Pharmacokinetic considerations for use of artemisinin-based combination therapies against falciparum malaria in different ethnic populations

INTRODUCTION

Artemisinin-based combination therapy (ACT) is used extensively as first-line treatment for uncomplicated falciparum malaria. There has been no rigorous assessment of the potential for racial/ethnic differences in the pharmacokinetic properties of ACTs that might influence their efficacy. Areas covered: A comprehensive literature search was performed that identified 72 publications in which the geographical origin of the patients could be ascertained and the key pharmacokinetic parameters maximum drug concentration (C_max), area under the plasma concentration-time curve (AUC) and elimination half-life (t_½β) were available for one or more of the five WHO-recommended ACTs (artemether-lumefantrine, artesunate-amodiaquine, artesunate-mefloquine, dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine and artesunate-sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine). Comparisons of each of the three pharmacokinetic parameters of interest were made by drug (artemisinin derivative and long half-life partner), race/ethnicity (African, Asian, Caucasian, Melanesian, South American) and patient categories based on age and pregnancy status. Expert opinion: The review identified no evidence of a clinically significant influence of race/ethnicity on the pharmacokinetic properties of the nine component drugs in the five ACTs currently recommended by WHO for first-line treatment of uncomplicated falciparum malaria. This provides reassurance for health workers in malaria-endemic regions that ACTs can be given in recommended doses with the expectation of adequate blood concentrations regardless of race/ethnicity.

Bradycardia and Hypothermia Complicating Azithromycin Treatment

Patient: Male, 4

Final Diagnosis: Febrile neutropenia

Symptoms: Fever

Medication: Azithromycin

Clinical Procedure: —

Specialty: Infectious Diseases

Depression symptoms are persistent in Type 2 diabetes: risk factors and outcomes of 5-year depression trajectories using latent class growth analysis

AIMS

To describe the long-term trajectories of depression symptom severity in people with Type 2 diabetes, and to identify predictors and associates of these trajectories.

METHODS

A community-dwelling cohort of 1201 individuals with Type 2 diabetes from the Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase II was followed for 5 years. The nine-item version of the Patient Health Questionnaire was administered annually to assess depression symptoms, and biomedical and psychosocial measures were assessed at baseline and biennially. Latent class growth analysis was used to identify classes of depression severity trajectories and associated outcomes, and logistic regression models were used to determine predictors of class membership.

RESULTS

Three trajectories of depression symptoms were identified: continuously low depression symptoms (85.2%); gradually worsening symptoms that then began to improve (persistent depression - low-start; 7.3%); and gradually improving symptoms which later worsened (persistent depression - high-start; 7.5%). Younger age, being a woman, and a lifetime history of major depressive disorder, were associated with greater risk of persistent depression symptoms. Persistent depression was associated with consistently higher BMI over time, but not with changes in HbA_1c or self-monitoring of blood glucose.

CONCLUSIONS

A subset of individuals with Type 2 diabetes is at risk of depression symptoms that remain elevated over time. Younger, overweight individuals with a history of depression may benefit from early and intensive depression management and ongoing follow-up as part of routine Type 2 diabetes care.

Proton Pump Inhibitors, Nephropathy, and Cardiovascular Disease in Type 2 Diabetes: The Fremantle Diabetes Study

CONTEXT

There is emerging evidence of various adverse effects of chronic proton pump inhibitor (PPI) therapy.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the impact of PPI use on nephropathy and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk in type 2 diabetes.

DESIGN

Longitudinal observational study.

SETTING

Urban-dwelling community.

PATIENTS

Patients with type 2 diabetes from the Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase II and on stable renin-angiotensin system blocking therapy were divided into those remaining untreated with a PPI (group 1, n = 686), on PPI therapy throughout (group 2, n = 174), and commencing (group 3, n = 109) or discontinuing regular PPI therapy (group 4, n = 67) during the 2 years between assessments.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Changes (Δ) in urinary albumin/creatinine ratio (uACR), estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), and predicted 5-year CVD risk.

