Marginal structural model to evaluate the association between cumulative osteoporosis medication and infection using claims data

Due to the suboptimal persistence to osteoporosis (OP) treatment, factors triggering treatment discontinuation/switching may be causing time-varying confounding. BP treatment was associated with the risk of overall infection in opposite directions in the unweighted Cox model versus the weighted MSM. The discrepancy of effect estimates for overall infection in the MSM suggested there may be time-varying confounding.

INTRODUCTION

Due to the suboptimal persistence to osteoporosis (OP) treatment, factors triggering treatment discontinuation/switching may be affected by prior treatment and confound the subsequent treatment effect, causing time-varying confounding.

METHODS

In a US insurance database, the association between joint treatment of bisphosphonates (BP) and other OP medication and the incidence of infections among postmenopausal women was assessed using a marginal structural model (MSM). Stabilized weights were estimated by modeling treatment and censoring processes conditioning on past treatment, and baseline and time-varying covariates.

RESULTS

BP treatment was associated with the risk of overall infection in opposite directions in the unweighted Cox model {incidence rate ratio [IRR] [95% confidence interval (CI)] = 1.15 [1.14-1.17]} versus the weighted MSM [IRR (95% CI) = 0.79 (0.77-0.81)], but was consistently associated with a lower risk of serious infection in both the unweighted Cox model [IRR (95% CI] = 0.79 (0.78-0.81)) and the weighted MSM [IRR (95% CI) = 0.71 (0.68-0.75)]. Similar results were found when current and past treatments were simultaneously assessed.

CONCLUSIONS

The discrepancy of effect estimates for overall but not serious infection comparing unweighted models and MSM suggested analyses of composite outcomes with a wide range of disease severity may be more susceptible to time-varying confounding.

Incidence and natural history of Paget's disease of bone in England and Wales

This study used a large, primary care, record-linkage resource (the General Practice Research Database [GPRD]) to evaluate the incidence, clinical presentation, and natural history of Paget's disease of bone in England and Wales. Between 1988 and 1999, we identified 2465 patients with the recorded diagnosis of Paget's disease of bone, within the five million subjects > or = 18 years old who were registered in the GPRD. The validity of diagnostic recording was assessed by questionnaire to individual general practitioners (GPs) in 150 patients; the diagnosis was confirmed in 93.8% of responders. The mean age of patients with Paget's disease was 75 years and 51% were men. The prevalence of the disorder was 0.3% among men and women aged > or = 55 years; incidence rates for clinically diagnosed Paget's disease rose steeply with age (men, 5 per 10,000 person-years; women, 3 per 10,000 person-years at the age of 75 years). Over the 11-year period of the study, the age- and sex-adjusted incidence rate of clinically diagnosed Paget's disease declined from 1.1 per 10,000 person-years to 0.7 per 10,000 person-years. Each patient with Paget's disease was matched to three controls matched by age, gender, and general practice. Cases had a greater risk of back pain (relative risk [RR], 2.1; 95% CI, 1.9-2.3), osteoarthritis (OA; RR, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.5-1.9), hip arthroplasty (RR, 3.1; 95% CI, 2.4-4.1), knee arthroplasty (RR, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.0-2.6), fracture (RR, 1.2; 95% CI, 1.0-1.5), and hearing loss (RR, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.3-1.9). Seven patients with Paget's disease developed a malignant bone neoplasm (0.3%). Using life table methodology, the estimated number of people who died within 5 years of follow-up was 32.7% among the patients with Paget's disease and 28.0% among the control patients.

Family risk score of coronary heart disease (CHD) as a predictor of CHD: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study and the NHLBI family heart study

Family history of coronary heart disease (CHD) has been found to be a risk factor for CHD in numerous studies. Few studies have addressed whether a quantitative measure of family history of CHD (family risk score, FRS) predicts CHD in African Americans. This study assessed the association between FRS and incident CHD of participants, and the variation of the association by gender and race. Participants in the study were a biracial population-based cohort with 3,958 African Americans and 10,580 Whites aged 45-64 years old in the ARIC baseline survey (1987-1989). They were randomly selected from four U. S. communities. During follow-up (1987-1993), 352 participants experienced the onset of CHD. Incidence density of CHD (per 1,000 person-years) was 7.8 and 3.6 among African-American men (AAM) and women (AAW), and 7.2 and 2.2 among White men (WM) and women (WW). The hazard rate ratio (HRR) of CHD associated with one standard deviation increase of FRS was 1.52 in AAW, 1.46 in AAM, 1.41 in WW, and 1.68 in WM. The HRRs decreased 4.6% in AAW, 1.4% in WW, 5.7% in AAM, and 3.0% in WM, but increased 2.1% in AAM after adjustment for selected covariates. FRS predicts incident CHD in African Americans and Whites, men and women. The relation of FRS to incident CHD can be only partially explained by the selected risk factors in the biological causal pathways: IMT, T-G, LDL, HDL, Lp(a), fibrinogen and hypertension. No significant difference by race has been found in this study.

Trends in cigarette smoking: the Minnesota Heart Survey, 1980 through 1992

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to describe trends in the prevalence of cigarette smoking between 1980 through 1982 and 1990 through 1992 in Minneapolis and St. Paul, Minn.

METHODS

Three population-based surveys were conducted among adults 25 to 74 years of age in 1980 through 1982, 1985 through 1987, and 1990 through 1992.

RESULTS

Overall age-adjusted prevalences of cigarette smoking declined significantly between 1980-1982 and 1985-1987 and between 1985-1987 and 1990-1992. Serum thiocyanate, a biochemical marker for tobacco use, also declined significantly over the 3 periods.

CONCLUSIONS

Favorable trends in smoking prevalence and cigarette consumption among smokers were observed, but disturbing trends in some smoking behaviors were also noted.

Risk factors for kidney damage in the adult population of Wadena, Minnesota. A prospective study

An increased albumin excretion rate (AER) is associated with impaired glucose tolerance and diabetes mellitus in some populations, but data on Americans of Northern European origin are lacking. In 1986-1987, AER and creatinine clearance were measured in 455 adults in a survey of the population of Wadena, Minnesota. Thirty-five subjects (8%) had an AER > or = 15 micrograms/minute, and eight of these had overt proteinuria (AER > or = 175 micrograms/minute). AER and creatinine clearance were uncorrelated except when AER was increased. Unadjusted mean AER in a stratified random sample of adults (n = 374) was 3.6 micrograms/minute. Adjusted values for 277 subjects with normal glucose tolerance and for 80 subjects with impaired glucose tolerance were very similar (3.8 and 3.7 micrograms/minute, respectively), whereas mean AER was 5.4 micrograms/minute for persons with non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus (NIDDM) who were not taking insulin and 9.4 micrograms/minute for persons with NIDDM who were taking insulin (p < 0.0001). After adjustment for age, mean creatinine clearance was unrelated to glucose tolerance. Systolic blood pressure was a major determinant of increased AER (p < 0.0001) and lowered creatinine clearance (p = 0.0011), independently of diabetes. AER was stable over 5 years among the 321 cases who were not taking insulin and were not severely hypertensive. The decrease in creatinine clearance was greater in ex-smokers and current smokers than in nonsmokers. The authors conclude that hypertension and NIDDM were independently associated with the risk of kidney damage in this population, as indicated by a higher AER. High-normal blood pressure, but not impaired glucose tolerance, was associated with microalbuminuria. These relatively mild changes may reflect an ethnically based resistance to the damaging effects of hyperglycemia on the kidney. Smoking may accelerate the aging-related decline in glomerular filtration rate.

Alcohol-containing mouthwashes and oropharyngeal cancer: a spurious association due to underascertainment of confounders?

