Days alive and out of hospital and the patient journey in patients with heart failure: Insights from the candesartan in heart failure: assessment of reduction in mortality and morbidity (CHARM) program

Days Alive and Out of Hospital as an Outcome Measure in Patients Receiving Hyperacute Stroke Intervention

BACKGROUND

Patient outcome after stroke is frequently assessed with clinical scales such as the modified Rankin Scale score (mRS). Days alive and out of hospital at 90 days (DAOH-90), which measures survival, time spent in hospital or rehabilitation settings, readmission and institutionalization, is an objective outcome measure that can be obtained from large administrative data sets without the need for patient contact. We aimed to assess the comparability of DAOH with mRS and its relationship with other prognostic variables after acute stroke reperfusion therapy.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Consecutive patients with ischemic stroke treated with intravenous thrombolysis or endovascular thrombectomy were analyzed. DAOH-90 was calculated from a national minimum data set, a mandatory nationwide administrative database. mRS score at day 90 (mRS-90) was assessed with in-person or telephone interviews. The study included 1278 patients with ischemic stroke (714 male, median age 70 [59-79], median National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score 14 [9-20]). Median DAOH-90 was 71 [29-84] and median mRS-90 score was 3 [2-5]. DAOH-90 was correlated with admission National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score (Spearman rho -0.44, P<0.001) and Alberta Stroke Program Early CT [Computed Tomography] Score (Spearman rho 0.24, P<0.001). There was a strong association between mRS-90 and DAOH-90 (Spearman rho correlation -0.79, P<0.001). Area under receiver operating curve for predicting mRS score >0 was 0.86 (95% CI, 0.84-0.88), mRS score >1 was 0.88 (95% CI, 0.86-0.90) and mRS score >2 was 0.90 (95% CI, 0.89-0.92).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with stroke treated with reperfusion therapies, DAOH-90 shows reasonable comparability to the more established outcome measure of mRS-90. DAOH-90 can be readily obtained from administrative databases and therefore has the potential to be used in large-scale clinical trials and comparative effectiveness studies.

Home Time Among Older Adults With Acute Myeloid Leukemia Following Chemotherapy

Importance

Patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML) recognize days spent at home (home time) vs in a hospital or nursing facility as an important factor in treatment decision making. No study has adequately described home time among older adults with AML.

Objective

To describe home time among older adults with AML (aged ≥66 years) and compare home time between 2 common treatments: anthracycline-based chemotherapy and hypomethylating agents (HMAs).

Design, Setting, and Participants

A cohort of adults aged 66 years or older with a new diagnosis of AML from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-Medicare linked database in 2004 to 2016 was identified. Individuals were stratified into anthracycline-based therapy, HMAs, or chemotherapy, not otherwise specified (NOS) using claims.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary outcome was home time, quantified by subtracting the total number of person-days spent in hospitals and nursing facilities from the number of person-days survived and dividing by total person-days. A weighted multinomial regression model with stabilized inverse probability of treatment weighting to estimate adjusted home time was used.

Results

The cohort included 7946 patients with AML: 2824 (35.5%) received anthracyclines, 2542 (32.0%) HMAs, and 2580 (32.5%) were classified as chemotherapy, NOS. Median (IQR) survival was 11.0 (5.0-27.0) months for those receiving anthracyclines and 8.0 (3.0-17.0) months for those receiving HMAs. Adjusted home time for all patients in the first year was 52.4%. Home time was highest among patients receiving HMAs (60.8%) followed by those receiving anthracyclines (51.9%). Despite having a shorter median survival, patients receiving HMAs had more total days at home and 33 more days at home in the first year on average than patients receiving anthracyclines (222 vs 189).

Conclusions and Relevance

This retrospective study of older adults with AML using SEER-Medicare data and propensity score weighting suggests that the additional survival afforded by receiving anthracycline-based therapy was entirely offset by admission to the hospital or to nursing facilities.

Assessment of Days Alive Out of Hospital as a Possible End Point in Trials of Stroke Prevention for Atrial Fibrillation: A ROCKET AF Analysis

BACKGROUND

Days alive out of hospital (DAOH) is an objective and patient-centered net benefit end point. There are no assessments of DAOH in clinical trials of interventions for atrial fibrillation (AF), and it is not known whether this end point is of clinical utility in these populations.

METHODS AND RESULTS

ROCKET AF (Rivaroxaban Once Daily Oral Direct Factor Xa Inhibition Compared With Vitamin K Antagonism for Prevention of Stroke and Embolism Trial in Atrial Fibrillation) was an international double-blind, double-dummy randomized clinical trial that compared rivaroxaban with warfarin in patients with atrial fibrillation at increased risk for stroke. We assessed DAOH using investigator-reported event data for up to 12 months after randomization in ROCKET AF. We assessed DAOH overall, by treatment group, and by subgroup, including age, sex, and comorbidities, using Poisson regression. The mean±SD number of days dead was 7.3±41.2, days hospitalized was 1.2±7.2, and mean DAOH was 350.7±56.2, with notable left skew. Patients with comorbidities had fewer DAOH overall. There were no differences in DAOH by treatment arm, with mean DAOH of 350.6±56.5 for those randomized to rivaroxaban and 350.7±55.8 for those randomized to warfarin (P=0.86). A sensitivity analysis found no difference in DAOH not disabled with rivaroxaban versus warfarin (DAOH not disabled, 349.2±59.5 days and 349.1 days±59.3 days, respectively, P=0.88).

CONCLUSIONS

DAOH did not identify a treatment difference between patients randomized to rivaroxaban versus warfarin. This may be driven in part by the low overall event rates in atrial fibrillation anticoagulation trials, which leads to substantial left skew in measures of DAOH.

Measuring Quality-weighted Hospital-Free Days in Acute Respiratory Failure: A Modified Delphi Study

Rationale: Hospital-free days (HFDs), a measure of the number of days alive spent outside the hospital, is increasingly used as an endpoint in studies of patients with acute respiratory failure (ARF) or other critical and serious illnesses. Current approaches to measuring HFDs do not account for decrements in functional status or quality of life that ARF survivors and family members value. Objectives: To develop an acceptable approach to measure quality-weighted HFDs using patient-reported outcomes. Methods: We conducted a four-round modified Delphi process among ARF experts: those with lived or professional experience. Experts rated survivorship domains, instrument and data collection characteristics, and methods to translate responses into quality-weighted HFDs. The consensus threshold was that ⩾70% of respondents rated an item "totally acceptable" or "acceptable" and ⩽15% of respondents rated the item "totally unacceptable," "unacceptable," or "slightly unacceptable." Results: Fifty-seven experts participated in round 1. Response rates were 82-93% for subsequent rounds. Priority survivorship domains were physical function and health-related quality of life. Participants reached a consensus that data collection during ARF recovery should take less than 15 minutes per assessment, allow surrogate completion when patients are unable, and continue for at least 24 months of follow-up. Using the EuroQol-5 Dimensions (EQ-5D) questionnaire to quality weight HFDs met consensus criteria for acceptability. A majority of panelists preferred quality-weighted HFDs to unweighted HFDs or survival for use in future ARF studies. Conclusions: Quality-weighting HFDs using patient and/or surrogate responses to the EQ-5D captured stakeholder priorities and was acceptable to this Delphi panel.

Programmatic Palliative Care Consultations in Pediatric Heart Transplant Evaluations

Guidelines advocate for integrating palliative care into the management of heart failure (HF) and of children with life-limiting disease. The potential impact of palliative care integration into pediatric HF on patient-centered outcomes is poorly understood. The present study sought to assess the association of programmatic implementation of palliative care into the heart transplant evaluation process with hospital-free days (HFD) and end of life (EOL) treatment choices. The study included patients less than 19 years of age who underwent a heart transplant evaluation between February 2012 and April 2020 at a single center. Patients evaluated in the programmatic palliative care (PPC) era (January 2016-April 2020) were compared to patients evaluated in the pre-PPC era (February 2012-December 2015). The study included 188 patients, with 91 (48%) in the PPC era and 97 (52%) in the pre-PCC era. Children < 1 year of age at the time of the evaluation represented 32% of the cohort. 52% of patients had single ventricle physiology. PPC was not significantly associated with increased HFD (IRR 0.94 [95% CI 0.79-1.2]). PPC was however associated with intensity of EOL care with decreased mechanical ventilation (OR 0.12 [95% CI 0.02-0.789], p = 0.03) and decreased use of ionotropic support (OR 0.13 [95% CI 0.02-0.85], p =0.03). PPC in pediatric heart transplant evaluations may be associated with less invasive interventions at EOL.

Dapagliflozin and Days of Full Health Lost in the DAPA-HF Trial

BACKGROUND

Conventional time-to-first-event analyses cannot incorporate recurrent hospitalizations and patient well-being in a single outcome.

OBJECTIVES

To overcome this limitation, we tested an integrated measure that includes days lost from death and hospitalization, and additional days of full health lost through diminished well-being.

METHODS

The effect of dapagliflozin on this integrated measure was assessed in the DAPA-HF (Dapagliflozin and Prevention of Adverse Outcomes in Heart Failure) trial, which examined the efficacy of dapagliflozin, compared with placebo, in patients with NYHA functional class II to IV heart failure and a left ventricular ejection fraction ≤40%.

RESULTS

Over 360 days, patients in the dapagliflozin group (n = 2,127) lost 10.6 ± 1.0 (2.9%) of potential follow-up days through cardiovascular death and heart failure hospitalization, compared with 14.4 ± 1.0 days (4.0%) in the placebo group (n = 2,108), and this component of all measures of days lost accounted for the greatest between-treatment difference (-3.8 days [95% CI: -6.6 to -1.0 days]). Patients receiving dapagliflozin also had fewer days lost to death and hospitalization from all causes vs placebo (15.5 ± 1.1 days [4.3%] vs 20.3 ± 1.1 days [5.6%]). When additional days of full health lost (ie, adjusted for Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire-overall summary score) were added, total days lost were 110.6 ± 1.6 days (30.7%) with dapagliflozin vs 116.9 ± 1.6 days (32.5%) with placebo. The difference in all measures between the 2 groups increased over time (ie, days lost by death and hospitalization -0.9 days [-0.7%] at 120 days, -2.3 days [-1.0%] at 240 days, and -4.8 days [-1.3%] at 360 days).

CONCLUSIONS

Dapagliflozin reduced the total days of potential full health lost due to death, hospitalizations, and impaired well-being, and this benefit increased over time during the first year. (Study to Evaluate the Effect of Dapagliflozin on the Incidence of Worsening Heart Failure or Cardiovascular Death in Patients With Chronic Heart Failure; NCT03036124).

