Predicting Postherpetic Neuralgia in Patients with Herpes Zoster by Machine Learning: A Retrospective Study

A systematic literature review of the epidemiology and burden of herpes zoster in selected locales in Asia Pacific

Herpes zoster (HZ) is a painful rash which typically affects older adults. This is of concern in Asia-Pacific given its aging population. As HZ epidemiology and burden are evolving, this systematic literature review aimed to update the current understanding of HZ burden and associated costs for selected Asia-Pacific locales. MEDLINE and Embase were searched for English articles of HZ studies conducted in Australia, China, Hong Kong, Japan, Korea, New Zealand, Singapore, and Taiwan. Eligible outcomes included HZ incidence and prevalence, occurrence of HZ-related complications, healthcare resource utilization, costs, and HZ-associated quality of life outcomes. This paper focused on HZ data in the general adult population (N = 90 articles). Substantial HZ-related disease and economic burden were observed in these locales, consistent with global trends. These findings reinforce the increasing burden of HZ and need for preventive strategies, which may include raising awareness and encouraging timely vaccination.

A central and peripheral dual neuromodulation strategy in pain management of zoster-associated pain

Spinal cord stimulation (SCS) has shown effectiveness in relieving zoster-associated pain (ZAP), but some patients still experience moderate or severe pain after SCS treatment. This study aims to evaluate the impact of SCS combined with dorsal root ganglion (DRG) pulsed radiofrequency (PRF) as a dual neuromodulation strategy on the prognosis of ZAP. The clinical records of patients diagnosed with ZAP who underwent SCS (SCS group) or SCS combined with PRF (SCS + PRF group) at The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, were retrospectively analyzed to compare the effectiveness of the two treatment approaches for ZAP. Outcome measures included changes in Visual Analog Scale (VAS) scores before and after neuromodulation treatment, response rates, and incidence of progression to postherpetic neuralgia (PHN).13 SCS patients and 15 SCS + PRF patients were analyzed. Admission VAS scores were similar (P = 0.934). Upon discharge, no significant differences in VAS or response rates were observed (P > 0.05). However, at 6-month follow-up, the SCS + PRF group had lower VAS scores (1.53 ± 1.06 vs. 3.23 ± 1.50, P < 0.001) and a lower proportion of residual moderate pain (P = 0.041). None in the SCS + PRF group progressed to PHN in the acute/subacute phases, differing significantly from the SCS group (P = 0.038).Therefore, SCS combined with DRG PRF is feasible and effective in the treatment of ZAP. This dual neuromodulation strategy may be a more appropriate regimen for the treatment of ZAP.

Identifying and Evaluating Biological Markers of Postherpetic Neuralgia: A Comprehensive Review

Postherpetic neuralgia (PHN) manifests as persistent chronic pain that emerges after a herpes zoster outbreak and greatly diminishes quality of life. Unfortunately, its treatment efficacy has remained elusive, with many therapeutic efforts yielding less than satisfactory results. The research to discern risk factors predicting the onset, trajectory, and prognosis of PHN has been extensive. However, these risk factors often present as nonspecific and diverse, indicating the need for more reliable, measurable, and objective detection methods. The exploration of potential biological markers, including hematological indices, pathological insights, and supportive tests, is increasing. This review highlights potential biomarkers that are instrumental for the diagnosis, management, and prognosis of PHN while also delving deeper into its genesis. Drawing from prior research, aspects such as immune responsiveness, neuronal injury, genetic makeup, cellular metabolism, and pain signal modulation have emerged as prospective biomarkers. The immune spectrum spans various cell subtypes, with an emphasis on T cells, interferons, interleukins, and other related cytokines. Studies on nerve injury are directed toward pain-related proteins and the density and health of epidermal nerve fibers. On the genetic and metabolic fronts, the focus lies in the detection of predisposition genes, atypical protein manifestations, and energy-processing dynamics, with a keen interest in vitamin metabolism. Tools such as functional magnetic resonance imaging, electromyography, and infrared imaging have come to the forefront in the pain signaling domain. This review compiles the evidence, potential clinical implications, and challenges associated with these promising biomarkers, paving the way for innovative strategies for predicting, diagnosing, and addressing PHN.

