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Naghavi M, Ong KL, Aali A, Ababneh HS, Abate YH, Abbafati C, Abbasgholizadeh R, Abbasian M, Abbasi-Kangevari M, Abbastabar H, Abd ElHafeez S, Abdelmasseh M, Abd-Elsalam S, Abdelwahab A, Abdollahi M, Abdollahifar MA, Abdoun M, Abdulah DM, Abdullahi A, Abebe M, Abebe SS, Abedi A, Abegaz KH, Abhilash ES, Abidi H, Abiodun O, Aboagye RG, Abolhassani H, Abolmaali M, Abouzid M, Aboye GB, Abreu LG, Abrha WA, Abtahi D, Abu Rumeileh S, Abualruz H, Abubakar B, Abu-Gharbieh E, Abu-Rmeileh NME, Aburuz S, Abu-Zaid A, Accrombessi MMK, Adal TG, Adamu AA, Addo IY, Addolorato G, Adebiyi AO, Adekanmbi V, Adepoju AV, Adetunji CO, Adetunji JB, Adeyeoluwa TE, Adeyinka DA, Adeyomoye OI, Admass BAA, Adnani QES, Adra S, Afolabi AA, Afzal MS, Afzal S, Agampodi SB, Agasthi P, Aggarwal M, Aghamiri S, Agide FD, Agodi A, Agrawal A, Agyemang-Duah W, Ahinkorah BO, Ahmad A, Ahmad D, Ahmad F, Ahmad MM, Ahmad S, Ahmad S, Ahmad T, Ahmadi K, Ahmadzade AM, Ahmed A, Ahmed A, Ahmed H, Ahmed LA, Ahmed MS, Ahmed MS, Ahmed MB, 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K, Deng X, Denova-Gutiérrez E, Deravi N, Dereje N, Dervenis N, Dervišević E, Des Jarlais DC, Desai HD, Desai R, Devanbu VGC, Dewan SMR, Dhali A, Dhama K, Dhimal M, Dhingra S, Dhulipala VR, Dias da Silva D, Diaz D, Diaz MJ, Dima A, Ding DD, Ding H, Dinis-Oliveira RJ, Dirac MA, Djalalinia S, Do THP, do Prado CB, Doaei S, Dodangeh M, Dodangeh M, Dohare S, Dokova KG, Dolecek C, Dominguez RMV, Dong W, Dongarwar D, D'Oria M, Dorostkar F, Dorsey ER, dos Santos WM, Doshi R, Doshmangir L, Dowou RK, Driscoll TR, Dsouza HL, Dsouza V, Du M, Dube J, Duncan BB, Duraes AR, Duraisamy S, Durojaiye OC, Dwyer-Lindgren L, Dzianach PA, Dziedzic AM, E'mar AR, Eboreime E, Ebrahimi A, Echieh CP, Edinur HA, Edvardsson D, Edvardsson K, Efendi D, Efendi F, Effendi DE, Eikemo TA, Eini E, Ekholuenetale M, Ekundayo TC, El Sayed I, Elbarazi I, Elema TB, Elemam NM, Elgar FJ, Elgendy IY, ElGohary GMT, Elhabashy HR, Elhadi M, El-Huneidi W, Elilo LT, Elmeligy OAA, Elmonem MA, Elshaer M, Elsohaby I, Emeto TI, Engelbert 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Ghahramani S, Ghailan KY, Ghasemi MR, Ghasempour Dabaghi G, Ghasemzadeh A, Ghashghaee A, Ghassemi F, Ghazy RM, Ghimire A, Ghoba S, Gholamalizadeh M, Gholamian A, Gholamrezanezhad A, Gholizadeh N, Ghorbani M, Ghorbani Vajargah P, Ghoshal AG, Gill PS, Gill TK, Gillum RF, Ginindza TG, Girmay A, Glasbey JC, Gnedovskaya EV, Göbölös L, Godinho MA, Goel A, Golchin A, Goldust M, Golechha M, Goleij P, Gomes NGM, Gona PN, Gopalani SV, Gorini G, Goudarzi H, Goulart AC, Goulart BNG, Goyal A, Grada A, Graham SM, Grivna M, Grosso G, Guan SY, Guarducci G, Gubari MIM, Gudeta MD, Guha A, Guicciardi S, Guimarães RA, Gulati S, Gunawardane DA, Gunturu S, Guo C, Gupta AK, Gupta B, Gupta MK, Gupta M, Gupta RD, Gupta R, Gupta S, Gupta VB, Gupta VK, Gupta VK, Gurmessa L, Gutiérrez RA, Habibzadeh F, Habibzadeh P, Haddadi R, Hadei M, Hadi NR, Haep N, Hafezi-Nejad N, Hailu A, Haj-Mirzaian A, Halboub ES, Hall BJ, Haller S, Halwani R, Hamadeh RR, Hameed S, Hamidi S, Hamilton EB, Han C, Han Q, Hanif A, Hanifi N, 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A, Lai DTC, Lal DK, Lalloo R, Lallukka T, Lam H, Lám J, Landrum KR, Lanfranchi F, Lang JJ, Langguth B, Lansingh VC, Laplante-Lévesque A, Larijani B, Larsson AO, Lasrado S, Lassi ZS, Latief K, Latifinaibin K, Lauriola P, Le NHH, Le TTT, Le TDT, Ledda C, Ledesma JR, Lee M, Lee PH, Lee SW, Lee SWH, Lee WC, Lee YH, LeGrand KE, Leigh J, Leong E, Lerango TL, Li MC, Li W, Li X, Li Y, Li Z, Ligade VS, Likaka ATM, Lim LL, Lim SS, Lindstrom M, Linehan C, Liu C, Liu G, Liu J, Liu R, Liu S, Liu X, Liu X, Llanaj E, Loftus MJ, López-Bueno R, Lopukhov PD, Loreche AM, Lorkowski S, Lotufo PA, Lozano R, Lubinda J, Lucchetti G, Lugo A, Lunevicius R, Ma ZF, Maass KL, Machairas N, Machoy M, Madadizadeh F, Madsen C, Madureira-Carvalho ÁM, Maghazachi AA, Maharaj SB, Mahjoub S, Mahmoud MA, Mahmoudi A, Mahmoudi E, Mahmoudi R, Majeed A, Makhdoom IF, Malakan Rad E, Maled V, Malekzadeh R, Malhotra AK, Malhotra K, Malik AA, Malik I, Malta DC, Mamun AA, Mansouri P, Mansournia MA, Mantovani LG, Maqsood S, Marasini 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Global burden of 288 causes of death and life expectancy decomposition in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1990-2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. Lancet 2024; 403:2100-2132. [PMID: 38582094 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(24)00367-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/13/2023] [Revised: 02/15/2024] [Accepted: 02/22/2024] [Indexed: 04/08/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Regular, detailed reporting on population health by underlying cause of death is fundamental for public health decision making. Cause-specific estimates of mortality and the subsequent effects on life expectancy worldwide are valuable metrics to gauge progress in reducing mortality rates. These estimates are particularly important following large-scale mortality spikes, such as the COVID-19 pandemic. When systematically analysed, mortality rates and life expectancy allow comparisons of the consequences of causes of death globally and over time, providing a nuanced understanding of the effect of these causes on global populations. METHODS The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 cause-of-death analysis estimated mortality and years of life lost (YLLs) from 288 causes of death by age-sex-location-year in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations for each year from 1990 until 2021. The analysis used 56 604 data sources, including data from vital registration and verbal autopsy as well as surveys, censuses, surveillance systems, and cancer registries, among others. As with previous GBD rounds, cause-specific death rates for most causes were estimated using the Cause of Death Ensemble model-a modelling tool developed for GBD to assess the out-of-sample predictive validity of different statistical models and covariate permutations and combine those results to produce cause-specific mortality estimates-with alternative strategies adapted to model causes with insufficient data, substantial changes in reporting over the study period, or unusual epidemiology. YLLs were computed as the product of the number of deaths for each cause-age-sex-location-year and the standard life expectancy at each age. As part of the modelling process, uncertainty intervals (UIs) were generated using the 2·5th and 97·5th percentiles from a 1000-draw distribution for each metric. We decomposed life expectancy by cause of death, location, and year to show cause-specific effects on life expectancy from 1990 to 2021. We also used the coefficient of variation and the fraction of population affected by 90% of deaths to highlight concentrations of mortality. Findings are reported in counts and age-standardised rates. Methodological improvements for cause-of-death estimates in GBD 2021 include the expansion of under-5-years age group to include four new age groups, enhanced methods to account for stochastic variation of sparse data, and the inclusion of COVID-19 and other pandemic-related mortality-which includes excess mortality associated with the pandemic, excluding COVID-19, lower respiratory infections, measles, malaria, and pertussis. For this analysis, 199 new country-years of vital registration cause-of-death data, 5 country-years of surveillance data, 21 country-years of verbal autopsy data, and 94 country-years of other data types were added to those used in previous GBD rounds. FINDINGS The leading causes of age-standardised deaths globally were the same in 2019 as they were in 1990; in descending order, these were, ischaemic heart disease, stroke, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and lower respiratory infections. In 2021, however, COVID-19 replaced stroke as the second-leading age-standardised cause of death, with 94·0 deaths (95% UI 89·2-100·0) per 100 000 population. The COVID-19 pandemic shifted the rankings of the leading five causes, lowering stroke to the third-leading and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease to the fourth-leading position. In 2021, the highest age-standardised death rates from COVID-19 occurred in sub-Saharan Africa (271·0 deaths [250·1-290·7] per 100 000 population) and Latin America and the Caribbean (195·4 deaths [182·1-211·4] per 100 000 population). The lowest age-standardised death rates from COVID-19 were in the high-income super-region (48·1 deaths [47·4-48·8] per 100 000 population) and southeast Asia, east Asia, and Oceania (23·2 deaths [16·3-37·2] per 100 000 population). Globally, life expectancy steadily improved between 1990 and 2019 for 18 of the 22 investigated causes. Decomposition of global and regional life expectancy showed the positive effect that reductions in deaths from enteric infections, lower respiratory infections, stroke, and neonatal deaths, among others have contributed to improved survival over the study period. However, a net reduction of 1·6 years occurred in global life expectancy between 2019 and 2021, primarily due to increased death rates from COVID-19 and other pandemic-related mortality. Life expectancy was highly variable between super-regions over the study period, with southeast Asia, east Asia, and Oceania gaining 8·3 years (6·7-9·9) overall, while having the smallest reduction in life expectancy due to COVID-19 (0·4 years). The largest reduction in life expectancy due to COVID-19 occurred in Latin America and the Caribbean (3·6 years). Additionally, 53 of the 288 causes of death were highly concentrated in locations with less than 50% of the global population as of 2021, and these causes of death became progressively more concentrated since 1990, when only 44 causes showed this pattern. The concentration phenomenon is discussed heuristically with respect to enteric and lower respiratory infections, malaria, HIV/AIDS, neonatal disorders, tuberculosis, and measles. INTERPRETATION Long-standing gains in life expectancy and reductions in many of the leading causes of death have been disrupted by the COVID-19 pandemic, the adverse effects of which were spread unevenly among populations. Despite the pandemic, there has been continued progress in combatting several notable causes of death, leading to improved global life expectancy over the study period. Each of the seven GBD super-regions showed an overall improvement from 1990 and 2021, obscuring the negative effect in the years of the pandemic. Additionally, our findings regarding regional variation in causes of death driving increases in life expectancy hold clear policy utility. Analyses of shifting mortality trends reveal that several causes, once widespread globally, are now increasingly concentrated geographically. These changes in mortality concentration, alongside further investigation of changing risks, interventions, and relevant policy, present an important opportunity to deepen our understanding of mortality-reduction strategies. Examining patterns in mortality concentration might reveal areas where successful public health interventions have been implemented. Translating these successes to locations where certain causes of death remain entrenched can inform policies that work to improve life expectancy for people everywhere. FUNDING Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
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Burden of disease scenarios for 204 countries and territories, 2022-2050: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. Lancet 2024; 403:2204-2256. [PMID: 38762325 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(24)00685-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/16/2024] [Revised: 03/29/2024] [Accepted: 04/02/2024] [Indexed: 05/20/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Future trends in disease burden and drivers of health are of great interest to policy makers and the public at large. This information can be used for policy and long-term health investment, planning, and prioritisation. We have expanded and improved upon previous forecasts produced as part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) and provide a reference forecast (the most likely future), and alternative scenarios assessing disease burden trajectories if selected sets of risk factors were eliminated from current levels by 2050. METHODS Using forecasts of major drivers of health such as the Socio-demographic Index (SDI; a composite measure of lag-distributed income per capita, mean years of education, and total fertility under 25 years of age) and the full set of risk factor exposures captured by GBD, we provide cause-specific forecasts of mortality, years of life lost (YLLs), years lived with disability (YLDs), and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) by age and sex from 2022 to 2050 for 204 countries and territories, 21 GBD regions, seven super-regions, and the world. All analyses were done at the cause-specific level so that only risk factors deemed causal by the GBD comparative risk assessment influenced future trajectories of mortality for each disease. Cause-specific mortality was modelled using mixed-effects models with SDI and time as the main covariates, and the combined impact of causal risk factors as an offset in the model. At the all-cause mortality level, we captured unexplained variation by modelling residuals with an autoregressive integrated moving average model with drift attenuation. These all-cause forecasts constrained the cause-specific forecasts at successively deeper levels of the GBD cause hierarchy using cascading mortality models, thus ensuring a robust estimate of cause-specific mortality. For non-fatal measures (eg, low back pain), incidence and prevalence were forecasted from mixed-effects models with SDI as the main covariate, and YLDs were computed from the resulting prevalence forecasts and average disability weights from GBD. Alternative future scenarios were constructed by replacing appropriate reference trajectories for risk factors with hypothetical trajectories of gradual elimination of risk factor exposure from current levels to 2050. The scenarios were constructed from various sets of risk factors: environmental risks (Safer Environment scenario), risks associated with communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional diseases (CMNNs; Improved Childhood Nutrition and Vaccination scenario), risks associated with major non-communicable diseases (NCDs; Improved Behavioural and Metabolic Risks scenario), and the combined effects of these three scenarios. Using the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways climate scenarios SSP2-4.5 as reference and SSP1-1.9 as an optimistic alternative in the Safer Environment scenario, we accounted for climate change impact on health by using the most recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change temperature forecasts and published trajectories of ambient air pollution for the same two scenarios. Life expectancy and healthy life expectancy were computed using standard methods. The forecasting framework includes computing the age-sex-specific future population for each location and separately for each scenario. 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) for each individual future estimate were derived from the 2·5th and 97·5th percentiles of distributions generated from propagating 500 draws through the multistage computational pipeline. FINDINGS In the reference scenario forecast, global and super-regional life expectancy increased from 2022 to 2050, but improvement was at a slower pace than in the three decades preceding the COVID-19 pandemic (beginning in 2020). Gains in future life expectancy were forecasted to be greatest in super-regions with comparatively low life expectancies (such as sub-Saharan Africa) compared with super-regions with higher life expectancies (such as the high-income super-region), leading to a trend towards convergence in life expectancy across locations between now and 2050. At the super-region level, forecasted healthy life expectancy patterns were similar to those of life expectancies. Forecasts for the reference scenario found that health will improve in the coming decades, with all-cause age-standardised DALY rates decreasing in every GBD super-region. The total DALY burden measured in counts, however, will increase in every super-region, largely a function of population ageing and growth. We also forecasted that both DALY counts and age-standardised DALY rates will continue to shift from CMNNs to NCDs, with the most pronounced shifts occurring in sub-Saharan Africa (60·1% [95% UI 56·8-63·1] of DALYs were from CMNNs in 2022 compared with 35·8% [31·0-45·0] in 2050) and south Asia (31·7% [29·2-34·1] to 15·5% [13·7-17·5]). This shift is reflected in the leading global causes of DALYs, with the top four causes in 2050 being ischaemic heart disease, stroke, diabetes, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, compared with 2022, with ischaemic heart disease, neonatal disorders, stroke, and lower respiratory infections at the top. The global proportion of DALYs due to YLDs likewise increased from 33·8% (27·4-40·3) to 41·1% (33·9-48·1) from 2022 to 2050, demonstrating an important shift in overall disease burden towards morbidity and away from premature death. The largest shift of this kind was forecasted for sub-Saharan Africa, from 20·1% (15·6-25·3) of DALYs due to YLDs in 2022 to 35·6% (26·5-43·0) in 2050. In the assessment of alternative future scenarios, the combined effects of the scenarios (Safer Environment, Improved Childhood Nutrition and Vaccination, and Improved Behavioural and Metabolic Risks scenarios) demonstrated an important decrease in the global burden of DALYs in 2050 of 15·4% (13·5-17·5) compared with the reference scenario, with decreases across super-regions ranging from 10·4% (9·7-11·3) in the high-income super-region to 23·9% (20·7-27·3) in north Africa and the Middle East. The Safer Environment scenario had its largest decrease in sub-Saharan Africa (5·2% [3·5-6·8]), the Improved Behavioural and Metabolic Risks scenario in north Africa and the Middle East (23·2% [20·2-26·5]), and the Improved Nutrition and Vaccination scenario in sub-Saharan Africa (2·0% [-0·6 to 3·6]). INTERPRETATION Globally, life expectancy and age-standardised disease burden were forecasted to improve between 2022 and 2050, with the majority of the burden continuing to shift from CMNNs to NCDs. That said, continued progress on reducing the CMNN disease burden will be dependent on maintaining investment in and policy emphasis on CMNN disease prevention and treatment. Mostly due to growth and ageing of populations, the number of deaths and DALYs due to all causes combined will generally increase. By constructing alternative future scenarios wherein certain risk exposures are eliminated by 2050, we have shown that opportunities exist to substantially improve health outcomes in the future through concerted efforts to prevent exposure to well established risk factors and to expand access to key health interventions. FUNDING Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
