Epidemiology of Atrial Fibrillation: Geographic/Ecological Risk Factors, Age, Sex, Genetics

AI-based derivation of atrial fibrillation phenotypes in the general and critical care populations

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common heart arrhythmia worldwide and is linked to a higher risk of mortality and morbidity. To predict AF and AF-related complications, clinical risk scores are commonly employed, but their predictive accuracy is generally limited, given the inherent complexity and heterogeneity of patients with AF. By classifying different presentations of AF into coherent and manageable clinical phenotypes, the development of tailored prevention and treatment strategies can be facilitated. In this study, we propose an artificial intelligence (AI)-based methodology to derive meaningful clinical phenotypes of AF in the general and critical care populations.

METHODS

Our approach employs generative topographic mapping, a probabilistic machine learning method, to identify micro-clusters of patients with similar characteristics. It then identifies macro-cluster regions (clinical phenotypes) in the latent space using Ward's minimum variance method. We applied it to two large cohort databases (UK-Biobank and MIMIC-IV) representing general and critical care populations.

FINDINGS

The proposed methodology showed its ability to derive meaningful clinical phenotypes of AF. Because of its probabilistic foundations, it can enhance the robustness of patient stratification. It also produced interpretable visualisation of complex high-dimensional data, enhancing understanding of the derived phenotypes and their key characteristics. Using our methodology, we identified and characterised clinical phenotypes of AF across diverse patient populations.

INTERPRETATION

Our methodology is robust to noise, can uncover hidden patterns and subgroups, and can elucidate more specific patient profiles, contributing to more robust patient stratification, which could facilitate the tailoring of prevention and treatment programs specific to each phenotype. It can also be applied to other datasets to derive clinically meaningful phenotypes of other conditions.

FUNDING

This study was funded by the DECIPHER project (LJMU QR-PSF) and the EU project TARGET (10113624).

Machine learning-based model to predict composite thromboembolic events among Chinese elderly patients with atrial fibrillation

OBJECTIVE

Accurate prediction of survival prognosis is helpful to guide clinical decision-making. The aim of this study was to develop a model using machine learning techniques to predict the occurrence of composite thromboembolic events (CTEs) in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation(AF). These events encompass newly diagnosed cerebral ischemia events, cardiovascular events, pulmonary embolism, and lower extremity arterial embolism.

METHODS

This retrospective study included 6,079 elderly hospitalized patients (≥ 75 years old) with AF admitted to the People's Liberation Army General Hospital in China from January 2010 to June 2022. Random forest imputation was used for handling missing data. In the descriptive statistics section, patients were divided into two groups based on the occurrence of CTEs, and differences between the two groups were analyzed using chi-square tests for categorical variables and rank-sum tests for continuous variables. In the machine learning section, the patients were randomly divided into a training dataset (n = 4,225) and a validation dataset (n = 1,824) in a 7:3 ratio. Four machine learning models (logistic regression, decision tree, random forest, XGBoost) were trained on the training dataset and validated on the validation dataset.

RESULTS

The incidence of composite thromboembolic events was 19.53%. The Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) method, using 5-fold cross-validation, was applied to the training dataset and identified a total of 18 features that exhibited a significant association with the occurrence of CTEs. The random forest model outperformed other models in terms of area under the curve (ACC: 0.9144, SEN: 0.7725, SPE: 0.9489, AUC: 0.927, 95% CI: 0.9105-0.9443). The random forest model also showed good clinical validity based on the clinical decision curve. The Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) showed that the top five features associated with the model were history of ischemic stroke, high triglyceride (TG), high total cholesterol (TC), high plasma D-dimer, age.

CONCLUSIONS

This study proposes an accurate model to stratify patients with a high risk of CTEs. The random forest model has good performance. History of ischemic stroke, age, high TG, high TC and high plasma D-Dimer may be correlated with CTEs.

Atrial Fibrillation Prediction Based on Recurrence Plot and ResNet

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most prevalent form of arrhythmia, with a rising incidence and prevalence worldwide, posing significant implications for public health. In this paper, we introduce an approach that combines the Recurrence Plot (RP) technique and the ResNet architecture to predict AF. Our method involves three main steps: using wavelet filtering to remove noise interference; generating RPs through phase space reconstruction; and employing a multi-level chained residual network for AF prediction. To validate our approach, we established a comprehensive database consisting of electrocardiogram (ECG) recordings from 1008 AF patients and 48,292 Non-AF patients, with a total of 2067 and 93,129 ECGs, respectively. The experimental results demonstrated high levels of prediction precision (90.5%), recall (89.1%), F1 score (89.8%), accuracy (93.4%), and AUC (96%) on our dataset. Moreover, when tested on a publicly available AF dataset (AFPDB), our method achieved even higher prediction precision (94.8%), recall (99.4%), F1 score (97.0%), accuracy (97.0%), and AUC (99.7%). These findings suggest that our proposed method can effectively extract subtle information from ECG signals, leading to highly accurate AF predictions.

Borderline personality disorder and risk of atrial fibrillation: insights from a bidirectional Mendelian randomization study

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is one of the most common form of arrhythmia. Previous studies have shown a link between AF and mental illness. However, the causal relationship between mental illness and AF remains unclear. The purpose of this study was to investigate the bidirectional causal relationship between borderline personality disorder (BPD) and AF.

Method

We used the bidirectional Two-sample Mendelian randomization (TSMR) method to evaluate the causal relationship between BPD and AF. Instrumental variables associated with BPD were derived from a genome-wide association study involving 214,816 Europeans (2,637 cases and 212,179 controls). We then obtained atrial fibrillation data from the GWAS meta-analysis (60,620 cases and 970,216 controls). The TSMR analyses were performed in five methods, namely fixed-effect inverse-variance weighted (IVW) method、random-effect IVW method, MR Egger regression method, Weighted median method and Simple mode method. Several sensitivity analyses are used to test the robustness of positive results.

Results

The fixed-effect inverse-variance weighted model [Odds ratio (OR), 1.033, 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.011-1.056, P = 0.0031], random-effect inverse-variance weighted model (OR, 1.033; 95%CI, 1.005-1.062; P = 0.0191) and Weighted median (OR, 1.034; 95%CI, 1.002-1.068; P = 0.0394) all showed that genetically predicted BPD was associated with an increased risk of AF. Sensitivity analysis using other MR Methods, including the MR-Egger intercept, MR-Presso method, and leave-one-out analyses, showed that the results were robust. In reverse MR analysis, there was no causal relationship of AF on BPD.

Conclusion

Our study provides a causal relationship between BPD and AF. This means that patients with BPD should be monitored for the occurrence of AF. Early screening and proper management of BPD may show anti-arrhythmic benefits.

2024 Chinese Expert Consensus Guidelines on the Diagnosis and Treatment of Atrial Fibrillation in the Elderly, Endorsed by Geriatric Society of Chinese Medical Association (Cardiovascular Group) and Chinese Society of Geriatric Health Medicine (Cardiovascular branch): Executive Summary

The consensus guidelines of the Geriatric Society of Chinese Medical Association on the management of atrial fibrillation (AF) in the elderly was first published in 2011 and updated in 2016, with endorsement by Chinese Society of Geriatric Health Medicine. Since then, many important studies regarding the screening and treatment in the elderly population have been reported, necessitating this updated expert consensus guideline. The writing committee members comprehensively reviewed updated evidence pertaining to elderly patients with AF, and formulated this 2024 update. The highlighted issues focused on the following: screening for AF, geriatric comprehensive assessment, use of the Atrial fibrillation Better Care (ABC) pathway for the elderly patients, and special clinical settings related to elderly patients with AF. New recommendations addressing smart technology facilitated AF screening, ABC pathway based management, and optimal anticoagulation were developed, with a focus on the elderly.

Global burden of atrial fibrillation/atrial flutter and its attributable risk factors from 1990 to 2021

AIMS

To devise effective preventive measures, a profound understanding of the evolving patterns and trends in atrial fibrillation (AF) and atrial flutter (AFL) burdens is pivotal. Our study was designed to quantify the burden and delineate the risk factors associated with AF and AFL across 204 countries and territories spanning 1990-2021.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Data pertaining to AF and AFL were sourced from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. The burden of AF/AFL was evaluated using metrics such as incidence, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), deaths, and their corresponding age-standardized rates (ASRs), stratified by age, sex, socio-demographic index (SDI), and human development index (HDI). The estimated annual percentage change was employed to quantify changes in ASRs. Population attributable fractions were calculated to determine the proportional contributions of major risk factors to age-standardized AF/AFL deaths. This analysis encompassed the period from 1990 to 2021. Globally, in 2021, there were 4.48 million incident cases [95% uncertainty interval (UI): 3.61-5.70], 8.36 million DALYs (95% UI: 6.97-10.13) and 0.34 million deaths (95% UI: 0.29-0.37) attributed to AF/AFL. The AF/AFL burden in 2021, as well as its trends from 1990 to 2021, displayed substantial variations based on gender, SDI quintiles, and geographical regions. High systolic blood pressure emerged as the leading contributor to age-standardized AF/AFL incidence, prevalence, death, and DALY rate globally among all potential risk factors, followed closely by high body mass index.

CONCLUSION

Our study underscores the enduring significance of AF/AFL as a prominent public health concern worldwide, marked by profound regional and national variations. Despite the substantial potential for prevention and management of AF/AFL, there is a pressing imperative to adopt more cost-effective strategies and interventions to target modifiable risk factors, particularly in areas where the burden of AF/AFL is high or escalating.

High Prevalence of Atrial Fibrillation Found in the Capital of Greenland When Using Continuous Electrocardiogram Monitoring: A Cross-Sectional Study

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risk of conditions such as ischemic stroke, dementia, and heart failure, and early detection is crucial. In Greenland, ischemic strokes are common, and the prevalences of AF risk factors are increasing. Studies based on 30-second electrocardiograms (ECGs) and diagnosis codes so far have indicated either a low prevalence of AF or a prevalence comparable to that in other Western countries, such as Denmark. However, using short, single-point ECGs may underestimate the true prevalence, as especially paroxysmal AF can be missed. With this study, we aim to estimate the prevalence of AF using 3-5-day continuous Holter recordings among people in Nuuk, the capital of Greenland.