New Onset Geriatric Syndromes and One-year Outcomes Following Elective Gastrointestinal Cancer Surgery

OBJECTIVE

To assess whether older adults who develop geriatric syndromes following elective gastrointestinal surgery have poorer 1-year outcomes.

BACKGROUND

Within 10 years, 70% of all cancers will occur in older adults ≥65 years old. The rise in older adults requiring major surgery has brought attention to age-related complications termed geriatric syndromes. However, whether postoperative geriatric syndromes are associated with long-term outcomes is unclear.

METHODS

A population-based retrospective cohort study using the New York State Cancer Registry and the Statewide Planning and Research Cooperative System was performed including patients >55 years with pathologic stage I-III esophageal, gastric, pancreatic, colon, or rectal cancer who underwent elective resection between 2004 and 2018. Those aged 55 to 64 served as the reference group. The exposure of interest was a geriatric syndrome [fracture, fall, delirium, pressure ulcer, depression, malnutrition, failure to thrive, dehydration, or incontinence (urinary/fecal)] during the surgical admission. Patients with any geriatric syndrome within 1 year of surgery were excluded. Outcomes included incident geriatric syndrome, 1-year days alive and out of the hospital, and 1-year all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

In this study, 37,998 patients with a median age of 71 years without a prior geriatric syndrome were included. Of those 65 years or more, 6.4% developed a geriatric syndrome. Factors associated with an incident geriatric syndrome were age, alcohol/tobacco use, comorbidities, neoadjuvant therapy, ostomies, open surgery, and upper gastrointestinal cancers. An incident geriatric syndrome was associated with a 43% higher risk of 1-year mortality (hazard ratio, 1.43; 95% confidence interval, 1.27-1.60). For those aged 65+ discharged alive and not to hospice, a geriatric syndrome was associated with significantly fewer days alive and out of hospital (322 vs 346 days, P < 0.0001). There was an indirect relationship between the number of geriatric syndromes and 1-year mortality and days alive and out of the hospital after adjusting for surgical complications.

CONCLUSIONS

Given the increase in older adults requiring major surgical intervention, and the establishment of geriatric surgery accreditation programs, these data suggest that morbidity and mortality metrics should be adjusted to accommodate the independent relationship between geriatric syndromes and long-term outcomes.

Utilizing Quality of Life Adjusted Days Alive and Out of Hospital in Heart Failure Clinical Trials

BACKGROUND

In heart failure (HF) trials, there has been an emphasis on utilizing more patient-centered outcomes, including quality of life (QoL) and days alive and out of hospital. We aimed to explore the impact of QoL adjusted days alive and out of hospital as an outcome in 2 HF clinical trials.

METHODS

Using data from 2 trials in HF (Guiding Evidence Based Therapy Using Biomarker Intensified Treatment in Heart Failure [GUIDE-IT] and Study of Dietary Intervention under 100 mmol in Heart Failure [SODIUM-HF]), we determined treatment differences using percentage days alive and out of hospital (%DAOH) adjusted for QoL at 18 months as the primary outcome. For each participant, %DAOH was calculated as a ratio between days alive and out of hospital/total follow-up. Using a regression model, %DAOH was subsequently adjusted for QoL measured by the Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire Overall Summary Score.

RESULTS

In the GUIDE-IT trial, 847 participants had a median baseline Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire Overall Summary Score of 59.0 (interquartile range, 40.8-74.3), which did not change over 18 months. %DAOH was 90.76%±22.09% in the biomarker-guided arm and 88.56%±25.27% in the usual care arm. No significant difference in QoL adjusted %DAOH was observed (1.09% [95% CI, -1.57% to 3.97%]). In the SODIUM-HF trial, 796 participants had a median baseline Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire Overall Summary Score of 69.8 (interquartile range, 49.3-84.3), which did not change over 18 months. %DAOH was 95.69%±16.31% in the low-sodium arm and 95.95%±14.76% in the usual care arm. No significant difference was observed (1.91% [95% CI, -0.85% to 4.77%]).

CONCLUSIONS

In 2 large HF clinical trials, adjusting %DAOH for QoL was feasible and may provide complementary information on treatment effects in clinical trials.

Days alive and out of hospital for adult female and male cardiac surgery patients: a population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

Research shows women experience higher mortality than men after cardiac surgery but information on sex-differences during postoperative recovery is limited. Days alive and out of hospital (DAH) combines death, readmission and length of stay, and may better quantify sex-differences during recovery. This main objective is to evaluate (i) how DAH at 30-days varies between sex and surgical procedure, (ii) DAH responsiveness to patient and surgical complexity, and (iii) longer-term prognostic value of DAH.

METHODS

We evaluated 111,430 patients (26% female) who underwent one of three types of cardiac surgery (isolated coronary artery bypass [CABG], isolated non-CABG, combination procedures) between 2009 - 2019. Primary outcome was DAH at 30 days (DAH30), secondary outcomes were DAH at 90 days (DAH90) and 180 days (DAH180). Data were stratified by sex and surgical group. Unadjusted and risk-adjusted analyses were conducted to determine the association of DAH with patient-, surgery-, and hospital-level characteristics. Patients were divided into two groups (below and above the 10th percentile) based on the number of days at DAH30. Proportion of patients below the 10th percentile at DAH30 that remained in this group at DAH90 and DAH180 were determined.

RESULTS

DAH30 were lower for women compared to men (22 vs. 23 days), and seen across all surgical groups (isolated CABG 23 vs. 24, isolated non-CABG 22 vs. 23, combined surgeries 19 vs. 21 days). Clinical risk factors including multimorbidity, socioeconomic status and surgical complexity were associated with lower DAH30 values, but women showed lower values of DAH30 compared to men for many factors. Among patients in the lowest 10th percentile at DAH30, 80% of both females and males remained in the lowest 10th percentile at 90 days, while 72% of females and 76% males remained in that percentile at 180 days.

CONCLUSION

DAH is a responsive outcome to differences in patient and surgical risk factors. Further research is needed to identify new care pathways to reduce disparities in outcomes between male and female patients.

Reporting time toxicity in prospective cancer clinical trials: A scoping review

PURPOSE

This review aimed to assess the measurement and reporting of time toxicity (i.e., time spent receiving care) within prospective oncologic studies.

METHODS

On July 23, 2023, PubMed, Scopus, and Embase were queried for prospective or randomized controlled trials (RCT) from 1984 to 2023 that reported time toxicity as a primary or secondary outcome for oncologic treatments or interventions. Secondary analyses of RCTs were included if they reported time toxicity. The included studies were then evaluated for how they reported and defined time toxicity.

RESULTS

The initial query identified 883 records, with 10 studies (3 RCTs, 2 prospective cohort studies, and 5 secondary analyses of RCTs) meeting the final inclusion criteria. Treatment interventions included surgery (n = 5), systemic therapies (n = 4), and specialized palliative care (n = 1). The metric "days alive and out of the hospital" was used by 80% (n = 4) of the surgical studies. Three of the surgical studies did not include time spent receiving ambulatory care within the calculation of time toxicity. "Time spent at home" was assessed by three studies (30%), each using different definitions. The five secondary analyses from RCTs used more comprehensive metrics that included time spent receiving both inpatient and ambulatory care.

CONCLUSIONS

Time toxicity is infrequently reported within oncologic clinical trials, with no standardized definition, metric, or methodology. Further research is needed to identify best practices in the measurement and reporting of time toxicity to develop strategies that can be implemented to reduce its burden on patients seeking cancer care.

Impact of dementia and socioeconomic disadvantage on days at home after traumatic brain injury among older Medicare beneficiaries: A cohort study

INTRODUCTION

Time spent at home may aid in understanding recovery following traumatic brain injury (TBI) among older adults, including those with Alzheimer's disease and related dementias (ADRD). We examined the impact of ADRD on recovery following TBI and determined whether socioeconomic disadvantages moderated the impact of ADRD.

METHODS

We analyzed Medicare beneficiaries aged ≥65 years diagnosed with TBI in 2010-2018. Home time was calculated by subtracting days spent in a care environment or deceased from total follow-up, and dual eligibility for Medicaid was a proxy for socioeconomic disadvantage.

RESULTS

A total of 2463 of 20,350 participants (12.1%) had both a diagnosis of ADRD and were Medicaid dual-eligible. Beneficiaries with ADRD and Medicaid spent markedly fewer days at home following TBI compared to beneficiaries without either condition (rate ratio 0.66; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.64, 0.69).

DISCUSSION

TBI resulted in a significant loss of home time over the year following injury among older adults with ADRD, particularly for those who were economically vulnerable.

HIGHLIGHTS

Remaining at home after serious injuries such as fall-related traumatic brain injury (TBI) is an important goal for older adults. No prior research has evaluated how ADRD impacts time spent at home after TBI. Older TBI survivors with ADRD may be especially vulnerable to loss of home time if socioeconomically disadvantaged. We assessed the impact of ADRD and poverty on a novel DAH measure after TBI. ADRD-related disparities in DAH were significantly magnified among those living with socioeconomic disadvantage, suggesting a need for more tailored care approaches.

Invasive Treatment Strategy in Adults With Frailty and Non-ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction: A Secondary Analysis of a Randomized Clinical Trial

Importance

The MOSCA-FRAIL randomized clinical trial compared invasive and conservative treatment strategies in patients with frailty with non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI). It showed no differences in the number of days alive and out of the hospital at 1 year.

Objective

To assess the outcomes of the MOSCA-FRAIL trial during extended follow-up.

Design, Setting, and Participants

The MOSCA-FRAIL randomized clinical trial was conducted at 13 hospitals in Spain between July 7, 2017, and January 9, 2021, and included 167 adults (aged ≥70 years) with frailty (Clinical Frailty Scale score ≥4) and NSTEMI. In this preplanned secondary analysis, follow-up was extended to January 31, 2023. Data analysis was performed from April 5 to 29, 2023, using the intention-to-treat principle.

Interventions

Patients were randomized to a routine invasive (coronary angiography and revascularization if feasible [n = 84]) or a conservative (medical treatment with coronary angiography only if recurrent ischemia [n = 83]) strategy.

Main outcomes and measures

The primary end point was the difference in restricted mean survival time (RMST). Secondary end points included readmissions for any cause, considering recurrent readmissions.

