Liver fibrosis scores predict liver disease mortality in the United States population

Fib-4 score is able to predict intra-hospital mortality in 4 different SARS-COV2 waves

Increased values of the FIB-4 index appear to be associated with poor clinical outcomes in COVID-19 patients. This study aimed to develop and validate predictive mortality models, using data upon admission of hospitalized patients in four COVID-19 waves between March 2020 and January 2022. A single-center cohort study was performed on consecutive adult patients with Covid-19 admitted at the Fondazione Policlinico Gemelli IRCCS (Rome, Italy). Artificial intelligence and big data processing were used to retrieve data. Patients and clinical characteristics of patients with available FIB-4 data derived from the Gemelli Generator Real World Data (G2 RWD) were used to develop predictive mortality models during the four waves of the COVID-19 pandemic. A logistic regression model was applied to the training and test set (75%:25%). The model's performance was assessed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. A total of 4936 patients were included. Hypertension (38.4%), cancer (12.15%) and diabetes (16.3%) were the most common comorbidities. 23.9% of patients were admitted to ICU, and 12.6% had mechanical ventilation. During the study period, 762 patients (15.4%) died. We developed a multivariable logistic regression model on patient data from all waves, which showed that the FIB-4 score > 2.53 was associated with increased mortality risk (OR = 4.53, 95% CI 2.83-7.25; p ≤ 0.001). These data may be useful in the risk stratification at the admission of hospitalized patients with COVID-19.

Long working hours and increased risks of lean non-alcoholic fatty liver disease among Korean men and women

Despite the increasing prevalence of lean nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), its risk factors are not well established. We examined the association between long working hours and incident NAFLD in lean Korean workers with emphasis on sex-based effect modification. This cohort study involved 46,113 non-overweight (BMI < 23 kg/m²) and NAFLD-free Korean workers (mean age, 35.5 years). Working hours were categorized into 35-40 (reference), 41-52, and ≥ 53 h. The presence of fatty liver and its severity were determined using ultrasonography and NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS), respectively. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using parametric proportional hazards models. Incident cases of 5901 lean NAFLD developed over a median follow-up of 3.8 years. The incidence of lean NAFLD increased with increasing working hours with a stronger association in men than in women (P for interaction < 0.001). For men, multivariable-adjusted HRs (95% CIs) for lean NAFLD in time-dependent models comparing working hours of 41-52 and ≥ 53 h compared to the reference category were 1.17 (1.07-1.28) and 1.25 (1.12-1.39), respectively. The excess relative risk of developing lean NAFLD with intermediate/high NFS was observed in working hours of 41-52 and ≥ 53 h with a corresponding HR of 1.66 (1.13-2.43) and 1.54 (0.94-2.51), respectively. Conversely, no significant associations were found between working hours and incidence of lean NAFLD in women. In conclusion, long working hours were significantly associated with an increased incidence of lean NAFLD and its severe form in men but not in women.

Diagnostic Performance of Noninvasive Tests for Advanced Hepatic Fibrosis in Young Age Population

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Most noninvasive tests (NITs) for hepatic fibrosis are designed for middle-aged patients with chronic liver disease. We compared the diagnostic performance of major NITs (aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index [APRI], Fibrosis-4 index, and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score) for a community-based cohort.

METHODS

This cross-sectional study analyzed 8775 participants who underwent magnetic resonance elastography at community health check-up centers. Advanced hepatic fibrosis (≥F3) was defined by magnetic resonance elastography thresholds of 3.6 kPa. The diagnostic performance of 3 NITs was evaluated according to the etiology of liver disease, sex, metabolic syndrome, obesity, and increased aminotransferase levels in 4 age groups.

RESULTS

The APRI generally showed the best area under the receiver operating characteristic curve in patients aged 45 years or younger, and it was statistically significant in patients with chronic viral hepatitis and alcoholic fatty liver disease (P < .043). The best APRI cut-off value for detecting advanced hepatic fibrosis was 0.4, with a sensitivity and specificity of 75.8% and 73.5%, respectively, in the community-based cohort. The APRI showed balanced sensitivity and specificity across all age groups, whereas the other metrics showed low sensitivity in those aged <45 and low specificity in those >65 years.

CONCLUSIONS

The APRI showed better sensitivity and negative predictive value than the Fibrosis-4 index and the nonalcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score in community-based populations with mixed etiology, and, thus, can be performed as the primary test in young adults (age, ≤45 y).

Noninvasive Assessment of Liver Fibrosis in NAFLD

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has emerged as a leading cause of liver-related morbidity and mortality worldwide, afflicting approximately a billion individuals. NAFLD is a slowly progressive disease that may evolve in a subset of patients toward cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, and end-stage liver disease. Liver fibrosis severity is the strongest predictor of clinical outcomes. The emergence of effective therapeutics on the horizon highlights the need to identify among patients with NAFLD, those with severe fibrosis or cirrhosis, who are the most at risk of developing complications and target them for therapy. Liver biopsy has been the reference standard for this purpose. However, it is not suitable for large-scale population evaluation, given its well-known limitations (invasiveness, rare but severe complications, and sampling variability). Thus, there have been major efforts to develop simple noninvasive tools that can be used in routine clinical settings and in drug development. Noninvasive approaches are based on the quantification of biomarkers in serum samples or on the measurement of liver stiffness, using either ultrasound- or magnetic resonance-based elastography techniques. This review provides a roadmap for future development and integration of noninvasive tools in clinical practice and in drug development in NAFLD. We discuss herein the principles for their development and validation, their use in clinical practice, including for diagnosis of NAFLD, risk stratification in primary care and hepatology settings, prediction of long-term liver-related and non-liver-related outcomes, monitoring of fibrosis progression and regression, and response to future treatment.

Diabetes and cirrhosis: Current concepts on diagnosis and management

Type 2 diabetes mellitus is often associated with cirrhosis as comorbidities, acute illness, medications, and other conditions profoundly alter glucose metabolism. Both conditions are closely related in NAFLD, the leading cause of chronic liver disease, and given its rising burden worldwide, management of type 2 diabetes mellitus in cirrhosis will be an increasingly common dilemma. Having diabetes increases cirrhosis-related complications, including HCC as well as overall mortality. In the absence of effective treatments for cirrhosis, patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus should be systematically screened as early as possible for NAFLD-related fibrosis/cirrhosis using noninvasive tools, starting with a FIB-4 index followed by transient elastography, if available. In people with cirrhosis, an early diagnosis of diabetes is critical for an optimal management strategy (ie, nutritional goals, and glycemic targets). Diagnosis of diabetes may be missed if based on A1C in patients with cirrhosis and impaired liver function (Child-Pugh B-C) as anemia may turn the test unreliable. Clinicians must also become aware of their high risk of hypoglycemia, especially in decompensated cirrhosis where insulin is the only therapy. Care should be within multidisciplinary teams (nutritionists, obesity management teams, endocrinologists, hepatologists, and others) and take advantage of novel glucose-monitoring devices. Clinicians should become familiar with the safety and efficacy of diabetes medications for patients with advanced fibrosis and compensated cirrhosis. Management is conditioned by whether the patient has either compensated or decompensated cirrhosis. This review gives an update on the complex relationship between cirrhosis and type 2 diabetes mellitus, with a focus on its diagnosis and treatment, and highlights knowledge gaps and future directions.

The impact of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and liver fibrosis on adverse clinical outcomes and mortality in patients with chronic kidney disease: a prospective cohort study using the UK Biobank

BACKGROUND

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) frequently co-exist. We assess the impact of having NAFLD on adverse clinical outcomes and all-cause mortality for people with CKD.

METHODS

A total of 18,073 UK Biobank participants identified to have CKD (eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73 m² or albuminuria > 3 mg/mmol) were prospectively followed up by electronic linkage to hospital and death records. Cox-regression estimated the hazard ratios (HR) associated with having NAFLD (elevated hepatic steatosis index or ICD-code) and NAFLD fibrosis (elevated fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) score or NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS)) on cardiovascular events (CVE), progression to end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

56.2% of individuals with CKD had NAFLD at baseline, and 3.0% and 7.7% had NAFLD fibrosis according to a FIB-4 > 2.67 and NFS ≥ 0.676, respectively. The median follow-up was 13 years. In univariate analysis, NAFLD was associated with an increased risk of CVE (HR 1.49 [1.38-1.60]), all-cause mortality (HR 1.22 [1.14-1.31]) and ESRD (HR 1.26 [1.02-1.54]). Following multivariable adjustment, NAFLD remained an independent risk factor for CVE overall (HR 1.20 [1.11-1.30], p < 0.0001), but not ACM or ESRD. In univariate analysis, elevated NFS and FIB-4 scores were associated with increased risk of CVE (HR 2.42 [2.09-2.80] and 1.64 [1.30-2.08]) and all-cause mortality (HR 2.82 [2.48-3.21] and 1.82 [1.47-2.24]); the NFS score was also associated with ESRD (HR 5.15 [3.52-7.52]). Following full adjustment, the NFS remained associated with an increased incidence of CVE (HR 1.19 [1.01-1.40]) and all-cause mortality (HR 1.31 [1.13-1.52]).

