Increasing risk of uterine cervical cancer among young Japanese women: Comparison of incidence trends in Japan, South Korea and Japanese-Americans between 1985 and 2012

Global cancer statistics 2022: GLOBOCAN estimates of incidence and mortality worldwide for 36 cancers in 185 countries

This article presents global cancer statistics by world region for the year 2022 based on updated estimates from the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC). There were close to 20 million new cases of cancer in the year 2022 (including nonmelanoma skin cancers [NMSCs]) alongside 9.7 million deaths from cancer (including NMSC). The estimates suggest that approximately one in five men or women develop cancer in a lifetime, whereas around one in nine men and one in 12 women die from it. Lung cancer was the most frequently diagnosed cancer in 2022, responsible for almost 2.5 million new cases, or one in eight cancers worldwide (12.4% of all cancers globally), followed by cancers of the female breast (11.6%), colorectum (9.6%), prostate (7.3%), and stomach (4.9%). Lung cancer was also the leading cause of cancer death, with an estimated 1.8 million deaths (18.7%), followed by colorectal (9.3%), liver (7.8%), female breast (6.9%), and stomach (6.8%) cancers. Breast cancer and lung cancer were the most frequent cancers in women and men, respectively (both cases and deaths). Incidence rates (including NMSC) varied from four-fold to five-fold across world regions, from over 500 in Australia/New Zealand (507.9 per 100,000) to under 100 in Western Africa (97.1 per 100,000) among men, and from over 400 in Australia/New Zealand (410.5 per 100,000) to close to 100 in South-Central Asia (103.3 per 100,000) among women. The authors examine the geographic variability across 20 world regions for the 10 leading cancer types, discussing recent trends, the underlying determinants, and the prospects for global cancer prevention and control. With demographics-based predictions indicating that the number of new cases of cancer will reach 35 million by 2050, investments in prevention, including the targeting of key risk factors for cancer (including smoking, overweight and obesity, and infection), could avert millions of future cancer diagnoses and save many lives worldwide, bringing huge economic as well as societal dividends to countries over the forthcoming decades.

Evaluating the cost-effectiveness of HPV vaccination for adolescent girls in Japan: A comparison of 2-valent, 4-valent, and 9-valent HPV vaccines with consideration of cross-protection

OBJECTIVE

In April 2023, the Japanese Health Ministry panel approved the inclusion of the 9-valent human papillomavirus (9vHPV) vaccine in the National Immunization Program, alongside the 2-valent (2vHPV) and 4-valent HPV (4vHPV) vaccines. In response to this, we evaluated the cost-effectiveness of these three vaccines for routine immunization of girls aged 12-16 in Japan, considering the cross-protection of 2vHPV and 4vHPV vaccines.

METHODS

We constructed an age-structured mathematical model for HPV transmission, aiming to quantify the economic and epidemiological effects of various HPV vaccination strategies over a 70-year period in Japan. We determined incremental costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) for each strategy, applying a 3% annual discount. Univariate and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess the uncertainty of our model results, with all evaluations done in 2023.

RESULTS

Our projections indicate that the HPV vaccination program in Japan will significantly reduce the incidence of HPV-related diseases. All HPV vaccination strategies, using the 2vHPV, 4vHPV, and 9vHPV vaccines, were found to be cost-effective compared to no vaccination, with incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of ¥971,447/QALY, ¥1,237,297/QALY, and ¥742,084/QALY, respectively. Direct comparisons between vaccines demonstrated that the 9vHPV vaccination was more cost-effective than the 2vHPV vaccination, whereas 4vHPV vaccination was dominated by 2vHPV vaccination.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study validates the cost-effectiveness of implementing the 9vHPV vaccine as the primary option over the 2vHPV or 4vHPV vaccine for girls in Japan. These findings underscore the need to improve the acceptance rate and coverage of HPV vaccinations in the country.

Human papillomavirus vaccine impact on invasive cervical cancer in Japan: Preliminary results from cancer statistics and the MINT study

The first prophylactic vaccine against human papillomavirus (HPV) 16 and HPV18 was licensed in Japan in 2009. HPV vaccine effectiveness against high-grade cervical lesions has been demonstrated among young Japanese women, but evidence of its effects on invasive cervical cancer (ICC) is lacking. Using data from two different cancer registries, we compared recent trends of new ICC cases by age group using Poisson regression analysis. We also analyzed time trends in HPV16/18 prevalence among 1414 Japanese women aged <40 years newly diagnosed with ICC in the past decade. Based on the population-based cancer registry, the incidence of ICC among young women aged 20-29 years showed a significant decline from 3.6 to 2.8 per 100 000 women-years during 2016-2019, but no similar decline was observed for older age groups (p < 0.01). Similarly, using data from the gynecological cancer registry of the Japan Society of Obstetrics and Gynecology, the annual number of ICCs among women aged 20-29 years also decreased from 256 cases to 135 cases during 2011-2020 (p < 0.0001). Furthermore, a declining trend in HPV16/18 prevalence in ICC was observed only among women aged 20-29 years during 2017-2022 (90.5%-64.7%, p = 0.05; Cochran-Armitage trend test). This is the first report to suggest population-level effects of HPV vaccination on ICC in Japan. Although the declining trend in HPV16/18 prevalence among young women with ICC supports a causal linkage between vaccination and results from cancer registries, further studies are warranted to confirm that our findings are attributable to vaccination.

Recent Mortality Patterns and Time Trends for the Major Cancers in 47 Countries Worldwide

BACKGROUND

Most prior studies have reported cancer mortality trends across countries for specific cancer types. Herein, we examine recent patterns and trends in cancer mortality rates for the eight common forms of cancer in 47 countries across five continents (except Africa) based on the World Health Organization mortality database.

METHODS

Rates were age-standardized to the 1966 Segi-Doll world population, and trends in the age-standardized rates for the most recent 10 years of data were examined using Joinpoint regression.

RESULTS

Cancer-specific mortality rates vary substantially across countries, with rates of infection-related (cervix and stomach) and tobacco-related cancers (lung and esophagus) varying by 10-fold. Recent mortality rates for all major cancers decreased in most of the studied countries except lung cancer in females and liver cancer in males, where increasing rates were observed in most countries. Rates decreased or stabilized in all countries for lung cancer in men and stomach cancer in both sexes.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings reinforce the importance of implementing and strengthening resource-stratified and targeted cancer prevention and control programs in all parts of the world to further reduce or halt the rising cancer burden.

IMPACT

The results may inform cancer prevention and treatment strategies and in so doing, reduce the marked global cancer disparities observed today.

The scientific basis for the use of the linear no-threshold (LNT) model at low doses and dose rates in radiological protection

The linear no-threshold (LNT) model was introduced into the radiological protection system about 60 years ago, but this model and its use in radiation protection are still debated today. This article presents an overview of results on effects of exposure to low linear-energy-transfer radiation in radiobiology and epidemiology accumulated over the last decade and discusses their impact on the use of the LNT model in the assessment of radiation-related cancer risks at low doses. The knowledge acquired over the past 10 years, both in radiobiology and epidemiology, has reinforced scientific knowledge about cancer risks at low doses. In radiobiology, although certain mechanisms do not support linearity, the early stages of carcinogenesis comprised of mutational events, which are assumed to play a key role in carcinogenesis, show linear responses to doses from as low as 10 mGy. The impact of non-mutational mechanisms on the risk of radiation-related cancer at low doses is currently difficult to assess. In epidemiology, the results show excess cancer risks at dose levels of 100 mGy or less. While some recent results indicate non-linear dose relationships for some cancers, overall, the LNT model does not substantially overestimate the risks at low doses. Recent results, in radiobiology or in epidemiology, suggest that a dose threshold, if any, could not be greater than a few tens of mGy. The scientific knowledge currently available does not contradict the use of the LNT model for the assessment of radiation-related cancer risks within the radiological protection system, and no other dose-risk relationship seems more appropriate for radiological protection purposes.

