Hypertensive disorders of pregnancy and cardiovascular disease risk: a Mendelian randomisation study

OBJECTIVE

Observational studies show that hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDPs) are related to unfavourable maternal cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk profiles later in life. We investigated whether genetic liability to pre-eclampsia/eclampsia and gestational hypertension is associated with CVD risk factors and occurrence of CVD events.

METHODS

We obtained genetic associations with HDPs from a genome-wide association study and used individual participant data from the UK Biobank to obtain genetic associations with CVD risk factors and CVD events (defined as myocardial infarction or stroke). In our primary analysis, we applied Mendelian randomisation using inverse-variance weighted regression analysis in ever pregnant women. In sensitivity analyses, we studied men and nulligravidae to investigate genetic liability to HDPs and CVD risk without the ability to experience the underlying phenotype.

RESULTS

Our primary analysis included 221 155 ever pregnant women (mean age 56.8 (SD 7.9) years) with available genetic data. ORs for CVD were 1.20 (1.02 to 1.41) and 1.24 (1.12 to 1.38) per unit increase in the log odds of genetic liability to pre-eclampsia/eclampsia and gestational hypertension, respectively. Furthermore, genetic liability to HDPs was associated with higher levels of systolic and diastolic blood pressure and younger age at hypertension diagnosis. Sensitivity analyses revealed no statistically significant differences when comparing the findings with those of nulligravidae and men.

CONCLUSIONS

Genetic liability to HDPs is associated with higher CVD risk, lower blood pressure levels and earlier hypertension diagnosis. Our study suggests similar findings in ever pregnant women, nulligravidae and men, implying biological mechanisms relating to HDPs are causally related to CVD risk.

HemoCue Hb-801 Provides More Accurate Hemoglobin Assessment in Blood Donors Than OrSense NBM-200

Hemoglobin levels are commonly assessed to prevent causing or worsening of anemia in prospective blood donors. We compared head-to-head the accuracy of different technologies for measuring hemoglobin suitable for use in mobile donation units. We included 144 persons donating platelets at the Central Institute for Blood Transfusion and Immunology in Innsbruck, Austria. Hemoglobin levels were measured in venous blood using the portable hemoglobinometer HemoCue Hb-801 and noninvasively using OrSense NBM-200, and compared to values obtained with the Sysmex XN-430, an automated hematology analyzer employing the sodium lauryl sulphate method, which is broadly used as reference method in everyday clinical practice. Mean age of participants was 34.2 years (SD 13.0); 34.0% were female. Hemoglobin values measured with HemoCue were more strongly correlated with the Sysmex XN-430 (r = 0.90 [95% CI: 0.87-0.93]) than measured with OrSense (r = 0.49 [0.35-0.60]). On average, HemoCue overestimated hemoglobin by 0.40 g/dL (0.31-0.48) and OrSense by 0.75 g/dL (95% CI: 0.54-0.96). When using OrSense, we found evidence for higher overestimation at higher hemoglobin levels (proportional bias) specifically in females but not in males (Pdifference = .003). Sensitivity and specificity for classifying donors according to the hemoglobin donation thresholds were 99.2% (95% CI: 95.3%-100.0%) and 43.8% (23.1%-66.8%) for HemoCue vs 95.3% (89.9%-98.0%) and 12.5% (2.2%-37.3%) for OrSense. Areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves were higher using HemoCue vs OrSense both in females (0.933 vs 0.547; P = .044) and males (0.948 vs 0.628; P < .001). HemoCue Hb-801 measures hemoglobin more accurately than OrSense NBM-200 in the setting of mobile blood donation units. Our findings are particularly relevant for females, having in mind that anemia is more prevalent in females than in males.

Hypertensive disorders of pregnancy and cardiovascular disease risk: A Mendelian Randomisation study

Objective

Observational studies show that hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDPs) are related to unfavourable maternal cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk profiles later in life. We investigated whether genetic liability to pre-eclampsia/eclampsia and gestational hypertension is associated with CVD risk factors and occurrence of CVD events.

Methods

We obtained genetic associations with HDPs from a genome-wide association study and used individual-participant-data from the UK Biobank to obtain genetic associations with CVD risk factors and CVD events (defined as myocardial infarction or stroke). In our primary analysis, we applied Mendelian Randomisation using inverse-variance weighted regression analysis in ever pregnant women. In sensitivity analyses, we studied men and nulligravidae to investigate genetic liability to HDPs and CVD risk without the ability to experience the underlying phenotype.

Results

Our primary analysis included 221,155 ever pregnant women (mean age 56.8 [SD 7.9]) with available genetic data. Odds ratios for CVD were 1.20 (1.02-1.41) and 1.24 (1.12-1.38) per unit increase in the log odds of genetic liability to pre-eclampsia/eclampsia and gestational hypertension, respectively. Furthermore, genetic liability to HDPs was associated with higher levels of systolic and diastolic blood pressure and younger age at hypertension diagnosis. Sensitivity analyses revealed no statistically significant differences when comparing the findings to those of nulligravidae and men.

Conclusions

Genetic liability to HDPs is associated with higher CVD risk, lower blood pressure levels, and earlier hypertension diagnosis. Our study suggests similar findings in ever pregnant women, nulligravidae and men, implying biological mechanisms relating to HDPs are causally related to CVD risk.

