Adding low ankle brachial index to classical risk factors improves the prediction of major cardiovascular events. The REGICOR study

Assessment of Subclinical Atherosclerosis in Asymptomatic People In Vivo: Measurements Suitable for Biomarker and Mendelian Randomization Studies

BACKGROUND

One strategy to reduce the burden of cardiovascular disease is the early detection and treatment of atherosclerosis. This has led to significant interest in studies of subclinical atherosclerosis, using different phenotypes, not all of which are accurate reflections of the presence of asymptomatic atherosclerotic plaques. The aim of part 2 of this series is to provide a review of the existing literature on purported measures of subclinical disease and recommendations concerning which tests may be appropriate in the prevention of incident cardiovascular disease.

METHODS

We conducted a critical review of measurements used to infer the presence of subclinical atherosclerosis in the major conduit arteries and focused on the predictive value of these tests for future cardiovascular events, independent of conventional cardiovascular risk factors, in asymptomatic people. The emphasis was on studies with >10 000 person-years of follow-up, with meta-analysis of results reporting adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs. The arterial territories were limited to carotid, coronary, aorta, and lower limb arteries.

RESULTS

In the carotid arteries, the presence of plaque (8 studies) was independently associated with future stroke (pooled HR, 1.89 [1.04-3.44]) and cardiac events (7 studies), with a pooled HR, 1.77 (1.19-2.62). Increased coronary artery calcium (5 studies) was associated with the risk of coronary heart disease events, pooled HR, 1.54 (1.07-2.07) and increasing severity of calcification (by Agaston score) was associated with escalation of risk (13 studies). An ankle/brachial index (ABI) of <0.9, the pooled HR for cardiovascular death from 7 studies was 2.01 (1.43-2.81). There were insufficient studies of either, thoracic or aortic calcium, aortic diameter, or femoral plaque to synthesize the data based on consistent reporting of these measures.

CONCLUSIONS

The presence of carotid plaque, coronary artery calcium, or abnormal ankle pressures seems to be a valid indicator of the presence of subclinical atherosclerosis and may be considered for use in biomarker, Mendelian randomization and similar studies.

Ankle Brachial Index is a strong predictor of mortality in hypertensive patients: results of a five-year follow-up study

BACKGROUND

In the hypertensive population, the peripheral arterial disease (PAD) is considered one of the target organ damages. Ankle Brachial Index (ABI) measurement represents the widely accepted clinical method that may objectively detect the presence of PAD. The study aimed to assess how PAD revealed by ABI predicts mortality in patients with hypertension.

METHODS

In the follow-up time (5 years period) of the Hungarian ERV Study, a large scale, multicenter observational study, recruiting hypertensive subjects between 50-75 years, the association of PAD with the survival time was analysed. Several multivariate, interval-censored survival models were developed to assess this association.

RESULTS

Among the 21892 enrolled hypertensive patients, the prevalence of PAD (ABI≤0.9) was 14.4%. The crude death rate was 5.44% (1190 cases) over the available observational period. In multivariate models male sex, myocardial infarction in patients' history, diabetes, renal failure, PAD and cardiovascular risk (SCORE risk) were significantly associated with mortality. Lower ABI showed a continuous, close to linear association with worse survival. PAD was predictive for mortality risk in all SCORE patient groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Low ABI is a strong predictor of mortality in hypertensive patients between the age 50-75, even after adjustment for several potential confounders. The association is linear, with no apparent cut-off, suggesting that ABI should be handled as a continuous variable. The detection of PAD in hypertensives may contribute to the determination of total cardiovascular risk in hypertensive population.

Development and validation of a cardiovascular diseases risk prediction model for Chinese males (CVDMCM)

Background

Death due to cardiovascular diseases (CVD) increased significantly in China. One possible way to reduce CVD is to identify people at risk and provide targeted intervention. We aim to develop and validate a CVD risk prediction model for Chinese males (CVDMCM) to help clinicians identify those males at risk of CVD and provide targeted intervention.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 2,331 Chinese males without CVD at baseline to develop and internally validate the CVDMCM. These participants had a baseline physical examination record (2008–2016) and at least one revisit record by September 2019. With the full cohort, we conducted three models: A model with Framingham CVD risk model predictors; a model with predictors selected by univariate cox proportional hazard model adjusted for age; and a model with predictors selected by LASSO algorithm. Among them, the optimal model, CVDMCM, was obtained based on the Akaike information criterion, the Brier's score, and Harrell's C statistic. Then, CVDMCM, the Framingham CVD risk model, and the Wu's simplified model were all validated and compared. All the validation was carried out by bootstrap resampling strategy (TRIPOD statement type 1b) with the full cohort with 1,000 repetitions.

