Battle of the (Chat)Bots: Comparing Large Language Models to Practice Guidelines for Transfusion-Associated Graft-Versus-Host Disease Prevention

Published guidelines and clinical practices vary when defining indications for irradiation of blood components for the prevention of transfusion-associated graft-versus-host disease (TA-GVHD). This study assessed irradiation indication lists generated by multiple artificial intelligence (AI) programs, or chatbots, and compared them to 2020 British Society for Haematology (BSH) practice guidelines. Four chatbots (ChatGPT-3.5, ChatGPT-4, Bard, and Bing Chat) were prompted to list the indications for irradiation to prevent TA-GVHD. Responses were graded for concordance with BSH guidelines. Chatbot response length, discrepancies, and omissions were noted. Chatbot responses differed, but all were relevant, short in length, generally more concordant than discordant with BSH guidelines, and roughly complete. They lacked several indications listed in BSH guidelines and notably differed in their irradiation eligibility criteria for fetuses and neonates. The chatbots variably listed erroneous indications for TA-GVHD prevention, such as patients receiving blood from a donor who is of a different race or ethnicity. This study demonstrates the potential use of generative AI for transfusion medicine and hematology topics but underscores the risk of chatbot medical misinformation. Further study of risk factors for TA-GVHD, as well as the applications of chatbots in transfusion medicine and hematology, is warranted.

Viscoelastic Testing Prior to Non-surgical Procedures Reduces Blood Product Use Without Increasing Bleeding Risk in Cirrhosis

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Thromboelastography (TEG) and Rotational Thromboelastometry (ROTEM) analyze hemostatic function in patients with coagulopathy. We sought to quantify the impact of TEG and ROTEM-guided transfusion algorithms on blood product utilization in patients with cirrhosis undergoing non-surgical procedures.

METHODS

We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis on the utility of viscoelastic testing prior to non-surgical procedures to determine their impact on pre-procedural blood product use and post-procedural bleeding events. Studies comparing TEG or ROTEM-guided transfusions with standard-of-care (SOC) prior to non-surgical procedures in adult patients with cirrhosis were included. Primary outcomes were fresh frozen plasma (FFP) and platelet transfusion and secondary outcomes of post-procedure bleeding, transfusion-related complications, and mortality; and were reported as standardized mean differences (SMD) and risk ratios (RR).

RESULTS

Six studies (five randomized controlled trials and one cohort study) involving 367 patients met inclusion criteria. Compared with SOC, TEG/ROTEM-guided transfusions led to an overall decreased number of patients who received FFP transfusions (SMD = -0.93, 95% CI [-1.54, -0.33], p < 0.001) and platelets transfusions (SMD = -1.50, CI [-1.85, -1.15], p < 0.001). Total amount of FFP (SMD-0.86, p < 0.001) and platelet (SMD = -0.99, p < 0.001) transfused in the TEG/ROTEM group were also lower. Decreased pre-procedure transfusion in the TEG/ROTEM group did not result in increased post-procedure bleeding (RR = 0.61, p = 0.09) or in mortality (RR = 0.91, p = 0.93).

CONCLUSION

In patients with cirrhosis, TEG or ROTEM significantly reduces blood product utilization prior to non-surgical procedures, with no increase in post-procedure bleeding or mortality. TEG and ROTEM utilization can promote high-value care and improve transfusion stewardship in this population.

Adverse events of red blood cell transfusions in patients with sickle cell disease

Blood transfusion is a common medical intervention for patients with sickle cell disease (SCD) and disease related complications. While patients with SCD are at risk for all transfusion related adverse events defined by the National Healthcare Safety Network (NHSN) Biovigilance Component Hemovigilance Module Surveillance Protocol, they are uniquely susceptible to certain adverse events. This review discusses risk factors, mitigation strategies, and management recommendations for alloimmunization, hemolytic transfusion reactions, hyperviscosity and transfusion-associated iron overload in the context of SCD.