Age at Menopause and the Risk of Stroke: Observational and Mendelian Randomization Analysis in 204 244 Postmenopausal Women

Background Observational studies have shown that women with an early menopause are at higher risk of stroke compared with women with a later menopause. However, associations with stroke subtypes are inconsistent, and the causality is unclear. Methods and Results We analyzed data of the UK Biobank and EPIC-CVD (European Prospective Investigation Into Cancer and Nutrition-Cardiovascular Diseases) study. A total of 204 244 postmenopausal women without a history of stroke at baseline were included (7883 from EPIC-CVD [5292 from the subcohort], 196 361 from the UK Biobank). Pooled mean baseline age was 58.9 years (SD, 5.8), and pooled mean age at menopause was 47.8 years (SD, 6.2). Over a median follow-up of 12.6 years (interquartile range, 11.8-13.3), 6770 women experienced a stroke (5155 ischemic strokes, 1615 hemorrhagic strokes, 976 intracerebral hemorrhages, and 639 subarachnoid hemorrhages). In multivariable adjusted observational Cox regression analyses, the pooled hazard ratios per 5 years younger age at menopause were 1.09 (95% CI, 1.07-1.12) for stroke, 1.09 (95% CI, 1.06-1.13) for ischemic stroke, 1.10 (95% CI, 1.04-1.16) for hemorrhagic stroke, 1.14 (95% CI, 1.08-1.20) for intracerebral hemorrhage, and 1.00 (95% CI, 0.84-1.20) for subarachnoid hemorrhage. When using 2-sample Mendelian randomization analysis, we found no statistically significant association between genetically proxied age at menopause and risk of any type of stroke. Conclusions In our study, earlier age at menopause was related to a higher risk of stroke. We found no statistically significant association between genetically proxied age at menopause and risk of stroke, suggesting no causal relationship.

Intima-media thickness at the near or far wall of the common carotid artery in cardiovascular risk assessment

Aims

Current guidelines recommend measuring carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) at the far wall of the common carotid artery (CCA). We aimed to precisely quantify associations of near vs. far wall CCA-IMT with the risk for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (CVD, defined as coronary heart disease or stroke) and their added predictive values.

Methods and results

We analysed individual records of 41 941 participants from 16 prospective studies in the Proof-ATHERO consortium {mean age 61 years [standard deviation (SD) = 11]; 53% female; 16% prior CVD}. Mean baseline values of near and far wall CCA-IMT were 0.83 (SD = 0.28) and 0.82 (SD = 0.27) mm, differed by a mean of 0.02 mm (95% limits of agreement: -0.40 to 0.43), and were moderately correlated [r = 0.44; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.39-0.49). Over a median follow-up of 9.3 years, we recorded 10 423 CVD events. We pooled study-specific hazard ratios for CVD using random-effects meta-analysis. Near and far wall CCA-IMT values were approximately linearly associated with CVD risk. The respective hazard ratios per SD higher value were 1.18 (95% CI: 1.14-1.22; I² = 30.7%) and 1.20 (1.18-1.23; I² = 5.3%) when adjusted for age, sex, and prior CVD and 1.09 (1.07-1.12; I² = 8.4%) and 1.14 (1.12-1.16; I²=1.3%) upon multivariable adjustment (all P < 0.001). Assessing CCA-IMT at both walls provided a greater C-index improvement than assessing CCA-IMT at one wall only [+0.0046 vs. +0.0023 for near (P < 0.001), +0.0037 for far wall (P = 0.006)].

Conclusions

The associations of near and far wall CCA-IMT with incident CVD were positive, approximately linear, and similarly strong. Improvement in risk discrimination was highest when CCA-IMT was measured at both walls.

Immune response after two doses of the BNT162b2 COVID-19 vaccine and risk of SARS-CoV-2 breakthrough infection in Tyrol, Austria: an open-label, observational phase 4 trial

BACKGROUND

Correlates of protection could help to assess the extent to which a person is protected from SARS-CoV-2 infection after vaccination (so-called breakthrough infection). We aimed to clarify associations of antibody and T-cell responses after vaccination against COVID-19 with risk of a SARS-CoV-2 breakthrough infection and whether measurement of these responses enhances risk prediction.

METHODS

We did an open-label, phase 4 trial in two community centres in the Schwaz district of the Federal State of Tyrol, Austria, before the emergence of the omicron (B.1.1.529) variant of SARS-CoV-2. We included individuals (aged ≥16 years) a mean of 35 days (range 27-43) after they had received a second dose of the BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech) COVID-19 vaccine. We quantified associations between immunological parameters and breakthrough infection and assessed whether information on these parameters improves risk discrimination. The study is registered with the European Union Drug Regulating Authorities Clinical Trials Database, 2021-002030-16.

