Potential for prediction of psychosis and bipolar disorder in Child and Adolescent Mental Health Services: a longitudinal register study of all people born in Finland in 1987

Annual Research Review: Psychosis in children and adolescents: key updates from the past 2 decades on psychotic disorders, psychotic experiences, and psychosis risk

Psychosis in children and adolescents has been studied on a spectrum from (common) psychotic experiences to (rare) early-onset schizophrenia spectrum disorders. This research review looks at the state-of-the-art for research across the psychosis spectrum, from evidence on psychotic experiences in community and clinical samples of children and adolescents to findings from psychosis risk syndrome research, to evidence on early-onset psychotic disorders. The review also looks at new opportunities to capture psychosis risk in childhood and adolescence, including opportunities for early intervention, identifies important unanswered questions, and points to future directions for prevention research.

From Adolescence to Adulthood: Understanding Care Trajectories in an Early Detection and Intervention Centre in France

BACKGROUND

Psychiatric disorders often emerge during adolescence or young adulthood, leading to significant disability among youth. The transition from Child and Adolescent Mental Health Services (CAMHS) to Adult Mental Health Services (AMHS) is critical for individuals experiencing emerging psychopathology, with delayed access to care negatively impacting long-term outcomes. Accessing mental health services for adolescents and young adults is often complex and delayed due to challenges in service visibility, accessibility and appropriateness.

METHODS

This study examines the care trajectories of individuals consecutively accessing the early detection and intervention (EDI) centre C'JAAD (Evaluation Centre for Young Adults and Adolescents) in Paris (France) over the year 2021. The main goal was to clarify the role of this EDI centre in the continuity of care and transition to AMHS. Data about their history of care, hospitalisations and referral sources were collected retrospectively.

RESULTS

The sample comprised 194 individuals, with 57.2% males and a median age of 20 years. Most patients (67.5%) were ≥18 years old upon arrival, with 31% in a situation of not being in education, employment, or training (NEET). Over one-third (35.2%) had prior psychiatric hospitalisations. Patients were mainly referred to our EDI centre from other hospital departments (42.3%). Regarding care in CAMHS, 50.3% of the total sample had medical follow-up during childhood, of whom 41.9% had discontinued care upon arrival at the EDI centre. The median onset age of care in CAMHS was 14, with a median duration of 12 months. Adult patients experienced an approximately 3-year gap between the end of CAMHS care and assessment at the EDI centre.

DISCUSSION

The sample's characteristics resemble those of other EDI centres, but concerns persist regarding referral timing and the NEET status of many youths. Lack of prior medical follow-up and challenges in transitioning to AMHS underscore the need to enhance care continuity and address difficulties in accessing care during the transition to adulthood.

Early detection and intervention through the lens of the neurodevelopmental framework: the salience of developmental years and related services

Broadening prediction efforts from imminent psychotic symptoms to neurodevelopmental vulnerabilities can enhance the accuracy of diagnosing severe mental disorders. Early interventions, especially during adolescence, are vital as these disorders often follow a long prodromal phase of neurodevelopmental disturbances. Child and adolescent mental health services should lead a developmentally-sensitive model for timely, effective detection and intervention.

Prevalence of mental disorders and related risk factors in refugees and asylum seekers in Campania

Introduction

In recent years, the increasing presence of refugees and asylum seekers displaced from their country of origin, determined significant social, economic, humanitarian and public health implications in host countries, including Italy. These populations are exposed to several potential stressful experiences which make them vulnerable to psychological distress. In fact, the majority of studies addressing the topic found a higher prevalence of mental disorders, especially post-traumatic stress disorder and major depressive disorder, in refugees and asylum seekers with respect to the general population. However, heterogeneous prevalence rates have been reported among studies, due to methodological factor as well as to the impact of a variety of risk factors related to stressful experiences lived in the country of origin, during the migration journey and in the host country.

