Epidemiology and demographic patterns of cardiovascular diseases and neoplasms deaths in Western Europe: a 1990-2019 analysis

OBJECTIVES

Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) and neoplasms have been considered as public health concerns worldwide. This study aimed to estimate the epidemiological patterns of death burden on CVDs and neoplasms and its attributable risk factors in Western Europe from 1990 to 2019 to discuss the potential causes of the disparities.

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

We collected data on CVDs and neoplasms deaths in 24 Western European countries from the Global Burden of Disease Study. We analyzed patterns by age, sex, country, and associated risk factors. The results include percentages of total deaths, age-standardized death rates per 100,000 population, and uncertainty intervals (UIs). Time trends were assessed using annual percent change.

RESULTS

In 2019, CVDs and neoplasms accounted for 33.54% and 30.15% of Western Europe's total deaths, with age-standardized death rates of 128.05 (95% UI: 135.37, 113.02) and 137.51 (95% UI: 142.54, 128.01) per 100,000. Over 1990-2019, CVDs rates decreased by 54.97%, and neoplasms rates decreased by 19.54%. Top CVDs subtypes were ischemic heart disease and stroke; top cancers for neoplasms were lung and colorectal. Highest CVD death burdens were in Finland, Greece, Austria; neoplasm burdens in Monaco, San Marino, Andorra. The major risk factors were metabolic (CVDs) and behavioral (neoplasms). Gender differences revealed higher CVDs death burden in males, while neoplasms burden varied by risk factors and age groups.

CONCLUSION

In 2019, CVDs and neoplasms posed significant health risks in Western Europe, with variations in death burdens and risk factors across genders, age groups, and countries. Future interventions should target vulnerable groups to lessen the impact of CVDs and neoplasms in the region.

Metabolic syndrome in adults with autistic traits: associated psychological, behavioral, and biological factors in females and males - a PharmLines initiative

Background

While cardiovascular diseases is highly prevalent and an important cause of mortality in autistic adults, knowledge on their increased cardiovascular risk is limited. Hence, this study aimed to investigate psychological, behavioral, and physical factors associated with metabolic syndrome (MetS) in adults with autistic traits.

Methods

In total, 17,705 adults from the Lifelines Cohort were included and categorized using Autism Spectrum Quotient-10 sum-scores. The quartiles with highest (HQ-traits-group females: n = 2,635; males: n = 1803) and lowest levels of autistic traits (LQ-traits-group, n = idem) were analyzed. Using multivariable logistic regression, the associations between MetS and (self-reported and interviewed) psychological, behavioral, and physically measured factors in these stratified groups were investigated.

Results

Among females, MetS was more common in the HQ-traits-group than in the LQ-traits-group (10.0% versus 7.5%, p < 0.01), while this was not the case among males (HQ-traits-group 13.8% versus LQ-traits-group 13.1%, p = 0.52). In both the female and male HQ-traits-group, the presence of MetS was associated with poorer self-reported health, less daily physical activity, and altered leukocyte counts.

Conclusion

These findings underline the relevance of adequate cardiovascular prevention in adults with higher levels of autistic traits. Future research could gain more insight into the relationship between cardiovascular risk and autistic traits in females, and into tailored cardiovascular prevention.

In utero antidepressant exposure not associated with ADHD in the offspring: A case control sibling design

Recent studies have reported an association between antidepressant (AD) use during pregnancy and the risk to develop attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) in the offspring. However, the association might be confounded by risk factors in the pregnant parent. To control for unmeasured factors between pregnancies carried by the same parent, we set up a case-control sibling study using the University of Groningen prescription database IADB.nl. Children receiving medication for ADHD (cases) before the age of 16 years were matched to siblings not receiving such medication (controls). Exposure was defined as at least two prescriptions for any AD during pregnancy, i.e., the period of 39 weeks before the birth date of the offspring. Secondary analyses were performed to assess the effects of the degree of exposure (the amount of Defined Daily Doses) and the type of AD exposed to. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression was used to estimate odds ratios (ORs) with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI). In total, 2,833 children (1,304 cases and 1,529 controls) were included in the analysis. Exposure rate to ADs among cases and controls was 2.2% and 2.4%, respectively. After adjusting for the birth date of the child (as a proxy for the date of pregnancy), age of the pregnant parent at birth, use of psychostimulants, opioids, and antiepileptic drugs by the pregnant parent in the 15 months before birth of the child, an adjusted OR of 1.11 (95% CI 0.67–1.83) was found for the risk of ADHD in the offspring when exposed in utero to ADs. This indicates no increased risk of ADHD in offspring following in utero exposure to ADs. The secondary analyses revealed no statistically significant associations either. The present study provides further evidence that an association between in utero AD exposure and ADHD in offspring might not exist. This perceived association may be caused (at least partially) by confounding by indication. The extent to which depression in the pregnant parent could cause mental disorders such as ADHD in offspring, and the mechanisms involved, should be investigated in further studies.

The long-term safety of chronic azithromycin use in adult patients with cystic fibrosis, evaluating biomarkers for renal function, hepatic function and electrical properties of the heart

Background: Azithromycin maintenance therapy is widely used in cystic fibrosis (CF), but little is known about its long-term safety. We investigated whether chronic azithromycin use is safe regarding renal function, hepatic cell toxicity and QTc-interval prolongation.Methods: Adult CF patients (72 patients using azithromycin for a cumulative period of 364.8 years and 19 controls, 108.8 years) from two CF-centers in the Netherlands with azithromycin (non)-use for at least three uninterrupted years were studied retrospectively.Results: There was no difference in mean decline of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), nor in occurrence of eGFR-events. No drug-induced liver injury could be attributed to azithromycin. Of the 39 azithromycin users of whom an ECG was available, 4/39 (10.3%) had borderline and 4/39 (10.3%) prolonged QTc-intervals, with 7/8 patients using other QTc-prolonging medication. Of the control patients 1/6 (16.7%) had a borderline QTc-interval, without using other QTc-prolonging medication. No cardiac arrhythmias were observed.Conclusion: We observed no renal or hepatic toxicity, nor cardiac arrythmias during azithromycin use in CF patients for a mean study duration of more than 5 years. One should be aware of possible QTc-interval prolongation, in particular in patients using other QTc-interval prolonging medication.

Clinical and economic impact of medication non-adherence in drug-susceptible tuberculosis: a systematic review

BACKGROUND: Despite considerable efforts to globally eradicate TB, and the availability of effective antibiotics, TB elimination goals are falling behind. While non-adherence to TB drug regimens may compromise effective treatment, its full impact is still unknown.OBJECTIVE: To determine the clinical and economic impact of non-adherence to TB medication on treatment outcomes in drug-susceptible TB patients (DS-TB).METHODS: A systematic review was performed using PubMed and Embase for studies published between 2009 and 2019 reporting associations between adherence and WHO-defined TB treatment outcomes and economic outcomes in DS-TB patients.RESULTS: A total of 14 studies were included. Eight focused on the association between non-adherence and death, 2 on treatment failure, 1 study on successful treatment outcome, 1 study on both successful and unsuccessful treatment outcomes and 2 on cost outcomes. Most studies (71.4%) were retrospective cohort or case-control studies. The results showed that non-adherence to TB drug regimens was associated with death, treatment failure and lower cure rates.CONCLUSION: Non-adherence to TB drugs has a profound impact on both clinical and economic TB outcomes. To reach WHO TB elimination goals, preventing non-adherence and the implementation of cost-effective intervention programmes should receive the highest priority.