Prehospital Use of Whole Blood for Ill and Injured Patients During Critical Care Transport

OBJECTIVE

Hemodynamic instability and hemorrhagic shock are frequently encountered by emergency medical services providers managing ill and injured patients during critical care transport. Although many critical care transport services commonly transfuse crystalloids and/or packed red blood cells (PRBCs), the administration of whole blood (WB) in prehospital care is currently limited. WB contains PRBCs, plasma, and platelets in a physiologic ratio to aid in oxygen delivery to tissue as well as hemostasis. This study describes a single critical care transport program's experience using WB for critically ill and injured patients and reports important clinical and safety outcomes.

METHODS

This study was a retrospective review of patients who were transported by a single rotor wing-based critical care transport service to 1 of 2 tertiary care receiving hospitals within a single health system. Patients who were transported between November 1, 2018, and November 30, 2019, and who received at least 1 unit of low-titer group O WB during critical care transport were included. The primary outcomes of interest included 24-hour mortality and the total 24-hour transfusion requirement. The safety outcomes included transfusion reactions, acute lung injury, acute kidney injury, and the incidence of venous thromboembolism.

RESULTS

During the study period, there were 3,084 total patients transported by our critical care transport service. There were 71 patients who received prehospital WB, 64 of whom met the inclusion criteria. The top 3 indications for WB administration included blunt trauma (n = 27, 42.2%), gastrointestinal hemorrhage (n = 15, 23.4%), and penetrating trauma (n = 11, 17.2%). The median total number of blood components transfused within 24 hours was 4.0 (interquartile range, 2.0-9.5), and the overall 24-hour mortality rate was 21.9%.

CONCLUSIONS

The administration of WB by emergency medical services providers to critically ill and injured patients in the prehospital setting is feasible and is associated with low incidences of adverse events and transfusion reactions. Further research is needed to elucidate the benefits of WB relative to current prehospital standards of care.

[Delayed Hemolytic Transfusion Reaction after Mitral Valve Replacement:Report of a Case]

We report a case of delayed hemolytic transfusion reaction (DHTR) after mitral valve replacement (MVR). A 67-year-old woman with a history of blood transfusion( BT) was admitted for MVR. Preoperative laboratory test proved to be negative for irregular antibodies except anti-Dia. She underwent MVR using a mechanical prosthesis and compatible blood products were transfused perioperatively. On post-operative day 13, she developed hemoglobinuria and anemia with elevated serum total bilirubin and lactic dehydrogenase levels. Transesophageal echocardiography showed trivial transvalvular leakage. Laboratory test successfuly identified another irregular antibody, anti-Jkb antibody. The patient had Jkb negative BT and did not need re-operation. Later, she recovered with no signs of hemolysis. Since anti-Jkb antibody gets undetectable within a few months, it is difficult to find out before surgery. As hemolysis following cardiac surgery is more commonly associated with prostheses and extracorporeal circulation than DHTR. Physicians should, however, be aware of this unusual complication especially in patients who underwent BT.

Access to and safety of COVID-19 convalescent plasma in the United States Expanded Access Program: A national registry study

BACKGROUND

The United States (US) Expanded Access Program (EAP) to coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) convalescent plasma was initiated in response to the rapid spread of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), the causative agent of COVID-19. While randomized clinical trials were in various stages of development and enrollment, there was an urgent need for widespread access to potential therapeutic agents. The objective of this study is to report on the demographic, geographical, and chronological characteristics of patients in the EAP, and key safety metrics following transfusion of COVID-19 convalescent plasma.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

