Interferon therapy reduces the risk for hepatocellular carcinoma: national surveillance program of cirrhotic and noncirrhotic patients with chronic hepatitis C in Japan. IHIT Study Group. Inhibition of Hepatocarcinogenesis by Interferon Therapy

Alpha-fetoprotein before and after pegylated interferon therapy for predicting hepatocellular carcinoma development

AIM: To investigate factors that accurately predict hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development after antiviral therapy in chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients.

METHODS: CHC patients who received pegylated interferon and ribavirin were enrolled in this cohort study that investigated the ability of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) to predict HCC development after interferon (IFN) therapy.

RESULTS: Of 1255 patients enrolled, 665 developed sustained virological response (SVR) during mean follow-up period of 5.4 years. HCC was occurred in 89 patients, and 20 SVR patients were included. Proportional hazard models showed that HCC occurred in SVR patients showing AFP ≥ 5 ng/mL before therapy and in non-SVR patients showing AFP ≥ 5 ng/mL before and 1 year after therapy besides older age, and low platelet counts. SVR patients showing AFP ≥ 5 ng/mL before therapy and no decrease in AFP to < 5 ng/mL 1 year after therapy had significantly higher HCC incidence than non-SVR patients showing AFP ≥ 5 ng/mL before therapy and decreased AFP (P = 0.043). AFP ≥ 5 ng/mL before therapy was significantly associated with low platelet counts and high values of alanine aminotransferase (ALT) in stepwise logistic regression analysis. After age, gender, platelet count, and ALT was matched by propensity score, significantly lower HCC incidence was shown in SVR patients showing AFP < 5 ng/mL before therapy than in those showing AFP ≥ 5 ng/mL.

CONCLUSION: The criteria of AFP < 5 ng/mL before and 1 year after IFN therapy is a benefical predictor for HCC development in CHC patients.

Successful treatment with telaprevir-based regimens for chronic hepatitis C results in significant improvements to serum markers of liver fibrosis

Patients infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV) have differing levels of liver health when they initiate treatment. We sought to quantify whether liver health improves following successful treatment with telaprevir-based antiviral regimens. We performed a retrospective analysis of data generated from one Phase 2 and two Phase 3 telaprevir clinical studies. 1208 patients treated with a telaprevir-based regimen were included in the analysis. Patients were grouped according to their baseline Metavir score (F0-F1, F2 and F3-F4) and whether or not they attained sustained virologic response (SVR). Scores from four biomarker tests, FibroTest, APRI, FIB-4 and Forns' Score, were monitored both before and after HCV treatment. All four of these tests differentiated the fibrosis stage as determined by Metavir score at baseline. Consistent with previous studies, patients who attained SVR exhibited significant improvements in scores from each of these tests after treatment. These improvements remained significant even when patients were grouped according to their baseline Metavir score. On average, the scores from different tests exhibited differential improvements following SVR. Improvements in APRI scores corresponded to complete fibrosis regression (i.e. a Metavir stage of F0-F1). In contrast, improvements in scores from Forns' Score, FIB-4 and FibroTest were more modest (i.e. fibrosis regression of less than a Metavir stage). Overall, these results demonstrated that attaining SVR with a telaprevir-based regimen led to significant improvements in liver health as determined by four biomarker tests. However, not all correlations observed between noninvasive markers and fibrosis stage at baseline hold after SVR is attained.

Alteration of N-glycan profiles in patients with chronic hepatitis and hepatocellular carcinoma

AIM

Most of the modification of N-glycosylation reported in cancers including hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) were based on the examinations of a small number of patients or particular proteins. The aim of this study is to reveal changes in whole serum N-glycan profiles systematically during the process of hepatocarcinogenesis and to elucidate their clinical application.

METHODS

We analyzed sera from 105 patients with chronic hepatitis/liver cirrhosis (CH/LC) and age-/sex-matched healthy volunteers (HLT), as well as from 114 patients with HCC. Serum N-glycan profiles were measured comprehensively by a new, quantitative, high-throughput method and compared with clinical parameters.

RESULTS

The total amount of N-glycan expression was significantly higher in patients with CH/LC than in HLT; however, no differences were observed between CH/LC and HCC patients. In HCC patients, multi-antennary glycans with fucose residues, particularly m/z 3195, were increased compared with CH/LC patients. The expression of m/z 3195 was high, especially in patients with a high number of intrahepatic lesions (>3), large tumor size (>3 cm), macroscopic vascular invasion or metastasis. The ratio of pairs of glycans on the same path of the biosynthesis pathway (m/z 3195/1914) showed a higher area under the receiver-operator curve of 0.810 than any other single glycan to distinguish HCC from CH/LC.

CONCLUSION

We demonstrate the full spectrum of the alterations of serum N-glycans comprehensively in patients with liver disease, and elucidate the possible use of glycans as novel biomarkers of liver disease progression.

Is the use of IL28B genotype justified in the era of interferon-free treatments for hepatitis C?

In 2009, several groups reported that interleukin-28B (IL28B) genotypes are associated with the response to peginterferon plus ribavirin therapy for chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection in a genome-wide association study, although the mechanism of this association is not yet well understood. However, in recent years, tremendous progress has been made in the treatment of HCV infection. In Japan, some patients infected with HCV have the IL28B major genotype, which may indicate a favorable response to interferon-including regimens; however, certain patients within this group are also interferon-intolerant or ineligible. In Japan, interferon-free 24-wk regimens of asunaprevir and daclatasvir are now available for HCV genotype 1b-infected patients who are interferon-intolerant or ineligible or previous treatment null-responders. The treatment response to interferon-free regimens appears better, regardless of IL28B genotype. Maybe other interferon-free regimens will widely be available soon. In conclusion, although some HCV-infected individuals have IL28B favorable alleles, importance of IL28B will be reduced with availability of oral interferon free regimen.

Prospective cohort study on the outcomes of hepatitis C virus-related cirrhosis in South Korea

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The outcomes of hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related liver cirrhosis was limitedly studied in a hepatitis B virus-endemic area. This multicenter, prospective cohort study was conducted to elucidate the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and mortality in the Korean patients with HCV-related cirrhosis.

METHODS

From January 2007 through June 2012, 196 patients with HCV-related cirrhosis were prospectively enrolled and regularly followed at six university hospitals to determine HCC occurrence and mortality. A multivariable analysis using Cox proportional hazards regression was performed to clarify the related factors to the outcomes.

RESULTS

During a mean follow-up period of 39.2 months, 31 (15.8%) patients developed HCC, and 33 (16.8%) patients died or underwent liver transplantation. The estimated HCC incidence was 5.8 per 100 person-years, and the independent factors for HCC were absence of anti-HBV surface antibody (HBs hazard ratio [HR], 5.018; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.710-14.726; P = 0.003) and serum albumin < 3.8 g/dL (HR, 3.051; 95% CI, 1.318-7.067; P = 0.009). The overall mortality rate was 5.1 per 100 person-years, and the related independent factors were the presence of ascites (HR, 2.448; 95% CI, 1.142-5.210; P = 0.022), serum albumin < 3.8 g/dL (HR, 3.067; 95% CI, 1.254-8.139, P = 0.014), and nonachievement of sustained virologic response (SVR) (HR, 0.066; 95% CI, 0.001-0.484, P = 0.002).

CONCLUSION

The incidence of HCC in HCV-related cirrhosis seems to be high in Korea, and advanced liver disease and no achievement of SVR were associated with mortality. The absence of anti-HBs in hepatocarcinogenesis related to HCV warrants further study.

Current management of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

The current management therapies for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients are discussed in this review. Despite the development of new therapies, HCC remains a “difficult to treat” cancer because HCC typically occurs in advanced liver disease or hepatic cirrhosis. The progression of multistep and multicentric HCC hampers the prevention of the recurrence of HCC. Many HCC patients are treated with surgical resection and radiofrequency ablation (RFA), although these modalities should be considered in only selected cases with a certain HCC number and size. Although there is a shortage of grafts, liver transplantation has the highest survival rates for HCC. Several modalities are salvage treatments; however, intensive care in combination with other modalities or in combination with surgical resection or RFA might offer a better prognosis. Sorafenib is useful for patients with advanced HCC. In the near future, HCC treatment will include stronger molecular targeted drugs, which will have greater potency and fewer adverse events. Further studies will be ongoing.