RESULTS

There were no statistically significant differences in ΔuACR between groups [analysis of variance (ANOVA), P = 0.36], but ΔeGFR was different (ANOVA, P = 0.002), with group 3 exhibiting a greater reduction than group 1 [adjusted mean difference (95% confidence interval), -2.7 (-4.5 to -0.8) mL/min/1.73 m2; P = 0.005]. The Δ5-year CVD risk showed a similar pattern (ANOVA, P < 0.001), with group 3 having a greater increase than group 1 [adjusted mean difference (95% confidence interval), 1.7% (0.6% to 2.8%); P = 0.002].

CONCLUSIONS

Although PPI use was not associated with a sustained adverse effect on uACR, the association between PPI initiation and both worsening nephropathy and increasing 5-year CVD risk has potential clinical implications in type 2 diabetes.

Two-year audit of outcomes of pituitary surgery at an Australian teaching hospital

BACKGROUND

There is evidence that cure rates and complications are influenced by the caseload in neurosurgical centres performing transsphenoidal pituitary surgery. Although Australian centres may perform relatively small numbers of these procedures, there have been few published audits of their performance.

AIMS

To conduct an audit of surgery for pituitary tumours between 2012 and 2014 in the only public hospital neurosurgical unit in the state of Western Australia.

METHODS

A retrospective chart review was conducted, with standardised extraction of data relating to indications for surgery, tumour type, procedure and postoperative endocrinological and other outcomes.

RESULTS

Of 53 patients identified, most (91%) underwent transsphenoidal surgery. Most tumours were non-functioning (71.7%), and most of these extended outside the sella turcica (86.8 vs 73.3% of functioning tumours). There was complete removal in 43.4% of patients and evidence of biochemical cure in 33.3% of functioning tumours, but readmission for further surgery was infrequent (5.7%). Persistent cerebrospinal fluid leakage, photophobia and deep venous thrombosis occurred in <4% of patients. There were no deaths. There was a relatively high rate of permanent diabetes insipidus (DI) (13.2 vs <5% in published series), while the frequency of new postoperative anterior pituitary dysfunction (9.4%) was within the range reported in the literature (3-14%).

CONCLUSION

The outcomes of pituitary surgery in this audit were largely comparable to those reported from other neurosurgical units in Australia and other countries. The increased risk of permanent postoperative DI may reflect the high proportion of non-functioning tumours with extension outside the sella turcica.

Anemia complicating type 2 diabetes: Prevalence, risk factors and prognosis

AIMS

To determine the prevalence, risk factors and prognosis of anemia in representative community-based patients with type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

Data from the Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase II (FDS2; n=1551, mean age 65.7years, 51.9% males) and Busselton Diabetes Study (BDS; n=186, mean age 70.2years, 50.0% males) cohorts, and from 186 matched BDS participants without diabetes, were analyzed. The prevalence of anemia (hemoglobin ≤130g/L males, ≤120g/L females) was determined in each sample. In FDS2, associates of anemia were assessed using multiple logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards modeling identified predictors of death during 4.3±1.2years post-recruitment.

RESULTS

The prevalence of anemia at baseline was 11.5% in FDS2 participants, 17.8% in BDS type 2 patients and 5.4% in BDS participants without diabetes. In FDS2, 163 of 178 patients with anemia (91.6%) had at least one other risk factor (serum vitamin B₁₂<140pmol/L, serum ferritin <30μg/L and/or transferrin saturation<20%, serum testosterone <10nmol/L (males), glitazone therapy, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60mL/min 1.73m², malignancy, hemoglobinopathy). More anemic than non-anemic FDS2 patients died (28.7% versus 8.0%; P<0.001). After adjustment for other independent predictors (age as time-scale, male sex, Aboriginality, marital status, smoking, eGFR), anemia was associated with a 57% increase in mortality (P=0.015).

CONCLUSIONS

Type 2 diabetes at least doubles the risk of anemia but other mostly modifiable risk factors are usually present. Anemia is associated with an increased risk of death after adjustment for other predictors.

