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Vijai J, Wang Z, Berndt SI, Skibola CF, Slager SL, de Sanjose S, Melbye M, Glimelius B, Bracci PM, Conde L, Birmann BM, Wang SS, Brooks-Wilson AR, Lan Q, de Bakker PIW, Vermeulen RCH, Portlock C, Ansell SM, Link BK, Riby J, North KE, Gu J, Hjalgrim H, Cozen W, Becker N, Teras LR, Spinelli JJ, Turner J, Zhang Y, Purdue MP, Giles GG, Kelly RS, Zeleniuch-Jacquotte A, Ennas MG, Monnereau A, Bertrand KA, Albanes D, Lightfoot T, Yeager M, Chung CC, Burdett L, Hutchinson A, Lawrence C, Montalvan R, Liang L, Huang J, Ma B, Villano DJ, Maria A, Corines M, Thomas T, Novak AJ, Dogan A, Liebow M, Thompson CA, Witzig TE, Habermann TM, Weiner GJ, Smith MT, Holly EA, Jackson RD, Tinker LF, Ye Y, Adami HO, Smedby KE, De Roos AJ, Hartge P, Morton LM, Severson RK, Benavente Y, Boffetta P, Brennan P, Foretova L, Maynadie M, McKay J, Staines A, Diver WR, Vajdic CM, Armstrong BK, Kricker A, Zheng T, Holford TR, Severi G, Vineis P, Ferri GM, Ricco R, Miligi L, Clavel J, Giovannucci E, Kraft P, Virtamo J, Smith A, Kane E, Roman E, Chiu BCH, Fraumeni JF, Wu X, Cerhan JR, Offit K, Chanock SJ, Rothman N, Nieters A. A genome-wide association study of marginal zone lymphoma shows association to the HLA region. Nat Commun 2015; 6:5751. [PMID: 25569183 PMCID: PMC4287989 DOI: 10.1038/ncomms6751] [Citation(s) in RCA: 49] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/16/2014] [Accepted: 11/04/2014] [Indexed: 01/07/2023] Open
Abstract
Marginal zone lymphoma (MZL) is the third most common subtype of B-cell non-Hodgkin lymphoma. Here we perform a two-stage GWAS of 1,281 MZL cases and 7,127 controls of European ancestry and identify two independent loci near BTNL2 (rs9461741, P=3.95 × 10(-15)) and HLA-B (rs2922994, P=2.43 × 10(-9)) in the HLA region significantly associated with MZL risk. This is the first evidence that genetic variation in the major histocompatibility complex influences MZL susceptibility.
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Cheng Y, Kang J, Liu F, Bassig BA, Leaderer B, He G, Holford TR, Tang N, Wang J, He J, Liu Y, Liu Y, Liu J, Chen X, Gu H, Ma X, Zheng T, Jin Y. Effectiveness of an Indoor Air Pollution (IAP) Intervention on Reducing IAP and Improving Women’s Health Status in Rural Areas of Gansu Province, China. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2015. [DOI: 10.4236/ojap.2015.41004] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/20/2022]
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Rabinowitz PM, Slizovskiy IB, Lamers V, Trufan SJ, Holford TR, Dziura JD, Peduzzi PN, Kane MJ, Reif JS, Weiss TR, Stowe MH. Proximity to natural gas wells and reported health status: results of a household survey in Washington County, Pennsylvania. ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH PERSPECTIVES 2015; 123:21-6. [PMID: 25204871 PMCID: PMC4286272 DOI: 10.1289/ehp.1307732] [Citation(s) in RCA: 42] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/17/2013] [Accepted: 08/20/2014] [Indexed: 05/04/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Little is known about the environmental and public health impact of unconventional natural gas extraction activities, including hydraulic fracturing, that occur near residential areas. OBJECTIVES Our aim was to assess the relationship between household proximity to natural gas wells and reported health symptoms. METHODS We conducted a hypothesis-generating health symptom survey of 492 persons in 180 randomly selected households with ground-fed wells in an area of active natural gas drilling. Gas well proximity for each household was compared with the prevalence and frequency of reported dermal, respiratory, gastrointestinal, cardiovascular, and neurological symptoms. RESULTS The number of reported health symptoms per person was higher among residents living < 1 km (mean ± SD, 3.27 ± 3.72) compared with > 2 km from the nearest gas well (mean ± SD, 1.60 ± 2.14; p = 0.0002). In a model that adjusted for age, sex, household education, smoking, awareness of environmental risk, work type, and animals in house, reported skin conditions were more common in households < 1 km compared with > 2 km from the nearest gas well (odds ratio = 4.1; 95% CI: 1.4, 12.3; p = 0.01). Upper respiratory symptoms were also more frequently reported in persons living in households < 1 km from gas wells (39%) compared with households 1-2 km or > 2 km from the nearest well (31 and 18%, respectively) (p = 0.004). No equivalent correlation was found between well proximity and other reported groups of respiratory, neurological, cardiovascular, or gastrointestinal conditions. CONCLUSION Although these results should be viewed as hypothesis generating, and the population studied was limited to households with a ground-fed water supply, proximity of natural gas wells may be associated with the prevalence of health symptoms including dermal and respiratory conditions in residents living near natural gas extraction activities. Further study of these associations, including the role of specific air and water exposures, is warranted.
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Egan KB, Ettinger AS, DeWan AT, Holford TR, Holmen TL, Bracken MB. General, but not abdominal, overweight increases odds of asthma among Norwegian adolescents: the Young-HUNT study. Acta Paediatr 2014; 103:1270-6. [PMID: 25131148 DOI: 10.1111/apa.12775] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/28/2014] [Revised: 06/26/2014] [Accepted: 08/12/2014] [Indexed: 12/21/2022]
Abstract
AIM The aim of this analysis was to examine the association between asthma and general and abdominal weight status, defined by age- and sex-specific cut-offs for body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (WC) in adolescents. METHODS Participants aged 12-19 years in the Young-HUNT (YH) Study (YH1 1995-1997: n = 8222; YH3 2006-2008: n = 7403) completed self-administered questionnaires in school as part of a series of cross-sectional, population-based studies conducted in Nord-Trøndelag, Norway. Weight, height and WC were measured. Adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% Confidence Intervals (CI) for asthma, defined by self-reported physician diagnosis, were calculated. Potential effect modifiers evaluated included sex and pubertal development status (PDS). RESULTS Asthma was reported by 11.8% of the adolescents in YH1 and 17.0% in YH3. Asthma odds significantly increased for adolescents with general (OR = 1.33; 95%CI: 1.13, 1.56), but not abdominal, overweight and increased for adolescents with general (OR = 1.34; 95%CI: 1.02, 1.75) or abdominal obesity (OR = 1.36; 95%CI: 1.16, 1.60). Underweight had no association with asthma regardless of weight assessment type, and PDS did not meaningfully influence the associations between asthma and weight. CONCLUSION Overweight and obesity both increased the odds of asthma in 12-19 year-old Norwegians. WC did not add further information to that already provided by BMI to improve our understanding of the association between asthma and weight.
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Cerhan JR, Berndt SI, Vijai J, Ghesquières H, McKay J, Wang SS, Wang Z, Yeager M, Conde L, de Bakker PIW, Nieters A, Cox D, Burdett L, Monnereau A, Flowers CR, De Roos AJ, Brooks-Wilson AR, Lan Q, Severi G, Melbye M, Gu J, Jackson RD, Kane E, Teras LR, Purdue MP, Vajdic CM, Spinelli JJ, Giles GG, Albanes D, Kelly RS, Zucca M, Bertrand KA, Zeleniuch-Jacquotte A, Lawrence C, Hutchinson A, Zhi D, Habermann TM, Link BK, Novak AJ, Dogan A, Asmann YW, Liebow M, Thompson CA, Ansell SM, Witzig TE, Weiner GJ, Veron AS, Zelenika D, Tilly H, Haioun C, Molina TJ, Hjalgrim H, Glimelius B, Adami HO, Bracci PM, Riby J, Smith MT, Holly EA, Cozen W, Hartge P, Morton LM, Severson RK, Tinker LF, North KE, Becker N, Benavente Y, Boffetta P, Brennan P, Foretova L, Maynadie M, Staines A, Lightfoot T, Crouch S, Smith A, Roman E, Diver WR, Offit K, Zelenetz A, Klein RJ, Villano DJ, Zheng T, Zhang Y, Holford TR, Kricker A, Turner J, Southey MC, Clavel J, Virtamo J, Weinstein S, Riboli E, Vineis P, Kaaks R, Trichopoulos D, Vermeulen RCH, Boeing H, Tjonneland A, Angelucci E, Di Lollo S, Rais M, Birmann BM, Laden F, Giovannucci E, Kraft P, Huang J, Ma B, Ye Y, Chiu BCH, Sampson J, Liang L, Park JH, Chung CC, Weisenburger DD, Chatterjee N, Fraumeni JF, Slager SL, Wu X, de Sanjose S, Smedby KE, Salles G, Skibola CF, Rothman N, Chanock SJ. Genome-wide association study identifies multiple susceptibility loci for diffuse large B cell lymphoma. Nat Genet 2014; 46:1233-8. [PMID: 25261932 PMCID: PMC4213349 DOI: 10.1038/ng.3105] [Citation(s) in RCA: 124] [Impact Index Per Article: 12.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/26/2014] [Accepted: 09/04/2014] [Indexed: 12/14/2022]
Abstract
Diffuse large B cell lymphoma (DLBCL) is the most common lymphoma subtype and is clinically aggressive. To identify genetic susceptibility loci for DLBCL, we conducted a meta-analysis of 3 new genome-wide association studies (GWAS) and 1 previous scan, totaling 3,857 cases and 7,666 controls of European ancestry, with additional genotyping of 9 promising SNPs in 1,359 cases and 4,557 controls. In our multi-stage analysis, five independent SNPs in four loci achieved genome-wide significance marked by rs116446171 at 6p25.3 (EXOC2; P = 2.33 × 10(-21)), rs2523607 at 6p21.33 (HLA-B; P = 2.40 × 10(-10)), rs79480871 at 2p23.3 (NCOA1; P = 4.23 × 10(-8)) and two independent SNPs, rs13255292 and rs4733601, at 8q24.21 (PVT1; P = 9.98 × 10(-13) and 3.63 × 10(-11), respectively). These data provide substantial new evidence for genetic susceptibility to this B cell malignancy and point to pathways involved in immune recognition and immune function in the pathogenesis of DLBCL.