Recently it has been suggested that the use of alcohol-containing mouthwashes may increase the risk of oropharyngeal cancer. Heavy alcohol intake and tobacco use are established causes of oropharyngeal cancer. Their use is associated with mouthwash use. In addition, alcohol and tobacco use both tend to be underreported. Here the authors show that, under the hypothesis that mouthwash does not increase the risk of oropharyngeal cancer, confounding due to underascertained exposure to alcohol and tobacco would result in a spuriously elevated odds ratio for mouthwash use. As a general principle, a null association becomes apparently positive if a confounding variable is incompletely ascertained: a spurious association may be produced even in the absence of a difference in the extent of the underascertainment of the confounder among the comparison groups.

NHLBI Family Heart Study: objectives and design

The NHLBI Family Heart Study is a multicenter, population-based study of genetic and nongenetic determinants of coronary heart disease (CHD), atherosclerosis, and cardiovascular risk factors. In phase I, 2,000 randomly selected participants and 2,000 with family histories of CHD were identified among 14,592 middle-aged participants in epidemiologic studies. Medical histories from these individuals, their parents, and their siblings were used to calculate family risk scores that compared the number of reported and validated CHD events with the number expected based on the size, sex, and age of family members. A total of 657 families with the highest risk scores and early-onset CHD and 588 randomly sampled families had clinic examinations that included electrocardiograms, carotid artery ultrasound scans, spirometry, measurements of body size, blood pressure, lipids, lipoproteins, hemostatic factors, insulin, glucose, and routine chemistries. Additional biochemical and genetic studies are being performed on selected participants. Serum, plasma, lymphocytes, red cells, and DNA are stored for future studies, including genotyping of candidate genes and anonymous markers. Contributions of genes, shared and individual environments, and behaviors to variations in risk factors, preclinical atherosclerosis, and CHD will be estimated. Linkage studies, including the quantitative trait loci approach, are planned.

Sex differences in early mortality after acute myocardial infarction (the Minnesota Heart Survey)

Although numerous studies indicate that women have a higher early mortality from acute myocardial infarction (AMI) than men, reasons for the difference are largely unexplained. We studied the role of sex in the prognosis of 1,600 patients with AMI aged 30 to 74 years in the population-based Minnesota Heart Survey. A 50% random sample was taken of all AMI patients hospitalized in 1980 and 1985 in the Twin Cities of Minnesota (Minneapolis-St. Paul) (1,168 men, 432 women). A multiple logistic regression model was used for predicting early death (within 28 days) and included baseline characteristics: sex, age, chest pain on admission, history of previous AMI, angina pectoris, coronary artery bypass surgery or hypertension, presence of heart failure, cardiac arrhythmias requiring direct-current shock, diabetes mellitus, valvular disease, cardiomyopathy, and levels of serum enzymes and blood urea nitrogen. Age-adjusted early mortality rate was significantly higher in women than men, but only in those aged < 65 years (12.5% of women vs 6.5% of men, p < 0.01) versus those aged > or = 65 years (19.5% vs 21.6%, p > 0.05). Multivariate analysis also showed that among those < 65 years, female sex was a strong and independent predictor of early death (odds ratio 2.0, 95% confidence interval 1.2 to 3.5, p < 0.01). Rates of coronary angiography, coronary artery bypass surgery, percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty, and thrombolysis performed during hospital stay were higher in men, but after adjustment for age, congestive heart failure, and diabetes mellitus, a statistically significant difference persisted only in the frequency of coronary angiography (26% in men vs 17% in women, p < 0.05).(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Improved survival of stroke patients during the 1980s. The Minnesota Stroke Survey

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The underlying reasons for the decline in stroke mortality in the United States are not well understood and have been the subject of ongoing debate. This study was undertaken to determine whether survival of hospitalized stroke patients has changed during the 1980s, thereby contributing to the decline in stroke mortality during that period.

METHODS

For the years 1980, 1985, and 1990, we obtained listings of discharge diagnoses from hospitals in the Minneapolis-St Paul metropolitan area and identified all hospitalizations with a discharge diagnosis code of acute cerebrovascular disease according to the International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision. A 50% random sample of men and women aged 30 to 74 years was selected in each survey for detailed medical record abstraction. Standardized sets of criteria for stroke were then used to validate acute stroke events throughout the 1980s. Each of the three period cohorts of hospitalized stroke patients (1980, 1985, and 1990) was followed for at least 2 years for all-cause mortality end point.

RESULTS

A total of 1853 patients met minimal criteria for acute stroke: 564 patients in 1980, 598 patients in 1985, and 691 patients in 1990. Controlling for age, the odds of death within 2 years after stroke were approximately 40% lower in 1990 than in 1980. The relative odds of 2-year death in 1990 (versus 1980) were 0.65 (95% confidence interval, 0.47 to 0.89) and 0.60 (95% confidence interval, 0.42 to 0.85) for men and women, respectively. The improved survival was evident in the short term (28 days) as well as for stroke patients who survived that period. Analysis according to stroke subtype revealed that improved survival of ischemic stroke and specifically of stroke with no apparent cardioembolic source largely accounted for the overall trend. The prognosis of stroke patients who were admitted in a comatose state has not changed during that decade.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite the absence of any clear major advances in acute stroke therapy, survival of stroke patients substantially improved during the 1980s. The underlying reasons for this unexpected yet remarkable trend remain uncertain but may include improved supportive and rehabilitative care of stroke victims as well as a change in the natural history of the disease.

Validation of self-reported history of acute myocardial infarction: experience of the Minnesota Heart Survey Registry

Accurate separation of new cases of acute myocardial infarction from prevalent cases is critical for assessing trends in morbidity in population-based studies. This report presents data on the validity of self-reported history of previous acute myocardial infarction among 3,703 patients admitted to a coronary care unit with suspicion of acute myocardial infarction. We substantiated the history of a prior event for 60% of those who reported one (629 of 1,053) and found 40% to be false-positive histories. Much of the false-positive reporting was related to previous cardiac hospitalizations, predominantly (40%) for unstable angina.

A reassessment of fasting plasma glucose concentrations in population screening for diabetes mellitus in a community of northern European ancestry: the Wadena City Health Study

In current clinical and research practice, the determination of diabetic status depends largely on plasma glucose levels 2 h after the ingestion of a standard 75-g glucose load, the oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT). The OGTT, however, remains inconvenient, not highly reproducible, and costly, especially for large-scale studies and population screening tests. Fasting plasma glucose (FPG) determinations are convenient, reliable, and valid measures of glucose intolerance, but the currently prescribed cut-off point of 140 mg/dl (7.8 mM) lacks sensitivity. We evaluated the reliability and validity of fasting plasma glucose (FPG) values compared with other measures of hyperglycemia for a diagnosis of diabetes in a population-based study of carbohydrate metabolism in Wadena, Minnesota, a community of predominantly northern European ancestry. As a part of this effort, a random sample of Wadena adults, stratified by age and gender, plus all known, previously diagnosed diabetics participated in 2 days of baseline testing and were followed prospectively and retested 5 years later. Cross-sectional analyses of baseline data are presented in this article. Diabetic status was ascertained by administering a standard OGTT according to National Diabetes Data Group (NDDG) specifications. Sensitivity and specificity levels obtained when using a FPG cut-off point of 6.4 mM were 95.2% and 97.4%, respectively. In study subjects with no known diagnosis of diabetes, the FPG cut-off point of 6.4 mM performed reasonably well with a sensitivity and specificity of 67.7% and 97.4%, respectively. (ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Predictors of cancer prevention attitudes and participation in cancer screening examinations

BACKGROUND

Few current data are available regarding factors associated with participation in cancer screening examinations in the general population.

METHODS

To identify factors associated with participation in cancer screening examinations, random population samples of 25- to 74-year-old men and women in six various-sized communities in three upper-Midwestern states (n = 4,915) were surveyed in 1987-1989. Multivariate-adjusted means were calculated and compared using analysis of covariance.

