Editorial: High qHBsAg-is it a good or bad signal?

This article is linked to Lin et al papers. To view these articles, visit https://doi.org/10.1111/apt.17915 and https://doi.org/10.1111/apt.18021.

Outcome of Transarterial Radioembolization in the Treatment of Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Glass Versus Resin Microsphere

PURPOSE

To compare the treatment outcomes of glass and resin microspheres for the treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and evaluate the prognostic factors that influence the outcomes.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed 251 consecutive patients who underwent radioembolization for the treatment of HCC at a single tertiary center. Imaging responses after radioembolization were evaluated using the modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (mRECIST) 1.1. Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were used to identify the prognostic factors.

RESULTS

A total of 195 patients were included in this study (glass microsphere, n = 75; resin microsphere, n = 120). The complete and objective response rates were 16.0% and 50.7% in the glass microsphere group and 17.5% and 58.3% in the resin microsphere group, respectively. Median PFS was 241 days in the glass microsphere group and 268 days in the resin microsphere group (p = 0.871). Median OS was 29 months in the glass microsphere group and 40 months in the resin microsphere group (p = 0.669). The only significant prognostic factor was bilobar tumor distribution, which favored resin microspheres (p = 0.023). Procedure-related adverse events occurred more frequently in the resin microsphere group (glass, 2.7% vs. resin, 5.0%; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Glass and resin microspheres for the treatment of HCC did not show a significant difference in survival, though major adverse events occurred more frequently with the use of resin microspheres.

Global prevalence of MAFLD-related hepatocellular carcinoma: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The global proportion of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) attributable to metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is unclear. The MAFLD diagnostic criteria allows objective diagnosis in the presence of steatosis plus defined markers of metabolic dysfunction, irrespective of concurrent liver disease. We aimed to determine the total global prevalence of MAFLD in HCC cohorts (total-MAFLD), including the proportion with MAFLD as their sole liver disease (single-MAFLD), and the proportion of those with concurrent liver disease where MAFLD was a contributary factor (mixed-MAFLD).

METHODS

This systematic review and meta-analysis included studies systematically ascertaining MAFLD in HCC cohorts, defined using international expert panel criteria including ethnicity specific BMI cut-offs. A comparison of clinical and tumour characteristics was performed between single-MAFLD, mixed-MAFLD and non-MAFLD HCC.

RESULTS

22 studies (56,565 individuals with HCC) were included. Total and single-MAFLD HCC prevalence was 48.7% (95% CI; 34.5% - 63.0%) and 12.4% (95% CI; 8.3% - 17.3%), respectively. In HCC due to chronic hepatitis B, C and alcohol-related liver disease, mixed-MAFLD prevalence was 40.0% (95% CI; 30.2% - 50.3%), 54.1% (95% CI; 40.4% - 67.6%) and 64.3% (95% CI; 52.7% - 75.0%), respectively. Mixed-MAFLD HCC had significantly higher likelihood of cirrhosis and lower likelihood of metastatic spread compared to single-MAFLD HCC, and a higher platelet count and lower likelihood of macrovascular invasion compared to non-MAFLD HCC.

CONCLUSION

MAFLD is common as a sole aetiology, but more so and as a co-factor in mixed-aetiology HCC, supporting the use of a positive diagnostic criteria.

Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver clinical practice guidelines on liver transplantation

Liver transplantation is a highly complex and challenging field of clinical practice. Although it was originally developed in western countries, it has been further advanced in Asian countries through the use of living donor liver transplantation. This method of transplantation is the only available option in many countries in the Asia-Pacific region due to the lack of deceased organ donation. As a result of this clinical situation, there is a growing need for guidelines that are specific to the Asia-Pacific region. These guidelines provide comprehensive recommendations for evidence-based management throughout the entire process of liver transplantation, covering both deceased and living donor liver transplantation. In addition, the development of these guidelines has been a collaborative effort between medical professionals from various countries in the region. This has allowed for the inclusion of diverse perspectives and experiences, leading to a more comprehensive and effective set of guidelines.

Neither hepatic steatosis nor fibrosis is associated with clinical outcomes in patients with intestinal Behçet's disease

BACKGROUND

Behçet's disease (BD) and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) are chronic inflammatory diseases that share pathogenetic mechanisms. In this study, we investigated whether NAFLD influences the clinical outcomes in patients with intestinal BD.

METHODS

Patients with intestinal BD and available hepatic steatosis index (HSI) and fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) scores were recruited between 2005 and 2022. An HSI of ≥30 and FIB-4 of ≥1.45 were used to diagnose hepatic steatosis and significant liver fibrosis, respectively. The primary outcomes were intestinal BD-related hospitalization, surgery, emergency room visits, or the first use of corticosteroids, immunomodulators, or biologic agents for intestinal BD.

RESULTS

A total of 780 patients with BD were selected. The prevalence of hepatic steatosis and significant liver fibrosis were 72.3% and 8.8%, respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that younger age, prior smoking history, concomitant skin lesions, higher white blood cell count, and lower serum albumin levels were independently associated with an increased risk of clinical relapse (all P < 0.05), whereas hepatic steatosis and significant liver fibrosis were not (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.164, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.923-1.468; P = 0.199 for hepatic steatosis; HR = 0.982, 95% CI 0.672-1.436; P = 0.927 for significant liver fibrosis).

CONCLUSION

Hepatic steatosis and liver fibrotic burden were not independently associated with clinical outcomes in patients with intestinal BD.

Hepatic Steatosis but Not Fibrosis Is Independently Associated with Poor Outcomes in Patients with Inflammatory Bowel Disease

Background/Aims

Increased prevalence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) has been reported. However, the effects of NAFLD on the outcome of IBD remains unclear. We investigated whether the presence of NAFLD could influence the outcomes of patients with IBD.

Methods

We recruited 3,356 eligible patients with IBD into our study between November 2005 and November 2020. Hepatic steatosis and fibrosis were diagnosed using hepatic steatosis index of ≥30 and fibrosis-4 of ≥1.45, respectively. The primary outcome was clinical relapse, defined based on the following: IBD-related admission, surgery, or first use of corticosteroids, immunomodulators, or biologic agents for IBD.

Results

The prevalence of NAFLD in patients with IBD was 16.7%. Patients with hepatic steatosis and advanced fibrosis were older, had a higher body mass index, and were more likely to have diabetes (all p<0.05).

Conclusions

Hepatic steatosis was independently associated with increased risks of clinical relapse in patients with ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease, whereas fibrotic burden in the liver was not. Future studies should investigate whether assessment and therapeutic intervention for NAFLD will improve the clinical outcomes of patients with IBD.

Sorafenib vs. Lenvatinib in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma after Atezolizumab/Bevacizumab Failure: A real-world study

Background

Atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (ATE+BEV) therapy has become the recommended first-line therapy for patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) because of favorable treatment responses. However, there is a lack of data on sequential regimens after ATE+BEV treatment failure. We aimed to investigate the clinical outcomes of patients with advanced HCC who received subsequent systemic therapy for disease progression after ATE+BEV.

Methods

This multicenter, retrospective study included patients who started second-line systemic treatment with sorafenib or lenvatinib after HCC progressed on ATE+BEV between August 2019 and December 2022. Treatment response was assessed using the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (version 1.1.). Clinical features of the two groups were balanced through propensity score (PS) matching.

Results

This study enrolled 126 patients, 40 (31.7%) in the lenvatinib group, and 86 (68.3%) in the sorafenib group. The median age was 63 years, and males were predominant (88.1%). In PS-matched cohorts (36 patients in each group), the objective response rate was similar between the lenvatinib- and sorafenib-treated groups (5.6% vs. 8.3%; p=0.643), but the disease control rate was superior in the lenvatinib group (66.7% vs. 22.2%; p<0.001). Despite the superior progression-free survival (PFS) in the lenvatinib group (3.5 vs. 1.8 months, p=0.001), the overall survival (OS, 10.3 vs. 7.5 months, p=0.353) did not differ between the two PS-matched treatment groups.

Conclusion

In second-line therapy for unresectable HCC after ATE+BEV failure, lenvatinib showed better PFS and comparable OS to sorafenib in a real-world setting. Future studies with larger sample sizes and longer follow-ups are needed to optimize second-line treatment.

A Liver Stiffness-Based Etiology-Independent Machine Learning Algorithm to Predict Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The existing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk scores have modest accuracy, and most are specific to chronic hepatitis B infection. In this study, we developed and validated a liver stiffness-based machine learning algorithm (ML) for prediction and risk stratification of HCC in various chronic liver diseases (CLDs).