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Chang X, Waagepetersen R, Yu H, Ma X, Holford TR, Wang R, Guan Y. Disease risk estimation by combining case-control data with aggregated information on the population at risk. Biometrics 2014; 71:114-121. [PMID: 25351292 DOI: 10.1111/biom.12256] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/01/2013] [Revised: 07/01/2014] [Accepted: 09/01/2014] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
Abstract
We propose a novel statistical framework by supplementing case-control data with summary statistics on the population at risk for a subset of risk factors. Our approach is to first form two unbiased estimating equations, one based on the case-control data and the other on both the case data and the summary statistics, and then optimally combine them to derive another estimating equation to be used for the estimation. The proposed method is computationally simple and more efficient than standard approaches based on case-control data alone. We also establish asymptotic properties of the resulting estimator, and investigate its finite-sample performance through simulation. As a substantive application, we apply the proposed method to investigate risk factors for endometrial cancer, by using data from a recently completed population-based case-control study and summary statistics from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, the Population Estimates Program of the US Census Bureau, and the Connecticut Department of Transportation.
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Skibola CF, Berndt SI, Vijai J, Conde L, Wang Z, Yeager M, de Bakker PIW, Birmann BM, Vajdic CM, Foo JN, Bracci PM, Vermeulen RCH, Slager SL, de Sanjose S, Wang SS, Linet MS, Salles G, Lan Q, Severi G, Hjalgrim H, Lightfoot T, Melbye M, Gu J, Ghesquières H, Link BK, Morton LM, Holly EA, Smith A, Tinker LF, Teras LR, Kricker A, Becker N, Purdue MP, Spinelli JJ, Zhang Y, Giles GG, Vineis P, Monnereau A, Bertrand KA, Albanes D, Zeleniuch-Jacquotte A, Gabbas A, Chung CC, Burdett L, Hutchinson A, Lawrence C, Montalvan R, Liang L, Huang J, Ma B, Liu J, Adami HO, Glimelius B, Ye Y, Nowakowski GS, Dogan A, Thompson CA, Habermann TM, Novak AJ, Liebow M, Witzig TE, Weiner GJ, Schenk M, Hartge P, De Roos AJ, Cozen W, Zhi D, Akers NK, Riby J, Smith MT, Lacher M, Villano DJ, Maria A, Roman E, Kane E, Jackson RD, North KE, Diver WR, Turner J, Armstrong BK, Benavente Y, Boffetta P, Brennan P, Foretova L, Maynadie M, Staines A, McKay J, Brooks-Wilson AR, Zheng T, Holford TR, Chamosa S, Kaaks R, Kelly RS, Ohlsson B, Travis RC, Weiderpass E, Clavel J, Giovannucci E, Kraft P, Virtamo J, Mazza P, Cocco P, Ennas MG, Chiu BCH, Fraumeni JF, Nieters A, Offit K, Wu X, Cerhan JR, Smedby KE, Chanock SJ, Rothman N. Genome-wide association study identifies five susceptibility loci for follicular lymphoma outside the HLA region. Am J Hum Genet 2014; 95:462-71. [PMID: 25279986 PMCID: PMC4185120 DOI: 10.1016/j.ajhg.2014.09.004] [Citation(s) in RCA: 80] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/17/2014] [Accepted: 09/10/2014] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Genome-wide association studies (GWASs) of follicular lymphoma (FL) have previously identified human leukocyte antigen (HLA) gene variants. To identify additional FL susceptibility loci, we conducted a large-scale two-stage GWAS in 4,523 case subjects and 13,344 control subjects of European ancestry. Five non-HLA loci were associated with FL risk: 11q23.3 (rs4938573, p = 5.79 × 10(-20)) near CXCR5; 11q24.3 (rs4937362, p = 6.76 × 10(-11)) near ETS1; 3q28 (rs6444305, p = 1.10 × 10(-10)) in LPP; 18q21.33 (rs17749561, p = 8.28 × 10(-10)) near BCL2; and 8q24.21 (rs13254990, p = 1.06 × 10(-8)) near PVT1. In an analysis of the HLA region, we identified four linked HLA-DRβ1 multiallelic amino acids at positions 11, 13, 28, and 30 that were associated with FL risk (pomnibus = 4.20 × 10(-67) to 2.67 × 10(-70)). Additional independent signals included rs17203612 in HLA class II (odds ratio [OR(per-allele)] = 1.44; p = 4.59 × 10(-16)) and rs3130437 in HLA class I (OR(per-allele) = 1.23; p = 8.23 × 10(-9)). Our findings further expand the number of loci associated with FL and provide evidence that multiple common variants outside the HLA region make a significant contribution to FL risk.
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Guo H, Bassig BA, Lan Q, Zhu Y, Zhang Y, Holford TR, Leaderer B, Boyle P, Qin Q, Zhu C, Li N, Rothman N, Zheng T. Polymorphisms in DNA repair genes, hair dye use, and the risk of non-Hodgkin lymphoma. Cancer Causes Control 2014; 25:1261-70. [PMID: 25178586 DOI: 10.1007/s10552-014-0423-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/18/2013] [Accepted: 06/17/2014] [Indexed: 12/20/2022]
Abstract
PURPOSE Genetic polymorphisms in DNA repair genes and hair dye use may both have a role in the development of non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL). We aimed to examine the interaction between variants in DNA repair genes and hair dye use with risk of NHL in a population-based case-control study of Connecticut women. METHODS We examined 24 single nucleotide polymorphisms in 16 DNA repair genes among 518 NHL cases and 597 controls and evaluated the associations between hair dye use and risk of overall NHL and common NHL subtypes, stratified by genotype, using unconditional logistic regression. RESULTS Women who used hair dye before 1980 had a significantly increased risk of NHL, particularly for the follicular lymphoma (FL) subtype, but not for diffuse large B-cell lymphoma. The following genotypes in combination with hair dye use before 1980 were associated with FL risk: BRCA2 rs144848 AC+CC [odds ratio (OR) (95% confidence interval (CI)) 3.28(1.27-8.50)], WRN rs1346044 TT [OR(95% CI) 2.70(1.30-5.65)], XRCC3 rs861539 CT+TT [OR(95% CI) 2.76(1.32-5.77)], XRCC4 rs1805377 GG [OR(95% CI) 2.07(1.10-3.90)] and rs1056503 TT [OR(95% CI) 2.17(1.16-4.07)], ERCC1 rs3212961 CC [OR(95% CI) 1.93(1.00-3.72)], RAD23B rs1805329 CC [OR(95% CI) 2.28(1.12-4.64)], and MGMT rs12917 CC, rs2308321 AA, and rs2308327 AA genotypes [OR(95% CI) 1.96(1.06-3.63), 2.02(1.09-3.75), and 2.23(1.16-4.29), respectively]. In addition, a significant interaction with risk of overall NHL was observed between WRN rs1346044 and hair dye use before 1980 (p(interaction) = 0.032). CONCLUSIONS Our results indicated that genetic variation in DNA repair genes modifies susceptibility to NHL in relation to hair dye use, particularly for the FL subtype and in women who began using hair dye before 1980. Further studies are needed to confirm these observations.
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Guo H, Jin Y, Cheng Y, Leaderer B, Lin S, Holford TR, Qiu J, Zhang Y, Shi K, Zhu Y, Niu J, Bassig BA, Xu S, Zhang B, Li Y, Hu X, Chen Q, Zheng T. Prenatal exposure to organochlorine pesticides and infant birth weight in China. CHEMOSPHERE 2014; 110:1-7. [PMID: 24880592 PMCID: PMC4097106 DOI: 10.1016/j.chemosphere.2014.02.017] [Citation(s) in RCA: 62] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/29/2013] [Revised: 01/25/2014] [Accepted: 02/06/2014] [Indexed: 05/03/2023]
Abstract
In utero exposure to organochlorine pesticides (OCPs) is thought to be potentially harmful to fetal development. We aimed to investigate the associations of maternal and cord serum OCPs levels with infant birth weight in China. In this study, we measured serum levels of 18 OCPs in 81 mother-infant pairs, including DDT, hexachlorocyclohexanes (BHC), hexachlorobenzene (HCB), heptachlors, chlordanes, endosulfan-I, and mirex using a high-resolution-gas-chromatography with high-resolution-mass-spectrometry method. We found that p,p'-DDE and β-BHC had the highest detection rate in both maternal and cord blood serum (97.2% and 96.7%, respectively), followed by HCB (93.0%, 51.7%), p,p'-DDT (88.7%, 36.7%), and p,p'-DDD (83.1%, 60.0%). Among all OCPs, the concentration of p,p'-DDE was the highest (mothers geometric mean (GM): 203.54ngg(-1), newborns GM: 116.14ngg(-1)), followed by HCB (70.62ngg(-1), 65.16ngg(-1)), and β-BHC (67.67ngg(-1), 33.39ngg(-1)). Multiple linear regression analyses showed that each 1ngg(-1) increment of cord serum p,p'-DDE, total DDT, and β-BHC was associated with a 0.10g, 0.10g, and 0.92g decrease in infant birth weight, respectively, and as the cord serum concentrations of p,p'-DDT, p,p'-DDD, HCB and mirex increased, the infant birth weight was also decreased, although the associations were not statistically significant due to the relatively small sample size. These results suggest that p,p'-DDE, β-BHC, and HCB were the predominant OCPs in the serum of Chinese pregnant women and cord blood of their newborns. Prenatal exposure to DDT, β-BHC, HCB, and mirex were associated with a decrease in birth weight, but these results need validation in larger sample-sized studies.