CONCLUSIONS

In people with CKD, NAFLD is associated with an increased risk of CVE, and the NAFLD fibrosis score is associated with an elevated risk of CVE and worse survival.

Screening for At-Risk Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease in the Primary Care Setting

While nonalcoholic fatty liver disease is a leading cause of end-stage liver disease, most patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease do not develop cirrhosis and its complications. Therefore, risk stratification using inexpensive, noninvasive screening modalities is critical to avoid overdiagnosis and overtreatment of a large proportion of the population. In this review, we discuss the data supporting screening and current professional society recommendations on this topic. Screening for at-risk nonalcoholic fatty liver disease is recommended in patients with risk factors including diabetes, the metabolic syndrome, hepatic steatosis, and elevated aminotransferases. Screening typically consists of noninvasive testing using serum biomarkers followed by elastography using specialized imaging modalities. This sequential screening approach accurately identifies both high- and low-risk patients and is cost-effective when applied to at-risk populations. In conclusion, screening for advanced nonalcoholic fatty liver disease in the primary care setting is a crucial part of identifying high-risk patients who may benefit from aggressive intervention while avoiding overtreatment of patients at low risk of liver-related complications.

CAP and LSM as determined by VCTE are independent predictors of all-cause mortality in the US adult population

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Data retrospective cohort studies have shown that liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by transient elastography (TE, FibroScan) can predict mortality in patients with NAFLD, however, its ability to predict mortality at a population level is unknown. We investigated the ability of LSM and controlled-attenuation parameter (CAP) by TE to predict mortality in a prospective US cohort.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

A total of 4192 US adults aged ≥18 years enrolled in the National Health, and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) (2017-2018) with reliable information on CAP and LSM by TE were included in this analysis. All-specific and cause-specific mortality were ascertained by linkage to National Death Index records through December 31, 2019. Cox models were used to estimate HR and 95% CI. During a mean follow-up of 24.4 months, there were 68 deaths (1.6%). CAP (adjusted HR: 1.01, 95% CI: 1.0-1.05), and LSM (adjusted HR: 1.06, 95% CI: 1.02-1.11) were independently associated with overall mortality. NAFLD by CAP ≥285 had a 2.2-fold (95% CI: 1.0-4.7) increased odds of mortality compared with non-NAFLD. Cumulative mortality rates were significantly higher in participants with LSM of 9.7-13.5 (advanced fibrosis) and LSM ≥13.6 (cirrhosis) as compared with LSM <9.7; p value for trend across groups <0.01. LSM ≥13.6 displayed the highest mortality risk (adjusted HR: 3.2, 95% CI: 1.3-7.8). Compared with LSM <10 [absence of advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD)], LSM 10-19.9 (likely ACLD), and ≥20 kPa (likely ACLD with clinically significant portal hypertension) conferred a 3.4-fold (95% CI: 1.0-13.8) and 5.2-fold (95% CI: 1.2-22.3) increase in hazards of mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study findings highlight the importance of liver health as a predictor of overall mortality at a population level.

Environmental exposures are important risk factors for advanced liver fibrosis in African American adults

Background & Aims

The prevalence and aetiology of liver fibrosis vary over time and impact racial/ethnic groups unevenly. This study measured time trends and identified factors associated with advanced liver fibrosis in the United States.

Methods

Standardised methods were used to analyse data on 47,422 participants (≥20 years old) in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (1999-2018). Advanced liver fibrosis was defined as Fibrosis-4 ≥2.67 and/or Forns index ≥6.9 and elevated alanine aminotransferase.

Results

The estimated number of people with advanced liver fibrosis increased from 1.3 million (95% CI 0.8-1.9) to 3.5 million (95% CI 2.8-4.2), a nearly threefold increase. Prevalence was higher in non-Hispanic Black and Mexican American persons than in non-Hispanic White persons. In multivariable logistic regression analysis, cadmium was an independent risk factor in all racial/ethnic groups. Smoking and current excessive alcohol use were risk factors in most. Importantly, compared with non-Hispanic White persons, non-Hispanic Black persons had a distinctive set of risk factors that included poverty (odds ratio [OR] 2.09; 95% CI 1.44-3.03) and susceptibility to lead exposure (OR 3.25; 95% CI 1.95-5.43) but did not include diabetes (OR 0.88; 95% CI 0.61-1.27; p =0.52). Non-Hispanic Black persons were more likely to have high exposure to lead, cadmium, polychlorinated biphenyls, and poverty than non-Hispanic White persons.

Conclusions

The number of people with advanced liver fibrosis has increased, creating a need to expand the liver care workforce. The risk factors for advanced fibrosis vary by race/ethnicity. These differences provide useful information for designing screening programmes. Poverty and toxic exposures were associated with the high prevalence of advanced liver fibrosis in non-Hispanic Black persons and need to be addressed.

Impact and Implications

Because liver disease often produces few warning signs, simple and inexpensive screening tests that can be performed by non-specialists are needed to allow timely diagnosis and linkage to care. This study shows that non-Hispanic Black persons have a distinctive set of risk factors that need to be taken into account when designing liver disease screening programs. Exposure to exogenous toxins may be especially important risk factors for advanced liver fibrosis in non-Hispanic Black persons.

The Association between Advanced Liver Fibrosis and Mortality Is Modified by Dietary Quality among Korean Adults: Results from the Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey with Mortality Data

Advanced fibrosis in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is associated with an increased risk of mortality; however, an independent association of liver fibrosis with mortality is not well defined. We aimed to investigate the association between advanced liver fibrosis and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality and the mediation effect of diet quality. We analyzed 35,531 participants with suspected NAFLD, excluding competing etiologies of chronic liver disease, from the Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2007-2015, and followed up until 31 December 2019. The severity of liver fibrosis was assessed using the NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) and the fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4). The Cox proportional hazards model was used to examine the association of advanced liver fibrosis with mortality. During a mean 8.1 years of follow-up, 3426 deaths occurred. Advanced liver fibrosis determined by NFS and FIB-4 was associated with increased risks of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality after adjusting for confounders. When NFS and FIB-4 were combined, the high NFS + high FIB-4 group was significantly associated with higher risks of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.85, 95% CI 1.42-2.43) and cardiovascular mortality (HR 2.04, 95% CI 1.23-3.39), respectively, compared with the low NFS + low FIB-4 group. However, these associations were attenuated in people with high diet quality. Advanced liver fibrosis is an independent risk factor for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in people with NAFLD, and the association between advanced liver fibrosis and mortality is modified by a high-quality diet.

Clinical features of chronic hepatitis B patients with lean nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

BACKGROUND

The clinical features have been well described in obese chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). However, little is known about the clinical features of lean CHB-NAFLD patients.

METHODS

The study retrospectively included treatment-naïve CHB patients who underwent ultrasound between 2015 and 2021. Liver fibrosis was assessed by aspartate aminotransferase (AST) to platelet ratio index (APRI), Fibrosis-4 score (FIB-4), NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS), and transient elastography.

RESULTS

Among 1226 CHB-NAFLD patients, 25.0% patients were lean. The age, gender, and platelet, alanine aminotransferase, AST, and albumin levels were comparable between lean CHB-NAFLD and nonlean patients. The levels of plasma glucose, triglycerides, total cholesterol, and uric acid, as well as proportions of concurrent hypertension and diabetes, were lower in lean patients. Lean patients presented higher hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) levels (3.4 log₁₀ IU/ml vs. 3.2 log₁₀ IU/ml, p = 0.006), hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA levels (4.1 log₁₀ IU/ml vs. 3.2 log₁₀ IU/ml, p < 0.001), and hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) positive proportions (40.4% vs. 30.2%, p = 0.002) than nonlean patients. The values of APRI, FIB-4, and liver stiffness were comparable between two groups. However, lean patients had lower NFS values (-3.0 vs. -2.6, p < 0.001) and lower proportions (12.6% vs. 21.1%, p = 0.003) of advanced fibrosis (NFS ≥ -1.5) than nonlean patients. Similar results were observed in HBeAg-positive and HBeAg-negative subgroups.

CONCLUSIONS

Nearly a quarter of CHB-NAFLD patients were lean. Lean patients had lower proportions of metabolic abnormalities and advanced liver fibrosis than nonlean patients. However, lean CHB-NAFLD patients had higher HBsAg levels, HBV DNA levels, and HBeAg-positive proportions. Registry and registration no. of the study/trial: Clinicaltrials.gov, Identifier: NCT03097952.

Metabolic dysfunction associated fatty liver disease identifies subjects with cardiovascular risk better than non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the main cause of mortality in subjects with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). We investigated the association between CVD risk and metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) or NAFLD and the influence of significant liver fibrosis on the CVD risk.

METHODS

Subjects who underwent a comprehensive medical check-up were recruited (2014-2019). Significant liver fibrosis was defined using NAFLD fibrosis score, fibrosis-4 index, aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index, or FibroScan-aspartate aminotransferase score. High probability of atherosclerotic CVD (ASCVD) was defined as ASCVD risk score > 10%.

