Abstract 798: SeroNet Pooling Project of immunocompromised populations

Introduction: COVID-19 vaccination substantially reduces morbidity and mortality associated with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection and severe illness. However, despite effective COVID-19 vaccines many questions remain about the efficacy of vaccines and the durability and robustness of immune responses, especially in immunocompromised persons. The NCI-funded Serological Sciences Network (SeroNet) is a coordinated effort including 11 sites to advance research on the immune response to SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19 vaccination among diverse and vulnerable populations. The goals of the Pooling Project are: (1) to conduct real-world data (RWD) analyses using electronic medical records (EMR) data from four health care systems (Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Northwell Health, Veterans Affairs-Case Western, and Cedars-Sinai) to determine vaccine effectiveness in (a) cancer patients; (b) autoimmune diseases and (c) solid organ transplant recipients (SOTR); (2) to conduct meta-analyses of prospective cohort studies from eight SeroNet institutions (Cedars-Sinai, Johns Hopkins, Northwell Health, Emory University, University of Minnesota, Mount Sinai, Yale University) to determine post-vaccine immune responses in (a) lung cancer patients; (b) hematologic cancers/hematopoietic stem cell transplant (HSCT) recipients; (c) SOTR; (d) lupus.

Methods: For our RWD analyses, data is extracted from EMR using standardized algorithms using ICD-10 codes to identify immunocompromised persons (hematologic and solid organ malignancy; SOTR; autoimmune disease, including inflammatory bowel disease, rheumatoid arthritis, and SLE). We use common case definitions to extract data on demographic, laboratory values, clinical co-morbidity, COVID-19 vaccination, SARS-CoV-2 infection and severe COVID-19, and disease-specific variables. In addition, we pool individual-level data from prospective cohorts enrolling patients with cancer and other immunosuppressed conditions from across network. Surveys and biospecimens from serology and immune profiling are collected at pre-specified timepoints across longitudinal cohorts.

Results: Currently, we have EMR data extracted from 4 health systems including >715,000 cancer patients, >9,500 SOTR and >180,000 with autoimmune conditions. Prospective cohorts across the network have longitudinal data on >450 patients with lung cancer, >1,200 patients with hematologic malignancies, >400 SOTR and >400 patients with lupus. We will report results examining vaccine effectiveness for prevention of SARS-CoV-2 infection, severe COVID-19 and post-acute sequelae of COVID-19 (PAS-C or long COVID) in cancer patients compared to other immunocompromised conditions.

Conclusion: Our goal is to inform public health guidelines on COVID-19 vaccine and boosters to reduce SARS-CoV-2 infection and severe illness in immunocompromised populations.

Citation Format: Elham Kazemain, Jane Figueiredo, Jacek Skarbinski, Russell McBride, Viviana Simon, Amy B. Karger, F. Eun-Hyung Lee, Fred R. Hirsch, Andrea Cox, Sabra Klein, Rong Fan, Stephanie Halene, David A. Zidar, James M. Crawford, Bharat Thyagarajan, Charles Gleason, Alex Mathson, Komal Srivastava, Puleng Moshele, Toby Amoss, Martin Runnstrom, Susanne Linderman, Ananda M. Rodilla, Philip C. Mack, Yu Shyr, Anna Yin, Patrick Shea, Jennifer VanOudenhove, Hinnah Siddiqui, Brigid M. Wilson, Eric P. Elkin, Crystal A. Hsiao, Yonah Ziemba, Cheryl B. Schleicher, Sharon Fox, Lawrence H. Kushi, Karen Reckamp, Akil Merchant, Noah Merin. SeroNet Pooling Project of immunocompromised populations [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2023; Part 1 (Regular and Invited Abstracts); 2023 Apr 14-19; Orlando, FL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2023;83(7_Suppl):Abstract nr 798.

Changes in COVID-19 Vaccine Intent Among a Diverse Population of Older Adults, June 2021-February 2022

Introduction COVID-19 vaccination rates remain suboptimal in the United States. Clinicians and policymakers need to better understand how likely vaccine-hesitant individuals are to ultimately accept vaccination and what is associated with such changes. This study's aims were to 1) describe changes between vaccine intentions and actual uptake from June 2021 through February 2022, and 2) identify modifiable factors associated with vaccine uptake among those with initial hesitancy. Methods This cohort study included a stratified random sample of adults aged 65 years and older in an integrated health care system. The survey, conducted June through August 2021, elicited intent and perceptions regarding COVID-19 vaccination. Subsequent vaccine uptake through February 2022 was analyzed using electronic health records. Results Of 1195 individuals surveyed, 66% responded; 213 reported not yet having received a COVID-19 vaccine and were further analyzed. At baseline, most individuals said they would definitely not (42%) or probably not (5%) get the COVID-19 vaccine or were not sure (26%). During follow-up, 61 individuals (29%) were vaccinated, including 19% of those who initially said they would definitely not be vaccinated. Among vaccine-hesitant individuals, the rate of vaccination was highest for those who initially considered COVID-19 less dangerous than the vaccine (46%) or named short-term side effects (36%) as their most important concern. Conclusions COVID-19 vaccine intent among older adults was malleable during the pandemic's second year, even among those who initially said they would definitely not be vaccinated. Vaccine uptake could be enhanced by increasing awareness of COVID-19 risks and by addressing vaccine side effects.

Risk of severe clinical outcomes among persons with SARS-CoV-2 infection with differing levels of vaccination during widespread Omicron (B.1.1.529) and Delta (B.1.617.2) variant circulation in Northern California: A retrospective cohort study

Background

The incidence of and risk factors for severe clinical outcomes with the Omicron (B.1.1.529) SARS-CoV-2 variant have not been well-defined.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective cohort study to assess risks of severe clinical outcomes within 21 days after SARS-CoV-2 diagnosis in a large, diverse, integrated health system.

Findings

Among 118,078 persons with incident SARS-CoV-2 infection, 48,101 (41%) were during the Omicron period and 69,977 (59%) during the Delta (B.1.617.2) period. Cumulative incidence of any hospitalization (2.4% versus 7.8%; adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.55; 95% confidence interval [CI] (0.51-0.59), with low-flow oxygen support (1.6% versus 6.4%; aHR 0.46; CI 0.43-0.50), with high-flow oxygen support (0.6% versus 2.8%; aHR 0.47; CI 0.41-0.54), with invasive mechanical ventilation (0.1% versus 0.7%; aHR 0.43; CI 0.33-0.56), and death (0.2% versus 0.7%; aHR 0.54; CI 0.42-0.70) were lower in the Omicron than the Delta period. The risk of hospitalization was higher among unvaccinated persons (aHR 8.34; CI 7.25-9.60) and those who completed a primary COVID-19 vaccination series (aHR 1.72; CI 1.49-1.97) compared with those who completed a primary vaccination series and an additional dose. The strongest risk factors for all severe clinical outcomes were older age, higher body mass index and select comorbidities.

Interpretation

Persons with SARS-CoV-2 infection were significantly less likely to develop severe clinical outcomes during the Omicron period compared with the Delta period. COVID-19 primary vaccination and additional doses were associated with reduced risk of severe clinical outcomes among those with SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Funding

National Cancer Institute and The Permanente Medical Group.

Effect of Electronic and Mail Outreach From Primary Care Physicians for COVID-19 Vaccination of Black and Latino Older Adults: A Randomized Clinical Trial

IMPORTANCE

COVID-19 morbidity is highest in Black and Latino older adults. These racial and ethnic groups initially had lower vaccination uptake than others, and rates in Black adults continue to lag.

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the effect of outreach via electronic secure messages and mailings from primary care physicians (PCPs) on COVID-19 vaccination uptake among Black and Latino older adults and to compare the effects of culturally tailored and standard PCP messages.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This randomized clinical trial was conducted from March 29 to May 20, 2021, with follow-up surveys through July 31, 2021. Latino and Black individuals aged 65 years and older from 4 Kaiser Permanente Northern California (KPNC) service areas were included. Data were analyzed from May 27, 2021, to September 28, 2021.

INTERVENTIONS

Individuals who had not received COVID-19 vaccination after previous outreach were randomized to electronic secure message and/or mail outreach from their PCP, similar outreach with additional culturally tailored content, or usual care. Outreach groups were sent a secure message or letter in their PCP's name, followed by a postcard to those still unvaccinated after 4 weeks.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The primary outcome was time to receipt of COVID-19 vaccination during the 8 weeks after initial study outreach. KPNC data were supplemented with state data from external sources. Intervention effects were evaluated via proportional hazards regression.

RESULTS

Of 8287 included individuals (mean [SD] age, 72.6 [7.0] years; 4665 [56.3%] women), 2434 (29.4%) were Black, 3782 (45.6%) were Latino and preferred English-language communications, and 2071 (25.0%) were Latino and preferred Spanish-language communications; 2847 participants (34.4%) had a neighborhood deprivation index at the 75th percentile or higher. A total of 2767 participants were randomized to culturally tailored PCP outreach, 2747 participants were randomized to standard PCP outreach, and 2773 participants were randomized to usual care. Culturally tailored PCP outreach led to higher COVID-19 vaccination rates during follow-up compared with usual care (664 participants [24.0%] vs 603 participants [21.7%]; adjusted hazard ratio (aHR), 1.22; 95% CI, 1.09-1.37), as did standard PCP outreach (635 participants [23.1%]; aHR, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.04-1.31). Individuals who were Black (aHR, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.06-1.33), had high neighborhood deprivation (aHR, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.03-1.33), and had medium to high comorbidity scores (aHR, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.09-1.31) were more likely to be vaccinated during follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

This randomized clinical trial found that PCP outreach using electronic and mailed messages increased COVID-19 vaccination rates among Black and Latino older adults.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT05096026.