FINDINGS

2760 individuals (1682 [60·9%] female, 1078 [39·1%] male, mean age 47·4 years [SD 14·5]) were enrolled into this study between May 15 and May 21, 2021, 712 (25·8%) of whom had a previous SARS-CoV-2 infection. Over a median follow-up of 5·9 months, 68 (2·5%) participants had a breakthrough infection. In models adjusted for age, sex, and previous infection, hazard ratios for breakthrough infection for having twice the immunological parameter level at baseline were 0·72 (95% CI 0·60-0·86) for anti-spike IgG, 0·80 (0·70-0·92) for neutralising antibodies in a surrogate virus neutralisation assay, 0·84 (0·58-1·21) for T-cell response after stimulation with a CD4 peptide pool, and 0·77 (0·54-1·08) for T-cell response after stimulation with a combined CD4 and CD8 peptide pool. For neutralising antibodies measured in a nested case-control sample using a pseudotyped virus neutralisation assay, the corresponding odds ratio was 0·78 (0·62-1·00). Among participants with previous infection, the corresponding hazard ratio was 0·73 (0·61-0·88) for anti-nucleocapsid Ig. Addition of anti-spike IgG information to a model containing information on age and sex improved the C-index by 0·085 (0·027-0·143).

INTERPRETATION

In contrast to T-cell response, higher levels of binding and neutralising antibodies were associated with a reduced risk of breakthrough SARS-CoV-2 infection. The assessment of anti-spike IgG enhances the prediction of incident breakthrough SARS-CoV-2 infection and could therefore be a suitable correlate of protection in practice. Our phase 4 trial measured both humoral and cellular immunity and had a 6-month follow-up period; however, the longer-term protection against emerging variants of SARS-CoV-2 remains unclear.

FUNDING

None.

Association of Intima-Media Thickness Measured at the Common Carotid Artery With Incident Carotid Plaque: Individual Participant Data Meta-Analysis of 20 Prospective Studies

Background The association between common carotid artery intima-media thickness (CCA-IMT) and incident carotid plaque has not been characterized fully. We therefore aimed to precisely quantify the relationship between CCA-IMT and carotid plaque development. Methods and Results We undertook an individual participant data meta-analysis of 20 prospective studies from the Proof-ATHERO (Prospective Studies of Atherosclerosis) consortium that recorded baseline CCA-IMT and incident carotid plaque involving 21 494 individuals without a history of cardiovascular disease and without preexisting carotid plaque at baseline. Mean baseline age was 56 years (SD, 9 years), 55% were women, and mean baseline CCA-IMT was 0.71 mm (SD, 0.17 mm). Over a median follow-up of 5.9 years (5th-95th percentile, 1.9-19.0 years), 8278 individuals developed first-ever carotid plaque. We combined study-specific odds ratios (ORs) for incident carotid plaque using random-effects meta-analysis. Baseline CCA-IMT was approximately log-linearly associated with the odds of developing carotid plaque. The age-, sex-, and trial arm-adjusted OR for carotid plaque per SD higher baseline CCA-IMT was 1.40 (95% CI, 1.31-1.50; I²=63.9%). The corresponding OR that was further adjusted for ethnicity, smoking, diabetes, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, low- and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and lipid-lowering and antihypertensive medication was 1.34 (95% CI, 1.24-1.45; I²=59.4%; 14 studies; 16 297 participants; 6381 incident plaques). We observed no significant effect modification across clinically relevant subgroups. Sensitivity analysis restricted to studies defining plaque as focal thickening yielded a comparable OR (1.38 [95% CI, 1.29-1.47]; I²=57.1%; 14 studies; 17 352 participants; 6991 incident plaques). Conclusions Our large-scale individual participant data meta-analysis demonstrated that CCA-IMT is associated with the long-term risk of developing first-ever carotid plaque, independent of traditional cardiovascular risk factors.

Abstract P672: Association of Intima-Media Thickness Measured at the Common-Carotid Artery With Incident Carotid Plaque

Background: The association between common-carotid artery intima-media thickness (CCA-IMT) and incident carotid plaque has not been characterised fully. We therefore aimed to precisely quantify the relationship between CCA-IMT and carotid plaque development.

Methods: We undertook an individual-participant-data meta-analysis of prospective studies from the Proof-ATHERO consortium that recorded baseline CCA-IMT and incident carotid plaque. We excluded participants with a history of cardiovascular disease or pre-existing carotid plaque at baseline. Incident carotid plaque was defined as the development of first-ever plaque during follow-up in any segment of the carotid artery. We calculated study-specific odds ratios for incident carotid plaque using logistic regression and then combined study-specific estimates using random-effects meta-analysis.

Results: We analysed data from 21,494 individuals in 20 studies. Mean baseline age was 56 years (SD 9), 55% were female, and mean baseline CCA-IMT was 0.71 mm (SD 0.17). Over a median follow-up of 5.9 years (5 th -95 th percentile 1.9-19.0), 8,278 individuals developed first-ever carotid plaque. Baseline CCA-IMT was approximately log-linearly associated with the odds of developing carotid plaque. In an analysis adjusted for age, sex, and trial arm, the odds ratio for incident carotid plaque per SD higher baseline CCA-IMT was 1.40 (95% confidence interval 1.31-1.50; I 2 =63.9%). In an analysis further adjusted for ethnicity, smoking, diabetes, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, low-density and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and lipid-lowering and antihypertensive medication, the corresponding odds ratio was 1.34 (1.24-1.45; I 2 =59.4%; 14 studies; 16,297 participants; 6,381 incident plaques). We observed no significant effect modification across clinically relevant subgroups including age, sex, lipid-lowering medication, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, development of cardiovascular disease during follow-up, type of study, and type of CCA-IMT measure. In a sensitivity analysis restricted to studies defining carotid plaque as focal thickening, the odds ratio was similar as in the primary analysis (1.38; 1.29-1.47; I 2 =57.1%; 14 studies; 17,352 participants; 6,991 incident plaques).