RESULTS

Statistically significant (P < 0.05) strong predictors (other than age and sex) of ever having had a specific cancer screening test were as follows (the numbers in parentheses following each listed association are the absolute maximum differences in mean proportions among the levels of the predictors): (1) rectal examination: higher education (14%); (2) fecal occult blood testing: higher education (6%) and never smoker (5%); (3) sigmoidoscopy: higher income (7%) and higher education (6%); and (5) mammography: higher income (25%), higher education (8%), and a positive family history of breast cancer (7%). There were no strong predictors (out of nine) of ever having had a Papanicolaou smear or a breast self-examination.

CONCLUSIONS

The largest differences among the population for participation in cancer screening examinations involves income and the two most expensive cancer screening tests: higher income is a strong predictor of having a mammogram and, to a lesser extent, of having a sigmoidoscopy. The most consistent predictor of participation in cancer screening examinations across all cancer screening tests is education: higher education is a predictor of having each kind of cancer screening test.

Survey of health and use characterization of pesticide appliers in Minnesota

We surveyed 1,000 randomly selected state-licensed pesticide appliers to improve our understanding of pesticide use and its potential health effects. Participants were stratified by pesticide class (herbicides, insecticides, fungicides, fumigants) to determine potential differences in health characteristics among different pesticide groups. A subset of 60 applicators, divided by pesticide class used, were studied for exposure-related cholinesterase (ChE) depression. ChE depression in excess of 20% was most frequent in fumigant applicators who did enclosed-space application, in addition to other pesticide application procedures (p < .05). Survey data demonstrated that the prevalence of all common chronic diseases considered together was significantly increased (p = .015) in fumigant appliers, compared with all other pesticide use groups. The frequency of chronic lung disease was also significantly increased in the fumigant applier group (p = .027). Curiously, two cases of a rare hematopoietic neoplasm--hairy cell leukemia--were identified in our study group (annual incidence 0.67/100,000 in Minnesota). Whether there is an association between this unique tumor and agricultural work is uncertain, and further study is needed in this regard.

Trends in coded causes of death following definite myocardial infarction and the role of competing risks: the Minnesota Heart Survey (MHS)

We investigated possible differences over time in underlying causes of death among validated definite myocardial infarction cases who were discharged following an index hospitalization in 1970, 1980, and 1985 in the Twin Cities, MN. No changes were observed in underlying causes of death assigned to patients who died prior to discharge in the 3 years. Among in-hospital survivors of definite MI, however, age-adjusted rates of death from non-cardiovascular causes more than doubled between 1970 and 1985 (P < 0.01). More specifically, mortality rates for diabetes mellitus increased significantly from 1970 to 1985 (P < 0.05), while those for neoplasms and diseases of the respiratory system increased non-significantly. Whether these data are the result of artifactual changes in cause of death assignment or real changes in disease severity and comorbidity, these trends in long-term death following acute MI may have had a modest impact on reported community-wide coronary heart disease mortality rates.

Apparently coronary heart disease-free patients in the coronary care unit: characteristics, medical care, and 1-year outcome

BACKGROUND

Coronary care units (CCUs) have contributed significantly to the improved survival rates among patients with acute myocardial infarction. Many patients admitted to CCUs are certified to be free of coronary heart disease (CHD) at discharge. There is little literature on the hospital course and prognosis of such patients.

METHODS

We identified and followed 594 patients admitted to six CCUs in the Minneapolis-St Paul metropolitan area in 1990 because of suspected acute myocardial infarction who were eventually discharged without evidence of acute or chronic CHD. Their baseline characteristics, medical care, and 1-year outcome were compared with those of 672 patients with confirmed acute myocardial infarction and 612 patients with a history of CHD but without evidence of an acute coronary event.

RESULTS

Similar numbers of men and women were certified to be CHD-free on discharge from hospital. These patients were significantly younger than either patients with acute myocardial infarction or patients with a history of CHD (mean age 57, 65, and 67 years, respectively). CHD-free patients commonly reported current smoking, hypertension, and hypercholesterolemia (26, 50, and 18%, respectively). These patients were less likely than those with acute myocardial infarction or a history of CHD to undergo diagnostic or therapeutic procedures, or to receive pharmacological treatment. Their 1-year mortality rate was 5%, significantly lower (P < 0.05) than the mortality among patients with either acute myocardial infarction (18%) or a history of CHD (13%) but 2.6 times greater than expected in the general population. Older age, previous or current smoking, chest pain leading to admission, and congestive heart failure were independent predictors of 1-year mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients certified to be CHD-free after admission to a CCU with suspected acute myocardial infarction have a lower 1-year mortality rate than patients experiencing acute myocardial infarction or chronic CHD. Their mortality rate, however, is substantially higher than expected, probably because of a high prevalence of cigarette smoking and hypertension.

Trends in diabetes prevalence among stroke patients and the effect of diabetes on stroke survival: the Minnesota Heart Survey

This study documented trends in the prevalence of diabetes among men and women hospitalized for acute stroke and determined the effect of diabetes on short- and long-term survival following stroke. These issues were investigated in the Minnesota Heart Survey, a population-based surveillance system that has monitored trends in stroke morbidity and mortality in the Minneapolis-St Paul metropolitan area since 1970. Clinical data were obtained from the hospital records of 50% samples of residents ages 30 to 74 years who were discharged with a diagnosis of acute stroke in 1970, 1980, and 1985. Between 1970 and 1985, the prevalence of diabetes as listed on the discharge diagnoses among stroke patients increased significantly in men (22.4% vs 10.5%; p = 0.006) and non-significantly in women (24.7% vs 15.9%; p = 0.3). During this time period, both in-hospital and 28-day case fatality rates declined in non-diabetic stroke patients but remained unchanged in stroke patients with diabetes. After controlling for the effects of age, sex, survey year, and level of consciousness, diabetes status had little effect on short-term (28-day) mortality of stroke patients, but the odds of 5-year mortality among those surviving to 1 year was 2.0 (95% Cl (1.3, 3.2)) times higher in diabetic compared to non-diabetic individuals. These findings suggest that the prevalence of diabetes has been increasing among stroke patients, and that the diabetic condition is a significant predictor of poorer long-term but not short-term survival following stroke.

Relationship between flexible sigmoidoscopy training during residency and subsequent sigmoidoscopy performance in practice

BACKGROUND

The primary objective of the research was to determine whether sigmoidoscopy training during family practice residency is associated with subsequent performance of sigmoidoscopy in practice.

METHODS

We surveyed 292 family physicians who graduated from the University of Minnesota Department of Family Practice and Community Health residency program between 1983 and 1989. The survey instrument collected information on the number of physicians who were currently performing flexible sigmoidoscopy in their practices and what factors were associated with performance of this procedure.

RESULTS

Physicians with flexible sigmoidoscopy training during residency were performing flexible sigmoidoscopies at a significantly higher rate than those without training during residency (P = .001). A significantly higher proportion of males were performing flexible sigmoidoscopy in their practices than females (P = .0002). The mean number of flexible sigmoidoscopies recommended by residency-trained physicians to be performed during residency for adequate training was 16.

CONCLUSIONS

Training in flexible sigmoidoscopy during a family practice residency is associated with a higher rate of flexible sigmoidoscopy performance later in practice. Female physicians perform flexible sigmoidoscopy at a significantly lower rate than their male colleagues; this could be due to a less-adequate training during residency. We recommend that residents perform a minimum of 16 flexible sigmoidoscopies during residency training.

Does body fat distribution promote familial aggregation of adult onset diabetes mellitus and postmenopausal breast cancer?