Results

CVDMCM's Harrell's C statistic was 0.769 (95% CI: 0.738–0.799), and D statistic was 4.738 (95% CI: 3.270–6.864). The results of Harrell's C statistic, D statistic and calibration plot demonstrated that CVDMCM outperformed the Framingham CVD model and Wu's simplified model for 4-year CVD risk prediction.

Conclusions

We developed and internally validated CVDMCM, which predicted 4-year CVD risk for Chinese males with a better performance than Framingham CVD model and Wu's simplified model. In addition, we developed a web calculator–calCVDrisk for physicians to conveniently generate CVD risk scores and identify those males with a higher risk of CVD.

[Evolution of the prevalence of peripheral artery disease in clinical practice: A descriptive population study with real databases (SIDIAP-CMBD)]

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate, with real world data (SIDIAP and CMBD), the evolution of the prevalence of peripheral arterial disease (PAD) in the Catalan population and the cardiovascular risk factors present in people with this pathology.

DESIGN

Longitudinal descriptive population study. SITE: Primary health care.

PARTICIPANTS

Patients listed in SIDIAP and CMBD with a diagnosis of peripheral artery disease between 2008 and 2018 ≥ 35 years, as well as those without a diagnosis, but with an ABI < 0.9 in SIDIAP.

INTERVENTIONS AND MAIN MEASUREMENTS

Main variable AP (ICD-9, ICD-10). Sociodemographic data, risk factors and cardiovascular disease, drug use and prevalent cardiovascular events at the time of diagnosis.

RESULTS

141,520 patients were studied. 75% had hypertension, 58% were smokers or former smokers, and 23% had a myocardial infarction. The global prevalence increased from 1.15% in 2008 to 3.10% in 2018. The prevalence of PAD increased with age, with a moderate increase at younger ages, and more pronounced in > 55 years, exceeding 10% in > 85 years.

CONCLUSION

This is a population study where it is observed that the evolution of the prevalence of peripheral artery disease has presented a constant increase during the years 2008-2018, being higher in men, especially from 55 years of age. Studies with large databases can facilitate the design and implementation of new policies in national health systems.

Usefulness of Cardiac Computed Tomography in Coronary Risk Prediction: A Five-Year Follow-Up of the SPICA Study (Secure Prevention with Imaging of the Coronary Arteries)

Accurate identification of individuals at high coronary risk would reduce acute coronary syndrome incidence and morbi-mortality. We analyzed the effect on coronary risk prediction of adding coronary artery calcification (CAC) and Segment Involvement Score (SIS) to cardiovascular risk factors. This was a prospective cohort study of asymptomatic patients recruited between 2013–2017. All participants underwent a coronary computed tomography angiography to determine CAC and SIS. The cohort was followed-up for a composite endpoint of myocardial infarction, coronary angiography and/or revascularization (median = five years). Discrimination and reclassification of the REGICOR function with CAC/SIS were examined with the Sommer’s D index and with the Net reclassification index (NRI). Nine of the 251 individuals included had an event. Of the included participants, 94 had a CAC = 0 and 85 a SIS = 0, none of them had an event. The addition of SIS or of SIS and CAC to the REGICOR risk function significantly increased the discrimination capacity from 0.74 to 0.89. Reclassification improved significantly when SIS or both scores were included. CAC and SIS were associated with five-year coronary event incidence, independently of cardiovascular risk factors. Discrimination and reclassification of the REGICOR risk function were significantly improved by both indexes, but SIS overrode the effect of CAC.

Ankle-Brachial Index Is Independently Associated With Cardiovascular Outcomes and Foot Ulcers in Asian Patients With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The ankle-brachial index (ABI) is an efficient tool for objectively documenting the presence of lower-extremity peripheral arterial disease (PAD). The predictive factors of cardiovascular events and diabetic foot ulcer were not clear from the ABI examination in Taiwanese patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM).

METHODS

We enrolled 482 patients with type 2 DM who regularly visited the outpatient department of Chang Gung Memorial Hospital and received ABI as well as brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (ba-PWV) examinations from 2010 to 2017. Age, gender, PAD symptoms, comorbidities, family history of chronic diseases, lifestyle (smoking, alcohol consumption, and exercise), height, weight, waist circumference, monofilament testing and foot ulcer status were studied.

RESULTS

There were 104 (22%) patients (mean age, 67.8 years) with the ABI <1.0. These patients with low ABI (ABI<1.0) had a significantly older age (p=0.001), higher delta PWV (p<0.001), higher rates of stroke (p=0.007), myocardial infarction (p=0.016), and foot ulcer (p=0.039). In a multivariable analysis model, the adjusted odds ratio (aOR) for myocardial infarction, stroke, and foot ulcers associated with low ABI were 1.219 (0.397-3.743, p=0.729), 1.204 (0.556-2.610, p=0.638), and 2.712 (1.199-6.133, p=0.017), respectively. The patients with low PWV (PWV<1400 cm/s) were significantly younger (p<0.001) and had a lower rate of hypertension (p<0.001), and higher percentages of stroke (p=0.027) and dialysis (p=0.041) family history.

