Adiposity, Body Fat Distribution, and Risk of Major Stroke Types Among Adults in the United Kingdom

Association Between Liver Fibrosis and Risk of Incident Stroke and Mortality: A Large Prospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

There is a well-established relationship between liver conditions and cardiovascular diseases. However, uncertainty persists regarding the contribution of liver fibrosis to major stroke types including ischemic stroke, intracerebral hemorrhage, and subarachnoid hemorrhage at the population level.

METHODS

In this large prospective cohort study, participants without previous stroke or coronary heart disease at baseline from the UK Biobank were included. We identified participants at high probability of advanced liver fibrosis using the Fibrosis-4 index >2.67 or aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index ≥1.0. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression analyses were conducted to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for liver fibrosis with the incidence of major stroke types, stroke-related death, and all-cause death.

RESULTS

Among 379 953 participants (mean age, 56.2 [SD, 8.1] years; 44.6% men), 7396 (1.9%) had a Fibrosis-4 index >2.67 at baseline. During a median follow-up of 12.75 (interquartile range, 12.03-13.48) years, 7143 (1.9%) incident stroke cases were documented. Advanced liver fibrosis assessed by the Fibrosis-4 index was associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke (HR, 1.94 [95% CI, 1.70-2.22]), intracerebral hemorrhage (HR, 2.14 [95% CI, 1.63-2.81]), subarachnoid hemorrhage (HR, 1.90 [95% CI, 1.27-2.84), stroke-related death (HR, 2.20 [95% CI, 1.73-2.80]), and all-cause death (HR, 2.59 [95% CI, 2.46-2.73]). Using the aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index as an alternative score, liver fibrosis was correlated with magnified risk of intracerebral hemorrhage (HR, 3.76 [95% CI, 2.38-5.93]) and subarachnoid hemorrhage (HR, 3.05 [95% CI, 1.51-6.13]) compared with ischemic stroke (HR, 1.58 [95% CI, 1.17-2.14]). Restricted cubic spline analysis showed nonlinear associations of the Fibrosis-4 index and aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index with stroke incidence and all-cause death.

CONCLUSIONS

Liver fibrosis is associated with increased risk of incident stroke and death among people without previous stroke or cardiovascular events, with particularly greater risk of intracerebral hemorrhage and subarachnoid hemorrhage. Noninvasive indices of liver fibrosis may serve as an easily accessible marker to detect individuals facing elevated risk of stroke and death in the primary prevention settings.

Normal-weight obesity subtypes and 10-year risks of major vascular diseases in 0.3 million adults

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Obesity directly contributes to the progression of cardiovascular disease, but little is known about the association and risk attribution of normal-weight obesity subtypes with the incidence of major vascular events (MVEs) and their subtypes.

METHODS

This is a prospective cohort study based on the China Kadoorie Biobank (CKB). A total of 308,071 individuals with no prior vascular diseases or cancer were included at baseline. The incidence of MVEs and their subtypes were recorded during follow-up. Adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for each disease were yielded by Cox regression.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 10.3 years, 62,040 MVEs occurred, with the adjusted HRs (95 % confidence intervals) were 1.11 (1.09-1.13) for normal-weight general obesity (NWGO), 1.27 (1.23-1.31) for normal-weight central obesity (NWCO), and 1.30 (1.27-1.33) for normal-weight central and general obesity (NWCGO). For subtypes of MVEs, increased waist circumference (WC) was associated with excess risk of ischaemic heart disease (IHD) independent of body fat percent (BF%) levels (HR range: 1.30-1.69 in men; 1.36-1.55 in women), while the risk plateaued with rising BF% within each WC quartile. However, even in men with lower WC (≤78 cm [median]), the risks of cerebrovascular disease (CeVD), particularly ischaemic stroke (IS), were increased with higher BF% (all P < 0.01). Conversely, in women, independent dose-response associations were primarily observed between increasing WC and CeVD, with the highest risk observed for IS (HR 1.38, 1.31-1.47).

CONCLUSIONS

This study provided novel, sex-specific evidence that normal-weight obesity subtypes were associated with distinct risks of subtypes of MVEs, with elevated risks predominantly attributable to WC in women and both WC and BF% in men.

Association of aspirin use with risk of intracerebral hemorrhage in patients without history of stroke or transient ischemic attack in the UK Biobank

BACKGROUND

The association between aspirin use and the risk of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) among individuals without previous stroke events is inconclusive.

AIM

We investigated the association between regular aspirin use and ICH risk in middle-aged and older adults without previous stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA).

