Perioperative atrial fibrillation and the long-term risk of ischemic stroke

New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation Is a Red Flag to Microvascular Free Tissue Transfer Failure in Head and Neck Cancer Patients

BACKGROUND

 Postoperative new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) has been shown to be associated with increased surgical morbidity and mortality following cancer ablation surgery. However, evidence of new-onset AF's impact on surgical outcomes in head and neck cancer patients undergoing tumor ablation and microvascular free tissue transfer remains scarce. This study aims to evaluate the association between AF and surgical outcomes in these patients.

METHODS

 We enrolled head and neck cancer patients who underwent tumor ablation reconstructed with microvascular free tissue transfer from the National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD). Patients were grouped into the following: (1) without AF, (2) new-onset AF, and (3) preexisting AF. The groups were matched by propensity score based on age, gender, cancer stage, and comorbidities. The primary outcome was postoperative complications, whereas all-cause mortality was the secondary outcome.

RESULTS

 In total, 26,817 patients were included in this study. After matching, we identified 2,176 (79.24%) patients without AF, 285 (10.37%) with preexisting AF, and 285 (10.37%) with new-onset AF. Our results demonstrated that the free flap failure rate was twofold escalated in patients with new-onset AF (9.8%) compared to those without AF (5.4%) or preexisting AF (5.3%; p = 0.01). However, we did not identify significant differences among other postoperative complications across groups. Additionally, we found that the risk of all-cause mortality was significantly elevated in patients with preexisting AF (p < 0.001) compared to those without AF or new-onset AF.

CONCLUSION

 Our study demonstrated that new-onset AF is associated with an increased risk of flap failure and could serve as a predictor. On the other hand, all-cause mortality in patients with preexisting AF was significantly elevated. Close postoperative monitoring in patients with new-onset and preexisting AF is crucial to identify any potential adverse effects.

Ethnic Differences in Atrial Fibrillation in the United Kingdom

Background

Within the United States, White individuals experience a higher risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) while exhibiting a lower AF-related stroke risk compared to other ethnic groups. It is possible that these observations stem from phenomena unique to the United States, such as differential health care access. The United Kingdom provides socialized medicine, which ostensibly promotes equitable health care access.

Objectives

The purpose of the study was to examine whether ethnic differences in the risks of AF and AF-related stroke and systemic infarcts exist in the United Kingdom.

Methods

We leveraged longitudinal data from the UK Biobank between January 1, 2006, and June 30, 2020. Ethnicity was categorized as White, Black, South Asian, Chinese, or multiracial. Incident AF, stroke, and systemic infarct were ascertained from in- and out-patient records.

Results

A total of 458,785 participants (438,333 White, 7,244 Black, 9,143 South Asian, 1,376 Chinese, and 2,689 multiracial) were included. After excluding those with prevalent AF, 8,706 developed incident AF. Black individuals (HR: 0.60; 95% CI: 0.49-0.74; P < 0.001), South Asians (HR: 0.59; 95% CI: 0.49-0.72; P < 0.001), and Chinese (HR: 0.31; 95% CI: 0.12-0.83; P = 0.002) each exhibited substantially lower risks of AF compared to White individuals after multivariable adjustment. In AF participants, incident stroke and systemic infarct occurred in 1,550. No significant differences in the risk of AF-related stroke and systemic infarcts by ethnicity were detected, but small numbers of these events were present.

Conclusions

In a European population with universal access to health care, White individuals consistently experienced the highest risk of AF, but there were no detectable differences in AF-related stroke or systemic infarcts.

Perioperative Care of Heart Failure, Arrhythmias, and Valvular Heart Disease

Frequently, the question of whether or not a patient is stable for surgery boils down to the question, "Does this patient need a preoperative stress test?" However, coronary artery disease and ischemic heart disease are only some of the many cardiac conditions that patients present with preoperatively-and that can negatively impact their intraoperative management and postoperative outcomes. This article will explore the evidence based, patient centered best practices surrounding the perioperative evaluation and management of heart failure, arrhythmias, and valvular heart disease.

Temporal Trends in the Management Practices of Clinically Important Perioperative Atrial Fibrillation After Noncardiac Surgery

Background

Clinically important perioperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is a common cardiac complication after noncardiac surgery. Little is known about how patients with POAF are managed acutely and whether practices have changed over time.

Methods

We conducted an observational substudy of patients who had POAF, were at elevated cardiovascular risk, and were enrolled in the PeriOperative Ischemic Evaluation (POISE)-1, 2 and 3 trials between 2002 and 2021. POAF was defined as new, clinically important atrial fibrillation occurring within 30 days after surgery. We assessed the use of rhythm-control and anticoagulation treatment in response to POAF, at hospital discharge and at 30 days after surgery. We assessed for temporal trends using multivariable logistic regression.

Results

Of the 27,896 patients included, 545 (1.9%) developed clinically important POAF. Patients received rhythm-control treatment in 48.6% of cases. The level of use of rhythm-control treatment increased over the course of the trials (POISE-1 vs POISE-2 vs POISE-3; 40.9% vs 49.5% vs 59.1%). A later randomization date was associated independently with use of rhythm-control treatment (odds ratio, 1.05 per year; 95% confidence interval, 1.01-1.09). Anticoagulation treatment was prescribed in 21% of POAF cases. The level of anticoagulation treatement use was higher in POISE-3, compared to that in the 2 previous trials (POISE-1 vs POISE-2 vs POISE-3-16.4% vs 16.5% vs 33.6%). A later randomization date was associated independently with use of anticoagulation treatment (odds ratio, 1.06 per year; 95% confidence interval, 1.02-1.11).

Conclusions

Despite the absence of randomized controlled trials, the level of use of rhythm-control and anticoagulation treatment for POAF is rising. High-quality trials are needed urgently to determine whether these interventions are safe and effective in this population.

Performance of Atrial Fibrillation Burden Trends for Stroke Risk Stratification

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with an increased risk of stroke, yet the limitations of conventional monitoring have restricted our understanding of AF burden risk thresholds. Predictive algorithms incorporating continuous AF burden measures may be useful for predicting stroke. This study evaluated the performance of temporal AF burden trends as predictors of stroke from a large cohort with insertable cardiac monitors.

METHODS

Using deidentified data from Optum Clinformatics Data Mart (2007-2019) linked with the Medtronic CareLink insertable cardiac monitor database, we identified patients with an insertable cardiac monitor for AF management (n=1197), suspected AF (n=1611), and cryptogenic stroke (n=2205). Daily AF burden was transformed into simple moving averages, and temporal AF burden trends were defined as the comparison of unique simple moving average pairs. Classification trees were used to predict ischemic stroke, and AF burden significance was quantified using bootstrapped mean variable importance.

RESULTS

Of 5013 patients (age, 69.2±11.7 years; 50% male; CHA2DS2-VASc, 3.7±1.9) who met inclusion criteria, 869 had an ischemic stroke over 2 409 437 days total follow-up. Prior stroke or transient ischemic attack (variable importance, 13.13) was the number 1 predictor of future stroke followed by no prior diagnosis of AF (7.35) and AF burden trends in follow-up (2.59). Temporal proximity of AF and risk of stroke differed by device indication (simple moving averages: AF management, <8 days and suspected AF and cryptogenic stroke, 8-21 days). Together, baseline characteristics and AF burden trends performed optimally for the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.73), specificity (0.70), and relative risk (5.00).

CONCLUSIONS

AF burden trends may provide incremental prognostic value as leading indicators of stroke risk compared with conventional schemes.

Role of anticoagulation therapy in modifying stroke risk associated with new-onset atrial fibrillation after non-cardiac surgery

The role of antithrombotic therapy in the prevention of ischemic stroke after non-cardiac surgery is unclear. In this study, we tested the hypothesis that the association of new-onset postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) on ischemic stroke can be mitigated by postoperative oral anticoagulation therapy. Of 251,837 adult patients (155,111 female (61.6%) and 96,726 male (38.4%)) who underwent non-cardiac surgical procedures at two sites, POAF was detected in 4,538 (1.8%) patients. The occurrence of POAF was associated with increased 1-year ischemic stroke risk (3.6% versus 2.3%; adjusted risk ratio (RRadj) = 1.60 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.37-1.87), P < 0.001). In patients with POAF, the risk of developing stroke attributable to POAF was 1.81 (95% CI: 1.44-2.28; P < 0.001) without oral anticoagulation, whereas, in patients treated with anticoagulation, no significant association was observed between POAF and stroke (RRadj = 1.04 (95% CI: 0.71-1.51), P = 0.847, P for interaction = 0.013). Furthermore, we derived and validated a computational model for the prediction of POAF after non-cardiac surgery based on demographics, comorbidities and procedural risk. These findings suggest that POAF is predictable and associated with an increased risk of postoperative ischemic stroke in patients who do not receive postoperative anticoagulation.

