Coronary Artery Aneurysms in Kawasaki Disease: Risk Factors for Progressive Disease and Adverse Cardiac Events in the US Population

Background

The natural history of coronary artery aneurysms (CAA) after intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) treatment in the United States is not well described. We describe the natural history of CAA in US Kawasaki disease (KD) patients and identify factors associated with major adverse cardiac events (MACE) and CAA regression.

Methods and Results

We evaluated all KD patients with CAA at 2 centers from 1979 to 2014. Factors associated with CAA regression, maximum CA z‐score over time (zMax), and MACE were analyzed. We performed a matched analysis of treatment effect on likelihood of CAA regression. Of 2860 KD patients, 500 (17%) had CAA, including 90 with CAA z‐score >10. Most (91%) received IVIG within 10 days of illness, 32% received >1 IVIG, and 27% received adjunctive anti‐inflammatory medications. CAA regression occurred in 75%. Lack of CAA regression and higher CAA zMax were associated with earlier era, larger CAA z‐score at diagnosis, and bilateral CAA in univariate and multivariable analyses. MACE occurred in 24 (5%) patients and was associated with higher CAA z‐score at diagnosis and lack of IVIG treatment. In a subset of patients (n=132) matched by age at KD and baseline CAA z‐score, those receiving IVIG plus adjunctive medication had a CAA regression rate of 91% compared with 68% for the 3 other groups (IVIG alone, IVIG ≥2 doses, or IVIG ≥2 doses plus adjunctive medication).

Conclusions

CAA regression occurred in 75% of patients. CAA z‐score at diagnosis was highly predictive of outcomes, which may be improved by early IVIG treatment and adjunctive therapies.

Facility-Level Percutaneous Coronary Intervention Readmission Rates Are Not Associated With Facility-Level Mortality: Insights From the VA Clinical Assessment, Reporting, and Tracking (CART) Program

BACKGROUND

Thirty-day readmission after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is common, costly, and linked to poor patient outcomes. Accordingly, facility-level 30-day readmission rates have been considered as a potential quality measure. However, it is unknown whether facility-level 30-day readmission rates are associated with facility-level mortality. We sought to determine the effect of 30-day readmissions after PCI on mortality at both the patient and facility level in the Veterans Administration hospital system.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We included all patients who underwent PCI in the Veterans Administration hospital system nationally from October 2007 through August 2012, comparing all-cause mortality rates between patients with and without 30-day readmissions following PCI. Patients were then aggregated at the hospital level to evaluate the correlation between hospital-level readmission rates with hospital-level 1-year mortality rates. Among 41 069 patients undergoing PCI at 62 sites, 12.2% were readmitted within 30 days of discharge. Patients with 30-day readmission had higher risk-adjusted mortality (hazard ratio 1.53, 95% CI 1.44-1.63, P<0.0001). Facilities varied widely in 30-day readmission rates (systemwide range of 6.6-19.4%, median 11.8%, interquartile range 10.0-13.2%); however, adjusted facility-level readmission rates were not correlated with adjusted 1-year mortality rates.

CONCLUSIONS

Thirty-day readmissions after PCI are common and are a significant risk factor for mortality for individual patients even after robust statistical adjustment for clinical confounding. However, lack of correlation between readmission and mortality at the facility level suggests that quality improvement based on facility-level readmission rates will not modify mortality in this high-risk group.

Multicentre, prospective, randomised, open-label, blinded end point trial of the efficacy of allopurinol therapy in improving cardiovascular outcomes in patients with ischaemic heart disease: protocol of the ALL-HEART study

INTRODUCTION

Ischaemic heart disease (IHD) is one of the most common causes of death in the UK and treatment of patients with IHD costs the National Health System (NHS) billions of pounds each year. Allopurinol is a xanthine oxidase inhibitor used to prevent gout that also has several positive effects on the cardiovascular system. The ALL-HEART study aims to determine whether allopurinol improves cardiovascular outcomes in patients with IHD.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

The ALL-HEART study is a multicentre, controlled, prospective, randomised, open-label blinded end point (PROBE) trial of allopurinol (up to 600 mg daily) versus no treatment in a 1:1 ratio, added to usual care, in 5215 patients aged 60 years and over with IHD. Patients are followed up by electronic record linkage and annual questionnaires for an average of 4 years. The primary outcome is the composite of non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke or cardiovascular death. Secondary outcomes include all-cause mortality, quality of life and cost-effectiveness of allopurinol. The study will end when 631 adjudicated primary outcomes have occurred. The study is powered at 80% to detect a 20% reduction in the primary end point for the intervention. Patient recruitment to the ALL-HEART study started in February 2014.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The study received ethical approval from the East of Scotland Research Ethics Service (EoSRES) REC 2 (13/ES/0104). The study is event-driven and results are expected after 2019. Results will be reported in peer-reviewed journals and at scientific meetings. Results will also be disseminated to guideline committees, NHS organisations and patient groups.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

32017426, pre-results.

Sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibition and health benefits: The Robin Hood effect

This review discusses two distinct, yet related, mechanisms of sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibition: Calorie restriction mimicry (CRM) and pro-ketogenic effect, which may explain their cardiovascular benefits. We term these adaptive CRM and pro-ketogenic effects of SGLT2 inhibition, the Robin Hood hypothesis. In English history, Robin Hood was a "good person," who stole from the rich and helped the poor. He supported redistribution of resources as he deemed fit for the common good. In a similar fashion, SGLT2 inhibition provides respite to the overloaded glucose metabolism while utilizing lipid stores for energy production.

Prognostic value of new left atrial volume index severity partition cutoffs after cardiac rehabilitation program in patients undergoing cardiac surgery

BACKGROUND

Previous studies showed that left atrial enlargement is an independent marker of adverse outcomes in both primary and secondary cardiovascular prevention. However, no data are available on long-term outcomes in patients undergoing valve surgery and/or coronary artery by-pass graft (CABG) surgery. Aim of the study was to evaluate long-term prognostic role of left atrial volume index (LAVi) after cardiac surgery, using the cutoff values recently proposed by the European Association of Cardiovascular Imaging and American Society of Echocardiography.

METHODS

We created a retrospective registry of 1703 consecutive patients who underwent cardiovascular rehabilitation program after cardiac surgery, including CABG, valve surgery and valve + CABG surgery. LAVi was calculated as ratio of left atrium volume to body surface area, in ml/m(2) at discharge; 563 patients with available LAVi data were included in the study.

RESULTS

In the whole population LAVi was 36 ± 14 ml/m(2) (mean ± SD) and the follow-up time was 5 ± 1.5 years. Increased LAVi (>34 ml/m(2)) predicted major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCEs) (HR = 2.1; CI95 %: 1.4-3.1; p < 0.001) and cardiovascular mortality (HR = 2.2; CI95 %: 1.0-4.5; p = 0.032). An increased LAVi remained MACCEs predictor after adjustement for age, gender, diabetes, atrial fibrillation at discharge, echocardiographic E/A ratio and left ventricular ejection fraction (HR = 1.8; CI95 %: 1.0-3.0; p = 0.036). When the study population was split according to increasing LAVi values, left atrium enlargement resulted a predictor of progressively worse adverse outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

LAVi is a predictor of long-term adverse cardiovascular outcome after cardiac surgery, even after correction for main clinical and echocardiographic variables. The recently recommended LAVi severity cutoffs appear adequate to effectively stratify outcome in patients undergoing rehabilitation after cardiac surgery.

Consistency of Hemoglobin A1c Testing and Cardiovascular Outcomes in Medicare Patients With Diabetes

Background

Annual hemoglobin A1c testing is recommended for patients with diabetes mellitus. However, it is unknown how consistently patients with diabetes mellitus receive hemoglobin A1c testing over time, or whether testing consistency is associated with adverse cardiovascular outcomes.

