Akaike's information criterion in generalized estimating equations

Construction and validation of a prognostic signature based on seven endoplasmic reticulum stress-related lncRNAs for patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma

Endoplasmic reticulum stress (ERS) occurs when misfolded or unfolded proteins accumulate in the endoplasmic reticulum (ER), and it is often observed in tumors, including head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). Relevant studies have demonstrated the prognostic significance of ERS-related long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) in various cancers. However, the relationship between ERS and lncRNAs in HNSCC has received limited attention in previous studies. In this study, we aimed to develop an ERS-related lncRNAs prognostic model using correlation analysis, Cox regression analysis, least absolute shrinkage, and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis based on data from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database. The survival and predictive ability of this model were evaluated using Kaplan-Meier analysis and time-dependent receiver operating characteristics (ROC), while nomograms and calibration curves were constructed. Then, functional enrichment analyses, tumor mutation burden (TMB), tumor infiltration of immune cells, single sample Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (ssGSEA), and drug sensitivity analysis were performed. Additionally, we conducted a consensus cluster analysis to compare differences between subtypes of tumors. Finally, we validated the expression of the ERS-related lncRNAs that constructed prognostic risk score model in HNSCC tissues through quantitative real-time PCR (qRT-PCR). We developed a prognostic signature based on seven ERS-related lncRNAs, which showed better predictive performance than other clinicopathological features. The high-risk poor prognosis group had a poorer prognosis in comparison to the low-risk good prognosis. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) predicted by this model for 3-year survival rates of HNSCC patients was 0.805. Enrichment analysis revealed that the differentially expressed genes were primarily enriched in pathways related to immune responses and signal transduction. Low-risk patients had lower TMB, more immune cell infiltrations, and enhanced anti-tumor immunity. Cluster analysis indicated that cluster 3 may have a better prognosis and immunotherapy effect. In addition, the result of qRT-PCR was consistent with our analysis. This prognostic model based on seven ERS-related lncRNAs is a promising tool for risk stratification, survival prediction, and immune cell infiltration status assessment.

Analysing cluster randomised controlled trials using GLMM, GEE1, GEE2, and QIF: results from four case studies

BACKGROUND

Using four case studies, we aim to provide practical guidance and recommendations for the analysis of cluster randomised controlled trials.

METHODS

Four modelling approaches (Generalized Linear Mixed Models with parameters estimated by maximum likelihood/restricted maximum likelihood; Generalized Linear Models with parameters estimated by Generalized Estimating Equations (1st order or second order) and Quadratic Inference Function, for analysing correlated individual participant level outcomes in cluster randomised controlled trials were identified after we reviewed the literature. We systematically searched the online bibliography databases of MEDLINE, EMBASE, PsycINFO (via OVID), CINAHL (via EBSCO), and SCOPUS. We identified the above-mentioned four statistical analytical approaches and applied them to four case studies of cluster randomised controlled trials with the number of clusters ranging from 10 to 100, and individual participants ranging from 748 to 9,207. Results were obtained for both continuous and binary outcomes using R and SAS statistical packages.

RESULTS

The intracluster correlation coefficient (ICC) estimates for the case studies were less than 0.05 and are consistent with the observed ICC values commonly reported in primary care and community-based cluster randomised controlled trials. In most cases, the four methods produced similar results. However, in a few analyses, quadratic inference function produced different results compared to the generalized linear mixed model, first-order generalized estimating equations, and second-order generalized estimating equations, especially in trials with small to moderate numbers of clusters.

CONCLUSION

This paper demonstrates the analysis of cluster randomised controlled trials with four modelling approaches. The results obtained were similar in most cases, however, for trials with few clusters we do recommend that the quadratic inference function should be used with caution, and where possible a small sample correction should be used. The generalisability of our results is limited to studies with similar features to our case studies, for example, studies with a similar-sized ICC. It is important to conduct simulation studies to comprehensively evaluate the performance of the four modelling approaches.

Downsizing and purchases of psychotropic drugs: A longitudinal study of stayers, changers and unemployed

BACKGROUND

The evidence is insufficient regarding the association between organizational downsizing and employee mental health. Our aim was to analyze trajectories of prescribed sedatives and anxiolytics with a sufficiently long follow-up time to capture anticipation, implementation and adaption to a downsizing event among stayers, changers and those who become unemployed compared to unexposed employees.

METHOD

Residents in Sweden aged 20-54 years in 2007, with stable employment between 2004 and 2007, were followed between 2005 and 2013 (n = 2,305,795). Employment at a workplace with staff reductions ≥18% between two subsequent years in 2007-2011 (n = 915,461) indicated exposure to, and timing of, downsizing. The unexposed (n = 1,390,334) were randomized into four corresponding sub-cohorts. With generalized estimating equations, we calculated the odds ratios (OR) of purchasing prescribed anxiolytics or sedatives within nine 12-month periods, from four years before to four years after downsizing. In order to investigate whether the groups changed their probability of purchases over time, odds ratios (OR) and their 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were calculated contrasting the prevalence of purchases during the first and the last 12-month period within four time periods for each exposure group.

RESULTS

The odds of purchasing psychotropic drugs increased more for changers (sedatives OR 1.08, 95% CI 1.05-1.11) and unemployed (anxiolytics OR 1.08, 95% CI 1.03-1.14), compared to unexposed before downsizing, while for stayers purchases increased more than for unexposed during and after downsizing. Among those without previous sickness absence, stayers increased their purchases of psychotropic drugs from the year before the event up to four years after the event.

CONCLUSION

This study indicates that being exposed to downsizing is associated with increased use of sedatives and anxiolytics, before the event among those who leave, but especially thereafter for employees who stay in the organization.

Analysis of dynamic restricted mean survival time based on pseudo-observations

In clinical follow-up studies with a time-to-event end point, the difference in the restricted mean survival time (RMST) is a suitable substitute for the hazard ratio (HR). However, the RMST only measures the survival of patients over a period of time from the baseline and cannot reflect changes in life expectancy over time. Based on the RMST, we study the conditional restricted mean survival time (cRMST) by estimating life expectancy in the future according to the time that patients have survived, reflecting the dynamic survival status of patients during follow-up. In this paper, we introduce the estimation method of cRMST based on pseudo-observations, the statistical inference concerning the difference between two cRMSTs (cRMSTd), and the establishment of the robust dynamic prediction model using the landmark method. Simulation studies are conducted to evaluate the statistical properties of these methods. The results indicate that the estimation of the cRMST is accurate, and the dynamic RMST model has high accuracy in coefficient estimation and good predictive performance. In addition, an example of patients with chronic kidney disease who received renal transplantations is employed to illustrate that the dynamic RMST model can predict patients' expected survival times from any prediction time, considering the time-dependent covariates and time-varying effects of covariates.

Brain-Tumor Interface-Based MRI Radiomics Models to Determine EGFR Mutation, Response to EGFR-TKI and T790M Resistance Mutation in Non-Small Cell Lung Carcinoma Brain Metastasis

BACKGROUND

Preoperative assessment of epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) status, response to EGFR-tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKI) and development of T790M mutation in non-small cell lung carcinoma (NSCLC) patients with brain metastases (BM) is important for clinical decision-making, while previous studies were only based on the whole BM.

PURPOSE

To investigate values of brain-to-tumor interface (BTI) for determining the EGFR mutation, response to EGFR-TKI and T790M mutation.

STUDY TYPE

Retrospective.

POPULATION

Two hundred thirty patients from Hospital 1 (primary cohort) and 80 patients from Hospital 2 (external validation cohort) with BM and histological diagnosis of primary NSCLC, and with known EGFR status (biopsy) and T790M mutation status (gene sequencing).

FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE

Contrast-enhanced T1-weighted (T1CE) and T2-weighted (T2W) fast spin echo sequences at 3.0T MRI.

ASSESSMENT

Treatment response to EGFR-TKI therapy was determined by the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors. Radiomics features were extracted from the 4 mm thickness BTI and selected by least shrinkage and selection operator regression. The selected BTI features and volume of peritumoral edema (VPE) were combined to construct models using logistic regression.

STATISTICAL TESTS

The performance of each radiomics model was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC).

RESULTS

A total of 7, 3, and 3 features were strongly associated with the EGFR mutation status, response to EGFR-TKI and T790M mutation status, respectively. The developed models combining BTI features and VPE can improve the performance than those based on BTI features alone, generating AUCs of 0.814, 0.730, and 0.774 for determining the EGFR mutation, response to EGFR-TKI and T790M mutation, respectively, in the external validation cohort.

DATA CONCLUSION

BTI features and VPE were associated with the EGFR mutation status, response to EGFR-TKI and T790M mutation status in NSCLC patients with BM.

EVIDENCE LEVEL

3 Technical Efficacy: Stage 2.

A Canadian longitudinal study of the associations between weight control status and lifestyle behaviors during adolescence

This study aimed to estimate associations between weight control status (trying to lose, gain or maintain weight) and lifestyle behaviors (moderate-to-vigorous physical activity (MVPA), screen time, and the consumption of breakfast, fast food, fruits and vegetables, and sugar-sweetened beverages (SSB)) in adolescents. Data from 919 adolescents in the MATCH study, in New Brunswick, Canada, who self-reported their weight control status at least once within 24 data collection cycles over 8 years (from 2011 to 2019) and from 812 who provided data at least once over the 7 cycles on eating behaviors were used. Generalized estimating equations were used. At the first cycle, mean age was 11.3 (SD = 1.2) years old and 56% were girls. Trying to gain (β = 0.47, CI = [0.15, 0.79]) and maintain weight (β = 0.35, CI = [0.12, 0.57]) were positively associated with MVPA. Trying to lose weight was negatively associated with breakfast (IRR = 0.90, CI = [0.85, 0.94]) and positively associated with screen time (β = 0.62, CI = [0.15, 1.10]), fruit and vegetable (IRR = 1.12, CI = [1.01, 1.25]) and SSB (IRR = 1.42, CI = [1.10, 1.84]). Changes from one weight control status to trying to lose weight were associated with increases in fast food consumption (β = 0.49, CI = [0.15, 0.84]). Weight control status was associated with healthy and unhealthy behaviors in adolescents. Trying to gain or maintain weight was generally associated with more favorable health-related behaviors. Education on healthy weight management behaviors is needed to improve adolescents' health.