Survival analysis of carboplatin added to an anthracycline/taxane-based neoadjuvant chemotherapy and HRD score as predictor of response-final results from GeparSixto

Background

In the neoadjuvant GeparSixto study, adding carboplatin to taxane- and anthracycline-based chemotherapy improved pathological complete response (pCR) rates in patients with triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC). Here, we present survival data and the potential prognostic and predictive role of homologous recombination deficiency (HRD).

Patients and methods

Patients were randomized to paclitaxel plus nonpegylated liposomal doxorubicin (Myocet®) (PM) or PM plus carboplatin (PMCb). The secondary study end points disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were analyzed. Median follow-up was 47.3 months. HRD was among the exploratory analyses in GeparSixto and was successfully measured in formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded tumor samples of 193/315 (61.3%) participants with TNBC. Homologous recombination (HR) deficiency was defined as HRD score ≥42 and/or presence of tumor BRCA mutations (tmBRCA).

Results

A significantly better DFS (hazard ratio 0.56, 95% CI 0.34-0.93; P = 0.022) was observed in patients with TNBC when treated with PMCb. The improvement of OS with PMCb was not statistically significant. Additional carboplatin did not improve DFS or OS in patients with HER2-positive tumors. HR deficiency was detected in 136 (70.5%) of 193 triple-negative tumors, of which 82 (60.3%) showed high HRD score without tmBRCA. HR deficiency independently predicted pCR (ypT0 ypN0) [odds ratio (OR) 2.60, 95% CI 1.26-5.37, P = 0.008]. Adding carboplatin to PM significantly increased the pCR rate from 33.9% to 63.5% in HR deficient tumors (P = 0.001), but only marginally in HR nondeficient tumors (from 20.0% to 29.6%, P = 0.540; test for interaction P = 0.327). pCR rates with carboplatin were also higher (63.2%) than without carboplatin (31.7%; OR 3.69, 1.46-9.37, P = 0.005) in patients with high HRD score but no tmBRCA. DFS rates were improved with addition of carboplatin, both in HR nondeficient (hazard ratio 0.44, 0.17-1.17, P = 0.086) and HR deficient tumors (hazard ratio 0.49, 0.23-1.04, P = 0.059).

Conclusions

The addition of carboplatin to neoadjuvant PM improved DFS significantly in TNBC. Long-term survival analyses support the neoadjuvant use of carboplatin in TNBC. HR deficiency in TNBC and HRD score in non-tmBRCA TNBC are predictors of response. HRD does not predict for carboplatin benefit.

Abstract P1-09-02: Homologous repair deficiency (HRD) as measure to predict the effect of carboplatin on survival in the neoadjuvant phase II trial GeparSixto in triple-negative early breast cancer

Introduction

Addition of carboplatin to anthracycline/taxane-based neoadjuvant chemotherapy has shown to improve pathological complete response (pCR; ypT0 ypN0) rates in patients with triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) in two large phase II studies (GeparSixto: von Minckwitz et al, Lancet Oncol 2014, CALGB 40603: Sikov WM, J Clin Oncol 2015). Participants of the GeparSixto study showed an improvement of pCR rate from 36.9 to 53.2% (p=0.005) and DFS by absolute 9% (HR 0.56 95% CI 0.33-0.96] p=0.035) with the addition of carboplatin in the TNBC subgroup. No effect was observed in the HER2-positive subgroup. We here report results on homologous repair deficiency (HRD) status in relation to pCR and DFS in the TNBC subgroup.

Patients and Methods

In the GeparSixto trial (NCT01426880), patients were treated for 18 weeks with paclitaxel 80mg/m2 q1w and non-pegylated-liposomal doxorubicin (NPLD) 20mg/m2 q1w. Patients with TNBC (N=315) received concurrently bevacizumab 15mg/kg i.v. q2w until surgery. All patients were randomized 1:1 to receive concurrently carboplatin AUC 1.5-2 q1w vs no carboplatin. Carboplatin dose was reduced from AUC 2.0 to 1.5 by an amendment after 330 patients. Primary objective is pCR rate (ypT0 ypN0). Event free survival (EFS), and overall survival (OS) were secondary objectives. HR Deficiency status was assessed on FFPE material from pretherapeutic core biopsies. HR Deficiency was defined as either HRD score high or a BRCA mutation.

Results

HRD status was measurable in 193 of 315 TNBC patients. 101 patients of them were randomly assigned to receive carboplatin and 92 to no additional carboplatin. After median follow-up of 34.3 months 43 event free survival (EFS) events have been reported.

HR deficiency was detected in 136 (70.5%) tumors of which 79 (58.1%) showed high HRD score with intact tBRCA. HR deficiency independently predicted pCR (ypT0is ypN0) (odds ratio (OR) 2.506, CI 1.243-5.051, p=0.009). Adding carboplatin to PM significantly increased the pCR rate from 36.6% to 63.2% in HR deficient tumors with intact tBRCA (p=0.018), only marginally from 61.9% to 72.7% in BRCA mutated tumors (p=0.406), and moderately from 20.0% to 40.7% in HR non-deficient tumors (p=0.086). In general, patients with HRD deficient tumors had a better ESF than non HRD deficient ones (HR 1.805 (0.985-3.309); p=0.0526). Patients with high HRD score had an insignificant trend towards an improved EFS compared to those with low HRD score (HR 1.546 (0.764-3.127) p=0.2223). HRD deficiency did not predict carboplatin effect in patients without BRCA mutation (HR 0.8617). In multivariable analysis, only therapy, clinical nodal status before treatment, and lymphocyte predominant breast cancer were significant prognostic on EFS.

Conclusion

Within the GeparSixto study HR deficiency (either HRD score high or BRCA mutation) was associated with a higher pCR in general and an improved EFS. The effect of carboplatin could not be predicted by HR deficiency in this relatively small study. However, the results will help to understand the role of HR deficiency and the value of the HRD score in TNBC especially in patients without BRCA mutation.

Citation Format: von Minckwitz G, Timms K, Untch M, Elkin EP, Hahnen E, Fasching PA, Schneeweiss A, Salat CT, Rezai M, Blohmer J-U, Zahm D-M, Jackisch C, Gerber B, Klare P, Kümmel S, Paepke S, Schmutzler R, Chau S, Reid J, Hartman A-R, Nekljudova V, Weber KE, Loibl S. Homologous repair deficiency (HRD) as measure to predict the effect of carboplatin on survival in the neoadjuvant phase II trial GeparSixto in triple-negative early breast cancer [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2016 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2016 Dec 6-10; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2017;77(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P1-09-02.

Germline multi-gene hereditary cancer panel testing in an unselected endometrial cancer cohort

Hereditary endometrial carcinoma is associated with germline mutations in Lynch syndrome genes. The role of other cancer predisposition genes is unclear. We aimed to determine the prevalence of cancer predisposition gene mutations in an unselected endometrial carcinoma patient cohort. Mutations in 25 genes were identified using a next-generation sequencing-based panel applied in 381 endometrial carcinoma patients who had undergone tumor testing to screen for Lynch syndrome. Thirty-five patients (9.2%) had a deleterious mutation: 22 (5.8%) in Lynch syndrome genes (three MLH1, five MSH2, two EPCAM-MSH2, six MSH6, and six PMS2) and 13 (3.4%) in 10 non-Lynch syndrome genes (four CHEK2, one each in APC, ATM, BARD1, BRCA1, BRCA2, BRIP1, NBN, PTEN, and RAD51C). Of 21 patients with deleterious mutations in Lynch syndrome genes with tumor testing, 2 (9.5%) had tumor testing results suggestive of sporadic cancer. Of 12 patients with deleterious mutations in MSH6 and PMS2, 10 were diagnosed at age >50 and 8 did not have a family history of Lynch syndrome-associated cancers. Patients with deleterious mutations in non-Lynch syndrome genes were more likely to have serous tumor histology (23.1 vs 6.4%, P=0.02). The three patients with non-Lynch syndrome deleterious mutations and serous histology had mutations in BRCA2, BRIP1, and RAD51C. Current clinical criteria fail to identify a portion of actionable mutations in Lynch syndrome and other hereditary cancer syndromes. Performance characteristics of tumor testing are sufficiently robust to implement universal tumor testing to identify patients with Lynch syndrome. Germline multi-gene panel testing is feasible and informative, leading to the identification of additional actionable mutations.

Abstract P1-08-07: Predisposing germline mutations in a clinic based breast cancer (BC) population

Background: Evaluation of women with BC for germline mutations associated with hereditary breast and ovarian cancer (HBOC) has become increasingly common due to its impact on management. Guidelines for genetic evaluation indicate testing for cases with early onset, triple negative disease or family cancer history. However, the majority of breast cancer occurs in patients without these high risk characteristics. The prevalence of mutations associated with HBOC has not been well characterized in this population.