Objectives

The aim of the present study was to assess the prevalence of the main psychiatric diagnoses in a large group of adult refugees and asylum seekers (N=303) in the reception centers of two provinces of the Campania region, as well as to investigate the impact of potential risk factors on the occurrence of psychiatric disorders.

Methods

The diagnosis of psychiatric disorders and the identification of subjects at high risk to develop psychosis were carried out by means of structured diagnostic interviews. The following variables were explored as potential risk/protective factors to the occurrence of psychiatric disorders: socio-demographic variables, migration status (refugees/asylum seekers) and characteristics of the reception center,assessed by means of an ad hoc questionnaire; cognitive indices assessed by using standardized neuropsychological tests; traumatic experiences and level of political terror in the country of origin, assessed by means of reliable and valid self-report questionnaires.

Results

At least one mental disorder was found in 29.7% of the sample. Most prevalent diagnoses were depressive disorders, anxiety disorders and PTSD. Women showed, with respect to men, a higher prevalence of anxiety disorders, higher trauma levels, and came from more at-risk countries. Higher trauma levels, better cognitive abilities and unemployment and refugee status were associated to the presence of a current psychiatric disorder in the whole sample.

Conclusions

Our findings showed a higher prevalence of depressive disorders and PTSD in the sample of refugees and asylum seekers with respect to the general population and highlighted the role of potential risk factors whose identification may guide the implementation of preventive strategies and early treatments in these people.

[History of psychopathology in parents and caregivers]

The upbringing and psychosocial development of children who live with parents with serious mental disorders (schizophrenia and delusional disorders, major depression, manic episode, suicide attempts, severe personality disorders, alcoholism or abuse of other drugs and other disorders) can be more difficult, and your quality of life, relationships, and mental health may be seriously affected. Achieving a certain knowledge in clinical practice that facilitates the collection and investigation of parents' psychiatric history and the identification of risk factors and basic warning signs in children, represents an improvement in the capabilities of Primary Health Care (PHC) teams to integrate mental health elements into your daily practice. It is also an essential preliminary step to implement preventive interventions, at least elementary, necessary to protect the mental health of these children and future adults: that is the core of this PAPPS subprogram for the care of the mental health of children and adolescents in the case of a history of psychopathology in parents or caregivers.

Sensitivity of the familial high-risk approach for the prediction of future psychosis: a total population study

Children who have a parent with a psychotic disorder present an increased risk of developing psychosis. It is unclear to date, however, what proportion of all psychosis cases in the population are captured by a familial high-risk for psychosis (FHR-P) approach. This is essential information for prevention research and health service planning, as it tells us the total proportion of psychosis cases that this high-risk approach would prevent if an effective intervention were developed. Through a prospective cohort study including all individuals born in Finland between January 1, 1987 and December 31, 1992, we examined the absolute risk and total proportion of psychosis cases captured by FHR-P and by a transdiagnostic familial risk approach (TDFR-P) based on parental inpatient hospitalization for any mental disorder. Outcomes of non-affective psychosis (ICD-10: F20-F29) and schizophrenia (ICD-10: F20) were identified in the index children up to December 31, 2016. Of the index children (N=368,937), 1.5% (N=5,544) met FHR-P criteria and 10.3% (N=38,040) met TDFR-P criteria. By the study endpoint, 1.9% (N=6,966) of the index children had been diagnosed with non-affective psychosis and 0.5% (N=1,846) with schizophrenia. In terms of sensitivity, of all non-affective psychosis cases in the index children, 5.2% (N=355) were captured by FHR-P and 20.6% (N=1,413) by TDFR-P approaches. The absolute risk of non-affective psychosis was 6.4% in those with FHR-P, and 3.7% in those with TDFR-P. There was notable variation in the sensitivity and total proportion of FHR-P and TDFR-P cases captured based on the age at which FHR-P/TDFR-P were determined. The absolute risk for psychosis, however, was relatively time invariant. These metrics are essential to inform intervention strategies for psychosis risk requiring pragmatic decision-making.