Results

Among the 167 patients included in the analysis, the mean (SD) age was 86 (5) years; 79 (47.3%) were men and 88 (52.7%) were women. A total of 93 deaths and 367 readmissions accrued. The RMST for all-cause death over the entire follow-up was 3.13 (95% CI, 2.72-3.60) years in the invasive and 3.06 (95% CI, 2.84-3.32) years in the conservative treatment groups. The RMST analysis showed inconclusive differences in survival time (invasive minus conservative difference, 28 [95% CI, -188 to 230] days). Patients under invasive treatment tended to have shorter survival in the first year (-28 [95% CI, -63 to 7] days), which improved after the first year (192 [95% CI, 90-230] days). Kaplan-Meier mortality curves intersected, displaying higher mortality to 1 year in the invasive group that shifted to a late benefit (landmark analysis hazard ratio, 0.58 [95% CI, 0.33-0.99]; P = .045). Early harm was more evident in the subgroup with a Clinical Frailty Scale score greater than 4. No differences were found for the secondary end points.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this extended follow-up of a randomized clinical trial of patients with frailty and NSTEMI, an invasive treatment strategy did not improve outcomes at a median follow-up of 1113 (IQR, 443-1441) days. However, a differential distribution of deaths was observed, with early harm followed by later benefit. The phenomenon of depletion of susceptible patients may be responsible for this behavior.

Trial registration

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03208153.

Home time and state regulations among Medicare beneficiaries in assisted living communities

BACKGROUND

Home time is an important patient-centric quality metric, which has been largely unexamined among assisted living (AL) residents. Our objectives were to assess variation in home time among AL residents in the year following admission and to examine the associations with state regulations for direct care workers (DCW) training and staffing and for licensed nurse staffing.

METHODS

Medicare beneficiaries who entered AL communities in 2018 were identified, and their home time in the year following admission was measured. Home time was calculated as the percentage of time spent at home per day being alive. Resident characteristics and state regulations in DCW staffing, DCW training, and licensed staffing were measured. We used a multivariate linear regression model with AL-level fixed effects to estimate the relationship between person-level characteristics and home time. Linear regression models adjusting for resident characteristics were used to estimate the association between state regulations and residents' home time.

RESULTS

The study sample included 59,831 new Medicare beneficiary residents in 12,143 ALs. In the year following AL admission, residents spent 94% (standard deviation = 14.6) of their time at home. Several resident characteristics were associated with lower home time: Medicare-Medicaid dual eligibility, having more chronic conditions, and specific chronic conditions, for example, dementia. In states with greater regulatory specificity for DCW training and staffing, and lower specificity for licensed staffing, residents had longer adjusted home time.

CONCLUSION/IMPLICATIONS

Home time varied substantially among AL residents depending on resident characteristics and state-level regulatory specificity. AL residents eligible for Medicare and Medicaid had substantially shorter home time than the Medicare-only residents, largely due to longer time spent in nursing homes. State AL regulatory specificity for DCWs and licensed staff also impacted AL residents' home time. These findings may guide AL operators and state legislators in efforts to improve this important quality of life metric.

Association between early postoperative hypoalbuminaemia and outcome after orthotopic heart transplantation

OBJECTIVES

In patients undergoing heart transplantation (HTX), preoperative liver impairment and consecutive hypoalbuminaemia are associated with increased mortality. The role of early postoperative hypoalbuminaemia after HTX is unclear. This study investigated the association between early postoperative hypoalbuminaemia and 1-year mortality as well as 'days alive and out of hospital' (DAOH) after HTX.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included patients who underwent HTX at the University Hospital Duesseldorf, Germany, between 2010 and 2022. The main exposure was serum albumin concentration at intensive care unit (ICU) arrival. The primary endpoints were mortality and DAOH within 1 year after surgery. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed and logistic and quantile regression models with adjustment for 13 a priori defined clinical risk factors were conducted.

RESULTS

Out of 241 patients screened, 229 were included in the analysis (mean age 55 ± 11 years, 73% male). ROC analysis showed moderate discrimination for 1-year mortality by postoperative serum albumin after HTX [AUC = 0.74; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.66-0.83]. The cutoff for serum albumin at ICU arrival was 3.0 g/dl. According to multivariate logistic and quantile regression, there were independent associations between hypoalbuminaemia and mortality/DAOH [odds ratio of 4.76 (95% CI: 1.94-11.67) and regression coefficient of -46.97 (95% CI: -83.81 to -10.13)].

CONCLUSIONS

Postoperative hypoalbuminaemia <3.0 g/dl is associated with 1-year mortality and reduced DAOH after HTX and therefore might be used for early postoperative risk re-assessment in clinical practice.

Frailty, Home Time, and Health Care Costs in Older Adults With Atrial Fibrillation Receiving Oral Anticoagulants

Importance

There are no data on patient-centered outcomes and health care costs by frailty in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) taking oral anticoagulants (OACs).

Objective

To compare home time, clinical events, and health care costs associated with OACs by frailty levels in older adults with AF.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This community-based cohort study assessed Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries 65 years or older with AF from January 1, 2013, to December 31, 2019. Data analysis was performed from January to December 2022.

Exposures

Apixaban, rivaroxaban, and warfarin use were measured from prescription claims. Frailty was measured using a validated claims-based frailty index.

Main outcomes and measures

Outcome measures were (1) home time (days alive out of the hospital and skilled nursing facility) loss greater than 14 days; (2) a composite end point of ischemic stroke, systemic embolism, major bleeding, or death; and (3) total cost per member per year after propensity score overlap weighting.

Results

The weighted population comprised 136 551 beneficiaries, including 45 950 taking apixaban (mean [SD] age, 77.6 [7.3] years; 51.3% female), 45 320 taking rivaroxaban (mean [SD] age, 77.6 [7.3] years; 51.9% female), and 45 281 taking warfarin (mean [SD] age, 77.6 [7.3] years; 52.0% female). Compared with apixaban, rivaroxaban was associated with increased risk of home time lost greater than 14 days (risk difference per 100 persons, 1.8 [95% CI, 1.5-2.1]), composite end point (rate difference per 1000 person-years, 21.3 [95% CI, 16.4-26.2]), and total cost (mean difference, $890 [95% CI, $652-$1127]), with greater differences among the beneficiaries with frailty. Use of warfarin relative to apixaban was associated with increased home time lost (risk difference per 100 persons, 3.2 [95% CI, 2.9-3.5]) and composite end point (rate difference per 1000 person-years, 29.4 [95% CI, 24.5-34.3]), with greater differences among the beneficiaries with frailty. Compared with apixaban, warfarin was associated with lower total cost (mean difference, -$1166 [95% CI, -$1396 to -$937]) but higher cost when excluding OAC cost (mean difference, $1409 [95% CI, $1177 to $1642]) regardless of frailty levels.

Conclusions and Relevance

In older adults with AF, apixaban was associated with increased home time and lower rates of clinical events than rivaroxaban and warfarin, especially for those with frailty. Apixaban was associated with lower total cost compared with rivaroxaban but higher cost compared with warfarin due to higher OAC cost. These findings suggest that apixaban may be preferred for older adults with AF, particularly those with frailty.

Emergency Surgery, Multimorbidity and Hospital-Free Days: A Retrospective Observational Study

INTRODUCTION

Analyzing hospital-free days (HFDs) offers a patient-centered approach to health services research. We hypothesized that, within emergency general surgery (EGS), multimorbidity would be associated with fewer HFDs, whether patients were managed operatively or nonoperatively.

METHODS

EGS patients were identified using national Medicare claims data (2015-2018). Patients were classified as multimorbid based on the presence of a Qualifying Comorbidity Set and stratified by treatment: operative (received surgery within 48 h of index admission) and nonoperative. HFDs were calculated through 180 d, beginning on the day of index admission, as days alive and spent outside of a hospital, an Emergency Department, or a long-term acute care facility. Univariate comparisons were performed using Kruskal-Wallis tests and risk-adjusted HFDs were compared between multimorbid and nonmultimorbid patients using multivariable zero-inflated negative binomial regression models.

RESULTS

Among 174,891 operative patients, 45.5% were multimorbid. Among 398,756 nonoperative patients, 59.2% were multimorbid. Multimorbid patients had fewer median HFDs than nonmultimorbid patients among operative and nonoperative cohorts (P < 0.001). At 6 mo, among operative patients, multimorbid patients had 6.5 fewer HFDs (P < 0.001), and among nonoperative patients, multimorbid patients had 7.9 fewer HFDs (P < 0.001). When length of stay was included as a covariate, nonoperative multimorbid patients still had 7.9 fewer HFDs than nonoperative, nonmultimorbid patients (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

HFDs offer a patient-centered, composite outcome for claims-based analyses. For EGS patients, multimorbidity was associated with less time alive and out of the hospital, especially when patients were managed nonoperatively.

Days alive and at home after hip fracture: a cross-sectional validation of a patient-centred outcome measure using routinely collected data

BACKGROUND

Days alive and at home (DAH) is a patient centered outcome measureable in routinely collected health data. The validity and minimally important difference (MID) in hip fracture have not been evaluated.

OBJECTIVE

We assessed construct and predictive validity and estimated a MID for the patient-centred outcome of DAH after hip fracture admission.

METHODS

This is a cross-sectional observational study using linked health administrative data in Ontario, Canada. DAH was calculated as the number of days alive within 90 days of admission minus the number of days hospitalised or institutionalised. All hospital admissions (2012-2018) for hip fracture in adults aged >50 years were included. Construct validity analyses used Bayesian quantile regression to estimate the associations of postulated patient, admission and process-related variables with DAH. The predictive validity assessed was the correlation of DAH in 90 days with the value from 91 to 365 days; and the association and discrimination of DAH in 90 days predicting subsequent mortality. MID was estimated by averaging distribution-based and clinical anchor-based estimates.

RESULTS

We identified 63 778 patients with hip fracture. The median number of DAH was 43 (range 0-87). In the 90 days after admission, 8050 (12.6%) people died; a further 6366 (10.0%) died from days 91 to 365. Associations between patient-level and admission-level factors with the median DAH (lower with greater age, frailty and comorbidity, lower if admitted to intensive care or having had a complication) supported construct validity. DAH in 90 days after admission was strongly correlated with DAH in 365 days after admission (r=0.922). An 11-day MID was estimated.

CONCLUSION

DAH has face, construct and predictive validity as a patient-centred outcome in patients with hip fracture, with an estimated MID of 11 days. Future research is required to include direct patient perspectives in confirming MID.

Effectiveness of out-patient based acute heart failure care: a pilot randomised controlled trial

OBJECTIVES

Acute heart failure (AHF) hospitalisation is associated with 10% mortality. Outpatient based management (OPM) of AHF appeared effective in observational studies. We conducted a pilot randomised controlled trial (RCT) comparing OPM with standard inpatient care (IPM).

METHODS

We randomised patients with AHF, considered to need IV diuretic treatment for ≥2 days, to IPM or OPM. We recorded all-cause mortality, and the number of days alive and out-of-hospital (DAOH). Quality of life, mental well-being and Hope scores were assessed. Mean NHS cost savings and 95% central range (CR) were calculated from bootstrap analysis. Follow-up: 60 days.