Optimal antimalarial dose regimens for chloroquine in pregnancy based on population pharmacokinetic modelling

Despite extensive use and accumulated evidence of safety, there have been few pharmacokinetic studies from which appropriate chloroquine (CQ) dosing regimens could be developed specifically for pregnant women. Such optimised CQ-based regimens, used as treatment for acute malaria or as intermittent preventive treatment in pregnancy (IPTp), may have a valuable role if parasite CQ sensitivity returns following reduced drug pressure. In this study, population pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic modelling was used to simultaneously analyse plasma concentration-time data for CQ and its active metabolite desethylchloroquine (DCQ) in 44 non-pregnant and 45 pregnant Papua New Guinean women treated with CQ and sulfadoxine/pyrimethamine or azithromycin (AZM). Pregnancy was associated with 16% and 49% increases in CQ and DCQ clearance, respectively, as well as a 24% reduction in CQ relative bioavailability. Clearance of DCQ was 22% lower in those who received AZM in both groups. Simulations based on the final multicompartmental model demonstrated that a 33% CQ dose increase may be suitable for acute treatment for malaria in pregnancy as it resulted in equivalent exposure to that in non-pregnant women receiving recommended doses, whilst a double dose would likely be required for an effective duration of post-treatment prophylaxis when used as IPTp especially in areas of CQ resistance. The impact of co-administered AZM was clinically insignificant in simulations. The results of past/ongoing trials employing recommended adult doses of CQ-based regimens in pregnant women should be interpreted in light of these findings, and consideration should be given to using increased doses in future trials.

Low serum HDL-cholesterol concentrations in mid-life predict late-life cognitive impairment in type 2 diabetes: The Fremantle diabetes study

In a study involving patients with type 2 diabetes assessed annually over 5years, serum HDL-cholesterol was the sole mid-life metabolic predictor of late-life cognitive impairment.

Circulating osteocalcin is unrelated to glucose homoeostasis in adults with type 1 diabetes

AIMS

To assess the relationship between total osteocalcin (tOC), undercarboxylated osteocalcin (ucOC) and a range of markers of glucose homeostasis in type 1 diabetes.

METHODS

One hundred and eight community-based Caucasian adults (53 males, 55 females) without a history of osteoporosis and with a mean±SD age 39.1±15.1years and median [inter-quartile range] type 1 diabetes duration of 14.3 [6.6-20.4] years participated in a cross-sectional study of bone health. Fasting serum glucose and HbA_1c, and serum tOC, ucOC, total adiponectin and procollagen type 1N-terminal propeptide (P1NP) were measured using validated assays, and daily insulin dose and estimated glucose disposal rate (eGDR) were calculated. Multiple linear regression was used to determine independent associates of markers of glucose homoeostasis (HbA_1c, fasting serum glucose, daily insulin dose, eGDR and serum total adiponectin).

RESULTS

In sex-adjusted multivariable regression analyses, ln(serum P1NP) was independently and inversely associated with ln(HbA_1c) and ln(serum adiponectin) (P≤0.013). Other associations included those between ln(serum vitamin D) and ln(HbA_1c) (inversely), daily insulin dose (inversely) and eGDR (positively) (P≤0.035), as well as an inverse relationship between overweight by waist circumference and ln(serum adiponectin) (P<0.001). Ln(serum tOC) and ln(serum ucOC) were not independently associated with any glucose homoeostasis marker.

CONCLUSIONS

These data from well characterized community-based adults with type 1 diabetes do not suggest that there is a role for osteocalcin in the potentially complex interplay between the skeleton and energy homoeostasis in type 1 diabetes.