Stroke Prevention With Prophylactic Left Atrial Appendage Occlusion in Cardiac Surgery Patients Without Atrial Fibrillation: A Meta-Analysis of Randomized and Propensity-Score Studies

BACKGROUND

The role of left atrial appendage occlusion (LAAO) in patients without previous atrial fibrillation (AF) is not established. This meta-analysis was conducted on patients with normal sinus rhythm who underwent cardiac surgery, with and without concomitant LAAO, to evaluate its effect on the incidence of cerebrovascular accidents (CVAs).

METHODS

A systematic review was conducted from inception until December 2023 for randomized and propensity-score studies comparing CVA in patients without AF undergoing cardiac surgery with or without LAAO.

RESULTS

Six studies met our inclusion criteria with a total of 4130 patients: 2146 in the LAAO group and 1984 in the no-LAAO group. The risk ratio of postoperative AF was 1.05 (95% CI, 0.86-1.28); P=0.628. The CVA rates at 5 years were 6.8±1.0% in the no-LAAO group and 4.3±0.8% in the LAAO group (log-rank P=0.021). The Cox regression analysis for CVA in patients undergoing LAAO reported a hazard ratio of 0.65 (95% CI, 0.45-0.94); P=0.022. Landmark analysis at 4 years highlighted a significant difference in overall survival between no-LAAO and LAAO groups, 86±12.2% versus 89.6±11.0%; P=0.041.

CONCLUSIONS

In this meta-analysis of patients without previous AF undergoing cardiac surgery, LAAO was associated with a decreased risk of CVA, no difference in the incidence of postoperative atrial fibrillation, and a significant overall survival benefit at a 4-year landmark analysis. Although these findings support LAAO, the randomized LeAAPS trial (Left Atrial Appendage Exclusion for Prophylactic Stroke Reduction Trial), LAA-CLOSURE trial (A Randomized Prospective Multicenter Trial for Stroke Prevention by Prophylactic Surgical Closure of the Left Atrial Appendage in Patients Undergoing Bioprosthetic Aortic Valve Surgery), and LAACS-2 trial (Left Atrial Appendage Closure by Surgery-2) will help define the effectiveness of LAAO in patients undergoing cardiac surgery who have risk factors for AF and CVA.

REGISTRATION

URL: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/; Unique identifier: CRD42024496366.

Postoperative atrial fibrillation in mitral valve surgery is not benign

OBJECTIVE

Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is common after cardiac surgery and is often considered to be benign despite recent data suggesting worse outcomes. There are no guidelines for the amount of POAF that triggers anticoagulation or for postoperative surveillance. We examined the rate of POAF, incidence of neurologic events, development of permanent atrial fibrillation, and mortality in patients undergoing isolated mitral valve surgery at a Mitral Foundation reference center.

METHODS

This is a retrospective cohort study of 922 adult patients from 2011 to 2022 with no preoperative history of arrhythmias. Multivariable logistic regression was used to identify independent risk factors for the primary outcomes. Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional-hazards model were used to characterize long-term survival.

RESULTS

The incidence of POAF was 39%. Median follow-up was 4.9 months (interquartile range, 1.1-42.6 months). Diabetes (odds ratio [OR], 2.2; 95% CI, 1.2-4.1; P = .01) and increasing age (OR, 1.1; 95% CI, 1.0-1.1; P < .001) were risk factors for POAF, whereas New York Heart Association functional class was not. POAF was a risk factor for the development of permanent atrial fibrillation (OR, 3.2; 95% CI 1.9-5.4; P < .001), which was associated with increased risk of neurologic events (OR, 3.8; 95% CI, 1.5-9.7; P = .004). Ultimately, patients with POAF had worse unadjusted (P < .001) and adjusted long-term mortality (hazard ratio, 1.8; 95% CI, 1.1-3.1; P = .03).

CONCLUSIONS

POAF is associated with an increased rate of neurologic events, portends development of permanent atrial fibrillation, and is associated with worse long-term survival. POAF is not benign and carries a long-term mortality implication.

Atrial fibrillation after cardiac surgery: identifying candidate predictors through a Delphi process

OBJECTIVES

This study was undertaken to identify potential predictors of atrial fibrillation after cardiac surgery (AFACS) through a modified Delphi process and expert consensus. These will supplement predictors identified through a systematic review and cohort study to inform the development of two AFACS prediction models as part of the PARADISE project (NCT05255224). Atrial fibrillation is a common complication after cardiac surgery. It is associated with worse postoperative outcomes. Reliable prediction of AFACS would enable risk stratification and targeted prevention. Systematic identification of candidate predictors is important to improve validity of AFACS prediction tools.

DESIGN

This study is a Delphi consensus exercise.

SETTING

This study was undertaken through remote participation.

PARTICIPANTS

The participants are an international multidisciplinary panel of experts selected through national research networks.

INTERVENTIONS

This is a two-stage consensus exercise consisting of generating a long list of variables, followed by refinement by voting and retaining variables selected by at least 40% of panel members.

RESULTS

The panel comprised 15 experts who participated in both stages, comprising cardiac intensive care physicians (n=3), cardiac anaesthetists (n=2), cardiac surgeons (n=1), cardiologists (n=4), cardiac pharmacists (n=1), critical care nurses (n=1), cardiac nurses (n=1) and patient representatives (n=2). Our Delphi process highlighted candidate AFACS predictors, including both patient factors and those related to the surgical intervention. We generated a final list of 72 candidate predictors. The final list comprised 3 demographic, 29 comorbidity, 4 vital sign, 13 intraoperative, 10 postoperative investigation and 13 postoperative intervention predictors.

CONCLUSIONS

A Delphi consensus exercise has the potential to highlight predictors beyond the scope of existing literature. This method proved effective in identifying a range of candidate AFACS predictors. Our findings will inform the development of future AFACS prediction tools as part of the larger PARADISE project.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT05255224.

Perioperative outcome of left atrial appendage amputation in coronary artery bypass grafting

BACKGROUND

Left atrial appendage (LAA) amputation performed alongside cardiac surgery has become an increasingly established procedure to reduce stroke risk in patients with atrial fibrillation. As the recommendation levels for LAA amputation continue to rise, ample evidence assessing its perioperative safety and risk factors is of utmost interest.

METHODS

All patients who underwent isolated coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) between 2018 and 2021 at two high-volume centers were retrospectively included in the study. Patients were divided into two groups-the CABG and CABG + LAA groups-based on whether they underwent concomitant LAA amputation. Propensity score matching (PS matching) was applied to ensure comparability between the groups. The primary endpoint was defined as a composite outcome comprising of all-cause mortality, stroke, and reoperation. Secondary endpoints included the components of the primary endpoint, perioperative outcome parameters, transfusion rates, and laboratory parameters.

RESULTS

A total of 3904 patients were included with 3038 and 866 in the CABG and CABG + LAA group, respectively. After PS matching each group consisted of 856 patients. The primary endpoint showed no significant differences between the CABG and CABG + LAA group (7.0% vs. 6.5% (OR 0.9 95% CI [0.64; 1.35], p = 0.70)). Similarly, there were no notable differences in the individual components of the composite endpoint: all-cause mortality (p = 0.84), stroke (p = 0.74), and reoperation (p = 0.50). Subgroup results did not show any relevant dissimilarity.

CONCLUSION

The concomitant performance of LAA amputation is not associated with worse in-hospital outcomes, as measured by the composite endpoint of all-cause mortality, stroke, and reoperation.

Risk Factors and Prognosis of Perioperative Atrial Fibrillation in Elderly Patients Undergoing VATS Lung Surgery: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) has become the most common postoperative arrhythmia of thoracic surgery. This study aimed to investigate the risk factors and complications of perioperative atrial fibrillation (PoAF) in elderly patients who underwent video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery (VATS).

Methods

Data were collected from patients who underwent VATS between January 2013 and December 2022 at Peking Union Medical College Hospital (PUMCH). Univariable analyses and multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to determine the factors correlated with PoAF. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the discrimination of the indicators to predict PoAF.