Rates, determinants and success of implementing deprescribing in people with type 2 diabetes: A scoping review

BACKGROUND

Individualizing goals for people with type 2 diabetes may result in deintensification of medication, but a comprehensive picture of deprescribing practices is lacking.

AIMS

To conduct a scoping review in order to assess the rates, determinants and success of implementing deprescribing of glucose-, blood pressure- or lipid-lowering medications in people with diabetes.

METHODS

A systematic search on MEDLINE and Embase between January 2007 and January 2019 was carried out for deprescribing studies among people with diabetes. Outcomes were rates of deprescribing related to participant characteristics, the determinants and success of deprescribing, and its implementation. Critical appraisal was conducted using predefined tools.

RESULTS

Fourteen studies were included; eight reported on rates, nine on determinants and six on success and implementation. Bias was high for studies on success of deprescribing. Deprescribing rates ranged from 14% to 27% in older people with low HbA_1c levels, and from 16% to 19% in older people with low systolic blood pressure. Rates were not much affected by age, gender, frailty or life expectancy. Rates were higher when a reminder system was used to identify people with hypoglycaemia, which led to less overtreatment and fewer hypoglycaemic events. Most healthcare professionals accepted the concept of deprescribing but differed on when to conduct it. Deprescribing glucose-lowering medications could be successfully conducted in 62% to 75% of participants with small rises in HbA_1c .

CONCLUSIONS

Deprescribing of glucose-lowering medications seems feasible and acceptable, but was not widely implemented in the covered period. Support systems may enhance deprescribing. More studies on deprescribing blood pressure- and lipid-lowering medications in people with diabetes are needed.

Predictors for treatment outcomes among patients with drug-susceptible tuberculosis in the Netherlands: a retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVES

We evaluated treatment outcomes and predictors for poor treatment outcomes for tuberculosis (TB) among native- and foreign-born patients with drug-susceptible TB (DSTB) in the Netherlands.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included adult patients with DSTB treated from 2005 to 2015 from a nationwide exhaustive registry. Predictors for unsuccessful treatment outcomes (default and failure) and TB-associated mortality were analysed using multivariate logistic regression.

RESULTS

Among 5674 identified cases, the cumulative incidence of unsuccessful treatment and mortality were 2.6% (n/N = 146/5674) and 2.0% (112/5674), respectively. Although most patients were foreign-born (71%; 4042/5674), no significant differences in these outcomes were observed between native- and foreign-born patients (p > 0.05). Significant predictors for unsuccessful treatment were aged 18-24 years (odds ratio (OR), 2.04; 95% CI 1.34-3.10), homelessness (OR, 2.56; 95% CI 1.16-5.63), prisoner status (OR, 5.39; 95% CI 2.90-10.05) and diabetes (OR, 2.02; 95% CI 1.03-3.97). Furthermore, predictors for mortality were aged 74-84 years (OR, 5.58; 95% CI 3.10-10.03) or ≥85 years (OR, 9.35, 95% CI 4.31-20.30), combined pulmonary and extra-pulmonary TB (OR, 4.97; 95% CI 1.42-17.41), central nervous system (OR, 120, 95% CI 34.43-418.54) or miliary TB (OR, 10.73, 95% CI 2.50-46.02), drug addiction (OR, 3.56; 95% CI 1.34-9.47) and renal insufficiency/dialysis (OR, 3.23; 95% CI 1.17-8.96).

CONCLUSIONS

Native- and foreign-born patients exhibited similar TB treatment outcomes. To further reduce disease transmission and inhibit drug resistance, special attention should be given to high-risk patients.

[Upward trend in the use of psychostimulants by adults]

OBJECTIVE

To gain insight into the trends in the use of psychostimulants among adults.

DESIGN

Retrospective database study.

METHODS

We selected data on adults (≥ 18 years) who had had a minimum of 2 prescriptions for a psychostimulant drug within 1 year from IADB.nl, a Netherlands database of filled prescriptions (59 public pharmacies, approximately 600,000 patients). We calculated both the number of new users and the total number of users of psychostimulants per year in the period 2004-2014. We also assessed which agent was the most commonly prescribed psychostimulant drug and who had initiated treatment.

RESULTS

The number of adults who were prescribed psychostimulants (methylphenidate, dexamphetamine and amphetamine) increased from 1.5 per 1000 adults in 2004 to 7.8 per 1000 adults in 2014. Users were mainly male (63.0%) and methylphenidate was the most frequently prescribed agent (85.7%). The number of new users of these agents increased from 0.5 to 1.5 per 1000 adults, and the greatest increase was observed among young adults (< 30 years). The increase in new users seems to have stabilized since 2012. Around 40% of new treatments were initiated by the GP.

CONCLUSION

The large increase in the number of adults who are prescribed psychostimulants seems mainly to be the result of an increase in the number of new users, especially among young adults. As psychostimulants are only approved for the treatment of ADHD in children from 6 years of age and in adolescents, short- and long-term effects and side effects of these drugs need to be better assessed in the adult population.

[Effectiveness of influenza vaccine in the Netherlands: predominant circulating virus type and vaccine match are important conditions]

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the relationship between circulating influenza virus A types and subtypes and influenza B lineages, their match with the vaccine and the effectiveness of the influenza vaccine (IVE).

DESIGN

Test negative case control study.

METHOD

We used data from the Dutch Sentinel Practices of the Netherlands Institute for Health Services Research (NIVEL) Primary Care Database. Participating general practitioners took nose and throat swabs for viral studies from patients with influenza-like illness or another acute respiratory infection. Cases were those patients whose samples were positive for an influenza virus and controls were those whose samples were negative for influenza virus. We determined the IVE of 11 influenza seasons 2003/2004 to 2013/2014, for all seasons together and stratified by influenza virus type and to vaccine match or mismatch.

RESULTS

Over all seasons, the IVE was 29% (95% CI:11-43). In seven of the 11 seasons there was a mismatch between vaccine and circulating virus type. The IVE was 40% (95% CI: 18-56) for those seasons in which there was a vaccine match, and 20% (95% CI: - 5-38) for seasons with a mismatch. When the influenza A/H3N2 virus was dominant, the IVE was 38% (95% CI: 14-55). The IVE against the influenza virus A/H1N1, A/H1N1/pdm09 and against both influenza B lineages was 77% (95% CI: 37-92), 47% (95% CI: 22-64) and 64% (95% CI: 50-74), respectively.

CONCLUSION

The IVE was particularly low when there was a mismatch between the vaccine and the circulating virus type and when A/H3N2 was the dominant influenza subtype.