Optimal Antimalarial Dose Regimens for Sulfadoxine-Pyrimethamine with or without Azithromycin in Pregnancy Based on Population Pharmacokinetic Modeling

Optimal dosing of sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine (SP) as intermittent preventive treatment in pregnancy remains to be established, particularly when coadministered with azithromycin (AZI). To further characterize SP pharmacokinetics in pregnancy, plasma concentration-time data from 45 nonpregnant and 45 pregnant women treated with SP-AZI (n = 15 in each group) and SP-chloroquine (n = 30 in each group) were analyzed. Population nonlinear mixed-effect pharmacokinetic models were developed for pyrimethamine (PYR), sulfadoxine (SDOX), and N-acetylsulfadoxine (the SDOX metabolite NASDOX), and potential covariates were included. Pregnancy increased the relative clearance (CL/F) of PYR, SDOX, and NASDOX by 48, 29, and 70%, respectively, as well as the relative volumes of distribution (V/F) of PYR (46 and 99%) and NASDOX (46%). Coadministration of AZI resulted in a greater increase in PYR CL/F (80%) and also increased NASDOX V/F by 76%. Apparent differences between these results and those of published studies of SP disposition may reflect key differences in study design, including the use of an early postpartum follow-up study rather than a nonpregnant comparator group. Simulations based on the final population model demonstrated that, compared to conventional single-dose SP in nonpregnant women, two such doses given 24 h apart should ensure that pregnant women have similar drug exposure, while three daily SP doses may be required if SP is given with AZI. The results of past and ongoing trials using recommended adult SP doses with or without AZI in pregnant women may need to be interpreted in light of these findings and consideration given to using increased doses in future trials.

A population-based study of the association between dysglycaemia and hearing loss in middle age

AIMS

To investigate the independent associations between hearing loss and dysglycaemia in a sample of middle-aged adults, including separate analysis of those aged < 60 years.

METHODS

The first 2023 participants in the cross-sectional Busselton Health Ageing Survey were assessed for hearing loss ≥ 26 dB (better ear) for four-frequency average (4FA) of pure-tone thresholds at 500, 1000, 2000 and 4000 Hz, and high-frequency average (HFA) of pure-tone thresholds at 4000 and 8000 Hz.

RESULTS

Valid data from 1864 participants in the Busselton Health Ageing Survey [92.1%; mean ± sd age 56.2 ± 5.5 years, 46.0% men, 120 (7.0%) with diabetes, 274 (14.7%) with prediabetes] were analysed, of whom 103 (5.5%) had four-frequency average hearing loss and 561 (30.1%) had high-frequency average hearing loss. In multivariable analyses, glycaemic status was not independently associated with four-frequency or high-frequency average hearing loss. In the 1286 participants aged < 60 years, there was no relationship between dysglycaemia and high-frequency average hearing loss, but the prevalence of four-frequency average hearing loss increased from 2.3% (95% CI 1.5-3.4) in participants with normoglycaemia to 5.7% (95% CI 3.0-10.6) in those with prediabetes and 10.2% (4.2-21.5) in those with diabetes (trend P = 0.003). In multivariable analysis with normoglycaemia as reference, the odds ratios for four-frequency average hearing loss were 2.84 (95% CI 1.29-6.27) for prediabetes and 5.93 (95% CI 1.67-21.05) for diabetes (P ≤ 0.01) in the < 60 year age group.

CONCLUSIONS

There was progressively increasing mid-range hearing loss with worsening glucose tolerance in younger individuals, suggesting dysglycaemia-associated early-onset presbycusis.

Successful Withdrawal of Insulin Therapy After Post-Treatment Clearance of Hepatitis C Virus in a Man with Type 2 Diabetes

Patient: Male, 55

Final Diagnosis: Hepatitis C

Symptoms: Icterus

Medication: —

Clinical Procedure: —

Specialty: Endocrinology and Metabolic

Influence of Premature Mortality on the Link Between Type 2 Diabetes and Hip Fracture: The Fremantle Diabetes Study

CONTEXT

Studies of hip fracture complicating diabetes have not considered the effect of premature mortality.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of our study was to determine influence of the competing risk of death on the association between type 2 diabetes and hip fracture.

DESIGN

The study was designed as a longitudinal observational study.

SETTING

The study setting was an urban community.