Debate: CAMHS will be at the forefront of the next generation of psychosis risk models, but further integration with early intervention psychosis services is needed to realise this potential: Re Debate: Prevention of psychosis in adolescents - does CAMHS have a role?

The detection of psychosis and its prodrome have unique considerations in a child and adolescent population. Young people attending CAMHS are already a high-risk group, which confers significant limitations in applying the current clinical high-risk (CHR) model. This has catalysed calls for a transdiagnostic approach to psychosis risk prediction, but without a clear pathway forward. We contribute to the debate opened by Salazar de Pablo and Arango (2023, Child and Adolescent Mental Health) on the role of CAMHS in this initiative. CAMHS have a key role in developing comprehensive longitudinal datasets to inform risk models. Closer integration with early intervention in psychosis (EIP) services will be needed to realise this potential. This integration is also required to reliably detect prodromes and emerging psychosis in young people. Where there is robust evidence to support prevention initiatives, we should proceed with their implementation, even in the absence of enhanced risk models.

Hypomania-Checklist-33: risk stratification and factor structure in a mixed psychiatric adolescent sample

BACKGROUND

The 33-item Hypomania Checklist (HCL-33) has been shown to distinguish between adolescent bipolar disorder (BD) and unipolar depression. To investigate the utility of the HCL-33 as a screening tool in routine diagnostics, the frequency and psychopathological characteristics of detected individuals in a mixed psychiatric sample necessitate more examination.

METHODS

The HCL-33, Children's Depression Inventory, Beck's Anxiety Inventory, and Strengths and Difficulties Questionnaire were completed by 285 children and adolescents (12-18 years) in a mixed psychiatric sample. Applying the proposed HCL-33 cut-off score of ≥ 18, individuals with depressive symptoms were divided into at-risk or not at-risk for BD groups. The factorial structure, sum and factor score correlations with psychopathology, and impact on daily functioning were assessed.

RESULTS

20.6% of the sample met at-risk criteria for BD. These individuals (n = 55) were older, more anxious, and showed more conduct problems vs the not at-risk group (n = 107). A two- and a three-factor model were pursued with the same Factor 1 ("active-elated"). Factor 2 ("risk-taking/irritable") was separated into 2a ("irritable-erratic") and 2b ("outgoing-disinhibited") in the three-factor model. Whereas higher Factor 2 and 2a scores correlated with a broad range of more severe symptomatology (i.e., depression, anxiety, hyperactivity), higher Factor 1 and 2b scores correlated with more emotional and conduct problems, respectively. 51.7% of the sample reported a negative impact from hypomanic symptoms on daily functioning.

LIMITATIONS

Cross-sectional design and data collection in a single mental health service.

CONCLUSIONS

The HCL-33 may be a useful tool to improve diagnostics, especially in adolescents with depressive symptoms additionally presenting with anxious symptoms and conduct problems.

Is there a correlation between prepartum anaemia and an increased likelihood of developing postpartum depression? A prospective observational study

PURPOSE

Postpartum depression (PPD) represents a significant challenge to maternal and child health. Early screening for PPD is essential to ensure appropriate treatment and support. The present study aimed to assess whether maternal prepartum anaemia influences the likelihood of developing PPD within 3 days after delivery.

METHODS

In collaboration with the Department of Psychiatry, a prospective observational study was carried out at the Gynaecology and Obstetrics Department of the University of Campania "Luigi Vanvitelli" in Naples. A total of 211 full-term pregnant women were enrolled, and their predelivery haemoglobin value was recorded. Women with gestational diabetes, hypertension, pre-eclampsia, intrauterine growth restriction, intellectual disability, or pre-existing diagnosis of psychotic spectrum disorder were excluded. Participants provided written informed consent to fill out the Edinburgh Postnatal Depression Scale (EPDS) 3 days after delivery. EPDS cut-off score of ≥ 10 was used to identify women at risk of developing PPD. Statistical analysis was performed using Student's t test, the Wilcoxon Rank Sum test, and linear regression.