Health impact and cost effectiveness of implementing gender-neutral HPV vaccination in Japan

OBJECTIVE

To assess the public health impact and cost effectiveness of gender-neutral vaccination (GNV) versus female-only vaccination (FOV) with human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination in Japan.

METHODS

We modeled the public health impact and cost effectiveness of GNV versus FOV to prevent HPV-associated diseases in Japan over the next 100 years. We used one-way sensitivity analyses to examine the impact of varying key model input parameters and conducted scenario analyses to explore the effects of varying the vaccination coverage rate (VCR) of each cohort.

RESULTS

In the base-case analysis, GNV averted additional cancer cases (17,228 female/6,033 male) and deaths (1,892 female/1,849 male) compared to FOV. When all HPV-associated diseases were considered, GNV had an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of ¥4,732,320 (US$35,987)/quality-adjusted life year gained compared to FOV. The model was most sensitive to the discount rate and the disutility associated with HPV-related diseases. GNV had greater relative public health benefits when the female VCR was lower and was cost effective at a female VCR of 30%.

CONCLUSIONS

Immediate implementation of GNV would reduce the disease burden and mortality associated with HPV in Japan, and would be cost effective compared to FOV if the female VCR remains low (30%).

Trends in Incidence Rates, Mortality Rates, and Age-Period-Cohort Effects of Cervical Cancer - China, 2003-2017

Introduction

This study reported the trends and analyzed the age-period-cohort effects on the incidence and mortality rates of cervical cancer in China.

Methods

The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and mortality rate (ASMR) by Segi's world standard population were calculated using qualified consecutive data from 22 cancer registries from 2003 to 2017 in China. We performed joinpoint analysis to describe the trends and age-period-cohort analysis to estimate the independent effects of age, period and cohort on trends in incidence and mortality rates of cervical cancer.

Results

The ASIR and ASMR for cervical cancer in females over 20 years old increased during 2003-2017. For females <50 years, a decreasing trend in ASIR and a stable trend in ASMR were observed in urban areas after 2009. But the ASIR and ASMR kept increasing in rural areas during the whole period. For females >50 years, the ASIR and ASMR increased both in urban and rural areas. Age-period-cohort analysis showed increasing period effects on cervical cancer incidence and mortality during the whole period. The cohort effects exhibited a downward-upward-downward pattern for the incidence (1918-1938, 1938-1963, 1963-1993) and mortality rates (1918-1943, 1943-1963, 1963-1993) in urban areas, a fluctuating pattern for incidence rate and a continuing downward pattern for mortality rate (1918-1993) in rural areas.

Conclusions

The increases in cervical cancer incidence and mortality rates can be mostly explained by period effects. We observed decreases in risk for cervical cancer incidence and mortality in young female generations, which were more obvious in urban areas.

Impact of the cervical cancer awareness months on public interest in Japan: A Google Trends analysis, 2012–2021

The immunization and screening rates for human papillomavirus in Japan are lower than those in other countries. We aimed to evaluate the impact of cervical cancer awareness months on public attention using Google Trends analysis. Between 2012 and 2021, we analyzed the trends in relative search volumes (RSVs) for “Shikyuu-keigan” (cervical cancer in English) in Japan, during the cervical cancer awareness month (CCAM) in January and cervical cancer prevention awareness enhancement month (CCPAEM) in November. We performed a joinpoint regression analysis to identify a statistically significant trend change point. Additionally, we compared the mean RSVs of each awareness month with the rest of the year. Significant trend change points were observed, but none were found in CCAM and CCPAEM periods. Comparison of mean RSVs among CCAM, CCPAEM, and the rest of the months did not suggest any significant increases in RSVs during these awareness periods. In conclusion, CAM and CCPAEM did not raise public interest in cervical cancer in Japan. Although the results are based on internet users, the findings might suggest a need to develop a more effective and attractive approach to achieve the 90-70-90 targets of cervical cancer prevention by 2030.

Prognostic impact of adding bevacizumab to carboplatin and paclitaxel for recurrent, persistent, or metastatic cervical cancer

OBJECTIVE

Recent randomized phase III trial has shown significant benefit in overall survival (OS) for patients with advanced cervical cancer by adding bevacizumab to conventional chemotherapy. The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic impact for Japanese recurrent, persistent, or metastatic cervical cancer patients where bevacizumab was added to paclitaxel plus carboplatin.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A retrospective analysis was performed on 90 patients with recurrent, persistent, or metastatic cervical cancer mainly treated by paclitaxel plus carboplatin between 2005 and 2019 at our hospital. Data for the following clinicopathological variables were analyzed: (1) bevacizumab use; (2) histology; (3) disease presentation; (4) performance status; (5) prior chemotherapy containing platinum agent; (6) pelvic disease; (7) prior pelvic radiotherapy; (8) location of target lesions. Survival analysis was performed using Kaplan-Meier curves, log-rank tests, Wilcoxon tests, and Cox proportional hazards models combined with propensity score matching.

RESULTS

Adding bevacizumab to paclitaxel plus carboplatin showed significantly increased complete response to compared with that of non-users. In a Cox regression hazard model, bevacizumab use tended to show better OS though without statistically significance. After propensity score matching, adding bevacizumab to paclitaxel plus carboplatin showed a significant better OS by univariate analysis using Wilcoxon test, not by log-rank test.

CONCLUSION

Adding bevacizumab to paclitaxel plus carboplatin showed a limited prognostic impact for recurrent, persistent or advanced cervical cancer patients in the real world. Further effective second-line treatments are needed to prolong OS of patients with recurrent, persistent or advanced cervical cancer.

The prognostic value and biological significance of gap junction beta protein 2 (GJB2 or Cx26) in cervical cancer

Objective

To evaluate the prognostic value and explore the biological significance of gap junction protein beta 2 (GJB2 or Cx26) in cervical cancer (CC).

Methods

We first compared GJB2 expression between CC and normal tissues using public databases and immunohistochemistry (IHC). Based on The Cancer Genome Atlas data (TCGA cohort, n = 304) and tissue microarray samples (OBC cohort, n = 111), we explored the prognostic value of GJB2 for CC patients using bioinformatics analysis and IHC scoring. To explore the biological significance of GJB2, Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) and Gene Ontology (GO) were performed. The impact of GJB2 on the immune microenvironment was analyzed by CIBERSORTx and ESTIMATE algorithms. We finally investigated the relationship between GJB2 and drug sensitivity based on the Genomics of Drug Sensitivity in Cancer (GDSC).

Results

The expression of GJB2 was significantly increased in CC over normal tissues. Both the TCGA and OBC cohort found that patients with high GJB2 expression had shorter overall survival (OS) time, and high GJB2 expression was the independent risk factor for prognosis (TCGA: HR, 2.566; 95% CI, 1.066–6.180; p = 0.036; OBC: HR, 2.198; 95% CI, 1.019–4.741; p = 0.045). GJB2 was correlated with patient clinical factors such as tumor size and differentiation grade. The p53 signaling pathway and toll-like receptor pathway may be regulated by GJB2. The abundance of various immune cells was significantly different between the low and high GJB2 expression groups. The ImmuneScore was significantly increased in the high GJB2 expression group. In addition, the expression level of GJB2 was positively correlated with the natural log of the half-maximal inhibitory concentration (LN_IC50) value of cisplatin/paclitaxel (Spearman r = 0.238/0.153, p &lt; 0.001).

Conclusion

GJB2 can serve as a potential prognostic marker of poor survival and a therapeutic target in CC. Moreover, GJB2 may affect the immune microenvironment and is correlated with chemoresistance.