Methods: We performed a cross sectional study using DNA from blood samples from consecutive new invasive BC patients seen at the Dana-Farber Cancer Institute (01/01/2010 to 07/31/2102) who consented to research. Subjects were otherwise unselected. Mutations in 25 cancer genes were identified using a next generation sequencing based panel. Germline sequence variations and large rearrangements were classified for pathogenicity.

Results: 456 samples from eligible subjects were included. The mean age of BC diagnosis was 50 years. Mutations were found in 51 women, 49 of which were associated with breast cancer (10.8%, 95% CI 8.1-14.0). BRCA1/2 mutations were found in 6.6% [95% CI 4.5-9.2%] while mutations in other BC-associated genes were found in 4.4% [95% CI 2.7-6.7%], particularly CHEK2 (2.2%, 95% CI 1.1, 4.0). Of the 49 women with BC-related mutations, 21 (43%) had BC diagnosed after age 45. In univariate analyses, age at diagnosis, Ashkenazi Jewish ancestry, triple negative histology and family BC/ovarian cancer (OC) history were associated with BRCA1/2 mutations, but no factors were significantly associated with mutations in other genes. Among 261 women with no FDR/SDR with BC/OC, 26 (10.0%) had a mutation. Nineteen mutations (10 BRCA1/2) were found in the 256 women (7.4%) who had not had previous genetic testing.

Conclusions: In a single academic institution, 11% of new breast cancer patients had a germline mutation in a breast cancer predisposition gene: 6.6% were in BRCA1/2. The elevated prevalence compared to population-based series may reflect the practice composition of academic centers, which often attract women younger at BC diagnosis. In an academic practice with an active cancer genetics program, 10 women with BRCA1/2 and 9 with other mutations had not had genetic testing. Expanded testing identifies additional predisposing mutations, the utility of which are being defined for the care of breast cancer patients and their families.

Citation Format: Garber JE, Tung NM, Elkin EP, Allen BA, Singh NU, Wenstrup R, Hartman A-R, Winer EP, Lin NU. Predisposing germline mutations in a clinic based breast cancer (BC) population. [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the Thirty-Eighth Annual CTRC-AACR San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium: 2015 Dec 8-12; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2016;76(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P1-08-07.

Decline in lung function does not predict future decline in lung function in cystic fibrosis patients

BACKGROUND

Despite the attention paid to minimizing lung function decline among cystic fibrosis (CF) patients, the effect of rate of decline on subsequent disease progression is poorly understood. We aimed to describe the rate of decline of FVC, FEV1 , and FEF25-75 and to test the hypothesis that rate of decline of each spirometric variable predicts subsequent rate of decline in that variable and each other variable.

METHODS

Data were from the Epidemiologic Study of CF, an observational study of North American CF patients from 1994 to 2005. For each year of age, patients' best percent predicted FEV1 and associated FVC and FEF25-75, were used to calculate 2-year slopes for each spirometric variable. Pearson correlations were calculated between reference slopes and follow-up slopes up to 8 years later and, for FEV1 , between reference slopes and level (not slope) of lung function up to 5 years later.

RESULTS

Twenty six thousand, three hundred and ninety-three patients contributed 427,063 spirometries. Median 2-year slopes of all variables were negative for all ages >6 years and the magnitude varied with age, being greatest among 13-17 year olds, especially for FEF25-75 . There was no correlation (r < 0.10) between reference slopes and subsequent slopes 3-8 years later, either within or across variables. The correlation between 2-year FEV1 slopes and FEV1 level even 5 years later was moderate (0.37-0.49) across disease stage categories.

CONCLUSIONS

Contrary to our hypothesis, rate of lung function decline did not predict future rate of decline either within or across spirometric variables. In contrast, FEV1 slope did have moderate predictive ability for subsequent FEV1 level. These findings are relevant for clinical care and for clinical trial design.

Patient preferences and willingness to pay for innovations in intermittent self-catheters

BACKGROUND

Intermittent catheterization is the gold standard for bladder management in Europe in people with spinal cord injuries. The aim of the present study was to identify and investigate individuals' preferences regarding intermittent self-catheterization (ISC) devices and furthermore investigate the willingness to pay for attributes in ISC devices in the UK, France, and the Netherlands.

METHODS

A discrete choice experiment survey was conducted to evaluate the patients' perceived value of catheter features. Attributes were selected based upon a literature review of the most important characteristics of catheters and the survey was developed and validated with input from patients and medical experts. Data were analyzed using the conditional logit model whereby the coefficients obtained from the model provided an estimate of the (log) odds ratios of preference for attributes. Willingness to pay was estimated for all levels of the attributes.

RESULTS

Two-hundred and eighty-three participants completed the questionnaire and were included in data analysis. Risk of infection had the highest odds ratios as preferred important attribute for all three countries followed by ease of insertion. "Pre-coated catheters" was found to be valued as the most preferred coating technology across all countries. Out of pocket cost was a significant influence on patients' choice.

CONCLUSION

Users of ISC perceive the value of convenience (size of catheter), ease of insertion, and reduced risk of infection as the most important features attached to an intermittent catheter. These results are applicable both for the "classic" ISC user as well as for another broad group of catheter dependent individuals.

Pulmonary function outcomes for assessing cystic fibrosis care

BACKGROUND

Assessing cystic fibrosis (CF) patient quality of care requires the choice of an appropriate outcome measure. We looked systematically and in detail at pulmonary function outcomes that potentially reflect clinical practice patterns.

METHODS

Epidemiologic Study of Cystic Fibrosis data were used to evaluate six potential outcome variables (2002 best FVC, FEV(1), and FEF(25-75) and rate of decline for each from 2000 to 2002). We ranked CF care sites by outcome measure and then assessed any association with practice patterns and follow-up pulmonary function.

RESULTS

Sites ranked in the top quartile had more frequent monitoring, treatment of exacerbations, and use of chronic therapies and oral corticosteroids. The follow-up rate of pulmonary function decline was not predicted by site ranking.

CONCLUSIONS

Different pulmonary function outcomes associate slightly differently with practice patterns, although annual FEV(1) is at least as good as any other measure. Current site ranking only moderately predicts future ranking.

Response to Biologic Disease-Modifying Anti-Rheumatic Drugs after Discontinuation of Anti-Tumor Necrosis Factor Alpha Agents for Rheumatoid Arthritis

Introduction

The aim of this study was to compare the response between subsequent use of anti-tumor necrosis factor α (anti-TNF) agents and biologic disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (bDMARD) with other mechanism of action (MOA) in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients with history of anti-TNF treatment as their first bDMARD.

Methods

A retrospective chart review was conducted at eight community-based rheumatology practices in the United States in 2012. Routine Assessment of Patient Index Data 3 (RAPID3) response was measured by comparing baseline and 6-month scores. Poor response was defined as decrease <1.8 points, follow-up score >12, or treatment discontinuation before 6 months. Percentages of patients with good and good or moderate RAPID3 response were compared for second and third biologics. Multivariate models controlled for potential confounders.

Results

Of 176 patients whose charts were abstracted, 122 (69.3%) received another anti-TNF agent after they discontinued their first anti-TNF. RAPID3 scores were available for 160 patients. A patient receiving a second bDMARD with another MOA had a higher good or moderate response than a patient receiving anti-TNF (53.5 vs. 30.7%, p = 0.01). In the multivariate models, treatment with another MOA was more likely to produce a good RAPID3 response [odds ratio (OR), 2.42; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.05–5.58] or a good or moderate response (OR, 2.21; 95% CI, 1.23–3.97) than treatment with an anti-TNF.

Conclusion

In patients who have discontinued anti-TNF agents as their first bDMARD, RAPID3 response rates are better for those receiving agents with a different MOA rather than another anti-TNF. Physicians should consider using a bDMARD with a different MOA as the next bDMARD for RA patients whose anti-TNF agent has failed.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1007/s40744-014-0002-7) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Standard care versus protocol based therapy for new onset Pseudomonas aeruginosa in cystic fibrosis

RATIONALE

The Early Pseudomonal Infection Control (EPIC) randomized trial rigorously evaluated the efficacy of different antibiotic regimens for eradication of newly identified Pseudomonas (Pa) in children with cystic fibrosis (CF). Protocol based therapy in the trial was provided based on culture positivity independent of symptoms. It is unclear whether outcomes observed in the clinical trial were different than those that would have been observed with historical standard of care driven more heavily by respiratory symptoms than culture positivity alone. We hypothesized that the incidence of Pa recurrence and hospitalizations would be significantly reduced among trial participants as compared to historical controls whose standard of care preceded the widespread adoption of tobramycin inhalation solution (TIS) as initial eradication therapy at the time of new isolation of Pa.

METHODS

Eligibility criteria from the trial were used to derive historical controls from the Epidemiologic Study of CF (ESCF) who received standard of care treatment from 1995 to 1998, before widespread availability of TIS. Pa recurrence and hospitalization outcomes were assessed over a 15-month time period.