Mayo Clinic served as the central institutional review board for all participating facilities, and any US physician could participate as a local physician-principal investigator. Eligible patients were hospitalized, were aged 18 years or older, and had-or were at risk of progression to-severe or life-threatening COVID-19; eligible patients were enrolled through the EAP central website. Blood collection facilities rapidly implemented programs to collect convalescent plasma for hospitalized patients with COVID-19. Demographic and clinical characteristics of all enrolled patients in the EAP were summarized. Temporal patterns in access to COVID-19 convalescent plasma were investigated by comparing daily and weekly changes in EAP enrollment in response to changes in infection rate at the state level. Geographical analyses on access to convalescent plasma included assessing EAP enrollment in all national hospital referral regions, as well as assessing enrollment in metropolitan areas and less populated areas that did not have access to COVID-19 clinical trials. From April 3 to August 23, 2020, 105,717 hospitalized patients with severe or life-threatening COVID-19 were enrolled in the EAP. The majority of patients were 60 years of age or older (57.8%), were male (58.4%), and had overweight or obesity (83.8%). There was substantial inclusion of minorities and underserved populations: 46.4% of patients were of a race other than white, and 37.2% of patients were of Hispanic ethnicity. Chronologically and geographically, increases in the number of both enrollments and transfusions in the EAP closely followed confirmed infections across all 50 states. Nearly all national hospital referral regions enrolled and transfused patients in the EAP, including both in metropolitan and in less populated areas. The incidence of serious adverse events was objectively low (<1%), and the overall crude 30-day mortality rate was 25.2% (95% CI, 25.0% to 25.5%). This registry study was limited by the observational and pragmatic study design that did not include a control or comparator group; thus, the data should not be used to infer definitive treatment effects.

CONCLUSIONS

These results suggest that the EAP provided widespread access to COVID-19 convalescent plasma in all 50 states, including for underserved racial and ethnic minority populations. The study design of the EAP may serve as a model for future efforts when broad access to a treatment is needed in response to an emerging infectious disease.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT#: NCT04338360.

Iron Homeostasis Disorder and Alzheimer's Disease

Iron is an essential trace metal for almost all organisms, including human; however, oxidative stress can easily be caused when iron is in excess, producing toxicity to the human body due to its capability to be both an electron donor and an electron acceptor. Although there is a strict regulation mechanism for iron homeostasis in the human body and brain, it is usually inevitably disturbed by genetic and environmental factors, or disordered with aging, which leads to iron metabolism diseases, including many neurodegenerative diseases such as Alzheimer's disease (AD). AD is one of the most common degenerative diseases of the central nervous system (CNS) threatening human health. However, the precise pathogenesis of AD is still unclear, which seriously restricts the design of interventions and treatment drugs based on the pathogenesis of AD. Many studies have observed abnormal iron accumulation in different regions of the AD brain, resulting in cognitive, memory, motor and other nerve damages. Understanding the metabolic balance mechanism of iron in the brain is crucial for the treatment of AD, which would provide new cures for the disease. This paper reviews the recent progress in the relationship between iron and AD from the aspects of iron absorption in intestinal cells, storage and regulation of iron in cells and organs, especially for the regulation of iron homeostasis in the human brain and prospects the future directions for AD treatments.

Complications of Hemorrhagic Shock and Massive Transfusion-a Comparison Before and After the Damage Control Resuscitation Era

ABSTRACT

Trauma remains a leading cause of death, and hemorrhage is the leading cause of preventable trauma deaths. Resuscitation strategies in trauma have changed dramatically over the last 20 years. In the pre damage control resuscitation (DCR) era, we used large volume crystalloid resuscitation and packed red blood cells as the primary resuscitative fluids. Now, a 1:1:1 ratio of packed red blood cells, fresh plasma, and platelets with minimal crystalloids is the preferred resuscitative strategy (DCR era). As we have changed how we resuscitate patients, the detrimental effects associated with large volume resuscitation have also changed. In this article, we review the effects of large volume blood product resuscitation, and where possible present a contrast between the pre-DCR era and the DCR era resuscitation strategies.

NLRP3 inflammasome of renal tubular epithelial cells induces kidney injury in acute hemolytic transfusion reactions

BACKGROUND

Blood transfusion, a common basic supporting therapy, can lead to acute hemolytic transfusion reaction (AHTR). AHTR poses a great risk to patients through kidney function damage in a short time. Previous reports found that heme from destroyed red blood cells impaired kidney function, and NLR family pyrin domain containing 3 (NLRP3) inflammasome was augmented in case of kidney injury. However, the detailed mechanism regarding whether NLRP3 inflammasome is involved in kidney function injury in AHTR is not fully understood yet.