Tisotumab vedotin in Japanese patients with recurrent/metastatic cervical cancer: results from the innovaTV 206 study

New treatments, particularly second‐line options, are needed to improve outcomes for patients with recurrent/metastatic cervical cancer (r/mCC). Tisotumab vedotin (TV) is an antibody–drug conjugate directed to tissue factor, a transmembrane protein commonly expressed in cancer cells, to deliver cytotoxic monomethyl auristatin E. This single‐arm, open‐label phase 1/2 trial evaluated the consistency of safety and efficacy outcomes of TV in Japanese patients with r/mCC to bridge the current findings with those reported in previous trials in non‐Japanese patients in the United States and Europe. In part 1 (dose escalation; N = 6), patients with advanced solid tumors received TV 1.5 or 2.0 mg/kg once every 3 weeks to determine the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) and recommended phase 2 dose (RP2D). Part 2 (dose expansion; N = 17) evaluated the RP2D in r/mCC patients with 1–2 prior lines of therapy. In part 1, no dose‐limiting toxicities were observed, the MTD was not reached, and TV 2.0 mg/kg was established as the RP2D. In part 2, the most common treatment‐emergent adverse events were anemia (58.8%), nausea (58.8%), alopecia (47.1%), epistaxis (47.1%), and diarrhea (35.3%); adverse events of special interest were bleeding (76.5%), ocular events (35.3%), and peripheral neuropathy (17.6%), and were mostly grade 1/2. In part 2, confirmed objective response rate was 29.4%, median duration of response was 7.1 months, and median time to response was 1.2 months. In Japanese patients with r/mCC, TV demonstrated a manageable and tolerable safety, pharmacokinetics, and efficacy profile consistent with that observed in non‐Japanese patients.

Trends of cancer mortality in Xi'an City, China: 2005-2020

PURPOSE

Describe and predict the malignant tumor deaths in Xi'an so as to provide evidence for the government to formulate the prevention and treatment plans.

METHODS

Overall malignant tumor death in Xi'an in the past 16 years was described. The multi-decrease life table was used to calculate cumulative mortality risk by cause and life expectancy reduction years by cause of malignant tumors in 2020. The join point regression models were used to analyze the change trend of standard mortality of malignant tumors in Xi'an from 2005 to 2020. The appropriate gray models were selected to predict the death of malignant tumors in Xi'an in the next decade.

RESULTS

The mortality of total malignant tumors in Xi'an showed that men are higher than women and the elderly are higher than other groups. As for 2020, lung cancer had the highest risk of death for both men and women, while leukemia had the highest life expectancy reduction years by cause. From 2005 to 2020, standardized mortality of majority malignant tumors showed downward trends, which were particularly obvious in recent years. The prediction results of several major malignant tumors showed that in the next decade, the mortality of most malignant tumors had downward trends, but combined with the increase of population in the future, the number of malignant tumor deaths in Xi'an will continue to increase.

CONCLUSIONS

Malignant tumors in Xi'an have decreasing mortality trends in recent years, and effective measures to prevent and treat tumors should be strengthened in the future.

Effect of Different Educational Interventions on Knowledge of HPV Vaccination and Cervical Cancer among Young Women: A Preliminary Report

The incidence and mortality rates of cervical cancer are rising among young women in Japan. In November 2021, the Japanese Ministry of Health, Labour, and Welfare reinstated the active recommendation for the human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine, which was discontinued in June 2013 due to reports of adverse reactions, including chronic pain and motor dysfunction, following vaccination. However, vaccine hesitancy among the younger generation remains, and it is essential to identify the barriers in vaccination uptake. Therefore, we aimed to conduct a randomized study using different methods of providing educational contents to improve health literacy regarding cervical cancer and HPV vaccination among female students in Japan. Here, we present the results of our preliminary report and discuss current topics related to HPV vaccination in Japan. Data were collected from 27 female students—divided into three groups: no intervention, print-based intervention, and social networking service-based intervention—using the health literacy scale and communicative and critical health literacy scale. Our primary results indicate that participants’ knowledge and health literacy improved post-intervention. Therefore, medical professionals must provide accurate scientific knowledge regarding routine HPV vaccination and the risk of cervical cancer to young women to improve their health literacy and subsequently increase the HPV vaccination rates.

Trends in cervical cancer incidence and mortality of young and middle adults in Japan

In most high‐resource countries with organized screening programs, the incidence and mortality of cervical cancer is decreasing. Recent statistics have also revealed a reduction in invasive cervical cancer incidence as a result of national vaccination programs. Paradoxically, cervical cancer incidence has increased in Japan, particularly amongst women of reproductive age. This study aimed to examine the trends in cervical cancer incidence and mortality for young and middle adult women in Japan, by analyzing trends in 10‐year interval age‐groups. Cervical cancer incidence for young and middle adult women (ages 20‐59 years) was obtained from high‐quality population‐based cancer registries in three prefectures from 1985 to 2015. National cancer mortality data were obtained from published vital statistics from 1985 to 2019. Trends in crude and age‐standardized rates (ASR) were analyzed using Joinpoint regression. The cervical cancer incidence trend in 20‐59‐year‐old women combined significantly increased over the observation period. Both crude and ASR increased from 1985 to 2015 with an annual percent change (APC) of +1.6% (95% confidence interval, 1.1, 2.1) and +1.7% (1.2, 2.3), respectively. Similar increases were seen in ages 20‐29, 30‐39, and 40‐49 years with higher APCs especially in 20s and 30s. Both crude and ASR mortality significantly increased after the early 1990s in ages 20‐59 years combined. Based on the recognition that current cervical cancer control strategies in Japan have not been effective in reducing the cervical cancer burden in young and middle adults, promotion of screening and vaccination should be urgently strengthened.

Temporal Changes in Incidence Rates of the Most Common Gynecological Cancers in the Female Population in Central Serbia

Background and Objectives: There were 1,335,503 newly diagnosed cases of the most common gynecological cancers in women (cervical, uterine and ovarian cancer) worldwide in 2020. The main objective of this paper was to assess temporal changes in incidence rates of the most common gynecological cancers and to determine the age group with the greatest increase in incidence in the Serbian female population in the period 2003–2018. Material and Methods: Trends and annual percentage change (APC) of the incidence rate with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated by Joinpoint regression analysis. The trend was considered to be significantly increasing (positive change) or decreasing (negative change) when the p-value was below 0.05 (p < 0.05). Results: The total number of newly registered cancer cases from 2003 to 2018 was 35,799. There was a significant increase of age standardized rate (ASR) for all cancer incidences in women from 2012 to 2018 with APC 6.9% (95% CI from 0.9 to 13.3, p = 0.028) and for uterine cancer during the 2014–2018 period with APC of 16.8% (95% CI: from 4.0 to 31.1, p = 0.014), as well as for ovarian cancer incidence in the 2012–2018 period with APC of 12.1% (95% CI: from 6.7 to 17.8, p < 0.001). A non-significant decrease of ASRs of incidence for cervical cancer was determined from 2003 to 2015 with APC of −0.22% (95% CI: from −3.4 to 3.1, p = 0.887) and a non-significant increase of ASRs incidence from 2015 to 2018 with APC of 14.21% (95% CI: from −13.3 to 50.5, p = 0.311). The most common gynecological cancers were present in all age groups and only ovarian cancer was registered in the youngest age group (0–4 years). Cervical cancer showed a typical increase after the age of 30, with peak incidence in women aged 40–44 and 65–69 years. The increased incidence trend regarding age for cervical cancer (y = 1.3966x + 0.3765, R² = 0.3395), uterine cancer (y = 1.7963x − 5.4688, R² = 0.5063) and ovarian cancer (y = 1.0791x − 0.8245, R² = 0.5317) is statistically significant. Conclusion: Based on our presented results, a significant increase of incidence trend for the most common gynecological cancers in the Serbian female population from 2012 to 2018 was determined. There has been a significant increase in the incidence of uterine cancer from 2014 up to 2018, as well as for ovarian cancer from 2012 up to 2018, while cervical cancer showed a non-significant decrease of incidence trend from 2003 until 2015 and then a non-significant increase. In women below 20 years of age, ovarian cancer was significantly more prevalent, while cervical cancer was significantly more prevalent in the age groups 20–39 and 40–59 years. In the age group of 60–79, uterine cancer had a significantly higher incidence than the other two cancers. Measures of primary prevention, such as vaccination of children against Human Papilloma Virus and screening measures of secondary prevention, for the female population aged 25 to 64 years of age are needed, as well as educating females about healthy lifestyles via media and social networks to help prevent the most common gynecological cancers.