PATIENTS

Participants included 1291 patients with type 2 diabetes (mean age 64.0 years) and 5159 matched residents without diabetes.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Primary outcome measures were incident hip fracture hospitalizations and deaths. Hip fracture risk was assessed using proportional hazards and competing risk regression modeling.

RESULTS

During a mean of 14.1 years of follow-up, the incidence rate ratio for first hip fracture hospitalization in participants with vs without diabetes was 1.33 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.05 to 1.68; P = 0.013]. Type 2 diabetes was associated with a cause-specific hazard ratio (csHR) for hip fracture of 1.50 (95% CI, 1.19 to 1.89; P < 0.001) and a subdistribution hazard ratio (sdHR) of 1.21 (95% CI, 0.96 to 1.52; P = 0.11) after adjustment for age, sex, and comorbidities. In patients with diabetes, significant csHRs for incident hip fracture were male sex (protective), body mass index (protective), insulin use, and renal impairment. These variables, with increasing age, also had significant sdHRs.

CONCLUSIONS

The diabetes-associated risk of hip fracture is attenuated after allowing for the competing risk of death. Risk factors for hip fracture in diabetes were those in reported in general population studies plus insulin use.

Comprehensive mass spectrometry based biomarker discovery and validation platform as applied to diabetic kidney disease

A protein biomarker discovery workflow was applied to plasma samples from patients at different stages of diabetic kidney disease. The proteomics platform produced a panel of significant plasma biomarkers that were statistically scrutinised against the current gold standard tests on an analysis of 572 patients. Five proteins were significantly associated with diabetic kidney disease defined by albuminuria, renal impairment (eGFR) and chronic kidney disease staging (CKD Stage ≥1, ROC curve of 0.77). The results prove the suitability and efficacy of the process used, and introduce a biomarker panel with the potential to improve diagnosis of diabetic kidney disease.

Dementia onset, incidence and risk in type 2 diabetes: a matched cohort study with the Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase I

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

The study aimed to assess the incidence, age of onset, survival and relative hazard of dementia in well-categorised community-based patients with type 2 diabetes compared with a matched cohort of individuals without diabetes.

METHODS

A longitudinal observational study was undertaken involving 1291 participants with type 2 diabetes from the Fremantle Diabetes Study and 5159 matched residents without documented diabetes. Linkage with health-related databases was used to detect incident dementia. Relative hazards were assessed using both cause-specific and subdistribution proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

During 13.8 ± 5.8 years of follow-up, incident dementia occurred in 13.9% and 12.4% of the groups of participants with and without diabetes, respectively (p = 0.15). With type 2 diabetes, the incidence of dementia was higher (incidence rate ratio [IRR] 1.28, 95% CI 1.08, 1.51), as was the competing risk of death (IRR 1.50, 95% CI 1.38, 1.64). The ages when dementia was first recorded and when death with dementia occurred were both earlier with diabetes, by 1.7 (95% CI 0.6, 2.9) and 2.3 (95% CI 1.1, 3.6) years, respectively (both p ≤ 0.004). Type 2 diabetes was associated with an adjusted subdistribution HR of 1.18 (95% CI 1.00, 1.39), and a cause-specific HR of 1.51 (95% CI 1.27, 1.78) for all-cause dementia.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Type 2 diabetes is associated with an increased incidence of dementia, and dementia onset occurs at a younger age. The relative hazards of both dementia and premature mortality are increased and, as a consequence, the increased risk of dementia in type 2 diabetes is not as marked as suggested by cause-specific HRs.

Lifetime depression and anxiety increase prevalent psychological symptoms and worsen glycemic control in type 2 diabetes: The Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase II

AIMS

To determine the contribution of lifetime major depressive disorder (L-MDD) and lifetime generalized anxiety disorder (L-GAD) to current psychological symptom severity, health behaviour and glycaemic control in type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

1285 community-dwelling people with type 2 diabetes (Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase-II; FDS2) completed the PHQ-9 and Brief Life-Time Depression Scale (BLDS) to assess current and past MDD. The Generalized Anxiety Disorder Scale (GADS) and the Generalized Anxiety Disorder Scale-Lifetime (GAD-LT), designed for FDS2, assessed current and past anxiety. Data were analysed using analysis of covariance and multiple mediation models, controlling for age, gender, marital status, and diabetes duration.