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McMahon PM, Meza R, Plevritis SK, Black WC, Tammemagi CM, Erdogan A, ten Haaf K, Hazelton W, Holford TR, Jeon J, Clarke L, Kong CY, Choi SE, Munshi VN, Han SS, van Rosmalen J, Pinsky PF, Moolgavkar S, de Koning HJ, Feuer EJ. Comparing benefits from many possible computed tomography lung cancer screening programs: extrapolating from the National Lung Screening Trial using comparative modeling. PLoS One 2014; 9:e99978. [PMID: 24979231 PMCID: PMC4076275 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0099978] [Citation(s) in RCA: 33] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/25/2014] [Accepted: 05/21/2014] [Indexed: 12/21/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The National Lung Screening Trial (NLST) demonstrated that in current and former smokers aged 55 to 74 years, with at least 30 pack-years of cigarette smoking history and who had quit smoking no more than 15 years ago, 3 annual computed tomography (CT) screens reduced lung cancer-specific mortality by 20% relative to 3 annual chest X-ray screens. We compared the benefits achievable with 576 lung cancer screening programs that varied CT screen number and frequency, ages of screening, and eligibility based on smoking. METHODS AND FINDINGS We used five independent microsimulation models with lung cancer natural history parameters previously calibrated to the NLST to simulate life histories of the US cohort born in 1950 under all 576 programs. 'Efficient' (within model) programs prevented the greatest number of lung cancer deaths, compared to no screening, for a given number of CT screens. Among 120 'consensus efficient' (identified as efficient across models) programs, the average starting age was 55 years, the stopping age was 80 or 85 years, the average minimum pack-years was 27, and the maximum years since quitting was 20. Among consensus efficient programs, 11% to 40% of the cohort was screened, and 153 to 846 lung cancer deaths were averted per 100,000 people. In all models, annual screening based on age and smoking eligibility in NLST was not efficient; continuing screening to age 80 or 85 years was more efficient. CONCLUSIONS Consensus results from five models identified a set of efficient screening programs that include annual CT lung cancer screening using criteria like NLST eligibility but extended to older ages. Guidelines for screening should also consider harms of screening and individual patient characteristics.
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McKay LA, Holford TR, Bracken MB. Re-analysis of the PREGNANT trial confirms that vaginal progesterone reduces the rate of preterm birth in women with a sonographic short cervix. ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY OF ULTRASOUND IN OBSTETRICS AND GYNECOLOGY 2014; 43:596-597. [PMID: 24585456 DOI: 10.1002/uog.13331] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/27/2013] [Revised: 09/14/2013] [Accepted: 09/17/2013] [Indexed: 06/03/2023]
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Huang H, Ma X, Waagepetersen R, Holford TR, Wang R, Risch H, Mueller L, Guan Y. A new estimation approach for combining epidemiological data from multiple sources. J Am Stat Assoc 2014; 109:11-23. [PMID: 24683281 DOI: 10.1080/01621459.2013.870904] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/25/2022]
Abstract
We propose a novel two-step procedure to combine epidemiological data obtained from diverse sources with the aim to quantify risk factors affecting the probability that an individual develops certain disease such as cancer. In the first step we derive all possible unbiased estimating functions based on a group of cases and a group of controls each time. In the second step, we combine these estimating functions efficiently in order to make full use of the information contained in data. Our approach is computationally simple and flexible. We illustrate its efficacy through simulation and apply it to investigate pancreatic cancer risks based on data obtained from the Connecticut Tumor Registry, a population-based case-control study, and the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System which is a state-based system of health surveys.
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Holford TR, Levy DT, McKay LA, Clarke L, Racine B, Meza R, Land S, Jeon J, Feuer EJ. Patterns of birth cohort-specific smoking histories, 1965-2009. Am J Prev Med 2014; 46:e31-7. [PMID: 24439359 PMCID: PMC3951759 DOI: 10.1016/j.amepre.2013.10.022] [Citation(s) in RCA: 135] [Impact Index Per Article: 13.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/06/2013] [Revised: 10/01/2013] [Accepted: 10/25/2013] [Indexed: 10/25/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Characterizing the smoking patterns for different birth cohorts is essential for evaluating the impact of tobacco control interventions and predicting smoking-related mortality, but the process of estimating birth cohort smoking histories has received limited attention. PURPOSE Smoking history summaries were estimated beginning with the 1890 birth cohort in order to provide fundamental parameters that can be used in studies of cigarette smoking intervention strategies. METHODS U.S. National Health Interview Surveys conducted from 1965 to 2009 were used to obtain cross-sectional information on current smoking behavior. Surveys that provided additional detail on history for smokers including age at initiation and cessation and smoking intensity were used to construct smoking histories for participants up to the date of survey. After incorporating survival differences by smoking status, age-period-cohort models with constrained natural splines were used to estimate the prevalence of current, former, and never smokers in cohorts beginning in 1890. This approach was then used to obtain yearly estimates of initiation, cessation, and smoking intensity for the age-specific distribution for each birth cohort. These rates were projected forward through 2050 based on recent trends. RESULTS This summary of smoking history shows clear trends by gender, cohort, and age over time. If current patterns persist, a slow decline in smoking prevalence is projected from 2010 through 2040. CONCLUSIONS A novel method of generating smoking histories has been applied to develop smoking histories that can be used in micro-simulation models, and has been incorporated in the National Cancer Institute's Smoking History Generator. These aggregate estimates developed by age, gender, and cohort will provide a complete source of smoking data over time.
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Holford TR, Meza R, Warner KE, Meernik C, Jeon J, Moolgavkar SH, Levy DT. Tobacco control and the reduction in smoking-related premature deaths in the United States, 1964-2012. JAMA 2014; 311:164-71. [PMID: 24399555 PMCID: PMC4056770 DOI: 10.1001/jama.2013.285112] [Citation(s) in RCA: 205] [Impact Index Per Article: 20.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/14/2022]
Abstract
IMPORTANCE January 2014 marks the 50th anniversary of the first surgeon general's report on smoking and health. This seminal document inspired efforts by governments, nongovernmental organizations, and the private sector to reduce the toll of cigarette smoking through reduced initiation and increased cessation. OBJECTIVE To model reductions in smoking-related mortality associated with implementation of tobacco control since 1964. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS Smoking histories for individual birth cohorts that actually occurred and under likely scenarios had tobacco control never emerged were estimated. National mortality rates and mortality rate ratio estimates from analytical studies of the effect of smoking on mortality yielded death rates by smoking status. Actual smoking-related mortality from 1964 through 2012 was compared with estimated mortality under no tobacco control that included a likely scenario (primary counterfactual) and upper and lower bounds that would capture plausible alternatives. EXPOSURES National Health Interview Surveys yielded cigarette smoking histories for the US adult population in 1964-2012. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES Number of premature deaths avoided and years of life saved were primary outcomes. Change in life expectancy at age 40 years associated with change in cigarette smoking exposure constituted another measure of overall health outcomes. RESULTS In 1964-2012, an estimated 17.7 million deaths were related to smoking, an estimated 8.0 million (credible range [CR], 7.4-8.3 million, for the lower and upper tobacco control counterfactuals, respectively) fewer premature smoking-related deaths than what would have occurred under the alternatives and thus associated with tobacco control (5.3 million [CR, 4.8-5.5 million] men and 2.7 million [CR, 2.5-2.7 million] women). This resulted in an estimated 157 million years (CR, 139-165 million) of life saved, a mean of 19.6 years for each beneficiary (111 million [CR, 97-117 million] for men, 46 million [CR, 42-48 million] for women). During this time, estimated life expectancy at age 40 years increased 7.8 years for men and 5.4 years for women, of which tobacco control is associated with 2.3 years (CR, 1.8-2.5) (30% [CR, 23%-32%]) of the increase for men and 1.6 years (CR, 1.4-1.7) (29% [CR, 25%-32%]) for women. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE Tobacco control was estimated to be associated with avoidance of 8 million premature deaths and an estimated extended mean life span of 19 to 20 years. Although tobacco control represents an important public health achievement, efforts must continue to reduce the effect of smoking on the nation's death toll.
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Zhang L, Guan Y, Leaderer BP, Holford TR. ESTIMATING DAILY NITROGEN DIOXIDE LEVEL: EXPLORING TRAFFIC EFFECTS. Ann Appl Stat 2013; 7. [PMID: 24327824 DOI: 10.1214/13-aoas642] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/31/2022]
Abstract
Data used to assess acute health effects from air pollution typically have good temporal but poor spatial resolution or the opposite. A modified longitudinal model was developed that sought to improve resolution in both domains by bringing together data from three sources to estimate daily levels of nitrogen dioxide (NO2) at a geographic location. Monthly NO2 measurements at 316 sites were made available by the Study of Traffic, Air quality and Respiratory health (STAR). Four US Environmental Protection Agency monitoring stations have hourly measurements of NO2. Finally, the Connecticut Department of Transportation provides data on traffic density on major roadways, a primary contributor to NO2 pollution. Inclusion of a traffic variable improved performance of the model, and it provides a method for estimating exposure at points that do not have direct measurements of the outcome. This approach can be used to estimate daily variation in levels of NO2 over a region.
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Roush GC, Buddharaju V, Ernst ME, Holford TR. Chlorthalidone: Mechanisms of Action and Effect on Cardiovascular Events. Curr Hypertens Rep 2013; 15:514-21. [DOI: 10.1007/s11906-013-0372-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 22] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/30/2022]
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Chen Y, Lan Q, Zheng T, Zhao N, Holford TR, Lerro C, Dai M, Huang H, Liang J, Ma S, Leaderer B, Boyle P, Chanock S, Rothman N, Zhang Y. Polymorphisms in JAK/STAT signaling pathway genes and risk of non-Hodgkin lymphoma. Leuk Res 2013; 37:1120-4. [PMID: 23768868 DOI: 10.1016/j.leukres.2013.05.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/07/2013] [Revised: 04/22/2013] [Accepted: 05/03/2013] [Indexed: 12/15/2022]
Abstract
Impaired function of Janus kinase/signal transducer and activator of transcription (JAK/STAT) signaling pathway genes leads to immunodeficiency and various hematopoietic disorders. We evaluated the association between genetic polymorphisms (SNPs) in 12 JAK/STAT pathway genes (JAK3, STAT1, STAT2, STAT3, STAT4, STAT5a, STAT5b, STAT6, SCOS1, SCOS2, SCOS3, and SCOS4) and NHL risk in a population-based case-control study of Connecticut women. We identified three SNPs in STAT3 (rs12949918 and rs6503695) and STAT4 (rs932169) associated with NHL risk after adjustment for multiple comparison. Our results suggest that genetic variation in JAK/STAT pathway genes may play a role in lymphomagenesis and warrants further investigation.