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Yehualashet SS, Yesuf SA, Yezli S, Yiğit A, Yiğit V, Yigzaw ZA, Yismaw Y, Yon DK, Yonemoto N, Younis MZ, Yu C, Yu Y, Yusuf H, Zahid MH, Zakham F, Zaki L, Zaki N, Zaman BA, Zamora N, Zand R, Zandieh GGZ, Zar HJ, Zarrintan A, Zastrozhin MS, Zhang H, Zhang N, Zhang Y, Zhao H, Zhong C, Zhong P, Zhou J, Zhu Z, Ziafati M, Zielińska M, Zimsen SRM, Zoladl M, Zumla A, Zyoud SH, Vos T, Murray CJL. Global incidence, prevalence, years lived with disability (YLDs), disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and healthy life expectancy (HALE) for 371 diseases and injuries in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1990-2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. Lancet 2024; 403:2133-2161. [PMID: 38642570 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(24)00757-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/22/2023] [Revised: 03/07/2024] [Accepted: 04/12/2024] [Indexed: 04/22/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Detailed, comprehensive, and timely reporting on population health by underlying causes of disability and premature death is crucial to understanding and responding to complex patterns of disease and injury burden over time and across age groups, sexes, and locations. The availability of disease burden estimates can promote evidence-based interventions that enable public health researchers, policy makers, and other professionals to implement strategies that can mitigate diseases. It can also facilitate more rigorous monitoring of progress towards national and international health targets, such as the Sustainable Development Goals. For three decades, the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) has filled that need. A global network of collaborators contributed to the production of GBD 2021 by providing, reviewing, and analysing all available data. GBD estimates are updated routinely with additional data and refined analytical methods. GBD 2021 presents, for the first time, estimates of health loss due to the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS The GBD 2021 disease and injury burden analysis estimated years lived with disability (YLDs), years of life lost (YLLs), disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and healthy life expectancy (HALE) for 371 diseases and injuries using 100 983 data sources. Data were extracted from vital registration systems, verbal autopsies, censuses, household surveys, disease-specific registries, health service contact data, and other sources. YLDs were calculated by multiplying cause-age-sex-location-year-specific prevalence of sequelae by their respective disability weights, for each disease and injury. YLLs were calculated by multiplying cause-age-sex-location-year-specific deaths by the standard life expectancy at the age that death occurred. DALYs were calculated by summing YLDs and YLLs. HALE estimates were produced using YLDs per capita and age-specific mortality rates by location, age, sex, year, and cause. 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) were generated for all final estimates as the 2·5th and 97·5th percentiles values of 500 draws. Uncertainty was propagated at each step of the estimation process. Counts and age-standardised rates were calculated globally, for seven super-regions, 21 regions, 204 countries and territories (including 21 countries with subnational locations), and 811 subnational locations, from 1990 to 2021. Here we report data for 2010 to 2021 to highlight trends in disease burden over the past decade and through the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic. FINDINGS Global DALYs increased from 2·63 billion (95% UI 2·44-2·85) in 2010 to 2·88 billion (2·64-3·15) in 2021 for all causes combined. Much of this increase in the number of DALYs was due to population growth and ageing, as indicated by a decrease in global age-standardised all-cause DALY rates of 14·2% (95% UI 10·7-17·3) between 2010 and 2019. Notably, however, this decrease in rates reversed during the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic, with increases in global age-standardised all-cause DALY rates since 2019 of 4·1% (1·8-6·3) in 2020 and 7·2% (4·7-10·0) in 2021. In 2021, COVID-19 was the leading cause of DALYs globally (212·0 million [198·0-234·5] DALYs), followed by ischaemic heart disease (188·3 million [176·7-198·3]), neonatal disorders (186·3 million [162·3-214·9]), and stroke (160·4 million [148·0-171·7]). However, notable health gains were seen among other leading communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional (CMNN) diseases. Globally between 2010 and 2021, the age-standardised DALY rates for HIV/AIDS decreased by 47·8% (43·3-51·7) and for diarrhoeal diseases decreased by 47·0% (39·9-52·9). Non-communicable diseases contributed 1·73 billion (95% UI 1·54-1·94) DALYs in 2021, with a decrease in age-standardised DALY rates since 2010 of 6·4% (95% UI 3·5-9·5). Between 2010 and 2021, among the 25 leading Level 3 causes, age-standardised DALY rates increased most substantially for anxiety disorders (16·7% [14·0-19·8]), depressive disorders (16·4% [11·9-21·3]), and diabetes (14·0% [10·0-17·4]). Age-standardised DALY rates due to injuries decreased globally by 24·0% (20·7-27·2) between 2010 and 2021, although improvements were not uniform across locations, ages, and sexes. Globally, HALE at birth improved slightly, from 61·3 years (58·6-63·6) in 2010 to 62·2 years (59·4-64·7) in 2021. However, despite this overall increase, HALE decreased by 2·2% (1·6-2·9) between 2019 and 2021. INTERPRETATION Putting the COVID-19 pandemic in the context of a mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive list of causes of health loss is crucial to understanding its impact and ensuring that health funding and policy address needs at both local and global levels through cost-effective and evidence-based interventions. A global epidemiological transition remains underway. Our findings suggest that prioritising non-communicable disease prevention and treatment policies, as well as strengthening health systems, continues to be crucially important. The progress on reducing the burden of CMNN diseases must not stall; although global trends are improving, the burden of CMNN diseases remains unacceptably high. Evidence-based interventions will help save the lives of young children and mothers and improve the overall health and economic conditions of societies across the world. Governments and multilateral organisations should prioritise pandemic preparedness planning alongside efforts to reduce the burden of diseases and injuries that will strain resources in the coming decades. FUNDING Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
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Solaimanian S, Solanki R, Solanki S, Soliman SSM, Somayaji R, Song Y, Sorensen RJD, Soriano JB, Soyiri IN, Spartalis M, Spearman S, Spencer CN, Sreeramareddy CT, Stachteas P, Stafford LK, Stanaway JD, Stanikzai MH, Stein C, Stein DJ, Steinbeis F, Steiner C, Steinke S, Steiropoulos P, Stockfelt L, Stokes MA, Straif K, Stranges S, Subedi N, Subramaniyan V, Suleman M, Suliankatchi Abdulkader R, Sundström J, Sunkersing D, Sunnerhagen KS, Suresh V, Swain CK, Szarpak L, Szeto MD, Tabaee Damavandi P, Tabarés-Seisdedos R, Tabatabaei SM, Tabatabaei Malazy O, Tabatabaeizadeh SA, Tabatabai S, Tabche C, Tabish M, Tadakamadla SK, Taheri Abkenar Y, Taheri Soodejani M, Taherkhani A, Taiba J, Takahashi K, Talaat IM, Tamuzi JL, Tan KK, Tang H, Tat NY, Taveira N, Tefera YM, Tehrani-Banihashemi A, Temesgen WA, Temsah MH, Teramoto M, Terefa DR, Teye-Kwadjo E, Thakur R, Thangaraju P, Thankappan KR, Thapar R, Thayakaran R, Thirunavukkarasu S, Thomas N, Thomas NK, Tian J, Tichopad A, Ticoalu JHV, Tiruye TY, Tobe-Gai R, Tolani MA, Tolossa T, Tonelli M, Topor-Madry R, Topouzis F, Touvier M, Tovani-Palone MR, Trabelsi K, Tran JT, Tran MTN, Tran NM, Trico D, Trihandini I, Troeger CE, Tromans SJ, Truyen TTTT, Tsatsakis A, Tsermpini EE, Tumurkhuu M, Udoakang AJ, Udoh A, Ullah A, Ullah S, Ullah S, Umair M, Umakanthan S, Unim B, Unnikrishnan B, Upadhyay E, Urso D, Usman JS, Vaithinathan AG, Vakili O, Valenti M, Valizadeh R, Van den Eynde J, van Donkelaar A, Varga O, Vart P, Varthya SB, Vasankari TJ, Vasic M, Vaziri S, Venketasubramanian N, Verghese NA, Verma M, Veroux M, Verras GI, Vervoort D, Villafañe JH, Villalobos-Daniel VE, Villani L, Villanueva GI, Vinayak M, Violante FS, Vlassov V, Vo B, Vollset SE, Volovat SR, Vos T, Vujcic IS, Waheed Y, Wang C, Wang F, Wang S, Wang Y, Wang YP, Wanjau MN, Waqas M, Ward P, Waris A, Wassie EG, Weerakoon KG, Weintraub RG, Weiss DJ, Weiss EJ, Weldetinsaa HLL, Wells KM, Wen YF, Wiangkham T, Wickramasinghe ND, Wilkerson C, Willeit P, Wilson S, Wong YJ, Wongsin U, Wozniak S, Wu C, Wu D, Wu F, Wu Z, Xia J, Xiao H, Xu S, Xu X, Xu YY, Yadav MK, Yaghoubi S, Yamagishi K, Yang L, Yano Y, Yaribeygi H, Yasufuku Y, Ye P, Yesodharan R, Yesuf SA, Yezli S, Yi S, Yiğit A, Yigzaw ZA, Yin D, Yip P, Yismaw MB, Yon DK, Yonemoto N, You Y, Younis MZ, Yousefi Z, Yu C, Yu Y, Zadey S, Zadnik V, Zakham F, Zaki N, Zakzuk J, Zamagni G, Zaman SB, Zandieh GGZ, Zanghì A, Zar HJ, Zare I, Zarimeidani F, Zastrozhin MS, Zeng Y, Zhai C, Zhang AL, Zhang H, Zhang L, Zhang M, Zhang Y, Zhang Z, Zhang ZJ, Zhao H, Zhao JT, Zhao XJG, Zhao Y, Zhao Y, Zhong C, Zhou J, Zhou J, Zhou S, Zhu B, Zhu L, Zhu Z, Ziaeian B, Ziafati M, Zielińska M, Zimsen SRM, Zoghi G, Zoller T, Zumla A, Zyoud SH, Zyoud SH, Murray CJL, Gakidou E. Global burden and strength of evidence for 88 risk factors in 204 countries and 811 subnational locations, 1990-2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. Lancet 2024; 403:2162-2203. [PMID: 38762324 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(24)00933-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/11/2024] [Revised: 03/11/2024] [Accepted: 05/02/2024] [Indexed: 05/20/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Understanding the health consequences associated with exposure to risk factors is necessary to inform public health policy and practice. To systematically quantify the contributions of risk factor exposures to specific health outcomes, the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 aims to provide comprehensive estimates of exposure levels, relative health risks, and attributable burden of disease for 88 risk factors in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, from 1990 to 2021. METHODS The GBD 2021 risk factor analysis used data from 54 561 total distinct sources to produce epidemiological estimates for 88 risk factors and their associated health outcomes for a total of 631 risk-outcome pairs. Pairs were included on the basis of data-driven determination of a risk-outcome association. Age-sex-location-year-specific estimates were generated at global, regional, and national levels. Our approach followed the comparative risk assessment framework predicated on a causal web of hierarchically organised, potentially combinative, modifiable risks. Relative risks (RRs) of a given outcome occurring as a function of risk factor exposure were estimated separately for each risk-outcome pair, and summary exposure values (SEVs), representing risk-weighted exposure prevalence, and theoretical minimum risk exposure levels (TMRELs) were estimated for each risk factor. These estimates were used to calculate the population attributable fraction (PAF; ie, the proportional change in health risk that would occur if exposure to a risk factor were reduced to the TMREL). The product of PAFs and disease burden associated with a given outcome, measured in disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), yielded measures of attributable burden (ie, the proportion of total disease burden attributable to a particular risk factor or combination of risk factors). Adjustments for mediation were applied to account for relationships involving risk factors that act indirectly on outcomes via intermediate risks. Attributable burden estimates were stratified by Socio-demographic Index (SDI) quintile and presented as counts, age-standardised rates, and rankings. To complement estimates of RR and attributable burden, newly developed burden of proof risk function (BPRF) methods were applied to yield supplementary, conservative interpretations of risk-outcome associations based on the consistency of underlying evidence, accounting for unexplained heterogeneity between input data from different studies. Estimates reported represent the mean value across 500 draws from the estimate's distribution, with 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) calculated as the 2·5th and 97·5th percentile values across the draws. FINDINGS Among the specific risk factors analysed for this study, particulate matter air pollution was the leading contributor to the global disease burden in 2021, contributing 8·0% (95% UI 6·7-9·4) of total DALYs, followed by high systolic blood pressure (SBP; 7·8% [6·4-9·2]), smoking (5·7% [4·7-6·8]), low birthweight and short gestation (5·6% [4·8-6·3]), and high fasting plasma glucose (FPG; 5·4% [4·8-6·0]). For younger demographics (ie, those aged 0-4 years and 5-14 years), risks such as low birthweight and short gestation and unsafe water, sanitation, and handwashing (WaSH) were among the leading risk factors, while for older age groups, metabolic risks such as high SBP, high body-mass index (BMI), high FPG, and high LDL cholesterol had a greater impact. From 2000 to 2021, there was an observable shift in global health challenges, marked by a decline in the number of all-age DALYs broadly attributable to behavioural risks (decrease of 20·7% [13·9-27·7]) and environmental and occupational risks (decrease of 22·0% [15·5-28·8]), coupled with a 49·4% (42·3-56·9) increase in DALYs attributable to metabolic risks, all reflecting ageing populations and changing lifestyles on a global scale. Age-standardised global DALY rates attributable to high BMI and high FPG rose considerably (15·7% [9·9-21·7] for high BMI and 7·9% [3·3-12·9] for high FPG) over this period, with exposure to these risks increasing annually at rates of 1·8% (1·6-1·9) for high BMI and 1·3% (1·1-1·5) for high FPG. By contrast, the global risk-attributable burden and exposure to many other risk factors declined, notably for risks such as child growth failure and unsafe water source, with age-standardised attributable DALYs decreasing by 71·5% (64·4-78·8) for child growth failure and 66·3% (60·2-72·0) for unsafe water source. We separated risk factors into three groups according to trajectory over time: those with a decreasing attributable burden, due largely to declining risk exposure (eg, diet high in trans-fat and household air pollution) but also to proportionally smaller child and youth populations (eg, child and maternal malnutrition); those for which the burden increased moderately in spite of declining risk exposure, due largely to population ageing (eg, smoking); and those for which the burden increased considerably due to both increasing risk exposure and population ageing (eg, ambient particulate matter air pollution, high BMI, high FPG, and high SBP). INTERPRETATION Substantial progress has been made in reducing the global disease burden attributable to a range of risk factors, particularly those related to maternal and child health, WaSH, and household air pollution. Maintaining efforts to minimise the impact of these risk factors, especially in low SDI locations, is necessary to sustain progress. Successes in moderating the smoking-related burden by reducing risk exposure highlight the need to advance policies that reduce exposure to other leading risk factors such as ambient particulate matter air pollution and high SBP. Troubling increases in high FPG, high BMI, and other risk factors related to obesity and metabolic syndrome indicate an urgent need to identify and implement interventions. FUNDING Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
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Y, Li Z, Libra M, Ligade VS, Likaka ATM, Lim LL, Lin RT, Lin S, Lioutas VA, Listl S, Liu J, Liu S, Liu X, Livingstone KM, Llanaj E, Lo CH, Loreche AM, Lorenzovici L, Lotfi M, Lotfizadeh M, Lozano R, Lubinda J, Lucchetti G, Lugo A, Lunevicius R, Ma J, Ma S, Ma ZF, Mabrok M, Machairas N, Machoy M, Madsen C, Magaña Gómez JA, Maghazachi AA, Maharaj SB, Maharjan P, Mahjoub S, Mahmoud MA, Mahmoudi E, Mahmoudi M, Makram OM, Malagón-Rojas JN, Malakan Rad E, Malekzadeh R, Malhotra AK, Malhotra K, Malik AA, Malik I, Malinga LA, Malta DC, Mamun AA, Manla Y, Mannan F, Mansoori Y, Mansour A, Mansouri V, Mansournia MA, Mantovani LG, Marasini BP, Marateb HR, Maravilla JC, Marconi AM, Mardi P, Marino M, Marjani A, Marrugo Arnedo CA, Martinez-Guerra BA, Martinez-Piedra R, Martins CA, Martins-Melo FR, Martorell M, Marx W, Maryam S, Marzo RR, Mate KKV, Matei CN, Mathioudakis AG, Maude RJ, Maugeri A, May EA, Mayeli M, Mazaheri M, Mazidi M, Mazzotti A, McAlinden C, McGrath JJ, McKee M, McKowen ALW, 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Parthasarathi A, Pashaei A, Pasupula DK, Patel JR, Patel SK, Pathan AR, Patil A, Patil S, Patoulias D, Patthipati VS, Paudel U, Pawar S, Pazoki Toroudi H, Pease SA, Peden AE, Pedersini P, Peng M, Pensato U, Pepito VCF, Peprah EK, Pereira G, Pereira J, Pereira M, Peres MFP, Perianayagam A, Perico N, Petcu IR, Petermann-Rocha FE, Pezzani R, Pham HT, Phillips MR, Pierannunzio D, Pigeolet M, Pigott DM, Pilgrim T, Pinheiro M, Piradov MA, Plakkal N, Plotnikov E, Poddighe D, Pollner P, Poluru R, Pond CD, Postma MJ, Poudel GR, Poudel L, Pourali G, Pourtaheri N, Prada SI, Pradhan PMS, Prajapati VK, Prakash V, Prasad CP, Prasad M, Prashant A, Prates EJS, Purnobasuki H, Purohit BM, Puvvula J, Qaisar R, Qasim NH, Qattea I, Qian G, Quan NK, Radfar A, Radhakrishnan V, Raee P, Raeisi Shahraki H, Rafiei Alavi SN, Rafique I, Raggi A, Rahim F, Rahman MM, Rahman M, Rahman MA, Rahman T, Rahmani AM, Rahmani S, Rahnavard N, Rai P, Rajaa S, Rajabpour-Sanati A, Rajput P, Ram P, Ramadan H, Ramasamy SK, Ramazanu S, Rana J, Rana K, Ranabhat CL, Rancic N, Rani S, Ranjan S, Rao CR, Rao IR, Rao M, Rao SJ, Rasali DP, Rasella D, Rashedi S, Rashedi V, Rashid AM, Rasouli-Saravani A, Rastogi P, Rasul A, Ravangard R, Ravikumar N, Rawaf DL, Rawaf S, Rawassizadeh R, Razeghian-Jahromi I, Reddy MMRK, Redwan EMM, Rehman FU, Reiner Jr RC, Remuzzi G, Reshmi B, Resnikoff S, Reyes LF, Rezaee M, Rezaei N, Rezaei N, Rezaeian M, Riaz MA, Ribeiro AI, Ribeiro DC, Rickard J, Rios-Blancas MJ, Robinson-Oden HE, Rodrigues M, Rodriguez JAB, Roever L, Rohilla R, Rohloff P, Romadlon DS, Ronfani L, Roshandel G, Roshanzamir S, Rostamian M, Roy B, Roy P, Rubagotti E, Rumisha SF, Rwegerera GM, Rynkiewicz A, S M, S N C, S Sunnerhagen K, Saad AMA, Sabbatucci M, Saber K, Saber-Ayad MM, Sacco S, Saddik B, Saddler A, Sadee BA, Sadeghi E, Sadeghi M, Sadeghian S, Saeed U, Saeedi M, Safi S, Sagar R, Saghazadeh A, Saheb Sharif-Askari N, Sahoo SS, Sahraian MA, Sajedi SA, Sajid MR, Sakshaug JW, Salahi S, Salahi S, Salamati P, Salami AA, Salaroli LB, Saleh MA, Salehi S, Salem MR, Salem MZY, Salimi S, Samadi Kafil H, Samadzadeh S, Samara KA, Samargandy S, Samodra YL, Samuel VP, Samy AM, Sanabria J, Sanadgol N, Sanganyado E, Sanjeev RK, Sanmarchi F, Sanna F, Santri IN, Santric-Milicevic MM, Sarasmita MA, Saravanan A, Saravi B, Sarikhani Y, Sarkar C, Sarmiento-Suárez R, Sarode GS, Sarode SC, Sarveazad A, Sathian B, Sathish T, Sattin D, Saulam J, Sawyer SM, Saxena S, Saya GK, Sayadi Y, Sayeed A, Sayeed MA, Saylan M, Scarmeas N, Schaarschmidt BM, Schlee W, Schmidt MI, Schuermans A, Schwebel DC, Schwendicke F, Šekerija M, Selvaraj S, Semreen MH, Senapati S, Sengupta P, Senthilkumaran S, Sepanlou SG, Serban D, Sertsu A, Sethi Y, SeyedAlinaghi S, Seyedi SA, Shafaat A, Shafaat O, Shafie M, Shafiee A, Shah NS, Shah PA, Shahabi S, Shahbandi A, Shahid I, Shahid S, Shahid W, Shahwan MJ, Shaikh MA, Shakeri A, Shakil H, Sham S, Shamim MA, Shams-Beyranvand M, Shamshad H, Shamshirgaran MA, Shamsi MA, Shanawaz M, Shankar A, Sharfaei S, Sharifan A, Shariff M, Sharifi-Rad J, Sharma M, Sharma R, Sharma S, Sharma V, Shastry RP, Shavandi A, Shaw DH, Shayan AM, Shehabeldine AME, Sheikh A, Sheikhi RA, Shen J, Shenoy MM, Shetty BSK, Shetty RS, Shey RA, Shiani A, Shibuya K, Shiferaw D, Shigematsu M, Shin JI, Shin MJ, Shiri R, Shirkoohi R, Shittu A, Shiue I, Shivakumar KM, Shivarov V, Shool S, Shrestha S, Shuja KH, Shuval K, Si Y, Sibhat MM, Siddig EE, Sigfusdottir ID, Silva JP, Silva LMLR, Silva S, Simões JP, Simpson CR, Singal A, Singh A, Singh A, Singh A, Singh BB, Singh B, Singh M, Singh M, Singh NP, Singh P, Singh S, Siraj MS, Sitas F, Sivakumar S, Skryabin VY, Skryabina AA, Sleet DA, Slepak ELN, Sohrabi H, Soleimani H, Soliman SSM, Solmi M, Solomon Y, Song Y, Sorensen RJD, Soriano JB, Soyiri IN, Spartalis M, Sreeramareddy CT, Starnes JR, Starodubov VI, Starodubova AV, Stefan SC, Stein DJ, Steinbeis F, Steiropoulos P, Stockfelt L, Stokes MA, Stortecky S, Stranges S, Stroumpoulis K, Suleman M, Suliankatchi Abdulkader R, Sultana A, Sun J, Sunkersing D, Susanty S, Swain CK, Sykes BL, Szarpak L, Szeto MD, Szócska M, Tabaee Damavandi P, Tabatabaei Malazy O, Tabatabaeizadeh SA, Tabatabai S, Tabb KM, Tabish M, Taborda-Barata LM, Tabuchi T, Tadesse BT, Taheri A, Taheri Abkenar Y, Taheri Soodejani M, Taherkhani A, Taiba J, Tajbakhsh A, Talaat IM, Talukder A, Tamuzi JL, Tan KK, Tang H, Tang HK, Tat NY, Tat VY, Tavakoli Oliaee R, Tavangar SM, Taveira N, Tebeje TM, Tefera YM, Teimoori M, Temsah MH, Temsah RMH, Teramoto M, Tesfaye SH, Thangaraju P, Thankappan KR, Thapa R, Thapar R, Thomas N, Thrift AG, Thum CCC, Tian J, Tichopad A, Ticoalu JHV, Tiruye TY, Tohidast SA, Tonelli M, Touvier M, Tovani-Palone MR, Tram KH, Tran NM, Trico D, Trihandini I, Tromans SJ, Truong VT, Truyen TTTT, Tsermpini EE, Tumurkhuu M, Tung K, Tyrovolas S, Ubah CS, Udoakang AJ, Udoh A, Ulhaq I, Ullah S, Ullah S, Umair M, Umar TP, Umeokonkwo CD, Umesh A, Unim B, Unnikrishnan B, Upadhyay E, Urso D, Vacante M, Vahdani AM, Vaithinathan AG, Valadan Tahbaz S, Valizadeh R, Van den Eynde J, Varavikova E, Varga O, Varma SA, Vart P, Varthya SB, Vasankari TJ, Veerman LJ, Venketasubramanian N, Venugopal D, Verghese NA, Verma M, Verma P, Veroux M, Verras GI, Vervoort D, Vieira RJ, Villafañe JH, Villani L, Villanueva GI, Villeneuve PJ, Violante FS, Visontay R, Vlassov V, Vo B, Vollset SE, Volovat SR, Volovici V, Vongpradith A, Vos T, Vujcic IS, Vukovic R, Wado YD, Wafa HA, Waheed Y, Wamai RG, Wang C, Wang D, Wang F, Wang S, Wang S, Wang Y, Wang YP, Ward P, Watson S, Weaver MR, Weerakoon KG, Weiss DJ, Weldemariam AH, Wells KM, Wen YF, Werdecker A, Westerman R, Wickramasinghe DP, Wickramasinghe ND, Wijeratne T, Wilson S, Wojewodzic MW, Wool EE, Woolf AD, Wu D, Wulandari RD, Xiao H, Xu B, Xu X, Yadav L, Yaghoubi S, Yang L, Yano Y, Yao Y, Ye P, Yesera GE, Yesodharan R, Yesuf SA, Yiğit A, Yiğit V, Yip P, Yon DK, Yonemoto N, You Y, Younis MZ, Yu C, Zadey S, Zadnik V, Zafari N, Zahedi M, Zahid MN, Zahir M, Zakham F, Zaki N, Zakzuk J, Zamagni G, Zaman BA, Zaman SB, Zamora N, Zand R, Zandi M, Zandieh GGZ, Zanghì A, Zare I, Zastrozhin MS, Zeariya MGM, Zeng Y, Zhai C, Zhang C, Zhang H, Zhang H, Zhang Y, Zhang Z, Zhang Z, Zhao H, Zhao Y, Zhao Y, Zheng P, Zhong C, Zhou J, Zhu B, Zhu Z, Ziaeefar P, Zielińska M, Zou Z, Zumla A, Zweck E, Zyoud SH, Lim SS, Murray CJL. Global age-sex-specific mortality, life expectancy, and population estimates in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1950-2021, and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. Lancet 2024; 403:1989-2056. [PMID: 38484753 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(24)00476-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/28/2023] [Revised: 12/08/2023] [Accepted: 03/06/2024] [Indexed: 04/13/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Estimates of demographic metrics are crucial to assess levels and trends of population health outcomes. The profound impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on populations worldwide has underscored the need for timely estimates to understand this unprecedented event within the context of long-term population health trends. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 provides new demographic estimates for 204 countries and territories and 811 additional subnational locations from 1950 to 2021, with a particular emphasis on changes in mortality and life expectancy that occurred during the 2020-21 COVID-19 pandemic period. METHODS 22 223 data sources from vital registration, sample registration, surveys, censuses, and other sources were used to estimate mortality, with a subset of these sources used exclusively to estimate excess mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic. 2026 data sources were used for population estimation. Additional sources were used to estimate migration; the effects of the HIV epidemic; and demographic discontinuities due to conflicts, famines, natural disasters, and pandemics, which are used as inputs for estimating mortality and population. Spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression (ST-GPR) was used to generate under-5 mortality rates, which synthesised 30 763 location-years of vital registration and sample registration data, 1365 surveys and censuses, and 80 other sources. ST-GPR was also used to estimate adult mortality (between ages 15 and 59 years) based on information from 31 642 location-years of vital registration and sample registration data, 355 surveys and censuses, and 24 other sources. Estimates of child and adult mortality rates were then used to generate life tables with a relational model life table system. For countries with large HIV epidemics, life tables were adjusted using independent estimates of HIV-specific mortality generated via an epidemiological analysis of HIV prevalence surveys, antenatal clinic serosurveillance, and other data sources. Excess mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021 was determined by subtracting observed all-cause mortality (adjusted for late registration and mortality anomalies) from the mortality expected in the absence of the pandemic. Expected mortality was calculated based on historical trends using an ensemble of models. In location-years where all-cause mortality data were unavailable, we estimated excess mortality rates using a regression model with covariates pertaining to the pandemic. Population size was computed using a Bayesian hierarchical cohort component model. Life expectancy was calculated using age-specific mortality rates and standard demographic methods. Uncertainty intervals (UIs) were calculated for every metric using the 25th and 975th ordered values from a 1000-draw posterior distribution. FINDINGS Global all-cause mortality followed two distinct patterns over the study period: age-standardised mortality rates declined between 1950 and 2019 (a 62·8% [95% UI 60·5-65·1] decline), and increased during the COVID-19 pandemic period (2020-21; 5·1% [0·9-9·6] increase). In contrast with the overall reverse in mortality trends during the pandemic period, child mortality continued to decline, with 4·66 million (3·98-5·50) global deaths in children younger than 5 years in 2021 compared with 5·21 million (4·50-6·01) in 2019. An estimated 131 million (126-137) people died globally from all causes in 2020 and 2021 combined, of which 15·9 million (14·7-17·2) were due to the COVID-19 pandemic (measured by excess mortality, which includes deaths directly due to SARS-CoV-2 infection and those indirectly due to other social, economic, or behavioural changes associated with the pandemic). Excess mortality rates exceeded 150 deaths per 100 000 population during at least one year of the pandemic in 80 countries and territories, whereas 20 nations had a negative excess mortality rate in 2020 or 2021, indicating that all-cause mortality in these countries was lower during the pandemic than expected based on historical trends. Between 1950 and 2021, global life expectancy at birth increased by 22·7 years (20·8-24·8), from 49·0 years (46·7-51·3) to 71·7 years (70·9-72·5). Global life expectancy at birth declined by 1·6 years (1·0-2·2) between 2019 and 2021, reversing historical trends. An increase in life expectancy was only observed in 32 (15·7%) of 204 countries and territories between 2019 and 2021. The global population reached 7·89 billion (7·67-8·13) people in 2021, by which time 56 of 204 countries and territories had peaked and subsequently populations have declined. The largest proportion of population growth between 2020 and 2021 was in sub-Saharan Africa (39·5% [28·4-52·7]) and south Asia (26·3% [9·0-44·7]). From 2000 to 2021, the ratio of the population aged 65 years and older to the population aged younger than 15 years increased in 188 (92·2%) of 204 nations. INTERPRETATION Global adult mortality rates markedly increased during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021, reversing past decreasing trends, while child mortality rates continued to decline, albeit more slowly than in earlier years. Although COVID-19 had a substantial impact on many demographic indicators during the first 2 years of the pandemic, overall global health progress over the 72 years evaluated has been profound, with considerable improvements in mortality and life expectancy. Additionally, we observed a deceleration of global population growth since 2017, despite steady or increasing growth in lower-income countries, combined with a continued global shift of population age structures towards older ages. These demographic changes will likely present future challenges to health systems, economies, and societies. The comprehensive demographic estimates reported here will enable researchers, policy makers, health practitioners, and other key stakeholders to better understand and address the profound changes that have occurred in the global health landscape following the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic, and longer-term trends beyond the pandemic. FUNDING Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
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Nimptsch U, Mansky T, Busse R. Impact of early death recording on international comparison of acute myocardial infarction mortality - administrative hospital data study using the example of Germany and the United States. BMC Health Serv Res 2024; 24:593. [PMID: 38715041 PMCID: PMC11075306 DOI: 10.1186/s12913-024-11044-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/17/2023] [Accepted: 04/24/2024] [Indexed: 05/12/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND In-hospital mortality from acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is widely used in international comparisons as an indicator of health system performance. Because of the high risk of early death after AMI, international comparisons may be biased by differences in the recording of early death cases in hospital inpatient data. This study examined whether differences in the recording of early deaths affect international comparisons of AMI in-hospital mortality by using the example of Germany and the United States, and explored approaches to address this issue. METHODS The German Diagnosis-Related Groups Statistics (DRG Statistics), the U.S. National Inpatient Sample (NIS) and the U.S. Nationwide Emergency Department Sample (NEDS) were analysed from 2014 to 2019. Cases with treatment for AMI were identified in German and U.S. inpatient data. AMI deaths occurring in the emergency department (ED) without inpatient admission were extracted from NEDS data. 30-day in-hospital mortality figures were calculated according to the OECD indicator definition (unlinked data) and modified by including ED deaths, or excluding all same-day cases. RESULTS German age-and-sex standardized 30-day in-hospital mortality was substantially higher compared to the U.S. (in 2019, 7.3% vs. 4.6%). The ratio of German vs. U.S. mortality was 1.6. After inclusion of ED deaths in U.S. data this ratio declined to 1.4. Exclusion of same-day cases in German and U.S. data led to a similar ratio. CONCLUSIONS While short-duration treatments due to early death are generally recorded in German inpatient data, in U.S. inpatient data those cases are partially missing. Excluding cases with short-duration treatment from the calculation of mortality indicators could be a feasible approach to account for differences in the recording of early deaths, that might be existent in other countries as well.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ulrike Nimptsch
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623, Berlin, Germany.
| | | | - Reinhard Busse
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623, Berlin, Germany
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Langenberger B, Steinbeck V, Busse R. Who Benefits From Hip Arthroplasty or Knee Arthroplasty? Preoperative Patient-reported Outcome Thresholds Predict Meaningful Improvement. Clin Orthop Relat Res 2024; 482:867-881. [PMID: 38393816 PMCID: PMC11008644 DOI: 10.1097/corr.0000000000002994] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/08/2023] [Accepted: 01/08/2024] [Indexed: 02/25/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Hip arthroplasty (HA) and knee arthroplasty (KA) are high-volume procedures. However, there is a debate about the quality of indication; that is, whether surgery is truly indicated in all patients. Patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) may be used to determine preoperative thresholds to differentiate patients who will likely benefit from surgery from those who will not. QUESTIONS/PURPOSES (1) What were the minimum clinically important differences (MCIDs) for three commonly used PROMs in a large population of patients undergoing HA or KA treated in a general orthopaedic practice? (2) Do patients who reach the MCID differ in important ways from those who do not? (3) What preoperative PROM score thresholds best distinguish patients who achieve a meaningful improvement 12 months postsurgery from those who do not? (4) Do patients with preoperative PROM scores below thresholds still experience gains after surgery? METHODS Between October 1, 2019, and December 31, 2020, 4182 patients undergoing HA and 3645 patients undergoing KA agreed to be part of the PROMoting Quality study and were hence included by study nurses in one of nine participating German hospitals. From a selected group of 1843 patients with HA and 1546 with KA, we derived MCIDs using the anchor-based change difference method to determine meaningful improvements. Second, we estimated which preoperative PROM score thresholds best distinguish patients who achieve an MCID from those who do not, using the preoperative PROM scores that maximized the Youden index. PROMs were Hip Disability and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score-Physical Function short form (HOOS-PS) (scored 0 to 100 points; lower indicates better health), Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score-Physical Function short form (KOOS-PS) (scored 0 to 100 points; lower indicates better health), EuroQol 5-Dimension 5-level (EQ-5D-5L) (scored -0.661 to 1 points; higher indicates better health), and a 10-point VAS for pain (perceived pain in the joint under consideration for surgery within the past 7 days) (scored 0 to 10 points; lower indicates better health). The performance of derived thresholds is reported using the Youden index, sensitivity, specificity, F1 score, geometric mean as a measure of central tendency, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. RESULTS MCIDs for the EQ-5D-5L were 0.2 for HA and 0.2 for KA, with a maximum of 1 point, where higher values represented better health-related quality of life. For the pain scale, they were -0.9 for HA and -0.7 for KA, of 10 points (maximum), where lower scores represent lower pain. For the HOOS-PS, the MCID was -10, and for the KOOS-PS it was -5 of 100 points, where lower scores represent better functioning. Patients who reached the MCID differed from patients who did not reach the MCID with respect to baseline PROM scores across the evaluated PROMs and for both HA and KA. Patients who reached an MCID versus those who did not also differed regarding other aspects including education and comorbidities, but this was not consistent across PROMs and arthroplasty type. Preoperative PROM score thresholds for HA were 0.7 for EQ-5D-5L (Youden index: 0.55), 42 for HOOS-PS (Youden index: 0.27), and 3.5 for the pain scale (Youden index: 0.47). For KA, the thresholds were 0.6 for EQ-5D-5L (Youden index: 0.57), 39 for KOOS-PS (Youden index: 0.25), and 6.5 for the pain scale (Youden index: 0.40). A higher Youden index for EQ-5D-5L than for the other PROMs indicates that the thresholds for EQ-5D-5L were better for distinguishing patients who reached a meaningful improvement from those who did not. Patients who did not reach the thresholds could still achieve MCIDs, especially for functionality and the pain scale. CONCLUSION We found that patients who experienced meaningful improvements (MCIDs) mainly differed from those who did not regarding their preoperative PROM scores. We further identified that patients undergoing HA or KA with a score above 0.7 or 0.6, respectively, on the EQ-5D-5L, below 42 or 39 on the HOOS-PS or KOOS-PS, or below 3.5 or 6.5 on a 10-point joint-specific pain scale presurgery had no meaningful benefit from surgery. The thresholds can support clinical decision-making. For example, when thresholds indicate that a meaningful improvement is not likely to be achieved after surgery, other treatment options may be prioritized. Although the thresholds can be used as support, patient preferences and medical expertise must supplement the decision. Future studies might evaluate the utility of using these thresholds in practice, examine how different thresholds can be combined as a multidimensional decision tool, and derive presurgery thresholds based on additional PROMs used in practice. CLINICAL RELEVANCE Preoperative PROM score thresholds in this study will support clinicians in decision-making through objective measures that can improve the quality of the recommendation for surgery.
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Affiliation(s)
- Benedikt Langenberger
- Department of Healthcare Management, School of Economics and Management, Technical University Berlin, Berlin, Germany
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Eckhardt H, Quentin W, Silzle J, Busse R, Rombey T. Cost-effectiveness of prehabilitation of elderly frail or pre-frail patients prior to elective surgery (PRAEP-GO) versus usual care - Protocol for a health economic evaluation alongside a randomized controlled trial. BMC Geriatr 2024; 24:231. [PMID: 38448804 PMCID: PMC10916129 DOI: 10.1186/s12877-024-04833-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/29/2023] [Accepted: 02/21/2024] [Indexed: 03/08/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Prehabilitation aims to improve patients' functional capacity before surgery to reduce perioperative complications, promote recovery and decrease probability of disability. The planned economic evaluation is performed alongside a large German multi-centre pragmatic, two-arm parallel-group, randomized controlled trial on prehabilitation for frail elderly patients before elective surgery compared to standard care (PRAEP-GO RCT). The aim is to determine the cost-effectiveness and cost-utility of prehabilitation for frail elderly before an elective surgery. METHODS The planned health economic evaluation comprises cost-effectiveness, and cost-utility analyses. Analyses are conducted in the German context from different perspectives including the payer perspective, i.e. the statutory health insurance, the societal perspective and the health care provider perspective. Data on outcomes and costs, are collected alongside the ongoing PRAEP-GO RCT. The trial population includes frail or pre-frail patients aged ≥70 years with planned elective surgery. The intervention consists of frailty screening (Fried phenotype), a shared decision-making conference determining modality (physiotherapy and unsupervised physical exercises, nutrition counselling, etc.) and setting (inpatient, day care, outpatient etc.) of a 3-week individual multimodal prehabilitation prior to surgery. The control group receives standard preoperative care. Costs include the intervention costs, the costs of the index hospital stay for surgery, and health care resources consumed during a 12-month follow-up. Clinical effectiveness outcomes included in the economic evaluation are the level of care dependency, the degree of disability as measured by the WHO Disability Assessment Schedule 2.0 (WHODAS 2.0), quality-adjusted life years (QALY) derived from the EQ-5D-5L and the German utility set, and complications occurring during the index hospital stay. Each adopted perspective considers different types of costs and outcomes as outlined in the protocol. All analyses will feature Intention-To-Treat analysis. To explore methodological and parametric uncertainties, we will conduct probabilistic and deterministic sensitivity analyses. Subgroup analyses will be performed as secondary analyses. DISCUSSION The health economic evaluation will provide insights into the cost-effectiveness of prehabilitation in older frail populations, informing decision-making processes and contributing to the evidence base in this field. Potential limitation includes a highly heterogeneous trial population. TRIAL REGISTRATION PRAEP-GO RCT: NCT04418271; economic evaluation: OSF ( https://osf.io/ecm74 ).
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Affiliation(s)
- Helene Eckhardt
- Department of Health Care Management, Institute of Technology and Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623, Berlin, Germany.
| | - Wilm Quentin
- Department of Health Care Management, Institute of Technology and Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623, Berlin, Germany
- Planetary & Public Health, University of Bayreuth, Universitätsstraße 30, 95447, Bayreuth, Germany
| | - Julia Silzle
- Department of Health Care Management, Institute of Technology and Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623, Berlin, Germany
| | - Reinhard Busse
- Department of Health Care Management, Institute of Technology and Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623, Berlin, Germany
| | - Tanja Rombey
- Department of Health Care Management, Institute of Technology and Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623, Berlin, Germany
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Wilms M, Jenetzky E, Märzheuser S, Busse R, Nimptsch U. Treatment of Anorectal Malformations in German Hospitals: Analysis of National Hospital Discharge Data from 2016 to 2021. Eur J Pediatr Surg 2024. [PMID: 38307106 DOI: 10.1055/a-2260-5124] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/04/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Anorectal malformations (ARMs) are complex congenital anomalies. The corrective operation is demanding and schedulable. Based on complete national data, patterns of care have not been analyzed in Germany yet. METHODS All cases with ARM were analyzed (1) at the time of birth and (2) during the hospital stay for the corrective operation, based on the national hospital discharge data (DRG statistics). Patient's comorbidities, treatment characteristics, hospital structures, and the outcome of corrective operations were analyzed with respect to the hospitals' caseload. RESULTS From 2016 to 2021, 1,726 newborns with ARM were treated at the time of birth in 388 hospitals. Of these hospitals, 19% had neither a pediatric nor a pediatric surgical department. At least one additional congenital anomaly was present in 49% of cases and 7% of the newborns had a birthweight below 1,500 g.In all, 2,060 corrective operations for ARM were performed in 113 hospitals in the same time period. In 24.5% of cases, at least one major complication was documented. One-third of the operations were performed in 56 hospitals, one-third in 20 hospitals, and one-third in 10 hospitals with median annual case numbers of 2, 5, and 10, respectively.Hospitals with the highest caseload operated cloacal defects more often than hospitals with the lowest caseload (7 vs. 2%) and had more early complications than hospitals with the lowest caseload (30 vs. 21%). This difference was not statistically significant after risk adjustment. CONCLUSIONS Children with ARM are multimorbid. Early complications after corrective surgery are common. Considering the large number of hospitals with a very low caseload, centralization of care for the complex and elective corrective surgery for ARM remains a key issue for quality of care.