Noninsulin-dependent diabetes mellitus and postmenopausal breast cancer share a number of risk factors, including obesity, increased waist-to-hip ratio, and a positive family history. If risk for these diseases is mediated through a familial tendency for abdominal obesity, then one might expect to see familial clustering of both diseases. We analyzed data from a prospective cohort study of 41,837 Iowa women age 55-69 years. Diabetes was not associated with incidence of breast cancer [relative risk (RR) = 0.97]. The association between family history of breast cancer and breast cancer incidence, however, was slightly modified by individual history of diabetes: a positive family history of breast cancer in the absence of baseline diabetes was associated with a relative risk of 1.36 [95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.08-1.70], whereas the presence of both factors was associated with a RR of 1.87 (95% CI = 0.93-3.76). Adjustment for waist-to-hip ratio greatly diminished this difference. Conversely, a family history of breast cancer was associated with a RR of 5-year diabetes mortality of 1.94 (95% CI = 1.17-3.24) that persisted after stratification by tertile of waist-to-hip ratio. No clear association of family history of breast cancer and waist-to-hip ratio for self-reported diabetes incidence was evident. These data are indicative of a complex interrelation between waist-to-hip ratio, familial predisposition, diabetes, and breast cancer.

Association of antihypertensive agents and blood lipids in a population-based survey

Clinical trials indicate that many antihypertensive medications alter blood lipids. These lipid changes may be of sufficient magnitude to influence subsequent coronary heart disease rates. We examined this association in a large population sample (N = 15,918, ages 25-74, 12% on antihypertensive medication) surveyed cross-sectionally from 1980 to 1986. Subjects taking antihypertensive medication had a mean serum total cholesterol 4.0 mg per dl higher than those not taking these medications after we adjusted for age, sex, weight, smoking, alcohol, blood pressure, and exercise. High-density lipoprotein cholesterol was lower in the medicated group by 2.5 mg per dl. There was no evidence that the length of medication use was related to lipid levels.

Contribution of dietary lipid change to falling serum cholesterol levels between 1980 to 1982 and 1985 to 1987 in an urban population. The Minnesota Heart Survey

We assessed dietary intake and serum total cholesterol trends during the 1980s, in the Minneapolis-St. Paul (Twin Cities) metropolitan area. Twin Cities residents 25 to 74 years old participated in independent, cross-sectional, population-based surveys of risk factors for cardiovascular disease in 1980 to 1982 (n = 1611) and 1985 to 1987 (n = 2231). Age-adjusted total energy intake was similar in 1980 to 1982 and 1985 to 1987: 2528 kcal (10.6 MJ) versus 2574 kcal (10.8 MJ) for men and 1683 kcal (7.1 MJ) versus 1689 kcal (7.1 MJ) for women. However, significant changes were observed in macronutrient intake. The percent of energy from total fat intake decreased from 39.3 to 38.1% in men and 38.9 to 36.6% in women (both P < 0.01). The composition of fat consumed changed, such that the Keys score, an index of dietary fat and cholesterol, decreased by 3.3 units in both sexes (both P < 0.01). The predicted changes in serum total cholesterol (Keys score) were generally consistent with observed declines of 5.4 mg/dL (0.1 mmol/L) in men and 5.8 mg/dL (0.15 mmol/L) in women during this time period. These data suggest that members of this community are on average modifying their fat consumption and that these dietary changes are resulting in more favorable serum total cholesterol levels.

Trends in survival of hospitalized stroke patients between 1970 and 1985. The Minnesota Heart Survey

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Age-adjusted stroke mortality rates declined approximately 50% between 1970 and 1990 in both the United States and Minnesota, but the reasons for this decline are not clear. This report examines possible improvements in short- and long-term survival of hospitalized definite stroke patients in the Minneapolis-St Paul (the Twin Cities) metropolitan area during this period.

METHODS

Fifty percent random samples of patients discharged with an acute stroke diagnosis from area hospitals were selected in 1970 (n = 1200), 1980 (n = 1040), and 1985 (n = 896). Trained nurses abstracted pertinent clinical data from the hospital charts. By standardized clinical criteria similar to World Health Organization criteria (without computed tomography data), 376, 442, and 453 definite strokes were established for 1970, 1980, and 1985, respectively.

RESULTS

Age- and sex-adjusted 28-day case fatality of definite stroke improved significantly from 1970 to 1985; the odds ratio (OR) of death within 28 days in 1985 (versus 1970) patients was 0.55 (95% confidence interval [CI], [0.39, 0.77]). Substantial improvements in 28-day mortality were observed both from 1970 to 1980 and from 1980 to 1985, although the latter change was not statistically significant. Further adjustment for predictors of early stroke mortality (such as level of consciousness) somewhat attenuated these results. Age- and sex-adjusted 5-year survival of definite stroke also improved significantly from 1970 to 1985 (OR, 0.72; 95% CI, [0.54, 0.96]), although the improvement was restricted to the 1970 to 1980 time period (OR, 0.76; 95% CI, [0.57, 1.01]). None of the survival trends differed significantly between men and women.

CONCLUSIONS

There were marked improvements in survival from 1970 to 1985 among hospitalized stroke patients in the Twin Cities. These improvements occurred almost exclusively in the acute hospitalization phase. Although the advent of computed tomography and improvements in hospital record-keeping during this period prevent an unequivocal conclusion, improved medical care and decreased severity of stroke probably contributed to gains in survival.

Socioeconomic status and coronary heart disease risk factor trends. The Minnesota Heart Survey

BACKGROUND

Socioeconomic status (SES) indicators including education, income, and occupation are associated with coronary heart disease (CHD) risk factors, morbidity, and mortality. In most industrialized nations, individuals with less education, lower income, and blue collar occupations have the highest CHD rates. It is suggested by some that these differences by SES are increasing even as age-adjusted CHD mortality declines.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The Minnesota Heart Survey includes measurement of CHD risk factors and behaviors in population-based samples of Minneapolis-St. Paul adults aged 25 to 74 years in 1980 to 1982 (N = 3243) and 1985 to 1987 (N = 4538). Education was significantly and inversely related to blood pressure, cigarette smoking, body mass index, and a summary risk score for both men and women. Serum cholesterol was inversely related to education in women but not in men. Education was positively associated with leisure physical activity and health knowledge. Associations with household income were less consistent in magnitude and direction. Risk characteristics improved significantly between the 1980 to 1982 and 1985 to 1987 surveys. These changes were similar across education and household income levels.

CONCLUSIONS

Improvement in CHD risk factors over time unrelated to education or income suggests that population-wide factors such as improved health knowledge, availability of healthy food items, hypertension treatment, and restrictions on cigarette smoking are operating beneficially in all SES groups. Although the SES gradient in risk factors is not increasing, it remains substantial and indicates directions for future prevention efforts.

The role of stroke attack rate and case fatality in the decline of stroke mortality. The Minnesota Heart Survey

The Minnesota Heart Survey is a population-based study designed to monitor and explain trends in cardiovascular mortality, morbidity, and risk factors in the Minneapolis-St. Paul (Twin Cities) metropolitan area. Trends in stroke mortality were examined from 1960 to 1991; stroke morbidity trends were examined in 50% samples of patients discharged with an acute stroke diagnosis in 1970, 1980, and 1985. Stroke mortality in Twin Cities residents aged 30 to 74 years declined by more than 70% from 1960 to 1991 in both men and women. The decline occurred at a rate of 2.5% per year until 1972, accelerated between 1972 and 1984 (7.9% per year), and slowed considerably thereafter (1.8% per year). Hospitalized acute-stroke discharge rates among those aged 30 to 74 years declined substantially between 1970 and 1985 in both sexes (P < 0.01), but there was no change in definite stroke rates defined by standardized clinical criteria. Both short-term (28 days) and long-term (5 years) survival of definite-stroke patients improved significantly between 1970 and 1985. These improvements, however, were not found in the entire samples of unverified acute-stroke discharges. The proportion of hospitalized acute-stroke patients who had computed tomography performed increased from 0% in 1970 to 75% in 1985. There were also improvements in hospital records pertaining to the documentation of stroke symptoms and signs. These data indicate that the impressive declines in stroke mortality observed in the 1970s and early 1980s have slowed dramatically in the latter half of the 1980s. The decline in stroke mortality likely reflects both a decline in attack rate and improved survival after stroke.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Mortality among type 2 diabetic individuals and associated risk factors: the Three City Study

The 10 year mortality experience was determined in a population-based cohort of 540 Type 2 diabetic individuals. The association between potential risk factors and all causes mortality was examined. Diabetes was not mentioned anywhere on the death certificate in 46% of 274 decedents. Diseases of the circulatory system (ICD9-390-459) accounted for the majority (62%) of deaths in this cohort. Ten-year survival was poorer than expected for both men and women compared to the age- and sex-matched Minnesota population. Standardized mortality ratios for selected causes of death indicated excess for cardiovascular disease (ICD9-390-459), coronary heart disease (ICD9 410-414) and cerebrovascular disease. Baseline variables associated with all causes of mortality included age and a history of macrovascular disease. These findings indicate that mortality data significantly underestimate the magnitude of diabetes and that individuals with diabetes have poorer survival than non-diabetic individuals.