Predictive Ability of Laboratory Indices for Liver Fibrosis in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis C after the Eradication of Hepatitis C Virus

Liver fibrosis remains an important risk factor for hepatocarcinogenesis in patients with chronic hepatitis C even after the eradication of hepatitis C virus (HCV). However, it is difficult to estimate liver fibrosis based on liver biopsy after the eradication of HCV. We investigated the ability of laboratory indices to predict liver fibrosis in patients with sustained virologic response (SVR) to antiviral therapy. Three laboratory liver fibrosis indices (aspartate aminotransferase-platelet ratio index (APRI), FIB-4 index, and Forns index) were calculated based on data at the time of initial pretreatment liver biopsy and at second liver biopsy performed approximately 5 years after SVR in 115 patients who underwent serial liver biopsies. The indices at the time of initial biopsy were compared to histological degree of liver fibrosis in initial biopsy, and laboratory indices at the time of second liver biopsy were compared to the degree of fibrosis in second biopsy. In both comparisons, there were significant increases in all 3 indices with the increase of liver fibrosis grade as assessed in liver biopsy specimens. All 3 indices at the time of second biopsy were able to predict moderate to advanced (METAVIR score F2-4) and advanced (F3-4) fibrosis on liver biopsy, with the area under the receiver-operating characteristics curve >0.8 and the accuracy >70%. All 3 laboratory indices of fibrosis accurately reflected liver fibrosis in patients with SVR for 5 years despite the normalization of serum liver transaminase activity and the lack of liver inflammation.

Risk factors of hepatocellular carcinoma development in non-cirrhotic patients with sustained virologic response for chronic hepatitis C virus infection

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) can develop in patients with chronic hepatitis C after they have achieved a sustained virologic response (SVR) to antiviral therapy, that is eradication of hepatitis C virus (HCV). Thus, surveillance for HCC remains necessary after SVR. We investigated factors that are predictive of HCC in HCV-infected patients who achieved SVR.

METHODS

The incidence and risk factors for HCC were evaluated in 522 patients who achieved SVR with interferon-based antiviral therapy for HCV. Patients maintained regular follow-up every 6 months for HCC surveillance. The FIB-4 index and aspartate aminotransferase to platelet count ratio index were calculated based on laboratory data at the time that SVR was documented (SVR24).

RESULTS

Patients continued follow-up visits for 1.0-22.9 years (median, 7.2 years) after SVR. HCC developed in 18 patients. The incidence of HCC was 1.2% at 5 years and 4.3% at 10 years. The use of peginterferon or ribavirin for treatment and a history of antiviral therapy prior to the course when SVR was achieved were not associated with the incidence of HCC after SVR. The presence of diabetes mellitus (risk ratio 2.08; P = 0.0451) and FIB-4 index calculated at the time of SVR24 (risk ratio 1.73; P = 0.0198) were associated with a higher likelihood of HCC after SVR by multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with diabetes mellitus and patients with the elevation of FIB-4 index at SVR24 are at higher risk of HCC after SVR. Surveillance for HCC should be continued in this patient subpopulation.

Serum Wisteria Floribunda Agglutinin-Positive Mac-2 Binding Protein Values Predict the Development of Hepatocellular Carcinoma among Patients with Chronic Hepatitis C after Sustained Virological Response

Measurement of Wisteria floribunda agglutinin-positive human Mac-2 binding protein (WFA+-M2BP) in serum was recently shown to be a noninvasive method to assess liver fibrosis. The aim of this study was to evaluate the utility of serum WFA+-M2BP values to predict the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients who achieved a sustained virological response (SVR) by interferon treatment. For this purpose, we retrospectively analyzed 238 patients with SVR who were treated with interferon in our department. Serum WFA+-M2BP values were measured at pre-treatment (pre-Tx), post-treatment (24 weeks after completion of interferon; post-Tx), the time of HCC diagnosis, and the last clinical visit. Of 238 patients with SVR, HCC developed in 16 (6.8%) patients. The average follow-up period was 9.1 years. The cumulative incidence of HCC was 3.4% at 5 years and 7.5% at 10 years. The median pre-Tx and post-Tx WFA+-M2BP values were 1.69 (range: 0.28 to 12.04 cutoff index (COI)) and 0.80 (range: 0.17 to 5.29 COI), respectively. The WFA+-M2BP values decreased significantly after SVR (P < 0.001). The median post-Tx WFA+-M2BP value in patients who developed HCC was significantly higher than that in patients who did not (P < 0.01). Multivariate analysis disclosed that age (> 60 years), sex (male), pre-Tx platelet count (< 15.0×10(3)/μL), and post-Tx WFA+-M2BP (> 2.0 COI) were associated with the development of HCC after SVR. Conclusion: Post-Tx WFA+-M2BP (> 2.0 COI) is associated with the risk for development of HCC among patients with SVR. The WFA+-M2BP values could be a new predictor for HCC after SVR.

Hepatitis C virus-induced hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) is a leading etiology of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The interaction of HCV with its human host is complex and multilayered; stemming in part from the fact that HCV is a RNA virus with no ability to integrate in the host's genome. Direct and indirect mechanisms of HCV-induced HCC include activation of multiple host pathways such as liver fibrogenic pathways, cellular and survival pathways, interaction with the immune and metabolic systems. Host factors also play a major role in HCV-induced HCC as evidenced by genomic studies identifying polymorphisms in immune, metabolic, and growth signaling systems associated with increased risk of HCC. Despite highly effective direct-acting antiviral agents, the morbidity and incidence of liver-related complications of HCV, including HCC, is likely to persist in the near future. Clinical markers to selectively identify HCV subjects at higher risk of developing HCC have been reported however they require further validation, especially in subjects who have experienced sustained virological response. Molecular biomarkers allowing further refinement of HCC risk are starting to be implemented in clinical platforms, allowing objective stratification of risk and leading to individualized therapy and surveillance for HCV individuals. Another role for molecular biomarker-based stratification could be enrichment of HCC chemoprevention clinical trials leading to smaller sample size, shorter trial duration, and reduced costs.

Serum Alpha-Fetoprotein Has High Specificity for the Early Detection of Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Hepatitis C Virus Eradication in Patients

Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) has not played a large role in the surveillance of hepatocellular carcinoma due to inadequate sensitivity and specificity for active chronic hepatitis or cirrhosis. The aim of this study was to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of AFP in small hepatocellular carcinomas after hepatitis C virus eradication to determine the optimal cutoff value. We conducted a case-control study of 29 cases and 58 controls, matched for age, gender, and platelet counts. The AFP cutoff was 5 ng/mL in patients after hepatitis C virus eradication and 17 ng/mL in those without hepatitis C virus eradication. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve were 0.86 (95% confidence interval, 0.76-0.96) in patients after hepatitis C virus eradication and 0.83 (95% confidence interval, 0.74-0.91) in those without hepatitis C virus eradication. In patients after hepatitis C virus eradication, the sensitivity and specificity of AFP levels were 24.1% and 100%, respectively, using a cutoff value of 17 ng/mL. Using a lower cutoff value of 5 ng/mL, the sensitivity increased to 75.9%, although the specificity decreased to 89.0%. AFP is a specific tumor marker for the diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatitis C virus eradication when using the optimal cutoff value of 5 ng/mL.

Boceprevir for Chronic Genotype 1 Hepatitis C Virus in the Current Health Care Setting in Greece: A Cost-effectiveness Analysis

PURPOSE

Boceprevir, as an add-on to the standard of care (SOC) for chronic genotype 1 hepatitis C virus (G1 HCV), pegylated interferon + ribavirin for 48 weeks (PEG + RBV), has been reported to have a clinical profile superior to that of SOC alone. The objective of the present study was to compare the cost-effectiveness of triple therapy with PEG + RBV + boceprevir to that of SOC in treatment-naive and treatment-experienced patients with G1 HCV in Greece.