Methods

In this cross-sectional study, we estimated the prevalence of AF among the population aged ≥ 50 years in Greenland's capital, Nuuk. We used an ePatch to record continuous ECGs for 3-5 days, and questionnaires to assess demographic data, comorbidities, medication, symptoms, and risk factors for AF.

Results

Of 226 participants (62% women), 21 (33% women) had either self-reported AF, AF on the recording, or both, equivalent to a prevalence of 9.3% (confidence interval [CI] 5.8-13.9). The age-stratified prevalence was 7.2% (CI 2.7-15.1) among those aged 50-59 years; 8.8% (CI 4.1-16.1) among those aged 60-69 years; and 18.2% (CI 7.0-35.5) among those aged ≥ 70 years.

Conclusions

This study provides a novel insight into AF prevalence in Nuuk, emphasizing the potential underestimation in previous studies. Continuous ECG monitoring revealed a higher prevalence, especially among the younger age groups, urging a reevaluation of diagnostic practices in this unique population.

Supermarket/hypermarket opportunistic screening for atrial fibrillation (SHOPS-AF) using sensors embedded in the handles of supermarket trolleys: A feasibility study

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risk of death, stroke, heart failure, cognitive decline, and healthcare costs but is often asymptomatic and undiagnosed. There is currently no national screening program for AF. The advent of validated hand-held devices allows AF to be detected in non-healthcare settings, enabling screening to be undertaken within the community.

METHOD AND RESULTS

In this novel observational study, we embedded a MyDiagnostick single lead ECG sensor into the handles of shopping trolleys in four supermarkets in the Northwest of England: 2155 participants were recruited. Of these, 231 participants either activated the sensor or had an irregular pulse, suggesting AF. Some participants agreed to use the sensor but refused to provide their contact details, or consent to pulse assessment. In addition, some data were missing, resulting in 203 participants being included in the final analyses. Fifty-nine participants (mean age 73.6 years, 43% female) were confirmed or suspected of having AF; 20 were known to have AF and 39 were previously undiagnosed. There was no evidence of AF in 115 participants and the remaining 46 recordings were non-diagnostic, mainly due to artefact. Men and older participants were significantly more likely to have newly diagnosed AF. Due to the number of non-diagnostic ECGs (n = 46), we completed three levels of analyses, excluding all non-diagnostic ECGs, assuming all non-diagnostic ECGs were masking AF, and assuming all non-diagnostic ECGs were not AF. Based on the results of the three analyses, the sensor's sensitivity (95% CI) ranged from 0.70 to 0.93; specificity from 0.15 to 0.97; positive predictive values (PPV) and negative predictive values (NPV) ranged from 0.24 to 0.56 and 0.55 to 1.00, respectively. These values should be interpreted with caution, as the ideal reference standard on 1934 participants was imperfect.

CONCLUSION

The study demonstrates that the public will engage with AF screening undertaken as part of their daily routines using hand-held devices. Sensors can play a key role in identifying asymptomatic patients in this way, but the technology must be further developed to reduce the quantity of non-diagnostic ECGs.

Cryoballoon pulmonary vein isolation versus radiofrequency ablation of the pulmonary veins and left atrial posterior wall: Patient-reported outcomes

BACKGROUND

Data are lacking on patient-reported outcomes (PRO) following cryoballoon ablation (CBA) versus radiofrequency ablation (RFA). We sought to evaluate QoL and clinical outcomes of cryoballoon pulmonary vein isolation only (CRYO-PVI-ONLY) versus RFA with PVI and posterior wall isolation (RF-PVI+PWI) in a large prospective PRO registry.

METHODS

Patients who underwent AF ablation (2013-2016) at our institution were enrolled in an automated, prospectively maintained PRO registry. CRYO-PVI-ONLY patients were matched (1:1) with RF-PVI+PWI patients based on age, gender, and type of AF (paroxysmal vs. persistent). QoL and clinical outcomes were assessed using PRO surveys at baseline and at 1-year. The atrial fibrillation symptom severity scale (AFSSS) was the measure for QoL. Additionally, we assessed patient-reported clinical improvement, arrhythmia recurrence, and AF burden (as indicated by AF frequency and duration scores).

RESULTS

A total of 296 patients were included (148 in each group, 72% paroxysmal). By PRO, a significant improvement in QoL was observed in the overall study population and was comparable between CRYO-PVI-ONLY and RF-PVI+PWI (baseline median AFSSS of 11.5 and 11; reduced to 2 and 4 at 1 year, respectively; p = 0.44). Similarly, the proportion of patients who reported improvement in their overall QoL and AF related symptoms was high and similar between the study groups [92% (CRYO-PVI-ONLY) vs. 92.8% (RF-PVI+PWI); p = 0.88]. Arrhythmia recurrence was significantly more common in the CRYO-PVI-ONLY group (39.7%) compared to RF-PVI+PWI (27.7 %); p = 0.03. Comparable results were observed in paroxysmal and persistent AF.

CONCLUSION

CRYO-PVI-ONLY and RF-PVI+PWI resulted in comparable improvements in patient reported outcomes including QoL and AF burden; with RF-PVI+PWI being more effective at reducing recurrences.

Fibrinaloid Microclots and Atrial Fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a comorbidity of a variety of other chronic, inflammatory diseases for which fibrinaloid microclots are a known accompaniment (and in some cases, a cause, with a mechanistic basis). Clots are, of course, a well-known consequence of atrial fibrillation. We here ask the question whether the fibrinaloid microclots seen in plasma or serum may in fact also be a cause of (or contributor to) the development of AF. We consider known 'risk factors' for AF, and in particular, exogenous stimuli such as infection and air pollution by particulates, both of which are known to cause AF. The external accompaniments of both bacterial (lipopolysaccharide and lipoteichoic acids) and viral (SARS-CoV-2 spike protein) infections are known to stimulate fibrinaloid microclots when added in vitro, and fibrinaloid microclots, as with other amyloid proteins, can be cytotoxic, both by inducing hypoxia/reperfusion and by other means. Strokes and thromboembolisms are also common consequences of AF. Consequently, taking a systems approach, we review the considerable evidence in detail, which leads us to suggest that it is likely that microclots may well have an aetiological role in the development of AF. This has significant mechanistic and therapeutic implications.

Comparing the Real-World and Clinical Trial Bleeding Rates Associated with Oral Anticoagulation Treatment for Atrial Fibrillation

Background The prevention of stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) involves the use of oral anticoagulation, commonly in the form of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs). However, it comes with an increased risk of bleeding, and therefore, counselling patients on their individual risks is important. Although the majority of patients initiated on DOACs have been represented within the clinical trials, some cohorts are under-represented in whom clinicians cannot practice evidence-based medicine. Methods Utilising the pooled clinical trial (CT) data sourced from Medidata Enterprise Data Store, five recent open-label industry-sponsored AF trials were compared with real-world data (RWD) sourced from the HealthVerity™ Marketplace with the occurrence of bleeding events as the primary outcome of interest. Results A total of 64,421 patients were included in the analysis, with 3207 patients from the clinical DOAC trials and 61,214 patients from the RWD cohort. Overall, the patients from the RWD cohort had more co-morbidities, were older (72.2 ± 11.9 vs. 65.3 ± 10.7 years old, p < 0.001), had higher mean CHA2DS2VASc (3.98 ± 1.9 vs. 2.87 ± 1.73, p < 0.001), and HAD-BLED scores (2.13 ± 1.02 vs. 1/04 ± 0.93, p < 0.001) when compared to the trial data. When comparing the incidence of the first major bleed at 12 months post-treatment initiation, rates in the RWD cohort were significantly higher (10.69 vs. 18.97 per 100 person-years). The impact of co-morbidities such as age, CHA2DS2VASc, and HAD-BLED scores was similar in both cohorts; however, there was an under-representation of older females and more co-morbid patients within the clinical trial cohort. Conclusions DOAC-treated patients have a higher bleeding incidence rate in the RWD cohort than in clinical trials. This can be explained by the older patient age group with more complex medical h istories and higher HAS-BLED scores. The under-representation of higher-risk patients and lower proportion of females within clinical trials should be addressed to better translate clinical trial data into real-world clinical practice.

Utility of polygenic scores across diverse diseases in a hospital cohort for predictive modeling

Polygenic scores estimate genetic susceptibility to diseases. We systematically calculated polygenic scores across 457 phenotypes using genotyping array data from China Medical University Hospital. Logistic regression models assessed polygenic scores' ability to predict disease traits. The polygenic score model with the highest accuracy, based on maximal area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), is provided on the GeneAnaBase website of the hospital. Our findings indicate 49 phenotypes with AUC greater than 0.6, predominantly linked to endocrine and metabolic diseases. Notably, hyperplasia of the prostate exhibited the highest disease prediction ability (P value = 1.01 × 10-19, AUC = 0.874), highlighting the potential of these polygenic scores in preventive medicine and diagnosis. This study offers a comprehensive evaluation of polygenic scores performance across diverse human traits, identifying promising applications for precision medicine and personalized healthcare, thereby inspiring further research and development in this field.

The Cost of Atrial Fibrillation: A Systematic Review

OBJECTIVES

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia, with an increasing incidence and prevalence because of progressively aging populations. Costs related to AF are both direct and indirect. This systematic review aims to identify the main cost drivers of the illness, assess the potential economic impact resulting from changes in care strategies, and propose interventions where they are most needed.

METHODS

A systematic literature search of the PubMed and Scopus databases was performed to identify analytical observational studies defining the cost of illness in cases of AF. The search strategy was based on the PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses) 2020 recommendations.

RESULTS

Of the 944 articles retrieved, 24 met the inclusion criteria. These studies were conducted in several countries. All studies calculated the direct medical costs, whereas 8 of 24 studies assessed indirect costs. The median annual direct medical cost per patient, considering all studies, was €9409 (13 333 US dollars in purchasing power parities), with a very large variability due to the heterogeneity of different analyses. Hospitalization costs are generally the main cost drivers. Comorbidities and complications, such as stroke, considerably increase the average annual direct medical cost of AF.