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Affiliation(s)
- Miriam Wilms
- Patient Organization for People with Anorectal Malformations and Hirschsprung's Disease (SoMA e.V.), Munich, Germany
- Department of General-, Visceral-, Thorax and Pediatric Surgery, Universitätsklinikum Düsseldorf, Dusseldorf, Nordrhein-Westfalen, Germany
| | - Ekkehart Jenetzky
- Department of Research Methodology and Information Systems in the Integrative Medicine, University Witten Herdecke Faculty of Medicine, Witten, Nordrhein-Westfalen, Germany
- Departement of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry, Johannes Gutenberg University Hospital Mainz, Mainz, Rheinland-Pfalz, Germany
| | - Stefanie Märzheuser
- Departement of Pediatric Surgery, Rostock University Medical Center Children and Youth Clinic, Rostock, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, Germany
| | - Reinhard Busse
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Ulrike Nimptsch
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Berlin, Germany
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10
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Steinbeck V, Bischof AY, Schöner L, Langenberger B, Kuklinski D, Geissler A, Pross C, Busse R. Gender health gap pre- and post-joint arthroplasty: identifying affected patient-reported health domains. Int J Equity Health 2024; 23:44. [PMID: 38413981 PMCID: PMC10900674 DOI: 10.1186/s12939-024-02131-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/31/2023] [Accepted: 02/15/2024] [Indexed: 02/29/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND As patient-reported outcomes (PROs) gain prominence in hip and knee arthroplasty (HA and KA), studies indicate PRO variations between genders. Research on the specific health domains particularly impacted is lacking. Hence, we aim to quantify the gender health gap in PROs for HA/KA patients, differentiating between general health, health-related quality of life (HrQoL), physical functioning, pain, fatigue, and depression. METHODS The study included 3,693 HA patients (1,627 men, 2,066 women) and 3,110 KA patients (1,430 men, 1,680 women) receiving surgery between 2020 to 2021 in nine German hospitals, followed up until March 2022. Questionnaires used were: EQ-VAS, EQ-5D-5L, HOOS-PS, KOOS-PS, PROMIS-F-SF, PROMIS-D-SF, and a joint-specific numeric pain scale. PROs at admission, discharge, 12-months post-surgery, and the change from admission to 12-months (PRO-improvement) were compared by gender, tested for differences, and assessed using multivariate linear regressions. To enable comparability, PROs were transformed into z-scores (standard deviations from the mean). RESULTS Observed differences between genders were small in all health domains and differences reduced over time. Men reported significantly better health versus women pre-HA (KA), with a difference of 0.252 (0.224) standard deviations from the mean for pain, 0.353 (0.243) for fatigue (PROMIS-F-SF), 0.327 (0.310) for depression (PROMIS-D-SF), 0.336 (0.273) for functionality (H/KOOS-PS), 0.177 (0.186) for general health (EQ-VAS) and 0.266 (0.196) for HrQoL (EQ-5D-5L). At discharge, the gender health gap reduced and even disappeared for some health dimensions since women improved in health to a greater extent than men. No gender health gap was observed in most PRO-improvements and at month 12. CONCLUSIONS Men experiencing slightly better health than women in all health dimensions before surgery while experiencing similar health benefits 12-months post-surgery, might be an indicator of men receiving surgery inappropriately early, women unnecessarily late or both. As studies often investigate the PRO-improvement, they miss pre-surgery gender differences, which could be an important target for improvement initiatives in patient-centric care. Moreover, future research on cutoffs for meaningful between-group PRO differences per measurement time would aid the interpretation of gender health disparities. TRIAL REGISTRATION German Register for Clinical Trials, DRKS00019916, 26 November 2019.
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Affiliation(s)
- Viktoria Steinbeck
- Department of Healthcare Management, School of Economics and Management, Technical University Berlin, Strasse Des 17 Juni 135, Berlin, 10623, Germany.
| | - Anja Yvonne Bischof
- School of Medicine, Chair of Health Economics, Policy and Management, University of St. Gallen, St. Gallen, Switzerland
| | - Lukas Schöner
- Department of Healthcare Management, School of Economics and Management, Technical University Berlin, Strasse Des 17 Juni 135, Berlin, 10623, Germany
| | - Benedikt Langenberger
- Department of Healthcare Management, School of Economics and Management, Technical University Berlin, Strasse Des 17 Juni 135, Berlin, 10623, Germany
| | - David Kuklinski
- School of Medicine, Chair of Health Economics, Policy and Management, University of St. Gallen, St. Gallen, Switzerland
| | - Alexander Geissler
- School of Medicine, Chair of Health Economics, Policy and Management, University of St. Gallen, St. Gallen, Switzerland
| | - Christoph Pross
- Department of Healthcare Management, School of Economics and Management, Technical University Berlin, Strasse Des 17 Juni 135, Berlin, 10623, Germany
| | - Reinhard Busse
- Department of Healthcare Management, School of Economics and Management, Technical University Berlin, Strasse Des 17 Juni 135, Berlin, 10623, Germany
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Kreutzberg A, Eckhardt H, Milstein R, Busse R. International strategies, experiences, and payment models to incentivise day surgery. Health Policy 2024; 140:104968. [PMID: 38171029 DOI: 10.1016/j.healthpol.2023.104968] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/20/2023] [Revised: 11/11/2023] [Accepted: 12/11/2023] [Indexed: 01/05/2024]
Abstract
The importance of day surgery as a less costly alternative compared to conventional inpatient hospital stays is growing internationally. The rate of day surgery activities has increased across Europe. However, this trend has been heterogeneous across countries, and might still be below its potential. Since payment systems affect how providers offer care, they represent a policy instrument to further increase the rate of day surgeries. In this paper, we review international strategies to promote day surgery with a particular focus on payment models for 13 OECD countries (Australia, Austria, Canada, Denmark, England, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Netherlands, Norway, Sweden, Switzerland). We conduct a cross-country comparison based on an email survey of health policy experts and a comprehensive literature review of peer-reviewed papers and grey literature. Our research shows that all countries aim to strengthen day surgery activity to increase health system efficiency. Several countries used financial and non-financial policy measures to overcome misaligned incentive structures and promote day surgery activity. Financial incentives for day surgery can serve as a policy instrument to promote change. We recommend embedding these incentives in a comprehensive approach of restructuring health systems. In addition, we encourage countries to monitor and evaluate the effect of changes to payment systems on day surgeries to allow for more informed decision-making.
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Affiliation(s)
- Anika Kreutzberg
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Administrative office H80, Straße des 17. Juni 135, Berlin 10623, Federal Republic of Germany.
| | - Helene Eckhardt
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Administrative office H80, Straße des 17. Juni 135, Berlin 10623, Federal Republic of Germany
| | - Ricarda Milstein
- Hamburg Center for Health Economics, Universität Hamburg, Esplanade 36, Hamburg 20354, Federal Republic of Germany
| | - Reinhard Busse
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Administrative office H80, Straße des 17. Juni 135, Berlin 10623, Federal Republic of Germany
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Årdal C, Baraldi E, Busse R, Castro R, Ciabuschi F, Cisneros JM, Gyssens IC, Harbarth S, Kostyanev T, Lacotte Y, Magrini N, McDonnell A, Monnier AA, Moon S, Mossialos E, Peñalva G, Ploy MC, Radulović M, Ruiz AA, Røttingen JA, Sharland M, Tacconelli E, Theuretzbacher U, Vogler S, Sönksen UW, Åkerfeldt K, Cars O, O'Neill J. Transferable exclusivity voucher: a flawed incentive to stimulate antibiotic innovation. Lancet 2024; 403:e2-e4. [PMID: 36774936 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(23)00282-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/12/2023] [Accepted: 01/31/2023] [Indexed: 02/11/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- Christine Årdal
- Antimicrobial Resistance Centre, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo 0213, Norway.
| | - Enrico Baraldi
- Department of Engineering Sciences, Industrial Engineering and Management, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden
| | - Reinhard Busse
- Department of Health Care Management, Berlin University of Technology, Berlin, Germany
| | - Rosa Castro
- European Public Health Alliance, Brussels, Belgium
| | | | - José Miguel Cisneros
- Department of Infectious Diseases, University Hospital Virgen del Rocio, IBiS, CIBERINFEC, Seville, Spain
| | - Inge C Gyssens
- Department of Internal Medicine, Radboudumc Center for Infectious Diseases, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen, Netherlands
| | | | | | - Yohann Lacotte
- University of Limoges, INSERM, CHU Limoges, RESINFIT, Limoges, France
| | | | | | - Annelie A Monnier
- Department of Medical Microbiology, Radboudumc Center for Infectious Diseases, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen, Netherlands
| | - Suerie Moon
- Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Elias Mossialos
- London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK
| | - Germán Peñalva
- Institute of Biomedicine of Seville (IBiS), University of Seville/CSIC/University Hospital Virgen del Rocio, Seville, Spain
| | - Marie-Cécile Ploy
- University of Limoges, INSERM, CHU Limoges, RESINFIT, Limoges, France
| | - Momir Radulović
- Agency for Medicinal Products and Medical Devices of the Republic of Slovenia, Ljubljana, Slovenia
| | - Adrián Alonso Ruiz
- Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies, Geneva, Switzerland
| | | | - Michael Sharland
- Centre for Neonatal and Paediatric Infection, St George's University of London, London, UK
| | | | | | - Sabine Vogler
- Austrian National Public Health Institute, Vienna, Austria; Department of Health Care Management, Berlin University of Technology, Berlin, Germany
| | | | | | - Otto Cars
- ReAct Europe, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden
| | - Jim O'Neill
- The Review on Antimicrobial Resistance, London, UK
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Hengel P, Blümel M, Siegel M, Achstetter K, Köppen J, Busse R. Financial risk protection in private health insurance: empirical evidence on catastrophic and impoverishing spending from Germany's dual insurance system. Health Econ Policy Law 2024; 19:3-20. [PMID: 37675511 DOI: 10.1017/s1744133123000105] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 09/08/2023]
Abstract
Financial risk protection from high costs for care is a main goal of health systems. Health system characteristics typically associated with universal health coverage and financial risk protection, such as financial redistribution between insureds, are inherent to, e.g. social health insurance (SHI) but missing in private health insurance (PHI). This study provides evidence on financial protection in PHI for the case of Germany's dual insurance system of PHI and SHI, where PHI covers 11% of the population. Linked survey and claims data of PHI insureds (n = 3105) and population-wide household budget data (n = 42,226) are used to compute the prevalence of catastrophic health expenditures (CHE), i.e. the share of households whose out-of-pocket payments either exceed 40% of their capacity-to-pay or push them (further) into poverty. Despite comparatively high out-of-pocket payments, CHE is low in German PHI. It only affects the poor. Key to low financial burden seems to be the restriction of PHI to a small, overall wealthy group. Protection for the worse-off is provided through special mandatorily offered tariffs. In sum, Germany's dual health insurance system provides close-to-universal coverage. Future studies should further investigate the effect of premiums on financial burden, especially when linked to utilisation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Philipp Hengel
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623 Berlin, Germany
- Berlin Centre for Health Economics Research, Berlin, Germany
| | - Miriam Blümel
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623 Berlin, Germany
- Berlin Centre for Health Economics Research, Berlin, Germany
| | - Martin Siegel
- Berlin Centre for Health Economics Research, Berlin, Germany
- Department of Empirical Health Economics, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623 Berlin, Germany
| | - Katharina Achstetter
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623 Berlin, Germany
- Berlin Centre for Health Economics Research, Berlin, Germany
| | - Julia Köppen
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623 Berlin, Germany
- Berlin Centre for Health Economics Research, Berlin, Germany
| | - Reinhard Busse
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623 Berlin, Germany
- Berlin Centre for Health Economics Research, Berlin, Germany
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Kollmann NP, Langenberger B, Busse R, Pross C. Stability of hospital quality indicators over time: A multi-year observational study of German hospital data. PLoS One 2023; 18:e0293723. [PMID: 37934753 PMCID: PMC10629650 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0293723] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/04/2022] [Accepted: 10/19/2023] [Indexed: 11/09/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Retrospective hospital quality indicators can only be useful if they are trustworthy signals of current or future quality. Despite extensive longitudinal quality indicator data and many hospital quality public reporting initiatives, research on quality indicator stability over time is scarce and skepticism about their usefulness widespread. OBJECTIVE Based on aggregated, widely available hospital-level quality indicators, this paper sought to determine whether quality indicators are stable over time. Implications for health policy were drawn and the limited methodological foundation for stability assessments of hospital-level quality indicators enhanced. METHODS Two longitudinal datasets (self-reported and routine data), including all hospitals in Germany and covering the period from 2004 to 2017, were analysed. A logistic regression using Generalized Estimating Equations, a time-dependent, graphic quintile representation of risk-adjusted rates and Spearman's rank correlation coefficient were used. RESULTS For a total of eight German quality indicators significant stability over time was demonstrated. The probability of remaining in the best quality cluster in the future across all hospitals reached from 46.9% (CI: 42.4-51.6%) for hip replacement reoperations to 80.4% (CI: 76.4-83.8%) for decubitus. Furthermore, graphical descriptive analysis showed that the difference in adverse event rates for the 20% top performing compared to the 20% worst performing hospitals in the two following years is on average between 30% for stroke and AMI and 79% for decubitus. Stability over time has been shown to vary strongly between indicators and treatment areas. CONCLUSION Quality indicators were found to have sufficient stability over time for public reporting. Potentially, increasing case volumes per hospital, centralisation of medical services and minimum-quantity regulations may lead to more stable and reliable quality of care indicators. Finally, more robust policy interventions such as outcome-based payment, should only be applied to outcome indicators with a higher level of stability over time. This should be subject to future research.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Benedikt Langenberger
- Department of Health Care Management, Berlin University of Technology, Berlin, Germany
| | - Reinhard Busse
- Department of Health Care Management, Berlin University of Technology, Berlin, Germany
| | - Christoph Pross
- Department of Health Care Management, Berlin University of Technology, Berlin, Germany
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Eckhardt H, Felgner S, Dreger M, Fuchs S, Ermann H, Rödiger H, Rombey T, Busse R, Henschke C, Panteli D. Utilization of innovative medical technologies in German inpatient care: does evidence matter? Health Res Policy Syst 2023; 21:100. [PMID: 37784100 PMCID: PMC10546629 DOI: 10.1186/s12961-023-01047-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/15/2021] [Accepted: 08/26/2023] [Indexed: 10/04/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The reimbursement of new technologies in inpatient care is not always linked to a requirement for evidence-based evaluation of patient benefit. In Germany, every new technology approved for market was until recently eligible for reimbursement in inpatient care unless explicitly excluded. The aim of this work was (1) to investigate the type of evidence that was available at the time of introduction of 25 innovative technologies and how this evidence evolved over time, and (2) to explore the relationship between clinical evidence and utilization for these technologies in German inpatient care. METHODS This study combined different methods. A systematic search for evidence published between 2003 and 2017 was conducted in four bibliographic databases, clinical trial registries, resources for clinical guidelines, and health technology assessment-databases. Information was also collected on funding mechanisms and safety notices. Utilization was measured by hospital procedures captured in claims data. The body of evidence, funding and safety notices per technology were analyzed descriptively. The relationship between utilization and evidence was explored empirically using a multilevel regression analysis. RESULTS The number of included publications per technology ranges from two to 498. For all technologies, non-comparative studies form the bulk of the evidence. The number of randomized controlled clinical trials per technology ranges from zero to 19. Some technologies were utilized for several years without an adequate evidence base. A relationship between evidence and utilization could be shown for several but not all technologies. CONCLUSIONS This study reveals a mixed picture regarding the evidence available for new technologies, and the relationship between the development of evidence and the use of technologies over time. Although the influence of funding and safety notices requires further investigation, these results re-emphasize the need for strengthening market approval standards and HTA pathways as well as approaches such as coverage with evidence development.
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Affiliation(s)
- Helene Eckhardt
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße Des 17. Juni 135, 10623, Berlin, Germany.
| | - Susanne Felgner
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße Des 17. Juni 135, 10623, Berlin, Germany
- Berlin Centre for Health Economics Research (BerlinHECOR), Technische Universität Berlin, Straße Des 17. Juni 135, 10623, Berlin, Germany
| | - Marie Dreger
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße Des 17. Juni 135, 10623, Berlin, Germany
- Berlin Centre for Health Economics Research (BerlinHECOR), Technische Universität Berlin, Straße Des 17. Juni 135, 10623, Berlin, Germany
| | - Sabine Fuchs
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße Des 17. Juni 135, 10623, Berlin, Germany
| | - Hanna Ermann
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße Des 17. Juni 135, 10623, Berlin, Germany
| | - Hendrikje Rödiger
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße Des 17. Juni 135, 10623, Berlin, Germany
| | - Tanja Rombey
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße Des 17. Juni 135, 10623, Berlin, Germany
| | - Reinhard Busse
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße Des 17. Juni 135, 10623, Berlin, Germany
- Berlin Centre for Health Economics Research (BerlinHECOR), Technische Universität Berlin, Straße Des 17. Juni 135, 10623, Berlin, Germany
| | - Cornelia Henschke
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße Des 17. Juni 135, 10623, Berlin, Germany
- Berlin Centre for Health Economics Research (BerlinHECOR), Technische Universität Berlin, Straße Des 17. Juni 135, 10623, Berlin, Germany
| | - Dimitra Panteli
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße Des 17. Juni 135, 10623, Berlin, Germany
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Tannor EK, Quentin W, Busse R, Opoku D, Amuasi J. Impact of COVID-19 on health service utilisation in sub-Saharan Africa: protocol for a scoping review. BMJ Open 2023; 13:e074769. [PMID: 37751950 PMCID: PMC10533669 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2023-074769] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/16/2023] [Accepted: 08/30/2023] [Indexed: 09/30/2023] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION The COVID-19 pandemic has exposed weaknesses in health systems of many countries, including those in sub-Saharan Africa. Despite comparatively low rates of COVID-19 admissions and deaths in sub-Saharan Africa, the pandemic still had a significant impact by disrupting health service utilisation (HSU). The aim of this scoping review is to synthesise the available evidence on HSU in sub-Saharan Africa during the COVID-19 pandemic, especially focusing on (1) changes in HSU compared with the prepandemic period, (2) changes in HSU among particular patient groups studied and (3) identifying factors determining changes in HSU as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. METHOD AND ANALYSIS The scoping review will be guided by the methodological framework for conducting scoping reviews developed by Arskey and O'Malley. We will identify relevant studies on HSU in sub-Saharan Africa during the COVID-19 pandemic using PubMed (MEDLINE), Embase, Scopus and Web of Science databases from 1 December, 2019 to 31 March 2023. We will search grey literature, government and organisational websites for reports and conference proceedings. Included studies will be restricted to those reported in English or French. Two reviewers will independently screen articles at the title and abstract stage for inclusion into full text screening. We will provide a general descriptive overview, tabular summaries and content analysis for the extracted data. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION Ethical approval is not required for the conduct of the scoping review. We will disseminate our findings via open access peer-reviewed journals and scientific presentations. Our scoping review findings will help to determine the feasibility of a subsequent systematic review (and meta-analysis) on HSU during the COVID-19 pandemic.