RESULTS

Of the study population (n = 78 762), 27 047 (34.3%) and 24 036 (30.5%) subjects had MAFLD and NAFLD respectively. A total of 1084 (4.0%) or 921 (3.8%) subjects had previous CVD history in MAFLD or NAFLD subgroup respectively. The previous CVD history and high probability of ASCVD were significantly higher in MAFLD or NAFLD subgroup with significant liver fibrosis than in the other groups (all p < .001). In multivariable analysis, MAFLD was independently associated with previous CVD history after adjusting for confounders (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 1.10, p = .038), whereas NAFLD was not (all p > .05). MAFLD (aOR = 1.40) or NAFLD (aOR = 1.22) was independently associated with high probability of ASCVD after full adjustment respectively (all p < .001). Significant liver fibrosis was independently associated with previous CVD history and high probability of ASCVD after adjustment in MAFLD or NAFLD subgroup respectively (all p < .05).

CONCLUSION

MAFLD might better identify subjects with CVD risk than NAFLD. Fibrosis assessment might be helpful for detailed prognostication in subjects with MAFLD.

Expert Panel Consensus on Clinical Assertion Statements Describing Noninvasive Tools for Diagnosing Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis

GOALS AND BACKGROUND

A panel of 9 experts in nonalcoholic steatohepatitis gathered to assess multiple components of the diagnostic process.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The Clinical Assertion Statements covered screening of patients with type 2 diabetes for high-risk nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, which-if any-noninvasive tests could determine whether to delay or defer biopsy, whether primary care providers and endocrinologists should routinely calculate Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) scores in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease or those at risk for it, optimal noninvasive tests to stage fibrosis, the need to consider fibrosis in patients with normal transaminase levels, periodic monitoring for progressive fibrosis, whether patients should undergo biopsy before pharmacotherapy, and the clinical utility of genetic testing.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

Evidence was presented to support or refute each Clinical Assertion Statement; the panel voted on the nature of the evidence, level of support, and level of agreement with each Statement. Panel level of agreement and rationale of each Clinical Assertion Statement are reported here.

Prevalence and clinical determinants of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease by liver scores in adults with type 1 diabetes

AIMS

To investigate the prevalence and clinical risk factors for non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in type 1 diabetes (T1DM) by liver scores.

METHODS

A retrospective, unicenter, cross-sectional analysis was performed of adults with T1DM from 2015 to 2018. Steatosis scores (hepatic steatosis index-HSI, Framingham steatosis index-FSI) and fibrosis scores (FIB-4 index, AST-to-platelet ratio index-APRI) were associated with clinical parameters.

RESULTS

We identified 447 patients, 38 ± 14.5 yrs, 54 % female, BMI 28 ± 5.9 kg/m². Liver steatosis was prevalent at 61 % by HSI ≥ 36 and 52 % by FSI ≥ 23. A majority of these individuals had normal liver transaminase levels. The presence of advanced fibrosis was 4 % by APRI > 0.7 and 4 % by FIB-4 > 2.67. BMI ≥ 25 kg/m² correlated with steatosis scores (P < 0.001) but not fibrosis scores. Older age (≥40 yrs), hypertension, dyslipidemia, and history of cardiovascular disease were associated with steatosis markers. Only 21 % had any abdominal imaging, 2 % had hepatology referral and 1 % had a liver biopsy. Glucagon-like peptide-1 agonist was prescribed in 5 % and thiazolidinedione in 4 %.

CONCLUSION

Liver scores indicating steatosis but not fibrosis is common in adults with T1DM with obesity and/or metabolic syndrome, and is associated with older age, hypertension, and dyslipidemia. NAFLD is under-diagnosed and under-investigated; a minority of patients have had any liver evaluation or treatment.

Approach to the Patient With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

CONTEXT

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is associated with obesity and type 2 diabetes (T2D), causing substantial burden from hepatic and extrahepatic complications. However, endocrinologists often follow people who are at the highest risk of its more severe form with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis or NASH (i.e., T2D or obesity with cardiometabolic risk factors). Endocrinologists are in a unique position to prevent cirrhosis in this population with early diagnosis and treatment.

OBJECTIVE

This work aims to offer endocrinologists a practical approach for the management of patients with NAFLD, including diagnosis, fibrosis risk stratification, and referral to hepatologists.

PATIENTS

(1) An asymptomatic patient with obesity and cardiometabolic risk factors, found to have hepatic steatosis; (2) a patient with T2D and NASH with clinically significant liver fibrosis; and (3) a liver transplant recipient with a history of NASH cirrhosis, with significant weight regain and with recurrent NAFLD on the transplanted organ.

CONCLUSION

NASH can be reversed with proper management of obesity and of T2D. While no agents are currently approved for the treatment of NASH, treatment should include lifestyle changes and a broader use of structured weight-loss programs, obesity pharmacotherapy, and bariatric surgery. Diabetes medications such as pioglitazone and some glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists may also improve liver histology and cardiometabolic health. Sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors and insulin may ameliorate steatosis, but their effect on steatohepatitis remains unclear. Awareness by endocrinologists about, establishing an early diagnosis of fibrosis (ie, FIB-4, liver elastography) in patients at high-risk of cirrhosis, long-term monitoring, and timely referral to the hepatologist are all critical to curve the looming epidemic of cirrhosis from NAFLD.

Serum glycolipids mediate the relationship of urinary bisphenols with NAFLD: analysis of a population-based, cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

Bisphenol A (BPA) and its substitutes bisphenol S (BPS) and bisphenol F (BPF) are endocrine-disrupting chemicals widely used in consumer products, which have been proposed to induce various human diseases. In western countries, one of the most common liver diseases is non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). However, studies on the associations of the three bisphenols with NAFLD in human beings are scarce.

METHODS

We included 960 participants aged ≥ 20 years from the NHANES 2013-16 who had available data on levels of urinary BPA, BPS and BPF. The hepatic steatosis index (HSI) > 36 was used to predict NAFLD. Logistic regression analysis and mediation effect analysis were used to evaluate the associations among bisphenols, glycolipid-related markers and NAFLD.

RESULTS

A total of 540 individuals (56.3%) were diagnosed with NAFLD, who had higher concentrations of BPA and BPS but not BPF than those without NAFLD. An increasing trend in NAFLD risks and HSI levels was observed among BPA and BPS tertiles (p for trend < 0.05). After adjustment for confounders, elevated levels of BPA or BPS but not BPF were significantly associated with NAFLD. The odds ratio for NAFLD was 1.581 (95% confidence intervals [CI]: 1.1-2.274, p = 0.013) comparing the highest with the lowest tertile of BPA and 1.799 (95%CI: 1.2462.597, p = 0.002) for BPS. Mediation effect analysis indicated that serum high-density lipoprotein cholesterol and glucose had a mediating effect on the relationships between bisphenols and NAFLD.

CONCLUSIONS

The present study showed that high exposure levels of BPA and BPS increased NAFLD incidence, which might be mediated through regulating glycolipids metabolism. Further studies on the role of bisphenols in NAFLD are warranted.

4. Comprehensive Medical Evaluation and Assessment of Comorbidities: Standards of Care in Diabetes-2023

The American Diabetes Association (ADA) "Standards of Care in Diabetes" includes the ADA's current clinical practice recommendations and is intended to provide the components of diabetes care, general treatment goals and guidelines, and tools to evaluate quality of care. Members of the ADA Professional Practice Committee, a multidisciplinary expert committee, are responsible for updating the Standards of Care annually, or more frequently as warranted. For a detailed description of ADA standards, statements, and reports, as well as the evidence-grading system for ADA's clinical practice recommendations and a full list of Professional Practice Committee members, please refer to Introduction and Methodology. Readers who wish to comment on the Standards of Care are invited to do so at professional.diabetes.org/SOC.

Fibrosis-4 stage of liver fibrosis predicts cardiovascular outcomes in acute coronary syndrome patients with and without type 2 diabetes mellitus

AIMS

We aim to analyze the effect of liver fibrosis, assessed by the Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index, on cardiovascular events in acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients with and without type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).

METHODS

6563 ACS patients undergoing PCI were analyzed in this study. Patients were divided into three groups according to literature-based FIB-4 cut-offs: < 1.45, 1.45-3.25, and ≥ 3.25.

RESULTS

During the median 2.4-year follow-up, 270 major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) and 194 major bleeding were recorded. Intermediate or high FIB-4 scores were significantly associated with an elevated risk of MACCE, mortality, and MI but not associated with ischemic stroke and major bleeding. Further restricted cubic spline analysis showed that FIB-4 as a continuous variable was positively associated with an increased adjusted risk of MACCE. The results were consistent in subgroups with and without T2DM.

CONCLUSIONS

Liver fibrosis staged by FIB-4 was correlated with an increased risk of MACCE, mortality, and MI in ACS patients who underwent PCI with and without T2DM. FIB-4 index may help risk stratification of ACS patients independent of T2DM status.

Association between liver fibrosis and thrombotic or bleeding events in acute coronary syndrome patients

BACKGROUND

The prognostic implication of liver fibrosis in acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients are scarce. We sought to evaluate whether liver fibrosis scores (LFS) were associated with thrombotic or bleeding events in patients with acute coronary syndrome.

METHODS

We included 6386 ACS patients who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). This study determined liver fibrosis with aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI), aspartate aminotransferase to alanine aminotransferase ratio (AST/ALT ratio), Forns score, and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS). The primary endpoint was major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE), a composite of all-cause mortality (ACM), myocardial infarction (MI), and ischemic stroke (IS).