METHODS

MLs were trained for prediction of HCC in 5155 adult patients with various CLDs in Korea and further tested in 2 prospective cohorts from Hong Kong (HK) (N = 2732) and Europe (N = 2384). Model performance was assessed according to Harrell's C-index and time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.

RESULTS

We developed the SMART-HCC score, a liver stiffness-based ML HCC risk score, with liver stiffness measurement ranked as the most important among 9 clinical features. The Harrell's C-index of the SMART-HCC score in HK and Europe validation cohorts were 0.89 (95% confidence interval, 0.85-0.92) and 0.91 (95% confidence interval, 0.87-0.95), respectively. The area under ROC curves of the SMART-HCC score for HCC in 5 years was ≥0.89 in both validation cohorts. The performance of SMART-HCC score was significantly better than existing HCC risk scores including aMAP score, Toronto HCC risk index, and 7 hepatitis B-related risk scores. Using dual cutoffs of 0.043 and 0.080, the annual HCC incidence was 0.09%-0.11% for low-risk group and 2.54%-4.64% for high-risk group in the HK and Europe validation cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS

The SMART-HCC score is a useful machine learning-based tool for clinicians to stratify HCC risk in patients with CLDs.

Metastatic papillary renal cell carcinoma with portal vein tumor thrombosis confirmed on blind liver biopsy

Portal vein tumor thrombosis (PVTT) is an uncommon condition in which tumor cells expand into the vessels, causing blood clot formation in the portal vein. PVTT is mainly associated with hepatocellular carcinoma, leading to an unfavorable prognosis; however, it can also develop in patients with other cancer types. Herein, we report a case of metastatic renal cell carcinoma diagnosed by a blind liver biopsy in a patient with dynamic computed tomography-confirmed portal vein thrombosis and cholangiopathy. This case illustrates the importance of systematic surveillance with routine laboratory tests and contrast-enhanced imaging studies on patients with cancer to detect potential liver infiltration of metastatic cancer.

Hepatitis C virus infection in patients undergoing surgery in a single tertiary academic center

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Lack of awareness disturbs proper care for hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections in patients undergoing surgery. We investigated the status of HCV screening, confirmation, and treatment in patients who underwent surgery.

METHODS

Patients who underwent surgery at a tertiary academic center between 2019 and 2021 were eligible for this retrospective study.

RESULTS

Between 2019 and 2021, 96 894 patients (40 121 males; 41.4%) who underwent surgery under general anesthesia were recruited. The median age of the participants was 55.0 years. Of the 83 920 (86.6%) patients who tested positive for anti-HCV antibodies, 576 (0.7%) showed positive results, with a higher proportion of patients with diabetes mellitus (32.6% vs 18.5%), hypertension (50.5% vs 28.6%), liver cirrhosis (13.2% vs 1.7%), and unfavorable laboratory test results when compared with those with negative results (all P < 0.05). HCV RNA was tested in 215 patients (37.3%), with a positivity rate of 20.5% (n = 44). Of the 44 patients, 42 (95.5%) were referred for antiviral treatment, and 29 (69.0%) were successfully treated with direct-acting antiviral therapy. HCV RNA confirmation rates were higher in the Department of Hepatobiliary and Transplant Surgery (76.6%) than in the other surgical departments (25.0-33.5%) (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The proportion of patients who were positive for anti-HCV antibodies and failed to receive proper management after surgery was not negligible. Increased awareness of HCV infection among surgeons through appropriate education may be required.

Association between selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor use and developing irritable bowel syndrome through retrospective analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Serotonin affects the balance and integrity of the gut microbiome; however, studies have confirmed the influence of selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs) on irritable bowel syndrome (IBS). We evaluated the association between SSRI use and subsequent IBS occurrence in a real-world setting.

METHODS

A multivariate Cox proportional hazard model was adopted, and the National Health Insurance Service cohort claims database between 2010 and 2019 was used. Non-SSRI users were selected using the propensity score matching method. Subgroup analyses were performed using the point of use, cumulative dose, and duration of SSRI use. Additional analysis was performed using a control group without psychiatric medications.

RESULTS

We included 2901 SSRI users and 2727 non-SSRI users. After adjusting covariates, the risk of developing IBS in SSRI users was 1.54 times that in non-SSRI users (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.01-2.33). The hazard ratio (HR) of the recent, heavy, and short-term user groups were 3.19 (95% CI: 2.03-4.99), 2.22 (95% CI: 1.50-3.29), and 4.83 (95% CI: 3.02-7.73), respectively, compared with that of non-users. In patients without a history of psychiatric medications, the risk of IBS incidence after SSRI use increased significantly (HR: 1.61, 95% CI: 1.06-2.42), whereas HR was insignificant in patients with a history of psychiatric medications (HR: 1.25, 95% CI: 0.98-1.60).

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of subsequent IBS occurrence following SSRI use was high in patients who initially took a heavy SSRI dose and those who did not have a history of psychiatric drug use.

Prediction model of hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma in patients receiving antiviral therapy

Chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection, which ultimately leads to liver cirrhosis, hepatic decompensation, and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), remains a significant disease burden worldwide. Despite the use of antiviral therapy (AVT) using oral nucleos(t)ide analogs (NUCs) with high genetic barriers, the risk of HCC development cannot be completely eliminated. Therefore, bi-annual surveillance of HCC using abdominal ultrasonography with or without tumor markers is recommended for at-risk populations. For a more precise assessment of future HCC risk at the individual level, many HCC prediction models have been proposed in the era of potent AVT with promising results. It allows prognostication according to the risk of HCC development, for example, low-vs. intermediate-vs. high-risk groups. Most of these models have the advantage of high negative predictive values for HCC development, allowing exemption from biannual HCC screening. Recently, non-invasive surrogate markers for liver fibrosis, such as vibration-controlled transient elastography, have been introduced as integral components of the equations, providing better predictive performance in general. Furthermore, beyond the conventional statistical methods that primarily depend on multi-variable Cox regression analyses based on the previous literature, newer techniques using artificial intelligence have also been applied in the design of HCC prediction models. Here, we aimed to review the HCC risk prediction models that were developed in the era of potent AVT and validated among independent cohorts to address the clinical unmet needs, as well as comment on future direction to establish the individual HCC risk more precisely.

Magnetic resonance elastography-based prediction model for hepatic decompensation in NAFLD: A multicenter cohort study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) is an accurate, continuous biomarker of liver fibrosis; however, the optimal combination with clinical factors to predict the risk of incident hepatic decompensation is unknown. Therefore, we aimed to develop and validate an MRE-based prediction model for hepatic decompensation for patients with NAFLD.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

This international multicenter cohort study included participants with NAFLD undergoing MRE from 6 hospitals. A total of 1254 participants were randomly assigned as training (n = 627) and validation (n = 627) cohorts. The primary end point was hepatic decompensation, defined as the first occurrence of variceal hemorrhage, ascites, or HE. Covariates associated with hepatic decompensation on Cox-regression were combined with MRE to construct a risk prediction model in the training cohort and then tested in the validation cohort. The median (IQR) age and MRE values were 61 (18) years and 3.5 (2.5) kPa in the training cohort and 60 (20) years and 3.4 (2.5) kPa in the validation cohort, respectively. The MRE-based multivariable model that included age, MRE, albumin, aspartate aminotransferase, and platelets had excellent discrimination for the 3- and 5-year risk of hepatic decompensation (c-statistic 0.912 and 0.891, respectively) in the training cohort. The diagnostic accuracy remained consistent in the validation cohort with a c-statistic of 0.871 and 0.876 for hepatic decompensation at 3 and 5 years, respectively, and was superior to Fibrosis-4 in both cohorts ( p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

An MRE-based prediction model allows for accurate prediction of hepatic decompensation and assists in the risk stratification of patients with NAFLD.

Inhibition of Dickkopf-1 enhances the anti-tumor efficacy of sorafenib via inhibition of the PI3K/Akt and Wnt/β-catenin pathways in hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Sorafenib improves the overall survival in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Dickkopf-1 (DKK1) is commonly overexpressed in HCC. In this study, we investigated whether the inhibition of DKK1 enhances the anti-tumor efficacy of sorafenib in HCC.