METHODS

This prospective population-based study included participants older than 40 years with no history of stroke or TIA from the UK Biobank. The main exposure was regular aspirin use. Cox regression analyses and propensity score matching analyses estimated the hazard ratios (HRs) for aspirin use for incident fatal and non-fatal ICH. We conducted pre-specified subgroup analyses for selecting individuals at high risk of ICH when using aspirin. Multiple sensitivity analyses were performed to test the robustness of our results.

RESULTS

A total of 449,325 participants were included into final analyses (median (IQR) age 58 (50-63) years, 54.6% females), of whom 58,045 reported aspirin use. During a median follow-up of 12.75 (IQR: 12.03-13.47) years, 1557 (0.3%) incident ICH cases were identified, of which 399 (25.6%) were fatal. Aspirin was not associated with increased risk of overall (hazard ratio (HR): 1.11, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.95-1.27, P = 0.188), fatal (HR: 1.03, 95% CI: 0.78-1.36, P = 0.846) and non-fatal (HR: 1.12, 95% CI: 0.95-1.33, P = 0.186) ICH. Propensity score matching analysis showed similar results. Subgroup analysis indicated that aspirin use in individuals older than 65 years or with concurrent anticoagulant use was correlated with increased risk of ICH.

CONCLUSION

In this large cohort study of middle-aged and older adults without stroke or TIA events, there was no significant association between aspirin use and ICH risk in the real-world setting. However, it is possible that aspirin use in those aged over 65 years and concurrent anticoagulant treatment may increase the risk of ICH.

Stroke recurrence and all-cause mortality in CPAP-treated sleep-disordered-breathing patients

BACKGROUND

Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) affects about 70 % of stroke patients and is closely linked to stroke development. It is unclear whether treatment with continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP) reduces the risk of stroke recurrence or mortality in post-stroke patients, partly due to limited follow-up time and small sample sizes of previous studies. To close this knowledge gap, this study investigated changes in stroke recurrence and mortality among CPAP-treated post-stroke patients with sleep-disordered breathing.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study using data from the Danish National Patient Registry covering the period from 2003 to 2016, involving 1821 patients diagnosed with sleep-disordered breathing and a prior ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA). Patients were categorized into three groups: CPAP users, CPAP-non-users, and no CPAP treatment. We used Cox hazard regression to assess the risk of recurrent stroke or TIA over a 5-year follow-up period, and all-cause mortality over a 14-year follow-up period.

RESULTS

CPAP treatment improved survival rate in CPAP users compared to patients categorized as no CPAP treatment (hazard ratio 0.75, 95 % CI [0.60;0.92], p = 0.007). This effect persisted after adjusting for age, sex, and pre-existing comorbidities within three years (the Quan-updated Charlson Comorbidity Index). There was no difference in recurrence of stroke/TIA among the three CPAP groups.

CONCLUSIONS

In this registry-based study, we found that CPAP was associated with a reduction in all-cause mortality in post-stroke/TIA patients with sleep-disordered breathing. CPAP treatment did not seem to affect the risk of re-stroke/TIA during the five years of follow-up.

The combined effects of cardiometabolic index and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein on the risk of new onset stroke in a Chinese national prospective longitudinal cohort study

BACKGROUND

The Cardiometabolic Index (CMI) represents a novel anthropometric measurement, which combines characteristics of adiposity and lipids. Since obesity, lipid metabolism, and inflammation may collectively facilitate the occurrence of stroke, we hypothesize that a combination of elevated levels of the CMI and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) increases the risk of future stroke among middle-aged and older Chinese adults.

METHODS

This study included 8,973 participants aged 45 years or older from the China Longitudinal Study on Health and Retirement (CHARLS), who were stroke-free and underwent baseline evaluations between 2011 and 2012, with followed-up at 2013, 2015 and 2018. The exposures were CMI and hs-CRP, with CMI calculated using the formula [waist circumference (cm)/height (cm)] × [triglycerides (mmol/L)/HDL-C (mmol/L)]. The primary outcome was the occurrence of new-onset stroke events. Cox proportional hazards models and restricted cubic spline (RCS) analyses were conducted to examine the associations between CMI, hs-CRP, and their combined effects on stroke risk. Sensitivity analysis was further implemented to verify the robustness of the results.

RESULTS

A total of 629 participants (7.01%) suffered new-onset stroke during follow-up. The risk for stroke increased with each elevating quartile of baseline CMI levels, with adjusted HRs and 95% CIs being 1.27 (0.98-1.66), 1.41 (1.08-1.83), and 1.46 (1.09-1.96) for Q2, Q3, and Q4, respectively. Moreover, participants with levels of hs-CRP ≥ 2 mg/L also had significantly higher stroke incidence compared to those with CRP levels < 2 mg/L (adjusted HR 1.24, 95% CI 1.05-1.47, p = 0.012). Specifically, those concurrently with the highest CMI quartile and levels of hs-CRP ≥ 2 mg/L had the highest risk of stroke (adjusted HR 1.90, 95% CI 1.32-2.74). The subsequent sensitivity analyses yielded consistent results, further corroborating the initial findings.