CONCLUSIONS

Low ABI was associated with cardiovascular events and diabetic foot ulcer independently in patients with type 2 DM.

Associations Between Systolic Interarm Differences in Blood Pressure and Cardiovascular Disease Outcomes and Mortality: Individual Participant Data Meta-Analysis, Development and Validation of a Prognostic Algorithm: The INTERPRESS-IPD Collaboration

Systolic interarm differences in blood pressure have been associated with all-cause mortality and cardiovascular disease. We undertook individual participant data meta-analyses to (1) quantify independent associations of systolic interarm difference with mortality and cardiovascular events; (2) develop and validate prognostic models incorporating interarm difference, and (3) determine whether interarm difference remains associated with risk after adjustment for common cardiovascular risk scores. We searched for studies recording bilateral blood pressure and outcomes, established agreements with collaborating authors, and created a single international dataset: the Inter-arm Blood Pressure Difference - Individual Participant Data (INTERPRESS-IPD) Collaboration. Data were merged from 24 studies (53 827 participants). Systolic interarm difference was associated with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality: continuous hazard ratios 1.05 (95% CI, 1.02-1.08) and 1.06 (95% CI, 1.02-1.11), respectively, per 5 mm Hg systolic interarm difference. Hazard ratios for all-cause mortality increased with interarm difference magnitude from a ≥5 mm Hg threshold (hazard ratio, 1.07 [95% CI, 1.01-1.14]). Systolic interarm differences per 5 mm Hg were associated with cardiovascular events in people without preexisting disease, after adjustment for Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease (hazard ratio, 1.04 [95% CI, 1.00-1.08]), Framingham (hazard ratio, 1.04 [95% CI, 1.01-1.08]), or QRISK cardiovascular disease risk algorithm version 2 (QRISK2) (hazard ratio, 1.12 [95% CI, 1.06-1.18]) cardiovascular risk scores. Our findings confirm that systolic interarm difference is associated with increased all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, and cardiovascular events. Blood pressure should be measured in both arms during cardiovascular assessment. A systolic interarm difference of 10 mm Hg is proposed as the upper limit of normal. Registration: URL: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?ID=CRD42015031227.

Costs and effects of cardiovascular risk reclassification using the ankle-brachial index (ABI) in addition to the Framingham risk scoring in women

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Ankle brachial index (ABI) is a simple and cheap parameter to assess the presence of atherosclerosis. It could also help correctly reclassify the cardiovascular risk when added to the Framingham risk score (FRS). Recent evidence has demonstrated improvement in prediction performance of ABI when added to FRS, particularly in women. However, no studies have been published yet evaluating the cost-effectiveness of this approach. This study attempts to fill in this gap by assessing the cost-effectiveness of ABI measurements in primary prevention in women.

METHODS

We developed a Markov model to compare two different strategies for assessing the cardiovascular risk (low, intermediate and high) among women in the general population: 1) FRS strategy, and 2) FRS + ABI strategy; and the relative impact associated with interventions for preventing CV events in intermediate and high-risk categories.

RESULTS

In the base-case analysis, FRS + ABI reported an additional cost of € 110 and a gain of 0.0039 QALYs per patient, resulting in an ICER of € 27.986/QALY, when compared to FRS alone. The ICER improved to €1.641/QALY when using a lifetime horizon. The effectiveness of preventive CV disease interventions reported also a significant impact. A 32% reduction of CV events was the minimum value estimated to maintain FRS + ABI as a cost-effective strategy.

CONCLUSIONS

The addition of ABI to FRS is a cost-effective approach in women classified at low and intermediate risk with FRS only. This new approach gives the possibility to reclassify and allocate them into the appropriate risk group and treatment.

[Predictive value of vascular health indicators on newly cardiovascular events: Preliminary validation of Beijing vascular health stratification system]

OBJECTIVE

To explore the predictive value of carotid femoral artery pulse wave velocity (CF-PWV), carotid radial artery pulse wave velocity (CR-PWV), cardio-ankle vascular index (CAVI), and ankle brachial index (ABI) on coronary heart disease (CHD) and cerebral infarction (CI), and the preliminary validation of Beijing vascular health stratification (BVHS).

METHODS

Subjects with at least 2 in-patient records were included into the study between 2010 and 2017 from Vascular Medicine Center of Peking University Shougang Hospital. Subjects with CHD or CI, and without data of vascular function at baseline were excluded. Eventually, 467 subjects free of CHD [cohort 1, mean age: (63.4±12.3) years, female 42.2%] and 658 subjects free of CI [cohort 2, mean age: (64.3±12.2) years, female 48.7%] at baseline were included. The first in-patient records were as the baseline data, the second in-patient records were as a following-up data. Cox proportional hazard regression was used to establish the predictive models of CHD or CI derived from BVHS by multivariable-adjusted analysis.