METHODS

HCC cells were treated with sorafenib and WAY-262611, which is an inhibitor of DKK1. Transgenic mouse models were also developed using hydrodynamic tail vein injection. Mice were orally administered with sorafenib (32 mg/kg), WAY-262611 (16 mg/kg), or sorafenib + WAY-262611 for 10 days. Mechanisms of sorafenib and WAY-262611 were explored via western blotting, immunostaining, and RNA sequencing.

RESULTS

DKK1 was significantly overexpressed in patients with HCC than in the healthy controls and patients with liver diseases except HCC (all P < 0.05). Compared with sorafenib alone, sorafenib + WAY-262611 significantly inhibited the cell viability, invasion, migration, and colony formation by promoting apoptosis and altering the cell cycles in HCC cells (all P < 0.05). Moreover, sorafenib + WAY-262611 decreased the p110α, phospho-Akt (all P < 0.05), active β-catenin (all P < 0.05) and phospho-GSK-3β (Ser9) expression levels, while increasing the phospho-GSK-3β (Tyr216) expression levels compared with those in the sorafenib alone in vitro and in vivo. In addition, sorafenib + WAY-262611 inhibited tumor progression by regulating cell proliferation and apoptosis, significantly better than sorafenib alone in mouse models.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results indicate that DKK1 inhibition significantly enhances the anti-tumor efficacy of sorafenib by inhibiting the PI3K/Akt and Wnt/β-catenin pathways via regulation of GSK3β activity, suggesting a novel therapeutic strategy for HCC. Video Abstract.

Risk and predictors of hepatic decompensation in grey zone patients by the Baveno VII criteria: A competing risk analysis

BACKGROUND

Baveno VII was proposed for non-invasive identification of clinically significant portal hypertension. However, a substantial proportion of patients is classified in the grey zone (i.e., liver stiffness 15-24.9 kPa and/or platelet count <150 × 109 /L).

AIMS

To evaluate the risk and predictors of hepatic decompensation in patients in the grey zone, and to determine the prognostic role of spleen stiffness measurement.

METHODS

We included prospective cohorts (from Hong Kong, Korea and France) of patients who had undergone transient elastography examination for chronic liver disease. We estimated risk of hepatic decompensation using competing risk regression with hepatocellular carcinoma and non-liver-related death as competing events.

RESULTS

We identified 2763 patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD). There were 1243 (44.9%) and 536 (19.4%) patients in the Baveno VII grey zone and high-risk groups, respectively. The cumulative incidence of decompensation at 5 years was significantly different among low-risk (0.6% [95% CI: 0.2%-1.3%]), grey zone 4.2% (95% CI: 3.1%-5.4%) and high-risk groups (11.4% [95% CI: 8.7%-14.6%]). By competing risk analysis, aetiology of liver disease (alcohol-related liver disease), albumin-bilirubin score and alkaline phosphatase level were independently associated with decompensation among patients in the grey zone. The combination of Baveno VII and spleen stiffness significantly reduced patients classified into grey zone (12.8% in cACLD patients), while maintaining high discrimination of decompensation in low- and high-risk groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients in grey zone of Baveno VII criteria remain at high risk of hepatic decompensation. Clinical risk factors and spleen stiffness can further stratify the risk in such patients.

Combination of Radiotherapy and Atezolizumab plus Bevacizumab in Patients with Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Pilot Study

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

Following the results of the IMbrave150 study, Atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (Atezo/beva) became the first-line treatment in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, its real-world efficacy has been less satisfied. In this study, we investigated the efficacy of radiotherapy (RT) combined with Atezo/beva in patients with advanced HCC.

MATERIALS/METHODS

Twenty patients received combination of RT and Atezo/beva between December 2021 and December 2022 at our institution. RT was administered in 10 fractions of 5 Gy between Atezo/beva cycles. Tumor response were evaluated on both imaging and tumor marker basis. The iRECIST guideline was used to assess treatment response after the combination treatment of RT and Atezo/beva. Primary endpoints were disease control rate (DCR) and overall response rate (ORR), and secondary endpoint was treatment related toxicity.

RESULTS

All patients were BCLC C with advanced tumors associated with lymph node metastasis (7, 35%) or distant metastasis (8, 40%). Patients received RT between cycles of Atezo/beva, mostly (14, 70%) between 2nd and 3rd cycles. After a median follow-up of 3.2 months, DCR was 65% and ORR was 20%. Significant decrease in tumor marker of over 2-fold was shown in 10 patients (50%). Regarding treatment related toxicity, only 1 patient (5%) showed grade 3 neutropenic fever, and no grade 4 or 5 toxicity was seen.

CONCLUSION

Combination of radiotherapy and Atezo/beva showed high response rate with tolerable treatment related toxicity in advanced HCC patients. Further prospective studies with larger patient cohort are warranted.

Survival Trends in Sorafenib for Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Reconstructed Individual Patient Data Meta-Analysis of Randomized Trials

Background

Emerging data suggest that outcomes for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with sorafenib may have improved over time. We aimed to provide robust, time-to-event estimates of survival outcomes for sorafenib in advanced HCC.

Summary

In this systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis of randomized-controlled trials (RCTs), we searched MEDLINE and Embase from inception till September 2022 for RCTs that provided data for overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) for sorafenib monotherapy as first-line systemic therapy for advanced HCC. We performed a pooled analysis using reconstructed individual participant data from published Kaplan-Meier curves to obtain robust estimates for OS and PFS. Of 1,599 articles identified, 29 studies (5,525 patients) met the inclusion criteria. Overall, the median OS was 10.4 (95% CI: 9.6-11.4) months. Median OS increased over time, from 9.8 (95% CI: 8.8-10.7) months in studies before 2015 to 13.4 (95% CI: 11.03-15.24) months in studies from 2015 onwards (p < 0.001). OS did not differ by trial phase, geographical region, or study design. The overall median PFS was 4.4 (95% CI: 3.9-4.8) months, but PFS did not improve over time. Sensitivity analysis of studies from 2015 and onwards to account for the introduction of direct-acting antivirals determined that hepatitis C virus was associated with reduced mortality (p < 0.001). There was minimal heterogeneity in the estimates for OS (all I2 ≤ 33).

Key Messages

Survival outcomes for sorafenib in advanced HCC have improved over time. These data have important implications for clinical trial design.

M-PAST score is better than MAST score for the diagnosis of active fibrotic nonalcoholic steatohepatitis

BACKGROUND

Clinical trials enroll patients with active fibrotic nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) (nonalcoholic fatty liver disease [NAFLD] activity score ≥ 4) and significant fibrosis (F ≥ 2); however, screening failure rates are high following biopsy. We developed new scores to identify active fibrotic NASH using FibroScan and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI).

METHODS

We undertook prospective primary (n = 176), retrospective validation (n = 169), and University of California San Diego (UCSD; n = 234) studies of liver biopsy-proven NAFLD. Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) using FibroScan or magnetic resonance elastography (MRE), controlled attenuation parameter (CAP), or proton density fat fraction (PDFF), and aspartate aminotransferase (AST) were combined to develop a two-step strategy-FibroScan-based LSM followed by CAP with AST (F-CAST) and MRE-based LSM followed by PDFF with AST (M-PAST)-and compared with FibroScan-AST (FAST) and MRI-AST (MAST) for diagnosing active fibrotic NASH. Each model was categorized using rule-in and rule-out criteria.

RESULTS

Areas under receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs) of F-CAST (0.826) and M-PAST (0.832) were significantly higher than those of FAST (0.744, p = 0.004) and MAST (0.710, p < 0.001). Following the rule-in criteria, positive predictive values of F-CAST (81.8%) and M-PAST (81.8%) were higher than those of FAST (73.5%) and MAST (70.0%). Following the rule-out criteria, negative predictive values of F-CAST (90.5%) and M-PAST (90.9%) were higher than those of FAST (84.0%) and MAST (73.9%). In the validation and UCSD cohorts, AUROCs did not differ significantly between F-CAST and FAST, but M-PAST had a higher diagnostic performance than MAST.

CONCLUSIONS

The two-step strategy, especially M-PAST, showed reliability of rule-in/-out for active fibrotic NASH, with better predictive performance compared with MAST. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (number, UMIN000012757).

MAFLD might be better in identifying subjects with sarcopenia or cardiovascular risk than NAFLD: A nationwide study

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Clinical features of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), but not fulfilling the diagnostic criteria of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD), remain unclear. We investigated the risk of sarcopenia and cardiovascular disease (CVD) in MAFLD and non-metabolic risk (MR) NAFLD.