RESULTS

During the follow-up, 259 (4.06%) MACCE and 190 (2.98%) bleeding events were recorded. As a continuous variable or a categorical variable stratified by the literature-based cutoff, LFS was positively associated with MACCE (p > 0.05) but not with bleeding events. Compared with subjects with low APRI scores, AST/ALT ratio scores, Forns scores, and NFS scores, subjects with high scores had a 1.57- to 3.73-fold increase risk of MACCE after adjustment (all p < 0.05). The positive relationship between LFS and MACCE was consistent in different subgroups.

CONCLUSIONS

In ACS patients, increased LFS predicted an elevated risk of thrombotic events but not bleeding. LFS may contribute to thrombotic risk stratification after ACS.

Screening for Liver Fibrosis in the General Population: Where Do We Stand in 2022?

Approximately 30% of the worldwide population has at least one risk factor for liver disease. Identifying advanced liver disease before the occurrence of complications remains a difficult challenge in clinical practice, where diagnosis comes too late for many patients, at the time of liver decompensation or palliative hepatocellular carcinoma, with poor short-term prognosis. Noninvasive, blood- or elastography-based tests of liver fibrosis (NITs) have been developed for the early diagnosis of advanced liver fibrosis. Recent population-based studies evaluating the screening of liver fibrosis with these NITs have provided important information on at-risk groups that should be targeted. New measures based on the sequential use of NITs help to better organize the referral of at-risk patients to the liver specialist. However, energizing these measures will require increased awareness of both chronic liver diseases and the use of NITs among non-specialists.

Association of liver fibrosis biomarkers with overall and CVD mortality in the Korean population: The Dong-gu study

This study evaluated the associations of liver fibrosis biomarkers [non-alcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS), fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), aspartate aminotransferase/platelet ratio index (APRI), and BARD score] with mortality in Korean adults aged ≥50 years. We analyzed 7,702 subjects who participated in Dong-gu Study. The associations of liber fibrosis biomarkers with mortality were investigated using Cox proportional hazards models. Overall mortality increased with increasing NFS level [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 4.3, 95% confidence interval (CI) 3.3-5.5 for high risk vs. low risk], increasing FIB-4 level (aHR 3.5, 95% CI 2.9-4.4 for high risk vs. low risk), and increasing APRI level (aHR 3.5, 95% CI 2.1-5.8 for high risk vs. low risk) but not with BARD score. The Harrell's concordance index for overall mortality for the NFS and FIB-4 was greater than that for the APRI and BARD score. In conclusion, NFS, FIB-4, and APRI showed a significant relationship with the overall mortality, and NFS and FIB-4 showed a significant relationship with the CVD mortality after adjustment for covariates. In addition, the NFS and FIB-4 were more predictive of overall mortality than the APRI and BARD score in Korean adults aged ≥50 years.

Sociodemographic and medical characteristics of liver cirrhosis deaths in a Ghanaian tertiary hospital

Objective

Cirrhosis is common in Ghana because of its high risk factors prevalence. However, information on cirrhosis in Ghana is lacking. This study aimed to study the clinical, and laboratory characteristics of cirrhotic patients in a tertiary hospital in Ghana.

Design

This was a retrospective study of sociodemographic characteristics, symptoms and signs, biochemical and fibrotic indices, treatments, and complications data of 247 patients with cirrhosis who died on admission.

Setting

This study was carried out at the Gastroenterology Unit of the Korle-Bu Teaching Hospital, Ghana.

Results

Two-thirds (68.0%) of the patients were within 30 to 60 years, with more than half (73.7%) being males. The most common aetiological factors among the patients were Hepatitis B virus infection (53.8%), alcohol use (31.6%) and Hepatitis C virus infection (4.9%). More than half (55.0%) of the patients reported late for admission, and 67.2% died within the first two weeks of admission. The most common clinical feature was abdominal distension (61.1% of patients), and the least was upper-abdominal mass (14.2%). The levels of most liver test parameters were elevated, fibrotic indices were high, and haemoglobin and albumin levels were reduced. More than half (53.8%) of the patients were in Child Pugh class B. The most common complication was hepatic encephalopathy; the least was hepato-renal syndrome. Definite treatment for complications of cirrhosis was lacking.

Conclusion

Deaths from cirrhosis at the hospital were mostly of young males with chronic hepatitis B infection. Implementation of hepatitis B prevention and treatment guidelines can help reduce cirrhosis deaths.

Funding

None declared.

Liver Fibrosis Marker and Postoperative Mortality in Patients Without Overt Liver Disease

BACKGROUND

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) can progress to advanced fibrosis, which, in the nonsurgical population, is associated with poor hepatic and extrahepatic outcomes. Despite its high prevalence, NAFLD and related liver fibrosis may be overlooked during the preoperative evaluation, and the role of liver fibrosis as an independent risk factor for surgical-related mortality has yet to be tested. The aim of this study was to assess whether fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), which consists of age, aspartate aminotransferase (AST), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), and platelets, a validated marker of liver fibrosis, is associated with postoperative mortality in the general surgical population.

METHODS

A historical cohort of patients undergoing general anesthesia at an academic medical center between 2014 and 2018 was analyzed. Exclusion criteria included known liver disease, acute liver disease or hepatic failure, and alcohol use disorder. FIB-4 score was categorized into 3 validated predefined categories: FIB-4 ≤1.3, ruling out advanced fibrosis; >1.3 and <2.67, inconclusive; and ≥2.67, suggesting advanced fibrosis. The primary analytic method was propensity score matching (FIB-4 was dichotomized to indicate advanced fibrosis), and a secondary analysis included a multivariable logistic regression.

RESULTS

Of 19,861 included subjects, 1995 (10%) had advanced fibrosis per FIB-4 criteria. Mortality occurred intraoperatively in 15 patients (0.1%), during hospitalization in 272 patients (1.4%), and within 30 days of surgery in 417 patients (2.1%). FIB-4 ≥2.67 was associated with increased intraoperative mortality (odds ratio [OR], 3.63; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.25-10.58), mortality during hospitalization (OR, 3.14; 95% CI, 2.37-4.16), and within 30 days from surgery (OR, 2.46; 95% CI, 1.95-3.10), after adjusting for other risk factors. FIB-4 was related to increased mortality in a dose-dependent manner for the 3 FIB-4 categories ≤1.3 (reference), >1.3 and <2.67, and ≥2.67, respectively; during hospitalization (OR, 1.89; 95% CI, 1.34-2.65 and OR, 4.70; 95% CI, 3.27-6.76) and within 30 days from surgery (OR, 1.77; 95% CI, 1.36-2.31 and OR, 3.55; 95% CI, 2.65-4.77). In a 1:1 propensity-matched sample (N = 1994 per group), the differences in mortality remained. Comparing the FIB-4 ≥2.67 versus the FIB-4 <2.67 groups, respectively, mortality during hospitalization was 5.1% vs 2.2% (OR, 2.70; 95% CI, 1.81-4.02), and 30-day mortality was 6.6% vs 3.4% (OR, 2.26; 95% CI, 1.62-3.14).

CONCLUSIONS

A simple liver fibrosis marker is strongly associated with perioperative mortality in a population without apparent liver disease, and may aid in future surgical risk stratification and preoperative optimization.

The impact of body mass index on clinicopathological features of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease in Taiwan

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The aim of this study was to assess the impact of body mass index (BMI) on the clinical and histological characteristics of patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD).

METHODS

Patients with clinically diagnosed NAFLD who received liver biopsy were retrospectively enrolled from 2007 to 2019. For comparison, all of the patients were divided into lean body mass (< 23 kg/m² ), overweight (23-24.9 kg/m² ), and obesity (BMI ≧ 25 kg/m² ).

RESULTS

A total of 572 patients with histologically confirmed NAFLD, including 40 (6.99%) lean body mass, 54 (9.44%) overweight, and 478 (83.57%) obese patients, were recruited. Obese NAFLD patients had significantly higher grade of steatosis (grade 3: 29.92% vs 22.22% vs 12.5%, P < 0.0001) and hepatocyte ballooning (grade 2: 14.85% vs 12.96% vs 12.5%, P < 0.0001) than overweight and lean NAFLD patients. The prevalence of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) was 22.5%, 25.93%, and 36.19% in lean, overweight, and obese NAFLD patients, respectively. Obesity was significantly associated with fibrosis severity (P = 0.03). The fibrosis index based on four factors (FIB-4) score can identify NAFLD patients without significant fibrosis or with cirrhosis. The areas under the receiver-operating characteristic curve of FIB-4 score to identify patients without significant fibrosis or with cirrhosis were 0.82 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.69-0.96) and 0.87 (95% CI: 0.76-0.99) in lean patients; 0.77 (95% CI: 0.61-0.93) and 0.81 (95% CI: 0.59-1.0) in overweight patients; and 0.77 (95% CI: 0.72-0.82) and 0.89 (95% CI: 0.85-0.92) in obese patients.

CONCLUSIONS

The majority of NAFLD patients are obese, as defined by BMI. Obesity was significantly associated with NASH and hepatic fibrosis severity in patients with NAFLD.