CONCLUSIONS

In most of the analyzed studies, inpatient care cost represents the main component of the mean direct medical cost per patient. Stroke and heart failure are responsible for a large share of the total costs; therefore, implementing guidelines to manage comorbidities in AF is a necessary step to improve health and mitigate healthcare costs.

Cryoablation Utilizing the KODEX-EPD Mapping System Versus Conventional Cryoballoon Ablation in the Management of Patients With Atrial Fibrillation: A Literature Review and Meta-Analysis

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most commonly encountered cardiac arrhythmia globally. AF is associated with different consequences, such as peripheral vascular embolism, stroke, dementia, heart failure, and death. Catheter ablation (CA) has become a reliable therapeutic option for symptomatic AF. Utilizing mapping systems in conducting cryoablation is supposed to improve pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) durability and overall treatment success rate. We performed a review of relevant articles. We formulated a search strategy as follows: (atrial fibrillation AND ("cryoballoon ablation" OR cryoablation) AND (KODEX-EPD AND KODEX OR mapping). Data were collected from Web of Science, PubMed, Cochrane Library, and SCOPUS databases. We assessed the efficacy, procedural characteristics, and safety of cryoablation using the KODEX-EPD mapping system versus conventional cryoablation. We demonstrated the superiority of cryoablation guided by the KODEX-EPD system as it was associated with a significantly lower recurrence rate after the procedure (RR = 0.61, P = 0.03). Furthermore, it allowed a significant reduction in the volume of contrast medium used during the procedure (MD = -20.46, P = 0.04) when compared to the conventional cryoablation. We found no significant difference between both procedures in terms of successful cryoballoon-based PVI (P = 1.00), procedural duration (P = 0.95), procedural complications (P = 0.607), fluoroscopic time (P = 0.36), and fluoroscopic dose (P = 0.16). The use of the novel KODEX-EPD mapping system in the cryoablation procedure was associated with a significant reduction of the volume of contrast medium use and the recurrence rate compared with the conventional cryoablation while preserving similar efficacy, safety profile, and procedure time.

Determining The Risk of Atrial Fibrillation Paroxysm in Patients With Chronic Heart Failure With Intact and Reduced Ejection Fraction

AIM

To determine predictors for the development of atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with chronic heart failure (CHF) with preserved and reduced ejection fraction by echocardiography (EchoCG) according to an extended protocol with determination of diastolic function and left atrial global strain.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Data of 168 patients with stage I-III CHF without a history of AF were analyzed. All patients underwent echocardiography according to an extended protocol with the determination of diastolic dysfunction (DD), left atrial ejection fraction (LA EF), and left atrial global strain (LA GS). Tissue Doppler imaging (TDI) was used to evaluate the early (E) and late (A) LV filling velocity and the early (E') and late (A') diastolic mitral annular velocity. In all patients, Holter ECG monitoring (HM ECG) of heart rhythm was performed for 3 days, and ECG monitoring with telemedicine technologies was performed for 7 days, 3 times a day for 3 minutes. The follow-up period was 3 months or until an AF episode.

RESULTS

During the study, paroxysmal AF (pAF) was detected in 41 (24.4%) patients using various methods of heart rhythm monitoring. Complaints of palpitations were noted for 10 (24.4%) patients during pAF, which was recorded using a CardioQVARK® device, HM ECG or a 12-lead ECG. In 5 (12.2%) patients, daily ECG monitoring revealed pAF without associated complaints. HM ECG detected 8, 2, 4 (19.5%, 4.8%, and 9.7%) cases during 24, 48 and 72 hours, respectively; a single-channel CardioQVARK® detected 30 (73.2%) cases when used 3 times a day for 7 days. These results showed that AF frequently develops in CHF without accompanying symptoms. The method for detecting pAF with CardioQVARK® showed good results: it was twice more effective than HM ECG and three times more effective than 12-lead ECG. Also, according to ultrasound data, significant changes in the following parameters were noted in patients with AF: LA EF <36% (OR 1.04, 95% CI: 1.02-1.08), p=0.003; LA GS <9.9% (OR 1.16, 95% CI: 1.02-1.38), p<0.001; TDI E med <5.7 cm/s (OR 0.97, 95% CI: 0.94-1.00), p=0.026. Grade 2 DD did not show statistically significant results (OR 1.1, 95% CI: 0.7-1.5, p=0.54). However, it was detected more frequently in patients with AF, in 34% of cases, compared to 29% of cases in patients without AF, which requires further study on a larger patient sample.

CONCLUSION

Patients with CHF have a high risk of developing pAF (24.4%). 75% of patients with AF do not feel the development of paroxysm. All CHF patients should undergo EchoCG with assessment of LA EF, TDI E med and LA GS to identify a group at risk for the development of AF. Heart rhythm remote monitoring with CardioQVARK® devices can be considered a reliable method for early detection of pAF and timely initiation of anticoagulant therapy in patients with CHF.

Enhancing the evaluation of acute ischemic stroke risk in individuals with non-valvular atrial fibrillation by including laboratory indicators

To investigate the clinical significance of the CHA2DS2-VASc-60 score, lipoprotein (a) [Lp(a)], red blood cell distribution width (RDW), and their combined effect in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) who experience acute ischemic stroke (AIS). This retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of hospitalized patients with NVAF at the Third Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University between April 1, 2020, and April 1, 2023. Based on the diagnosis of acute ischemic stroke (AIS), the patients were divided into two groups: the AIS group (150 cases of NVAF patients with comorbid AIS) and the non-AIS group (163 cases of NVAF patients without AIS). We performed CHA2DS2-VASc-60 scoring for all patients and collected their laboratory indicators and echocardiographic indicators during hospitalization. The study comprised 313 individuals with NVAF in total. There is a statistically significant difference (P < 0.05) in the comparison of CHA2DS2-VASc-60 score (5.68 ± 1.12 vs. 3.67 ± 1.47), Lp(a) [23.98 (13.28, 42.22) vs. 14.32 (7.96, 21.91)] and RDW (13.67 ± 1.25 vs. 12.94 ± 0.76) between NVAF patients with and without concomitant AIS. The results of the Spearman correlation analysis demonstrate a positive association between Lp(a) and RDW levels and both the CHA2DS2-VASc score and the CHA2DS2-VASc-60 score in patients with NVAF. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that CHA2DS2-VASc-60 score [OR = 6.549, 95% CI: 4.110-10.433, P < 0.05], Lp(a) [OR = 1.023, 95% CI: 1.005-1.041, P < 0.05], and RDW [OR = 1.644, 95% CI: 1.071-2.525, P < 0.05] were independent risk factors for AIS in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). The receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves showed that the area under the curve of CHA2DS2-VASc-60 score, Lp(a), RDW, and CHA2DS2-VASc-60 score combined with Lp(a) and RDW predicted that NVAF patients with AIS were 0.881 [95% CI: 0.804-0.906], 0.685 [95% CI: 0.626-0.744], 0.695 [95% CI: 0.637-0.754], and 0.906 [95% CI: 0.845-0.921], respectively. The CHA2DS2-VASc-60 score, Lp(a), and RDW were significantly increased in NVAF patients with AIS, which were independent risk factors for NVAF patients with AIS. The combination of the three has a high predictive capacity for NVAF patients with AIS.

Optoelectronic control of cardiac rhythm: Toward shock-free ambulatory cardioversion of atrial fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most prevalent cardiac arrhythmia, progressive in nature, and known to have a negative impact on mortality, morbidity, and quality of life. Patients requiring acute termination of AF to restore sinus rhythm are subjected to electrical cardioversion, which requires sedation and therefore hospitalization due to pain resulting from the electrical shocks. However, considering the progressive nature of AF and its detrimental effects, there is a clear need for acute out-of-hospital (i.e., ambulatory) cardioversion of AF. In the search for shock-free cardioversion methods to realize such ambulatory therapy, a method referred to as optogenetics has been put forward. Optogenetics enables optical control over the electrical activity of cardiomyocytes by targeted expression of light-activated ion channels or pumps and may therefore serve as a means for cardioversion. First proof-of-principle for such light-induced cardioversion came from in vitro studies, proving optogenetic AF termination to be very effective. Later, these results were confirmed in various rodent models of AF using different transgenes, illumination methods, and protocols, whereas computational studies in the human heart provided additional translational insight. Based on these results and fueled by recent advances in molecular biology, gene therapy, and optoelectronic engineering, a basis is now being formed to explore clinical translations of optoelectronic control of cardiac rhythm. In this review, we discuss the current literature regarding optogenetic cardioversion of AF to restore normal rhythm in a shock-free manner. Moreover, key translational steps will be discussed, both from a biological and technological point of view, to outline a path toward realizing acute shock-free ambulatory termination of AF.

Atrial fibrillation: comorbidities, lifestyle, and patient factors

Modern anticoagulation therapy has dramatically reduced the risk of stroke and systemic thromboembolism in people with atrial fibrillation (AF). However, AF still impairs quality of life, increases the risk of stroke and heart failure, and is linked to cognitive impairment. There is also a recognition of the residual risk of thromboembolic complications despite anticoagulation. Hence, AF management is evolving towards a more comprehensive understanding of risk factors predisposing to the development of this arrhythmia, its' complications and interventions to mitigate the risk. This review summarises the recent advances in understanding of risk factors for incident AF and managing these risk factors. It includes a discussion of lifestyle, somatic, psychological, and socioeconomic risk factors. The available data call for a practice shift towards a more individualised approach considering an increasingly broader range of health and patient factors contributing to AF-related health burden. The review highlights the needs of people living with co-morbidities (especially with multimorbidity), polypharmacy and the role of the changing population demographics affecting the European region and globally.