METHODS

Hemolysis models were established by vein injection with human blood plasma or mouse heme from destroyed red blood cells. The injured renal tubular epithelial cells (RTECs) were evaluated by tubular damage markers staining in hemolysis models and in primary RTECs in vitro. The activation of NLRP3 inflammasome in RTECs by hemes was investigated by Western blot, ELISA, scanning electron microscopy, immunofluorescent staining, flow cytometry, and hemolysis models. NLRP3 gene knockout mice were employed to confirm these observations in vitro and in vivo. The binding between a novel inhibitor (66PR) and NLRP3 was affirmed by molecule docking and co-immunoprecipitation. The rescue of 66PR on kidney function impairment was explored in murine hemolysis models.

RESULTS

We found that heme could activate NLRP3 inflammasome in RTECs to induce kidney function injury. NLRP3 gene knockout could prevent the damage of RTECs caused by hemes and recover kidney function in AHTR. Moreover, NLRP3 inflammasome chemical inhibitor, 66PR, could bind to NLRP3 protein and inhibit inflammasome activation in RTECs, which consequently relieved the injury of RTECs caused by hemes, and alleviated kidney function damage in the AHTR model.

CONCLUSIONS

Hemes could activate NLRP3 inflammasome in RTECs, and a novel NLRP3 inflammasome inhibitor named 66PR relieved kidney function damage in AHTR. Our findings provided a new possible strategy to treat kidney function failure in AHTR.

Management of Iron Overload in Beta-Thalassemia Patients: Clinical Practice Update Based on Case Series

Thalassemia syndromes are characterized by the inability to produce normal hemoglobin. Ineffective erythropoiesis and red cell transfusions are sources of excess iron that the human organism is unable to remove. Iron that is not saturated by transferrin is a toxic agent that, in transfusion-dependent patients, leads to death from iron-induced cardiomyopathy in the second decade of life. The availability of effective iron chelators, advances in the understanding of the mechanism of iron toxicity and overloading, and the availability of noninvasive methods to monitor iron loading and unloading in the liver, heart, and pancreas have all significantly increased the survival of patients with thalassemia. Prolonged exposure to iron toxicity is involved in the development of endocrinopathy, osteoporosis, cirrhosis, renal failure, and malignant transformation. Now that survival has been dramatically improved, the challenge of iron chelation therapy is to prevent complications. The time has come to consider that the primary goal of chelation therapy is to avoid 24-h exposure to toxic iron and maintain body iron levels within the normal range, avoiding possible chelation-related damage. It is very important to minimize irreversible organ damage to prevent malignant transformation before complications set in and make patients ineligible for current and future curative therapies. In this clinical case-based review, we highlight particular aspects of the management of iron overload in patients with beta-thalassemia syndromes, focusing on our own experience in treating such patients. We review the pathophysiology of iron overload and the different ways to assess, quantify, and monitor it. We also discuss chelation strategies that can be used with currently available chelators, balancing the need to keep non-transferrin-bound iron levels to a minimum (zero) 24 h a day, 7 days a week and the risk of over-chelation.

Analytics with artificial intelligence to advance the treatment of acute respiratory distress syndrome

Artificial intelligence (AI) has found its way into clinical studies in the era of big data. Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) or acute lung injury (ALI) is a clinical syndrome that encompasses a heterogeneous population. Management of such heterogeneous patient population is a big challenge for clinicians. With accumulating ALI datasets being publicly available, more knowledge could be discovered with sophisticated analytics. We reviewed literatures with big data analytics to understand the role of AI for improving the caring of patients with ALI/ARDS. Many studies have utilized the electronic medical records (EMR) data for the identification and prognostication of ARDS patients. As increasing number of ARDS clinical trials data is open to public, secondary analysis on these combined datasets provide a powerful way of finding solution to clinical questions with a new perspective. AI techniques such as Classification and Regression Tree (CART) and artificial neural networks (ANN) have also been successfully used in the investigation of ARDS problems. Individualized treatment of ARDS could be implemented with a support from AI as we are now able to classify ARDS into many subphenotypes by unsupervised machine learning algorithms. Interestingly, these subphenotypes show different responses to a certain intervention. However, current analytics involving ARDS have not fully incorporated information from omics such as transcriptome, proteomics, daily activities and environmental conditions. AI technology is assisting us to interpret complex data of ARDS patients and enable us to further improve the management of ARDS patients in future with individual treatment plans.