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Affiliation(s)
- Elliot Koranteng Tannor
- School of Public Health, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Kumasi, Ghana
- Department of Global Health, German-West African Center for Global Health and Pandemic Preparedness, Kumasi, Ghana
| | - Wilm Quentin
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany
- Department of Health Care Management, German-West African Center for Global Health and Pandemic Preparedness, Berlin, Germany
| | - Reinhard Busse
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany
- Department of Health Care Management, German-West African Center for Global Health and Pandemic Preparedness, Berlin, Germany
| | - Daniel Opoku
- School of Public Health, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Kumasi, Ghana
- Department of Global Health, German-West African Center for Global Health and Pandemic Preparedness, Kumasi, Ghana
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - John Amuasi
- School of Public Health, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Kumasi, Ghana
- Department of Global Health, German-West African Center for Global Health and Pandemic Preparedness, Kumasi, Ghana
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Steinbeck V, Langenberger B, Schöner L, Wittich L, Klauser W, Mayer M, Kuklinski D, Vogel J, Geissler A, Pross C, Busse R. Electronic Patient-Reported Outcome Monitoring to Improve Quality of Life After Joint Replacement: Secondary Analysis of a Randomized Clinical Trial. JAMA Netw Open 2023; 6:e2331301. [PMID: 37656459 PMCID: PMC10474554 DOI: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.31301] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/01/2023] [Accepted: 07/23/2023] [Indexed: 09/02/2023] Open
Abstract
Importance Although remote patient-reported outcome measure (PROM) monitoring has shown promising results in cancer care, there is a lack of research on PROM monitoring in orthopedics. Objective To determine whether PROM monitoring can improve health outcomes for patients with joint replacement compared with the standard of care. Design, Setting, and Participants A 2-group, patient-level randomized clinical trial (PROMoting Quality) across 9 German hospitals recruited patients aged 18 years or older with primary hip or knee replacement from October 1, 2019, to December 31, 2020, with follow-up until March 31, 2022. Interventions Intervention and control groups received the standard of care and PROMs at hospital admission, discharge, and 12 months after surgery. In addition, the intervention group received PROMs at 1, 3, and 6 months after surgery. Based on prespecified PROM score thresholds, at these times, an automated alert signaled critical recovery paths to hospital study nurses. On notification, study nurses contacted patients and referred them to their physicians if necessary. Main Outcomes and Measures The prespecified outcomes were the mean change in PROM scores (European Quality of Life 5-Dimension 5-Level version [EQ-5D-5L; range, -0.661 to 1.0, with higher values indicating higher levels of health-related quality of life (HRQOL)], European Quality of Life Visual Analogue Scale [EQ-VAS; range, 0-100, with higher values indicating higher levels of HRQOL], Hip Disability and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score-Physical Function Shortform [HOOS-PS; range, 0-100, with lower values indicating lower physical impairment] or Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score-Physical Function Shortform [KOOS-PS; range, 0-100, with lower values indicating lower physical impairment], Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System [PROMIS]-fatigue [range, 33.7-75.8, with lower values indicating lower levels of fatigue], and PROMIS-depression [range, 41-79.4, with lower values indicating lower levels of depression]) from baseline to 12 months after surgery. Analysis was on an intention-to-treat basis. Results The study included 3697 patients with hip replacement (mean [SD] age, 65.8 [10.6] years; 2065 women [55.9%]) and 3110 patients with knee replacement (mean [SD] age, 66.0 [9.2] years; 1669 women [53.7%]). Exploratory analyses showed significantly better health outcomes in the intervention group on all PROMs except the EQ-5D-5L among patients with hip replacement, with a 2.10-point increase on the EQ-VAS in the intervention group compared with the control group (HOOS-PS, -1.86 points; PROMIS-fatigue, -0.69 points; PROMIS-depression, -0.57 points). Patients in the intervention group with knee replacement had a 1.24-point increase on the EQ-VAS, as well as significantly better scores on the KOOS-PS (-0.99 points) and PROMIS-fatigue (-0.84 points) compared with the control group. Mixed-effect models showed a significant difference in improvement on the EQ-VAS (hip replacement: effect estimate [EE], 1.66 [95% CI, 0.58-2.74]; knee replacement: EE, 1.71 [95% CI, 0.53-2.90]) and PROMIS-fatigue (hip replacement: EE, -0.65 [95% CI, -1.12 to -0.18]; knee replacement: EE, -0.71 [95% CI, -1.23 to -0.20]). The PROMIS-depression score was significantly reduced in the hip replacement group (EE, -0.60 [95% CI, -1.01 to -0.18]). Conclusions and Relevance In this randomized clinical trial, the PROM-based monitoring intervention led to a small improvement in HRQOL and fatigue among patients with hip or knee replacement, as well as in depression among patients with hip replacement. Trial registration Deutsches Register Klinischer Studien ID: DRKS00019916.
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Affiliation(s)
- Viktoria Steinbeck
- Department of Healthcare Management, School of Economics and Management, Technical University Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Benedikt Langenberger
- Department of Healthcare Management, School of Economics and Management, Technical University Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Lukas Schöner
- Department of Healthcare Management, School of Economics and Management, Technical University Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Laura Wittich
- Department of Healthcare Management, School of Economics and Management, Technical University Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Wolfgang Klauser
- Department of Orthopedics, VAMED Ostseeklinik Damp, Damp, Germany
| | - Martin Mayer
- Department of Orthopedics, VAMED Ostseeklinik Damp, Damp, Germany
| | - David Kuklinski
- Chair of Healthcare Management, School of Medicine, University of St Gallen, St Gallen, Switzerland
| | - Justus Vogel
- Chair of Healthcare Management, School of Medicine, University of St Gallen, St Gallen, Switzerland
| | - Alexander Geissler
- Chair of Healthcare Management, School of Medicine, University of St Gallen, St Gallen, Switzerland
| | - Christoph Pross
- Department of Healthcare Management, School of Economics and Management, Technical University Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Reinhard Busse
- Department of Healthcare Management, School of Economics and Management, Technical University Berlin, Berlin, Germany
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Langenberger B, Schrednitzki D, Halder AM, Busse R, Pross CM. Predicting whether patients will achieve minimal clinically important differences following hip or knee arthroplasty. Bone Joint Res 2023; 12:512-521. [PMID: 37652447 PMCID: PMC10471446 DOI: 10.1302/2046-3758.129.bjr-2023-0070.r2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 09/02/2023] Open
Abstract
Aims A substantial fraction of patients undergoing knee arthroplasty (KA) or hip arthroplasty (HA) do not achieve an improvement as high as the minimal clinically important difference (MCID), i.e. do not achieve a meaningful improvement. Using three patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs), our aim was: 1) to assess machine learning (ML), the simple pre-surgery PROM score, and logistic-regression (LR)-derived performance in their prediction of whether patients undergoing HA or KA achieve an improvement as high or higher than a calculated MCID; and 2) to test whether ML is able to outperform LR or pre-surgery PROM scores in predictive performance. Methods MCIDs were derived using the change difference method in a sample of 1,843 HA and 1,546 KA patients. An artificial neural network, a gradient boosting machine, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression, ridge regression, elastic net, random forest, LR, and pre-surgery PROM scores were applied to predict MCID for the following PROMs: EuroQol five-dimension, five-level questionnaire (EQ-5D-5L), EQ visual analogue scale (EQ-VAS), Hip disability and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score-Physical Function Short-form (HOOS-PS), and Knee injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score-Physical Function Short-form (KOOS-PS). Results Predictive performance of the best models per outcome ranged from 0.71 for HOOS-PS to 0.84 for EQ-VAS (HA sample). ML statistically significantly outperformed LR and pre-surgery PROM scores in two out of six cases. Conclusion MCIDs can be predicted with reasonable performance. ML was able to outperform traditional methods, although only in a minority of cases.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | - Reinhard Busse
- Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany
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Goetz G, Jeindl R, Panteli D, Busse R, Wild C. Digital Health Applications (DiHA): Approaches to develop a reimbursement process for the statutory health insurance in Austria. Health Policy Technol 2023; 12:None. [PMID: 37732005 PMCID: PMC10507816 DOI: 10.1016/j.hlpt.2023.100780] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 09/22/2023]
Abstract
Purpose To elaborate a concept for implementing digital health applications (DiHA), including prioritisation criteria (PC) for the Austrian context and an overview of available prioritised DiHAs. Methods Based on European DiHA-listings and input by Austrian experts, a categorised meta-directory of DiHAs was created. PC were developed to reflect, inter alia, the provisions of the Austrian General Insurance Act, and were applied to the meta-directory to identify DiHAs potentially relevant for the Austrian statutory health insurance. An iterative process with expert involvement was used to tailor an existing reimbursement framework to the Austrian setting. Results The meta-directory comprised 132 DiHAs. Developed PC focused on plausibility (German language) and legal aspects (treatment/monitoring of chronic conditions), while other criteria (e.g. interoperability standards) were considered optional. After applying the PC, 38 DiHAs were potentially relevant in the Austrian setting. Of these, only seven supported current health record integration. Most of the prioritised DiHAs reported on CE marking (29/38) and data protection (35/38), while reporting on risk class (10/38) and technical algorithms (0/38) was sparse. For DiHA reimbursement, a four-step process is proposed: identification (ideally based on needs assessment); filtering based on PC; review of technical, regulatory and evidentiary requirements; and health technology assessment. Conclusion The proposed concept can offer guidance for policy makers (e.g., on prioritising available DiHAs) and may further foster scientific debate with regard to DiHA implementation. Further discussion on how to fully incorporate regulatory, technical, and evidentiary criteria is needed. Attention should be given to national implementation requirements, re-assessment criteria, and appropriate remuneration schemes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gregor Goetz
- HTA Austria - Austrian Institute for Health Technology Assessment GmbH, Vienna, Austria
- Department of Health Care Management, Berlin Institute of Technology, Berlin, Germany
| | - Reinhard Jeindl
- HTA Austria - Austrian Institute for Health Technology Assessment GmbH, Vienna, Austria
| | - Dimitra Panteli
- Department of Health Care Management, Berlin Institute of Technology, Berlin, Germany
| | - Reinhard Busse
- Department of Health Care Management, Berlin Institute of Technology, Berlin, Germany
| | - Claudia Wild
- HTA Austria - Austrian Institute for Health Technology Assessment GmbH, Vienna, Austria
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Langenberger B, Steinbeck V, Schöner L, Busse R, Pross C, Kuklinski D. Exploring treatment effect heterogeneity of a PROMs alert intervention in knee and hip arthroplasty patients: A causal forest application. Comput Biol Med 2023; 163:107118. [PMID: 37392619 DOI: 10.1016/j.compbiomed.2023.107118] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/07/2023] [Revised: 05/24/2023] [Accepted: 05/30/2023] [Indexed: 07/03/2023]
Abstract
Patient reported outcome measures (PROMs) experience an uptake in use for hip (HA) and knee arthroplasty (KA) patients. As they may be used for patient monitoring interventions, it remains unclear whether their use in HA/KA patients is effective, and which patient groups benefit the most. Nonetheless, knowledge about treatment effect heterogeneity is crucial for decision makers to target interventions towards specific subgroups that benefit to a greater extend. Therefore, we evaluate the treatment effect heterogeneity of a remote PROM monitoring intervention that includes ∼8000 HA/KA patients from a randomized controlled trial conducted in nine German hospitals. The study setting gave us the unique opportunity to apply a causal forest, a recently developed machine learning method, to explore treatment effect heterogeneity of the intervention. We found that among both HA and KA patients, the intervention was especially effective for patients that were female, >65 years of age, had a blood pressure disease, were not working, reported no backpain and were adherent. When transferring the study design into standard care, policy makers should make use of the knowledge obtained in this study and allocate the treatment towards subgroups for which the treatment is especially effective.
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Knecht S, Reiners H, Siebler M, Platz T, Flöel A, Busse R. [Slow demographic change and neurological rehabilitation-Part 1: state of affairs]. Nervenarzt 2023; 94:708-717. [PMID: 36534175 PMCID: PMC9761641 DOI: 10.1007/s00115-022-01415-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 10/31/2022] [Indexed: 12/23/2022]
Abstract
In the next two decades the aging baby boomers in Germany will gradually be leaving the work force. They are being followed by the much less numerous, "baby bust" generation who now need to finance and staff healthcare for the growing number of old people in society. In order to care for more needy persons with a smaller working population, the healthcare system must be restructured; however, despite these worrisome prospects, the awareness of the problem is still low in many areas. Here we focus on the area in the healthcare system that is growing particularly rapidly and additionally has the greatest need of personnel per patient: the care of the critically ill and functionally impaired patients. The lack of coordination of hospitals, rehabilitation centers and nursing institution is historical in origin. It promotes the tendency to discharge functionally impaired patients to nursing facilities without giving them a chance for recovery of functional autonomy. As the demographic change progresses, this tendency threatens to increase. In a first of two parts, we attempt to describe the present situation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Stefan Knecht
- Institut für Klinische Neurowissenschaften, AG Neurorehabilitation, Heinrich-Heine Universität Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf, Deutschland.
| | - Harmut Reiners
- Ministerialrat a. D., Ministerium für Gesundheit und Familie (MAGS) Brandenburg, Brandenburg, Deutschland
| | - Mario Siebler
- Fachklinik für Neurologie, Rhein/Ruhr, Essen, Deutschland
| | - Thomas Platz
- Forschung, BDH-Klinik Greifswald, Greifswald, Deutschland
| | - Agnes Flöel
- Klinik und Poliklinik für Neurologie, Universitätsmedizin Greifswald, Greifswald, Deutschland
| | - Reinhard Busse
- Fakultät Wirtschaft und Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Deutschland
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22
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Knecht S, Reiners H, Siebler M, Platz T, Flöel A, Busse R. [Slow demographic change and neurological rehabilitation-Part 2: what we can do]. Nervenarzt 2023; 94:718-724. [PMID: 36629886 PMCID: PMC9832254 DOI: 10.1007/s00115-022-01416-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 10/31/2022] [Indexed: 01/12/2023]
Abstract
In its current state the German healthcare system will not be able to adequately care for a growing proportion of older patients with a decreasing healthcare work force. This is particularly so in the postacute care of severely ill patients. In a second of two parts we discuss the perspectives and options at hand. A major conclusion is that substantial gains could be obtained by regulatory adjustments that better align acute care and rehabilitative measures.
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Affiliation(s)
- Stefan Knecht
- Institut für Klinische Neurowissenschaften, AG Neurorehabilitation, Heinrich-Heine Universität Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf, Deutschland.
| | - Harmut Reiners
- Referat Grundsatzfragen der Gesundheitspolitik, Ministerium für Arbeit, Soziales, Gesundheit und Familie (MAGS) Brandenburg, Potsdam, Deutschland
| | - Mario Siebler
- Fachklinik für Neurologie, Rhein/Ruhr, Essen, Deutschland
| | - Thomas Platz
- Institut für Neurorehabilitation und Evidenzbasierung, An-Institut der Universität Greifswald, BDH-Klinik Greifswald, Greifswald, Deutschland
- AG Neurorehabilitation, Universitätsmedizin Greifswald, Greifswald, Deutschland
| | - Agnes Flöel
- Klinik und Poliklinik für Neurologie, Universitätsmedizin Greifswald, Greifswald, Deutschland
| | - Reinhard Busse
- Management im Gesundheitswesen, Fakultät Wirtschaft und Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Deutschland
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Panteli D, Polin K, Webb E, Allin S, Barnes A, Degelsegger-Márquez A, Ghafur S, Jamieson M, Kim Y, Litvinova Y, Nimptsch U, Parkkinen M, Rasmussen TA, Reichebner C, Röttger J, Rumball-Smith J, Scarpetti G, Seidler AL, Seppänen J, Smith M, Snell M, Stanimirovic D, Verheij R, Zaletel M, Busse R. Health and Care Data: Approaches to data linkage for evidence-informed policy. Health Syst Transit 2023; 25:1-248. [PMID: 37489953] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 07/26/2023]
Abstract
An indispensable prerequisite for answering research questions in health services research is the availability and accessibility of comprehensive, high-quality data. It can be assumed that health services research in the coming years will be increasingly based on data linkage, i.e., the linking, or connecting, of several data sources based on suitable common key variables. A range of approaches to data collection, storage, linkage and availability exists across countries, particularly for secondary research purposes (i.e., the use of data initially collected for other purposes), such as health systems research. The main goal of this review is to develop an overview of, and gain insights into, current approaches to linking data sources in the context of health services research, with the view to inform policy, based on existing practices in high-income countries in Europe and beyond. In doing so, another objective is to provide lessons for countries looking for possible or alternative approaches to data linkage. Thirteen country case studies of data linkage approaches were selected and analysed. Rather than being comprehensive, this review aimed to identify varied and potentially useful case studies to showcase different approaches to data linkage worldwide. A conceptual framework was developed to guide the selection and description of case studies. Information was first identified and collected from publicly available sources and a profile was then created for each country and each case study; these profiles were forwarded to appropriate country experts for validation and completion. The report presents an overview of the included countries and their case studies (Chapter 2), with key data per country and case study in the appendices. This is followed by a closer look at the possibilities of using routine data (Chapter 3); the different approaches to linkage (Chapter 4); the different access routes for researchers (Chapter 5); the use of data for research from electronic patient or health records (Chapter 6); foundational considerations related to data safety, privacy and governance (Chapter 7); recent developments in cross-border data sharing and the European Health Data Space (Chapter 8); and considerations of changes and responses catalysed by the COVID-19 pandemic as related to the generation and secondary use of data (Chapter 9). The review ends with overall conclusions on the necessary characteristics of data to inform research relevant for policy and highlights some insights to inspire possible future solutions - less or more disruptive - for countries looking to expand their use of data (Chapter 10). It emphasises that investing in data linkage for secondary use will not only contribute to the strengthening of national health systems, but also promote international cooperation and contribute to the international visibility of scientific excellence.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Erin Webb
- European Observatory on Health Systems and Policies
| | | | | | | | | | | | - Yoon Kim
- Seoul National University College of Medicine
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Berger E, Reichebner C, Eriksen A, Hildebrandt M, Kuklinski D, Busse R. [Specialised treatment of colorectal cancer in certified cancer centres: Do patients really have to travel further?]. Gesundheitswesen 2023; 85:657-666. [PMID: 37321253 PMCID: PMC10442894 DOI: 10.1055/a-2055-9599] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/17/2023]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION In Germany, many cancer patients are treated outside of cancer centres certified by the German Cancer Society (DKG) resulting in underuse of these facilities and inferior oncological treatment. One way to address this issue would be to restructure the healthcare landscape by following the Danish approach that limits cancer treatment to specialized hospitals. Such an approach would have an impact on the travelling times to treatment centers. The present study determines the impact on patient travel times using the example of colorectal cancer. METHODS For the present analysis, data from structured quality reports (sQB) and from patients insured with the AOK who underwent resection of the colon or rectum during 2018 were used. In addition, data from the DKG regarding an existing certification of a colorectal cance centre were used. Travel time was defined as the time patients spent in an average car with average traffic from the midpoint of the ZIP code of their residence to the coordinates of the hospital. The coordinates of the hospitals and the midpoints of the ZIP codes were obtained by querying the Google API. Travel times were calculated with a local Open Routing Machine server. The statistical programs R and Stata were used for analyses and cartographic representations. RESULTS In 2018, nearly half of all patients with colon cancer were treated at the hospital nearest to their place of residence, of whom approximately 40% were treated at a certified colorectal cancer centre. Overall, only about 47% of all treatments took place at a certified colorectal cancer centre. Travel time to the chosen treatment site averaged 20 minutes. It was minimally shorter (18 minutes) if no certified centre was chosen and minimally longer (21 minutes) for those whose treatment took place in a certified colorectal cancer centre. Modeling of redistributions of all patients to certified centres resulted on an average travel time of 29 minutes. CONCLUSION Even if treatment were limited to specialized hospitals, treatment close to home would still be guaranteed. Regardless of certification, parallel structures can be identified, especially in metropolitan areas, which indicate a potential for restructuring.