Results

The study enrolled 2920 patients, with a PoAF incidence of 5.2% (95% CI 4.4%-6.0%). In the logistic regression analyses, male sex (OR=1.496, 95% CI 1.056-2.129, P=0.024), left atrial anteroposterior dimension (LAD) ≥40 mm (OR=2.154, 95% CI 1.235-3.578, P=0.004), hypertension (HTN) without regular treatment (OR=2.044, 95% CI 0.961-3.921, P=0.044), a history of hyperthyroidism (OR=4.443, 95% CI 0.947-15.306, P=0.030), surgery of the left upper lobe (compared to other lung lobes) (OR=1.625, 95% CI 1.139-2.297, P=0.007), postoperative high blood glucose (BG) (OR=2.482, 95% CI 0.912-5.688, P=0.048), and the time of chest tube removal (per day postoperatively) (OR=1.116, 95% CI 1.038-1.195, P=0.002) were found to be significantly associated with PoAF. The area under the ROC curve was 0.707 (95% CI 0.519-0.799). 86.9% patients were successfully converted to sinus rhythm. Compared with the non-PoAF group, the PoAF group had significantly greater risks of prolonged air leakage, postoperative acute coronary syndrome, longer ICU stays, and longer hospital stays.

Conclusion

Male sex, LAD≥40 mm, HTN without regular treatment, a history of hyperthyroidism, surgery of the left upper lobe, postoperative BG, and the time of chest tube removal were associated with PoAF. These findings may help clinicians identify high-risk patients and take preventive measures to minimize the incidence and adverse prognosis of PoAF.

Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation Prediction by Left Atrial Size in Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting and Five-Year Survival Outcome

Background: Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation (POAF) is a common complication in cardiac surgery. Despite its multifactorial origin, the left atrial (LA) size is closely linked to POAF, raising the question of a valid cut-off value and its impact on the long-term outcome. Methods: Patients without a history of AF who underwent coronary artery bypass grafting between 2014 and 2016 were selected for this retrospective study. LA size was preoperatively assessed using the left atrial anterior-posterior diameter (LAAPd). Correlation and logistic regression analyses were performed, following a receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Propensity score matching (PSM) was applied to ensure group comparability, followed by a comparison analysis regarding the primary endpoint of POAF and the secondary endpoints of all-cause mortality and stroke during a five-year follow-up. Results: A total of 933 patients were enrolled in the study eventually revealing a significant correlation between LAAPd and POAF (cor = 0.09, p < 0.01). A cut-off point of 38.5 mm was identified, resulting in groups with 366 patients each after PSM. Overall, patients with a dilated LA presented a significantly higher rate of POAF (22.3% vs. 30.4%, p = 0.02). In a five-year follow-up, a slightly higher rate of all-cause mortality (9.8% vs. 13.7%, HR 1.4 [0.92-2.29], p = 0.10) was observed, but there was no difference in the occurrence of strokes (3.6% vs. 3.3%, p = 0.87). Conclusions: An LAAPd of >38.5 mm was found to be an independent predictor of POAF after coronary artery bypass grafting and resulted in a non-significant tendency towards a worse outcome regarding all-cause mortality in a five-year follow-up.

The left atrial appendage closure by surgery 2 trial: statistical analysis plan for a randomized multicenter trial exploring if the closure of the left atrial appendage during open-heart surgery reduces stroke irrespective of patients' stroke risk and preoperative atrial fibrillation status

BACKGROUND

Surgical left atrial appendage (LAA) closure concomitant to open-heart surgery prevents thromboembolism in high-risk patients. Nevertheless, high-level evidence does not exist for LAA closure performed in patients with any CHA2DS2-VASc score and preoperative atrial fibrillation or flutter (AF) status-the current trial attempts to provide such evidence.

METHODS

The study is designed as a randomized, open-label, blinded outcome assessor, multicenter trial of adult patients undergoing first-time elective open-heart surgery. Patients with and without AF and any CHA2DS2-VASc score will be enrolled. The primary exclusion criteria are planned LAA closure, planned AF ablation, or ongoing endocarditis. Before randomization, a three-step stratification process will sort patients by site, surgery type, and preoperative or expected oral anticoagulation treatment. Patients will undergo balanced randomization (1:1) to LAA closure on top of the planned cardiac surgery or standard care. Block sizes vary from 8 to 16. Neurologists blinded to randomization will adjudicate the primary outcome of stroke, including transient ischemic attack (TIA). The secondary outcomes include a composite outcome of stroke, including TIA, and silent cerebral infarcts, an outcome of ischemic stroke, including TIA, and a composite outcome of stroke and all-cause mortality. LAA closure is expected to provide a 60% relative risk reduction. In total, 1500 patients will be randomized and followed for 2 years.

DISCUSSION

The trial is expected to help form future guidelines within surgical LAA closure. This statistical analysis plan ensures transparency of analyses and limits potential reporting biases.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Clinicaltrials.gov, NCT03724318. Registered 26 October 2018, https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT03724318 .

PROTOCOL VERSION

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ahj.2023.06.003 .

Incidence and risk factors of peri-operative stroke in major non-cardiovascular, non-neurologic surgery-A retrospective register-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

Peri-operative stroke is a rare but serious surgical complication. Both overt and covert stroke, occurring in approximately 0.1% and 7% of cases, respectively, are associated with significant long-term effects and increased morbidity.

METHODS

Retrospective register data for patients >18 years old, presenting for major non-cardiovascular, non-neurosurgical and non-ambulatory surgical procedures at 23 hospitals in Sweden between 2007 and 2014 was collected and linked with various quality registers. The primary outcome was stroke within 30 days from surgery. Using multivariable logistic regression, significant independent risk factors influencing the primary outcome were identified and their adjusted odds ratios (ORs) were calculated. Mortality was assessed, along with the composite score of days alive and at home within 30 days after surgery (DAH 30).

RESULTS

In total, 318,017 patients were included, with 687 (0.22%) suffering a stroke within 30 days of surgery. The strongest significant risk factors included: increasing ASA-class (OR [95% confidence interval, CI]: 2.23 [1.53-3.36], 3.91 [2.68-5.93] and 7.82 [5.03-12.5] for ASA 2, 3 and 4, respectively) and age (OR [95% CI]: 4.47 [2.21-10.3], 9.9 [5.15-22.1], 16.3 [8.48-36.5] and 21 [10.6-48.1], for age 45-59, 60-74, 75-89 and >90, respectively), along with non-elective procedures, male gender and a history of cerebrovascular disease (OR [95%]: 2.72 [2.25-3.27]). Mortality was increased and DAH 30 was reduced in patients suffering a stroke.

CONCLUSIONS

Increasing ASA-class and age was clearly associated with an increased risk of peri-operative stroke, which in turn was associated with increased mortality and poorer outcome. Detailed pre-operative risk stratification and individualised peri-operative management could potentially improve patient-centred outcomes and, in turn, have positive implications for public health.

Cannabis use and incident atrial fibrillation in a longitudinal cohort

BACKGROUND

Cannabis use is increasing worldwide. While prior studies have reported an association between cannabis use and a higher risk of atrial fibrillation (AF), most were cross-sectional and generally relied on diagnostic coding to identify cannabis users, which may not be representative of the typical recreational cannabis user.

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to examine the association between recreational cannabis use and lifetime AF risk.

METHODS

We evaluated the AF risk of participants of the UK Biobank cohort who completed the cannabis use lifestyle questionnaire. Cannabis exposure was categorized as "Occasional Use" for less than 100 times used, "Frequent Use" for more than 100 times used, and "Never" users. AF events were identified using International Classification of Diseases codes. Cox models were used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) between cannabis use and incident AF and were subsequently adjusted for age, sex, race, alcohol, coffee, smoking, education, and baseline cardiovascular comorbidities.

RESULTS

A total of 150,554 participants (mean age 63.4 ± 7.7 years; 86,487 (57.4%) female; and 33,442 (22.2%) using cannabis at least once) were followed for a mean period of 6.1 ± 0.6 years. After multivariable adjustment, there were no statistically significant differences in incident AF among occasional users (HR 0.98; 95% confidence interval 0.89-1.08) nor frequent users (HR 1.03; 95% confidence interval 0.81-1.32) as compared with never users.

CONCLUSION

In a large prospective cohort study, there was no evidence that cannabis use was associated with a higher risk of incident AF. An evaluation of cannabis ingestion methods and quantification was not possible using the current data set.

Development and external validation of a novel model for predicting new clinically important atrial fibrillation after thoracoscopic anatomical lung cancer surgery: a multicenter retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

New clinically important postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is the most common arrhythmia after thoracoscopic anatomical lung cancer surgery and is associated with increased morbidity and mortality. The full spectrum of predictors remains unclear, and effective assessment tools are lacking. This study aimed to develop and externally validate a novel model for predicting new clinically important POAF.