RESULTS

Eleven patients were randomised to IPM and 13 to OPM. There was no statistically significant difference in all-cause mortality during the index episode (1/11 vs 0/13) and up to 60 days follow-up (2/11 vs 2/13) [p = .86]. The OPM group accrued more DAOH {47 [36,51] vs 59 [41,60], p = .13}. Two patients randomised to IPM (vs 6 OPM) were readmitted [p = .31]. Hope scores increased more with OPM within 30 days but dropped to lower levels than IPM by 60 days. More out-patients had increased total well-being scores by 60 days (p = .04). OPM was associated with mean cost savings of £2658 (95% CR 460-4857) per patient.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with acute HF randomised to OPM accrued more days alive out of hospital (albeit not statistically significantly in this small pilot study). OPM is favoured by patients and carers and is associated with improved mental well-being and cost savings.

STICH3C: Rationale and Study Protocol

BACKGROUND

Coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) is the recommended mode of revascularization in patients with ischemic left ventricular dysfunction (iLVSD) and multivessel disease. However, contemporary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) outcomes have improved with the integration of novel technologies and refinement of revascularization strategies, and PCI is often used in clinical practice in this population. There is a lack of evidence from randomized trials comparing contemporary state-of-the-art PCI versus CABG for the treatment of iLVSD and multivessel disease. This was the impetus for the STICH3C trial (Canadian CABG or PCI in Patients With Ischemic Cardiomyopathy), described here.

METHODS

The STICH3C trial is a prospective, unblinded, international, multicenter trial with an expected sample size of 754 participants from ≈45 centers. Patients with multivessel/left main coronary artery disease and iLVSD with left ventricular ejection fraction ≤40% considered by the local Heart Team appropriate for and amenable to revascularization by both modes of revascularization will be randomized in a 1:1 ratio to state-of-the-art PCI or CABG.

RESULTS

The primary end point is the composite of death from any cause, stroke, spontaneous myocardial infarction, urgent repeat revascularization, or heart failure readmission, summarized as a time-to-event outcome. The key hierarchical end point is time to death and frequency of hospitalizations for heart failure. The key safety outcome is a composite of major adverse events. Disease-specific quality-of-life and health economics measures will be compared between groups. Participants will be followed for a median of 5 years, with a minimum follow-up of 4 years.

CONCLUSIONS

STICH3C will directly inform patients, clinicians, and international practice guidelines about the efficacy and safety of CABG versus PCI in patients with iLVSD. The results will provide novel and broad evidence, including clinical events, health status, and economic assessments, to guide care for patients with iLVSD and severe coronary artery disease.

REGISTRATION

URL: https://clinicaltrials.gov/; Unique identifier: NCT05427370.

Using days alive and out of hospital to measure surgical outcomes in New Zealand: a cross-sectional study

OBJECTIVES

To measure differences at various deciles in days alive and out of hospital to 90 days (DAOH₉₀) and explore its utility for identifying outliers of performance among district health boards (DHBs).

METHODS

Days in hospital and mortality within 90 days of surgery were extracted by linking data from the New Zealand National Minimum Data Set and the births and deaths registry between 1 January 2011 and 31 December 2021 for all adults in New Zealand undergoing acute laparotomy (AL-a relatively high-risk group), elective total hip replacement (THR-a medium risk group) or lower segment caesarean section (LSCS-a low-risk group). DAOH₉₀ was calculated without censoring to zero in cases of mortality. For each DHB, direct risk standardisation was used to adjust for potential confounders and presented in deciles according to baseline patient risk. The Mann-Whitney U test assessed overall DAOH₉₀ differences between DHBs, and comparisons are presented between selected deciles of DAOH₉₀ for each operation.

RESULTS

We obtained national data for 35 175, 52 032 and 117 695 patients undergoing AL, THR and LSCS procedures, respectively. We have demonstrated that calculating DAOH without censoring zero allows for differences between procedures and DHBs to be identified. Risk-adjusted national mean DAOH₉₀ Scores were 64.0 days, 79.0 days and 82.0 days at the 0.1 decile and 75.0 days, 82.0 days and 84.0 days at the 0.2 decile for AL, THR and LSCS, respectively, matching to their expected risk profiles. Differences between procedures and DHBs were most marked at lower deciles of the DAOH₉₀ distribution, and outlier DHBs were detectable. Corresponding 90-day mortality rates were 5.45%, 0.78% and 0.01%.

CONCLUSION

In New Zealand after direct risk adjustment, differences in DAOH₉₀ between three types of surgical procedure reflected their respective risk levels and associated mortality rates. Outlier DHBs were identified for each procedure. Thus, our approach to analysing DAOH₉₀ appears to have considerable face validity and potential utility for contributing to the measurement of perioperative outcomes in an audit or quality improvement setting.

Long-term Functional Outcomes Among Older Adults Undergoing Video-assisted Versus Open Surgery for Lung Cancer: A Population-based Cohort Study

OBJECTIVE

To examine the long-term healthcare dependency outcomes of older adults undergoing VATS compared to open lung cancer resection.

SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA

Although the benefits of VATS for lung cancer resection have been reported, there is a knowledge gap related to long-term functional outcomes central to decision-making for older adults.

METHODS

We conducted a population-based retrospective comparative cohort study of patients ≥70 years old undergoing lung cancer resection between 2010 and 2017 using linked administrative health databases. VATS was compared to open surgery for lung cancer resection. Outcomes were receipt of homecare and high time-at-home, defined as <14 institution-days within 1 year, in 5 years after surgery. We used time-to-event analyses. Homecare was analyzed as recurrent dichotomous outcome with Andersen-Gill multivariable models, and high time-at-home with Cox multivariable models.

RESULTS

Of 4974 patients, 2951 had VATS (59.3%). In the first three months postoperatively, homecare use ranged from 17.5% to 34.4% for VATS and 23.0% to 36.6% for open surgery. VATS was independently associated with lower need for postoperative homecare over 5 years (hazard ratio 0.82, 95% confidence interval 0.74-0.92). 1- and 5-year probability of high "time-at-home" were superior for VATS (74.4% vs 66.7% and 55.6% vs 45.4%, p < 0.001). VATS was independently associated with higher probability of high "time-at-home" (hazard ratio 0.81, 95% confidence interval 0.74-0.89) compared to open surgery.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared to open surgery, VATS was associated with lower homecare needs and higher probability of high "time-at-home," indicating reduced long-term functional dependence. Those important patient-centered endpoints reflect the overall long-term treatment burden on mortality and morbidity that can inform surgical decision-making.

Effect of Routine Invasive vs Conservative Strategy in Older Adults With Frailty and Non-ST-Segment Elevation Acute Myocardial Infarction: A Randomized Clinical Trial

Importance

To our knowledge, no randomized clinical trial has compared the invasive and conservative strategies in frail, older patients with non-ST-segment elevation acute myocardial infarction (NSTEMI).

Objective

To compare outcomes of invasive and conservative strategies in frail, older patients with NSTEMI at 1 year.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This multicenter randomized clinical trial was conducted at 13 Spanish hospitals between July 7, 2017, and January 9, 2021, and included 167 older adult (≥70 years) patients with frailty (Clinical Frailty Scale score ≥4) and NSTEMI. Data analysis was performed from April 2022 to June 2022.

Interventions

Patients were randomized to routine invasive (coronary angiography and revascularization if feasible; n = 84) or conservative (medical treatment with coronary angiography for recurrent ischemia; n = 83) strategy.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary end point was the number of days alive and out of the hospital (DAOH) from discharge to 1 year. The coprimary end point was the composite of cardiac death, reinfarction, or postdischarge revascularization.

Results

The study was prematurely stopped due to the COVID-19 pandemic when 95% of the calculated sample size had been enrolled. Among the 167 patients included, the mean (SD) age was 86 (5) years, and mean (SD) Clinical Frailty Scale score was 5 (1). While not statistically different, DAOH were about 1 month (28 days; 95% CI, -7 to 62) greater for patients managed conservatively (312 days; 95% CI, 289 to 335) vs patients managed invasively (284 days; 95% CI, 255 to 311; P = .12). A sensitivity analysis stratified by sex did not show differences. In addition, we found no differences in all-cause mortality (hazard ratio, 1.45; 95% CI, 0.74-2.85; P = .28). There was a 28-day shorter survival in the invasive vs conservatively managed group (95% CI, -63 to 7 days; restricted mean survival time analysis). Noncardiac reasons accounted for 56% of the readmissions. There were no differences in the number of readmissions or days spent in the hospital after discharge between groups. Neither were there differences in the coprimary end point of ischemic cardiac events (subdistribution hazard ratio, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.54-1.57; P = .78).

Conclusions and Relevance

In this randomized clinical trial of NSTEMI in frail older patients, there was no benefit to a routine invasive strategy in DAOH during the first year. Based on these findings, a policy of medical management and watchful observation is recommended for older patients with frailty and NSTEMI.

Trial Registration

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03208153.

Impact of Moderate Aortic Stenosis in Patients With Heart Failure With Reduced Ejection Fraction

BACKGROUND

Afterload from moderate aortic stenosis (AS) may contribute to adverse outcomes in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF).

OBJECTIVES

The authors evaluated clinical outcomes in patients with HFrEF and moderate AS relative to those without AS and with severe AS.

METHODS

Patients with HFrEF, defined by left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) <50% and no, moderate, or severe AS were retrospectively identified. The primary endpoint, defined as a composite of all-cause mortality and heart failure (HF) hospitalization, was compared across groups and within a propensity score-matched cohort.

RESULTS

We included 9,133 patients with HFrEF, of whom 374 and 362 had moderate and severe AS, respectively. Over a median follow-up time of 3.1 years, the primary outcome occurred in 62.7% of patients with moderate AS vs 45.9% with no AS (P < 0.0001); rates were similar with severe and moderate AS (62.0% vs 62.7%; P = 0.68). Patients with severe AS had a lower incidence of HF hospitalization (36.2% vs 43.6%; P < 0.05) and were more likely to undergo AVR within the follow-up period. Within a propensity score-matched cohort, moderate AS was associated with an increased risk of HF hospitalization and mortality (HR: 1.24; 95% CI: 1.04-1.49; P = 0.01) and fewer days alive outside of the hospital (P < 0.0001). Aortic valve replacement (AVR) was associated with improved survival (HR: 0.60; CI: 0.36-0.99; P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with HFrEF, moderate AS is associated with increased rates of HF hospitalization and mortality. Further investigation is warranted to determine whether AVR in this population improves clinical outcomes.