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Li Q, Holford TR, Zhang Y, Boyle P, Mayne ST, Dai M, Zheng T. Dietary fiber intake and risk of breast cancer by menopausal and estrogen receptor status. Eur J Nutr 2013; 52:217-23. [PMID: 22350922 PMCID: PMC3709253 DOI: 10.1007/s00394-012-0305-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/25/2011] [Accepted: 01/16/2012] [Indexed: 10/28/2022]
Abstract
PURPOSE Evaluate the hypothesis that relation of breast cancer associated with dietary fiber intakes varies by type of fiber, menopausal, and the tumor's hormone receptor status. METHODS A case-control study of female breast cancer was conducted in Connecticut. A total of 557 incident breast cancer cases and 536 age frequency-matched controls were included in the analysis. Information on dietary intakes was collected through in-person interviews with a semi-quantitative food frequency questionnaire and was converted into nutrient intakes. Odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals were estimated by unconditional logistic regression. RESULTS Among pre-menopausal women, higher intake of soluble fiber (highest versus lowest quartile of intake) was associated with a significantly reduced risk of breast cancer (OR = 0.38, 95% CI, 0.15-0.97, P (trend) = 0.08). When further restricted to pre-menopausal women with ER(-) tumors, the adjusted OR for the highest quartile of intake was 0.15 (95% CI, 0.03-0.69, P (trend) = 0.02) for soluble fiber intake. Among post-menopausal women, no reduced risk of breast cancer was observed for either soluble or insoluble fiber intakes or among ER(+) or ER(-) tumor groups. CONCLUSIONS The results from this study show that dietary soluble fiber intake is associated with a significantly reduced risk of ER(-) breast cancer among pre-menopausal women. Additional studies with larger sample size are needed to confirm these results.
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Hu W, Bassig BA, Xu J, Zheng T, Zhang Y, Berndt SI, Holford TR, Hosgood HD, Leaderer B, Yeager M, Menashe I, Boyle P, Zou K, Zhu Y, Chanock S, Lan Q, Rothman N. Polymorphisms in pattern-recognition genes in the innate immunity system and risk of non-Hodgkin lymphoma. ENVIRONMENTAL AND MOLECULAR MUTAGENESIS 2013; 54:72-77. [PMID: 23055202 PMCID: PMC6800161 DOI: 10.1002/em.21739] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/25/2012] [Revised: 07/07/2012] [Accepted: 08/13/2012] [Indexed: 06/01/2023]
Abstract
The pattern-recognition pathway plays an important role in infection recognition and immune responses, and previous studies have suggested an association between genetic variation in innate immunity genes and non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL). We evaluated NHL risk associated with genetic variation in pattern-recognition genes using data from a case-control study of NHL conducted in Connecticut women. Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in 27 pattern-recognition genes were genotyped in 432 Caucasian incident NHL cases and 494 frequency-matched controls. Unconditional logistic regression was used to compute odds ratios (ORs) for NHL and common NHL subtypes in relation to individual SNPs and haplotypes. A gene-based analysis that adjusted for the number of tagSNPs genotyped in each gene showed a significant association with overall NHL for the MBP gene (P = 0.028), with the diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) subtype for the MASP2 gene (P = 0.011), and with the follicular lymphoma (FL) subtype for DEFB126 (P = 0.041). A SNP-based analysis showed that MBP rs8094402 was associated with decreased risks of overall NHL (allele risk OR = 0.72, P-trend = 0.0018), DLBCL (allele risk OR = 0.72, P-trend = 0.036), and FL (allele risk OR = 0.67, P-trend = 0.021), while MASP2 rs12711521 was associated with a decreased risk of DLBCL (allele risk OR = 0.57, P-trend = 0.0042). We also observed an increased risk of FL for DEFB126 rs6054706 (allele risk OR = 1.39, P-trend = 0.033). Our results suggest that genetic variation in pattern-recognition genes is associated with the risk of NHL or specific NHL subtypes, but these preliminary findings require replication in larger studies.
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MESH Headings
- Adult
- Aged
- Aged, 80 and over
- Case-Control Studies
- Connecticut
- Female
- Genetic Predisposition to Disease
- Haplotypes
- Humans
- Immunity, Innate/genetics
- Logistic Models
- Lymphoma, Follicular/genetics
- Lymphoma, Follicular/immunology
- Lymphoma, Large B-Cell, Diffuse/genetics
- Lymphoma, Large B-Cell, Diffuse/immunology
- Lymphoma, Non-Hodgkin/genetics
- Mannose-Binding Protein-Associated Serine Proteases/genetics
- Middle Aged
- Myelin Basic Protein/genetics
- Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide
- Receptors, Pattern Recognition/genetics
- White People/genetics
- Young Adult
- beta-Defensins/genetics
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Roush GC, Guddati AK, Holford TR. Potency of Office Blood Pressure From Hydrochlorothiazide and Chlorthalidone Fails to Explain Cardiovascular Events. Hypertension 2012; 60:e22; author reply e23. [DOI: 10.1161/hypertensionaha.112.200139] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
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Holford TR, Levy DT. Chapter 14: Comparing the adequacy of carcinogenesis models in estimating U.S. population rates for lung cancer mortality. RISK ANALYSIS : AN OFFICIAL PUBLICATION OF THE SOCIETY FOR RISK ANALYSIS 2012; 32 Suppl 1:S179-89. [PMID: 22882888 PMCID: PMC3478769 DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2011.01734.x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/08/2023]
Abstract
The relationship between smoking and lung cancer is well established and cohort studies provide estimates of risk for individual cohorts. While population trends are qualitatively consistent with smoking trends, the rates do not agree well with results from analytical studies. Four carcinogenesis models for the effect of smoking on lung cancer mortality were used to estimate lung cancer mortality rates for U.S. males: two-stage clonal expansion and multistage models using parameters estimated from two Cancer Prevention Studies (CPS I and CPS II). Calibration was essential to adjust for both shift and temporal trend. The age-period-cohort model was used for calibration. Overall, models using parameters derived from CPS I performed best, and the corresponding two-stage clonal expansion model was best overall. However, temporal calibration did significantly improve agreement with the population rates, especially the effect of age and cohort.
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Holford TR, Clark L. Chapter 4: Development of the counterfactual smoking histories used to assess the effects of tobacco control. RISK ANALYSIS : AN OFFICIAL PUBLICATION OF THE SOCIETY FOR RISK ANALYSIS 2012; 32 Suppl 1:S39-50. [PMID: 22882891 PMCID: PMC3490210 DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2011.01759.x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/22/2023]
Abstract
Publication of the Surgeon General's Report in 1964 marshaled evidence of the harm to public health caused by cigarette smoking, including lung cancer mortality, and provided an impetus for introducing control programs. The purpose of this article is to develop estimates of their effect on basic smoking exposure input parameters related to introduction of the report. Fundamental inputs used to generate exposure to cigarettes are initiation and cessation rates for men and women, as well as the distribution of the number of cigarettes smoked per day. These fundamental quantities are presented for three scenarios: actual tobacco control in the United States; no tobacco control in which the experience before 1955 was assumed to continue; and complete tobacco control in which all smoking ceased following publication of the report. These results were derived using data from National Health Interview Surveys, and they provide basic input parameters for the Smoking History Generator used by each of the lung cancer models developed by the Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Modeling Network.
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Holford TR, Ebisu K, McKay L, Oh C, Zheng T. Chapter 12: Yale lung cancer model. RISK ANALYSIS : AN OFFICIAL PUBLICATION OF THE SOCIETY FOR RISK ANALYSIS 2012; 32 Suppl 1:S151-65. [PMID: 22882886 PMCID: PMC3662537 DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2011.01754.x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/08/2023]
Abstract
The age-period-cohort model is known to provide an excellent description of the temporal trends in lung cancer incidence and mortality. This analytic approach is extended to include the contribution of carcinogenesis models for smoking. Usefulness of this strategy is that it offers a way to temporally calibrate a model that is fitted to population data and it can be readily adopted for the consideration of many different models. In addition, it provides diagnostics that can suggest temporal limitations of a particular carcinogenesis model in describing population rates. Alternative carcinogenesis models can be embedded within this framework. The two-stage clonal expansion model is implemented here. The model was used to estimate the impact of tobacco control after dissemination of knowledge of the harmful effects of cigarette smoking by comparing the observed number of lung cancer deaths to those expected if there had been no control compared to an ideal of complete control in 1965. Results indicate that 35.2% and 26.5% of lung cancer deaths that could have been avoided actually were for males and females, respectively.
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Roush GC, Holford TR, Guddati AK. Chlorthalidone compared with hydrochlorothiazide in reducing cardiovascular events: systematic review and network meta-analyses. Hypertension 2012; 59:1110-7. [PMID: 22526259 DOI: 10.1161/hypertensionaha.112.191106] [Citation(s) in RCA: 114] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/20/2022]
Abstract
Hydrochlorothiazide (HCTZ) is widely used for hypertension, and prescriptions for HCTZ outnumber those for chlorthalidone (CTDN) by >20-fold in 2 recent surveys. Some have recently expressed a preference for CTDN. However, head-to-head trials testing the effect of the 2 drugs on cardiovascular events (CVEs) are lacking. We conducted a systematic review of randomized trials in which 1 arm was based on either HCTZ or CTDN followed by 2 types of network meta-analyses, a drug-adjusted analysis and an office systolic blood pressure-adjusted analysis. Nine trials were identified: 3 based on HCTZ and 6 based on CTDN. In the drug-adjusted analysis (n = 50946), the percentage of risk reduction in congestive heart failure for CTDN versus HCTZ was 23 (95% CI, 2-39; P = 0.032); and in all CVEs was 21 (95% CI, 12-28; P<0.0001). In the office systolic blood pressure-adjusted analysis (n = 78350), the percentage of risk reduction in CVEs for CTDN versus HCTZ was 18 (95% CI, 3-30; P = 0.024). When the reduction in office systolic blood pressure was identical in the 2 arms, the risk for CVEs in HCTZ arms was 19% higher than in its nondiuretic comparator arms (P = 0.021). Relative to HCTZ, the number needed to treat with CTDN to prevent 1 CVE over 5 years was 27. In conclusion, CTDN is superior to HCTZ in preventing cardiovascular events. This cannot be attributed entirely to the lesser effect of HCTZ on office systolic blood pressure but may be attributed to the pleomorphic effects of alternative medications or to the short duration of action of HCTZ.