RESULTS

As compared to 100% of the 304 trial participants, only 296/608 (49%) historical controls received antibiotics within an average of 20 weeks after new onset Pa. Pa recurrence occurred among 104/298 (35%) of the trial participants as compared to 295/549 (54%) of historical controls (19% difference, 95% CI: 12%, 26%, P < 0.001). No significant differences in the incidence of hospitalization were observed between cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS

Protocol-based antimicrobial therapy for newly acquired Pa resulted in a lower rate of Pa recurrence but comparable hospitalization rates as compared to a historical control cohort less aggressively treated with antibiotics for new onset Pa.

Pulmonary exacerbations in cystic fibrosis: young children with characteristic signs and symptoms

BACKGROUND

A standard definition of pulmonary exacerbation based on signs and symptoms would be useful for categorizing cystic fibrosis (CF) patients and as an outcome measure of therapy. The frequently used definition of treatment with intravenous antibiotics varies with practice patterns. One approach to this problem is to use large data sets which include a patient's signs and symptoms along with their clinician's decision to treat with antibiotics for the diagnosis of pulmonary exacerbation. Previous analysis of such a data set, the Epidemiologic Study of Cystic Fibrosis (ESCF), found that new crackles, increased cough, increased sputum, and weight decline were the four clinical characteristics most strongly influencing providers to treat young CF patients for a pulmonary exacerbation. The objectives of this study were to confirm that these four characteristics influence the decision to treat with antibiotics for a pulmonary exacerbation in young CF patients; to evaluate their implications for future nutritional status and lung function; and to assess the effect of antibiotic treatment on these characteristic signs and symptoms.

METHODS

This was an observational, longitudinal cohort study of clinical care in children <6 years old cared for at sites participating in ESCF.

RESULTS

Using data from children not included in the previous ESCF study, we confirmed that these four characteristics were significantly associated with the likelihood of physicians prescribing antibiotics to treat a pulmonary exacerbation. The number of these characteristics present at a single clinic visit before age 6 predicted hospitalization rate over the next year, the weight-for-age z-score, and the forced expiratory volume in 1 sec (FEV1) percent predicted at age 7. Treatment with antibiotics was associated with a greater decrease in the proportion of children with crackles, cough, and Pseudomonas aeruginosa at a follow-up visit within 6 months.

CONCLUSIONS

New crackles, increased cough, increased sputum, and decline in weight percentile at a single clinic visit increase the risk of future malnutrition, hospitalization, and airflow obstruction in young children with CF. Treatment with antibiotics mitigates some of these signs and symptoms by the first follow-up visit. The presence of these four characteristic signs and symptoms is useful to define pulmonary exacerbations in young children with CF that respond to antibiotic treatment in the short-term and influence long-term prognosis.

Validation of the THI-12 questionnaire for international use in assessing tinnitus: a multi-centre, prospective, observational study

OBJECTIVE

To investigate and confirm the reliability and validity of the tinnitus handicap inventory 12 (THI-12) in various countries and languages.

DESIGN

Prospective, observational study conducted in seven countries, using linguistically harmonized versions of the THI-12 in six languages. These were evaluated for test-retest reliability, internal consistency reliability, known-groups validity, and construct validity. Basic psychometric properties of supporting instruments were compared. Questionnaires were completed by the subjects at baseline and again after 12-30 days.

STUDY SAMPLE

Adults with a clinical diagnosis of subjective tinnitus.

RESULTS

An exploratory factor analysis of the THI-12 items for the U.S. study population at baseline revealed a single common factor of high eigenvalue. Confirmatory factor analysis supported this in the separate countries. Test-retest reliability was moderate to high, and the conclusions were supported by a known-groups analysis; correlations with other scales expected to support construct validity were moderate.

CONCLUSIONS

The THI-12 total score showed acceptable psychometric properties for all countries tested. The relationships between the THI-12 and the one-month and one-week versions of the TRS and TSS were similar and convergent. The THI-12 is thus a promising diagnostic tool for assessing treatment effects in multi-cultural and multi-lingual trials on tinnitus therapy.

The impact of upper gastrointestinal symptoms on nonadherence to, and discontinuation of, low-dose acetylsalicylic acid in patients with cardiovascular risk

BACKGROUND

While low-dose acetylsalicylic acid (ASA [aspirin]; 75-325 mg) is a mainstay of cardiovascular (CV) protection in patients at high risk of CV events, such protection may be compromised due to poor adherence (or discontinuation) resulting from gastrointestinal (GI) adverse events. To date, however, the link between GI adverse events and nonadherence to, and discontinuation of, low-dose ASA is not well established in the literature.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to characterize the real-world impact of upper GI symptoms on low-dose ASA nonadherence and discontinuation in patients with CV risk taking low-dose ASA for CV protection.

STUDY DESIGN

Multicenter, observational, noninterventional study.

SETTING

Primary-care, cardiology, and practice group centers in the US, Canada, and France.

PATIENTS

Subjects aged ≥18 years at risk of, or with confirmed, CV disease, and who had been prescribed or recommended low-dose ASA (75-325 mg daily) by a physician.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Adherence to low-dose ASA was assessed using 3 months of data prospectively collected using an electronic diary (completed at least three times/day). Adherence was defined as low-dose ASA intake of ≥75% over the 3-month eDiary phase. Discontinuation was defined as no reported low-dose ASA intake for ≥7 continuous days. The odds of daily adherence were calculated using a mixed-model analysis for repeated measures, and a Cox-proportional hazard model was used to assess the association between upper GI symptoms and time to discontinuation of low-dose ASA.

RESULTS

Overall, 340 patients (mean age 50 years; 59% women) participated in the analysis. Most patients (75%) were low-dose ASA naïve at inclusion, and had not experienced upper GI symptoms within the previous 14 days. Among these patients, the onset of upper GI symptoms was rapid; symptoms were reported by 19% of patients on the first day of the study, rising to 46% of patients at the end of the first week. Over the 3-month study period, 18% of patients were nonadherent to low-dose ASA treatment. The occurrence of upper GI symptoms negatively affected low-dose ASA adherence, in both the overall patient population (odds ratio [OR] = 0.84; 95% CI 0.70, 1.0) and among patients who were low-dose ASA naïve at baseline (OR = 0.76; 95% CI 0.57, 1.0). A total of 13% of patients discontinued low-dose ASA therapy. For the overall cohort and for the low-dose ASA-naïve patients at baseline, more than three episodes of upper GI symptoms during the previous week was associated with an increased risk of low-dose ASA discontinuation compared with no episodes of upper GI symptoms during the previous week (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.60; 95% CI 1.00, 6.80, and HR = 7.52; 95% CI 2.57, 22.04, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Upper GI symptoms can lead to nonadherence to, and discontinuation of, low-dose ASA CV-protective therapy. Patients who initiate low-dose ASA may experience an early onset of upper GI symptoms. (

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT00681759 [ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier]; AstraZeneca study code: D961FC00004).

Patterns of care in community-based oncology practices for anemia associated with myelosuppressive chemotherapy

Use of erythropoiesis-stimulating agents in the treatment of myelosuppresive chemotherapy-induced anemia has been shown to increase hemoglobin levels and reduce the need for transfusions in patients with cancer.

Year-to-year changes in lung function in individuals with cystic fibrosis

BACKGROUND

We examined the year-to-year change in FEV(1) for individuals and the overall cystic fibrosis population to better understand how individual trends may differ from population trends.

METHODS

We calculated individual yearly changes using the largest annual FEV(1) percent predicted (FEV(1)%) measurement in 20,644 patients (6-45years old) included in the Epidemiologic Study of Cystic Fibrosis. We calculated yearly population changes using age-specific medians.

RESULTS

FEV(1)% predicted decreased 1-3 points per year for individuals, with maximal decreases in 14-15year olds. Population changes agreed with individual changes up to age 15; however after age 30, yearly population change approximated zero while individual FEV(1)% predicted decreases were 1-2 points per year.

CONCLUSIONS

Adolescents have the greatest FEV(1)% predicted decreases; however, loss of FEV(1) is a persistent risk in 6-45year old CF patients. Recognizing individual year-to-year changes may improve patient-specific care and may suggest new methods for measuring program quality.

Prostate biopsy patterns in the CaPSURE database: evolution with time and impact on outcome after prostatectomy

PURPOSE

Significant variability exists in the urological community regarding the number of cores that should be taken during prostate biopsy. Using CaPSURE we determined trends in prostate biopsy patterns during the last decade and assessed whether changes in biopsy number have had an impact on outcomes after radical prostatectomy.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In CaPSURE between 1995 and 2004 we identified 6,450 men with newly diagnosed prostate cancer who underwent biopsy with 6 cores or greater. The number of cores removed, number of cores positive for cancer and percent of cores containing cancer were analyzed by year of diagnosis. For 1,757 men who underwent radical prostatectomy these variables were entered into Cox proportional hazards models controlling for preoperative prostate specific antigen, biopsy Gleason sum and clinical stage to predict recurrence-free survival.

RESULTS

The mean number of removed cores increased from 6.9 in 1995 to 10.2 in 2004 (p <0.0001). The mean number of positive cores remained unchanged from 2.9 in 1995 to 3.2 in 2004 (p = 0.40). The percent of positive cores decreased from 42.6% in 1995 to 32.1% in 2004 (p <0.0001). The number and percent of positive cores were associated with recurrence-free survival after radical prostatectomy throughout the study period (each p <0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The percent of positive cores is an independent predictor of disease recurrence after radical prostatectomy. The total number of tissue cores sampled increased during the last decade, thereby driving down the mean percent of positive cores from 42.6% to 32.1%. The trend toward an increasing number of removed cores may have contributed indirectly to improved outcomes after radical prostatectomy in the last decade.