Institution-free days after critical illness: A multicenter retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Patient-centered outcomes beyond mortality such as institution-free days (IFD) are becoming increasingly relevant in critical care trials.

METHODS

We calculated IFD using three definitions which differed in the way death and censoring of after-hospital deaths were handled analysing data from adult patient databases admitted to four ICUs of North Brisbane, Australia. Differences in distribution of IFD using different definitions were explored with descriptive statistics and histograms. Six pre-specified variables (age, illness severity, comorbidities index, elective status, surgical/medical admission and treatment limitations) were assessed and reported as determinants of IFDs for the proposed definitions.

RESULTS

Data from 25,371 ICU admissions was analysed. The density distribution of IFD was bimodal with a peak at 0 days and a variable right-sided peak depending on the definition used. The mean IFD varied from 253 (standard deviation(SD) 151.3) to 295 (SD 116.2) depending on definition used. Multivariable zero-inflated negative binomial regression modelling showed that the six pre-specified variables had significant associations with IFD and their magnitude of effect varied with the definition used.

CONCLUSIONS

IFD is a simple, easily measurable patient-centered outcome that varies depending on the definition used. Patient input should be sought to define the optimum definition and clinical use of IFD.

Association of Days Alive and Out of the Hospital After Ventricular Assist Device Implantation With Adverse Events and Quality of Life

Importance

There is a need to better assess the cumulative effect on morbidity and mortality in patients undergoing durable left ventricular assist device (LVAD) implantation. This study evaluates a patient-centered performance metric (days alive and out of hospital [DAOH]) for durable LVAD therapy.

Objective

To determine the incidence of percent of DAOH before and after LVAD implantation and (2) explore its association with established quality metrics (death, adverse events [AEs], quality of life).

Design, Settings, and Participants

This was a retrospective national cohort study of Medicare beneficiaries implanted with a durable continuous-flow LVAD between April 2012 and December 2016. The data were analyzed from December 2021 to May 2022. Follow-up was 100% complete at 1 year. Data from The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Intermacs registry were linked to Medicare claims.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The number of DAOH 180 days before and 365 days after LVAD implantation and daily patient location (home, index hospital, nonindex hospital, skilled nursing facility, rehabilitation center, hospice) were calculated. Percent of DAOH was indexed to each beneficiary's pre- (percent DAOH-BF) and postimplantation (percentage of DAOH-AF) follow-up time. The cohort was stratified by terciles of percentage of DAOH-AF.

Results

Among the 3387 patients included (median [IQR] age: 66.3 [57.9-70.9] years), 80.9% were male, 33.6% and 37.1% were Interfaces Patient Profile 2 and 3, respectively, and 61.1% received implants as destination therapy. Median (IQR) percent of DAOH-BF was 88.8% (82.7%-93.8%) and 84.6% (62.1-91.5%) for percent of DAOH-AF. While DAOH-BF was not associated with post-LVAD outcomes, patients in the low tercile of percentage of DAOH-AF had a longer index hospitalization stay (mean, 44 days; 95% CI, 16-77), were less likely to be discharged home (mean. -46.4 days; 95% CI, 44.2-49.1), and spent more time in a skilled nursing facility (mean, 27 days; 95% CI, 24-29), rehabilitation center (mean, 10 days; 95% CI, 8-12), or hospice (mean, 6 days; 95% CI, 4-8). Increasing percentage of DAOH-AF was associated with patient risk, AEs, and indices of HRQoL. Patients experiencing non-LVAD-related AEs had the lowest percentage of DAOH-AF.

Conclusions and Relevance

Significant variability existed in the percentage of DAOH within a 1-year time horizon and was associated with the cumulative AEs burden. This patient-centered measure may assist clinicians in informing patients about expectations after durable LVAD implantation. Validation of percentage DAOH as a quality metric for LVAD therapy across centers should be explored.

Days Alive and Out of Hospital at 15 Days after Hip Replacement May Be Associated with Long-Term Mortality: Observational Cohort Study

We aimed to evaluate the association between days alive and out of hospital (DAOH) and mortality at 15 days after a hip replacement. From March 2010 to June 2020, we identified 5369 consecutive adult patients undergoing hip replacements and estimated DAOH at 15, 30, 60, and 90 days after surgery. After excluding 13 patients who died within 15 days after surgery, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were then generated to evaluate predictabilities for each follow-up period. We compared the mortality risk according to the estimated thresholds of DAOH at 15 days after hip replacement. ROC analysis revealed areas under the curve of 0.862, 0.877, 0.906, and 0.922 for DAOH at 15, 30, 60, and 90 days after surgery, respectively. The estimated threshold of DAOH during the 15 postoperative days was 6.5. Patients were divided according to this threshold, and propensity score matching was conducted. In a propensity score-matched population with 864 patients in each group, the risk of mortality increased in patients with a lower DAOH 15 (2.8% vs. 8.1%; hazard ratio [HR] = 3.96; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.24–6.99; p < 0.001 for one-year mortality, 5.2% vs. 13.0%; HR = 3.82; 95% CI: 2.33–6.28; p < 0.001 for three-year mortality, and 5.9% vs. 15.6%; HR = 3.07; 95% CI: 2.04–4.61; p < 0.001 for five-year mortality). In patients undergoing a hip replacement, DAOH at 15 days after surgery was shown to be associated with increased mortality. DAOH at 15 days may be used as a valid outcome measure for hip replacement.

Effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of a digital health intervention to support patients with colorectal cancer prepare for and recover from surgery: study protocol of the RecoverEsupport randomised controlled trial

INTRODUCTION

Surgery is the most common treatment for colorectal cancer (CRC) and can cause relative long average length of stay (LOS) and high risks of unplanned readmissions and complications. Enhanced Recovery After Surgery (ERAS) pathways can reduce the LOS and postsurgical complications. Digital health interventions provide a flexible and low-cost way of supporting patients to achieve this. This protocol describes a trial aiming to evaluate the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of the RecoverEsupport digital health intervention in decreasing the hospital LOS in patients undergoing CRC surgery.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

The two-arm randomised controlled trial will assess the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of the RecoverEsupport digital health intervention compared with usual care (control) in patients with CRC. The intervention consists of a website and a series of automatic prompts and alerts to support patients to adhere to the patient-led ERAS recommendations. The primary trial outcome is the length of hospital stay. Secondary outcomes include days alive and out of hospital; emergency department presentations; quality of life; patient knowledge and behaviours related to the ERAS recommendations; health service utilisation; and intervention acceptability and use.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The trial has been approved by the Hunter New England Research Ethics Committee (2019/ETH00869) and the University of Newcastle Ethics Committee (H-2015-0364). Trial findings will be disseminated via peer-reviewed publications and conference presentations. If the intervention is effective, the research team will facilitate its adoption within the Local Health District for widespread adaptation and implementation.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

ACTRN12621001533886.

Association of Days Alive and at Home at Day 90 After Intensive Care Unit Admission With Long-term Survival and Functional Status Among Mechanically Ventilated Patients

IMPORTANCE

Many conventional end points in randomized clinical trials of interventions for critically ill patients do not account for patient-centered concerns such as time at home, physical function, and quality of life after critical illness.

OBJECTIVE

To establish whether days alive and at home at day 90 (DAAH90) is associated with long-term survival and functional outcomes in mechanically ventilated patients.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

The RECOVER prospective cohort study was conducted from February 2007 to March 2014, using data from 10 intensive care units (ICUs) in Canada. Patients were included in the baseline cohort if they were aged 16 years or older and underwent invasive mechanical ventilation for 7 or more days. The follow-up cohort analyzed here comprised RECOVER patients who were alive and had functional outcomes ascertained at 3, 6, and 12 months. Secondary data analysis occurred from July 2021 to August 2022.

EXPOSURES

Composite of survival and days alive and at home at day 90 after ICU admission (DAAH90).

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Functional outcomes at 3, 6, and 12 months were evaluated with the Functional Independence Measure (FIM), the 6-Minute Walk Test (6MWT), the Medical Research Council (MRC) Scale for Muscle Strength, and the 36-Item Short Form Health Survey physical component summary (SF-36 PCS). Mortality was evaluated at 1 year from ICU admission. Ordinal logistic regression was used to describe the association between DAAH90 tertiles and outcomes. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to examine the independent association of DAAH90 tertiles with mortality.

RESULTS

The baseline cohort comprised 463 patients. Their median age was 58 years (IQR, 47-68 years), and 278 patients (60.0%) were men. In these patients, Charlson Comorbidity Index score, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score, ICU intervention (eg, kidney replacement therapy or tracheostomy), and ICU length of stay were independently associated with lower DAAH90. The follow-up cohort comprised 292 patients. Their median age was 57 years (IQR, 46-65 years), and 169 patients (57.9%) were men. Among patients who survived to day 90, lower DAAH90 was associated with higher mortality at 1 year after ICU admission (tertile 1 vs tertile 3: adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.18 [95% CI, 0.07-0.43]; P < .001). At 3 months of follow-up, lower DAAH90 was independently associated with lower median scores on the FIM (tertile 1 vs tertile 3, 76 [IQR, 46.2-101] vs 121 [IQR, 112-124.2]; P = .04), 6MWT (tertile 1 vs tertile 3, 98 [IQR, 0-239] vs 402 [IQR, 300-494]; P < .001), MRC (tertile 1 vs tertile 3, 48 [IQR, 32-54] vs 58 [IQR, 51-60]; P < .001), and SF-36 PCS (tertile 1 vs tertile 3, 30 [IQR, 22-38] vs 37 [IQR, 31-47]; P = .001) measures. Among patients who survived to 12 months, being in tertile 3 vs tertile 1 for DAAH90 was associated with higher FIM score at 12 months (estimate, 22.4 [95% CI, 14.8-30.0]; P < .001), but this association was not present for ventilator-free days (estimate, 6.0 [95% CI, -2.2 to 14.1]; P = .15) or ICU-free days (estimate, 5.9 [95% CI, -2.1 to 13.8]; P = .15) at day 28.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this study, lower DAAH90 was associated with greater long-term mortality risk and worse functional outcomes among patients who survived to day 90. These findings suggest that the DAAH90 end point reflects long-term functional status better than standard clinical end points in ICU studies and may serve as a patient-centered end point in future clinical trials.