METHODS

Subjects were selected from the Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys 2008-2011. Liver steatosis was assessed using fatty liver index. Significant liver fibrosis was defined using fibrosis-4 index, categorized by age cut-offs. Sarcopenia was defined as the lowest quintile sarcopenia index. Atherosclerotic CVD (ASCVD) risk score > 10% was defined as high probability.

RESULTS

A total of 7248 subjects had fatty liver (137 with non-MR NAFLD, 1752 with MAFLD/non-NAFLD, and 5359 with overlapping MAFLD and NAFLD). In non-MR NAFLD group 28 (20.4%) had significant fibrosis. The risk of sarcopenia (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 2.71, 95% confidence index [CI] = 1.27-5.78) and high probability of ASCVD (aOR = 2.79, 95% CI = 1.23-6.35) was significantly higher in MAFLD/non-NAFLD group than in non-MR NAFLD group (all P < 0.05). The risk of sarcopenia and high probability of ASCVD was similar between subjects with and without significant fibrosis in non-MR NAFLD group (all P > 0.05). However, the risk was significantly higher in MAFLD group than in non-MR NAFLD group (aOR = 3.38 for sarcopenia and 3.73 for ASCVD; all P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The risks of sarcopenia and CVD were significantly higher in MAFLD group but did not differ according to fibrotic burden in non-MR NAFLD group. The MAFLD criteria might be better for identifying high-risk fatty liver disease than the NAFLD criteria.

Noninvasive risk assessment of hepatic decompensation in patients with hepatitis B virus-related liver cirrhosis

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Hepatic decompensation is a major complication of liver cirrhosis. We validated the predictive performance of the newly proposed CHESS-ALARM model to predict hepatic decompensation in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related cirrhosis and compared it with other transient elastography (TE)-based models such as liver stiffness-spleen size-to-platelet (LSPS), portal hypertension (PH), varices risk scores, albumin-bilirubin (ALBI), and albumin-bilirubin-fibrosis-4 (ALBI-FIB-4).

METHODS

Four hundred eighty-two patients with HBV-related liver cirrhosis between 2006 and 2014 were recruited. Liver cirrhosis was clinically or morphologically defined. The predictive performance of the models was assessed using a time-dependent area under the curve (tAUC).

RESULTS

During the study period, 48 patients (10.0%) developed hepatic decompensation (median 93 months). The 1-year predictive performance of the LSPS model (tAUC = 0.8405) was higher than those of the PH model (tAUC = 0.8255), ALBI-FIB-4 (tAUC = 0.8168), ALBI (tAUC = 0.8153), CHESS-ALARM (tAUC = 0.8090), and variceal risk score (tAUC = 0.7990). The 3-year predictive performance of the LSPS model (tAUC = 0.8673) was higher than those of the PH risk score (tAUC = 0.8670), CHESS-ALARM (tAUC = 0.8329), variceal risk score (tAUC = 0.8290), ALBI-FIB-4 (tAUC = 0.7730), and ALBI (tAUC = 0.7451). The 5-year predictive performance of the PH risk score (tAUC = 0.8521) was higher than those of the LSPS (tAUC = 0.8465), varices risk score (tAUC = 0.8261), CHESS-ALARM (tAUC = 0.7971), ALBI-FIB-4 (tAUC = 0.7743), and ALBI (tAUC = 0.7541). However, there was no significant difference in the predictive performance among all models at 1, 3, and 5 years (P > 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The CHESS-ALARM score was able to reliably predict hepatic decompensation in patients with HBV-related liver cirrhosis and showed similar performance to the LSPS, PH, varices risk scores, ALBI, and ALBI-FIB-4.

A machine learning model for predicting hepatocellular carcinoma risk in patients with chronic hepatitis B

BACKGROUND

Machine learning (ML) algorithms can be used to overcome the prognostic performance limitations of conventional hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk models. We established and validated an ML-based HCC predictive model optimized for patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) infections receiving antiviral therapy (AVT).

METHODS

Treatment-naïve CHB patients who were started entecavir (ETV) or tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) were enrolled. We used a training cohort (n = 960) to develop a novel ML model that predicted HCC development within 5 years and validated the model using an independent external cohort (n = 1937). ML algorithms consider all potential interactions and do not use predefined hypotheses.

RESULTS

The mean age of the patients in the training cohort was 48 years, and most patients (68.9%) were men. During the median 59.3 (interquartile range 45.8-72.3) months of follow-up, 69 (7.2%) patients developed HCC. Our ML-based HCC risk prediction model had an area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.900, which was better than the AUCs of CAMD (0.778) and REAL B (0.772) (both p < .05). The better performance of our model was maintained (AUC = 0.872 vs. 0.788 for CAMD and 0.801 for REAL B) in the validation cohort. Using cut-off probabilities of 0.3 and 0.5, the cumulative incidence of HCC development differed significantly among the three risk groups (p < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

Our new ML model performed better than models in terms of predicting the risk of HCC development in CHB patients receiving AVT.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma Incidence in Alcohol-Associated Cirrhosis: Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Alcohol is one of the leading causes of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, pooled estimates of HCC incidence in alcohol-associated cirrhosis have not been evaluated systematically. We performed a pooled analysis of time-to-event data to provide robust estimates for the incidence of HCC in alcohol-associated cirrhosis.

METHODS

Medline, Embase, Cochrane Central Register, Scopus, and Web of Science were searched from inception to August 2021. Individual patient data were reconstructed from published Kaplan-Meier curves, and a pooled analysis of cumulative HCC incidence was performed using a random-effects model.

RESULTS

We screened 5022 articles and included 18 studies (148,333 patients). In the pooled analysis, the cumulative incidence of HCC in alcohol-associated cirrhosis at 1, 5, and 10 years among studies that accounted for the competing risk of death without HCC was 1%, 3%, and 9%, respectively. A secondary analysis by traditional meta-analysis determined that the HCC incidence rate was higher in cohorts enrolled in a HCC surveillance program (18.6 vs 4.8 per 1000 person-years; P = .001) vs those who were not enrolled in a surveillance program. Meta-regression showed that diabetes, smoking, variceal bleeding, and hepatic decompensation were associated with a higher risk of HCC.

CONCLUSIONS

Our analysis determined that the 5- and 10- year cumulative risk of HCC in alcohol-associated cirrhosis was 3% and 9%, respectively, with a higher incidence in cohorts that were enrolled in a HCC surveillance program. These data should be validated further in large prospective studies, and may have important implications for HCC screening and surveillance among patients with alcohol-associated cirrhosis.

Statin use is associated with better post-operative prognosis among patients with hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The high postoperative recurrence rate of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a significant challenge. Patient metabolic factors are potential disease modifiers and should be examined as risk factors for postoperative prognosis. Here, we assessed the association between long-term statin use and HCC recurrence after surgical resection of hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related HCC.

METHODS

Patients who initially underwent curative resection for HBV-related HCC between 2005 and 2015 were recruited and followed up until December 2019. Patients were classified into statin user and non-statin user groups based on whether or not they had been prescribed statins for ≥2 years. The primary outcome was HCC recurrence, and the secondary outcome was liver-related mortality. The cumulative incidence by statin use was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared using the log-rank test. Adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using multivariable Cox regression.

RESULTS

Among 5653 patients with a median 6.1 years of follow-up, HCC recurrence and liver-related mortality occurred in 1603 and 316 patients, respectively. The 5-year cumulative incidence of HCC recurrence in the statin user group (15.9%) was significantly lower than that in the non-user group (21.3%; p = .019). From multivariable Cox regression analysis, statin use was significantly associated with a reduced risk of HCC recurrence (aHR 0.77, 95% CI: 0.61-0.98; p = .035) and liver-related mortality (aHR 0.48, 95% CI: 0.25-0.90; p = .023).

CONCLUSION

Long-term statin use was significantly associated with reduced risk of HCC recurrence and liver-related mortality after curative resection of HBV-related HCC.

Metabolic dysfunction associated fatty liver disease identifies subjects with cardiovascular risk better than non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the main cause of mortality in subjects with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). We investigated the association between CVD risk and metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) or NAFLD and the influence of significant liver fibrosis on the CVD risk.

METHODS

Subjects who underwent a comprehensive medical check-up were recruited (2014-2019). Significant liver fibrosis was defined using NAFLD fibrosis score, fibrosis-4 index, aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index, or FibroScan-aspartate aminotransferase score. High probability of atherosclerotic CVD (ASCVD) was defined as ASCVD risk score > 10%.