Prostate cancer outcomes among older men: insurance status comparisons results from CaPSURE database

With growing number of older adults in the United States and complexity of issues related to Medicare and other insurances more research is needed to evaluate an effectiveness of the different insurance types in prevention, screening and treatment of cancer. With prostate cancer being highly prevalent disease in older men, the importance of appropriate treatment and favorable outcomes is imperative. In this study we examine whether prostate cancer outcomes, such as risk category at diagnosis, treatment and survival differ in relationship to insurance status in older patients in CaPSURE. Data were abstracted from CaPSURE, a longitudinal observational database of 13 124 men with prostate cancer. Men were selected for the study if they were older than 65 years old at diagnosis, newly diagnosed between 1995 and 2005 at entry to CaPSURE with localized disease and received radical prostatectomy (RP), external beam radiation (EBRT), brachytherapy (BT), hormonal therapy or expectant management (EM). Insurance status was summarized by eight categories: Medicare only, Medicare+supplement, Medicare+HMO, Medicare+PPO, Medicare+FFS, health maintenance organization (HMO), preferred provider organization (PPO) and Veteran's Administration (VA). A total of 2983 men met the inclusion criteria. Odds ratios (OR) for the likelihood of receiving each type of therapy compared to RP by insurance status and likelihood of presenting with high-risk classification at diagnosis were derived using multinomial logistic regression, adjusting for clinical and demographic characteristics. Difference in survival between insurance groups was evaluated by Cox's multivariate regression. Multivariate analysis demonstrated a strong association between initial treatment and insurance status. Compared to Medicare patients, men in the CaPSURE database treated at HMO, PPO and VA systems were more likely to receive BT than RP (OR, 1.71-1.92) and less likely to receive this treatment if they were in Medicare+FFS and Medicare+PPO (OR, 0.18-0.38). Hormonal treatment demonstrated similar pattern, however OR did not reached statistical significance for HMO and PPO. Use of EM was much more predominant for patients in VA system (OR, 4.74; 95% CI, 1.94-11.55). Use of EBRT was significantly associated with type of insurance. Men with VA, Medicare+FFS and Medicare+PPO insurance were less likely to receive this treatment compared to RP. Survival and clinical risk at diagnosis was associated with insurance status in univariate analysis but this association diminished after adjusting for possible covariates. This study provides important information on relationship between insurance status and several outcomes in patients with prostate cancer. Even after controlling for important clinical and sociodemographic factors we found marked differences in prostate cancer treatment according to type of insurance. Future explorations of associations between health care delivery system, cancer care and outcomes are needed.

Assessment of prognosis with the total illness burden index for prostate cancer: aiding clinicians in treatment choice

BACKGROUND

Among the most pressing challenges that face physicians who care for men with prostate cancer is evaluating the patient's potential for benefiting from treatment. Because prostate cancer often follows an indolent course, the presence and severity of comorbidities may influence the decision to treat the patient aggressively. The authors adapted the Total Illness Burden Index (TIBI) for use in decision-making among men with prostate cancer at the time of the visit.

METHODS

An observational study was performed of 2894 participants in the Cancer of the Prostate Strategic Urologic Research Endeavor, a national disease registry of men with prostate cancer, to examine how well the adapted TIBI for prostate cancer (TIBI-CaP) predicted mortality over the subsequent 3.5 years and health-related quality of life over the subsequent 6 months.

RESULTS

The men who had the highest global TIBI-CaP scores were 13 times more likely to die of causes other than prostate cancer over a 3.5-year period than the men who had the lowest scores (hazard ratio, 13.1, 95% confidence interval, 6.3-27.4) after controlling for age, education, income, and race/ethnicity. Patients who had the highest TIBI-CaP scores had 44% mortality compared with 4.9% mortality for patients who had the lowest scores. Demographic variables explained 16% of the variance in future physical function; TIBI-CaP scores explained an additional 19% of the variance.

CONCLUSIONS

The TIBI-CaP, a patient-reported measure of comorbidity, identified patients at high risk for nonprostate cancer mortality. It predicted both mortality and future quality of life. The TIBI-CaP may aid physicians and patients in making appropriate treatment decisions.

Incidence of urethral stricture after primary treatment for prostate cancer: data From CaPSURE

PURPOSE

We determined the incidence of treatment for urethral stricture, including bladder neck contracture, after primary treatment for clinically localized prostate cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 6,597 men with newly diagnosed, localized prostate cancer and no history of urethral stricture disease were identified in the CaPSURE database. Treatment modalities included radical prostatectomy, external beam radiotherapy, brachytherapy, cryotherapy, androgen deprivation therapy, radical prostatectomy plus external beam radiotherapy, brachytherapy plus external beam radiotherapy and watchful waiting. The database was queried for patient reported history or International Classification of Diseases, 9th revision/Common Procedural Terminology codes consistent with stricture treatment after prostate cancer therapy. Time to obstruction was examined by the Kaplan-Meier method. Risk factors for stricture were examined in a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

The incidence of stricture treatment was 344 of 6,597 cases (5.2%, range 1.1% to 8.4% by prostate cancer treatment type). Median followup was 2.7 years. In the multivariate model primary treatment type (p <0.0001), body mass index (p <0.0001) and age (p = 0.0002) were significant predictors of stricture treatment. After controlling for age and body mass index the HR for treatments compared to watchful waiting was significantly higher for radical prostatectomy (HR = 10.4, p <0.0001) and brachytherapy plus external beam radiotherapy (HR = 4.6, p = 0.0231). After radical prostatectomy most failures occurred within the first 6 months and failures were rare after 24 months, whereas after radiation failures occurred later.

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of urethral stricture treatment after prostate cancer therapy is 1.1% to 8.4% depending on cancer treatment type. Risk was highest after radical prostatectomy or brachytherapy plus external beam radiotherapy and in those with advanced age or obesity. Stricture after radical prostatectomy occurred within the first 24 months, whereas onset was delayed after radiation.

Multiinstitutional validation of the UCSF cancer of the prostate risk assessment for prediction of recurrence after radical prostatectomy

BACKGROUND

The University of California, San Francisco (UCSF) Cancer of the Prostate Risk Assessment (CAPRA) is a novel preoperative index which predicts the risk of biochemical recurrence after radical prostatectomy. The performance of the index is at least as good as the best available instruments based on clinical variables, and the 0 to 10 score is simple to calculate for both clinical and research purposes. This study used a large external dataset to validate CAPRA.

METHODS

Data were abstracted from the Shared Equal Access Regional Cancer Hospital (SEARCH) database, a registry of men who underwent radical prostatectomy at 4 Veterans Affairs and 1 active military medical center. Of 2096 men in the database, 1346 (64%) had full data available to calculate the CAPRA score. Performance of the CAPRA score was assessed with proportional hazards regression, survival analysis, and the concordance (c) index.

RESULTS

Of the studied patients, 41% were non-Caucasian, and their mean age was 62 years. Twenty-six percent suffered recurrence; median follow-up among patients who did not recur was 34 months. The hazard ratio (HR) for each 1-point increase in CAPRA was 1.39 (95% CI [confidence interval], 1.31-1.46). The 5-year recurrence-free survival rate ranged from 86% for CAPRA 0-1 patients to 21% for CAPRA 7-10 patients. Increasing CAPRA scores were significantly associated with increasing risk of adverse pathologic outcomes. The c-index for CAPRA for the validation set was 0.68, compared with 0.66 for the original development set.

CONCLUSIONS

The UCSF-CAPRA accurately predicted both biochemical and pathologic outcomes after radical prostatectomy among a large, diverse, cohort of men. These results validated the effectiveness of this powerful and straightforward instrument.

Initial treatment patterns and outcome of contemporary prostate cancer patients with bone metastases at initial presentation

BACKGROUND

The current study utilized the CaPSURE disease registry to describe the natural history, initial treatment, and factors correlated with mortality in patients who were diagnosed with bony metastatic disease (M+) at the time of initial presentation.

METHODS

Treatment patterns at the time of diagnosis were analyzed. Two Cox proportional hazards models were developed, with outcomes of all cause-specific mortality and prostate cancer-specific mortality in patients with M+ disease. Clinical and sociodemographic variables were included in a backward stepwise procedure to identify predictors of mortality.

RESULTS

Of 12,005 patients diagnosed between 1990-2004, 284 (2.4%) were diagnosed with M+ disease. After a median follow-up period of 3.8 years, 107 patients (39%) died. Of those who died, 68 (64%) died of causes related to prostate cancer, whereas 39 (36%) had died of causes not related to prostate cancer. The 5-year survival of all patients was 71% and the median survival had not been reached at the time of last follow-up. Approximately 84% of patients received some form of hormonal therapy within 6 months of diagnosis, the use of which increased throughout the study period. Prostate cancer-specific mortality was found to be correlated with the presence of comorbid illness, younger age at diagnosis, and a Gleason score >7 in the primary tumor.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with M+ prostate cancer have a protracted natural history and a median survival that exceeds 5 years. Hormonal therapy is the mainstay for such patients. Comorbid illness, young age at diagnosis, and cancer grade appear to negatively affect the disease-specific survival.