Distal radial fractures in adults: 4 versus 6 weeks of cast immobilisation after closed reduction, a randomised controlled trial

PURPOSE

In this study, we aim to evaluate whether the functional outcome of Distal Radius Fractures (DRFs) could be enhanced by shortening the period of immobilisation from six weeks to four weeks.

METHODS

This study is a single blinded randomised controlled trial. Four week plaster cast immobilisation was compared with six week plaster cast immobilisation in adult patients (older than 18 years) with adequately reduced DRFs. The primary outcome parameters were functional outcome measured by Quick DASH score after 1-year follow-up. Secondary outcomes were: Quick DASH after three months, 6 months, range of motion, and complications (such as number of re-interventions, secondary displacement, delayed and non-union).

RESULTS

80 patients (16 male and 64 female, mean age, 61.76 years) were included and randomized. 65 patients completed the 1-year follow-up. After 1-year follow up, no significant differences were found between the two groups in the QUICK DASH score (P = 0.55). Moreover, no significant differences in DASH Score after three and six months (P = 0.24, 0.28, respectively). The complication rate among both cohorts was almost similar, (P = 0.51).

CONCLUSION

Reduction in the time of cast immobilisation in patients with DRFs in accepted position reported similar outcomes. Of note, the complication rate in the four and six weeks was also the same. Thus, 4 weeks in cast is a safe immobilisation period. Clinical Trials Number Trial registration number and date of registration for prospectively registered trials at http://ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT05012345), on 19/08/2021.

COVID-19-related anxiety and trauma symptoms predict decreases in body image satisfaction in children

The present study investigated short-term longitudinal effects of COVID-19-related trauma and separation, social, and generalized anxiety symptoms on children's body image satisfaction. Participants were 247 Canadian children (121 boys, 123 girls) aged between 7 and 12 years (M = 9.04). Two cohorts of parents were recruited to complete a questionnaire at two time points on their children's body image satisfaction and COVID-19-related trauma and anxiety symptoms. The first cohort (n = 136 children) was recruited in Summer 2020 and the second cohort (n = 111 children) was recruited in Winter 2021. For each cohort, follow-up surveys were completed approximately five months later, therefore covering an entire year with both cohorts. Multilevel regression analyses showed that children's trauma and anxiety at Time 1 predicted significant decreases in body image satisfaction at Time 2. Older children were especially at risk of decreased body image satisfaction as a result of their COVID-19-related trauma, social anxiety and generalized anxiety symptoms. Younger girls were susceptible to decreased body image satisfaction as a result of their separation anxiety symptoms. Given that children's body image dissatisfaction is a precursor to the development of eating disorders, these findings shed light on potential targets for early intervention with children who are at-risk of developing such difficulties.

A Cox Nomogram for Assessing Recurrence Free Survival in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Following Surgical Resection Using Dynamic Contrast-Enhanced MRI Radiomics

BACKGROUND

The prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is difficult to predict and carries high mortality. This study utilized radiomic techniques with clinical examinations to assess recurrence in HCC.

PURPOSE

To develop a Cox nomogram to assess the risk of postoperative recurrence in HCC using radiomic features of three volumes of interest (VOIs) in preoperative dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI (DCE-MRI), along with clinical findings.

STUDY TYPE

Retrospective.

SUBJECTS

249 patients with pathologically proven HCCs undergoing surgical resection at three institutions were selected.

FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE

Fat saturated T2-weighted, Fat saturated T1-weighted, and DCE-MRI performed at 1.5 T and 3.0 T.

ASSESSMENT

Three VOIs were generated; the tumor VOI corresponds to the area from the tumor core to the outer perimeter of the tumor, the tumor +10 mm VOI represents the area from the tumor perimeter to 10 mm distal to the tumor in all directions, finally, the background liver parenchyma VOI represents the hepatic tissue outside the tumor. Three models were generated. The total radiomic model combined information from the three listed VOI's above. The clinical-radiological model combines physical examination findings with imaging characteristics such as tumor size, margin features, and metastasis. The combined radiomic model includes features from both models listed above and showed the highest reliability for assessing 24-month survival for HCC.

STATISTICAL TESTS

The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression, univariable, and multivariable Cox regression, Kmeans clustering, and Kaplan-Meier analysis. The discrimination performance of each model was quantified by the C-index. A P value <0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

The combined radiomic model, which included features from the radiomic VOI's and clinical imaging provided the highest performance (C-index: training cohort = 0.893, test cohort = 0.851, external cohort = 0.797) in assessing the survival of HCC.

CONCLUSION

The combined radiomic model provides superior ability to discern the possibility of recurrence-free survival in HCC over the total radiomic and the clinical-radiological models.

EVIDENCE LEVEL

4.

TECHNICAL EFFICACY

Stage 2.

Zero-inflated Poisson regression analysis of factors associated with under-five mortality in Ethiopia using 2019 Ethiopian mini demographic and health survey data

BACKGROUND

Remarkable reduction in global under-five mortality has been seen over the past two decades. However, Ethiopia is among the five countries which account for about half (49%) of all under-five mortality worldwide. This study aimed at identifying factors associated with under-five children mortality in Ethiopia using the 2019 Ethiopia mini demography and health survey data.

METHODS

The most recent national representative demography and health survey data of Ethiopia, 2019 Ethiopia mini demography and health survey data, were used for this study. Count data regression models were applied to identify the factors associated with under-five children mortality. Statistical significance was declared at P-value less than 0.05.

RESULTS

Zero-Inflated Poisson (ZIP) regression model was found to be the best model compared to other count regression models based on models comparison Criteria. The ZIP model revealed that decreased risk of under-five mortality was associated with mothers aged 25-34 years, unmarried mothers, mothers delivered in health facility, mothers used Pill/IUD, mothers who had larger number of children at home whereas increased risk of under-five mortality was associated with older mothers at their first births, mothers from rural areas, mothers travel for 1-30 min and >30 min to get drinking water, mothers used charcoal and wood, children with higher birth order and multiple births.

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, place of residence, region, place of delivery, religion, age of mother, mother's age at first birth, marital status, birth order, birth type, current contraceptive type used, type of cooking fuel, time to get drinking water, and number of children at home were statistically significant factors associated with under-five mortality in Ethiopia. Thus, the Ethiopian Ministry of Health and other concerned bodies are recommended to encourage mothers to deliver at health institutions, give awareness for mothers to use Pill/IUD contraceptive type, and facilitate rural areas to have electricity and drinking water near to homes so as to minimize the under-five mortality to achieve the sustainable development goal.

A guaranteed income intervention to improve the health and financial well-being of low-income black emerging adults: study protocol for the Black Economic Equity Movement randomized controlled crossover trial

Background

Economic inequity systematically affects Black emerging adults (BEA), aged 18-24, and their healthy trajectory into adulthood. Guaranteed income (GI)-temporary, unconditional cash payments-is gaining traction as a policy solution to address the inequitable distribution of resources sewn by decades of structural racism and disinvestment. GI provides recipients with security, time, and support to enable their transition into adulthood and shows promise for improving mental and physical health outcomes. To date, few GI pilots have targeted emerging adults. The BEEM trial seeks to determine whether providing GI to BEA improves financial wellbeing, mental and physical health as a means to address health disparities.

Methods/design

Using a randomized controlled crossover trial design, 300 low-income BEA from San Francisco and Oakland, California, are randomized to receive a $500/month GI either during the first 12-months of follow-up (Phase I) or during the second 12-months of a total of 24-months follow-up (Phase II). All participants are offered enrollment in optional peer discussion groups and financial mentoring to bolster financial capability. Primary intention-to-treat analyzes will evaluate the impact of GI at 12 months among Phase I GI recipients compared to waitlist arm participants using Generalized Estimating Equations (GEE). Primary outcomes include: (a) financial well-being (investing in education/training); (b) mental health status (depressive symptoms); and (c) unmet need for mental health and sexual and reproductive health services. Secondary analyzes will examine effects of optional financial capability components using GEE with causal inference methods to adjust for differences across sub-strata. We will also explore the degree to which GI impacts dissipate after payments end. Study outcomes will be collected via surveys every 3 months throughout the study. A nested longitudinal qualitative cohort of 36 participants will further clarify how GI impacts these outcomes. We also discuss how anti-racism praxis guided the intervention design, evaluation design, and implementation.

Discussion

Findings will provide the first experimental evidence of whether targeted GI paired with complementary financial programming improves the financial well-being, mental health, and unmet health service needs of urban BEA. Results will contribute timely evidence for utilizing GI as a policy tool to reduce health disparities.

Clinical trial registration

https://clinicaltrials.gov, identifier NCT05609188.

Using Radiomics to Differentiate Brain Metastases From Lung Cancer Versus Breast Cancer, Including Predicting Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor and human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2 Status

OBJECTIVE

We evaluated the feasibility of using multiregional radiomics to identify brain metastasis (BM) originating from lung adenocarcinoma (LA) and breast cancer (BC) and assess the epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutation and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) status.

