Effect of End-Stage Renal Disease Prospective Payment System on Utilization of Peritoneal Dialysis in Patients with Kidney Allograft Failure

INTRODUCTION

The Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) introduced an End Stage Renal Disease (ESRD) Prospective Payment System (PPS) in 2011 to increase the utilization of home dialysis modalities, including peritoneal dialysis (PD). Several studies have shown a significant increase in PD utilization after PPS implementation. However, its impact on patients with kidney allograft failure remains unknown.

METHODS

We conducted an interrupted time series (ITS) analysis using data from the United States Renal Data System (USRDS) that include all adult kidney transplant recipients with allograft failure who started dialysis between 2005 and 2019. We compared the PD utilization in the pre-PPS period (2005-2010) to the fully implemented post-PPS period (2014 - 2019) for early (within 90 days) and late (91-365 days) PD experience.

RESULTS

27507 adult recipients with allograft failure started dialysis during the study period. There was no difference in early PD utilization between the pre-PPS and the post-PPS period in either immediate change (0.3% increase; 95%CI: -1.95%, 2.54%; p=0.79) or rate of change over time (0.28% increase per year; 95%CI: -0.16%, 0.72%; p=0.18). Subgroup analyses revealed a trend toward higher PD utilization post-PPS in for-profit and large-volume dialysis units. There was a significant increase in PD utilization in the post-PPS period in units with low PD experience in the pre-PPS period. Similar findings were seen for the late PD experience.

CONCLUSION

PPS did not significantly increase the overall utilization of PD in patients initiating dialysis after allograft failure.

Multiplicative Impact of Adverse Social Determinants of Health on Outcomes in Lupus Nephritis: A Meta-analysis and Systematic Review

BACKGROUND

Social determinants of health (SDoH) likely contribute to outcome disparities in lupus nephritis (LN). Understanding the overall burden and contribution of each domain could guide future health-equity focused interventions to improve outcomes and reduce disparities in LN. Objectives of this meta-analysis were to: 1) determine the association of overall SDoH and specific SDoH domains on LN outcomes, and 2) develop a framework for the multidimensional impact of SDoH on LN outcomes.

METHODS

We performed a comprehensive search of studies measuring associations between SDoH and LN outcomes. We examined pooled odds of poor LN outcomes including mortality, end-stage kidney disease, or cardiovascular disease in patients with and without adverse SDoH. Additionally, we calculated the pooled odds ratios of outcomes by four SDoH domains: individual (e.g., insurance), healthcare (e.g., fragmented care), community (e.g., neighborhood socioeconomic status), and health behaviors (e.g., smoking).

RESULTS

Among 531 screened studies, 31 met inclusion and 13 studies with raw data were included in meta-analysis. Pooled odds of poor outcomes, were 1.47-fold higher in patients with any adverse SDoH. Patients with adverse SDoH in individual and healthcare domains had 1.64-fold and 1.77-fold higher odds of poor outcomes. We found a multiplicative impact of having ≥2 adverse SDoH on LN outcomes. Patients of Black Race with public insurance and fragmented care had 12-fold higher odds of poor LN outcomes.

CONCLUSION

Adverse SDoH is associated with poor LN outcomes. Having ≥2 adverse SDoH, specifically in different SDoH domains, had a multiplicative impact leading to worse LN outcomes, widening disparities.

Association of risk stratification score with dialysis vascular access stenosis

BACKGROUNDS

Clinical monitoring is the recommended standard for identifying dialysis access dysfunction; however, clinical monitoring requires skill and training, which is challenging for understaffed clinics and overburdened healthcare personnel. A vascular access risk stratification score was recently proposed to assist in detecting dialysis access dysfunction.

PURPOSE

Our objective was to evaluate the utility of using vascular access risk scores to assess venous stenosis in hemodialysis vascular accesses.

METHODS

We prospectively enrolled adult patients who were receiving hemodialysis through an arteriovenous access and who had a risk score ⩽3 (low-risk) or ⩾8 (high-risk). We compared the occurrence of access stenosis (>50% on ultrasonography or angiography) between low-risk and high-risk groups and assessed clinical monitoring results for each group.

RESULTS

Of the 38 patients analyzed (18 low-risk; 20 high-risk), 16 (42%) had significant stenosis. Clinical monitoring results were positive in 39% of the low-risk and 60% of the high-risk group (p = 0.19). The high-risk group had significantly higher occurrence of stenosis than the low-risk group (65% vs 17%; p = 0.003). Sensitivity and specificity of a high score for identifying stenosis were 81% and 68%, respectively. The positive predictive value of a high-risk score was 65%, and the negative predictive value was 80%. Only 11 (58%) of 19 subjects with positive clinical monitoring had significant stenosis. In a multivariable model, the high-risk group had seven-fold higher odds of stenosis than the low-risk group (aOR = 7.38; 95% CI, 1.44-37.82; p = 0.02). Positive clinical monitoring results and previous stenotic history were not associated with stenosis. Every unit increase in the score was associated with 34% higher odds of stenosis (aOR = 1.34; 95% CI, 1.05-1.70; p = 0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

A calculated risk score may help predict the development of hemodialysis vascular access stenosis and may provide a simple and reliable objective measure for risk stratification.

Receipt of rheumatology care and lupus-specific labs among young adults with systemic lupus erythematosus: A US Medicare retention in care cohort study

OBJECTIVE

In systemic lupus erythematosus, poor disease outcomes occur in young adults, patients identifying as Black or Hispanic, and socioeconomically disadvantaged patients. These identities and social factors differentially shape care access and quality that contribute to lupus health disparities in the US. Thus, our objective was to measure markers of care access and quality, including rheumatology visits (longitudinal care retention) and lupus-specific serology testing, by race and ethnicity, neighborhood disadvantage, and geographic context.

METHODS

This cohort study used a geo-linked 20% national sample of young adult Medicare beneficiaries (ages 18-35) with lupus-coded encounters and a 1-year assessment period. Retention in lupus care required a rheumatology visit in each 6-month period, and serology testing required ≥1 complement or dsDNA antibody test within the year. Multivariable logistic regression models were fit for visit-based retention and serology testing to determine associations with race and ethnicity, neighborhood disadvantage, and geography.

RESULTS

Among 1,036 young adults with lupus, 39% saw a rheumatologist every 6 months and 28% had serology testing. White beneficiaries from the least disadvantaged quintile of neighborhoods had higher visit-based retention than other beneficiaries (64% vs 30%-60%). Serology testing decreased with increasing neighborhood disadvantage quintile (aOR 0.80; 95% CI 0.71, 0.90) and in the Midwest (aOR 0.46; 0.30, 0.71).

CONCLUSION

Disparities in care, measured by rheumatology visits and serology testing, exist by neighborhood disadvantage, race and ethnicity, and region among young adults with lupus, despite uniform Medicare coverage. Findings support evaluating lupus care quality measures and their impact on US lupus outcomes.

Incidence, Risk Factors, and Outcomes of Posttransplant Erythrocytosis Among Simultaneous Pancreas-Kidney Transplant Recipients

Background

Posttransplant erythrocytosis (PTE) is a well-known complication of kidney transplantation. However, the risk and outcomes of PTE among simultaneous pancreas-kidney transplant (SPKT) recipients are poorly described.

Methods

We analyzed all SPKT recipients at our center between 1998 and 2021. PTE was defined as at least 2 consecutive hematocrit levels of >51% within the first 2 y of transplant. Controls were selected at a ratio of 3:1 at the time of PTE occurrence using event density sampling. Risk factors for PTE and post-PTE graft survival were identified.

Results

Of 887 SPKT recipients, 108 (12%) developed PTE at a median of 273 d (interquartile range, 160-393) after transplantation. The incidence rate of PTE was 7.5 per 100 person-years. Multivariate analysis found pretransplant dialysis (hazard ratio [HR]: 3.15; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.67-5.92; P < 0.001), non-White donor (HR: 2.14; 95% CI, 1.25-3.66; P = 0.01), female donor (HR: 1.50; 95% CI, 1.0-2.26; P = 0.05), and male recipient (HR: 2.33; 95% CI, 1.43-3.70; P = 0.001) to be associated with increased risk. The 108 cases of PTE were compared with 324 controls. PTE was not associated with subsequent pancreas graft failure (HR: 1.36; 95% CI, 0.51-3.68; P = 0.53) or kidney graft failure (HR: 1.16; 95% CI, 0.40-3.42; P = 0.78).