Methods and Results

We identified 1 574 415 Medicare patients (2002–2012) with diabetes mellitus over the age of 65. We followed each patient for a minimum of 3 years to determine their consistency in hemoglobin A1C testing, using 3 categories: low (testing in 0 or 1 of 3 years), medium (testing in 2 of 3 years), and high (testing in all 3 years). In unweighted and inverse propensity‐weighted cohorts, we examined associations between testing consistency and major adverse cardiovascular events, defined as death, myocardial infarction, stroke, amputation, or the need for leg revascularization. Overall, 70.2% of patients received high‐consistency testing, 17.6% of patients received medium‐consistency testing, and 12.2% of patients received low‐consistency testing. When compared to high‐consistency testing, low‐consistency testing was associated with a higher risk of adverse cardiovascular events or death in unweighted analyses (hazard ratio [HR]=1.21; 95% CI, 1.20–1.23; P<0.001), inverse propensity‐weighted analyses (HR=1.16; 95% CI, 1.15–1.17; P<0.001), and weighted analyses limited to patients who had at least 4 physician visits annually (HR=1.15; 95% CI, 1.15–1.16; P<0.001). Less‐consistent testing was associated with worse results for each cardiovascular outcome and in analyses using all years as the exposure.

Conclusions

Consistent annual hemoglobin A1c testing is associated with fewer adverse cardiovascular outcomes in this observational cohort of Medicare patients of diabetes mellitus.

Prediction of cardiovascular outcomes by imaging coronary atherosclerosis

Over the last two decades, several invasive and non-invasive coronary atherosclerosis imaging modalities have emerged as predictors of cardiovascular outcomes in at-risk population. These modalities have demonstrated independent or incremental prognostic information over existing/standard risk stratification schemes, such as the Framingham risk score (FRS), by identifying characteristics of coronary artery diseases (CADs). In this review, we begin with discussing the importance of pre-test probability and quality of outcome measure, followed by specific findings of each modality in relation to prognosis. We focused on both short and long term prognostic aspects of coronary computed tomography (CT) (including coronary calcium score and coronary angiography) and magnetic resonance imaging as non-invasive tools, as well as invasive modalities including intravascular ultrasound (IVUS), optical coherence tomography (OCT), near infrared spectroscopy and Angioscopy.

Effects of tofacitinib on cardiovascular risk factors and cardiovascular outcomes based on phase III and long-term extension data in patients with plaque psoriasis

BACKGROUND

Psoriasis is a systemic inflammatory condition that is associated with a higher risk of cardiovascular (CV) disease. Tofacitinib is being investigated as a treatment for psoriasis.

OBJECTIVE

We sought to evaluate the effects of tofacitinib on CV risk factors and major adverse CV events (MACEs) in patients with plaque psoriasis.

METHODS

Changes in select CV risk factors and the incidence rate (IR) of MACEs were evaluated in patients who were treated with tofacitinib.

RESULTS

Tofacitinib treatment was associated with small, dose-dependent increases in total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein (LDL), and high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol, while the total/HDL cholesterol ratio was unchanged. There were no changes in blood pressure and glycated hemoglobin levels; C-reactive protein levels decreased. The IRs of a MACE were low and similar for both tofacitinib doses. Among 3623 subjects treated with tofacitinib, the total patient-years of exposure was 5204, with a median follow-up of 527 days, and the IR of MACEs was 0.37 (95% confidence interval, 0.22-0.57) patients with events per 100 patient-years.

LIMITATIONS

There was relatively short follow-up time for patients who had MACEs.

CONCLUSIONS

While treatment with tofacitinib is associated with a small increase in cholesterol levels, the total/HDL cholesterol ratio does not change, there are no unfavorable changes in several CV risk factors, and the incidence of MACEs is low.

Prognostic Value of Myocardial Scarring on CMR in Patients With Cardiac Sarcoidosis

OBJECTIVES

This study sought to perform a systematic review and meta-analysis to understand the prognostic value of myocardial scarring as evidenced by late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) on cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging in patients with known or suspected cardiac sarcoidosis.

BACKGROUND

Although CMR is increasingly used for the diagnosis of cardiac sarcoidosis, the prognostic value of CMR has been less well described in this population.

METHODS

PubMed, Cochrane CENTRAL, and metaRegister of Controlled Trials were searched for CMR studies with ≥1 year of prognostic data. Primary endpoints were all-cause mortality and a composite outcome of arrhythmogenic events (ventricular arrhythmia, implantable cardioverter-defibrillator shock, sudden cardiac death) plus all-cause mortality during follow-up. Summary effect estimates were generated with random-effects modeling.

RESULTS

Ten studies were included, involving a total of 760 patients with a mean follow-up of 3.0 ± 1.1 years. Patients had a mean age of 53 years, 41% were male, 95.3% had known extracardiac sarcoidosis, and 21.6% had known cardiac sarcoidosis. The average ejection fraction was 57.8 ± 9.1%. Patients with LGE had higher odds for all-cause mortality (odds ratio [OR]: 3.06; p < 0.03) and higher odds of the composite outcome (OR: 10.74; p < 0.00001) than those without LGE. Patients with LGE had an increased annualized event rate of the composite outcome (11.9% vs. 1.1%; p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with known or suspected cardiac sarcoidosis, the presence of LGE on CMR imaging is associated with increased odds of both all-cause mortality and arrhythmogenic events.

Cardiovascular safety of dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors: recent evidence on heart failure

The cardiovascular safety of DPP4 inhibitors as a class, especially in regards to heart failure, has been questioned after the publication of first trials (SAVOR-TIMI 53 and EXAMINE) assessing the cardiovascular risks of DPP4 inhibitors alogliptin and sitagliptin in 2013. Although there were no increased risks in composite cardiovascular outcomes, the SAVOR-TIMI 53 trial reported a 27% increase in hospitalization for heart failure in diabetic patients who received the DPP4 inhibitor saxagliptin. There has been substantial increase in knowledge on the heart failure effect of DPP4 inhibition since 2013. This review will summarize the role of the DPP4/incretin axis in heart failure and discuss the findings from recent large scale clinical trials assessing the effects of DPP4 inhibitors on heart failure.

Immediate results and long-term cardiovascular outcomes of endovascular therapy in octogenarians and nonoctogenarians with peripheral arterial diseases

Purpose

To investigate the clinical outcomes of endovascular therapy (EVT) in octogenarians and nonoctogenarians with peripheral arterial disease.

Methods

A retrospective analysis of 511 patients (654 affected legs) who underwent EVT between July 2005 and December 2013 was conducted in a prospectively maintained database. Immediate results and long-term vascular outcomes were analyzed and compared between octogenarians and nonoctogenarians.

Results

Octogenarians were more likely to be female and have atrial fibrillation (AF), whereas nonoctogenarians had higher rates of obesity, claudication, and medical comorbidities. There were no differences in the rates of EVT success, 30-day major adverse vascular events, and 6-month functional improvement between groups. Over the 10-year follow-up period, the rates of 3-year limb salvage, sustained clinical success, freedom from major cerebrovascular and cardiovascular events, and composite vascular events were similar between groups, but the survival rate was better in nonoctogenarians than in octogenarians (73% vs 63%, respectively, P=0.004). In Cox regression analysis, dependence on dialysis and AF were significant predictors of death (odds ratio [OR] 4.44 in dialyzed and 2.83 in AF patients), major cerebrovascular and cardiovascular events (OR 3.49 and 2.45), and composite vascular events (OR 3.14 and 2.25).

Conclusion

EVT in octogenarians was feasible, without an increased risk of periprocedural complications. The rates of limb salvage, sustained clinical success, and long-term vascular events were comparable between groups. Dialysis dependence and AF are independent predictors for poor prognosis in patients with peripheral arterial disease. However, these observations require further confirmation in larger scale studies.

Combination therapy of SGLT2 inhibitors with incretin-based therapies for the treatment of type 2 diabetes mellitus: Effects and mechanisms of action

Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is a growing health problem worldwide; its pathogenesis is multifactorial and its progressive nature often necessitates a combination therapy with multiple antihyperglycemic agents. Sodium glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors and the incretin-based therapies - dipeptidyl peptidase 4(DPP-4) inhibitors and glucagon-like peptide 1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists - were introduced for the treatment of T2DM within the last decade. Evidence of the beneficial effects of these antihyperglycemic agents on micro- and macrovascular complications have started to emerge, which will become important in individualizing different combinations of antihyperglycemic agents to different patient populations. We review here the mechanisms of action, glycemic and cardiovascular effects of SGLT2 inhibitors and incretin-based therapies and their combination in the treatment of T2DM.