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Hu W, Xu J, Bassig BA, Zheng T, Zhang Y, Berndt SI, Holford TR, Hosgood HD, Leaderer B, Menashe I, Boyle P, Chanock S, Lan Q, Rothman N. Abstract 2641: Polymorphisms in pattern recognition genes in the innate immunity system and risk of non-Hodgkin lymphoma. Cancer Res 2012. [DOI: 10.1158/1538-7445.am2012-2641] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
Abstract
The pattern recognition pathway plays an important role in infection recognition and immune responses, and previous studies have suggested an association between genetic variation in innate immunity genes and non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL). We evaluated NHL risk associated with the common genetic variation in pattern recognition genes using data from a case-control study of NHL conducted in Connecticut women. Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in 27 pattern recognition genes were genotyped in 432 Caucasian incident NHL cases and 494 frequency-matched controls. Unconditional logistic regression was used to compute odds ratios (ORs) for NHL and four major NHL subtypes in relation to individual SNPs and haplotypes. A gene-based analysis that adjusted for the number of tagSNPs genotyped in each gene showed significant association with overall NHL for the MBP gene (p=0.028), with DLBCL subtype for the MASP2 gene (p=0.011), and with FL subtype for the DEFB126 (p=0.041). A SNP-based analysis showed that MBP rs8094402 was associated with decreased risks of overall NHL (allele risk OR=0.72, p-trend=0.0018), DLBCL (allele risk OR=0.72, p-trend=0.036), and FL (allele risk OR=0.67, p-trend=0.021). MASP2 rs12711521 was associated with a decreased risk of DLBCL (allele risk OR=0.57, p-trend=0.0042). We also observed an increased risk of FL for DEFB126 rs6054706 (allele risk OR=1.39, p-trend=0.033). Our results are suggestive of a potential role of the pattern recognition in susceptibility to NHL but require replication in larger studies.
Citation Format: {Authors}. {Abstract title} [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 103rd Annual Meeting of the American Association for Cancer Research; 2012 Mar 31-Apr 4; Chicago, IL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2012;72(8 Suppl):Abstract nr 2641. doi:1538-7445.AM2012-2641
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Moolgavkar SH, Holford TR, Levy DT, Kong CY, Foy M, Clarke L, Jeon J, Hazelton WD, Meza R, Schultz F, McCarthy W, Boer R, Gorlova O, Gazelle GS, Kimmel M, McMahon PM, de Koning HJ, Feuer EJ. Impact of reduced tobacco smoking on lung cancer mortality in the United States during 1975-2000. J Natl Cancer Inst 2012; 104:541-8. [PMID: 22423009 PMCID: PMC3317881 DOI: 10.1093/jnci/djs136] [Citation(s) in RCA: 118] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/25/2011] [Revised: 02/01/2012] [Accepted: 02/03/2012] [Indexed: 11/30/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Considerable effort has been expended on tobacco control strategies in the United States since the mid-1950s. However, we have little quantitative information on how changes in smoking behaviors have impacted lung cancer mortality. We quantified the cumulative impact of changes in smoking behaviors that started in the mid-1950s on lung cancer mortality in the United States over the period 1975-2000. METHODS A consortium of six groups of investigators used common inputs consisting of simulated cohort-wise smoking histories for the birth cohorts of 1890 through 1970 and independent models to estimate the number of US lung cancer deaths averted during 1975-2000 as a result of changes in smoking behavior that began in the mid-1950s. We also estimated the number of deaths that could have been averted had tobacco control been completely effective in eliminating smoking after the Surgeon General's first report on Smoking and Health in 1964. RESULTS Approximately 795,851 US lung cancer deaths were averted during the period 1975-2000: 552,574 among men and 243,277 among women. In the year 2000 alone, approximately 70,218 lung cancer deaths were averted: 44,135 among men and 26,083 among women. However, these numbers are estimated to represent approximately 32% of lung cancer deaths that could have potentially been averted during the period 1975-2000, 38% of the lung cancer deaths that could have been averted in 1991-2000, and 44% of lung cancer deaths that could have been averted in 2000. CONCLUSIONS Our results reflect the cumulative impact of changes in smoking behavior since the 1950s. Despite a large impact of changing smoking behaviors on lung cancer deaths, lung cancer remains a major public health problem. Continued efforts at tobacco control are critical to further reduce the burden of this disease.
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Windemuth A, de Leon J, Goethe JW, Schwartz HI, Woolley S, Susce M, Kocherla M, Bogaard K, Holford TR, Seip RL, Ruaño G. Validation of candidate genes associated with cardiovascular risk factors in psychiatric patients. Prog Neuropsychopharmacol Biol Psychiatry 2012; 36:213-9. [PMID: 21851846 PMCID: PMC4912220 DOI: 10.1016/j.pnpbp.2011.08.001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/13/2011] [Revised: 07/30/2011] [Accepted: 08/01/2011] [Indexed: 01/11/2023]
Abstract
The purpose of this study was to identify genetic variants predictive of cardiovascular risk factors in a psychiatric population treated with second generation antipsychotics (SGA). 924 patients undergoing treatment for severe mental illness at four US hospitals were genotyped at 1.2 million single nucleotide polymorphisms. Patients were assessed for fasting serum lipid (low density lipoprotein cholesterol [LDLc], high density lipoprotein cholesterol [HDLc], and triglycerides) and obesity phenotypes (body mass index, BMI). Thirteen candidate genes from previous studies of the same phenotypes in non-psychiatric populations were tested for association. We confirmed 8 of the 13 candidate genes at the 95% confidence level. An increased genetic effect size was observed for triglycerides in the psychiatric population compared to that in the cardiovascular population.
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Aschebrook-Kilfoy B, Ward MH, Zheng T, Holford TR, Boyle P, Leaderer B, Zhang Y. Dietary nitrate and nitrite intake and non-Hodgkin lymphoma survival. Nutr Cancer 2012; 64:488-92. [PMID: 22420290 DOI: 10.1080/01635581.2012.658136] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/28/2022]
Abstract
Nitrate and nitrite are precursors in the formation of N-nitroso compounds. We recently found a 40% increased risk of NHL with higher dietary nitrite intake and significant increases in risk for follicular and T-cell lymphoma. It is possible that these compounds also affect NHL prognosis by enhancing cancer progression in addition to development by further impairing immune system function. To test the hypothesis that nitrate and nitrite intake affects NHL survival, we evaluated the association in study participants that have been followed post-disease diagnosis in a population-based case-control study among women in Connecticut. We did not observe a significant increasing trend of mortality for NHL overall or by subtype for nitrate or nitrite intake for deaths from NHL or death from any cause, although a borderline significant protective trend was observed for follicular lymphoma with increasing nitrate intake. We did not identify a difference in overall survival for nitrate (P = 0.39) or for nitrite (P = 0.66) or for NHL specific survival for nitrate (P = 0.96) or nitrite (P = 0.17). Thus, our null findings do not confer support for the possibility that dietary nitrate and nitrite intake impacts NHL survival by promoting immune unresponsiveness.
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Roush G, Holford TR, Guddati A. CHLORTHALIDONE COMPARED TO HYDROCHLOROTHIAZIDE IN REDUCING CARDIOVASCULAR EVENTS: SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND NETWORK META-ANALYSES. J Am Coll Cardiol 2012. [DOI: 10.1016/s0735-1097(12)61720-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/25/2022]
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Bassig BA, Zheng T, Zhang Y, Berndt SI, Holford TR, Hosgood HD, Hu W, Leaderer B, Yeager M, Menashe I, Boyle P, Xu J, Zou K, Zhu Y, Chanock S, Rothman N, Lan Q. Polymorphisms in complement system genes and risk of non-Hodgkin lymphoma. ENVIRONMENTAL AND MOLECULAR MUTAGENESIS 2012; 53:145-151. [PMID: 22170086 PMCID: PMC3391498 DOI: 10.1002/em.21675] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/01/2011] [Accepted: 11/10/2011] [Indexed: 05/31/2023]
Abstract
The complement system plays an important role in inflammatory and immune responses, and recent evidence has suggested that it may also play a role in lymphomagenesis. We evaluated the association between genetic variation in complement system genes and risk of non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) in a population-based case-control study conducted among women in Connecticut. Tag SNPs in 30 complement genes were genotyped in 432 Caucasian incident cases and 494 frequency-matched controls. A gene-based analysis that adjusted for the number of tag SNPs genotyped in each gene showed a significant association with NHL overall (P = 0.04) as well as with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) (P = 0.01) for the C1RL gene. A SNP-based analysis showed that a C>T base substitution for C1RL rs3813729 (odds ratio (OR)(CT) = 0.60, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.42-0.87, P(trend) = 0.0062) was associated with a decreased risk of overall NHL, as well as for DLBCL (OR(CT) = 0.39, 95% CI = 0.20-0.73; P(trend) = 0.0034). Additionally, SNPs (C2 rs497309, A>C and C3 rs344550, G>C) in two complement genes were positively associated with marginal zone lymphoma (MZL) and C1QG was associated with CLL/SLL, but these results were based on a limited number of cases. Our results suggest a potential role of the complement system in susceptibility to NHL; however, our results should be viewed as exploratory and further replication is needed to clarify these preliminary findings.
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Aschebrook-Kilfoy B, Heltshe SL, Nuckols JR, Sabra MM, Shuldiner AR, Mitchell BD, Airola M, Holford TR, Zhang Y, Ward MH. Modeled nitrate levels in well water supplies and prevalence of abnormal thyroid conditions among the Old Order Amish in Pennsylvania. Environ Health 2012; 11:6. [PMID: 22339761 PMCID: PMC3305600 DOI: 10.1186/1476-069x-11-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/13/2011] [Accepted: 02/17/2012] [Indexed: 05/18/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Nitrate is a widespread contaminant of drinking water supplies, especially in agricultural areas. Nitrate intake from drinking water and dietary sources can interfere with the uptake of iodide by the thyroid, thus potentially impacting thyroid function. METHODS We assessed the relation of estimated nitrate levels in well water supplies with thyroid health in a cohort of 2,543 Old Order Amish residing in Lancaster, Chester, and Lebanon counties in Pennsylvania for whom thyroid stimulating hormone (TSH) levels were measured during 1995-2008. Nitrate measurement data (1976-2006) for 3,613 wells in the study area were obtained from the U.S. Geological Survey and we used these data to estimate concentrations at study participants' residences using a standard linear mixed effects model that included hydrogeological covariates and kriging of the wells' residuals. Nitrate levels estimated by the model ranged from 0.35 mg/L to 16.4 mg/L N-NO3(-), with a median value of 6.5 mg/L, which was used as the cutpoint to define high and low nitrate exposure. In a validation analysis of the model, we calculated that the sensitivity of the model was 67% and the specificity was 93%. TSH levels were used to define the following outcomes: clinical hyperthyroidism (n = 10), clinical hypothyroidism (n = 56), subclinical hyperthyroidism (n = 25), and subclinical hypothyroidism (n = 228). RESULTS In women, high nitrate exposure was significantly associated with subclinical hypothyroidism (OR = 1.60; 95% CI: 1.11-2.32). Nitrate was not associated with subclinical thyroid disease in men or with clinical thyroid disease in men or women. CONCLUSIONS Although these data do not provide strong support for an association between nitrate in drinking water and thyroid health, our results do suggest that further exploration of this hypothesis is warranted using studies that incorporate individual measures of both dietary and drinking water nitrate intake.
