic options, many patients with asthma remain uncontrolled, resulting in an increased risk of hospitalization and emergency room visits and a worsened quality of life. Tiotropium (Spiriva®, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals, Inc; 1.25 µg, two puffs, once daily), delivered via the Respimat® inhaler (Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals, Inc.), was the first long-acting muscarinic antagonist to be approved as an add-on maintenance treatment option for patients with asthma aged ≥6 years at GINA steps 4 and 5. By binding to the muscarinic receptors M1 and M3 in the bronchial airways, tiotropium antagonizes the action of acetylcholine, leading to smooth muscle relaxation and reduced mucus secretion.The efficacy and safety of tiotropium add-on to ICS±LABA maintenance treatment have been evaluated in randomized controlled trials (RCTs) involving patients with a range of asthma severities (mild, moderate, and severe) and across age groups (children, adolescents, and adults). Add-on tiotropium was found to be well tolerated and efficacious in all RCTs. Moreover, the findings from real-world studies complement results from RCTs, showing beneficial effects of tiotropium in reducing exacerbations, hospitalization, emergency room visits, and asthma worsening.In this review article, we discuss the pathophysiology of asthma and the role of tiotropium in the management of asthma from the perspective of a primary care physician.

Blood eosinophil count predicts treatment failure and hospital readmission for COPD

We examined associations between blood eosinophil counts (BEC) and risk of treatment failure or hospital readmission following acute oral corticosteroid (OCS)-treated COPD exacerbations. We conducted studies from the Optimum Patient Care Research Database (OPCRD) (www.optimumpatientcare.org/opcrd) and Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) (www.cprd.com/home/), validated databases for medical research, with linked Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) data for ∼20 000 COPD patients aged ≥40 years. For patients with OCS-treated COPD exacerbations treated in primary care, with BECs recorded on first day of OCS treatment (Cohort 1), we assessed treatment failure (COPD-related hospitalisations and OCS prescriptions beyond index OCS course). For patients hospitalised for COPD exacerbations, with BEC measured over an exacerbation-free period during the year prior to admission (Cohort 2), we assessed readmission rate. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was adjusted for confounders to estimate the association between BEC and treatment outcomes. Of patients treated with OCS for COPD exacerbations in primary care (Cohort 1), 44% experienced treatment failure following single OCS courses, and 10% (255/2482) were hospitalised for ≤6 weeks. Greater BEC was associated with reduced hospital-admission risk (hazard ratio [HR]=0.26; 95% CI: 0.12-0.56, per 100 cells·µL-1 increase). BEC increases of ≥200 cells·µL-1 from exacerbation-free periods to exacerbations were associated with least hospitalisation risk (HR=0.32; 95% CI: 0.15-0.71) versus no BEC change. For patients hospitalised for COPD exacerbations (Cohort 2), 4-week hospital readmission was 12% (1189/10 245). BEC increases during an exacerbation-free period within the past year were associated with reduced risk of short-term readmission (HR=0.78; 95% CI: 0.63-0.96). Greater BEC predicted better outcomes for patients with OCS-treated COPD exacerbations, whether community or hospital managed. Eosinopenia predicted worse outcomes.

Photo-neutron cross-section calculations of 54,56Fe, 90,91,92,94Zr, 93Nb and 107Ag Isotopes with newly obtained Giant Dipole Resonance parameters

The knowledge of the interaction of photons with matter is of vital importance to investigate fundamental nuclear physics problems. Giant dipole resonance (GDR) mechanism is dominant up to 30 MeV at photo-absorption cross-section. The photo-absorption cross-section curve against the photon energy displays one or multi-peak Lorentzian functions according to the deformation of the nucleus. Theoretical photo-absorption cross-section calculations generally focus on the estimation of GDR parameters. Theoretical reaction codes use GDR parameters to reproduce photon-induced nuclear reactions. In this study, photo-neutron cross-section calculations of ^54,56Fe, ^90,91,92,94Zr, ⁹³Nb, and ¹⁰⁷Ag isotopes have been done with the TALYS 1.8 and EMPIRE 3.2.2 nuclear reaction codes in the GDR region. During these calculations, both codes were firstly operated by using the predefined and existing GDR parameters within the codes. Later on, a new set of GDR parameters have been obtained by running a Lorentzian model based code in where the available experimental data are also considered. Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm has been used with 10^-6 function tolerances and 400 iterations for optimization. These new obtained GDR parameters then replaced with the existing GDR parameters within the TALYS code and the photo-neutron cross-section calculations for the investigated isotopes have been repeated. Ultimately, in order to discuss the outcomes and the effects of using new GDR parameters, obtained results were analyzed by comparing them with the experimental data from the Experimental Nuclear Reaction Data (EXFOR) library.

SABA Reliance Questionnaire (SRQ): Identifying Patient Beliefs Underpinning Reliever Overreliance in Asthma

BACKGROUND

Patient overreliance on short-acting beta₂ agonists (SABA), with concomitant underuse of inhaled corticosteroids (ICS), is associated with poor asthma control and increased risk of asthma attacks.

OBJECTIVE

To develop and validate a brief questionnaire to elicit patients' perceptions of SABA (eg, belief that asthma is best managed by SABA alone) that could lead them to be overly reliant on SABA.

METHODS

The 5-item SABA Reliance Questionnaire (SRQ) was adapted from the well-validated Beliefs about Medicines Questionnaire assessing patient perceptions of the importance of, and necessity for, SABA in managing their asthma. The psychometric properties of the questionnaire were studied using Amazon Mechanical Turk, an online survey platform, in 446 people with self-reported asthma. Internal reliability and criterion-related validity were assessed on the basis of relationships between SRQ scores and other variables, including self-reported adherence to ICSs and perceived importance of reliever inhalers.