Conclusions

PTE is a common complication among SPKT recipients, even in the modern era of immunosuppression. PTE among SPKT recipients was not associated with adverse graft outcomes, likely due to appropriate management.

Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on hemodialysis access thrombosis

BACKGROUND

Delay in care of suspected stenosis or thrombosis can increase the chance of losing a functioning hemodialysis access. Access to care and resources were restricted during the COVID-19 pandemic. To evaluate the impact of the pandemic on arteriovenous fistula (AVF) and arteriovenous graft (AVG) procedures we have assessed the number and success of thrombectomies done before and during the COVID-19 pandemic.

METHODS

We examined all AVF and AVG angiograms with and without interventions, including thrombectomies, performed at a single center during April 2017-March 2021 (pre-COVID-19 era) and April 2020-March 2021 (COVID-19 era).

RESULTS

The proportion of procedures that were thrombectomies was higher during the COVID-19 era compared to the pre-COVID-19 era (13.3% vs 8.7%, p = 0.009). The proportion of thrombectomy procedures was higher during COVID-19 for AVF (8.2% vs 3.0%, p < 0.001) but there was no difference for AVG (26.5% vs 27%, p = 0.99). There was a trend toward a higher likelihood of unsuccessful thrombectomy during COVID-19 (33.3% vs 20.4%, p = 0.08).

CONCLUSIONS

More dialysis access thromboses and unsuccessful thrombectomies were noted during the COVID-19 pandemic. This difference could be due to a delay in patients getting procedures to maintain their dialysis accesses.

Twelve Thousand Kidney Transplants Over More Than 55 Y: A Single-center Experience

Background

Kidney transplant outcomes have dramatically improved since the first successful transplant in 1954. In its early years, kidney transplantation was viewed more skeptically. Today it is considered the treatment of choice among patients with end-stage kidney disease.

Methods

Our program performed its first kidney transplant in 1966 and recently performed our 12 000th kidney transplant. Here, we review and describe our experience with these 12 000 transplants. Transplant recipients were analyzed by decade of date of transplant: 1966-1975, 1976-1985, 1986-1995, 1996-2005, 2006-2015, and 2016-2022. Death-censored graft failure and mortality were outcomes of interest.

Results

Of 12 000 kidneys, 247 were transplanted from 1966 to 1975, 1147 from 1976 to 1985, 2194 from 1986 to 1995, 3147 from 1996 to 2005, 3046 from 2006 to 2015, and 2219 from 2016 to 2022 compared with 1966-1975, there were statistically significant and progressively lower risks of death-censored graft failure at 1 y, 5 y, and at last follow-up in all subsequent eras. Although mortality at 1 y was lower in all subsequent eras after 1986-1995, there was no difference in mortality at 5 y or the last follow-up between eras.

Conclusions

In this large cohort of 12 000 kidneys from a single center, we observed significant improvement in outcomes over time. Kidney transplantation remains a robust and ever-growing and improving field.

Reference Range of Hydroxychloroquine Blood Levels That Can Reduce Odds of Active Lupus and Prevent Flares

OBJECTIVE

Recent data show that lower hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) doses are associated with a two- to six-fold higher risk of lupus flares. Thus, establishing an effective reference range of HCQ blood levels with upper and lower bounds for efficacy may support individualizing HCQ dosing to prevent flares.

METHODS

HCQ levels in whole blood and Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Disease Activity Index (SLEDAI) were measured during the baseline visit and again during a standard of care routine follow-up visit. Active cross-sectional lupus at baseline was defined as SLEDAI ≥6; a within subject flare was defined as a subsequent three-point increase in SLEDAI with clinical symptoms requiring therapy change. We examined associations between active lupus and HCQ blood levels at baseline and flares and HCQ levels during 6 to 12-month routine lupus follow-up visits using mixed regression analysis.

RESULTS

Among 158 baseline patient visits, 19% had active lupus. Odds of active lupus were 71% lower in patients with levels within a 750 to 1,200 ng/mL range (adjusted odds ratio 0.29, 95% confidence interval 0.08-0.96). Using convenience sampling strategy during a pandemic, we longitudinally followed 42 patients. Among those patients, 17% flared during their follow-up visit. Maintaining HCQ levels within 750 to 1,200 ng/mL reduced the odds of a flare by 26% over a nine-month median follow-up.

CONCLUSION

An effective reference range of HCQ blood levels, 750 to 1,200 ng/mL, was associated with 71% lower odds of active lupus, and maintaining levels within this range reduced odds of flares by 26%. These findings could guide clinicians to individualize HCQ doses to maintain HCQ levels within this range to maximize efficacy.

Incidence and outcomes of fever of unknown origin after kidney transplant in the modern era

BACKGROUND

While presumably less common with modern molecular diagnostic and imaging techniques, fever of unknown origin (FUO) remains a challenge in kidney transplant recipients (KTRs). Additionally, the impact of FUO on patient and graft survival is poorly described.

METHODS

A cohort of adult KTRs between January 1, 1995 and December 31, 2018 was followed at the University of Wisconsin Hospital. Patients transplanted from January 1, 1995 to December 31, 2005 were included in the "early era"; patients transplanted from January 1, 2006 to December 31, 2018 were included in the "modern era". The primary objective was to describe the epidemiology and etiology of FUO diagnoses over time. Secondary outcomes included rejection, graft and patient survival.

RESULTS

There were 5590 kidney transplants at our center during the study window. FUO was identified in 323 patients with an overall incidence rate of .8/100 person-years. Considering only the first 3 years after transplant, the incidence of FUO was significantly lower in the modern era than in the early era, with an Incidence Rate Ratio (IRR) per 100 person-years of .48; 95% CI: .35-.63; p < .001. A total of 102 (31.9%) of 323 patients had an etiology determined within 90 days after FUO diagnosis: 100 were infectious, and two were malignancies. In the modern era, FUO remained significantly associated with rejection (HR = 44.1; 95% CI: 16.6-102; p < .001) but not graft failure (HR = 1.21; 95% CI: .68-2.18; p = .52) total graft loss (HR = 1.17; 95% CI: .85-1.62; p = .34), or death (HR = 1.17; 95% CI: .79-1.76; p = .43.

CONCLUSIONS

FUO is less common in KTRs during the modern era. Our study suggests infection remains the most common etiology. FUO remains associated with significant increases in risk of rejection, warranting further inquiry into the management of immunosuppressive medications in SOT recipients in the setting of FUO.

Automated 3D ultrasound enables novice users to measure arteriovenous fistula maturation parameters with comparable accuracy to conventional duplex by trained sonographers: Results of a benchtop study

BACKGROUND

Arteriovenous fistulae (AVF) are considered the preferred hemodialysis access but up to 50% of all AVF created in the United States never mature. Doppler ultrasound (DUS) is useful for predicting fistula maturity and impending fistula failure. DUS is resource-intensive and is associated with poor compliance rates in dialysis patients, ranging from 12% to 33%.

METHODS

EchoSure is an FDA-cleared 3D Doppler ultrasound device that automatically delivers quantitative blood flow and anatomic vascular information. The technology can be used at the bedside by personnel without formal sonographic training, nullifying limitations of traditional Duplex ultrasound imaging. This study compared the EchoSure system in the hands of inexpert personnel to a traditional expert-operated DUS for rapid assessment of a benchtop model vascular system with flow, diameter, and depth expected in a human AVF.

RESULTS

Both Duplex and EchoSure performed within the expected tolerance of ultrasound readings (35%) for volume flow, with the average error (AE) between the observed measurement and the ground truth being 8% for Duplex and 8% for EchoSure. However, the average coefficient of variation (CV) for Duplex pooled over all flow rate measurements was 17% versus 4% for EchoSure. Regarding diameter, Duplex measurements had AE of 15% with an average CV of 6% across all measurements versus EchoSure AE of 4% and average CV of 2%. Duplex and EchoSure measurements over all depths had the same AE of 2%. The two modalities were not statistically different for depth measurement (p = 0.05) but EchoSure measured closer to the ground truth for flow rate and vessel diameter (flow: p = 0.028, ρ = -0.07; diameter: p < 0.001, ρ = 0.69). The inexpert personnel using EchoSure acquired data 62% faster than the expert sonographers using the Duplex ultrasound (141 min for Duplex vs 87 min for EchoSure).

