The effect of spent coffee ground (SCG) loading, matrix ratio and biological treatment of SCG on poly(hydroxybutyrate) (PHB)/poly(lactic acid) (PLA) polymer blend

This study investigates the effects of SCG embedded into biodegradable polymer blends and aimed to formulate and characterise biomass-reinforced biocomposites using spent coffee ground (SCG) as reinforcement in PHB/PLA polymer blend. The effect of SCG filler loading and varying PHB/PLA ratios on the tensile properties and morphological characteristics of the biocomposites were examined. The results indicated that tensile properties reduction could be due to its incompatibility with the PHB/PLA matrixSCG aggregation at 40 wt% content resulted in higher void formation compared to lower content at 10 wt%. A PHB/PLA ratio of 50/50 with SCG loading 20 wt% was chosen for biocomposites with treated SCG. Biological treatment of SCG using Phanerochaete chrysosporium CK01 and Aspergillus niger DWA8 indicated P. chrysosporium CK01 necessitated a higher moisture content for optimum growth and enzyme production, whereas the optimal conditions for enzyme production (50-55 %, w/w) differed from those promoting A. niger DWA8 growth (40 %, w/w). SEM micrographs highlighted uniform distribution and effective wetting of treated SCG, resulting in improvements of tensile strength and modulus of biocomposites, respectively. The study demonstrated the effectiveness of sustainable fungal treatment in enhancing the interfacial adhesion between treated SCG and the PHB/PLA matrix.

CNS Efficacy of Osimertinib With or Without Chemotherapy in Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor-Mutated Advanced Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer

PURPOSE

We report CNS efficacy of first-line osimertinib plus chemotherapy versus osimertinib monotherapy in patients with epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR)-mutated advanced non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) from the phase III FLAURA2 study according to baseline CNS metastasis status.

METHODS

Patients were randomly assigned to osimertinib plus platinum-pemetrexed (combination) or osimertinib monotherapy until disease progression or discontinuation. Brain scans were performed in all patients at baseline and progression and at scheduled assessments until progression for patients with baseline CNS metastases; scans were assessed by neuroradiologist CNS blinded independent central review (BICR).

RESULTS

On the basis of baseline CNS BICR, 118 of 279 (combination) and 104 of 278 (monotherapy) randomly assigned patients had ≥one measurable and/or nonmeasurable CNS lesion and were included in the CNS full analysis set (cFAS); 40 of 118 and 38 of 104 had ≥one measurable target CNS lesion and were included in the post hoc CNS evaluable-for-response set (cEFR). In the cFAS, the hazard ratio (HR) for CNS progression or death was 0.58 (95% CI, 0.33 to 1.01). In patients without baseline CNS metastases, the HR for CNS progression or death was 0.67 (95% CI, 0.43 to 1.04). In the cFAS, CNS objective response rates (ORRs; 95% CI) were 73% (combination; 64 to 81) versus 69% (monotherapy; 59 to 78); 59% versus 43% had CNS complete response (CR). In the cEFR, CNS ORRs (95% CI) were 88% (73 to 96) versus 87% (72 to 96); 48% versus 16% had CNS CR.

CONCLUSION

Osimertinib plus platinum-pemetrexed demonstrated improved CNS efficacy compared with osimertinib monotherapy, including delaying CNS progression, irrespective of baseline CNS metastasis status. These data support this combination as a new first-line treatment for patients with EGFR-mutated advanced NSCLC, including those with CNS metastases.

A Phase II trial of alternating osimertinib and gefitinib therapy in advanced EGFR-T790M positive non-small cell lung cancer: OSCILLATE

In this phase II, single arm trial (ACTRN12617000720314), we investigate if alternating osimertinib and gefitinib would delay the development of resistance to osimertinib in advanced, non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) with the epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) T790M mutation (n = 47) by modulating selective pressure on resistant clones. The primary endpoint is progression free-survival (PFS) rate at 12 months, and secondary endpoints include: feasibility of alternating therapy, overall response rate (ORR), overall survival (OS), and safety. The 12-month PFS rate is 38% (95% CI 27.5-55), not meeting the pre-specified primary endpoint. Serial circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) analysis reveals decrease and clearance of the original activating EGFR and EGFR-T790M mutations which are prognostic of clinical outcomes. In 73% of participants, loss of T790M ctDNA is observed at progression and no participants have evidence of the EGFR C797S resistance mutation following the alternating regimen. These findings highlight the challenges of treatment strategies designed to modulate clonal evolution and the clinical importance of resistance mechanisms beyond suppression of selected genetic mutations in driving therapeutic escape to highly potent targeted therapies.

Discordance between GCIG CA-125 progression and RECIST progression in the CALYPSO trial of patients with platinum-sensitive recurrent ovarian cancer

BACKGROUND

CA-125 alone is widely used to diagnose progressive disease (PD) in platinum-sensitive recurrent ovarian cancer (PSROC) on chemotherapy. However, there are increasing concerns regarding its accuracy. We assessed concordance between progression defined by CA-125 and RECIST using data from the CALYPSO trial.

METHODS

We computed concordance rates for PD by CA-125 and RECIST to determine the positive (PPV) and negative predictive values (NPV).

RESULTS

Of 769 (79%) evaluable participants, 387 had CA-125 PD, where only 276 had concordant RECIST PD (PPV 71%, 95% CI 67-76%). For 382 without CA-125 PD, 255 had RECIST PD but 127 did not (NPV 33%, 95% CI 29-38). There were significant differences in NPV according to baseline CA-125 (≤100 vs >100: 42% vs 25%, P < 0.001); non-measurable vs measurable disease (51% vs 26%, P < 0.001); and platinum-free-interval (>12 vs 6-12 months: 41% vs 14%, P < 0.001). We observed falling CA-125 levels in 78% of patients with RECIST PD and CA-125 non-PD.

CONCLUSION

Approximately 2 in 3 women with PSROC have RECIST PD but not CA-125 PD by GCIG criteria. Monitoring CA-125 levels alone is not reliable for detecting PD. Further research is required to investigate the survival impact of local therapy in radiological detected early asymptomatic PD.

Framework for the Use of External Controls to Evaluate Treatment Outcomes in Precision Oncology Trials

Advances in genomics have enabled anticancer therapies to be tailored to target specific genomic alterations. Single-arm trials (SATs), including those incorporated within umbrella, basket, and platform trials, are widely adopted when it is not feasible to conduct randomized controlled trials in rare biomarker-defined subpopulations. External controls (ECs), defined as control arm data derived outside the clinical trial, have gained renewed interest as a strategy to supplement evidence generated from SATs to allow comparative analysis. There are increasing examples demonstrating the application of EC in precision oncology trials. The prospective application of EC in conducting comparative studies is associated with distinct methodological challenges, the specific considerations for EC use in biomarker-defined subpopulations have not been adequately discussed, and a formal framework is yet to be established. In this review, we present a framework for conducting a prospective comparative analysis using EC. Key steps are (1) defining the purpose of using EC to address the study question, (2) determining if the external data are fit for purpose, (3) developing a transparent study protocol and a statistical analysis plan, and (iv) interpreting results and drawing conclusions on the basis of a prespecified hypothesis. We specify the considerations required for the biomarker-defined subpopulations, which include (1) specifying the comparator and biomarker status of the comparator group, (2) defining lines of treatment, (3) assessment of the biomarker testing panels used, and (4) assessment of cohort stratification in tumor-agnostic studies. We further discuss novel clinical trial designs and statistical techniques leveraging EC to propose future directions to advance evidence generation and facilitate drug development in precision oncology.

Validity and Efficiency of Progression-Free Survival-2 as a Surrogate End Point for Overall Survival in Advanced Cancer Randomized Trials

PURPOSE

Progression-free survival (PFS)-2, defined as the time from randomization to progression on second-line therapy, is potentially a more reliable surrogate than PFS for overall survival (OS), but will require longer follow-up and a larger sample size. We sought to compare the validity and efficiency, defined as proportional increase in follow-up time and sample size, of PFS-2 to PFS.

METHODS

We performed an electronic search to identify randomized trials of advanced solid tumors reporting PFS, PFS-2, and OS as prespecified end points. Only studies that had protocols that defined measurement of PFS-2 and follow-up for patients after first disease progression were included. We compared correlations in the relative treatment effect for OS with PFS and PFS-2. We reconstructed individual patient data from survival curves to estimate time to statistical significance (TSS) of the relative treatment effect. We further computed the sample size (person-year [PY] follow-up) required to reach statistical significance.

RESULTS

Across the 42 analysis units and 21,255 patients, the correlation of the relative treatment effect between OS and PFS-2, r, was 0.70 (95% CI, 0.41 to 0.80) and r = 0.46 (95% CI, 0.26 to 0.74) for OS and PFS. The median differences in TSS between OS with PFS, OS with PFS-2, and PFS with PFS-2 were 16.59 (95% CI, 4.48 to not reached [NR]), 10.0 (95% CI, 2.2 to NR), and 4.31 (95% CI, 2.92 to 13.13) months, respectively. The median difference in PYs required to reach statistical significance for PFS-2 over PFS was 156 (95% CI, 82 to 500) PYs, equivalent to an estimated median 12.7% increase in PYs.

CONCLUSION

PFS-2 offers improved correlation with OS than PFS with a modest increase in follow-up time and sample size. PFS-2 should be considered as a primary end point in future trials of advanced cancers.