RESULTS

L-MDD and L-GAD were independently associated with more severe current depression (both P<0.001) and anxiety (both P<0.001) symptoms. Mediation models revealed that, through increasing the severity of current depressive symptoms, L-MDD was associated with higher HbA_1c and body mass index (BMI), greater likelihood of current smoking, and reduced self-monitoring of blood glucose (SMBG) (indirect regression path ab, all P<0.001). In combination, L-MDD+L-GAD additionally elevated the risk of higher HbA_1c and worse diabetes management, by increasing the severity of current depressive symptoms (indirect regression path ab, all P<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Lifetime depression and anxiety increase risk of more severe psychological symptoms, hyperglycaemia, and difficulties with health behaviour in type 2 diabetes. Early screening for these disorders at diabetes diagnosis may be warranted to maximize long-term health outcomes.

Dose-response relationship between statin therapy and glycaemia in community-based patients with type 2 diabetes: the Fremantle Diabetes Study

Although statins may increase glycaemia in type 2 diabetes, available data are from single-dose intervention trials or studies with no adjustment for concomitant changes in blood glucose-lowering therapy. To provide real-life data covering common statin types and doses, glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) data from patients in the Fremantle Diabetes Study phases I (FDS1) and II (FDS2) and data on stable diabetes treatment before and after statin initiation were analysed. Intensity of statin therapy was categorized as low, moderate or high based on within-group dose regimens with similar serum LDL cholesterol-lowering effects. In pooled analyses of 335 eligible patients in FDS1 and FDS2, there was no change in HbA1c in the low-intensity group (0.04% or 0.4 mmol/mol; n = 159; p = .40), but a mean 0.22% (2.4 mmol/mol) increase in the moderate-intensity group (n = 185; p = .022) and a larger mean increase of 1.05% (11.5 mmol/mol) increase in the high-intensity group (n = 11; p = .023). These real-life data suggest a dose-response relationship between statin treatment intensity and glycaemia that has potential clinical implications.

Serum bicarbonate concentration and the risk of cardiovascular disease and death in type 2 diabetes: the Fremantle Diabetes Study

Background

Serum bicarbonate is associated with mortality, heart failure (HF) and progression of renal failure in studies of healthy people and patients with chronic kidney disease, but the significance of these observations in unselected patients with diabetes in the general population is unknown. The aim of this study was to determine whether serum bicarbonate was associated with mortality and cardiovascular disease risk in type 2 diabetes.

Methods

Baseline serum bicarbonate was available for 1283 well-characterized community-based patients (mean ± SD age 64.1 ± 11.3 years, 48.7 % males) from the longitudinal observational Fremantle Diabetes Study followed for a mean of 12 years. Associations between serum bicarbonate and mortality, coronary heart disease (CHD) and incident HF were analysed using Cox proportional hazards regression.

Results

Serum bicarbonate was independently and negatively associated with incident CHD. For each 1 mmol/L increase in bicarbonate, the hazard ratio for CHD was 0.95 (95 % confidence interval 0.92–0.99) after adjustment for age as time scale, age at baseline, sex, English fluency, diabetes duration, log_e(serum triglycerides), log_e(urinary albumin: creatinine ratio), peripheral sensory neuropathy and peripheral arterial disease. There were no independent associations between serum bicarbonate and all-cause mortality [0.98 (0.95–1.004)] or incident HF [0.99 (0.95–1.03)].

Conclusions

Serum bicarbonate was a significant independent predictor of incident CHD but not death or HF in community-based patients with type 2 diabetes. This supports intervention trials of bicarbonate replacement in type 2 patients at risk of CHD and who have a low serum bicarbonate concentration.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12933-016-0462-x) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Comorbid Anxiety and Depression and Their Impact on Cardiovascular Disease in Type 2 Diabetes: The Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase II

BACKGROUND

The aims were to determine whether anxious depression, defined by latent class analysis (LCA), predicts cardiovascular outcomes in type 2 diabetes and to compare the predictive power of anxious depression with Diagnostic & Statistical Manual Versions IV and 5 (DSM-IV/5) categories of depression and generalized anxiety disorder (GAD).