METHODS

This retrospective study included 14 074 consecutive patients who received thoracoscopic anatomical lung cancer surgery from January 2016 to December 2018 in Shanghai Chest Hospital. Based on the split date of 1 January 2018, we selected 8717 participants for the training cohort and 5357 participants for the testing cohort. For external validation, we pooled 2941 consecutive patients who received this surgical treatment from July 2016 to July 2021 in Shanghai Ruijin Hospital. Independent predictors were used to develop a model and internally validated using a bootstrap-resampling approach. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs) and Brier score were performed to assess the model discrimination and calibration. The decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to evaluate clinical validity and net benefit. New clinically important POAF was defined as a new-onset of POAF that causes symptoms or requires treatment.

RESULTS

Multivariate analysis suggested that age, hypertension, preoperative treatment, clinical tumor stage, intraoperative arrhythmia and transfusion, and operative time were independent predictors of new clinically important POAF. These seven candidate predictors were used to develop a nomogram, which showed a concordance statistic (C-statistic) value of 0.740 and good calibration (Brier score; 0.025). Internal validation revealed similarly good discrimination (C-statistic, 0.736; 95% CI: 0.705-0.768) and calibration. The decision curve analysis showed positive net benefits with the threshold risk range of 0-100%. C-statistic value and Brier score were 0.717 and 0.028 in the testing cohort, and 0.768 and 0.012 in the external validation cohort, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

This study identified seven predictors of new clinically important POAF, among which preoperative treatment, intraoperative arrhythmia, and operative time were rarely reported. The established and externally validated model has good performance and clinical usefulness, which may promote the application of prevention and treatment in high-risk patients, and reduce the development and related adverse outcomes of this event.

Subacute postoperative atrial fibrillation after heart surgery: Incidence and predictive factors in cardiac rehabilitation

Background

Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is the most common arrhythmia following cardiac surgery (CS). It may occur between the 1st and the 4th postoperative day as acute POAF or between the 5th and the 30th as subacute (sPOAF). sPOAF is associated with higher thromboembolic risk, which consistently increase patients' morbidity. Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a low-cost inflammatory index proposed as possible POAF predictor. Identification of patients' risk categories might lead to improved postoperative outcomes.

Methods

The aim was to assess the incidence of sPOAF and to identify possible predictors in patients performing cardiovascular rehabilitation (CR) after CS. A single-center cohort study was performed on 737 post-surgical patients admitted to CR on sinus rhythm. Continuous monitoring with 12-lead ECG telemetry was performed. We evaluated the predictive role of anamnestic, clinical, and laboratory data, including baseline NLR.

Results

Subacute POAF was documented in 170 cases (23.1%). At the multivariate analysis, age (OR 1.03; p = .001), mitral valve surgery (OR 1.77; p = .012), acute POAF (OR 2.97; p < .001), and NLR at baseline (OR 1.13; p = .042) were found to be independent predictive factors of sPOAF following heart surgery.

Conclusions

sPOAF is common after CS. Age, mitral valve procedures, acute POAF, and preoperative NLR were proved to increase sPOAF occurrence in CR. NLR is an affordable and reliable parameter which might be used to qualify the risk of arrhythmias at CR admission. Identification of new predictors of postoperative atrial fibrillation may allow to improve patients' prognosis.

[Perioperative atrial fibrillation : Diagnosis with underestimated relevance]

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia in adults, both in general and perioperatively and is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. The age of the patients is a major risk factor. The prevalence of AF in noncardiac surgery (NCS) varies widely from 0.4% to 30% and for cardiac surgery, especially major combined procedures, up to approximately 50%. Ectopic excitation centers and reentry mechanisms at the atrial level are favored as the main process of uncoordinated electrical atrial activity. The loss of atrial contraction can lead to a reduction in cardiac output of up to 20-25%. The increased risk of thromboembolism due to AF extends beyond the perioperative period. Medication-based prevention strategies have not yet gained widespread acceptance. Treatment strategies include frequency and rhythm control as well as the avoidance of thromboembolisms through anticoagulation.

Challenging anticoagulation decisions in atrial fibrillation: a narrative review

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is common and warrants consideration of oral anticoagulant (OAC) medication. Usually, the decision is straightforward, following the pathway outlined in the European Society of Cardiology's guideline; however, certain situations fall outside of this evidence base - such as a diagnosis of subclinical AF made via implanted devices or wearable electrocardiogram monitors, or alternatively diagnosis of 'secondary AF' following a major stressor. Subclinical AF is associated with stroke, though not to the extent of clinical AF, and the benefits of anticoagulation appear to be lower. Longer episodes are more clinically meaningful, and recent randomised controlled trials have demonstrated that some patients derive benefit from OAC. Similarly, when AF is triggered by sepsis or non-cardiac surgery, specific evidence supporting OAC initiation is lacking and clinician behaviour is variable. Observational data demonstrate poorer outcomes in these patients, implying that the perception of a transient, reversible phenomenon may not be correct. Contrastingly, cardiac surgery very frequently induces AF, and the benefits of anticoagulation rarely outweigh the risks of bleeding. Following ischaemic stroke, recent evidence suggests that early (re-)initiation of OAC should be considered as this does not increase the risk of haemorrhagic transformation as previously hypothesised. This narrative review summarises the available literature and outlines, where possible, practical advice for clinicians facing these common clinical dilemmas.

Impact of comorbidities on immediate post-operative complications in oral cavity free flap patients

PURPOSE

To examine the relationship between comorbidities and the development of immediate post-operative complications in patients undergoing oral cavity composite resection (OCCR) with free flap (FF) reconstruction.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Retrospective analysis was completed on all consecutive OCCRs with FF reconstruction performed at a single quaternary care facility between 1999 and 2020. Comorbidities, immediate post-operative complications, patient demographics, and tumor characteristics were collected. Odds ratios (OR) with 95 % confidence intervals were calculated for associations between comorbidities and immediate post-operative complications.

RESULTS

320 patients who underwent OCCR with FF reconstruction were included. One hundred twenty-one (37.8 %) patients developed a post-operative complication during their initial hospital admission. The most common complications were non-pneumonia cardiopulmonary events (14.1 %), pneumonia (9.4 %), and wound infection (8.4 %). Other complications included flap compromise, bleeding, and fistula. On multivariate analysis, patients without comorbid conditions were less likely to develop a post-operative complication (OR 0.64; 0.41-0.98). Atrial fibrillation (OR 2.94; 1.17-7.39) and cerebrovascular disease (OR 2.28; 1.08-4.84) were associated with increased odds of developing any complications. Furthermore, cerebrovascular disease (OR: 2.33; 1.04-5.39) and peripheral vascular disease (OR: 2.7; 1.2-6.08) were independently associated with pneumonia.

CONCLUSION

In this retrospective review of patients undergoing OCCR with FF reconstruction for oral cavity SCC, lack of identifiable comorbidities appeared to be protective for post-operative complications while atrial fibrillation and cerebrovascular disease were associated with increased odds of any complication. Pre-existing vascular disease was also associated with an increased risk of pneumonia.

Five-year-outcome of new-onset perioperative atrial fibrillation after left atrial appendage amputation concomitant with cardiac surgery

BACKGROUND

Recent data demonstrated the benefit of left atrial appendage (LAA)-amputation in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). However, the long-term impact of LAA-amputation for patients with new-onset perioperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is still unknown.

METHODS

Patients with no history of AF undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting by off-pump technique (OPCAB) between 2014 and 2016 were retrospectively examined. Cohorts were divided by the concomitant execution of LAA-amputation. Propensity score (PS) matching was applied by all available baseline characteristics. The composite of all-cause mortality, stroke and rehospitalization in patients with POAF and patients maintaining sinus rhythm posed as the primary endpoint.

RESULTS

A total of 1522 patients were enrolled, of whom 1208 and 243 were included in the control and the LAA-amputation group, respectively and were matched to 243 patients in each group. In total, patients with POAF without LAA-amputation showed a significantly higher rate of the composite endpoint (17.3% vs 32.1%, p = 0.007). However, patients with LAA-amputation showed no significant difference in the composite endpoint (23.2% vs 26.7%, p = 0.57). The significantly higher occurrence of the composite endpoint was driven by all-cause mortality (p = 0.005) and rehospitalization (p = 0.029). Subgroup analysis revealed a CHA2DS2-VASc-score of ≥ 3 to be associated with the high rate of the primary endpoint (p = 0.004).

CONCLUSION

POAF is associated with a higher rate of the combined endpoint of all-cause mortality, stroke and rehospitalization. The composite endpoint in patients with LAA-amputation concomitant with OPCAB surgery developing new-onset POAF in a 5-year follow-up was not increased compared to a control cohort maintaining sinus rhythm. Five-year outcome of patients with POAF and LAA-amputation; 95% CI, 95% confidence interval, CPR, cardiopulmonary resuscitation, ECLS, extracorporeal life support, HR, hazard ratio, IABP, intra-aortic balloon pump, LAA, left atrial appendage, OPCAB, off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting, PAPs, systolic pulmonary artery pressure, SR, sinus rhythm, VT, ventricular tachycardia.