CONCLUSIONS

The combination of CMI and hs-CRP exhibited a significant association with stroke risk among middle-aged and older Chinese adults, highlighting the importance of joint assessments of these biomarkers for refining risk stratification and enhancing primary prevention strategies for stroke.

Joint association of triglyceride glucose index (TyG) and a body shape index (ABSI) with stroke incidence: a nationwide prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Triglyceride glucose index(TyG) and a body shape index(ABSI) are both independent predictor of stroke incidence or adverse prognosis but these two indicators seldom were combined to predict. The purpose of this study is to evaluate whether the combination of TyG and ABSI better predict the incidence of stroke.

METHODS

Based on the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study(CHARLS), 8,257 people aged 45 years and older without stroke were enrolled and followed up to 9 years. Sociodemographic information, health status, physical examination and blood data were collected retrospectively. Cox regressions were to determine the relationship between different groups and stroke incidence, using receiver operating characteristic curves to evaluate the diagnostic value. Meanwhile, subgroup analysis was performed to investigate the prediction performance among different population.

RESULTS

672(8.14%) of 8,257 participants had stroke incidence during 9 years. In the adjusted multivariate cox regression model, both TyG and ABSI were still predictors of stroke. The HR of TyG was 1.25(95%CI: 1.06-1.47) and the HR of ABSI was 1.33(95%CI: 1.06-1.68). Restricted cubic spline regression showed the associations between TyG or ABSI and stroke. The combination of TyG and ABSI had the highest diagnostic efficacy(AUC: 0.579, 95%CI: 0.553-0.597), compared to TyG(AUC:0.566, 95%CI: 0.544-0.587) and ABSI(AUC:0.533, 95%CI: 0.524-0.597). Kaplan-Meier curves showed that the highest cumulative stroke incidence was among people with high TyG and ABSI(TyG ≥ 8.5742, ABSI ≥ 0.0852; P < 0.0001), which had the highest HR of stroke incidence(HR:1.64, 95%CI:1.2-2.24).

CONCLUSION

The combined prediction of TyG and ABSI had higher clinical value and enabled earlier detection of the stroke in the general population, which could be monitored and intervened to reduce the overall burden of stroke.

Association between leisure-time physical activity and stroke in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: A population-based study

BACKGROUND

Stroke is the second leading cause of death worldwide. It remains unclear whether chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) increases the risk of stroke. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the association between COPD and stroke. As physical activity may prevent strokes, we examined whether leisure-time physical activity (LTPA) moderates stroke risk in COPD patients.

METHODS

13,524 participants from the 2009-2018 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). We used the Global Physical Activity Questionnaire (GPAQ) questionnaire to obtain self-reported data from LTPA. We used a binary logistic regression model to analyze the association between LTPA, COPD, and stroke risk.

RESULTS

The prevalence of COPD in the present study was 5.54%. The risk of stroke in COPD patients is 1.84 times higher than that in those without COPD, with a 95% confidence interval (95%CI) of 1.32,2.56 and P < 0.001. A lower stroke risk was observed in COPD patients who adhered to LTPA than those who did not (OR, 0.50; 95%CI, 0.26, 0.95; P = 0.03). As shown by the restricted cubic spline (RCS), the duration of LTPA in COPD patients was inversely related to the risk of stroke, which decreased as the duration of weekly LTPA increased.

CONCLUSION

COPD is positively associated with stroke risk. LTPA reduces the risk of stroke in patients with COPD, suggesting that it may be a promising measure for preventing stroke in this population.

Anthropometric Measurements in Predicting Haemorrhagic Stroke Among Bangladeshi Population: The MAGPIE Study

Background

Anthropometric measurements used to predict cardiovascular disease vary worldwide but are mostly derived from those of Caucasian ancestry. We sought to undertake such measurements in the little studied Bangladeshi population.

Methods

The MAGPIE (Multidimensional Approach of Genotype and Phenotype in Stroke Etiology) study is a Bangladeshi stroke case-control study that recruited nationwide between January 2022 and June 2024. The univariate analysis was utilised to curtail the risk of independent variables, and a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was employed to identify the cut-off values of Body Mass Index (BMI), Waist Circumference (WC), and Hip Circumference (HC). Furthermore, a multivariate logistic regression (LR) model demonstrated the risk of independent predictors of haemorrhagic stroke (HS) among sexes.