An explorative study of school performance and antipsychotic medication

BACKGROUND

Antipsychotic therapy can reduce severe symptoms of psychiatric disorders, however, data on school performance among children on such treatment are lacking. The objective was to explore school performance among children using antipsychotic drugs at the end of primary education.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study was conducted using the University Groningen pharmacy database linked to academic achievement scores at the end of primary school (Dutch Cito-test) obtained from Statistics Netherlands. Mean Cito-test scores and standard deviations were obtained for children on antipsychotic therapy and reference children, and statistically compared using analyses of covariance. In addition, differences in subgroups as boys versus girls, ethnicity, household income, and late starters (start date within 12 months of the Cito-test) versus early starters (start date > 12 months before the Cito-test) were tested.

RESULTS

In all, data from 7994 children could be linked to Cito-test scores. At the time of the Cito-test, 45 (0.6 %) were on treatment with antipsychotics. Children using antipsychotics scored on average 3.6 points lower than the reference peer group (534.5 ± 9.5). Scores were different across gender and levels of household income (p < 0.05). Scores of early starters were significantly higher than starters within 12 months (533.7 ± 1.7 vs. 524.1 ± 2.6).

CONCLUSION

This first exploration showed that children on antipsychotic treatment have lower school performance compared to the reference peer group at the end of primary school. This was most noticeable for girls, but early starters were less affected than later starters. Due to the observational cross-sectional nature of this study, no causality can be inferred, but the results indicate that school performance should be closely monitored and causes of underperformance despite treatment warrants more research.

Antibiotic use during pregnancy and asthma in preschool children: the influence of confounding

BACKGROUND

A recent study suggested that early-life intestinal microbiota may play an important role in the development of childhood asthma, indicating that antibiotics taken during early life or in late pregnancy may be associated with childhood asthma.

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to assess the association between prenatal antibiotic use and asthma in preschool children using data from the prescription database IADB.nl. To assess the influence of potential confounding, we conducted both a case-sibling and a case-control study and compared the results.

METHODS

We conducted a case-sibling study in which 1228 children with asthma were compared to 1228 siblings without asthma, using data from the prescription database IADB.nl. In addition, a case-control study was conducted. Asthma in preschool children was defined as ≥ 3 prescriptions for anti-asthma medication within a year before the fifth birthday. Conditional logistic regression was used to estimate crude and adjusted odds ratios (aORs).

RESULTS

In both the case-sibling and case-control analysis, the use of antibiotics in the third trimester of pregnancy was associated with an increased risk of asthma in preschool children (aOR 1.37; 95% CI 1.02-1.83 and aOR 1.40; 95% CI 1.15-1.47). Time-trend analyses showed that results were not influenced by a time trend in antibiotic exposure. A significant association between exposure to antibiotics in any trimester of pregnancy and the development of asthma in preschool children was observed in the case-control analysis only (aOR 1.46; 95% CI 1.34-1.59).

CONCLUSION

Antibiotic use in the third trimester of pregnancy was associated with a small increased risk of asthma in preschool children. This association was robust to time-invariant confounding or exposure time trends, further supporting the important role for early-life intestinal microbiota in the development of childhood asthma.

Prescribing patterns, adherence and LDL-cholesterol response of type 2 diabetes patients initiating statin on low-dose versus standard-dose treatment: a descriptive study

AIMS

The aim of this study was to describe and compare treatment modifications and discontinuation, adherence levels and response to treatment in patients with type 2 diabetes initiating on low-dose vs. standard-dose statin treatment.

METHODS

A 2-year follow-up cohort study was performed using data from the Groningen Initiative to Analyse Type 2 Diabetes Treatment (GIANTT) database in patients with type 2 diabetes initiating statin treatment between January 2007 and December 2012. First, we determined whether there were differences in treatment modifications and discontinuation after statin initiation between patients starting on a low-dose vs. standard-dose. Second, we looked at differences in adherence and LDL-cholesterol response after 2 years follow-up between these groups.

RESULTS

Around 22% of patients initiated statin treatment on a dose lower than recommended. More than half of them remained on a low dose during a 2-year follow-up period, whereas less than 15% received a dose increase. Of the patients initiating on standard-dose, also more than half remained on the same treatment during this period, whereas 8% received a dose decrease without subsequent increase. Over 25% of patients starting on low-dose or standard-dose treatment discontinued treatment, often within the first 180 days after initiation or after a first treatment change. Patients on low-dose treatment had lower adherence levels and were less likely to have adequate LDL-cholesterol response compared with patients on standard-dose after 2 years follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

Current patterns of statin treatment in patients with type 2 diabetes are suboptimal, with discontinuation, inadequate adherence levels and lack of treatment intensification seen in those who had inadequate LDL-cholesterol response after 2 years of follow-up. Patients starting on low-dose had more treatment modifications, discontinuation and adherence problems as compared with those starting on standard-dose treatment, which calls for a closer look at the rationale of starting patients on low-dose statin treatment.

Relation between CYP2D6 Genotype, Phenotype and Therapeutic Drug Concentrations among Nortriptyline and Venlafaxine Users in Old Age Psychiatry

Objectives: To determine relations between drug concentrations and the cytochrome P450-CYP2D6 genotype or phenotype among elderly patients treated with nortriptyline or venlafaxine. Methods: A post-hoc analysis of a clinical trial was performed. Patients were grouped into phenotypes according to the metabolite/mother compound ratio. Genotypes were assessed by the CYP2D6 *3 and *4 alleles. Results: Data was available from 81 patients (41 nortriptyline, 40 venlafaxine) with a mean age of 72 years. No phenoconversion from poor metabolizers (PM) to extensive metabolizers (EM), or vice versa, was found. However, we did find phenoconversion from PM to intermediate metabolizers (IM), IM to EM, or vice versa in 36% of observations. Among nortriptyline users, patients with a PM or IM genotype had more supra-therapeutic blood levels, although this did not reach statistical significance. In exploratory analyses we found men were more likely (RR: 2.4; 95% CI: 1.14-5.07) to display phenoconversion from an IM genotype to EM phenotype. In addition, compared to non-PMs, PMs were found to have higher risk (RR: 1.56; 95% CI: 1.03-2.37) on non-response, although this was only significant when response was measured on the Hamilton Rating Scale for Depression and not on the Montgomery Åsberg Depression Rating Scale. Conclusion: Patients phenoconversed, but we did not observe phenoconversion from PM to EM or vice versa. Genotype information could be used as a valuable tool, in addition to therapeutic drug monitoring, to prevent supratherapeutic drug levels of nortriptyline or venlafaxine in elderly patients with a PM genotype.

[Antidepressant guidelines poorly adhered to in young people]

OBJECTIVE

To examine if Dutch physicians adhere to the national guidelines on the treatment of depression in children and adolescents.

DESIGN

Retrospective database research.

METHOD

Data on children and adolescents aged between 6 and 17 years were selected from the IADB, a Dutch database of filled prescriptions. We examined whether children and adolescents were prescribed fluoxetine as recommended by the guideline, and whether the starting dose was in accordance with the guideline.