Straight Metalworking Fluids and All-Cause and Cardiovascular Mortality Analyzed by Using G-Estimation of an Accelerated Failure Time Model With Quantitative Exposure: Methods and Interpretations

Straight metalworking fluids have been linked to cardiovascular mortality in analyses using binary exposure metrics, accounting for healthy worker survivor bias by using g-estimation of accelerated failure time models. A cohort of 38,666 Michigan autoworkers was followed (1941-1994) for mortality from all causes and ischemic heart disease. The structural model chosen here, using continuous exposure, assumes that increasing exposure from 0 to 1 mg/m(3) in any single year would decrease survival time by a fixed amount. Under that assumption, banning the fluids would have saved an estimated total of 8,468 (slope-based 95% confidence interval: 2,262, 28,563) person-years of life in this cohort. On average, 3.04 (slope-based 95% confidence interval: 0.02, 25.98) years of life could have been saved for each exposed worker who died from ischemic heart disease. Estimates were sensitive to both model specification for predicting exposure (multinomial or logistic regression) and characterization of exposure as binary or continuous in the structural model. Our results provide evidence supporting the hypothesis of a detrimental relationship between straight metalworking fluids and mortality, particularly from ischemic heart disease, as well as an instructive example of the challenges in obtaining and interpreting results from accelerated failure time models using a continuous exposure in the presence of competing risks.

Does Antihypertensive Drug Class Affect Day-to-Day Variability of Self-Measured Home Blood Pressure? The HOMED-BP Study

Background

Recent literature suggests that blood pressure variability (BPV) predicts outcome beyond blood pressure level (BPL) and that antihypertensive drug classes differentially influence BPV. We compared calcium channel blockers, angiotensin‐converting enzyme inhibitors, and angiotensin receptor blockade for effects on changes in self‐measured home BPL and BPV and for their prognostic significance in newly treated hypertensive patients.

Methods and Results

We enrolled 2484 patients randomly allocated to first‐line treatment with a calcium channel blocker (n=833), an angiotensin‐converting enzyme inhibitor (n=821), or angiotensin receptor blockade (n=830). Home blood pressures in the morning and evening were measured for 5 days off treatment before randomization and for 5 days after 2 to 4 weeks of randomized drug treatment. We assessed BPL and BPV changes as estimated by variability independent of the mean and compared cardiovascular outcomes. Home BPL response in each group was significant (P≤0.0001) but small in the angiotensin‐converting enzyme inhibitor group (systolic/diastolic: 4.6/2.8 mm Hg) compared with the groups treated with a calcium channel blocker (systolic/diastolic: 8.3/3.9 mm Hg) and angiotensin receptor blockade (systolic/diastolic: 8.2/4.5 mm Hg). In multivariable adjusted analyses, changes in home variability independent of the mean did not differ among the 3 drug classes (P≥0.054). Evening variability independent of the mean before treatment significantly predicted hard cardiovascular events independent of the corresponding home BPL (P≤0.022), whereas BPV did not predict any cardiovascular outcome based on the morning measurement (P≥0.056). Home BPV captured after monotherapy had no predictive power for cardiovascular outcome (P≥0.22).

Conclusions

Self‐measured home evening BPV estimated by variability independent of the mean had prognostic significance, whereas antihypertensive drug classes had no significant impact on BPV changes. Home BPL should remain the primary focus for risk stratification and treatment.

Clinical Trial Registration

URL: http://www.umin.ac.jp/ctr/index.htm. Unique identifier: C000000137.

Saxagliptin for the treatment of diabetes - a focus on safety

INTRODUCTION

The safety of agents used to treat type 2 diabetes (T2D), a chronic disease requiring life-long intervention, is of particular interest. Saxagliptin is a potent and selective DPP-4 inhibitor that has emerged as a therapeutic option for T2D.

AREAS COVERED

Its safety was assessed in a development program of 20 phase 2/3 randomized clinical trials and in SAVOR-TIMI 53 trial that evaluated the cardiovascular outcomes. In order to capture any further safety signals, mainly in the long-term, a post-marketing safety surveillance is ongoing. This paper discusses the tolerability and safety profile of the agent, including cardiovascular, renal, pancreatic, hepatic and bone adverse events.

EXPERT OPINION

Saxagliptin is a safe therapeutic option for patients with T2D, with low risk of hypoglycemia and good tolerability. It demonstrated cardiovascular safety (including in patients with pre-existing cardiovascular disease and/or HF) and safety with respect to all-cause mortality and adverse events of special interest. In SAVOR-TIMI53, saxagliptin was associated with an unexpected increased risk of HF hospitalization, mainly in the first 12 months; a mechanistic explanation for this has not been found. Further research needs to elucidate the effect of antidiabetic drugs on the heart, by including biomarkers and echocardiographic sub-studies within large outcome trials.

The effect of sitagliptin on cardiovascular risk profile in Korean patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

A 2013 postmarketing study suggested a possible link between saxagliptin use and hospital admission for heart failure. Cardiovascular (CV) effects of sitagliptin, the most commonly prescribed antidiabetic in the same class as saxagliptin, have not been evaluated much in Asian patients with type 2 diabetes. This study sought to ascertain the CV safety of sitagliptin in Korean patients.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study of 4,860 patients who were classified into the sitagliptin and metformin groups was conducted using electronic patient data retrieved from a major tertiary care medical center in Korea. Primary composite end points included CV death, myocardial infarction, and ischemic stroke. Secondary composite end points included the aforementioned individual primary outcomes plus hospitalization due to unstable angina, heart failure, or coronary revascularization. A Cox proportional-hazards model was used to compare CV risk associated with drug exposure.

RESULTS

Following propensity score (PS) matching in a 1:2 ratio, 1,620 patients in the sitagliptin group and 3,240 patients in the metformin group were identified for cohort entry. The PS-matched hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for sitagliptin relative to metformin were, respectively, 0.831 and 0.536-1.289 (P=0.408) for primary end point and 1.140 and 0.958-1.356 (P=0.139) for secondary end point. Heart failure hospitalization rates did not differ significantly between the two groups, with the PS-matched HR of 0.762 and 95% CI of 0.389-1.495 (P=0.430). When only those patients at high risk of ischemic heart disease were included for analysis, no excess CV risk was observed with sitagliptin compared with metformin. Overall, there were no substantial between-group differences in rates of adverse events, such as hypoglycemia and incident pancreatic disease.

CONCLUSION

Sitagliptin was not associated with elevated risk of CV complications including myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, heart failure, and coronary revascularization, compared to metformin therapy among Korean patients with type 2 diabetes.

Cardiovascular Outcomes with Empagliflozin - News for Type 2 Diabetes Therapy

Cardiovascular safety has to be proven for antidiabetic therapy for type 2 diabetes according to the guidance from regulatory bodies. Recently, the results of the respective study for the sodium-glucose transporter-2 (SGLT-2) inhibitor empagliflozin were published. Unlike similar studies for other antidiabetic agents that proved cardiovascular safety by non-inferiority compared with standard treatment with regard to a combined cardiovascular primary endpoint, empagliflozin showed superiority with a significantly lower incidence of cardiovascular events.

A Multifactorial Approach to Reduce Cardiovascular Disease in Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: Now More Than Ever

Managing cardiovascular (CV) risk is an important part of caring for patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus, as the disease itself confers CV risk. Many CV risk factors (such as hypertension, dyslipidemia, and obesity) have been found to be more common among individuals with diabetes than in the general population. A growing body of evidence provides guidance for clinicians on how to balance control of hyperglycemia with management of these risk factors. Newer classes of antihyperglycemic agents have been associated with beneficial effects on several CV risk factors; several studies evaluating the effect of these newer diabetic medications on CV outcomes have been published, and several more are in progress. While evidence continues to unfold about the benefits of risk factor control in patients with type 1 diabetes mellitus, this article reviews evidence related to risk-factor control in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus as well as recent findings on the effect of newer drug classes on CV risk factors and outcomes. Favorably altering CV risk factors appears to improve outcomes, and is more important now than ever before.