Conclusions: In this large-scale meta-analysis based on participant-level data, CCA-IMT was associated with the long-term risk of developing first-ever carotid plaque, independent of traditional cardiovascular risk factors. The association was robust across sensitivity analyses and similarly strong for women and men and for individuals at different ages.

Assessment of Cardiovascular Risk in Women: Progress so Far and Progress to Come

Cardiovascular disease is the leading cause of death in women worldwide. Nonetheless, there exist several uncertainties in the prediction, diagnosis, and treatment of cardiovascular disease in women. A cornerstone in the prediction of cardiovascular disease is the implementation of risk scores. A variety of pregnancy- and reproductive-factors have been associated with lower or higher risk of cardiovascular disease. Consequently, the question has been raised, whether these female-specific factors also provide added value to cardiovascular risk prediction. In this review, we provide an overview of the existing literature on sex differences in the association of established cardiovascular risk factors with cardiovascular disease and the relation between female-specific factors and cardiovascular risk. Furthermore, we systematically reviewed the literature for studies that assessed the added value of female-specific factors beyond already established cardiovascular risk factors. Adding female-specific factors to models containing established cardiovascular risk factors has led to little or no significant improvement in the prediction of cardiovascular events. However, analyses primarily relied on data from women aged ≥40 years. Future investigations are needed to quantify whether pregnancy-related factors improve cardiovascular risk prediction in young women in order to support adequate treatment of risk factors and enhance prevention of cardiovascular disease in women.

Ultra-rapid rollout vaccination with BNT162b2 to reduce SARS-CoV-2 infections in the general population

This study aimed to determine the impact of ultra-rapid rollout vaccination on incidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Vaccination with BNT162b2 was provided to 66.9% of eligible residents of the Schwaz district in Tyrol, Austria, within six days per dose (first dose: 11–16 March 2021, second dose: 8–13 April 2021). Of 11,955 individuals enrolled at nine vaccination centers (median age 44.6 years; 51.3% female), 71 had incident SARS-CoV-2 over a six-month follow-up. Incidence rates per 100,000 person-weeks were 92.3 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 70.8–120.2) at weeks 1–5 and 6.4 (3.9–10.4) at ≥6 weeks after dose 1. In these two periods, effectiveness of the vaccination campaign to reduce incident SARS-CoV-2 was 58.6% (50.8%–65.2%) and 91.1% (89.6%–92.3%) in study participants and 28.3% (23.1%–33.0%) and 64.0% (61.7%–66.1%) in the Schwaz district, compared with districts with slower vaccination rollout. Therefore, the vaccination campaign in the Schwaz district illustrates the impact of accelerated vaccination rollout in controlling the pandemic.

•

This study accompanied an ultra-rapid rollout vaccination campaign in Austria

•

66.9% of eligible residents of the Schwaz district received BNT162b2 within 6 days

•

Over six months, SARS-CoV-2 incidence rate was 22.8 per 100.000 person-weeks

•

Effectiveness of the vaccination campaign was 91.1% at ≥6 weeks after the 1^st dose

Association of desphospho-uncarboxylated matrix gla protein with incident cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality: Results from the prospective Bruneck Study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Matrix Gla protein (MGP), a vitamin K-dependent protein, is a potent inhibitor of vascular calcification. Desphospho-uncarboxylated MGP (dp-ucMGP), a marker of vitamin K insufficiency, has been shown to predict cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause mortality in high-risk populations. Whether the increased risk associated with dp-ucMGP also applies to the general, and especially, the elderly population has not yet been fully elucidated.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Plasma dp-ucMGP was measured in 684 individuals aged 50-89 years of the prospective population-based Bruneck Study (baseline evaluation in 2000). Baseline median dp-ucMGP was 478.4 (IQR 335.0-635.2) pmol/L. Over a median follow-up of 15.5 years, 163 CVD events occurred and 235 participants died. Age-/sex-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) per 1-SD higher level of loge transformed dp-ucMGP were 1.30 (95%CI: 1.09-1.55; p=0.004) for incident CVD and 1.36 (95%CI: 1.17-1.57; p<0.001) for all-cause mortality. After multivariable adjustment, the associations remained significant with HRs of 1.23 (95%CI: 1.02-1.47, p=0.029) for CVD and 1.40 (95%CI: 1.20-1.64; p<0.001) for all-cause mortality. The associations remained virtually unchanged after additional adjustment for dietary quality as measured with the Alternative Healthy Eating Index. We found no association of dp-ucMGP with myocardial infarction and sudden cardiac deaths, but a strong association with other vascular deaths and non-vascular/non-cancer deaths.

CONCLUSIONS

This study shows a significant association of plasma dp-ucMGP with incident CVD and a significant and even stronger association with all-cause mortality. Clinical trials are needed to investigate whether vitamin K substitution results in improved health outcomes.