RESULTS

The participants were categorized into 2 groups based on EPDS scores: EPDS < 10 (176 patients) or EPDS ≥ 10 (35 patients). The two groups showed homogeneity in terms of socio-demographic and clinical characteristics. The mean haemoglobin values of anaemic pregnant women in the EPDS ≤ 10 group (11.78 ± 1.39 g/dl) and the EPDS > 10 group (11.62 ± 1.27 g/dl) were not significantly different (p = 0.52). There was no significant correlation between the predelivery haemoglobin value and the EPDS postpartum score of < 10 or ≥ 10. The Wilcoxon Rank Sum test and the estimated coefficients of the linear regression model did not show any statistical relationship between continuous and binary haemoglobin values.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study found that maternal prepartum anaemia did not negatively impact the likelihood of developing postpartum depressive symptoms, in the first 3 days after delivery.

Risk of Psychosis Among Individuals Who Have Presented to Hospital With Self-harm: A Prospective Nationwide Register Study in Sweden

BACKGROUND AND HYPOTHESIS

Recent research showed that young people who presented to hospital with self-harm in Finland had a significantly elevated risk of later psychosis. We investigated the prospective relationship between hospital presentation for self-harm and risk of psychosis in an unprecedentedly large national Swedish cohort.

STUDY DESIGN

We used inpatient and outpatient healthcare registers to identify all individuals born between 1981 and 1993 who were alive and living in Sweden on their 12th birthday and who presented to hospital one or more times with self-harm. We compared them with a matched cohort, followed up for up to 20 years, and compared the cumulative incidence of psychotic disorders. Furthermore, we examined whether the strength of the relationship between hospital presentation for self-harm and later psychosis changed over time by examining for cohort effects.

STUDY RESULTS

In total, 28 908 (2.0%) individuals presented to hospital with self-harm without prior psychosis diagnosis during the follow-up. For individuals who presented to hospital with self-harm, the cumulative incidence of diagnosed psychosis was 20.7% at 20 years follow-up (hazard radio = 13.9, 95% CI 13.3-14.6, P-value <5 × 10-308). There was no evidence of a dilution of the effect over time: while the incidence of hospital self-harm presentation increased, this did not result in an attenuation over time of the strength of the relationship between hospital self-harm presentation and subsequent psychosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Individuals who present to hospital with self-harm in their teens and 20s represent an important risk group for psychosis prediction and prevention.

Umbrella Review: Atlas of the Meta-Analytical Evidence of Early-Onset Psychosis

OBJECTIVE

Early-onset psychosis (EOP) refers to the development of psychosis before the age of 18 years. We aimed to summarize, for the first time, the meta-analytical evidence in the field of this vulnerable population and to provide evidence-based recommendations.

METHOD

We performed a Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA)-compliant, pre-registered (PROSPERO: CRD42022350868) systematic review of several databases and registers to identify meta-analyses of studies conducted in EOP individuals to conduct an umbrella review. Literature search, screening, data extraction, and quality assessment were carried out independently. Results were narratively reported, clustered across core domains. Quality assessment was performed with the Assessment of Multiple Systematic Reviews-2 (AMSTAR-2) tool.

RESULTS

A total of 30 meta-analyses were included (373 individual studies, 25,983 participants, mean age 15.1 years, 38.3% female). Individuals with EOP showed more cognitive impairments compared with controls and individuals with adult/late-onset psychosis. Abnormalities were observed meta-analytically in neuroimaging markers but not in oxidative stress and inflammatory response markers. In all, 60.1% of EOP individuals had a poor prognosis. Clozapine was the antipsychotic with the highest efficacy for overall, positive, and negative symptoms. Tolerance to medication varied among the evaluated antipsychotics. The risk of discontinuation of antipsychotics for any reason or side effects was low or equal compared to placebo.