HLA-associated susceptibility to type 2 (non-insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus: the Wadena City Health Study

Epidemiologic data suggest that a parental history of Type 2 (non-insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus increases the risk of Type 1 (insulin-dependent) diabetes in siblings of a Type 1 diabetes proband. This increase in risk is consistent with a shared genetic susceptibility between Type 1 and Type 2 diabetes. We have previously reported evidence that HLA-DR4-linked factors may represent a homogeneous subset of diabetes susceptibility. First, HLA-DR4 frequency was higher in Type 1 diabetic study subjects with a Type 2 diabetic parent than in Type 1 diabetic subjects whose parents were not diabetic. Second, a DR4-haplotype was transmitted from the Type 2 diabetic parent to the Type 1 offspring more often than expected. These data are consistent with the hypothesis that families with a Type 2 diabetic parent and Type 1 diabetic child, heavily determined by HLA-DR4 linked factors, may represent a homogeneous subset of diabetes susceptibility. In this report, we further explore the relationship between the high-risk HLA antigen (HLA-DR4) in study subjects with differing glycaemic status (National Diabetes Data Group criteria). In this community-based study, we find evidence that HLA-DR4 is increased in study subjects with Type 2 diabetes and may be a marker for Type 2 diabetes susceptibility.

The smoking habits of Minnesota physicians

The prevalence of smoking among physicians has gradually declined over the past 25 years. Few recent studies have examined specific smoking habits. Of 393 physicians in the Minnesota Medical Association who responded to a survey (response rate of 83%), 9% reported smoking any form of tobacco. The prevalence of cigarette smoking was 4.9%, while 5.1% smoked a pipe and 2.1% smoked cigars. The prevalence estimates of current and former smokers were greater among men than women and among older than younger physicians. Cigarette and overall smoking prevalence among physicians continues to be well below levels reported for the general population.

Sex differences in coronary heart disease mortality trends: the Minnesota Heart Survey, 1970-1988

Recent U.S. national statistics indicate a slowing of the rate of decline in coronary heart disease (CHD) deaths among women. To examine recent sex-specific rates of mortality decline in the Minnesota Heart Survey, we computed the average annual percentage change in age-adjusted CHD death rate for the periods 1970-1978 and 1979-1988. We fit a log-linear regression model to the yearly CHD death rates, with separate sex-specific slopes estimated simultaneously for the two calendar periods. The average annual percentage decline in age-adjusted CHD death rate among men was slightly greater in the period 1979-1988 [4.8%; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 5.2-4.3] than in the period 1970-1978 (3.9%; 95% CI = 4.6-3.1). In contrast, among women, the rate of decline was less in the period 1979-1988 (3.6%; 95% CI = 4.8-2.3) than in 1970-1978 (4.8%; 95% CI = 5.6-4.0). We found a slowing of the rate of decline in out-of-hospital CHD deaths in both men and women. We observed a large increase in the rate of decline in the CHD death rate in hospital among men in the period 1979-1988 (8.3%; 95% CI = 9.3-7.2), compared with the period 1970-1978 (2.4%; 95% CI = 3.2-1.7). This increase did not occur among women (4.1%; 95% CI = 5.7-2.5 in 1970-1980 vs 3.8%; 95% CI = 4.9-2.7 in 1970-1978); this difference is a major factor in the steeper recent decline in overall CHD mortality among men compared with women.

Knowledge, attitudes, and personal practices regarding prevention and early detection of cancer

METHODS

To determine population knowledge, attitudes, and personal practices regarding prevention and early detection of cancer, random population samples of 25- to 74-year-old men and women in six various-sized communities in three upper-midwestern states (N = 4,915) were administered surveys and interviews during 1987-1989.

RESULTS

Four-fifths of respondents believed cancer to be preventable. Knowledge of warning signs/symptoms of cancer and of leading causes of cancer, however, was low. Over 95% of women had had a Papanicolaou smear and a clinical breast exam or had performed a breast self-exam; 65.7% of those ages 50-65 years had had a mammogram. Among men and women ages 50-65 years, 77% had had a digital rectal exam; 52.5%, a fecal occult blood test; and 48.3%, a sigmoidoscopy.

CONCLUSIONS

Conditions are favorable for an increase in mammography, including favorable attitudes toward cancer prevention, strong consensus among policy-making organizations regarding guidelines for obtaining mammograms, and high levels of adherence to these recommendations by women who have had at least their first mammogram. Challenges now include acceptance of these guidelines by physicians, mammogram affordability/availability, and demonstration of efficacious, cost-effective, and reliable colorectal/prostate cancer screening tests.

Prevalence of aortic aneurysms in the Twin Cities metropolitan area, 1979-84

The discharge summaries for Minneapolis-St. Paul metropolitan area residents hospitalized during 1979-84 were reviewed for diagnoses of aortic aneurysms. Annual age-specific and age-adjusted sex-specific hospital discharge diagnosis rates were calculated for all aortic aneurysms, dissecting aortic aneurysms, thoracic aortic aneurysms (nondissecting), and abdominal aortic aneurysms (nondissecting). For each aortic aneurysm type, hospital discharge diagnosis rates were found to increase with age for both men and women. Abdominal aortic aneurysms were the most common type reported (age-adjusted annual rates for men varied between 40.6 and 49.3 per 100,000 population; for women, between 6.8 and 12.0 per 100,000 population). Men were noted to have higher rates for each aneurysm type. An increasing temporal trend was observed for all aortic aneurysms and abdominal aortic aneurysms among men. These findings are reviewed in light of recent data on mortality from aortic aneurysms in the United States.

Correlates of obesity in young black and white women: the CARDIA Study

OBJECTIVES

Although differences in obesity between Blacks and Whites are well documented in adult women, less information is available on potential correlates of these differences, especially in young adults.

METHODS

The association between behavioral and demographic factors and body size was assessed in 2801 Black and White women aged 18 to 30 years.

RESULTS

Black women had significantly higher age-adjusted mean body mass index and subscapular skinfold thickness than did White women. Obesity had different associations with age and education across racial groups. A positive relationship between age and obesity was seen in Black women but not in White women, whereas a negative association between education and body size was noted only in White women. Potential contributing factors to the increased prevalence of obesity in Black women include a more sedentary lifestyle, higher energy intake, earlier menarche, and earlier age at first childbirth.

CONCLUSIONS

The difference in obesity across race could not be explained completely by these factors, since within virtually all strata, Black women had higher body mass indexes. Further investigation is needed to develop interventional strategies to prevent or reduce excess levels of obesity in Black women.

Antibiotic use in urban whites and blacks: the Minnesota Heart Survey

OBJECTIVE

To assess racial differences in the use of antibiotics, including penicillins, erythromycins, tetracyclines, sulfas, and cephalosporins.