Cervical cancer mortality among young women in Latin America and the Caribbean: trend analysis from 1997 to 2030

BACKGROUND

Cervical cancer continues to show a high burden among young women worldwide, particularly in low- and middle-income countries. Limited data is available describing cervical cancer mortality among young women in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC). The purpose of this study was to examine the mortality trends of cervical cancer among young women in LAC and predict mortality rates to 2030.

METHODS

Deaths from cervical cancer were obtained from the World Health Organization mortality database. Age-standardized mortality rates per 100,000 women-years were estimated in women aged 20-44 years using the world standard population for 16 countries (and territories) in LAC from 1997 to 2017. We estimated the average mortality rates for the last 4 years (2014-2017). Joinpoint regression models were used to identify significant changes in mortality trends. Nordpred method was used for the prediction of the mortality rates to 2030.

RESULTS

Between 2014 and 2017, Paraguay and Venezuela had the highest mortality rates of cervical cancer, whereas Puerto Rico had the lowest rates. Overall, most of the LAC countries showed downward trends of cervical cancer mortality over the entire period. Significant decreases were observed in Chile (Average annual percent change [AAPC]: - 2.4%), Colombia (AAPC: - 2.0%), Cuba (AAPC: - 3.6%), El Salvador (AAPC: - 3.1%), Mexico (AAPC: - 3.9%), Nicaragua (AAPC: - 1.7%), Panama (AAPC: - 1.7%), and Peru (AAPC: - 2.2%). In contrast, Brazil (AAPC: + 0.8%) and Paraguay (AAPC: + 3.7%) showed significant upward trends. By 2030, mortality rates are not predicted to further decrease in some LAC countries, including Argentina, Paraguay, and Venezuela.

CONCLUSIONS

Mortality trends of cervical cancer among young women have large variability in LAC countries. Cervical cancer screening programs have a high priority for the region. Primary and secondary prevention in the community are necessary to accelerate a reduction of cervical cancer mortality by 2030.

Clinical effects of cervical conization with positive margins in cervical cancer

Radical surgery after cervical conization is a common approach for the treatment of cervical cancer. In some cases, disease progression is observed after positive margins at conization, but the effect of conization on disease progression remains unclear. Thus, the aim of this study was to investigate the clinical outcomes of positive margins at conization in cervical cancer. A total of 101 patients who underwent cervical conization before radical hysterectomy and pelvic lymph node dissection were considered eligible by reviewing medical records. The association between the positive margins and patient outcomes, including subsequent lymph node metastasis, was evaluated. The rate of lymphovascular space invasion (LVSI) positivity at radical surgery was significantly higher in patients with positive margins (p = 0.017) than in those with negative margins, although there was no significant difference in the rate of pelvic lymph node metastasis (p = 0.155). Moreover, there was no significant difference in the overall survival or progression-free survival between the two groups (p = 0.332 and 0.200, respectively). A positive margin at conization presented no significant prognostic disadvantage; thus, diagnostic conization is one of the most suitable treatment options for early-stage cervical cancer that is difficult to accurately assess.

Does Direct-to-Consumer Personal Genetic Testing Improve Gynecological Cancer Screening Uptake among Never-Screened Attendees? A Randomized Controlled Study

The clinical impact of direct-to-consumer genetic testing (DTC-GT) on health behavior change has remained controversial. The aim of this study is to clarify the short-term effects of DTC-GT on gynecological cancer screening uptake among middle-aged never-screened Japanese women in a randomized controlled trial (RCT). A total of 144 women aged 45-50 who had never undergone gynecological cancer screening were randomly selected to receive health education (control group), or health education and DTC-GT (intervention group), at a 1:1 ratio. We compared the gynecological screening uptake during the follow-up period. Furthermore, to estimate the impact of learning of an elevated genetic cancer risk in the intervention group, we conducted an analysis dichotomized by genetic risk category. A total of 139 women completed the one-year follow-up survey (69 in the control group and 70 in the intervention group). The follow-up period did not differ between control and intervention groups (the median follow-up period was 276 days and 279 days, respectively, p = 0.746). There were 7 (9.7%) women in the control group and 10 (13.9%) in the intervention group who attended breast cancer screening (p = 0.606), and 9 (12.5%) women from both groups attended cervical cancer screening (p = 1.000). Likewise, there were no significant differences in cancer screening uptake in the analysis stratified by risk category within the intervention group. In conclusion, there was no significant effect of DTC-GT on gynecological cancer screening uptake in this RCT setting. Increasing cancer screening attendance may require a combination of well-established intervention strategies and DTC-GT. Clinical Trial Registration: UMIN-CTR Identifier, UMIN000031709.

TM7SF2 regulates cell proliferation and apoptosis by activation of C-Raf/ERK pathway in cervical cancer

Transmembrane 7 superfamily member 2 (TM7SF2) coding an enzyme involved in cholesterol metabolism has been found to be differentially expressed in kinds of tissues. Nevertheless, the role of TM7SF2 in the regulation of growth and progression among various cancers is unclear. In this study, the immunohistochemistry (IHC) assay, real-time RT-PCR and western blotting analysis were used to determine the TM7SF2 expression in cervical cancer tissues. Next, we used multiple methods to determine the ability of cell proliferation, migration, invasion, apoptosis, and cell cycle in cervical cancer cells after TM7SF2 modulation, such as CCK8 assay, colony formation assay, Transwell assay, wound healing assay, and flow cytometry. Our results revealed that upregulation of TM7SF2 facilitated cell proliferation and metastasis, suppressed cell apoptosis and prevented G0/G1 phase arrests in C33A and SiHa cells. Consistently, the opposite effects were observed after TM7SF2 knockout in cervical cancer cells. Further, we found that TM7SF2 participated in promoting tumorigenesis and progression via activation of C-Raf/ERK pathway in cervical cancer, which can be partly reversed by Raf inhibitor LY3009120. Moreover, TM7SF2 overexpression contributed to enhancement of xenograft tumor growth in vivo. Our findings indicated that TM7SF2 plays a vital role in tumor promotion by involving in C-Raf/ERK activation. Therefore, TM7SF2 could serve as a therapeutic target in future cervical cancer treatment.

Geographic disparities of breast cancer incidence in Portugal at the district level: A spatial age-period-cohort analysis, 1998-2011

BACKGROUND

Breast cancer is the most common malignancy in women world-wide and the most common cause of cancer deaths, which can often be managed with early diagnosis and subsequent treatment. Here, we focus on geographic disparities in incidence within Portugal for three age groups of women (30-49; 50-69; 70-84 years).

METHODS

Age-period-cohort (APC) models are widely used in cancer surveillance, and these models have recently been extended to allow spatially-varying effects. We apply novel spatial APC models to estimate relative risk and age-adjusted temporal trends at the district level for the 20 districts in Portugal. Our model allows us to report on country-wide trends, but also to investigate geographic disparities between districts and trends within districts.

RESULTS

Age-adjusted breast cancer incidence was increasing over 1998-2011 for all three age groups and in every district in Portugal. However, we detect spatially-structured between-district heterogeneity in relative risk and age-adjusted trends (Net Drifts) for each of the three age groups, which is most pronounced in the highly-screened (50-69yo) and late-onset (70-84yo) groups of women.