Combination of Radiotherapy and Atezolizumab plus Bevacizumab in Patients with Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Pilot Study

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

Following the results of the IMbrave150 study, Atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (Atezo/beva) became the first-line treatment in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, its real-world efficacy has been less satisfied. In this study, we investigated the efficacy of radiotherapy (RT) combined with Atezo/beva in patients with advanced HCC.

MATERIALS/METHODS

Twenty patients received combination of RT and Atezo/beva between December 2021 and December 2022 at our institution. RT was administered in 10 fractions of 5 Gy between Atezo/beva cycles. Tumor response were evaluated on both imaging and tumor marker basis. The iRECIST guideline was used to assess treatment response after the combination treatment of RT and Atezo/beva. Primary endpoints were disease control rate (DCR) and overall response rate (ORR), and secondary endpoint was treatment related toxicity.

RESULTS

All patients were BCLC C with advanced tumors associated with lymph node metastasis (7, 35%) or distant metastasis (8, 40%). Patients received RT between cycles of Atezo/beva, mostly (14, 70%) between 2nd and 3rd cycles. After a median follow-up of 3.2 months, DCR was 65% and ORR was 20%. Significant decrease in tumor marker of over 2-fold was shown in 10 patients (50%). Regarding treatment related toxicity, only 1 patient (5%) showed grade 3 neutropenic fever, and no grade 4 or 5 toxicity was seen.

CONCLUSION

Combination of radiotherapy and Atezo/beva showed high response rate with tolerable treatment related toxicity in advanced HCC patients. Further prospective studies with larger patient cohort are warranted.

Management Paradigm of Central Nervous System Metastases in NSCLC: An Australian Perspective

Life-prolonging central nervous system active systemic therapies for metastatic NSCLC have increased the complexity of managing brain metastases (BMs). Australian medical oncologists, radiation oncologists, and neurosurgeons discussed the evidence guiding the diverse clinical approaches to the management of BM in NSCLC. The Australian context is broadly applicable to other jurisdictions; therefore, we have documented these discussions as principles with broader applications. Patient management was stratified according to clinical and radiologic factors under two broad classifications of newly diagnosed BMs: symptomatic and asymptomatic. Other important considerations include the number and location of metastases, tumor histotypes, molecular subtype, and treatment purpose. Careful consideration of the pace and burden of symptoms, risk of worsening neurologic function at a short interval, and extracranial disease burden should determine whether central nervous system active systemic therapies are used alone or in combination with local therapies (surgery with or without radiation therapy). Most clinical trial evidence currently focuses on historical treatment options or a single treatment modality rather than the optimal sequencing of multiple modern therapies; therefore, an individualized approach is key in a rapidly changing therapeutic landscape.

A signal-seeking Phase 2 study of olaparib and durvalumab in advanced solid cancers with homologous recombination repair gene alterations

PURPOSE

To determine the safety and efficacy of PARP plus PD-L1 inhibition (olaparib + durvalumab, O + D) in patients with advanced solid, predominantly rare cancers harbouring homologous recombination repair (HRR) defects.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

In total, 48 patients were treated with O + D, 16 with BRCA1/2 alterations (group 1) and 32 with other select HRR alterations (group 2). Overall, 32 (66%) patients had rare or less common cancers. The primary objective of this single-arm Phase II trial was a progression-free survival rate at 6 months (PFS6). Post hoc exploratory analyses were conducted on archival tumour tissue and serial bloods.

RESULTS

The PFS6 rate was 35% and 38% with durable objective tumour responses (OTR) in 3(19%) and 3(9%) in groups 1 and 2, respectively. Rare cancers achieving an OTR included cholangiocarcinoma, perivascular epithelioid cell (PEComa), neuroendocrine, gallbladder and endometrial cancer. O + D was safe, with five serious adverse events related to the study drug(s) in 3 (6%) patients. A higher proportion of CD38 high B cells in the blood and higher CD40 expression in tumour was prognostic of survival.

CONCLUSIONS

O + D demonstrated no new toxicity concerns and yielded a clinically meaningful PFS6 rate and durable OTRs across several cancers with HRR defects, including rare cancers.

Identification of 58 novel HLA alleles identified in Chinese individuals by next-generation sequencing

HLA genes are the most polymorphic in the human genome. High resolution HLA typing from 13,870 bone marrow donors in Hong Kong was obtained using Next-generation sequencing (NGS) technology. Among the 67 novel alleles identified, official HLA allele names of 50 novel class I alleles (HLA-A, -B, -C) and 8 novel class II alleles (HLA-DRB1, -DQB1) were assigned by the World Health Organization (WHO) Nomenclature Committee for Factors of the HLA System.

Re-examine the transfusion transmitted risk of SARS-CoV-2 virus during a major COVID-19 outbreak in 2022

INTRODUCTION

Although no case of COVID-19 transmission through transfusion has been reported, blood transfusion service (BTS) continues to implement pre-donation and post-donation measures to minimise the risk. In year 2022, when local healthcare system was badly impacted by a major outbreak, it opened an opportunity to re-examine the viraemia risk in these asymptomatic donors.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Records were retrieved from blood donors who reported COVID-19 after donation and follow-up was also made for recipients who received their blood. Blood samples at donation were tested for SARS-CoV-2 viraemia by single-tube nested real-time RT-PCR assay designed to detect most SARS-CoV-2 variants including the prevailing delta and omicron variants.

RESULTS

From 1 January to 15 August 2022, the city with 7.4 M inhabitants recorded 1 187 844 COVID-19 positive cases and 125 936 successful blood donations were received. 781 donors reported to the BTS after donation with 701 being COVID-19 related (including close contact and symptoms respiratory tract infection). 525 COVID-19 were positive at the time of call back or follow-up. Of the 701 donations, they were processed into 1480 components with 1073 discarded upon donors' call back. For remaining 407 components, no recipient was found to have adverse event or COVID-19 positive. 510 samples from the above 525 COVID-19 positive donors were available and all tested negative for SARS-CoV-2 RNA.

DISCUSSION

With the negative SARS-CoV-2 RNA in blood donation samples and follow up data in transfusion recipients, the risk of transfusion transmitted COVID-19 appears negligible. However, current measures remains important in securing blood safety with ongoing surveillance of their effectiveness.

[Iatrogenic hypospadias a preventable rare complication with two-stage repair with buccal mucosa graft: a case presen- tation]

Urethral catheterization is a common procedure, but it is associated with a number of complications. Iatrogenic hypospadias can rarely occur. There is a limited literature dedicated to this condition. We report a young patient with COVID-19 with iatrogenic hypospadias of grade 3. He was undergone to a two-stage procedure with acceptable outcome. Surgical repair should be offered and performed for young patients to ensure good function with acceptable penile appearance. A surgical treatment will improve psychological, sexual and social outcomes.

Testing for EGFR Variants in Pleural and Pericardial Effusion Cell-Free DNA in Patients With Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer

Importance

Molecular testing in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is commonly limited by inadequate tumor sample. Plasma cell-free DNA (cfDNA) genotyping as a complementary test is specific but only moderately sensitive. Genotyping of cfDNA in pleural and pericardial effusion (PE-cfDNA) can further optimize molecular diagnostic yield and reduce the need for repeated biopsies.

Objective

To prospectively validate droplet digital polymerase chain reaction (ddPCR) for detection of sensitizing EGFR variants and acquired Thr790Met variant (T790M) from PE-cfDNA in patients with NSCLC.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This prospective diagnostic validation study was conducted between September 6, 2016, and January 21, 2021 at 2 major Hong Kong cancer centers. Patients with advanced NSCLC with both wild-type and variant EGFR status and exudative PE who underwent thoracocentesis or pericardiocentesis were randomly enrolled. Patients were either EGFR-tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) naive (cohort 1) or EGFR-TKI treated but osimertinib naive (cohort 2). Enrolled patients underwent pleural- or pericardial-fluid and blood sampling for ddPCR EGFR testing. EGFR status results with ddPCR testing of PE-cfDNA and blood were compared with EGFR status in matched tumor biopsy or PE cell block samples.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Specificity, sensitivity, and concordance of PE-cfDNA for detection of sensitizing EGFR variants and acquired T790M variation.

Results

Among 171 patients (54% female) enrolled, there were 104 in cohort 1 and 67 in cohort 2. In cohort 1, 37% (38/102) were EGFR-variant positive; PE-cfDNA showed 97% sensitivity (95% CI, 92%-100%), 97% specificity (95% CI, 93%-100%), and 97% concordance (ĸ = 0.94, P < .001) for the detection of sensitizing EGFR variants. It was more sensitive than plasma in detecting sensitizing EGFR variants (97% vs 74%, P < .001). In cohort 2, 38% (15 of 40) were positive for the EGFR T790M variant; PE-cfDNA showed 87% sensitivity (95% CI, 69%-100%), 60% specificity (95% CI, 41%-79%), and 70% concordance (ĸ = 0.42, P = .004) for acquired T790M. The EGFR T790M variant was detected in 51% of PE-cfDNA vs 25% of PE cell block samples.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this diagnostic study, EGFR variants could be accurately detected from PE-cfDNA in patients with NSCLC. More EGFR T790M was detected in PE-cfDNA than in guideline-recommended PE cell block preparations. These results suggest that PE-cfDNA can complement plasma and tumor genotyping for detecting EGFR variants in patients with advanced NSCLC.