Effects on All-cause Mortality and Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes by Comparing Insulin With Oral Hypoglycemic Agent Therapy: A Meta-analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials

PURPOSE

Retrospective, case-control studies and prospective randomized controlled trials (RCTs) on insulin treatment for diabetic patients yielded contradictory mortality and cardiovascular outcomes. We aimed to evaluate the effects of insulin versus oral hypoglycemic agents (OHAs) on all-cause mortality and cardiovascular outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D).

METHODS

We searched Medline, Embase, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Chinese Biological Medicine Database, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Chinese Technical Periodicals, and Wanfang Data, up to July 10, 2015, for RCTs on insulin and OHAs that assessed all-cause mortality and/or cardiovascular death as primary end points. We derived pooled risk ratios (RRs) as summary statistics.

RESULTS

Three trials were included in which 7649 patients received insulin and 8322 received OHAs, with mean (SD) diabetes duration of 5.0 (6.2) and 4.4 (5.9) years, respectively. Insulin did not differ from OHAs in all-cause mortality (RR = 1.00; 95% CI, 0.93-1.07), cardiovascular death (RR = 1.00; 95% CI, 0.91-1.09), myocardial infarction (RR = 1.04; 95% CI, 0.93-1.16), angina (RR = 0.97; 95% CI, 0.88-1.06), sudden death (RR = 1.02; 95% CI, 0.66-1.56), or stroke (RR = 1.01; 95% CI, 0.88-1.15). Insulin reduced the risk of heart failure compared with OHAs (RR = 0.87; 95% CI, 0.75-0.99). In the subgroup of secondary prevention of cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) or very high risk of CVDs, insulin did not differ from OHAs in all-cause mortality (RR = 0.99; 95% CI, 0.92-1.07), cardiovascular death (RR = 0.99; 95% CI, 0.90-1.09), myocardial infarction (RR = 1.01; 95% CI, 0.88-1.15), heart failure (RR = 0.69; 95% CI, 0.34-1.40), or stroke (RR = 1.05; 95% CI, 0.90-1.21).

IMPLICATIONS

Insulin did not provide a clear benefit over OHAs in all-cause mortality or cardiovascular outcomes in the patients with T2D. Insulin therapy has many shortcomings, including inconvenience (injection, strict blood glucose monitoring), hypoglycemia, and obvious weight gain. Thus, we conclude that no robust evidence supports the active use of insulin for this population at present.

A population database study of outcomes associated with vitamin K antagonists in atrial fibrillation before DOAC

AIMS

This study aimed to describe the real-life incidence of bleeding, arterial thrombotic events and death during vitamin K antagonist (VKA) treatment in atrial fibrillation (AF).

METHODS

This was a cohort study in Echantillon Généraliste de Bénéficiaires, the 1/97 sample of the French national healthcare claims and hospitalization database, of new VKA users with definite or probable AF and no other indication, and of patients without AF, from 2007 to 2011. Prespecified outcomes were all-cause death, hospitalization for bleeding, arterial thrombotic event (ATE), or acute coronary syndrome (ACS) or any of the above (composite outcome).

RESULTS

Of 8894 new VKA users, 3345 had probable or certain AF, 51.7% were male, mean age was 75.1 years, 87.1% had a CHA2 DS2 -VASc score ≥ 2 and 11.6% a HAS-BLED score > 3. Among AF patients, during VKA exposure the incidence rate of bleeding was 2.8 [95% confidence interval (CI) 2.2, 3.4] per 100 patient-years, including 0.6 (95% CI 0.3, 0.8) cerebral, 1.0 (95% CI 0.7, 1.3) digestive and 1.4 (95% CI 1.0, 1.7) other bleeds. There were 1.6 (95% CI 1.2, 2.0) ACS, 1.5 (95% CI 1.1, 1.8) ATE and 3.8 (95% CI 3.2, 4.4) deaths per 100 patient-years. The incidence rate of the composite outcome was 9.1 per 100 patient-years (95% CI 8.2, 10.0). When patients stopped VKA, bleeding decreased (RR 0.67, 95% CI 0.43, 1.04)), but death or thrombosis increased (RR 3.06, 95% CI 2.46, 3.81 and 1.75, 95% CI 1.14, 2.70, respectively). During VKA exposure non-AF patients had similar rates of bleeding, but fewer deaths, ACS and ischaemic events.

CONCLUSIONS

Real-life rates for bleeding, arterial thrombotic events, ACS and deaths in AF patients treated with VKA were similar to those observed in clinical trials.

Time-varying effect modeling with longitudinal data truncated by death: conditional models, interpretations, and inference

Recent studies found that infection-related hospitalization was associated with increased risk of cardiovascular (CV) events, such as myocardial infarction and stroke in the dialysis population. In this work, we develop time-varying effects modeling tools in order to examine the CV outcome risk trajectories during the time periods before and after an initial infection-related hospitalization. For this, we propose partly conditional and fully conditional partially linear generalized varying coefficient models (PL-GVCMs) for modeling time-varying effects in longitudinal data with substantial follow-up truncation by death. Unconditional models that implicitly target an immortal population is not a relevant target of inference in applications involving a population with high mortality, like the dialysis population. A partly conditional model characterizes the outcome trajectory for the dynamic cohort of survivors, where each point in the longitudinal trajectory represents a snapshot of the population relationships among subjects who are alive at that time point. In contrast, a fully conditional approach models the time-varying effects of the population stratified by the actual time of death, where the mean response characterizes individual trends in each cohort stratum. We compare and contrast partly and fully conditional PL-GVCMs in our aforementioned application using hospitalization data from the United States Renal Data System. For inference, we develop generalized likelihood ratio tests. Simulation studies examine the efficacy of estimation and inference procedures.

Case-control study of second-line therapies for type 2 diabetes in combination with metformin and the comparative risks of myocardial infarction and stroke

We conducted a population-based case-control study to assess the myocardial infarction (MI) and stroke risks associated with sulphonylureas and insulin when used in combination with metformin. Cases had type 2 diabetes and used metformin + insulin or metformin + sulphonylureas at the time of a first MI or first stroke between 1995 and 2010; controls used the same treatment combinations and were randomly sampled from the same population. MI and stroke diagnoses and potential confounders were validated by medical record reviews. Compared with metformin + sulphonylurea, metformin + insulin was associated with similar risks of MI or stroke [odds ratio 0.98 (95% confidence interval 0.63-1.52)]. Meta-analysis with another observational study improved the precision of the risk estimate [relative risk 0.92 (95% confidence interval 0.69-1.24)]. Current evidence suggests that there may not be large differences in cardiovascular risk associated with the use of insulin or sulphonylureas when used in combination with metformin.

The utility of biomarker risk prediction score in patients with chronic heart failure

Chronic heart failure (CHF) remains a leading cause of cardiovascular death worldwide. Current risk models allow better prognosis, however further tools for assessing risk are needed. Thus, this study was aimed to evaluate whether biomarker risk prediction score is powerful tool for risk assessment of three-year fatal and non-fatal cardiovascular events in CHF patients.

METHODS

A prospective study on the incidence of fatal and non-fatal cardiovascular events, as well as the frequency of occurrence of death from any cause in a cohort of 388 patients with CHF during 3 years of observation was performed. Circulating levels of NT-pro brain natriuretic peptide (NT-pro-BNP), galectin-3, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), osteoprotegerin and its soluble receptor sRANKL, osteopontin, osteonectin, adiponectin, endothelial apoptotic microparticles (EMPs) and mononuclear progenitor cells (MPCs) were measured at baseline.