CONCLUSIONS

We present evidence of disparities in breast cancer incidence at a more granular geographic level than previously reported. Some disparities may be due to latent risk factors, which cannot be accounted for by age, birth year, and geographic location alone.

IMPACT

Our study motivates resuming data collection for breast cancer incidence at the district level in Portugal, as well as the study of exogenous risk factors.

Worldwide trends in cervical cancer incidence and mortality, with predictions for the next 15 years

BACKGROUND

Cervical cancer is 1 of the most common cancers in females worldwide. Understanding the most recent global patterns and temporal trends of cervical cancer burden might be helpful for its prevention and control.

METHODS

Data on cervical cancer (International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, code C53) incidence and mortality in 2018 were extracted from the GLOBOCAN 2018 database and further analyzed for their correlations with the Human Development Index. Temporal trends were analyzed using the annual percent change with joinpoint analysis among 31 countries with highly qualified data from the Cancer Incidence in Five Continents Plus and World Health Organization mortality databases. Future trends for the next 15 years were predicted using an open-source age-period-cohort model.

RESULTS

Cervical cancer incidence and mortality rates were both negatively correlated with the Human Development Index (r = -0.56 for incidence, r = -0.69 for mortality; P < .001) in cross-sectional analysis, and both remained stable in 12 countries or even decreased in 14 and 18 countries for incidence and mortality, respectively, during the most recent 10 data years. Similar findings were observed for the next 15 years.

CONCLUSIONS

Cervical cancer burden was correlated with socioeconomic development. An overwhelming majority of countries had stable or decreasing trends in incidence and mortality rates, especially in those with effective cervical cancer screening programs and human papillomavirus vaccination.

LAY SUMMARY

The authors investigated the most up-to-date data from official databases released by the International Agency for Research on Cancer and found that cervical cancer incidence and mortality were negatively correlated with socioeconomic development. Among the 31 countries analyzed, most (26 countries were analyzed for incidence, and 30 were analyzed for mortality) had stable or even decreasing temporal trends over the most recent 10 years, especially in those with effective cervical cancer screening programs. In addition, the predicted trends for the next 15 years were basically consistent with the observed trends among most of the analyzed countries (19 countries for incidence and 26 countries for mortality).

Global Cancer Statistics 2020: GLOBOCAN Estimates of Incidence and Mortality Worldwide for 36 Cancers in 185 Countries

This article provides an update on the global cancer burden using the GLOBOCAN 2020 estimates of cancer incidence and mortality produced by the International Agency for Research on Cancer. Worldwide, an estimated 19.3 million new cancer cases (18.1 million excluding nonmelanoma skin cancer) and almost 10.0 million cancer deaths (9.9 million excluding nonmelanoma skin cancer) occurred in 2020. Female breast cancer has surpassed lung cancer as the most commonly diagnosed cancer, with an estimated 2.3 million new cases (11.7%), followed by lung (11.4%), colorectal (10.0 %), prostate (7.3%), and stomach (5.6%) cancers. Lung cancer remained the leading cause of cancer death, with an estimated 1.8 million deaths (18%), followed by colorectal (9.4%), liver (8.3%), stomach (7.7%), and female breast (6.9%) cancers. Overall incidence was from 2-fold to 3-fold higher in transitioned versus transitioning countries for both sexes, whereas mortality varied <2-fold for men and little for women. Death rates for female breast and cervical cancers, however, were considerably higher in transitioning versus transitioned countries (15.0 vs 12.8 per 100,000 and 12.4 vs 5.2 per 100,000, respectively). The global cancer burden is expected to be 28.4 million cases in 2040, a 47% rise from 2020, with a larger increase in transitioning (64% to 95%) versus transitioned (32% to 56%) countries due to demographic changes, although this may be further exacerbated by increasing risk factors associated with globalization and a growing economy. Efforts to build a sustainable infrastructure for the dissemination of cancer prevention measures and provision of cancer care in transitioning countries is critical for global cancer control.

Significance of Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy as Primary Treatment in Patients with Metastatic Cervical Cancer

(1) This study investigated the prognostic impact of tumor size in patients with metastatic cervical cancer. (2) Methods: Seventy-three cervical cancer patients in our institute were stratified into two groups based on distant metastasis: para-aortic lymph node metastasis alone (IIIC2) or spread to distant visceral organs with or without para-aortic lymph node metastasis (IVB) to identify primary tumor size and concurrent chemoradiotherapy. (3) Results: The overall survival (OS) for patients with a tumor >6.9 cm in size was significantly poorer than that for patients with a tumor ≤6.9 cm in the IVB group (p = 0.0028); the corresponding five-year OS rates in patients with a tumor ≤6.9 and >6.9 cm were 53.3% and 13.4%, respectively. In the multivariate analysis, tumor size and primary treatment were significantly associated with survival in metastatic cervical cancer. (4) Conclusions: Tumor size ≤6.9 cm and concurrent chemoradiotherapy as the primary treatment were favorable prognostic factors for patients with metastatic cervical cancer.

PET/MR imaging for the evaluation of cervical cancer during pregnancy

BACKGROUND

Malignancy during pregnancy is increasing, and the most common type of malignancy is uterine cervical cancer. When planning the treatment of cervical cancer, it is important to look for signs of metastasis before surgery, especially metastasis to the lymph nodes. In this report, we assessed the diagnostic value of positron emission tomography/magnetic resonance imaging (PET/MRI) for evaluating cervical cancer propagation before surgery, with a focus on pregnant women.

CASE PRESENTATION

¹⁸F Fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG)-PET/MRI was performed in seven pregnant cervical cancer patients (28-34 years old) at 9-18 gestational weeks. In case #5, a second PET/MRI was performed at 24 gestational weeks. Of seven FDG-PET/MRI examination series in six cases (cases #1-6), FDG-PET/MR imaging could detect cervical tumors with abnormal FDG accumulation; these tumors were confirmed with a standardized uptake value max (SUV max) titer of 4.5-16. A second PET/MRI examination in case #5 revealed the same SUV max titer as the first examination. In these six imaging series (cases #1-5), there were no signs of cancer metastasis to the parametrium and lymph nodes. However, in case #6, abnormal FDG accumulation in the left parametrial lymph nodes was also detectable. Pathological examination showed lymph node metastasis in case #6. In case #7, PET/MRI could not detect any abnormal FDG accumulation in the cervix and other sites. Cone biopsy demonstrated only micro-invasive squamous cell carcinoma. After treatment for cervical cancer, all seven patients have had no recurrence of disease within the follow-up period (2.8-5.6 years), and their children have developed appropriately.

CONCLUSION

PET/MRI is an effective imaging tool to evaluate cervical cancer progression in pregnancy.

Updated Trends in Cancer in Japan: Incidence in 1985-2015 and Mortality in 1958-2018-A Sign of Decrease in Cancer Incidence

Background

Unlike many North American and European countries, Japan has observed a continuous increase in cancer incidence over the last few decades. We examined the most recent trends in population-based cancer incidence and mortality in Japan.

Methods

National cancer mortality data between 1958 and 2018 were obtained from published vital statistics. Cancer incidence data between 1985 and 2015 were obtained from high-quality population-based cancer registries maintained by three prefectures (Yamagata, Fukui, and Nagasaki). Trends in age-standardized rates (ASR) were examined using Joinpoint regression analysis.

Results

For males, all-cancer incidence increased between 1985 and 1996 (annual percent change [APC] +1.1%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.7–1.5%), increased again in 2000–2010 (+1.3%; 95% CI, 0.9–1.8%), and then decreased until 2015 (−1.4%; 95% CI, −2.5 to −0.3%). For females, all-cancer incidence increased until 2010 (+0.8%; 95% CI, 0.6–0.9% in 1985–2004 and +2.4%; 95% CI, 1.3–3.4% in 2004–2010), and stabilized thereafter until 2015. The post-2000 increase was mainly attributable to prostate in males and breast in females, which slowed or levelled during the first decade of the 2000s. After a sustained increase, all-cancer mortality for males decreased in 1996–2013 (−1.6%; 95% CI, −1.6 to −1.5%) and accelerated thereafter until 2018 (−2.5%; 95% CI, −2.9 to −2.0%). All-cancer mortality for females decreased intermittently throughout the observation period, with the most recent APC of −1.0% (95% CI, −1.1 to −0.9%) in 2003–2018. The recent decreases in mortality in both sexes, and in incidence in males, were mainly attributable to stomach, liver, and male lung cancers.