METHODS

A Markov model that simulated the quality-adjusted life expectancy and corresponding costs of treating G1 HCV infection provided the basis of the analysis. Treatment strategies under consideration were those in the Phase III boceprevir trials: (1) boceprevir response-guided therapy (shortened treatment duration for early responders); (2) fixed-duration (4-week) SOC plus 44 weeks of triple therapy; and (3) 48-week SOC. Efficacy data and the baseline characteristics of the study population were based on data from the SPRINT-2 (Serine Protease Inhibitor Therapy 2) and RESPOND-2 (Retreatment with HCV Serine Protease Inhibitor Boceprevir and PegIntron/Rebetol 2) clinical trials. Health care resource utilization and costs reflect the local clinical setting, with a 3% discount per annum, and were assessed from a third-party payer perspective.

FINDINGS

Triple therapy was projected to reduce liver complications (eg, decompensated cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, need for liver transplantation, and liver-related death) by 44% to 45% and 49% to 53% in treatment-naive and treatment-experienced patients, respectively, over a lifetime horizon, leading to corresponding gains of 0.87 and 1.25 quality-adjusted life-years gained per patient. Taking into account the costs of medications, treatment, and outcomes management, the estimated incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of triple therapy versus SOC were €10,003 and €10,852 per quality-adjusted life-years gained in treatment-naïve and treatment-experienced patients. Extensive sensitivity analyses suggested that the findings were robust over a wide range of inputs.

IMPLICATIONS

Based on the findings from the present analysis, the addition of boceprevir to PEG + RBV for the treatment of patients with G1 HCV may be a cost-effective alternative in the health care setting in Greece.

Natural interferon-beta treatment for patients with chronic hepatitis C in Japan

Chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection can cause liver cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Several studies have demonstrated that the eradication of HCV reduces the occurrence of HCC. In Japan, as many people live to an advanced age, HCV-infected patients are also getting older, and the age at HCC diagnosis has also increased. Although older HCV-infected patients have a risk of developing HCC, the treatment response to peginterferon-alpha plus ribavirin therapy is relatively poor in these patients because of drop-out or discontinuation of this treatment due to adverse events. It is established that the mechanism of action between interferon-alpha and interferon-beta is slightly different. Short-term natural interferon-beta monotherapy is effective for patients with acute hepatitis C and patients infected with HCV genotype 2 and low viral loads. Natural interferon-beta plus ribavirin for 48 wk or for 24 wk are also effective for some patients with HCV genotype 1 or HCV genotype 2. Natural interferon-beta plus ribavirin has been used for certain “difficult-to-treat” HCV-infected patients. In the era of direct-acting anti-virals, natural interferon-beta plus ribavirin may be one of the therapeutic options for special groups of HCV-infected patients. In the near future, signal transduction pathways of interferon-beta will inform further directions.

Oncogenic viruses and hepatocellular carcinoma

About 80% of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is caused by hepatitis B virus (HBV) and/or hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections especially in the setting of established cirrhosis or advanced fibrosis, making HCC prevention a major goal of antiviral therapy. HCC tumors are highly complex and heterogeneous resulting from the aberrant function of multiple molecular pathways. The roles of HCV or HBV in promoting HCC development are still either directly or indirectly are still speculative, but the evidence for both effects is compelling. In patients with chronic hepatitis viral infection, cirrhosis is not a prerequisite for tumorigenesis.

Liver stiffness measurement for risk assessment of hepatocellular carcinoma

AIM

Liver fibrosis is a risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but at what fibrotic stage the risk for HCC is increased has been poorly investigated quantitatively. This study aimed to determine the appropriate cut-off value of liver stiffness for HCC concurrence by FibroScan, and its clinical significance in hepatitis B virus (HBV), hepatitis C virus (HCV) and non-B, non-C (NBNC) liver disease.

METHODS

Subjects comprised 1002 cases (246 with HCC and 756 without HCC) with chronic liver disease (HBV, 104; HCV, 722; and NBNC, 176).

RESULTS

Liver stiffness was significantly greater in all groups with HCC, and the determined cut-off value for HCC concurrence was more than 12.0 kPa in those with HCV, more than 8.5 kPa in those with HBV and more than 12.0 kPa in those with NBNC. Liver stiffness of more than 12.0 kPa was an independent risk factor for new HCC development in HCV. For HCV, risk factors for HCC concurrence were old age, male sex, low albumin, low platelets and liver stiffness, while for HBV they were old age, low platelets and liver stiffness, and for NBNC they were old age, elevated α-fetoprotein and liver stiffness.

CONCLUSION

Liver stiffness cut-off values and their association with HCC concurrence were different depending on the etiology. In HCV, liver stiffness of more than 12.0 kPa was an independent risk factor for new HCC development. Collectively, determining the fibrotic cut-off values for HCC concurrence would be important in evaluating HCC risks.

Patients with chronic hepatitis C without advanced fibrosis and hepatocellular carcinoma: a retrospective clinical-pathological study

BACKGROUND

There are very few studies on the incidence and risk factors of hepatitis C virus (HCV)-induced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in the absence of advanced fibrosis. Our objective was to identify the clinical-pathological features of these patients.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed 162 patients admitted to our hospital for HCV-related HCC between 2000 and 2010. Patients with hepatitis of other aetiologies, human immunodeficiency virus co-infection, or treated with interferon were excluded. We compared demographic, laboratory, clinical and outcome parameters of patients with and without advanced fibrosis.

RESULTS

137 patients had advanced fibrosis (85%). Median age was higher in the advanced fibrosis vs. the non-advanced fibrosis group (62 vs. 65 years, respectively; p = 0.025). Steatosis was significantly more frequent in patients with advanced fibrosis compared to those without advanced fibrosis (43% vs. 20%, respectively; p = 0.032). Independent predictors associated to the occurrence of HCC in patients without advanced fibrosis were hepatitis B core antigen (odds ratio: 3.86; p = 0.044) and duration of hepatitis C infection (odds ratio: 1.21; p = 0.003).

CONCLUSIONS

Risk factors such as steatosis or diabetes were not frequent in patients without advanced fibrosis. Further studies are needed to evaluate the role of occult hepatitis B and the duration of hepatitis infection in patients with HCC and chronic hepatitis C without advanced fibrosis.

Faldaprevir for the treatment of genotype-1 hepatitis C virus

Historically, pegylated interferon in combination with ribavirin was the standard of care in hepatitis C virus; however, this combination is often poorly tolerated, has a significant side-effect profile and is of limited efficacy in hepatitis C virus genotype-1. More recently, pegylated interferon/ribavirin has been combined with direct acting antiviral agents such as the first generation NS3/4A protease inhibitors. Faldaprevir, a first generation, second-wave protease inhibitor, when used with a pegylated interferon/ribavirin regimen, has also been shown to increase treatmentsuccess while shortening treatment duration; however, second generation direct acting antiviral agents offer even betterefficacy and tolerability. Various direct acting antiviral agent combinations in interferon-free regimens have been effective in over 95% of patients and are now in licensed use. While faldaprevir was a pioneering drug, by the time it reached late phase development it was superseded by newer agents.

Quantitative imaging: quantification of liver shape on CT using the statistical shape model to evaluate hepatic fibrosis

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

To investigate the usefulness of the statistical shape model (SSM) for the quantification of liver shape to evaluate hepatic fibrosis.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Ninety-one subjects (45 men and 46 women; age range, 20-75 years) were included in this retrospective study: 54 potential liver donors and 37 patients with chronic liver disease. The subjects were classified histopathologically according to the fibrosis stage as follows: F0 (n = 55); F1 (n = 6); F2 (3); F3 (n = 1); and F4 (n = 26). Each subject underwent contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT) using a 64-channel scanner (0.625-mm slice thickness). An abdominal radiologist manually traced the liver boundaries on every CT section using an image workstation; the boundaries were used for subsequent analyses. An SSM was constructed by the principal component analysis of the subject data set, which defined a parametric model of the liver shapes. The shape parameters were calculated by fitting SSM to the segmented liver shape of each subject and were used for the training of a linear support vector regression (SVR), which classifies the liver fibrosis stage to maximize the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). SSM/SVR models were constructed and were validated in a leave-one-out manner. The performance of our technique was compared to those of two previously reported types of caudate-right lobe ratios (C/RL-m and C/RL-r).