RESULTS

Median follow-up of patients included in the study was 2.76 years. There were 285 cardiovascular events determined, including 43 deaths and 242 readmissions. Independent predictors of clinical outcomes in patients with CHF were NT-pro-BNP, galectin-3, hs-CRP, osteoprotegerin, CD31(+)/annexin V(+) EMPs and EMPs/CD14(+)CD309(+) MPCs ratio. Index of cardiovascular risk was calculated by mathematical summation of all ranks of independent predictors, which occurred in the patients included in the study. The findings showed that the average value of the index of cardiovascular risk in patients with CHF was 3.17 points (95% CI = 1.65-5.10 points). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that patients with CHF and the magnitude of the risk of less than 4 units have an advantage in survival when compared with patients for whom obtained higher values of ranks cardiovascular risk score.

CONCLUSION

Biomarker risk score for cumulative cardiovascular events, constructed by measurement of circulating NT-pro-BNP, galectin-3, hs-CRP, osteoprotegerin, CD31(+)/annexin V(+) EMPs and EMPs/CD14(+)CD309(+) MPCs ratio, reliably predicts the probability survival of patients with CHF, regardless of age, gender, state of the contractile function of the left ventricle and the number of comorbidities.

Value of a facilitated quality improvement initiative on cardiovascular disease risk: findings from an evaluation of the Aggressively Treating Global Cardiometabolic Risk Factors to Reduce Cardiovascular Events (AT GOAL)

RATIONALE, AIMS AND OBJECTIVES

In the United States, cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of death. The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention contracted an evaluation of the Aggressively Treating Global Cardiometabolic Risk Factors to Reduce Cardiovascular Events (AT GOAL) programme as part of its effort to identify strategies to address CVD risk factors.

METHODS

This study analysed patient-level data from 7527 patients in 43 primary care practices. The researchers assessed average change in control rates for CVD-related measures across practices, and then across patients between baseline and a patient's last visit during the practice's tenure in the programme (referred to as 'end line') using repeated measures analysis of variance and random effects generalized least squares, respectively.

RESULTS

Among non-diabetic patients, there were significant increases in control rates for overall blood pressure (74.3% to 78.0%, P = 0.0002), systolic blood pressure (70.3% to 80.6%, P = 0.0099), diastolic blood pressure (90.1% to 92.7%, P = 0.0001) and low-density lipoprotein (LDL; 48.6% to 53.1%, P = 0.0001) between baseline and end line. Among diabetic patients, there was a significant increase in diastolic blood pressure control (59.8% to 61.9%, P = 0.0141). While continuous CVD-related outcomes show an overall trend between baseline and end line, patients with uncontrolled measures at baseline showed a decrease between baseline and end line relative to their counterparts who were controlled at baseline.

CONCLUSIONS

Findings from the AT GOAL evaluation support the value of a facilitated quality improvement (QI) initiative on managing CVD risk.

Relationship Between Cancer and Cardiovascular Outcomes Following Percutaneous Coronary Intervention

Background

Cardiovascular disease and cancer increasingly coexist, yet relationships between cancer and long-term cardiovascular outcomes post–percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) are not well studied.

Methods and Results

We examined stented PCI patients at Duke (1996–2010) using linked data from the Duke Information Systems for Cardiovascular Care and the Duke Tumor Registry (a cancer treatment registry). Our primary outcome was cardiovascular mortality. Secondary outcomes included composite cardiovascular mortality, myocardial infarction, or repeat revascularization and all-cause mortality. We used adjusted cause-specific hazard models to examine outcomes among cancer patients (cancer treatment pre-PCI) versus controls (no cancer treatment pre-PCI). Cardiovascular mortality was explored in a cancer subgroup with recent (within 1 year pre-PCI) cancer and in post-PCI cancer patients using post-PCI cancer as a time-dependent variable. Among 15 008 patients, 3.3% (n=496) were cancer patients. Observed rates of 14-year cardiovascular mortality (31.4% versus 27.7%, P=0.31) and composite cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, or revascularization (51.1% versus 55.8%, P=0.37) were similar for cancer versus control groups; all-cause mortality rates were higher (79.7% versus 49.3%, P<0.01). Adjusted risk of cardiovascular mortality was similar for cancer patients versus controls (hazard ratio 0.95; 95% CI 0.76 to 1.20) and for patients with versus without recent cancer (hazard ratio 1.46; 95% CI 0.92 to 2.33). Post-PCI cancer, present in 4.3% (n=647) of patients, was associated with cardiovascular mortality (adjusted hazard ratio 1.51; 95% CI 1.11 to 2.03).

Conclusions

Cancer history was present in a minority of PCI patients but was not associated with worse long-term cardiovascular outcomes. Further investigation into PCI outcomes in this population is warranted.

Visit-to-visit low-density lipoprotein cholesterol variability and risk of cardiovascular outcomes: insights from the TNT trial

BACKGROUND

Studies demonstrate that lowering low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) using a statin is associated with significant reduction in cardiovascular events. Whether visit-to-visit variability in LDL-C levels affects cardiovascular outcomes is unknown.

OBJECTIVES

This study sought to evaluate the role of visit-to-visit variability in LDL-C levels on cardiovascular outcomes.

METHODS

We evaluated patients with coronary artery disease and LDL-C <130 mg/dl enrolled in the TNT (Treating to New Targets) trial, randomly assigned to receive atorvastatin 80 mg/day versus 10 mg/day and with at least one post-baseline measurement of LDL-C. Visit-to-visit LDL-C variability was evaluated from 3 months into random assignment through the use of various measurements of LDL-C variability: SD, average successive variability (ASV), coefficient of variation, and variation independent of mean, with the first 2 measurements used as the primary measurements. Primary outcome was any coronary event, and secondary outcomes were any cardiovascular event, death, myocardial infarction, or stroke.

RESULTS

Among 9,572 patients, SD and ASV were significantly lower with atorvastatin 80 mg/day versus 10 mg/day (SD: 12.03 ± 9.70 vs. 12.52 ± 7.43; p = 0.005; ASV: 12.84 ± 10.48 vs. 13.76 ± 8.69; p < 0.0001). In the adjusted model, each 1-SD increase in LDL-C variability (by ASV) increased the risk of any coronary event by 16% (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.16; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.10 to 1.23; p < 0.0001), any cardiovascular event by 11% (HR: 1.11; 95% CI: 1.07 to 1.15; p < 0.0001), death by 23% (HR: 1.23; 95% CI: 1.14 to 1.34; p < 0.0001), myocardial infarction by 10% (HR: 1.10; 95% CI: 1.02 to 1.19; p = 0.02), and stroke by 17% (HR: 1.17; 95% CI: 1.04 to 1.31; p = 0.01), independent of treatment effect and achieved LDL-C levels. Results were largely consistent when adjusted for medication adherence.

CONCLUSIONS

In subjects with coronary artery disease, visit-to-visit LDL-C variability is an independent predictor of cardiovascular events.

The combination of DPP-4 inhibitors versus sulfonylureas with metformin after failure of first-line treatment in the risk for major cardiovascular events and death

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether the combination of dipeptidyl-peptidase 4 (DPP-4) inhibitors vs. sulfonylureas with metformin after failure of first-line treatment is associated with a decreased risk for major adverse cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction and stroke) and for all-cause mortality.

METHOD

Using the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink, a cohort of patients newly treated with metformin or sulfonylurea monotherapy between January 1, 1988, and December 31, 2011, was identified and was followed until December 31, 2012. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using Cox proportional hazards models to compare the DPP-4 inhibitor-metformin combination to the sulfonylurea-metformin combination so as to study the risk for a composite endpoint consisting of myocardial infarction, stroke and all-cause mortality. The models were adjusted for high-dimensional propensity score deciles.

RESULTS

The cohort consisted of 11,807 patients that included 2286 on a DPP-4 inhibitor-metformin combination and 9521 on a sulfonylurea-metformin combination. The crude incidence rates (95% CIs) of the composite endpoint were 1.2% (0.8% to 1.7%) and 2.2% (1.9% to 2.5%) per year for the DPP-4 inhibitor-metformin and sulfonylurea-metformin combinations, respectively. In the high-dimensional propensity score-adjusted model, the use of the DPP-4 inhibitor-metformin combination was associated with a 38% decreased risk for the composite endpoint (adjusted HR: 0.62; 95% CI 0.40 to 0.98), compared with the sulfonylurea-metformin combination.

