Inverse linear associations between liver aminotransferases and incident cardiovascular disease risk: The PREVEND study

Self-reported smoking, urine cotinine, and risk of type 2 diabetes: Findings from the PREVEND prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Smoking is a major risk factor for type 2 diabetes (T2D), but the evidence has mostly relied on self-reports. We aimed to compare the associations of smoking exposure as assessed by self-reports and urine cotinine with T2D.

METHODS

Using the PREVEND prospective study, smoking status was assessed at baseline by self-reports and urine cotinine in 4708 participants (mean age, 53 years) without a history of diabetes. Participants were classified as never, former, light current and heavy current smokers according to self-reports and analogous cut-offs for urine cotinine. Hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs were estimated for T2D.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 7.3 years, 259 participants developed T2D. Compared with self-reported never smokers, the multivariable adjusted HRs (95% CI) of T2D for former, light current, and heavy current smokers were 1.02 (0.75-1.4), 1.41 (0.89-2.22), and 1.30 (0.88-1.93), respectively. The corresponding adjusted HRs (95% CI) were 0.84 (0.43-1.67), 1.61 (1.12-2.31), and 1.58 (1.08-2.32), respectively, as assessed by urine cotinine. Urine cotinine-assessed but not self-reported smoking status improved T2D risk prediction beyond established risk factors.

CONCLUSION

Urine cotinine assessed smoking status may be a stronger risk indicator and predictor of T2D compared to self-reported smoking status.

Safety and efficacy evaluation of halicin as an effective drug for inhibiting intestinal infections

Halicin, the first antibacterial agent discovered by artificial intelligence, exerts broad-spectrum antibacterial effects and has a unique structure. Our study found that halicin had a good inhibitory effect on clinical isolates of drug-resistant strains and Clostridium perfringens (C. perfringens). The safety of halicin was evaluated by acute oral toxicity, genotoxicity and subchronic toxicity studies. The results of acute toxicity test indicated that halicin, as a low-toxicity compound, had an LD50 of 2018.3 mg/kg. The results of sperm malformation, bone marrow chromosome aberration and cell micronucleus tests showed that halicin had no obvious genotoxicity. However, the results of the 90-day subchronic toxicity test indicated that the test rats exhibited weight loss and slight renal inflammation at a high dose of 201.8 mg/kg. Teratogenicity of zebrafish embryos showed that halicin had no significant teratogenicity. Analysis of intestinal microbiota showed that halicin had a significant effect on the intestinal microbial composition, but caused a faster recovery. Furthermore, drug metabolism experiments showed that halicin was poorly absorbed and quickly eliminated in vivo. Our study found that halicin had a good therapeutic effect on intestinal infection model of C. perfringens. These results show the feasibility of developing oral halicin as a clinical candidate drug for treating intestinal infections.

Biomarkers of Hepatic Toxicity: An Overview

Background

Hepatotoxicity is the foremost issue for clinicians and the primary reason for pharmaceutical product recalls. A biomarker is a measurable and quantifiable attribute used to evaluate the efficacy of a treatment or to diagnose a disease. There are various biomarkers which are used for the detection of liver disease and the intent of liver damage.

Objective

This review aims to investigate the current state of hepatotoxicity biomarkers and their utility in clinical settings. Using hepatic biomarkers, the presence of liver injury, its severity, prognosis, causative agent, and type of hepatotoxicity can all be determined.

Methods

Relevant published articles up to 2022 were systematically retrieved from MEDLINE/PubMed, SCOPUS, EMBASE, and WOS databases using keywords such as drug toxicity, hepatotoxicity biomarkers, biochemical parameters, and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.

Results

In clinical trials and everyday practice, biomarkers of drug-induced liver injury are essential for spotting the most severe cases of hepatotoxicity. Hence, developing novel biomarker approaches to enhance hepatotoxicity diagnosis will increase specificity and/or identify the person at risk. Importantly, early clinical studies on patients with liver illness have proved that some biomarkers such as aminotransferase, bilirubin, albumin, and bile acids are even therapeutically beneficial.

Conclusions

By assessing the unique signs of liver injury, health care professionals can rapidly and accurately detect liver damage and evaluate its severity. These measures contribute to ensuring prompt and effective medical intervention, hence reducing the risk of long-term liver damage and other major health concerns.

Alcohol Consumption, High-Density Lipoprotein Particles and Subspecies, and Risk of Cardiovascular Disease: Findings from the PREVEND Prospective Study

The associations of HDL particle (HDL-P) and subspecies concentrations with alcohol consumption are unclear. We aimed to evaluate the interplay between alcohol consumption, HDL parameters and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. In the PREVEND study of 5151 participants (mean age, 53 years; 47.5% males), self-reported alcohol consumption and HDL-P and subspecies (small, medium, and large) by nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy were assessed. Hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs for first CVD events were estimated. In multivariable linear regression analyses, increasing alcohol consumption increased HDL-C, HDL-P, large and medium HDL, HDL size, and HDL subspecies (H3P, H4P, H6 and H7) in a dose-dependent manner. During a median follow-up of 8.3 years, 323 first CVD events were recorded. Compared with abstainers, the multivariable adjusted HRs (95% CIs) of CVD for occasional to light, moderate, and heavy alcohol consumers were 0.72 (0.55-0.94), 0.74 (0.54-1.02), and 0.65 (0.38-1.09), respectively. These associations remained consistent on additional adjustment for each HDL parameter. For CVD, only HDL-C was associated with a statistically significant decreased risk of CVD in a fully adjusted analysis (HR 0.84, 95% CI 0.72-0.97 per 1 SD increment). For coronary heart disease, HDL-C, HDL-P, medium HDL, HDL size, and H4P showed inverse associations, whereas HDL-C and HDL size modestly increased stroke risk. Except for H6P, alcohol consumption did not modify the associations between HDL parameters and CVD risk. The addition of HDL-C, HDL size, or H4P to a CVD risk prediction model containing established risk factors improved risk discrimination. Increasing alcohol consumption is associated with increased HDL-C, HDL-P, large and medium HDL, HDL size, and some HDL subspecies. Associations of alcohol consumption with CVD are largely independent of HDL parameters. The associations of HDL parameters with incident CVD are generally not attenuated or modified by alcohol consumption.

Liver Enzymes and the Risk of Stroke among the General Japanese Population: A Prospective Cohort Study

INTRODUCTION

Stroke is a major cause of morbidity and mortality. Liver enzymes, alanine aminotransferase (ALT), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), and gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT), are markers of liver diseases with potential cardiovascular implications. This study aimed to investigate the prospective association between liver enzymes and stroke risk.

METHODS

We analyzed data from 3,379 men and 4,007 women without cardiovascular disease and registered in the Suita Study, a Japanese population-based prospective cohort study. The hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) of stroke risk were estimated per quintiles of ALT, AST, and GGT in men and women.

RESULTS

Within a median follow-up period of 16.7 years, 438 incident stroke events were diagnosed. In men, compared to the second quintiles, the fifth (highest) quintiles of liver enzymes showed increased stroke risks: HRs (95% CIs) = 2.07 (1.35, 3.18) in ALT, 1.66 (1.10, 2.53) in AST, and 1.76 (1.11, 2.81) in GGT. The associations did not change with cerebral infarction risk: HRs (95% CIs) = 2.09 (1.24, 3.50) in ALT, 1.84 (1.11, 3.06) in AST, and 1.74 (1.00, 3.04) in GGT. The lowest ALT, AST, and GGT quintiles tended to show increased stroke and cerebral infarction risks, yet these associations were statistically insignificant. No such associations were shown in women.