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Ebisu K, Holford TR, Belanger KD, Leaderer BP, Bell ML. Urban land-use and respiratory symptoms in infants. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH 2011; 111:677-84. [PMID: 21530957 PMCID: PMC3114197 DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2011.04.004] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/18/2010] [Revised: 04/08/2011] [Accepted: 04/11/2011] [Indexed: 05/19/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Children's respiratory health has been linked to many factors, including air pollution. The impacts of urban land-use on health are not fully understood, although these relationships are of key importance given the growing populations living in urban environments. OBJECTIVES We investigated whether the degree of urban land-use near a family's residence is associated with severity of respiratory symptoms like wheeze among infants. METHODS Wheeze occurrence was recorded for the first year of life for 680 infants in Connecticut for 1996-1998 from a cohort at risk for asthma development. Land-use categories were obtained from the National Land Cover Database. The fraction of urban land-use near each subject's home was related to severity of wheeze symptoms using ordered logistic regression, adjusting for individual-level data including smoking in the household, race, gender, and socio-economic status. Nitrogen dioxide (NO(2)) exposure was estimated using integrated traffic exposure modeling. Different levels of urban land-use intensity were included in separate models to explore intensity-response relationships. A buffer distance was selected based on the log-likelihood value of models with buffers of 100-2000 m by 10 m increments. RESULTS A 10% increase in urban land-use within the selected 1540 m buffer of each infant's residence was associated with 1.09-fold increased risk of wheeze severity (95% confidence interval, 1.02-1.16). Results were robust to alternate buffer sizes. When NO(2), representing traffic pollution, was added to the model, results for urban land-use were no longer statistically significant, but had similar central estimates. Higher urban intensity showed higher risk of prevalence and severity of wheeze symptoms. CONCLUSIONS Urban land-use was associated with severity of wheeze symptoms in infants. Findings indicate that health effect estimates for urbanicity incorporate some effects of traffic-related emissions, but also involve other factors. These may include differences in housing characteristics or baseline healthcare status.
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Lan Q, Wang SS, Menashe I, Armstrong B, Zhang Y, Hartge P, Purdue MP, Holford TR, Morton LM, Kricker A, Cerhan JR, Grulich A, Cozen W, Zahm SH, Yeager M, Vajdic CM, Schenk M, Leaderer B, Yuenger J, Severson RK, Chatterjee N, Chanock SJ, Zheng T, Rothman N. Genetic variation in Th1/Th2 pathway genes and risk of non-Hodgkin lymphoma: a pooled analysis of three population-based case-control studies. Br J Haematol 2011; 153:341-50. [PMID: 21418175 DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2141.2010.08424.x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 28] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
The balance between T-helper 1 (Th1) and T-helper 2 (Th2) activity is critical in lymphoid cell development and differentiation. Immune dysfunction underlies lymphomagenesis, so an alteration in the regulation of key Th1/Th2 cytokines may lead to the development of non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL). To study the impact of polymorphisms in Th1/Th2 cytokines on NHL risk, we analyzed 145 tag single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in 17 Th1/Th2 cytokine and related genes in three population-based case-control studies (1946 cases and 1808 controls). Logistic regression was used to compute odds ratios (OR) for NHL and four major NHL subtypes in relation to tag SNP genotypes and haplotypes. A gene-based analysis adjusting for the number of tag SNPs genotyped in each gene showed significant associations with risk of NHL combined and one or more NHL subtypes for Th1 (IL12A and IL12RB1) and Th2 (IL4, IL10RB, and IL18) genes. The strongest association was for rs485497 in IL12A, which plays a central role in bridging the cellular and humoral pathways of innate resistance and antigen-specific adaptive immune responses (allele risk OR= 1·17; P(trend)= 0·00099). This SNP was also associated specifically with risk of follicular lymphoma (allele risk OR= 1·26; P(trend)= 0·0012). These findings suggest that genetic variation in Th1/Th2 cytokine genes may contribute to lymphomagenesis.
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Lan Q, Wang SS, Menashe I, Armstrong B, Zhang Y, Hartge P, Purdue MP, Holford TR, Morton LM, Kricker A, Cerhan JR, Grulich A, Cozen W, Zahm SH, Yeager M, Vajdic CM, Schenk M, Leaderer B, Yuenger J, Severson RK, Chatterjee N, Chanock SJ, Zheng T, Rothman N. Genetic variation in Th1/Th2 pathway genes and risk of non-Hodgkin lymphoma: a pooled analysis of three population-based case-control studies. Br J Haematol 2011. [PMID: 21418175 DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2141.2010.08424.x.] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
Abstract
The balance between T-helper 1 (Th1) and T-helper 2 (Th2) activity is critical in lymphoid cell development and differentiation. Immune dysfunction underlies lymphomagenesis, so an alteration in the regulation of key Th1/Th2 cytokines may lead to the development of non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL). To study the impact of polymorphisms in Th1/Th2 cytokines on NHL risk, we analyzed 145 tag single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in 17 Th1/Th2 cytokine and related genes in three population-based case-control studies (1946 cases and 1808 controls). Logistic regression was used to compute odds ratios (OR) for NHL and four major NHL subtypes in relation to tag SNP genotypes and haplotypes. A gene-based analysis adjusting for the number of tag SNPs genotyped in each gene showed significant associations with risk of NHL combined and one or more NHL subtypes for Th1 (IL12A and IL12RB1) and Th2 (IL4, IL10RB, and IL18) genes. The strongest association was for rs485497 in IL12A, which plays a central role in bridging the cellular and humoral pathways of innate resistance and antigen-specific adaptive immune responses (allele risk OR= 1·17; P(trend)= 0·00099). This SNP was also associated specifically with risk of follicular lymphoma (allele risk OR= 1·26; P(trend)= 0·0012). These findings suggest that genetic variation in Th1/Th2 cytokine genes may contribute to lymphomagenesis.
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Barry KH, Zhang Y, Lan Q, Zahm SH, Holford TR, Leaderer B, Boyle P, Hosgood HD, Chanock S, Yeager M, Rothman N, Zheng T. Genetic variation in metabolic genes, occupational solvent exposure, and risk of non-hodgkin lymphoma. Am J Epidemiol 2011; 173:404-13. [PMID: 21228414 DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwq360] [Citation(s) in RCA: 26] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/12/2022] Open
Abstract
Using 1996-2000 data among Connecticut women, the authors evaluated whether genetic variation in 4 metabolic genes modifies organic solvent associations with non-Hodgkin lymphoma and 5 major histologic subtypes. P(interaction) values were determined from cross-product terms between dichotomous (ever/never) solvent variables and genotypes at examined loci in unconditional logistic regression models. The false discovery rate method was used to account for multiple comparisons. Overall associations between the chlorinated solvents dichloromethane (odds ratio (OR) = 1.69, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.06, 2.69), carbon tetrachloride (OR = 2.33, 95% CI: 1.23, 4.40), and methyl chloride (OR = 1.44, 95% CI: 0.94, 2.20) and total non-Hodgkin lymphoma were increased among women TT for rs2070673 in the cytochrome P4502E1 gene, CYP2E1 (dichloromethane: OR = 4.42, 95% CI: 2.03, 9.62; P(interaction) < 0.01; carbon tetrachloride: OR = 5.08, 95% CI: 1.82, 14.15; P(interaction) = 0.04; and methyl chloride: OR = 2.37, 95% CI: 1.24, 4.51; P(interaction) = 0.03). In contrast, no effects of these solvents were observed among TA/AA women. Similar patterns were observed for diffuse large B-cell lymphoma and follicular lymphoma, as well as marginal zone lymphoma for dichloromethane. The weak, nonsignificant overall association between benzene and diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (OR = 1.29, 95% CI: 0.84, 1.98) was increased among women AA for rs2234922 in the microsomal epoxide hydrolase gene, EPHX1 (OR = 1.77, 95% CI: 1.06, 2.97; P(interaction) = 0.06). In contrast, no effect was observed among AG/GG women. Additional studies with larger sample size are needed to replicate these findings.
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Hosgood HD, Purdue MP, Wang SS, Zheng T, Morton LM, Lan Q, Menashe I, Zhang Y, Cerhan JR, Grulich A, Cozen W, Yeager M, Holford TR, Vajdic CM, Davis S, Leaderer B, Kricker A, Schenk M, Zahm SH, Chatterjee N, Chanock SJ, Rothman N, Hartge P, Armstrong B. A pooled analysis of three studies evaluating genetic variation in innate immunity genes and non-Hodgkin lymphoma risk. Br J Haematol 2011; 152:721-6. [PMID: 21250972 DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2141.2010.08518.x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 27] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/22/2022]
Abstract
Genetic variation in immune-related genes may play a role in the development of non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL). To test the hypothesis that innate immunity polymorphisms may be associated with NHL risk, we genotyped 144 tag single nucleotide polymorphisms (tagSNPs) capturing common genetic variation within 12 innate immunity gene regions in three independent population-based case-control studies (1946 cases and 1808 controls). Gene-based analyses found IL1RN to be associated with NHL risk (minP = 0·03); specifically, IL1RN rs2637988 was associated with an increased risk of NHL (per-allele odds ratio = 1·15, 95% confidence interval = 1·05-1·27; P(trend) = 0·003), which was consistent across study, subtype, and gender. FCGR2A was also associated with a decreased risk of the follicular lymphoma NHL subtype (minP = 0·03). Our findings suggest that genetic variation in IL1RN and FCGR2A may play a role in lymphomagenesis. Given that conflicting results have been reported regarding the association between IL1RN SNPs and NHL risk, a larger number of innate immunity genes with sufficient genomic coverage should be evaluated systematically across many studies.