Development of a Prediction Model and Corresponding Scoring Table for Postherpetic Neuralgia Using Six Machine Learning Algorithms: A Retrospective Study

INTRODUCTION

Postherpetic neuralgia (PHN), a complication of herpes zoster, significantly impacts the quality of life of affected patients. Research indicates that early intervention for pain can reduce the occurrence or severity of PHN. This study aims to develop a predictive model and scoring table to identify patients at risk of developing PHN following acute herpetic neuralgia, facilitating informed clinical decision-making.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective review of 524 hospitalized patients with herpes zoster at The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang Chinese Medical University from December 2020 to December 2023 and classified them according to whether they had PHN, collecting a comprehensive set of 30 patient characteristics and disease-related indicators, 5 comorbidity indicators, 2 disease score values, and 10 serological indicators. Relevant features associated with PHN were identified using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO). Then, the patients were divided into a training set and a test set in a 4:1 ratio, with comparability tested using univariate analysis. Six models were established in the training set using machine learning methods: support vector machines, logistic regression, random forest, k-nearest neighbor, gradient boosting, and neural network. The performance of these models was evaluated in the test set, and a nomogram based on logistic regression was used to create a PHN prediction score table.

RESULTS

Eight non-zero characteristic variables selected from the LASSO regression results were included in the model, including age [area under the curve (AUC) = 0.812, p < 0.001], Numerical Rating Scale (NRS) (AUC = 0.792, p < 0.001), receiving treatment time (AUC = 0.612, p < 0.001), rash recovery time (AUC = 0.680, p < 0.001), history of malignant tumor (AUC = 0.539, p < 0.001), history of diabetes (AUC = 0.638, p < 0.001), varicella-zoster virus immunoglobulin M (AUC = 0.620, p < 0.001), and serum nerve-specific enolase (AUC = 0.659, p < 0,001). The gradient boosting model outperformed other classifier models on the test set with an AUC of 0.931, 95% confidence interval (CI) (0.882-0.980), accuracy of 0.886 (95% CI 0.809-0.940). In the test set, our predictive scoring table achieved an AUC of 0.820 (95% CI 0.869-0.970) with accuracy of 0.790 (95% CI 0.700-0.864).

CONCLUSION

This study presents a methodology for predicting the development of postherpetic neuralgia in shingles patients by analyzing historical case data, employing various machine learning techniques, and selecting the optimal model through comparative analysis. In addition, a logistic regression model has been used to create a scoring table for predicting the postherpetic neuralgia.

What is associated with painful polyneuropathy? A cross-sectional analysis of symptoms and signs in patients with painful and painless polyneuropathy

ABSTRACT

It is still unclear how and why some patients develop painful and others painless polyneuropathy. The aim of this study was to identify multiple factors associated with painful polyneuropathies (NeuP). A total of 1181 patients of the multicenter DOLORISK database with painful (probable or definite NeuP) or painless (unlikely NeuP) probable or confirmed neuropathy were investigated clinically, with questionnaires and quantitative sensory testing. Multivariate logistic regression including all variables (demographics, medical history, psychological symptoms, personality items, pain-related worrying, life-style factors, as well as results from clinical examination and quantitative sensory testing) and machine learning was used for the identification of predictors and final risk prediction of painful neuropathy. Multivariate logistic regression demonstrated that severity and idiopathic etiology of neuropathy, presence of chronic pain in family, Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System Fatigue and Depression T-Score, as well as Pain Catastrophizing Scale total score are the most important features associated with the presence of pain in neuropathy. Machine learning (random forest) identified the same variables. Multivariate logistic regression archived an accuracy above 78%, random forest of 76%; thus, almost 4 out of 5 subjects can be classified correctly. This multicenter analysis shows that pain-related worrying, emotional well-being, and clinical phenotype are factors associated with painful (vs painless) neuropathy. Results may help in the future to identify patients at risk of developing painful neuropathy and identify consequences of pain in longitudinal studies.