Impact of liver fibrosis score on the incidence of stroke: A cohort study

PURPOSE

The purpose was to explore the value of liver fibrosis scores (fibrosis-4, BAAT score and BARD score) for incidence risk of stroke in a cohort study.

METHODS

A total of 9088 participants without stroke history enrolled the follow-up. Three liver fibrosis scores (LFSs) including FIB-4, BARD score and BAAT score were adopted. The end point was stroke. Cox regression analysis was used to calculate hazard ratios and 95% confidence interval. Kaplan-Meier curve was used to show the probability of stoke in different levels of LFSs. Subgroup analysis showed the association between LFSs and stroke under different stratification. Restricted cubic spline could further explore whether there is a linear relationship between LFSs and stroke. Finally, we used C-statistics, Net Reclassification Index (NRI) and Integrated Discrimination Improvement (IDI) to assess the discriminatory power of each LFS for stroke.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up time of 4.66 years, 272 participants had a stroke. Through the baseline characteristics, we observed that the stroke incidence population tends to be male and older. It was shown by Kaplan-Meier that three LFSs were associated with stroke and high levels of LFSs significantly increase the probability of stroke. In the univariate Cox regression analysis, the HR of stroke risk was 6.04 (4.14-8.18) in FIB-4, 2.10 (1.45-3.04) in BAAT score and 1.81 (1.38-2.38) in BARD score by comparing the high level with the low level at each LFSs. The adjusted HRs for three LFSs were 2.05 (1.33-3.15) in FIB-4, 1.61 (1.10-2.35) in BAAT score and 1.54 (1.17-2.04) in BARD score by comparing the high group with low group. We found that multivariable-adjusted HRs of three LFSs still increased for stroke when stratified by various factors in subgroup analysis. Moreover, after adding LFSs to original risk prediction model which consist of age, sex, drinking, smoking, hypertension, diabetes, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, total cholesterol and triglycerides, we found that new models have higher C-statistics of stroke. Furthermore, we calculated Net Reclassification Index (NRI) and Integrated Discrimination Improvement (IDI) to show the ability of LFSs to predict stroke.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study showed that three LFSs were associated with stroke amongst middle-aged populations in rural areas of Northeast China. Furthermore, it suggests that LFSs can be used as a risk stratification tool to predict stroke.

Prepandemic Prevalence Estimates of Fatty Liver Disease and Fibrosis Defined by Liver Elastography in the United States

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Fatty liver disease is a growing public health burden. We estimated prepandemic fatty liver disease prevalence determined by transient elastography-assessed hepatic steatosis and fibrosis, and examined associations with lifestyle and other factors in a United States population sample.

METHODS

Liver stiffness and controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) were assessed on 7923 non-Hispanic white, non-Hispanic black, non-Hispanic Asian, and Hispanic men and women aged 20 years and over in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2017-March 2020 prepandemic data.

RESULTS

The prevalence of fatty liver disease (CAP > 300 dB/m) was 28.8% and of fibrosis (liver stiffness > 8 kPa) was 10.4%. Only 7.2% of participants with fatty liver disease and 10.9% with fibrosis reported being told by a health care provider that they had liver disease. In addition to known risk factors such as metabolic factors and ALT, persons with fatty liver disease were less likely to meet physical activity guidelines, more likely to be sedentary for ≥ 12 h a day, and reported a less healthy diet. Persons with fibrosis were less likely to have a college degree and reported a less healthy diet.

CONCLUSIONS

In the U.S. population, most persons with fatty liver disease are unaware of their condition. Physical activity and dietary modifications might reduce the fatty liver disease burden. There is an urgent need for fatty liver disease management in high-risk individuals using transient elastography or other noninvasive methods to intervene in disease progression.

Liver fibrosis scores and atrial fibrillation incidence in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction

AIM

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)-related advanced liver fibrosis (Stage 3 or 4) was reported to be linked to worse prognosis in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). This study aims to assess the relationship between liver fibrosis scores and new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) incidence in patients with HFpEF in the Treatment of Preserved Cardiac Function Heart Failure with an Aldosterone Antagonist (TOPCAT) trial.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Baseline liver fibrosis levels, assessed by NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) or Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4), with AF incidence were expressed as hazard ratios (HRs) using the Cox proportional hazard model. The risk for advanced fibrosis was estimated to be 21.5% (447/2072) as assessed by FIB-4 (>3.25) and 4.2% (88/2072) as assessed by NFS (>0.676) in HFpEF patients without baseline AF. After a median follow-up of 3.11 years, 106 new-onset AF cases occurred. In multivariate analysis, elevated NFS [NFS = -1.455-0.676: HR 2.44, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.27-4.68; NFS > 0.676: HR 3.36, 95% CI 1.27-6.80; per 1 unit increase: HR 1.15, 95% CI 1.01-1.32], not FIB-4 (FIB-4 = 1.45-3.25: HR 1.02, 95% CI 0.67-1.55; FIB-4 > 3.25: HR 1.69, 95% CI 0.76-3.79; per 1 unit increase: HR 1.13, 95% CI 0.93-1.37), was associated with increased AF incidence. The NFS (C-index 0.662), not FIB-4 (C-index 0.531), had a moderate predictive ability in predicting incident AF.

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with HFpEF, the risk of advanced liver fibrosis is associated with an increased incidence of new-onset AF and may be a novel predictor for new-onset AF. Additional studies are needed to confirm our results.

Psychometric properties of the German version of the Psychological Consequences of Screening Questionnaire (PCQ) for liver diseases

Background

This study aimed to translate the negative and positive items of the Psychological Consequences Questionnaire (PCQ) into German, to adapt this version to the context of screening for cirrhosis and fibrosis of the liver, and to test its psychometric properties.

Materials and methods

The three subscales (physical, emotional, and social) were translated into German using a forward-backward translation method. Furthermore, we adapted the wording to the context of liver diseases. In sum, the PCQ comprises twelve negative items and ten positive items. We tested the acceptability, distribution properties, internal consistency, scale structure, and the convergent validity using an analysis sample of 443 patients who were screened for cirrhosis or fibrosis of the liver.

Results

We found low non-response and non-unique answer rates on the PCQ items in general. However, positive items had higher non-response rates. All items showed strong floor effects. McDonald’s Omega was high for both the negative (ω = 0.95) and the positive PCQ scale (ω = 0.90), as well as for the total PCQ scale (ω = 0.86). Confirmatory factor analysis could reproduce the three dimensions that the PCQ intends to measure. However, it suggests not summing up a total PCQ score and instead treat the subscales separately considering a higher order overall construct. Convergent validity with the short form of the Spielberger State-Trait Anxiety Inventory (STAI-Y-6) was acceptable.

Conclusion

Overall, our study results report a successful adaptation of the German PCQ with good performance in terms of acceptability, internal consistency, scale structure, and convergent validity. Floor-effects limit the content validity of the PCQ, which needs to be addressed in future research. However, the German version of the PCQ is a useful measurement for both negative and positive screening consequences - even in a non-cancer setting.

Noninvasive Algorithms for the Case Finding of "At-Risk" Patients with NAFLD

Despite the high prevalence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in primary care (25%), only a small minority (< 5%) of NAFLD patients will develop advanced liver fibrosis. The challenge is to identify these patients, who are at the greatest risk of developing complications and need to be referred to liver clinics for specialized management. The focus should change from patients with abnormal liver tests toward patients "at risk of NAFLD," namely those with metabolic risk factors, such as obesity and type 2 diabetes. Non-invasive tests are well validated for diagnosing advanced fibrosis. Algorithms using FIB-4 as the first-line test, followed, if positive (≥ 1.3), by transient elastography or a patented blood test are the best strategy to define pathways for "at-risk" NAFLD patients from primary care to liver clinics. Involving general practitioners actively and raising their awareness regarding NAFLD and non-invasive tests are critical to establish such pathways.

The Role of Macrophages in Liver Fibrosis: New Therapeutic Opportunities

Chronic inflammation is the hallmark of fibrotic disorders and is characterized by the activation of immune cells in the damaged tissues. Macrophages have emerged as central players in the fibrotic process since they initiate, sustain and amplify the inflammatory reaction. As regards the liver, distinct populations of phagocytic cells, like Kupffer cells and monocyte-derived macrophages, are indisputably key cells implicated in the pathogenesis of several chronic liver diseases. In this review, we summarize the current knowledge on the origin, role and functions of macrophages in fibrotic conditions, with a specific focus on liver fibrosis; then, we discuss some innovative therapeutic strategies targeting macrophages in fibrotic liver diseases.

Breakthroughs in therapies for NASH and remaining challenges

Initially a condition that received limited recognition and whose clinical impact was controversial, non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) has become a leading cause of chronic liver disease. Although there are no approved therapies, major breakthroughs, which will be reviewed here, have paved the way for future therapeutic successes. The unmet medical need in NASH is no longer disputed, and progress in the understanding of its pathogenesis has resulted in the identification of many pharmacological targets. Key surrogate outcomes for therapeutic trials are now accepted by regulatory agencies, thus creating a path for drug registration. A set of non-invasive measurements enabled early-stage trials to be conducted expeditiously, thus providing early indications on the biological and possibly clinical actions of therapeutic candidates. This generated efficacy results for a number of highly promising compounds that are now in late-stage development. Intense research aimed at further improving the assessment of histological endpoints and in developing non-invasive predictive biomarkers is underway. This will help improve the design and feasibility of successful trials, ultimately providing patients with therapeutic options that can change the course of the disease.