Days alive and out of hospital at 30 days and outcomes of off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting

Days alive and out of hospital (DAOH) is a simple estimator based on the number of days not in hospital within a defined period. In cases of mortality within the period, DAOH is regarded as zero. It has not been validated solely in off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting (OPCAB). This study aimed to demonstrate a correlation between DAOH and outcome of OPCAB. We identified 2211 OPCAB performed from January 2010 to August 2016. We calculated DAOH at 30 and 60 days. We generated a receiver-operating curve and compared outcomes. The median duration of hospital stay after OPCAB was 6 days. The median DAOH values at 30 and 60 days were 24 and 54 days. The estimated thresholds for 3-year mortality for DAOH at 30 and 60 days were 20 and 50 days. Three-year mortality was higher for short DAOH (1.2% vs. 5.7% and 1.1% vs. 5.6% DAOH at 30 and 60 days). After adjustment, the short DAOH 30 group showed significantly higher mortality during 3-year follow-up (hazard ratio 3.07; 95% confidence interval 1.45-6.52; p = 0.004). DAOH at 30 days after OPCAB showed a correlation with 3-year outcomes. DAOH 30 might be a reliable long-term outcome measure that can be obtained within 30 days after surgery.

Minimally Invasive Compared to Open Colorectal Cancer Resection for Older Adults: A Population-based Analysis of Long-term Functional Outcomes

OBJECTIVE

We sought to compare long-term healthcare dependency and time-at-home between older adults undergoing minimally invasive surgery (MIS) for colorectal cancer (CRC) and those undergoing open resection.

BACKGROUND

Although the benefits of MIS for CRC resection are established, data specific to older adults are lacking. Long-term functional outcomes, central to decision-making in the care for older adults, are unknown.

METHODS

We performed a population-based analysis of patients ≥70years old undergoing CRC resection between 2007 to 2017 using administrative datasets. Outcomes were receipt of homecare and "high" time-at-home, which we defined as years with ≤14 institution-days, in the 5years after surgery. Homecare was analyzed using time-to-event analyses as a recurrent dichotomous outcome with Andersen-Gill multivariable models. High timeat-home was assessed using Cox multivariable models.

RESULTS

Of 16,479 included patients with median follow-up of 4.3 (interquartile range 2.1-7.1) years, 7822 had MIS (47.5%). The MIS group had lower homecare use than the open group with 22.3% versus 31.6% at 6 months and 14.8% versus 19.4% at 1 year [hazard ratio 0.87,95% confidence interval (CI) 0.83-0.92]. The MIS group had higher probability ofhigh time-at-home than open surgery with 54.9% (95% CI 53.6%-56.1%) versus 41.2% (95% CI 40.1%-42.3%) at 5years (hazard ratio 0.71, 95% CI 0.68-0.75).

CONCLUSIONS

Compared to open surgery, MIS for CRC resection was associated with lower homecare needs and higher probability of high time-at-home in the 5 years after surgery, indicating reduced long-term functional dependence. These are important patient-centered endpoints reflecting the overall long-term treatment burden to be taken into consideration in decision-making.

Postoperative high-sensitivity troponin T predicts 1-year mortality and days alive and out of hospital after orthotopic heart transplantation

BACKGROUND

Orthotopic heart transplantation (HTX) is the gold standard to treat end-stage heart failure. Numerous risk stratification tools have been developed in the past years. However, their clinical utility is limited by their poor discriminative ability. High sensitivity troponin T (hsTnT) is the most specific biomarker to detect myocardial cell injury. However, its prognostic relevance after HTX is not fully elucidated. Thus, this study evaluated the predictive value of postoperative hsTnT for 1-year survival and days alive and out of hospital (DAOH) after HTX.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included patients who underwent HTX at the University Hospital Duesseldorf, Germany between 2011 and 2021. The main exposure was hsTnT concentration at 48 h after HTX. The primary endpoints were mortality and DAOH within 1 year after surgery. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, logistic regression model and linear regression with adjustment for risk index for mortality prediction after cardiac transplantation (IMPACT) were performed.

RESULTS

Out of 231 patients screened, 212 were included into analysis (mean age 55 ± 11 years, 73% male). One-year mortality was 19.7% (40 patients) and median DAOH was 298 days (229-322). ROC analysis revealed strongest discrimination for mortality by hsTnT at 48 h after HTX [AUC = 0.79 95% CI 0.71-0.87]. According to Youden Index, the cutoff for hsTnT at 48 h and mortality was 1640 ng/l. After adjustment for IMPACT score multivariate logistic and linear regression showed independent associations between hsTnT and mortality/DAOH with odds ratio of 8.10 [95%CI 2.99-21.89] and unstandardized regression coefficient of -1.54 [95%CI -2.02 to -1.06], respectively.

CONCLUSION

Postoperative hsTnT might be suitable as an early prognostic marker after HTX and is independently associated with 1-year mortality and poor DAOH.

Days at home after transcatheter or surgical aortic valve replacement in high-risk patients

BACKGROUND

Days at home (DAH) quantifies time spent at home after a medical event but has not been fully evaluated for TAVR. We sought to compare 1- and 5-year DAH (DAH₃₆₅, DAH₁₈₂₅) among high-risk patients participating in a randomized trial of transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) with a self-expanding bioprosthesis versus surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR).

METHODS

We linked data from the U.S. CoreValve High Risk Trial to Medicare Fee-for-Service claims in 456 patients with 450 (234 TAVR/216 SAVR) and 427 (222 TAVR/205 SAVR) analyzed at 1 and 5 years. DAH was calculated as the number of days alive and spent outside of a hospital, skilled nursing facility, rehabilitation, long-term acute care hospital, emergency department, or observation stay.

RESULTS

Mean DAH₃₆₅ was higher in patients who underwent TAVR compared with SAVR (295.1 ± 106.9 vs 267.8 ± 122.3, difference in days 27.2 [95% CI 6.0, 48.5], P = .01). Compared with SAVR, TAVR patients had a shorter index length of stay (LOS) (7.4 ± 4.5 vs 12.5 ± 9.0, difference in days -5.1 [-6.5, -3.8], P < .001). The largest contributions to decreased DAH₃₆₅ were mortality days and total facility days after discharge from the index hospitalization (mortality days-TAVR: 34.7 ± 93.1 vs SAVR: 48.0 ± 108.8, difference in days -13.3 [95% CI -32.1, 5.5], P = .17; total facility days-TAVR: 27.9 ± 47.4 vs SAVR: 36.7 ± 48.9, difference in days -8.8 [95% CI -17.8, 0.1], P = .05). Mean DAH₁₈₂₅ was numerically but not statistically significantly higher in TAVR (TAVR: 1154.2 ± 659.0 vs SAVR: 1067.6 ± 697.3, difference in days 86.6 [95% CI -42.3, 215.6], P = .19). Landmark analysis showed no difference in DAH from years 1 to 5 (TAVR: 1040.4 ± 477.5 vs SAVR: 1022.9 ± 489.3, P = .74).

CONCLUSIONS

In the U.S. CoreValve High Risk Trial linked to Medicare, high-risk patients undergoing TAVR spend an average of 27 additional DAH compared with SAVR in the first year after the procedure due to a shorter index LOS and the additive effect of fewer but nonsignificantly different mortality and total facility days after discharge from the index hospitalization compared with SAVR. After the first year, both groups spend a similar number of DAH. These results describe the postprocedural course of high-risk patients from a patient-centered perspective, which may guide expectations regarding longitudinal health care needs and inform shared decision-making.

Days alive and out of hospital after liver transplant: comparing a patient-centered outcome between recipients of grafts from donation after circulatory and brain deaths

We retrospectively compared outcomes between recipients of donation after circulatory death (DCD) and donation after brain death (DBD) liver allografts using days alive and out of hospital (DAOH), a composite outcome of mortality, morbidity, and burden of care from patient perspective. The initial length of stay and duration of any subsequent readmission for the first year after liver transplantation were recorded. Donor category and perioperative and intraoperative characteristics pertinent to liver transplantation were included. The primary outcome was DAOH₃₆₅. Secondary outcomes included early allograft dysfunction and hepatic arterial and biliary complications. Although the incidence of both early allograft dysfunction (P < .001) and ischemic cholangiopathy (P < .001) was significantly greater in the recipients of DCD, there were no significant differences in the length of stay and DAOH₃₆₅. The median DAOH₃₆₅ was 355 days for recipients of DBD allografts and 353 days for recipients of DCD allografts (P = .34). Increased transfusion burden, longer cold ischemic time, and non-White recipients were associated with decreased DAOH. There were no significant differences in graft failure (P = .67), retransplantation (P = .67), or 1-year mortality (P = .96) between the 2 groups. DAOH is a practical and attainable measure of outcome after liver transplantation. This metric should be considered for quality measurement and reporting in liver transplantation.

Days alive and out of hospital following primary surgery for oral cavity squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Days Alive and Out of Hospital (DAOH) is a recently introduced, readily obtainable postoperative outcome measure method that expresses procedure and disease-associated morbidity and mortality. In this study, we evaluated DAOH with 30- and 365-days follow-up periods after primary surgery (DAOH₃₀ and DAOH₃₆₅, respectively) for patients with oral cavity squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC). The aim of this study is to identify patient-, procedure- and disease-associated risk factors for patients treated with primary surgery for primary OSCC.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

This retrospective cohort study from a prospective collected database represents patients from Eastern Denmark surgically treated for primary OSCC in the period 2000-2014. DAOH₃₀ and DAOH₃₆₅ were calculated and associations with patient characteristics including comorbidity, tumor characteristics, clinical outcomes such as length of stay, readmission, and mortality were evaluated. Tests for difference and significance between groups were assessed with Mann-Whitney U test and quantile linear regression.

RESULTS

We included 867 patients (63% males, median age: 63 years (IQR 56-70 years)). Median DAOH₃₀ and DAOH₃₆₅ after OSCC surgery were 25 days (IQR 21-27 days) and 356 days (IQR 336-360 days), respectively. Alcohol consumption had a significant association with a lower DAOH₃₆₅, p < 0.01, but not with DAOH₃₀. Advanced T-stage, adjuvant radiotherapy (RT) and increased Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) score was significantly associated with a lower DAOH₃₀ and DAOH₃₆₅.

CONCLUSION

In this population-based study in OSCC patients treated with primary surgery, we found that DAOH after 30 days was 25 days (83%), while DAOH after 365 days was 356 days (98%). Advanced T-stage acts as a predictor for significant DAOH₃₀ and DAOH₃₆₅ reduction while excessive alcohol consumption predicts a significant DAOH₃₆₅ reduction. Readmission within 30 days following surgery was associated with further readmission within one year.

Postoperative statin therapy is not associated with reduced incidence of venous thromboembolic events following kidney transplantation

BACKGROUND

The pleiotropic effects of statin therapy on inflammation and coagulation may reduce the risk of venous thromboembolism. This study evaluated whether statin therapy is associated with decreased venous thromboembolic (VTE) events following kidney transplantation.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective analysis of all primary kidney transplants performed between January 2014 and December 2019 at Mayo Clinic Arizona. Patients were divided into two groups depending on sustained statin therapy during the first year following transplantation. Recipient and donor clinical and demographic data were collected. The primary outcome was admission for symptomatic VTE events (deep vein thrombosis [DVT] or pulmonary embolism [PE]).