The Incidence of Herpes Zoster Complications: A Systematic Literature Review

INTRODUCTION

The objective of this work was to summarize the incidence of herpes zoster (HZ) complications in different populations.

METHODS

Systematic literature review of PubMed, Embase, and Virtual Health Library records between January 1, 2002 and October 20, 2022 using search strings for HZ, complications, and frequency measurements.

RESULTS

The review included 124 studies, most conducted in the general population (n = 93) and on individuals with comorbidities (n = 41) ≥ 18 years of age. Most studies were conducted in Europe (n = 44), Asia (n = 40), and North America (n = 36). Postherpetic neuralgia (PHN) was the most studied neurological complication. Variable relative PHN incidence was found in the general population (2.6-46.7%) or based on diagnosis: immunocompromised (3.9-33.8%), depression (0-50%), and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) (6.1-40.2%). High incidence rates were observed in hematological malignancies (HM) and solid organ malignancies (132.5 and 93.7 per 1000 person-years, respectively). Ocular complications were frequently reported with herpes zoster ophthalmicus (HZO). The relative incidence (incidence rate) of HZO in the general population was reported as 1.4-15.9% (0.31-0.35 per 1000 person-years). High relative incidence was observed in HIV (up to 10.1%) and HM (3.2-11.3%). Disseminated HZ was the most frequently reported cutaneous complication. The relative incidence of disseminated HZ was 0.3-8.2% in the general population, 0-0.5% in the immunocompetent, and 0-20.6% in patients with comorbidities. High relative incidence was reported in HM and solid organ transplant (up to 19.3% and 14.8%, respectively).

DISCUSSION

Most reported complications were neurological (n = 110), ocular (n = 48), and cutaneous (n = 38). Few studies stratified complications by age or gender (or both). Incidence appeared higher in select immunocompromised populations. Higher incidence was associated with older age in several studies; the general association with gender was unclear.

CONCLUSIONS

Variable incidence of HZ complications was reported by population subgroup. Further research is required to quantitatively analyze incidence by age, gender, and location.

Genetics of causal relationships between circulating inflammatory proteins and postherpetic neuralgia: a bidirectional Mendelian randomization study

Objective

According to data from several observational studies, there is a strong association between circulating inflammatory cytokines and postherpetic neuralgia (PHN), but it is not clear whether this association is causal or confounding; therefore, the main aim of the present study was to analyze whether circulating inflammatory proteins have a bidirectional relationship with PHN at the genetic inheritance level using a Mendelian randomization (MR) study.

Methods

The Genome-Wide Association Study (GWAS) database was used for our analysis. We gathered data on inflammation-related genetic variation from three GWASs of human cytokines. These proteins included 91 circulating inflammatory proteins, tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-α), macrophage inflammatory protein 1b (MIP-1b), and CXC chemokine 13 (CXCL13). The PHN dataset was obtained from the FinnGen biobank analysis round 5, and consisted of 1,413 cases and 275,212 controls. We conducted a two-sample bidirectional MR study using the TwoSampleMR and MRPRESSO R packages (version R.4.3.1). Our main analytical method was inverse variance weighting (IVW), and we performed sensitivity analyses to assess heterogeneity and pleiotropy, as well as the potential influence of individual SNPs, to validate our findings.

Results

According to our forward analysis, five circulating inflammatory proteins were causally associated with the development of PHN: interleukin (IL)-18 was positively associated with PHN, and IL-13, fibroblast growth factor 19 (FGF-19), MIP-1b, and stem cell growth factor (SCF) showed reverse causality with PHN. Conversely, we found that PHN was closely associated with 12 inflammatory cytokines, but no significant correlation was found among the other inflammatory factors. Among them, only IL-18 had a bidirectional causal relationship with PHN.