CONCLUSION

Elevated ALT, AST, and GGT levels were associated with increased stroke and cerebral infarction risks among Japanese men.

Identification of Biomarkers Related to Metabolically Unhealthy Obesity in Korean Obese Adolescents: A Cross-Sectional Study

BACKGROUND

The current study aimed to screen for relationships and different potential metabolic biomarkers involved between metabolically healthy obesity (MHO) and metabolically unhealthy obesity (MUO) in adolescents.

METHODS

The study included 148 obese adolescents aged between 14 and 16. The study participants were divided into MUO and MHO groups based on the age-specific adolescent metabolic syndrome (MetS) criteria of the International Diabetes Federation. The current study was conducted to investigate the clinical and metabolic differences between the MHO and MUO groups. Multivariate analyses were conducted to investigate the metabolites as independent predictors for the odds ratio and the presence of the MetS.

RESULTS

There were significant differences in the three acylcarnitines, five amino acids, glutamine/glutamate ratio, three biogenic amines, two glycerophospholipids, and the triglyceride-glucose index between the MUO group and those in the MHO group. Moreover, several metabolites were associated with the prevalence of MUO. Additionally, several metabolites were inversely correlated with MHO in the MUO group.

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, the biomarkers found in this study have the potential to reflect the clinical outcomes of the MUO group. These biomarkers will lead to a better understanding of MetS in obese adolescents.

Circulating FGF21 Concentration, Fasting Plasma Glucose and the Risk of Type 2 Diabetes: Results from the PREVEND study

OBJECTIVE

Fibroblast growth factor 21 (FGF21) is a peptide hormone that is synthesized by several organs and regulates, amongst others, energy homeostasis. In obesity, insulin resistance and type 2 diabetes (T2D), higher circulating FGF21 concentrations have been found. Temporal analyses in murine studies demonstrate that FGF21 increases before insulin resistance occurs. The current study aims to investigate in time-to-event analyses whether FGF21 may be an early biomarker in the development of T2D.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Circulating FGF21 was measured using an immunoassay of the Mesoscale U-PLEX assay platform. The study outcome was incident T2D. Associations of circulating FGF21 concentration with type 2 diabetes were quantified using Cox proportional hazards models with adjustments for potential confounders.

RESULTS

We included 5,244 participants aged 52 ± 12 years, of whom 50% were male. Median [interquartile range] circulating FGF21 concentration was 860 [525-1,329] pg/mL. During 7.3 [6.1-7.7] years of follow-up, 299 (5.7%) participants developed type 2 diabetes. In fully adjusted analyses, higher circulating FGF21 concentration was associated with an increased risk of incident type 2 diabetes (HR per doubling: 1.26 [95% CI: 1.06-1.51]; P = 0.008), with effect modification by fasting plasma glucose, consistent with strengthening of the association at lower fasting glucose (interaction coefficient: -0.12; P = 0.022).

CONCLUSIONS

Higher circulating FGF21 concentrations are independently associated with an increased risk of incident T2D in participants with a low fasting plasma glucose, making circulating FGF21 concentration a potential early biomarker for type 2 diabetes.

A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Advanced Biomarkers for Predicting Incident Cardiovascular Disease among Asymptomatic Middle-Aged Adults

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) continues as the most important cause of mortality. Better risk screening and prediction are needed to reduce the cardiovascular disease burden. The aim of the study was to assess the role of serum biomarkers in the prediction of CVD among asymptomatic middle-aged adults with no prior CVD history. A systematic review and meta-analysis were carried out using literature from PubMed and following PRISMA reporting guidelines. Twenty-five studies met our inclusion criteria and were included in the systematic review. The most commonly studied biomarker was high-sensitivity C reactive protein (hs-CRP) (10 studies), which showed that higher hs-CRP levels are associated with an increased risk of subsequent CVD events and mortality. In addition, several less-studied biomarkers (N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), fibrinogen, gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT), and others) also showed significant associations with greater future risk of CVD. A meta-analysis was possible to perform for hs-CRP and NT-proBNP, which showed statistically significant results for the ability of hs-CRP (hazard ratio (HR) 1.19, (95% CI: 1.09−1.30), p < 0.05) and NT-proBNP (HR 1.22, (1.13−1.32), p < 0.05) to predict incident CVD among middle-aged adults without a prior CVD history or symptoms. Several serum biomarkers, particularly hs-CRP and NT-proBNP, have the potential to improve primary CVD risk prevention among asymptomatic middle-aged adults.

Fasting Proinsulin Independently Predicts Incident Type 2 Diabetes in the General Population

Fasting proinsulin levels may serve as a marker of β-cell dysfunction and predict type 2 diabetes (T2D) development. Kidneys have been found to be a major site for the degradation of proinsulin. We aimed to evaluate the predictive value of proinsulin for the risk of incident T2D added to a base model of clinical predictors and examined potential effect modification by variables related to kidney function. Proinsulin was measured in plasma with U-PLEX platform using ELISA immunoassay. We included 5001 participants without T2D at baseline and during a median follow up of 7.2 years; 271 participants developed T2D. Higher levels of proinsulin were associated with increased risk of T2D independent of glucose, insulin, C-peptide, and other clinical factors (hazard ratio (HR): 1.28; per 1 SD increase 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.08–1.52). Harrell’s C-index for the Framingham offspring risk score was improved with the addition of proinsulin (p = 0.019). Furthermore, we found effect modification by hypertension (p = 0.019), eGFR (p = 0.020) and urinary albumin excretion (p = 0.034), consistent with an association only present in participants with hypertension or kidney dysfunction. Higher fasting proinsulin level is an independent predictor of incident T2D in the general population, particularly in participants with hypertension or kidney dysfunction.

Association of Four Nutritional Scores With All-Cause and Cardiovascular Mortality in the General Population

Background and Aims

Malnutrition is a well known risk factor for adverse outcomes in patients with cancer, cardiovascular disease (CVD) and chronic kidney disease, but epidemiological evidence on its relationship with the long-term risk of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular death is limited.

Methods

A total of 20,116 adults from the United States National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2007–2014 were enrolled. The Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index (GNRI), Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI), Controlling Nutritional Status (CONUT) score, and Triglycerides (TG) × Total Cholesterol (TC) × Body Weight (BW) Index (TCBI) were calculated at baseline. Cox regression and the Kaplan–Meier analysis were conducted when participants were divided into three groups according to the tertiles of objective nutritional scores. Restricted cubic spline was performed to further explore the shape of the relationship between all-cause mortality, cardiovascular death, and nutritional scores. In addition, the area under the curve (AUC), continuous net reclassification improvement (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) were conducted to assess which nutritional scores have the greatest predictive value for all-cause death and cardiovascular death in the general population.

Results

The cumulative incidence of all-cause death and cardiovascular death was significantly higher in participants with a higher CONUT score, lower GNRI, and lower PNI. TCBI showed the worst performance on grading and risk assessment. After adjusting confounding factors, the lowest PNI and GNRI tertile and highest COUNT score were independently and significantly associated with increased risk of all-cause death (all P < 0.01) and cardiovascular death (all P < 0.05) analyzed by a multivariate Cox regression model. An L-shaped association between the HR (hazard ratio) of all-cause mortality and nutritional scores (GNRI, PNI and TCBI) was observed in the overall populations. In addition, the PNI had the highest predictive value for all-cause mortality [AUC: 0.684, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.667–0.701] and cardiovascular death (AUC: 0.710, 95% CI: 0.672–0.749) in the general population compared with other nutritional scores.

Conclusion

The poorer the nutritional status of the general population, the higher the all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality. The PNI score may provide more useful predictive values than other nutritional scores.