Association of Prediabetes and Recurrent Stroke in Atrial Fibrillation Patients: A Population-Based Analysis of Hospitalizations and Outcomes

Prediabetes is a risk factor for ischemic stroke in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients, yet, its impact on recurrent stroke in AF patients remains understudied. Using the 2018 National Inpatient Sample, we investigated the link between Prediabetes and recurrent stroke in AF patients with prior stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA). Among 18,905 non-diabetic AF patients, 480 (2.5%) had prediabetes. The prediabetic group, with a median age of 78, exhibited a two-fold higher risk of recurrent stroke compared to the non-prediabetic cohort (median age 82), as evidenced by both unadjusted (OR 2.14, 95% CI 1.72-2.66) and adjusted (adjusted for socio-demographics/comorbidities, OR 2.09, 95% CI 1.65-2.64, p < 0.001). The prediabetes cohort, comprising more male and Black patients, demonstrated associations with higher Medicaid enrollment, admissions from certain regions, and higher rates of hyperlipidemia, smoking, peripheral vascular disease, obesity, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (all p < 0.05). Despite higher rates of home health care and increased hospital costs in the prediabetes group, the adjusted odds of all-cause mortality were not statistically significant (OR 0.55, 95% CI 0.19-1.56, p = 0.260). The findings of this study suggest that clinicians should be vigilant in managing prediabetes in AF patients, and strategies to prevent recurrent stroke in this high-risk population should be considered.

Incidence of atrial fibrillation and flutter in Denmark in relation to country of origin: a nationwide register-based study

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation and flutter (AF) is the most common sustained arrhythmia with an increasing prevalence in Western countries. However, little is known about AF among immigrants compared to non-immigrants.

AIM

To examine the incidence of hospital-diagnosed AF according to country of origin.

METHOD

Immigrants were defined as individuals born outside Denmark by parents born outside Denmark. AF was defined as first-time diagnosis of AF. All individuals were followed from the age of 45 years from 1998 to 2017. The analyses were adjusted for sex, age, comorbidity, contact with the general practitioner and socioeconomic variables. Adjustment was conducted using standardised morbidity ratio weights, standardised to the Danish population in a marginal structural model.

RESULTS

The study population consisted of 3,489,730 Danish individuals free of AF and 108,914 immigrants free of AF who had emigrated from the 10 most represented countries. A total of 323,005 individuals of Danish origin had an incident hospital diagnosis of AF, among the immigrants 7,300 developed AF. Adjusted hazard rate ratios (HRRs) of AF for immigrants from Iran (0.48 [95%CI:0.35;0.64]), Turkey (0.74 [95%CI:0.67;0.82]) and Bosnia-Herzegovina (0.42 [95%CI:0.22;0.79]) were low compared with Danish individuals. Immigrants from Sweden, Germany and Norway had an adjusted HRR of 1.13 [95%CI:1.03;1.23], 1.12 [95%CI:1.05;1.18] and 1.11 [95%CI:1.03;1.21], respectively (Danish individuals as reference).

CONCLUSIONS

Substantial variation in the incidence of hospital-diagnosed AF according to country of origin was observed. The results may reflect true biological differences but could also reflect barriers to AF diagnosis for immigrants. Further efforts are warranted to determine the underlying mechanisms.

Association between Obesity and Heart Failure and Related Atrial Fibrillation: Patient-Level Data Comparisons of Two Cohort Studies

PURPOSE

Heart failure (HF) and atrial fibrillation (AF) frequently coexist, with over 50% patients with HF having AF, while one-third of those with AF develop HF. Differences in obesity-mediated association between HF and HF-related AF among Asians and Europeans were evaluated.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Using the Korean National Health Insurance Service-Health Screening (K-NHIS-HealS) cohort and the UK Biobank, we included 394801 Korean and 476883 UK adults, respectively aged 40-70 years. The incidence and risk of HF were evaluated based on body mass index (BMI).

RESULTS

The proportion of obese individuals was significantly higher in the UK Biobank cohort than in the K-NHIS-HealS cohort (24.2% vs. 2.7%, p<0.001). The incidence of HF and HF-related AF was higher among the obese in the UK than in Korea. The risk of HF was higher among the British than in Koreans, with adjusted hazard ratios of 1.82 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.30-2.55] in K-NHIS-HealS and 2.00 (95% CI, 1.69-2.37) in UK Biobank in obese participants (p for interaction <0.001). A 5-unit increase in BMI was associated with a 44% greater risk of HF-related AF in the UK Biobank cohort (p<0.001) but not in the K-NHIS-HealS cohort (p=0.277).

CONCLUSION

Obesity was associated with an increased risk of HF and HF-related AF in both Korean and UK populations. The higher incidence in the UK population was likely due to the higher proportion of obese individuals.

Potentially inappropriate prescribing in multimorbid and polymedicated older adults with AF: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

AIM

Polypharmacy in multimorbid older patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) is a risk factor for potentially inappropriate prescribing (PIP). We aimed to systematically assess the evidence on the prevalence of PIP and its impact on adverse health outcomes in this patient group.

METHODS

A systematic search of the published peer-reviewed literature describing the prevalence of PIP and/or its association with adverse health outcomes in multimorbid (AF plus one comorbidity) and polymedicated (≥ 2 drugs) adults ≥ 65 years was done up to March 2023. A meta-analysis of the prevalence of PIP of (direct) oral anticoagulants ((D)OACs) was conducted using a random-effects model. Leave-one-out analysis was performed with R (version 4.2.2) and RStudio (version 2022.12.0+353).

RESULTS

Of the 12 studies included, only one reported on the prevalence of overall PIP (65%). The meta-analysis of 10 studies assessing PIP of (D)OACs produced a pooled prevalence [95% confidence interval (CI)] of 35% [30-40%], with significant heterogeneity between the included studies (I2 95%). No statistically significant association was reported in three studies between PIP of (D)OACs, cardiovascular (CV) and all-cause mortality, hospital readmission, CV hospitalisation and stroke. Reported associations between PIP and major bleeding differed, with one study demonstrating a significant association (odds ratio 2.17; 95% CI 1.14-4.12) and the other study not showing such association.

CONCLUSION

This systematic review highlights the scarce evidence regarding the prevalence of PIP and its association with adverse health outcomes in multimorbid older adults with AF. Large, prospective and better-designed studies are needed.

Feasibility study of cryoballoon ablation for atrial fibrillation with KODEX-EPD: a single center experience

To evaluate the feasibility of cryoballoon (CB) ablation of atrial fibrillation (AF) under the guidance of a new three-dimensional (3D) mapping system KODEX-EPD. 40 patients scheduled for CB ablation of AF in the first affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University from August 2021 to July 2022 were randomly divided into two groups: KODEX-EPD 3D mapping system guidance group (KODEX group, n = 20) and conventional two-dimensional perspective group (standard group, n = 20). The ablation time, operation time, fluoroscopy time, fluoroscopy dose, contrast agent dosage and follow-up data were compared between the two groups. Besides, the feasibility and accuracy of the dielectric sensing system in evaluating pulmonary vein (PV) occlusion in patients with AF during CB ablation were verified. All pulmonary veins were being isolated. The ablation time (36.40 ± 6.72 min vs 35.15 ± 6.29 min, P > 0.05) and the operation time (64.20 ± 11.82 min vs 66.00 ± 13.18 min, P > 0.05) were not statistically different in the two groups. The standard group has longer fluoroscopy time, dose and contrast medium dosage. There were significant differences in fluoroscopy time (532.30 ± 72.83 s vs 676.25 ± 269.33 s, P < 0.05), fluoroscopy dose (110.00 ± 28.64 mGy vs 144.68 ± 66.66 mGy, P < 0.05), and contrast medium dosage (71.90 ± 5.97 ml vs 76.05 ± 5.93 ml, P < 0.05) between the two groups. The learning curves of the first 5 patients and the last 15 patients in the KODEX group were compared. There was no statistical difference in the ablation time (36.80 ± 8.56 min vs 36.27 ± 6.34 min, P > 0.05) or the operation time (69.00 ± 5.00 min vs 62.60 ± 13.10 min, P > 0.05); however, compared to the first 5 patients, fluoroscopy time (587.40 ± 38.34 s vs 513.93 ± 73.02 s, P < 0.05), fluoroscopy dose (147.85 ± 35.19 mGy vs 97.39 ± 8.80 mGy, P < 0.05) and contrast medium dosage (79.60 ± 1.14 ml vs 69.33 ± 4.45 ml, P < 0.05) were significantly decreased. Using pulmonary venography as the gold standard, the sensitivity, specificity of the completely occlusion in KODEX group was 93.6% (95% CI 85-97.6%) and 69.6% (95% CI 54-81.8%); and the sensitivity, specificity of the small leak in KODEX group was 93.1% (95% CI 82.4-97.8%) and 82.0% (95% CI 65.9-91.9%). During an average follow-up of (9.90 ± 1.06) months, there was no statistical difference in arrhythmia recurrence and antiarrhythmic drugs taking after CB ablation between the two groups (P > 0.05). Using the KODEX-EPD system, the CB ablation procedure can correctly evaluate the PV occlusion, and significantly reduce fluoroscopy exposure and contrast medium without significantly increasing the operation time.

Stroke in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation: Epidemiology, Screening, and Prognosis

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained arrythmia and one of the strongest risk factors and causal mechanisms of ischemic stroke (IS). Acute IS due to AF tends to be more severe than with other etiology of IS and patients with treated AF have reported to experience worse outcomes after endovascular treatment compared with patients without AF. As cardioembolism accounts for more than a fifth of ISs and the risk of future stroke can be mitigated with effective anticoagulation, which has been shown to be effective and safe in patients with paroxysmal or sustained AF, the screening of patients with cryptogenic IS (CIS) for AF is paramount. Embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) is a subtype of CIS with a high likelihood of cardioembolism. The European Stroke Organization and European Society of Cardiology guidelines recommend at least 72 h of screening when AF is suspected. The longer the screening and the earlier the time point after acute IS, the more likely the AF paroxysm is found. Several methods are available for short-term screening of AF, including in-hospital monitoring and wearable electrocardiogram recorders for home monitoring. Implantable loop monitors provide an effective long-term method to screen patients with high risk of AF after IS and artificial intelligence and convolutional neural networks may enhance the efficacy of AF screening in the future. Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) are preferred over vitamin K antagonists in both primary and secondary prevention of IS in AF patients. Recent data from the randomized controlled trials (RCT) also suggest that early initiation of DOAC treatment after acute IS is safe compared to later initiation. Anticoagulation treatment may still predispose for intracranial bleeding, particularly among patients with prior cerebrovascular events. Left atrial appendix closure offers an optional treatment choice for patients with prior intracranial hemorrhage and may offer an alternative to oral anticoagulation even for patients with IS, but these indications await validation in ongoing RCTs. There are still controversies related to the association of found AF paroxysms in CIS patients with prolonged screening, pertaining to the optimal duration of screening and screening strategies with prolonged monitoring techniques in patients with ESUS. In this review, we summarize the current knowledge of epidemiology, screening, and prognosis in AF patients with stroke.