Breastfeeding Is Associated With a Reduced Maternal Cardiovascular Risk: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis Involving Data From 8 Studies and 1 192 700 Parous Women

Background

Breastfeeding has been robustly linked to reduced maternal risk of breast cancer, ovarian cancer, and type 2 diabetes. We herein systematically reviewed the published evidence on the association of breastfeeding with maternal risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) outcomes.

Methods and Results

Our systematic search of PubMed and Web of Science of articles published up to April 16, 2021, identified 8 relevant prospective studies involving 1 192 700 parous women (weighted mean age: 51.3 years at study entry, 24.6 years at first birth; weighted mean number of births: 2.3). A total of 982 566 women (82%) reported having ever breastfed (weighted mean lifetime duration of breastfeeding: 15.6 months). During a weighted median follow‐up of 10.3 years, 54 226 CVD, 26 913 coronary heart disease, 30 843 stroke, and 10 766 fatal CVD events were recorded. In a random‐effects meta‐analysis, the pooled multivariable‐adjusted hazard ratios comparing parous women who ever breastfed to those who never breastfed were 0.89 for CVD (95% CI, 0.83–0.95; I²=79.4%), 0.86 for coronary heart disease (95% CI, 0.78–0.95; I²=79.7%), 0.88 for stroke (95% CI, 0.79–0.99; I²=79.6%), and 0.83 for fatal CVD (95% CI, 0.76–0.92; I²=47.7%). The quality of the evidence assessed with the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation tool ranged from very low to moderate, which was mainly driven by high between‐studies heterogeneity. Strengths of associations did not differ by mean age at study entry, median follow‐up duration, mean parity, level of adjustment, study quality, or geographical region. A progressive risk reduction of all CVD outcomes with lifetime durations of breastfeeding from 0 up to 12 months was found, with some uncertainty about shapes of associations for longer durations.

Conclusions

Breastfeeding was associated with reduced maternal risk of CVD outcomes.

Low-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol Corrected for Lipoprotein(a) Cholesterol, Risk Thresholds, and Cardiovascular Events

Background Conventional "low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C)" assays measure cholesterol content in both low-density lipoprotein and lipoprotein(a) particles. To clarify the consequences of this methodological limitation for clinical care, our study aimed to compare associations of "LDL-C" and corrected LDL-C with risk of cardiovascular disease and to assess the impact of this correction on the classification of patients into guideline-recommended LDL-C categories. Methods and Results Lipoprotein(a) cholesterol content was estimated as 30% of lipoprotein(a) mass and subtracted from "LDL-C" to obtain corrected LDL-C values (LDL-Ccorr30). Hazard ratios for cardiovascular disease (defined as coronary heart disease, stroke, or coronary revascularization) were quantified by individual-patient-data meta-analysis of 5 statin landmark trials from the Lipoprotein(a) Studies Collaboration (18 043 patients; 5390 events; 4.7 years median follow-up). When comparing top versus bottom quartiles, the multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio for cardiovascular disease was significant for "LDL-C" (1.17; 95% CI, 1.05-1.31; P=0.005) but not for LDL-Ccorr30 (1.07; 95% CI, 0.93-1.22; P=0.362). In a routine laboratory database involving 531 144 patients, reclassification of patients across guideline-recommended LDL-C categories when using LDL-Ccorr30 was assessed. In "LDL-C" categories of 70 to <100, 100 to <130, 130 to <190, and ≥190 mg/dL, significant proportions (95% CI) of participants were reassigned to lower LDL-C categories when LDL-Ccorr30 was used: 30.2% (30.0%-30.4%), 35.1% (34.9%-35.4%), 32.9% (32.6%-33.1%), and 41.1% (40.0%-42.2%), respectively. Conclusions "LDL-C" was associated with incident cardiovascular disease only when lipoprotein(a) cholesterol content was included in its measurement. Refinement in techniques to accurately measure LDL-C, particularly in patients with elevated lipoprotein(a) levels, is warranted to assign risk to the responsible lipoproteins.

STROKE-CARD care to prevent cardiovascular events and improve quality of life after acute ischaemic stroke or TIA: A randomised clinical trial

BACKGROUND

Patients with ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack (TIA) are at high risk of recurrent stroke and other cardiovascular diseases and commonly suffer from reduced quality of life. We aimed to determine whether the disease management programme STROKE-CARD can prevent cardiovascular diseases and improve quality of life in these patients.

METHODS

In this pragmatic open-label two-centre randomised controlled trial with blinded outcome assessment, we randomly assigned patients with acute ischaemic stroke or TIA (ABCD² score ≥3) in a 2:1 ratio to receive STROKE-CARD care or standard care. STROKE-CARD care is a disease management programme by a multidisciplinary stroke team that comprises a standardised 3-month visit and access to a web-based patient portal targeting risk factor management, post-stroke complications, comorbidities and cardiovascular warning signs, rehabilitation demands, and patient education, counselling, and self-empowerment. Co-primary outcomes were analysed on an intention-to-treat basis and were: (i) major cardiovascular disease events defined as nonfatal ischaemic or haemorrhagic stroke, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or vascular death occurring between hospital discharge and 12 months; and (ii) health-related quality of life at 12 months quantified with the EuroQol-5-Dimensions-3-Levels (EQ-5D-3L) overall utility score. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT02156778.