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Affiliation(s)
- Elke Berger
- Fachgebiet Management im Gesundheitswesen, Technische
Universität Berlin, Fakultät VII Wirtschaft und Management,
Berlin, Germany
| | - Christoph Reichebner
- Fachgebiet Management im Gesundheitswesen, Technische
Universität Berlin, Fakultät VII Wirtschaft und Management,
Berlin, Germany
| | - Astrid Eriksen
- Fachgebiet Management im Gesundheitswesen, Technische
Universität Berlin, Fakultät VII Wirtschaft und Management,
Berlin, Germany
| | - Meik Hildebrandt
- Fachgebiet Management im Gesundheitswesen, Technische
Universität Berlin, Fakultät VII Wirtschaft und Management,
Berlin, Germany
| | - David Kuklinski
- School of Medicine, Universität St Gallen School of Medicine,
St Gallen, Switzerland
| | - Reinhard Busse
- Fachgebiet Management im Gesundheitswesen, Technische
Universität Berlin, Fakultät VII Wirtschaft und Management,
Berlin, Germany
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Berger E, Reichebner C, Eriksen A, Hildebrandt M, Kuklinski D, Busse R. [Correction: Specialised treatment of colorectal cancer in certified cancer centres: Do patients really have to travel further?]. Gesundheitswesen 2023; 85:e43. [PMID: 37451279 DOI: 10.1055/a-2122-4486] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 07/18/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- Elke Berger
- Fachgebiet Management im Gesundheitswesen, Technische Universität Berlin, Fakultät VII Wirtschaft und Management, Berlin, Germany
| | - Christoph Reichebner
- Fachgebiet Management im Gesundheitswesen, Technische Universität Berlin, Fakultät VII Wirtschaft und Management, Berlin, Germany
| | - Astrid Eriksen
- Fachgebiet Management im Gesundheitswesen, Technische Universität Berlin, Fakultät VII Wirtschaft und Management, Berlin, Germany
| | - Meik Hildebrandt
- Fachgebiet Management im Gesundheitswesen, Technische Universität Berlin, Fakultät VII Wirtschaft und Management, Berlin, Germany
| | - David Kuklinski
- School of Medicine, Universität St Gallen School of Medicine, St Gallen, Switzerland
| | - Reinhard Busse
- Fachgebiet Management im Gesundheitswesen, Technische Universität Berlin, Fakultät VII Wirtschaft und Management, Berlin, Germany
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Lantzsch H, Eckhardt H, Campione A, Busse R, Henschke C. Correction: Digital health applications and the fast-track pathway to public health coverage in Germany: challenges and opportunities based on first results. BMC Health Serv Res 2023; 23:637. [PMID: 37316896 DOI: 10.1186/s12913-023-09679-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/16/2023] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Hendrikje Lantzsch
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623, Berlin, Germany.
| | - Helene Eckhardt
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623, Berlin, Germany
| | - Alessandro Campione
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623, Berlin, Germany
| | - Reinhard Busse
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623, Berlin, Germany
- Berlin Centre of Health Economics Research, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Cornelia Henschke
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623, Berlin, Germany
- Berlin Centre of Health Economics Research, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany
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Pioch C, Henschke C, Lantzsch H, Busse R, Vogt V. Applying a data-driven population segmentation approach in German claims data. BMC Health Serv Res 2023; 23:591. [PMID: 37286993 DOI: 10.1186/s12913-023-09620-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/17/2022] [Accepted: 05/30/2023] [Indexed: 06/09/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Segmenting the population into homogenous groups according to their healthcare needs may help to understand the population's demand for healthcare services and thus support health systems to properly allocate healthcare resources and plan interventions. It may also help to reduce the fragmented provision of healthcare services. The aim of this study was to apply a data-driven utilisation-based cluster analysis to segment a defined population in the south of Germany. METHODS Based on claims data of one big German health insurance a two-stage clustering approach was applied to group the population into segments. A hierarchical method (Ward's linkage) was performed to determine the optimal number of clusters, followed by a k-means cluster analysis using age and healthcare utilisation data in 2019. The resulting segments were described in terms of their morbidity, costs and demographic characteristics. RESULTS The 126,046 patients were divided into six distinct population segments. Healthcare utilisation, morbidity and demographic characteristics differed significantly across the segments. The segment "High overall care use" comprised the smallest share of patients (2.03%) but accounted for 24.04% of total cost. The overall utilisation of services was higher than the population average. In contrast, the segment "Low overall care use" included 42.89% of the study population, accounting for 9.94% of total cost. Utilisation of services by patients in this segment was lower than population average. CONCLUSION Population segmentation offers the opportunity to identify patient groups with similar healthcare utilisation patterns, patient demographics and morbidity. Thereby, healthcare services could be tailored for groups of patients with similar healthcare needs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Carolina Pioch
- Department of Health Care Management, Technical University of Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, Berlin, 10623, Germany.
| | - Cornelia Henschke
- Department of Health Care Management, Technical University of Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, Berlin, 10623, Germany
- Berlin Centre of Health Economics Research (BerlinHECOR), Technical University of Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, Berlin, 10623, Germany
| | - Hendrikje Lantzsch
- Department of Health Care Management, Technical University of Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, Berlin, 10623, Germany
| | - Reinhard Busse
- Department of Health Care Management, Technical University of Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, Berlin, 10623, Germany
- Berlin Centre of Health Economics Research (BerlinHECOR), Technical University of Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, Berlin, 10623, Germany
| | - Verena Vogt
- Department of Health Care Management, Technical University of Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, Berlin, 10623, Germany
- Institute of General Practice and Family Medicine, Jena University Hospital, Friedrich Schiller University, Bachstraße 18, Jena, 07743, Germany
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Eriksen A, Berger E, Reichebner C, Wiedicke A, Busse R. The media's coverage and framing of hospital reforms: The case of Denmark. Health Policy 2023; 133:104840. [PMID: 37229923 DOI: 10.1016/j.healthpol.2023.104840] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/25/2022] [Revised: 04/27/2023] [Accepted: 05/13/2023] [Indexed: 05/27/2023]
Abstract
The Danish hospital landscape has been continuously restructured since the early 2000s. A structural reform reorganized the public sector, and a hospital reform restructured the hospital landscape, closing hospitals and concentrating specialized treatment in so-called super-hospitals. Reforms can generate considerable debate, including in the media, especially regarding sensitive topics like healthcare. The present study explores the media's coverage of the hospital reform, the antecedent structural reform, and three events related to differences in treatment outcomes, whose importance was pointed out in expert interviews. The coverage is analyzed regarding quantity and main theme (agenda-setting): tone and whether the focus was on single events (episodic framing) or broader context (thematic framing). We used a systematic keyword search to identify relevant news stories and analyzed the headlines and lead paragraphs of 1192 news stories. The three events generated a large amount of coverage, but some events varied in terms of context and tone of coverage. Further, the media covered hospital closures in connection with the two reforms differently in context and tone, although the first difference is not statistically different. Overall, the coverage of the events might have helped raise the public's awareness of challenges in the healthcare system, which could have contributed to opening a window of opportunity for a hospital reform.
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Affiliation(s)
- Astrid Eriksen
- Department of Health Care Management, Technical University, Straße des 17. Juni, Berlin 10623, Germany.
| | - Elke Berger
- Department of Health Care Management, Technical University, Straße des 17. Juni, Berlin 10623, Germany
| | - Christoph Reichebner
- Department of Health Care Management, Technical University, Straße des 17. Juni, Berlin 10623, Germany
| | - Annemarie Wiedicke
- Department of Media and Communication, Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich, Germany
| | - Reinhard Busse
- Department of Health Care Management, Technical University, Straße des 17. Juni, Berlin 10623, Germany
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Schöner L, Kuklinski D, Geissler A, Busse R, Pross C. A composite measure for patient-reported outcomes in orthopedic care: design principles and validity checks. Qual Life Res 2023:10.1007/s11136-023-03395-0. [PMID: 36964454 PMCID: PMC10329084 DOI: 10.1007/s11136-023-03395-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 03/08/2023] [Indexed: 03/26/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The complex, multidimensional nature of healthcare quality makes provider and treatment decisions based on quality difficult. Patient-reported outcome (PRO) measures can enhance patient centricity and involvement. The proliferation of PRO measures, however, requires a simplification to improve comprehensibility. Composite measures can simplify complex data without sacrificing the underlying information. OBJECTIVE AND METHODS We propose a five-step development approach to combine different PRO into one composite measure (PRO-CM): (i) theoretical framework and metric selection, (ii) initial data analysis, (iii) rescaling, (iv) weighting and aggregation, and (v) sensitivity and uncertainty analysis. We evaluate different rescaling, weighting, and aggregation methods by utilizing data of 3145 hip and 2605 knee replacement patients, to identify the most advantageous development approach for a PRO-CM that reflects quality variations from a patient perspective. RESULTS The comparison of different methods within steps (iii) and (iv) reveals the following methods as most advantageous: (iii) rescaling via z-score standardization and (iv) applying differential weights and additive aggregation. The resulting PRO-CM is most sensitive to variations in physical health. Changing weighting schemes impacts the PRO-CM most directly, while it proves more robust towards different rescaling and aggregation approaches. CONCLUSION Combining multiple PRO provides a holistic picture of patients' health improvement. The PRO-CM can enhance patient understanding and simplify reporting and monitoring of PRO. However, the development methodology of a PRO-CM needs to be justified and transparent to ensure that it is comprehensible and replicable. This is essential to address the well-known problems associated with composites, such as misinterpretation and lack of trust.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lukas Schöner
- Department of Health Care Management, Technical University Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623, Berlin, Germany.
| | - David Kuklinski
- Department of Health Care Management, University of St. Gallen, St. Gallen, Switzerland
| | - Alexander Geissler
- Department of Health Care Management, University of St. Gallen, St. Gallen, Switzerland
| | - Reinhard Busse
- Department of Health Care Management, Technical University Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623, Berlin, Germany
| | - Christoph Pross
- Department of Health Care Management, Technical University Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623, Berlin, Germany
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Nimptsch U, Blümel M, Topf T, Stepath K, Busse R. [Recording Trauma Care in German Hospital Discharge Data: Services Provided by Hospitals Owned by Workers' Compensation Funds and Financed through Statutory Accidental Insurance]. Gesundheitswesen 2023; 85:S162-S170. [PMID: 34798663 DOI: 10.1055/a-1665-6874] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/19/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND In Germany, the Diagnosis-Related Group Statistics (DRG Statistics) represent an almost complete discharge data-based registry of inpatient services in acute care hospitals. However, services of hospitals owned by workers' compensation funds and financed through the statutory insurance for occupational accidents are excluded from the obligation of submitting hospital discharge data. Hence, the DRG statistics might be incomplete regarding inpatient services for trauma care. METHODS In order to illustrate trauma and post-trauma care in acute care hospitals, groups of specific inpatient services were defined. Numbers of cases according to these groups were identified in the microdata of the DRG statistics, as well as in the inpatient data of all nine workers' compensation funds hospitals in Germany. By dividing cases financed through the statutory insurance for occupational accidents from cases financed through other payers, the overlap of both databases as well as the share of cases not recorded in the DRG statistics were quantified. The analysis comprised data of 2016-2018. RESULTS Depending on the type of service, the share of cases not recorded in the DRG statistics varied between 0.1% and more than 60% (accumulated 2016 to 2018). There was under-recording of early-stage rehabilitation for traumatic brain injury (61%), treatment for traumatic paraplegia (14% for initial treatment and 23% for subsequent treatment), treatment for amputation injury (13%) and treatment for severe hand injury (5%). CONCLUSION Regarding inpatient services that are not covered by the statutory insurance for occupational accidents, the microdata of the DRG statistics can be considered as virtually complete. However, inpatient services for trauma care are not completely recorded because discharge data are not submitted by hospitals run by workers' compensation funds when services are financed through the statutory insurance for occupational accidents. Analyses of trauma care can only be complete if data of hospitals financed by workers' compensation funds are included.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ulrike Nimptsch
- Fachgebiet Management im Gesundheitswesen, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Deutschland
| | - Miriam Blümel
- Fachgebiet Management im Gesundheitswesen, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Deutschland
- Gesundheitsökonomisches Zentrum Berlin, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Deutschland
| | - Thomas Topf
- Marktbereich Gesundheitswesen, Wissenschaft & Forschung, PD - Berater der öffentlichen Hand GmbH, Berlin, Deutschland
| | - Kai Stepath
- Marktbereich Gesundheitswesen, Wissenschaft & Forschung, PD - Berater der öffentlichen Hand GmbH, Berlin, Deutschland
| | - Reinhard Busse
- Fachgebiet Management im Gesundheitswesen, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Deutschland
- Gesundheitsökonomisches Zentrum Berlin, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Deutschland
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Nübler L, Busse R, Siegel M. The role of consumer choice in out-of-pocket spending on health. Int J Equity Health 2023; 22:24. [PMID: 36721164 PMCID: PMC9890873 DOI: 10.1186/s12939-023-01838-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/02/2022] [Accepted: 01/21/2023] [Indexed: 02/01/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Analyses of out-of-pocket healthcare spending often suffer from an inability to distinguish necessary from optional spending in the data without making further assumptions. We propose a two-dimensional rating of the spending categories often available in household budget survey data where we consider the requirement to pay for necessary healthcare as one dimension and the incentive to pay extra for additional services, higher quality options or more convenience as a second dimension to assess the distortionary potential of higher spending for additional healthcare or higher quality options. METHODS We use three waves of a large German Household Budget Survey and decompose the Kakwani-index of total out-of-pocket healthcare spending into contributions of the eleven spending categories available in our data, across which user charge regulations vary considerably. We compute and decompose Kakwani-indexes for the different spending categories to compare the degrees of regressiveness across them. RESULTS The results suggest that categories with higher incentives for additional spending exhibit smaller contributions to the overall regressive effect of total out-of-pocket spending than categories where spending is presumably mostly on necessary and effective care. CONCLUSIONS Assessing the consumer choice potential of different spending categories is important because extra spending among the better-off may outweigh necessary spending in aggregate expenditure data, and may also hint at potential inequalities in the quality of provided healthcare.
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Affiliation(s)
- Laura Nübler
- grid.6734.60000 0001 2292 8254Department of Empirical Health Economics, Technische Universität Berlin, H51, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623 Berlin, Germany
| | - Reinhard Busse
- grid.6734.60000 0001 2292 8254Department of Healthcare Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany ,Berlin Centre of Health Economics Research (BerlinHECOR), Berlin, Germany
| | - Martin Siegel
- grid.6734.60000 0001 2292 8254Department of Empirical Health Economics, Technische Universität Berlin, H51, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623 Berlin, Germany ,Berlin Centre of Health Economics Research (BerlinHECOR), Berlin, Germany
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Oliveira Gonçalves AS, Rohmann JL, Piccininni M, Kurth T, Ebinger M, Endres M, Freitag E, Harmel P, Lorenz-Meyer I, Rohrpasser-Napierkowski I, Busse R, Audebert HJ. Economic Evaluation of a Mobile Stroke Unit Service in Germany. Ann Neurol 2023; 93:942-951. [PMID: 36637359 DOI: 10.1002/ana.26602] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/09/2022] [Revised: 01/06/2023] [Accepted: 01/09/2023] [Indexed: 01/14/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Lower global disability and higher quality of life among ischemic stroke patients was found to be associated with the dispatch of mobile stroke units (MSUs) among patients eligible for recanalizing treatments in the Berlin_Prehospital Or Usual Delivery of stroke care (B_PROUD) study. The current study assessed the cost-utility and cost-effectiveness of additional MSU dispatch using data from this prospective, controlled, intervention study. METHODS Outcomes considered in the economic evaluation included quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) derived from the 3-level version of EQ-5D (EQ-5D-3L) and modified Rankin Scale (mRS) scores for functional outcomes 3-months after stroke. Costs were prospectively collected during the study by the MSU provider (Berlin Fire Brigade) and the B_PROUD research team. We focus our results on the societal perspective. As we aimed to determine the economic consequences of the intervention beyond the study's follow-up period, both care costs and QALYs were extrapolated over 5 years. RESULTS The additional MSU dispatch resulted in an incremental €40,984 per QALY. The best-case scenario and the worst-case scenario yielded additional costs of, respectively, €24,470.76 and €61,690.88 per QALY. In the cost-effectiveness analysis, MSU dispatch resulted in incremental costs of €81,491 per survival without disability. The best-case scenario and the worst-case scenario yielded additional costs of, respectively, €44,455.30 and €116,491.15 per survival without disability. INTERPRETATION Among patients eligible for recanalizing treatments in ischemic stroke, MSU dispatch was associated with both higher QALYs and higher costs and is cost-effective when considering internationally accepted thresholds ranging from an additional €40,000 to €80,000 per QALY. ANN NEUROL 2023.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ana Sofia Oliveira Gonçalves
- Institute of Public Health, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, corporate member of Freie Universität Berlin und Humboldt Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Jessica L Rohmann
- Institute of Public Health, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, corporate member of Freie Universität Berlin und Humboldt Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany.,Center for Stroke Research Berlin, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, corporate member of Freie Universität Berlin und Humboldt Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Marco Piccininni
- Institute of Public Health, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, corporate member of Freie Universität Berlin und Humboldt Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany.,Center for Stroke Research Berlin, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, corporate member of Freie Universität Berlin und Humboldt Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Tobias Kurth
- Institute of Public Health, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, corporate member of Freie Universität Berlin und Humboldt Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Martin Ebinger
- Center for Stroke Research Berlin, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, corporate member of Freie Universität Berlin und Humboldt Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany.,Klinik für Neurologie, Medical Park Berlin Humboldtmühle, Berlin, Germany
| | - Matthias Endres
- Center for Stroke Research Berlin, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, corporate member of Freie Universität Berlin und Humboldt Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany.,Klinik und Hochschulambulanz für Neurologie, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, corporate member of Freie Universität Berlin und Humboldt Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany.,Berlin Institute of Health (BIH), Berlin, Germany.,German Centre for Cardiovascular Research (DZHK), partner site Berlin, Berlin, Germany.,NeuroCure Cluster of Excellence, Berlin, Germany.,German Center for Neurodegenerative Diseases (DZNE), Berlin, Germany
| | - Erik Freitag
- Klinik und Hochschulambulanz für Neurologie, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, corporate member of Freie Universität Berlin und Humboldt Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Peter Harmel
- Klinik und Hochschulambulanz für Neurologie, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, corporate member of Freie Universität Berlin und Humboldt Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Irina Lorenz-Meyer
- Klinik und Hochschulambulanz für Neurologie, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, corporate member of Freie Universität Berlin und Humboldt Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Ira Rohrpasser-Napierkowski
- Klinik und Hochschulambulanz für Neurologie, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, corporate member of Freie Universität Berlin und Humboldt Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Reinhard Busse
- Department of Health Care Management, Berlin University of Technology, Berlin, Germany.,European Observatory on Health Systems and Policies, Brussels, Belgium
| | - Heinrich J Audebert
- Center for Stroke Research Berlin, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, corporate member of Freie Universität Berlin und Humboldt Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany.,Klinik und Hochschulambulanz für Neurologie, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, corporate member of Freie Universität Berlin und Humboldt Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany
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Achstetter K, Köppen J, Haltaufderheide M, Hengel P, Blümel M, Busse R. Health Literacy of People with Substitutive Private Health Insurance in Germany and Their Assessment of the Health System Performance According to Health Literacy Levels: Results from a Survey. Int J Environ Res Public Health 2022; 19:16711. [PMID: 36554592 PMCID: PMC9778886 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph192416711] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/31/2022] [Revised: 12/01/2022] [Accepted: 12/05/2022] [Indexed: 06/17/2023]
Abstract
Health literacy (HL) is a competence to find, understand, appraise, and apply health information and is necessary to maneuver the health system successfully. People with low HL are, e.g., under the risk of poor quality and safety of care. Previous research has shown that low HL is more prevalent among, e.g., people with lower social status, lower educational level, and among the elderly. In Germany, people with substitutive private health insurance (PHI) account for 11% of the population and tend to have a higher level of education and social status, but in-detail assessments of their HL are missing so far. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the HL of PHI insureds in Germany, and to analyze their assessment of the health system according to their HL level. In 2018, 20,000 PHI insureds were invited to participate in a survey, which contained the HLS-EU-Q16, and items covering patient characteristics and the World Health Organization health systems framework goals (e.g., access, quality, safety, responsiveness). Low HL was found for 46.2% of respondents and was more prevalent, e.g., among men and insureds with a low subjective social status. The health system performance was perceived poorer by respondents with low HL. Future initiatives to strengthen health systems should focus on promoting HL.
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Affiliation(s)
- Katharina Achstetter
- Department of Health Care Management and Berlin Centre for Health Economics Research (BerlinHECOR), Technische Universität Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623 Berlin, Germany
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Achstetter K, Köppen J, Hengel P, Blümel M, Busse R. Drivers of patient perceptions of health system responsiveness in Germany. Int J Health Plann Manage 2022; 37 Suppl 1:166-186. [PMID: 36184993 DOI: 10.1002/hpm.3570] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/14/2022] [Revised: 08/24/2022] [Accepted: 08/31/2022] [Indexed: 12/31/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Health system responsiveness (HSR)-the ability of a health system to meet the non-medical legitimate expectations of patients-is a key to patient-centred health systems. Although responsiveness is essential to provide equitable and accountable health care, little is known about patient-side drivers of HSR. This study aims to narrow this gap. METHODS A survey among 20,000 Germans with substitutive private health insurance included questions on HSR and patient characteristics such as health literacy (HL), experienced discrimination, and sociodemographic information. Survey data were linked to patient-level claims data. Logistic regression was applied to assess the association between HSR and patient characteristics. RESULTS The sample (age 54.0 ± 16.1; 60.5% male) contains 2951 respondents with outpatient physician care in the past year. Of the nine HSR items, eight are rated as (very) good (74.4%-94.3%), except for coordination between providers (60.2%). Patient characteristics highly influence HSR: patients with high HL, for instance, are more likely to assess responsiveness as (very) good (e.g., clear explanations from physicians: OR 4.17). Poor assessment of responsiveness is seen among users who experienced discrimination. CONCLUSION This study revealed new associations between HSR and patient characteristics. Incorporating this knowledge in practice would help strengthen patient-centred health services by considering patient experiences and expectations. This highlights that HSR can be used as a tool to evaluate and promote patient-centred health services. Future research should investigate additional drivers of HSR, both on the patient and the provider sides.