CONCLUSIONS

The use of a DPP-4 inhibitor combination with metformin, compared with a sulfonylurea-metformin combination, was associated with decreased risks for major cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality.

Comparative cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in patients taking different insulin regimens for type 2 diabetes: a systematic review

OBJECTIVES

To summarise the literature evaluating the association between different insulin regimens and the incidence of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in adults with type 2 diabetes.

DESIGN

Systematic review.

METHODS

Multiple biomedical databases (The Cochrane Library, PubMed, EMBASE, and International Pharmaceutical Abstracts) were searched from their inception to February 2014. References of included studies were hand searched. Randomised controlled trials (RCTs), cohort studies or case-control studies examining adults (≥18 years) with type 2 diabetes taking any type, dose and/or regimen of insulin were eligible for inclusion in this review.

OUTCOME MEASURES

Primary outcomes were cardiovascular morbidity and mortality including fatal and/or non-fatal myocardial infarction, fatal and/or non-fatal stroke, major adverse cardiac events and cardiovascular death. All-cause mortality was assessed as a secondary outcome.

RESULTS

Of the 3122 studies identified, 2 RCTs and 6 cohort studies were selected. No case-control studies met the inclusion criteria. The studies examined a total of 109,910 patients. Quantitative synthesis of the results from included studies was not possible due to a large amount of clinical heterogeneity. Each study evaluated cardiovascular outcomes across different insulin-exposure contrasts. RCTs did not identify any difference in cardiovascular risks among a fixed versus variable insulin regimen, or a prandial versus basal regimen, albeit clinically important risks and benefits cannot be ruled out due to wide CIs. Findings from cohort studies were variable with an increased and decreased risk of cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality being reported.

CONCLUSIONS

This systematic review of randomised and non-randomised studies identifies a substantive gap in the literature surrounding the cardiovascular morbidity and mortality of patients using different regimens of insulin. There is a need for more consistent high-quality evidence investigating the impact of insulin use on cardiovascular outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

PROSPERO

CRD42014007631.

Probing SGLT2 as a therapeutic target for diabetes: basic physiology and consequences

Traditional treatments for type 1 and type 2 diabetes are often associated with side effects, including weight gain and hypoglycaemia that may offset the benefits of blood glucose lowering. The kidneys filter and reabsorb large amounts of glucose, and urine is almost free of glucose in normoglycaemia. The sodium-dependent glucose transporter (SGLT)-2 in the early proximal tubule reabsorbs the majority of filtered glucose. Remaining glucose is reabsorbed by SGLT1 in the late proximal tubule. Diabetes enhances renal glucose reabsorption by increasing the tubular glucose load and the expression of SGLT2 (as shown in mice), which maintains hyperglycaemia. Inhibitors of SGLT2 enhance urinary glucose excretion and thereby lower blood glucose levels in type 1 and type 2 diabetes. The load-dependent increase in SGLT1-mediated glucose reabsorption explains why SGLT2 inhibitors in normoglycaemic conditions enhance urinary glucose excretion to only ~50% of the filtered glucose. The role of SGLT1 in both renal and intestinal glucose reabsorption provides a rationale for the development of dual SGLT1/2 inhibitors. SGLT2 inhibitors lower blood glucose levels independent of insulin and induce pleiotropic actions that may be relevant in the context of lowering cardiovascular risk. Ongoing long-term clinical studies will determine whether SGLT2 inhibitors have a safety profile and exert cardiovascular benefits that are superior to traditional agents.

Long-term insulin glargine therapy in type 2 diabetes mellitus: a focus on cardiovascular outcomes

Cardiovascular disease is the leading cause of mortality in type 2 diabetes mellitus. Hyperinsulinemia is associated with increased cardiovascular risk, but the effects of exogenous insulin on cardiovascular disease progression have been less well studied. Insulin has been shown to have both cardioprotective and atherosclerosis-promoting effects in laboratory animal studies. Long-term clinical trials using insulin to attain improved diabetes control in younger type 1 and type 2 diabetes patients have shown improved cardiovascular outcomes. Shorter trials of intensive diabetes control with high insulin use in higher risk patients with type 2 diabetes have shown either no cardiovascular benefit or increased all cause and cardiovascular mortality. Glargine insulin is a basal insulin analog widely used to treat patients with type 1 and type 2 diabetes. This review focuses on the effects of glargine on cardiovascular outcomes. Glargine lowers triglycerides, leads to a modest weight gain, causes less hypoglycemia when compared with intermediate-acting insulin, and has a neutral effect on blood pressure. The Outcome Reduction With Initial Glargine Intervention (ORIGIN trial), a 6.2 year dedicated cardiovascular outcomes trial of glargine demonstrated no increased cardiovascular risk.

The non-glycemic effects of incretin therapies on cardiovascular outcomes, cognitive function and bone health

The incretin therapies, glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists and dipeptidyl-peptidase-4 inhibitors, have been developed to lower blood glucose levels in patients with Type 2 diabetes. However, in addition to being a treatment strategy to improve metabolic control, incretin therapies have shown effects independent of glycemic control, including the potential to positively impact cardiovascular events, cognitive deficits and bone mineral density. This paper outlines the non-glycemic effects of incretin therapies on cardiovascular disease, cognitive function and bone health.

Effect of oral vitamin D analogs on mortality and cardiovascular outcomes among adults with chronic kidney disease: a meta-analysis

Background

Vitamin D deficiency is highly prevalent in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) and has been associated with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in observational studies. However, evidence from randomized controlled trials (RCTs) supporting vitamin D supplementation is lacking. We sought to assess whether vitamin D supplementation alters the relative risk (RR) of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, as well as serious adverse cardiovascular events, in patients with CKD, compared with placebo.

Methods

PubMed/MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, and selected nephrology journals and conference proceedings were searched in October 2013. RCTs considered for inclusion were those that assessed oral vitamin D supplementation versus placebo in adults with CKD (≤60 mL/min/1.73 m²), including end-stage CKD requiring dialysis. We calculated pooled RR of mortality (all-cause and cardiovascular) and that of cardiovascular events and stratified by CKD stage, vitamin D analog and diabetes prevalence.

Results

The search identified 4246 articles, of which 13 were included. No significant treatment effect of oral vitamin D on all-cause mortality (RR: 0.84; 95% CI: 0.47, 1.52), cardiovascular mortality (RR: 0.79; 95% CI: 0.26, 2.28) or serious adverse cardiovascular events (RR: 1.20; 95% CI: 0.49, 2.99) was observed. The pooled analysis demonstrated large variation in trials with respect to dosing (0.5 ug–200 000 IU/week) and duration (3–104 weeks).

Conclusions

Current RCTs do not provide sufficient or precise evidence that vitamin D supplementation affects mortality or cardiovascular risk in CKD. While its effect on biochemical endpoints is well documented, the results demonstrate a lack of appropriate patient-level data within the CKD literature, which warrants larger trials with clinical primary outcomes related to vitamin D supplementation.

Heterogeneous associations between smoking and a wide range of initial presentations of cardiovascular disease in 1937360 people in England: lifetime risks and implications for risk prediction

Background It is not known how smoking affects the initial presentation of a wide range of chronic and acute cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), nor the extent to which associations are heterogeneous. We estimated the lifetime cumulative incidence of 12 CVD presentations, and examined associations with smoking and smoking cessation.

Methods Cohort study of 1.93 million people aged ≥30years, with no history of CVD, in 1997–2010. Individuals were drawn from linked electronic health records in England, covering primary care, hospitalizations, myocardial infarction (MI) registry and cause-specific mortality (the CALIBER programme).