Plasma creatine concentration is associated with incident hypertension in a cohort enriched for the presence of high urinary albumin concentration: the Prevention of Renal and Vascular Endstage Disease study

OBJECTIVE

: Hypertension is a major risk factor for cardiovascular disease, kidney disease, and premature death. Increased levels of creatine kinase are associated with development of hypertension. However, it is unknown if creatine, a substrate of CK, is associated with the development of hypertension. We therefore, aimed to investigate the association between plasma creatine concentration and incident hypertension.

METHODS

We measured fasting plasma creatine concentrations by nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy in participants of the population-based PREVEND study. The study outcome was incident hypertension, defined as either a SBP of at least 140 mmHg, a DBP of at least 90 mmHg, or the new usage of antihypertensive drugs. Participants with hypertension at baseline were excluded.

RESULTS

We included 3135 participants (46% men) aged 49 ± 10 years. Mean plasma creatine concentrations were 36.2 ± 17.5 μmol/l, with higher concentrations in women than in men (42.2 ± 17.6 versus 29.2 ± 17.6 μmol/l; P < 0.001). During a median of 7.1 [interquartile range: 3.6-7.6] years of follow-up, 927 participants developed incident hypertension. Higher plasma creatine concentrations were associated with an increased risk of incident hypertension [HR per doubling of plasma creatine: 1.21 (95% confidence interval: 1.10-1.34); P < 0.001], which remained significant after adjustment for potential confounders. Sex-stratified analyses demonstrated higher plasma creatine that was independently associated with an increased risk of incident hypertension in men [hazard ratio: 1.26 (95% CI 1.11-1.44); P < 0.001], but not in women (hazard ratio: 1.13 (95% CI 0.96-1.33); P = 0.14]. Causal pathway analyses demonstrate that the association was not explained by sodium or protein intake.

CONCLUSION

Higher plasma creatine is associated with an increased risk of hypertension in men. Future studies are warranted to determine the underlying mechanisms.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, circulating ketone bodies and all-cause mortality in a general population-based cohort

BACKGROUND

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is increasingly prevalent, paralleling the obesity epidemic. Ketone bodies are produced in the liver, but it is currently uncertain whether circulating ketone bodies are increased in the context of NAFLD. We investigated the association between NAFLD and circulating ketone bodies and determined the extent to which NAFLD and circulating ketone bodies are associated with all-cause mortality.

METHODS

Plasma ketone bodies were measured by nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy in participants of the general population-based PREVEND study. A fatty liver index (FLI) ≥60 was regarded as a proxy of NAFLD. Associations of an elevated FLI and ketone bodies with all-cause mortality were investigated using Cox regression analyses.

RESULTS

The study included 6,297 participants aged 54 ± 12 years, of whom 1,970 (31%) had elevated FLI. Participants with elevated FLI had higher total ketone bodies (194 [153-259] vs 170 [133-243] µmol/L; P < .001) than participants without elevated FLI. During 7.9 [7.8-8.9] years of follow-up, 387 (6%) participants died. An elevated FLI was independently associated with an increased risk of mortality (HR: 1.34 [1.06-1.70]; P = .02). Higher total ketone bodies were also associated with an increased mortality risk (HR per doubling: 1.29 [1.12-1.49]; P < .001). Mediation analysis suggested that the association of elevated FLI with all-cause mortality was in part mediated by ketone bodies (proportion mediated: 10%, P < .001).

CONCLUSION

Circulating ketone bodies were increased in participants with suspected NAFLD. Both suspected NAFLD and higher circulating ketone bodies are associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality.

A metabolomic index based on lipoprotein subfractions and branched chain amino acids is associated with incident hypertension

OBJECTIVE

The present study aims to evaluate the performance of the Diabetes Risk Index (DRI), a metabolomic index based on lipoprotein particles and branched chain amino acids, on the incidence of newly developed hypertension in a large community dwelling cohort.

METHODS

The DRI was calculated by combining 6 lipoprotein parameters [sizes of very-low-density lipoprotein (VLDL), low-density lipoprotein (LDL) and high-density lipoprotein (HDL), concentrations of large VLDL, small LDL, and large HDL particles], and the concentrations of valine and leucine. DRI scores were estimated in 4169 participants from the PREVEND prospective cohort. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to evaluate the association of DRI scores with incident hypertension.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 8.6 years, 924 new hypertension cases were ascertained. In analyses adjusted for age and sex, there was a significant association between DRI and incident hypertension with a hazard ratio (HR) per 1 SD increase of 1.45 (95% CI 1.36,1.54; p < 0.001). After additional adjustment for traditional risk factors, the HR remained significant (HR_adj 1.21, 95% CI 1.10, 1.33, p <0.001). Likewise, subjects in the top quartile of DRI presented with a higher risk of hypertension (HR_adj 1.64, 95% CI 1.28, 2.10, p <0.001). Furthermore, the net reclassification improvement assessment improved after the addition of DRI to a traditional risk model (p <0.001), allowing proper reclassification of 34% of the participants.

CONCLUSION

Higher DRI scores were associated with an increased risk of incident hypertension. Such association was independent of traditional clinical risk factors for hypertension.

Circulating trimethylamine-N-oxide is associated with all-cause mortality in subjects with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Trimethylamine-N-oxide (TMAO), a gut microbiota-liver metabolite, has been associated with cardiometabolic disease. However, whether TMAO is associated with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and NAFLD-related health outcomes remains unclear. We aimed to investigate the association of TMAO with NAFLD and to assess the extent to which the association of TMAO with all-cause mortality is dependent on the presence of NAFLD in the general population.

METHODS

We included 5292 participants enrolled in the Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-stage Disease (PREVEND) cohort study. Cox proportional-hazards regression analyses were performed to study the association of TMAO with all-cause mortality in subjects with and without a fatty liver index (FLI) ≥60, which was used as a proxy of NAFLD.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 8.2 years, 307 subjects died, of whom 133 were classified with NAFLD. TMAO was positively and independently associated with baseline FLI (Std β 0.08, 95% CI 0.05, 0.11, P < .001). Higher TMAO was associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality in subjects with NAFLD, in crude analysis (hazard ratio [HR] per 1 SD, 2.55, 95% CI 1.60, 4.05, P < .001) and after full adjustment (_adj HR 1.90, 95% CI 1.18, 3.04, P = .008). Such an association was not present in subjects without NAFLD (crude HR 1.14, 95% CI 0.81, 1.71, P = .39; _adj HR 0.95, 95% CI 0.65, 1.39, P = .78).

CONCLUSION

This prospective study revealed that plasma concentrations of TMAO were associated with all-cause mortality in subjects with NAFLD, independently of traditional risk factors.

Mahalanobis distance, a novel statistical proxy of homeostasis loss is longitudinally associated with risk of type 2 diabetes

Background

The potential role of individual plasma biomarkers in the pathogenesis of type 2 diabetes (T2D) has been broadly studied, but the impact of biomarkers interaction remains underexplored. Recently, the Mahalanobis distance (MD) of plasma biomarkers has been proposed as a proxy of physiological dysregulation. Here we aimed to investigate whether the MD calculated from circulating biomarkers is prospectively associated with development of T2D.

Methods

We calculated the MD of the Principal Components (PCs) integrating the information of 32 circulating biomarkers (comprising inflammation, glycemic, lipid, microbiome and one-carbon metabolism) measured in 6247 participants of the PREVEND study without T2D at baseline. Cox proportional-hazards regression analyses were performed to study the association of MD with T2D development.