METHODS

Prospective observational study of 1,337 type 2 participants. Baseline assessment with the 9-item Patient Health Questionnaire and the GAD Scale; LCA-defined groups with minor or major anxious depression based on anxiety and depression symptoms. Cox modeling used to compare the independent impact of: (1) LCA anxious depression, (2) DSM-IV/5 depression, (3) GAD on incident cardiovascular events and deaths after 4 years.

RESULTS

LCA minor and major anxious depression was present in 21.9 and 7.8% of participants, respectively, DSM-IV/5 minor and major depression in 6.2 and 6.1%, respectively, and GAD in 4.8%. There were 110 deaths, 31 cardiovascular deaths, and 199 participants had incident cardiovascular events. In adjusted models, minor anxious depression (Hazard ratio (95% confidence intervals): 1.70 (1.15-2.50)) and major anxious depression (1.90 (1.11-3.25)) predicted incident cardiovascular events and major anxious depression also predicted cardiovascular mortality (4.32 (1.35-13.86)). By comparison, incident cardiovascular events were predicted by DSM-IV/5 major depression (2.10 (1.22-3.62)) only and cardiovascular mortality was predicted by both DSM-IV/5 major depression (3.56 (1.03-12.35)) and GAD (5.92 (1.84-19.08)).

CONCLUSIONS

LCA-defined anxious depression is more common than DSM-IV/5 categories and is a strong predictor of cardiovascular outcomes in type 2 diabetes. These data suggest that this diagnostic scheme has predictive validity and clinical relevance.

The relationship between estimated glomerular filtration rate trajectory and all-cause mortality in type 2 diabetes: the Fremantle Diabetes Study

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the association between estimated GFR (eGFR) and all-cause mortality, including the contribution of temporal eGFR changes, in well-characterised community-based patients with type 2 diabetes.

DESIGN

Longitudinal observational study.

METHODS

Participants from the Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase 1 were assessed between 1993 and 1996 and followed until end-December 2012. Cox proportional hazards modelling was used to assess the relationship between baseline eGFR category (Stage 1-5) and all-cause death, and between eGFR trajectories assigned by semiparametric group-based modelling (GBM) and all-cause death in patients with five post-baseline annual eGFR measurements.

RESULTS

In the full cohort (1296 patients; mean±s.d. age 64.1±11.3years, 48.6% males), 738 (56.9%) died during 12.9±6.1years of follow-up. There was a U-shaped relationship between all-cause death and eGFR category. With Stage 3 (45-59mL/min/1.73m(2)) as reference, the strongest association was for eGFR ≥90mL/min/1.73m(2) (hazard ratio (95% CI) 2.01 (1.52-2.66); P<0.001). GBM identified four linear trajectories ('low', 'medium', 'high', 'high/declining') in 532 patients with serial eGFR measurements. With medium trajectory as reference, eGFR trajectory displaced baseline eGFR category as an independent predictor of death, with low and high/declining trajectories associated with more than double the risk (2.03 (1.30-3.18) and 2.24 (1.31-3.83) respectively, P≤0.003) and associated median reductions in survival of 6.5 and 8.7years respectively.

CONCLUSION

There is a nonlinear relationship between eGFR and death in type 2 diabetes, which is at least partially explained by a sub-group of patients with an initially high but then rapidly declining eGFR.

Prevalence and prognosis of a low serum testosterone in men with type 2 diabetes: the Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase II

BACKGROUND

Because published studies have usually involved imprecise assays and selected patients with limited additional data and follow-up, the consequences of a low serum testosterone in diabetes are unclear. This study assessed the prevalence, associates and prognosis of a low testosterone in community-dwelling men with type 2 diabetes.

DESIGN

Longitudinal observational study.