Results During 11.6 million person-years of follow-up, 114 859 people had an initial non-fatal or fatal CVD presentation. By age 90 years, current vs never smokers’ lifetime risks varied from 0.4% vs 0.2% for subarachnoid haemorrhage (SAH), to 8.9% vs 2.6% for peripheral arterial disease (PAD). Current smoking showed no association with cardiac arrest or sudden cardiac death [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.04, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.91–1.19).The strength of association differed markedly according to disease type: stable angina (HR = 1.08, 95% CI 1.01–1.15),transient ischaemic attack (HR = 1.41, 95% CI 1.28-1.55), unstable angina (HR = 1.54, 95% CI 1.38–1.72), intracerebral haemorrhage (HR = 1.61, 95% CI 1.37–1.89), heart failure (HR = 1.62, 95% CI 1.47–1.79), ischaemic stroke (HR = 1.90, 95% CI 1.72–2.10), MI (HR = 2.32, 95% CI 2.20–2.45), SAH (HR = 2.70, 95% CI 2.27–3.21), PAD (HR = 5.16, 95% CI 4.80–5.54) and abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) (HR = 5.18, 95% CI 4.61–5.82). Population-attributable fractions were lower for women than men for unheralded coronary death, ischaemic stroke, PAD and AAA. Ten years after quitting smoking, the risks of PAD, AAA (in men) and unheralded coronary death remained increased (HR = 1.36, 1.47 and 2.74, respectively).

Conclusions The heterogeneous associations of smoking with different CVD presentations suggests different underlying mechanisms and have important implications for research, clinical screening and risk prediction.

Weighted hurdle regression method for joint modeling of cardiovascular events likelihood and rate in the US dialysis population

We propose a new weighted hurdle regression method for modeling count data, with particular interest in modeling cardiovascular events in patients on dialysis. Cardiovascular disease remains one of the leading causes of hospitalization and death in this population. Our aim is to jointly model the relationship/association between covariates and (i) the probability of cardiovascular events, a binary process, and (ii) the rate of events once the realization is positive-when the 'hurdle' is crossed-using a zero-truncated Poisson distribution. When the observation period or follow-up time, from the start of dialysis, varies among individuals, the estimated probability of positive cardiovascular events during the study period will be biased. Furthermore, when the model contains covariates, then the estimated relationship between the covariates and the probability of cardiovascular events will also be biased. These challenges are addressed with the proposed weighted hurdle regression method. Estimation for the weighted hurdle regression model is a weighted likelihood approach, where standard maximum likelihood estimation can be utilized. The method is illustrated with data from the United States Renal Data System. Simulation studies show the ability of proposed method to successfully adjust for differential follow-up times and incorporate the effects of covariates in the weighting.

Soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor level is an independent predictor of the presence and severity of coronary artery disease and of future adverse events

Introduction

Soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) is an emerging inflammatory and immune biomarker. Whether suPAR level predicts the presence and the severity of coronary artery disease (CAD), and of incident death and myocardial infarction (MI) in subjects with suspected CAD, is unknown.

Methods and Results

We measured plasma suPAR levels in 3367 subjects (67% with CAD) recruited in the Emory Cardiovascular Biobank and followed them for adverse cardiovascular (CV) outcomes of death and MI over a mean 2.1±1.1 years. Presence of angiographic CAD (≥50% stenosis in ≥1 coronary artery) and its severity were quantitated using the Gensini score. Cox's proportional hazard survival and discrimination analyses were performed with models adjusted for established CV risk factors and C‐reactive protein levels. Elevated suPAR levels were independently associated with the presence of CAD (P<0.0001) and its severity (P<0.0001). A plasma suPAR level ≥3.5 ng/mL (cutoff by Youden's index) predicted future risk of MI (hazard ratio [HR]=3.2; P<0.0001), cardiac death (HR=2.62; P<0.0001), and the combined endpoint of death and MI (HR=1.9; P<0.0001), even after adjustment of covariates. The C‐statistic for a model based on traditional risk factors was improved from 0.72 to 0.74 (P=0.008) with the addition of suPAR.

Conclusion

Elevated levels of plasma suPAR are associated with the presence and severity of CAD and are independent predictors of death and MI in patients with suspected or known CAD.

Similarity between generic and brand-name antihypertensive drugs for primary prevention of cardiovascular disease: evidence from a large population-based study

BACKGROUND

Although generic and earlier brand-name counterparts are bioequivalent, their equivalence in preventing relevant clinical outcomes is of concern.

OBJECTIVE

To compare effectiveness of generic and brand-name antihypertensive drugs for preventing the onset of cardiovascular (CV) outcomes.

DESIGN AND SUBJECTS

A population-based, nested case-control study was carried out by including the cohort of 78 520 patients from Lombardy (Italy) aged 18 years or older who were newly treated with antihypertensive drugs during 2005. Cases were the 2206 patients who experienced a hospitalization for CV disease from initial prescription until 2011. One control for each case was randomly selected from the same cohort that generated cases. Logistic regression was used to model the CV risk associated with starting on and/or continuing with generic or brand-name agents.

RESULTS

There was no evidence that patients who started on generics experienced different CV risk than those on brand-name product (OR 0·86; 95% CI 0·63-1·17). Patients at whom generics were main dispensed had not significantly difference in CV outcomes than those mainly on brand-name agents (OR 1·19; 95% CI 0·86-1·63). Compared with patients who kept initial brand-name therapy, those who experienced brand-to-generic or generic-to-brand switches, and those always on generics, did not show differential CV risks, being the corresponding ORs (and 95% CIs), 1·18 (0·96-1·47), 0·87 (0·63-1·21) and 1·08 (0·80-1·46).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings do not support the notion that brand-name antihypertensive agents are superior to generics for preventing CV outcomes in the real-world clinical practice.

The Look AHEAD Trial: A Review and Discussion Of Its Outcomes

The LookAhead trial was a randomized controlled trial comparing an Intensive Lifestyle Intervention (ILI) to a Diabetes Support and Education (DSE) in overweight and obese type 2 diabetes patients to track the development of cardiovascular disease over time. The triaI intervention was stopped for futility after a median follow-up of 9.6 years. While there was a differential effect on weight loss and fitness between the two groups, there was no effect on cardiovascular outcomes. Cardiovascular events were less than half the projected rate per year in the DSE group: thus there was a very low over-all rate of events in both groups. There were many other health benefits of ILI, including improved biomarkers of glucose and lipid control, less sleep apnea, lower liver fat, less depression, improved insulin sensitivity, less urinary incontinence, less kidney disease, reduced need of diabetes medications, maintenance of physical mobility, improved quality of life and lower costs.

Open versus endovascular repair of abdominal aortic aneurysm: Incidence of cardiovascular events in 632 patients in a department of defense cohort over 6-year follow-up

BACKGROUND

Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is common with unacceptably high rates of mortality and morbidity with unknown rates of complications after repair in the Department of Defense (DoD).

METHODS

All patients treated at a DOD or VA clinic or medical facility with a diagnosis of AAA identified by ICD-9 code search were identified by Patient Administration Systems and Biostatistics Activity (PASBA) using the Standard Inpatient Data Record (SIDR) and Composite Ambulatory Patient Encounter Record (CAPER) from January 2006 till December 2011. The primary outcome was death, myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, and cardiac arrhythmia between subjects who underwent endovascular aortic repair (EVAR) or open aortic repair (OAR).

RESULTS

A total of 8314 patients were screened to identify 632 patients who underwent surgical repair of non-ruptured AAA. EVAR was performed in 497 patients (78.6%) and OAR in 135 patients (21.4%). Mortality at 30 days was less common in EVAR patients (1.6% vs. 6.7%, p = 0.004), but was not sustained (16.9% vs. 17.8%, p = 0.797). Mean survival free from mortality was not different between the two groups (EVAR vs. OAR: 6.14 ± 0.13 years vs. 6.11 ± 0.22 years, p = 0.378). The composite endpoint of MI, stroke, arrhythmia, or death was not different between groups at 30 days (EVAR vs. OAR: 12.9% vs. 14.1%, p = 0.774) or in long-term follow-up population (EVAR vs. OAR: 40.6% vs. 31.9%, p = 0.073) though there was a trend toward higher event rates in the EVAR. The composite endpoint of MI, stroke, and arrhythmia occurred in 198 patients (31%).

CONCLUSION

EVAR was associated with lower 30-day mortality rates; however, this benefit was not sustained in longer-term follow-up. There is no difference in the rates of stroke, myocardial infarction, or cardiac arrhythmia at 30 days or in long-term follow-up.