Prevalence of endocrine complications in transfusion dependent thalassemia in Hospital Pulau Pinang: A pilot study

INTRODUCTION

Frequent blood transfusions results in iron overload and lead to multiple endocrine complications. In spite of improvements in iron chelation therapy, a significant number of transfusion dependent thalassaemia (TDT) patients still develop endocrine complications. The aim of this study is to evaluate the prevalence of various endocrine complications in our adult TDT patients and to study the correlation with serum ferritin and liver iron concentration (LIC).

METHODS

A retrospective review of all TDT patients treated in Haematology Unit, Hospital Pulau Pinang (HPP) was conducted.

RESULTS

Of the 45 adult TDT patients, 22 were males and 23 were females with mean age of 28.8±6.9 years old. Majority of TDT in HPP were beta thalassemia major (71.1%), followed by E-Beta thalassemia (24.4%) and HbH-Constant Spring (4.4%). Frequency of transfusion was 3-4 weekly. 40.0% of adult TDT suffered from at least one endocrine complication. Among the adult TDT patients with endocrine complication, 50% have one endocrinopathy, 38.9% with two types of endocrinopathies and 11.1% of them have three or more types of endocrinopathies. Hypogonadism (22.2%) was the commonest endocrine complication, followed by osteoporosis (20%), hypothyroidism (13.3%), diabetes mellitus (6.7%) and hypocortisolism (4.4%). Patients with endocrine complications were significantly older. Mean serum ferritin level and LIC was higher among patients with endocrine complications but both were not statistically significant.

CONCLUSION

Endocrinopathy is still prevalent in 40% of adult TDT patients. This leads to higher health-care resource utilization, cost and significant morbidities among patients with TDT. Therefore, regular monitoring and early detection with intensification of chelation therapy is essential.

The Liver in Sickle Cell Disease

Patients with sickle cell disease can develop liver disease as a result of intrahepatic sickling of erythrocytes, viral hepatitis and iron overload secondary to multiple blood transfusions, and gallstone disease as a result of chronic hemolysis. The spectrum of clinical liver disease is wide and often multifactorial. Some patients develop cirrhosis that may progress to end-stage liver failure. Limited evidence exists for medical treatments. Exchange blood transfusions may improve outcomes in the acute liver syndromes. Liver transplantation may be an option for chronic liver disease. The role for prophylactic cholecystectomy in preventing complications of gallstone disease is controversial.

Post-transfusion purpura in a woman with acute myeloid leukemia

Post-transfusion purpura (PTP) is a rare, but severe transfusion reaction in which both donor and autologous platelets are sequestered due to immunization against HPA-1a antigens in HPA-1a negative recipients (HPA: human platelet antigens). We describe a patient who developed PTP during induction therapy for acute myeloid leukaemia. The pitfalls, delays in diagnosing and therapy options of this serious transfusion reaction are discussed.

Calcium channel blockers for preventing cardiomyopathy due to iron overload in people with transfusion-dependent beta thalassaemia

BACKGROUND

Beta thalassaemia is a common inherited blood disorder. The need for frequent blood transfusions in this condition poses a difficult problem to healthcare systems. The most common cause of morbidity and mortality is cardiac dysfunction from iron overload. The use of iron chelation therapy has reduced the severity of systemic iron overload but specific, non-toxic treatment is required for removal of iron from the myocardium.