RESULTS

The median follow-up time of cohort 1 and cohort 2 was 1.9 years and 2.1 years, respectively. During the follow-up, 164 first CHD events occurred in cohort 1 and 117 first CI events occurred in cohort 2. Four indicators were assessed as continuous variables simultaneously by multivariable-adjusted analysis. In cohort 1, CF-PWV, CR-PWV, ABI, and CAVI reached statistical significance in the multivariable-adjusted models (P<0.05). In cohort 2, only CAVI (P<0.05) was of statistical significance. In addition, the higher CF-PWV became a protector of CHD or CI (P<0.05). The prediction value of BVHS reached the statistical significance for CHD and CI in the unadjusted models (all P<0.05), however, BVHS could only predict the incidence of CHD (P<0.05), but not the incidence of CI (P>0.05) in the multivariable-adjusted models. CF-PWV, CR-PWV, ABI, and CAVI were associated factors of CHD independent of each other (P<0.05), only CAVI (P<0.05) was the risk factor of CI independent of the other three.

CONCLUSION

The different vascular indicators might have different effect on CHD or CI. CAVI might be a stable predictor of both CHD and CI. Higher baseline CF-PWV was not necessarily a risk factor of CHD or CI because of proper vascular health management. BVHS was a potential factor for the prediction of CHD, and further research is needed to explore the prediction value for CI.

[Prognostic importance of diagnosticated peripheral arterial disease through the ankle brachial index in spanish general population]

OBJECTIVE

The objectives have been to determine the prognostic value of having a low ankle-brachial index (ABI) for different cardiovascular diseases and whether it improves the predictive capacity of the main cardiovascular risk scores proposed for Spain.

DESIGN

Population-based cohort study LOCATION: A health area of the province of Badajoz (Spain) PARTICIPANTS: 2,833 subjects, representative of residents, between 25 and 79 years old, MEASUREMENTS: The ABI was measured at baseline and the first episode of ischemic heart disease or stroke, cardiovascular and total mortality, was recorded during 7 years of follow-up. The hazard ratio (HR) adjusted for cardiovascular risk factors and net reclassification index (NRI) by category, clinical and continuous for the risk functions REGICOR, FRESCO coronary heart disease, FRESCO cardiovascular disease and SCORE, were calculated.

RESULTS

2,665 subjects were analysed after excluding people with cardiovascular history and loss of follow-up. Low ABI was associated with adjusted HR (95% CI): 6.45 (3.00 - 13.86), 2.60 (1.15 - 5.91), 3.43 (1.39 - 8.44), 2.21 (1.27 - 3.86) for stroke, ischemic heart disease, cardiovascular mortality and total mortality respectively. The ABI improved the NRI (95% CI) in the intermediate risk category according to FRESCO cardiovascular equation by 24.1% (10.1 - 38.2).

CONCLUSIONS

Low ABI is associated with a significant increase in the risk of stroke, ischemic heart disease, cardiovascular mortality and total mortality in our population. The inclusion of ABI improved the reclassification of people at intermediate risk, according to FRESCO cardiovascular, so its use in that risk category would be justified.

Impact of Low Ankle-Brachial Index on the Risk of Recurrent Vascular Events

Background and Purpose- Low ankle-brachial index (ABI) identifies a stroke subgroup with high risk of recurrent stroke, cardiovascular events, and death. However, limited data exist on the relationship between low ABI and stroke in low and middle-income countries. Therefore, we evaluated the prevalence of ABI ≤0.90 (which is diagnostic of peripheral artery disease) in nonembolic stroke patients or transient ischemic attack and assessed the correlation of low ABI with stroke risk, factors, and recurrent vascular events and death. Methods- Patients ≥45 years with acute transient ischemic attack or minor ischemic strokes were recruited consecutively from over 17 low-income and middle-income countries (Latin America [1543 patients], Middle East [1041 patients], North Africa [834 patients], and South Africa [217 patients]). The ABI measurement was performed at a single visit. Stroke recurrence and risk of new vascular events were assessed after 24 months of follow-up. Results- Among 3487 enrolled patients, abnormal ABI (<0.9) was present in 22.3 %. Patients with an ABI of ≤0.9 were more likely ( P<0.05) to be male, older, and have a history of peripheral artery disease, hypertension, and diabetes mellitus. During 2-year follow-up, the rate of major cardiovascular event was higher in patients with ABI <0.9 than those with ABI ≥0.9 (Kaplan-Meier estimates, 22.5%; 95% CI, 19.6-25.8 versus 13.7%; 21.4-15.1; P<0.001), and when ABI was categorized into 4 groups (≤0.6; 95% CI, 0.6-0.9; 0.9-1; 1-1.4), the rate of major cardiovascular event was higher in those with ABI ≤0.6 than the other groups (Kaplan-Meier estimates, 32.6%; 95% CI, 21.0-48.3 for ABI≤0.6 versus 21.7%; 95% CI, 18.8-25.0 for ABI 0.6-0.9 versus 14.3%; 95% CI, 12.4-16.6 for ABI 0.9-1 versus 13.3%; 95% CI, 11.6-15.2 for ABI 1-1.4; P<0.001). Conclusions- Among patients with nonembolic ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack, those with low ABI had a higher rate of vascular events and death in this population. Screening for ABI in stroke patients may help identify patients at high risk of future events.