RESULTS

In our SSM/SVR models, the AUC values for the classification of liver fibrosis were 0.96 (F0 vs. F1-4), 0.95 (F0-1 vs. F2-4), 0.96 (F0-2 vs. F3-4), and 0.95 (F0-3 vs. F4). These values were significantly superior to AUC values using the C/RL-m or C/RL-r ratios (P < .005).

CONCLUSIONS

SSM was useful for estimating the stage of hepatic fibrosis by quantifying liver shape.

Clinical characteristics, treatment, and prognosis of non-B, non-C hepatocellular carcinoma: a large retrospective multicenter cohort study

BACKGROUND

The number of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients with non-viral etiologies is increasing in Japan. We conducted a nation-wide survey to examine the characteristics of those patients.

METHODS

After we assessed the trend of patients who were first diagnosed with HCC at 53 tertiary care centers in Japan from 1991 to 2010, we collected detailed data of 5326 patients with non-viral etiology. The etiologies were categorized as autoimmune hepatitis, primary biliary cirrhosis, alcoholic liver disease (ALD), non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), unclassified, and other. Baseline characteristics at initial diagnosis, the modality of the initial treatment, and survival status were collected via a website. Survival of the patients was assessed by the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazard regression.

RESULTS

The proportion of patients with non-viral etiologies increased from 10.0% in 1991 to 24.1% in 2010. Of the patients, 92% were categorized as ALD, NAFLD, or unclassified. Body mass index (BMI) was ≥ 25 kg/m(2) in 39%. Diabetes was most prevalent in NAFLD (63%), followed by unclassified etiology (46%) and ALD (45%). Approximately 80% of patients underwent radical therapy, including resection, ablation, or transarterial chemoembolization. Survival rates at 3, 5, 10, 15, and 20 years were 58.2, 42.6, 21.5, 15.2, and 15.2%, respectively. Multivariate analysis revealed that patients with BMI > 22 and ≤ 25 kg/m(2) showed the best prognosis versus other BMI categories, after adjusting by age, gender, tumor-related factors, and Child-Pugh score.

CONCLUSIONS

Most cases of non-B, non-C HCC are related to lifestyle factors, including obesity and diabetes. Slightly overweight patients showed the best prognosis.

Effect of peginterferon alfa-2b and ribavirin on hepatocellular carcinoma prevention in older patients with chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The population of patients chronically infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV) is aging, and the number of older patients with HCV-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is increasing. The purpose of this study was to elucidate the effects of peginterferon and ribavirin combination therapy on prevention of HCC in older patients with chronic hepatitis C (CH-C).

METHODS

We compared the sustained virological response (SVR) and treatment discontinuation rates between older (≥ 65 years) and younger patients (< 65 years) among 1280 CH-C patients treated with peginterferon alfa-2b and ribavirin. Cumulative incidence of HCC was determined by Kaplan-Meier analysis, and factors associated with liver carcinogenesis were analyzed by Cox proportional hazards regression.

RESULTS

Older patients had a significantly lower SVR rate and a significantly higher discontinuation rate of treatment than younger patients. Fifty patients developed HCC during median follow-up period of 47 months. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis indicated that the following were independent risk factors associated with the development of HCC: older age, male, advanced fibrosis, non-SVR in all patients: higher gamma-glutamyltranspeptidase, and non-SVR in older patients. Older patients who achieved SVR had a significantly reduced rate of HCC compared with those who did not achieve SVR, especially those who had gamma-glutamyltranspeptidase over 44 IU/L.

CONCLUSIONS

The SVR rate was lower and the combination therapy discontinuation rate was higher in older CH-C patients than in younger patients. However, older patients who achieved SVR had a markedly lower rate of HCC development compared with older patients who did not achieve SVR.

Genetic polymorphism of IL-23R influences susceptibility to HCV-related hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Genetic variations may play an important role in the development of HCC in HCV patients. Variants of IL23R gene were investigated for association with many diseases like chronic inflammatory disorders, RA, inflammatory bowel diseases and the susceptibility to the development of gastric cancer but no data are available concerning the association of IL23R gene (rs11209026) polymorphism with HCC development in HCV patients. Therefore the current study aimed to analyze this polymorphism within the gene to evaluate its contribution to chronic HCV susceptibility and/or HCC development in Egyptian patients.

SUBJECTS AND METHODS

One hundred and ninety-two patients with chronic HCV infection were included in this study (92 of them without HCC and 100 of them with HCC). One hundred healthy control subjects with no history of previous liver disease (HBV and HCV infection were negative) were included in the study. The IL23R polymorphism (rs11209026 G>A) were genotyped by real time PCR.

RESULTS

We found a significant lower incidence of GA and AA genotype in HCV patients with HCC compared to those without HCC (p=0.026 and 0.040 respectively) and compared to control group (p=0.008 and 0.007 respectively). While, no significant difference between control and HCV patients without HCC groups was found.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study suggests that wild type IL-23R GG serves as a risk factor for HCC and supports for the protective role of the rare variant rs11209026 (Arg381Gln) against HCV-related HCC in Egyptian patients.

Computer-aided assessment of hepatic contour abnormalities as an imaging biomarker for the prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma development in patients with chronic hepatitis C

PURPOSE

To evaluate whether a hepatic fibrosis index (HFI), quantified on the basis of hepatic contour abnormality, is a risk factor for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis C.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Our institutional review board approved this retrospective study and written informed consent was waved. During a 14-month period, consecutive 98 patients with chronic hepatitis C who had no medical history of HCC treatment (56 men and 42 women; mean age, 70.7 years; range, 48-91 years) were included in this study. Gadoxetic acid-enhanced hepatocyte specific phase was used to detect and analyze hepatic contour abnormality. Hepatic contour abnormality was quantified and converted to HFI using in-house proto-type software. We compared HFI between patients with (n=54) and without HCC (n=44). Serum levels of albumin, total bilirubin, aspartate transferase, alanine transferase, percent prothrombin time, platelet count, alpha-fetoprotein, protein induced by vitamin K absence-II, and HFI were tested as possible risk factors for the development of HCC by determining the odds ratio with logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

HFIs were significantly higher in patients with HCC (0.58±0.86) than those without (0.36±0.11) (P<0.001). Logistic analysis revealed that only HFI was a significant risk factor for HCC development with an odds ratio (95% confidence interval) of 26.4 (9.0-77.8) using a cutoff value of 0.395.

CONCLUSION

The hepatic fibrosis index, generated using a computer-aided assessment of hepatic contour abnormality, may be a useful imaging biomarker for the prediction of HCC development in patients with chronic hepatitis C.

A novel serum marker, glycosylated Wisteria floribunda agglutinin-positive Mac-2 binding protein (WFA(+)-M2BP), for assessing liver fibrosis

BACKGROUND

Recently, a novel marker, hyperglycosylated Wisteria floribunda agglutinin-positive Mac-2 binding protein (WFA(+)-M2BP), was developed for liver fibrosis using the glycan "sugar chain"-based immunoassay; however, the feasibility of WFA(+)-M2BP for assessing liver fibrosis has not been proven with clinical samples of hepatitis.

METHODS

Serum WFA(+)-M2BP values were evaluated in 200 patients with chronic liver disease who underwent histological examination of liver fibrosis. The diagnostic accuracy of WFA(+)-M2BP values was compared with various fibrosis markers, such as ultrasound based-virtual touch tissue quantification (VTTQ), magnetic resonance imaging based-liver-to-major psoas muscle intensity ratio (LMR), and serum markers, including hyaluronic acid, type 4 collagen, and aspartate transaminase to platelet ratio index (APRI).

RESULTS

Serum WFA(+)-M2BP levels in patients with fibrosis grades F0, F1, F2, F3, and F4 had cutoff indices 1.62, 1.82, 3.02, 3.32, and 3.67, respectively, and there were significant differences between fibrosis stages F1 and F2, and between F2 and F3 (P < 0.01). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves for the diagnosis of fibrosis (F ≥ 3) using serum WFA(+)-M2BP values (0.812) was almost comparable to that using VTTQ examination (0.814), but was superior to the other surrogate markers, including LMR index (0.766), APRI (0.694), hyaluronic acid (0.683), and type 4 collagen (0.625) (P < 0.01 each).