Retrospective Evaluation of Non-Invasive Assessment Based on Routine Laboratory Markers for Assessing Advanced Liver Fibrosis in Chronic Hepatitis B Patients

Background

At present, there is a lack of cheap, effective and convenient detection methods for hepatitis B-related liver fibrosis, especially in the developing area.

Aim

To evaluate the non-invasive methods for the significant and advanced fibrosis stage in chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) patients in basic hospitals and to assess their diagnostic utility.

Methods

The study included 436 consecutive naive HBV individuals who had their livers biopsied. They were examined in one week using aspartate aminotransferase-to-aspartate aminotransferase ratio (AAR), age-platelet index (API), aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), Forns, gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-platelet ratio (GPR), S-index and transient elastography (TE). Scheuer scoring system was used to determine the histologic fibrosis grades (S0–S4). The diagnostic effectiveness was assessed using AUROCs and the DeLong test, both of which were based on statistical comparisons.

Results

For both substantial (≧S2) and advanced (≧S3) fibrosis phases, TE had good diagnostic performance in determining the hepatic fibrosis. Similar diagnostic performance was shown with Forns and S-index when it came to detecting fibrosis stages lower than S3. One model’s diagnostic value was not significantly improved by combining serum models. Correlation coefficients between clinical features and fibrosis phases were greatest for Forns (r = 0.397), S-index (r = 0.382) and TE (r = 0.535) when compared to other variables.

Conclusion

This investigation showed that Forns and S-index may be helpful strategies for detecting advanced fibrosis in HBV patients admitted to community hospitals.

American Association of Clinical Endocrinology Clinical Practice Guideline for the Diagnosis and Management of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease in Primary Care and Endocrinology Clinical Settings: Co-Sponsored by the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases (AASLD)

OBJECTIVE

To provide evidence-based recommendations regarding the diagnosis and management of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) to endocrinologists, primary care clinicians, health care professionals, and other stakeholders.

METHODS

The American Association of Clinical Endocrinology conducted literature searches for relevant articles published from January 1, 2010, to November 15, 2021. A task force of medical experts developed evidence-based guideline recommendations based on a review of clinical evidence, expertise, and informal consensus, according to established American Association of Clinical Endocrinology protocol for guideline development.

RECOMMENDATION SUMMARY

This guideline includes 34 evidence-based clinical practice recommendations for the diagnosis and management of persons with NAFLD and/or NASH and contains 385 citations that inform the evidence base.

CONCLUSION

NAFLD is a major public health problem that will only worsen in the future, as it is closely linked to the epidemics of obesity and type 2 diabetes mellitus. Given this link, endocrinologists and primary care physicians are in an ideal position to identify persons at risk on to prevent the development of cirrhosis and comorbidities. While no U.S. Food and Drug Administration-approved medications to treat NAFLD are currently available, management can include lifestyle changes that promote an energy deficit leading to weight loss; consideration of weight loss medications, particularly glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists; and bariatric surgery, for persons who have obesity, as well as some diabetes medications, such as pioglitazone and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists, for those with type 2 diabetes mellitus and NASH. Management should also promote cardiometabolic health and reduce the increased cardiovascular risk associated with this complex disease.

Circulating cell-specific extracellular vesicles as biomarkers for the diagnosis and monitoring of chronic liver diseases

Chronic liver diseases represent a burgeoning health problem affecting billions of people worldwide. The insufficient performance of current minimally invasive tools is recognised as a significant barrier to the clinical management of these conditions. Extracellular vesicles (EVs) have emerged as a rich source of circulating biomarkers closely linked to pathological processes in originating tissues. Here, we summarise the contribution of EVs to normal liver function and to chronic liver pathologies; and explore the use of circulating EV biomarkers, with a particular focus on techniques to isolate and analyse cell- or tissue-specific EVs. Such approaches present a novel strategy to inform disease status and monitor changes in response to treatment in a minimally invasive manner. Emerging technologies that support the selective isolation and analysis of circulating EVs derived only from hepatic cells, have driven recent advancements in EV-based biomarker platforms for chronic liver diseases and show promise to bring these techniques to clinical settings.

A global view of the interplay between non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and diabetes

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has become an epidemic, much like other non-communicable diseases (NCDs), such as cancer, obesity, diabetes, and cardiovascular disease. The pathophysiology of NAFLD, particularly involving insulin resistance and subclinical inflammation, is not only closely linked to that of those NCDs but also to a severe course of the communicable disease COVID-19. Genetics alone cannot explain the large increase in the prevalence of NAFLD during the past 2 decades and the increase that is projected for the next decades. Impairment of glucose and lipid metabolic pathways, which has been propelled by the worldwide increase in the prevalence of obesity and type 2 diabetes, is most likely behind the increase in people with NAFLD. As the prevalence of NAFLD varies among subgroups of patients with diabetes and prediabetes identified by cluster analyses, stratification of people with diabetes and prediabetes by major pathological mechanistic pathways might improve the diagnosis of NAFLD and prediction of its progression. In this Review, we aim to understand how diabetes can affect the development of hepatic steatosis and its progression to advanced liver damage. First, we emphasise the extent to which NAFLD and diabetes jointly occur worldwide. Second, we address the major mechanisms that are involved in the pathogenesis of NAFLD and type 2 diabetes, and we discuss whether these mechanisms place NAFLD in an important position to better understand the pathogenesis of NCDs and communicable diseases, such as COVID-19. Third, we address whether this knowledge can be used for personalised treatment of NAFLD in the future. Finally, we discuss the current treatment strategies for people with type 2 diabetes and their effectiveness in treating the spectrum of hepatic diseases from simple steatosis to non-alcoholic steatohepatitis and hepatic fibrosis.

Increased Oxygen Desaturation Time During Sleep Is a Risk Factor for NASH in Patients With Obstructive Sleep Apnea: A Prospective Cohort Study

Introduction

Given that obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) is commonly associated with metabolic disorders, in this prospective study, we sought to determine the prevalence and risk factors for hepatosteatosis, non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), and advanced liver fibrosis in patients with clinical and polygraphic criteria of OSA (n = 153) and in subjects with normal lung function parameters (NLP, n = 43).

Methods

Hepatosteatosis, NASH, and advanced liver fibrosis were determined by blood-based non-invasive tools, such as the fatty liver index and the hepatic steatosis index, a serum lipidomic (OWLiver™) test, and three distinct fibrosis algorithms, respectively. Logistic regression models adjusted by potential confounders were performed to evaluate risk factors.

Results

Insulin resistance and dyslipidemia were more frequent in patients with OSA than in subjects with NLP. The prevalence of hepatosteatosis was significantly higher in patients with OSA than in subjects with NLP. NASH was also found more frequently in patients with OSA than in subjects with NLP. In contrast, advanced liver fibrosis was rarely detected in the entire study population, and no significant differences were observed between patients with OSA and subjects with NLP. Besides male gender, increased body mass index (BMI), and presence of type 2 diabetes, percentage of sleep time with oxygen saturation <90% (Tc90%) was the only polygraphic variable significantly associated with NASH in patients with OSA.

Conclusions

This study shows that hepatosteatosis and NASH are highly prevalent in patients with OSA and indicates that those with a Tc90% higher than 10% are at increased risk for NASH.

A Polygenic Risk Score to Refine Risk Stratification and Prediction for Severe Liver Disease by Clinical Fibrosis Scores

BACKGROUND & AIMS

A polygenic risk score based on well-known genetic variants in PNPLA3, TM6SF2, MBOAT7, and GCKR predicts hepatic fat content (polygenic risk score-hepatic fat content [PRS-HFC]). Here, we hypothesized that the addition of PRS-HFC to clinical fibrosis scores may improve risk stratification and prediction of severe liver disease (SLD).

METHODS

We used data from 266,687 individuals in the UK Biobank, evaluating the incidence of cirrhosis, decompensated liver disease, hepatocellular carcinoma, and/or liver transplantation during a median follow-up period of 9 years. Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score, Fibrosis-4, aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio, BARD, and Forns scores, and PRS-HFC, were computed. All analyses were stratified according to the presence of diabetes, obesity, and a positive fatty liver index (≥60).

RESULTS

Unfavorable genetics (PRS-HFC, ≥0.396) further stratified the risk of SLD in subjects in intermediate-/high-risk classes of fibrosis scores, with a higher effect in those with metabolic risk factors, and the prediction was improved by integrating PRS-HFC (areas under the receiver operating characteristic increased for all scores with a P value of approximately 10^-2 to 10^-4, except for the aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio in the overall population and in subjects with obesity). PRS-HFC improved diagnostic accuracies and positive predictive values for SLD in intermediate-high clinical score risk classes. Risk stratification and prediction were not affected or were poorly affected by unfavorable genetics in subjects without metabolic risk factors.