CONCLUSIONS

EchoSure may offer an accurate and convenient alternative for imaging fistulas in the clinic.

Delayed Graft Function Among Kidney Transplant Recipients Is Associated With an Increased Risk of Urinary Tract Infection and BK Viremia

Background

Delayed graft function (DGF) among deceased donor kidney transplant recipients (DDKTRs) is a well-known risk factor for allograft rejection, decreased graft survival, and increased cost. Although DGF is associated with an increased risk of rejection, it is unclear whether it also increases the risk of infection.

Methods

We reviewed all adult DDKTRs at our center between 2010 and 2018. The primary outcomes of interest were BK viremia, cytomegalovirus viremia, pneumonia, and urinary tract infection (UTI) within the first year of transplant. Additional analysis was made with censoring follow-up at the time of allograft rejection.

Results

A total of 1512 DDKTRs were included, of whom 468 (31%) had DGF. As expected, several recipient, donor, and baseline immunological characteristics differed by DGF status. After adjustment, DGF was significantly associated with an increased risk of BK viremia (hazard ratio: 1.34; 95% confidence interval, 1.0-1.81; P = 0.049) and UTI (hazard ratio: 1.70; 95% confidence interval, 1.31-2.19; P < 0.001) but not cytomegalovirus viremia or pneumonia. Associations were similar in models censored at the time of rejection.

Conclusions

DGF is associated with an increased risk of early infectious complications, mainly UTI and BK viremia. Close monitoring and appropriate management are warranted for better outcomes in this unique population.

Nontuberculous Mycobacterial Infection in Wisconsin Adults and Its Relationship to Race and Social Disadvantage

Rationale: Population-based data on the epidemiology of nontuberculosis mycobacterial (NTM) infections are limited, particularly with respect to variation in NTM infection among racial groups and socioeconomic strata. Wisconsin is one of a handful of states where mycobacterial disease is notifiable, allowing large, population-based analyses of the epidemiology of NTM infection in this state. Objectives: To estimate the incidence of NTM infection in Wisconsin adults, describe the geographic distribution of NTM infection across the state, identify the frequency and type of infection caused by different NTM species, and investigate associations between NTM infection and demographics and socioeconomic status. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using laboratory reports of all NTM isolates from Wisconsin residents submitted to the Wisconsin Electronic Disease Surveillance System from 2011 to 2018. For the analyses of NTM frequency, multiple reports from the same individual were enumerated as separate isolates when nonidentical, collected from different sites or collected more than one year apart. Results: A total of 8,135 NTM isolates from 6,811 adults were analyzed. Mycobacterium avium complex accounted for 76.4% of respiratory isolates. The M. chelonae-abscessus group was the most common species isolated from skin and soft tissue. The annual incidence of NTM infection was stable over the study period (from 22.1 per 100,000 to 22.4 per 100,000). The cumulative incidence of NTM infection among Black (224 per 100,000) and Asian (244 per 100,000) individuals was significantly higher compared with that among their White counterparts (97 per 100,000). Total NTM infections were significantly more frequent (P < 0.001) in individuals from disadvantaged neighborhoods, and racial disparities in the incidence of NTM infection generally remained consistent when stratified by measures of neighborhood disadvantage. Conclusions: More than 90% of NTM infections were from respiratory sites, with the vast majority caused by M. avium complex. Rapidly growing mycobacteria predominated as skin and soft tissue pathogens and were important minor respiratory pathogens. We found a stable annual incidence of NTM infection in Wisconsin between 2011 and 2018. NTM infection occurred more frequently in non-White racial groups and in individuals experiencing social disadvantage, suggesting that NTM disease may be more frequent in these groups as well.

Total-, LDL-, and HDL-cholesterol, apolipoproteins, and triglycerides with risk of total and fatal prostate cancer in Black and White men in the ARIC study

BACKGROUND

Cholesterol reduction is considered a mechanism through which cholesterol-lowering drugs including statins are associated with a reduced aggressive prostate cancer risk. While prior cohort studies found positive associations between total cholesterol and more advanced stage and grade in White men, whether associations for total cholesterol, low (LDL)- and high (HDL)-density lipoprotein cholesterol, apolipoprotein B (LDL particle) and A1 (HDL particle), and triglycerides are similar for fatal prostate cancer and in Black men, who experience a disproportionate burden of total and fatal prostate cancer, is unknown.

METHODS

We conducted a prospective study of 1553 Black and 5071 White cancer-free men attending visit 1 (1987-1989) of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study. A total of 885 incident prostate cancer cases were ascertained through 2015, and 128 prostate cancer deaths through 2018. We estimated multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of total and fatal prostate cancer per 1-standard deviation increments and for tertiles (T1-T3) of time-updated lipid biomarkers overall and in Black and White men.

RESULTS

Greater total cholesterol concentration (HR per-1 SD = 1.25; 95% CI = 1.00-1.58) and LDL cholesterol (HR per-1 SD = 1.26; 95% CI = 0.99-1.60) were associated with higher fatal prostate cancer risk in White men only. Apolipoprotein B was nonlinearly associated with fatal prostate cancer overall (T2 vs. T1: HR = 1.66; 95% CI = 1.05-2.64) and in Black men (HR = 3.59; 95% CI = 1.53-8.40) but not White men (HR = 1.13; 95% CI = 0.65-1.97). Tests for interaction by race were not statistically significant.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings may improve the understanding of lipid metabolism in prostate carcinogenesis by disease aggressiveness, and by race while emphasizing the importance of cholesterol control.

An automated histological classification system for precision diagnostics of kidney allografts

For three decades, the international Banff classification has been the gold standard for kidney allograft rejection diagnosis, but this system has become complex over time with the integration of multimodal data and rules, leading to misclassifications that can have deleterious therapeutic consequences for patients. To improve diagnosis, we developed a decision-support system, based on an algorithm covering all classification rules and diagnostic scenarios, that automatically assigns kidney allograft diagnoses. We then tested its ability to reclassify rejection diagnoses for adult and pediatric kidney transplant recipients in three international multicentric cohorts and two large prospective clinical trials, including 4,409 biopsies from 3,054 patients (62.05% male and 37.95% female) followed in 20 transplant referral centers in Europe and North America. In the adult kidney transplant population, the Banff Automation System reclassified 83 out of 279 (29.75%) antibody-mediated rejection cases and 57 out of 105 (54.29%) T cell-mediated rejection cases, whereas 237 out of 3,239 (7.32%) biopsies diagnosed as non-rejection by pathologists were reclassified as rejection. In the pediatric population, the reclassification rates were 8 out of 26 (30.77%) for antibody-mediated rejection and 12 out of 39 (30.77%) for T cell-mediated rejection. Finally, we found that reclassification of the initial diagnoses by the Banff Automation System was associated with an improved risk stratification of long-term allograft outcomes. This study demonstrates the potential of an automated histological classification to improve transplant patient care by correcting diagnostic errors and standardizing allograft rejection diagnoses.ClinicalTrials.gov registration: NCT05306795 .

A comparison of two approaches to dynamic prediction: Joint modeling and landmark modeling

Joint modeling and landmark modeling are two mainstream approaches to dynamic prediction in longitudinal studies, that is, the prediction of a clinical event using longitudinally measured predictor variables available up to the time of prediction. It is an important research question to the methodological research field and also to practical users to understand which approach can produce more accurate prediction. There were few previous studies on this topic, and the majority of results seemed to favor joint modeling. However, these studies were conducted in scenarios where the data were simulated from the joint models, partly due to the widely recognized methodological difficulty on whether there exists a general joint distribution of longitudinal and survival data so that the landmark models, which consists of infinitely many working regression models for survival, hold simultaneously. As a result, the landmark models always worked under misspecification, which caused difficulty in interpreting the comparison. In this paper, we solve this problem by using a novel algorithm to generate longitudinal and survival data that satisfies the working assumptions of the landmark models. This innovation makes it possible for a "fair" comparison of joint modeling and landmark modeling in terms of model specification. Our simulation results demonstrate that the relative performance of these two modeling approaches depends on the data settings and one does not always dominate the other in terms of prediction accuracy. These findings stress the importance of methodological development for both approaches. The related methodology is illustrated with a kidney transplantation dataset.