RESULTS

Of the study population (n = 78 762), 27 047 (34.3%) and 24 036 (30.5%) subjects had MAFLD and NAFLD respectively. A total of 1084 (4.0%) or 921 (3.8%) subjects had previous CVD history in MAFLD or NAFLD subgroup respectively. The previous CVD history and high probability of ASCVD were significantly higher in MAFLD or NAFLD subgroup with significant liver fibrosis than in the other groups (all p < .001). In multivariable analysis, MAFLD was independently associated with previous CVD history after adjusting for confounders (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 1.10, p = .038), whereas NAFLD was not (all p > .05). MAFLD (aOR = 1.40) or NAFLD (aOR = 1.22) was independently associated with high probability of ASCVD after full adjustment respectively (all p < .001). Significant liver fibrosis was independently associated with previous CVD history and high probability of ASCVD after adjustment in MAFLD or NAFLD subgroup respectively (all p < .05).

CONCLUSION

MAFLD might better identify subjects with CVD risk than NAFLD. Fibrosis assessment might be helpful for detailed prognostication in subjects with MAFLD.

Meta-analysis: Chemoprevention of hepatocellular carcinoma with statins, aspirin and metformin

BACKGROUND

Emerging data suggest that statins, aspirin and metformin may protect against hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development. However, prior meta-analyses were limited by heterogeneity and inclusion of studies without adequate adjustment for baseline risks.

AIM

To examine by an updated meta-analysis the association between these medications and HCC risk.

METHODS

Medline and Embase databases were searched from inception to March 2022 for studies that balanced baseline risks between study groups via propensity score matching or inverse probability of treatment weighting, that reported the impact of statins, aspirin or metformin on HCC risk. Multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for HCC were pooled using a random effects model.

RESULTS

Statin use was associated with reduced HCC risk overall (HR: 0.52; 95% CI: 0.37-0.72) (10 studies, 1,774,476), and in subgroup analyses for cirrhosis, hepatitis B/C, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, studies accounting for concurrent aspirin and metformin consumption and lipophilic statins. Aspirin use was associated with reduced HCC risk overall (HR: 0.48; 95% CI: 0.27-0.87) (11 studies, 2,190,285 patients) but not in studies accounting for concurrent statin and metformin use. Metformin use was not associated with reduced HCC risk overall (HR: 0.57; 95% CI: 0.31-1.06) (3 studies, 125,458 patients). Most analyses had moderate/substantial heterogeneity, except in follow-up <60 months for aspirin (I2  = 0%).

CONCLUSION

Although statin and aspirin use were associated with reduced HCC risk, only statin use was significant in subgroup analyses accounting for concurrent medications. Metformin use was not associated with reduced HCC risk. These data have implications for future clinical trial design.

The clinical effect of antiviral therapy in patients with hepatitis B virus-related decompensated cirrhosis and undetectable DNA

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Antiviral therapy (AVT) is the mainstay of hepatitis B virus (HBV) management. We investigated whether AVT improves the outcomes of HBV-related decompensated cirrhosis and undetectable HBV-DNA.

METHODS

Between 2000 and 2017, treatment-naïve patients with HBV-related decompensated cirrhosis and undetectable HBV-DNA were recruited from two tertiary hospitals. The endpoints included death and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

RESULTS

A total of 429 patients were analyzed (50 and 379 patients in the AVT and non-AVT groups, respectively). Patients in the AVT group were significantly younger and had higher alanine aminotransferase and alpha-fetoprotein levels than those in the non-AVT group (all P < 0.05). During follow-up (median 49.6 months), 98 patients died and 105 developed HCC. The cumulative incidence rates of death (2.0%, 4.1%, and 6.4%, and 4.9%, 7.2%, and 10.2% at 6 months, 1 year, and 2 years, respectively) and HCC (8.6%, 15.8%, and 26.4% vs 1.6%, 7.7%, and 24.4% at 1, 2, and 5 years, respectively) were statistically comparable between the AVT and non-AVT groups (all P > 0.05). Using Cox regression analysis, AVT was not significantly associated with death nor HCC (all P > 0.05). Similar results were observed after balancing baseline characteristics with inverse probability of treatment weighting. In the non-AVT group, the cumulative incidence rates of HBV-DNA detection at 6 months, 1 year, and 2 years were 2.0%, 3.1%, and 6.4%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Antiviral therapy did not attenuate the risk of death nor HCC in patients with HBV-related decompensated cirrhosis and undetectable HBV-DNA.

Global burden of primary liver cancer and its association with underlying aetiologies, sociodemographic status, and sex differences, 1990-2019: a DALYs-based analysis of the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study

Background and aims

Global distribution of dominant liver cancer aetiologies has changed greatly over the past decades with the development of potent antivirals, change in screening and immunization policies. This study aimed to analyse the updated temporal trends of liver cancer aetiologies and sociodemographic status in 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019.

Methods

The Global Burden of Disease 2019 report was used for statistical analysis. Also, we performed stratification analysis to five quintiles by sociodemographic index and 21 regions based on geography.

Results

The crude number of liver cancer disease-adjusted life years (DALYs) and deaths increased significantly during the study period (DALYs; 11,278,630 in 1990 and 12,528,422 in 2019, deaths; 365,215 in 1990 and 484,577 in 2019). However, the age-standardised DALYs and mortality rates declined. HBV remains the leading cause of liver cancer DALYs and mortality, followed by HCV, alcohol consumption, and NASH/ NAFLD. While age-standardised DALYs and mortality rates of liver cancer due to HBV and HCV have decreased, those due to alcohol consumption and NASH/NAFLD have increased. In 2019, the East Asia region had the highest age-standardised DALYs and mortality rates, followed by high-income Asia Pacific and Central Asia. While East Asia and high-income Asia Pacific regions displayed a decrease during the study period, Central Asia's age-standardised DALYs rates increased. High-income North America and Australasia also showed a dramatic increase.

Conclusions

Liver cancer remains an ongoing global threat. The burden of liver cancer related to alcohol consumption and NASH/NAFLD is rising at worrying levels and is projected to continue to increase dramatically.

Post-operative recurrence of liver cancer according to antiviral therapy for detectable hepatitis B viremia: A nationwide study

BACKGROUND

High postoperative recurrence of hepatitis B virus (HBV)-infected hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains a significant challenge. Here, we aimed to compare the postoperative HCC recurrence between patients with AVT for detectable serum HBV-DNA vs. those without.

METHODS

Data of patients undergoing curative resection of HBV-infected HCC as an initial therapy from 2015 to 2017 were obtained from the National Health Insurance Service database in South Korea. AVT was initiated when serum HBV-DNA was detectable. The primary outcome was HCC recurrence. The cumulative risk of HCC recurrence between AVT users and non-users was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULTS

During follow-up (median 2.7 years) with 3034 patients, 25.7% and 23.6% of AVT users and non-users experienced HCC recurrence, respectively. The 1-, 2-, and 3-year cumulative recurrence rates were similar (p = 0.57): 15.6%, 23.3%, and 26.4% in AVT users versus 15.3%, 22.0%, and 24.9% in non-users, respectively. After adjusting for covariates, multivariable Cox regression analysis showed comparable outcomes between the two groups with adjusted hazard ratios (aHR 1.08, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.89-1.31; p = 0.439). Similar outcomes between the two groups were reproduced after stratification of liver cirrhosis. Inverse probability treatment weighting analysis also showed comparable outcomes between the two groups in the subgroups with liver cirrhosis (aHR 1.01, 95% CI 0.80-1.29; p = 0.92) and non-cirrhosis (aHR 1.08, 95% CI 0.87-1.34; p = 0.472).

CONCLUSIONS

Initiating AVT based on detectable serum HBV-DNA provided the similar risk of postoperative HCC recurrence in HBV-infected HCC patients with and without detectable serum HBV-DNA.

Head-to-head comparison between MEFIB, MAST, and FAST for detecting stage 2 fibrosis or higher among patients with NAFLD

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and significant fibrosis (fibrosis stage ≥2) are candidates for pharmacological trials. The aim of this study was to perform a head-to-head comparison of the diagnostic test characteristics of three non-invasive stiffness-based models including MEFIB (magnetic resonance elastography [MRE] plus FIB-4), MAST (magnetic resonance imaging [MRI]-aspartate aminotransferase [AST]), and FAST (FibroScan-AST) for detecting significant fibrosis.