Relationship between glycated hemoglobin and low Ankle-Brachial Index: a cross-sectional observational study from the Beijing Vascular Disease Evaluation Study (BEST Study)

BACKGROUND

Studies have confirmed that the low Ankle Brachial Index (ABI) and high glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) level were both risk factors of cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, the association has rarely been explored between ABI and HbA1c. This study was to evaluate the independent relationship between HbA1c and low ABI.

METHODS

A total of 3102 subjects (male 1539, female 1563, aged 67.72±10.69 years) were enrolled into the study from 2010 to 2018. The odds ratio (OR) and linear regression coefficient of low ABI group (defined as ABI≤0.9) and ABI value in associations with the HbA1c were modelled using multivariable logistic and linear regression analyses by adjusting for possible confounders.

RESULTS

Compared with participants with normal ABI, those presenting the low ABI showed a significantly older age, smoking rate, higher level of heart rate (HR), systolic blood pressure (SBP), pulse pressure (PP), fasting plasma glucose (FPG), triglyceride (TG), highly sensitive C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), HbA1c and carotid femoral pulse wave velocity (CF-PWV); and higher prevalence rate of hypertension, diabetes, coronary artery disease (CAD); and higher rate on medication of statins, diabetes drug and cardiovascular drug (all P<0.001). After multiple adjustment for age, sex, smoke, FPG, blood lipids, hs-CRP, SBP, diastolic blood pressure (DBP), PP, CF-PWV, hypertension, diabetes, CAD and medications, the OR of HbA1c for low ABI was of statistical significance (95% CI: 1.204-1.410, P<0.001). After further multivariate adjustment analysis by linear regression, with left and right ABI as dependent variables, the results showed that HbA1c was independently linearly correlated to left and right ABI (all P<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

HbA1c was an independent associated factor of lower ABI and linearly correlated to ABI level independent of fasting plasma glucose and other cardiovascular factors. We should not only focus on the HbA1c in diabetes mellitus patients, but also people with lower ABI.

Low, borderline and normal ankle-brachial index as a predictor of incidents outcomes in the Mediterranean based-population ARTPER cohort after 9 years follow-up

BACKGROUND

Guidelines recommended adopting the same cardiovascular risk modification strategies used for coronary disease in case of low Ankle-brachial index (ABI), but here exist few studies on long-term cardiovascular outcomes in patients with borderline ABI and even fewer on the general population.

AIM

The aim of the present study was to analyze the relationship between long-term cardiovascular events and low, borderline and normal ABI after a 9-year follow up of a Mediterranean population with low cardiovascular risk.

DESIGN AND SETTING

A population-based prospective cohort study was performed in the province of Barcelona, Spain.

METHOD

A total of 3,786 subjects >49 years were recruited from 2006-2008. Baseline ABI was 1.08 ± 0.16. Subjects were followed from the time of enrollment to the end of follow-up in 2016 via phone calls every 6 months, systematic reviews of primary-care and hospital medical records and analysis of the SIDIAP (Information System for Primary Care Research) database to confirm the possible appearance of cardiovascular events.

RESULTS

3146 individuals participated in the study. 2,420 (77%) subjects had normal ABI, 524 (17%) had borderline ABI, and 202 (6.4%) had low ABI. In comparison with normal and borderline subjects, patients with lower ABI had more comorbidities, such as hypertension, hypercholesterolemia and diabetes. Cumulative MACE incidence at 9 years was 20% in patients with low ABI, 6% in borderline ABI and 5% in normal ABI. The annual MACE incidence after 9 years follow-up was significantly higher in people with low ABI (26.9/1000py) (p<0.001) than in borderline (6.6/1000py) and in normal ABI (5.6/1000py). Subjects with borderline ABI are at significantly higher risk for coronary disease (HR: 1.58; 95% CI: 1.02-2, 43; p = 0,040) compared to subjects with normal ABI, after adjustment.

CONCLUSION

The results of the present study support that low ABI was independently associated with higher incidence of MACE, ICE, cardiovascular and no cardiovascular mortality; while borderline ABI had significantly moderate risk for coronary disease than normal ABI.