[A rare case of bladder leiomyoma in pregnancy: a case report]

We present a rare case of leiomyoma of the urinary bladder that was diagnosed during pregnancy. The case of a 29-year-old woman primigravida at 13 weeks of pregnancy who presented with 6 months history of abdominal swelling which was gradually increasing in size. Computed tomography done revealed a large heterogenous mass(enhancing) with an area of non-enhancing (necrosis) suggestive of malignant ovarian tumor. The histological findings of the surgical specimen confirmed a leiomyoma of the urinary bladder. The clinical presentation, imaging findings, and management of this relatively rare benign tumor are discussed in this case report.

Asian Thoracic Oncology Research Group (ATORG) Expert Consensus Statement on MET Alterations in NSCLC: Diagnostic and Therapeutic Considerations

Non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is a heterogeneous disease, with many oncogenic driver mutations, including de novo mutations in the Mesenchymal Epithelial Transition (MET) gene (specifically in Exon 14 [ex14]), that lead to tumourigenesis. Acquired alterations in the MET gene, specifically MET amplification is also associated with the development of epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) resistance in patients with EGFR-mutant NSCLC. Although MET has become an actionable biomarker with the availability of MET-specific inhibitors in selected countries, there is differential accessibility to diagnostic platforms and targeted therapies across countries in Asia-Pacific (APAC). The Asian Thoracic Oncology Research Group (ATORG), an interdisciplinary group of experts from Australia, Hong Kong, Japan, Korea, Mainland China, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Taiwan, Thailand and Vietnam, discussed testing for MET alterations and considerations for using MET-specific inhibitors at a consensus meeting in January 2022, and in subsequent offline consultation. Consensus recommendations are provided by the ATORG group to address the unmet need for standardised approaches to diagnosing MET alterations in NSCLC and for using these therapies. MET inhibitors may be considered for first-line or second or subsequent lines of treatment for patients with advanced and metastatic NSCLC harbouring MET ex14 skipping mutations; MET ex14 testing is preferred within multi-gene panels for detecting targetable driver mutations in NSCLC. For patients with EGFR-mutant NSCLC and MET amplification leading to EGFR TKI resistance, enrolment in combination trials of EGFR TKIs and MET inhibitors is encouraged.

The impact of single agent PD-1 or PD-L1 inhibition on advanced endometrial cancers: meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) therapy is an emerging option for advanced endometrial cancer (EC). Mismatch repair (MMR) status is widely regarded as a biomarker predictive of response to ICIs. The predictive value of MMR based on small, single-arm trials, however, is conflicting. In this meta-analysis, we aimed to assess the activity of single-agent ICI in advanced EC, and compared the magnitude of treatment benefit in MMR deficient (dMMR) and MMR proficient (pMMR) EC.

METHODS

We carried out an electronic search to identify prospective trials of single-agent ICI in advanced EC. Data on objective response rate (ORR) and progression-free survival (PFS) were extracted and pooled. ORR was estimated using the inverse variance method and subgroup difference by MMR status was examined. PFS difference according to MMR status was summarized using the Kaplan-Meier approach.

RESULTS

From eight trials with 492 women, the pooled ORR was 19% [95% confidence interval (CI) 16% to 22%]. ORR was significantly greater in dMMR (n = 281) than pMMR EC (n = 211) (dMMR: 46%, pMMR: 8%; risk ratio 5.74, 95% CI 3.58-9.21; interaction P < 0.001). Complete response was 11% and 0.05% and median PFS was 8.3 and 2.1 months in dMMR and pMMR EC, respectively (hazard ratio PFS 0.58, 95% CI 0.38-0.89; P = 0.01). The 12-month PFS rates were 42.0% and 20.7%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Single-agent ICI is associated with a 5.74 times greater objective response and 42% reduction in risk of disease progression or death in dMMR compared with pMMR EC. MMR status should be determined prospectively and be used as a stratification factor in future trials of advanced EC. Further translational analysis is urgently required to identify the cause of dMMR and allow subclassification of EC into different dMMR molecular subtypes.

Extrapolating evidence for molecularly targeted therapies from common to rare cancers: a scoping review of methodological guidance

OBJECTIVES

Cancer is increasingly classified according to biomarkers that drive tumour growth and therapies developed to target them. In rare biomarker-defined cancers, randomised controlled trials to adequately assess targeted therapies may be infeasible. Extrapolating existing evidence of targeted therapy from common cancers to rare cancers sharing the same biomarker may reduce evidence requirements for regulatory approval in rare cancers. It is unclear whether guidelines exist for extrapolation. We sought to identify methodological guidance for extrapolating evidence from targeted therapies used for common cancers to rare biomarker-defined cancers.

DESIGN

Scoping review.

DATA SOURCES

Websites of health technology assessment agencies, regulatory bodies, research groups, scientific societies and industry. EBM Reviews-Cochrane Methodology Register and Health Technology Assessment, Embase and MEDLINE databases (1946 to 11 May 2022).

ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA

Papers proposing a framework or recommendations for extrapolating evidence for rare cancers, small populations and biomarker-defined cancers.

DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS

We extracted framework details where available and guidance for components of extrapolation. We used these components to structure and summarise recommendations.

RESULTS

We identified 23 papers. One paper provided an extrapolation framework but was not cancer specific. Extrapolation recommendations addressed six distinct components: strategies for grouping cancers as the same biomarker-defined disease; analytical validation requirements of a biomarker test to use across cancer types; strategies to generate control data when a randomised concurrent control arm is infeasible; sources to inform biomarker clinical utility assessment in the absence of prospective clinical evidence; requirements for surrogate endpoints chosen for the rare cancer; and assessing and augmenting safety data in the rare cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

In the absence of an established framework, our recommendations for components of extrapolation can be used to guide discussions about interpreting evidence to support extrapolation. The review can inform the development of an extrapolation framework for biomarker-targeted therapies in rare cancers.

Adverse events in the placebo arm of maintenance therapy trials in advanced ovarian cancer: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Maintenance treatment is standard of care for front-line (FL) and platinum-sensitive recurrent ovarian cancer (PSROC) following response to chemotherapy. Adverse events (AEs) on maintenance therapies are common and usually attributable to investigational treatments but could also be unrelated. Randomised controlled trial (RCT) with blinded placebo design is the gold standard for determining the relative differences in efficacy and AEs between treatment arms. We performed a meta-analysis to quantify AE rates in placebo arms of RCTs to determine AEs not due to investigational agents.

METHODS

We performed an electronic search to identify eligible RCTs in FL and PSROC settings. Data from placebo arms were extracted and pooled using the inverse variance method to determine the risk of any AE, overall and specific grade 3 or higher (G ≥ 3) AEs, and AE-related treatment delay, reduction and discontinuation.

RESULTS

We identified 13 eligible RCTs (FL, N = 8; PSROC, N = 5) with 2224 patients who received placebo (FL, N = 1541; PSROC, N = 683). The majority experienced an AE of any grade (FL, 93.0%; PSROC, 95.2%). Substantial proportions experienced G ≥ 3 AEs (FL, 14.6%; PSROC, 18.2%). In the FL setting, AEs led to treatment delay in 14.4%, dose reduction in 4.1% and discontinuation in 2.6%. Findings were similar for PSROC: 8.4%, 5.5% and 2.1%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

AEs not due to investigational agents are common in ovarian cancer patients in maintenance therapy RCTs. Potential explanations include the nocebo effect, residual toxicities from previous treatment or underlying disease. Further research is required to identify better approaches to assessing AEs in this population.

Alpelisib monotherapy for PI3K-altered, pre-treated advanced breast cancer: a phase 2 study

There is limited knowledge on the benefit of the α-subunit specific PI3K inhibitor alpelisib in later lines of therapy for advanced ER+HER2- and triple negative breast cancer (TNBC). We conducted a phase 2 multi-cohort study of alpelisib monotherapy in patients with advanced PI3K pathway mutant ER+HER2- and TNBC. In the intention to treat ER+ cohort, the overall response rate was 30% and the clinical benefit rate was 36%. Decline in PI3K pathway mutant ctDNA levels from baseline to week 8 while on therapy was significantly associated with a partial response, clinical benefit and improved progression free-survival (HR 0.24 95% CI 0.083 - 0.67, P = 0.0065). Detection of ESR1 mutations at baseline in plasma was also associated with clinical benefit and improved progression free survival (HR 0.22 95% CI 0.078 - 0.60, P = 0.003).

Efficacy of subsequent chemotherapy for patients with BRCA1/2-mutated recurrent epithelial ovarian cancer progressing on olaparib versus placebo maintenance: post-hoc analyses of the SOLO2/ENGOT Ov-21 trial

BACKGROUND

In the SOLO2 trial (ENGOT Ov-21; NCT01874353), maintenance olaparib in patients with platinum-sensitive relapsed ovarian cancer (PSROC) and BRCA mutation significantly improved progression-free survival (PFS) and prolonged overall survival (OS). Following disease progression on olaparib, efficacy of subsequent chemotherapy remains unknown.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We conducted a post-hoc hypothesis-generating analysis of SOLO2 data to determine the efficacy of different chemotherapy regimens following RECIST disease progression in patients who received olaparib or placebo. We evaluated time to second progression (TTSP) calculated from the date of RECIST progression to the next progression/death.