RESULTS

Of 2942 children and adolescents in whom antidepressant treatment was initiated, the proportion prescribed fluoxetine increased from 10.1% in 1994-2003 to 19.7% in 2010-2014. However, paroxetine (1994-2003) and citalopram (2004-2014) were the most frequently prescribed antidepressants. Starting doses were guideline-concordant in 58% of children, 31% of preadolescents and 16% of adolescents. Sixty percent of all adolescents were prescribed an adult starting dose.

CONCLUSION

Guideline adherence was poor. In contrast to the guidelines, physicians preferred citalopram to fluoxetine in children and adolescents with depression. Furthermore, adolescents often received an adult starting dose. These results suggest that dedicated effort is necessary to improve guideline adherence.

Adherence to standard-dose or low-dose statin treatment and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol response in type 2 diabetes patients

OBJECTIVE

To determine the association between adherence, dose and low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol response in patients with type 2 diabetes initiating statin treatment.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

This cohort study was performed using data for 2007-2012 from the Groningen Initiative to Analyse Type 2 Diabetes Treatment (GIANTT) database. The association between adherence to a standard-dose statin and LDL cholesterol response was assessed using linear regression, adjusting for covariates. The effect of low-dose versus standard-dose was assessed in a propensity-score matched cohort. Adherence rates, defined as the proportion of days covered (PDC), were estimated between statin initiation and LDL outcome measurement.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

LDL cholesterol level at follow-up.

RESULTS

The effect of adherence on LDL cholesterol response, measured in 2160 patients, was dependent on the baseline LDL cholesterol level. For patients with a baseline LDL cholesterol of 3.7 mmol/l and an adherence rate of 80%, a 40% reduction in LDL cholesterol was predicted. In the matched sample of 1144 patients, the treatment dose showed a difference in impact on the outcome for adherence rates higher than 50%. It was estimated that a patient with a baseline LDL cholesterol of 3.7 mmol/l will need an adherence rate of at least 76% on low-dose and 63% on standard-dose treatment to reach the LDL cholesterol target of 2.5 mmol/l.

LIMITATIONS

Adherence was measured as the PDC, which is known to overestimate actual adherence. Also, we were not able to adjust for lifestyle factors.

CONCLUSIONS

We determined the concurrent effect of treatment adherence and dose on LDL cholesterol outcomes. Given the adherence levels seen in clinical practice, diabetes patients initiating statin treatment are at high risk of not reaching the recommended cholesterol target, especially when they start on a low-dose statin.

Identification of Dutch children diagnosed with atopic diseases using prescription data: a validation study

Purpose

The aim of this study is to validate medication proxies for the identification of children diagnosed with atopic disorders that can be applied in various types of epidemiological research.

Methods

Records of 7439 children, aged between 0 and 10 years, in the period 2001 until 2010, were retrieved from the Registration Network Groningen database, a general practitioners database in the north-eastern part of the Netherlands. The sensitivity and positive predictive value (PPV) of 22 medication proxies for the identification of children diagnosed with atopic disorders (asthma, atopic dermatitis, and allergic rhinitis) were computed using the registered diagnoses as gold standards. In addition, different capture periods (1 year, half year, and length of study period) for the detection of prescriptions were tested for all the medication proxies.

Results

The highest PPV (0.84, 95 % CI 0.81–0.87) in combination with a sufficient sensitivity value (0.54, 95 % CI 0.50–0.57) for the identification of children diagnosed with asthma was yielded for the medication proxy, ≥2 prescriptions for anti-asthma medication within 1 year, including 1 inhaled steroid. PPV and sensitivity were even higher in the age group 6–10 years. The proxies designed for the identification of children diagnosed with atopic dermatitis and allergic rhinitis yielded only high PPVs (≥0.75) in combination with low sensitivity values (≤0.22). Altering the capture period for the detection of prescriptions to half a year or the length of the study period only affected sensitivity values.

Conclusion

Children diagnosed with asthma can be identified reliably with a range of medication proxies. The use of prescription data for the identification of children diagnosed with atopic dermatitis and allergic rhinitis is questionable.

Predictors of response in initial users of metformin and sulphonylurea derivatives: a systematic review

AIM

To provide an overview of factors predicting metformin and sulphonylurea treatment response.

BACKGROUND

A large variability between individuals in treatment response to metformin and sulphonylurea derivatives exists. Understanding which factors determine response to these drugs may pave the way for more individualized therapy.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic search in the MEDLINE, Cochrane and EMBASE databases, between 2003 and 2012 for articles assessing demographic and clinical prediction factors of treatment response in initial users of metformin or sulphonylurea. A literature search of articles referenced within the studies identified was also performed. Treatment response was defined as change in HbA1c level, reaching target HbA1c levels or time to treatment change. Studies were assessed on quality, sample size and type of analysis. Results were summarized by tabulating positive, null and negative associations observed for included predictors.

RESULTS

A total of 10 articles (six trial reports and four cohort studies) were obtained, including three of sufficient quality. For metformin, baseline HbA1c , older age, lower BMI and shorter disease duration were found to be predictors of better treatment response in at least three studies of sufficient quality. For sulphonylurea derivatives, baseline HbA1c and shorter duration were identified as predictors of better treatment response in at least two studies of sufficient quality. Race, smoking status, lipid levels, blood pressure, kidney function and comorbidities were not significantly associated with treatment response.

CONCLUSIONS

Several demographic and clinical factors were identified as possible predictors of response to metformin and sulphonylurea, but the number of studies with sufficient quality was small. Generally, early treatment seems important for achieving better glycaemic outcomes.

Does a cardiovascular event change adherence to statin treatment in patients with type 2 diabetes? A matched cohort design

OBJECTIVE

To be effective, adherence to statin treatment is essential. We assessed the effect of an apparent first cardiovascular event on statin adherence rates in type 2 diabetes patients.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

A matched cohort study was conducted among type 2 diabetes patients initiating statin treatment for primary prevention in the Groningen University IADB.nl pharmacy database. Patients who had a drug-treated cardiovascular event (index date) after statin initiation were matched to a reference patient without such an event with similar gender, age at statin initiation, initiation date, follow-up period and adherence level before the event. Adherence rates were measured as percentages of days covered (PDC), and shifts in adherence levels (non-adherent/partially adherent/fully adherent) and rates around the event were evaluated.

RESULTS

We could match 375 of the 855 eligible index patients to a reference patient. Index patients had on average a PDC of 81% after the index date; reference patients had a PDC of 71% (p < 0.001) while both had a PDC of 79% before the index date. Index patients were 4.5 times more likely than reference patients to shift from non-adherent to fully adherent (95% CI 1.1-18.8) and 1.8 times more likely to shift from partially adherent to fully adherent (95% CI 1.2-2.6). In the index group, 26% of patients became more adherent after the first cardiovascular event. In contrast, 20% of patients became less adherent.