FINDINGS

Of 2149 patients enrolled between January 2014 and December 2017 (mean age 69 years, 41% female, 83% with ischaemic stroke, 17% with TIA), 1438 were assigned to STROKE-CARD care and 711 to standard care. Major cardiovascular disease events occurred in 78 patients in the STROKE-CARD care group (5.4%) and in 59 patients in the standard care group (8.3%) (hazard ratio, 0.63; 95% confidence interval: 0.45-0.88; P=0.007). STROKE-CARD care also led to a better EQ-5D-3L overall utility score at 12 months (P<0.001). Among pre-specified secondary outcomes, STROKE-CARD care improved all individual EQ-5D-3L dimensions and functional outcome on the modified Rankin Scale at 12 months. Post hoc explanatory analyses identified considerable demands for additional rehabilitation and refinement of preventive therapy regimes at the 3-month visit and high proportions of post-stroke complications and warning signs of imminent cardiovascular diseases within the first three months.

INTERPRETATION

The pragmatic and easily implementable STROKE-CARD care programme reduced cardiovascular risk and improved health-related quality of life and functional outcome in patients with acute ischaemic stroke or TIA.

FUNDING

Tirol Kliniken, Tyrolean Health Insurance Company, Tyrol Health Care Funds, Boehringer Ingelheim, Nstim Services, Sanofi, Bayer Healthcare.

The Prospective Studies of Atherosclerosis (Proof-ATHERO) Consortium: Design and Rationale

Atherosclerosis - the pathophysiological mechanism shared by most cardiovascular diseases - can be directly or indirectly assessed by a variety of clinical tests including measurement of carotid intima-media thickness, carotid plaque, -ankle-brachial index, pulse wave velocity, and coronary -artery calcium. The Prospective Studies of Atherosclerosis -(Proof-ATHERO) consortium (https://clinicalepi.i-med.ac.at/research/proof-athero/) collates de-identified individual-participant data of studies with information on atherosclerosis measures, risk factors for cardiovascular disease, and incidence of cardiovascular diseases. It currently comprises 74 studies that involve 106,846 participants from 25 countries and over 40 cities. In summary, 21 studies recruited participants from the general population (n = 67,784), 16 from high-risk populations (n = 22,677), and 37 as part of clinical trials (n = 16,385). Baseline years of contributing studies range from April 1980 to July 2014; the latest follow-up was until June 2019. Mean age at baseline was 59 years (standard deviation: 10) and 50% were female. Over a total of 830,619 person-years of follow-up, 17,270 incident cardiovascular events (including coronary heart disease and stroke) and 13,270 deaths were recorded, corresponding to cumulative incidences of 2.1% and 1.6% per annum, respectively. The consortium is coordinated by the Clinical Epidemiology Team at the Medical University of Innsbruck, Austria. Contributing studies undergo a detailed data cleaning and harmonisation procedure before being incorporated in the Proof-ATHERO central database. Statistical analyses are being conducted according to pre-defined analysis plans and use established methods for individual-participant data meta-analysis. Capitalising on its large sample size, the multi-institutional collaborative Proof-ATHERO consortium aims to better characterise, understand, and predict the development of atherosclerosis and its clinical consequences.

Carotid Intima-Media Thickness Progression as Surrogate Marker for Cardiovascular Risk: Meta-Analysis of 119 Clinical Trials Involving 100 667 Patients

BACKGROUND

To quantify the association between effects of interventions on carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT) progression and their effects on cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk.

METHODS

We systematically collated data from randomized, controlled trials. cIMT was assessed as the mean value at the common-carotid-artery; if unavailable, the maximum value at the common-carotid-artery or other cIMT measures were used. The primary outcome was a combined CVD end point defined as myocardial infarction, stroke, revascularization procedures, or fatal CVD. We estimated intervention effects on cIMT progression and incident CVD for each trial, before relating the 2 using a Bayesian meta-regression approach.

RESULTS

We analyzed data of 119 randomized, controlled trials involving 100 667 patients (mean age 62 years, 42% female). Over an average follow-up of 3.7 years, 12 038 patients developed the combined CVD end point. Across all interventions, each 10 μm/y reduction of cIMT progression resulted in a relative risk for CVD of 0.91 (95% Credible Interval, 0.87-0.94), with an additional relative risk for CVD of 0.92 (0.87-0.97) being achieved independent of cIMT progression. Taken together, we estimated that interventions reducing cIMT progression by 10, 20, 30, or 40 μm/y would yield relative risks of 0.84 (0.75-0.93), 0.76 (0.67-0.85), 0.69 (0.59-0.79), or 0.63 (0.52-0.74), respectively. Results were similar when grouping trials by type of intervention, time of conduct, time to ultrasound follow-up, availability of individual-participant data, primary versus secondary prevention trials, type of cIMT measurement, and proportion of female patients.

CONCLUSIONS

The extent of intervention effects on cIMT progression predicted the degree of CVD risk reduction. This provides a missing link supporting the usefulness of cIMT progression as a surrogate marker for CVD risk in clinical trials.