RESULTS

The study population comprised 147 patients who received chemotherapy as their first subsequent treatment after RECIST progression. Of these, 69 (47%) and 78 (53%) were originally randomized to placebo and olaparib arms, respectively. In the placebo-treated cohort, 27/69 and 42/69 received non-platinum and platinum-based chemotherapy, respectively, compared with 24/78 and 54/78, respectively, in the olaparib-treated cohort. Among patients treated with chemotherapy (N = 147), TTSP was significantly longer in the placebo than in the olaparib arm: 12.1 versus 6.9 months [hazard ratio (HR) 2.17, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.47-3.19]. Similar result was obtained on multivariable analysis adjusting for prognostic factors at RECIST progression (HR 2.13, 95% CI 1.41-3.22). Among patients treated with platinum-based chemotherapy (n = 96), TTSP was significantly longer in the placebo arm: 14.3 versus 7.0 months (HR 2.89, 95% CI 1.73-4.82). Conversely, among patients treated with non-platinum-based chemotherapy (n = 51), the TTSP was comparable in the placebo and olaparib arms: 8.3 versus 6.0 months (HR 1.58, 95% CI 0.86-2.90).

CONCLUSIONS

Following progression from maintenance olaparib in the recurrent setting, the efficacy of platinum-based subsequent chemotherapy seems to be reduced in BRCA1/2-mutated patients with PSROC compared to patients not previously receiving poly (ADP-ribose) polymerase inhibitors (PARPi). The optimal strategy for patients who relapse after PARPi is an area of ongoing research.

Abstract 5963: A framework for extrapolating evidence for molecularly targeted therapies from common to rare cancers - bridging the gap

BACKGROUND: Advances in understanding of potentially targetable molecular pathways driving carcinogenesis coupled with rapid development of tumor profiling technologies are partitioning cancers into rare biomarker-defined diseases. Assessing biomarker-targeted therapies within these small populations in adequately powered randomized trials is becoming unfeasible, leading to reliance on lower quality evidence from uncontrolled studies using unvalidated surrogate outcomes. When robust evidence for a targeted therapy being considered already exists in common cancers, this evidence may potentially be extrapolated to support the use of this therapy in rare cancers sharing the same biomarker and reduce additional evidence requirements for regulatory or reimbursement approval. However, extrapolation may not be appropriate in some settings due to biological differences between cancer types.

METHODS: Building on recommendations for core components of extrapolation identified from a scoping review of methodological guidance, we constructed a framework proposing criteria for extrapolating evidence for targeted therapies from common to rare cancers.

RESULTS: Criteria reflect key assumptions of disease similarity when defined by the biomarker and similarity of treatment response. Criteria are judged under five extrapolation components: (1) Analytical validity of the test used to identify the biomarker and criteria used to define biomarker status in the rare cancer, (2) Strength of evidence supporting biomarker actionability in the rare cancer and evidence that actionability may differ from the common cancer, (3) Quantitative estimation of the natural history of the biomarker-defined rare cancer as control group, (4) Validity of surrogate endpoints used to extrapolate treatment effect from the common cancer and predictions of clinical benefit in the rare cancer, and (5) Similarity of the safety profile between cancers and methods to augment safety data in the rare cancer. Using these criteria, decision-makers can judge whether sufficient evidence exists to support extrapolation or identify specific knowledge gaps to better target further research to be able to judge whether extrapolation is appropriate or not. Residual uncertainties for fulfilling criteria can also define post-approval commitments.

CONCLUSIONS: We outline a pragmatic and systematic approach for selecting and evaluating existing evidence to judge when extrapolation is appropriate. This framework can be used to promote standardized, comprehensive, and transparent decision-making and facilitate discussion between stakeholders in drug development and clinical guideline and health technology assessment groups.

Citation Format: Doah Cho, Sarah J. Lord, John R. Simes, Wendy Cooper, Saskia Cheyne, Chee Khoon Lee. A framework for extrapolating evidence for molecularly targeted therapies from common to rare cancers - bridging the gap [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2022; 2022 Apr 8-13. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2022;82(12_Suppl):Abstract nr 5963.

Validity and efficiency of progression-free survival (PFS)-2 as a surrogate endpoint for overall survival (OS) in advanced cancer

6518

Background: PFS is used widely as a primary endpoint in oncology trials and as a surrogate for OS. PFS-2, defined as time from randomization to progression on second line therapy, is potentially a more reliable surrogate than PFS but requires additional follow-up time. We evaluated the validity and efficiency of PFS-2 as a surrogate endpoint for OS and compared its performance with PFS. Methods: We performed an electronic search to identify randomized trials of advanced solid tumors reporting on PFS, PFS-2 and OS as pre-specified endpoints. We compared the correlations in the relative treatment effect for OS with PFS and PFS-2. We extracted data from Kaplan-Meier survival curves to create individual patient data to estimate time to statistical significance (TSS), defined as logrank P < 0.05. We further computed the samples size (person-year follow-up) required to reach statistical significance and assessed for the effect of survival post-progression (SPP). If trials failed to reach statistical significance for a particular endpoint, the maximal follow-up time was used. Results: Our study consisted of 39 analysis units with 20714 patients. Correlations of the OS treatment effect with the PFS and PFS-2 treatment effects were r= 0.12 (95% CI 0.00-0.13) and r= 0.67 (95% CI 0.08-0.69) respectively. The median differences in TSS between OS with PFS, OS with PFS-2, and PFS2 with PFS were 8.7, 8.4, and 3.2 months respectively. For trials with a SPP < 12 months, smaller differences in the median TSS as compared to SPP ≥12 months were seen. The median differences in follow-up required to reach statistical significance were 329, 151 and 122 person-years (PY) respectively. These differences were equivalent to a median 18.3% increase in sample size required for PFS-2 over PFS. The median increase in sample sizes were 18.2% and 22.3% for trials with SPP < 12 and ≥12 months respectively. Conclusions: PFS-2 has a stronger correlation with OS benefit than PFS. When PFS-2 is used as primary endpoint, trials will require an additional median 3.2 months to achieve statistical significance, and an additional 18.3% increase of sample size over PFS. PFS-2 balances between improved correlation with OS but modest increase in follow-up time and sample size. PFS-2 should therefore be considered as a primary endpoint in future trials of advanced cancers.[Table: see text]

Molecular therapy selection in treatment-refractory advanced cancers: A retrospective cohort study determining the utility of TOPOGRAPH knowledge base

3073

Background: Comprehensive genomic profiling (CGP) is increasingly used to guide therapy selection in advanced cancer patients who have exhausted standard therapy options. Here we assess the utility of Therapy Oriented Precision Oncology Guidelines for Recommending Anticancer Pharmaceuticals (TOPOGRAPH) to guide matching of drug treatments based on CGP in this setting. Methods: This study was conducted in an Australia-wide precision oncology program, the Molecular Screening and Therapeutics Study (MoST, ANZCTR registration ACTRN12616000908437). All patients with advanced cancer after exhausting standard treatments underwent CGP in 2016-2021 were stratified into cohort A (no further therapy received) and B (received ≥1 therapy after CGP). The primary outcome was overall survival (OS) estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method, using the log rank test to assess between-group differences. TOPOGRAPH matched the treatment history to the CGP results, stratified into clinically active (Tiers 1-3, T1-3), investigational (T3B/4), inactive (R2) or unmatched groups. Results: Over a median follow-up of 21.7 months (mo) for 2852 patients (75% with rare cancers, n = 2150), the median OS (mOS) from the date of CGP result was 7.0 mo (95% CI 6.4-7.6) for cohort A (n = 1562) and 15.8 mo (95% CI 14.5-16.9) for cohort B (n = 1290). In both cohorts, patients with CGP results matching any TOPOGRAPH tier (T1-4) had shorter OS compared to patients without a matching tier (A: 6.4 v 20.5 mo, hazard ratio for death [HR] 2.15, p<0.001; B: 14.7 v 23.6 mo, HR 1.43, p<0.001). Patients in cohort B receiving matched therapy (n=342, 27%) had a longer mOS than 948 patients who received only unmatched therapy (16.9 v 10.4 mo, HR 0.70, p<0.001). For CGP results matched to T1-3, 122 patients who received a T1-3 therapy had a significantly longer mOS than those who received unmatched therapy (22.1 v 9.8 mo, HR 0.51, p<0.001). For CGP results matched only to T3B/4, a trend toward longer mOS was observed in patients receiving matched therapy in T3B/4 (n = 138, 14.5 v unmatched 10.0 mo, HR 0.81, P = 0.07). In tier-matched analysis, the mOS were not significantly different between patients who received genomics matched v unmatched therapy in T3B (matching outside cognate histotypes, n = 48 v 508, 11.9 v 9.7 mo, HR 0.84, p = 0.36) and T4 (n = 32 v 134; therapy with preclinical/early clinical evidence, 17.1 v 12.2 mo, HR 0.69, p = 0.17). Conclusions: TOPOGRAPH is prognostic and likely predictive of treatment effect based on CGP, supporting its utility in guiding molecular therapy selection in patients who have exhausted standard treatment options. [Table: see text]

Impact of cancer susceptibility gene (CSG) mutations in advanced NSCLC (aNSCLC)