Conclusion

The ASR of all-cancer incidence began decreasing significantly in males and levelled off in females in 2010.

Public health impact and cost effectiveness of routine and catch-up vaccination of girls and women with a nine-valent HPV vaccine in Japan: a model-based study

Background

Combined with cancer screening programs, vaccination against human papillomavirus (HPV) can significantly reduce the high health and economic burden of HPV-related disease in Japan. The objective of this study was to assess the health impact and cost effectiveness of routine and catch-up vaccination of girls and women aged 11–26 years with a 4-valent (4vHPV) or 9-valent HPV (9vHPV) vaccine in Japan compared with no vaccination.

Methods

We used a mathematical model adapted to the population and healthcare settings in Japan. We compared no vaccination and routine vaccination of 12–16-year old girls with 1) 4vHPV vaccine, 2) 9vHPV vaccine, and 3) 9vHPV vaccine in addition to a temporary catch-up vaccination of 17–26 years old girls and women with 9vHPV. We estimated the expected number of disease cases and deaths, discounted (at 2% per year) future costs (in 2020 ¥) and discounted quality-adjusted life years (QALY), and incremental cost effectiveness ratios (ICER) of each strategy over a time horizon of 100 years. To test the robustness of the conclusions, we conducted scenario and sensitivity analyses.

Results

Over 100 years, compared with no vaccination, 9vHPV vaccination was projected to reduce the incidence of 9vHPV-related cervical cancer by 86% (from 15.24 new cases per 100,000 women in 2021 to 2.02 in 2121). A greater number of cervical cancer cases (484,248) and cancer-related deaths (50,102) were avoided through the described catch-up vaccination program. Routine HPV vaccination with 4vHPV or 9vHPV vaccine prevented 5,521,000 cases of anogenital warts among women and men. Around 23,520 and 21,400 diagnosed non-cervical cancers are prevented by catch-up vaccination among women and men, respectively. Compared with no vaccination, the ICER of 4vHPV vaccination was ¥975,364/QALY. Compared to 4vHPV, 9vHPV + Catch-up had an ICER of ¥1,534,493/QALY.

Conclusions

A vaccination program with a 9-valent vaccine targeting 12 to 16 year-old girls together with a temporary catchup program will avert significant numbers of cases of HPV-related diseases among both men and women. Furthermore, such a program was the most cost effective among the vaccination strategies we considered, with an ICER well below a threshold of ¥5000,000/QALY.

Cancer mortality and predictions for 2020 in selected Australasian countries, Russia and Ukraine

OBJECTIVES

Predicted cancer mortality figures are useful for public health planning. We predicted cancer mortality rates in Israel, Hong Kong, Japan, the Philippines, Korea, Australia, Russia and Ukraine for the year 2020 using the most recent available data. We focused on breast cancer.

METHODS

We obtained cancer death certification and population data from the WHO and the United Nations Population Division databases. We derived figures for 10 major cancer sites and total cancers over 1970-2017. We predicted numbers of deaths and age-standardized mortality rates for 2020 through joinpoint regression models. We calculated the number of avoided deaths from 1994-2020.

RESULTS

Overall, total cancer mortality is predicted to decline. Russia had the highest all cancers rates in 2020, 151.9/100 000 men and 79.6 women; the Philippines had the lowest rate in men, 78.0/100 000, Korea in women, 47.5. Stomach cancer rates declined over the whole period in all countries considered, colorectal cancer since the late 1990s. Trends for pancreas were inconsistent. Predicted rates for lung and breast cancer were favourable; women from Hong Kong, Korea and Australia had lung cancer death rates higher than breast ones. Predicted rates for uterine, ovarian, prostate and bladder cancers and leukaemias were downward for most countries. Between 1994 and 2020, over 3.3 million cancer deaths were avoided in the considered countries, except for the Philippines where no reduction was observed.

CONCLUSION

Predicted cancer rates were lower than in the European Union and the USA, even though falls started later and were less marked.

International Trends in the Incidence of Cancer Among Adolescents and Young Adults

BACKGROUND

Although adolescent and young adult (AYA) cancers represent a unique spectrum of malignancies, epidemiological studies of cancer incidence often group AYAs together with younger or older populations, obscuring patterns specific to this population.

METHODS

We examined AYA cancer incidence trends in 41 countries over a 15-year period using the CI5plus database. Truncated age-standardized incidence rates were calculated and the annual percentage change was assessed, with statistical significance corresponding to a 95% confidence interval that does not include zero.

RESULTS

From 1998 to 2012, the 41 included countries contributed a total of 1 846 588 cancer cases and 3.1 billion person-years among AYAs. Although statistically significant increases in the overall cancer burden were observed in 23 countries, the magnitude varied considerably, with the greatest increase in incidence observed in South Korea (annual percentage change2002-2012 = 8.5%, 95% confidence interval = 7.6% to 9.4%) due to thyroid cancer. Notable trends included sharp increases in the incidence of obesity-related malignancies among AYAs; indeed, statistically significant increases were observed among AYAs for 10 of 11 and 9 of 11 obesity-related cancer sites in the US and UK, respectively, with at least five obesity-related cancers statistically significantly increasing in Canada, Japan, South Korea, Australia, and the Netherlands. Other striking trends were noted for thyroid and testicular cancer, with statistically significantly increasing rates observed in 33 and 22 countries, respectively, whereas statistically significant declines in incidence were observed for smoking-related cancers, cervical cancer, and Kaposi sarcoma in many countries.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results highlight the future health-care needs related to treatment as well as the urgency for public health initiatives that can mitigate the increasing burden of cancer in AYAs.

Recent Increasing Incidence of Early-Stage Cervical Cancers of the Squamous Cell Carcinoma Subtype among Young Women

Few studies have reported on the increase in cervical cancer incidence in Japan. We aimed to determine the relevant trends in the metropolitan regions of Japan and to identify the population with the highest risk, based on histological subtype, cancer stage, and diagnostic processes. Using population-based data (2009–2013), we identified 2110 women, aged ≥20 years, with cervical cancer. We estimated the age-standardized and age-specific incidence rates of cervical cancer for the study period based on the 1985 national model population. The average annual percent change (AAPC) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated using the joinpoint regression analysis. We stratified the analyses based on histological subtypes, stage, and diagnostic process via cancer screening. The increase in the overall age-standardized incidence was not significant. However, the increase was significant for women aged 30–39 years (AAPC 20.0%/year, 95% CI: 9.9–31.1), which was attributable to the increase in the incidence of the squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) subtype (AAPC 23.1%/year, 95% CI: 10.7–36.8). Among younger women, aged <50 years, further stratification showed an increase in the undiagnosed early-stage SCC subtype via cancer screening. In Japan, the incidence of HPV-related cervical cancer has been increasing in undiagnosed younger women.