DESIGN

Population-based surveys, conducted from 1985 to 1987.

SETTING

The seven-county metropolitan area of Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN.

PARTICIPANTS

3127 whites (response rate 68 percent) and 1047 blacks (response rate 65 percent), aged 35-74 years.

RESULTS

White women (26 percent of 1625) were more likely to report having taken an antibiotic in the past year than were white men (18 percent of 1502), black women (18 percent of 590), or black men (15 percent of 457). Reported antibiotic usage decreased with increasing age. Black men were more likely than white men to report the use of tetracyclines or sulfas; otherwise, white men reported higher usage prevalences. White women reported higher usage prevalences of all drug classes than black women.

CONCLUSIONS

Significant independent predictors of antibiotic use were younger age, white race, and female gender. Potential explanations for these differences include differences in patient access, physician-prescribing behaviors, or both.

Cardiovascular disease risk factors and glucose tolerance. The Wadena City Health Study

Cardiovascular risk factors were examined in 453 subjects participating in the Wadena City Health Study, a population-based study to assess the relationship between diabetes and glucose intolerance with age. Each subject was classified as either having non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus (NIDDM), impaired glucose tolerance (IGT), or normoglycemia, using WHO criteria. Age- and body-mass-adjusted levels of systolic and diastolic blood pressure were lowest for those with normoglycemia, intermediate for those with IGT, and highest for those with NIDDM. Age- and body-mass-adjusted levels of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol were lowest for those with NIDDM, intermediate for those with IGT, and highest for those with normoglycemia, while triglyceride levels were highest for those with NIDDM, intermediate for those with IGT, and lowest for those with normoglycemia in women but not in men. Low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels were lowest for those with NIDDM, intermediate for those with IGT, and highest for those with normoglycemia. With the exception of men with IGT, no differences by glycemic strata were observed for plasma total cholesterol. The prevalence of smoking showed no consistent pattern by glycemic status. These findings suggest that individuals with IGT have an atherogenic risk factor pattern that may put them at greater risk for coronary heart disease than those with normoglycemia. Intervention strategies such as diet, exercise, and/or drug therapy should be tested to evaluate whether these are effective in preventing conversion to overt diabetes and normalizing cardiovascular disease risk factors.

Trends in mortality, morbidity, and risk factor levels for stroke from 1960 through 1990. The Minnesota Heart Survey

OBJECTIVE

The Minnesota Heart Survey is a population-based study designed to monitor and explain trends in cardiovascular mortality, morbidity, and risk factors.

DESIGN

Surveillance time-trends study.

METHODS

The following trends were examined among men and women aged 25 to 74 years living in Minneapolis-St Paul, Minn: (1) stroke mortality from 1960 through 1990; (2) risk factors in population-based surveys conducted in 1973 through 1974, 1980 through 1982, and 1985 through 1987; and (3) morbidity in a 50% sample of hospitalized discharges for acute-stroke in 1970, 1980, and 1985.

RESULTS

Stroke mortality in Minneapolis-St Paul declined slowly from 1960 through 1972 (average fall, 2.4% per year), dropped sharply from 1972 through 1984 (average fall, 6.5% per year), but exhibited little change thereafter (average fall, 1.5% per year). The average level of cardiovascular disease risk factors fell from 1973-1974 to 1985-1987, with the exception of body mass index. In particular, hypertension diagnosis, treatment, and control levels improved substantially between 1973-1974 and 1980-1982, although there was little improvement after 1980-1982. While discharge rates for hospital-coded acute stroke declined substantially between 1970 and 1985 in both sexes, no clear trend was observed in definite stroke rates as validated using standard clinical criteria. Twenty-eight-day case fatality rates of definite stroke improved significantly from 1970 to 1985.

CONCLUSIONS

The substantial decline in stroke mortality of more than 50% from 1960 through 1990 appears to have been attributable to both primary and secondary prevention. These data suggest that the long decline in stroke mortality and morbidity in Minneapolis-St Paul has plateaued, although improved detection of stroke with computed tomography prevents an unequivocal conclusion.

Menopause and serum cholesterol: differences between blacks and whites. The Minnesota Heart Survey

The relation between menopause and serum total and high-density-lipoprotein cholesterol was examined by the Minnesota Heart Survey in a cross-sectional, population-based study of 344 black women and 474 white women aged 35-54 years from the Twin Cities metropolitan area in 1985-1986. Analysis of covariance was used to examine differences in serum total and high-density-lipoprotein cholesterol in black women and white women by menopausal status, adjusting for the effects of age, educational level, cigarette smoking, body mass index, exercise, alcohol consumption, diabetes mellitus, sex hormone, beta blocker, and diuretic use. Among whites, adjusted serum total cholesterol was 13 mg/dl higher in postmenopausal than in premenopausal women (p less than 0.002). Black postmenopausal women had slightly higher serum total cholesterol than did their premenopausal counterparts (5.4 mg/dl). However, this was not statistically significant. An interaction term in a linear regression model confirmed a racial difference in the total cholesterol association with menopause (p less than 0.02). The higher total cholesterol levels observed in white postmenopausal women were mainly among those with natural menopause (20.7 mg/dl higher than premenopausal, p less than 0.0003) and those with a hysterectomy and at least one intact ovary (11.0 mg/dl higher, p = 0.05). Among black women, only the subgroup with a hysterectomy and a bilateral oophorectomy had a significantly higher serum total cholesterol (19.9 mg/dl higher than premenopausal, p less than 0.05). There was no significant association between high-density-lipoprotein cholesterol and any type of menopause in either black women or white women. Our findings may reflect a true physiologic difference in the relation between menopause and serum total cholesterol between American blacks and whites. The lack of a significant association between menopause and high-density-lipoprotein cholesterol in either race raises the possibility that menopause may not affect atherosclerosis risk via reduced high-density-lipoprotein cholesterol.

Community trends in CPR training and use: the Minnesota Heart Survey

STUDY OBJECTIVE

To examine community changes in self-reported CPR training and use from 1980-82 to 1985-87 using data obtained from the Minnesota Heart Survey. A comparative investigation of CPR training among blacks and whites in 1985-86 also was completed.

DESIGN

Data were obtained in 1980-81, 1981-82, 1985-86, and 1986-87 from four population-based samples drawn from the seven-county Minneapolis-St Paul metropolitan area. To increase sample sizes and to compare prevalences of CPR training and use in the early 1980s with prevalences in the mid-1980s, the four Minnesota Heart Survey surveys were combined into two time periods, 1980-82 and 1985-87. A separate survey of black individuals was conducted in 1985, and these data were used in the comparisons between blacks and whites in 1985-86.

RESULTS

The prevalence of whites trained in CPR increased significantly between 1980-82 and 1985-87 in both nonhealth professionals (18.5% vs 30.9%) and health professionals (71.9% vs 86.8%). No significant change was observed between the two periods in the percentage of nonhealth professionals who had ever used their CPR skills (9.7% vs 10.7%), whereas use among health professionals increased significantly (40.2% vs 53.4%). Training within the prior two or three years decreased from 1980-82 to 1985-87 among nonhealth professionals, but increases in recent training were observed among health professionals. There were no significant differences between black and white nonhealth professionals in the prevalence of CPR training. Black trainees, however, reported a higher percentage of ever using CPR skills than white trainees (15.4% vs 9.8%, respectively). Black trainees also had higher rates of recent CPR training than white trainees. No differences were observed between black and white health professionals regarding CPR training and use, or recency of certification.

CONCLUSION

These results suggest that the percentage of individuals trained in CPR is increasing. Improvement is needed, however, in the rates of recent certification among nonhealth professionals.

Association between stimulated plasma C-peptide and age: the Wadena City Health Study

OBJECTIVE

To assess age-related changes in stimulated plasma C-peptide in a population-based sample of adults.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional study.