Cumulative cost pattern comparison of prostate cancer treatments

BACKGROUND

Studies that compare prostate cancer treatment costs show wide variation. None compare all contemporary treatment costs, and most focus on initial treatment costs. The authors compared healthcare utilization and cost patterns of prostate cancer treatments over a span of 5.5 years in 4553 newly diagnosed patients stratified by age and risk group.

METHODS

Contemporary treatment and evaluation patterns for prostate cancer were identified by using CaPSURE, a national disease registry of men with prostate cancer that included ongoing clinical data collection from 31 academic and community urology practices and biennial patient-reported outcome questionnaires that included demography, medical condition, comorbidity, risk measures, and healthcare utilization. Costs of outpatient visits, medications, and hospitalizations were applied from various national sources. Recurrent events analysis (MCF) accounted for left and right censorship. A mixed effects regression model with bootstrapping for skewed cost data quantified the relation between MCF cost, age, and risk.

RESULTS

Prostate-related costs in the first 6 months after treatment were 11,495 dollars, (from 2586 dollars for watchful waiting (WW) to 24,204 dollars for external beam radiation. After 6 months, average cost was only 3044 dollars. Annual cost is 7740 dollars, highest for androgen deprivation therapy (12,590 dollars) and lowest for watch waiting (5843 dollars). Risk and age were significantly related to initial treatment choice. Cumulative cost (42,570 dollars) allowed a better estimate of treatment pattern costs.

CONCLUSIONS

The cost burden of prostate cancer is high, but it varies by treatment type even when controlling for disease, age, and stage. Cumulative cost analysis allowed inclusion of adverse events and disease recurrence costs, making new cost comparisons evident among treatments.

Reduced incidence of bony metastasis at initial prostate cancer diagnosis: data from CaPSURE

PURPOSE

Despite stage migration as a result of screening, many individuals are diagnosed each year with metastatic (M+), as opposed to localized (M0), prostate cancer. This study describes features that characterize patients with M+ compared to those diagnosed with M0 disease.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients enrolled in the Cancer of the Prostate Strategic Urologic Research Endeavor (CaPSURE), a national, longitudinal registry of men with prostate cancer, formed the basis of this study. The prevalence, and changes with time, of patients with M+ and M0 cancer by clinical and sociodemographic characteristics were examined.

RESULTS

Of 10,113 patients diagnosed between 1990 and 2003, 266 (2.6%) had M+ disease at diagnosis. From 1990 to 1997, 4.2% of 4020 total patients had M+ versus 1.6% of 6093 total patients diagnosed between 1998 and 2003 (odds ratio 0.34; 95% confidence interval 0.24-0.48; P < 0.0001). In univariate analysis, advanced age, higher prostate-specific antigen, Gleason grade, black race, lower income, and lower educational level were associated with M+ versus M0 disease (P < 0.01). However, in multivariate analysis, only higher serum prostate-specific antigen and higher Gleason grade, and not the sociodemographic variables, remained associated with M+ disease (P < 0.01). Patients with M+ diagnosed between 1998 and 2003 are more likely to harbor high-grade (Gleason > or =8) primary tumors (62% vs. 45%, P = 0.02) than those diagnosed between 1990 and 1997. No changes in age, race, education, insurance status, or income were observed in the early versus late era.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings show a reduction in the incidence of metastatic disease at initial prostate cancer diagnosis. Furthermore, biologic, rather than socioeconomic, factors are associated with this type of disease presentation.

Impact of increased number of biopsies on the nature of prostate cancer identified

PURPOSE

Increasing the number of cores obtained at the time of transrectal ultrasound guided prostate biopsy has increased the number of cancers identified. However, there is increasing recognition that many men with prostate cancer may not benefit from early, aggressive intervention and that over detection of prostate cancer has resulted in over treatment. We determined the impact of the greater number of prostate biopsies on the nature of cancer identified.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In the Cancer of the Prostate Strategic Urologic Research Endeavor database, a longitudinal disease registry of men with prostate cancer, we identified those men diagnosed between 1999 and 2002 with complete data on serum prostate specific antigen, Gleason score, clinical T stage, number of biopsies obtained and number involved with cancer.

RESULTS

We identified 4,072 men with 6 or more prostate biopsies obtained at initial diagnosis. Of the men 30%, 47% and 24% underwent 6, 7 to 11, and more than 12 biopsies, respectively. The number of biopsies correlated significantly with numerous sociodemographic and clinical variables including prostate specific antigen, comorbidities and income. There did not appear to be differences in disease characteristics as assessed by Kattan and Cancer of the Prostate Risk Assessment scores among men with a biopsy number between 6 and 17. In the subset of 1,548 men undergoing radical prostatectomy, no differences in biochemical-free survival were observed among the various biopsy groups at a median followup of 2.2 years.

CONCLUSIONS

The increasing number of prostate biopsies obtained at diagnosis increases cancer detection but the impact on disease characteristics remains unclear. Our data suggest that the risk stratification of prostate cancers is independent of biopsy number (6 or greater) in a contemporary cohort of men.

Androgen-deprivation therapy as primary treatment for localized prostate cancer: data from Cancer of the Prostate Strategic Urologic Research Endeavor (CaPSURE)

BACKGROUND

Prostate cancer is largely an androgen-sensitive disease. Androgen-deprivation therapy (ADT) generally has been used for patients with advanced disease. However, ADT is used increasingly as monotherapy for patients with clinically localized disease. The objective of the current report was to describe the characteristics of patients who underwent ADT for the management of localized disease.

METHODS

Cancer of the Prostate Strategic Urologic Endeavor (CaPSURE), which is a national disease registry of men with prostate cancer, was screened to identify patients who received treatment with primary ADT (PADT) between 1989 and 2002 for clinically localized disease (T1-T3,Nx/N0,Mx/M0). Clinical data (including Gleason score, prostate-specific antigen [PSA] level, and T classification) and sociodemographic data (including age, race, education, income, and insurance coverage) were analyzed with chi-square statistical tests. Time to failure data were analyzed using log-rank tests, the Kaplan-Meier method, and Cox proportional hazards regression analyses.

RESULTS

Of 7045 men, 993 patients (14.1%) with clinically localized disease received primary ADT. Compared with patients who underwent standard treatment, patients who received PADT had higher risk disease (as defined by PSA level, T classification, and Gleason score) and had more comorbidities. Patients who underwent PADT were older, less educated, had lower income, and were more likely to have Medicare than private insurance. The dominant forms of hormone therapy were luteinizing hormone-releasing hormone (LHRH) monotherapy (48.6%) and combined androgen blockade (LHRH agonist and antiandrogens; 38.8%). At 5 years after the initiation of PADT, 67.3% of patients still were receiving treatment with only androgen deprivation, 103 patients (13.8%) had gone on to receive definitive second treatment (radical prostatectomy, external beam radiotherapy, brachytherapy, or cryotherapy), 27 patients (3.9%) underwent second-line therapy (chemotherapy or alternative hormone-deprivation therapy), 22 patients (4.1%) died of prostate cancer, and 146 patients (19%) died of all causes.

CONCLUSIONS

The use of PADT therapy appeared to control disease in the majority of patients who received it, at least for an intermediate period. However, such patients appeared to be unique based on sociodemographic characteristics, comorbidity status, and risk factors compared with patients who received other forms of therapy. The impact of PADT on quality of life needs to be compared with standard therapy, and its long-term durability should be assessed better in patients with prostate cancer.

Impact of comorbidity on health-related quality of life in men undergoing radical prostatectomy: data from CaPSURE

OBJECTIVES

Comorbidity is one of many factors that may affect health-related quality of life (HRQOL) in men with prostate cancer. We hypothesized that the number and type of comorbidities negatively affect HRQOL in men undergoing radical prostatectomy.

METHODS

We reviewed HRQOL outcomes before and up to 2 years after radical prostatectomy for men with localized prostate cancer in the Cancer of the Prostate Strategic Urologic Research Endeavor (CaPSURE), a longitudinal disease registry. This analysis focused on 856 men who completed a pretreatment survey and at least one posttreatment survey. HRQOL was assessed using the University of California, Los Angeles, Prostate Cancer Index (six subscales) and the Medical Outcomes Study 36-Item Short Form questionnaire (eight subscales and two summary scales). The associations between HRQOL and the number and type of comorbidities were analyzed using repeated measures during a 2-year follow-up period.

RESULTS

Preoperatively, men with no comorbidities had greater HRQOL scores than did men with comorbidities for physical health and disease-specific measures, but not for mental health measures. Only sexual function and the physical component summary scores showed a significant interaction between the number of comorbidities and time (P < 0.01 and P = 0.03, respectively). Significant interactions with time were observed for other urinary conditions, gastrointestinal disease, heart disease, and hypertension on at least one HRQOL domain.

CONCLUSIONS

Men with comorbidities had worse HRQOL scores than men without comorbidities, both before and after radical prostatectomy. However, with two exceptions, the scores declined at similar rates after surgery. Specific comorbidities also had an association with certain HRQOL domains. Therefore, during preoperative counseling, clinicians should consider a patient's number and type of comorbidities.