OBJECTIVES

To assess the effects of calcium channel blockers combined with standard iron chelation therapy in people with transfusion-dependent beta thalassaemia on the amount of iron deposited in the myocardium, on parameters of heart function, and on the incidence of severe heart failure or arrhythmias and related morbidity and mortality.

SEARCH METHODS

We searched the Cochrane Haemoglobinopathies Trials Register, compiled from electronic database searches and handsearching of journals and conference abstract books. We also searched ongoing trials databases, and the reference lists of relevant articles and reviews.Date of last search: 24 February 2018.

SELECTION CRITERIA

We included randomised controlled trials of calcium channel blockers combined with standard chelation therapy compared with standard chelation therapy alone or combined with placebo in people with transfusion-dependent beta thalassaemia.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Two authors independently applied the inclusion criteria for the selection of trials. Two authors assessed the risk of bias of trials and extracted data and a third author verified these assessments. The authors used the GRADE system to assess the quality of the evidence.

MAIN RESULTS

Two randomised controlled trials (n = 74) were included in the review; there were 35 participants in the amlodipine arms and 39 in the control arms. The mean age of participants was 24.4 years with a standard deviation of 8.5 years. There was comparable participation from both genders. Overall, the risk of bias in included trials was low. The quality of the evidence ranged across outcomes from low to high, but the evidence for most outcomes was judged to be low quality.Cardiac iron assessment, as measured by heart T2*, did not significantly improve in the amlodipine groups compared to the control groups at six or 12 months (low-quality evidence). However, myocardial iron concentration decreased significantly in the amlodipine groups compared to the control groups at both six months, mean difference -0.23 mg/g (95% confidence interval -0.07 to -0.39), and 12 months, mean difference -0.25 mg/g (95% confidence interval -0.44 to -0.05) (low-quality evidence). There were no significant differences between treatment and control groups in serum ferritin (low-quality evidence), liver T2* (low-quality evidence), liver iron content (low-quality evidence) and left ventricular ejection fraction (low-quality evidence). There were no serious adverse events reported in either trial; however, one trial (n = 59) reported mild adverse events, with no statistically significant difference between groups (low-quality evidence).

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

The available evidence does not clearly suggest that the use of calcium channel blockers is associated with a reduction in myocardial iron in people with transfusion-dependent beta thalassaemia, although a potential for this was seen. There is a need for more long-term, multicentre trials to assess the efficacy and safety of calcium channel blockers for myocardial iron overload, especially in younger children. Future trials should be designed to compare commonly used iron chelation drugs with the addition of calcium channel blockers to investigate the potential interplay of these treatments. In addition, the role of baseline myocardial iron content in affecting the response to calcium channel blockers should be investigated. An analysis of the cost-effectiveness of the treatment is also required.

Towards optimal intraoperative conditions in esophageal surgery: A review of literature for the prevention of esophageal anastomotic leakage

BACKGROUND

Esophageal anastomotic leakage (EAL) is a severe complication following gastric and esophageal surgery for cancer. Several non-modifiable, patient or surgery related risk factors for EAL have been identified, however, the contribution of modifiable intraoperative parameters remains undetermined. This review provides an overview of current literature on potentially modifiable intraoperative risk factors for EAL.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The PubMed, EMBASE and Cochrane databases were searched by two researchers independently. Clinical studies published in English between 1970 and January 2017 that evaluated the effect of intraoperative parameters on the development of EAL were included. Levels of evidence as defined by the Centre of Evidence Based Medicine (CEBM) were assigned to the studies.

RESULTS

A total of 25 articles were included in the final analysis. These articles show evidence that anemia, increased amount of blood loss, low pH and high pCO2 values, prolonged duration of procedure and lack of surgical experience independently increase the risk of EAL. Supplemental oxygen therapy, epidural analgesia and selective digestive decontamination seem to have a beneficial effect. Potential risk factors include blood pressure, requirement of blood products, vasopressor use and glucocorticoid administration, however the results are ambiguous.