METHODS

This prospective study included 563 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD undergoing contemporaneous MRE, MRI proton density fat fraction (MRI-PDFF) and FibroScan from two prospective cohorts derived from Southern California and Japan. Diagnostic performances of models were evaluated by area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC).

RESULTS

The mean age of the cohort was 56.5 years (51% were women). Significant fibrosis was observed in 51.2%. To detect significant fibrosis, MEFIB outperformed both MAST and FAST (both p <0.001); AUCs for MEFIB, MAST, and FAST were 0.901 (95% CI 0.875-0.928), 0.770 (95% CI 0.730-0.810), and 0.725 (95% CI 0.683-0.767), respectively. Using rule-in criteria, the positive predictive value of MEFIB (95.3%) was significantly higher than that of FAST (83.5%, p = 0.001) and numerically but not statistically greater than that of MAST (90.0%, p = 0.056). Notably, MEFIB's rule-in criteria covered more of the study population than MAST (34.1% vs. 26.6%; p = 0.006). Using rule-out criteria, the negative predictive value of MEFIB (90.1%) was significantly higher than that of either MAST (69.6%) or FAST (71.8%) (both p <0.001). Furthermore, to diagnose "at risk" non-alcoholic steatohepatitis defined as NAFLD activity score ≥4 and fibrosis stage ≥2, MEFIB outperformed both MAST and FAST (both p <0.05); AUCs for MEFIB, MAST, and FAST were 0.768 (95% CI 0.728-0.808), 0.719 (95% CI 0.671-0.766), and 0.687 (95% CI 0.640-0.733), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

MEFIB was better than MAST and FAST for detection of significant fibrosis as well as "at risk" NASH. All three models provide utility for the risk stratification of NAFLD.

LAY SUMMARY

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) affects over 25% of the general population worldwide and is one of the main causes of chronic liver disease. Because so many individuals have NAFLD, it is not practical to perform liver biopsies to identify those with more severe disease who may require pharmacological interventions. Therefore, accurate non-invasive tests are crucial. Herein, we compared three such tests and found that a test called MEFIB was the best at detecting patients who might require treatment.

Effect of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease on liver cancer risk in a population with chronic hepatitis B virus infection: A nationwide study

BACKGROUND

The association between metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) lacks clinical validation in at-risk populations. We assessed this relationship among chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients.

METHODS

Data was collected from the National Health Insurance System database in South Korea. Chronic hepatitis B patients aged over 40 years receiving health examinations between 2011 and 2012 were recruited. The primary outcome was HCC. Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease was defined as hepatic steatosis in combination with at least one of the following: (i) overweight, (ii) diabetes, or (iii) lean/normal weight with two or more metabolic components. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs).

RESULTS

Of 197 346 participants, 66 149 had MAFLD; 19 149, 44 475, and 2525 fulfilled diabetes (regardless of overweight), overweight alone, and lean/normal weight with two or more metabolic components, respectively. During follow-up (median 7 years), 13 771 developed HCC. Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease was independently associated with increased risk of HCC, with aHR of 1.36 (p < 0.001). Propensity score matching confirmed the same phenomena, with aHR of 1.37 (p < 0.001). Furthermore, when stratified by liver cirrhosis and/or antiviral therapy, independent significances of MAFLD for HCC risk were maintained (all p < 0.001). Compared with the persistent non-MAFLD subgroup during the entire follow-up, diagnosis of MAFLD from at least one health examination significantly increased HCC risk with aHRs of 1.41, 1.37, and 1.14 among subgroups with persistent MAFLD, MAFLD to non-MAFLD, and non-MAFLD to MAFLD, respectively (all p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease consistently increases HCC risk among CHB patients. Further studies are needed to develop an effective preventive strategy through control of metabolic health.

New Evidence of Oral Branched-Chain Amino Acid Supplementation on the Prognosis of Patients With Advanced Liver Disease

INTRODUCTION

Oral branched-chain amino acids (BCAAs) might benefit patients with advanced liver disease. We assess its effects on prognosis compared with control from the meta-analysis.

METHODS

Study end points were development of hepatic encephalopathy (HE), hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), mortality, and overall liver-related events (LREs). Risk ratios (RRs) and hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated using random effects model and heterogeneity using I 2 statistic.

RESULTS

Twenty-eight studies were included in this meta-analysis; 1,578 and 1,727 patients in oral BCAAs and control groups, respectively. From studies using RRs as outcome measures, oral BCAAs were better in preventing HE and LRE than controls, with RRs 0.684 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.497-0.941; P = 0.019) and 0.788 (95% CI 0.585-0.810; P < 0.001), respectively. Oral BCAAs had marginal effect on preventing HCC compared with control, with RR 0.791 (95% CI 0.619-1.011; P = 0.061); no significant difference in mortality was detected. From studies using HRs as outcome measures, oral BCAAs were superior to control in preventing LRE with adjusted HR 0.497 (95% CI 0.321-0.770; P = 0.002). In subgroups undergoing HCC resection, oral BCAAs had beneficial effect in preventing HE (RR 0.716, 95% CI 0.514-0.996; P = 0.047) and LRE (RR 0.716, 95% CI 0.595-0.860; P < 0.001).

DISCUSSION

Oral BCAAs could afford clinical benefits in reducing HE and LRE risks, especially among patients undergoing HCC resection.

ALT Is Not Associated With Achieving Subcirrhotic Liver Stiffness and HCC During Entecavir Therapy in HBV-Related Cirrhosis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

We investigated whether baseline and on-treatment alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels during entecavir (ETV) therapy are associated with achieving subcirrhotic liver stiffness (LS) and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related cirrhosis.

METHODS

We analyzed data from 347 treatment-naïve patients with HBV-related cirrhosis, who started ETV between 2006 and 2011 and were followed up for >5 years without developing HCC. The study outcomes were achieving subcirrhotic LS at 5 years of ETV, and risk of HCC development beyond 5 years of ETV. Subcirrhotic LS was defined as <12 kPa by transient elastography.

RESULTS

After 5 years of ETV, 227 (65.4%) patients achieved subcirrhotic LS. During a median follow-up of 9.2 years, 49 (14.1%) patients developed HCC beyond 5 years of ETV. ALT levels at baseline, at 1 year of ETV therapy, and 5 years of ETV therapy were not associated with the probability of achieving subcirrhotic LS at 5 years of ETV therapy or risk of HCC development beyond 5 years of ETV therapy (all P > .05). Patients achieving subcirrhotic LS at 5 years of ETV therapy had significantly lower risk of HCC development than those who did not (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.33; 95% confidence interval, 0.17-0.64; P = .001).

CONCLUSIONS

Baseline and on-treatment ALT levels were not associated with achieving subcirrhotic LS at 5 years of ETV therapy or with risk of HCC development beyond 5 years of ETV therapy in patients with HBV-related cirrhosis. Achieving subcirrhotic LS at 5 years of ETV therapy was independently associated with lower risk of HCC development beyond 5 years of ETV therapy.

Real-world clinical features, health-care utilization, and economic burden in decompensated cirrhosis patients: A national database

BACKGROUND

Patients with decompensated cirrhosis are well known to experience morbidity and mortality.

AIM

We assessed clinical characteristics, health-care utilization, and economic burden according to the type, number, and combination of decompensation-related complications.

METHODS

We used recent nationally representative sample data from 2016 to 2018, covering approximately 13% of hospitalized patients in South Korea annually. Decompensation-related complications included ascites, hepatic encephalopathy (HE), gastroesophageal variceal (GEV) bleeding, and hepatorenal syndrome (HRS).

RESULTS

Among 14 601 patients with decompensated cirrhosis, 11 201 (76.7%) experienced ≥ 1 decompensation-related complications, and approximately three-quarters underwent hospitalization. The most prevalent decompensation-related complications were ascites (54.8%), GEV bleeding (33.2%), HE (27.4%), and HRS (3.6%). Patients with GEV bleeding exhibited the highest hospitalization rate (95.7%), and patients with HE or HRS underwent hospitalization for 4 weeks/year due to decompensated cirrhosis. Hospitalization costs were 1.9 times higher in patients with HRS than in those with ascites alone ($9022 vs $4673; P < 0.01). Once patients developed decompensation-related complications, 41.3% had ≥ 2 types of decompensation-related complications. As the number of decompensation-related complications increased from 0 to ≥ 3, health-care utilization and economic burden significantly increased in a stepwise manner; patients with ascites, GEV bleeding, and HE visited medical institutions 2.2 times more (11 vs 5/year; P < 0.01) and incurred 6.4 times greater medical expenditure ($11 060 vs $1728/year; P < 0.01) than those with ascites only.