9131

Background: Next generation sequencing (NGS) is used widely to identify somatic oncogenic driver mutations in aNSCLC to guide treatment. Comprehensive profiling has led to identification of multiple gene mutations of unclear significance, including germline genes associated with cancer risk, termed CSG. Using data from two randomized trials comparing atezolizumab to docetaxel, we investigated the prognostic and predictive values of CSG in aNSCLC. Methods: We used publicly available data from the OAK (NCT02008227) and POPLAR (NCT01903993) trials. At baseline, plasma was analyzed for cfDNA using FoundationOne CDx NGS assay. We defined CSGs as pathogenic variants of APC, BAP1, BRCA1/2, BRIP1, CDH1, CDKN2A, CHEK2, FH, FLCN, MEN1, MET, MSH2/6, MLH1, PMS2, PALB2, PTCH1, PTEN, RAD51, RB1, SDHB, SMARCA4, STK11, TSC1/2 and VHL. Cox models with treatment covariate, CSG status (mutant [mt] vs wild-type [wt]) and their interaction was used to assess the predictive value by treatment of CSG mt for overall survival (OS) and progression free survival (PFS) using univariate and multivariate models. Similar analysis was performed for objective response rate (ORR). Results: Of 1137 patients, 853 with sufficient tumor content formed the analysis population. In total, 295 (35%) had a known/likely pathogenic CSG mt. The variant allele frequencies (vAF) of CSG mt ≥30%, 10-30%, and <10% were 8% (N=23), 25% (N=73), and 67% (N=199) respectively. Patients with CSG mt were more likely to be smokers (89% vs 81%, P=0.005), had squamous tumors (37% vs 26%, P=0.001) with higher blood-based tumor mutation burden (mean 13.8 vs 10.2 per megabase, P<0.001). CSG mt was not predictive of greater OS benefit with atezolizumab over docetaxel (Table). CSG mt was associated with 35% increase risk of death in univariable analysis (HR 1.35, 95% CI 1.15-1.59). CSG mt was associated with inferior OS in multivariable analysis adjusting for performance status, smoking status, tumor histology, age, sex and number of organ sites of metastasis (HR 1.26, 95% CI 1.07-1.48). Conclusions: Plasma CSG mt is an independent poor prognostic factor in two large aNSCLC clinical trial datasets. Majority of vAF of CSG were low, suggesting that very few were potentially germline in origin, but dedicated sequencing for confirmation will be required. If confirmed, CSG status could be used as a stratification factor in future aNSCLC trials. [Table: see text]

Amivantamab in patients with NSCLC with MET exon 14 skipping mutation: Updated results from the CHRYSALIS study

9008

Background: Amivantamab, a fully human bispecific antibody targeting epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) and MET, is approved for the treatment of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) with EGFR exon 20 insertion after prior platinum-based chemotherapy. Given its bispecific nature, amivantamab is being explored in patients (pts) with primary MET exon 14 skipping mutation (METex14) in the MET-2 cohort of the CHRYSALIS study. Methods: CHRYSALIS (NCT02609776) is an ongoing phase 1 dose escalation/dose expansion study of amivantamab in pts with advanced NSCLC. Pts with primary METex14 whose disease progressed on or who declined current standard of care therapy were treated with amivantamab 1050 mg (pts <80 kg) or 1400 mg (pts ≥80 kg) weekly in cycle 1 and biweekly thereafter. Response was assessed by investigators using RECIST v1.1. Results: As of 2 Dec 2021, 43 pts with METex14 had received amivantamab. Median age was 70 y (range, 43-88), 58% were women, median prior lines of therapy was 2 (range, 0-10) [eg, crizotinib (n=13), capmatinib (n=11), tepotinib (n=5), anti-MET antibody (n=1)], and 23% had history of brain metastases at baseline. In 36 pts with ≥1 postbaseline disease assessment, median duration of follow-up was 5.8 months (range, 0.3-15.8); 6 pts had no prior treatment, 11 had no prior MET inhibitor, and 19 had a prior MET inhibitor. Overall response rate was 33% (50% [3/6] in treatment-naïve pts, 46% [5/11] in pts with no prior MET inhibitor, and 21% [4/19] in pts with prior MET inhibitor therapy). Clinical benefit rate was >54% regardless of prior treatment (Table). Median duration of response (DOR) was not reached (range, 2.1-12.2 months); 67% (8/13) had DOR ≥6 months. Ten of the 12 responders remain on treatment (6.0-14.4 months) with ongoing responses; 2 discontinued after 2 and 12 months, respectively. Safety profile was consistent with previously reported experience of amivantamab (Sabari 2021 JTO 16(3):S108-109). Treatment-related adverse events leading to dose reduction or discontinuation occurred in 3 pts, each. Conclusions: Amivantamab demonstrates anti-tumor activity in primary METex14 NSCLC including after prior MET inhibitor treatment. Enrollment is ongoing and updated data will be shown. Clinical trial information: NCT02609776. [Table: see text]

Sunvozertinib, a selective EGFR inhibitor for previously treated non-small cell lung cancer with EGFR exon 20 insertion mutations

Epidermal growth factor receptor exon 20 insertion mutations (EGFR exon20ins) are detected in approximately 2% of patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Due to lack of effective therapy, the prognosis of these patients was poor. Sunvozertinib (DZD9008) was designed as an oral, potent, irreversible and selective EGFR tyrosine kinase inhibitor, showing activity against EGFR exon20ins and other mutations. In both cell lines and xenograft models, sunvozertinib shows potent antitumor activity. In the two ongoing phase 1 clinical studies, sunvozertinib was tolerated up to 400 mg once daily. The most common drug-related adverse events included diarrhea and skin rash. Antitumor efficacy was observed at the doses of 100 mg and above in patients with EGFR exon20ins NSCLC across different subtypes, with prior amivantamab treatment as well as with baseline brain metastasis. The median duration of response (DoR) has not been reached.

[The tale of two stones in an obstructed partial duplex kidney: case presentation]

Duplex renal systems is a common anomalies. Incidence rate of 0.8% in healthy adult population and 2-4% in patients investigated for urinary tract symptoms. Urolithiasis management for patients with anomalies is complex and require proper imaging and planning. We have a patient with a partial duplex collecting system presented with a right renal calculus in a non-functioning lower moiety and multiple distal ureteric calculi. Preoperative planning done and surgery performed with good outcome without any early and late complications.

PD-L1 expression as a prognostic marker in patients treated with chemotherapy for metastatic non-small-cell lung cancer

Background: In metastatic non-small-cell lung cancer (mNSCLC), PD-L1 expression is associated with benefit from immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) therapy. However, the significance of PD-L1 expression in chemotherapy-treated patients is uncertain. Methods: Using the chemotherapy control arm of first-line randomized trials, a meta-analysis of the association between efficacy outcomes and PD-L1 status was performed, stratified by assay due to inter-assay differences. Results: Across 12 trials and 4378 patients, overall survival (OS) was superior in high PD-L1 versus negative tumors and low versus negative according to 22C3/28-8 assays. When classified by SP142 assay, no significant difference in response or survival was seen between PD-L1 groups. Conclusion: In mNSCLC, high PD-L1-expressing tumors are associated with longer OS and improved objective rate when treated with chemotherapy. Inter-assay variability impacts outcome results.

The validity of progression-free survival 2 as a surrogate trial end point for overall survival

BACKGROUND

Overall survival (OS) is the gold-standard end point for oncology trials. However, the availability of multiple therapeutic options after progression and crossover to receive investigational agents confound and delay OS data maturation. Progression-free survival 2 (PFS-2), defined as the time from randomization to progression on first subsequent therapy, has been proposed as a surrogate for OS. Using a meta-analytic approach, the authors aimed to assess the association between OS and PFS-2 and compare this with progression-free survival 1 (PFS-1) and the objective response rate (ORR).

METHODS

An electronic literature search was performed to identify randomized trials of systemic therapies in advanced solid tumors that reported PFS-2 as a prespecified end point. Correlations between OS and PFS-2, OS and PFS-1, and OS and ORR as hazard ratios (HRs) or odds ratios (ORs) were assessed via linear regression weighted by trial size.

RESULTS

Thirty-eight trials were included, and they comprised 19,031 patients across 8 tumor types. PFS-2 displayed a moderate correlation with OS (r = 0.67; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.08-0.69). Conversely, correlations of ORR (r = 0.12; 95% CI, 0.00-0.13) and PFS-1 (r = 0.21; 95% CI, 0.00-0.33) were poor. The findings for PFS-2 were consistent for subgroup analyses by treatment type (immunotherapy vs nonimmunotherapy: r = 0.67 vs 0.67), survival post progression (<12 vs ≥12 months: r = 0.86 vs 0.79), and percentage not receiving subsequent treatment (<50% vs ≥50%: r = 0.70 vs 0.63).

CONCLUSIONS

Across diverse tumors and therapies, the treatment effect on PFS-2 correlated moderately with the treatment effect on OS. PFS-2 performed consistently better than PFS-1 and ORR, regardless of postprogression treatment and postprogression survival. PFS-2 should be included as a key trial end point in future randomized trials of solid tumors.

Next-generation sequencing, should I use anti-HER2 therapy for HER2-amplified tumors off-label? Illustrating an extrapolation framework

Background:

Next-generation sequencing is used to increase targeted treatment opportunities, particularly for patients who have exhausted standard options. Where randomized controlled trial evidence for a targeted therapy is available for molecular alterations in one tumor type, the dilemma for the clinician is whether ‘matching’ targeted agents should be recommended off-label for the same molecular alterations detected in other tumor types, for which no trial data are available to guide practice. To judge the likely benefits, it may be possible to extrapolate evidence from cancers where treatment benefits have been established.

Methods:

We present a framework for assessing the appropriateness of extrapolation using trastuzumab, an anti-HER2 antibody, for HER2-amplified tumors where trastuzumab use would be off-label as an illustrative example.