CONCLUSION

EOP is associated with cognitive impairment, involuntary admissions, and poor prognosis. Antipsychotics can be efficacious in EOP, but tolerability and safety need to be taken into consideration. Clozapine should be considered in EOP individuals who are resistant to 2 non-clozapine antipsychotics. Further meta-analytical research is needed on response to psychological interventions and other prognostic factors.

PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY

This umbrella review summarized the meta-analytical knowledge from 30 meta-analyses on early-onset psychosis. Early-onset psychosis refers to the development of psychosis before the age of 18 years and is associated with cognitive impairment, hospitalization, and poor prognosis. Individuals with early-onset psychosis show more cognitive impairments and abnormalities compared with controls. Clozapine was the antipsychotic with the highest efficacy for positive, negative, and overall symptoms and should be considered in individuals with early-onset psychosis.

STUDY PREREGISTRATION INFORMATION

Early Onset Psychosis: Umbrella Review on Diagnosis, Prognosis and Treatment factors; https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/; CRD42022350868.

Promoting mental health and preventing mental health problems in child and adolescent refugees and asylum seekers: A systematic review on psychosocial interventions

BACKGROUND

According to the United Nations Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR), children and adolescents represent 41% of all forcibly displaced individuals. They have to deal with conflicts, violence, and the many difficulties of flight and resettlement during a critical stage of their emotional, social, cognitive, and physical development. They are more likely to experience mental health problems during migration. Despite the several known risk factors, it is frequently challenging for refugees and asylum seekers to get mental health care. In this paper we review available studies on interventions aimed at promoting mental health and at preventing common mental disorders in immigrant adolescents and children.

METHODS

The relevant PubMed, Scopus, PsychINFO and Web of Science databases were searched for papers published until March 21, 2023, using ("immigrants" OR "migration" OR "asylum seekers" OR "refugees") AND ("promotion" OR "prevention") AND ("mental health" OR "mental disorders" OR "psych*") AND ("children" OR "adolescents" OR "young adults") as search string. Fourteen articles qualified for the detailed review.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

The majority of available interventions, although highly heterogeneous in format and content, showed significant improvement in several psychopathological dimensions, including trauma-related symptoms, psychological stress, anxiety, depressive and cognitive symptoms. Available studies on interventions for the prevention of mental disorders and the promotion of mental health in refugees and asylum seekers children and adolescents indicate that provided interventions were associated with a global improvement for participants. Implementation strategies to improve their scalability are highly needed.

Proteomic Biomarkers for the Prediction of Transition to Psychosis in Individuals at Clinical High Risk: A Multi-cohort Model Development Study

Psychosis risk prediction is one of the leading challenges in psychiatry. Previous investigations have suggested that plasma proteomic data may be useful in accurately predicting transition to psychosis in individuals at clinical high risk (CHR). We hypothesized that an a priori-specified proteomic prediction model would have strong predictive accuracy for psychosis risk and aimed to replicate longitudinal associations between plasma proteins and transition to psychosis. This study used plasma samples from participants in 3 CHR cohorts: the North American Prodrome Longitudinal Studies 2 and 3, and the NEURAPRO randomized control trial (total n = 754). Plasma proteomic data were quantified using mass spectrometry. The primary outcome was transition to psychosis over the study follow-up period. Logistic regression models were internally validated, and optimism-corrected performance metrics derived with a bootstrap procedure. In the overall sample of CHR participants (age: 18.5, SD: 3.9; 51.9% male), 20.4% (n = 154) developed psychosis within 4.4 years. The a priori-specified model showed poor risk-prediction accuracy for the development of psychosis (C-statistic: 0.51 [95% CI: 0.50, 0.59], calibration slope: 0.45). At a group level, Complement C8B, C4B, C5, and leucine-rich α-2 glycoprotein 1 (LRG1) were associated with transition to psychosis but did not surpass correction for multiple comparisons. This study did not confirm the findings from a previous proteomic prediction model of transition from CHR to psychosis. Certain complement proteins may be weakly associated with transition at a group level. Previous findings, derived from small samples, should be interpreted with caution.