CONCLUSION

Apart from fixed surgical and patient related factors, several intraoperative factors that can be modified in clinical practice can influence the risk of developing EAL. More prospective, observational studies are necessary focusing on modifiable intraoperative parameters to assess more evidence and to elucidate optimal values of these factors.

Blood transfusion and risk of atrial fibrillation after coronary artery bypass graft surgery: A meta-analysis of cohort studies

The aim of this study was to systematically evaluate the effect of blood transfusion (BT) on postoperative atrial fibrillation (AF) in adult patients who had undergone coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) surgery.PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library databases from inception to January 2017 were searched. Cohort studies were searched that evaluated the association between BT and the risk of postoperative AF in adult patients who had undergone CABG surgery. Study quality was assessed by using the Newcastle-Ottawa scale (NOS). A meta-analysis was performed with the random-effect model.Eight cohort studies involving 7401 AF cases and 31,069 participants were identified and included in our data analysis. The pooled odds ratio of postoperative AF in patients with BT was 1.45 (95% confidence interval, 1.26-1.67), with significant heterogeneity (P < .0001, I = 79%). Excluding one study that had an off-pump CABG did not significantly impact this result (odds ratio, 1.36; 95% confidence interval, 1.23-1.50; n = 7). To examine the stability of the primary results, we performed subgroup analyses. The association between BT and the risk of postoperative AF was similar, as determined in the stratified analyses conducted according to study design, type of surgery, and country.The findings of the present meta-analysis demonstrated a statistically significant increase in postoperative AF risk among adult patients with BT. Further prospective large-scale studies are needed to establish causality and to elucidate the underlying mechanisms.

Prognostic factors of hepatic decompensation and hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with transfusion-acquired HCV infection

AIMS

Aim of this study was to assess if host (immunogenetic traits, age, sex), exogenous (alcohol) or viral factors (viral type, past HBV infection) might affect the progression of chronic hepatitis C to liver decompensation or the development of HCC in a cohort of patients exposed to a single blood transfusion prior to the introduction of anti-HCV screening.

METHODS

Two hundred and forty-eight patients with a history of a single exposure to blood or blood products prior to 1990 were retrospectively considered. Patients were devoid of other risk factors of liver disease or immunosuppression and naïve to antiviral therapies. Eight baseline variables were assessed: age at transfusion, sex, HBV core antibody, immunogenetic profile (DRB1*11, DRB1*1104, DRB1*07), HCV genotype and alcohol consumption.

RESULTS

The follow-up was 22 (SD: 11) years. Sixty-eight patients (27%) progressed to hepatic decompensation over a median period of 22.5 years (IQR: 14-30) and 41 patients (16%) developed HCC over a median period of 31 years (IQR: 24-38). The cumulative incidence of liver failure was 0.4% (95% CI: 0.1-3.1), 4.9% (95% CI: 2.6-9.3) and 16.2% (95% CI: 10.4-24.7) at 10, 20 and 30 years after blood transfusion respectively. By univariate analysis, only age at transfusion was correlated with the risk of decompensation. Stratifying the age of transfusion by tertiles, the incidence of hepatic decompensation was 0.7% per year in patients transfused at ≤24 years of age as compared to 1.2% and 1.9% per year in those transfused at 25-35 and >36 years of age respectively (HR: 5.5, 95% CI: 2.78-10.7, P<0.001). The risk of HCC development was correlated by univariate analysis with age at transfusion (as continuous variable, HR: 1.12, 95% CI: 1.08-1.16 per year of age, P<0.001, >36 compared to ≤24 years, HR: 10.3, 95% CI: 3.9-26.9, P<0.001) and male sex (HR: 4.2, 95% CI: 1.7-10, P=0.001). Multivariate analysis confirmed age at transfusion and male sex as independent predictors of HCC development [HR: 1.12 per year (95% CI: 1.08-1.16), P<0.001 and HR: 5.4 (95% CI: 2.2-13.2), P<0.001 respectively].

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with transfusion-acquired HCV infection, age at transfusion affects the risk for hepatic decompensation. Age at transfusion and male sex are independent risk factors for HCC development.