Sudden Arrhythmic Death During Exercise: A Post-Mortem Genetic Analysis

BACKGROUND

Sudden cardiac death is a natural and unexpected death that occurs within 1 h of the first symptom. Most sudden cardiac deaths occur during exercise, mostly as a result of myocardial infarction. After autopsy, some cases, especially in the young, are diagnosed as cardiomyopathies or remain without a conclusive cause of death. In both situations, genetic alterations may explain the arrhythmia.

OBJECTIVE

Our aim was to identify a genetic predisposition to sudden cardiac death in a cohort of post-mortem cases of individuals who died during exercise, with a structurally normal heart, and were classified as arrhythmogenic death.

METHODS

We analyzed a cohort of 52 post-mortem samples from individuals <50 years old who had a negative autopsy. Next-generation sequencing technology was used to screen genes associated with sudden cardiac death.

RESULTS

Our cohort showed a male prevalence (12:1). Half of the deaths occurred in individuals 41-50 years of age. Running was the most common exercise activity during the fatal event, accounting for 46.15% of cases. Genetic analysis identified 83 rare variants in 37 samples (71.15% of all samples). Of all rare variants, 36.14% were classified as deleterious, being present in 53.84% of all cases.

CONCLUSIONS

A comprehensive analysis of sudden cardiac death-related genes in individuals who died suddenly while exercising enabled the identification of potentially causative variants. However, many genetic variants remain of indeterminate significance, thus further work is needed before clinical translation. Nonetheless, comprehensive genetic analysis of individuals who died during exercise enables the detection of potentially causative variants and helps to identify at-risk relatives.

Nontraditional Risk Factors in Cardiovascular Disease Risk Assessment: Updated Evidence Report and Systematic Review for the US Preventive Services Task Force

IMPORTANCE

Incorporating nontraditional risk factors may improve the performance of traditional multivariable risk assessment for cardiovascular disease (CVD).

OBJECTIVE

To systematically review evidence for the US Preventive Services Task Force on the benefits and harms of 3 nontraditional risk factors in cardiovascular risk assessment: the ankle-brachial index (ABI), high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) level, and coronary artery calcium (CAC) score.

DATA SOURCES

MEDLINE, PubMed, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials for studies published through May 22, 2017. Surveillance continued through February 7, 2018.

STUDY SELECTION

Studies of asymptomatic adults with no known cardiovascular disease.

DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS

Independent critical appraisal and data abstraction by 2 reviewers.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Cardiovascular events, mortality, risk assessment performance measures (calibration, discrimination, or risk reclassification), and serious adverse events.

RESULTS

Forty-three studies (N = 267 244) were included. No adequately powered trials have evaluated the clinical effect of risk assessment with nontraditional risk factors on patient health outcomes. The addition of the ABI (10 studies), hsCRP level (25 studies), or CAC score (19 studies) can improve both discrimination and reclassification; the magnitude and consistency of improvement varies by nontraditional risk factor. For the ABI, improvements in performance were the greatest for women, in whom traditional risk assessment has poor discrimination (C statistic change of 0.112 and net reclassification index [NRI] of 0.096). Results were inconsistent for hsCRP level, with the largest analysis (n = 166 596) showing a minimal effect on risk prediction (C statistic change of 0.0039, NRI of 0.0152). The largest improvements in discrimination (C statistic change ranging from 0.018 to 0.144) and reclassification (NRI ranging from 0.084 to 0.35) were seen for CAC score, although CAC score may inappropriately reclassify individuals not having cardiovascular events into higher-risk categories, as determined by negative nonevent NRI. Evidence for the harms of nontraditional risk factor assessment was limited to computed tomography imaging for CAC scoring (8 studies) and showed that radiation exposure is low but may result in additional testing.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

There are insufficient adequately powered clinical trials evaluating the incremental effect of the ABI, hsCRP level, or CAC score in risk assessment and initiation of preventive therapy. Furthermore, the clinical meaning of improvements in measures of calibration, discrimination, and reclassification risk prediction studies is uncertain.

Association of Vitamin D deficiency with peripheral arterial disease: a meta-analysis of literature studies

CONTEXT

Vitamin D deficiency patients have an increased cardiovascular (CV) morbidity and mortality. Contrasting data are available about the association between peripheral arterial disease (PAD) and Vitamin D status.

OBJECTIVE

To perform a meta-analysis of studies evaluating the association between Vitamin D status and PAD.

DATA SOURCES

Studies were systematically searched in the PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus and EMBASE databases.

RESULTS

Ten studies with data on Vitamin D levels in 2,079 PAD patients and 18,233 non-PAD controls and 6 studies on the prevalence of PAD in 23,171 subjects with Vitamin D deficiency (<20 ng/ml), 48,311 subjects with Vitamin D insufficiency (20-30 ng/ml) and 27,910 with normal Vitamin D levels (>30 ng/ml) were included. Compared to controls, PAD patients showed significantly lower Vitamin D levels (MD: -2.24 ng/ml; 95%CI: -3.38, -1.10; p<0.001, I2=86.5%; p<0.001). Moreover, a higher prevalence of PAD was found both in subjects with Vitamin D insufficiency (OR: 1.098, 95%CI: 1.010-1.195, p=0.029, I2: 0%, p=0,600) and in subjects with Vitamin D deficiency (OR: 1.484, 95%CI: 1.348-1.635, p<0.001, I2: 7.65%, p=0,367) compared with controls with normal Vitamin D levels. Sensitivity analyses and the analysis of data on the cumulative risk of PAD according to Vitamin D levels derived from multivariate analysis consistently confirmed results.