Catheter ablation approach and outcome in HIV+ patients with recurrent atrial fibrillation

INTRODUCTION

Earlier studies have shown a clear association between severity of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection and incident atrial fibrillation (AF). We present the long-term outcome of catheter ablation (CA) and electrophysiological characteristics in HIV+ AF patients.

METHODS

This study evaluated 1438 consecutive AF patients [31 (2.15%) with HIV and 1407 (97.8%) without HIV diagnosis] undergoing their first CA at our center. A total of 31 HIV patients and 31 controls were generated by propensity matching, based on calculated risk factor scores, using a logistic model. During first procedure, all received isolation of pulmonary vein (PV) + posterior wall and superior vena cava. Non-PV triggers, defined as ectopic triggers originating from sites other than PVs, were identified at the redo ablation with high-dose isoproterenol challenge.

RESULTS

Clinical characteristics were not different between the groups. When compared to the control, by the end of 5 years after the first procedure, recurrence was significantly greater in HIV group [100% vs. 54%, p < .001]. Among patients that underwent redo ablation non-PV triggers were higher in HIV group [93.5% vs. 54%, p < .001], and most frequently originated from the coronary sinus [67.7% vs. 45.2%, p < .001] and left atrial appendage [41.9% vs. 25.8%, p < .001]. After focal ablation of non-PV trigger, no difference in arrhythmia recurrence between two groups [80.6% vs. 87.1%, p = .753] at 1-year follow up was found.

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest that non-PV triggers are highly prevalent in HIV+ AF patients resulting in higher rate of the mid- and long-term arrhythmia recurrence.

Risk of arterial thromboembolism, bleeding and mortality in atrial fibrillation patients with comorbid cancer: A systematic review and meta-analysis

AIMS

Atrial fibrillation (AF) and cancer often co-exist. Each has been associated with an increased risk of morbidity and mortality. The aim of this meta-analysis was to synthesize available data regarding the incidence of arterial thromboembolism (TE), bleeding, and all-cause mortality in patients with AF with or without cancer.

METHODS

Literature search was conducted in PubMed, Ovid MEDLINE, WebOfScience, Scopus, CENTRAL, OpenGrey, and EThOS databases to identify studies that included patients with AF and accounted for cancer status with the incidence of TE (ischemic stroke, transient ischemic attack, or arterial thrombosis), major or clinically relevant non-major bleeding, and all-cause mortality. A random-effects meta-analysis was used.

RESULTS

Overall, 17 studies were included (3,149,547 patients). The risk of TE was similar in patients with AF with comorbid cancer compared with that in AF alone (pooled odds ratio [pOR] 0.97, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 0.85-1.11, I2 = 87%). Major or clinically relevant non-major bleeding (pOR 1.65, 95% CI 1.35-2.02, I2 = 98%) and all-cause death (pOR 2.17, 95% CI 1.83-2.56, I2 = 98%) were significantly higher in patients with AF with cancer than in patients with AF only. The history of TE and hypertension and mean age were significant moderators of TE risk.

CONCLUSION

In patients with AF, the presence of cancer is associated with a similar risk of TE as well as an increased risk of bleeding and all-cause death compared with the absence of cancer.

Gender-Based Clinical, Therapeutic Strategies and Prognosis Differences in Atrial Fibrillation

BACKGROUND

There are limited data on gender-based differences in atrial fibrillation (AF) treatment and prognosis. We aimed to examine gender-related differences in medical attention in an emergency department (ED) and follow-up (FU) among patients diagnosed with an AF episode and to determine whether there are gender-related differences in clinical characteristics, therapeutic strategies, and long-term adverse events in this population.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective observational study of patients who presented to a tertiary hospital ER for AF from 2010 to 2015, with a minimum FU of one year. Data on medical attention received, mortality, and other adverse outcomes were collected and analyzed.

RESULTS

Among the 2013 patients selected, 1232 (60%) were female. Women were less likely than men to be evaluated by a cardiologist during the ED visit (11.5% vs. 16.6%, p = 0.001) and were less likely to be admitted (5.9% vs. 9.5%, p < 0.05). Electrical cardioversion was performed more frequently in men, both during the first episode (3.4% vs. 1.2%, p = 0.001) and during FU (15.9% vs. 10.6%, p < 0.001), despite a lower AF recurrence rate in women (9.9% vs. 18.1%). During FU, women had more hospitalizations for heart failure (26.2% vs. 16.1%, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with AF, although there were no gender differences in mortality, there were significant differences in clinical outcomes, medical attention received, and therapeutic strategies. Women underwent fewer attempts at cardioversion, had a lower probability of being evaluated by cardiologists, and showed a higher probability of hospitalization for heart failure. Being alert to these inequities should facilitate the adoption of measures to correct them.

Vitamin D, vitamin D supplementation and atrial fibrillation risk in the general population: updated systematic review and meta-analysis of prospective studies

Background

Since the association of vitamin D with atrial fibrillation (AF) risk is still unclear, we conducted this updated meta-analysis of prospective studies to identify the relationship between vitamin D or vitamin D supplementation and AF in the general population.

Methods

We conducted a comprehensive search of multiple databases up to May 2023 for studies reporting vitamin D and AF. The hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were pooled by a random-effects model.

Results

A total of seven studies were included in this meta-analysis. Vitamin D deficiency (<20 ng/ml) was associated with increased AF incidence (HR: 1.12, 95% CI: 1.005-1.25). The HR was not significant with vitamin D insufficiency (20-30 ng/ml; HR: 1.09, 95% CI: 0.98-1.21). Each 10 ng/ml increase in serum vitamin D was associated with a significantly decreased AF incidence (HR: 0.95, 95% CI: 0.93-0.97). Two studies reported the effect of vitamin D supplements on AF incidence but reached inconsistent results.

Conclusions

Vitamin D deficiency or insufficiency was associated with an increased risk of AF in the general population. The role of vitamin D supplementation in AF prevention needs further investigation.

Discovery of TBX20 as a Novel Gene Underlying Atrial Fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation (AF), the most prevalent type of sustained cardiac dysrhythmia globally, confers strikingly enhanced risks for cognitive dysfunction, stroke, chronic cardiac failure, and sudden cardiovascular demise. Aggregating studies underscore the crucial roles of inherited determinants in the occurrence and perpetuation of AF. However, due to conspicuous genetic heterogeneity, the inherited defects accounting for AF remain largely indefinite. Here, via whole-genome genotyping with genetic markers and a linkage assay in a family suffering from AF, a new AF-causative locus was located at human chromosome 7p14.2-p14.3, a ~4.89 cM (~4.43-Mb) interval between the markers D7S526 and D7S2250. An exome-wide sequencing assay unveiled that, at the defined locus, the mutation in the TBX20 gene, NM_001077653.2: c.695A>G; p.(His232Arg), was solely co-segregated with AF in the family. Additionally, a Sanger sequencing assay of TBX20 in another family suffering from AF uncovered a novel mutation, NM_001077653.2: c.862G>C; p.(Asp288His). Neither of the two mutations were observed in 600 unrelated control individuals. Functional investigations demonstrated that the two mutations both significantly reduced the transactivation of the target gene KCNH2 (a well-established AF-causing gene) and the ability to bind the promoter of KCNH2, while they had no effect on the nuclear distribution of TBX20. Conclusively, these findings reveal a new AF-causative locus at human chromosome 7p14.2-p14.3 and strongly indicate TBX20 as a novel AF-predisposing gene, shedding light on the mechanism underlying AF and suggesting clinical significance for the allele-specific treatment of AF patients.

Frailty Predicts Incident Atrial Fibrillation in Women but Not in Men: The Kuopio Ischaemic Heart Disease Risk Factor Study

INTRODUCTION

Frailty and atrial fibrillation (AF) are common aging problems and increasing globally. The association(s) between frailty and AF has been inconclusive. The purpose of this prospective population-based cohort was to investigate the associations between frailty and incident AF in older men and women.

METHODS

In total 839 participants, women (n = 458) and men (n = 381), aged 61-74 years from the Kuopio Ischaemic Heart Disease Risk Factor Study were included (March 1, 1998, to December 31, 2001). At the baseline, frailty prevalence was 49.3% (n = 414), and non-frailty 50.7% (n = 425) of the total population. Frailty was ascertained with the presence of 3-5 and prefrailty 1-2 of the following criteria: weight loss (highest 20% over 7 years), self-reported tiredness, weakness (measured by handgrip strength), slow walking speed (walking pace), and low physical activity (lowest 20%). AF events were obtained by record linkages from the national computerized hospitalization registry in Finland up to December 31, 2019. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression estimated the hazard ratio (HR) of incident events, adjusted for potential confounders.

RESULTS

During the mean follow-up of 14.2 years, 288 AF cases (169 women; 119 men) occurred. After adjustment for possible confounders, the HRs (95% confidence intervals [CIs]) for AF was 1.46 (1.48-1.85) in the frail population, compared to the non-frail group. The association was observed only among older frail women (multivariable-adjusted HR 1.78, 95% CI [1.28-2.48]) (p for interaction = 0.04). No statistically significant associations were observed between frailty and future AF incident among men (multivariable-adjusted HRs 1.12, 95% CI (0.77-1.63)).