SETTING

Wadena, Minnesota, a city of 4,699 residents (1980 census) in west central Minnesota, approximately 150 miles from Minneapolis/St. Paul.

STUDY SUBJECTS

344 non-diabetic subjects (NDDG standards) from a stratified random sample of the total adult population of Wadena, MN. The six-study strata were men and women from three age groups: young, 20-39 years of age; middle-aged, 40-59; and older, greater than 60 years of age.

MEASUREMENTS

During a liquid meal of Ensure-Plus (Ensure-Plus challenge test; EPCT; Ross Laboratories), blood samples were taken for glucose, free fatty acids, creatinine, and C-peptide. Plasma C-peptide taken 90 minutes after the EPCT was used as a surrogate measure for insulin. Clinical tests included one-time samples for hemoglobin, glycosylated hemoglobin, plasma cholesterol, triglycerides, and lipoproteins. Physical measurements included height, weight, and blood pressure. Urine was assayed for C-peptide and creatinine. Assays of urine and plasma C-peptide used antibody M1221 (from Novo; Copenhagen, Denmark).

MAIN RESULTS

No differences were observed for the relationship between age and C-peptide within each of the three age groups for men and the three age groups for women. However, the levels of plasma C-peptide for older men or women were statistically significantly higher than levels for the young age groups of the same sex; fasting plasma glucose also was higher for older groups of both sexes, and postmeal glucose was significantly higher for older women. There were decreases with age in urine C-peptide clearance for women and men; the decline for women was statistically significant. In multiple regression models for men alone and women alone, that controlled for age, post-meal plasma glucose best explained plasma C-peptide levels. For young men, plasma glucose alone provided the best prediction of plasma C-peptide levels; body mass index (BMI) and plasma glucose provided the best prediction for young women. For older men and both middle-aged and older women, a combination of urine C-peptide clearance and plasma glucose best predicted plasma C-peptide levels; for middle-aged men, BMI also contributed to the prediction.

CONCLUSIONS

Secretion of insulin in response to an orally administered mixed meal is undiminished with age in non-diabetic adults.

Life-style factors do not explain racial differences in high-density lipoprotein cholesterol: the Minnesota Heart Survey

We analyzed data from a population-based survey to determine whether serum high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) concentrations are different in blacks and whites after controlling for life-style characteristics. We studied a total of 741 white men, 453 black men, 786 white women, and 572 black women age 35-74 years. Age-adjusted HDL-C concentrations were higher in black than white men (48.6 vs 40.8 mg/dl) and in black than white women (56.1 vs 54.0 mg/dl). Life-style characteristics associated with HDL-C in women were exogenous hormone use, average number of cigarettes smoked per day, average ounces of alcohol consumed per week, body mass index, and use of beta-blockers. Life-style characteristics associated with HDL-C levels in men included age, average number of cigarettes smoked per day, average ounces of alcohol consumed per week, body mass index, and a self-reported history of diabetes. After adjustment for life-style characteristics, black men and women had HDL-C levels 7.0 and 5.3 mg/dl higher, respectively, than whites. Body mass index was a negative confounder in women; after adjusting for body mass and age, black women had HDL-C levels 4.6 mg/dl higher than white women. These data indicate that the measured life-style factors cannot fully explain the observed differences in HDL-C between blacks and whites. These findings, which are consistent with other reports, may reflect an inability to assess life-style factors accurately and/or genetic or cultural factors yet to be determined.

Genetic markers associated with high density lipoprotein cholesterol levels in a biracial population sample

An explanation for the consistently documented finding of higher levels of high density lipoprotein-cholesterol in black men relative to white men was sought by comparing the frequency of restriction fragment length polymorphism markers present in blacks and in whites at the gene loci coding for the two major apolipoprotein constituents of high density lipoprotein, apolipoproteins AI and AII. The measurements were made in population-based samples of 45 to 54-year-old black (n = 190) and white (n = 370) subjects from the Minnesota Heart Survey for whom lipoprotein levels were available. The mean high density lipoprotein-cholesterol level for black men in the sample (47 +/- 1.5 mg/dl) was higher (P less than 0.05) than that for white men (42 +/- 0.9 mg/dl), while levels in women were not different between races. While the SacI and MspI markers at the apolipoprotein AI-CIII-AIV gene locus showed similar frequencies in blacks compared to whites, the degree of the linkage disequilibrium previously noted between these markers in white subjects was altered in blacks and the minor allele of the PstI marker at this locus was virtually absent in the black subjects (P less than 0.005 vs whites). For black men, there were significant associations of the M2 allele and the S2M2 haplotype at the apolipoprotein AI locus with lower high density lipoprotein-cholesterol levels. The results are consistent with the hypothesis that DNA sequence variations in the vicinity of the apolipoprotein AI-CIII-AIV gene locus are associated with the difference in high density lipoprotein-cholesterol levels between blacks and whites.

Double-blind randomized trial of nicotinamide on early-onset diabetes

OBJECTIVE

To determine the efficacy of nicotinamide in inducing remission in early-onset insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

This study was a double-blind, randomized clinical trial.

CONCLUSIONS

Nicotinamide failed to induce remission or differences on beta-cell secretion between the two groups.

Physical activity in Minnesota physicians

METHODS

A survey inquiring about physical activity was mailed to a random sample of 500 physicians who were current members of the Minnesota Medical Association.

RESULTS

Overall, 65.6% of the 393 respondents reported performing regular exercise, while 38.2% participated in exercise vigorous enough to be of cardiovascular benefit (at least three times per week, at least 15-30 min per session, and strenuous enough to cause sweating or shortness of breath). Men reported a significantly higher prevalence of regular exercise and cardiovascular exercise than did women. There was no significant relationship between the prevalence of either regular exercise or cardiovascular exercise and age, specialty, the percentage of primary care performed, the number of patients seen per day, or the number of hours worked per week.

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of physical activity was higher among physicians in this survey compared with levels reported for the general population.

Trends in survival of hospitalized myocardial infarction patients between 1970 and 1985. The Minnesota Heart Survey

BACKGROUND

The Minnesota Heart Survey is a population-based study designed to monitor and explain trends in cardiovascular mortality, morbidity, and risk factors. As part of this effort, a 50% sample of patients hospitalized for myocardial infarction (MI) in the seven-county Twin Cities (Minneapolis and St. Paul) metropolitan area was reviewed in 1970, 1980, and 1985. Those with a validated definite MI were followed for 4-year mortality. The purpose was to determine whether the improved survival observed between 1970 and 1980 was extended to the 1980-1985 period.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Crude 28-day mortality in men changed from 18% in 1970 to 12% in 1980 to 13% in 1985; in women it changed from 27% in 1970 to 22% in 1980 to 18% in 1985. After adjustment for severity factors (e.g., age, previous MI, and admission heart rate and systolic blood pressure), 28-day mortality was significantly lower in 1980 than in 1970 in men (RR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.47, 0.92) and in women (RR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.46, 1.04), but no change occurred from from 1980 to 1985 (p greater than 0.25). After adjustment for severity indicators, 4-year survival was better in 1980 than in 1970 for men (RR, 0.67; 95% CI, 0.54, 0.83) and for women (RR, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.54, 0.98), but there was no significant change from 1980 to 1985 (p greater than 0.25).

CONCLUSIONS

These results suggest that improvements in survival among hospitalized MI patients contributed to the overall decline in coronary heart disease mortality in the Twin Cities area between 1970 and 1980 but not between 1980 and 1985.

A 5-year evaluation of a smoking cessation incentive program for chemical employees

BACKGROUND

This 5-year study of the Dow Chemical Texas Operations 1984-1985 Smoking Cessation Incentive Program (SCIP) evaluated the smoking habits of 1,097 participants and 1,174 nonparticipants.