LIMITATIONS

Medication proxies were used, which could have caused misclassification. Furthermore, a substantial group of index patients could not be matched to a reference patient due to small ranges in matching criteria.

CONCLUSIONS

The occurrence of a drug-treated cardiovascular event appeared to avert the declining statin adherence rate observed in diabetes patients without such an event. On the other hand, one in five patients became less adherent after the event, indicating that there are still important benefits to achieve.

2012/13 influenza vaccine effectiveness against hospitalised influenza A(H1N1)pdm09, A(H3N2) and B: estimates from a European network of hospitals

While influenza vaccines aim to decrease the incidence of severe influenza among high-risk groups, evidence of influenza vaccine effectiveness (IVE) among the influenza vaccine target population is sparse. We conducted a multicentre test-negative case-control study to estimate IVE against hospitalised laboratory-confirmed influenza in the target population in 18 hospitals in France, Italy, Lithuania and the Navarre and Valencia regions in Spain. All hospitalised patients aged ≥18 years, belonging to the target population presenting with influenza-like illness symptom onset within seven days were swabbed. Patients positive by reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction for influenza virus were cases and those negative were controls. Using logistic regression, we calculated IVE for each influenza virus subtype and adjusted it for month of symptom onset, study site, age and chronic conditions. Of the 1,972 patients included, 116 were positive for influenza A(H1N1)pdm09, 58 for A(H3N2) and 232 for influenza B. Adjusted IVE was 21.3% (95% confidence interval (CI): -25.2 to 50.6; n=1,628), 61.8% (95% CI: 26.8 to 80.0; n=557) and 43.1% (95% CI: 21.2 to 58.9; n=1,526) against influenza A(H1N1) pdm09, A(H3N2) and B respectively. Our results suggest that the 2012/13 IVE was moderate against influenza A(H3N2) and B and low against influenza A(H1N1) pdm09.

Did introduction of pneumococcal vaccines in the Netherlands decrease the need for respiratory antibiotics in children? Analysis of 2002 to 2013 data

To estimate the effect of the introduction of the 7- and 10-valentpneumococcal vaccines in 2006 and 2011, respectively in the Netherlands, we assessed respiratory antibiotic use in one to nine year-old children between 2002 and 2013. Seasonal autoregressive integrated moving-average models were applied to estimate the percentage reduction in respiratory antibiotic use. When compared with the pre-vaccination period, the proportion of respiratory antibiotic prescriptions fell by 4.94% (95% CI: 4.63 to 5.26) and 9.02% (95% CI: 2.83 to 14.82) after the introduction of the 7-valent vaccine in children aged three and four years, respectively. After the introduction of the 10-valent vaccine, we observed a reduction of 13.04% (95% CI: 2.76 to 22.23), 20.31% (95% CI: 13.50 to 26.58), 16.92% (95% CI: 3.07 to 28.80), 22.34% (95% CI: 3.73 to 37.35), 23.75% (95% CI: 2.37 to 40.44) in two, three, four, six and seven year-old children, respectively. Thus, our results indicate a reduction in respiratory antibiotic prescriptions in young children after introduction of the pneumococcal vaccines. As only children in our study population aged one and two years born after March 2011 had received the 10-valent vaccine, the effects of the 10-valent vaccine in children aged three to nine years likely reflect the effects of the 7-valent vaccine and herd immunity.

Prenatal exposure to acid-suppressive drugs and the risk of allergic diseases in the offspring: a cohort study

BACKGROUND

Recent studies reported increased risks for the development of asthma in children after prenatal exposure to acid-suppressive drugs. As a result of common pathogenesis, associations could also be present for other allergic diseases.

METHODS

Using the prescription database IADB.nl, we conducted a cohort study amongst 33 536 children in the Netherlands, with a maximum follow-up of 8 years. Maternal exposure was defined as ≥1 dispensed prescription for proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) and/or Histamine 2-antagonists (H2As) during pregnancy. Children were considered to have a drug-treated allergic disease if they received either ≥2 prescriptions for dermal (atopic dermatitis), inhaled (asthma) or nasal (allergic rhinitis) steroids within a 12-month period. Clustered Cox proportional hazard regression was used to estimate crude and adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI).

RESULTS

The aHR for the development of any allergic disease was 1.37 (95% CI: 1.14-1.66) for children exposed to PPIs or H2As. Prenatal exposure to PPIs and/or H2As was associated with atopic dermatitis, asthma and allergic rhinitis with aHRs of 1.32 (95% CI 1.06-1.64), 1.57 (95% CI 1.20-2.05) and 2.40 (95% CI 1.42-4.04), respectively. The aHR for the development of two or more (aHR 2.13 95% CI: 1.43-3.19) and three allergic diseases (aHR 5.18 95% CI: 2.16-12.42) were even more elevated after prenatal exposure to PPIs or H2As.

CONCLUSION

Prenatal exposure to PPIs and H2As appeared associated with an increased risk for the development of atopic dermatitis, asthma and allergic rhinitis in the offspring, especially with the development of multiple allergic diseases. Because our study has limitations inherent to observational studies, prospective studies are now warranted to confirm our findings.

RSV vaccine in development: assessing the potential cost-effectiveness in the Dutch elderly population

OBJECTIVES

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is increasingly recognized as an important cause of morbidity, mortality and health-care utilization in the elderly population. A theoretical model was built to assess the levels of vaccine effectiveness and vaccine costs for which a hypothetical RSV-vaccine for Dutch elderly could be cost-effective.

METHODS

Different vaccination strategies were evaluated by changing the levels of vaccine effectiveness and the willingness to pay per quality-adjusted life year gained (QALY). Outcome measures included direct medical costs, QALYs, life years gained, incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) and the maximum total vaccination costs per individual (i.e. (vaccine price+administration costs)×nr of doses) while remaining cost-effective.

RESULTS

Using base-case assumptions, it was estimated that vaccination of all persons 60 years and older would prevent 3402GP visits, 2989 antibiotic prescriptions, 535 hospitalizations and 249 deaths and would cost €73,261 per QALY, for a vaccine effectiveness of 70%. Vaccinating only the high risk population of 60 years and older would reduce the estimates to 2042GP visits, 2009 antibiotic prescriptions, 179 hospitalizations and 209 deaths and this reduced the cost per QALY to €34,796 per QALY. Using the same assumptions, the maximum total vaccination costs per individual ranged from €26 when vaccinating all persons 60 and older to €68 when vaccinating only persons aged 85 and above, using a willingness to pay threshold of €50,000 per QALY. For the high risk population aged 60 years and older the estimated maximum total vaccination costs ranged from €52 to €99.

CONCLUSION

Vaccination of Dutch elderly against RSV was found cost-effective for several scenarios. As expected, vaccination is more likely to be cost-effective when only including persons who are at increased risk for contracting RSV or the potential complications of RSV. This theoretical study shows that based on the disease burden in the Dutch population aged 60yrs and older there is potential to develop a vaccine that might be considered cost-effective in the Netherlands.