Age-Stratified 30-day Rehospitalization and Mortality and Predictors of Rehospitalization Among Patients With Systemic Lupus Erythematosus: A Medicare Cohort Study

OBJECTIVE

Recent studies suggest young adults with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) have high 30-day readmission rates, which may necessitate tailored readmission reduction strategies. To aid in risk stratification for future strategies, we measured 30-day rehospitalization and mortality rates among Medicare beneficiaries with SLE and determined rehospitalization predictors by age.

METHODS

In a 2014 20% national Medicare sample of hospitalizations, rehospitalization risk and mortality within 30 days of discharge were calculated for young (aged 18-35 yrs), middle-aged (aged 36-64 yrs), and older (aged 65+ yrs) beneficiaries with and without SLE. Multivariable generalized estimating equation models were used to predict rehospitalization rates among patients with SLE by age group using patient, hospital, and geographic factors.

RESULTS

Among 1.39 million Medicare hospitalizations, 10,868 involved beneficiaries with SLE. Hospitalized young adult beneficiaries with SLE were more racially diverse, were living in more disadvantaged areas, and had more comorbidities than older beneficiaries with SLE and those without SLE. Thirty-day rehospitalization was 36% among young adult beneficiaries with SLE-40% higher than peers without SLE and 85% higher than older beneficiaries with SLE. Longer length of stay and higher comorbidity risk score increased odds of rehospitalization in all age groups, whereas specific comorbid condition predictors and their effect varied. Our models, which incorporated neighborhood-level socioeconomic disadvantage, had moderate-to-good predictive value (C statistics 0.67-0.77), outperforming administrative data models lacking comprehensive social determinants in other conditions.

CONCLUSION

Young adults with SLE on Medicare had very high 30-day rehospitalization at 36%. Considering socioeconomic disadvantage and comorbidities provided good prediction of rehospitalization risk, particularly in young adults. Young beneficiaries with SLE with comorbidities should be a focus of programs aimed at reducing rehospitalizations.

Pre-transplant hypoalbuminemia is not associated with worse short-term outcomes among kidney transplant recipients

INTRODUCTION

Serum albumin is an indicator of overall health status, but it remains unclear how pre-transplant hypoalbuminemia is associated with early post-transplant outcomes.

METHODS

This study included all adult kidney transplant recipients (KTRs) at our center from 01/01/2001-12/31/2017 with serum albumin measured within 30 days before transplantation. KTRs were grouped based on pretransplant albumin level normal (≥4.0 g/dL), mild (≥3.5 - < 4.0g/dL), moderate (≥3.0 - < 3.5g/dL), or severe hypoalbuminemia (<3.0g/dL). Outcomes of interest included: length of hospital stay (LOS), readmission within 30 days, delayed graft function(DGF), and re-operation related to post-transplant surgical complications. We also analyzed rejection, graft failure, and death within 6 months post-transplant.

RESULTS

A total of 2807 KTRs were included 43.6% had normal serum albumin, 35.3% mild, 16.6% moderate, and 4.5% severe hypoalbuminemia. Mild and moderate hypoalbuminemia were associated with a shorter LOS by 1.22 (p < 0.001) and 0.80 days (p = 0.01), respectively, compared to normal albumin. Moderate (HR: 0.58; 95% CI: 0.37-0.91; p = 0.02) and severe hypoalbuminemia (HR: 0.21; 95% CI: 0.07-0.68; p = 0.01) were associated with significantly lower rates of acute rejection within 6 months post-transplant.

CONCLUSION

Patients with pre-transplant hypoalbuminemia have post-transplant outcomes similar to those with normal serum albumin, but with a lower risk of acute rejection based on the degree of hypoalbuminemia.

Seasonal variation of cytomegalovirus disease in kidney transplant recipients

PURPOSE

Studies conducted in the northern United States found cytomegalovirus (CMV) disease after liver transplantation follows a seasonal pattern, with increased incidence in fall and winter. This has not been evaluated in kidney transplant recipients. Improved understanding of CMV seasonality may help guide use of preventative therapies.

METHODS

We evaluated adult patients receiving a kidney transplant at our center in Wisconsin from January 1, 1995 to December 31, 2018. CMV event was defined as quantifiable viral replication with clinical signs or symptoms suspicious for CMV per current consensus recommendations. Seasons were divided as follows: winter (December-February), spring (March-May), summer (June-August), and fall (September-November). The primary objective was to evaluate the annual distribution of CMV disease and determine whether this differed by season.

RESULTS

There were 6151 kidney transplants in the study period. A total of 913 patients had 1492 episodes of CMV. Median time from transplant to first detection was 5.51 months (interquartile range [IQR] 2.87-11.7). The observed overall incidence exceeded the expected incidence in winter (+.7%), spring (+5.5%), and fall (+3.4%) and was less than expected in summer (-9.5%) (p = .18). The incidence of CMV during summer, however, was 21% less than expected (p = .001) in recipients who were CMV positive (R+) at the time of transplantation. No such difference was observed in CMV negative recipients (R-; p = .58).

CONCLUSION

CMV after kidney transplant appears to be less common during the summer season in patients who were R+ at transplant but does not follow seasonal variation in R-. Reasons for this are unclear but are likely related to CMV-specific cell-mediated immunity. These findings may have clinical implications, particularly the use of non-pharmacologic strategies to improve response to antiviral therapy.

Analysis of individual components of frailty: Pre-transplant grip strength is the strongest predictor of post kidney transplant outcomes

Frailty is commonly assessed during kidney transplant recipient (KTR) evaluation. However, individual frailty components may have varying impact on post-transplant outcomes. In this single-center study of 825 KTRs, we determined the association between the individual components of a modified Fried frailty score and delayed graft function (DGF), early hospital readmission (EHR), cardiovascular (CV) events, acute rejection (AR), death censored graft failure (DCGF), and death. Sum frailty ≥3 was significantly associated with EHR (aOR = 3.62; 95% CI: 1.21-10.80). Among individual components, only grip strength was significantly associated with EHR (aOR = 1.54; 95% CI: 1.03-2.31). The addition of grip strength to a model with the other four components resulted in Net Reclassification Improvement (NRI) of 20.51% (p = .01). Similarly, only grip strength was significantly associated with CV events (aOR = 1.79; 95% CI: 1.12-2.86). The addition of grip strength to a model with the other four components resulted in NRI of 27.37% (p = .006). No other frailty components were associated with the outcomes of interest. Based on our findings, handgrip strength may be an important tool while assessing frailty, mainly predicting early readmission and cardiovascular events post-transplant.

Multidisciplinary Lupus Nephritis Clinic Reduces Time to Renal Biopsy and Improves Care Quality

Objective

Patients with lupus nephritis (LN) have a 26‐fold higher mortality rate compared with their peers. Kidney biopsy, the gold standard diagnostic method for LN, may have an average wait time of more than 50 days. Other gaps in quality process measures during LN visits have also been reported. A subspecialty multidisciplinary clinic (MDC) can provide better care and quality in LN; therefore, we aimed to examine how an LN MDC impacted time to biopsy, time to treatment, and other quality measures.

Methods

We included all validated patients with LN who underwent diagnostic kidney biopsies between the 2011 to 2017 pre‐MDC period and the 2018 to 2020 post‐MDC period. We compared time to biopsy and treatment and quality measures between the two periods and examined factors associated with timely LN diagnosis, defined as a biopsy within 21 days.

Results

During the pre‐ and post‐MDC periods, 53 and 21 patients with LN underwent a diagnostic biopsy, respectively. We found a decrease in the median time to biopsy from 26 days to 16 days after starting the LN clinic (P = 0.014). Beyond clinical factors, the presence of social factors, such as being of a non‐White race and having food insecurity, were associated with 54% lower odds of timely diagnosis (adjusted Hazards Ratio [aHR] = 0.46; 95% confidence interval: 0.22‐0.93; P = 0.031). We found higher odds of quality measure performance during the post‐ versus pre‐MDC period.

Conclusion

Wait times to diagnose LN decreased by 40% and higher quality measure performance was noted after establishing an LN MDC. Systemic and social barriers predicted delays in diagnosis that may be addressed by MDCs.