Conclusion

Our research advances the current understanding of the role of certain inflammatory biomarker pathways in the development of PHN. Additional verification is required to evaluate the viability of these proteins as targeted inflammatory factors for PHN-based treatments.

Outcomes of Twice Repeated High-Voltage Long-Duration Pulsed Radiofrequency Treatment in Subacute Postherpetic Neuralgia: a Retrospective Single-Center Analysis

Background

The treatment of herpes zoster-related pain is challenging, and requires a variety of methods including pulse radio frequency modulation. Among them, single-time high-voltage long-term pulsed radiofrequency (HL-PRF) has been proved to be an effective treatment for subacute postherpetic neuralgia. However, it has the possibility of poor long-term curative effect and recurrence of neuralgia. In this study, we aim to identify the clinical efficacy and safety of twice repeated HL-PRF treatment in patients with subacute postherpetic neuralgia.

Design

We conducted a retrospective analysis of subacute postherpetic neuralgia patients who underwent HL-PRF treatment.

Setting

Pain Management Department of First Affiliated Hospital of Wannan Medical College.

Patients

We enrolled all patients with subacute postherpetic neuralgia, who underwent HL-PRF treatment from January 2023 to October 2023.

Measurements

The primary outcome variable was the visual Analog Scale (VAS) scores at 1, 4, 8, and 12 weeks after treatment. Secondary outcomes included Pittsburgh sleep quality index (PSQI), 36-item short-form health survey (SF-36) score, and total effective rate after treatment.

Results

A total of 63 patients were included in the analysis. Among them, 33 patients received single-time HL-PRF treatment (Group S) and 30 patients received twice repeated HL-PRF treatment (Group T). Pain scores, PSQI scores, and SF-36 score were reduced in both groups after treatment (P < 0.001). Compared to group S, the VAS scores, PSQI scores, anxiety scores, and depression scores were significantly lower at 1, 4, 8, and 12 weeks in group T. (P < 0.001). The total efficiency rate at 12 weeks after treatment of group T was statistically higher than that of group S (60.6% vs 86.7%, P < 0.05).

Conclusion

Twice repeated high-voltage long-duration PRF therapy demonstrates satisfactory efficacy in patients with subacute postherpetic neuralgia and is associated with no significant adverse reactions.

Predicting Chronic Pain and Treatment Outcomes Using Machine Learning Models Based on High-dimensional Clinical Data From a Large Retrospective Cohort

PURPOSE

To identify factors and indicators that affect chronic pain and pain relief, and to develop predictive models using machine learning.

METHODS

We analyzed the data of 67,028 outpatient cases and 11,310 valid samples with pain from a large retrospective cohort. We used decision tree, random forest, AdaBoost, neural network, and logistic regression to discover significant indicators and to predict pain and treatment relief.

FINDINGS

The random forest model had the highest accuracy, F1 value, precision, and recall rates for predicting pain relief. The main factors affecting pain and treatment relief included body mass index, blood pressure, age, body temperature, heart rate, pulse, and neutrophil/lymphocyte × platelet ratio. The logistic regression model had high sensitivity and specificity for predicting pain occurrence.

IMPLICATIONS

Machine learning models can be used to analyze the risk factors and predictors of chronic pain and pain relief, and to provide personalized and evidence-based pain management.

Progress in Radiofrequency Therapy for Zoster-Associated Pain About Parameters, Modes, Targets, and Combined Therapy: A Narrative Review

Zoster-associated pain (ZAP) is a painful condition that significantly impacts a patient's quality of life, often leading to postherpetic neuralgia (PHN). Over 30% of patients with herpes probably experience PHN. However, the understanding and treatment of ZAP remain inadequate. Common interventional treatments include radiofrequency therapy, nerve blocks, epidural block, and spinal cord electrical stimulation. Among these, radiofrequency therapy is widely used for pain control in ZAP, but the standard pulsed radiofrequency technique can still be improved. Researchers have explored different radiofrequency parameters, modes, targets, and combined treatments to enhance the therapeutic effect. In this paper, we review the latest research findings and incorporate our own departmental investigations. We conclude that high-voltage, long-duration pulsed radiofrequency and radiofrequency thermocoagulation therapy have shown improved therapeutic outcomes, despite some remaining limitations. Emphasis is placed on safety in intercostal nerve and extracranial nerve radiofrequency treatments. Combination therapy is also safe and effective; however, many studies have a low grade of evidence. Further high-quality research and systematic reviews are needed.