Comorbidity and Primary Treatment for Localized Prostate Cancer: Data From C a PSURE™

PURPOSE

The optimal approach for treating localized prostate cancer remains controversial, leading to a multifactorial decision making process. We characterized the extent to which the presence and number of comorbidities affects treatment for localized prostate cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Data were abstracted from a longitudinal observational database of men with prostate cancer. A total of 5,149 men diagnosed with localized prostate cancer between 1995 and 2001 were included in this analysis if they had been treated with RP, external beam radiation, brachytherapy, hormonal therapy or surveillance. Comorbidity was assessed through a patient reported checklist of conditions. Multinomial logistic regression was used to determine the OR of the likelihood of receiving each type of therapy. The number of comorbidities and specific comorbidities in patients receiving RP were compared with comorbidities in patients receiving other treatment.

RESULTS

The adjusted OR showed a dose response between the number of comorbidities and an increasing probability of any nonRP treatment. In addition, heart disease, stroke or another urinary condition were found to be associated with treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

Patient comorbidities affect decision making regarding treatment for localized prostate cancer. Urologists and other physicians treating this disease appear to evaluate patient comorbidities when selecting treatment options.

Differences in clinical characteristics and disease-free survival for Latino, African American, and non-Latino white men with localized prostate cancer: data from CaPSURE

BACKGROUND

Few studies of ethnicity and prostate cancer have included Latino men in analyses of baseline clinical characteristics, treatment selection, and disease-free survival (DFS). The present study examines the impact of Latino ethnicity on these parameters in a large, multiinstitutional database of men with prostate cancer.

METHODS

We compared baseline disease characteristics and clinical outcomes for Latino (N = 138), non-Latino White (NLW, N = 5619), and African-American (AA, N = 608) men with localized prostate cancer by using chi-square and ANOVA for baseline variables and survival analysis to examine differences in time to recurrence.

RESULTS

Latino men resembled AA men more than NLW on sociodemographic characteristics. AA men had higher Gleason scores and prostate-specific antigen (PSA) at diagnosis than Latino or NLW men (both P < 0.01). 10% of both Latino and AA men presented with advanced disease (T3b/T4/N+/M+) versus 4% of NLW (P < 0.01). Latino men did not receive different treatments than NLW or AA men after controlling for clinical and demographic factors; however, AA men were more likely to receive external beam radiation (OR = 1.51, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.99-2.31) and hormone treatment (OR = 1.56, 95% CI = 1.05-2.32) then NLW men. For prostatectomy patients, 3-year actuarial DFS rates were 83% for NLW men and 86% for Latino men versus 69% for AA men (P < 0.01). After controlling for clinical and sociodemographic variables, AA men were somewhat more likely than NLW to experience disease recurrence after radical prostatectomy (RP) (HR = 1.38, 95% CI = 0.98-1.94, P = 0.06).

CONCLUSIONS

Latinos are more similar to African Americans on sociodemographic characteristics but more similar to NLW on clinical presentation, treatments received, and DFS.

The effect of postprostatectomy external beam radiotherapy on quality of life

BACKGROUND

Postprostatectomy salvage radiotherapy may improve prostate-specific antigen (PSA) progression-free survival, but little is known about its effect on quality of life.

METHODS

From the Cancer of the Prostate Strategic Urologic Research Endeavor (CaPSURE) data base, 1289 patients who had undergone radical prostatectomy (RP) without neoadjuvant or adjuvant hormone therapy completed validated health-related quality of life (HRQOL) questionnaires. Of these, 69 patients also received salvage radiotherapy at a median of 14 months after RP. The University of California-Los Angeles Prostate Cancer Index and the 36-item short form SF-36 questionnaire were used to compare HRQOL 12 to 18 months after external beam radiotherapy or 26 to 32 months after RP alone. Those responses also were compared with HRQOL responses from 55 men with data prior to and 12 to 18 months after primary radiotherapy. Multivariate regression identified differences between treatment groups.

RESULTS

Men who underwent salvage radiotherapy were younger (P = .03) and had lower incomes (P = .01) than men who underwent RP alone; they also were younger than men who underwent primary radiotherapy (P < .01). In addition, men who received salvage radiotherapy were more likely than men who underwent RP alone to have clinically high-risk prostate cancer (P < .01). Multivariate analyses revealed that men who received salvage radiotherapy experienced more marked decrements in sexual function (P = .01) and bowel function (P = .03) than men who underwent RP alone. Salvage radiotherapy led to less impairment of sexual function (P < .01) and less sexual bother (P = .04) than primary radiotherapy.

CONCLUSIONS

Although salvage radiotherapy is associated with unclear survival benefits, it adversely affects sexual and bowel function. Until randomized clinical trials demonstrate disease-specific survival benefits for salvage radiotherapy, the HRQOL detriments of additional therapy must be weighed against improved PSA progression-free survival.

Prostate Biopsy Tumor Extent but Not Location Predicts Recurrence After Radical Prostatectomy: Results From CaPSURE

PURPOSE

Prostate cancer biopsy information is important for patient risk assessment. Although the number and extent of positive biopsies have been used to predict recurrence, the impact of positive biopsy location and contiguity is less clear. We compared the ability of positive prostate biopsy location and pattern with number and percent positive biopsies to predict recurrence after RP.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

From CaPSURE we identified 2,037 men treated with RP from 1992 to 2002 for whom detailed biopsy information and 2 or more followup PSA values were available. Treatment failure was defined as 2 consecutive PSA values of 0.2 ng/ml or higher, or a second treatment delivered more than 6 months after RP. Biopsy tumor volume (number and percent positive sites), location of disease (anatomical site, laterality), and contiguity of positive biopsies were entered into Cox proportional hazards models to predict risk of disease recurrence while controlling for Gleason grade, PSA and T stage.

RESULTS

Higher number and percent of positive biopsy cores were associated with prostate cancer recurrence, risk stratification category and Gleason grade, p <0.0001, HR 1.09 (CI 1.02 to 1.16) and 1.01 (CI 1.00 to 1.01), respectively. Number of biopsy cores taken, laterality, contiguity and positive biopsy location were not associated with disease recurrence.

CONCLUSIONS

The number and the percentage of biopsies positive for cancer correlated with treatment failure after radical prostatectomy. Contiguity, laterality and location were not associated with recurrence.

Total and specific complementary and alternative medicine use in a large cohort of men with prostate cancer

OBJECTIVES

To assess specific complementary and alternative medicine (CAM) use in the Cancer of the Prostate Strategic Urologic Research Endeavor (CaPSURE), a large, community-based national registry of men with prostate cancer.

METHODS

We examined more than 50 types of CAM use in a large, national, community-based registry of men with prostate cancer (CaPSURE). Participants completed biannual surveys within 2 years of diagnosis and treatment. We analyzed associations of CAM use with sociodemographic and clinical features, using chi-square tests and multivariate logistic regression.

RESULTS

One third of 2582 respondents reported using CAM. Common practices included vitamin and mineral supplements (26%), herbs (16%), antioxidants (13%), and CAM for prostate health (12%; eg, saw palmetto, selenium, vitamin E, lycopene). In multivariate analyses, users were more likely to have other comorbid conditions, worse cancer grade at diagnosis, higher incomes, more education, and to live in the West.

CONCLUSIONS

Complementary and alternative medicine use was associated with sociodemographic and clinical characteristics in this large sample of men with prostate cancer. These results should be considered by health care professionals counseling men with prostate cancer regarding diet and secondary prevention.

ANDROGEN DEPRIVATION USE WITH EXTERNAL BEAM RADIATION FOR PROSTATE CANCER: RESULTS FROM CaPSURE™

PURPOSE

Recent data support the role of androgen deprivation in men undergoing external beam radiotherapy for prostate cancer. The benefits of neoadjuvant, concurrent or adjuvant treatment have been limited to men at intermediate and high risk. We examined the patterns and predictors of androgen deprivation in men undergoing external beam radiation therapy in CaPSURE.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

CaPSURE is an observational, longitudinal disease registry, from which 932 men met study inclusion criteria. Androgen deprivation was classified as neoadjuvant-within 9 months of radiation or adjuvant-from the start of radiation to 6 months after completion. Time trends in androgen deprivation as well factors associated with combined therapy were elucidated using multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

In this study 40%, 39% and 21% of men could be categorized into high, intermediate and low risk groups, respectively. Overall 42% and 33% of patients received neoadjuvant and adjuvant androgen deprivation therapy, respectively. Between 1997 and 2002 neoadjuvant hormone use increased significantly in all risk groups, including patients at low risk. On multivariate analyses only the year of diagnosis and clinical risk group were associated with receiving androgen deprivation with radiation.

CONCLUSIONS

A significant increase in combined androgen deprivation and external radiation was observed in the last decade in men with intermediate and high risk disease. Nevertheless, more widespread acceptance is necessary since a substantial minority continue to receive radiation alone. Many patients with low risk disease that is amenable to radiation monotherapy also receive androgen deprivation. No clinical or sociodemographic features predicted the use of androgen deprivation with external radiation.