Development and validation of a risk score to prioritize patients for evaluation of access stenosis

Background

Access flow dysfunction, often associated with stenosis, is a common problem in hemodialysis access and may result in progression to thrombosis. Timely identification of accesses in need of evaluation is critical to preserving a functioning access. We hypothesized that a risk score using measurements obtained from the Vasc‐Alert surveillance device could be used to predict subsequent interventions.

Methods

Measurement of five factors over the preceding 28 days from 1.46 million hemodialysis treatments (6163 patients) were used to develop a score associated with interventions over the subsequent 60 days. The score was validated in a separate dataset of 298,620 treatments (2641 patients).

Results

Interventions in arteriovenous fistulae (AVF; n = 4125) were much more common in those with the highest score (36.2%) than in those with the lowest score (11.0). The score also was strongly associated with interventions in patients with an arteriovenous graft (AVG; n = 2,038; 43.2% vs. 21.1%). There was excellent agreement in the Validation datasets for AVF (OR = 2.67 comparing the highest to lowest score) and good agreement for AVG (OR = 1.92).

Conclusions

This simple risk score based on surveillance data may be useful for prioritizing patients for physical examination and potentially early referral for intervention.

The clinical value of donor-derived cell-free DNA measurements in kidney transplantation

Early diagnosis is critical to minimizing the damage rejection can do to the transplanted kidney. Donor-derived cell-free DNA (dd-cfDNA) represents non-encapsulated fragmented DNA that is continuously shed into the bloodstream from the allograft undergoing injury, with a half-life of about 30 min. This article reviews the available evidence regarding the diagnostic value of dd-cfDNA in kidney transplantation, as a result of which two assays, Allosure and Prospera, have garnered Medicare approval. We provide information on important scenarios and contexts including antibody-mediated rejection, T-cell mediated rejection, pre-test probability of rejection, timing of the test, repeat transplants, and background cell-free DNA levels to help our understanding of the test characteristics and utility of these assays in clinical practice. Data on multimodality assays including gene expression profiles and serial monitoring of dd-cfDNA in high risk situations are emerging.

Low dialysis potassium bath is associated with lower mortality in end-stage renal disease patients admitted to hospital with severe hyperkalemia

Background

Hyperkalemia is a modifiable risk factor for sudden cardiac death, a leading cause of mortality in hemodialysis (HD) patients. The optimal treatment of hyperkalemia in hospitalized end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients is nonexistent in literature, which has prompted studies from outpatient dialysis to be extrapolated to inpatient care. The goal of this study was to determine if low-potassium dialysate 1 mEq/L is associated with higher mortality in hospitalized ESRD patients with severe hyperkalemia (serum potassium >6.5 mmol/L).

Methods

We conducted a retrospective study of all adult ESRD patients admitted with severe hyperkalemia between January 2011 and August 2016.

Results

There were 209 ESRD patients on HD admitted with severe hyperkalemia during the study period. Mean serum potassium was 7.1 mmol/L. In-hospital mortality or cardiac arrest in ESRD patients with severe hyperkalemia was 12.4%. Median time to dialysis after serum potassium result was 2.0 h (25, 75 interquartile range 0.9, 4.2 h). Totally, 47.4% of patients received dialysis with 1 mEq/L concentration potassium bath. The use of 1 mEq/L potassium bath was associated with significantly lower mortality or cardiac arrest in ESRD patients admitted with severe hyperkalemia (odds ratio 0.27, 95% confidence interval 0.09–0.80, P = 0.01).

Conclusion

We conclude that use of 1 mEq/L potassium bath for treatment of severe hyperkalemia (>6.5 mmol/L) in hospitalized ESRD patients is associated with decreased in-hospital mortality or cardiac arrest.

Arteriovenous Access Type and Risk of Mortality, Hospitalization, and Sepsis Among Elderly Hemodialysis Patients: A Target Trial Emulation Approach

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

Evidence is mixed regarding the optimal choice of the first permanent vascular access for elderly patients receiving hemodialysis (HD). Lacking data from randomized controlled trials, we used a target trial emulation approach to compare arteriovenous fistula (AVF) versus arteriovenous graft (AVG) creation among elderly patients receiving HD.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

Elderly patients included in the US Renal Data System who initiated HD with a catheter and had an AVF or AVG created within 6 months of starting HD.

EXPOSURE

Creation of an AVF versus an AVG as the incident arteriovenous access.

OUTCOMES

All-cause mortality, all-cause and cause-specific hospitalization, and sepsis.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Target trial emulation approach, high-dimensional propensity score and inverse probability of treatment weighting, and instrumental variable analysis using the proclivity of the operating physician to create a fistula as the instrumental variable.

RESULTS

A total of 19,867 patients were included, with 80.1% receiving an AVF and 19.9% an AVG. In unweighted analysis, AVF creation was associated with significantly lower risks of mortality and hospitalization, especially within 6 months after vascular access creation. In inverse probability of treatment weighting analysis, AVF creation was associated with lower incidences of mortality and hospitalization within 6 months after creation (hazard ratios of 0.82 [95% CI, 0.75-0.91] and 0.82 [95% CI, 0.78-0.87] for mortality and all-cause hospitalization, respectively), but not between 6 months and 3 years after access creation. No association between AVF creation and mortality, sepsis, or all-cause, cardiovascular disease-related, or infection-related hospitalization was found in instrumental variable analyses. However, AVF creation was associated with a lower risk of access-related hospitalization not due to infection.

LIMITATIONS

Potential for unmeasured confounding, analyses limited to elderly patients, and absence of data on actual access use during follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

Using observational data to emulate a target randomized controlled trial, the type of initial arteriovenous access created was not associated with the risks of mortality, sepsis, or all-cause, cardiovascular disease-related, or infection-related hospitalization among elderly patients who initiated HD with a catheter.

Post-kidney transplant serum magnesium exhibits a U-shaped association with subsequent mortality: an observational cohort study

Hypomagnesemia is common in kidney transplant recipients (KTRs). We sought to explore the relationship between Mg and outcomes in KTRs, which may be associated with mortality and thus may be a potential intervention target to improve outcomes. We followed KTRs performed between 01/2000 and 6/2016 at a large US transplant center from 6 months post-transplant to graft failure, death, or loss to follow-up. Using Mg as a time-dependent variable, associations between Mg and outcomes any time after 6 months post-transplant were evaluated. 3680 KTRs with 50  413 Mg measurements met inclusion criteria. 657 deaths occurred over a median follow-up of 5.1 years. Compared to Mg of 1.5-1.8 mg/dl, both lower (HR 1.17, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.07-1.28) and higher (HR 1.16, 95% CI: 1.09-1.23) Mg levels were associated with greater risk of mortality. Similar U-shaped associations were observed for Mg and cardiovascular disease-related mortality (HR for Mg ≤1.5 mg/dl: 1.31; CI: 1.03-1.68) and infection-related mortality (HR for Mg ≤1.5 mg/dl: 1.28; CI: 1.09-1.51), although relationships for Mg >1.8 mg/dl were not statistically significant. Mg exhibits a U-shaped association with mortality in KTRs, with levels between 1.5 and 1.8 mg/dl associated with the lowest risk.

Graft Function Variability and Slope and Kidney Transplantation Outcomes

Introduction

It is critical to identify kidney transplant recipients (KTRs) at higher risk for adverse outcomes, to focus on monitoring and interventions to improve outcomes. We examined the associations between graft function variability and long-term outcomes in KTRs in an observational study.

Methods

We identified 2919 KTRs in the Wisconsin Allograft Recipient Database (WisARD) who had a functioning allograft 2 years posttransplantation and at least 3 outpatient measurements of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) from 1 to 2 years posttransplantation. Graft function slope was calculated from a linear regression of eGFR, and variability was defined as the coefficient of variation around this regression line. Associations of eGFR variability and slope with death, graft failure, cardiovascular events, and acute rejection were estimated.

Results

Compared to the lowest quartile, the highest quartile of eGFR variability was associated with a higher risk of death (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] = 1.85; 95% CI = 1.23−2.76), but not with a higher risk of graft failure (subhazard ratio = 1.16; 95% CI = 0.85−1.58), independent of eGFR and slope of eGFR. Greater eGFR variability was associated with higher risk of cardiovascular- and infection-related death and cardiovascular events but not malignancy-related death or allograft rejection. Including variability of eGFR significantly improved prediction of mortality but not prediction of graft failure.