Findings

After a median follow-up of 7·3 years, 312 subjects developed T2D. The overall MD (mean (SD)) was higher in subjects who developed T2D compared to those who did not: 35·65 (26·67) and 30.75 (27·57), respectively (P = 0·002). The highest hazard ratio (HR) was obtained using the MD calculated from the first 31 PCs (per 1 log-unit increment) (1·72 (95% CI 1·42,2·07), P < 0·001). Such associations remained after the adjustment for age, sex, plasma glucose, parental history of T2D, lipids, blood pressure medication, and BMI (HR_adj 1·37 (95% CI 1·11,1·70), P = 0·004).

Interpretation

Our results are in line with the premise that MD represents an estimate of homeostasis loss. This study suggests that MD is able to provide information about physiological dysregulation also in the pathogenesis of T2D.

Funding

The Dutch Kidney Foundation (Grant E.033).

Self-reported alcohol consumption, carbohydrate deficient transferrin and risk of cardiovascular disease: The PREVEND prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Self-reported alcohol consumption is an established risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD). Carbohydrate deficient transferrin (CDT) is an established objective marker of excessive alcohol consumption, but data on its prospective association with CVD are lacking. We aimed to evaluate the associations of self-reported alcohol consumption and CDT (expressed as %CDT, a more reliable marker than absolute CDT levels) with CVD risk.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In the PREVEND prospective study of 5,206 participants (mean age, 53 years; 47.7% males), alcohol consumption by self-reports, absolute CDT measured using the Siemens nephelometric assay and %CDT calculated as the percentage of total transferrin concentrations, were assessed at baseline. Alcohol consumption was classified into 5 categories: abstention (reference), light, light-moderate, moderate and heavy alcohol consumption.Hazard ratios (HRs) (95% confidence intervals [CI]) for first CVD events were estimated.

RESULTS

Mean (SD) of %CDT was 1.59 (0.54) %. During a median follow-up of 8.3 years, 326 first CVD events were recorded. Compared with abstainers, the multivariable-adjusted HRs (95% CIs) of CVD for light, light-moderate, moderate and heavy alcohol consumption were 0.66 (0.46-0.95), 0.83 (0.62-1.11), 0.83 (0.61-1.14) and 0.80 (0.48-1.36), respectively. Light alcohol consumption was associated with reduced coronary heart disease risk 0.62 (0.40-0.96), whereas light-moderate alcohol consumption was associated with reduced stroke risk 0.45 (0.24-0.83). The association of %CDT with CVD risk was not significant.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings confirm the established association between self-reported light to moderate alcohol consumption and reduced CVD risk. However, %CDT within the normal reference range may not be a risk indicator for CVD.

HDL Particle Subspecies and Their Association With Incident Type 2 Diabetes: The PREVEND Study

CONTEXT

High-density lipoproteins (HDL) may be protective against type 2 diabetes (T2D) development, but HDL particles vary in size and function, which could lead to differential associations with incident T2D. A newly developed nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR)-derived algorithm provides concentrations for 7 HDL subspecies.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to investigate the association of HDL particle subspecies with incident T2D in the general population.

METHODS

Among 4828 subjects of the Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-Stage Disease (PREVEND) study without T2D at baseline, HDL subspecies with increasing size from H1P to H7P were measured by NMR (LP4 algorithm of the Vantera NMR platform).

RESULTS

A total of 265 individuals developed T2D (median follow-up of 7.3 years). In Cox regression models, HDL size and H4P (hazard ratio [HR] per 1 SD increase 0.83 [95% CI, 0.69-0.99] and 0.85 [95% CI, 0.75-0.95], respectively) were inversely associated with incident T2D, after adjustment for relevant covariates. In contrast, levels of H2P were positively associated with incident T2D (HR 1.15 [95% CI, 1.01-1.32]). In secondary analyses, associations with large HDL particles and H6P were modified by body mass index (BMI) in such a way that they were particularly associated with a lower risk of incident T2D, in subjects with BMI < 30 kg/m2.

CONCLUSION

Greater HDL size and lower levels of H4P were associated with a lower risk, whereas higher levels of H2P were associated with a higher risk of developing T2D. In addition, large HDL particles and H6P were inversely associated with T2D in nonobese subjects.

Association of beta-hydroxybutyrate with development of heart failure: Sex differences in a Dutch population cohort

BACKGROUND

In the failing heart, energy metabolism is shifted towards increased ketone body oxidation. Nevertheless, the association of beta-hydroxybutyrate (β-OHB) with development of heart failure (HF) remains unclear. We investigated the association between plasma β-OHB and the risk of HF in a prospective population-based cohort.

DESIGN

Plasma β-OHB concentrations were measured in 6134 participants of the PREVEND study. Risk of incident HF with reduced (HFrEF) or preserved (HFpEF) ejection fraction was estimated using multivariable-adjusted Cox regression models.

RESULTS

During median follow-up for 8.2 years, 227 subjects were diagnosed with HF (137 with HFrEF; 90 with HFpEF). Cox regression analyses revealed a significant association of higher β-OHB concentrations with incident HF (HR per 1 standard deviation increase, 1.40 (95% CI: 1.21-1.63; P < .001), which was largely attributable to HFrEF. In women, the hazard ratio (HR) for HFrEF per 1 standard deviation increase in β-OHB was 1.73 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.17-2.56, P = .005) in age, BMI, type 2 diabetes, hypertension, myocardial infarction, smoking, alcohol consumption, total cholesterol, HDL-C, triglycerides, glucose, eGFR and UAE adjusted analysis. In men, in the same fully adjusted analysis, the HR was 1.14 (CI: 0.86-1.53, P = .36) (P < .01 for sex interaction). In N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP)-stratified analysis, the age-adjusted association with HF was significant in women with higher NT-proBNP levels (P = .008).

CONCLUSIONS

This prospective study suggests that high plasma concentrations of β-OHB are associated with an increased risk of HFrEF, particularly in women. The mechanisms responsible for the sex differences of this association warrant further study.

Plasma creatine and incident type 2 diabetes in a general population-based cohort: The PREVEND study

BACKGROUND

Type 2 diabetes is associated with both impaired insulin action at target tissues and impaired insulin secretion in pancreatic beta cells. Mitochondrial dysfunction may play a role in both insulin resistance and impaired insulin secretion. Plasma creatine has been proposed as a potential marker for mitochondrial dysfunction. We aimed to investigate the association between plasma creatine and incident type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

We measured fasting plasma creatine concentrations by nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy in participants of the general population-based PREVEND study. The study outcome was incident type 2 diabetes, defined as a fasting plasma glucose ≥7.0 mmol/L (126 mg/dl); a random sample plasma glucose ≥11.1 mmol/L (200 mg/dl); self-report of a physician diagnosis or the use of glucose-lowering medications based on a central pharmacy registration. Associations of plasma creatine with type 2 diabetes were quantified using Cox proportional hazards models and were adjusted for potential confounders.

RESULTS

We included 4735 participants aged 52 ± 11 years, of whom 49% were male. Mean plasma creatine concentrations were 36.7 ± 17.6 µmol/L, with lower concentrations in males than in females (30.4 ± 15.1 µmol/L vs. 42.7 ± 17.7 µmol/L; p for difference <.001). During 7.3 [6.2-7.7] years of follow-up, 235 (5.4%) participants developed type 2 diabetes. Higher plasma creatine concentrations were associated with an increased risk of incident type 2 diabetes (HR per SD change: 1.27 [95% CI: 1.11-1.44]; p < .001), independent of potential confounders. This association was strongly modified by sex (p interaction <.001). Higher plasma creatine was associated with an increased risk of incident type 2 diabetes in males (HR: 1.40 [1.17-1.67]; p < .001), but not in females (HR: 1.10 [0.90-1.34]; p = .37).