CONCLUSIONS

Serum WFA(+)-M2BP values based on a glycan-based immunoassay is an accurate, reliable, and reproducible method for the assessment of liver fibrosis. This approach could be clinically feasible for evaluation of beneficial therapy through the quantification of liver fibrosis in hepatitis patients if this measurement application is commercially realized.

Suppression of hepatocellular carcinoma development in hepatitis C patients given interferon-based antiviral therapy

The advance of antiviral treatment for chronic hepatitis C has brought a high sustained virological response (SVR) rate. In this review article, the suppressive effect of interferon (IFN)-based therapy on the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), risk factors for developing HCC and the characteristics of HCC development after SVR among chronic hepatitis C patients given IFN-based therapy were studied. The HCC incidence has been revealed to decrease with IFN-based antiviral therapy, especially in SVR, and the risk factors for developing HCC were older age, advanced liver fibrosis and male sex. α-Fetoprotein levels at 24 weeks after the end of IFN-based treatment was associated strongly with HCC incidence irrespective of virological response. In patients with SVR, other risk factors were glucose metabolism disorders, lipid metabolism disorders and alcohol intake. Extra attention to the possibility of HCC incidence should be required for these SVR patients. Antiviral therapy with a combination of HCV-specific direct-acting antivirals (DAA) is expected to be utilized in the future. However, it is not known whether DAA-based treatment can suppress HCC to the level of IFN-based treatment. Further research is required to clarify this.

Progressive fibrosis significantly correlates with hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with a sustained virological response

AIM

Hepatocellular carcinoma develops even in some patients who achieve a sustained virological response following treatment for hepatitis C virus infection. This study investigated the relationship between changes in fibrosis, as assessed by sequential biopsies, and development of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients who achieved a sustained virological response for hepatitis C virus.

METHODS

We enrolled 97 patients with sustained virological response who had undergone initial biopsies before therapy and sequential biopsies at an average of 5.8 ± 1.9 years after the initial biopsy. Factors associated with hepatocellular carcinoma were retrospectively analyzed.

RESULTS

The liver fibrotic stage regressed in 44 patients (45%), remained stable in 47 patients (48%) and progressed in six patients (6%). The fibrotic stage significantly decreased, from 1.54 ± 0.86 to 1.16 ± 1.07 units. Hepatocellular carcinoma was identified in 12 patients (12.4%). The cumulative incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with progressive fibrosis was significantly higher than that in patients with regressed or stable fibrosis (P < 0.001). A Cox proportional hazards regression analysis confirmed that progressive fibrosis in sequential liver biopsies (hazard ratio [HR], 8.30; P = 0.001) and low platelet counts before treatment (HR, 8.69; P = 0.006) were significant independent factors associated with the development of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with a sustained virological response.

CONCLUSION

Progressive fibrosis, assessed by sequential biopsies, was significantly correlated with development of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients who had achieved a sustained virological response for hepatitis C virus.

The close linkage between the elasticity modulus measured by real-time mapping shear wave elastography and the presence of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with a sustained virological response to interferon for chronic hepatitis C

PURPOSE

Some patients develop hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after sustained virological response (SVR) to interferon therapy for chronic hepatitis C (CH-C). The aim of this study was to examine the linkage between liver elasticity and the presence/absence of HCC in patients after SVR.

METHODS

We enrolled 42 patients who underwent real-time mapping shear wave elastography (SWE) after SVR to interferon therapy for CH-C. Of the 42 patients, six had HCC and 36 did not. We retrospectively compared the elasticity modulus and other clinical parameters between patients with and without HCC.

RESULTS

Elasticity modulus measured by SWE, age, and serum albumin was significantly different between patients with and without HCC. Age, Fibrosis-4 index, serum gamma-globulin, total protein, and albumin levels were significantly correlated with the elasticity modulus. Areas under receiver operating characteristic curves of elasticity modulus, gamma-globulin, and age for the presence of HCC were 0.963, 0.888, and 0.778, respectively. In patients with an elasticity modulus ≥6.5 kPa, both sensitivity and specificity for the presence of HCC were 83.3 %.

CONCLUSION

The study demonstrated the close linkage between the elasticity modulus measured by SWE and the presence of HCC in patients after SVR.

Evaluation of hepatocellular carcinoma development in patients with chronic hepatitis C by EOB-MRI

AIM: To evaluate the efficacy of ethoxibenzyl-magnetic resonance imaging (EOB-MRI) as a predictor of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development.

METHODS: Between August 2008 and 2009, we studied 142 hepatitis C virus-infected patients (male 70, female 72), excluding those with HCC or a past history, who underwent EOB-MRI in our hospital. The EOB-MRI index [liver-intervertebral disc ratio (LI)] was calculated as: (post-liver intensity/post-intervertebral disc intensity)/(pre-liver intensity/pre-intervertebral disc intensity).

RESULTS: The median follow-up period was 3.1 years and the patients were observed until the end of the study period (31 December, 2012). In the follow-up period, HCC occurred in 21 patients. The cumulative occurrence rates were 2.1%, 9.1%, and 14.1% at 1, 2, and 3 years, respectively. Using the optimal cut-off value of LI 1.46, on univariate analysis, age, aspartate amino transferase (AST), α-fetoprotein (AFP) ≥ 10, albumin, total cholesterol, prothrombin time, platelets, and LI < 1.46 were identified as independent factors, but on multivariate analysis, LI < 1.46: risk ratio 6.05 (1.34-27.3, P = 0.019) and AFP ≥ 10: risk ratio 3.1 (1.03-9.35, P = 0.045) were identified as independent risk factors. LI and Fib-4 index have higher area under the receiver operating characteristic curves than other representative fibrosis evaluation methods, such as Forn’s index and AST-to-platelet ratio index.

CONCLUSION: LI is associated with the risk of HCC occurrence in hepatitis C patients. LI may be a substitute for liver biopsy when evaluating this risk and its combined use with Fib-4 is a better predictive method of HCC progression.

Association of Periodontal Diseases and Liver Fibrosis in Patients With HCV and/or HBV infection

BACKGROUND

Periodontal disease and systemic health are closely associated. However, there is no data supporting the association between periodontal disease and patients with liver diseases associated with hepatitis C virus (HCV) and/or hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection.

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between periodontitis and progression of liver diseases in patients with HCV and/or HBV infection.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

In this retrospective study, 351 patients with HCV- and/or HBV-related liver diseases underwent screening for periodontal disease using the Salivaster® salivary occult blood test from February 2010 to June 2014. Furthermore, we examined the prevalence of fimbrillin (fimA) genotype of Porphyromonas gingivalis (P. gingivalis) in 28 HCV-infected patients visited at our hospital between January 2013 and June 2014. P. gingivalis with fimA genotype with types I to V was further detected using a PCR method.

RESULTS

Of 351 patients, 76 patients (group 1) had a strong positive result for salivary occult blood test and 275 patients (group 2) had weak positive or negative test results. Significant factors between the groups were obesity, level of AST, ALT, LDH, ALP, Alb, D.Bil, T.cho, AFP, platelets (Plt), IRI, HOMA-IR, current interferon (IFN) treatment and the daily frequency of tooth brushing. Between-groups analysis indicated that total protein (T.pro) level and liver fibrosis were significant factors. According to multivariate analysis, five factors were associated with periodontal disease as Plt count below 80000, brushing teeth only once a day, current IFN treatment, aged 65 years or older and obesity. The adjusted odds ratios for these five factors were 5.80, 3.46, 2.87, 2.50 and 2.33, respectively, and each was statistically significant. Twenty-eight saliva specimens had positive results for P. gingivalis with fimA genotype types I to V. The prevalence of fimA genotype II was higher in 14 patients with liver cirrhosis or a history of hepatocellular carcinoma treatment (group B, 50.00%) than 14 patients with only hepatitis C (group A, 21.43%).

CONCLUSIONS

Periodontitis might be associated with progression of viral liver disease; hence, controlling oral disease is essential for the prevention and management of liver fibrosis.

Serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 levels affect treatment outcome in pegylated interferon/ribavirin combination therapy for compensated cirrhotic patients with hepatitis C virus genotype 1b and high viral load

AIM

Much is unknown about the effect of 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 levels on the outcome of pegylated interferon/ribavirin (PEG IFN/RBV) therapy for hepatitis C virus-related cirrhosis. The purpose of the present study was to analyze and elucidate factors, including 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 , that contribute to a sustained virological response (SVR) in patients with cirrhosis.

METHODS

We analyzed whether 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 contributes to the response to PEG IFN/RBV therapy among 134 cirrhotic patients.

RESULTS

SVR was achieved in 43 patients. The median 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 level was 20 ng/mL. Univariate analysis showed that the following factors contributed to SVR: low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, albumin, 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 , core a.a.70 (a.a.70) substitutions, the number of mutations at the interferon sensitivity-determining region and IL28B genotype. Multivariate analysis identified IL28B genotype and 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 as independent factors contributing to SVR. Subsequently, SVR rate was examined by using 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 and other important factors. The SVR rate was 51.8% in patients with core a.a.70 wild and ≥15 ng/mL of 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 , whereas the SVR rate was 7.1% in patients with core a.a.70 wild and <15 ng/mL of 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 . The SVR rate was 56.9% in patients with IL28B major genotype and ≥15 ng/mL of 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 . Surprisingly, the SVR rate was 0% in patients with IL28B minor genotype and <15 ng/mL of 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 .

CONCLUSION

IL28B genotype and 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 were identified as independent factors contributing to SVR. Stratified analyses according to core a.a.70 substitution and IL28B genotype suggested that 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 influences the outcome of PEG IFN/RBV therapy for cirrhosis.

Metastatic tumor antigen in hepatocellular carcinoma: golden roads toward personalized medicine

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), a prototype of hypervascular tumors, is one of the most common malignancies in the world, especially hyperendemic in the Far East where chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is highly prevalent. It is characterized by the clinical feature of a poor prognosis or a high mortality due to its already far advanced stages at diagnosis. It is so multifactorial that hepatocarcinogenesis cannot be explained by a single molecular mechanism. To date, a number of pathways have been known to contribute to the development, growth, angiogenesis, and even metastasis of HCC. Among the various factors, metastatic tumor antigens (MTAs) or metastasis-associated proteins have been vigorously investigated as an intriguing target in the field of hepatocarcinogenesis. According to recent studies including ours, MTAs are not only involved in the HCC development and growth (molecular carcinogenesis), but also closely associated with the post-operative recurrence and a poor prognosis or a worse response to post-operative anti-cancer therapy (clinical significance). Herein, we review MTAs in light of their essential structure, functions, and molecular mechanism in hepatocarcinogenesis. We will also focus in detail on the interaction between hepatitis B x protein (HBx) of HBV and MTA in order to clarify the HBV-associated HCC development. Finally, we will discuss the prognostic significance and clinical application of MTA in HCC. We believe that this review will help clinicians to understand the meaning and use of the detection of MTA in order to more effectively manage their HCC patients.

Noninvasive diagnosis of liver fibrosis: utility of data mining of both ultrasound elastography and serological findings to construct a decision tree

OBJECTIVE

Although liver biopsy is the gold standard for viral liver disease management, it is invasive and the sampling error rate is problematic. Real-time tissue elastography (RTE), a recently developed method of ultrasound elastography, can be used to assess liver fibrosis noninvasively but the overlap between fibrosis stages limits its ability to assess liver fibrosis adequately when used alone.

METHODS

A multicenter collaborative study involving 542 patients with chronic viral hepatitis and cirrhosis who were scheduled to undergo liver biopsy compared the image features obtained from RTE image analysis, the liver fibrosis index (LFI), and pathological diagnosis. RTE and a blood test were performed on the same day as the liver biopsy. Data mining was also performed to construct a decision tree, and its diagnostic performance for assessing liver fibrosis was evaluated.

RESULTS

The LFI was higher in patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) than in those with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). When a decision tree was constructed by data mining of RTE and serological findings, the diagnostic accuracy was very high for all fibrosis stages, with respective rates at F1, F2, F3, and F4 of 94.4, 54.1, 38.7, and 81.3% for patients with CHC and of 97.1, 50.0, 43.8, and 80.6% for patients with CHB.

CONCLUSIONS

The variation in LFI values between the different etiologies appears to reflect the difference in the development style of liver fibrosis. The decision tree for assessing liver fibrosis constructed by data mining of both RTE and serological findings had a high diagnostic performance in assessing liver fibrosis and shows promising clinical utility.

Impaired interferon signaling in chronic hepatitis C patients with advanced fibrosis via the transforming growth factor beta signaling pathway

Malnutrition in the advanced fibrosis stage of chronic hepatitis C (CH-C) impairs interferon (IFN) signaling by inhibiting mammalian target of rapamycin complex 1 (mTORC1) signaling. However, the effect of profibrotic signaling on IFN signaling is not known. Here, the effect of transforming growth factor (TGF)-β signaling on IFN signaling and hepatitis C virus (HCV) replication was examined in Huh-7.5 cells by evaluating the expression of forkhead box O3A (Foxo3a), suppressor of cytokine signaling 3 (Socs3), c-Jun, activating transcription factor 2, ras homolog enriched in brain, and mTORC1. The findings were confirmed in liver tissue samples obtained from 91 patients who received pegylated-IFN and ribavirin combination therapy. TGF-β signaling was significantly up-regulated in the advanced fibrosis stage of CH-C. A significant positive correlation was observed between the expression of TGF-β2 and mothers against decapentaplegic homolog 2 (Smad2), Smad2 and Foxo3a, and Foxo3a and Socs3 in the liver of CH-C patients. In Huh-7.5 cells, TGF-β1 activated the Foxo3a promoter through an AP1 binding site; the transcription factor c-Jun was involved in this activation. Foxo3a activated the Socs3 promoter and increased HCV replication. TGF-β1 also inhibited mTORC1 and IFN signaling. Interestingly, c-Jun and TGF-β signaling was up-regulated in treatment-resistant IL28B minor genotype patients (TG/GG at rs8099917), especially in the early fibrosis stage. Branched chain amino acids or a TGF-β receptor inhibitor canceled these effects and showed an additive effect on the anti-HCV activity of direct-acting antiviral drugs (DAAs).

CONCLUSION

Blocking TGF-β signaling could potentiate the antiviral efficacy of IFN- and/ or DAA-based treatment regimens and would be useful for the treatment of difficult-to-cure CH-C patients.

Hepatocarcinogenesis in chronic hepatitis C patients achieving a sustained virological response to interferon: significance of lifelong periodic cancer screening for improving outcomes

BACKGROUND

Due to advances in interferon (IFN) therapy for chronic hepatitis C, most elderly patients, and even many of those with advanced hepatic fibrosis, now achieve a sustained virological response (SVR). However, carcinogenesis remains problematic in these patients. Hence, we aimed to elucidate risk factors for hepatocarcinogenesis in SVR patients and to present an appropriate follow-up protocol for improving outcomes.

METHODS

We retrospectively studied 562 consecutive SVR patients for a median observation period of 4.8 years.

RESULTS

Hepatocellular carcinoma was diagnosed in 31 patients (5.5%). Respective cumulative incidences were 3.1, 10.1, and 15.9% at 5, 10, and 15 years after completion of IFN therapy. The proportional hazards model identified moderate or advanced fibrosis stage, advanced age, habitual alcohol consumption, and alpha-fetoprotein elevation as determinants of carcinogenesis, with hazard ratios of 10.7 (p < 0.001), 4.1 (p < 0.01), 3.9 (p < 0.01), and 2.6 (p < 0.05), respectively. Carcinoma was diagnosed in 26% of patients more than 10 years after completion of IFN therapy. Unexpectedly, F2 fibrosis was detected in 42% of these patients. The 5-year survival rate was 93% in the patients who had received periodic cancer screening but only 60% in those who had not.

CONCLUSION

We recommend that SVR patients be observed at 6-month intervals, at a minimum, to facilitate diagnosis at an early stage, for as long as possible after completion of therapy even if not at an advanced stage of fibrosis.