Results:

The following should be considered for the tumor type where trastuzumab would be off-label: (a) reliability of the NGS assay for detecting HER2 amplification; (b) criteria for defining HER2 positivity; (c) strength of evidence supporting the actionability of HER2 amplification and trastuzumab; (d) whether better clinical outcomes with trastuzumab are due to a more favorable natural history rather than trastuzumab effect; (e) signals of trastuzumab activity and whether it translates to clinically meaningful benefit; (f) whether the safety profile of trastuzumab differs from established indications; and (g) discussion points for shared decision making (SDM) to facilitate informed consent.

Conclusion:

We present a systematic approach for appraising evidence to support extrapolating trastuzumab benefits from established indications to off-label applications. Extrapolation criteria and areas of uncertainty to inform SDM are outlined. This framework is potentially generalizable to other tumor-agnostic biomarker-targeted therapy scenarios. It is a practical approach for clinicians to apply in routine practice and should be considered by molecular tumor boards who make off-label recommendations.

Incorporating circulating tumor DNA detection to radiographic assessment for treatment response in advanced EGFR-mutant lung cancer

PURPOSE

Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) has limitations but remains the conventional approach for tumor assessments. We explored whether circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) can be incorporated into RECIST to provide a more robust measure of tumor response in advanced EGFR-mutant NSCLC.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

In FASTACT-2, patients with advanced NSCLC received platinum/gemcitabine intercalated with erlotinib or placebo. EGFR mutation (tumor and plasma ctDNA) was detected using cobas v2. Patients selected for this hypothesis-generating analysis had EGFR mutations (on either tumor or plasma) at baseline and evaluable week 8 plasma EGFR. Week 8 ctDNA and radiologic response status were correlated with survival using landmark cox regression analyses.

RESULTS

Of the original 451 patients, 86 (19.1%) were eligible for this analysis. 73% (n = 63) had detectable ctDNA at baseline. At week 8, 40% (n = 34) had radiologic partial response (PR), 60% (n = 52) had stable disease (SD); 80% (n = 69) had a ctDNA response (undetectable ctDNA). In patients who had initial PR and undetectable ctDNA, 93% (28/30) had ongoing PR subsequently at week 16. The median duration of response was 14.9 months. In patients with SD and undetectable ctDNA at week 8, 28% had radiological PR at week 16. Amongst those with PR at week 8, survival outcomes for those with undetectable vs detectable ctDNA were not statistically significant (PFS HR 0.49, 95%CI 0.16-1.48, p = 0.21; OS HR 0.39, 95%CI 0.13-1.19, p = 0.10). Amongst those with SD at week 8, there was significantly longer survival for those with undetectable vs detectable ctDNA (PFS HR 0.27, 95% CI 0.13-0.57, p < 0.0001; OS HR 0.40, 95% CI 0.20-0.80, p = 0.009).

CONCLUSION

In patients with SD, undetectable ctDNA at week 8 correlated with survival improvement. Both radiologic and ctDNA responses are prognostic of PFS. Incorporation of ctDNA with RECIST may improve tumor response assessment in EGFR-mutant NSCLC.

Federated learning for predicting clinical outcomes in patients with COVID-19

Federated learning (FL) is a method used for training artificial intelligence models with data from multiple sources while maintaining data anonymity, thus removing many barriers to data sharing. Here we used data from 20 institutes across the globe to train a FL model, called EXAM (electronic medical record (EMR) chest X-ray AI model), that predicts the future oxygen requirements of symptomatic patients with COVID-19 using inputs of vital signs, laboratory data and chest X-rays. EXAM achieved an average area under the curve (AUC) >0.92 for predicting outcomes at 24 and 72 h from the time of initial presentation to the emergency room, and it provided 16% improvement in average AUC measured across all participating sites and an average increase in generalizability of 38% when compared with models trained at a single site using that site's data. For prediction of mechanical ventilation treatment or death at 24 h at the largest independent test site, EXAM achieved a sensitivity of 0.950 and specificity of 0.882. In this study, FL facilitated rapid data science collaboration without data exchange and generated a model that generalized across heterogeneous, unharmonized datasets for prediction of clinical outcomes in patients with COVID-19, setting the stage for the broader use of FL in healthcare.

Population-adjusted indirect treatment comparison of maintenance PARP inhibitor with or without bevacizumab versus bevacizumab alone in women with newly diagnosed advanced ovarian cancer

BACKGROUND

In patients with newly diagnosed ovarian cancer, bevacizumab and poly(ADP-ribose) polymerase (PARP) inhibitors, alone or in combination, have shown benefit as maintenance treatment following platinum-based chemotherapy. However, no trials have compared a PARP inhibitor plus bevacizumab versus a PARP inhibitor, or a PARP inhibitor versus bevacizumab. We performed an unanchored population-adjusted indirect treatment comparison to estimate the relative efficacy and safety of maintenance treatments for newly diagnosed advanced ovarian cancer.

METHODS

Analyses were performed using aggregate data from the PRIMA trial and patient-level data from a subset of patients from the PAOLA-1 trial that met surgery and staging eligibility criteria of PRIMA. Propensity weights were used to match baseline characteristics of the PAOLA-1 subset to those of the PRIMA population. Analysis was performed in overall (biomarker-unselected) and homologous recombination repair deficiency (HRD)-positive populations.

RESULTS

A total of 595/806 (266/387 HRD-positive) PAOLA-1 patients were included. After matching, the effective sample size for PAOLA-1 was 532 (242 HRD-positive). Maintenance olaparib plus bevacizumab reduced the risk of disease progression or death by 43% [hazard ratio (HR) 0.57; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.47-0.69] versus niraparib and by 40% (HR 0.60; 95% CI: 0.49-0.74) versus bevacizumab in the biomarker-unselected population and by 43% (HR 0.57; 95% CI: 0.41-0.79) and 60% (HR 0.40; 95% CI: 0.29-0.55), respectively, in the HRD-positive population. Progression-free survival (PFS) benefits of maintenance niraparib and bevacizumab arms were comparable in the biomarker-unselected population (HR 1.07; 95% CI: 0.87-1.32); however, niraparib showed a 30% reduced risk compared with bevacizumab (HR 0.70; 95% CI: 0.51-0.97) in the HRD-positive population.

CONCLUSIONS

In biomarker-unselected and HRD-positive patients, combination treatment with olaparib plus bevacizumab as maintenance treatment improves PFS for women with newly diagnosed advanced ovarian cancer compared with either bevacizumab or niraparib alone. Results are hypothesis generating and could guide randomised trial design.

Osimertinib plus platinum-pemetrexed in newly diagnosed epidermal growth factor receptor mutation-positive advanced/metastatic non-small-cell lung cancer: safety run-in results from the FLAURA2 study

Background

The phase III FLAURA2 (NCT04035486) study will evaluate efficacy and safety of first-line osimertinib with platinum–pemetrexed chemotherapy versus osimertinib monotherapy in epidermal growth factor receptor mutation-positive (EGFRm) advanced/metastatic non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). The safety run-in, reported here, assessed the safety and tolerability of osimertinib with chemotherapy prior to the randomized phase III evaluation.

Patients and methods

Patients (≥18 years; Japan: ≥20 years) with EGFRm locally advanced/metastatic NSCLC received oral osimertinib 80 mg once daily (QD), with either intravenous (IV) cisplatin 75 mg/m² or IV carboplatin target area under the curve 5, plus pemetrexed 500 mg/m² every 3 weeks (Q3W) for four cycles. Maintenance was osimertinib 80 mg QD with pemetrexed 500 mg/m² Q3W until progression/discontinuation. The primary objective was to evaluate safety and tolerability of the osimertinib–chemotherapy combination.

Results

Thirty patients (15 per group) received treatment [Asian, 73%; female, 63%; median age (range) 61 (45-84) years]. Adverse events (AEs) were reported by 27 patients (90%): osimertinib–carboplatin–pemetrexed, 100%; osimertinib–cisplatin–pemetrexed, 80%. Most common AEs were constipation (60%) with osimertinib–carboplatin–pemetrexed and nausea (60%) with osimertinib–cisplatin–pemetrexed. In both groups, 20% of patients reported serious AEs. No specific pattern of AEs leading to dose modifications/discontinuations was observed; one patient discontinued all study treatments including osimertinib due to pneumonitis (study-specific discontinuation criterion). Hematologic toxicities were as expected and manageable.

Conclusions

Osimertinib–chemotherapy combination had a manageable safety and tolerability profile in EGFRm advanced/metastatic NSCLC, supporting further assessment in the FLAURA2 randomized phase.

•

FLAURA2 aims to assess efficacy and safety of first-line osimertinib with platinum–pemetrexed in EGFRm advanced NSCLC.

•

In the FLAURA2 safety run-in period, 30 patients received osimertinib and pemetrexed with carboplatin or cisplatin.

•

Most common AEs were constipation and nausea; no AE patterns leading to dose modifications/discontinuations were observed.

•

The FLAURA2 safety run-in study showed that the safety profile of this combination was as expected and manageable.

Amivantamab in EGFR Exon 20 Insertion-Mutated Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer Progressing on Platinum Chemotherapy: Initial Results From the CHRYSALIS Phase I Study

PURPOSE

Non–small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) with epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) exon 20 insertion (Exon20ins) mutations exhibits inherent resistance to approved tyrosine kinase inhibitors. Amivantamab, an EGFR-MET bispecific antibody with immune cell–directing activity, binds to each receptor's extracellular domain, bypassing resistance at the tyrosine kinase inhibitor binding site.