Perioperative Atrial Fibrillation and One-year Clinical Outcomes in Patients Following Major Emergency Abdominal Surgery

The prevalence and impact of perioperative atrial fibrillation (AF) during an admission for major emergency abdominal surgery are sparsely examined. Therefore, this study aimed to compare the 30-day and 1-year outcomes (AF-related hospitalization, stroke, and all-cause mortality) in patients with and without perioperative AF to their major emergency abdominal surgery. All patients without a history of AF who underwent major emergency abdominal surgery from 2000 to 2019 and discharged alive were identified using Danish nationwide registries. Patients with and without perioperative AF (defined as new-onset AF during the index hospitalization) were matched 1:4 on age, gender, year of surgery, and type of surgery. The cumulative incidences and hazard ratios of outcomes were assessed using a multivariable Cox regression analysis comparing patients with and without perioperative AF. A total of 2% of patients were diagnosed with perioperative AF. The matched cohort comprised 792 and 3,168 patients with and without perioperative AF, respectively (median age 78 years [twenty-fifth to seventy-fifth percentile 70 to 83 years]; 43% men). Cumulative incidences of AF-related hospitalizations, stroke, and mortality 1 year after discharge were 30% versus 3.4%, 3.4% versus 2.7%, and 35% versus 22% in patients with and without perioperative AF, respectively. The 30-day outcomes were similarly elevated among patients with perioperative AF. Perioperative AF during an admission for major emergency abdominal surgery was associated with higher 30-day and 1-year rates of AF-related hospitalization and mortality and similar rates of stroke. These findings suggest that perioperative AF is a prognostic marker of increased morbidity and mortality in relation to major emergency abdominal surgery and warrants further investigation.

The left atrial appendage closure by surgery-2 (LAACS-2) trial protocol rationale and design of a randomized multicenter trial investigating if left atrial appendage closure prevents stroke in patients undergoing open-heart surgery irrespective of preoperative atrial fibrillation status and stroke risk

BACKGROUND

Current recommendations regarding the use of surgical left atrial appendage (LAA) closure to prevent thromboembolisms lack high-level evidence. Patients undergoing open-heart surgery often have several cardiovascular risk factors and a high occurrence of postoperative atrial fibrillation (AF)-with a high recurrence rate-and are thus at a high risk of stroke. Therefore, we hypothesized that concomitant LAA closure during open-heart surgery will reduce mid-term risk of stroke independently of preoperative AF status and CHA2DS2-VASc score.

METHODS

This protocol describes a randomized multicenter trial. Consecutive participants ≥18 years scheduled for first-time planned open-heart surgery from cardiac surgery centers in Denmark, Spain, and Sweden are included. Both patients with a previous diagnosis of paroxysmal or chronic AF, as well as those without AF, are eligible to participate, irrespective of their CHA2DS2-VASc score. Patients already planned for ablation or LAA closure during surgery, with current endocarditis, or where follow-up is not possible are considered noneligible. Patients are stratified by site, surgery type, and preoperative or planned oral anticoagulation treatment. Subsequently, patients are randomized 1:1 to either concomitant LAA closure or standard care (ie, open LAA). The primary outcome is stroke, including transient ischemic attack, as assigned by 2 independent neurologists blinded to the treatment allocation. To recognize a 60% relative risk reduction of the primary outcome with LAA closure, 1,500 patients are randomized and followed for 2 years (significance level of 0.05 and power of 90%).

CONCLUSIONS

The LAACS-2 trial is likely to impact the LAA closure approach in most patients undergoing open-heart surgery.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

NCT03724318.

Atrial Fibrillation Recurrence in Patients With Transient New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation Detected During Hospitalization for Noncardiac Surgery or Medical Illness : A Matched Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is often detected for the first time in patients who are hospitalized for another reason. Long-term risks for AF recurrence in these patients are unclear.

OBJECTIVE

To estimate risk for AF recurrence in patients with new-onset AF during a hospitalization for noncardiac surgery or medical illness compared with a matched population without AF.

DESIGN

Matched cohort study. (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT03221777).

SETTING

Three academic hospitals in Hamilton, Ontario, Canada.

PARTICIPANTS

The study enrolled patients hospitalized for noncardiac surgery or medical illness who had transient new-onset AF. For each participant, an age- and sex-matched control participant with no history of AF from the same hospital ward was recruited. All participants left the hospital in sinus rhythm.

MEASUREMENTS

14-day electrocardiographic (ECG) monitor at 1 and 6 months and telephone assessment at 1, 6, and 12 months. The primary outcome was AF lasting at least 30 seconds on the monitor or captured by ECG 12-lead during routine care at 12 months.

RESULTS

Among 139 participants with transient new-onset AF (70 patients with medical illness and 69 surgical patients) and 139 matched control participants, the mean age was 71 years (SD, 10), the mean CHA2DS2-VASc score was 3.0 (SD, 1.5), and 59% were male. The median duration of AF during the index hospitalization was 15.8 hours (IQR, 6.4 to 49.6 hours). After 1 year, recurrent AF was detected in 33.1% (95% CI, 25.3% to 40.9%) of participants in the transient new-onset AF group and 5.0% (CI, 1.4% to 8.7%) of matched control participants; after adjustment for the number of ECG monitors worn and for baseline clinical differences, the adjusted relative risk was 6.6 (CI, 3.2 to 13.7). After exclusion of participants who had electrical or pharmacologic cardioversion during the index hospitalization (n = 40) and their matched control participants and limiting to AF events detected by the patch ECG monitor, recurrent AF was detected in 32.3% (CI, 23.1% to 41.5%) of participants with transient new-onset AF and 3.0% (CI, 0% to 6.4%) of matched control participants.

LIMITATIONS

Generalizability is limited, and the study was underpowered to evaluate subgroups and clinical predictors.

CONCLUSION

Among patients who have transient new-onset AF during a hospitalization for noncardiac surgery or medical illness, approximately 1 in 3 will have recurrent AF within 1 year.

PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE

Peer-reviewed grants.

Atrial fibrillation in vascular surgery: a systematic review and meta-analysis on prevalence, incidence and outcome implications

AIMS

To know the prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF), as well as the incidence of postoperative AF (POAF) in vascular surgery for arterial diseases and its outcome implications.

METHODS

We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis following the PRISMA statement.

RESULTS

After the selection process, we analyzed 44 records (30 for the prevalence of AF history and 14 for the incidence of POAF).The prevalence of history of AF was 11.5% [95% confidence interval (CI) 1-13.3] with high heterogeneity (I2 = 100%). Prevalence was higher in the case of endovascular procedures. History of AF was associated with a worse outcome in terms of in-hospital death [odds ratio (OR) 3.29; 95% CI 2.66-4.06; P < 0.0001; I2 94%] or stroke (OR 1.61; 95% CI 1.39-1.86; P < 0.0001; I2 91%).The pooled incidence of POAF was 3.6% (95% CI 2-6.4) with high heterogeneity (I2 = 100%). POAF risk was associated with older age (mean difference 4.67 years, 95% CI 2.38-6.96; P = 0.00007). The risk of POAF was lower in patients treated with endovascular procedures as compared with an open surgical procedure (OR 0.35; 95% CI 0.13-0.91; P = 0.03; I2 = 61%).

CONCLUSIONS

In the setting of vascular surgery for arterial diseases a history of AF is found overall in 11.5% of patients, more frequently in the case of endovascular procedures, and is associated with worse outcomes in terms of short-term mortality and stroke.The incidence of POAF is overall 3.6%, and is lower in patients treated with an endovascular procedure as compared with open surgery procedures. The need for oral anticoagulants for preventing AF-related stroke should be evaluated with randomized clinical trials.

Characteristics of Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation and the Effect of Posterior Pericardiotomy

BACKGROUND

Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is a frequent complication of cardiac surgery. However, only a few detailed descriptions of the arrhythmia have been reported. We aim to describe the characteristics, outcomes, and variables associated with POAF and to evaluate how posterior pericardiotomy (PP) affects POAF characteristics.

METHODS

In this post hoc analysis of the Posterior left pericardiotomy for the prevention of AtriaL fibrillation After Cardiac Surgery (PALACS) trial, we describe POAF characteristics based on continuous in-hospital telemetry data.