CONCLUSIONS

PAD patients have lower vitamin D levels than controls and both Vitamin D deficiency and Vitamin D insufficiency are significantly associated with PAD. Reduced Vitamin D levels might represent an independent risk factor for PAD and, in turn, for CV events.

Contribution of the ankle-brachial index to improve the prediction of coronary risk: The ARTPER cohort

BACKGROUND

The different cardiovascular risk prediction scales currently available are not sufficiently sensitive.

AIM

The aim of the present study was to analyze the contribution of the ankle-brachial index (ABI) added to the Framingham and REGICOR risk scales for the reclassification of cardiovascular risk after a 9-year follow up of a Mediterranean population with low cardiovascular risk.

DESIGN AND SETTING

A population-based prospective cohort study was performed in the province of Barcelona, Spain.

METHOD

A total of 3,786 subjects >49 years were recruited from 2006-2008. Baseline ABI was performed and cardiovascular risk was calculated with the Framingham and REGICOR scales. The participants were followed until November 2016 by telephone and review of the clinical history every 6 months to confirm the possible appearance of cardiovascular events.

RESULTS

2,716 individuals participated in the study. There were 126 incidental cases of first coronary events (5%) during follow up. The incidence of coronary events in patients with ABI <0.9 was 4-fold greater than that of subjects with a normal ABI (17.2/1,000 persons-year versus 4.8/1,000 persons-year). Improvement in the predictive capacity of REGICOR scale was observed on including ABI in the model, obtaining a net reclassification improvement of 7% (95% confidence interval 0%-13%) for REGICOR+ ABI. Framingham + ABI obtained a NRI of 4% (-2%-11%).

CONCLUSION

The results of the present study support the addition of the ABI as a tool to help in the reclassification of cardiovascular risk and to confirm the greater incidence of coronary events in patients with ABI < 0.9.

Diet quality, inflammation, and the ankle brachial index in adults with or without cardiometabolic conditions

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Diet quality may influence non-traditional cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors - namely, C-reactive protein (CRP) and the ankle-brachial index (ABI). Pre-existing traditional cardiometabolic conditions may confound this association. We aimed to determine whether diet quality was associated with high-risk CRP or ABI, independently from traditional cardiometabolic risk factors.

METHODS

Baseline data were analyzed from US-Hispanics/Latinos aged 18-74 y without previously-diagnosed CVD participating in the population-based Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos cohort. Included were 14,623 participants with CRP data, and 7892 participants (≥45 y) with ABI data. Diet quality was measured with the Alternate Healthy Eating Index (AHEI).

RESULTS

Nearly 35% of Hispanics/Latinos had high-risk CRP concentration and 6.3% had high-risk ABI (peripheral artery disease (PAD): 4.2%; arterial stiffness: 2.1%). After adjusting for sociodemographic and lifestyle factors, diabetes, hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, and obesity, the odds (95% confidence interval) of having high-risk ABI were 37% (5, 44%) lower per 10-unit increase in AHEI (p = 0.018). The association was marginally significant for PAD (0.77 (0.58, 1.00); p = 0.05), and non-significant for arterial stiffness (p = 0.16). Each 10-unit increase in AHEI was associated with 21% (10, 30%) lower odds of high-risk CRP (p = 0.0002) after similar adjustments. There were no significant interactions between AHEI and age, sex, ethnicity, smoking, or pre-existing cardiometabolic conditions for associations with ABI. The association between AHEI and high-risk CRP was stronger for those with diabetes (p-interaction < 0.0001), obesity (p-interaction = 0.005), or ages 45-74 y (p-interaction = 0.011).

CONCLUSIONS

Higher diet quality is associated with lower inflammation and less adverse ABI among Hispanics/Latinos, independently from traditional cardiometabolic risk factors.

Early Detection System of Vascular Disease and Its Application Prospect

Markers of imaging, structure, and function reflecting vascular damage, integrating a long time accumulation effect of traditional and unrecognized cardiovascular risk factors, can be regarded as surrogate endpoints of target organ damage before the occurrence of clinical events. Prevention of cardiovascular disease requires risk stratification and treatment of traditional risk factors, such as smoking, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, and diabetes. However, traditional risk stratification is not sufficient to provide accurate assessment of future cardiovascular events. Therefore, vascular injury related parameters obtained by ultrasound or other noninvasive devices, as a surrogate parameter of subclinical cardiovascular disease, can improve cardiovascular risk assessment and optimize the preventive treatment strategy. Thus, we will summarize the research progress and clinical application of early assessment technology of vascular diseases in the present review.