CONCLUSION

Fasting plasma creatine concentrations are lower in males than in females. Higher plasma creatine is associated with an increased risk of type 2 diabetes in males.

Serum alanine aminotransferase activity and risk factors for cardiovascular disease in a Caucasian population: the Tromsø study

Background

High and low levels of serum alanine aminotransferase (ALT) are both associated with cardiovascular diseases (CVD) risks especially in elderly, but the mechanisms are less known. This study investigated associations between ALT and CVD risk factors including effects of sex and age in a Caucasian population.

Methods

Cross-sectional data were analysed sex-stratified in 2555 men (mean age 60.4 years) and 2858 women (mean age 60.0 years) from the population study Tromsø 6. Associations were assessed by variance analysis and multivariable logistic regression of odds to have abnormal ALT. Risk factors included body mass index (BMI), waist-to-hip-ratio, blood pressure, lipids, glucose, glycated haemoglobin and high-sensitive C-reactive protein (CRP).

Results

Abnormal elevated ALT was detected in 113 men (4.4%) and 188 women (6.6%). Most CVD risk factors associated positively with ALT in both sexes except systolic blood pressure and CRP (women only), while ALT was positively associated with age in men when adjusted for CVD risk factors, P < 0.001. BMI predicted ALT in men (OR 0.94; 95% CI 0.88–1.00, P = 0.047) and women (OR 0.90; 95% CI 0.86–0.95, P < 0.001). A linear inversed association between age and ALT in men and a non-linear inversed U-trend in women with maximum level between 60 and 64 years were found.

Conclusion

This study confirms a positive relationship between ALT and CVD risk factors, particularly BMI. Age is not a major confounder in the ALT-CVD relationship, but separate sex-analyses is recommended in such studies.

Aspartate aminotransferase and mortality in patients with ischemic heart disease

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Evidence on the association between aspartate aminotransferase (AST) activity and mortality of patients with ischemic heart disease (IHD) is limited. We investigated whether there is an association between AST activity and mortality in IHD patients.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The study included 6857 patients with coronary angiography-proven IHD and AST activity within the reference range. AST activity measurements were available in all patients. The primary outcome was 3-year cardiac mortality. Patients were categorized in groups according to the AST activity tertiles: a group with AST within the 1st tertile (AST < 17.0 U/L), a group with AST within the 2nd tertile (AST > 17-24.5 U/L) and a group with AST within the 3rd tertile (AST > 24.5 U/L). Cardiac death (n = 297) occurred in 109, 69 and 119 patients in the 1st to 3rd AST tertiles (Kaplan-Meier estimates of mortality: 5.3%, 3.6% and 5.9%; univariable hazard ratio [HR] = 1.75, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.30-2.36, P < 0.001 for tertile 3 vs. 2; HR = 1.13 [0.87-1.46], P = 0.370 for tertile 3 vs. 1; and HR = 0.65 [0.48-0.87], P = 0.004 for tertile 2 vs. 1). The association between AST and cardiac mortality was U-shaped. AST values <15 U/L (HR = 1.118 [1.009-1.238]) and >23 U/L (HR = 1.029 [1.003-1.056]) were associated with higher cardiac mortality compared with the reference value (21 U/L). After adjustment, the association between AST and cardiac mortality was attenuated (P = 0.133) but remained non-linear (P = 0.047).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with IHD, AST activity was associated with the risk of cardiac mortality with a U-shaped relationship. After adjustment, the association between AST and mortality was attenuated.

Association between alanine aminotransferase within the normal range and all-cause and cause-specific mortality: A nationwide cohort study

Background and aim

We sought to determine the association between alanine aminotransferase (ALT) in the normal range and mortality in the absence of liver dysfunction to better understand ALT’s clinical significance beyond liver injury and inflammation.

Methods

A cohort of 2,708 male and 3,461 female adults aged 20–75 years without liver dysfunction (ALT<30 in males & <19 in females, negative viral serologies, negative ultrasound-based steatosis, no excess alcohol consumption) from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES)-III (1988–1994) were linked to the National Death Index through December 31, 2015. Serum ALT levels were categorized into sex-specific quartiles (Females: <9, 9–11, 11–14, ≥14 IU/L, Male: <12, 12–15, 15–20, ≥20 U/L). The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated, adjusting for covariates and accounting for the complex survey design.

Results

Relative to males in the lowest quartile (Q1), males in the highest quartile (Q4) had 44% decreased risk of all-cause mortality (aHR [95% CI]: 0.56 [0.42, 0.74]). Females in Q4 had 45% decreased risk of all-cause mortality (aHR [95% CI]: 0.55 [0.40, 0.77]). Males with BMI <25 kg/m² in Q4 had significantly lower risk of all-cause mortality than Q1; however, this association did not exist in males with BMI ≥25 (BMI<25: 0.36 [0.20, 0.64], BMI≥25: 0.77 [0.49, 1.22]). Risk of all-cause mortality was lower in males ≥50 years than in males<50 (age≥50: 0.55 [0.39, 0.77], age<50: 0.81 [0.39, 1.69]). These age- and BMI-related differences were not seen in females.

Conclusion

ALT within the normal range was inversely associated with all-cause mortality in U.S. adults.

Plasma C-Peptide and Risk of Developing Type 2 Diabetes in the General Population

C-peptide measurement may represent a better index of pancreatic β-cell function compared to insulin. While insulin is mainly cleared by liver, C-peptide is mainly metabolized by kidneys. The aim of our study was to evaluate the association between baseline plasma C-peptide level and the development of type 2 diabetes independent of glucose and insulin levels and to examine potential effect-modification by variables related to kidney function. We included 5176 subjects of the Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-Stage Disease study without type 2 diabetes at baseline. C-peptide was measured in plasma with an electrochemiluminescent immunoassay. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to evaluate the association between C-peptide level and type 2 diabetes development. Median C-peptide was 722 (566-935) pmol/L. During a median follow-up of 7.2 (6.0-7.7) years, 289 individuals developed type 2 diabetes. In multivariable-adjusted Cox regression models, we observed a significant positive association of C-peptide with the risk of type 2 diabetes independent of glucose and insulin levels (hazard ratio (HR): 2.35; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.49-3.70). Moreover, we found significant effect modification by hypertension and albuminuria (p < 0.001 and p = 0.001 for interaction, respectively), with a stronger association in normotensive and normo-albuminuric subjects and absence of an association in subjects with hypertension or albuminuria. In this population-based cohort, elevated C-peptide levels are associated with an increased risk of type 2 diabetes independent of glucose, insulin levels, and clinical risk factors. Elevated C-peptide level was not independently associated with an increased risk of type 2 diabetes in individuals with hypertension or albuminuria.

Circulating liver enzymes and risks of chronic diseases and mortality in the prospective EPIC-Heidelberg case-cohort study

OBJECTIVES

Elevated liver enzyme concentrations in blood are indicative of liver diseases and may provide an early signal for being at risk for other chronic diseases. Our study aimed to assess the relationships of alkaline phosphatase (ALP), gamma-glutamyltransferase (GGT), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), aspartate transaminase (AST) and the De Ritis ratio (AST/ALT) with incidence and mortality of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) and the four most common cancers, that is, breast, prostate, colorectal and lung.

SETTING, PARTICIPANTS AND OUTCOME MEASURES

We analysed a case-cohort sample of the prospective European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition-Heidelberg cohort, including cancer (n=1632), cancer mortality (n=761), CVD (n=1070), CVD mortality (n=381) and a random subcohort (n=2739) with an average follow-up duration of 15.6 years. Concentrations of liver enzymes were measured in prediagnostic blood samples and Prentice-weighted Cox regression models were used to estimate HRs with 95% CIs.