Carotid intima-media thickness predicts carotid plaque development: Meta-analysis of seven studies involving 9341 participants

BACKGROUND

Carotid intima-media thickness and carotid plaque are well-established imaging markers used to capture different stages of the atherosclerotic disease process. We aimed to quantify to which extent carotid intima-media thickness predicts incidence of first-ever carotid plaque.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Two independent reviewers conducted a comprehensive literature search of PubMed and Web of Science. To be eligible for inclusion, prospective studies were required to involve participants free of carotid plaque at baseline and report on the association of baseline carotid intima-media thickness with development of first-ever carotid plaque. Study-specific relative risks and 95% confidence intervals were collected and pooled using random-effects meta-analysis.

RESULTS

We identified seven relevant prospective studies involving a total of 9341 participants. Individuals were recruited between 1987 and 2012, average age at baseline was 54 years, and 63% were female. Studies reported on 1288 incident first-ever carotid plaques, occurring over an average maximum follow-up of 8.7 years. When individuals in the top fourth of baseline carotid intima-media thickness distribution were compared with those in the bottom fourth, the pooled relative risk for incidence of first-ever carotid plaque was 1.78 (95% confidence interval: 1.53-2.07, P < .001, I²  = 2.8%). The strength of association was not modified by mean baseline age, proportion of female participants, length of follow-up, year of baseline, and geographical location of the studies.

CONCLUSIONS

In general population studies, elevated baseline carotid intima-media thickness is associated with incidence of carotid plaque in individuals free of carotid plaque at baseline.

Associations of Serum Dickkopf-1 and Sclerostin With Cardiovascular Events: Results From the Prospective Bruneck Study

Background Dickkopf-1 and sclerostin have been implicated in atherosclerosis and vascular calcification. We aimed to quantify the association of their serum levels with incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) in the general population. Methods and Results Among 706 participants of the prospective, population-based Bruneck Study, mean±SD of serum levels were 44.5±14.7 pmol/L for dickkopf-1 and 47.1±17.5 pmol/L for sclerostin. The primary outcome was a composite CVD end point composed of ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke, transient ischemic attack, myocardial infarction, angina pectoris, peripheral vascular disease, and revascularization procedures. Over a median follow-up duration of 15.6 years, 179 CVD events occurred. For the primary CVD outcome, multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) per SD higher level were 1.20 for dickkopf-1 (95% CI, 1.02-1.42; P=0.028) and 0.92 for sclerostin (95% CI, 0.78-1.08; P=0.286). Secondary outcome analyses revealed that the association of dickkopf-1 was primarily driven by ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke (67 events; HR, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.06-1.78; P=0.017), whereas no increase in risk was observed for transient ischemic attack (22 events; HR, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.53-1.44; P=0.593), myocardial infarction (45 events; HR, 1.10; 95% CI, 0.78-1.54; P=0.598), or for other CVD (45 events; HR, 1.25; 95% CI, 0.88-1.76; P=0.209). Conclusions In this prospective, population-based study, elevated baseline levels of dickkopf-1, but not sclerostin, were independently associated with incident cardiovascular events, which was mainly driven by stroke. Our findings support the hypothesis of a role of dickkopf-1 in the pathogenesis of CVD.

The dimension of preventable stroke in a large representative patient cohort

Objective

To analyze the frequency of inadequately treated risk factors in a large representative cohort of patients with acute ischemic stroke or TIA and to estimate the proportion of events potentially avertable by guideline-compliant preventive therapy compared to the status quo.

Methods

A total of 1,730 patients from the Poststroke Disease Management STROKE-CARD trial (NCT02156778) were recruited between 2014 and 2017. We focused on 8 risk conditions amenable to drug therapy and 3 lifestyle risk behaviors and assessed pre-event risk factor control in retrospect.

Results

The proportion of patients with at least 1 inadequately treated risk condition was 79.5% (95% confidence interval [CI] 77.6%–81.4%) and increased to 95.1% (95% CI 94.1%–96.1%) upon consideration of the lifestyle risk behaviors. Risk factor control was worse in patients with recurrent vs first-ever events (p < 0.001), men vs women (p = 0.003), and patients ≤75 vs >75 years of age (p < 0.001). The estimated degree of stroke preventability ranged from 0.4% (95% CI 0.2%–0.6%) to 13.7% (95% CI 12.2%–15.2%) for the individual risk factors. Adequate control of the 5 most relevant risk factors combined (hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, atrial fibrillation, smoking, and overweight) would have averted ≈1 of 2 events or 1 in 4 with a highly conservative computation approach.

Conclusions

Our study confirms the existence of a considerable gap between risk factor control recommended by guidelines and real-world stroke prevention. Our study intends to increase awareness among physicians about stroke preventability and provides a quantitative basis for the emerging discussion on how to best tackle this challenge.