METHODS

Our experiment included 160 patients with BM originating from LA (n = 70), BC (n = 67), and other tumor types (n = 23), between November 2017 and December 2021. All patients underwent contrast-enhanced T1- and T2-weighted magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans. A total of 1967 quantitative MRI features were calculated from the tumoral active area and peritumoral edema area and selected using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression with 5-fold cross-validation. We constructed radiomic signatures (RSs) based on the most predictive features for preoperative assessment of the metastatic origins, EGFR mutation, and HER2 status. Prediction performance of the constructed RSs was evaluated based on the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis.

RESULTS

The developed multiregion RSs generated good area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for identifying the LA and BC origin in the training (AUCs, RS-LA vs RS-BC, 0.767 vs 0.898) and validation (AUCs, RS-LA vs RS-BC, 0.778 and 0.843) cohort and for predicting the EGFR and HER2 status in the training (AUCs, RS-EGFR vs RS-HER2, 0.837 vs 0.894) and validation (AUCs, RS-EGFR vs RS-HER2, 0.729 vs 0.784) cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results revealed associations between brain MRI-based radiomics and their metastatic origins, EGFR mutations, and HER2 status. The developed multiregion combined RSs may be considered noninvasive predictive markers for planning early treatment for BM patients.

Healthcare costs and use before and after opioid overdose in Veterans Health Administration patients with opioid use disorder

AIMS

To compare healthcare costs and use between United States (US) Veterans Health Administration (VHA) patients with opioid use disorder (OUD) who experienced an opioid overdose (OD cohort) and patients with OUD who did not experience an opioid overdose (non-OD cohort).

DESIGN

This is a retrospective cohort study of administrative and clinical data.

SETTING

The largest integrated national health-care system is the US Veterans Health Administration's healthcare systems.

PARTICIPANTS

We included VHA patients diagnosed with OUD from October 1, 2017 through September 30, 2018. We identified the index date of overdose for patients who had an overdose. Our control group, which included patients with OUD who did not have an overdose, was randomly assigned an index date. A total of 66 513 patients with OUD were included for analysis (OD cohort: n = 1413; non-OD cohort: n = 65 100).

MEASUREMENTS

Monthly adjusted healthcare-related costs and use in the year before and after the index date. We used generalized estimating equation models to compare patients with an opioid overdose and controls in a difference-in-differences framework.

FINDINGS

Compared with the non-OD cohort, an opioid overdose was associated with an increase of $16 890 [95% confidence interval (CI) = $15 611-18 169; P < 0.001] in healthcare costs for an estimated $23.9 million in direct costs to VHA (95% CI = $22.1 million, $25.7 million) within the 30 days following overdose after adjusting for baseline characteristics. Inpatient costs ($13 515; 95% CI = $12 378-14 652; P < 0.001) reflected most of this increase. Inpatient days (+6.15 days; 95% CI, = 5.33-6.97; P < 0.001), inpatient admissions (+1.01 admissions; 95% CI = 0.93-1.10; P < 0.001) and outpatient visits (+1.59 visits; 95% CI = 1.34-1.84; P < 0.001) also increased in the month after opioid overdose. Within the overdose cohort, healthcare costs and use remained higher in the year after overdose compared with pre-overdose trends.

CONCLUSIONS

The US Veterans Health Administration patients with opioid use disorder (OUD) who have experienced an opioid overdose have increased healthcare costs and use that remain significantly higher in the month and continuing through the year after overdose than OUD patients who have not experienced an overdose.

Prediction of Spasticity through Upper Limb Active Range of Motion in Stroke Survivors: A Generalized Estimating Equation Model

BACKGROUND

We aim to study the association between spasticity and active range of motion (ROM) during four repetitive functional tasks such as cone stacking (CS), fast flexion-extension (FFE), fast ball squeezing (FBS), and slow ball squeezing (SBS), and predicted spasticity models.

METHODS

An experimental study with control and stroke groups was conducted in a Medical Center. A total of sixty-four participants, including healthy control (n = 22; average age (years) = 54.68 ± 9.63; male/female = 12/10) and chronic stroke survivors (n = 42; average age = 56.83 ± 11.74; male/female = 32/10) were recruited. We employed a previously developed smart glove device mounted with multiple inertial measurement unit (IMU) sensors on the upper limbs of healthy and chronic stroke individuals. The recorded ROMs were used to predict subjective spasticity through generalized estimating equations (GEE) for the affected side.

RESULTS

The models have significant (p ≤ 0.05 *) prediction of spasticity for the elbow, thumb, index, middle, ring, and little fingers. Overall, during SBS and FFE activities, the maximum number of upper limb joints attained the greater average ROMs. For large joints, the elbow during CS and the wrist during FFE have the highest average ROMs, but smaller joints and the wrist have covered the highest average ROMs during FFE, FBS, and SBS activities.

CONCLUSIONS

Thus, it is concluded that CS can be used for spasticity assessment of the elbow, FFE for the wrist, and SBS, FFE, and FBS activities for the thumb and finger joints in chronic stroke survivors.

Racial Inequities in Drug Tests Ordered by Clinicians for Pregnant People Who Disclose Prenatal Substance Use

OBJECTIVE

To measure racial inequities in drug testing among pregnant people during the first prenatal visit based on their drug use disclosure pattern.

METHODS

We used data from a cohort study of patient-clinician communication patterns regarding substance use in first prenatal visits from February 2011 to August 2014. We assessed racial differences (Black-White) in the receipt of urine toxicology testing, stratifying on patients' drug use disclosure to the clinician.

RESULTS

Among 341 study participants (205 Black [60.1%] and 136 White [39.9%] participants), 70 participants (33 Black [47.1%] and 37 White [52.9%] participants) disclosed drug use, and 271 participants (172 Black [63.5%] and 99 White [36.5%] participants) did not disclose drug use during their first obstetric visit. Of 70 participants who disclosed drug use, 50 (28 Black [56.0%] and 22 White [44.0%] White) had urine drug testing conducted. Black pregnant patients who disclosed drug use were more likely to be tested for drugs than their White counterparts in the adjusted regression analysis (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 8.9, 95% CI 1.3-58.6). Among the 271 participants who did not disclose drug use, 38 (18 Black [47.4%] and 20 White [52.6%] participants) had urine drug testing conducted. For those who did not disclose drug use, the adjusted model showed no statistically significant differences in urine drug testing by patients' race (aOR 0.7, 95% CI 0.3-1.6).

CONCLUSION

When pregnant people disclosed drug use, clinicians were more likely to order urine drug testing for Black pregnant people compared with their White counterparts, suggesting clinician racial bias. Current practice patterns and protocols such as urine drug testing in pregnancy care deserve review to identify and mitigate areas of potential clinician discrimination.

The effect of doxapram on survival and APGAR score in newborn puppies delivered by elective caesarean: A randomized controlled trial

Doxapram is marketed as a respiratory stimulant and is used by some veterinarians to help with neonatal apnoea, especially in puppies delivered by caesarean. There is a lack of consensus as to whether the drug is effective and data on its safety are limited. Doxapram was compared to placebo (saline) in newborn puppies in a randomized, double-blinded clinical trial using two outcome measures: 7-day mortality rate and repeated APGAR score measurements. Higher APGAR scores have been positively correlated with survival and other health outcomes in newborns. Puppies were delivered by caesarean and a baseline APGAR score was measured. This was immediately followed by a randomly allocated intralingual injection of either doxapram or isotonic saline (of the same volume). Injection volumes were determined by the weight of the puppy and each injection was administered within a minute of birth. The mean dose of doxapram administered was 10.65 mg/kg. APGAR scores were measured again at 2, 5, 10 and 20 min. One hundred and seventy-one puppies from 45 elective caesareans were recruited into this study. Five out of 85 puppies died after receiving saline and 7 out of 86 died after receiving doxapram. Adjusting for the baseline APGAR score, the age of the mother and whether the puppy was a brachycephalic breed, there was insufficient evidence to conclude a difference in the odds of 7-day survival for puppies that received doxapram compared to those that received saline (p = .634). Adjusting for the baseline APGAR score, the weight of the mother, the litter size, the mother's parity number, the weight of the puppy and whether the puppy was a brachycephalic breed, there was insufficient evidence to conclude a difference in the probability of a puppy having an APGAR score of ten (the maximum APGAR score) between those that received doxapram compared to those that received saline (p = .631). Being a brachycephalic breed was not associated with an increased odds of 7-day mortality (p = .156) but the effect of the baseline APGAR score on the probability of having an APGAR score of ten was higher for brachycephalic than non-brachycephalic breeds (p = .01). There was insufficient evidence that intralingual doxapram provided an advantage (or disadvantage) compared to intralingual saline when used routinely in puppies delivered by elective caesarean and that were not apnoeic.

Radiomic Signatures Based on Mammography and Magnetic Resonance Imaging as New Markers for Estimation of Ki-67 and HER-2 Status in Breast Cancer

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the study is to investigate the values of intratumoral and peritumoral regions based on mammography and magnetic resonance imaging for the prediction of Ki-67 and human epidermal growth factor (HER-2) status in breast cancer (BC).

METHODS

Two hundred BC patients were consecutively enrolled between January 2017 and March 2021 and divided into training (n = 133) and validation (n = 67) groups. All the patients underwent breast mammography and magnetic resonance imaging screening. Features were derived from intratumoral and peritumoral regions of the tumor and selected using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression to build radiomic signatures (RSs). Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis and the DeLong test were performed to assess and compare each RS.

RESULTS

For each modality, the combined RSs integrating features from intratumoral and peritumoral regions always showed better prediction performance for predicting Ki-67 and HER-2 status compared with the RSs derived from intratumoral or peritumoral regions separately. The multimodality and multiregional combined RSs achieved the best prediction performance for predicting the Ki-67 and HER-2 status with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.888 and 0.868 in the training cohort and 0.800 and 0.848 in the validation cohort, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Peritumoral areas provide complementary information to intratumoral regions of BC. The developed multimodality and multiregional combined RSs have good potential for noninvasive evaluation of Ki-67 and HER-2 status in BC.