CONCLUSIONS

In this population-based epidemiological cohort, the risk of developing AF was increased in women affected by frailty at baseline but not in men.

Utility of the social vulnerability index to risk stratify atrial fibrillation mortality outcomes

BACKGROUND

Multiple methods of quantifying social determinants of health exist, such as the social vulnerability index (SVI). We assess the impact of the SVI on atrial fibrillation (AF)-related cardiovascular disease mortality.

METHODS

CDC databases were used to obtain mortality and SVI information. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMR) were compared among all US counties, aggregated by SVI quartiles.

RESULTS

AAMR was not increased in counties within the highest SVI quartile, consistent across gender and geographic subgroups.

CONCLUSIONS

Increased SVI is a poor marker to predict mortality outcomes associated with AF.

Structured Rehabilitation for Patients with Atrial Fibrillation Based on an Integrated Care Approach: Protocol for a Prospective, Observational Cohort Study

Background

Guideline-recommended integrated care based on the ABC (Atrial fibrillation Better Care) pathway for "general" patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) improves clinical outcomes, as demonstrated in our prior mobile Atrial Fibrillation Application (mAFA)-II cluster randomized trial. The present study aims to investigate whether mAFA III-supported structured follow-up rehabilitation packages adapted to patient risk profiles and different treatment patterns (eg, for patients receiving drug treatment only, AF ablation, or left atrial appendage occlusion [LAAO]) will improve guideline adherence and reduce the risk of adverse cardiovascular events.

Methods and Analysis

In this prospective, observational mAFA III pilot cohort study, patients with AF aged ≥ 18 years will be enrolled using the mAFA III App for self-management. Assuming an annual rate of composite outcome of "ischaemic stroke or systemic embolism, all-cause death and cardiovascular hospitalization" of 29.3% for non-ABC pathway compliance compared with 20.8% for ABC pathway compliance, at least 1475 patients would be needed to detect the outcome of the A, B and C components of the ABC pathway, assuming a withdrawal rate of 20% in the first year. The primary endpoint is adherence to guidelines regarding the A, B and C components of the ABC pathway. Ancillary analyses will be performed to determine the impact of the ABC pathway using smart technologies on the outcomes among the "high-risk" population (eg, ≥75 years old, with multimorbidities, with polypharmacy) and the application of artificial intelligence machine-learning AF risk prediction management in assessing AF recurrence. The individualised anticoagulants with AF burden will be monitored by smart devices.

Trial Registration Number

ISRCTN13724416.

Causal relationship between osteoarthritis with atrial fibrillation and coronary atherosclerosis: a bidirectional Mendelian randomization study of European ancestry

Background

Osteoarthritis (OA) is a degenerative disease with high prevalence. Some observational studies have shown that patients with osteoarthritis often have co-existing cardiovascular diseases (CVD) such as atrial fibrillation (AF) and coronary atherosclerosis (CA). However, there is still a lack of stronger evidence confirming the association between osteoarthritis and cardiovascular disease. In this study, we used a bidirectional two-sample Mendelian randomization study to investigate the relationship between OA with AF and CA.

Methods

OA data from the UK Biobank and arcOGEN (Arthritis Research UK Osteoarthritis Genetics, a study that aimed to find genetic determinants of osteoarthritis and elucidate the genetic architecture of the disease) integration were selected for the study (n = 417,596), AF data were obtained from six studies (n = 1,030,836), and coronary atherosclerosis data were derived from the FinnGen (n = 218,792). MR analysis was performed primarily using the Inverse variance weighted (IVW) method, with MR Egger, weighted median, simple mode, weighted mode as supplements, sensitivity analysis was performed using Cochran Q statistic, and leave-one-out analysis.

Results

We found that OA and AF were positively associated [IVW: OR (95% CI): 1.11 (1.04, 1.19), P = 0.002], while OA and CA were negatively associated [IVW: OR (95% CI): 0.88 (0.79, 0.98), P = 0.02]. In the reverse MR analysis, no effect of AF on OA was found [IVW: OR (95% CI): 1.00 (0.97, 1.03), P = 0.84], meanwhile, CA and OA were found to be associated negatively [IVW: OR (95% CI): 0.95 (0.92, 0.99), P = 0.01]. No violations of MR assumptions were found in the sensitivity analysis.

Conclusion

This research confirms that OA is a risk factor for AF, and there is a mutual protective factor between OA and CA. However, further studies are still necessary to elucidate the underlying mechanisms.

Sarcospan Deficiency Increases Oxidative Stress and Arrhythmias in Hearts after Acute Ischemia-Reperfusion Injury

The protein sarcospan (SSPN) is an integral member of the dystrophin-glycoprotein complex (DGC) and has been shown to be important in the heart during the development and the response to acute stress. In this study, we investigated the role of SSPN in the cardiac response to acute ischemia-reperfusion (IR) injury in SSPN-deficient (SSPN^-/-) mice. First, the hemodynamic response of SSPN^-/- mice was tested and was similar to SSPN^+/+ (wild-type) mice after isoproterenol injection. Using the in situ Langendorff perfusion method, SSPN^-/- hearts were subjected to IR injury and found to have increased infarct size and arrhythmia susceptibility compared to SSPN^+/+. Ca²⁺ handling was assessed in single cardiomyocytes and diastolic Ca²⁺ levels were increased after acute β-AR stimulation in SSPN^+/+ but not SSPN^-/-. It was also found that SSPN^-/- cardiomyocytes had reduced Ca²⁺ SR content compared to SSPN^+/+ but similar SR Ca²⁺ release. Next, we used qRT-PCR to examine gene expression of Ca²⁺ handling proteins after acute IR injury. SSPN^-/- hearts showed a significant decrease in L-type Ca²⁺ channels and a significant increase in Ca²⁺ release channel (RyR2) expression. Interestingly, under oxidizing conditions reminiscent of IR, SSPN^-/- cardiomyocytes, had increased H₂O₂-induced reactive oxygen species production compared to SSPN^+/+. Examination of oxidative stress proteins indicated that NADPH oxidase 4 and oxidized CAMKII were increased in SSPN^-/- hearts after acute IR injury. These results suggest that increased arrhythmia susceptibility in SSPN^-/- hearts post-IR injury may arise from alterations in Ca²⁺ handling and a reduced capacity to regulate oxidative stress pathways.

Management of atrial fibrillation in German military aircrew

INTRODUCTION

Arrhythmias are one of the most common causes of loss of flying privileges for both military and civilian pilots in the Western World, and atrial fibrillation (AF) is one of the most common arrhythmias worldwide. Aircrew, and particularly pilots, are subject to a unique and exacting working environment, especially in high-performance military aircraft. This manuscript analyzes AF cases in German military aircrew from both a clinical and occupational perspective to point out specific characteristics in this comparatively young, highly selected, and closely monitored group, and to discuss AF management with the aim of a return to flying duties.

METHODS

The digital information systems of the German Air Force Centre of Aerospace Medicine (GAFCAM) were searched for aircrew (pilot and non-pilot aircrew from German Air Force, Army, and Navy) with the diagnosis of AF. Evaluation results for underlying disease, AF characteristics, important clinical findings, and occupational decisions were analyzed in the light of current clinical guidelines and aeromedical regulations.

RESULTS

In a 34-year period, between March 1989 and January 2023, 42 aircrew with at least one episode of AF were registered, all of them were male. The median age at initial diagnosis was 47 years (min 22 years, max 62 years). The median follow-up period was 5.35 years. 19 of them (45%) were pilots. The breakdown of events and occurrence was found to be: single (23), paroxysmal (16), persistent (2), permanent (1). In 27 aircrew (64%) AF terminated spontaneously. Long-term recurrence prevention was variable with catheter ablations in 8 cases. 36/42 aircrew were returned to flight status with restrictions, while 6/42 were permanently disqualified from flying.

CONCLUSION

Management of AF in military aircrew requires a comprehensive approach regarding the flight environment as well as clinical guidance. Aeromedical disposition should be case-by-case based on aeromedical regulations, individual clinical findings, and specific occupational requirements in this challenging field of work.

Estimates of the global, regional, and national burden of atrial fibrillation in older adults from 1990 to 2019: insights from the Global Burden of Disease study 2019

Background

Atrial fibrill ation (AF) is a predominant public health concern in older adults. Therefore, this study aimed to explore the global, regional, and national burden of AF in older adults aged 60-89 between 1990 and 2019.

Methods

The morbidity, mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and age-standardized rates of AF were refined from the Global Burden of Diseases study 2019. The epidemiological characteristics were assessed based on numerical values, age-standardized rates per 100,000 person-years, and estimated annual percentage changes (EAPC).

Results

Globally, a total of 33.31 million AF cases, 219.4 thousand deaths, and 65.80 million DALYs were documented in 2019. There were no appreciable changes in EAPC from 1990 to 2019. The disease burden of AF differed significantly across different territories and countries. At the national level, China exhibited the highest number of incident cases [818,493 (562,871-1,128,695)], deaths [39,970 (33,722-46,387)], and DALYs [1,383,674 (1,047,540-1,802,516)]. At the global level, high body mass index (BMI) and high systolic blood pressure (SBP) were two predominant risk factors contributing to the proportion of AF-related deaths.

Conclusion

AF in older adults remains a major public health concern worldwide. The burden of AF varies widely at both national and regional levels. From 1990 to 2019, the cases of incidences, deaths, and DALYs have shown a global increase. The ASIR, ASMR, and ASDR have declined in the high-moderate and high SDI regions; however, the burden of AF increased promptly in the lower SDI regions. Special attention should be paid to the main risk factors for high-risk individuals with AF, which can help control systolic blood pressure and body mass index within normal limits. Over all, it is necessary to illustrate the features of the global AF burden and develop more effective and targeted prevention and treatment strategies.

Phenotypes and outcomes in non-anticoagulated patients with atrial fibrillation: An unsupervised cluster analysis

BACKGROUND

Patients with atrial fibrillation are characterized by great clinical heterogeneity and complexity. The usual classifications may not adequately characterize this population. Data-driven cluster analysis reveals different possible patient classifications.