RESULTS

High ALP levels were associated with increased risk for lung cancer and all-cause mortality (highest vs lowest quartile, multivariable adjusted HR=2.39 (95% CI 1.30 to 4.39), HR=1.31 (95% CI 1.02 to 1.67)), high AST levels with all-cause mortality (HR=1.45 (95% CI 1.15 to 1.82)), and a high De Ritis ratio with prostate cancer risk, all-cause and cancer mortality (HR=1.61 (95% CI 1.10 to 2.36), HR=1.60 (95% CI 1.25 to 2.04), HR=1.67 (95% CI 1.26 to 2.23)). Using cut-points for liver enzyme levels above normal, we observed positive associations for all-cause mortality with ALP, GGT and AST, and assigning a combined risk score resulted in positive associations with all-cause and cause-specific mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Measurements of serum liver enzymes, as routinely performed in health check-ups, may support the identification of individuals at increased risk for all-cause mortality. Further prospective studies are needed to verify our first results on individual cancers and on a combined risk score.

Concentration of Branched-Chain Amino Acids Is a Strong Risk Marker for Incident Hypertension

The potential role of branched-chain amino acids (BCAAs) in the pathogenesis of cardiometabolic diseases is increasingly recognized, but the association of BCAAs with incident hypertension remains unknown. The aim of the present study was to explore the association of BCAAs with incident hypertension in a prospective population-based cohort study. We measured plasma concentrations of BCAAs by means of nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy in 4169 participants from the PREVEND (Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-stage Disease) study. We estimated the risk of incident hypertension using multivariable-adjusted Cox regression models. After a median follow-up of 8.6 years, incident hypertension was ascertained in 924 subjects. Cox regression analyses revealed a significant association between BCAAs and incident hypertension. The hazard ratio per one SD of BCAAs was 1.11 (95% CI, 1.02-1.20; P=0.01) after full adjustment for multiple clinical variables. Likewise, the fully adjusted association remained significant when evaluated as categorical variable (hazard ratio for upper quartile with lowest quartile as reference category, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.11-1.68; P=0.003). Furthermore, the net reclassification improvement assessment improved after addition of BCAAs to a traditional risk model (P<0.001). This prospective study revealed that high plasma concentrations of BCAAs are associated with an increased risk of newly developed hypertension. The association remained after adjusting for age, sex, body mass index, and lipid profile.

Alanine Aminotransferase and Body Composition in Obese Men and Women

There is a known relationship between serum alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and obesity in humans, but the mechanism(s) are not clarified. This study investigated the associations between serum ALT and body composition in an overweight and obese population. The results are based on data from a previous randomized controlled trial treating obesity with vitamin D₃. A sample of 448 overweight and obese individuals underwent dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DEXA) and measured serum ALT along with supplementary blood samples at study baseline. Body fat mass and lean mass indexes were calculated by dividing total body fat/lean weight (kg) by body height squared (kg/m²). ALT correlated with body mass index (BMI) in men but not women (r = 0.33, P < 0.0001 vs. r = 0.06, P = 0.29). In men, serum ALT correlated positively with fat mass index (r = 0.23, P = 0.004) and lean mass index (r = 0.32, P < 0.0001). In women, ALT correlated with lean mass index (r = 0.13, P = 0.031) but not fat mass index (r = 0.003, P = 0.96). In a multivariate model adjusted for age and fat mass index, a 1-unit increase in lean mass index associated with a 0.37 U/L higher ALT in the male subgroup (95% CI 0.024 to 0.040, P < 0.0001). In conclusion, serum ALT was associated with body fat mass index in men and with lean mass index in men and women in an overweight and obese population. The findings also demonstrate a gender difference in the role of fat.

No beneficial effects of resveratrol supplementation on atherogenic risk factors in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

Introduction: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) accounts as a major cause of mortality among patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Resveratrol, a natural polyphenol compound, is known for its antioxidant and antiatherogenic properties and is purported to be beneficial in decreasing CVD risk factors in NAFLD patients. Objectives: This study aimed to investigate the effects of resveratrol on atherogenic risk factors in patients with NAFLD. Methods: This randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial was performed on 50 patients with NAFLD aged 20-60 years. Subjects were randomly assigned to receive a daily dose of 600 mg resveratrol (n = 25) or placebo (n = 25) for 12 wk. Serum liver enzymes, lipid profile and atherogenic indices, blood pressure and anthropometric values were assessed pre and post-treatment. Results: Resveratrol supplementation reduced body weight (from 88.75 ± 11.41 to 87.54 ± 11.18 kg, P = 0.005) and BMI (from 31.00 ± 3.16 to 30.60 ± 3.26 kg/m², P = 0.01) significantly compared to the placebo group. A significant reduction in waist circumference was observed within resveratrol group (from 102.70 ± 7.68 to 101.39 ± 7.62 cm, P = 0.02). There were no significant changes in lipid profile (ox-LDL, ApoA1 and ApoB), serum atherogenic indices (LDL-C/HDL-C, ApoB/ApoA1, ox-LDL/ApoB, LDL-C/ox-LDL and AIP), liver enzymes (AST, ALT, ALP and GGT), hip circumference, waist-to-hip ratio and blood pressure in either group (P > 0.05 for all). Conclusion: These findings indicated that resveratrol supplementation in dose and duration used in this study did not affect most of the CVD risk factors in NAFLD patients. Further studies are warranted to explain more effects of resveratrol on CVD complications of NAFLD. Registration ID in IRCT: IRCT201511233664N16.

Does nonalcoholic fatty liver disease cause cardiovascular disease? Current knowledge and gaps

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is highly prevalent and includes a spectrum of abnormalities ranging from steatosis to cirrhosis. In this review, we address recent evidence and limitations of studies that evaluated the association of NAFLD with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. NAFLD is considered an ectopic fat deposit associated with metabolic (insulin resistance, hyperglycemia and dyslipidemia), inflammatory, coagulation and blood pressure disturbances. Prospective studies have associated NAFLD presence and severity, particularly steatohepatitis and fibrosis, with an increased risk of cardiovascular disease. However, these studies are limited by heterogeneity concerning NAFLD diagnostic criteria and disease severity stratification, as well as by the presence of confounding factors. In addition, genetic variants predisposing to NAFLD, such as the PNPLA3 I148M mutation, were not consistently associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular events. Therefore, currently, it is not possible to prove a causal relation between NAFLD and cardiovascular disease. Furthermore, there is presently no evidence that NAFLD diagnosis can be used as a tool to improve cardiovascular risk stratification and modify treatment. Specific treatments for NAFLD are being developed and must be tested prospectively in adequately designed trials to determine the potential of reducing both hepatic and cardiovascular diseases and to prove whether NAFLD is indeed a cause of atherosclerosis.

Plasma Branched-Chain Amino Acids and Risk of Incident Type 2 Diabetes: Results from the PREVEND Prospective Cohort Study

Plasma branched-chain amino acids (BCAAs) are linked to metabolic disease, but their relevance for prediction of type 2 diabetes development is unclear. We determined the association of plasma BCAAs with type 2 diabetes risk in the prevention of renal and vascular end-stage disease (PREVEND) cohort. The BCAAs were measured by means of nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy. We evaluated the prospective associations of BCAAs with type 2 diabetes in 6244 subjects. The BCAAs were positively associated with HOMA-IR after multivariable adjustment (p < 0.0001). During median follow-up for 7.5 years, 301 cases of type 2 diabetes were ascertained. The Kaplan-Meier plot demonstrated that patients in the highest BCAA quartile presented a higher risk (p log-rank < 0.001). Cox regression analyses revealed a positive association between BCAA and type 2 diabetes; the hazard ratio (HR) for the highest quartile was 6.15 (95% CI: 4.08, 9.24, p < 0.0001). After adjustment for multiple clinical and laboratory variables, the association remained (HR 2.80 (95% CI: 1.72, 4.53), p < 0.0001). C-statistics, Net reclassification improvement, and −2 log likelihood were better after adding BCAAs to the traditional risk model (p = 0.01 to <0.001). In conclusions, high concentrations of BCAAs associate with insulin resistance and with increased risk of type 2 diabetes. This association is independent of multiple risk factors, HOMA-IR and β cell function.