The Ankle Brachial Index Exhibits Better Association of Cardiovascular Prognosis Than Non-High-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol in Type 2 Diabetes

OBJECTIVE

The association between ankle brachial index (ABI) and outcomes in diabetic subjects is controversial. The purpose of this study was to evaluate whether the ABI is more strongly associated with cardiovascular outcomes comparing with non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (non-HDL-c).

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

A total of 452 type 2 diabetic subjects followed up for a mean of 5.8 years were grouped by ABI (<0.9 versus ≥0.9) and non-HDL-c (<100mg/dL versus ≥100mg/dL). Primary outcomes were composite events including all-cause mortality, hospitalization for coronary artery disease, stroke, revascularization, amputation and diabetic foot, and the secondary end point was all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

Intergroup differences in percentage of men, duration of diabetes, hemoglobin A1c, total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, triglycerides and estimated glomerular filtration rate were significant. A total of 64 composite events and 17 deaths were recorded. A higher number of composite events occurred in the group with abnormal ABI but optimal non-HDL-c than in those with suboptimal non-HDL-c but normal ABI (29% versus 11%, P < 0.05). A similar trend was observed in all-cause mortality (11% versus 1%, P < 0.05). The ABI was the dominant risk factor for both end points after adjusting other factors (for composite events, hazard ratio = 0.02, 95% CI: 0.00-0.10, P < 0.001 and for all-cause mortality, hazard ratio = 0.01, 95% CI: 0.00-0.28, P = 0.006).

CONCLUSIONS

The ABI was more strongly associated with outcomes in diabetes than non-HDL-c. The ABI should be routinely screened in diabetes even without symptom.

The association between ankle-brachial index and asymptomatic cranial-carotid stenosis: a population-based, cross-sectional study of 5440 Han Chinese

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Routine screening for asymptomatic cranial-carotid stenosis (ACCS) is controversial and recommendation in clinical practice is vague. The ankle-brachial index (ABI) is reported as a predictor for cardiovascular disease. However, there is a scarcity of data about the association between abnormal ABI and ACCS. A population-based cross-sectional study was conducted to explore the relationship between ABI and ACCS.

METHODS

A sample of 5440 Chinese adults aged 40-94 years old was recruited from 2010 to 2011. The ABI was measured using a portable Doppler device and ACCS was evaluated by bilateral carotid duplex ultrasound and portable examination devices. A logistic regression model was used to analyse the association between ABI and ACCS after adjusting for potential confounding factors.

RESULTS

A low ABI was associated with ACCS [odds ratio (OR) 1.95, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.42-2.67] after adjusting for potential confounders. When the data were stratified by age and sex, the correlation remained statistically significant in the male (OR 2.32, 95% CI 1.60-3.37) and elderly (OR 3.07, 95% CI 1.97-4.78) subgroups compared to the female (OR 1.26, 95% CI 0.67-2.39) and middle-aged groups (OR 1.27, 95% CI 0.77-2.12), respectively.

CONCLUSION

This study demonstrated that low ABI is a significant risk factor for ACCS in male and elderly Chinese adults.

Ankle-Brachial Index and Recurrent Stroke Risk: Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The ankle-brachial index (ABI) is a fast, cheap, noninvasive indicator of atherosclerotic burden that may also be a predictor of stroke recurrence. In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we sought to explore ABI's merit as a marker for stroke recurrence and vascular risk by synthesizing the data currently available in stroke literature.

METHODS

We searched Embase, MEDLINE, and Pubmed databases for prospective cohort studies that included consecutive patients with stroke and transient ischemic attack, measured ABI at baseline, and performed a follow-up assessment at least 12 months after initial stroke or transient ischemic attack. The following end points were chosen for our analysis: recurrent stroke and combined vascular end point (recurrent vascular event or vascular death). Crude risk ratios and adjusted Cox proportional hazard ratios were combined separately using the random-effects model. Study-level characteristics (eg, percent of cohort with a history of hypertension, average cohort age, level of adjustment, and mean follow-up duration) were included as covariates in a metaregression analysis.

RESULTS

We identified 11 studies (5374 patients) that were not significantly heterogeneous. Pooling adjusted hazard ratios showed that low ABI was associated with both an increased hazard of recurrent stroke (hazard ratio, 1.70; 95% confidence interval, 1.10-2.64) and an increased risk of vascular events or vascular death (hazard ratio, 2.22; 95% confidence interval, 1.67-2.97).

CONCLUSION

Our results confirm the positive association between ABI and stroke recurrence. Further studies are needed to see whether inclusion of ABI will help improve the accuracy of prediction models and management of stroke patients.