CONCLUSION

A substantial proportion of patients had multiple decompensation-related complications and socioeconomic burdens for decompensated cirrhosis considering admission rate, hospital stay, and costs increased markedly, depending on the number of decompensation-related complications.

Prognostic Impact of MAFLD Following Surgical Resection of Hepatitis B Virus-Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Nationwide Cohort Study

The association between the metabolic effects of hepatic steatosis as a part of postoperative outcomes of hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has rarely been studied. This study aimed to assess the relationship between metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) and patients’ prognoses following curative resection of HBV-related HCC. Patients who underwent surgical resection for HBV-related HCC between 2009 and 2015 were recruited. The study endpoints were postoperative hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence and all-cause mortality. Adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) for the outcomes were estimated using multivariate Cox regression models. The mean age of the 2032 enrolled patients was 55.0 years, and 77.9% were men. During follow-up (median 5.3 years), HCC recurrence and all-cause mortality occurred in 954 (47.0%) and 422 (20.8%) patients, respectively. HCC recurrence and all-cause mortality were significantly associated with MAFLD, with aHRs of 1.22 (p = 0.003) and 1.44 (p < 0.001), respectively. Propensity score matching and inverse probability treatment weighting analyses confirmed similar results (p < 0.05). MAFLD was associated with significantly poor prognoses in terms of HCC recurrence and all-cause mortality following surgical resection of HBV-related HCC. Further studies are needed to develop an effective preventive strategy through the management of metabolic health.

Stent expansion evaluated by optical coherence tomography and subsequent outcomes

Background

Regarding stent expansion indexes, previous optical coherence tomography (OCT) studies have shown minimal stent area (MSA) to be most predictive of adverse events.

Purpose

We sought to evaluate the impact of various stent expansion indexes by post-stent OCT on long-term clinical outcomes, and hence to find OCT-defined optimal stent expansion criteria.

Methods

Of the patients registered in the Yonsei OCT registry, a total of 1071 patients with 1123 native coronary artery lesions treated with new-generation drug-eluting stents under the OCT guidance and analyzable final post-stent OCT were included. Stent expansion indexes and different suboptimal stent expansion criteria were evaluated for their association with device-oriented clinical endpoints (DoCE) including cardiac death, target vessel-related myocardial infarction (TVMI) or stent thrombosis, and target lesion revascularization. Major safety events (MSE) included cardiac death, TVMI or stent thrombosis.

Results

The median follow-up period was 40.6 (interquartile range 22.0–50.0) months. As a continuous variable, MSA, adaptive volumetric stent expansion (stent volume/adaptive reference lumen volume) and overall volumetric stent expansion (stent volume/post-stent lumen volume) were significantly predictive of DoCE. As a categorical criteria, MSA &lt;5.0 mm2 (hazard ratio [HR] 3.80; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.53–9.45), MSA/distal reference lumen area &lt;90% (HR 2.13; 95% CI 1.10–4.14), and overall volumetric stent expansion ≥96.6% (HR 2.38; 95% CI 1.09–5.22) were independently associated with DoCE after adjusting for confounders, and a total malapposition volume ≥7.0 mm3 (HR 3.38; 95% CI 1.05–10.93) was linked to MSE.

Conclusions

This OCT study highlights that sufficient stent expansion to achieve adequate absolute MSA and relative MSA by distal reference lumen area and alleviate significant malapposition is important to improve clinical outcome, but overall stent overexpansion may have deleterious effect.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

The impact of statin treatment intensity after endovascular revascularization for lower extremity peripheral artery disease

Purpose

There are few Asian studies on the clinical impact of statin intensity on clinical outcomes in patients with peripheral artery disease (PAD). This study investigated the clinical impact of statin intensity in patients with PAD after endovascular revascularization.

Material and methods

From April 2009 to June 2019, 376 patients with lower extremity PAD treated with endovascular revascularization were enrolled. They were classified into three groups according to statin intensity: no-statin, low-to-moderate intensity (LMI), and high-intensity (HI) groups. The primary outcomes were major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and major adverse limb events (MALE).

Results

During the 40-month follow-up, MACE occurred less in the HI and LMI groups than the no-statin group (11.4% vs. 16.0% vs. 39%, p&lt;0.001). In the adjusted Cox models, the HI group had the lowest MACE (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.347; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.144–0.834; p=0.018) and MALE (HR: 0.344; 95% CI 0.120–0.989, p=0.048), while the LMI group had fewer MACE (HR: 0.319; 95% CI 0.169–0.604, p=0.048) than the no-statin group. HI therapy was associated with better outcomes in terms of MALE (HR: 0.377; 95% CI: 0.208–0.684; p=0.001) and repeat revascularization (HR: 0.449; 95% CI: 0.243–0.830; p=0.011) than the LMI group after the inverse probability treatment weighting analysis.

Conclusions

HI and LMI statin use is associated with a significant reduction of MACE than no statin use. Regarding MALE, HI statin use was associated with better outcomes than no statin or LMI statin use.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public Institution(s). Main funding source(s): National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF) grant funded by the Korea government (MSIT) (No. 2019R1G1A1100442).

Global prevalence of depression and anxiety in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: Systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Depression and anxiety are associated with poorer outcomes in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, the prevalence of depression and anxiety in HCC are unclear. We aimed to establish the prevalence of depression and anxiety in patients with HCC.

METHODS

MEDLINE and Embase were searched and original articles reporting prevalence of anxiety or depression in patients with HCC were included. A generalized linear mixed model with Clopper-Pearson intervals was used to obtain the pooled prevalence of depression and anxiety in patients with HCC. Risk factors were analyzed via a fractional-logistic regression model.

RESULTS

Seventeen articles involving 64,247 patients with HCC were included. The pooled prevalence of depression and anxiety in patients with HCC was 24.04% (95% confidence interval [CI], 13.99-38.11%) and 22.20% (95% CI, 10.07-42.09%) respectively. Subgroup analysis determined that the prevalence of depression was lowest in studies where depression was diagnosed via clinician-administered scales (16.07%;95% CI, 4.42-44.20%) and highest in self-reported scales (30.03%; 95% CI, 17.19-47.01%). Depression in patients with HCC was lowest in the Americas (16.44%; 95% CI, 6.37-36.27%) and highest in South-East Asia (66.67%; 95% CI, 56.68-75.35%). Alcohol consumption, cirrhosis, and college education significantly increased risk of depression in patients with HCC.

CONCLUSION

One in four patients with HCC have depression, while one in five have anxiety. Further studies are required to validate these findings, as seen from the wide CIs in certain subgroup analyses. Screening strategies for depression and anxiety should also be developed for patients with HCC.

Liver Stiffness on Magnetic Resonance Elastography and the MEFIB Index and Liver-Related Outcomes in Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Individual Participants

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) is an accurate biomarker of liver fibrosis; however, limited data characterize its association with clinical outcomes. We conducted an individual participant data pooled meta-analysis on patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease to evaluate the association between liver stiffness on MRE and liver-related outcomes.

METHODS

A systematic search identified 6 cohorts of adults with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease who underwent a baseline MRE and were followed for hepatic decompensation, hepatocellular carcinoma, and death. Cox and logistic regression were used to assess the association between liver stiffness on MRE and liver-related outcomes, including a composite primary outcome defined as varices needing treatment, ascites, and hepatic encephalopathy.

RESULTS

This individual participant data pooled meta-analysis included 2018 patients (53% women) with a mean (± standard deviation) age of 57.8 (±14) years and MRE at baseline of 4.15 (±2.19) kPa, respectively. Among 1707 patients with available longitudinal data with a median (interquartile range) of 3 (4.2) years of follow-up, the hazard ratio for the primary outcome for MRE of 5 to 8 kPa was 11.0 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 7.03-17.1, P < .001) and for ≥ 8 kPa was 15.9 (95% CI: 9.32-27.2, P < .001), compared with those with MRE <5 kPa. The MEFIB index (defined as positive when MRE ≥3.3 kPa and Fibrosis-4 ≥1.6) had a robust association with the primary outcome with a hazard ratio of 20.6 (95% CI: 10.4-40.8, P < .001) and a negative MEFIB had a high negative predictive value for the primary outcome, 99.1% at 5 years. The 3-year risk of incident hepatocellular carcinoma was 0.35% for MRE <5 kPa, 5.25% for 5 to 8 kPa, and 5.66% for MRE ≥8 kPa, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Liver stiffness assessed by MRE is associated with liver-related events, and the combination of MRE and Fibrosis-4 has excellent negative predictive value for hepatic decompensation. These data have important implications for clinical practice.