Conclusion

Variability of eGFR is independently associated with risk of death, especially cardiovascular disease−related death and cardiovascular events, but not graft failure. Variability of eGFR may help identify KTRs at higher risk for death and cardiovascular events.

Gender differences in peritoneal dialysis initiation in the US end-stage renal disease population

BACKGROUND

Overall, a disproportionately small number of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients start peritoneal dialysis (PD) in the United States compared to hemodialysis. Little is known about whether gender has an effect on the initial modality of renal replacement therapy utilized by patients; however, prior studies have demonstrated gender disparities in the diagnosis and treatment of various other health conditions, including kidney disease.

METHODS

Using data from the United States Renal Data System (USRDS), we estimated the proportion of patients utilizing PD as their initial dialysis modality between 2000 and 2014, adjusting estimates to the mean value of all covariates and compared these estimates for women and men.

RESULTS

We found that 7.9% of women and 7.5% of men used PD as their initial dialysis modality. The unadjusted odds ratio (OR) of women initiating PD as their initial modality compared to men was 1.04 (95% CI 1.02-1.05, p < 0.001). After adjustment for age, race, ethnicity, cause of ESRD, number of comorbidities, income, employment status, and timing of referral to nephrology, the difference was even more significant, with women being 12% (OR 1.12, CI 1.10-1.14, p < 0.001) more likely to initiate PD than men. However, within different subgroups, older women and women with higher number of comorbidities were less likely to be on PD than their male counterparts.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results indicate that gender plays a role in the initial dialysis modality used by patients and providers should be cognizant of these gender differences. Further studies are needed to ascertain the cause of this observed difference.

Outcomes of Delayed Graft Function in Kidney Transplant Recipients Stratified by Histologic Biopsy Findings

Delayed graft function (DGF) after kidney transplantation is associated with an increased risk of graft failure. We studied the histologic findings among adult kidney transplant recipients transplanted between January 2000 and June 2015 who had DGF and had a kidney biopsy within 14 days of transplant. Death censored graft failure (DCGF) and death at 1 and 3 years after transplant were examined. A total of 269 transplant recipients fulfilled our selection criteria, of which 152 (56.51%) had acute tubular necrosis (ATN), 44 (16.4%) had acute rejection (AR), mainly T-cell mediated rejection (n = 31), 35 (13%) had ATN with AR (mainly T-cell mediated rejection, n = 26), and 38 (14.1%) had other pathology. Compared with those with ATN alone, kidney transplant recipients with AR alone had a significantly higher risk of DCGF at 1 year post transplant (adjusted hazard ratio = 3.70; 95% confidence interval 1.5-9.5; P = .006). Those with AR alone had an increased risk of DCGF at 3 years post transplant (hazard ratio = 3.10; 95% confidence interval 1.3-8.5; P = .01) in crude analyses. There was no association between DGF etiology and mortality. Early renal biopsy can be used to distinguish AR, which has protocolized treatments, from other etiologies. This could potentially alter allograft survival within 1 year of transplant complicated by DGF.

Long-term outcomes in kidney transplant recipients with end-stage kidney disease due to anti-glomerular basement membrane disease

Anti-glomerular basement membrane (GBM) disease causes rapidly progressive glomerulonephritis and end-stage kidney disease (ESKD). Studies of post-transplant outcomes in patients with ESKD due to anti-GBM disease in the United States are lacking. To better characterize outcomes of transplant recipients with a history of anti-GBM disease, we examined patient survival and graft survival among recipients with anti-GBM disease compared with IgA nephropathy at a single center in the United States. We analyzed patient survival, graft survival, disease recurrence, and malignancy rates for kidney transplant recipients with ESKD due to biopsy-proven anti-GBM disease who underwent kidney transplantation at our center between 1994 and 2015. 26 patients with biopsy-proven anti-GBM disease and 314 patients with IgAN underwent kidney transplantation from 1994 to 2015. The incidence of graft loss was 6.2 per 100 person-years for anti-GBM disease, which was similar to IgAN (4.08 per 100 person-years, p = .09). Patient mortality for anti-GBM was 0.03 per 100 person-years, similar to IgAN (0.02 per 100 person-years, p = .12). Disease recurrence occurred in one of the 26 anti-GBM patients. Four out of 26 patients (15%) developed malignancy, most commonly skin cancer. Long-term graft and patient survival for patients with ESKD due to anti-GBM was similar to IgAN after kidney transplantation.

Long-Term Outcomes and Prognostic Factors in Kidney Transplant Recipients with Polycystic Kidney Disease

Background

Polycystic kidney disease (PKD) accounts for approximately 15% of kidney transplants, but long-term outcomes in patients with PKD who have received a kidney transplant are not well understood.

Methods

In primary recipients of kidney transplants at our center (1994-2014), we compared outcomes of underlying PKD (N=619) with other native diseases (non-PKD, N=4312). Potential factors influencing outcomes in PKD were evaluated using Cox proportional-hazards regression and a rigorous multivariable model.

Results

Patients with PKD were older and were less likely to be sensitized or to experience delayed graft function (DGF). Over a median follow-up of 5.6 years, 1256 of all recipients experienced death-censored graft failure (DCGF; 115 patients with PKD) and 1617 died (154 patients with PKD). After adjustment for demographic, dialysis, comorbid disease, surgical, and immunologic variables, patients with PKD had a lower risk of DCGF (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.73; 95% CI, 0.57 to 0.93; P=0.01) and death (aHR, 0.62; 95% CI, 0.51 to 0.75; P<0.001). In our multiadjusted model, calcineurin-inhibitor (CNI) use was associated with lower risk of DCGF (aHR, 0.45; 95% CI, 0.26 to 0.76; P=0.003), whereas HLA mismatch of five to six antigens (aHR, 2.1; 95% CI, 1.2 to 3.64; P=0.009) was associated with higher likelihood of DCGF. Notably, both pretransplant coronary artery disease (CAD) and higher BMI were associated with increased risk of death (CAD, aHR, 2.5; 95% CI, 1.69 to 3.71; P<0.001; per 1 kg/m² higher BMI, aHR, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.04 to 1.11; P<0.001), DCGF, and acute rejection. Nephrectomy at time of transplant and polycystic liver disease were not associated with DCGF/death. Incidence of post-transplant diabetes mellitus was similar between PKD and non-PKD cohorts.

Conclusions

Recipients with PKD have better long-term graft and patient survival than those with non-PKD. Standard practices of CNI use and promoting HLA match are beneficial in PKD and should continue to be promoted. Further prospective studies investigating the potential benefits of CNI use and medical/surgical interventions to address CAD and the immunologic challenges of obesity are needed.

Podcast

This article contains a podcast at https://dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/www.asn-online.org/media/podcast/K360/2021_02_25_KID0001182019.mp3.

Third-party vessel allografts in kidney and pancreas transplantation: Utilization, de novo DSAs, and outcomes

Third-party vascular allografts (VAs) are an invaluable resource in kidney and pancreas transplantation when vascular reconstruction is needed and additional vessels from the organ donor are not available. We report the largest single-center experience to date on VA use, at a high-volume U.S. transplant center. Over a 7-year period, VAs were used for vascular reconstruction of 65 kidneys and 5 pancreases, in 69 recipients. The renal vein required reconstruction more often with right kidney transplantation (72.5% vs 27.5%, P < .001), and the renal artery required reconstruction more often with left kidney transplantation (67.6% vs 32.4%, P = .003). Eleven patients (15.9%) developed anti-VA de novo HLA donor-specific antibodies (dnDSAs) at a median time after transplantation of 19.0 months. Higher number of HLA mismatches between the VA donor and the recipient, and development of anti-organ allograft dnDSAs were significant predictors of anti-VA dnDSA development. Those with anti-VA dnDSAs had a higher rate of organ allograft rejection (45.4% vs 13.8%, P = .03) compared to those without, but there was no significant difference in incidence of vascular complications or graft outcomes. VAs can help circumvent challenging surgical situations. Anti-VA dnDSAs do not adversely affect organ allograft outcomes; however, they can contribute to HLA sensitization in the recipients.

Characteristics and Graft Survival of Kidney Transplant Recipients with Renal Cell Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The incidence of renal cell carcinoma (RCC) is higher in kidney transplant recipients (KTRs) compared to the general population. However, the risk factors and outcomes based on the diagnosis of RCC after kidney transplantation are limited.