RESULTS

Sustained statin therapy in the first year following transplant was observed in 16.1% (n = 223) of 1384 kidney transplants. The overall incidence of VTE events in the year following kidney transplant was 3.8%. VTE occurred in 4.1% of recipients treated with statins and 3.8% of the controls - (hazard ratio [HR] .92, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] .39, 2.21, p = .86). However, there were significant differences between the groups in terms of age, sex, race/ethnicity, body mass index, indication for transplant, diagnosis of diabetes and discharge antiplatelet or anticoagulant therapy. Following sensitivity analysis in which cohort matching was performed to account for these differences, there was no difference in VTE event-free survival (HR .89, 95% CI .41, 1.96, p = .78) or overall survival (HR .54, 95% CI .15, 1.94, p = .35) between patients treated with statins compared to controls.

CONCLUSION

Statin therapy in the year following successful kidney transplant was not associated with a reduction in risk of VTE.

Predictors and associated clinical outcomes of low cardiac output syndrome following cardiac surgery: insights from the LEVO-CTS trial

AIMS

High-risk cardiac surgery is commonly complicated by low cardiac output syndrome (LCOS), which is associated with high mortality. There are limited data derived from multi-centre studies with adjudicated endpoints describing factors associated with LCOS and its downstream clinical outcomes.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The Levosimendan in Patients with Left Ventricular Systolic Dysfunction Undergoing Cardiac Surgery Requiring Cardiopulmonary Bypass (LEVO-CTS) trial evaluated prophylactic levosimendan vs. placebo in patients with a reduced ejection fraction undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) and/or valve surgery. We conducted a pre-specified analysis on LCOS, which was characterized by a four-part definition. We constructed a multivariable logistical regression model to evaluate risk factors associated with LCOS and performed Cox proportional hazards modelling to determine the association of LCOS with 90-day mortality. A total of 186 (22%) of 849 patients in the LEVO-CTS trial developed LCOS. The factors most associated with a higher adjusted risk of LCOS were pre-operative ejection fraction [odds ratio (OR) 1.26; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.08-1.46 per 5% decrease] and age (OR 1.13; 95% CI: 1.04-1.24 per 5-year increase), whereas isolated CABG surgery (OR 0.44, 95% CI: 0.31-0.64) and levosimendan use (OR 0.65; 95% CI: 0.46-0.92) were associated with a lower risk of LCOS. Patients with LCOS had worse outcomes, including renal replacement therapy at 30-day (10 vs. 1%) and 90-day mortality (16 vs. 3%, adjusted hazard ratio of 5.04, 95% CI: 2.66-9.55).

CONCLUSION

Low cardiac output syndrome is associated with a high risk of post-operative mortality in high-risk cardiac surgery.

Days alive and out of hospital after laparoscopic cholecystectomy

BACKGROUND

Days alive and out of hospital (DAOH) is a metric that incorporates several outcomes into a single, standardized measure. This study aimed to explore the utility of DAOH in assessing the outcomes of a retrospective cohort of patients undergoing laparoscopic cholecystectomy (LC).

METHODS

Patients undergoing LC at Auckland City Hospital between 1 January 2010 and 31 August 2015 were included. DAOH values were calculated for the 90 days from the date of surgery (DAOH₉₀ ) and described using median and interquartile ranges (IQR). DAOH₉₀ distributions were compared using a two-tailed (non-parametric) Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney test.

RESULTS

1652 patients undergoing LC were studied. Patients experiencing complications (n = 70, 4.2%) had fewer DAOH₉₀ (median 83, IQR 79, 86) than patients who underwent uncomplicated LC (median 88, IQR 86, 88), P < 0.001. Patients who were converted to open cholecystectomy (n = 70, 4.2%) also had fewer DAOH₉₀ (median 82.5, IQR 79, 84) than patients who underwent uncomplicated LC, P < 0.001. Post-operative complications and conversion had a statistically significant effect on DAOH₉₀ at each of the tested quantiles, except for conversion at the 0.1 quantile.

CONCLUSION

DAOH₉₀ is readily calculable from existing New Zealand administrative data sources and is sensitive to the occurrence of complications after LC.

Validation of days alive and out of hospital as a new patient-centered outcome to quantify life impact after heart transplantation

The number of patients waiting for heart transplantation (HTX) is increasing. Thus, identification of outcome-relevant factors is crucial. This study aimed to identify perioperative factors associated with days alive and out of hospital (DAOH)-a patient-centered outcome to quantify life impact-after HTX. This retrospective cohort study screened 187 patients who underwent HTX at university hospital Duesseldorf, Germany from September 2010 to December 2020. The primary endpoint was DAOH at 1 year. Risk factors for mortality after HTX were assessed in univariate analysis. Variables with significant association were entered into multivariable quantile regression. In total, 175 patients were included into analysis. Median DAOH at 1 year was 295 (223-322) days. In univariate analysis the following variables were associated with reduced DAOH: recipient or donor diabetes pre-HTX, renal replacement therapy (RRT), VA-ECMO therapy, recipient body mass index, recipient estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and postoperative duration of mechanical ventilation. After adjustment, mechanical ventilation, RRT, eGFR and recipient diabetes showed significant independent association with DAOH. This study identified risk factors associated with reduced DAOH at 1-year after HTX. These findings might complement existing data for outcome of patients undergoing HTX.

Can Iron Play a Crucial Role in Maintaining Cardiovascular Health in the 21st Century?

In the 21st century the heart is facing more and more challenges so it should be brave and iron to meet these challenges. We are living in the era of the COVID-19 pandemic, population aging, prevalent obesity, diabetes and autoimmune diseases, environmental pollution, mass migrations and new potential pandemic threats. In our article we showed sophisticated and complex regulations of iron metabolism. We discussed the impact of iron metabolism on heart diseases, treatment of heart failure, diabetes and obesity. We faced the problems of constant stress, climate change, environmental pollution, migrations and epidemics and showed that iron is really essential for heart metabolism in the 21st century.

Benefits of heart failure-specific pharmacotherapy in frail hospitalised patients: a cross-sectional study

OBJECTIVES

Up to 50% of heart failure (HF) patients may be frail and have worse clinical outcomes than non-frail patients. The benefits of HF-specific pharmacotherapy (beta-blockers, ACE-inhibitors/angiotensin-receptor-blockers and mineralocorticoid-receptor-antagonist) in this population are unclear. This study explored whether HF-specific pharmacotherapy improves outcomes in frail hospitalised HF patients.

DESIGN

Observational, multicentre, cross-sectional study.

SETTINGS

Tertiary care hospitals.

PARTICIPANTS

One thousand four hundred and six hospitalised frail HF patients admitted between 1 January 2013 and 31 December 2020.

MEASURES

The Hospital Frailty Risk Score (HFRS) determined frailty status and patients with HFRS ≥5 were classified as frail. The primary outcomes included the days alive and out of hospital (DAOH) at 90 days following discharge, 30-day and 180-day mortality, length of hospital stay (LOS) and 30-day readmissions. Propensity score matching (PSM) compared clinical outcomes depending on the receipt of HF-specific pharmacotherapy.

RESULTS

Of 5734 HF patients admitted over a period of 8 years, 1406 (24.5%) were identified as frail according to the HFRS and were included in this study. Of 1406 frail HF patients, 1025 (72.9%) received HF-specific pharmacotherapy compared with 381 (27.1%) who did not receive any of these medications. Frail HF patients who did not receive HF-specific pharmacotherapy were significantly older, with higher creatinine and brain natriuretic peptide but with lower haemoglobin and albumin levels (p<0.05) when compared with those frail patients who received HF medications. After PSM frail patients on treatment were more likely to have an increased DAOH (coefficient 16.18, 95% CI 6.32 to 26.04, p=0.001) than those who were not on treatment. Both 30-day (OR 0.30, 95% CI 0.23 to 0.39, p<0.001) and 180-day mortality (OR 0.43, 95% CI 0.33 to 0.54, p<0.001) were significantly lower in frail patients on HF treatment but, there were no significant differences in LOS and 30-day readmissions (p>0.05).

CONCLUSION

This study found an association between the use of HF-specific pharmacotherapy and improved clinical outcomes in frail HF hospitalised patients when compared to those who were not on treatment.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

ANZCTRN383195.

Impact of Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation of Donors on Days Alive and Out of Hospital after Orthotopic Heart Transplantation

Background: The number of patients waiting for heart transplantation (HTX) is increasing. Optimizing the use of all available donor hearts is crucial. While mortality seems not to be affected by donor cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR), the impact of donor CPR on days alive and out of hospital (DAOH) is unclear. Methods: This retrospective study included adults who underwent HTX at the University Hospital Duesseldorf, Germany from 2010–2020. Main exposure was donor-CPR. Secondary exposure was the length of CPR. The primary endpoint was DAOH at one year. Results: A total of 187 patients were screened and 171 patients remained for statistical analysis. One-year mortality was 18.7%. The median DAOH at one year was 295 days (interquartile range 206–322 days). Forty-two patients (24.6%) received donor-CPR hearts. The median length of CPR was 15 (9–21) minutes. There was no significant difference in DAOH between patients with donor-CPR hearts versus patients with no-CPR hearts (CPR: 291 days (211–318 days) vs. no-CPR: 295 days (215–324 days); p = 0.619). Multivariate linear regression revealed that there was no association between length of CPR and DAOH (unstandardized coefficients B: −0.06, standard error: 0.81, 95% CI −1.65–1.53, p = 0.943). Conclusions: Donor CPR status and length of CPR are not associated with reduced DAOH at one year after HTX.

The Clinical outcomes, healthcare resource utilization, and related costs (COHERENT) model. Application in heart failure patients

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Composite endpoints are widely used but have several limitations. The Clinical outcomes, healthcare resource utilization and related costs (COHERENT) model is a new approach for visually displaying and comparing composite endpoints including all their components (incidence, timing, duration) and related costs. We aimed to assess the validity of the COHERENT model in a patient cohort.

METHODS

A color graphic system displaying the percentage of patients in each clinical situation (vital status and location: at home, emergency department [ED] or hospital) and related costs at each time point during follow-up was created based on a list of mutually exclusive clinical situations coded in a hierarchical fashion. The system was tested in a cohort of 1126 patients with acute heart failure from 25 hospitals. The system calculated and displayed the time spent in each clinical situation and health care resource utilization-related costs over 30 days.