RESULTS

Of 420 patients, 103 (24.5%) developed POAF. Median time to onset was 50.3 hours; 70.9% of events occurred within 3 days. Hemodynamic instability and rapid ventricular response occurred in 8.7% and 51.5% of cases, respectively. Most POAF patients received antiarrhythmics (97.1%), 22.3% electrical cardioversion, and 40.8% systemic anticoagulation. Median POAF duration was 24.0 hours; 70.9% of cases resolved within 36 hours. Median POAF burden was 15.9%. All patients were in sinus rhythm at follow-up. POAF was associated with longer hospitalization (7 vs 6 days; P < .001), but not increased mortality or morbidity. PP reduced POAF incidence (17.7% vs 31.3%; P = .001), especially after postoperative day 2 (time to POAF onset 41.9 vs 57.1 hours; P = .01). Age was associated with POAF. Female sex, coronary artery bypass grafting, beta blockers, and PP were inversely associated.

CONCLUSIONS

POAF remains frequent after cardiac surgery. Hemodynamic instability is rare, although rapid ventricular response and need for electrical cardioversion are frequent. POAF burden is significant, and the arrhythmias resolve within 30 days. PP reduces POAF especially after postoperative day 2.

A Bibliometric Analysis of Diagnosis Related Groups from 2013 to 2022

Purpose

As an important management method of the global healthcare system, diagnosis related groups (DRGs) classify patients into different cost groups and pay more attention to the equitable distribution of medical resources and the quality of medical services. At present, most countries have used DRGs to help medical institutions and doctors to treat patients more accurately, avoid the waste of medical resources, and improve treatment efficiency.

Methods

The Web of Science database was searched to collect all relevant literature on DRGs from 2013 to 2022. The literature information was imported into CiteSpace, Vosviewer, and Histcite for data analysis and visualization of the results. Analyze the cooperative relationship among the countries, institutions, journals, and authors. The usage trend of keywords; Highlight the content of the cited articles.

Results

The number of articles published in this decade was stable, and the number of citations in 2014 was the highest. The United States and Germany, as the first countries to use the DRGs system, are ahead of other countries in terms of the number and quality of articles. We have carried out content research on the articles with high citations, and summarized the application range of DRGs; classification method; advantages and disadvantages of the application. In general, the development trend of DRGs in foreign countries is to continuously optimize the classification method, expand the scope of application, and improve the application effect. These provide support and reference for the improvement of medical services and the perfection of the medical insurance system.

Conclusion

The application of DRGs can improve the quality and efficiency of medical services, and reduce the waste of medical expenses. It can also promote the rational allocation of medical resources and the equity of medical services. In the future, DRGs will pay more attention to the personalized diagnosis and treatment and fine management of patients, and the sharing and standardization of medical data, to promote the development of medical informatization.

Risk Factors and In-Hospital Outcomes of Perioperative Atrial Fibrillation for Patients with Cancer: A Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Perioperative atrial fibrillation is a common postoperative complication. Adverse consequences associated with POAF include hemodynamic instability, increased risk of stroke, extended hospital stays, and increased mortality.

METHODS

To determine the risk factors for POAF and to investigate the outcomes of POAF for patients with cancer, a systematic search of the PubMed and Cochrane Library databases was conducted from inception of the study to 1 September 2021. The inclusion criteria specified studies reporting the prevalence of POAF among patients with cancer. The study excluded articles not written in English, review articles, case reports, letters, commentaries, systematic reviews, meta-analyses, and conference abstracts.

RESULTS

The search identified 49 studies with 201,081 patients, and the pooled prevalence of POAF was 13.5% (95% confidence interval [CI], 11.6-15.7%). Meta-analyses showed that the incidence of POAF among patients with cancer was associated with age (mean difference [MD], 4.31; 95%CI, 3.16-5.47), male sex (odds ratio [OR], 1.39; 95% CI, 1.19-1.62), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (OR, 2.47; 95% CI, 1.71-3.56), hypertension (OR, 1.47; 95% CI, 1.23-1.75), intraoperative blood transfusion (OR, 4.58; 95% CI, 2.31-9.10), and open surgery (OR, 1.51; 95% CI, 1.26-1.81). Patients with POAF had significantly higher in-hospital mortality (OR, 4.25; 95% CI, 2.79-6.45), longer hospital stays (MD, 3.07; 95% CI, 1.63-4.51), and higher incidences of pneumonia (OR, 3.32; 95% CI, 2.85-3.86), stroke (OR, 6.57; 95% CI, 1.56-26.00), and myocardial infarction (OR, 3.00; 95% CI, 1.45-6.20) than those without POAF.

CONCLUSIONS

For patients with cancer, POAF is associated with an increased burden of comorbidities and worse outcomes.

Prediction model for postoperative atrial fibrillation in non-cardiac surgery using machine learning

Some patients with postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) after non-cardiac surgery need treatment, and a predictive model for these patients is clinically useful. Here, we developed a predictive model for POAF in non-cardiac surgery based on machine learning techniques. In a total of 201,864 patients who underwent non-cardiac surgery between January 2011 and June 2019 at our institution, 5,725 (2.8%) were treated for POAF. We used machine learning with an extreme gradient boosting algorithm to evaluate the effects of variables on POAF. Using the top five variables from this algorithm, we generated a predictive model for POAF and conducted an external validation. The top five variables selected for the POAF model were age, lung operation, operation duration, history of coronary artery disease, and hypertension. The optimal threshold of probability in this model was estimated to be 0.1, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve was 0.80 with a 95% confidence interval of 0.78-0.81. Accuracy of the model using the estimated threshold was 0.95, with sensitivity and specificity values of 0.28 and 0.97, respectively. In an external validation, the AUROC was 0.80 (0.78-0.81). The working predictive model for POAF requiring treatment in non-cardiac surgery based on machine learning techniques is provided online (https://sjshin.shinyapps.io/afib_predictor_0913/). The model needs further verification among other populations.

Post-operative atrial fibrillation after cardiac surgery: Challenges throughout the patient journey

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common complication of cardiac surgery, occurring in up to half of patients. Post-operative AF (POAF) refers to new-onset AF in a patient without a history of AF that occurs within the first 4 weeks after cardiac surgery. POAF is associated with short-term mortality and morbidity, but its long-term significance is unclear. This article reviews existing evidence and research challenges for the management of POAF in patients who have had cardiac surgery. Specific challenges are discussed in four phases of care. Pre-operatively, clinicians need to be able to identify high-risk patients, and initiate prophylaxis to prevent POAF. In hospital, when POAF is detected, clinicians need to manage symptoms, stabilize hemodynamics and prevent increases in length of stay. In the month after discharge, the focus is on minimizing symptoms and preventing readmission. Some patients require short term oral anticoagulation for stroke prevention. Over the long term (2-3  months after surgery and beyond), clinicians need to identify which patients with POAF have paroxysmal or persistent AF and can benefit from evidence-based therapies for AF, including long-term oral anticoagulation.

Prognostic model for atrial fibrillation after cardiac surgery: a UK cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To develop a validated clinical prognostic model to determine the risk of atrial fibrillation after cardiac surgery as part of the PARADISE project (NIHR131227).

METHODS

Prospective cohort study with linked electronic health records from a cohort of 5.6 million people in the United Kingdom Clinical Practice Research Datalink from 1998 to 2016. For model development, we considered a priori candidate predictors including demographics, medical history, medications, and clinical biomarkers. We evaluated associations between covariates and the AF incidence at the end of follow-up using logistic regression with the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator. The model was validated internally with the bootstrap method; subsequent performance was examined by discrimination quantified with the c-statistic and calibration assessed by calibration plots. The study follows TRIPOD guidelines.

RESULTS

Between 1998 and 2016, 33,464 patients received cardiac surgery among the 5,601,803 eligible individuals. The final model included 13-predictors at baseline: age, year of index surgery, elevated CHA₂DS₂-VASc score, congestive heart failure, hypertension, acute coronary syndromes, mitral valve disease, ventricular tachycardia, valve surgery, receiving two combined procedures (e.g., valve replacement + coronary artery bypass grafting), or three combined procedures in the index procedure, statin use, and ethnicity other than white or black (statins and ethnicity were protective). This model had an optimism-corrected C-statistic of 0.68 both for the derivation and validation cohort. Calibration was good.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed a model to identify a group of individuals at high risk of AF and adverse outcomes who could benefit from long-term arrhythmia monitoring, risk factor management, rhythm control and/or thromboprophylaxis.