METHODS

CHRYSALIS is a phase I, open-label, dose-escalation, and dose-expansion study, which included a population with EGFR Exon20ins NSCLC. The primary end points were dose-limiting toxicity and overall response rate. We report findings from the postplatinum EGFR Exon20ins NSCLC population treated at the recommended phase II dose of 1,050 mg amivantamab (1,400 mg, ≥ 80 kg) given once weekly for the first 4 weeks and then once every 2 weeks starting at week 5.

RESULTS

In the efficacy population (n = 81), the median age was 62 years (range, 42-84 years); 40 patients (49%) were Asian, and the median number of previous lines of therapy was two (range, 1-7). The overall response rate was 40% (95% CI, 29 to 51), including three complete responses, with a median duration of response of 11.1 months (95% CI, 6.9 to not reached). The median progression-free survival was 8.3 months (95% CI, 6.5 to 10.9). In the safety population (n = 114), the most common adverse events were rash in 98 patients (86%), infusion-related reactions in 75 (66%), and paronychia in 51 (45%). The most common grade 3-4 adverse events were hypokalemia in six patients (5%) and rash, pulmonary embolism, diarrhea, and neutropenia in four (4%) each. Treatment-related dose reductions and discontinuations were reported in 13% and 4% of patients, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Amivantamab, via its novel mechanism of action, yielded robust and durable responses with tolerable safety in patients with EGFR Exon20ins mutations after progression on platinum-based chemotherapy.

Tumor Response End Points as Surrogates for Overall Survival in Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor Trials: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

PURPOSE

Many immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have been approved on the basis of tumor response end points in nonrandomized trials, including objective response rate (ORR) and duration and depth of response. We aimed to assess the validity of these end points as surrogate end points for overall survival (OS) in patients with advanced solid tumors treated with ICIs at trial and treatment arm levels.

METHODS

ICI trials in advanced solid cancers published between January 1, 2000, and March 31, 2020, were included. Correlations between ORR, durable response (DR) of ≥ 6 months, complete response (CR), and OS were assessed for treatment comparisons (trial-level) and for patients receiving ICI (arm-level), using weighted linear regression.

RESULTS

Sixty-three trials were eligible, including 58 randomized controlled trials and 20 nonrandomized controlled trials (78 ICI arms and 30,815 patients). The majority were phase III (63%), and OS was the most common primary end point (40%). In relative treatment comparisons, correlations between ORR risk ratio and OS hazard ratio (HR), 6-month DR ratio and OS HR, and CR ratio and OS HR were r = 0.58, r = 0.62, and r = 0.42, respectively. Exploratory studies in melanoma, non-small-cell lung cancer, and other tumors showed similar results, although 6-month DR ratio was strongly correlated with OS HR (r = 0.89). Within ICI arms only, correlations between ORR and 12-month OS, 6-month DR and 12-month OS, and CR and 12-month OS were r = 0.76, r = 0.84, and r = 0.50, respectively, in all eligible trials.

CONCLUSION

Relative measures of tumor response (ORR, 6-month DR, and CR) are poor surrogate end points for OS in ICI studies. However, ORR and 6-month DR are prognostic of 12-month OS in ICI studies supporting their use for screening activity of novel agents in early-phase nonrandomized trials.

The validity of progression-free survival (PFS) 2 as a surrogate endpoint for overall survival (OS) in randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of advanced solid tumors

1516

Background: OS is the gold-standard endpoint for treatment efficacy in oncology RCTs. However, prolonged follow-up is required to obtain mature data, which impedes regulatory approval of potentially beneficial therapies. Furthermore, increasing therapeutic options including cross over to investigational agents at disease progression often confound OS findings. PFS-2, defined as time from randomization to progression on second-line therapy, has been proposed as a potential surrogate endpoint for OS. Using a meta-analytic approach, we aimed to assess the association between OS and PFS-2, and its validity compared with other surrogate endpoints. Methods: We performed an electronic literature search to identify RCTs of systemic therapies that reported PFS-2 as a pre-specified endpoint with defined follow up protocols. Articles were screened for eligibility and outcome data were extracted. Correlations in the relative treatment difference between treatment arms for OS vs PFS-2, PFS-1, and objective response rate (ORR) were assessed as the comparison of hazard ratios (HR) and odds ratio (OR) respectively. Results: 38 eligible RCTs comprising of 44 analysis units, with 19,031 patients across 8 unique tumor types were identified. The majority received targeted therapies (72.2%), followed by immunotherapy (IO; 26.3%). The correlations of HR-OS/HR-PFS-2, HR-OS/HR-PFS-1 and HR-OS/OR-ORR were r = 0.67 (95% CI 0.08-0.69), r = 0.12 (95% CI 0.00-0.13) and r = 0.21 (95% CI 0.00-0.33) respectively. Correlations between OS with surrogates was assessed in different subgroups according to post-progression survival times (SPP), types of treatment agents and rate of subsequent therapy after progression (table). Conclusions: Across diverse tumors and therapies, treatment effect on PFS-2 has modest to strong correlation with OS, but poor correlations were observed between OS-PFS-1 and OS-ORR respectively. Across all subgroups, PFS-2 performs consistently better than traditional surrogates of PFS-1 and ORR, validating and providing support for use in future RCTs.[Table: see text]

Bintrafusp alfa (M7824), a bifunctional fusion protein targeting TGF-β and PD-L1: results from a phase I expansion cohort in patients with recurrent glioblastoma

Background

For patients with recurrent glioblastoma (rGBM), there are few options following treatment failure with radiotherapy plus temozolomide. Bintrafusp alfa is a first-in-class bifunctional fusion protein composed of the extracellular domain of the TGF-βRII receptor (a TGF-β “trap”) fused to a human IgG1 antibody blocking PD-L1.

Methods

In this phase I, open-label expansion cohort (NCT02517398), patients with rGBM that progressed after radiotherapy plus temozolomide received bintrafusp alfa 1200 mg Q2W until disease progression, unacceptable toxicity, or trial withdrawal. Response was assessed per RANO criteria. The primary endpoint was disease control rate (DCR); secondary endpoints included safety.

Results

As of August 24, 2018, 35 patients received bintrafusp alfa for a median of 1.8 (range, 0.5–20.7) months. Eight patients (22.9%) experienced disease control as assessed by an independent review committee: 2 had a partial response, 4 had stable disease, and 2 had non-complete response/non-progressive disease. Median progression-free survival (PFS) was 1.4 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.2–1.6) months; 6- and 12-month PFS rates were 15.1% and 11.3%, respectively. Median overall survival (OS) was 5.3 (95% CI, 2.6–9.4) months; 6- and 12-month OS rates were 44.5% and 30.8%, respectively. The DCR (95% CI) was 66.7% (22.3–95.7%) for patients with IDH-mutant GBM (n = 6) and 13.8% (3.9–31.7%) for patients with IDH–wild-type GBM (n = 29). Disease control was seen regardless of PD-L1 expression. Twenty-five patients (71.4%) experienced treatment-related adverse events (grade ≥3; 17.1% [n = 6]).

Conclusions

The percentage of patients achieving disease control and the manageable safety profile may warrant further investigation of bintrafusp alfa in GBM.

Reporting the trajectories of adverse events over the entire treatment course in patients with recurrent platinum-sensitive ovarian cancer treated with platinum-based combination chemotherapy regimens: A graphical approach to trial adverse event reporting

BACKGROUND

Clinical trials report adverse events (AEs) in a dense table focusing on the frequency of 'worst grade' AEs experienced over the duration of treatment. There is usually no granular information provided on the timing and trajectory of AEs or whether they are likely to worsen, improve, or remain constant over time.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Non-hematologic (NH) AE data was extracted from the CALYPSO trial comparing carboplatin with pegylated liposomal doxorubicin (CD) to carboplatin with paclitaxel (CP) in recurrent ovarian cancer (ROC). Generalised estimating equations (GEE) were used to assess the risk and trajectory of combined Grade 2 or higher (G2+) AE and of each specific AE. The risk of G2+AE was also compared between treatment arms.

RESULTS

The study included 976 patients and AE were reported for the duration of treatment. Most patients experienced at least one G2+NHAE (CP:CD, 96.0%:80.6%). Risk of combined G2+AE increased with CP (4.1% per-cycle) but decreased with CD (0.8%, P <0.01). When alopecia and sensory neuropathy were excluded, risk of G2+ AE decreased by 2.7% per-cycle, with no significant difference between treatment arms. G2+ nausea improved (15.2% per-cycle, P <0.01). G2+ sensory neuropathy worsened (29.3% per-cycle, P <0.01). Fatigue was stable (17% per-cycle, P =0.06) whilst G2+ pain decreased over time (13.4% per-cycle, P <0.01), with no difference between treatment arms.

CONCLUSION

Existing trial data can be used to provide AE trajectories as illustrated here for ROC. These trajectories have utility in guiding treatment choice and potentially optimising AE management with novel therapies and treatment combinations.

Molecular and clinical predictors of improvement in progression-free survival with maintenance PARP inhibitor therapy in women with platinum-sensitive, recurrent ovarian cancer: A meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The authors performed a meta-analysis to better quantify the benefit of maintenance poly(ADP-ribose) polymerase inhibitor (PARPi) therapy to inform practice in platinum-sensitive, recurrent, high-grade ovarian cancer for patient subsets with the following characteristics: germline BRCA mutation (gBRCAm), somatic BRCA mutation (sBRCAm), wild-type BRCA but homologous recombinant-deficient (HRD), homologous recombinant-proficient (HRP), and baseline clinical prognostic characteristics.