Epidemiology of giardiasis and assemblages A and B and effects on diarrhea and growth trajectories during the first 8 years of life: Analysis of a birth cohort in a rural district in tropical Ecuador

BACKGROUND

There are limited longitudinal data on the acquisition of Giardia lamblia infections in childhood using molecular assays to detect and type assemblages, and measure effects of infections on diarrhea risk and childhood growth.

METHODS

We analysed stool samples from a surveillance sample within a birth cohort in a rural district in tropical Ecuador. The cohort was followed to 8 years of age for the presence of G. lamblia in stools by quantitative PCR and A and B assemblages by Taqman assay or Sanger sequencing. We explored risk factors associated with infection using generalized estimating equations applied to longitudinal binary outcomes, and longitudinal panel data analysis to estimate effects of infection on diarrhea and growth trajectories.

RESULTS

2,812 stool samples collected between 1 month and 8 years of age from 498 children were analyzed and showed high rates of infection: 79.7% were infected at least once with peak prevalence (53.9%) at 5 years. Assemblage B was accounted for 56.8% of genotyped infections. Risk factors for infection included male sex (P = 0.001), daycare attendance (P<0.001), having a household latrine (P = 0.04), childhood (P<0.001) and maternal soil-transmitted helminth (P = 0.029) infections, and exposures to donkeys (age interaction P = 0.034). G. lamblia was associated with increased risk of diarrhea (per episode, RR 1.03, 95% CI 1.01-1.06, P = 0.011) during the first 3 years of life and a transient impairment of weight (age interaction P = 0.017) and height-for-age (age interaction P = 0.025) trajectories between 1 and 4 years of age. There was no increased risk of either assemblage being associated with outcomes.

CONCLUSION

Our data show a relatively high edemicity of G. lamblia transmission during childhood in coastal Ecuador, and evidence that infection is associated with a transiently increased risk of diarrhea during the first 3 years of life and impairment of weight and height between 1 and 4 years.

Potential Antihuman Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2 Target Therapy Beneficiaries: The Role of MRI-Based Radiomics in Distinguishing Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2-Low Status of Breast Cancer

BACKGROUND

Multiparametric MRI radiomics could distinguish human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-positive from HER2-negative breast cancers. However, its value for further distinguishing HER2-low from HER2-negative breast cancers has not been investigated.

PURPOSE

To investigate whether multiparametric MRI-based radiomics can distinguish HER2-positive from HER2-negative breast cancers (task 1) and HER2-low from HER2-negative breast cancers (task 2).

STUDY TYPE

Retrospective.

POPULATION

Task 1: 310 operable breast cancer patients from center 1 (97 HER2-positive and 213 HER2-negative); task 2: 213 HER2-negative patients (108 HER2-low and 105 HER2-zero); 59 patients from center 2 (16 HER2-positive, 27 HER2-low and 16 HER2-zero) for external validation.

FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE

A 3.0 T/T1-weighted contrast-enhanced imaging (T1CE), diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI)-derived apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC).

ASSESSMENT

Patients in center 1 were assigned to a training and internal validation cohort at a 2:1 ratio. Intratumoral and peritumoral features were extracted from T1CE and ADC. After dimensionality reduction, the radiomics signatures (RS) of two tasks were developed using features from T1CE (RS-T1CE), ADC (RS-ADC) alone and T1CE + ADC combination (RS-Com).

STATISTICAL TESTS

Mann-Whitney U tests, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

For task 1, RS-ADC yielded higher area under the ROC curve (AUC) in the training, internal, and external validation of 0.767/0.725/0.746 than RS-T1CE (AUC = 0.733/0.674/0.641). For task 2, RS-T1CE yielded higher AUC of 0.765/0.755/0.678 than RS-ADC (AUC = 0.706/0.608/0.630). For both of task 1 and task 2, RS-Com achieved the best performance with AUC of 0.793/0.778/0.760 and 0.820/0.776/0.711, respectively, and obtained higher clinical benefit in DCA compared with RS-T1CE and RS-ADC. The calibration curves of all RS demonstrated a good fitness.

DATA CONCLUSION

Multiparametric MRI radiomics could noninvasively and robustly distinguish HER2-positive from HER2-negative breast cancers and further distinguish HER2-low from HER2-negative breast cancers.

EVIDENCE LEVEL

3.

TECHNICAL EFFICACY

Stage 2.

Syntactic complexity differentially affects auditory sentence comprehension performance for individuals with age-related hearing loss

Objectives

This study examined whether older adults with hearing loss (HL) experience greater difficulties in auditory sentence comprehension compared to those with typical-hearing (TH) when the linguistic burdens of syntactic complexity were systematically manipulated by varying either the sentence type (active vs. passive) or sentence length (3- vs. 4-phrases).

Methods

A total of 22 individuals with HL and 24 controls participated in the study, completing sentence comprehension test (SCT), standardized memory assessments, and pure-tone audiometry tests. Generalized linear mixed effects models were employed to compare the effects of sentence type and length on SCT accuracy, while Pearson correlation coefficients were conducted to explore the relationships between SCT accuracy and other factors. Additionally, stepwise regression analyses were employed to identify memory-related predictors of sentence comprehension ability.

Results

Older adults with HL exhibited poorer performance on passive sentences than on active sentences compared to controls, while the sentence length was controlled. Greater difficulties on passive sentences were linked to working memory capacity, emerging as the most significant predictor for the comprehension of passive sentences among participants with HL.

Conclusion

Our findings contribute to the understanding of the linguistic-cognitive deficits linked to age-related hearing loss by demonstrating its detrimental impact on the processing of passive sentences. Cognitively healthy adults with hearing difficulties may face challenges in comprehending syntactically more complex sentences that require higher computational demands, particularly in working memory allocation.

Chan-Chuang and resistance exercise for drug rehabilitation: a randomized controlled trial among Chinese male methamphetamine users

Objective

To examine the health benefits of Chan-Chuang and resistance exercise.

Methods

We deployed an 8-week randomized controlled trial, in which 76 male methamphetamine users were allocated to control (n = 25), Chan-Chuang (n = 26), and residence exercise groups (n = 25). Our primary outcomes were drug craving, mental wellbeing, sleep quality, heart rate (HR), systolic blood pressure (SBP), diastolic blood pressure (DBP), and mean arterial pressure (MAP). Our secondary outcomes were body mass index (BMI), vital capacity, grip strength, balance, and vertical jump.

Results

Chan-Chuang exercise resulted in reduced HR, DBP, and MAP, along with improvements in vital capacity, grip strength, and balance compared to the control group. Resistance exercise reduced SBP and MAP, and also improved vital capacity, grip strength, balance, and vertical jump.

Conclusion

These findings may support the role of Chan-Chuang and resistance exercise in maintaining the physical fitness of methamphetamine users at mandatory detention centers.

Predictors of Treatment Response to a Community-Delivered Group Social Skills Intervention for Youth with ASD

Group social skills interventions (GSSIs) are among the most commonly used treatments for improving social competence in youth with ASD, however, results remain variable. The current study examined predictors of treatment response to an empirically-supported GSSI for youth with ASD delivered in the community (Ntotal=75). Participants completed a computer-based emotion recognition task and their parents completed measures of broad psychopathology, ASD symptomatology, and social skills. We utilized generalized estimating equations in an ANCOVA-of-change framework to account for nesting. Results indicate differential improvements in emotion recognition by sex as well as ADHD-specific improvements in adaptive functioning. Youth with both co-occurring anxiety and ADHD experienced iatrogenic effects, suggesting that SDARI may be most effective for youth with ASD without multiple co-occurring issues. Findings provide important directions for addressing variability in treatment outcomes for youth with ASD.

Daytime, evening, and overnight: the 24-h radiology cycle and impact on interpretative accuracy

PURPOSE

To assess the influence of time of day when a study is interpreted on discrepancy rates for common and advanced studies performed in the acute community setting.

METHODS

This retrospective study used the databank of a U.S. teleradiology company to retrieve studies between 2012 and 2016 with a preliminary report followed by a final report by the on-site client hospital. Neuroradiology, abdominal radiology, and musculoskeletal radiology studies were included. Teleradiologists were fellowship trained in one of these subspecialty areas. Daytime, evening, and overnight times were defined. Associations between major and minor discrepancies, time of day, and whether the study was common or advanced were tested with significance set at p = .05.

RESULTS

A total of 5,883,980 studies were analyzed. There were 8444 major discrepancies (0.14%) and 17,208 minor discrepancies (0.29%). For common studies, daytime (0.13%) and evening (0.13%) had lower major discrepancy rates compared to overnight (0.14%) (daytime to overnight, RR = 0.57, 95%CI: 0.45, 0.72, p < 0.01 and evening to overnight, RR = 0.57, 95%CI: 0.49,0.67, p < 0.01). Minor discrepancy rates for common studies were decreased for evening (0.29%) compared to overnight (0.30%) (RR = 0.89, 95%CI: 0.80,0.99, p = 0.029). For advanced studies, daytime (.15%) had lower major discrepancy rates compared to evening (0.20%) and overnight (.23%) (daytime to evening, RR = 0.77, 95%CI: 0.61, 0.97, p = 0.028 and daytime to overnight, RR = 0.66, 95%CI: 0.50, 0.87, p ≤ 0.01).