An exploratory study of psychosis risk factors in individuals who are referred but do not meet criteria for an early intervention in psychosis service

BACKGROUND

The 'at-risk mental state' (ARMS) for psychosis has been critiqued for its limited prognostic ability and identification of a limited proportion of those who will develop a first episode of psychosis (FEP). Broadening the search for high-risk groups is key to improving population-level ascertainment of psychosis risk.

AIMS

To explore risk enrichment in diagnostic, demographic and socio-functional domains among individuals referred to an early intervention in psychosis (EIP) service not meeting ARMS or FEP criteria.

METHOD

A retrospective file review of 16 years of referrals to a tertiary EIP service in Ireland was undertaken. Diagnostic outcomes from standardised assessments (Structured Clinical Interview for DSM), demographic (age, gender, family history, nationality) and socio-occupational (relationship status, living status, working status) variables were compiled for those not meeting criteria. These were compared with individuals diagnosed with an FEP in the same period.

RESULTS

From 2005 to 2021 inclusive, of 2025 index assessments, 27.6% (n = 558) did not meet either FEP or ARMS criteria, which is notably higher than the 5.4% (n = 110) meeting ARMS criteria. This group had high psychiatric morbidity, with 65.4% meeting criteria for at least one DSM Axis I disorder. Depressive, anxiety and substance use disorders predominated. Their functional markers were poor, and comparable to the FEP cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

This group is enriched for psychosis risk factors. They are a larger group than those meeting ARMS criteria, a finding that may reflect EIP service configuration. They may be an important focus for further study in the search for at-risk populations beyond the current ARMS model.

Factor and network analysis of psychosis-like experiences and depressive symptoms in a sample of Finnish adolescents entering psychiatric services

AIM

Psychosis-Like Experiences (PLEs) and depressive symptoms are correlated in clinical adolescent populations. However, symptom-level associations between the two phenomena are not clear.

METHODS

We analysed factor structures of a PLE instrument, the Prodromal Questionnaire-Brief (PQ-B), based on dimensions of positive symptoms of schizophrenia, and a depression measurement instrument, the Beck Depression Inventory (BDI-21A) and performed a network analysis of item-level associations between the two measures. The sample consisted of 417 adolescents (range 13-18 years of age, mean 14.9 years, 72.4% females) entering secondary psychiatric services at Helsinki metropolitan area, Finland.

RESULTS

Confirmatory factor analysis resulted in adequately fitting 2-factor solution, one for PQ-B and one for BDI-21, with a strong correlation coefficient of 0.605 between the two factors. In the network analysis, PQ-B and BDI-21 both formed their own clusters, and two significant pathways were estimated between PQ-B and BDI-21 clusters: 1. the association between paranoid thinking and distorted body image, and 2. the association between somatic preoccupation and worry about problems of one's mind.

CONCLUSIONS

Even though on a general, factor level, PLEs and depressive symptoms were strongly correlated, unique associations between symptoms of the two constructs were sparse. These findings should be considered in the psychiatric assessment and in the care of adolescents.