METHODS

Randomized trials comparing a PARPi versus placebo as maintenance treatment were identified from electronic databases. Treatment estimates of progression-free survival were pooled across trials using the inverse variance weighted method.

RESULTS

Four trials included 972 patients who received a PARPi (olaparib, 31%; niraparib, 35%; or rucaparib, 34%) and 530 patients who received placebo. For patients who had germline BRCA1 mutation (gBRCAm1) (N = 471), the hazard ratio (HR) was 0.29 (95% CI, 0.23-0.37); for those who had germline BRCA2 mutation (gBRCAm2) (N = 236), the HR was 0.26 (95% CI, 0.17-0.39); and, for those who had sBRCAm (N = 123), the HR was 0.22 (95% CI, 0.12-0.41). The treatment effect was similar between the gBRCAm and sBRCAm subsets (P = .48). In patients who had wild-type BRCA HRD tumors (excluding sBRCAm; N = 309), the HR was 0.41 (95% CI, 0.31-0.56); and, in those who had wild-type BRCA HRP tumors (N = 346), the HR was 0.64 (95% CI, 0.49-0.83). The relative treatment effect was greater for the BRCAm versus HRD (P = .03), BRCAm versus HRP (P < .00001), and HRD versus HRP (P < .00001) subsets. There was no difference in benefit based on age, response after recent chemotherapy, and prior bevacizumab.

CONCLUSIONS

In platinum-sensitive, recurrent, high-grade ovarian cancer, maintenance PARPi improves progression-free survival for all patient subsets. PARPi therapy has a similar magnitude of benefit for sBRCAm and gBRCAm. Although patients with BRCAm derive the greatest benefit, the absence of a BRCAm or HRD could not be used to exclude patients from maintenance PARPi therapy.

Consensus statements on the clinical usage and characteristics of aripiprazole for Hong Kong

Aripiprazole, a dopamine partial agonist, is a second-generation anti-psychotic that is widely used for the treatment of schizophrenia and other psychotic disorders. A group of psychiatric experts in Hong Kong developed a set of consensus statements, aiming to facilitate the understanding of clinical properties and usages of aripiprazole among local physicians. Of note, because aripiprazole long-acting injectable has been available locally not long before the establishment of the consensus panel, which limited the discussion on its use in the local context, the consensus statements were focused primarily on oral aripiprazole. To draft the consensus statements, the panellists discussed the published evidence and their clinical experience regarding aripiprazole in a series of meetings based on several areas. At the final meeting, each drafted statement was voted on anonymously by all panellists based on its practicability of recommendation in Hong Kong. A set of consensus statements on the characteristics and clinical use of aripiprazole was established and accepted by the panel. These statements serve to provide a practical reference for physicians in Hong Kong, and possibly other parts of the Asia-Pacific region, on the use of aripiprazole in people with schizophrenia spectrum disorders and other psychotic problems.

Clinical utility of plasma EGFR mutation detection with quantitative PCR in advanced lung cancer: A meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

To assess the clinical utility of quantitative PCR (qPCR) assays, a routinely used test for detection of epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutation in circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) in treatment-naive advanced lung cancer patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We performed a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) with individual patient data. Eligible RCTs compared EGFR-tyrosine kinase inhibitor (EGFR-TKI) and chemotherapy in first line setting for advanced lung cancer, and included tumour EGFR+ (tEGFR+) with paired ctDNA results using real-time (quantitative) PCR. We assessed the proportion of tEGFR + detected by ctDNA, and compared the effectiveness of EGFR-TKI versus chemotherapy in ctDNA + and ctDNA- subgroups.

RESULTS

Six randomized clinical trials included 1058 tEGFR + patients with paired baseline EGFR ctDNA testing. Of these, 460 (43 %) tested ctDNA- (ctDNA+ 57 %). Progression-free survival was longer for EGFR-TKI versus chemotherapy for both ctDNA+ (HR 0.28; 95 % CI 0.22-0.36, p < 0.00001) and ctDNA- subgroups (HR 0.37; 95 % CI 0.28-0.49, p < 0.00001; p-interaction = 0.14). Objective response rate (odds ratio 6.21; 95 % CI 4.25-9.07, p < 0.00001 vs 6.44; 95 % CI 4.21-9.87, p < 0.00001) and overall survival (HR 0.82; 95 % CI 0.70-1.04 vs HR 0.77; 95CI% 0.59-1.00) similarly favoured EGFR-TKI in both ctDNA + and ctDNA- subgroups respectively.

CONCLUSION

Our findings indicate that approximately two in five tissue EGFR mutation-positive patients will not be detected using a qPCR assay, but would still potentially benefit from highly effective EGFR-TKI treatment. A negative EGFR ctDNA result via qPCR testing is therefore insufficient to exclude benefit from EGFR-TKI. Attempts should be made to repeat EGFR testing with a tissue biopsy in this patient group. As newer ctDNA assays with better sensitivity become available, the clinical impact for any false negatives will remain an important consideration.

Federated Learning used for predicting outcomes in SARS-COV-2 patients

'Federated Learning' (FL) is a method to train Artificial Intelligence (AI) models with data from multiple sources while maintaining anonymity of the data thus removing many barriers to data sharing. During the SARS-COV-2 pandemic, 20 institutes collaborated on a healthcare FL study to predict future oxygen requirements of infected patients using inputs of vital signs, laboratory data, and chest x-rays, constituting the "EXAM" (EMR CXR AI Model) model. EXAM achieved an average Area Under the Curve (AUC) of over 0.92, an average improvement of 16%, and a 38% increase in generalisability over local models. The FL paradigm was successfully applied to facilitate a rapid data science collaboration without data exchange, resulting in a model that generalised across heterogeneous, unharmonized datasets. This provided the broader healthcare community with a validated model to respond to COVID-19 challenges, as well as set the stage for broader use of FL in healthcare.

Validation of Progression-Free Survival Rate at 6 Months and Objective Response for Estimating Overall Survival in Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor Trials: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

IMPORTANCE

Progression-free survival (PFS) rate at 6 months has been proposed as a potential surrogate for overall survival (OS) rate at 12 months for immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) trials but requires further assessment for validation.

OBJECTIVE

To validate 6-month PFS and objective response rate (ORR) as estimators of 12-month OS in the ICI arms of randomized clinical trials (RCTs).

DATA SOURCES

Electronic databases (Medline, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials) were searched for ICI RCTs published between January 2000 and June 2019.

STUDY SELECTION

Eligible studies were phase 2 and phase 3 ICI RCTs in advanced solid cancers that reported ORR, PFS, and OS. A total of 99 articles (from 60 studies) of 2502 articles were selected by consensus.

DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS

Data were screened and extracted independently. Estimation models for 12-month OS and to assess correlation coefficient between end points were developed using linear regression. Data were extracted in July 2019, and analyses were conducted in September 2019. This study is reported following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses (PRISMA) reporting guideline.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Validation of previously reported 6-month PFS and ORR estimation models for 12-month OS using contemporary RCTs. Calibration of 6-month PFS and ORR model-estimated vs observed 12-month OS in ICI arms were assessed by correlation coefficient (r) and weighted Brier scores. Secondary analyses were performed for subgroups (ie, ICI-only, ICI-combination, line of therapy, programmed cell death 1 ligand 1 selected, and unselected).

RESULTS

Data from 60 RCTs with 74 experimental ICI arms were used. The development data set included 25 arms from studies published January 2000 to January 2017. The estimation model for 12-month OS using 6-month PFS was: (1.06 × PFS6) + 0.16 + (0.04 × melanoma) - (0.03 × NSCLC) + (0 × other tumors), in which PFS6 indicates 6-month PFS and NSCLC indicates non-small cell lung cancer. The estimation model for 12-month OS using ORR was (0.15 × ORR) + 0.52 + (0 × melanoma) - (0.02 × NSCLC) - (0.01 × other tumors). A total of 49 arms from studies published after January 2017 to June 2019 formed the validation data set. When the models were applied on the validation data set, calibration between the 6-month PFS model estimated vs observed 12-month OS was good (r = 0.89; Brier score, 0.008), but poor for the ORR model (r = 0.47; Brier score, 0.03). Findings were similar across all subgroups.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

The findings of this study suggest that the estimation model using 6-month PFS could reliably estimate 12-month OS in ICI trials. This study could assist in better selection and prioritization of ICI agents for testing in RCTs based on phase 2 single-arm RCT results.

Hong Kong Society of Clinical Blood Management recommendations for implementation of patient blood management

Patient blood management (PBM) is a patient-centred, multidisciplinary approach to optimise red cell mass, minimise blood loss, and manage tolerance to anaemia in an effort to improve patient outcomes. Well-implemented PBM improves patient outcomes and reduces demand for blood products. The multidisciplinary approach of PBM can often allow patients to avoid blood transfusions, which are associated with less favourable clinical outcomes. In Hong Kong, there has been increasing demand for blood in the ageing population, and there are simultaneous blood safety and donor issues that are adversely affecting the blood supply. To address these challenges, the Hong Kong Society of Clinical Blood Management recommends implementation of a PBM programme in Hong Kong, including strategies such as optimising red blood cell mass, improving anaemia management, minimising blood loss, and rationalising the use of blood and blood products.