Evaluation of the correlation of dorsal root ganglia and spinal nerves with clinical symptoms in patients with postherpetic neuralgia using magnetic resonance neurography

Purpose

To assess changes of dorsal root ganglia (DRG) and spinal nerves in patients with postherpetic neuralgia (PHN), and investigate the correlation between DRG morphology and clinical symptoms in PHN patients using magnetic resonance neurography (MRN).

Methods

In this case-control study, forty-nine lesioned DRG in 30 patients and 49 normal DRG in 30 well-matched (age, sex, height, weight) healthy controls were assessed. Clinical symptoms of patients (pain, allodynia, itching, and numbness) were assessed. MRN features (DRG volume (VDRG), the largest diameter (Dmax) of spinal nerves, signal intensity of DRG and spinal nerves (M-value)) were measured in all participants. Multilinear regression analysis was used to evaluate the relationship between the DRG morphology and clinical symptoms in patients.

Results

The volume and relative M-value of lesioned DRG in patients were significantly higher than those on the same side of healthy controls (p = 0.013, p < 0.001, respectively). The mean Dmax and relative M-value of spinal nerves on the lesioned side were significantly higher than those on the contralateral and same side of healthy controls (p < 0.0001, p = 0.0001, p = 0.0011, p = 0.0053, respectively). No difference was found between the mean VDRG of the lesioned and contralateral sides. Multiple linear regression analysis revealed that disease duration was independent risk factor for the maximum rate of VDRG differences (p = 0.013).

Conclusions

DRG and spinal nerves on the lesioned side are swollen during PHN. Disease duration is an independent risk factor for morphological differences in the lesioned DRG of PHN patients. This study provides important guidance for individualized treatments of PHN.

Comparison of the Efficacy of Short-term Peripheral Nerve Stimulation and Pulsed Radiofrequency for Treating Herpes Zoster Ophthalmicus Neuralgia

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to investigate the effect of therapy with peripheral nerve stimulation (PNS) and pulsed radiofrequency (PRF) combined or PNS and PRF separately in patients with herpes zoster ophthalmicus (HZO).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This cohort study included 106 cases of HZO. Three groups were identified according to the type of treatment received: combination therapy (PNS+PRF) (n=38), PRF (n=37), and PNS (n=31). The observations at 0, 1, 2, and 4 weeks; 3 and 6 months; and 1 and 2 years after the operation were analyzed. Observations at each follow-up included baseline characteristics, Numerical Rating Scale (NRS) and the Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index (PSQI), concomitant pain medication usage, relapse rate, and adverse events.

RESULTS

The postoperative NRS of all 3 groups were significantly lower than preoperative scores. The PSQI of the 3 groups was significantly improved postoperatively, and the concomitant pain medication gradually decreased. Regarding long-term efficacy, the pain NRS and PSQI scores of the PNS+PRF and PNS groups were significantly lower than those of the PRF group ( P <0.05), and the relapse rate of the PRF group was higher than that of the PNS+PRF and PNS groups ( P <0.05). No significant difference was observed between the PNS+PRF and the PNS groups.

CONCLUSION

Both PNS and PRF treatment of HZO can decrease the pain score, yielding no serious complications. The combination of PNS and PRF or PNS alone resulted in more significant pain relief than treatment with PRF alone. Thus, PNS therapy may be a better treatment option for HZO.