CONCLUSIONS

Integration of genetics with clinical fibrosis scores refines individual risk and prediction for SLD, mainly in individuals at risk for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. These data provide evidence from a prospective cohort that common genetic variants capture additional prognostic insights not conveyed by validated clinical/biochemical parameters.

Weight Change and the Development of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease in Metabolically Healthy Overweight Individuals

INTRODUCTION

The study sought to investigate the effect of weight change on hepatic steatosis (HS) incidence with or without liver fibrosis in metabolically healthy overweight or obese individuals.

METHODS

A cohort of 14,779 metabolically healthy men and women who were overweight or obese (body mass index ≥23 kg/m²) and free from HS and an intermediate or high probability of fibrosis at baseline were followed for a median of 5.2 years. Metabolic health was defined as freedom from the components of metabolic syndrome and a homeostatic model assessment of insulin resistance <2.5. Weight changes were calculated as differences from baseline at the next subsequent visit. The outcome was HS incidence, with or without liver fibrosis, as assessed by liver ultrasound and 2 noninvasive fibrosis scores.

RESULTS

During 76,794.6 person-years of follow-up, 3539 cases of HS incidence were identified. The multivariable adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) for HS incidence by weight change group, <-5.0%, -5.0%-1.0%, 1.0%-5.0%, and >5.0%, relative to the no weight change group (-0.9% to 0.9%) were 0.52 (0.44-0.60), 0.83 (0.75-0.92), 1.21 (1.10-1.33), and 1.51 (1.36-1.69), respectively. Clinically relevant weight loss of >5% was also associated with a lowered risk of HS with intermediate or high probability of advanced fibrosis. In mediation analyses, associations remained significant, although adjustment for metabolic risk factors was attenuating.

DISCUSSION

Clinically relevant weight loss was associated with a reduced risk of developing nonalcoholic fatty liver disease with or without intermediate or high probability of advanced fibrosis in metabolically healthy overweight or obese individuals.

Associations of liver volume and other markers of hepatic steatosis with all-cause mortality in the general population

AIMS

We examined the associations between liver volume and other quantitative and qualitative markers of hepatic steatosis with all-cause mortality in the general population.

METHODS

We included 2769 German middle-aged individuals with a median follow-up of 8.9 years (23,898 person-years). Quantitative markers used were serum liver enzymes and FIB-4 score, while qualitative markers of hepatic steatosis included magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) measurements of liver fat content and total liver volume. Cox proportional hazards models, adjusted for confounding factors, were undertaken to investigate the associations of liver volume and other markers of hepatic steatosis with all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

A larger MRI-assessed liver volume was associated with a nearly three-fold increased risk of all-cause mortality (Hazard Ratio = 3.16; 95% confidence interval 1.88; 5.30), independent of age, sex, body mass index, food frequency score, alcohol consumption and education level. This association was consistent in all subgroups considered (men vs. women; presence or absence of overweight/obesity, metabolic syndrome or diabetes). Higher serum liver enzyme levels and FIB-4 score were also significantly associated with higher all-cause mortality in the total population and in all subgroups. No independent associations were found between other quantitative and qualitative markers of hepatic steatosis and the risk of all-cause mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

We showed for the first time that larger liver volume was associated with a three-fold increase in long-term risk of all-cause mortality. This association remained significant after adjustment for age, sex, alcohol consumption, obesity and other coexisting metabolic disorders.

Advances in fibrosis biomarkers in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) affects a quarter of the adult world population and the degree of liver fibrosis represents the best predictor of the development of liver-related outcomes. Easily applicable and well performing non-invasive fibrosis tests can overcome the limitations of liver biopsy and are of paramount importance to identify at-risk subjects in clinical practice. While tests with optimal performance and ease of use do not exist at this stage, available markers can be divided in three broad groups: simple serum tests, complex serum tests and elastographic methods. Simple scores (such as Fibrosis-4 and NAFLD Fibrosis Score) are based on readily available biochemical data and clinical features, while complex/proprietary tests (such as Fibrotest, Enhanced Liver Fibrosis and Hepascore) directly measure markers of fibrogenesis and fibrolysis, but have higher costs. Elastography techniques estimate the degree of fibrosis from liver stiffness and are based on either ultrasound or magnetic resonance (MR) imaging. MR elastography has better performance compared with sonographic techniques and is not affected by obesity and inflammation, but is highly costly and less available. In general, non-invasive tests are able to exclude the presence of fibrosis, but their positive predictive value is low to moderate and they lead to a high number of indeterminate results. In this context, a combination of different tests might increase accuracy while reducing gray-zone results. Their ability to predict future events and response to treatment is suboptimal and needs to be studied further. Finally, recent studies have tried different approaches, spanning from "omics" to the microbiome and micro-RNAs, with some promising results.

NAFLD fibrosis score is correlated with PCSK9 and improves outcome prediction of PCSK9 in patients with chest pain: a cohort study

Background

The risk of liver fibrosis in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) can be easily evaluated by noninvasive scoring systems, of which the NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) is the most commonly used. Proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 (PCSK9), a new predictor of cardiovascular events, has been reported to be associated with cardiovascular outcomes and NAFLD. However, the relationship of NFS with PCSK9 and their prognostic abilities in cardiovascular risks are unknown.

Methods

A total of 2008 hospitalized subjects who had chest pain without lipid-lowering therapy were consecutively included. Baseline clinical data were collected, and the NFS was calculated. The circulating PCSK9 concentration was determined by enzyme immunoassay. The major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE) occurrences were recorded in the follow-up period. Associations of PCSK9 concentration with NFS were examined. All of the participants were categorized into three groups according to NFS levels and were further stratified by PCSK9 tertiles to evaluate the MACEs.

Results

158 (7.87%) MACEs were observed during a mean of 3.2 years of follow-up. NFS levels were independently related to higher PCSK9 levels according to multivariable linear regression analysis. Furthermore, elevated PCSK9 and NFS concentrations were respectively associated with increased MACE incidence in multivariable Cox regression models. When combining NFS status with PCSK9 tertiles as a stratifying factor, patients with intermediate-high NFS and high PCSK9 levels had higher risks of events than those with low NFS and low PCSK9 levels.

Conclusions

This study revealed for the first time that NFS is positively related to PCSK9 and that the combination of NFS and PCSK9 greatly increased the risk of MACEs in patients with chest pain, providing a potential link between NFS and PCSK9 for predicting cardiovascular events.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12944-021-01610-w.

Association between use of liraglutide and liver fibrosis in patients with type 2 diabetes

OBJECTIVE

Patients with type 2 diabetes have a high risk of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and related liver fibrosis. Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) have demonstrated efficacy in improving NAFLD, while their effectiveness on liver fibrosis is limited in type 2 diabetic patients.

MATERIALS/METHODS

A prospective cohort study was performed in type 2 diabetic patients. The study subjects were divided into two groups based on the use of liraglutide or not, and propensity score matching (PSM) was also conducted. After 12 months follow-up, liver fibrosis was assessed by NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), and liver stiffness measurement (LSM). The association between liraglutide use and liver fibrosis was analyzed by multivariable linear regression.

RESULTS

In the current study, a total of 1,765 type 2 diabetic patients were enrolled. 262 patients were liraglutide user and 1,503 were nouser. After 12 months follow-up, liraglutide use tended to be associated with reduced prevalence of advanced fibrosis (3.1% vs. 6.1%, P = 0.218). After adjustment for confounding factors, multivariable linear regression revealed that liraglutide use was negatively associated with decreased NFS (β= -0.34, P = 0.043), FIB4 (β= -0.26, P = 0.044) and LSM (β= -4.95, P = 0.007) in type 2 diabetics. The results after PSM were similar to those before PSM.

CONCLUSIONS

Liraglutide treatment is associated with decreased liver fibrosis in type 2 diabetic subjects.

Best Practices in Large Database Clinical Epidemiology Research in Hepatology: Barriers and Opportunities

With advances in computing and information technology, large health care research databases are becoming increasingly accessible to investigators across the world. These rich, population-level data sources can serve many purposes, such as to generate "real-world evidence," to enhance disease phenotyping, or to identify unmet clinical needs, among others. This is of particular relevance to the study of patients with end-stage liver disease (ESLD), a socioeconomically and clinically heterogeneous population that is frequently under-represented in clinical trials. This review describes the recommended "best practices" in the execution, reporting, and interpretation of large database clinical epidemiology research in hepatology. The advantages and limitations of selected data sources are reviewed, as well as important concepts on data linkages. The appropriate classification of exposures and outcomes is addressed, and the strategies needed to overcome limitations of the data and minimize bias are explained as they pertain to patients with ESLD and/or liver transplantation (LT) recipients. Lastly, selected statistical concepts are reviewed, from model building to analytic decision making and hypothesis testing. The purpose of this review is to provide the practical insights and knowledge needed to ensure successful and impactful research using large clinical databases in the modern era and advance the study of ESLD and LT.

Liver Fibrosis Scores and Hospitalization, Mechanical Ventilation, Severity, and Death in Patients with COVID-19: A Systematic Review and Dose-Response Meta-Analysis

Methods

We identified relevant cohort studies that assessed the relationship between liver fibrosis scores (e.g., FIB-4, NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS), and aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI)) and associated prognosis outcomes by searching the PubMed, EMBASE, and medRxiv databases. The potential dose-response effect was performed using a stage robust error meta-regression.