Results

Of a total of 1491 age- and sex-matched study population, 918 were haemorrhagic stroke (61.5%) with female predominance (n=489; 53.3%) and significantly older than men (P=0.003). The BMI (22.9 ±3.0 vs 21.3 ±3.0; P<0.001), WC (84.0 ±7.3 vs 80.8 ±7.3; P<0.001) and HC (90.6 ±7.1 vs 85.5 ±7.7; P<0.001) was significantly higher among women compared to men. A ROC curve demonstrated that the cut-off values of BMI, WC, and HC are 20.6kg/m2, 78.8cm, and 84.6cm, respectively, in men and 21.1 kg/m2, 81.5cm, and 88.1cm, respectively, in women haemorrhagic stroke population. Furthermore, an age-adjusted multivariate LR model identified a HC of ≥84.6 cm in men (OR 2.8, 95% CI 1.61-4.97; P <0.001) and a WC of ≥81.5cm in women (OR 1.6, 95% CI 1.01-2.37; P=0.001) as potential independent predictors of haemorrhagic stroke.

Conclusion

Bangladeshi men with a hip circumference of ≥84.6cm have about threefold, and women with a waist circumference of ≥81.1cm have about twofold heightened risk of haemorrhagic stroke.

Mendelian randomization studies of lifestyle-related risk factors for stroke: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Objective

Stroke risk factors often exert long-term effects, and Mendelian randomization (MR) offers significant advantages over traditional observational studies in evaluating the causal impact of these factors on stroke. This study aims to consolidate and evaluate the relationships between potential causal factors and stroke risk, drawing upon existing MR research.

Methods

A comprehensive search for MR studies related to stroke was conducted up to August 2023 using databases such as PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, and Scopus. This meta-analysis examines the relationships between potential causative factors and stroke risk. Both random-effects and fixed-effects models were utilized to compile the dominance ratios of various causative elements linked to stroke. The reliability of the included studies was assessed according to the Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology incorporating Mendelian Randomization (STROBE-MR) guidelines.

Results

The analysis identified several risk factors for stroke, including obesity, hypertension, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), chronic kidney disease (CKD), and smoking. Protective factors included high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), and educational attainment. Subgroup analysis revealed that type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), diastolic blood pressure (DBP) are risk factors for ischemic stroke (IS).

Conclusion

This study confirms that variables such as obesity, hypertension, elevated LDL-C levels, CKD, and smoking are significantly linked to the development of stroke. Our findings provide new insights into genetic susceptibility and potential biological pathways involved in stroke development.

Systematic review registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO, identifier CRD42024503049.

Potential of BMI as a screening indicator for extracranial-intracranial bypass surgery in patients with symptomatic artery occlusion: a post-hoc analysis of the CMOSS trial

BACKGROUND

To investigate the association between BMI and the incidence of ischemic stroke in patients with symptomatic artery occlusion, and further to evaluate the utility of BMI as a screening tool for identifying candidates for extracranial-intracranial bypass surgery.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The authors analyzed the relationship between BMI and the occurrence of ipsilateral ischemic stroke (IIS) among patients receiving only medical management in the Carotid or Middle cerebral artery Occlusion Surgery Study (CMOSS). Additionally, the authors compared the primary endpoint of CMOSS-stroke or death within 30 days, or IIS after 30 days up to 2 years-among patients with varying BMIs who underwent either surgery or medical treatment.

RESULTS

Of the 165 patients who treated medically only, 16 (9.7%) suffered an IIS within 2 years. BMI was independently associated with the incidence of IIS (hazard ratio: 1.16 per kg/m 2 ; 95% CI: 1.06-1.27). The optimal BMI cutoff for predicting IIS was 24.5 kg/m 2 . Patients with BMI ≥24.5 kg/m 2 experienced a higher incidence of IIS compared to those with BMI <24.5 kg/m 2 (17.4 vs. 0.0%, P <0.01). The incidence of the CMOSS primary endpoint was significantly different between the surgical and medical groups for patients with BMI ≥24.5 kg/m 2 (5.3 vs. 19.8%, P <0.01) and those with BMI <24.5 kg/m 2 (10.6 vs. 1.4%; P =0.02). Surgical intervention was independently associated with a reduced rate of the CMOSS primary endpoint in patients with BMI ≥24.5 kg/m 2 .

CONCLUSION

Data from the CMOSS trial indicate that patients with BMI ≥24.5 kg/m 2 are at a higher risk of IIS when treated medically only and appear to derive greater benefit from bypass surgery compared to those with lower BMIs. Given the small sample size and the inherent limitations of retrospective analyses, further large-scale, prospective studies are necessary to confirm these findings.