Hospital-based cluster randomised controlled trial to assess effects of a multi-faceted programme on influenza vaccine coverage among hospital healthcare workers and nosocomial influenza in the Netherlands, 2009 to 2011

Nosocomial influenza is a large burden in hospitals. Despite recommendations from the World Health Organization to vaccinate healthcare workers against influenza, vaccine uptake remains low in most European countries. We performed a pragmatic cluster randomised controlled trial in order to assess the effects of implementing a multi-faceted influenza immunisation programme on vaccine coverage in hospital healthcare workers (HCWs) and on in-patient morbidity. We included hospital HCWs of three intervention and three control University Medical Centers (UMCs), and 3,367 patients. An implementation programme was offered to the intervention UMCs to assess the effects on both vaccine uptake among hospital staff and patient morbidity. In 2009/10, the coverage of seasonal, the first and second dose of pandemic influenza vaccine as well as seasonal vaccine in 2010/11 was higher in intervention UMCs than control UMCs (all p<0.05). At the internal medicine departments of the intervention group with higher vaccine coverage compared to the control group, nosocomial influenza and/or pneumonia was recorded in 3.9% and 9.7% of patients of intervention and control UMCs, respectively (p=0.015). Though potential bias could not be completely ruled out, an increase in vaccine coverage was associated with decreased patient in-hospital morbidity from influenza and/or pneumonia.

Routine screening for Coxiella burnetii infection during pregnancy: a clustered randomised controlled trial during an outbreak, the Netherlands, 2010

Between 2007 and 2010, the Netherlands experienced one of the largest outbreaks of Q fever. Since asymptomatic Coxiella burnetii infection has been associated with maternal and obstetric complications, evidence about the effectiveness of routine screening during pregnancy in outbreak areas is needed. We performed a clustered randomised controlled trial during the Dutch outbreak, in which 55 midwife centres were randomised to recruit pregnant women for an intervention or control strategy. In both groups a serum sample was taken between 20 and 32 weeks of gestation. In the intervention group (n=536), the samples were analysed immediately by indirect immunofluorescence assay for the presence of IgM and IgG (phase I/II) and treatment was given during pregnancy in case of an acute or chronic infection. In the control group (n=693), sera were frozen for analysis after delivery. In both groups 15% were seropositive. In the intervention group 2.2% of the women were seropositive and had an obstetric complication, compared with 1.4% in the control group (Odds ratio: 1.54 (95% confidence interval 0.60-3.96)). During a large Q fever outbreak, routine C. burnetii screening starting at 20 weeks of gestation was not associated with a relevant reduction in obstetric complications and should therefore not be recommended.

The significance of rhinovirus detection in hospitalized children: clinical, epidemiological and virological features

Recent developments in molecular diagnostic tools have led to the easy and rapid detection of a large number of rhinovirus (HRV) strains. However, the lack of clinical and epidemiological data hampers the interpretation of these diagnostic findings. From October 2009 to January 2011, we conducted a prospective study in hospitalized children from whom samples were taken for the detection of respiratory viruses. Clinical, epidemiological and microbiological data from 644 patients with 904 disease episodes were collected. When HRV tested positive, strains were further characterized by sequencing the VP4/VP2 region of the HRV genome. HRV was the single respiratory virus detected in 254 disease episodes (28%). Overall, 99 different serotypes were detected (47% HRV‐A, 12% HRV‐B, 39% HRV‐C). Patients with HRV had more underlying pulmonary illness compared with patients with no virus (p 0.01), or patients with another respiratory virus besides HRV (p 0.007). Furthermore, cough, shortness of breath and a need for oxygen were significantly more present in patients with HRV infection. Particularly, patients with HRV‐B required extra oxygen. No respiratory symptom, except for oxygen need, was predictive of the presence of HRV. In 22% of HRV‐positive disease episodes, HRV infection was hospital acquired. Phylogenetic analysis revealed several clusters of HRV; in more than 25% of these clusters epidemiological information was suggestive of transmission within specific wards. In conclusion, the detection of HRV may help in explaining respiratory illness, particular in patients with pulmonary co‐morbidities. Identifying HRV provides opportunities for timely implementation of infection control measures to prevent intra‐hospital transmission.

Cost-effectiveness of potential infant vaccination against respiratory syncytial virus infection in The Netherlands

INTRODUCTION

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection is one of the major causes of respiratory illness in infants, infecting virtually every child before the age of 2 years. Currently, several Phase 1 trials with RSV vaccines in infants are ongoing or have been completed. As yet, no efficacy estimates are available for these vaccine candidates. Nevertheless, cost-effectiveness estimates might be informative to enable preliminary positioning of an RSV vaccine.

METHODS

A decision analysis model was developed in which a Dutch birth cohort was followed for 12 months. A number of potential vaccination strategies were reviewed such as vaccination at specific ages, a two- or three-dosing scheme and seasonal vaccination versus year-round vaccination. The impact of the assumptions made was explored in various sensitivity analyses, including probabilistic analysis. Outcome measures included the number of GP visits, hospitalizations and deaths, costs, quality-adjusted life years and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs).

RESULTS

Currently, without vaccination, an annual number of 28,738 of RSV-related GP visits, 1623 hospitalizations, and 4.5 deaths are estimated in children in the age of 0-1 year. The total annual cost to society of RSV in the non-vaccination scenario is €7.7 million (95%CI: 1.7-16.7) and the annual disease burden is estimated at 597 QALYs (95%CI: 133-1319). In case all infants would be offered a potentially safe and effective 3-dose RSV vaccination scheme at the age of 0, 1 and 3 months, the total annual net costs were estimated to increase to €21.2 million, but 544 hospitalizations and 1.5 deaths would be averted. The ICER was estimated at €34,142 (95%CI: € 21,652-€ 87,766) per QALY gained. A reduced dose schedule, seasonal vaccination, and consideration of out-of-pocket expenses all resulted in more favorable ICER values, whereas a reduced vaccine efficacy or a delay in the timing of vaccination resulted in less favorable ICERs.

DISCUSSION

Our model used recently updated estimates on the burden of RSV disease in children and it included plausible utilities. However, due to the absence of clinical trial data, a number of crucial assumptions had to be made related to the characteristics of potential RSV vaccine. The outcomes of our modeling exercise show that vaccination of infants against RSV might be cost-effective. However, clinical trial data are warranted.

Screening for Coxiella burnetii infection during pregnancy: pros and cons according to the Wilson and Jungner criteria

In Europe the incidence of human Q fever has dramatically increased over the previous years. Untreated infections with Coxiella burnetii, the causal agent of Q fever, have been associated with both obstetric and maternal complications. The majority of pregnant women with a C. burnetii infection remain asymptomatic, hence screening could be of value to prevent unwanted outcomes in this high-risk group. We applied the updated Wilson and Jungner criteria to review the evidence for routine screening for C. burnetii infection during pregnancy. Since much uncertainty remains about the incidence, clinical consequences, diagnostics and treatment of C. burnetii infection during pregnancy, routine screening for C. burnetii infection during pregnancy should not be recommended. Rigorous studies to assess the effectiveness of C. burnetii screening are warranted.