Characterization of plasma metabolites and proteins in patients with herpetic neuralgia and development of machine learning predictive models based on metabolomic profiling

Herpes zoster (HZ) is a localized, painful cutaneous eruption that occurs upon reactivation of the herpes virus. Postherpetic neuralgia (PHN) is the most common chronic complication of HZ. In this study, we examined the metabolomic and proteomic signatures of disease progression in patients with HZ and PHN. We identified differentially expressed metabolites (DEMs), differentially expressed proteins (DEPs), and key signaling pathways that transition from healthy volunteers to the acute or/and chronic phases of herpetic neuralgia. Moreover, some specific metabolites correlated with pain scores, disease duration, age, and pain in sex dimorphism. In addition, we developed and validated three optimal predictive models (AUC > 0.9) for classifying HZ and PHN from healthy individuals based on metabolic patterns and machine learning. These findings may reveal the overall metabolomics and proteomics landscapes and proposed the optimal machine learning predictive models, which provide insights into the mechanisms of HZ and PHN.

Effect and safety of extracorporeal shockwave therapy for postherpetic neuralgia: A randomized single-blind clinical study

Objective

To evaluate the efficacy and safety of extracorporeal shockwave therapy (ESWT) for postherpetic neuralgia.

Design

Randomized single-blind clinical study.

Patients

Patients with postherpetic neuralgia.

Methods

Patients were randomly divided into the control group and the ESWT group. The control group received conventional treatment while the ESWT group received conventional treatment and ESWT. The primary outcome is pain degree as assessed by the numeric rating scale (NRS), and secondary outcomes include brief pain inventory (BPI), Self-rating Anxiety Scale (SAS), Self-rating Depression Scale (SDS), and Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index (PSQI). Data were collected at baseline and at weeks 1, 4, and 12. Linear mixed-effects models were applied to repeated measurement data.

Results

The scores on the NRS, BPI, SAS, SDS, and PSQI decreased over time in both groups. The NRS and SDS scores of the ESWT group were statistically lower than the control group. There was no time × group interaction in the mixed model analysis. Baseline age was correlated with NRS scores and BPI scores, and invasive treatment was related to PSQI scores, with no interaction effect for baseline confounders observed. No adverse events were observed during the process of this trial.

Conclusion

Extracorporeal shockwave therapy combined with conventional treatment could relieve pain and improve the psychological state in patients with postherpetic neuralgia without serious adverse effects.

A Comparison Between Effects of Amenamevir and Famciclovir on Intensities of Acute Pain and the Incidence of Postherpetic Neuralgia in Adult Patients with Herpes Zoster

Objective

Herpes zoster (HZ) is a common disease, whose most common complication is postherpetic neuralgia (PHN). We conducted this study to compare effects of amenamevir (AMNV) and famciclovir (FCV) on intensities of acute HZ pain and the incidence of PHN, which have not been compared yet.

Methods

After approval by the Ethics Committee, we retrospectively investigated adult patients with HZ treated with AMNV or FCV at Juntendo University Hospital between October, 2018 and February, 2020. We compared, between 143 AMNV-treated and 131 FCV-treated patients, pain scores of acute HZ pain evaluated on an 11-point numerical rating scale (NRS) and the incidence of PHN with the Mann-Whitney U test and Pearson's chi-square test, respectively. The univariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify predictors of PHN.

Results

Pain scores during the acute HZ period remained significantly lower in AMNV-treated patients than FCV-treated patients (p = 0.049, 0.011, and 0.016 for Day 3-4, Day 7, and Week 2-3, respectively), although the pain score at Day 0 before treatment didn't differ between them (p > 0.05). The incidence of PHN didn't differ between them (9.8% vs. 11.5%, p > 0.05). In the total cohort, the pain score at Week 2-3 was significantly associated with the development of PHN (r 2 = 0.180, p < 0.00001).

Conclusions

Compared with FCV, AMNV was more effective in reducing acute HZ pain, possibly reflecting its unique mechanism of action. However, AMNV didn't reduce the incidence of PHN possibly due to the multifactorial etiology of PHN.