CONCLUSION

Significantly higher major discrepancy rates for studies interpreted overnight suggest the need for radiologists to exercise greater caution when interpreting studies overnight and may require practice management strategies to help optimize overnight work conditions. The lower major discrepancy rates on advanced studies interpreted during the daytime suggest the need for reserving advanced studies for interpretation during the day when possible.

Discriminative Changes in Sitting and Standing Postural Steadiness in Patients With Chronic Low Back Pain

Postural control is reduced in patients with low back pain (LBP), which is considered an important factor attributing to the chronicity of LBP and a target for treatment. It is proposed that the changes in postural steadiness in sitting reflect the trunk control better than those in standing, but the previous study results are inconsistent. Thus, this study aimed to compare trunk sway parameters during standing and sitting between patients with chronic LPB (CLBP) and controls using a tracker-based posturography to record the trunk displacement trajectories at the lumbar level (TD [Formula: see text]. A total of 64 participants (32 patients with CLBP and 32 pain-free controls) were included in this study. The postural sway was measured under four conditions, sitting or standing on unstable surface, with eyes open or closed. The TDL parameters were compared between the two groups to explore their discriminative ability. The CLBP group had more body sway than the control group, characterized by several TDL parameters in sitting with eyes closed and standing with eyes open. The TDL parameters with the highest area under the curve according to the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis were the root mean square distance and mean frequency in the medial-lateral direction obtained in the sitting with eyes closed. In conclusion, we confirmed the advantage of using sitting posturographic parameters as a sensitive measure to detect impaired trunk control in patients with CLBP. The results would help choose sensitive outcome measures to reflect the postural control of patients with LBP.

Influence of job satisfaction on SRH and happiness among Korean disabled workers: findings from the panel survey of employment for the disabled 2016-2018

Background

An understanding of the economic life activities of persons with disabilities (PWD) is important. Their ability to perform tasks and an increase in their income are more likely to yield an improvement in their Self-Rated Health (SRH) and happiness. However, there is still a lack of understanding of the specific associations among PWD in South Korea. Thus, this study conducted a longitudinal analysis of the association between job satisfaction and SRH, happiness among the Korean PWD.

Methods

After excluding missing values, data on 1,637 participants at baseline (1st wave) were analyzed using the chi-square test, t-test, Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) and generalized estimating equation (GEE) model for data from 1st to 3rd Panel Survey of Employment for the Disabled (PSED). All analyses were conducted using the SAS statistical software package, version 9.4.

Results

Compared to very high job satisfaction group, low job satisfaction group was more likely to experience negative SRH [odds ratio (OR): 3.497, value of p: <0.0001] and experience low happiness (B: -0.291, value of p: <0.0001). Furthermore, in terms of the overall satisfaction with current job among the PWD, compared to the 'very satisfied' group, 'very unsatisfied' group had higher negative SRH (OR: 5.158, value of p: 0.003) and lower happiness (B: -0.327, value of p: <0.0001).

Conclusion

This study suggests that increasing job satisfaction of PWD possibly leads to decreased negative SRH and to increased happiness, resulting in better SRH and happiness. Furthermore, it suggests the establishment of systemic, policy-oriented measures to enhance the employment opportunities for disabled individuals in Korea and create an inclusive working environment that aligns with their respective job responsibilities.

Galactagogue Food Consumption, Perception of Insufficient Milk Supply, and Exclusive Breastfeeding in Chinese Postpartum Women: An Analysis of Repeated Measures

INTRODUCTION

Little research has explored galactagogue food consumption in China. This study aims to investigate consumption patterns and how they relate to perceived insufficient milk supply and exclusive breastfeeding.

METHODS

Data were collected from postpartum women in China at six time points: baseline demographic questionnaire before hospital discharge (T0), galactagogue food questionnaire at 1 month postpartum (T1), Hill and Humenick Lactation Scale at 6 weeks postpartum (T2), and breastfeeding practices at 1, 2, 3 and 4 months postpartum (T1, T3, T4, T5).

RESULTS

Of 218 participants who completed the galactagogue food questionnaire, 64.68% were consumers. No association was found between galactagogue food consumption and perceived insufficient milk supply. Consumers were less likely to breastfeed exclusively.

DISCUSSION

Future research should emphasize a deeper understanding of consumer behaviors and family support in providing professional guidance on postpartum nutrition that considers not only social and cultural experiences but also broader medical aspects.

Detection rate of contrast-enhanced brain magnetic resonance imaging in patients with cognitive impairment

INTRODUCTION

The number of brain MRI with contrast media performed in patients with cognitive impairment has increased without universal agreement. We aimed to evaluate the detection rate of contrast-enhanced brain MRI in patients with cognitive impairment.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This single-institution, retrospective study included 4,838 patients who attended outpatient clinics for cognitive impairment evaluation and underwent brain MRI with or without contrast enhancement from December 2015 to February 2020. Patients who tested positive for cognitive impairment were followed-up to confirm whether the result was true-positive and provide follow-up management. Detection rate was defined as the proportion of patients with true-positive results and was compared between groups with and without contrast enhancement. Individual matching in a 1:2 ratio according to age, sex, and year of test was performed.

RESULTS

The overall detection rates of brain MRI with and without contrast media were 4.7% (57/1,203; 95% CI: 3.6%-6.1%) and 1.8% (65/3,635; 95% CI: 1.4%-2.3%), respectively (P<0.001); individual matching demonstrated similar results (4.7% and 1.9%). Among 1,203 patients with contrast media, 3.6% was only detectable with the aid of contrast media. The proportion of patients who underwent follow-up imaging or treatment for the detected lesions were significantly higher in the group with contrast media (2.0% and 0.6%, P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

Detection rate of brain MRI for lesions only detectable with contrast media in patients with cognitive impairment was not high enough and further study is needed to identify whom would truly benefit with contrast media.

Comparison of Finger, Hand, and Wrist Injuries in the US Air Force to US Workers

OBJECTIVE

Fingers, hands, and wrists (FHW) are the most frequently injured body parts in work-related injuries. This study described and compared FHW injuries among enlisted, officer, and civilian US Air Force (USAF) personnel to those in the US workforce.

METHODS

All work-related, noncombat FHW injuries (≥1 lost workday) and demographics among USAF personnel and US workforce (2008-2018) were included. The USAF FHW injury rates were age adjusted to the US employment and compared by sex, source, event, and nature of the injuries.

RESULTS

Finger, hand, and wrist injuries were significantly lower among the USAF personnel and among females. In both populations, FHW injuries from falls were higher and increased with age group among females. Males had higher overall FHW injuries from contact with objects and equipment.

CONCLUSIONS

Prevention efforts should focus on understanding risk factors and sharing successful prevention activities.

Outcome trajectory estimation for optimal dynamic treatment regimes with repeated measures

In recent sequential multiple assignment randomized trials, outcomes were assessed multiple times to evaluate longer-term impacts of the dynamic treatment regimes (DTRs). Q-learning requires a scalar response to identify the optimal DTR. Inverse probability weighting may be used to estimate the optimal outcome trajectory, but it is inefficient, susceptible to model mis-specification, and unable to characterize how treatment effects manifest over time. We propose modified Q-learning with generalized estimating equations to address these limitations and apply it to the M-bridge trial, which evaluates adaptive interventions to prevent problematic drinking among college freshmen. Simulation studies demonstrate our proposed method improves efficiency and robustness.

Early-Life Weight Status and Risk of Childhood Asthma or Recurrent Wheeze in Preterm and Term Offspring

BACKGROUND

Excessive weight is associated with the development of childhood asthma. However, trends among preterm and term offspring may differ.

OBJECTIVE

To assess whether the association of longitudinal weight for age (WFA) and odds of asthma/recurrent wheeze in early life differs between children born preterm and those born at term.

METHODS

This study used prospectively collected data from the Vitamin D Antenatal Asthma Reduction Trial. Children (n = 804) were followed-up and anthropometric measurements, including WFA, were taken at birth and annually until the age of 6 years. The primary outcome was asthma/recurrent wheeze by age 3 and 6 years.

RESULTS

Among the offspring, 71 (8.8%) were premature. In all the children, the odds of asthma/recurrent wheeze increased by 15% (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.15; 95% CI, 1.10-1.20; P < .001) by age 3 years and 9% (aOR, 1.09; 95% CI, 1.07-1.11; P < .001) by age 6 years for each unit increase in WFA z score. Odds were different between term and preterm offspring (Pinteraction < .001). In term offspring, the odds of having asthma/recurrent wheeze by age 3 and 6 years increased by 22% and 15%, respectively (aOR, 1.22, 95% CI, 1.16-1.27, P < .001, and aOR, 1.15, 95% CI, 1.11-1.18, P < .001). In preterm offspring, by age 3 years, odds of asthma/recurrent wheeze decreased by 10% for each unit increase in WFA z score (aOR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.81-0.99; P = .030) and decreased by 27% by age 6 years (aOR, .73; 95% CI, 0.61-0.86; P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

During early life, increasing standardized WFA is associated with higher odds of asthma/recurrent wheeze in term children. In contrast, in preterm children, a higher standardized WFA during catch-up growth may decrease the odds of asthma/recurrent wheeze associated with prematurity.

Exploratory study of ultraviolet B (UVB) radiation and age of onset of bipolar disorder

BACKGROUND

Sunlight contains ultraviolet B (UVB) radiation that triggers the production of vitamin D by skin. Vitamin D has widespread effects on brain function in both developing and adult brains. However, many people live at latitudes (about > 40 N or S) that do not receive enough UVB in winter to produce vitamin D. This exploratory study investigated the association between the age of onset of bipolar I disorder and the threshold for UVB sufficient for vitamin D production in a large global sample.