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Ruaño G, Thompson PD, Kane JP, Pullinger CR, Windemuth A, Seip RL, Kocherla M, Holford TR, Wu AHB. Physiogenomic analysis of statin-treated patients: domain-specific counter effects within the ACACB gene on low-density lipoprotein cholesterol? Pharmacogenomics 2011; 11:959-71. [PMID: 20602615 DOI: 10.2217/pgs.10.58] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/20/2022] Open
Abstract
AIM Administered at maximal dosages, the most common statins--atorvastatin, simvastatin and rosuvastatin--lower low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDLC) by an average of 37-57% in patients with primary hypercholesterolemia. We hypothesized novel genetic underpinnings for variation in LDLC levels in the context of statin therapy. MATERIALS & METHODS Genotyping of 384 SNPs in 202 volunteers from a lipid outpatient clinic was accomplished and LDLC levels obtained from chart records. The SNPs were distributed across 222 genes representing physiological pathways such as general metabolism, cholesterol biochemistry, cardiovascular function, inflammation, neurobiology and cell proliferation. We discovered significant associations with LDLC levels for the rs34274 SNP (p < 0.0002) and for rs2241220 (p < 0.008) in the acetyl-coenzyme A carboxylase beta (ACACB) gene. When corrected for multiple testing, the false-discovery rate associated with rs34274 was 0.076 (significance threshold: 0.10) and for rs2241220 the false-discovery rate was 0.93 (not significant). The acetyl coenzyme A carboxylase beta enzyme synthesizes malonyl coenzyme A, an essential substrate for hepatic fatty acid synthesis and an inhibitor of fatty acid oxidation. RESULTS The SNPs were in weak linkage disequilibrium (D = 0.302). Minor alleles at these sites demonstrate opposing influences on LDLC; the C>T substitution at rs34724 is a risk marker and the C>T substitution at rs2241220 a protective marker for LDLC levels. These SNPs hypothetically influence enzymatic activity through different mechanisms, rs34274 through the PII promoter and rs2241220 via alteration of the protein's responsiveness to allosteric influence. CONCLUSION Physiogenomic evidence suggests a novel link between LDLC levels and the regulation of fatty acid metabolism. The findings complement previously discovered novel SNP relationships to myalgia (pain) and myositis (serum creatine kinase activity). By genotyping for myositis, myalgia and LDLC levels, a physiogenomic model may be developed to help clinicians maximize effectiveness and minimize side effects in prescribing statins.
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Skene KJ, Gent JF, McKay LA, Belanger K, Leaderer BP, Holford TR. Modeling effects of traffic and landscape characteristics on ambient nitrogen dioxide levels in Connecticut. ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT (OXFORD, ENGLAND : 1994) 2010; 44:5156-5164. [PMID: 21076636 PMCID: PMC2976574 DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2010.08.058] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/29/2023]
Abstract
An integrated exposure model was developed that estimates nitrogen dioxide (NO(2)) concentration at residences using geographic information systems (GIS) and variables derived within residential buffers representing traffic volume and landscape characteristics including land use, population density and elevation. Multiple measurements of NO(2) taken outside of 985 residences in Connecticut were used to develop the model. A second set of 120 outdoor NO(2) measurements as well as cross-validation were used to validate the model. The model suggests that approximately 67% of the variation in NO(2) levels can be explained by: traffic and land use primarily within 2 km of a residence; population density; elevation; and time of year. Potential benefits of this model for health effects research include improved spatial estimations of traffic-related pollutant exposure and reduced need for extensive pollutant measurements. The model, which could be calibrated and applied in areas other than Connecticut, has importance as a tool for exposure estimation in epidemiological studies of traffic-related air pollution.
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Kilfoy BA, Zhang Y, Park Y, Holford TR, Schatzkin A, Hollenbeck A, Ward MH. Dietary nitrate and nitrite and the risk of thyroid cancer in the NIH-AARP Diet and Health Study. Int J Cancer 2010; 129:160-72. [PMID: 20824705 DOI: 10.1002/ijc.25650] [Citation(s) in RCA: 99] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/20/2010] [Accepted: 08/06/2010] [Indexed: 12/17/2022]
Abstract
During the past several decades, an increasing incidence of thyroid cancer has been observed worldwide. Nitrate inhibits iodide uptake by the thyroid, potentially disrupting thyroid function. An increased risk of thyroid cancer associated with nitrate intake was recently reported in a cohort study of older women in Iowa. We evaluated dietary nitrate and nitrite intake and thyroid cancer risk overall and for subtypes in the National Institutes of Health-American Association of Retired Persons (NIH-AARP) Diet and Health Study, a large prospective cohort of 490,194 men and women, ages 50-71 years in 1995-1996. Dietary intakes were assessed using a 124-item food frequency questionnaire. During an average of 7 years of follow-up we identified 370 incident thyroid cancer cases (170 men, 200 women) with complete dietary information. Among men, increasing nitrate intake was positively associated with thyroid cancer risk (relative risk [RR] for the highest quintile versus lowest quintile RR = 2.28, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.29-4.041; p-trend <0.001); however, we observed no trend with intake among women (p-trend = 0.61). Nitrite intake was not associated with risk of thyroid cancer for either men or women. We evaluated risk for the two main types of thyroid cancer. We found positive associations for nitrate intake and both papillary (RR = 2.10; 95% CI: 1.09-4.05; p-trend = 0.05) and follicular thyroid cancer (RR = 3.42; 95% CI: 1.03-11.4; p-trend = 0.01) among men. Nitrite intake was associated with increased risk of follicular thyroid cancer (RR = 2.74; 95%CI: 0.86-8.77; p-trend = 0.04) among men. Our results support a role of nitrate in thyroid cancer risk and suggest that further studies to investigate these exposures are warranted.
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Allen NB, Holford TR, Bracken MB, Goldstein LB, Howard G, Wang Y, Lichtman JH. Trends in one-year recurrent ischemic stroke among the elderly in the USA: 1994-2002. Cerebrovasc Dis 2010; 30:525-32. [PMID: 20881382 DOI: 10.1159/000319028] [Citation(s) in RCA: 45] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/15/2009] [Accepted: 06/25/2010] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE Of the 795,000 strokes occurring in the USA each year, over 20% are recurrent events. Little is known about how the rates of recurrent stroke in the country have changed over time. Our objective was to determine national trends in 1-year recurrent ischemic stroke rates by US county among the elderly from 1994 to 2002. METHODS One-year recurrent stroke rates following incident ischemic stroke (ICD-9 433, 434, 436) among all fee-for-service Medicare beneficiaries were determined by US county for 1994-1996, 1997-1999, and 2000-2002. Bayesian spatiotemporal Poisson modeling was used to determine county-specific trends in recurrent stroke rates over time with risk adjustment for demographics, medical history and comorbid conditions. RESULTS The analysis included more than 2.5 million beneficiaries (56% women; mean age: 78 years; 87% white; n = 957,933 for 1994-1996; n = 838,330 for 1996-1999; n = 895,916 for 2000-2002) aggregated to all 3,118 US counties. After adjustment for changing patient demographics and comorbidities, there was a 4.5% decrease in recurrent stroke rates from 1994-1996 (13.2%) to 2000-2002 (12.6%; p for trend <0.0001). The geographic and temporal patterns were not uniform; the recurrent stroke rates decreased within sections of the Southeast (the 'stroke belt'), but increased in counties in the middle and western sections of the USA. CONCLUSIONS The overall recurrent ischemic stroke rates declined by almost 5% from 1994 to 2002, but temporal patterns varied markedly by region. Additional research is needed to identify the reasons for this geographic disparity.
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Han X, Zheng T, Foss F, Holford TR, Ma S, Zhao P, Dai M, Kim C, Zhang Y, Bai Y, Zhang Y. Vegetable and fruit intake and non-Hodgkin lymphoma survival in Connecticut women. Leuk Lymphoma 2010; 51:1047-54. [PMID: 20350273 DOI: 10.3109/10428191003690364] [Citation(s) in RCA: 24] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/13/2022]
Abstract
We investigated whether an increased intake of vegetables and fruits favors NHL survival. A cohort of 568 female cases of incident NHL diagnosed during 1996-2000 in Connecticut was followed up for a median of 7.7 years. Adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated by Cox proportional hazard models. Our results show that a pre-diagnostic high intake of vegetables appeared to favor overall survival (HR = 0.74, 95% CI 0.57-0.98) among patients with NHL who survived longer than 6 months. In particular, pre-diagnostic high intakes of green leafy vegetables and citrus fruits were associated with 29% (95% CI 0.51-0.98) and 27% (95% CI 0.54-0.99) reduced risk of death, respectively. When different types of vegetables and fruits were investigated separately, their impacts were found to vary in NHL subtypes. Our study suggests that increasing vegetable and citrus fruit consumption could be a useful strategy to improve survival in NHL patients.
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Shen M, Menashe I, Morton LM, Zhang Y, Armstrong B, Wang SS, Lan Q, Hartge P, Purdue MP, Cerhan JR, Grulich A, Cozen W, Yeager M, Holford TR, Vajdic CM, Davis S, Leaderer B, Kricker A, Severson RK, Zahm SH, Chatterjee N, Rothman N, Chanock SJ, Zheng T. Polymorphisms in DNA repair genes and risk of non-Hodgkin lymphoma in a pooled analysis of three studies. Br J Haematol 2010; 151:239-44. [PMID: 20813000 DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2141.2010.08364.x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/27/2022]
Abstract
Genetic variations in DNA repair genes are thought to play an important role in the pathogenesis and development of non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL). To further explore this hypothesis, we genotyped 319 tag single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in 27 DNA repair gene regions in 1946 cases and 1808 controls pooled from three population-based case-control studies of NHL in the US and Australia. Relative risks of NHL and NHL subtypes in relation to SNP genotypes were assessed using logistic regression. Associations of gene regions and pathways with NHL or NHL subtypes were explored using the minP and tail-strength statistics, respectively. Overall, genetic polymorphisms within the DNA repair pathway were associated with NHL (P = 0·005). Similar associations were seen with the double-strand break repair (P = 0·02) and nucleotide excision repair (P = 0·04) pathways. Five SNPs (BLM rs441399, RAD50 rs2237060, FAM82A2 rs2304583, ERCC3 rs4150506, and XRCC4 rs13178127) were particularly noteworthy because their gene regions were significantly associated with NHL or NHL subtypes (minP ≤ 0·05), or because of high level of statistical significance (P ≤ 0·005) and consistent findings across the three studies. These results support the hypothesis that common genetic polymorphisms in human DNA repair genes may modify the risk of NHL.