RESULTS

The model illustrated the times spent over 30 days (2.12% in ED, 23.6% in index hospitalization, 2.7% in readmissions, 65.5% alive at home, and 6.02% dead), showing significant differences between patient groups, hospitals, and health care systems. The tool calculated and displayed the daily and cumulative health care-related costs over time (total, €4 895 070; mean, €144.91 per patient/d).

CONCLUSIONS

The COHERENT model is a new, easy-to-interpret, visual display of composite endpoints, enabling comparisons between patient groups and cohorts, including related costs. The model may constitute a useful new approach for clinical trials or observational studies, and a tool for benchmarking, and value-based health care implementation.

Characterization of "ICU-30": A Binary Composite Outcome for Neonates With Critical Congenital Heart Disease

Background

Neonates with heart disease requiring cardiopulmonary bypass surgery are at high risk for mortality and morbidity. As it is rare, short‐term mortality is difficult to use as a primary outcome for clinical studies. We proposed “ICU‐30” as a binary composite “poor” outcome consisting of: (1) mortality within 30 days, (2) intensive care unit (ICU) admission ≥30 days, or (3) ICU readmission before day 30. To measure the utility of this composite, we assessed its prognostic properties for 6‐ and 12‐month mortality.

Methods and Results

This was a retrospective single‐center cohort study of neonates requiring cardiopulmonary bypass between 2013 and 2020. Mortality among patients with and without the ICU‐30 outcome was compared using log‐rank tests and Cox regression. Areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves assessed the ability of the composite to predict 12‐month mortality. In 887 neonates, 232 (26.2%) experienced the ICU‐30 outcome, with more prolonged ICU stays and readmissions (both ≥9%) than 30‐day mortality (4.2%). ICU‐30 was associated with higher rates of 6‐ and 12‐month mortality (log‐rank P<0.001) and predicted 12‐month mortality with area under the receiver operating characteristic of 0.81 (95% CI, 0.77–0.85). In 30‐day survivors, both prolonged ICU stay (hazard ratio, 12.3; 95% CI, 6.70–22.7; P<0.001) and ICU readmission (hazard ratio, 2.99; 95% CI, 1.17–7.63; P=0.02) were associated with 12‐month mortality.

Conclusions

ICU‐30, a composite outcome of mortality, ICU length of stay, or ICU readmission by 30 days was associated with 6‐ and 12‐month mortality in neonates requiring cardiopulmonary bypass. ICU‐30 is captured in routine data collection and appears to be a valid binary patient‐centered outcome.

Using a home time measure to differentiate ACO performance for seriously ill populations

BACKGROUND

Alternative Payment Models (APMs) piloted by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) such as ACO Realizing Equity, Access and Community Health (REACH) seek to improve care and quality of life among seriously ill populations (SIP). Days at Home (DAH) was proposed for use in this model to evaluate organizational performance. It is important to assess the utility and feasibility of person-centered outcomes measures, such as DAH, as CMS seeks to advance care models for seriously ill beneficiaries. We leverage existing Accountable Care Organization (ACO) contracts to evaluate the feasibility of ACO-level DAH measure and examine characteristics associated with ACOs with more DAH.

METHODS

We calculated DAH for Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries aged 68 and over who were retrospectively attributed to a Medicare ACO between 2014 and 2018 and met the seriously ill criteria. We then aggregated to the ACO level DAH for each ACO's seriously ill beneficiaries and risk-adjusted this aggregated measure. Finally, we evaluated associations between risk-adjusted DAH per person-year and ACO, beneficiary, and market characteristics.

RESULTS

ACOs' seriously ill beneficiaries spent an average of 349.3 risk-adjusted DAH per person-year. Risk-adjusted ACO variation, defined as the interquartile range, was 4.21 days (IQR = 347.32-351.53). Beneficiaries of ACOs are composed of a less racially diverse beneficiary cohort, opting for two-sided risk models, and operating in markets with fewer hospital and Skilled Nursing Facility beds had more DAH.

CONCLUSIONS

Substantial variation across ACOs in the DAH measure for seriously ill beneficiaries suggests the measure can differentiate between high and low performing provider groups. Key to the success of the metric is accurate risk adjustment to ensure providers have adequate resources to care for seriously ill beneficiaries. Organizational factors, such as the ACO size and level of risk, are strongly associated with more days at home.

Effectiveness of emergency surgery for five common acute conditions: an instrumental variable analysis of a national routine database

The effectiveness of emergency surgery vs. non-emergency surgery strategies for emergency admissions with acute appendicitis, gallstone disease, diverticular disease, abdominal wall hernia or intestinal obstruction is unknown. Data on emergency admissions for adult patients from 2010 to 2019 at 175 acute National Health Service hospitals in England were extracted from the Hospital Episode Statistics database. Cohort sizes were: 268,144 (appendicitis); 240,977 (gallstone disease); 138,869 (diverticular disease); 106,432 (hernia); and 133,073 (intestinal obstruction). The primary outcome was number of days alive and out of hospital at 90 days. The effectiveness of emergency surgery vs. non-emergency surgery strategies was estimated using an instrumental variable design and is reported for the cohort and pre-specified sub-groups (age, sex, number of comorbidities and frailty level). Average days alive and out of hospital at 90 days for all five cohorts were similar, with the following mean differences (95%CI) for emergency surgery minus non-emergency surgery after adjusting for confounding: -0.73 days (-2.10-0.64) for appendicitis; 0.60 (-0.10-1.30) for gallstone disease; -2.66 (-15.7-10.4) for diverticular disease; -0.07 (-2.40-2.25) for hernia; and 3.32 (-3.13-9.76) for intestinal obstruction. For patients with 'severe frailty', mean differences (95%CI) in days alive and out of hospital for emergency surgery were lower than for non-emergency surgery strategies: -21.0 (-27.4 to -14.6) for appendicitis; -5.72 (-11.3 to -0.2) for gallstone disease, -38.9 (-63.3 to -14.6) for diverticular disease; -19.5 (-26.6 to -12.3) for hernia; and - 34.5 (-46.7 to -22.4) for intestinal obstruction. For patients without frailty, the mean differences (95%CI) in days alive and out of hospital were: -0.18 (-1.56-1.20) for appendicitis; 0.93 (0.48-1.39) for gallstone disease; 5.35 (-2.56-13.28) for diverticular disease; 2.26 (0.37-4.15) for hernia; and 18.2 (14.8-22.47) for intestinal obstruction. Emergency surgery and non-emergency surgery strategies led to similar average days alive and out of hospital at 90 days for five acute conditions. The comparative effectiveness of emergency surgery and non-emergency surgery strategies for these conditions may be modified by patient factors.

Days alive and out of hospital after left ventricular assist device implantation

Aims

Implantation of left ventricular assist devices (LVADs) as a bridge to transplant or as destination therapy is increasing. The selection of suitable patients and outcome assessment belong to the key challenges. Mortality has traditionally been a focus of research in this field, but literature on quality of life is very limited. This study aimed to identify perioperative factors influencing patients' life as measured by days alive and out of hospital (DAOH) in the first year after LVAD implantation.

Methods and results

This retrospective single‐centre cohort study screened 227 patients who underwent LVAD implantation at the University Hospital Duesseldorf, Germany, between 2010 and 2020. First, the influence of 10 prespecified variables on DAOH was investigated by univariate analysis. Second, multivariate quantile regression was conducted including all factors with significant influence on DAOH in the univariate model. Additionally, the impact of all variables on 1 year mortality was investigated using Kaplan–Meier curves to oppose DAOH and mortality. In total, 221 patients were included into analysis. As pre‐operative factors, chronic kidney disease (CKD), pre‐operative mechanical circulatory support (pMCS), and Interagency Registry for Mechanically Assisted Circulatory Support (INTERMACS) stadium < 3 were associated with lower DAOH at 1 year [CKD: 280 (155–322) vs. 230 (0–219), P = 0.0286; pMCS: 294 (155–325) vs. 243 (0–293), P = 0.0004; INTERMACS 1: 218 (0–293) vs. INTERMACS 2: 264 (6–320) vs. INTERMACS 3: 299 (228–325) vs. INTERMACS 4: 313 (247–332), P ≤ 0.0001]. Intra‐operative additional implantation of a right ventricular assist device (RVAD) was also associated with lower DAOH [RVAD: 290 (160–325) vs. 174 (0–277), P ≤ 0.0001]. As post‐operative values that were associated with lower DAOH, dialysis and tracheotomy could be identified [dialysis: 300 (252–326) vs. 186 (0–300), P ≤ 0.0001; tracheotomy: 292 (139–325) vs. 168 (0–269), P ≤ 0.0001]. Multivariate analysis revealed that all of these factors besides pMCS were independently associated with DAOH. According to Kaplan–Meier analysis, only post‐operative dialysis was significantly associated with increased mortality at 1 year (survival: no dialysis 89.4% vs. dialysis 70.1%, hazard ratio: 0.56, 95% confidence interval: 0.33–0.94; P = 0.031).

Conclusions

The results of this study indicate that there can be a clear discrepancy between hard endpoints such as mortality and more patient‐centred outcomes reflecting life impact. DAOH may relevantly contribute to a more comprehensive selection process and outcome assessment in LVAD patients.

Effect of iron deficiency without anaemia on days alive and out of hospital in patients undergoing valvular heart surgery

Comprehensive evidence regarding the treatment of non-anaemic iron deficiency in patients undergoing valvular heart surgery is lacking. This study aimed to investigate the association between non-anaemic iron deficiency and postoperative outcomes in these patients. We retrospectively analysed 321 patients of which 180 (56%) had iron deficiency (defined as serum ferritin < 100 ng.ml^-1 or < 300 ng.ml^-1 with transferrin saturation < 20%). While the iron-deficient group had lower pre-operative haemoglobin levels than the non-iron deficient group (median (IQR [range]) 134 (127-141 [120-172]) g.l^-1 , 143 (133-150 [120-179]) g.l^-1 , p = 0.001), there was no between-group difference in allogeneic red blood cell transfusion. Median (IQR [range]) days alive and out of hospital at postoperative day 90 was 1 day shorter in the iron-deficient group (80 (77-82 [9-85]) days vs. 81 (79-83 [0-85]) days, p = 0.026). In multivariable analysis, only cardiopulmonary bypass duration (p = 0.032) and intra-operative allogeneic red blood cell transfusion (p = 0.011) were significantly associated with reduced days alive and out of hospital at postoperative day 90. Iron deficiency did not exert any adverse influence on secondary outcomes except length of hospital stay. Our findings indicate that non-anaemic iron deficiency alone is not associated with adverse effects in patients undergoing valvular heart surgery when it does not translate into an increased risk of allogeneic transfusion.