AIMS

To identify different clusters of patients with atrial fibrillation who share similar clinical phenotypes, and to evaluate the association between identified clusters and clinical outcomes, using cluster analysis.

METHODS

An agglomerative hierarchical cluster analysis was performed in non-anticoagulated patients from the Loire Valley Atrial Fibrillation cohort. Associations between clusters and a composite outcome comprising stroke/systemic embolism/death and all-cause death, stroke and major bleeding were evaluated using Cox regression analyses.

RESULTS

The study included 3434 non-anticoagulated patients with atrial fibrillation (mean age 70.3±17 years; 42.8% female). Three clusters were identified: cluster 1 was composed of younger patients, with a low prevalence of co-morbidities; cluster 2 included old patients with permanent atrial fibrillation, cardiac pathologies and a high burden of cardiovascular co-morbidities; cluster 3 identified old female patients with a high burden of cardiovascular co-morbidities. Compared with cluster 1, clusters 2 and 3 were independently associated with an increased risk of the composite outcome (hazard ratio 2.85, 95% confidence interval 1.32-6.16 and hazard ratio 1.52, 95% confidence interval 1.09-2.11, respectively) and all-cause death (hazard ratio 3.54, 95% confidence interval 1.49-8.43 and hazard ratio 1.88, 95% confidence interval 1.26-2.79, respectively). Cluster 3 was independently associated with an increased risk of major bleeding (hazard ratio 1.72, 95% confidence interval 1.06-2.78).

CONCLUSION

Cluster analysis identified three statistically driven groups of patients with atrial fibrillation, with distinct phenotype characteristics and associated with different risks for major clinical adverse events.

Glycemic variability and the risk of atrial fibrillation: a meta-analysis

Background

Glycemic variability (GV) has been associated with vascular complications in patients with diabetes. However, the relationship between GV and risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) remains not fully determined. We therefore conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate the above association.

Methods

Medline, Embase, Web of Science, Wanfang, and China National Knowledge Infrastructure were searched for longitudinal follow-up studies comparing the incidence of AF between patients with higher versus lower GV. A random-effects model incorporating the potential heterogeneity was used to pool the results.

Results

Nine cohort studies with 6,877,661 participants were included, and 36,784 (0.53%) participants developed AF during follow-up. Pooled results showed that a high GV was associated with an increased risk of AF (risk ratio [RR]: 1.20, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.11 to 1.30, p < 0.001, I² = 20%). Subgroup analyses suggested consistent association between GV and AF in prospective (RR: 1.29, 95% CI: 1.05 to 1.59, p = 0.01) and retrospective studies (RR: 1.18, 95% CI: 1.08 to 1.29, p = 0.002), in diabetic (RR: 1.24, 95% CI: 1.03 to 1.50, p = 0.03) and non-diabetic subjects (RR: 1.13, 95% CI: 1.00 to 1.28, p = 0.05), in studies with short-term (RR: 1.25, 95% CI: 1.11 to 1.40, p < 0.001) and long-term GV (RR: 1.18, 95% CI: 1.05 to 1.34, p = 0.006), and in studies with different quality scores (p for subgroup difference all > 0.05).

Conclusion

A high GV may predict an increased risk of AF in adult population.

Association of obesity with incident atrial fibrillation in Korea and the United Kingdom

Obesity has been linked to atrial fibrillation (AF) burden and severity, and epidemiological studies suggest that AF is more prevalent in whites than Asian. We aimed to investigate whether obesity mediates associations with AF in Europe and Asia using patient-level data comparisons of two cohort studies. Using Korean National Health Insurance Service's Health Screening (NHIS-HealS) and U.K. Biobank data, we included 401,206 Korean and 477,926 British aged 40-70 years without previous AF who received check-ups. The incidence and risk of AF were evaluated regarding different body mass index (BMI) values. The obese proportion (BMI ≥ 30.0 kg/m², 2.8% vs. 24.3%, P < 0.001) was higher in the U.K. than the Korean. In the Korean and U.K. cohort, the age- and sex-adjusted incidence rates of AF were 4.97 and 6.54 per 1000 person-years among obese individuals. Compared to Koreans, the risk of AF was higher in the British population, with adjusted hazard ratios of 1.41 (Korea, 95% CI 1.26-1.58) and 1.68 (UK, 95% CI 1.54-1.82) in obese participants (P for interaction < 0.05). Obesity was associated with AF in both populations. British subjects had a greater incidence of AF related to the high proportion of obese individuals, especially participants in the obesity category, the risk of AF also increased.

PDE3A and GSK3B as Atrial Fibrillation Susceptibility Genes in the Chinese Population via Bioinformatics and Genome-Wide Association Analysis

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia, with uncovered genetic etiology and pathogenesis. We aimed to screen out AF susceptibility genes with potential pathogenesis significance in the Chinese population. Methods: Differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were screened by the Limma package in three GEO data sets of atrial tissue. AF-related genes were identified by combination of DEGs and public GWAS susceptibility genes. Potential drug target genes were selected using the DrugBank, STITCH and TCMSP databases. Pathway enrichment analyses of AF-related genes were performed using the databases GO and KEGG databases. The pathway gene network was visualized by Cytoscape software to identify gene–gene interactions and hub genes. GWAS analysis of 110 cases of AF and 1201 controls was carried out through a genome-wide efficient mixed model in the Fangshan population to verify the results of bioinformatic analysis. Results: A total of 3173 DEGs were identified, 57 of which were found to be significantly associated with of AF in public GWAS results. A total of 75 AF-related genes were found to be potential therapeutic targets. Pathway enrichment analysis selected 79 significant pathways and classified them into 7 major pathway networks. A total of 35 hub genes were selected from the pathway networks. GWAS analysis identified 126 AF-associated loci. PDE3A and GSK3B were found to be overlapping genes between bioinformatic analysis and GWAS analysis. Conclusions: We screened out several pivotal genes and pathways involved in AF pathogenesis. Among them, PDE3A and GSK3B were significantly associated with the risk of AF in the Chinese population. Our study provided new insights into the mechanisms of action of AF.

Morphological Autoencoders for Beat-by-Beat Atrial Fibrillation Detection Using Single-Lead ECG

Engineered feature extraction can compromise the ability of Atrial Fibrillation (AFib) detection algorithms to deliver near real-time results. Autoencoders (AEs) can be used as an automatic feature extraction tool, tailoring the resulting features to a specific classification task. By coupling an encoder to a classifier, it is possible to reduce the dimension of the Electrocardiogram (ECG) heartbeat waveforms and classify them. In this work we show that morphological features extracted using a Sparse AE are sufficient to distinguish AFib from Normal Sinus Rhythm (NSR) beats. In addition to the morphological features, rhythm information was included in the model using a proposed short-term feature called Local Change of Successive Differences (LCSD). Using single-lead ECG recordings from two referenced public databases, and with features from the AE, the model was able to achieve an F1-score of 88.8%. These results show that morphological features appear to be a distinct and sufficient factor for detecting AFib in ECG recordings, especially when designed for patient-specific applications. This is an advantage over state-of-the-art algorithms that need longer acquisition times to extract engineered rhythm features, which also requires careful preprocessing steps. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work that presents a near real-time morphological approach for AFib detection under naturalistic ECG acquisition with a mobile device.

Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Stroke Prevention for Atrial Fibrillation

Racial and ethnic disparities in health care are well documented, although often underappreciated. In the setting of atrial fibrillation, stroke risk and severity may be higher in underrepresented ethnic populations. Additionally, the risk of bleeding is not uniform, and pharmacogenetics play an important role in anticoagulant therapy. In this narrative review, we discuss the complex issues surrounding stroke prevention in underrepresented ethnic groups with atrial fibrillation.

Efficacy of mobile health-technology integrated care based on the 'Atrial fibrillation Better Care' (ABC) pathway in relation to sex: a report from the mAFA-II randomized clinical trial

The Mobile Health Technology for Improved Screening and Optimized Integrated Care in AF (mAFA-II) cluster-randomized trial showed that a mobile health (mHealth)-implemented 'Atrial fibrillation Better Care' (ABC) pathway approach reduced the risk of adverse events in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients. Whether this benefit can be applied to both males and females is unclear, especially given the suboptimal management and poorer cardiovascular outcomes in females with AF. In this post-hoc analysis, we performed a sex-stratified analysis of the mAFA-II trial. Between June 2018 and August 2019, adult AF patients were enrolled across 40 centers in China. The primary outcome was the composite of stroke, thromboembolism, all-cause death, and re-hospitalization. The effect of mAFA intervention according to sex was evaluated through adjusted Cox-regression models. Among the 3,324 patients enrolled in the trial, 2,062 (62.0%) patients were males (mean age: 67.5 ± 14.3 years; 1,021 allocated to mAFA intervention) and 1,262 (38.0%) were females (mean age: 70.2 ± 13.0; 625 allocated to mAFA intervention). A significant risk reduction of the primary composite outcome in patients allocated to mAFA intervention was observed in both males (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] and 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.30 [0.17-0.52]) and females (aHR [95%CI] 0.50 [0.27-0.92]), without statistically significant interaction (p = 0.225). Sex-based interactions were observed for other secondary outcomes, including all-cause death (p = 0.026) and bleeding events (p = 0.032). A mHealth-technology implemented ABC pathway was similarly effective in reducing the risk of adverse clinical events both in male and female patients. Secondary outcomes showed greater benefits of mAFA intervention in men.

Association between serum uric acid levels and atrial fibrillation in different fasting glucose patterns: A case-control study

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have shown both dysglycaemia and hyperuricemia are associated with an increased risk of atrial fibrillation (AF), while the relationship between serum uric acid (SUA) levels and AF in different fasting glucose patterns (FBG) is unclear. Therefore, this study aimed to determine the association between SUA and AF in different FBG patterns.

METHODS

A total of 1840 patients in this case-control study were enrolled, including 920 AF patients and 920 controls. Patients were divided into three groups according to the different FBG patterns: normoglycemic, impaired fasting glucose (IFG), and diabetes mellitus (DM). Multivariate logistic regression models were performed to evaluate the relationship between SUA and AF in different FBG patterns. Pearson correlation analysis was used to explore the correlation between SUA and metabolic factors. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve models indicated the diagnostic efficiency of SUA for diagnosing AF.