METHODS

Data for 6972 patients with bipolar I disorder were obtained at 75 collection sites in 41 countries in both hemispheres. The best model to assess the relation between the threshold for UVB sufficient for vitamin D production and age of onset included 1 or more months below the threshold, family history of mood disorders, and birth cohort. All coefficients estimated at P ≤ 0.001.

RESULTS

The 6972 patients had an onset in 582 locations in 70 countries, with a mean age of onset of 25.6 years. Of the onset locations, 34.0% had at least 1 month below the threshold for UVB sufficient for vitamin D production. The age of onset at locations with 1 or more months of less than or equal to the threshold for UVB was 1.66 years younger.

CONCLUSION

UVB and vitamin D may have an important influence on the development of bipolar disorder. Study limitations included a lack of data on patient vitamin D levels, lifestyles, or supplement use. More study of the impacts of UVB and vitamin D in bipolar disorder is needed to evaluate this supposition.

Temporal dynamics and drivers of durable HIV viral load suppression and persistent high- and low-level viremia during Universal Test and Treat scale-up in Uganda: a population-based study

Introduction

Population-level data on durable HIV viral load suppression (VLS) following implementation of Universal Test and Treat (UTT) in Africa are limited. We assessed trends in durable VLS and viremia among persons living with HIV in 40 Ugandan communities during UTT scale-up.

Methods

In 2015-2020, we measured VLS (defined as <200 RNA copies/mL) among participants in the Rakai Community Cohort Study, a longitudinal population-based HIV surveillance cohort in southern Uganda. Persons with unsuppressed viral loads were characterized as having low-level (200-999 copies/mL) or high-level (≥1,000 copies/mL) viremia. Individual virologic outcomes were assessed over two consecutive RCCS survey visits (i.e., visit-pairs; ∼18 month visit intervals) and classified as durable VLS (<200 copies/mL at both visits), new/renewed VLS (<200 copies/mL at follow-up only), viral rebound (<200 copies/mL at initial visit only), or persistent viremia (<200 copies/mL at neither visit). Population prevalence of each outcome was assessed over calendar time. Community-level prevalence and individual-level predictors of persistent high-level viremia were also assessed using multivariable Poisson regression with generalized estimating equations.

Results

Overall, 3,080 participants contributed 4,604 visit-pairs over three survey rounds. Most visit-pairs (72.4%) exhibited durable VLS, with few (2.5%) experiencing viral rebound. Among those with viremia at the initial visit ( n =1,083), 46.9% maintained viremia through follow-up, 91.3% of which was high-level viremia. One-fifth (20.8%) of visit-pairs exhibiting persistent high-level viremia self-reported antiretroviral therapy (ART) use for ≥12 months. Prevalence of persistent high-level viremia varied substantially across communities and was significantly elevated among young persons aged 15-29 years (versus 40-49-year-olds; adjusted risk ratio [adjRR]=2.96; 95% confidence interval [95%CI]:2.21-3.96), men (versus women; adjRR=2.40, 95%CI:1.87-3.07), persons reporting inconsistent condom use with non-marital/casual partners (versus persons with marital/permanent partners only; adjRR=1.38, 95%CI:1.10-1.74), and persons exhibiting hazardous alcohol use (adjRR=1.09, 95%CI:1.03-1.16). The prevalence of persistent high-level viremia was highest among men <30 years (32.0%).

Conclusions

Following universal ART provision, most persons living with HIV in south-central Uganda are durably suppressed. Among persons exhibiting viremia, nearly half maintain high-level viremia for ≥12 months and report higher-risk behaviors associated with onward HIV transmission. Enhanced linkage to HIV care and optimized treatment retention could accelerate momentum towards HIV epidemic control.

Prospective, observational study of the impact of finger food on the quality of nutrition evaluated by the simple evaluation of food intake (SEFI) in nursing home residents

INTRODUCTION

Finger food is a type of meal that can be eaten without cutlery, and may, therefore, be easier to consume for patients with cognitive disorders. The objective of this study was to assess whether finger food increased the quantity of food ingested among older nursing home residents. The secondary objectives were to evaluate satisfaction after meals and costs associated with the meals.

METHODS

This was a single-center prospective study conducted on paired observations, comparing food intake observed during three finger food meals vs. three "control" meals (standard meals), for the same residents, in a public nursing home, from 21 April to 18 June 2021.

RESULTS

A total of 266 meals were evaluated for 50 residents. The mean intake (simple evaluation of food intake) score was 40.7 ± 1.7 out of 50 with finger food, and 39.0 ± 1.5 for standard meals. Finger food was associated with a higher probability of an intake score ≥ 40 (odds ratio [OR] 1.91 (95% CI 1.15-3.18; p = 0.01). The difference in satisfaction scores following the meals did not reach statistical significance: 3.86 (SD 1.19) vs. 3.69 (SD 1.11) for the finger food and standard meals, respectively; p = 0.2. Finger foods had an excess cost of 49% compared to a standard meal.

CONCLUSION

The occasional or seasonal (rather than systematic) use of these meals seems to be a valid option to reintroduce novelty and pleasure into the residents' diet. However, potential adopters should be aware that the finger food meals were 49% more expensive than standard meals.

Radiomic analysis of MRI for prediction of response to induction chemotherapy in nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients

AIM

To establish and validate radiomic models for response prediction to induction chemotherapy (IC) in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) using the radiomic features from pretreatment MRI.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective analysis included 184 consecutive NPC patients, 132 in the primary cohort and 52 in the validation cohort. Radiomic features were derived from contrast-enhanced T1-weighted imaging (CE-T1) and T2-weighted imaging (T2-WI) for each subject. The radiomic features were then selected and combined with clinical characteristics to build radiomic models. The potential of the radiomic models was evaluated based on its discrimination and calibration. To measure the performance of these radiomic models in predicting the treatment response to IC in NPC, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), and sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy were used.

RESULTS

Four radiomic models were constructed in the present study including the radiomic signature of CE-T1, T2-WI, CE-T1 + T2-WI, and the radiomic nomogram of CE-T1. The radiomic signature of CE-T1 + T2-WI performed well in distinguishing response and non-response to IC in patients with NPC, which yielded an AUC of 0.940 (95% CI, 0.885-0.974), sensitivity of 83.1%, specificity of 91.8%, and accuracy of 87.1% in the primary cohort, and AUC of 0.952 (95% CI, 0.855-0.992), sensitivity of 74.2%, specificity of 95.2%, and accuracy of 82.7% in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSION

MRI-based radiomic models could be helpful for personalised risk stratification and treatment in NPC patients receiving IC.

Testing the Challenge Hypothesis in Stumptail Macaque Males: The Role of Testosterone and Glucocorticoid Metabolites in Aggressive and Mating Behavior

The "challenge hypothesis" predicts higher male-male aggressive behavior along with increases in testosterone levels during times of reproductive challenges and social instability. In addition, in some primate species, higher glucocorticoid levels can be observed as well, but this is usually modulated by dominance rank. We studied rank-related aggressive behavior, mating activity, and fecal testosterone and glucocorticoid metabolites (fTm and fGCm) in male stumptail macaques (Macaca arctoides) in order to test some predictions of the "challenge hypothesis". Over a 20-month period, we collected data on aggressive behavior and copulation, as well as fecal samples (n = 700) to quantify fTm and fGCm in seven adult stumptail males living in captivity. During periods of mating activity, male-to-male aggression increased in higher- and middle-ranking males. Neither fTm nor fGCm levels predicted male-to-male aggression. fGCm levels (but not fTm) were positively associated with male-to-female aggression; however, this association was pronounced during periods of mating activity. fGCm levels differed according to social rank, with middle-ranking males having the highest levels. Both hormones were higher during periods of mating activity, but only in higher- and middle-ranking males. Taken together, our findings partially support the challenge hypothesis in a non-seasonal primate and shed some light on the unique social and mating system of the stumptail macaque.

Modeling Factors Associated with Dialysis Adequacy Using Longitudinal Data Analysis: Generalized Estimating Equation Versus Quadratic Inference Function

BACKGROUND

In hemodialysis patients, changes in dialysis adequacy (DA) are examined longitudinally. The aim of this study was to determine factors affecting DA using the generalized estimating equation (GEE) and to compare them with the quadratic inference function (QIF).

STUDY DESIGN

A longitudinal study.

METHODS

This longitudinal study examined the records of 153 end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients. The longitudinal data on the DA and baseline demographic and clinical characteristics were obtained from patients' files. The GEE1, GEE2, and QIF models were fitted with different correlation structures, and then the best correlation structure was selected using the quasi-likelihood information criterion (QIC), Akaike information criterion (AIC), and Bayes information criterion (BIC) fitting criteria.

RESULTS

The majority of patients (59.5%) had unfavorable DA (KT/V<1.2). Women and patients<60 years had more favorable DA. In the GEE model, the coefficients of female gender (β=0.079, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.032, 0.062), age at starting dialysis (β=-0.002, 95% CI: -0.004, -0.0001), hypertension (HTN, β=-0.055, 95% CI: -0.007, -0.103), diabetes (β=-0.088,95% CI: -0.021, -0.155), dialysis duration (β=0.132, 95% CI: 0.085, 0.178), and weight (β=-0.004, 95% CI: -0.006, -0.003) demonstrated a significant relationship with DA. The three models resulted in a similar estimate of regression coefficients. The relative efficiencies of QIF versus GEE1, QIF versus GEE2, and GEE2 versus GEE1 were 1.175, 1.056, and 1.113, respectively.

CONCLUSION

DA is not optimal in most hemodialysis patients, and gender, age at the start of dialysis, HTN, diabetes, dialysis duration, and weight had a significant association with DA. The three different models yielded quite similar coefficient estimates, but the QIF model resulted more efficient than GEE1 and GEE2.