METHODS

We analyzed risk factors for the development of RCC in KTRs transplanted at our institution between 1994 and 2016. We compared the incidence of graft failure and mortality in KTRs with RCC to matched controls using 5:1 event density sampling. Identifying the risk factors of RCC and patient and graft survival were outcomes of interest.

RESULTS

There were 4,178 KTRs performed at our institution during the study period, and 51 patients were diagnosed with RCC. Recipients were followed until graft failure or death. We did not identify commonly looked at baseline characteristics associated with the risk of RCC. Comparing KTRs with RCC to matched controls, RCC patients were younger (47.5 vs. 49.6 years, p < 0.01), received basiliximab induction more commonly (p = 0.01), had hypertension and glomerulonephritis as causes of end-stage renal disease (p = 0.01), and were more likely to be smokers (p < 0.01). RCC was significantly associated with death-censored graft failure (adjusted hazard ratio [HR]: 1.76; 95% CI: 1.02-3.03; p = 0.04) but not patient death (adjusted HR: 0.95; 95% CI: 0.50-1.83; p = 0.89).

CONCLUSION

In our experience, RCC had a detrimental impact on graft survival among KTRs, highlighting the potential benefit of early diagnosis and optimal immunosuppression management in optimizing graft survival.

Delayed kidney graft function in simultaneous pancreas-kidney transplant recipients is associated with early pancreas allograft failure

Delayed graft function (DGF) is a common complication associated with significant untoward effects in kidney-alone transplantation. The incidence and outcomes following kidney delayed graft function (K-DGF) among patients undergoing simultaneous pancreas-kidney (SPK) transplantation are less certain. We analyzed SPK recipients transplanted at our center between January 1994 and December 2017. A total of 632 recipients fulfilled the selection criteria, including 69 (11%) with K-DGF and 563 without. The incidence of K-DGF was significantly higher in recipients of organs from older donors and donation after circulatory death (DCD). The presence of K-DGF was significantly associated with an increased risk of pancreas graft failure during the first 90 days (n = 9, incidence rate [IR] 2.45/100 person-months), but not with late pancreas failure (n = 32, IR 0.84/100 person-months), kidney graft failure, or patient death. Although DCD was associated with K-DGF, it was not associated with either pancreas (hazard ratio [HR] 0.91, 95% CI 0.58-1.44, P = .69) or kidney (HR 1.09, 95% CI 0.66-1.82, P = .74) graft failure after adjustment for potential confounders. We found K-DGF to be a significant risk factor for pancreas graft failure but not kidney graft failure, with the major risk period being early (<90 days) posttransplant, and the major donor risk factor being older donor age.

Serum Albumin Level Before Kidney Transplant Predicts Post-transplant BK and Possibly Cytomegalovirus Infection

Introduction

Opportunistic viral infections cause extensive morbidity and mortality in kidney transplant recipients (KTRs). Low serum albumin levels before and after transplant have been associated with negative outcomes. However, it is uncertain whether serum albumin levels before transplantation are associated with the risk for post-transplantation opportunistic BK polyomavirus (BKV) or cytomegalovirus (CMV).

Methods

We reviewed all KTRs transplanted at our institution between 1 January 2005 and 31 December 2015 with serum albumin measured within 45 days before transplantation in a retrospective observational cohort study. Selected patients were stratified into 3 groups: normal albuminemia (≥3.5 g/dl), moderate hypoalbuminemia (3.49–2.5 g/dl), and severe hypoalbuminemia (<2.5 g/dl). Patients were observed for post-transplantation BKV or CMV according to standard of care.

Results

We included 1717 patients in this study; 72.3% had normal serum albumin, 26.3% had moderate hypoalbuminemia, and 1.5% had severe hypoalbuminemia. Moderate and severe hypoalbuminemia incurred a higher risk for BKV compared with normal serum albumin levels in univariable analysis (moderate hypoalbuminemia: hazard ratio [HR] = 1.5; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.14–1.90; P = .003); severe hypoalbuminemia: HR = 2.15; 95% CI, 1.01–4.56; P = 0.05). Although not significant after multivariable adjustment, there was still 18% increased risk in moderate hypoalbuminemia and 64% in severe hypoalbuminemia for BKV compared with the normal albumin group. Moderate hypoalbuminemia was associated with a higher risk for CMV infection than normal serum albumin levels in multivariable analysis, although it was not statistically significant (HR = 1.15; 95% CI, 0.36–3.64; P = 0.81).

Conclusions

These findings suggest that pretransplantation hypoalbuminemia is associated with a higher risk for post-transplantation BKV and possibly CMV. More intense screening is warranted for these viruses in recipients with pretransplant hypoalbuminemia.

Internal and External Validation of a Machine Learning Risk Score for Acute Kidney Injury

IMPORTANCE

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is associated with increased morbidity and mortality in hospitalized patients. Current methods to identify patients at high risk of AKI are limited, and few prediction models have been externally validated.

OBJECTIVE

To internally and externally validate a machine learning risk score to detect AKI in hospitalized patients.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This diagnostic study included 495 971 adult hospital admissions at the University of Chicago (UC) from 2008 to 2016 (n = 48 463), at Loyola University Medical Center (LUMC) from 2007 to 2017 (n = 200 613), and at NorthShore University Health System (NUS) from 2006 to 2016 (n = 246 895) with serum creatinine (SCr) measurements. Patients with an SCr concentration at admission greater than 3.0 mg/dL, with a prior diagnostic code for chronic kidney disease stage 4 or higher, or who received kidney replacement therapy within 48 hours of admission were excluded. A simplified version of a previously published gradient boosted machine AKI prediction algorithm was used; it was validated internally among patients at UC and externally among patients at NUS and LUMC.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Prediction of Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes SCr-defined stage 2 AKI within a 48-hour interval was the primary outcome. Discrimination was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).

RESULTS

The study included 495 971 adult admissions (mean [SD] age, 63 [18] years; 87 689 [17.7%] African American; and 266 866 [53.8%] women) across 3 health systems. The development of stage 2 or higher AKI occurred in 15 664 of 48 463 patients (3.4%) in the UC cohort, 5711 of 200 613 (2.8%) in the LUMC cohort, and 3499 of 246 895 (1.4%) in the NUS cohort. In the UC cohort, 332 patients (0.7%) required kidney replacement therapy compared with 672 patients (0.3%) in the LUMC cohort and 440 patients (0.2%) in the NUS cohort. The AUCs for predicting at least stage 2 AKI in the next 48 hours were 0.86 (95% CI, 0.86-0.86) in the UC cohort, 0.85 (95% CI, 0.84-0.85) in the LUMC cohort, and 0.86 (95% CI, 0.86-0.86) in the NUS cohort. The AUCs for receipt of kidney replacement therapy within 48 hours were 0.96 (95% CI, 0.96-0.96) in the UC cohort, 0.95 (95% CI, 0.94-0.95) in the LUMC cohort, and 0.95 (95% CI, 0.94-0.95) in the NUS cohort. In time-to-event analysis, a probability cutoff of at least 0.057 predicted the onset of stage 2 AKI a median (IQR) of 27 (6.5-93) hours before the eventual doubling in SCr concentrations in the UC cohort, 34.5 (19-85) hours in the NUS cohort, and 39 (19-108) hours in the LUMC cohort.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this study, the machine learning algorithm demonstrated excellent discrimination in both internal and external validation, supporting its generalizability and potential as a clinical decision support tool to improve AKI detection and outcomes.

Early Report on Published Outcomes in Kidney Transplant Recipients Compared to Nontransplant Patients Infected With Coronavirus Disease 2019

BACKGROUND

Kidney transplant recipients (KTR) present unique characteristics, including disease vintage, immunosuppression, and single functioning kidneys. We conducted preliminary analyses to assess the impact of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) on outcomes in KTR compared to nontransplant patients.

METHODS

We evaluated published information in peer-reviewed journals between January 1, 2020, and April 24, 2020, with available data on acute kidney injury (AKI), renal replacement therapy (RRT), intensive care unit (ICU) stay, and death and compared clinical outcomes in KTR vs nontransplant recipients with COVID-19.