Correlations between Negative Symptoms and Cognitive Deficits in Individuals at First Psychotic Episode or at High Risk of Psychosis: A Systematic Review

The present review aims to identify correlations between negative symptoms (NS) and deficits in neurocognition and social cognition in subjects with first-episode psychosis (FEP) and at-high-risk populations (HR). A systematic search of the literature published between 1 January 2005 and 31 December 2022 was conducted on PubMed, Scopus, and PsycInfo. Out of the 4599 records identified, a total of 32 studies met our inclusion/exclusion criteria. Data on a total of 3086 FEP and 1732 HR were collected. The available evidence shows that NS correlate with executive functioning and theory of mind deficits in FEP subjects, and with deficits in the processing speed, attention and vigilance, and working memory in HR subjects. Visual learning and memory do not correlate with NS in either FEP or HR subjects. More inconsistent findings were retrieved in relation to other cognitive domains in both samples. The available evidence is limited by sample and methodological heterogeneity across studies and was rated as poor or average quality for the majority of included studies in both FEP and CHR populations. Further research based on shared definitions of first-episode psychosis and at-risk states, as well as on more recent conceptualizations of negative symptoms and cognitive impairment, is highly needed.

Prognostic models predicting transition to psychotic disorder using blood-based biomarkers: a systematic review and critical appraisal

Accumulating evidence suggests individuals with psychotic disorder show abnormalities in metabolic and inflammatory processes. Recently, several studies have employed blood-based predictors in models predicting transition to psychotic disorder in risk-enriched populations. A systematic review of the performance and methodology of prognostic models using blood-based biomarkers in the prediction of psychotic disorder from risk-enriched populations is warranted. Databases (PubMed, EMBASE and PsycINFO) were searched for eligible texts from 1998 to 15/05/2023, which detailed model development or validation studies. The checklist for Critical Appraisal and Data Extraction for Systematic Reviews of Prediction Modelling Studies (CHARMS) was used to guide data extraction from eligible texts and the Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST) was used to assess the risk of bias and applicability of the studies. A narrative synthesis of the included studies was performed. Seventeen eligible studies were identified: 16 eligible model development studies and one eligible model validation study. A wide range of biomarkers were assessed, including nucleic acids, proteins, metabolites, and lipids. The range of C-index (area under the curve) estimates reported for the models was 0.67-1.00. No studies assessed model calibration. According to PROBAST criteria, all studies were at high risk of bias in the analysis domain. While a wide range of potentially predictive biomarkers were identified in the included studies, most studies did not account for overfitting in model performance estimates, no studies assessed calibration, and all models were at high risk of bias according to PROBAST criteria. External validation of the models is needed to provide more accurate estimates of their performance. Future studies which follow the latest available methodological and reporting guidelines and adopt strategies to accommodate required sample sizes for model development or validation will clarify the value of including blood-based biomarkers in models predicting psychosis.

Can Brain-Derived Neurotrophic Factor Be Considered a Biomarker for Bipolar Disorder? An Analysis of the Current Evidence

Brain-derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF) plays a key role in brain development, contributing to neuronal survival and neuroplasticity. Previous works have found that BDNF is involved in several neurological or psychiatric diseases. In this review, we aimed to collect all available data on BDNF and bipolar disorder (BD) and assess if BDNF could be considered a biomarker for BD. We searched the most relevant medical databases and included studies reporting original data on BDNF circulating levels or Val66Met polymorphism. Only articles including a direct comparison with healthy controls (HC) and patients diagnosed with BD according to international classification systems were included. Of the 2430 identified articles, 29 were included in the present review. Results of the present review show a reduction in BDNF circulating levels during acute phases of BD compared to HC, which increase after effective therapy of the disorders. The Val66Met polymorphism was related to features usually associated with worse outcomes. High heterogeneity has been observed regarding sample size, clinical differences of included patients, and data analysis approaches, reducing comparisons among studies. Although more studies are needed, BDNF seems to be a promising biomarker for BD.

Psychosis prediction 2.0: why child and adolescent mental health services should be a key focus for schizophrenia and bipolar disorder prevention research

Existing approaches to psychosis prediction capture only a small minority of future cases. Recent research shows that specialist child and adolescent mental health services (CAMHS) offer a (previously unrecognised) high-risk and high-capacity approach for psychosis early identification, prediction and, ultimately, prevention.