Plasma calprotectin and risk of cardiovascular disease: Findings from the PREVEND prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

We aimed to assess the association of circulating calprotectin, an inflammation-associated protein, with cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk and determine whether it improves risk prediction.

METHODS

Plasma calprotectin measurements were made at baseline in 5290 participants in the PREVEND prospective study. Hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals [CI]) for CVD were calculated.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up of 8.3 years, 339 first CVD events were recorded. Calprotectin concentration was correlated with several conventional risk factors as well as with high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) (r = 0.42). Calprotectin was log-linearly associated with CVD risk. The risk for CVD adjusted for conventional cardiovascular risk factors was 1.26 (95% CI, 1.13-1.41) per 1 standard deviation higher baseline log_e calprotectin, and was 1.24 (95% CI, 1.11-1.39) following further adjustment for triglycerides, body mass index, and other potential confounders. The association remained present after further adjustment for hsCRP 1.15 (95% CI, 1.02-1.30). Comparing extreme quartiles of plasma calprotectin levels, the corresponding adjusted HRs for CVD were 1.96 (1.37-2.82), 1.89 (1.31-2.72), and 1.56 (1.07-2.29). The association of calprotectin with CVD risk did not vary importantly in several relevant clinical subgroups. Adding calprotectin to the Framingham CVD Risk Score was associated with a C-index change (0.0016; p=0.42) difference in -2 log likelihood (p=0.038), IDI (0.0080; p < 0.001), and NRI (4.03%; p=0.024).

CONCLUSIONS

There is a log-linear association of calprotectin concentration with risk of CVD, which may be partly dependent on hsCRP. Adding calprotectin to conventional risk factors improves CVD risk assessment using measures of reclassification and -2 log likelihood.

Self-Reported Smoking, Urine Cotinine, and Risk of Cardiovascular Disease: Findings From the PREVEND (Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-Stage Disease) Prospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

We aimed to compare the associations of smoking exposure as assessed by self-reports and urine cotinine with cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk and determine the potential utility of cotinine for CVD risk prediction.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Smoking status by self-reports and urine cotinine were assessed at baseline in 4737 participants (mean age, 53 years) of the PREVEND (Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-Stage Disease) prospective study. Participants were classified as never, former, light current (≤10 cigarettes/day), and heavy current smokers (>10 cigarettes/day) according to self-reports and analogous cutoffs for urine cotinine. During a median follow-up of 8.5 years, 296 first CVD events were recorded. Compared with self-reported never smokers, the hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) of CVD for former, light current, and heavy current smokers were 0.86 (0.64-1.17), 1.28 (0.83-1.97), and 1.80 (1.27-2.57) in multivariate analysis. Compared with urine cotinine-assessed never smokers, the corresponding hazard ratios of CVD for urine cotinine-assessed former, light current, and heavy current smokers were 1.70 (1.03-2.81), 1.62 (1.15-2.28), and 1.95 (1.39-2.73) respectively. The C-index change on adding urine cotinine-assessed smoking status to a standard CVD risk prediction model (without self-reported smoking status) was 0.0098 (0.0031-0.0164; P=0.004). The corresponding C-index change for self-reported smoking status was 0.0111 (0.0042-0.0179; P=0.002).

CONCLUSIONS

Smoking status as assessed by self-reports and urine cotinine is associated with CVD risk; however, the nature of the association of urine cotinine with CVD is consistent with a dose-response relationship. The ability of urine cotinine to improve CVD risk assessment is similar to that of self-reported smoking status.

Incident type 2 diabetes is associated with HDL, but not with its anti-oxidant constituent - paraoxonase-1: The prospective cohort PREVEND study

OBJECTIVE

High-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) is an established risk marker for cardiovascular disease and consistently associated with type 2 diabetes risk. Serum paraoxonase-1 (PON-1) - an anti-oxidant constituent of HDL - is inversely associated with cardiovascular disease risk, but its relationship with incident type 2 diabetes is uncertain. We aimed to investigate the prospective association between PON-1 and type 2 diabetes risk.

METHODS

PON-1 was measured as its arylesterase activity at baseline in the Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-stage Disease (PREVEND) prospective study of 5947 predominantly Caucasian participants aged 28-75years with no pre-existing diabetes, that recorded 500 type 2 diabetes cases during a median follow-up of 11.2years.

RESULTS

Serum PON-1 was positively correlated with HDL-C (r=0.17; P<0.001). In analyses adjusted for conventional diabetes risk factors, the hazard ratio (95% CI) for type 2 diabetes per 1 standard deviation increase in PON-1 was 1.07 (0.98 to 1.18; P=0.13), which remained non-significant (1.02 (0.93 to 1.12) P=0.65) after additional adjustment for potential confounders. The association was unchanged on further adjustment for HDL-C (1.05 (0.96 to 1.15; P=0.29). However, in subsidiary analyses in the same set of participants, serum HDL-C concentration was inversely and independently associated with risk of type 2 diabetes.

CONCLUSIONS

Incident type 2 diabetes is associated with HDL cholesterol but not with its anti-oxidant constituent - PON-1 - in a large cohort of apparently healthy men and women. The current data question the importance of PON-1 activity for the development of diabetes.

The inverse association of HDL-cholesterol with future risk of hypertension is not modified by its antioxidant constituent, paraoxonase-1: The PREVEND prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

High-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), an established risk marker for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (CVD), has been shown to be inversely and independently associated with incident hypertension. Paraoxonase-1 (PON-1) is an HDL-bound esterase enzyme associated with CVD, but its relationship with incident hypertension has not been previously investigated. We aimed at evaluating the prospective association between PON-1 and hypertension risk.

METHODS

PON-1 arylesterase activity was measured in serum at baseline in 3988 participants without pre-existing hypertension in the Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-stage Disease (PREVEND) prospective population-based study. During a median follow-up of 10.7 years, 1206 participants developed hypertension.

RESULTS

In age- and sex-adjusted analysis, the hazard ratio (95% CI) for incident hypertension per 1 standard deviation increase in PON-1 was 1.01 (0.96-1.07; p = 0.656), which remained non-significant after adjustment for several established hypertension risk factors and other potential confounders (0.99, 0.93 to 1.05; p = 0.764). The association was also non-existent on further adjustment for HDL-C (1.00 (0.94-1.06; p = 0.936)) and did not importantly vary across several clinical subgroups. In analyses in the same set of participants, HDL-C was continuously inversely and independently associated with hypertension risk; the association persisted after further adjustment for PON-1 activity and was not modified by PON-1 activity.

CONCLUSIONS

In this Caucasian cohort of men and women, HDL-C, but not its anti-oxidant constituent - PON-1, is inversely, continuously and independently associated with future risk of hypertension. The association is independent of and not modified by PON-1.

Elevated Liver Enzymes and Mortality in Older Individuals: A Prospective Cohort Study

AIM OF THE STUDY

The aim of the study was to determine the excess risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in older people with elevated liver enzymes [alanine transaminase (ALT) and gamma glutamyltransferase (GGT)].