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Affiliation(s)
- Katharina Achstetter
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany.,Berlin Centre for Health Economics Research, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Julia Köppen
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany.,Berlin Centre for Health Economics Research, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Philipp Hengel
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany.,Berlin Centre for Health Economics Research, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Miriam Blümel
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany.,Berlin Centre for Health Economics Research, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Reinhard Busse
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany.,Berlin Centre for Health Economics Research, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany
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Haakenstad A, Yearwood JA, Fullman N, Bintz C, Bienhoff K, Weaver MR, Nandakumar V, LeGrand KE, Knight M, Abbafati C, Abbasi-Kangevari M, Abdoli A, Abeldaño Zuñiga RA, Adedeji IA, Adekanmbi V, Adetokunboh OO, Afzal MS, Afzal S, Agudelo-Botero M, Ahinkorah BO, Ahmad S, Ahmadi A, Ahmadi S, Ahmed A, Ahmed Rashid T, Aji B, Akande-Sholabi W, Alam K, Al Hamad H, Alhassan RK, Ali L, Alipour V, Aljunid SM, Ameyaw EK, Amin TT, Amu H, Amugsi DA, Ancuceanu R, Andrade PP, Anjum A, Arabloo J, Arab-Zozani M, Ariffin H, Arulappan J, Aryan Z, Ashraf T, Atnafu DD, Atreya A, Ausloos M, Avila-Burgos L, Ayano G, Ayanore MA, Azari S, Badiye AD, Baig AA, Bairwa M, Bakkannavar SM, Baliga S, Banik PC, Bärnighausen TW, Barra F, Barrow A, Basu S, Bayati M, Belete R, Bell AW, Bhagat DS, Bhagavathula AS, Bhardwaj P, Bhardwaj N, Bhaskar S, Bhattacharyya K, Bhurtyal A, Bhutta ZA, Bibi S, Bijani A, Bikbov B, Biondi A, Bolarinwa OA, Bonny A, Brenner H, Buonsenso D, Burkart K, Busse R, Butt ZA, Butt NS, Caetano dos Santos FL, Cahuana-Hurtado L, Cámera LA, Cárdenas R, Carneiro VLA, Catalá-López F, Chandan JS, Charan J, Chavan PP, Chen S, Chen S, Choudhari SG, Chowdhury EK, Chowdhury MAK, Cirillo M, Corso B, Dadras O, Dahlawi SMA, Dai X, Dandona L, Dandona R, Dangel WJ, Dávila-Cervantes CA, Davletov K, Deuba K, Dhimal M, Dhimal ML, Djalalinia S, Do HP, Doshmangir L, Duncan BB, Effiong A, Ehsani-Chimeh E, Elgendy IY, Elhadi M, El Sayed I, El Tantawi M, Erku DA, Eskandarieh S, Fares J, Farzadfar F, Ferrero S, Ferro Desideri L, Fischer F, Foigt NA, Foroutan M, Fukumoto T, Gaal PA, Gaihre S, Gardner WM, Garg T, Getachew Obsa A, Ghafourifard M, Ghashghaee A, Ghith N, Gilani SA, Gill PS, Goharinezhad S, Golechha M, Guadamuz JS, Guo Y, Gupta RD, Gupta R, Gupta VK, Gupta VB, Hamiduzzaman M, Hanif A, Haro JM, Hasaballah AI, Hasan MM, Hasan MT, Hashi A, Hay SI, Hayat K, Heidari M, Heidari G, Henry NJ, Herteliu C, Holla R, Hossain S, Hossain SJ, Hossain MBH, Hosseinzadeh M, Hostiuc S, Hoveidamanesh S, Hsieh VCR, Hu G, Huang J, Huda MM, Ifeagwu SC, Ikuta KS, Ilesanmi OS, Irvani SSN, Islam RM, Islam SMS, Ismail NE, Iso H, Isola G, Itumalla R, Iwagami M, Jahani MA, Jahanmehr N, Jain R, Jakovljevic M, Janodia MD, Jayapal SK, Jayaram S, Jha RP, Jonas JB, Joo T, Joseph N, Jürisson M, Kabir A, Kalankesh LR, Kalhor R, Kamath AM, Kamenov K, Kandel H, Kantar RS, Kapoor N, Karanikolos M, Katikireddi SV, Kavetskyy T, Kawakami N, Kayode GA, Keikavoosi-Arani L, Keykhaei M, Khader YS, Khajuria H, Khalilov R, Khammarnia M, Khan MN, Khan MAB, Khan M, Khezeli M, Kim MS, Kim YJ, Kisa S, Kisa A, Klymchuk V, Koly KN, Korzh O, Kosen S, Koul PA, Kuate Defo B, Kumar GA, Kusuma D, Kyu HH, Larsson AO, Lasrado S, Lee WC, Lee YH, Lee CB, Li S, Lucchetti G, Mahajan PB, Majeed A, Makki A, Malekzadeh R, Malik AA, Malta DC, Mansournia MA, Mantovani LG, Martinez-Valle A, Martins-Melo FR, Masoumi SZ, Mathur MR, Maude RJ, Maulik PK, McKee M, Mendoza W, Menezes RG, Mensah GA, Meretoja A, Meretoja TJ, Mestrovic T, Michalek IM, Mirrakhimov EM, Misganaw A, Misra S, Moazen B, Mohammadi M, Mohammed S, Moitra M, Mokdad AH, Molokhia M, Monasta L, Moni MA, Moradi G, Moreira RS, Mosser JF, Mostafavi E, Mouodi S, Nagarajan AJ, Nagata C, Naghavi M, Nangia V, Narasimha Swamy S, Narayana AI, Nascimento BR, Nassereldine H, Nayak BP, Nazari J, Negoi I, Nepal S, Neupane Kandel S, Ngunjiri JW, Nguyen HLT, Nguyen CT, Ningrum DNA, Noubiap JJ, Oancea B, Oghenetega OB, Oh IH, Olagunju AT, Olakunde BO, Omar Bali A, Omer E, Onwujekwe OE, Otoiu A, Padubidri JR, Palladino R, Pana A, Panda-Jonas S, Pandi-Perumal SR, Pardhan S, Pasupula DK, Pathak PK, Patton GC, Pawar S, Pereira J, Pilania M, Piroozi B, Podder V, Pokhrel KN, Postma MJ, Prada SI, Quazi Syed Z, Rabiee N, Radhakrishnan RA, Rahman MM, Rahman M, Rahman M, Rahman MHU, Rahmani AM, Ranabhat CL, Rao CR, Rao SJ, Rasella D, Rawaf S, Rawaf DL, Rawal L, Renzaho AM, Reshmi B, Resnikoff S, Rezapour A, Riahi SM, Ripon RK, Sacco S, Sadeghi M, Saeed U, Sahebkar A, Sahiledengle B, Sahoo H, Sahu M, Salama JS, Salamati P, Samy AM, Sanabria J, Santric-Milicevic MM, Sathian B, Sawhney M, Schmidt MI, Seidu AA, Sepanlou SG, Seylani A, Shaikh MA, Sheikh A, Shetty A, Shigematsu M, Shiri R, Shivakumar KM, Shokri A, Singh JA, Sinha DN, Skryabin VY, Skryabina AA, Sofi-Mahmudi A, Sousa RARC, Stephens JH, Sun J, Szócska M, Tabarés-Seisdedos R, Tadbiri H, Tamiru AT, Thankappan KR, Topor-Madry R, Tovani-Palone MR, Tran MTN, Tran BX, Tripathi N, Tripathy JP, Troeger CE, Uezono DR, Ullah S, Ullah A, Unnikrishnan B, Vacante M, Valadan Tahbaz S, Valdez PR, Vasic M, Veroux M, Vervoort D, Violante FS, Vladimirov SK, Vlassov V, Vo B, Waheed Y, Wamai RG, Wang YP, Wang Y, Ward P, Wiangkham T, Yadav L, Yahyazadeh Jabbari SH, Yamagishi K, Yaya S, Yazdi-Feyzabadi V, Yi S, Yiğit V, Yonemoto N, Younis MZ, Yu C, Yunusa I, Zaman SB, Zastrozhin MS, Zhang ZJ, Zhong C, Zuniga YMH, Lim SS, Murray CJL, Lozano R. Assessing performance of the Healthcare Access and Quality Index, overall and by select age groups, for 204 countries and territories, 1990-2019: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. Lancet Glob Health 2022; 10:e1715-e1743. [PMID: 36209761 PMCID: PMC9666426 DOI: 10.1016/s2214-109x(22)00429-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/01/2021] [Revised: 05/13/2022] [Accepted: 09/23/2022] [Indexed: 11/05/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Health-care needs change throughout the life course. It is thus crucial to assess whether health systems provide access to quality health care for all ages. Drawing from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2019 (GBD 2019), we measured the Healthcare Access and Quality (HAQ) Index overall and for select age groups in 204 locations from 1990 to 2019. METHODS We distinguished the overall HAQ Index (ages 0-74 years) from scores for select age groups: the young (ages 0-14 years), working (ages 15-64 years), and post-working (ages 65-74 years) groups. For GBD 2019, HAQ Index construction methods were updated to use the arithmetic mean of scaled mortality-to-incidence ratios (MIRs) and risk-standardised death rates (RSDRs) for 32 causes of death that should not occur in the presence of timely, quality health care. Across locations and years, MIRs and RSDRs were scaled from 0 (worst) to 100 (best) separately, putting the HAQ Index on a different relative scale for each age group. We estimated absolute convergence for each group on the basis of whether the HAQ Index grew faster in absolute terms between 1990 and 2019 in countries with lower 1990 HAQ Index scores than countries with higher 1990 HAQ Index scores and by Socio-demographic Index (SDI) quintile. SDI is a summary metric of overall development. FINDINGS Between 1990 and 2019, the HAQ Index increased overall (by 19·6 points, 95% uncertainty interval 17·9-21·3), as well as among the young (22·5, 19·9-24·7), working (17·2, 15·2-19·1), and post-working (15·1, 13·2-17·0) age groups. Large differences in HAQ Index scores were present across SDI levels in 2019, with the overall index ranging from 30·7 (28·6-33·0) on average in low-SDI countries to 83·4 (82·4-84·3) on average in high-SDI countries. Similarly large ranges between low-SDI and high-SDI countries, respectively, were estimated in the HAQ Index for the young (40·4-89·0), working (33·8-82·8), and post-working (30·4-79·1) groups. Absolute convergence in HAQ Index was estimated in the young group only. In contrast, divergence was estimated among the working and post-working groups, driven by slow progress in low-SDI countries. INTERPRETATION Although major gaps remain across levels of social and economic development, convergence in the young group is an encouraging sign of reduced disparities in health-care access and quality. However, divergence in the working and post-working groups indicates that health-care access and quality is lagging at lower levels of social and economic development. To meet the needs of ageing populations, health systems need to improve health-care access and quality for working-age adults and older populations while continuing to realise gains among the young. FUNDING Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
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Struckmann V, Vogt V, Köppen J, Meier T, Hoedemakers M, Leijten F, Looman W, Karimi M, Busse R, Rutten-van Mölken M. [Patients, Partners, Professionals, Payers and Policy Makers Preferences for Integrated Care for Multimorbidity in Germany: A Discrete Choice Experiment]. Gesundheitswesen 2022; 84:1145-1153. [PMID: 34670286 DOI: 10.1055/a-1547-6898] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/16/2022]
Abstract
AIM OF THE WORK The aim of this study was to measure and compare the relative importance that patients with multimorbidity, partners and other informal caregivers, professionals, payers and policy makers attribute to different outcome measures of integrated care (IC) programmes in Germany. METHODS A DCE was conducted, asking respondents to choose between two IC programmes for persons with multimorbidity. Each IC programme was presented by means of attributes or outcomes reflecting the Triple Aim. They were divided into the outcomes health/ wellbeing, experience with care and costs with in total eight attributes and three levels of performance. RESULTS The results of n=676 questionnaires showed that the attributes "enjoyment of life" and "continuity of care" received the highest ratings across all stakeholder groups. The lowest relative scores remained for the attribute "total costs" for all stakeholders. The preferences of professionals and informal caregivers differed most distinctly from the patients' preferences. The differences mostly concerned "physical functioning", which was rated highest by patients, and "person centeredness" and "continuity of care", which received the highest ratings from professionals. CONCLUSIONS The preference heterogeneities identified in relation to the outcomes of IC programmes between different stakeholders highlight the importance of informing professionals and policy makers about the different perspectives in order to optimise the design of IC programmes. The results also support the relevance of joint decision-making and coordination processes between professionals, informal caregivers and patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Verena Struckmann
- Management im Gesundheitswesen, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Deutschland
| | - Verena Vogt
- Management im Gesundheitswesen, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Deutschland
| | - Julia Köppen
- Management im Gesundheitswesen, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Deutschland
| | - Theresa Meier
- Abteilung Stationäre Versorgung/Referat Versorgungsstrukturen und Qualitätssicherung, vdek, Berlin, Deutschland
| | - Maaike Hoedemakers
- Erasmus School of Health Policy & Management, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Rotterdam, Netherlands
| | - Fenna Leijten
- Dutch Ministry of Defence, Staff Defence, Healthcare Organisation, Rotterdam, Netherlands
| | - Willemijn Looman
- Erasmus School of Health Policy & Management, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Rotterdam, Netherlands.,ZorgImpuls, Rotterdam, Netherlands
| | - Milad Karimi
- Erasmus School of Health Policy & Management, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Rotterdam, Netherlands
| | - Reinhard Busse
- Management im Gesundheitswesen, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Deutschland
| | - Maureen Rutten-van Mölken
- Erasmus School of Health Policy & Management, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Rotterdam, Netherlands.,Erasmus School of Health Policy & Management & Institute for Medical Technology Assessment, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Rotterdam, Netherlands
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Waitzberg R, Quentin W, Busse R, Greenberg D. Dual Agency: A Fresh Perspective to Identify Dilemma Mitigation Strategies - A Response to the Recent Commentaries. Int J Health Policy Manag 2022; 12:7758. [PMID: 37579482 PMCID: PMC10125091 DOI: 10.34172/ijhpm.2022.7758] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/12/2022] [Accepted: 10/22/2022] [Indexed: 08/16/2023] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Ruth Waitzberg
- Department of Health Care Management, Faculty of Economics & Management, Technical University Berlin, Berlin, Germany
- The Smokler Center for Health Policy Research, Myers-JDC-Brookdale Institute, Jerusalem, Israel
| | - Wilm Quentin
- Department of Health Care Management, Faculty of Economics & Management, Technical University Berlin, Berlin, Germany
- European Observatory on Health Systems and Policies, Brussels, Belgium
| | - Reinhard Busse
- Department of Health Care Management, Faculty of Economics & Management, Technical University Berlin, Berlin, Germany
- European Observatory on Health Systems and Policies, Brussels, Belgium
| | - Dan Greenberg
- Department of Health Systems Management, School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Beer-Sheva, Israel
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Hengel P, Achstetter K, Blümel M, Schwarzbach V, Busse R. Health system efficiency in Germany: results of a pilot study to assess health system performance. Eur J Public Health 2022. [DOI: 10.1093/eurpub/ckac131.024] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/14/2022] Open
Abstract
Abstract
Background
Improved efficiency is one overall goal in WHO’s Health Systems Framework. Efficiency is an important dimension of health system performance assessment (HSPA). HSPA is used as a tool to monitor and evaluate the performance of health systems and to support evidence-based policymaking. In the pilot study for a first German HSPA, efficiency was assessed as one dimension.
Methods
Indicators were selected based on a systematic search of established instruments in national and international HSPA initiatives. Criteria for the inclusion of indicators were data availability and international comparability. Where possible, indicators were evaluated in terms of their development over time (2000-2020), in comparison to eight European countries (e.g., Austria, Denmark, France), and regarding equity aspects (e.g., age, gender, region).
Results
Eight indicators to assess the efficiency of the German health system were identified and analysed accordingly. They cover the pharmaceutical sector, outpatient and inpatient care, and system-wide efficiency. Trend analyses were possible for all indicators, and most were also suitable for international comparisons. Overall, results of the chosen indicators indicate a moderate health system efficiency. The volume of generics as share of all pharmaceuticals, e.g., was 83% in Germany in 2019 (country average: 54%) and has been steadily increasing since 2000. In contrast, expenses for pharmaceuticals overall rose from 1.4% of GDP in 2004 to 1.7% in 2019, whereas it declined from 1.3% to 1.1% on average in the other countries.
Conclusions
Within this first pilot study, a systematic and comparative German HSPA measuring the efficiency of the German health system using eight predefined indicators was proven to be feasible. The results give insights into efficiency measurements across different sectors, e.g., pharmaceuticals, identify developments of efficiency over time, and can support evidence-based policymaking.
Key messages
• In the pilot study for a first German HSPA, efficiency was evaluated using eight indicators covering pharmaceuticals, outpatient and inpatient care, and system-wide efficiency.
• Based on the available data, which allowed trend analyses for all indicators and comparisons to eight European countries for most indicators, Germany’s health system efficiency can still be improved.
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Affiliation(s)
- P Hengel
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin , Berlin, Germany
| | - K Achstetter
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin , Berlin, Germany
| | - M Blümel
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin , Berlin, Germany
| | - V Schwarzbach
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin , Berlin, Germany
| | - R Busse
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin , Berlin, Germany
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Achstetter K, Blümel M, Hengel P, Schwarzbach V, Busse R. Piloting a Health System Performance Assessment for Germany - insights from trend and equity analyses. Eur J Public Health 2022. [PMCID: PMC9593604 DOI: 10.1093/eurpub/ckac131.305] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/03/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Health System Performance Assessment (HSPA) is a tool for the evaluation of the performance and efficiency of a health system and can be used for evidence-based policymaking. For the first time, a country specific HSPA for the German health system is piloted with a focus on trend and equity analyses. Methods Based on the conceptual framework developed in a feasibility study, the pilot study in Germany has being conducted between 2020 and 2023. The framework includes 90 internationally compatible indicators, each of which can be assigned to one of nine dimensions (e.g., access, quality, population health, responsiveness, efficiency). The aim of this pilot study is to conduct trend analyses over the period 2000-2020 and equity analyses (e.g., age, gender, region, education). Data from 56 different national and international secondary data sources (e.g., epidemiologic registry data, claims data, and survey data) were collected, analyzed, and compiled in a report. Results In total, 84 of the 90 indicators could be analyzed with data for Germany. The indicators (e.g., access to acute care, 30-day mortality, amenable mortality rate) are prepared as a trend analysis for Germany for up to 20 years and with regard to various equity aspects. Most indicators can be presented in international comparison with eight selected European countries (e.g., Denmark, France). Furthermore, recommendations were derived to improve the availability and/or quality of data. Conclusions The first German HSPA pilot study provides valuable insights into the performance of the health system. The results based on the analysis of the 90 indicators are an important basis for identifying inequities and needs for improvement. In the future, the lessons learned from the pilot study can be helpful for a permanent implementation of a German HSPA. However, the fragmented data structure in Germany will be a future challenge. Key messages • The first country specific health system performance assessment for the German health system was conducted as a pilot study. • Trends over time, inequities, and needs for improvement can be derived from the analysis of 90 indicators.
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Affiliation(s)
- K Achstetter
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin , Berlin, Germany
| | - M Blümel
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin , Berlin, Germany
| | - P Hengel
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin , Berlin, Germany
| | - V Schwarzbach
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin , Berlin, Germany
| | - R Busse
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin , Berlin, Germany
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Blümel M, Achstetter M, Hengel P, Schwarzbach M, Busse R. Piloting the first health system performance assessment for Germany: key results and learnings. Eur J Public Health 2022. [DOI: 10.1093/eurpub/ckac129.245] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Abstract
Background
Health System Performance Assessment (HSPA) is a tool to monitor and evaluate the performance of health systems and to inform evidence-based policymaking. For the first time, a country specific HSPA is currently being piloted for Germany.