Screening for Coxiella burnetii infection during pregnancy: pros and cons according to the Wilson and Jungner criteria

In Europe the incidence of human Q fever has dramatically increased over the previous years. Untreated infections with Coxiella burnetii, the causal agent of Q fever, have been associated with both obstetric and maternal complications. The majority of pregnant women with a C. burnetii infection remain asymptomatic, hence screening could be of value to prevent unwanted outcomes in this high-risk group. We applied the updated Wilson and Jungner criteria to review the evidence for routine screening for C. burnetii infection during pregnancy. Since much uncertainty remains about the incidence, clinical consequences, diagnostics and treatment of C. burnetii infection during pregnancy, routine screening for C. burnetii infection during pregnancy should not be recommended. Rigorous studies to assess the effectiveness of C. burnetii screening are warranted.

Placental histopathology after Coxiella burnetii infection during pregnancy

Symptomatic and asymptomatic Coxiella burnetii infection during pregnancy have been associated with obstetric complications. We described placental histopathology and clinical outcome of five cases with asymptomatic C. burnetii infection during pregnancy and compared these cases with four symptomatic cases from the literature. In contrast with the symptomatic cases, we did not observe necrosis or active inflammation in the placentas of the asymptomatic women. Obstetrical outcome was more favourable in the asymptomatic cases than in the symptomatic cases. Asymptomatic and symptomatic C. burnetii infection during pregnancy are different entities with respect to placental histopathology and the risk of obstetric complications.

Determination of factors required to increase uptake of influenza vaccination among hospital-based healthcare workers

A questionnaire study was performed in all eight University Medical Centers in The Netherlands to determine the predictors of influenza vaccination compliance in hospital-based healthcare workers (HCWs). Demographical, behavioural and organisational determinants were assessed based on behavioural and implementation models. Multivariable regression analysis was applied to assess the independent predictors for influenza vaccine uptake. Age >40 years, the presence of a chronic illness, awareness of personal risk and awareness of risk of infecting patients, trust in the effectiveness of the vaccine to reduce the risk of infecting patients, the HCWs' duty to do no harm and their duty to ensure continuity of care, finding vaccination useful despite the constant flow of visitors and having knowledge of the Health Council's advice, social influence and convenient time for vaccination were all independently associated with vaccine uptake. The accuracy of the prediction model was very high (area under the receiver operating curve: 0.95). Intervention programmes to increase influenza vaccine uptake among HCWs should target the relevant determinants identified in this study.

Effects of a multi-faceted program to increase influenza vaccine uptake among health care workers in nursing homes: A cluster randomised controlled trial

Despite the recommendation of the Dutch association of nursing home physicians (NVVA) to be immunized against influenza, vaccine uptake among HCWs in nursing homes remains unacceptably low. Therefore we conducted a cluster randomised controlled trial among 33 Dutch nursing homes to assess the effects of a systematically developed multi-faceted intervention program on influenza vaccine uptake among HCWs. The intervention program resulted in a significantly higher, though moderate, influenza vaccine uptake among HCWs in nursing homes. To take full advantage of this measure, either the program should be adjusted and implemented over a longer time period or mandatory influenza vaccination should be considered.

Which factors are important in adults' uptake of a (pre)pandemic influenza vaccine?

Since 2008, (pre)pandemic vaccines against H5N1 influenza have been available and pandemic vaccines against new influenza H1N1 are currently produced. In The Netherlands, the vaccination call for seasonal influenza among the recommended groups approximates 70%. These statistics raise the question if adults in Western societies are willing to get a (pre)pandemic influenza vaccination, for example, against avian H5N1 or swine-like H1N1 virus. A questionnaire was performed to determine the predictors of a negative intention to be immunized against pandemic influenza among adults. Demographical, behavioural and organisational determinants were studied. Thirty-four and five percent of the respondents were negatively intended to get a pandemic influenza vaccination in a pre-pandemic or pandemic phase, respectively. On the basis of six behavioural determinants negative intention to get a pandemic influenza vaccination can be predicted correctly in almost 80% of the target group. These determinants should be targeted in pandemic preparedness plans.

Modeling the effects of influenza vaccination of health care workers in hospital departments

Nowadays health care worker (HCW) vaccination is widely recommended. Although the benefits of this strategy have been demonstrated in long-term care settings, no studies have been performed in regular hospital departments. We adapt a previously developed model of influenza transmission in a long-term care nursing home department to study the effects of HCW vaccination in hospital wards. We study both the effectiveness and efficiency in reducing the hazard rates of influenza virus infection for patients. Most scenarios under study show a similar or higher impact of hospital HCW vaccination than has been predicted for the long-term care nursing home department. Therefore, it seems justified to extend the recommendations for HCW vaccination, based on results in the long-term care setting, to short-term care settings as well.

Time for first antibiotic dose is not predictive for the early clinical failure of moderate-severe community-acquired pneumonia

The time to first antibiotic dose (TFAD) has been mentioned as an important performance indicator in community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). However, the advice to minimise TFAD to 4 hours (4 h) is only based on database studies. We prospectively studied the effect of minimising the TFAD on the early clinical outcome of moderate–severe CAP. On admission, patients’ medical data and TFAD were recorded. Early clinical failure was expressed as the proportion of patients with clinical instability, admission to the intensive care unit (ICU) or mortality on day three. Of 166 patients included in the study, 27 patients (29.7%) with TFAD <4 h had early clinical failure compared to 23 patients (37.7%) with TFAD >4 h (odds ratio [OR] 0.69; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.35–1.35). In multivariate analysis, the pneumonia severity index (OR 1.03; 95%CI 1.01–1.04), confusion (OR 2.63; 95%CI 1.14–6.06), Staphylococcus aureus infection (OR 7.26; 95%CI 1.33–39.69) and multilobar pneumonia (OR 2.40; 95%CI 1.11–5.22) but not TFAD were independently associated with early clinical failure. Clinical parameters on admission other than the TFAD predict early clinical outcome in moderate–severe CAP. In contrast to severe CAP necessitating treatment in the ICU directly, in the case of suspected moderate–severe CAP, there is time to establish a reliable diagnosis of CAP before antibiotics are administered. Therefore, the implementation of the TFAD as a performance indicator is not desirable.

Incidence and antibiotic prescription rates for common infections in patients with diabetes in primary care over the years 1995 to 2003

OBJECTIVE

To assess changes in incidence and in antibiotic prescription rates for infections of the lower respiratory tract (LRTI) and urinary tract (UTI) in patients with diabetes (DM) over the years 1995 to 2003.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study as part of the University Medical Center Utrecht General Practitioners Research Network. We included patients with DM aged > or = 45 years. We assessed incidence and antibiotic prescription rates for LRTI and UTI. Incidence rates were calculated as episodes per 1000 person-years. Antibiotic prescription rates were calculated per 100 episodes of LRTI and UTI.