RESULTS

A total of 19 published articles were identified, including a total of 88 KTR and 5342 nontransplant patients. The sample size varied between 2 and 2634. Mean age was 58.6 years vs 58.9 years in KTR vs nontransplant patients. Patient-level incidence of AKI (27.5% vs 13.3%, P < .001), RRT (15.4% vs 3.3%, P < .001), ICU stay (34.1% vs 15.1%, P < .001), and death (22.7% vs 16.2%, P = .10) was higher in KTR, representing relative risks of 2.06 (1.44, 2.96), 4.72 (2.62, 8.51), 2.25 (1.67, 3.03), and 1.41 (0.95, 2.08), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Early results suggest that the KTR are at significantly higher risk of AKI, RRT, and ICU stay from SARS-CoV-19 infection compared to the general population. The risk of death may not be significantly different.

Associations between Proton Pump Inhibitor and Histamine-2 Receptor Antagonist and Bone Mineral Density among Kidney Transplant Recipients

BACKGROUND

In the general population, use of proton pump inhibitor (PPI) has been linked to higher risk of osteoporotic fractures. PPI is commonly prescribed in kidney transplant recipients (KTRs). However, the effect of PPI on osteoporosis in KTRs is largely unstudied.

METHODS

A total of 1,774 adult KTRs in the Wisconsin Allograft Recipient Database with at least one eligible bone mineral density (BMD) measurement at least 3 months after transplantation were included in the analyses. Associations between use of PPI and histamine-2 receptor antagonist (H2RA) at 3 months after transplantation and subsequent slope of T-score were assessed.

RESULTS

A total of 1,478 (83.3%) participants were using a PPI at 3 months after transplantation. Compared to the use of H2RA, use of PPI was not significantly associated with annualized slope of hip T-score (β = -0.0039, 95% CI -0.00497 to 0.0021) or annualized slope of spine T-score (β = -0.017, 95% CI -0.049 to 0.083) after adjustment for potential confounders. Similarly, no significant association between use of PPI and slope of T-score was observed when defining PPI/H2RA exposure as use within 6 months of the initial BMD measurement, or only including participants with at least 2 BMD measurements, or stratified by different age and sex.

CONCLUSIONS

Use of PPI was not associated with an increased rate of BMD loss in KTRs. Our results support previous findings that PPI use does not have a significant effect on bone mineral loss.

Validation of the Kidney Failure Risk Equation in Kidney Transplant Recipients

Background:

Predicting allograft failure in kidney transplant recipients can help plan renal replacement therapy and guide patient-provider communication. The kidney failure risk equation (KFRE) accurately predicts the need for dialysis in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD), but has not been validated in kidney transplant recipients.

Objective:

We sought to validate the 4-variable KFRE (age, sex, estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR], and urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio [ACR]) for prediction of 2- and 5-year death-censored allograft failure.

Design:

Retrospective cohort study.

Setting:

Four independent North American Cohorts from Ontario, Canada; Alberta, Canada; Manitoba, Canada; and Wisconsin, United States, between January 1999 and December 2017.

Patients:

Adult kidney transplant patients at 1-year posttransplantation.

Measurements:

Kidney failure risk as measured by the KFRE (eGFR, urine ACR, age, and sex).

Methods:

We included all adult patients who had at least 1 serum creatinine and at least 1 urine ACR measurement approximately 1 year following kidney transplantation. The performance of the KFRE was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (C-statistic). C-statistics from the 4 cohorts were meta-analyzed using random-effects models.

Results:

A total of 3659 patients were included. Pooled C-statistics were good in the entire population, at 0.81 (95% confidence interval: 0.72-0.91) for the 2-year KFRE and 0.73 (0.67-0.80) for the 5-year KFRE. Discrimination improved among patients with poorer kidney function (eGFR < 45 mL/min/1.73 m²), with a C-statistic of 0.88 (0.78-0.98) for the 2-year KFRE and 0.83 (0.74-0.91) for the 5-year KFRE.

Limitations:

The KFRE does not predict episodes of acute rejection and there was heterogeneity between cohorts.

Conclusions:

The KFRE accurately predicts kidney failure in kidney transplant recipients at 1-year posttransplantation. Further validation in larger cohorts with longer follow-up times can strengthen the case for clinical implementation.

KDOQI Clinical Practice Guideline for Vascular Access: 2019 Update

The National Kidney Foundation's Kidney Disease Outcomes Quality Initiative (KDOQI) has provided evidence-based guidelines for hemodialysis vascular access since 1996. Since the last update in 2006, there has been a great accumulation of new evidence and sophistication in the guidelines process. The 2019 update to the KDOQI Clinical Practice Guideline for Vascular Access is a comprehensive document intended to assist multidisciplinary practitioners care for chronic kidney disease patients and their vascular access. New topics include the end-stage kidney disease "Life-Plan" and related concepts, guidance on vascular access choice, new targets for arteriovenous access (fistulas and grafts) and central venous catheters, management of specific complications, and renewed approaches to some older topics. Appraisal of the quality of the evidence was independently conducted by using a Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) approach, and interpretation and application followed the GRADE Evidence to Decision frameworks. As applicable, each guideline statement is accompanied by rationale/background information, a detailed justification, monitoring and evaluation guidance, implementation considerations, special discussions, and recommendations for future research.

Polyomavirus and cytomegalovirus infections are risk factors for grafts loss in simultaneous pancreas and kidney transplant

BACKGROUND

Published literature on predictors of polyomavirus (BKV) and cytomegalovirus (CMV) infections in simultaneous pancreas and kidney (SPK) transplant and their impact on allograft outcomes remain sparse. We hypothesize that BKV and CMV viremia infections decrease allograft survival in SPK. Identifying modifiable predictors of BKV and CMV may help tailor immunosuppression and improve allograft survival.

METHODS

All SPK recipients at our institution between January 2000 and April 2016 were included (n = 757). Thirty-nine recipients had BKV only and 25 had CMV only, and infection occurred at median follow-up times of 217 and 163 days, respectively. Event density sampling was used to match recipients with BKV or CMV to up to 10 recipients without infection by age, sex, and HLA mismatch status, and these were followed for a median of 4.3 years after infection.

RESULTS

Older age (HR 1.49 for each decade; 95% CI: 0.95, 2.35; P = .083) and tacrolimus use (HR 20.6; 95% CI: 2.37, 179.53; P = .006) were associated with increased incidence of BKV, but not CMV, infection. Both BKV and CMV infections were associated with increased risk of allograft failure for both pancreas (BKV [HR 2.17; 95% CI 1.47, 3.208; P = .000], CMV [HR 1.7; 95% CI 1.077, 2.687; P = .023]) and kidney (BKV [HR 2.65; 95% CI 1.765, 3.984; P = .000], CMV [HR 2.07; 95% CI 1.295, 3.308; P = .002]).

CONCLUSION

Older age at time of transplant and tacrolimus may help predict BKV infection in SPK recipients.

APOL1 Long-term Kidney Transplantation Outcomes Network (APOLLO): Design and Rationale

INTRODUCTION

Much of the higher risk for end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) in African American individuals relates to ancestry-specific variation in the apolipoprotein L1 gene (APOL1). Relative to kidneys from European American deceased-donors, kidneys from African American deceased-donors have shorter allograft survival and African American living-kidney donors more often develop ESKD. The National Institutes of Health (NIH)-sponsored APOL1 Long-term Kidney Transplantation Outcomes Network (APOLLO) is prospectively assessing kidney allograft survival from donors with recent African ancestry based on donor and recipient APOL1 genotypes.

METHODS

APOLLO will evaluate outcomes from 2614 deceased kidney donor-recipient pairs, as well as additional living-kidney donor-recipient pairs and unpaired deceased-donor kidneys.

RESULTS

The United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS), Association of Organ Procurement Organizations, American Society of Transplantation, American Society for Histocompatibility and Immunogenetics, and nearly all U.S. kidney transplant programs, organ procurement organizations (OPOs), and histocompatibility laboratories are participating in this observational study. APOLLO employs a central institutional review board (cIRB) and maintains voluntary partnerships with OPOs and histocompatibility laboratories. A Community Advisory Council composed of African American individuals with a personal or family history of kidney disease has advised the NIH Project Office and Steering Committee since inception. UNOS is providing data for outcome analyses.

CONCLUSION

This article describes unique aspects of the protocol, design, and performance of APOLLO. Results will guide use of APOL1 genotypic data to improve the assessment of quality in deceased-donor kidneys and could increase numbers of transplanted kidneys, reduce rates of discard, and improve the safety of living-kidney donation.