RESULTS

Internal reliability was good with Cronbach α = 0.74. Criterion-related validity was demonstrated by an inverse correlation between SRQ scores and self-reported adherence to ICSs (r = -0.291; P < .0001), and significant correlation between SRQ scores and perceived reliever importance (r = 0.216; P < .0001), as well as by significant differences in SRQ scores between those with high and those with low self-reported ICS adherence (adherence to ICS t = 4.825; P < .0001).

CONCLUSIONS

The SRQ demonstrated acceptable internal reliability, and criterion validity, supporting its potential use as a pragmatic tool for identifying patients whose beliefs are indicative of overreliance on SABA for asthma.

Reducing the hidden burden of severe asthma: recognition and referrals from primary practice

Since their introduction many decades ago, systemic corticosteroids have become a mainstay treatment for asthma. Despite being a highly effective therapy, corticosteroids can cause significant adverse effects in patients. This results in a "double hit" for some patients as they suffer the burden of disease as well as the burden of treatment-induced morbidity.This article aims to raise awareness of the potential, harmful side effects of prolonged or repeated exposure to systemic corticosteroids in asthma. It also highlights the importance of referral of the appropriate patients with asthma from primary care for specialist assessment once other considerations such as adherence, inhaler technique and co-morbidity have been evaluated. We propose a simple decision step that may help busy primary care physicians and general practitioners to identify patients who could benefit from specialist assessment.Our decision step suggests that a patient with asthma should be reviewed at least once by an asthma specialist if he/she (i) has received ≥2 courses of oral corticosteroids in the previous year; asthma remains uncontrolled despite good adherence and inhaler technique; or (ii) has attended an emergency department or was hospitalized for asthma care.Such referral could facilitate wider access to diagnostic tools, in-depth assessment of confounding comorbidities, and non-corticosteroid-based therapies as needed, which may be unavailable in primary practice.

Effective Asthma Management: Is It Time to Let the AIR out of SABA?

For years, standard asthma treatment has included short acting beta agonists (SABA), including as monotherapy in patients with mild asthma symptoms. In the Global Initiative for Asthma 2019 strategy for the management of asthma, the authors recommended a significant departure from the traditional treatments. Short acting beta agonists (SABAs) are no longer recommended as the preferred reliever for patients when they are symptomatic and should not be used at all as monotherapy because of significant safety concerns and poor outcomes. Instead, the more appropriate course is the use of a combined inhaled corticosteroid–fast acting beta agonist as a reliever. This paper discusses the issues associated with the use of SABA, the reasons that patients over-use SABA, difficulties that can be expected in overcoming SABA over-reliance in patients, and our evolving understanding of the use of “anti-inflammatory relievers” in our patients with asthma.

Treatment Adherence in Adolescents with Asthma

The burden of asthma is particularly notable in adolescents, and is associated with higher rates of prevalence and mortality compared with younger children. One factor contributing to inadequate asthma control in adolescents is poor treatment adherence, with many pediatric studies reporting mean adherence rates of 50% or lower. Identifying the reasons for poor disease control and adherence is essential in order to help improve patient quality of life. In this review, we explore the driving factors behind non-adherence in adolescents with asthma, consider their consequences and suggest possible solutions to ensure better disease control. We examine the impact of appropriate inhaler choice and good inhaler technique on adherence, as well as discuss the importance of selecting the right medication, including the possible role of as-needed inhaled corticosteroids/long-acting β₂-agonists vs short-acting β₂-agonists, for improving outcomes in patients with mild asthma and poor adherence. Effective patient/healthcare practitioner communication also has a significant role to engage and motivate adolescents to take their medication regularly.

A comparison of tiotropium, long-acting β2-agonists and leukotriene receptor antagonists on lung function and exacerbations in paediatric patients with asthma

Diagnosing and treating asthma in paediatric patients remains challenging, with many children and adolescents remaining uncontrolled despite treatment. Selecting the most appropriate pharmacological treatment to add onto inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) in children and adolescents with asthma who remain symptomatic despite ICS can be difficult. This literature review compares the efficacy and safety of long-acting β₂-agonists (LABAs), leukotriene receptor antagonists (LTRAs) and long-acting muscarinic antagonists (LAMAs) as add-on treatment to ICS in children and adolescents aged 4-17 years.A literature search identified a total of 29 studies that met the inclusion criteria, including 21 randomised controlled trials (RCTs) of LABAs versus placebo, two RCTs of LAMAs (tiotropium) versus placebo, and four RCTs of LTRA (montelukast), all as add-on to ICS. In these studies, tiotropium and LABAs provided greater improvements in lung function than LTRAs, when compared with placebo as add-on to ICS. Although exacerbation data were difficult to interpret, tiotropium reduced the risk of exacerbations requiring oral corticosteroids when added to ICS, with or without additional controllers. LABAs and LTRAs had a comparable risk of asthma exacerbations with placebo when added to ICS. When adverse events (AEs) or serious AEs were analysed, LABAs, montelukast and tiotropium had a comparable safety profile with placebo.In conclusion, this literature review provides an up-to-date overview of the efficacy and safety of LABAs, LTRAs and LAMAs as add-on to ICS in children and adolescents with asthma. Overall, tiotropium and LABAs have similar efficacy, and provide greater improvements in lung function than montelukast as add-on to ICS. All three controller options have comparable safety profiles.