Association of traditional and novel obesity indicators with stroke risk: Findings from the Rural Chinese cohort study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Few researchers have compared the effectiveness of traditional and novel obesity indicators in predicting stroke incidence. We aimed to evaluate the associations between six obesity indices and stroke risk, and to further identify the optimal indicator.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 14,539 individuals from the Rural Chinese Cohort Study were included in the analyses. We used the Cox proportional hazards regression models to evaluate the association between six obesity indices (including body mass index [BMI], waist circumference [WC], conicity index [C-index], lipid accumulation product [LAP], visceral adiposity index [VAI], and Chinese visceral adiposity index [CVAI]) and stroke risk. Receiver operating characteristic curves were employed to compare their predictive ability on stroke risk. During a median follow-up period of 11.13 years, a total of 1257 cases of stroke occurred. In the multiple-adjusted Cox regression model, WC, BMI, C-index, and CVAI were positively associated with ischemic stroke (P < 0.01) rather than hemorrhagic stroke risk. Dose-response analyses showed a linear correlation of WC, BMI, C-index, and LAP (Poverall <0.05, and Pnonlinear >0.05), but a non-linear correlation of CVAI (Poverall <0.05, and Pnonlinear <0.05) with the risk of ischemic stroke. CVAI demonstrates the highest areas under the curves (AUC: 0.661, 95% CI: 0.653-0.668), indicating a superior predictive ability for ischemic stroke occurrence compared to other five indices (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

WC, BMI, C-index, LAP, and CVAI were all positively related to the risk of ischemic stroke, among which CVAI exhibited stronger predictive ability for ischemic stroke.

Relationships between obesity and functional outcome after ischemic stroke: a Mendelian randomization study

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Most previous studies suggested obesity deteriorates the functional outcome after ischemic stroke. But there are researches claiming that obesity is associated with lower mortality, recurrence, and readmission rates, which is known as the obesity paradox. Our current research aimed to investigate the correlation between genetically obesity and the post-stroke outcome with the Mendelian randomization (MR) method.

METHODS

The UK Biobank and the GIANT consortium provided instrumental variables for body mass index (BMI, 806,834 individuals) and waist-to-hip ratio (WHR, 697,734 individuals). Data of functional outcome after ischemic stroke were obtained from the Genetics of Ischemic Stroke Functional Outcome network (6012 individuals). Inverse-variance weighted approach was utilized as the primary analyses. Sensitivity analyses involved the utilization of different MR methods. The heterogeneity among genetic variants was assessed by I2 and Q value statistics.

RESULTS

In univariable analysis, there was a significant connection between genetic susceptibility to WHR and worse functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale 3) after ischemic stroke (OR [95%CI] = 1.47 [1.07, 2.02], P = 0.016). Genetic liability to BMI and was not associated with post-stroke functional outcome (all P > 0.05). The overall patterns between genetic liability to WHR and functional outcome post-ischemic outcome no longer existed in the multivariable MR analysis after adjusting for BMI (OR [95%CI] = 1.26[0.76,1.67], P = 0.56).

CONCLUSION

The current MR study provided evidence that WHR was correlated to unfavorable outcome post-ischemic stroke. Exploring interventions against obesity may potentially improve recovery after ischemic stroke.

Effects of Ellagic Acid on Glucose and Lipid Metabolism: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background

Abnormal glucose and lipid metabolism (GALM) serve as both a cause and an inducer for the development of the disease. Improvement and treatment of GALM are an important stage to prevent the occurrence and development of the disease. However, current clinical treatment for GALM is limited. Ellagic acid (EA), a common polyphenol present in foods, has been shown to improve abnormalities in GALM observed in patients suffering from metabolic diseases.

Objective

This study used a meta-analysis method to systematically assess the effects of EA on GALM.

Method

As of November 8, 2023, a comprehensive search was conducted across 5 databases, namely, PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, and Google Scholar to identify randomized controlled trials (RCTs) in which EA served as the primary intervention for diseases related to GALM. The risk of bias within the included studies was assessed according to the Cochrane Handbook. All statistical analyzes were performed using RevMan 5.4 software.

Results

In this study, a total of 482 articles were retrieved, resulting in the inclusion of 10 RCTs in the meta-analysis. The results showed that EA could reduce fasting blood glucose (FBG) (p = 0.008), increase insulin secretion (p = 0.01), improve insulin resistance index (HOMA-IR) (p = 0.003), decrease triglyceride (TG) (p = 0.004), and reduce cholesterol (Chol) (p = 0.04) and low-density lipoprotein (LDL-c) (p = 0.0004). EA had no significant effect on waist circumference (WC), body weight (BW), body mass index (BMI), 2 hours after prandial blood glucose (2 h-PG), total cholesterol (TC), and high-density lipoprotein (HDL-c).

Conclusions

The effect of improvement in glucose and lipids of EA was closely related to the dose and the intervention time. EA can improve GALM caused by diseases. To corroborate the findings of this study and improve the reliability of the results, EA is imperative to refine the research methodology and increase the sample size in future investigations.