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Dailey AB, Kasl SV, Holford TR, Lewis TT, Jones BA. Neighborhood- and individual-level socioeconomic variation in perceptions of racial discrimination. ETHNICITY & HEALTH 2010; 15:145-63. [PMID: 20407967 PMCID: PMC3068624 DOI: 10.1080/13557851003592561] [Citation(s) in RCA: 62] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/08/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE In approaching the study of racial discrimination and health, the neighborhood- and individual-level antecedents of perceived discrimination need further exploration. We investigated the relationship between neighborhood- and individual-level socioeconomic position (SEP), neighborhood racial composition, and perceived racial discrimination in a cohort of African-American and White women age 40-79 from Connecticut, USA. DESIGN The logistic regression analysis included 1249 women (39% African-American and 61% White). Neighborhood-level SEP and racial composition were determined using 1990 census tract information. Individual-level SEP indicators included income, education, and occupation. Perceived racial discrimination was measured as lifetime experience in seven situations. RESULTS For African-American women, living in the most disadvantaged neighborhoods was associated with fewer reports of racial discrimination (odds ratio (OR) 0.44; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.26, 0.75), with results attenuated after adjustment for individual-level SEP (OR 0.54, CI: 0.29, 1.03), and additional adjustment for neighborhood racial composition (OR 0.70, CI: 0.30, 1.63). African-American women with 12 years of education or less were less likely to report racial discrimination, compared with women with more than 12 years of education (OR 0.57, CI: 0.33, 0.98 (12 years); OR 0.51, CI: 0.26, 0.99 (less than 12 years)) in the fully adjusted model. For White women, neither neighborhood-level SEP nor individual-level SEP was associated with perceived racial discrimination. CONCLUSION Individual- and neighborhood-level SEP may be important in understanding how racial discrimination is perceived, reported, processed, and how it may influence health. In order to fully assess the role of racism in future studies, inclusion of additional dimensions of discrimination may be warranted.
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Kilfoy BA, Ward MH, Zheng T, Holford TR, Boyle P, Zhao P, Dai M, Leaderer B, Zhang Y. Risk of non-Hodgkin lymphoma and nitrate and nitrite from the diet in Connecticut women. Cancer Causes Control 2010; 21:889-96. [PMID: 20204494 DOI: 10.1007/s10552-010-9517-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/16/2009] [Accepted: 01/23/2010] [Indexed: 12/19/2022]
Abstract
It has been estimated that 65,980 individuals were diagnosed with non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) and 19,500 died from NHL in the United States in 2009. Although established risk factors such as immunodeficiency and viral infections may be responsible for a portion of the cases, the majority of NHL cases remain unexplained. Dietary nitrate and nitrite intake are exposures of particular interest for NHL risk as they are precursors in the endogenous formation of N-nitroso compounds, which cause lymphomas in animal studies. We investigated NHL risk overall and by histologic type in relation to dietary nitrate and nitrite intake in a population-based case-control study of 1,304 women in Connecticut. Nitrate and nitrite intake were assessed using a 120-item food frequency questionnaire. We found no association between risk of NHL overall and dietary nitrate and a slightly increased risk of NHL with higher dietary nitrite intake (highest vs. lowest intake quartile OR = 1.4; 95% CI: 0.9-2.2). When we evaluated intake by subtype, a significant positive trend was observed for follicular lymphoma and nitrate (p-trend = 0.04) and nitrite (p-trend < 0.01) with an over twofold risk in the highest nitrite intake quartile (OR = 2.3; 95% CI: 1.1-4.9). An increased risk in the highest quartile of nitrite intake was also observed for T-cell lymphoma (OR = 3.4; 95% CI: 1.0-11.9). Animal products containing nitrite were more strongly associated with risk of follicular lymphoma; whereas, both animal and plant sources of nitrite were associated with elevated ORs for T-cell lymphoma. Our results confirm a previous finding for nitrite intake and NHL risk and highlight the importance of evaluating histologic type. We conclude that these results should be replicated in a larger study with data on drinking water as well as dietary sources of nitrate intake.
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Valderrama-Ardila C, Alexander N, Ferro C, Cadena H, Marín D, Holford TR, Munstermann LE, Ocampo CB. Environmental risk factors for the incidence of American cutaneous leishmaniasis in a sub-Andean zone of Colombia (Chaparral, Tolima). Am J Trop Med Hyg 2010; 82:243-50. [PMID: 20134000 DOI: 10.4269/ajtmh.2010.09-0218] [Citation(s) in RCA: 44] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/07/2022] Open
Abstract
Environmental risk factors for cutaneous leishmaniasis were investigated for the largest outbreak recorded in Colombia. The outbreak began in 2003 in Chaparral, and in the following five years produced 2,313 cases in a population of 56,228. Candidate predictor variables were land use, elevation, and climatic variables such as mean temperature and precipitation. Spatial analysis showed that incidence of cutaneous leishmaniasis was higher in townships with mean temperatures in the middle of the county's range. Incidence was independently associated with higher coverage with forest or shrubs (2.6% greater for each additional percent coverage, 95% credible interval [CI] = 0.5-4.9%), and lower population density (22% lower for each additional 100 persons/km(2), 95% CI = 7-41%). The extent of forest or shrub coverage did not show major changes over time. These findings confirmed the roles of climate and land use in leishmaniasis transmission. However, environmental variables were not sufficient to explain the spatial variation in incidence.
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Seip RL, Bernene J, Hanks S, Windemuth A, Wencker D, Kocherla M, Holford TR. PHYSIOGENOMICS OF THIAZOLIDINEDIONE EFFICACY AND SAFETY. J Am Coll Cardiol 2010. [DOI: 10.1016/s0735-1097(10)61969-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
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98
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Holford TR, Ebisu K, McKay LA, Gent JF, Triche EW, Bracken MB, Leaderer BP. Integrated exposure modeling: a model using GIS and GLM. Stat Med 2010; 29:116-29. [PMID: 19823976 DOI: 10.1002/sim.3732] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
Abstract
Traffic exhaust is a source of air contaminants that have adverse health effects. Quantification of traffic as an exposure variable is complicated by aerosol dispersion related to variation in layout of roads, traffic density, meteorology, and topography. A statistical model is presented that uses Geographic Information Systems (GIS) technology to incorporate variables into a generalized linear model that estimates distribution of traffic-related pollution. Exposure from a source is expressed as an integral of a function proportional to average daily traffic and a nonparametric dispersion function, which takes the form of a step, polynomial, or spline model. The method may be applied using standard regression techniques for fitting generalized linear models. Modifiers of pollutant dispersion such as wind direction, meteorology, and landscape features can also be included. Two examples are given to illustrate the method. The first employs data from a study in which NO(2) (a known pollutant from automobile exhaust) was monitored outside of 138 Connecticut homes, providing a model for estimating NO(2) exposure. In the second example, estimated levels of nitrogen dioxide (NO(2)) from the model, as well as a separate spatial model, were used to analyze traffic-related health effects in a study of 761 infants.
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99
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Hoffman AE, Yi CH, Zheng T, Stevens RG, Leaderer D, Zhang Y, Holford TR, Hansen J, Paulson J, Zhu Y. CLOCK in breast tumorigenesis: genetic, epigenetic, and transcriptional profiling analyses. Cancer Res 2010. [PMID: 20124474 DOI: 10.1158/0008-5472.can-09-379] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/30/2023]
Abstract
The transcription factors responsible for maintaining circadian rhythm influence a variety of biological processes. Recently, it has been suggested that the core circadian genes may play a role in breast tumorigenesis, possibly by influencing hormone regulation or other pathways relevant to cancer. To evaluate this hypothesis, we conducted a genetic and epigenetic association study, as well as a transcriptional profiling array and a pathway-based network analysis. We report significant correlations between single nucleotide polymorphisms associated with the central circadian regulator CLOCK and breast cancer risk, with apparent effect modification by estrogen receptor/progesterone receptor status. We also found that hypermethylation in the CLOCK promoter reduced the risk of breast cancer, and lower levels of CLOCK expression were documented in healthy controls relative to normal or tumor tissue from patients with breast cancer. Finally, we silenced CLOCK in vitro and performed a whole-genome expression microarray and pathway analysis, which identified a cancer-relevant network of transcripts with altered expression following CLOCK gene knockdown. Our findings support the hypothesis that circadian genes influence tumorigenesis, and identify a set of circadian gene variants as candidate breast cancer susceptibility biomarkers.
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100
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Hoffman AE, Yi CH, Zheng T, Stevens RG, Leaderer D, Zhang Y, Holford TR, Hansen J, Paulson J, Zhu Y. CLOCK in breast tumorigenesis: genetic, epigenetic, and transcriptional profiling analyses. Cancer Res 2010; 70:1459-68. [PMID: 20124474 DOI: 10.1158/0008-5472.can-09-3798] [Citation(s) in RCA: 141] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/24/2022]
Abstract
The transcription factors responsible for maintaining circadian rhythm influence a variety of biological processes. Recently, it has been suggested that the core circadian genes may play a role in breast tumorigenesis, possibly by influencing hormone regulation or other pathways relevant to cancer. To evaluate this hypothesis, we conducted a genetic and epigenetic association study, as well as a transcriptional profiling array and a pathway-based network analysis. We report significant correlations between single nucleotide polymorphisms associated with the central circadian regulator CLOCK and breast cancer risk, with apparent effect modification by estrogen receptor/progesterone receptor status. We also found that hypermethylation in the CLOCK promoter reduced the risk of breast cancer, and lower levels of CLOCK expression were documented in healthy controls relative to normal or tumor tissue from patients with breast cancer. Finally, we silenced CLOCK in vitro and performed a whole-genome expression microarray and pathway analysis, which identified a cancer-relevant network of transcripts with altered expression following CLOCK gene knockdown. Our findings support the hypothesis that circadian genes influence tumorigenesis, and identify a set of circadian gene variants as candidate breast cancer susceptibility biomarkers.
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