Results

Sixteen studies with 8,736 hospitalized patients with COVID-19 were included. One-point score in FIB-4 increase was significantly associated with increased mechanical ventilation (RR: 2.23, 95% CI: 1.37-3.65, P=0.001), severe COVID-19 (RR: 1.82, 95% CI: 1.53-2.16, P < 0.001), and death (RR: 1.47, 95% CI: 1.31-1.65, P < 0.001), rather than hospitalization (RR: 1.35, 95% CI: 0.72-2.56, P=0.35). Furthermore, there is a significant positive linear relationship between FIB-4 and severe COVID-19 (P _nonlinearity=0.12) and mortality (P _nonlinearity=0.18). Regarding other liver scores, one unit elevation in APRI increased the risk of death by 178% (RR: 2.78, 95% CI: 1.10-6.99, P=0.03). Higher NFS (≥-1.5) and Forns index were associated with increased risk of severe COVID-19 and COVID-19-associated death.

Conclusion

Our dose-response meta-analysis suggests high liver fibrosis scores are associated with worse prognosis in patients with COVID-19. For patients with COVID-19 at admission, especially for those with coexisting chronic liver diseases, assessment of liver fibrosis scores might be useful for identifying high risk of developing severe COVID-19 cases and worse outcomes.

Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease, Liver Fibrosis, and Regional Amyloid-β and Tau Pathology in Middle-Aged Adults: The Framingham Study

BACKGROUND

Liver steatosis and fibrosis are emerging as risk factors for multiple extrahepatic health conditions; however, their relationship with Alzheimer's disease pathology is unclear.

OBJECTIVE

To examine whether non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and FIB-4, a non-invasive index of advanced fibrosis, are associated with brain amyloid-β (Aβ) and tau pathology.

METHODS

The study sample included Framingham Study participants from the Offspring and Third generation cohorts who attended exams 9 (2011-2014) and 2 (2008-2011), respectively. Participants underwent 11C-Pittsburgh Compound-B amyloid and 18F-Flortaucipir tau positron emission tomography (PET) imaging and abdomen computed tomography, or had information on all components of the FIB-4 index. Linear regression models were used to assess the relationship of NAFLD and FIB-4 with regional tau and Aβ, adjusting for potential confounders and multiple comparisons.

RESULTS

Of the subsample with NAFLD information (N = 169; mean age 52±9 y; 57% males), 57 (34%) had NAFLD. Of the subsample with information on liver fibrosis (N = 177; mean age 50±10 y; 51% males), 34 (19%) had advanced fibrosis (FIB-4 > 1.3). Prevalent NAFLD was not associated with Aβ or tau PET. However, FIB-4 index was significantly associated with increased rhinal tau (β= 1.03±0.33, p = 0.002). Among individuals with prevalent NAFLD, FIB-4 was related to inferior temporal, parahippocampal gyrus, entorhinal and rhinal tau (β= 2.01±0.47, p < 0.001; β= 1.60±0.53, p = 0.007, and β= 1.59±0.47, p = 0.003 and β= 1.60±0.42, p = 0.001, respectively) and to Aβ deposition overall and in the inferior temporal and parahippocampal regions (β= 1.93±0.47, p < 0.001; β= 1.59±0.38, p < 0.001, and β= 1.52±0.54, p = 0.008, respectively).

CONCLUSION

This study suggests a possible association between liver fibrosis and early Alzheimer's disease pathology, independently of cardio-metabolic risk factors.

Non-invasive assessment of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) affects an estimated one-quarter of the global adult population and has become one of the leading causes of end-stage liver disease and hepatocellular carcinoma with increased liver-related and overall morbidity and mortality. The new term, metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD), has a set of positive diagnostic criteria and has been shown to have better clinical utility, but it has yet to be universally adopted. This review addresses the non-invasive tests for MAFLD and is based mostly on studies on NAFLD patients, as the MAFLD term is relatively new and there are limited studies on non-invasive tests based on this new term, while a large body of research work on non-invasive tests has accumulated in the literature for NAFLD. This review focuses on blood-based biomarkers and scores for the assessment of hepatic steatosis, non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), and fibrosis, and two of the most widely studied imaging biomarkers, namely vibration-controlled transient elastography and magnetic resonance imaging. Fibrotic NASH has become a diagnostic target of interest and novel serum biomarkers and scores incorporating imaging biomarker for diagnosis of fibrotic NASH are emerging. Nonetheless, the degree of liver fibrosis remains the key predictor of liver-related morbidity and mortality in patients with MAFLD. A multitude of non-invasive biomarkers and scores have been studied for the detection of liver fibrosis, including use of sequential non-invasive tests for risk stratification of advanced liver fibrosis. In addition, this review will explore the utility of the non-invasive tests for prognostication and for monitoring of treatment response.

Association between the liver fat score (LFS) and cardiovascular diseases in the national health and nutrition examination survey 1999-2016

BACKGROUND

The liver fat score (LFS) has been proposed to be a simple non-invasive marker of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), which is highly prevalent in the general population. We tested its association with cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) and prognosis.

METHODS

17,244 adult participants from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 1999-2016 were included. LFS is calculated from variables including serum aspartate transaminase/alanine transaminase (AST/ALT) ratio, fasting serum aspartate transaminase (AST) level, fasting serum insulin level, presence of metabolic syndrome and diabetes mellitus. In cross-sectional analysis, logistic regression was used to examine the association of the LFS with coronary heart disease (CHD), myocardial infarction (MI), congestive heart failure (CHF), stroke and angina pectoris. Mortality during follow-up was analysed using Cox proportional hazard regression.

RESULTS

LFS was associated with CHD (adjusted odds ratio [OR]: 1.09 per standard deviation [SD], 95% confidence interval [95% CI]: 1.03-1.15) (p = .003), CHF (1.11, 1.04-1.18) (p = .003) and angina pectoris (1.08, 1.02-1.13) (p = .005). LFS was not associated with MI or stroke, but was associated with increased all-cause and cardiovascular mortality with hazard ratios (HRs) of 1.10 (95% CI: 1.07-1.13) (p < .001) and 1.12 (95% CI: 1.06-1.17) (p < .001), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

NAFLD is usually asymptomatic, but this large study of a large general population shows that LFS is associated with CHD, CHF, angina pectoris, cardiovascular and all-cause mortality. Determining the LFS is worthwhile, as it identifies people with NAFLD, who may also be at increased cardiovascular risk.Key MessagesLiver fat score (LFS), a non-invasive marker of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), is associated with coronary heart disease (CHD), congestive heart failure (CHF) and angina.LFS is also associated with increased cardiovascular and all-cause mortality.Determining the LFS is worthwhile as it identifies people with NAFLD as well as increased cardiovascular risk.

Liver Fibrosis Scoring Systems as Novel Tools for Predicting Recurrent Cardiovascular Events in Patients with a Prior Cardiovascular Event

Objective:

Regarding the secondary prevention of cardiovascular disease (CVD), there is great interest in preventing recurrent cardiovascular events (RCVEs). The prognostic importance of liver fibrosis scores (LFSs) has previously been reported in various CVDs. We hypothesized that LFSs might also be useful predictors for RCVEs in patients with prior cardiovascular events (CVEs). Herein, we aimed to evaluate the associations of LFSs with RCVEs in a large, real-world cohort of coronary artery disease (CAD) patients with a prior CVE.

Methods:

In this multicenter prospective study, 6527 consecutive patients with angiography-diagnosed CAD who had experienced a prior CVE (acute coronary syndrome, stroke, percutaneous coronary intervention, or coronary artery bypass grafting) were enrolled. LFSs were computed according to the published formulas: non-alcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS) includes age, body mass index (BMI), impaired fasting glycemia or diabetes mellitus (DM), aspartate aminotransferase (AST)/alanine aminotransferase (ALT) ratio, platelets, and albumin; fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) includes age, AST, ALT, and platelets; Forns score includes age, gamma-glutamyltransferase (GGT), and platelets; BARD includes BMI, AST/ALT ratio, and DM; GGT/platelet ratio includes GGT and platelets; AST/ALT ratio includes AST and ALT; and AST/platelet ratio index includes AST and platelets. The originally reported cutoffs were used for the categorization of low-, intermediate-, and high-score subgroups. All patients were followed up for the occurrence of RCVEs (comprising cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, and stroke). Cox and Poisson regression analyses were used to assess the relationship of baseline LFSs with the risk of RCVE.

Results:

During a mean follow-up of (54.67 ± 18.80) months, 532 (8.2%) RCVEs were recorded. Intermediate and high NFS, FIB-4, Forns, and BARD scores were independently associated with an increased risk of RCVE (hazard ratios ranging from 1.42 to 1.75 for intermediate scores and 1.35 to 2.52 for high scores). In the subgroup analyses of sex, age, BMI, DM, and hypertension status, the increased risk of RCVEs with high LFSs (NFS, FIB-4, Forns, and BARD) was maintained across the different subgroups (all P < 0.05).

Conclusion:

This study showed that LFSs are indeed independently associated with RCVEs, suggesting that LFSs may be used as novel tools for risk stratification in CAD patients with a prior CVE.