Dose-dependent scavenging activity of the ultra-short-acting β1-blocker landiolol against specific free radicals

Landiolol, a highly cardioselective ultra-short-acting β1-blocker, prevents perioperative atrial fibrillation associated with systemic inflammation and oxidative stress. We evaluated the direct scavenging activity of landiolol against multiple free radical species. Nine free radical species (hydroxyl, superoxide anion, ascorbyl, tert-butyl peroxyl, tert-butoxyl, singlet oxygen, 2,2-diphenyl-1-picrylhydrazyl, nitric oxide, and tyrosyl radicals) were directly quantified using an X-band ESR spectrometer with the spin-trapping method. IC50 and reaction rate constants were estimated from the dose-response curve for each free radical. Landiolol scavenged six of the free radical species examined: hydroxyl radical (IC50 = 0.76 mM, k landiolol = 1.4 × 10‍10 M‍-1 s‍-1, p<0.001), superoxide anion (58 mM, 2.1 M‍-1 s‍-1, p = 0.044), tert-butoxyl radical (4.3 mM, k landiolol/k CYPMPO = 0.77, p<0.001), ascorbyl free radical (0.31 mM, p<0.001), singlet oxygen (0.69 mM, k landiolol/k 4-OH ‍TEMP = 2.9, p<0.001), and nitric oxide (15 mM, 1.7 × 10 M‍-1 s‍-1, p<0.001). This study is the first to report that landiolol dose-dependently scavenges multiple free radical species with different reaction rate constants. These results indicate the potential clinical application of landiolol as an antioxidative and anti-inflammatory agent in addition to its present clinical use as an anti-arrhythmic agent.

Preoperative evaluation and perioperative management of patients undergoing major vascular surgery

Patients undergoing major vascular surgery have an increased risk of perioperative major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Accordingly, in this population, it is of particular importance to appropriately risk stratify patients' risk for these complications and optimize risk factors prior to surgical intervention. Comorbidities that portend a higher risk of perioperative MACE include coronary artery disease, heart failure, left-sided valvular heart disease, and significant arrhythmic burden. In this review, we provide a current approach to risk stratification prior to major vascular surgery and describe the strengths and weaknesses of different cardiac risk indices; discuss the role of noninvasive and invasive cardiac testing; and review perioperative pharmacotherapies.

Pharmacological interventions for preventing atrial fibrillation after lung surgery: systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Postoperative atrial fibrillation/flutter (POAF) is one of the most common cardiac complications after lung surgery. We aimed to assess the safety and efficacy of pharmacological interventions for new-onset POAF prophylaxis in patients with lung cancer after lung surgery.

METHODS

PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Scopus, and the Cochrane Library were searched to identify randomized controlled trials comparing the effects of pharmacological interventions to prevent POAF following lung surgery.

RESULTS

A total number of 19 studies with 2,922 participants were included. Pharmacological interventions significantly reduced the incidence of POAF (odds ratio [OR] 0.36, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 0.26-0.52) while did not increase the incidence of severe pulmonary complications (OR 1.17, 95% CI 0.57-2.41) after lung surgery compared with placebo/usual care. Among different trials, beta-blockers appeared to be the most effective with an OR of 0.13 (95% CI, 0.07-0.27) and a number needed-to-treat (NNT) of 3.63 and was considered safe with no serious adverse events recorded. The risk of POAF decreased from 25.6 to 11.4% (P < 0.001) overall and from 34.2 to 6.7% (P < 0.001) with beta-blockers as monotherapy. Pharmacological interventions did not reduce the 30-day mortality (OR 0.89, 95% CI 0.43-1.84, I² = 0%), but showed a trend toward reducing major cardiovascular complications including myocardial ischemia/infarction, cardiac arrest, heart failure, and stroke (OR 0.41, 95% CI 0.13-1.29, I² = 0%).

CONCLUSION

Current clinical evidence supports the effectiveness of pharmacological intervention with beta-blockers, amiodarone, magnesium sulfate, or calcium-channel blockers to reduce the incidence of POAF after lung surgery in patients with lung cancer. In the absence of contraindications, prophylaxis with beta-blockers seems to be the most effective of the treatments studied.

Complications and Their Association with Mortality Following Emergency Gastrointestinal Surgery-an Observational Study

PURPOSE

Emergency gastrointestinal surgery is followed by a high risk of major complications and death. This study aimed to investigate which complications showed the strongest association with death following emergency surgery for gastrointestinal obstruction or perforation.

METHODS

We retrospectively included adults who had undergone emergency gastrointestinal surgery for radiologically verified obstruction or perforation at three Danish hospitals between 2014 and 2015. The exposure variables comprised 16 predefined Clavien-Dindo-graded complications. Cox regression with delayed entry was used to analyze the association of these complications with 90-day mortality. We adjusted for hospital, age, American Society of Anesthesiologists classification, pre-operative Sepsis-2 score, cardiac comorbidity, renal comorbidity, hypertension, active cancer, bowel obstruction or perforation, and the surgical procedure. Subgroup analyses were done for patients with gastrointestinal obstruction or perforation.

RESULTS

Of the 349 included patients, 281 (80.5%) experienced at least one complication. The risk of death was 20.6% (14) for patients with no complications and varied between 21 and 57% for patients with complications. Renal impairment (hazard ratio (HR): 6.8 (95%CI: 3.7-12.4)), arterial thromboembolic events (HR 4.8 (2.3-9.9)), and atrial fibrillation (HR 4.4 (2.8-6.8)) showed the strongest association with 90-day mortality. Atrial fibrillation was the only complication significantly associated with death in patients with gastrointestinal obstruction as well as perforation.

CONCLUSION

This study of patients undergoing emergency gastrointestinal surgery revealed that renal impairment, arterial thromboembolic events, and atrial fibrillation had the strongest association with death. Atrial fibrillation may serve as an in-situ marker of patients needing escalation of care.

Post-operative atrial fibrillation and risk of heart failure hospitalization

AIMS

Post-operative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is associated with stroke and mortality. It is unknown if POAF is associated with subsequent heart failure (HF) hospitalization. This study aims to examine the association between POAF and incident HF hospitalization among patients undergoing cardiac and non-cardiac surgeries.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A retrospective cohort study was conducted using all-payer administrative claims data that included all non-federal emergency department visits and acute care hospitalizations across 11 states in the USA. The study population included adults aged at least 18 years hospitalized for surgery without a prior diagnosis of HF. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to examine the association between POAF and incident HF hospitalization after making adjustment for socio-demographics and comorbid conditions. Among 76 536 patients who underwent cardiac surgery, 14 365 (18.8%) developed incident POAF. In an adjusted Cox model, POAF was associated with incident HF hospitalization [hazard ratio (HR) 1.33; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.25-1.41]. In a sensitivity analysis excluding HF within 1 year of surgery, POAF remained associated with incident HF hospitalization (HR 1.15; 95% CI 1.01-1.31). Among 2 929 854 patients who underwent non-cardiac surgery, 23 763 (0.8%) developed incident POAF. In an adjusted Cox model, POAF was again associated with incident HF hospitalization (HR 2.02; 95% CI 1.94-2.10), including in a sensitivity analysis excluding HF within 1 year of surgery (HR 1.49; 95% CI 1.38-1.61).

CONCLUSIONS

Post-operative atrial fibrillation is associated with incident HF hospitalization among patients without prior history of HF undergoing both cardiac and non-cardiac surgeries. These findings reinforce the adverse prognostic impact of POAF and suggest that POAF may be a marker for identifying patients with subclinical HF and those at elevated risk for HF.

Left Atrial Strain Quantification by Intraoperative Transesophageal Echocardiography: Validation With Transthoracic Echocardiography

OBJECTIVE

Whereas left atrial (LA) strain has been well-validated using transthoracic echocardiography (TTE), its detection using transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) has not been studied. Conventional transesophageal views are known to be limited due to the posterior location of the LA. Here, the feasibility and accuracy of the deep transgastric long-axis LA focused view for peak atrial longitudinal strain (PALS) quantification was tested.

DESIGN

This was a retrospective study of patients who underwent elective cardiac surgery between 2018 and 2020. TEE deep transgastric long-axis view was compared to TTE 4-chamber atrial focused view as the reference standard. LA area, volume, and PALS were quantified independently.

SETTING

At Weill Cornell Medicine, a single, large academic medical center.

PARTICIPANTS

The population comprised 42 patients undergoing cardiac surgery who had a TTE and TEE within 14.9 ± 20.8 days.

INTERVENTIONS

TTE, TEE, and cardiac surgery.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

TEE-derived PALS strongly correlated with TTE- derived PALS (r = 0.92, p < 0.001), though absolute PALS were lower (20.7 ± 6.0% v 25.7 ± 6.8%; p < 0.001). Mean TEE-derived atrial length was similar to TTE-derived length (5.18 ± 0.61 cm v 5.24 ± 0.61 cm; p = 0.38), but mean LA area was significantly smaller (16.7 ± 3.5 cm2v 18.9 ± 3.7 cm2; p < 0.001), with significant correlations between the 2 modalities for both (r = 0.74, 0.74, respectively; all p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

This exploratory study supported the feasibility of TEE for assessing LA longitudinal strain. There was an excellent correlation between atrial strain derived via TEE versus TTE, although values tended to be smaller on TEE, and bias between values was highly variable, suggesting that the values were not interchangeable.