Spatially varying age-period-cohort analysis with application to US mortality, 2002-2016

Many public health databases index disease counts by age groups and calendar periods within geographic regions (e.g., states, districts, or counties). Issues around relative risk estimation in small areas are well-studied; however, estimating trend parameters that vary across geographic regions has received less attention. Additionally, small counts (e.g., $<10$) in most publicly accessible databases are censored, further complicating age-period-cohort (APC) analysis in small areas. Here, we present a novel APC model with left-censoring and spatially varying intercept and trends, estimated with correlations among contiguous geographic regions. Like traditional models, our model captures population-scale trends, but it can also be used to characterize geographic disparities in relative risk and age-adjusted trends over time. To specify the joint distribution of our three spatially varying parameters, we adapt the generalized multivariate conditional autoregressive prior, previously used for multivariate disease mapping. Specified in this manner, region-specific parameters are correlated spatially, and also to one another. Estimation is performed using the No-U-Turn Hamiltonian Monte Carlo sampler in Stan. We conduct a simulation study to assess the performance of the proposed model relative to the standard model, and conclude with an application to US state-level opioid overdose mortality in men and women aged 15-64 years.

Crocin induces autophagic cell death and inhibits cell invasion of cervical cancer SiHa cells through activation of PI3K/AKT

Background

Cervical cancer is a prevalent tumor mainly induced by Human Papilloma Virus (HPV). Autophagy was inactivated with HPV to promote cancer progression. Here we explored the effects of crocin on cervical cancer cells, mainly on autophagy and apoptosis.

Methods

SiHa cells were treated with crocin, and proliferation, metastases, apoptosis and autophagy were measured using a CCK-8 assay, transwell migration assay, flow cytometry and immunofluorescence. Protein levels were measured using western blotting. The antitumor effects of crocin were validated in female BALB/c nude mice injected with SiHa cells.

Results

The result showed that 2, 4, 8 and 16 mM of crocin significantly reduced the viability of SiHa cells within 24 h. Subsequently, 0, 1, 2 and 4 mM crocin concentrations were used in later experiments. Treatment with crocin reduced invasive cells, while increasing autophagic and apoptotic cells dose-dependently. The enhanced apoptosis and autophagy were partly validated by an increase in cleaved caspase-3/caspase-3, cleaved caspase-9/caspase9, LC3B II/I, Beclin1 and ATG7. AMPK and mTOR were inactivated with crocin treatment, while PI3K was activated. These results indicated that crocin might promote autophagy and apoptosis by inactivating AMPK and mTOR signaling. Tumor progression was inhibited in mice treated with 50 mg/kg/d of crocin, which was demonstrated by smaller tumor volumes, less VEGF expression, more intense caspase-3 staining and increased LC3B II/I in the tumor tissues.

Conclusions

Crocin inhibited the progression of cervical cancer in vitro and in vivo, possibly through inactivation of AMPK and mTOR, inhibition of proliferation and invasion, and promotion of autophagy and apoptosis. These results support the potential therapeutic value of crocin in treating cervical cancer.

Epidemiological guideline influence on the therapeutic trend and patient outcome of uterine cervical cancer in Japan: Japan society of gynecologic oncology guideline evaluation committee project

OBJECTIVE

The Japan Society of Gynecologic Oncology published its first clinical guidelines for uterine cervical cancer in 2007 which has been revised twice in 2011 and 2017. The aim of this study was to investigate the influence of the first guideline publication on the therapeutic trend and patient outcome by analyzing uterine cervical cancer cases registered to the cancer registry organized by the Japan Society of Obstetrics and Gynecology.

METHODS

Data of uterine cervical cancer cases registered to the cancer registry from 2000 to 2012 were provided. Epidemiological and clinical trend were analyzed by the Chi-squared test with subsequent standardized residual analysis. Overall survival among the patients registered between 2004 and 2009 was analyzed using the Fine and Gray competing risk model.

RESULTS

68,707 cases were registered during the study period. A trend analysis revealed that the guideline publication may have led to a decrease in neoadjuvant chemotherapy in parallel with an increase in radiation therapy mainly in stage II and III patients undergoing primary treatment. A survival analysis indicated that the introduction of the guideline may have improved overall survival among stage III uterine cervical cancer patients, even though a significant difference was not observed in all of the cases.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrated the potential influence of the guideline publication on the clinical trend and patient outcome. As this is the first assessment of the guideline for uterine cervical cancer in Japan, continuous evaluation is necessary to further comprehend the significance of this guideline.

Comparison of ThinPrep Integrated Imager-Assisted Screening versus Manual Screening of ThinPrep Liquid-Based Cytology Specimens

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to find out whether ThinPrep Integrated Imager (Hologic Inc.) screening is non-inferior to manual screening in the detection of cervical lesion.

STUDY DESIGN

For a total of 4,011 ThinPrep Pap test specimens stained by ThinPrep staining, manual screening (Manual arm) and ThinPrep Integrated Imager screening (Imager arm) were performed so as not to be screened by the same cytotechnologist, and the sensitivity and specificity in the detection of cervical lesion were compared using McNemar's test.

RESULTS

The sensitivity to detect CIN1 or more squamous cell abnormalities or glandular abnormalities was 91.67% (= 374/408, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 88.44-94.08%) for the Manual arm and 92.40% (= 377/408, 95% CI: 89.28-94.70%) for the Imager arm, and the specificity was 88.87% (= 3,113/3,503, 95% CI: 87.77-89.88%) for the Manual arm and 89.55% (= 3,137/3,503, 95% CI: 88.48-90.54%) for the Imager arm. The differences in sensitivity and in specificity, respectively, were 0.74% (95% CI: -3.14-4.61%, McNemar's test, p = 0.8041) and 0.69% (95% CI: -0.13-1.50%, McNemar's test, p = 0.1125). About the equality of sensitivity and specificity between the 2 methods, 95% CIs of the difference between sensitivity and specificity are in the clinical equivalence range of ±5%, so the Imager arm is non-inferior to the Manual arm.

CONCLUSION

The Imager arm was confirmed to have an equivalent and non-inferior capacity in the detection of cervical lesions compared with the Manual arm, suggesting that its practical application in cervical cytology tests is highly possible.

Human papillomavirus genotype contribution to cervical cancer and precancer: Implications for screening and vaccination in Japan

To obtain baseline data for cervical cancer prevention in Japan, we analyzed human papillomavirus (HPV) data from 5045 Japanese women aged less than 40 years and diagnosed with cervical abnormalities at 21 hospitals during 2012‐2017. These included cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 1 (CIN1, n = 573), CIN2‐3 (n = 3219), adenocarcinoma in situ (AIS, n = 123), and invasive cervical cancer (ICC, n = 1130). The Roche Linear Array was used for HPV genotyping. The HPV type‐specific relative contributions (RCs) were estimated by adding multiple infections to single types in accordance with proportional weighting attributions. Based on the comparison of type‐specific RCs between CIN1 and CIN2‐3/AIS/ICC (CIN2+), RC ratios were calculated to estimate type‐specific risks for progression to CIN2+. Human papillomavirus DNA was detected in 85.5% of CIN1, 95.7% of CIN2‐3/AIS, and 91.2% of ICC. Multiple infections decreased with disease severity: 42.9% in CIN1, 40.4% in CIN2‐3/AIS, and 23.7% in ICC (P < .0001). The relative risk for progression to CIN2+ was highest for HPV16 (RC ratio 3.78, 95% confidence interval [CI] 3.01‐4.98), followed by HPV31 (2.51, 1.54‐5.24), HPV18 (2.43, 1.59‐4.32), HPV35 (1.56, 0.43‐8.36), HPV33 (1.01, 0.49‐3.31), HPV52 (0.99, 0.76‐1.33), and HPV58 (0.97, 0.75‐1.32). The relative risk of disease progression was 1.87 (95% CI, 1.71‐2.05) for HPV16/18/31/33/35/45/52/58, but only 0.17 (95% CI, 0.14‐0.22) for HPV39/51/56/59/66/68. Human papillomavirus 16/18/31/33/45/52/58/6/11 included in a 9‐valent vaccine contributed to 89.7% (95% CI, 88.7‐90.7) of CIN2‐3/AIS and 93.8% (95% CI, 92.4‐95.3) of ICC. In conclusion, our data support the Japanese guidelines that recommend discriminating HPV16/18/31/33/35/45/52/58 genotypes for CIN management. The 9‐valent vaccine is estimated to provide over 90% protection against ICC in young Japanese women.