PATIENTS

788 men (mean ± SD age: 65·8 ± 11·3 years) followed for 4·0 ± 1·1 years.

MEASUREMENTS

Serum testosterone, SHBG, erectile dysfunction (ED; Sexual Health Inventory for Men score <22), anaemia (haemoglobin <130 g/l), all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

The mean ± SD total serum testosterone by liquid chromatography/mass spectrometry was 13·1 ± 5·9 nmol/l (30·6% <10 nmol/l). Most men with a total testosterone <10 nmol/l (67·0%) had a normal/low serum LH. Serum testosterone was independently associated with anaemia (P < 0·001), but not ED (P = 0·80), in logistic regression models. The optimal cut-point (Youden Index) for anaemia was 9·8 nmol/l (sensitivity 53·6%, specificity 75·4%). During the follow-up, 102 men (12·9%) died. There was a U-shaped relationship between total serum testosterone quintiles and death (P = 0·003, log rank test). The middle quintile (>11·1 to ≤13·7 nmol/l) had the lowest risk and there was a 78% increased risk for highest (>16·9 nmol/l) vs lowest (≤8·6 nmol/l) quintile in Cox proportional hazards modelling (P = 0·036). Free serum testosterone and SHBG quintiles were not associated with death.

CONCLUSIONS

These data provide some support for the general conventional serum testosterone <10 nmol/l cut-point in identifying an increased risk of anaemia and the subsequent death in men with type 2 diabetes, but indicate that high-normal levels are also an adverse prognostic indicator.

Risk factors for Plasmodium falciparum and Plasmodium vivax gametocyte carriage in Papua New Guinean children with uncomplicated malaria

There are limited data on gametocytaemia risk factors before/after treatment with artemisinin combination therapy in children from areas with transmission of multiple Plasmodium species. We utilised data from a randomised trial comparing artemether-lumefantrine (AL) and artemisinin-naphthoquine (AN) in 230 Papua New Guinean children aged 0.5-5 years with uncomplicated malaria in whom determinants of gametocytaemia by light microscopy were assessed at baseline using logistic regression and during follow-up using multilevel mixed effects modelling. Seventy-four (32%) and 18 (8%) children presented with P. falciparum and P. vivax gametocytaemia, respectively. Baseline P. falciparum gametocytaemia was associated with Hackett spleen grade 1 (odds ratio (95% CI) 4.01 (1.60-10.05) vs grade 0; P<0.001) and haemoglobin (0.95 (0.92-0.97) per 1g/L increase; P<0.001), and P. falciparum asexual parasitaemia in slide-positive cases (0.36 (0.19-0.68) for a 10-fold increase; P=0.002). Baseline P. vivax gametocytaemia was associated with Hackett grade 2 (12.66 (1.31-122.56); P=0.028), mixed P. falciparum/vivax infection (0.16 (0.03-1.00); P=0.050), P. vivax asexual parasitaemia (5.68 (0.98-33.04); P=0.053) and haemoglobin (0.94 (0.88-1.00); P=0.056). For post-treatment P. falciparum gametocytaemia, independent predictors were AN vs AL treatment (4.09 (1.43-11.65)), haemoglobin (0.95 (0.93-0.97)), presence/absence of P. falciparum asexual forms (3.40 (1.66-0.68)) and day post-treatment (0.086 (0.82-0.90)) (P<0.001). Post-treatment P. vivax gametocytaemia was predicted by presence of P. vivax asexual forms (596 (12-28,433); P<0.001). Consistent with slow P. falciparum gametocyte maturation, low haemoglobin, low asexual parasite density and higher spleen grading, markers of increased prior infection exposure/immunity, were strong associates of pre-treatment gametocyte positivity. The persistent inverse association between P. falciparum gametocytaemia and haemoglobin during follow-up suggests an important role for bone marrow modulation of gametocytogenesis. In P. vivax infections, baseline and post-treatment gametocyte carriage was positively related to the acute parasite burden, reflecting the close association between the development of asexual and sexual forms.