Osteoprotegerin and Cardiovascular Events in High-Risk Populations: Meta-Analysis of 19 Prospective Studies Involving 27 450 Participants

Background Osteoprotegerin is a cytokine involved in bone metabolism as well as vascular calcification and atherogenesis. Although circulating osteoprotegerin levels are robustly associated with incident cardiovascular disease ( CVD ) in the general population, its relevance as a biomarker among populations at high CVD risk is less clear. Methods and Results Three independent reviewers systematically searched PubMed, EMBASE , and Web of Science to identify prospective studies that had recruited participants on the basis of having conditions related to high CVD risk. A total of 19 studies were eligible for inclusion, reporting on 27 450 patients with diabetes mellitus (2 studies), kidney disease (7 studies), preexisting heart disease (5 studies), or recent acute coronary syndromes (5 studies) at baseline. Over a mean follow-up of 4.2 years, 4066 CVD events were recorded. In a random-effects meta-analysis, the pooled risk ratio for CVD events comparing people in the top versus the bottom tertile of osteoprotegerin concentration was 1.30 (95% confidence interval, 1.12-1.50; P<0.001; I2=68.3%). There was evidence for presence of publication bias ( P value from Egger's test=0.013). Correction for publication bias using the trim-and-fill method reduced the risk ratio to 1.21 (95% confidence interval, 1.03-1.42; P<0.001). The risk ratios did not vary significantly by population type, geographical region, statistical adjustment, sample or assay type, age, sex, or length of follow-up. Conclusions In populations at high CVD risk, elevated circulating osteoprotegerin levels are associated with a higher risk for future CVD events. The magnitude of association appears weaker than in the general population.

Osteoprotegerin concentration and risk of cardiovascular outcomes in nine general population studies: Literature-based meta-analysis involving 26,442 participants

Background

Recent experimental and epidemiological studies have suggested that osteoprotegerin, a key regulator in bone metabolism, may be involved in vascular calcification and atherosclerosis. Our aim was to reliably quantify the associations of osteoprotegerin concentration and incidence of first-ever cardiovascular disease outcomes in the general population.

Methods

Using the electronic databases MEDLINE, EMBASE and Web of Science (January 1975 and April 2017, no language restrictions), nine relevant studies were identified involving a total of 26,442 participants recruited from the general population. Over a mean follow-up of 8.5 years, 2,160 cardiovascular disease, 2,123 coronary heart disease, and 1,102 stroke outcomes were recorded. Study-specific risk ratios were combined with random-effects meta-analysis.

Results

When comparing individuals in the top with those in the bottom third of osteoprotegerin concentration, the combined risk ratio was 1.83 (95% confidence interval: 1.46, 2.30; P<0.001; I² = 76.8%) for cardiovascular disease, 1.72 for coronary heart disease (1.26, 2.37; P = 0.001; I² = 83.5%), and 1.58 for stroke (1.18, 2.12; P = 0.002; I² = 65.2%). Associations appeared stronger at younger age (P = 0.018 for cardiovascular disease), in studies that did not employ statistical adjustment (P = 0.023 for cardiovascular disease and 0.018 for coronary heart disease), and potentially in studies that measured osteoprotegerin in plasma rather than in serum (P = 0.005 for cardiovascular disease and 0.018 for coronary heart disease). Magnitudes of associations did not differ according to the proportion of males, geographical region, or osteoprotegerin assay manufacturer. There was no evidence for publication bias for any of the outcomes assessed (all P>0.05).

Conclusions

Elevated osteoprotegerin concentration is associated with an increased risk of incident cardiovascular disease in the general population. The mechanisms underlying this observation deserve further investigation.

High-Sensitivity Cardiac Troponin Concentration and Risk of First-Ever Cardiovascular Outcomes in 154,052 Participants

BACKGROUND

High-sensitivity assays can quantify cardiac troponins I and T (hs-cTnI, hs-cTnT) in individuals with no clinically manifest myocardial injury.

OBJECTIVES

The goal of this study was to assess associations of cardiac troponin concentration with cardiovascular disease (CVD) outcomes in primary prevention studies.

METHODS

A search was conducted of PubMed, Web of Science, and EMBASE for prospective studies published up to September 2016, reporting on associations of cardiac troponin concentration with first-ever CVD outcomes (i.e., coronary heart disease [CHD], stroke, or the combination of both). Study-specific estimates, adjusted for conventional risk factors, were extracted by 2 independent reviewers, supplemented with de novo data from PROSPER (Pravastatin in Elderly Individuals at Risk of Vascular Disease Study), then pooled by using random effects meta-analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 28 relevant studies were identified involving 154,052 participants. Cardiac troponin was detectable in 80.0% (hs-cTnI: 82.6%; hs-cTnT: 69.7%). In PROSPER, positive associations of log-linear shape were observed between hs-cTnT and CVD outcomes. In the meta-analysis, the relative risks comparing the top versus the bottom troponin third were 1.43 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.31 to 1.56) for CVD (11,763 events), 1.67 (95% CI: 1.50 to 1.86) for fatal CVD (7,775 events), 1.59 (95% CI: 1.38 to 1.83) for CHD (7,061 events), and 1.35 (95% CI: 1.23 to 1.48) for stroke (2,526 events). For fatal CVD, associations were stronger in North American studies (p = 0.010) and those measuring hs-cTnT rather than hs-cTnI (p = 0.027).

CONCLUSIONS

In the general population, high cardiac troponin concentration within the normal range is associated with increased CVD risk. This association is independent of conventional risk factors, strongest for fatal CVD, and applies to both CHD and stroke.