Methods
The HSPA is based on a newly developed conceptual framework including nine dimensions (e.g., access, quality, efficiency, population health). Indicators were selected based on a systematic search of (inter)national studies and HSPA initiatives. Where possible, indicators were analysed in their development over time (2000-2020), in comparison to eight European countries (e.g., Austria, Denmark, France), and along up to seven equity dimensions (e.g., sex, age, income, education, region).
Results
Overall, 90 indicators were included in the HSPA. Trend and equity analyses were possible for almost all and country comparisons for most indicators. A few indicators could not be analysed at all due to missing data. The overall HSPA provides an in-detail picture of Germany's health system. Access, for example, can be rated as good in Germany compared to the other countries, as insurance coverage and physician density are high, and unmet needs and waiting times for elective surgery are low. Results for quality are not as good, e.g., cancer survival rates, but most indicators show a positive trend. While population health outcomes are average in country comparison (e.g., fetal and infant mortality), resource input is comparatively high. Consequently, overall efficiency can still be improved (e.g., amenable mortality per total health expenditure).
Conclusions
This first HSPA for Germany allows new insights to the performance of the German health system which are important for policy and research. While the pilot benefitted a lot from previous HSPA initiatives, data availability remains one of the biggest challenges.
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Affiliation(s)
- M Blümel
- Berlin University of Technology, Department of Healthcare Management , Berlin, Germany
| | - M Achstetter
- Berlin University of Technology, Department of Healthcare Management , Berlin, Germany
| | - P Hengel
- Berlin University of Technology, Department of Healthcare Management , Berlin, Germany
| | - M Schwarzbach
- Berlin University of Technology, Department of Healthcare Management , Berlin, Germany
| | - R Busse
- Berlin University of Technology, Department of Healthcare Management , Berlin, Germany
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Blümel M, Hengel P, Achstetter M, Schwarzbach M, Busse R. Health System Performance Assessment: Does Germany provide good access to healthcare? Eur J Public Health 2022. [DOI: 10.1093/eurpub/ckac131.117] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/14/2022] Open
Abstract
Abstract
Background
Providing equal access to health care is a major goal of health systems and a criterion for health system performance assessment (HSPA). The first systematic HSPA for Germany has been piloted in 2021. Access is one dimension of the conceptual framework (others are, e.g., population health, quality, and efficiency), which will be analysed in the following.
Methods
Nine indicators to measure access were selected based on a systematic search of established instruments in (inter)national HSPA initiatives. Included indicators are availability and accessibility of services (e.g., waiting times) and financial risk protection, among others. Other criteria for the inclusion of indicators were data availability and international comparability. Indicators were evaluated in terms of their trend over time (2000-2020), in international comparison (e.g., Austria, Denmark, France), and according to various equity categories (e.g., age, gender, region).
Results
The indicator access to palliative care could not be evaluated due to lack of data. Overall, access is good in Germany. Internationally, Germany performs better than average on most of the indicators, and its performance has improved over time. Physician density in the inpatient and outpatient sectors has increased since 2000 and is above the average of comparator countries. For some specialties, physician density in rural areas is lower than in urban areas, but the gap has decreased in recent years and does not apply to primary care. Furthermore, only 0.3% of the total population report having foregone care, although they had considered it necessary.
Conclusions
Nine indicators were identified and calculated to assess the performance of the German health system in terms of access to healthcare. Access can be assessed as predominantly positive, but inequities exist. Identified gaps and future extensions, e.g., additional data sources, can provide impetus for evidence-based policy management.
Key messages
• First systematic Health System Performance Assessment for Germany has been piloted.
• Access to health care is good in Germany, both over time and in international comparison, but inequities exist.
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Affiliation(s)
- M Blümel
- Department of Health Care Management, Berlin University of Technology , Berlin, Germany
| | - P Hengel
- Department of Health Care Management, Berlin University of Technology , Berlin, Germany
| | - M Achstetter
- Department of Health Care Management, Berlin University of Technology , Berlin, Germany
| | - M Schwarzbach
- Department of Health Care Management, Berlin University of Technology , Berlin, Germany
| | - R Busse
- Department of Health Care Management, Berlin University of Technology , Berlin, Germany
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Hengel P, Achstetter K, Blümel M, Schwarzbach V, Busse R. Quality of health care in Germany: results of a pilot study to assess health system performance. Eur J Public Health 2022. [DOI: 10.1093/eurpub/ckac131.025] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/12/2022] Open
Abstract
Abstract
Background
Health System Performance Assessment (HSPA) is used as a tool to monitor and evaluate the performance of health systems and to inform evidence-based policymaking. For the first time, a systematic HSPA was piloted for Germany. The conceptual framework includes different dimensions, e.g., access, population health, efficiency, and quality of care. In the following, Germany’s performance is analysed in terms of quality of care.
Methods
Indicators to assess the dimension of quality of care were selected based on a systematic search of established instruments in national and international HSPA initiatives. Other criteria for the inclusion of indicators were data availability and international comparability. The indicators were evaluated in terms of their time trend (2000-2020) and in international comparison (e.g., Austria, Denmark, France).
Results
Overall, 17 indicators were selected to assess quality of care, of which two could not be analysed due to missing data. Indicators include, e.g., emergency readmissions after hospital stays, patient-reported medical errors, coercive measures in psychiatric wards, and in-hospital mortality. Trend analyses were possible for 14 indicators and most of them showed positive developments. In country comparisons, which were feasible for seven indicators, Germany mostly ranked below average. In-hospital mortality for acute myocardial infarction, e.g., was 8% in 2019 in Germany (other countries: 4%-7%) and has been stable since 2014. For stroke, Germany performs better and ranks three of five (6%; range: 5%-9%) in 2019.
Conclusions
Measuring quality of care for a systematic and comparative German HSPA was proven to be feasible. However, some indicators could not be mapped so far due to lack of data. The results give insights into quality measurements across different sectors and can support evidence-based policymaking.
Key messages
• In the first health system performance assessment (HSPA) for Germany, quality of care was evaluated over time (2000-2020) and compared to eight European countries using 17 indicators.
• Measurement of quality was feasible, but data availability should be strengthened in the future as country comparisons were possible for only half the indicators and two could not be analysed at all.
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Affiliation(s)
- P Hengel
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin , Berlin, Germany
| | - K Achstetter
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin , Berlin, Germany
| | - M Blümel
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin , Berlin, Germany
| | - V Schwarzbach
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin , Berlin, Germany
| | - R Busse
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin , Berlin, Germany
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Achstetter K, Blümel M, Hengel P, Schwarzbach V, Busse R. Improving population health in Germany – lessons of a pilot study to assess health system performance. Eur J Public Health 2022. [DOI: 10.1093/eurpub/ckac130.010] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/14/2022] Open
Abstract
Abstract
Background
Improving the population health, both its level and equity, is a major goal of health systems. Health System Performance Assessment (HSPA) is a tool to evaluate the performance of different health system dimensions, e.g., population health, access, efficiency. For the first time, a systematic HSPA was piloted for Germany including the dimension population health.
Methods
The conceptual framework for the German HSPA pilot has been developed in a previous feasibility study. The selection of indicators was based on established indicators used in other HSPA initiatives. Another inclusion criterium was data availability. The ten indicators to measure population health cover e.g., maternal and neonatal health, amenable mortality, infectious diseases, and cancer screening. The indicators are evaluated in terms of their trend over time (2000-2020), in international comparison (e.g., Austria, Denmark, France), and by various equity criteria (e.g., age, gender, region).
Results
Overall, Germany's health system performs moderately regarding population health, especially when compared to selected European countries. While Germany performs very well in terms of incidence rates of infectious diseases, amenable mortality is an area with need for improvements. However, trends over time show improvements of the population health in Germany.
Conclusions
Measuring population health in Germany using ten predefined indicators reveals areas for improvement. Furthermore, subgroup analyses indicate inequities. These results should be considered in further efforts aiming at the improvement of population health in Germany.
Key messages
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Affiliation(s)
- K Achstetter
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin , Berlin, Germany
| | - M Blümel
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin , Berlin, Germany
| | - P Hengel
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin , Berlin, Germany
| | - V Schwarzbach
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin , Berlin, Germany
| | - R Busse
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin , Berlin, Germany
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Verschuuren M, Kluge HHP, Rockenschaub G, Halldorsson H, Martini D, Ronsin K, Storozhenko O, Smallwood CA, Chemali S, Middleton J, Barnhoorn F, Busse R. European Public Health News. Eur J Public Health 2022; 32:834-839. [PMID: 36190154 PMCID: PMC9527952 DOI: 10.1093/eurpub/ckac137] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/14/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Souaad Chemali
- Centre for International Health Protection, Robert Koch Institute, Berlin, Germany
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Lantzsch H, Eckhardt H, Campione A, Busse R, Henschke C. Digital health applications and the fast-track pathway to public health coverage in Germany: challenges and opportunities based on first results. BMC Health Serv Res 2022; 22:1182. [PMID: 36131288 PMCID: PMC9490912 DOI: 10.1186/s12913-022-08500-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/23/2022] [Accepted: 08/23/2022] [Indexed: 11/29/2022] Open
Abstract
Objectives Evidence-based decision-making is the sine qua non for safe and effective patient care and the long-term functioning of health systems. Since 2020 Digital Health Applications (DiHA) in Germany have been undergoing a systematic pathway to be reimbursed by statutory health insurance (SHI) which is attracting attention in other European countries. We therefore investigate coverage decisions on DiHA and the underlying evidence on health care effects, which legally include both medical outcomes and patient-centred structural and procedural outcomes. Methods Based on publicly available data of the Institute for Medicines and Medical Devices searched between 08/2021 and 02/2022, all DiHA listed in the corresponding registry and thus reimbursable by the SHI were systematically investigated and presented descriptively on the basis of predefined criteria, such as clinical condition, and costs. The clinical trials on DiHA permanently included in the registry were reviewed with regard to their study design, endpoints investigated, the survey instruments used, and whether an intention-to-treat analysis was performed. Risk of bias was assessed using the ROB II tool. Results By February 2022, 30 DiHA had been included in the DiHA registry, one third of them permanently and two thirds conditionally. Most DiHA were therapeutic applications for mental illness based on cognitive behavioural therapy. For all permanently included DiHA, randomised controlled trials were conducted to demonstrate the impact on health care effects. While medical outcomes were investigated for all of these DiHA, patient-centred structural and procedural outcomes were rarely investigated. The majority of clinical trials showed a high risk of bias, mainly due to insufficient reporting quality. Overall, the prices for DiHA covered by SHI are on average around € 150 per month (min. € 40; max. € 248). Conclusions Evidence-based decision-making on coverage of DiHA leaves room for improvements both in terms of reporting-quality and the use of patient-centred structural and procedural outcomes in addition to medical outcomes. With appropriate evidence, DiHA can offer an opportunity as an adjunct to existing therapy while currently the high risk of bias of the trials raises doubts about the justification of its high costs. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12913-022-08500-6.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hendrikje Lantzsch
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623, Berlin, Germany.
| | - Helene Eckhardt
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623, Berlin, Germany
| | - Alessandro Campione
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623, Berlin, Germany
| | - Reinhard Busse
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623, Berlin, Germany.,Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin Centre of Health Economics Research, Berlin, Germany
| | - Cornelia Henschke
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Straße des 17. Juni 135, 10623, Berlin, Germany.,Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin Centre of Health Economics Research, Berlin, Germany
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Strumann C, Geissler A, Busse R, Pross C. Can competition improve hospital quality of care? A difference-in-differences approach to evaluate the effect of increasing quality transparency on hospital quality. Eur J Health Econ 2022; 23:1229-1242. [PMID: 34997865 PMCID: PMC9395484 DOI: 10.1007/s10198-021-01423-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/12/2021] [Accepted: 12/09/2021] [Indexed: 06/14/2023]
Abstract
Public reporting on the quality of care is intended to guide patients to the provider with the highest quality and to stimulate a fair competition on quality. We apply a difference-in-differences design to test whether hospital quality has improved more in markets that are more competitive after the first public release of performance data in Germany in 2008. Panel data from 947 hospitals from 2006 to 2010 are used. Due to the high complexity of the treatment of stroke patients, we approximate general hospital quality by the 30-day risk-adjusted mortality rate for stroke treatment. Market structure is measured (comparatively) by the Herfindahl-Hirschman index (HHI) and by the number of hospitals in the relevant market. Predicted market shares based on exogenous variables only are used to compute the HHI to allow a causal interpretation of the reform effect. A homogenous positive effect of competition on quality of care is found. This effect is mainly driven by the response of non-profit hospitals that have a narrow range of services and private for-profit hospitals with a medium range of services. The results highlight the relevance of outcome transparency to enhance hospital quality competition.
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Affiliation(s)
- Christoph Strumann
- Institute of Family Medicine, University Hospital Schleswig-Holstein, Campus Luebeck, Luebeck, Germany.
| | | | - Reinhard Busse
- Department of Health Care Management, Berlin University of Technology, Berlin, Germany
| | - Christoph Pross
- Department of Health Care Management, Berlin University of Technology, Berlin, Germany
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Ernst SCK, Steinbeck V, Busse R, Pross C. Toward System-Wide Implementation of Patient-Reported Outcome Measures: A Framework for Countries, States, and Regions. Value Health 2022; 25:1539-1547. [PMID: 35610145 DOI: 10.1016/j.jval.2022.04.1724] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/16/2021] [Revised: 03/29/2022] [Accepted: 04/10/2022] [Indexed: 06/15/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES This study aimed to develop a framework facilitating (1) the maturity assessment of healthcare systems regarding patient-reported outcome measure (PROM) implementation and (2) the comparison of different healthcare systems' PROM implementation levels to guide discussions and derive lessons for regional, state-level, and national PROM initiatives. METHODS Guided by the grounded theory methodology, a PROM healthcare system implementation framework was developed following multiple steps. Based on interviews with 28 experts from 12 countries and a literature review, a framework was drafted and refined through 29 additional validation interviews. RESULTS The resulting framework comprises 5 implementation stages along 7 dimensions. Implementation stages range from "first experimentation" to "system-wide adoption and a vibrant ecosystem." The dimensions are grouped into patient-reported outcome (PRO) measurement and PRO utilization, the former with the dimensions "scope and condition coverage," "metric and process standardization," and "tools and information technology-based solutions" and the latter with "patient empowerment and clinical decision support," "reporting and quality improvement," and "rewarding and contracting." The "culture and stakeholder involvement" dimension connects both groups. Although a concerted implementation approach across dimensions can be observed in advanced countries, others show a more uneven adoption. CONCLUSIONS The framework and its preliminary application to different healthcare systems demonstrate (1) the importance of coherent progress across complementing dimensions and (2) the relevance of PROM integration across clinical specialties and care sectors to strengthen patient-centered care. Overall, the framework can facilitate dialogues between stakeholders to analyze the current PROM implementation status and strategies to advance it.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sophie-Christin Kornelia Ernst
- Faculty of Economics and Management, Department of Health Care Management, Technical University of Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
| | - Viktoria Steinbeck
- Faculty of Economics and Management, Department of Health Care Management, Technical University of Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Reinhard Busse
- Faculty of Economics and Management, Department of Health Care Management, Technical University of Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Christoph Pross
- Faculty of Economics and Management, Department of Health Care Management, Technical University of Berlin, Berlin, Germany
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Waitzberg R, Gottlieb N, Quentin W, Busse R, Greenberg D. Dual Agency in Hospitals: What Strategies Do Managers and Physicians Apply to Reconcile Dilemmas Between Clinical and Economic Considerations? Int J Health Policy Manag 2022; 11:1823-1834. [PMID: 34634873 PMCID: PMC9808238 DOI: 10.34172/ijhpm.2021.87] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/22/2020] [Accepted: 07/17/2021] [Indexed: 01/12/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Hospital professionals are "dual agents" who may face dilemmas between their commitment to patients' clinical needs and hospitals' financial sustainability. This study examines whether and how hospital professionals balance or reconcile clinical and economic considerations in their decision-making in two countries with activity-based payment systems. METHODS We conducted 46 semi-structured interviews with hospital managers, chief physicians and practicing physicians in five German and five Israeli hospitals in 2018/2019. We used thematic analysis to identify common topics and patterns of meaning. RESULTS Hospital professionals report many situations in which activity-based payment incentivizes proper treatment, and clinical and economic considerations are aligned. This is the case when efficiency can be improved, eg, by curbing unnecessary expenditures or specializing in certain procedures. When considerations are misaligned, hospital professionals have developed a range of strategies that may contribute to balancing competing considerations. These include 'reshaping management,' such as better planning of the entire course of treatment and improvement of the coding; and 'reframing decision-making,' which involves working with averages and developing tool-kits for decision-making. CONCLUSION Misalignment of economic and clinical considerations does not necessarily have negative implications, if professionals manage to balance and reconcile them. Context is important in determining if considerations can be reconciled or not. Reconciling strategies are fragile and can be easily disrupted depending on context. Creating tool-kits for better decision-making, planning the treatment course in advance, working with averages, and having interdisciplinary teams to think together about ways to improve efficiency can help mitigate dilemmas of hospital professionals.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ruth Waitzberg
- The Smokler Center for Health Policy Research, Myers-JDC-Brookdale Institute, Jerusalem, Israel
- Department of Health Policy and Management, School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Beer-Sheva, Israel
- Department of Health Care Management, Faculty of Economics & Management, Technical University Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Nora Gottlieb
- Department of Health Care Management, Faculty of Economics & Management, Technical University Berlin, Berlin, Germany
- Department of Population Medicine and Health Services Research, School of Public Health, Bielefeld University, Bielefeld, Germany
| | - Wilm Quentin
- Department of Health Care Management, Faculty of Economics & Management, Technical University Berlin, Berlin, Germany
- European Observatory on Health Systems and Policies, Brussels, Belgium
| | - Reinhard Busse
- Department of Health Care Management, Faculty of Economics & Management, Technical University Berlin, Berlin, Germany
- European Observatory on Health Systems and Policies, Brussels, Belgium
| | - Dan Greenberg
- Department of Health Policy and Management, School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Beer-Sheva, Israel
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Achstetter K, Blümel M, Köppen J, Hengel P, Busse R. Assessment of health system performance in Germany: Survey-based insights into the perspective of people with private health insurance. Int J Health Plann Manage 2022; 37:3103-3125. [PMID: 35960184 DOI: 10.1002/hpm.3541] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/10/2021] [Revised: 06/24/2022] [Accepted: 06/27/2022] [Indexed: 11/09/2022] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION The World Health Organization (WHO) defined intermediate and overall goals to assess the performance of health systems. As the population perspective becomes more important for improving health systems, the aim of this study was to gain insights into the perspective of people with private health insurance (PHI) in Germany along the predefined WHO goals. METHODS A cross-sectional survey was conducted in 2018 among people with PHI in Germany. The questionnaire included items on all intermediate (access, coverage, quality, and safety) and overall WHO goals (improved health, responsiveness, social and financial risk protection, and improved efficiency). Descriptive analyses were conducted for the total sample and subgroups (gender, age, income, and health status). RESULTS In total, 3601 respondents (age 58.5 ± 14.6; 64.7% male) assessed the German health system. For example, 3.3%-7.5% of the respondents with subjective needs reported forgone care in the past 12 months due to waiting time, distance, or financial reasons and 14.4% suspected medical errors in their care. During the last physician visit 94.2% experienced respectful treatment but only 60.6% perceived coordination of care as good. Unnecessary health services were perceived by 24.2%. For many items significant subgroup differences were found, particularly for age groups (18-64 vs. 65+). CONCLUSION Conducting a health system performance assessment from the population perspective gained new and unique insights into the perception of people with PHI in Germany. Areas to improve the health system were seen in, for example, coordination of care, financial risk protection, and quality of care, and inequalities between subgroups were identified.
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Affiliation(s)
- Katharina Achstetter
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany.,Berlin Centre for Health Economics Research, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Miriam Blümel
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany.,Berlin Centre for Health Economics Research, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Julia Köppen
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany.,Berlin Centre for Health Economics Research, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Philipp Hengel
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany.,Berlin Centre for Health Economics Research, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Reinhard Busse
- Department of Health Care Management, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany.,Berlin Centre for Health Economics Research, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany
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Achstetter K, Blümel M, Hengel P, Schwarzbach V, Busse R. Pilotierung eines Health System Performance Assessment (HSPA)
für das deutsche Gesundheitssystem – Einblicke in Trend- und
Equity-Analysen sowie zukünftige Herausforderungen. Das Gesundheitswesen 2022. [DOI: 10.1055/s-0042-1753644] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
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