METHODS

We utilized data from a large, prospective, population based study of 2061 people aged 50 to 99 years with linkage to a National Death Registry. Participants were categorized as having elevated liver enzymes using standard thresholds (for males, GGT>51 and ALT>40 IU/L, and GGT>33 and ALT>31 IU/L for females). Adjusted Cox proportional hazards models assessed the association of elevated liver enzymes and mortality with long duration follow-up.

RESULTS

Over a median follow-up of 10 years (20,145 person years), 701 people died, including 203 (34%) from cardiovascular disease. Cox regression models adjusted for sex, age, smoking, and alcohol intake indicated that people with elevated liver enzymes had an increased risk of all-cause mortality that was modified by age (test for interaction P=0.01). Age-stratified analyses demonstrated no increased risk at younger ages [age 59 y and below; hazard ratio (HR): 0.46; 95% confidence interval, 0.06-3.49], but increased risk with age; age 60 to 69, HR: 1.05 (0.53-2.07), age 70 to 79 years, HR: 1.54 (0.81 to 2.93), and age 80 years and above, HR: 3.53 (1.55 to 8.04). Similarly, the risk of cardiovascular mortality with elevated liver enzymes was also modified by, and increased with age (test for interaction P=0.02); age 70 to 79, HR: 3.15 (1.37 to 7.23), age 80 years and above, HR: 6.86 (2.44 to 19.30).

CONCLUSIONS

In community-dwelling elderly persons, an elevation in both ALT and GGT are associated with an excess risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality which increases with age.

Soluble Vascular Cell Adhesion Molecules May be Protective of Future Cardiovascular Disease Risk: Findings from the PREVEND Prospective Cohort Study

Aim: Soluble cell adhesion molecules, such as vascular cell adhesion molecule-1 (VCAM-1), intercellular adhesion molecule-1, E-selectin, and P-selectin, have been suggested to be associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk; however, the nature and magnitude of the association between VCAM-1 and CVD risk is uncertain. We aimed to assess the association of VCAM-1 with CVD risk and determine its potential utility for CVD risk prediction.

Methods: VCAM-1 concentrations were measured at baseline in the PREVEND prospective study of 2,638 participants. Hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals [CI]) and measures of risk discrimination for CVD (e.g., C-index) and reclassification (i.e., net reclassification improvement) of participants were assessed.

Results: During a median follow-up of 9.9 years, 614 CVD events occurred. Plasma VCAM-1 was weakly associated with several cardiovascular risk markers. In analyses adjusted for established cardiovascular risk factors, the hazard ratio (95% CI) for CVD per 1 standard deviation increase in loge VCAM-1 was 0.91 (0.84–0.99; P = 0.020), which remained consistent after additional adjustment for body mass index, alcohol consumption, triglycerides, renal function, and C-reactive protein; hazard ratio (95% CI) 0.89 (0.82–0.97; P = 0.006). Comparing the top versus bottom quintiles of VCAM-1 levels, the corresponding adjusted hazard ratios were 0.74 (0.57–0.96; P = 0.023) and 0.70 (0.54–0.91; P = 0.007) respectively. Adding VCAM-1 to a CVD risk prediction model containing conventional risk factors did not improve the C-index or net reclassification.

Conclusions: Plasma VCAM-1 is inversely and independently associated with CVD. However, VCAM-1 provides no significant improvement in CVD risk assessment beyond conventional CVD risk factors.

Associations of the fatty liver and hepatic steatosis indices with risk of cardiovascular disease: Interrelationship with age

BACKGROUND

The fatty liver index (FLI) and the hepatic steatosis index (HSI), are biomarker-based algorithms developed as proxies for non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). We assessed associations of FLI and HSI with cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The FLI and HSI were estimated at baseline in the PREVEND cohort involving 6340 participants aged 28-75years without pre-existing CVD.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 10.5years, 631 CVD events occurred. In age-and sex-adjusted analysis, the hazard ratio (HR) (95% CI) for CVD comparing FLI≥60 versus FLI<30 was 1.53 (1.25-1.88); which was attenuated to 0.89 (0.70-1.13) on adjustment for conventional cardiovascular risk factors. The association remained absent after additional adjustment for potential confounders 0.85 (0.65-1.11). Comparing HSI>36 versus HSI<30, the corresponding adjusted HRs were 1.29 (1.02-1.65), 0.84 (0.65-1.09) and 0.79 (0.55-1.13) respectively. Subgroup analyses suggested a positive association in younger participants (<50years) for FLI and inverse associations in older participants (≥50years) for both indices (P for interaction for all=0.001).

CONCLUSION

Current data suggest age interactions in the association of NAFLD (as assessed by FLI or HSI) with CVD risk in a general Caucasian population.

Complex association of serum alanine aminotransferase with the risk of future cardiovascular disease in type 2 diabetes

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

We aimed to determine the prospective association between baseline serum levels of alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and the incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) in people with type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

In an open cohort setting, people with type 2 diabetes were followed for their first ever CVD presentation from 1995 to 2015. Statistical methods included Cox regression analysis for reporting of hazard ratios (HRs), artificial neural network modelings, and risk reclassification analyses.

RESULTS

We found a nearly constant CVD hazard with baseline serum ALT levels below the 30 IU/L mark, whereas baseline serum ALT levels ≥ 30 IU/L remained an independent predictor of lower CVD rates in patients with type 2 diabetes in the final multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model (HR: 0.204, 95%CI [0.060-0.689], p_{for trend} value = 0.006). Age, male gender and fasting plasma insulin levels independently predicted baseline serum ALT ≥ 30 IU/L among the population cohort. Augmentation of serum ALT into the weighted Framingham risk score resulted in a considerable net reclassification improvement (NRI) of coronary heart disease (CHD) risk prediction in the study population (NRI = 9.05% (8.01%-10.22%), p value < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Serum ALT could successfully reclassify about 9% of the population with type 2 diabetes across the CHD-affected and CHD-free categories. Overall, our findings demonstrate a complex and nonlinear relationship for the risk of future CVD by baseline serum ALT levels in patients with type 2 diabetes. Further studies are warranted to confirm whether this complex association could be translated into a clearly visible U or J-shaped figure.

Relation of Alanine Aminotransferase Levels to Cardiovascular Events and Statin Efficacy

The relation between hepatic serum markers within the normal range and cardiovascular risk is uncertain. We sought to address this issue within a prospective randomized trial of statin therapy. Men and women (n = 17,515) free of cardiovascular disease participating in a randomized placebo controlled trial of rosuvastatin 20 mg/day had baseline levels of alanine aminotransferase (ALT) below <40 IU/l and were followed prospectively for the first-ever cardiovascular events. Cox proportional hazards models were used to calculate the relative risks of these events according to increasing tertiles and each SD increase in baseline ALT levels. ALT levels at study entry, all within the normal range, were inversely associated with age, smoking status, and inflammation and were positively associated with male gender, alcohol use, and triglycerides. Incident cardiovascular event rates were highest in those in the lowest tertile of baseline ALT; specifically, incidence rates were 1.43, 0.98, and 0.85 per 100 person-years of exposure for those in the lowest, middle, and highest tertile of baseline ALT within the normal range, respectively (p <0.001). These inverse effects remained statistically significant after multivariate adjustment for a wide range of vascular risk factors risk markers such that each higher SD unit of ALT was associated with an 18% lower event rate (relative risk 0.82, 95% confidence interval 0.72 to 0.93, p = 0.002). The efficacy of statin therapy was not modified by baseline ALT level. In conclusion, increasing ALT levels within the normal range are inversely associated with future cardiovascular risk but had limited clinical utility and also did not modify the efficacy of statin therapy.