Effects of collision warning characteristics on driving behaviors and safety in connected vehicle environments

With the emerging connected vehicle (CV) technologies, a novel in-vehicle omni-direction collision warning system (OCWS) is developed. For example, vehicles approaching from different directions can be detected, and advanced collision warnings caused by vehicles approaching from different directions can be provided. Effectiveness of OCWS in reducing crash and injury related to forward, rear-end and lateral collision is recognized. However, it is rare that the effects of collision warning characteristics including collision types and warning types on micro-level driver behaviors and safety performance is assessed. In this study, variations in drivers' responses among different collision types and between visual only and visual plus auditory warnings are examined. In addition, moderating effects by driver characteristics including drivers' demographics, years of driving experience, and annual driving distance are also considered. An in-vehicle human-machine interface (HMI) that can provide both visual and auditory warnings for forward, rear-end, and lateral collisions is installed on an instrumented vehicle. 51 drivers participate in the field tests. Performance indicators including relative speed change, time taken to accelerate/decelerate, and maximum lateral displacement are adopted to reflect drivers' responses to collision warnings. Then, generalized estimation equation (GEE) approach is applied to examine the effects of drivers' characteristics, collision type, warning type and their interaction on the driving performance. Results indicate that age, year of driving experience, collision type, and warning type can affect the driving performance. Findings should be indicative to the optimal design of in-vehicle HMI and thresholds for the activation of collision warnings that can increase the drivers' awareness to collision warnings from different directions. Also, implementation of HMI can be customized with respect to individual driver characteristics.

Predicting and explaining absenteeism risk in hospital patients before and during COVID-19

In order to address one of the most challenging problems in hospital management - patients' absenteeism without prior notice - this study analyses the risk factors associated with this event. To this end, through real data from a hospital located in the North of Portugal, a prediction model previously validated in the literature is used to infer absenteeism risk factors, and an explainable model is proposed, based on a modified CART algorithm. The latter intends to generate a human-interpretable explanation for patient absenteeism, and its implementation is described in detail. Furthermore, given the significant impact, the COVID-19 pandemic had on hospital management, a comparison between patients' profiles upon absenteeism before and during the COVID-19 pandemic situation is performed. Results obtained differ between hospital specialities and time periods meaning that patient profiles on absenteeism change during pandemic periods and within specialities.

Correlates of condomless anal intercourse with different types of sexual partners among men who have sex with men and transgender women in Lima, Peru

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

The Sabes study was registered in March 2013 with the National Institutes of Health at ClinicalTrials.gov (identifier: NCT01815580).

Ambulatory support moment contribution patterns and MRI-detected tibiofemoral and patellofemoral disease worsening in adults with knee osteoarthritis: A preliminary study

We investigated whether baseline sagittal-plane ankle, knee, and hip contribution to the total support moment (TSM) are each associated with baseline-to-2-year tibiofemoral and patellofemoral tissue damage worsening in adults with knee osteoarthritis. Ambulatory lower-limb kinetics were captured and computed. TSM is the sum of ankle, knee, and hip extensor moments at each instant during gait. Ankle, knee, and hip contributions to TSM were computed as joint moments divided by TSM, expressed as percentages. Participants underwent MRI of both knees at baseline and 2 years later. Logistic regression models assessed associations of baseline ankle contribution to TSM with baseline-to-2-year cartilage damage and bone marrow lesion worsening, adjusted for age, sex, BMI, gait speed, disease severity, and pain. We used similar analytic approaches for knee and hip contributions to TSM. Sample included 391 knees from 204 persons (age[SD]: 64[10] years; 76.5% women). Greater ankle contribution may be associated with increased odds of tibiofemoral cartilage damage worsening (OR = 2.38; 95% CI: 1.02-5.57) and decreased odds of patellofemoral bone marrow lesion worsening (OR = 0.14; 95% CI: 0.03-0.73). The ORs for greater knee contribution were in the protective range for tibiofemoral compartment and in the deleterious range for patellofemoral. Greater hip contribution may be associated with increased odds of tibiofemoral worsening (OR = 2.71; 95% CI: 1.17-6.30). Greater ankle contribution to TSM may be associated with baseline-to-2-year tibiofemoral worsening, but patellofemoral tissue preservation. Conversely, greater knee contribution may be associated with patellofemoral worsening, but tibiofemoral preservation. Preliminary findings illustrate potential challenges in developing biomechanical interventions beneficial to both tibiofemoral and patellofemoral compartments.

Intra- and peritumoral MRI radiomics assisted in predicting radiochemotherapy response in metastatic cervical lymph nodes of nasopharyngeal cancer

BACKGROUND

To establish and validate radiomic models combining intratumoral (Intra) and peritumoral (Peri) features obtained from pretreatment MRI for the prediction of treatment response of lymph node metastasis from nasopharyngeal cancer (NPC).

METHODS

One hundred forty-five NPC patients (102 in the training and 43 in the validation set) were retrospectively enrolled. Radiomic features were extracted from Intra and Peri regions on the metastatic cervical lymph node, and selected with the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO). Multivariate logistic regression analysis was applied to build radiomic models. Sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and the area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristics were employed to evaluate the predictive power of each model.

RESULTS

The AUCs of the radiomic model of Intra, Peri, Intra + Peri, and Clinical-radiomic were 0.910, 0.887, 0.934, and 0.941, respectively, in the training set and 0.737, 0.794, 0.774, and 0.783, respectively, in the validation set. There were no significant differences in prediction performance among the radiomic models in the training and validation sets (all P > 0.05). The calibration curve of the radiomic model of Peri demonstrated good agreement between prediction and observation in the training and validation sets.

CONCLUSIONS

The pretreatment MRI-based radiomics model may be useful in predicting the treatment response of metastatic lymph nodes of NPC. Besides, the generalization ability of the radiomic model of Peri was better than that of Intra and Intra + Peri.

The effects of an integrated exercise and cardiovascular health education programme on community-dwelling older adults at risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases: A study protocol for a randomised controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Although older adults are at an increased risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), the effect of an integrated exercise and cardiovascular health education programme based on self-efficacy theory has not been well investigated among older adults. This study aims at examining the effect of this programme on community-dwelling older adults at risk of ASCVD concerning physical activity level, exercise self-efficacy and ASCVD risk profile.

METHODS

A parallel two-arm randomised controlled trial with pretest-posttest design will be performed among 190 Chinese community-dwelling adults aged 60 or above in elderly community centres of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area. Eligible participants will be randomised by computerised generation. Experimental group will receive a 12-week integrated exercise and cardiovascular health education programme, which comprises a one-hour group-based health education talk conducted at Week 1, a booklet, a lecture video, a tailor-made exercise video, and a booster intervention by text messaging starting from Week 1 to Week 12. Control group will receive placebo intervention including a talk on basic health issues, a lecture video and corresponding leaflet. The outcomes will be investigated through self-report questionnaires and physiological evaluations at baseline, Week 12, Week 24, and Week 36. Physical activity level, exercise self-efficacy and ASCVD risk profile will be assessed, with physical activity level at Week 24 considered the primary outcome. The main intervention effect (group differences on continuous outcome variables) will be examined via Generalized Estimating Equations with identity link.

DISCUSSION

This study findings will provide clues to the effect of the integrated exercise and cardiovascular health education programme, which is theoretically underpinned with self-efficacy theory, in older adults at risk of ASCVD. It will also enhance the quality of community health education by providing insight into the effective teaching strategies targeting older adults.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

This study has been registered on ChinicalTrial.gov (Trial ID: NCT05434273).

Mobile Acceptance and Commitment Therapy With Distressed First-Generation College Students: Microrandomized Trial

BACKGROUND

Extant gaps in mental health services are intensified among first-generation college students. Improving access to empirically based interventions is critical, and mobile health (mHealth) interventions are growing in support. Acceptance and commitment therapy (ACT) is an empirically supported intervention that has been applied to college students, via mobile app, and in brief intervals.

OBJECTIVE

This study evaluated the safety, feasibility, and effectiveness of an ACT-based mHealth intervention using a microrandomized trial (MRT) design.

METHODS

Participants (N=34) were 18- to 19-year-old first-generation college students reporting distress, who participated in a 6-week intervention period of twice-daily assessments and randomization to intervention. Participants logged symptoms, moods, and behaviors on the mobile app Lorevimo. After the assessment, participants were randomized to an ACT-based intervention or no intervention. Analyses examined proximal change after randomization using a weighted and centered least squares approach. Outcomes included values-based and avoidance behavior, as well as depressive symptoms and perceived stress.

RESULTS

The findings indicated the intervention was safe and feasible. The intervention increased values-based behavior but did not decrease avoidance behavior. The intervention reduced depressive symptoms but not perceived stress.

CONCLUSIONS

An MRT of an mHealth ACT-based intervention among distressed first-generation college students suggests that a larger MRT is warranted. Future investigations may tailor interventions to contexts where intervention is most impactful.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04081662; https://clinicaltrials.gov/show/NCT04081662.

INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER (IRRID)

RR2-10.2196/17086.