A comparison of liquid-based and conventional cytology using data for cervical cancer screening from the Japan Cancer Society

OBJECTIVE

Liquid-based cytology has replaced conventional cytology in cervical cancer screening in many countries. However, a detailed comparison of liquid-based cytology with conventional cytology has not been reported in Japan. Therefore, the aim of the study is to evaluate efficacy of liquid-based cytology in Japan.

METHODS

We first evaluated the prevalence of use of liquid-based cytology and then examined the efficacy of liquid-based cytology and conventional cytology for detecting CIN and the rate of unsatisfactory specimens using data from cancer screening collected by the Japanese Cancer Society from FY2011 to FY2014. A Poisson regression model with random effects analyses was used to classify histological outcomes and unsatisfactory specimens using liquid-based cytology compared to conventional cytology.

RESULTS

A total of 3 815 131 women were analyzed in the study. The rate of liquid-based cytology increased from approximately 8% in FY2011 to 37% in FY2014. Compared to conventional cytology, the detection rates with liquid-based cytology were significantly higher (1.42 times) for CIN1+ [detection rate ratio (DRR) = 1.42, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.35-1.48, P < 0.001] and CIN2+ (DRR = 1.16, 95% CI 1.08-1.25, P < 0.001). Positive predictive value ratios of CIN1+ and CIN2+ were also significantly higher for liquid-based cytology than for conventional cytology. However, there was no significant difference between liquid-based cytology and conventional cytology for detection rates and positive predictive values of CIN3+ and cancer. The rate of unsatisfactory specimens was significantly lower with liquid-based cytology compared to conventional cytology (DRR = 0.07, 95% CI 0.05-0.09, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In order to avoid the unsatisfactory specimens in cervical cancer screening, the results of this study did indicate that liquid-based cytology was more useful than conventional cytology in practical standpoints.

Impact of a reduction in follow-up frequency on life expectancy in uterine cervical cancer patients

BACKGROUND

The appropriate interval of post-treatment follow-up appointments for uterine cervical cancer is unclear. The aim of this study was to investigate the impact of reducing the frequency of post-treatment follow-up examinations on life expectancy and medical expenses in cervical cancer patients.

METHODS

Cervical cancer patients who were treated with radiotherapy between 2008 and 2017, underwent a less frequent follow-up program, and subsequently developed recurrent disease were included in consecutive group (CG). Non-randomized groups of cervical cancer patients who underwent a frequent follow-up program after radiotherapy between 1997 and 2007, and subsequently developed recurrent disease were also identified through a chart review and served as a comparison group (primary group [PG]). Clinical data regarding the primary disease, follow-up, recurrence, and survival were collected. Univariate and multivariate analyses of predictors of survival were performed.

RESULTS

A total of 263 recurrent cervical cancer patients (PG: 154, CG: 109) were included in the current study. A reduction in follow-up frequency of up to 40% did not increase the frequency of symptomatic recurrence (PG: vs. CG: 31.2% vs. 35.8%, p = 0.43) or reduce the median overall survival periods of recurrent cervical cancer patients (PG vs. CG: 32 months vs. 36 months, p = 0.15). However, the reduction in the follow-up frequency significantly reduced follow-up costs.

CONCLUSION

Reducing the frequency of follow-up by up to 40% did not result in shorter overall survival compared with a conventional follow-up program. The results of this study provide a rationale for future studies investigating the optimal follow-up schedule for patients with cervical cancer.

National screening programs for cervical cancer in Asian countries

Cervical cancer is still one of the most common female cancers in Asia and the leading cause of cancer-related deaths in low- and middle-income countries. Nowadays, national screening programs for cervical cancer are widely provided in Asian countries. We reviewed the National Cancer Screening Program (NCSP) in China, India, Indonesia, Japan, Korea, and Thailand. The NCSP were established at varying times, from 1962 in Japan to 2014 in Indonesia. The primary screening method is based on cytology in all countries except for India and Indonesia. In India and Indonesia, visual inspection of the cervix with acetic acid (VIA) is mainly used as a primary screening method, and a “see and treat” strategy is applied to women with a positive VIA result. The starting age of NCSP ranges from 18 years in China to 30 years in Thailand. The screening interval is 2 years in all countries except for China and Indonesia, in which it is 3 years. Uptake rates of NCSP vary from 5.0%‒59.7%. Many women in low- and middle-income countries still do not participate in NCSP. To improve uptake rates and thereby prevent more cases of cervical cancer, Asian countries should continue to promote NCSP to the public using various approaches.

Prognosis for different patterns of distant metastases in patients with uterine cervical cancer: a population-based analysis

Background: Uterine cervical cancer (UCC) is a common malignant tumor in women. We conducted this work to provide a though description on the patterns of distant metastases and to investigate the relevant factors for prognosis of UCC patients based on a large population.

Patients and methods: UCC patients with FIGO stage IVB, being the study group, were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Result (SEER) database from 2010 to 2016. UCC patients with same inclusion criteria, being validation group, were identified from Tianjin First Central Hospital from 2004 to 2017. Patterns of distant metastases were described according to the number of metastatic sites. Survival of different patterns were calculated and prognostic factors were investigated by Cox hazard regression analysis.

Results: Distant metastases were recorded in 1448 UCC patients among whom 295 patients (30.8%) developed metastases in two or more organs. Compared with the median OS of 8 (95%CI, 7.07-8.93) months in the patients with the single site, worse survival of 5 (95%CI, 4.29-5.71) months was noticed in the patients with multiple metastases. Age ≥ 65 years, black race, higher grade, higher T stage and more metastatic sites were proved to be the prognostic factors for all the patients in the advanced stage and the results were partly validated in the validation cohort. Moreover, black race and higher T-stage for the patients with the single metastatic sites and age ≥ 65, uninsured status, surgical treatment and metastatic pattern for the patients with two metastatic sites were prognostic factors. No independent factor was found in patients with three or more metastases.

Conclusion: Around 70% of the patients suffered one site distant metastasis in UCC patients with IVB stage while 30% with multiple metastases and a significantly reduced survival. Different survivals and prognostic factors were noticed for different patterns of distant metastases.

Genomic alterations in STK11 can predict clinical outcomes in cervical cancer patients

OBJECTIVE

Cervical cancer is the fourth most common cause of cancer-related deaths in Asian women, due to its poor prognosis. This study aimed to decipher genomic alteration profiles of a cohort of Japanese cervical cancer patients to understand why certain patients benefited from molecular targeted therapies and their prognostic significance.

METHODS

During 2008-2018, 154 cervical cancer patients underwent a potentially curative resection procedure at the National Cancer Center Hospital. Genomic DNA samples were analyzed using Ion AmpliSeq™ Cancer Hotspot Panel v2. Alterations in the copy number of PIK3CA, ERBB2, PTEN, and STK11 were detected using the TaqMan assay. HPV-positive results were confirmed by genomic testing and in situ hybridization assay.

RESULTS

The frequency of genomic alterations in PIK3CA (36%), STK11 (16%), PTEN (11%), TP53 (11%), and KRAS (8%) was >5%. KRAS mutations were preferentially detected in patients with adenocarcinomas, and the frequency of PIK3CA mutations in patients with squamous cell carcinomas was higher than that in patients with other histological cancer types. HPV-positive results were observed in 139/154 (90.3%) patients, and TP53 mutants were detected in HPV-negative specimens. In this study, the overall survival of patients with genomic alterations in STK11 was worse than in patients with wild-type STK11 (hazard ratio = 10.6, P = 0.0079) and TCGA dataset (hazard ratio = 2.46, P = 0.029).

CONCLUSIONS

More than one-third of Japanese cervical cancer patients exhibit mutations targeted by molecular targeted therapies. We have proposed the prognostic value of STK11 genomic alterations.