Risk Factors for Intracerebral Hemorrhage: Genome-Wide Association Study and Mendelian Randomization Analyses

BACKGROUND

The genetic and nongenetic causes of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) remain obscure. The present study aimed to uncover the genetic and modifiable risk factors for ICH.

METHODS

We meta-analyzed genome-wide association study data from 3 European biobanks, involving 7605 ICH cases and 711 818 noncases, to identify the genomic loci linked to ICH. To uncover the potential causal associations of cardiometabolic and lifestyle factors with ICH, we performed Mendelian randomization analyses using genetic instruments identified in previous genome-wide association studies of the exposures and ICH data from the present genome-wide association study meta-analysis. We performed multivariable Mendelian randomization analyses to examine the independent associations of the identified risk factors with ICH and evaluate potential mediating pathways.

RESULTS

We identified 1 ICH risk locus, located at the APOE genomic region. The lead variant in this locus was rs429358 (chr19:45411941), which was associated with an odds ratio of ICH of 1.17 (95% CI, 1.11-1.20; P=6.01×10-11) per C allele. Genetically predicted higher levels of body mass index, visceral adiposity, diastolic blood pressure, systolic blood pressure, and lifetime smoking index, as well as genetic liability to type 2 diabetes, were associated with higher odds of ICH after multiple testing corrections. Additionally, a genetic increase in waist-to-hip ratio and liability to smoking initiation were consistently associated with ICH, albeit at the nominal significance level (P<0.05). Multivariable Mendelian randomization analysis showed that the association between body mass index and ICH was attenuated on adjustment for type 2 diabetes and further that type 2 diabetes may be a mediator of the body mass index-ICH relationship.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings indicate that the APOE locus contributes to ICH genetic susceptibility in European populations. Excess adiposity, elevated blood pressure, type 2 diabetes, and smoking were identified as the chief modifiable cardiometabolic and lifestyle factors for ICH.

Association of body composition indices with cardiovascular outcomes: a nationwide cohort study

BACKGROUND

Previous studies regarding BMI (kg/m2) and associated cardiovascular outcomes yield inconsistent results.

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to investigate the association between body composition and cardiovascular outcomes according to BMI categories in the Korean general population.

METHODS

A total of 2,604,401 participants were enrolled in this nationwide cohort study using the National Health Insurance Service-Health Checkup data set. Predicted lean BMI (pLBMI), body fat mass index (pBFMI), and appendicular skeletal muscle mass index (pASMMI) were calculated using validated anthropometric prediction equations. A multivariable time-dependent Cox regression analysis was conducted to assess the association with cardiovascular outcomes. The results were presented with adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs), considering BMI categories (BMI < 18.5, BMI 18.5-24.9, BMI 25-29.9, and BMI ≥ 30).

RESULTS

Higher pLBMI and pASMMI were correlated with a reduced risk of composite cardiovascular outcomes. For pLBMI, HR was 0.910 (95% CI: 0.908, 0.913, P < 0.001) for males and 0.905 (95% CI: 0.899, 0.910, P < 0.001) for females. For pASMMI, HR was 0.825 (95% CI: 0.820, 0.829, P < 0.001) for males and 0.788 (95% CI: 0.777, 0.800, P < 0.001) for females. Conversely, a higher pBFMI was associated with an increased risk, with HR of 1.082 (95% CI: 1.071, 1.093, P < 0.001) for males and 1.181 (95% CI: 1.170, 1.192, P < 0.001) for females. Subgroup analysis based on BMI categories revealed no significant risk association for pBFMI in the BMI < 18.5 group. In the group with BMI ≥ 30, neither pLBMI nor pASMMI demonstrated a significant risk association.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results highlight the value of pLBMI, pBFMI, and pASMMI as variables for assessing risk of composite cardiovascular outcomes. The significance of indicators may vary depending on BMI categories.

Association of variability in body size with neuroimaging metrics of brain health: a population-based cohort study

Background

The relationship between the fluctuation in body size and brain health is poorly understood. This study aimed to examine the associations of long-term variability in body mass index (BMI) and waist-to-hip ratio (WHR) with neuroimaging metrics that approximate brain health.

Methods

This cohort study recruited 1114 participants aged 25-83 years from a multicenter, community-based cohort study in China. We modeled the BMI and WHR trajectories of participants during 2006-2018 and assessed the BMI and WHR variability (direction and speed of change) by calculating the slope. Generalized linear models were applied to investigate the associations of BMI and WHR variability with MRI markers of brain tissue volume, white matter microstructural integrity, white matter hyperintensity (WMH), and cerebral small vessel disease (CSVD).