Associations of Atrial Fibrillation After Noncardiac Surgery With Stroke, Subsequent Arrhythmia, and Death : A Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Postoperative atrial fibrillation (AF) after noncardiac surgery confers increased risks for ischemic stroke and transient ischemic attack (TIA). How outcomes for postoperative AF after noncardiac surgery compare with those for AF occurring outside of the operative setting is unknown.

OBJECTIVE

To compare the risks for ischemic stroke or TIA and other outcomes in patients with postoperative AF versus those with incident AF not associated with surgery.

DESIGN

Cohort study.

SETTING

Olmsted County, Minnesota.

PARTICIPANTS

Patients with incident AF between 2000 and 2013.

MEASUREMENTS

Patients were categorized as having AF occurring within 30 days of a noncardiac surgery (postoperative AF) or having AF unrelated to surgery (nonoperative AF).

RESULTS

Of 4231 patients with incident AF, 550 (13%) had postoperative AF as their first-ever documented AF presentation. Over a mean follow-up of 6.3 years, 486 patients had an ischemic stroke or TIA and 2462 had subsequent AF; a total of 2565 deaths occurred. The risk for stroke or TIA was similar between those with postoperative AF and nonoperative AF (absolute risk difference [ARD] at 5 years, 0.1% [95% CI, -2.9% to 3.1%]; hazard ratio [HR], 1.01 [CI, 0.77 to 1.32]). A lower risk for subsequent AF was seen for patients with postoperative AF (ARD at 5 years, -13.4% [CI, -17.8% to -9.0%]; HR, 0.68 [CI, 0.60 to 0.77]). Finally, no difference was seen for cardiovascular death or all-cause death between patients with postoperative AF and nonoperative AF.

LIMITATION

The population consisted predominantly of White patients; caution should be used when extrapolating the results to more racially diverse populations.

CONCLUSION

Postoperative AF after noncardiac surgery is associated with similar risk for thromboembolism compared with nonoperative AF. Our findings have potentially important implications for the early postsurgical and subsequent management of postoperative AF.

PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE

National Institute on Aging.

Wireless Single-Lead ECG Monitoring to Detect New-Onset Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation in Patients After Major Noncardiac Surgery: A Prospective Observational Study

BACKGROUND

New-onset postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is associated with several cardiovascular complications and higher mortality. Several pathophysiological processes such as hypoxia can trigger POAF, but these are sparsely elucidated, and POAF is often asymptomatic. In patients undergoing major gastrointestinal cancer surgery, we aimed to describe the frequency of POAF as automatically estimated and detected via wireless repeated sampling monitoring and secondarily to describe the association between preceding vital sign deviations and POAF.

METHOD

Patients ≥60 years of age undergoing major gastrointestinal cancer surgery were continuously monitored for up to 4 days postoperatively. Electrocardiograms were obtained every minute throughout the monitoring period. Clinical staff were blinded to all measurements. As for the primary outcome, POAF was defined as 30 consecutive minutes or more detected by a purpose-built computerized algorithm and validated by cardiologists. The primary exposure variable was any episode of peripheral oxygen saturation (Spo2) <85% for >5 consecutive minutes before POAF.

RESULTS

A total of 30,145 hours of monitoring was performed in 398 patients, with a median of 92 hours per patient (interquartile range [IQR], 54-96). POAF was detected in 26 patients (6.5%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 4.5-9.4) compared with 14 (3.5%; 95% CI, 1.94-5.83) discovered by clinical staff in the monitoring period. POAF was followed by 9.4 days hospitalization (IQR, 6.5-16) versus 6.5 days (IQR, 2.5-11) in patients without POAF. Preceding episodes of Spo2 <85% for >5 minutes (OR, 1.02; 95% CI, 0.24-4.00; P = .98) or other vital sign deviations were not significantly associated with POAF.

CONCLUSIONS

New-onset POAF occurred in 6.5% (95% CI, 4.5-9.4) of patients after major gastrointestinal cancer surgery, and 1 in 3 cases was not detected by the clinical staff (35%; 95% CI, 17-56). POAF was not preceded by vital sign deviations.

Randomized Trial of Surgical Left Atrial Appendage Closure: Protection Against Cerebrovascular Events

Following open-heart surgery, atrial fibrillation and stroke occur frequently. Left atrial appendage closure added to elective open-heart surgery could reduce the risk of ischemic stroke. We aim to examine if routine closure of the left atrial appendage in patients undergoing open-heart surgery provides long-term protection against cerebrovascular events independently of atrial fibrillation history, stroke risk, and oral anticoagulation use. Long-term follow-up of patients enrolled in the prospective, randomized, open-label, blinded evaluation trial entitled left atrial appendage closure by surgery (NCT02378116). Patients were stratified by oral anticoagulation status and randomized (1:1) to left atrial appendage closure in addition to elective open-heart surgery vs standard care. The primary composite endpoint was ischemic stroke events, transient ischemic attacks, and imaging findings of silent cerebral ischemic lesions. Two neurologists blinded for treatment assignment adjudicated cerebrovascular events. In total, 186 patients (82% males) were reviewed. At baseline, mean (standard deviation (SD)) age was68 (9) years and 13.4% (n = 25/186) had been diagnosed with atrial fibrillation. Median [interquartile range (IQR)] CHA2DS2-VASc was 3 [2,4] and 25.9% (n = 48/186) were receiving oral anticoagulants. Mean follow-up was 6.2 (2.5) years. The left atrial appendage closure group experienced fewer cerebrovascular events; intention-to-treat 11 vs 19 (P = 0.033, n = 186) and per-protocol 9 vs 17 (P = 0.186, n = 141). Left atrial appendage closure as an add-on open-heart surgery, regardless of pre-surgery atrial fibrillation and oral anticoagulation status, seems safe and may reduce cerebrovascular events in long-term follow-up. More extensive randomized clinical trials investigating left atrial appendage closure in patients without atrial fibrillation and high stroke risk are warranted.

Amiodarone with or without N-Acetylcysteine for the Prevention of Atrial Fibrillation after Thoracic Surgery: A Double-blind, Randomized Trial

BACKGROUND

Postoperative atrial fibrillation may identify patients at risk of subsequent atrial fibrillation, with its greater risk of stroke. This study hypothesized that N-acetylcysteine mitigates inflammation and oxidative stress to reduce the incidence of postoperative atrial fibrillation.

METHODS

In this double-blind, placebo-controlled trial, patients at high risk of postoperative atrial fibrillation scheduled to undergo major thoracic surgery were randomized to N-acetylcysteine plus amiodarone or placebo plus amiodarone. On arrival to the postanesthesia care unit, N-acetylcysteine or placebo intravenous bolus (50 mg/kg) and then continuous infusion (100 mg/kg over the course of 48 h) was administered plus intravenous amiodarone (bolus of 150 mg and then continuous infusion of 2 g over the course of 48 h). The primary outcome was sustained atrial fibrillation longer than 30 s by telemetry (first 72 h) or symptoms requiring intervention and confirmed by electrocardiography within 7 days of surgery. Systemic markers of inflammation (interleukin-6, interleukin-8, tumor necrosis factor α, C-reactive protein) and oxidative stress (F2-isoprostane prostaglandin F2α; isofuran) were assessed immediately after surgery and on postoperative day 2. Patients were telephoned monthly to assess the occurrence of atrial fibrillation in the first year.

RESULTS

Among 154 patients included, postoperative atrial fibrillation occurred in 15 of 78 who received N-acetylcysteine (19%) and 13 of 76 who received placebo (17%; odds ratio, 1.24; 95.1% CI, 0.53 to 2.88; P = 0.615). The trial was stopped at the interim analysis because of futility. Of the 28 patients with postoperative atrial fibrillation, 3 (11%) were discharged in atrial fibrillation. Regardless of treatment at 1 yr, 7 of 28 patients with postoperative atrial fibrillation (25%) had recurrent episodes of atrial fibrillation. Inflammatory and oxidative stress markers were similar between groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Dual therapy comprising N-acetylcysteine plus amiodarone did not reduce the incidence of postoperative atrial fibrillation or markers of inflammation and oxidative stress early after major thoracic surgery, compared with amiodarone alone. Recurrent atrial fibrillation episodes are common among patients with postoperative atrial fibrillation within 1 yr of major thoracic surgery.

EDITOR’S PERSPECTIVE