RESULTS

We observed, via questionnaire and saliva cotinine data, that participants were 2.3 times more likely to be long-term (greater than or equal to 5 years) nonusers of tobacco than nonparticipants (10.2% vs 4.4%, P less than or equal to 0.01). However, smoking cessation rates for 3-4 years, 1-2 years, and less than 1 year were similar for participants who remained smokers at the conclusion of SCIP and nonparticipants. Age and the interaction between the management job category and having quit smoking for at least 30 days sometime prior to the worksite program were important predictors of smoking cessation among participants. Thirty-six percent of the participants who were considered exsmokers of 6 months duration at the conclusion of the program in 1985 remained long-term quitters 5 years later. Stress and enjoyment of smoking were the two most important reasons provided by participants for recidivism.

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this 5-year evaluation demonstrate the heterogeneity of employee participation and success with a worksite smoking cessation program.

Relation of risk factor levels in young adulthood to parental history of disease. The CARDIA study

BACKGROUND

The relation between self-reported parental disease and risk factor levels was examined in 2,637 black and 2,478 white men and women aged 18-30 years at the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) Study baseline examination (1985-1986).

METHODS AND RESULTS

The prevalence of parental disease (at least one parent) in white versus black participants was 44% and 56% for hypertension, 47% and 44% for obesity, 16% and 13% for myocardial infarction, 11% and 17% for diabetes, and 6% and 10% for stroke, respectively. Among these young adults, parental hypertension was associated with higher sex- and age-adjusted systolic and diastolic blood pressure levels. Parental myocardial infarction was associated with higher plasma cholesterol, higher blood pressure levels, and lower high density lipoprotein cholesterol levels in white participants. Parental diabetes was associated with higher fasting blood glucose and insulin levels in all race-sex groups and with higher triglycerides and lower high density lipoprotein cholesterol in black participants only. Parental history of obesity was related to less favorable age- and sex-adjusted lipid levels in white participants and higher blood pressure levels in black participants. Parental history of stroke was associated with higher systolic blood pressure levels in black participants. In general, these differences across family history were predicted only in part by obesity. The prevalence of more than one disease reported in parents occurred more frequently than would have been expected due to chance alone.

CONCLUSIONS

These associations between parental disease and risk factors in their adult children probably reflects the impact of both environmental and genetic factors. Parental history may be a useful marker for high risk individuals.

Trends in prevalence of diabetes mellitus in patients with myocardial infarction and effect of diabetes on survival. The Minnesota Heart Survey

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to document trends in the prevalence of diabetes among men and women hospitalized for myocardial infarction (MI) and to determine the effect of diabetes on in-hospital case fatality rates and long-term survival.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

The Minnesota Heart Survey is a population-based surveillance system that has monitored trends in coronary heart disease morbidity since 1970. As part of this effort, a 50% random sample of acute MI discharge records in Minneapolis-St. Paul metropolitan area hospitals was abstracted in 1970, 1980, and 1985.

RESULTS

The prevalence of diabetes among MI patients was compared over time, and the data indicated a significant increase between 1970 and 1985 in both men (8.2 vs. 16.8%, P less than 0.001) and women (16.0 vs. 25.8%, P = 0.01). Diabetic individuals had an odds ratio of in-hospital death after an MI 1.5 times that of nondiabetic individuals (P less than 0.01) after controlling for the effects of sex, age, and year of MI. Among discharged MI survivors, the risk of death was 40% higher (P less than 0.01) in diabetic individuals than nondiabetic individuals after 6 yr of follow-up. Compared with nondiabetic individuals, diabetic individuals appeared more likely to have cardiac (pump) failure with acute MI.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that the risk of coronary heart disease morbidity and mortality attributable to diabetes may be increasing over time. Therefore, clinicians need to take extra care in the management of MIs in diabetic individuals, and public health efforts to reduce diabetes prevalence are warranted.

The effect of cuff size on blood pressure measurement in adults

We measured blood pressure differences by cuff size in 181 adults aged 25 to 74 years, allocated to a random sequence that involved the measurement of blood pressure using a small cuff, a large cuff, and an appropriate cuff as determined by standardized arm circumference measurement. Systolic and diastolic blood pressure were underestimated by 3-5 mm Hg in men and 1-3 mm Hg in women when the cuff was one size larger than appropriate. Systolic and diastolic blood pressure were overestimated by 2-6 mm Hg in men and 3-4 mm Hg in women when the cuff was one size smaller than appropriate. In addition, 30-40% of subjects were "misclassified" when blood pressure cutpoints were used to define hypertension.

Trends in serum cholesterol levels from 1980 to 1987. The Minnesota Heart Survey

BACKGROUND AND METHODS

We assessed community trends in the awareness, treatment, and control of hypercholesterolemia (defined as a serum cholesterol level greater than 6.21 mmol per liter [240 mg per deciliter]) during the 1980s in the Minneapolis-St. Paul (Twin Cities) metropolitan area. Twin Cities residents 25 to 74 years old participated in independent, cross-sectional, population-based surveys of risk factors for cardiovascular disease in 1980-1982 (n = 3365) and 1985-1987 (n = 4545).

RESULTS

Mean serum total cholesterol levels, as adjusted for age, decreased significantly (P less than 0.01) from 1980-1982 to 1985-1987 in men (from 5.30 mmol per liter [205 mg per deciliter] to 5.16 mmol per liter [200 mg per deciliter]) and women (from 5.19 mmol per liter [201 mg per deciliter] to 5.04 mmol per liter [195 mg per deciliter]). The prevalence of hypercholesterolemia as adjusted for age decreased significantly (P less than 0.05) in men (17.8 to 15.1 percent) and women (17.1 to 13.6 percent). The ratio of total cholesterol to high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol was unchanged during this period, because of a concurrent decline in the level of HDL cholesterol. Participants with hypercholesterolemia in the 1985-1987 survey were more likely than those in the 1980-1982 survey to be aware of their condition (32.6 vs. 25.4 percent), to be treated with lipid-lowering agents (4.3 vs. 1.9 percent), and to have their condition controlled (1.9 vs. 0.3 percent). Among those who reported treatment by a physician for hyperlipidemia, changes were observed in the type of treatment recommended. A significant increase (P less than 0.05) was noted from 1980-1982 to 1985-1987 in the percentage of men being treated for hyperlipidemia with lipid-lowering medication (5.2 vs. 11.6 percent) and with exercise programs (10.3 vs. 20.1 percent). In women being treated for hyperlipidemia, a nonsignificant increase was noted in the use of lipid-lowering medication (8.2 vs. 13.9 percent), and a significant increase (P less than 0.05) was observed in the number of exercise prescriptions (4.1 vs. 12.0 percent).

CONCLUSIONS

We found a substantial decline in the prevalence of hypercholesterolemia in the Twin Cities between 1980-1982 and 1985-1987 that may be attributed to changes in lifestyle, such as diet and exercise, and to a lesser extent to more aggressive intervention with lipid-lowering drugs by physicians.

Differences in leisure-time physical activity levels between blacks and whites in population-based samples: the Minnesota Heart Survey

Energy expenditure in leisure-time physical activity (LTPA) was measured using the Minnesota LTPA Questionnaire in 35- to 74-year-old black and white residents of Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota. Estimates of the geometric mean LTPA energy expenditure were 129 and 204 kcal per day for black and white men (p less than .05) and 91 and 123 kcal per day for black and white women (p less than .05). The percentage of individuals expending 2000 kcal or more per week in LTPA was significantly lower in black men than white men (25 vs. 35%; p = .01) but was not different in black versus white women (18 vs. 17%). Although black men and women reported greater occupational physical activity than their white counterparts, LTPA and job activity were unrelated in all race and sex groups. In both races, LTPA energy expenditure declined with age. LTPA increased with level of formal education, and the largest LTPA difference between blacks and whites was observed in those who had a high-school diploma or less. Blacks had lower participation rates than whites in most of the individually assessed physical activities. Additional research is needed on the determinants and promoters of LTPA in population subgroups.