Findings

Progressive weight gain during follow-up was associated with lower global fractional anisotropy (beta = -0.18, 95% confidence interval [CI] -0.34 to -0.02), higher mean diffusivity (beta = 0.15, 95% CI 0.01-0.30) and radial diffusivity (beta = 0.17, 95% CI 0.02-0.32). Weight loss was also associated with a lower burden of periventricular WMH (beta = -0.26, 95% CI -0.48 to -0.03) and a lower risk of moderate-to-severe basal ganglia enlarged perivascular spaces (BG-EPVS, odds ratio [OR] = 0.41, 95% CI 0.20-0.83). Among overweight populations, weight loss was linked with smaller volumes of WMH (beta = -0.47, 95% CI -0.79 to -0.15), periventricular WMH (beta = -0.57, 95% CI -0.88 to -0.26), and deep WMH (beta = -0.36, 95% CI -0.69 to -0.03), as well as lower risk of CSVD (OR = 0.22, 95% CI 0.08-0.62), lacune (OR = 0.12, 95% CI 0.01-0.91) and moderate-to-severe BG-EPVS (OR = 0.24, 95% CI 0.09-0.61). In adults with central obesity, WHR loss was positively associated with larger gray matter volume (beta = 0.50, 95% CI 0.11-0.89), hippocampus volume (beta = 0.62, 95% CI 0.15-1.09), and parahippocampal gyrus volume (beta = 0.85, 95% CI 0.34-1.37). The sex-stratification and age-stratification analyses revealed similar findings with the main results, with the pattern of associations significantly presented in the individuals at mid-life and late-life.

Interpretation

Long-term stability of BMI level is essential for maintaining brain health. Progressive weight gain is associated with impaired white matter microstructural integrity. Weight and WHR losses are associated with improved general brain health. Our results contribute to a better understanding of the integrated associations between variations in obesity measures and brain health.

Funding

This study was supported by grants No. 62171297 (Han Lv) and 61931013 (Zhenchang Wang) from the National Natural Science Foundation of China, No. 7242267 from the Beijing Natural Science Foundation (Han Lv), and No. [2015] 160 from the Beijing Scholars Program (Zhenchang Wang).

Development of a nomogram to predict the incidence of acute kidney injury among ischemic stroke individuals during ICU hospitalization

Background

Limited clinical prediction models exist to assess the likelihood of acute kidney injury (AKI) occurrence in ischemic stroke individuals. In this retrospective study, our aim was to construct a nomogram that utilizes commonly available clinical features to predict the occurrence of AKI during intensive care unit hospitalization among this patient population.

Methods

In this study, the MIMIC-IV database was utilized to investigate potential risk factors associated with the incidence of AKI among ischemic stroke individuals. A predictive nomogram was developed based on these identified risk factors. The discriminative performance of the constructed nomogram was assessed. Calibration analysis was utilized to evaluate the calibration performance of the constructed model, assessing the agreement between predicted probabilities and actual outcomes. Furthermore, decision curve analysis (DCA) was employed to assess the clinical net benefit, taking into account the potential risks and benefits associated with different decision thresholds.

Results

A total of 2089 ischemic stroke individuals were included and randomly allocated into developing (n = 1452) and verification cohorts (n = 637). Risk factors for AKI incidence in ischemic stroke individuals, determined through LASSO and logistic regression. The constructed nomogram had good performance in predicting the occurrence of AKI among ischemic stroke patients and provided significant improvement compared to existing scoring systems. DCA demonstrated satisfactory clinical net benefit of the constructed nomogram in both the validation and development cohorts.

Conclusions

The developed nomogram exhibits robust predictive performance in forecasting AKI occurrence in ischemic stroke individuals.

The Role of Modifying Risk Factors as Well as Body Mass Index, Waist Circumference and Hip to Waist Ratio as Anthropometric Indicators and Parameters of Obesity in the Occurence of Stroke

Background

Evaluated values of body mass index (BMI), waist circumeference (WC) and waist-to-hip ratio (WHR) increase the risk of stroke, but the extent to which this is mediated by hypertension, diabetes, lipid status, smoking and alcohol consumption is not fully understood.

Objective

The aim of this research is to examine the influence of modifying and non-modifying factors as well as obesity defined through BMI, WC and WHR on the occurrence of stroke.

Methods

A total of 440 subjects were included in the cohort divided in to two groups. The first group were patients with stroke and another without stroke. We investigate modifable factor for stroke (hypertension (HTA), lipid status, diabetes mellitus (DM), smoking, alcohol consumption, educational status) as well as WHR, BMI and WC as determinants for obesitiy.