Treatment Analysis of Patients Followed up With Postherpetic Neuralgia in Nothern Cyprus

Background

Postherpetic neuralgia (PHN) is a frequent complication of herpes zoster (HZ). Treatment of this chronic pain syndrome and results are often not clear. Tricyclic antidepressants, gabapentinoids and potent opioids are first-line treatments and are highly effective, but their use is limited due to adverse effects that may occur in elderly patients with significant medical comorbidities or interaction due to multiple drug use. There are no head-to-head comparisons of non medical treatments. Dry needling appears comparable to conventional physical therapy for treating PHN.

Objective

Our aim is to determine the incidence of PHN in our population and to compare the treatments in patients with postherpetic neuralgia.

Methods

A search for HZ and PHN was conducted in a general practice research database, comprising 2 general practices (dermatologist and physiatrist) and representing 5600 people. We analyzed a retrospective 37 case with PNH of 170 herpes zoster patient admmited to the dermatology and physical therapy and rehabilitation outpatient clinic between October 2018 and October 2020. Dry needling and physical therapy methods applied in addition to medical treatment in PHN treatment were compared.

Results

In patients with postherpetic neuralgia, both dry needling therapy group and physical therapy group LANSS scores decreased significantly in the first week and in the third week compared to baseline. Dry needling therapy group has also similar results in VAS scores in the first and third week. But in physical therapy group, the VAS score did not show a significant decrease in the first week compared to the baseline, but it decreased significantly in the third week.

Conclusion

PHN is a complex, difficult to treat and severe neuropathic pain that affects patients' daily function and quality of life. Various agents and methods are available to relieve the symptoms of PHN. This study shows as both physical therapy and dry needling therapy are effective treatment for postherpetic nevralgia..

Development of a Model for Predicting the Effectiveness of Pulsed Radiofrequency on Zoster-Associated Pain

Introduction

Zoster-associated pain (ZAP), which may cause anxiety, depression, and sleep disorders and reduce quality of life, is often refractory to current standard treatments. Studies have shown that pulsed radiofrequency (PRF) can alleviate ZAP and reduce the incidence of postherpetic neuralgia (PHN). This study aimed to explore the clinical characteristics associated with PRF responsiveness, develop a model for identifying risk factors of inadequate PRF management, and help clinicians make better decisions.

Methods

Patients who underwent PRF for ZAP between January 2017 and October 2020 in our hospital were included in this study. Patients were evaluated using the numerical rating scale (NRS), Insomnia Severity Index, Patient Health Questionnaire-9, and 36-Item Short Form Health Survey (SF-36) before and 3 months after the procedure. Patient demographic data and blood test results were also collected. We defined the effectiveness of PRF for ZAP as relief of > 50% in NRS scores compared to pre-PRF. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analyses were subsequently performed to identify factors related to the therapeutic effect of PRF in patients with ZAP. The performance of the prediction model was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).

Results

The effectiveness of PRF in patients with ZAP was 69.6% (total 313 patients) after 3 months. LASSO regression analysis extracted the seven most powerful features in the developed prediction model: sex, stage of herpes zoster (HZ), pregabalin dose, bodily pain indicators of SF-36, lymphocyte count, and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDLC) and complement C4 in peripheral blood. Model = 1.586 + 0.148 × lymphocyte + (−0.001) × bodily pain indicators of SF-36 + (−0.001) × pregabalin dose + 0.028 × LDLC + 0.001 × C4 + (−0.508) × sex + (−0.128) × stage of HZ. We generated the ROC curve for the prediction model, and the final AUC was 0.701. The sensitivity, specificity, and overall accuracy of the model were 90%, 33%, and 73%, respectively.

Conclusions

Seven factors were significantly associated with poor PRF outcome: male sex, advanced stage of HZ, higher pregabalin dose, higher bodily pain indicators of SF-36, and lower lymphocyte count, LDLC, and complement C4 in the peripheral blood. PRF should be applied to patients with ZAP as early as possible to achieve satisfactory outcomes.