Elevated serum levels of Wisteria floribunda agglutinin-positive human Mac-2 binding protein predict the development of hepatocellular carcinoma in hepatitis C patients

The Wisteria floribunda agglutinin-positive human Mac-2-binding protein (WFA+-M2BP) was recently shown to be a liver fibrosis glycobiomarker with a unique fibrosis-related glycoalteration. We evaluated the ability of WFA+-M2BP to predict the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients who were infected with the hepatitis C virus (HCV). A total of 707 patients who had been admitted to our hospital with chronic HCV infection without other potential risk factors were evaluated to determine the ability of WFA+-M2BP to predict the development of HCC; factors evaluated included age, sex, viral load, genotypes, fibrosis stage, aspartate and alanine aminotransferase levels, bilirubin, albumin, platelet count, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), WFA+-M2BP, and the response to interferon (IFN) therapy. Serum WFA+-M2BP levels were significantly increased according to the progression of liver fibrosis stage (P<0.001). In each distinctive stage of fibrosis (F0-F1, F2, F3, and F4), the risk of development of HCC was increased according to the elevation of WFA+-M2BP. Multivariate analysis identified age>57 years, F4, AFP>20 ng/mL, WFA+-M2BP ≥4, and WFA+-M2BP 1-4 as well as the response to IFN (no therapy vs. sustained virological response) as independent risk factors for the development of HCC. The time-dependent areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve demonstrated that the WFA+-M2BP assay predicted the development of HCC with higher diagnostic accuracy than AFP.

CONCLUSION

WFA+-M2BP can be applied as a useful surrogate marker for the risk of HCC development, in addition to liver biopsy.

Pathogenesis and prevention of hepatitis C virus-induced hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) is one of the major aetiologic agents that causes hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) by generating an inflammatory, fibrogenic, and carcinogenic tissue microenvironment in the liver. HCV-induced HCC is a rational target for cancer preventive intervention because of the clear-cut high-risk condition, cirrhosis, associated with high cancer incidence (1% to 7% per year). Studies have elucidated direct and indirect carcinogenic effects of HCV, which have in turn led to the identification of candidate HCC chemoprevention targets. Selective molecular targeted agents may enable personalized strategies for HCC chemoprevention. In addition, multiple experimental and epidemiological studies suggest the potential value of generic drugs or dietary supplements targeting inflammation, oxidant stress, or metabolic derangements as possible HCC chemopreventive agents. While the successful use of highly effective direct-acting antiviral agents will make important inroads into reducing long-term HCC risk, there will remain an important role for HCC chemoprevention even after viral cure, given the persistence of HCC risk in persons with advanced HCV fibrosis, as shown in recent studies. The successful development of cancer preventive therapies will be more challenging compared to cancer therapeutics because of the requirement for larger and longer clinical trials and the need for a safer toxicity profile given its use as a preventive agent. Molecular biomarkers to selectively identify high-risk population could help mitigate these challenges. Genome-wide, unbiased molecular characterization, high-throughput drug/gene screening, experimental model-based functional analysis, and systems-level in silico modelling are expected to complement each other to facilitate discovery of new HCC chemoprevention targets and therapies.

Role of antiviral treatment for HCC prevention

Chemoprevention of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is listed as a yet highly debated long-term benefit of a successful treatment of patients with chronic viral hepatitis. In the hepatitis B virus (HBV) arena, the retrospective scrutiny of both interferon and nucleos(t)ide analogues (NUC) studies failed to provide robust evidence for HCC chemoprevention, due to a number of confoundings in the studies that were originally designed to assess the antiviral activity of interferon therapy. However, the reanalysis of outcomes following patients stratification for risk factors of HCC, provided a clue to find an association between NUC therapy and a reduced risk of liver cancer in non cirrhotic patients, only. In the hepatitis C scenario, a meta analysis of 30 observational studies of patients treated with interferon demonstrated a more than 70% reduction of HCC risk occurring independently of severity of underlying liver fibrosis which was less pronounced in aged patients and those with more advanced liver fibrosis. While the reasons for the residual risk of HCC in virological responders remain largely unexplained, international societies recommend surveillance for HCC of both HBV and HCV responders to antiviral therapy.

Influence of interleukin-28B polymorphism on progression to hepatitis virus-induced hepatocellular carcinoma

Genetic variation of interleukin-28B (IL-28B) rs12979860 T/C polymorphism is associated with the immune response to interferon (IFN) therapy, which is applied in the treatment of chronic viral hepatitis induced by hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV). These chronic liver diseases could progress to end-stage liver diseases, such as hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The aim of this study was to clarify whether there exists a causal association between IL-28B rs12979860 T/C polymorphism and development of HCC. In a meta-analysis of six studies with 850 cases and 811 controls, we summarized the data on the association between IL-28B rs12979860 T/C polymorphism and HCC risk and calculated ORs and 95 % CIs to estimate the association strength. We observed that IL-28B rs12979860 T/C polymorphism was positively associated with overall HCC risk (TT vs. CC: OR = 2.38; 95 %, 1.60-3.55; TT vs CT + CC: OR = 1.79; 95 %, 1.23-2.60). In the stratified analysis by ethnicity, the robust association retained in Caucasians with higher risk among TT carriers relative to the CC carriers. A similar trend was found in the studies of healthy controls when data were stratified by source of controls. The combined data suggest that IL-28B rs12979860 T/C polymorphism seems to augment the risk of developing HCC, especially in Caucasians.

Diagnostic accuracy of real-time tissue elastography for the staging of liver fibrosis: a meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the overall accuracy of real-time tissue elastography (RTE) for the staging of liver fibrosis.

METHODS

We systematically reviewed 15 studies (1,626 subjects) in which sensitivity and specificity of RTE for liver fibrosis are available. For each cut-off stage of fibrosis, i.e., F ≥ 1, F ≥ 2, F ≥ 3, and F ≥ 4, summary sensitivity and specificity were estimated using a bivariate random-effects model. Publication bias was assessed using funnel plots and Egger's test.

RESULTS

Summary sensitivity and specificity were 0.79 and 0.76 for F ≥ 2, 0.82 and 0.81 for F ≥ 3, and 0.74 and 0.84 for F ≥ 4, respectively. Meta-regressions revealed scoring methods of RTE and liver diseases in the samples might not influence sensitivity and specificity of RTE. However, the estimated accuracy of RTE might be overestimated due to publication bias (p = 0.004 for F ≥ 2, p < 0.001 for F ≥ 3, and p = 0.002 for F ≥ 4).

CONCLUSIONS

RTE is not highly accurate for any cut-off stage of fibrosis. Compared with findings of meta-analyses on Transient Elastography and Acoustic Radiation Force Impulse imaging, the overall accuracy of RTE seems to be nearly identical for the evaluation of significant liver fibrosis, but less accurate for the evaluation of cirrhosis.

KEY POINTS

• Non-invasive methods for evaluating liver fibrosis are necessary to replace liver biopsy. • ARFI is as accurate as TE for evaluating liver fibrosis. • RTE may be as accurate as TE and ARFI for fibrosis. • RTE may be less accurate than TE and ARFI for cirrhosis. • The estimated accuracy of RTE may be overestimated by publication bias.

Cost-effectiveness of boceprevir co-administration versus pegylated interferon-α2b and ribavirin only for patients with hepatitis C genotype 1 in Singapore

BACKGROUND

Patients infected with chronic HCV genotype 1 experience liver complications as the disease progresses. This study aims to project the long-term reduction of liver complications and cost-effectiveness of treatment strategies, including co-administrating boceprevir (BOC) with pegylated interferon-α2b (PEG-IFN) and ribavirin compared with standard of care (SOC) of PEG-IFN and ribavirin only.

METHODS

A Markov model was created to estimate the expected costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) associated with treatment strategies outlined in the BOC package insert in Singapore. Patient characteristics were from pivotal trials, the transition probabilities and QALYs were estimated from publications, and the pharmaceutical and health status costs were obtained from a public hospital in Singapore. The threshold of cost-effectiveness was chosen as 65,000 SGD for this study.