Prospective Evaluation of PI-RADS Version 2.1 for Prostate Cancer Detection and Investigation of Multiparametric MRI-derived Markers

Background Data regarding the prospective performance of Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS) version 2.1 alone and in combination with quantitative MRI features for prostate cancer detection is limited. Purpose To assess lesion-based clinically significant prostate cancer (csPCa) rates in different PI-RADS version 2.1 categories and to identify MRI features that could improve csPCa detection. Materials and Methods This single-center prospective study included men with suspected or known prostate cancer who underwent multiparametric MRI and MRI/US-guided biopsy from April 2019 to December 2021. MRI scans were prospectively evaluated using PI-RADS version 2.1. Atypical transition zone (TZ) nodules were upgraded to category 3 if marked diffusion restriction was present. Lesions with an International Society of Urological Pathology (ISUP) grade of 2 or higher (range, 1-5) were considered csPCa. MRI features, including three-dimensional diameter, relative lesion volume (lesion volume divided by prostate volume), sphericity, and surface to volume ratio (SVR), were obtained from lesion contours delineated by the radiologist. Univariable and multivariable analyses were conducted at the lesion and participant levels to determine features associated with csPCa. Results In total, 454 men (median age, 67 years [IQR, 62-73 years]) with 838 lesions were included. The csPCa rates for lesions categorized as PI-RADS 1 (n = 3), 2 (n = 170), 3 (n = 197), 4 (n = 319), and 5 (n = 149) were 0%, 9%, 14%, 37%, and 77%, respectively. csPCa rates of PI-RADS 4 lesions were lower than PI-RADS 5 lesions (P < .001) but higher than PI-RADS 3 lesions (P < .001). Upgraded PI-RADS 3 TZ lesions were less likely to harbor csPCa compared with their nonupgraded counterparts (4% [one of 26] vs 20% [20 of 99], P = .02). Predictors of csPCa included relative lesion volume (odds ratio [OR], 1.6; P < .001), SVR (OR, 6.2; P = .02), and extraprostatic extension (EPE) scores of 2 (OR, 9.3; P < .001) and 3 (OR, 4.1; P = .02). Conclusion The rates of csPCa differed between consecutive PI-RADS categories of 3 and higher. MRI features, including lesion volume, shape, and EPE scores of 2 and 3, predicted csPCa. Upgrading of PI-RADS category 3 TZ lesions may result in unnecessary biopsies. ClinicalTrials.gov registration no. NCT03354416 © RSNA, 2023 Supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Goh in this issue.

Toll-like receptor-4 activation by subgingival biofilm and periodontal treatment response

OBJECTIVES

This study aims to investigate longitudinally the activation of Toll-like receptor-4 (TLR-4) by subgingival biofilm samples before and after nonsurgical periodontal therapy (NSPT).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Forty periodontitis patients received NSPT and were reviewed 3 and 6 months post-treatment. Subgingival biofilm was sampled from 4 teeth per patient, at baseline and each follow-up time point. TLR-4 activation was determined using the HEK-BLUE™/hTLR4 system. Changes in TLR-4 activation and probing pocket depths (PPDs) were evaluated using generalised linear models, and the association between TLR-4 activation and pocket reduction (defined as 6-month PPDs ≤ 3mm) was determined using generalised estimating equations.

RESULTS

At 6 months, the mean TLR-4 activation by subgingival biofilm samples was significantly reduced from 11.2AU (95%CI 7.1AU, 15.4AU) to 3.6AU (95%CI 2.3AU, 4.8AU, p < 0.001), paralleling significant reductions in mean PPDs at sampled sites. The response to NSPT was associated with longitudinal TLR-4 activation profiles, with significantly higher TLR-4 activation by subgingival biofilm obtained from sites that did not achieve pocket reduction, compared to sites at which pocket reduction was achieved.

CONCLUSIONS

The activation of TLR-4 by subgingival biofilm samples was reduced after NSPT, and this reduction was significantly associated with the clinical improvements (PPD reductions) at sampled sites.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE

This study demonstrated an association between the longitudinal profile of TLR-4 activation by subgingival biofilm and periodontal treatment response. Longitudinal monitoring of TLR-4 activation by subgingival biofilm may potentially identify non-responsive sites, enabling targeted additional treatment.

SLCO1B1 gene-based clinical decision support reduces statin-associated muscle symptoms risk with simvastatin

Background: SLCO1B1 variants are known to be a strong predictor of statin-associated muscle symptoms (SAMS) risk with simvastatin. Methods: The authors conducted a retrospective chart review on 20,341 patients who had SLCO1B1 genotyping to quantify the uptake of clinical decision support (CDS) for genetic variants known to impact SAMS risk. Results: A total of 182 patients had 417 CDS alerts generated, and 150 of these patients (82.4%) received pharmacotherapy that did not increase risks for SAMS. Providers were more likely to cancel simvastatin orders in response to CDS alerts if genotyping had been done prior to the first simvastatin prescription than after (94.1% vs 28.5%, respectively; p < 0.001). Conclusion: CDS significantly reduces simvastatin prescribing at doses associated with SAMS.

Bottlenose dolphin distribution in a Mediterranean area exposed to intensive trawling

The Adriatic Sea is one of the areas most exposed to trawling, worldwide. We used four years (2018-2021) and 19,887 km of survey data to investigate factors influencing daylight dolphin distribution in its north-western sector, where common bottlenose dolphins Tursiops truncatus routinely follow fishing trawlers. We validated Automatic Identification System information on the position, type and activity of three types of trawlers based on observations from boats, and incorporated this information in a GAM-GEE modelling framework, together with physiographic, biological and anthropogenic variables. Along with bottom depth, trawlers (particularly otter and midwater trawlers) appeared to be important drivers of dolphin distribution, with dolphins foraging and scavenging behind trawlers during 39.3% of total observation time in trawling days. The spatial dimension of dolphin adaptations to intensive trawling, including distribution shifts between days with and without trawling, sheds light on the magnitude of ecological change driven by the trawl fishery.

Neurobiological correlates of antisociality across adolescence and young adulthood: a multi-sample, multi-method study

BACKGROUND

Antisociality across adolescence and young adulthood puts individuals at high risk of developing a variety of problems. Prior research has linked antisociality to autonomic nervous system and endocrinological functioning. However, there is large heterogeneity in antisocial behaviors, and these neurobiological measures are rarely studied conjointly, limited to small specific studies with narrow age ranges, and yield mixed findings due to the type of behavior examined.

METHODS

We harmonized data from 1489 participants (9-27 years, 67% male), from six heterogeneous samples. In the resulting dataset, we tested relations between distinct dimensions of antisociality and heart rate, pre-ejection period (PEP), respiratory sinus arrhythmia, respiration rate, skin conductance levels, testosterone, basal cortisol, and the cortisol awakening response (CAR), and test the role of age throughout adolescence and young adulthood.

RESULTS

Three dimensions of antisociality were uncovered: 'callous-unemotional (CU)/manipulative traits', 'intentional aggression/conduct', and 'reactivity/impulsivity/irritability'. Shorter PEPs and higher testosterone were related to CU/manipulative traits, and a higher CAR is related to both CU/manipulative traits and intentional aggression/conduct. These effects were stable across age.

CONCLUSIONS

Across a heterogeneous sample and consistent across development, the CAR may be a valuable measure to link to CU/manipulative traits and intentional aggression, while sympathetic arousal and testosterone are additionally valuable to understand CU/manipulative traits. Together, these findings deepen our understanding of the fundamental mechanisms underlying different components of antisociality. Finally, we illustrate the potential of using current statistical techniques for combining multiple datasets to draw robust conclusions about biobehavioral associations.

Association between genetic risk of alcohol consumption and alcohol-related morbidity and mortality under different alcohol policy conditions: Evidence from the Finnish alcohol price reduction of 2004

AIMS

Harmful alcohol consumption is influenced by both genetic susceptibility and the price of alcohol. Many previous studies have observed that genetic susceptibility to consumption of alcohol is more predictive in less restrictive drinking conditions. We assess whether such a pattern applies when the prices of alcoholic beverages are decreased.

DESIGN

Data consist of genetically informed population-representative surveys (FINRISK 1992, 1997, 2002 and Health 2000) linked to administrative registers. We analysed the interaction between a polygenic score (PGS) for alcoholic drinks per week consumed and price reduction in predicting the incidence of alcohol-related hospitalizations and deaths in difference-in-difference and interrupted time-series frameworks.

SETTING

Individuals in Finland were followed quarter-yearly from 1 March 2000 to 31 May 2008.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 22 152 individuals (607 132-person quarter-years, 1399 outcome events) aged 30-79 years.

INTERVENTION

A natural experiment stemming from the alcohol tax reduction in March 2004 and import deregulation in May 2004.

MEASUREMENTS

Outcome was quarter-yearly-measured alcohol-related death or hospitalization. The independent variables of main interest were PGS and a price reform indicator. We adjusted for gender, age, age squared, season, 10 first principal components of the genome, data collection round and genotyping batch.

FINDINGS

Both alcohol price reduction and one standard deviation change in PGS were associated with alcohol-related health outcomes; odds ratios (ORs) were 1.32, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.13, 1.53 and 1.26, 95% CI = 1.12, 1.42 in the 8-year follow-up, respectively. The association between PGS and alcohol-related morbidity was similar before and after the alcohol price reform (PGS × price reform interaction OR = 0.96, 95% CI = 0.81, 1.14). These results were robust across different follow-up periods and measurement and analysis strategies.

CONCLUSIONS

Although the decrease of alcohol price in Finland in 2004 substantially increased overall alcohol-related morbidity and mortality, the genetic susceptibility to alcohol consumption did not become more manifest in predicting them.

Semiparametric generalized estimating equations for repeated measurements in cross-over designs

A model for cross-over designs with repeated measures within each period was developed. It was obtained using an extension of generalized estimating equations that includes a parametric component to model treatment effects and a non-parametric component to model time and carry-over effects; the estimation approach for the non-parametric component is based on splines. A simulation study was carried out to explore the model properties. Thus, when there is a carry-over effect or a functional temporal effect, the proposed model presents better results than the standard models. Among the theoretical properties, the solution is found to be analogous to weighted least squares. Therefore, model diagnostics can be made by adapting the results from a multiple regression. The proposed methodology was implemented in the data sets of the cross-over experiments that motivated the approach of this work: systolic blood pressure and insulin in rabbits.