The University of California, San Francisco Cancer of the Prostate Risk Assessment score: a straightforward and reliable preoperative predictor of disease recurrence after radical prostatectomy

PURPOSE

Multivariate prognostic instruments aim to predict risk of recurrence among patients with localized prostate cancer. We devised a novel risk assessment tool which would be a strong predictor of outcome across various levels of risk, and which could be easily applied and intuitively understood.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We studied 1,439 men diagnosed between 1992 and 2001 who had undergone radical prostatectomy and were followed in the Cancer of the Prostate Strategic Urologic Research Endeavor (CaPSURE) database, a longitudinal, community based disease registry of patients with prostate cancer. Disease recurrence was defined as prostate specific antigen (PSA) 0.2 ng/ml or greater on 2 consecutive occasions following prostatectomy or a second cancer treatment more than 6 months after surgery. The University of California, San Francisco-Cancer of the Prostate Risk Assessment (UCSF-CAPRA) score was developed using preoperative PSA, Gleason score, clinical T stage, biopsy results and age. The index was developed and validated using Cox proportional hazards and life table analyses.

RESULTS

A total of 210 patients (15%) had recurrence, 145 by PSA criteria and 65 by second treatment. Based on the results of the Cox analysis, points were assigned based on PSA (0 to 4 points), Gleason score (0 to 3), T stage (0 to 1), age (0 to 1) and percent of biopsy positive cores (0 to 1). The UCSF-CAPRA score range is 0 to 10, with roughly double the risk of recurrence for each 2-point increase in score. Recurrence-free survival at 5 years ranged from 85% for a UCSF-CAPRA score of 0 to 1 (95% CI 73%-92%) to 8% for a score of 7 to 10 (95% CI 0%-28%). The concordance index for the UCSF-CAPRA score was 0.66.

CONCLUSIONS

The UCSF-CAPRA score is a straightforward yet powerful preoperative risk assessment tool. It must be externally validated in future studies.

TREATMENT OF PATIENTS WITH HIGH RISK LOCALIZED PROSTATE CANCER: RESULTS FROM CANCER OF THE PROSTATE STRATEGIC UROLOGICAL RESEARCH ENDEAVOR (CaPSURE)

PURPOSE

Pretreatment risk assessment models facilitate more appropriate selection of treatment for prostate cancer. However, men with high risk disease remain a challenge with significant potential for primary treatment failure. We characterize patterns of treatment for high risk prostate cancer in a community based cohort.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In the Cancer of the Prostate Strategic Urological Research Endeavor (CaPSURE) database, a longitudinal disease registry of men with prostate cancer, we identified those with nonmetastatic, high risk disease based on T stage, tumor grade and serum prostate specific antigen (PSA). Differences in primary treatment, and the use of neoadjuvant and adjuvant therapy in patients at low, intermediate and high risk were assessed. In the high risk cohort predictors of the type of primary treatment, and the use of neoadjuvant and adjuvant androgen therapy were identified.

RESULTS

Of the cancers 34%, 40% and 26% were low, intermediate and high risk, respectively. Differences in primary treatment type among the 3 risk groups were statistically significant (p <0.0001) with increasing external beam radiation therapy and androgen deprivation, and decreased surgery, brachytherapy and surveillance in men with high risk cancers. In this group older age, higher PSA and nonprivate insurance were associated with decreased use of radical prostatectomy. More than half of the men at high risk receiving radiation therapy also received androgen deprivation, which was significantly higher than in the low and intermediate risk groups (p <0.0001). Factors associated with androgen deprivation in high risk disease were primary therapy, PSA, Gleason sum, T stage, body mass index, insurance status and ethnicity. PSA and Gleason sum were the primary determinants of adjuvant radiation after prostatectomy.

CONCLUSIONS

Men with high risk but nonmetastatic prostate cancer are more likely to receive radiation therapy as well as androgen deprivation with the latter as primary therapy or in conjunction with local treatment. These data stress the importance of pretreatment risk stratification, education regarding appropriate combinations of local and systemic therapies, and the consideration of novel clinical trials in patients at higher risk.

Ability of 2 pretreatment risk assessment methods to predict prostate cancer recurrence after radical prostatectomy: data from CaPSURE

PURPOSE

Two methods widely used to predict the risk of treatment failure after radical prostatectomy for localized prostate cancer are the 3 level D'Amico risk classification and the Kattan nomogram. Although they have been previously validated, to our knowledge they have not been compared in a community based cohort. We tested the 2 instruments in the Cancer of the Prostate Strategic Urologic Research Endeavor (CaPSURE) database, a national registry of patients with prostate cancer, to assess their accuracy in a community based cohort.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Men were invited to join CaPSURE from 33 American urology practices, of which 30 were community based. A total of 1,701 men with localized prostate cancer (T1-3a) were treated with radical prostatectomy between 1989 and 2000. Patients who received neoadjuvant or adjuvant therapy were excluded. Recurrence was defined as 2 or more consecutive prostate specific antigen measurements of 0.2 ng/ml or greater, or a second treatment greater than 6 months after surgery. Freedom from progression (FFP) was based on life table estimates and Kaplan-Meier curves. Risk groups were compared using a Cox proportional hazards model and ANOVA.

RESULTS

Based on the D'Amico classification 671 cases (39%) were classified as low risk, 446 (26%) were intermediate risk and 584 (34%) were high risk. Five-year FFP was 78%, 63% and 60% in the low, intermediate and high risk groups (HR 1.00, 1.87 and 2.32 respectively, p <0.0001). Mean 5-year FFP predicted by the Kattan nomogram in the same risk groups was 91%, 74% and 69%, respectively. Outcomes in the low risk group were tightly grouped about the mean but there was considerable dispersion of outcomes in the intermediate (30% to 98% FFP) and high (17% to 98%) risk groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Stratifying patients in CaPSURE into low, intermediate and high risk categories for disease as described by D'Amico or applying the Kattan nomogram resulted in statistically significant differences in predicted 5-year FFP. However, there was considerable overlap of outcomes between the intermediate and high risk groups. This analysis suggests that simply estimating disease recurrence by stratifying patients into low, intermediate and high risk groups may not provide sufficient information for predicting outcomes among individuals.

Longitudinal assessment of changes in sexual function and bother in patients treated with external beam radiotherapy or brachytherapy, with and without neoadjuvant androgen ablation: Data from CaPSURE

PURPOSE

To evaluate the effects of external beam radiotherapy (EBRT), with or without brachytherapy (BT) boost or brachytherapy monotherapy with and without short-term androgen ablation (<==6 months; STAD) on sexual function (SF) and sexual bother (SB) in men treated for localized prostate cancer.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

A total of 992 men with newly diagnosed prostate cancer enrolled in the Cancer of the Prostate Strategic Urological Research Endeavor database were studied to assess treatment-related changes in SF and SB. Six treatment subgroups (EBRT - STAD, EBRT + STAD, BT - STAD, BT + STAD, EBRT + BT - STAD, EBRT + BT + STAD) were compared.

RESULTS

The greatest reported changes in SF occurred during the first 2 posttreatment years. Patients receiving BT reported greater SF and the least change in SF overall; those receiving EBRT + BT reported the greatest decline in SF. SF scores associated with STAD were initially lower than in patients without STAD; however by 1 year no statistically significant difference in SF or SB was noted.

CONCLUSION

Each treatment for prostate cancer can negatively affect SF and SB. Initial differences among treatment subgroups exist, but diminish with time. SF changes associated with EBRT +/- BT were statistically significant and those for BT were not. STAD appeared to confer only temporary and recoverable impairment of erectile function.

Validation of the Kattan preoperative nomogram for prostate cancer recurrence using a community based cohort: results from cancer of the prostate strategic urological research endeavor (capsure)

PURPOSE

The Kattan preoperative nomogram combines preoperative prostate specific antigen (PSA), biopsy Gleason grade and clinical stage to estimate disease recurrence after radical prostatectomy. Several studies using patient data from academic centers have validated the nomogram. We assessed the performance of the Kattan nomogram using the Cancer of the Prostate Strategic Urological Research Endeavor database, a national, largely community based observational disease registry.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

From the Cancer of the Prostate Strategic Urological Research Endeavor database we identified 1701 men with clinically localized prostate cancer undergoing radical prostatectomy with sufficient pretreatment information and PSA followup after surgery. Disease recurrence was defined as 2 consecutive PSA values 0.2 ng/ml or greater, or a second cancer treatment more than 6 months after prostatectomy. A concordance index was used to evaluate the performance of the nomogram compared to observed 5-year recurrence-free survival (Kaplan-Meier). Kattan nomogram scores were calculated for each patient and stratified into 6 groups for analysis.

RESULTS

In our cohort of 1701 men 413 (24%) had evidence of disease recurrence. Median followup in these patients was 2.3 years. Kattan nomogram scores were 17% to 99% (mean 79%). The overall concordance index was 0.68. Varying the definition of recurrent disease and excluding patients with imputed data did not substantially alter nomogram performance (concordance index 0.65 to 0.70). The Kattan nomogram tended to overestimate 5-year freedom from recurrence in patients with scores of 65% and higher.

CONCLUSIONS

We noted the reasonable performance of the Kattan nomogram for predicting cancer outcomes after radical prostatectomy using a community based population. Although concordance is lower than in previous validation studies and the nomogram overestimates recurrence-free survival in patients at lower risk, the model is fairly robust and it provides important information when counseling patients regarding treatment options in the community setting. Further refinements in pretreatment estimation of disease-free survival and ultimately overall survival are needed.