RESULTS

For treatment-naive patients, BOC is highly cost-effective compared with SOC (179 SGD/QALY) and cost-saving for patients who have failed prior treatment, due to higher QALYs from better sustained virological response (SVR) and lower costs from avoidance of complications. Sub-group analyses show that BOC is cost-effective for non-cirrhotic treatment-experienced patients and null responders. It out-performs SOC for treatment-naive non-cirrhotic and cirrhotic patients who have failed prior treatment. Even after adjusting for higher prevalence of favourable IL28B genotype in Asians, BOC is cost-effective compared with SOC. Only untreated cirrhotic patients showed inconclusive cost-effectiveness for BOC.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with SOC, BOC prevents more HCV liver complications from HCV genotype 1, particularly in patients who have failed previous SOC. Improved SVR and shortened duration of treatment result in BOC being potentially cost-saving or cost-effective in an Asian population.

Surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a dreaded complication of cirrhosis as it is the commonest cause of mortality in these patients. The last few years have seen a dramatic improvement in the management of this tumor as nearly 50-70% of selected patients with early HCC survive for a median period of up to 5 years after liver transplantation, resection or local ablation. Surveillance has been found to be an effective tool to detect early tumors and expand the applicability of these curative treatment options. Semiannual ultrasonogram is recommended for surveillance by the American, European and Asia Pacific liver societies and is the standard of care in many countries. There is increasing evidence that this practice improves survival too. Since the only way to improve the outlook of HCC is its diagnosis prior to commencement of symptoms, providing surveillance becomes a major responsibility of physicians caring for patients with chronic liver disease. This review attempts to discuss the population at risk of HCC, modalities and frequency of surveillance tests, cost effectiveness and also the logistics of its delivery in the Indian context.

Thrombocytopenia in pegylated interferon and ribavirin combination therapy for chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to examine the therapeutic effect and prognostic indicators of pegylated interferon (PEG-IFN) and ribavirin (RBV) combination therapy in thrombocytopenic patients with chronic hepatitis C, hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related cirrhosis, and those who underwent splenectomy or partial splenic embolization (PSE).

METHODS

Of 326 patients with HCV-related chronic liver disease (252 with genotype 1b and 74 with genotype 2a/2b) treated with PEG-IFN/RBV, 90 were diagnosed with cirrhosis.

RESULTS

Regardless of the degree of thrombocytopenia, the administration rate was significantly higher in the splenectomy/PSE group compared to the cirrhosis group. However, in patients with genotype 1b, the sustained virological response (SVR) rate was significantly lower in the cirrhosis and the splenectomy/PSE groups compared to the chronic hepatitis group. No cirrhotic patients with platelets less than 80,000 achieved an SVR. Patients with genotype 2a/2b were more likely to achieve an SVR than genotype 1b. Prognostic factors for SVR in patients with genotype 1b included the absence of esophageal and gastric varices, high serum ALT, low AST/ALT ratio, and the major homo type of the IL28B gene. Splenectomy- or PSE-facilitated induction of IFN in patients with genotype 2a/2b was more likely to achieve an SVR by an IFN dose maintenance regimen. Patients with genotype 1b have a low SVR regardless of splenectomy/PSE. In particular, patients with a hetero/minor type of IL28B did not have an SVR.

CONCLUSIONS

Splenectomy/PSE for IFN therapy should be performed in patients expected to achieve a treatment response, considering their genotype and IL28B.

TGF-β/Smad signaling during hepatic fibro-carcinogenesis (review)

After hepatitis virus infection, plasma transforming growth factor (TGF)-β increases in either the acute or chronic inflammatory microenvironment. Although TGF-β is upregulated in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma, it is one of the most potent growth inhibitors for hepatocytes. This cytokine also upregulates extracellular matrix (ECM) production of hepatic stellate cells. Therefore, TGF-β is considered to be the major factor regulating liver carcinogenesis and accelerating liver fibrosis. Smad2 and Smad3 act as the intracellular mediators of TGF-β signal transduction pathway. We have generated numerous antibodies against individual phosphorylation sites in Smad2/3, and identified 3 types of phosphorylated forms (phospho-isoforms): COOH-terminally phosphorylated Smad2/3 (pSmad2C and pSmad3C), linker phosphorylated Smad2/3 (pSmad2L and pSmad3L) and dually phosphorylated Smad2/3 (pSmad2L/C and pSmad3L/C). These Smad phospho-isoforms are categorized into 3 groups: cytostatic pSmad3C signaling, mitogenic pSmad3L signaling and invasive/fibrogenic pSmad2L/C signaling. In this review, we describe differential regulation of TGF-β/Smad signaling after acute or chronic liver injuries. In addition, we consider how chronic inflammation associated with hepatitis virus infection promotes hepatic fibrosis and carcinogenesis (fibro-carcinogenesis), focusing on alteration of Smad phospho-isoform signaling. Finally, we show reversibility of Smad phospho-isoform signaling after therapy against hepatitis virus infection.

Genetic variation near interleukin 28B and the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND

We aimed to clarify the association between single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) located near interleukin 28B and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

A cohort comprising 792 patients treated with interferon for chronic hepatitis C was investigated. SNPs at rs8099917 and rs12979860 were determined. Cumulative incidence and HCC risk were analyzed by Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazard analyses for a mean follow-up period of 4.9 years. Fibrosis progression rate (FPR) was determined in these patients with a known time of infection (n = 294).

RESULTS

Cumulative HCC incidence was significantly higher in rs8099917 nonTT (minor homozygote or heterozygote) patients than in rs8099917 TT (major homozygote) patients (20.8 vs. 10.5% over 10 years, logrank test, p = 0.002). This difference was notable in patients infected with genotype 1 and those treated with pegylated interferon and ribavirin. Among nonSVRs, interferon had a limited effect in suppressing alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and/or α-fetoprotein (AFP) levels in nonTT patients. The suppression of these values after interferon therapy was associated with a lower incidence of HCC. FPR were similar in TT and nonTT patients.

CONCLUSIONS

rs8099917 nonTT is related to higher HCC development in patients with HCV genotype 1 and those treated with pegylated interferon and ribavirin. Higher HCC incidence observed in nonTT patients partly results from the limited suppression of ALT and/or AFP by interferon in these patients.

Post-treatment levels of α-fetoprotein predict incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma after interferon therapy

BACKGROUND & AIMS

In patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, lack of sustained virologic response (SVR) 24 weeks after the end of interferon therapy is a significant risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Although many pretreatment factors are known to affect HCC incidence, less is known about post-treatment factors-many change during the course of interferon therapy.

METHODS

We performed a prospective study, collecting data from 2659 patients with chronic hepatitis C without a history of HCC who had been treated with pegylated interferon (Peg-IFN) plus ribavirin from 2002 through 2008 at hospitals in Japan. Biopsy specimens were collected before treatment; all patients received Peg-IFN plus ribavirin for 48 to 72 weeks (HCV genotype 1) or 24 weeks (HCV genotype 2). Hematologic, biochemical, and virologic data were collected every 4 weeks during treatment and every 6 months after treatment. HCC was diagnosed based on angiography, computed tomography, and/or magnetic resonance imaging findings.

RESULTS

HCC developed in 104 patients during a mean observation period of 40 months. Older age, male sex, lower platelet counts and higher levels of α-fetoprotein at baseline, and lack of an SVR were significant risk factors for HCC. The cumulative incidence of HCC was significantly lower in patients without SVRs who relapsed than those with no response to treatment. Levels of α-fetoprotein 24 weeks after the end of treatment (AFP24) were significantly lower than levels of α-fetoprotein at baseline in patients with SVRs and those who relapsed, but not in nonresponders. Post-treatment risk factors for HCC among patients with SVRs included higher AFP24 level and older age; among those without SVRs, risk factors included higher AFP24 level, integrated level of alanine aminotransferase, older age, and male sex. AFP24 (≥10 ng/mL, 10-5 ng/mL, and then <5 ng/mL) was a better predictor of HCC incidence than pretreatment level of AFP among patients with and without SVRs.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with chronic HCV infection, levels of α-fetoprotein decrease during interferon therapy. High post-treatment levels of α-fetoprotein predict HCC, regardless of whether patients achieve an SVR. University Hospital Medical Information Network Clinical Trials Registry: C000000196, C000000197.