Long-term cardiovascular outcomes in patients with chronic kidney disease undergoing coronary artery bypass graft surgery for acute coronary syndromes

Background

Patients with chronic kidney disease have an increased risk of death after myocardial infarction, coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG), and percutaneous coronary intervention. We sought to describe the association between chronic kidney disease and long‐term cardiovascular outcomes and death in patients who underwent CABG for acute coronary syndromes.

Methods and Results

All patients (N=12 956) from the Swedish Web System for Enhancement and Development of Evidence‐Based Care in Heart Disease Evaluated According to Recommended Therapies (SWEDEHEART) registry who underwent CABG for acute coronary syndromes in Sweden between 2000 and 2008 with complete information on preoperative serum creatinine values were included. Estimated glomerular filtration rates (eGFRs) were obtained, and hazard ratios with 95% CIs were calculated for the composite end point of myocardial infarction, heart failure, stroke, or death in relation to eGFR. During a mean follow‐up of 3.5 years, there were in total 2844 (22%) cardiovascular events and 1340 (10%) deaths. In patients with eGFR >60 mL/min per 1.73 m², 45 to 60 mL/min per 1.73 m², and 15 to 45 mL/min per 1.73 m², there were 2896 (28%), 882 (43%), and 407 (61%) cardiovascular events or deaths, respectively. Hazard ratios with 95% CIs for death or any cardiovascular event in patients with eGFR 45 to 60 mL/min per 1.73 m², and 15 to 45 mL/min per 1.73 m² were 1.07 (0.98 to 1.15) and 1.36 (1.22 to 1.53) respectively, after multivariable adjustment. The corresponding figures for any cardiovascular event were 1.08 (0.98 to 1.19), and 1.24 (1.08 to 1.43).

Conclusions

Severe, but not moderate, renal dysfunction was independently associated with an increased risk of long‐term cardiovascular events and death in patients undergoing CABG for acute coronary syndromes.

Long-term cardiovascular outcomes in survivors of Kawasaki disease

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Kawasaki disease (KD) may result in coronary aneurysm formation, but there is incomplete knowledge regarding its long-term effects. Our objective was to quantify the longer-term rates of adverse cardiac events in a modern North American KD cohort.

METHODS

Using the Kaiser Permanente Northern California population, we performed a retrospective cohort study in patients with a history of KD versus matched patients without KD. Chart review was used to confirm the diagnosis of KD and all outcomes of interest, including acute coronary syndrome, coronary revascularization, heart failure, ventricular arrhythmia, valve disease, aortic aneurysm, and all-cause mortality. All outcomes occurring at age ≥15 years were included in the primary analysis. Outcome rates were compared between the 2 groups by using Cox proportional hazards analysis.

RESULTS

The study included 546 KD patients and 2218 matched patients without KD. Seventy-nine percent of the KD patients received intravenous immunoglobulin and 5% had persistent coronary aneurysm. The average follow-up time was 14.9 years. Only 2 KD patients experienced outcomes after age 15 (0.246 events per 1000 person-years) compared with 7 events in the non-KD group (0.217 events per 1000 person-years), a nonsignificant difference (hazard ratio: 0.81; 95% confidence interval: 0.16-4.0). Within the KD subgroup, persistent coronary aneurysm predicted the occurrence of adverse events (P = .007).

CONCLUSIONS

This is the largest US study of longer-term cardiac outcomes after KD and reveals a low rate of adverse cardiovascular events through age 21. Additional validation studies, including studies with longer-term follow-up, should be performed.

A retrospective study of 50 cases prior to the calcimimetics era

BACKGROUND

In chronic hemodialysis patients with secondary hyperparathyroidism, pathological modifications of bone and mineral metabolism increase the risk of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. Parathyroidectomy, reducing the incidence of cardiovascular events, may improve outcomes; however, its effects on long-term survival are still subject of active research.

METHODS

From January 2004 to December 2006, 30 hemodialysis patients, affected by severe and unresponsive secondary hyperparathyroidism, underwent parathyroidectomy - 15 total parathyroidectomy and 15 total parathyroidectomy + subcutaneous autoimplantation. During a 5-year follow-up, patients did not receive a renal transplantation and were evaluated for biochemical modifications and major cardiovascular events - death, cardiovascular accidents, myocardial infarction and peripheral vascular disease. Results were compared with those obtained in a control group of 20 hemodialysis patients, affected by secondary hyperparathyroidism, and refusing surgical treatment, and following medical treatment only.

RESULTS

The groups were comparable in terms of age, gender, dialysis vintage, and comorbidities. Postoperative cardiovascular events were observed in 18/30 - 54% - surgical patients and in 4/20 - 20%- medical patients, with a mortality rate respectively of 23.3% in the surgical group vs. 15% in the control group. Parathyroidectomy was not associated with a reduced risk of cardiovascular morbidity and survival rate was unaffected by surgical treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

In secondary hyperparathyroidism hemodialysis patients affected by severe cardiovascular disease, surgery did not modify cardiovascular morbidity and mortality rates. Therefore, in secondary hyperparathyroidism hemodialysis patients, resistant to medical treatment, only an early indication to calcimimetics, or surgery, in the initial stage of chronic kidney disease - mineral bone disorders, may offer a higher long-term survival. Further studies will be useful to clarify the role of secondary hyperparathyroidism in determining unfavorable cardiovascular outcomes and mortality in hemodialysis population.

Urinary albumin excretion at follow-up predicts cardiovascular outcomes in subjects with resistant hypertension

BACKGROUND

Renal function and albuminuria predict cardiovascular disease (CVD) in general population. However, their prognostic value in patients with resistant hypertension (RH) is somewhat unknown.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the ability of renal function and albuminuria to predict CVD in RH patients.

METHODS

One hundred and thirty-three RH (blood pressure [BP] ≥140/90mmHg despite treatment with ≥3 drugs) patients were evaluated. Median follow-up was 73 months. Primary endpoint was a composite of non-fatal cardiovascular events or cardiovascular death. Serum creatinine (SCr) and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) were determined. Microalbuminuria was defined as a urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR) ≥30mg/g.

RESULTS

Twenty-two patients (16.5%) reached the primary endpoint. Long-term elevated UACR (66 vs. 17mg/g, P=0.045), but not at baseline, was associated with the primary endpoint, after adjusting for age, prior CVD, and both eGFR and office systolic-BP at baseline and during follow-up. Although baseline SCr and eGFR were associated with CVD, significance was lost after baseline risk adjustment. Baseline microalbuminuria prevalence was 45% and 41% in patients with and without CVD (P=0.813), while percentages of patients with microalbuminuria at follow-up were 67% and 28%, respectively (P=0.002). More patients with de novo CVD, compared with those without CVD, developed microalbuminuria at follow-up (28% vs. 6%) or had persistent microalbuminuria (39% vs. 21%), while fewer patients with CVD had microalbuminuria regression (11% vs. 19%) or remained normoalbuminurics (22% vs. 53%; overall P=0.005).

CONCLUSION

In RH patients, the inability to microalbuminuria regression, either due to persistence or new appearance, independently predicts CVD.

Longer acting GLP-1 receptor agonists and the potential for improved cardiovascular outcomes: a review of current literature

With the rapidly rising incidence of Type 2 diabetes and an increasing variety of medications available for treatment, choosing the ideal regimen for patients can be challenging. Longer-acting glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists and devices have been recently developed and include once-weekly exenatide, dulaglutide, albiglutide, semaglutide and miniosmotic pump ITCA650. Some of the attractive qualities of the GLP-1 receptor agonist class include its association with weightloss and potential for cardiovascular benefits. The longer-acting forms have been shown in several studies to produce equal or greater reduction in A1c and weight compared with the standard twice-daily formulation of exenatide. They also result in lower reported incidence of nausea, in the setting of a less frequent injection schedule that would be desirable to many diabetic patients. There are emerging data to suggest patients treated with longer-acting GLP-1 receptor agonists have improved cardiac parameters, some of which are independent of weight and A1c reductions.