RESULTS

The study population increased over the years 1995 to 2003. The male-to-female ratio and mean age of the study population remained constant over these years. The incidence rate for LRTI remained stable (13%; p=0.442), and for UTI the incidence rate increased by 40% (p=0.037). Antibiotic prescription rates increased in LRTI by 60% (p<0.001) and in cystitis by 15% (p=0.029).

CONCLUSIONS

Incidence rates for UTI and antibiotic prescription rates for LRTI in diabetes have increased over the years 1995 to 2003. In particular, attention should be paid to the increasing use of antibiotics in DM patients with LRTI.

Excess drug prescriptions during influenza and RSV seasons in the Netherlands: potential implications for extended influenza vaccination

Influenza and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infections are responsible for considerable morbidity, mortality and health-care resource use. For the Netherlands, we estimated age and risk-group specific numbers of antibiotics, otologicals and cardiovascular prescriptions per 10,000 person-years during periods with elevated activity of influenza or RSV, and compared these with peri-season rates. Data were taken from the University of Groningen in-house prescription database (www.iadb.nl) and virological surveillance for the period 1998-2006. During influenza and RSV periods excess antibiotic prescriptions were estimated for all age groups. In the age groups 0-1 and 2-4 years, excess antibiotic prescriptions during periods with elevated RSV activity (65% and 59% of peri-seasonal rates) exceeded the surpluses estimated during the influenza-activity periods (24% and 34% of peri-seasonal rates) while for otologicals excess prescriptions were higher for influenza (22% and 27%) than for RSV (14% and 17%). Among persons of 50 years and older, notably those without medical high-risk conditions, excess prescriptions for cardiovascular medications were estimated during the influenza periods at approximately 10% (this was also already seen in persons aged 45-49). Our results may have implications for influenza vaccination policies. In particular, extension of influenza vaccination to groups of non-elderly adults and young children may lower excess prescriptions during these influenza periods for all three types of drug prescriptions investigated.

Symptoms of influenza virus infection in hospitalized patients

BACKGROUND

During influenza outbreaks, fever and cough are the most accurate symptoms in predicting influenza virus infection in the community.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the usefulness of fever, cough, and other symptoms for diagnosing influenza virus infection in hospitalized patients.

DESIGN

Prospective cohort study.

SETTING

Three wards (pulmonology, internal medicine and infectious diseases, and geriatrics) of a tertiary care hospital in the Netherlands.

PATIENTS

All patients staying in the wards during peak national influenza activity in the 2005-2006 and 2006-2007 influenza seasons.

METHODS

During peak influenza activity, the presence of fever, cough, and/or other symptoms possibly associated with influenza was monitored for all patients, and nose and throat swab samples were taken twice weekly for virologic analysis.

RESULTS

Of 264 patients, 23 (9%) tested positive for influenza virus. The positive predictive value of fever and cough for the diagnosis of influenza virus infection was 23% (95% confidence interval, 0%-62%), and the sensitivity was 35% (95% confidence interval, 11%-58%). The combination of symptoms with the highest positive predictive value (40%) was that of cough, chills, and obstructed nose or coryza. The combination of cough and chills or fever had the highest sensitivity (60%). None of the combinations of symptoms had both a positive predictive value and a sensitivity higher than 40%.

CONCLUSIONS

Both the sensitivity and the positive predictive value of fever, cough, and/or other symptoms for the diagnosis of influenza virus infection in hospitalized patients are low. The use of these common symptoms for treatment decisions and infection control management will probably be insufficient to contain a nosocomial outbreak, because many influenza cases will remain unidentified.

Collaborative efforts are needed to improve use of influenza immunisation in Europe

Influenza is among the infectious diseases with the highest incidence and associated serious morbidity and mortality that can be prevented by vaccination.

Rationale and design of CAPITA: a RCT of 13-valent conjugated pneumococcal vaccine efficacy among older adults

The burden of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) among the elderly is high and has increased over the last decades. Streptococcus pneumoniae is the most common cause of CAP and in 10% the infection may be fatal. Although the 23-valent polysaccharide pneumococcal vaccine (23vPS) is considered effective in the prevention of invasive pneumococcal disease in the elderly population, the evidence is mainly from nonrandomised observational studies and effects on the occurrence of pneumonia have not been demonstrated. Conjugated pneumococcal vaccines which also stimulate T-cell dependent immune responses induced antibody responses in elderly persons which are similar to those induced by a primary series of 7-valent conjugated pneumococcal vaccine (7vPnC) in infants, and the response appeared similar or superior for all vaccine serotypes to that induced by 23vPS. The primary objective of the planned trial entitled CAPITA (Community Acquired Pneumonia Immunization Trial in Adults) is to establish the efficacy of a 13-valent PnC vaccine in the prevention of a first episode of vaccine-serotype specific pneumococcal CAP in 85,000 community-dwelling adult persons aged 65 years and older. This is a parallel group, randomised, placebo-controlled trial, with a 1:1 random allocation to vaccine or placebo vaccine. The occurrence of the primary outcome of vaccine-serotype specific (VT)-CAP will be established in hospitals on the basis of three sets of criteria: (1) a clinical definition of CAP; (2) independent interpretation of chest radiograph consistent with pneumonia: and (3) determination of S. pneumonia serotype. the trial will be critical to determine the position of conjugate pneumococcal vaccines in the prevention of pneumococcal disease.

Quantifying the potential role of unmeasured confounders: the example of influenza vaccination

BACKGROUND

The validity of non-randomized studies using healthcare databases is often challenged because they lack information on potentially important confounders, such as functional health status and socioeconomic status. In a study quantifying the effects of influenza vaccination among community-dwelling elderly we assessed whether additional information on not routinely available covariates was indeed associated with exposure to influenza vaccination and could, therefore, have led to residual confounding in healthcare databases.

METHODS

We randomly selected 500 persons aged 65 years and older from the computerized Utrecht General Practitioner database. Information on exposure status and on demographics, co-morbidity status, prior healthcare use and medication use was extracted from the database. A questionnaire was used to obtain additional information on not routinely available risk factors [e.g. functional health status (SF-20), smoking status and alcohol consumption]. Missing data from the questionnaire was imputed and multivariable logistic regression analysis was applied to quantify the influence of covariates on the prediction of exposure to influenza vaccination. Within an existing dataset the potential impact of functional health status on the relation between influenza vaccination and mortality was simulated.

RESULTS

We obtained questionnaire data from 365 of 500 (73%) subjects. The model including routinely available data from the database appeared accurate in predicting exposure to influenza vaccination (c-statistic 0.86, 95% CI: 0.82-0.89). Functional health status was the only additional characteristic measured with the questionnaire that was not similar in vaccinated and unvaccinated subjects. However, extending the multivariable regression model with functional health status did not significantly improve the prediction of exposure to influenza vaccination, nor did it affect the relation between influenza vaccination and mortality.

CONCLUSION

The potential for unmeasured confounding on the association between influenza vaccination and health outcomes as quantified in healthcare databases seems small for non-randomized intervention studies within extensive and reliable databases.