RESULTS

SUA was independently associated with AF after adjusting for all confounding factors in different FBG patterns(normoglycemic: OR=1.313, 95% CI:1.120-1.539; IFG: OR=1.386, 95% CI:1.011-1.898; DM: OR=1.505, 95% CI:1.150-1.970). Pearson's correlation analysis suggested that SUA in AF patients was correlated with several different metabolic factors in different FBG patterns (p<0.05). ROC curve analysis showed that SUA in the normoglycemic group combined with CHD and APOB [AUC: 0.906 (95% CI: 0.888-0.923)], in the IFG group combined with CHD and Scr [AUC: 0.863 (95% CI: 0.820-0.907)], in the DM group combined with CHD and SBP [AUC: 0.858 (95% CI: 0.818-0.898)] had the highest AUC for predicting AF.

CONCLUSION

Findings implied a significant association between SUA and AF in different FBG patterns and provide specific models combined with other factors (CHD, APOB, SCr, SBP), which might contribute to the diagnosis of AF.

NT-proBNP Levels and Collateral Circulation Status in Patients with Acute Ischemic Stroke

Methods

In this study, 326 hospitalized patients with acute anterior circulation ischemic stroke (AACIS) were included. A comparison of the clinical characteristics of those with and without AF was conducted. The Spearman rank correlation was used for the correlation analysis of plasma NT-proBNP level, regional leptomeningeal collateral (rLMC) score, and computed tomography perfusion (CTP) status in the AF and non-AF groups. An analysis of multivariate linear regression was used to determine how plasma NT-proBNP level, rLMC score, and CTP status influenced the score on the NIHSS.

Results

There was a greater plasma NT-proBNP level in the AF group compared with the non-AF group, an increased CTP volume (including CTP ischemic volume, CTP infarct core volume, and CTP ischemic penumbra volume (P = 0.002)), higher NIHSS score on admission, and lower rLMC score (P < 0.001 for the remaining parameters). A negative correlation exists between plasma NT-proBNP level and rLMC score (r = -0.156, P = 0.022), but a positive correlation exists between plasma NT-proBNP level and both CTP ischemic volume and CTP infarct core volume (r = 0.148, P = 0.003) in the AF group, but not in the non-AF group. Multivariate linear regression analysis demonstrated that NT-proBNP, CTP ischemic penumbra volume, and rLMC score were associated with NIHSS score, and NT-proBNP was positively associated with NIHSS scores (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.000-0.002; P = 0.004) in the AF group, whatever in the unadjusted model or adjusted models, but not in the nonlarge artery atherosclerosis (LAA) group.

Conclusion

In AACIS patients with AF, NT-proBNP level negatively correlated with collateral status, positively with CTP ischemic volume, and positively with NIHSS score.

Evaluation of the Paradoxical Association Between Lipid Levels and Incident Atrial Fibrillation According to Statin Usage: A Nationwide Cohort Study

Objective

Higher levels of total cholesterol (TC) and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) are associated with a lower risk of atrial fibrillation (AF). Statin use might exert confounding effects on the paradoxical associations; however, the relationships that distinguish statin users from non-users have not been thoroughly evaluated.

Methods

From the Korean National Health Insurance Database, we included 9,778,014 adults who underwent a health examination in 2009. The levels of TC and LDL-C at the health examination were categorized into quartile values of the total study population. We grouped the study population into statin users and non-users and investigated the associations between TC, LDL-C, and the risk of incident AF.

Results

Of the total population, 867,336 (8.9%) were taking statins. During a mean follow-up of 8.2 years, inverse associations of TC - AF and LDL-C - AF were observed; higher levels of TC and LDL-C were associated with the lower risk of AF in the total population. Overall, statin users showed higher AF incidence rate than non-users, but the inverse associations of TC - AF and LDL-C - AF were consistently observed irrespective of statin usage; adjusted hazard ratio with 95% confidence interval was 0.81 (0.79-0.84) for statin users and 0.81 (0.80-0.83) for non-users in the highest TC quartile, and 0.84 (0.82-0.87) for statin users and 0.85 (0.84-0.86) for non-users in the highest LDL-C quartile (all p<0.001).

Conclusion

The paradoxical relationship between lipid levels (TC and LDL-C) and the risk of AF remains consistent in both statin users and non-users.

Analysis of infiltrated immune cells in left atriums from patients with atrial fibrillation and identification of circRNA biomarkers for postoperative atrial fibrillation

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risk of stroke and heart failure. Postoperative AF (POAF) increases the risk of mortality after cardiac surgery. This study aims to explore mechanisms underlying AF, analyze infiltration of immune cells in left atrium (LA) from patients with AF, and identify potential circular RNA (circRNA) biomarkers for POAF. Methods: Raw data of GSE797689, GSE115574, and GSE97455 were downloaded and processed. AF-related gene co-expression network was constructed using weighted gene correlation network analysis and enrichment analysis of genes in relevant module was conducted. Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) and gene set variation analysis (GSVA) were applied to investigate pathways significantly enriched in AF group. Infiltration of immune cells was analyzed using single-sample GSEA. Differentially expressed genes (DEGs) between patients with or without AF were identified and competing endogenous RNA (ceRNA) networks of DEGs were constructed. To screen biomarkers for POAF, differentially expressed circRNAs (DEcircRNAs) between patients with or without POAF were identified. Intersection between DEcircRNAs and circRNAs in ceRNA networks of DEGs were extracted and circRNAs in the intersection were further screened using support vector machine, random forest, and neural network to identify biomarkers for POAF. Results: Three modules were found to be relevant with AF and enrichment analysis indicated that genes in these modules were enriched in synthesis of extracellular matrix and inflammatory response. The results of GSEA and GSVA suggested that inflammatory response-related pathways were significantly enriched in AF group. Immune cells like macrophages, mast cells, and neutrophils were significantly infiltrated in LA tissues from patients with AF. The expression levels of immune genes such as CHGB, HLA-DRA, LYZ, IGKV1-17 and TYROBP were significantly upregulated in patients with AF, which were correlated with infiltration of immune cells. ceRNA networks of DEGs were constructed and has_circ_0006314 and hsa_circ_0055387 were found to have potential predictive values for POAF. Conclusion: Synthesis of extracellular matrix and inflammatory response were main processes involved in development and progression of AF. Infiltration of immune cells was significantly different between patients with or without AF. Has_circ_0006314 and hsa_circ_0055387 were found to have potential predictive values for POAF.

Low lipoprotein(a) concentration is associated with atrial fibrillation: a large retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The role of serum lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] levels in atrial fibrillation (AF) is still uncertain, especially in the Chinese population. Here, we aimed to elucidate the potential relationship between Lp(a) quantiles and AF.

METHODS

All data were collected through inpatients with electronic health records from the Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Jiangxi Province, China. The propensity score matching (PSM) method was used to match control and case groups. Interactions between AF, Lp(a) quantiles, and other clinical indices were analyzed by logistic regression and stratified analysis. Statistical analyses were performed with IBM SPSS statistical software and R software.

RESULTS

From 2017 to 2021, 4,511 patients with AF and 9,022 patients without AF were 1:2 matched by the propensity score matching method. A total of 46.9% of the study group was women, and the baseline mean age was 65 years. The AF group exhibited lower median Lp(a) than the non-AF group (15.95 vs. 16.90 mg/dL; P < 0.001). Based on the Lp(a) quantiles, the study population was divided into four groups: Q1 (≤ 8.71 mg/dL), Q2 (8.71-16.54 mg/dL), Q3 (16.54-32.42 mg/dL) and Q4 (> 32.42 mg/dL). The AF prevalence of each group decreased from 34.2% (Q1) to 30.9% (Q4) (P < 0.001). Lp(a) quantiles 1-3 significantly increased AF to 1.162-fold (1.049-1.286), 1.198-fold (1.083-1.327), and 1.111-fold (1.003-1.231) in the unadjusted logistic regression model, respectively. In the adjusted model, Lp(a) < 32.42 mg/dL still showed a significant inverse association with AF. In the stratified analysis, Lp(a) levels in female patients exhibited a significant negative correlation with AF (OR of Q1: 1.394[1.194-1.626], P = 0.001). Age and hypertension did not affect the adverse correlation.

CONCLUSION

Low circulating Lp(a) levels were associated with AF, especially in the female Han population, suggesting that Lp(a) may be useful for risk stratification of AF in female individuals.

Comprehensive nationwide incidence and prevalence trends of atrial fibrillation in Finland

Objective

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a worldwide healthcare challenge owing to population ageing. In this study, we assessed the current trends in the incidence and prevalence of AF for the first time in an unselected, nationwide population.

Methods

In the Finnish Anticoagulation in Atrial Fibrillation study, we gathered comprehensive data including all primary, secondary and tertiary healthcare visits and drug reimbursement from national healthcare registers to identify all patients with incident AF between 2004 and 2018 in Finland. Incident AF was defined as new-onset AF occurring after 2007. Time trends for the incidence and prevalence of AF were calculated and stratified by sex and age.

Results

A total of 411 387 patients with AF diagnosis were documented in Finland during 2004–2018. In 2018, the incidence and prevalence of AF in the total Finnish population were 469/100 000 and 4.1%, respectively. The incidence of new-onset AF in the adult population (≥20 years) increased from 471/100 000 in 2007 to 604/100 000 in 2018, but the age-adjusted incidence remained stable. The prevalence of AF increased in the adult population from 2.5% to 5.2%, and was higher in men than in women (5.9% vs 4.6%, p<0.001). The incidence and prevalence of AF increased with age and were 3194/100 000 and 23.4% in patients older than 75 years.

Conclusions

Based on comprehensive nationwide data including primary care, we observed an increasing incidence and prevalence of AF over time. This increase was strongly age-dependent with the age-standardised incidence remaining stable during 2007–2018.

Trial registration number

NCT04645537.