Humoral Immunogenicity to SARS-CoV-2 Vaccination in Liver Transplant Recipients: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Solid organ transplant recipients generally show reduced immunogenicity to various vaccines. We aimed to assess the immunogenicity of the immune response among orthotopic liver transplant (OLT) recipients after the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) vaccination. A systematic search was performed to evaluate immunogenicity or adverse events reported after SARS-CoV-2 vaccination. The pooled analysis of 20 studies showed a humoral immune response rate of 0.70 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.63-0.77) after SARS-CoV-2 vaccination among OLT recipients. The immunogenicity among OLT recipients was significantly lower compared to the overall population and healthy controls, with odds ratios (ORs) of 0.80 and 0.69. However, it was significantly higher than that of patients receiving other organ transplants, especially kidneys, with an OR of 1.50. Male sex, old age, chronic kidney disease, obesity, and multiple or high immunosuppressant doses significantly increased the risk of unresponsiveness in patients with OLT. The overall incidence of any adverse event after vaccination was 0.68 (95% CI, 0.55-0.81), similar to that of control. OLT recipients had an overall humoral immune response rate of 70% after SARS-CoV-2 vaccination, which is lower than that of healthy controls but favourable compared to those of other solid organ transplant recipients.

Clinical characteristics and prognosis of Korean patients with hepatocellular carcinoma with respect to etiology

Background/Aim

The profile of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has changed globally; the role of etiology in predicting prognosis of HCC patients remains unclear. We aimed to analyze the characteristics and prognosis of Korean patients with HCC according to disease etiology.

Methods

This retrospective observational study included patients diagnosed with HCC between 2010 and 2014 in a single center in Korea. Patients with HCC aged <19 years old, had coinfection with other viral hepatitis, had missing follow-up data, were Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage D, or died before 1 month were excluded.

Results

A total of 1,595 patients with HCC were analyzed; they were classified into the hepatitis B virus (HBV) group (1,183 [74.2%]), hepatitis C virus (HCV) group (146 [9.2%]), and non-B non-C (NBNC) group (266 [16.7%]). The median overall survival of all patients was 74 months. The survival rates at 1, 3, and 5 years were 78.8%, 62.0% and 54.9% in the HBV group; 86.0%, 64.0%, and 48.6% in the HCV group; and 78.4%, 56.5%, and 45.9% in the NBNC group, respectively. NBNC-HCC has a poorer prognosis than other causes of HCC. Survival was significantly longer in the HBV group with early-stage HCC than in the NBNC group. Furthermore, survival was shorter in patients with early-stage HCC and diabetes mellitus (DM) than in those without DM.

Conclusions

The etiology of HCC affected clinical characteristics and prognosis to some extent. NBNC-HCC patients showed shorter overall survival than viral-related HCC patients. Additionally, the presence of DM is an additional important prognostic factor in patients with early-stage HCC.

The effect of pharmacological treatment and lifestyle modification in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease: An umbrella review of meta-analyses of randomized controlled trials

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a liver disease that affects approximately 25% of the world's population, and various treatments have been applied for NAFLD patients. We compared the effectiveness of each intervention conducted to treat NAFLD by evaluating meta-analyses of pharmacological interventions and lifestyle modification including diet and exercise. We searched Pubmed/Medline, Embase, and Cochrane Library and included meta-analyses of randomized controlled trials investigating the effects of pharmacological intervention and lifestyle modification on NAFLD. The quality of included meta-analyses was evaluated by AMSTAR-2. If the effect size was expressed as mean difference, it was converted to standardized mean difference based on the random-effects model. A total of 1694 meta-analyses were identified, and 27 meta-analyses were eventually included in the review. Regarding pharmacological interventions, there was a high strength of evidence for the ALT reduction effect of silymarin on inactive controls (SMD = 0.88, p < 0.01, seven trials, 518 participants). Meanwhile, it was confirmed that appropriate diet and exercise were important in reducing liver fat (SMD = 1.51, p < 0.01, 12 trials, 765 participants). This umbrella review assessed the effects of pharmacological interventions and lifestyle modifications in the treatment of NAFLD. The results of this review can be utilized for clinical decisions when treating NAFLD patients.

Predictive biomarkers of survival in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma receiving atezolizumab plus bevacizumab treatment

BACKGROUND

Since atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (ATE+BEV) regimen for patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) was released quite recently, real-world data are lacking. We evaluated efficacy, safety, and predictive biomarkers for survival in patients receiving ATE+BEV.

METHODS

Between 2020 and 2021, HCC patients receiving ATE+BEV at academic teaching hospitals were recruited. Treatment response was assessed using the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (version 1.1.).

RESULTS

Among 121 patients enrolled, the median age was 63 years, with male predominance (82.6%). Complete response, partial response, stable disease, and progressive disease were identified in 2.5%, 26.4%, 54.5%, and 16.6%, respectively. Patients with alpha-fetoprotein and des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) response, defined as ≥30% and ≥50% decreases, respectively, at the first response evaluation relative to baseline, and those with neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) <2.5, had significantly higher objective response rates (42.6% vs. 21.5%, 50.0% vs. 26.2%, and 39.0% vs. 19.4%, respectively; all p < 0.05). During follow-up, the median overall survival (OS) was not reached, and the median progression-free survival (PFS) was 5.7 months. Multivariable analyses showed that macrovascular invasion (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 2.541; p = 0.017), DCP ≥186 mAU/ml (aHR 5.102; p < 0.001), NLR ≥2.5 (aHR 3.584; p = 0.001), and an NLR decrease ≥10% at the first response (aHR 0.305; p = 0.002) were independent predictors of OS, and DCP ≥186 mAU (aHR 2.311; p = 0.002) and NLR ≥2.5 (aHR 1.938; p = 0.012) were independent predictors of PFS. Grade ≥3 treatment-related adverse events (AEs) occurred in 33 (27.3%) patients.

CONCLUSION

ATE+BEV showed favorable efficacy and safety. Baseline high DCP and NLR may be useful prognostic predictors for OS and PFS.

Co-administration of ursodeoxycholic acid with rosuvastatin/ezetimibe in a non-alcoholic fatty liver disease model

Background

Ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA), statins, and ezetimibe (EZE) have demonstrated beneficial effects against non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). We investigated the efficacy of the combination of UDCA and the mix of rosuvastatin (RSV)/EZE in the treatment of NAFLD.

Methods

NAFLD mouse models were developed by injecting thioacetamide, fasting, and high-carbohydrate refeeding, high-fat diet, and choline-deficient L-amino acid-defined high-fat diet (CDAHFD). Low-dose UDCA (L-UDCA; 15 mg/kg) or high-dose UDCA (H-UDCA; 30 mg/kg) was administered with RSV/EZE. We also employed an in vitro model of NAFLD developed using palmitic acid-treated Hepa1c1c7 cells.

Results

Co-administration of RSV/EZE with UDCA significantly decreased the collagen accumulation, serum alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels, and mRNA levels of fibrosis-related markers than those observed in the vehicle group in thioacetamide-treated mice (all P < 0.01). In addition, in the group fasted and refed with a high-carbohydrate diet, UDCA/RSV/EZE treatment decreased the number of apoptotic cells and serum ALT levels compared with those observed in the vehicle group (all P < 0.05). Subsequently, H-UDCA/RSV/EZE treatment decreased the number of ballooned hepatocytes and stearoyl-CoA desaturase 1 (SCD-1) mRNA levels (P = 0.027) in the liver of high-fat diet-fed mice compared with those observed in the vehicle group. In the CDAHFD-fed mouse model, UDCA/RSV/EZE significantly attenuated collagen accumulation and fibrosis-related markers compared to those observed in the vehicle group (all P < 0.05). In addition, UDCA/RSV/EZE treatment significantly restored cell survival and decreased the protein levels of apoptosis-related markers compared to RSV/EZE treatment in palmitic acid-treated Hepa1c1c7 cells (all P < 0.05).

Conclusion

Combination therapy involving UDCA and RSV/EZE may be a novel strategy for potent inhibition of NAFLD progression.