Results

The majority of respondents in both groups had a secondary level of education. Smoking and alcohol consumption were slightly more prevalent in the group without stroke, while HTA and DM were slightly more prevalent in the group with stroke, but without a statistically significant difference. The largest number of respodents without stroke had HDL cholesterol values in the range of optimal >1.5, 70.9%, while 35.5% of respodents with stroke had values in the risk range, as well as 32.3% in the high risk range. LDL cholesterol values were on average statistically significantly higher in the group of respodents with stroke - 3.77±1.29 compared to the values in respodents without stroke - 3.20±1.20. The largest WC had patients with a hemorrhagic stroke 96.4 ± 15.5 cm. The average BMI was slightly higher in the group of patients with embolic stroke (28.5 ± 2.8) compared to patients with hemorrhagic stroke (28.4 ± 5.9) and thrombotic stroke (28.1 ± 4, 2). WHR was almost identical in all three types of stroke.

Conclusion

There is correlation between modifable risk factor and obesity in stroke occurence.

Association between Chinese visceral adiposity index and risk of stroke incidence in middle-aged and elderly Chinese population: evidence from a large national cohort study

BACKGROUND

Abdominal obesity has long been considered as a crucial risk factor of stroke. Chinese visceral adiposity index (CVAI), a novel surrogate indicator of abdominal obesity, has been confirmed as a better predictor for coronary heart disease than other indicators in Asian population. However, the data on the relationship of CVAI with stroke is limited. The objective of our study is evaluating the relationship between CVAI and stroke incidence.

METHODS

In the present study, we enrolled 7242 middle-aged and elderly residents from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) and placed them into groups according to quartile of CVAI. The outcome of interest was stroke. Kaplan-Meier curves were used to estimate the cumulative incidences of stroke. Cox regression analyses and multivariable-adjusted restricted cubic spline (RCS) curves were performed to evaluate the relationship between CVAI and incident stroke. Multiple sensitivity analyses and subgroups analyses were performed to test the robustness of the findings.

RESULTS

During a median 84 months of follow-up, 612 (8.45%) participants experienced incident stroke, and the incidences of stroke for participants in quartiles (Q) 1-4 of CVAI were 4.42%, 7.29%, 9.06% and 13.04%, respectively. In the fully adjusted model, per 1.0-SD increment in CVAI has a significant increased risk of incident stroke: hazard ratio (HR) [95% confidence interval (CI)] was 1.17 (1.07-1.28); compared with participants in Q1 of CVAI, the HRs (95% CI) of incident stroke among those in Q2-4 were 1.47 (1.10-1.95), 1.62 (1.22-2.15), and 1.70 (1.28-2.27), respectively. Subgroups analyses suggested the positive association was significant in male participants, without diabetes, hypertension and heart disease. The findings were robust in all the sensitivity analyses. Additional, RCS curves showed a significant dose-response relationship of CVAI with risk of incident stroke (P for non-linear trend = 0.319).

CONCLUSION

Increased CVAI is significantly associated with higher risk of stroke incidence, especially in male individuals, without hypertension, diabetes and heart disease. The findings suggest that baseline CVAI is a reliable and effective biomarker for risk stratification of stroke, which has far-reaching significance for primary prevention of stroke and public health.

Associations of Chinese visceral adiposity index and new-onset stroke in middle-aged and older Chinese adults: an observational study

BACKGROUND

Stroke represents the second most prevalent contributor to global mortality. The Chinese Visceral Adiposity Index (CVAI) serves as an established metric for assessing visceral adiposity in the Chinese population, exhibiting prognostic capabilities. This investigation aimed to explore the association of CVAI and new-onset stroke among middle-aged and older Chinese populations.

METHODS

The study employed data from the 2011 and 2018 China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) to assess the association of CVAI and the incidence of new-onset stroke. Utilizing a directed acyclic graph (DAG), 10 potential confounders were identified. Moreover, to explore the association between CVAI and new-onset stroke, three multifactor logistic regression models were constructed, accounting for the identified confounders and mitigating their influence on the findings.

RESULTS

The study comprised 7070 participants, among whom 417 (5.9%) experienced new-onset strokes. After controlling for confounding variables, regression analysis suggested that the new-onset stroke's highest risk was linked to the fourth quartile (Q4) of the CVAI, with an odds ratio (OR) of 2.33 and a 95% confidence interval (CI) of 1.67-3.28. The decision tree analysis demonstrated a heightened probability of new-onset stroke among hypertensive individuals with a CVAI equal to or greater than 83, coupled with a C-reactive protein level no less than 1.1 mg/l. Age seemed to have a moderating influence on the CVAI and new-onset stroke association, exhibiting a more prominent interaction effect in participants under 60 years.

CONCLUSIONS

In middle-aged and older Chinese populations, a linear relationship was discerned between CVAI and the probability of new-onset stroke. CVAI provides a predictive framework for stroke incidence in this demographic, laying the groundwork for more sophisticated risk prediction models that improve the precision and specificity of stroke risk evaluations.