Design and rationale for a real-world observational cohort of patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease: The TARGET-NASH study

High Concordance Between Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease and Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease in the TARGET-NASH Real-World Cohort

INTRODUCTION

This study investigates the applicability of the new metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) nomenclature to the real-world TARGET-NASH US adult cohort.

METHODS

The new MASLD/metabolic steatohepatitis nomenclature was applied to patients enrolled with pragmatic diagnoses of nonalcoholic fatty liver and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), and NASH cirrhosis and concordance were determined between the definitions.

RESULTS

Approximately 99% of TARGET-NASH participants met the new MASLD diagnostic criteria. Approximately 1,484/1,541 (96.3%, kappa 0.974) nonalcoholic fatty liver patients (metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver), 2,195/2,201 (99.7%, kappa 0.998) NASH patients (metabolic steatohepatitis), and 1,999/2,003 (99.8%, kappa 0.999) NASH cirrhosis patients met the new criteria.

DISCUSSION

The new MASLD nomenclature is highly concordant with the previous TARGET-NASH pragmatic definitions.

A data-driven approach to decode metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), defined by the presence of liver steatosis together with at least one out of five cardiometabolic factors, is the most common cause of chronic liver disease worldwide, affecting around one in three people. Yet the clinical presentation of MASLD and the risk of progression to cirrhosis and adverse clinical outcomes is highly variable. It, therefore, represents both a global public health threat and a precision medicine challenge. Artificial intelligence (AI) is being investigated in MASLD to develop reproducible, quantitative, and automated methods to enhance patient stratification and to discover new biomarkers and therapeutic targets in MASLD. This review details the different applications of AI and machine learning algorithms in MASLD, particularly in analyzing electronic health record, digital pathology, and imaging data. Additionally, it also describes how specific MASLD consortia are leveraging multimodal data sources to spark research breakthroughs in the field. Using a new national-level 'data commons' (SteatoSITE) as an exemplar, the opportunities, as well as the technical challenges of large-scale databases in MASLD research, are highlighted.

Increasing prevalence of cirrhosis among insured adults in the United States, 2012-2018

BACKGROUND

Liver cirrhosis is a chronic disease that is known as a "silent killer" and its true prevalence is difficult to describe. It is imperative to accurately characterize the prevalence of cirrhosis because of its increasing healthcare burden.

METHODS

In this retrospective cohort study, trends in cirrhosis prevalence were evaluated using administrative data from one of the largest national health insurance providers in the US. (2011-2018). Enrolled adult (≥18-years-old) patients with cirrhosis defined by ICD-9 and ICD-10 were included in the study. The primary outcome measured in the study was the prevalence of cirrhosis 2011-2018.

RESULTS

Among the 371,482 patients with cirrhosis, the mean age was 62.2 (±13.7) years; 53.3% had commercial insurance and 46.4% had Medicare Advantage. The most frequent cirrhosis etiologies were alcohol-related (26.0%), NASH (20.9%) and HCV (20.0%). Mean time of follow-up was 725 (±732.3) days. The observed cirrhosis prevalence was 0.71% in 2018, a 2-fold increase from 2012 (0.34%). The highest prevalence observed was among patients with Medicare Advantage insurance (1.67%) in 2018. Prevalence increased in each US. state, with Southern states having the most rapid rise (2.3-fold). The most significant increases were observed in patients with NASH (3.9-fold) and alcohol-related (2-fold) cirrhosis.

CONCLUSION

Between 2012-2018, the prevalence of liver cirrhosis doubled among insured patients. Alcohol-related and NASH cirrhosis were the most significant contributors to this increase. Patients living in the South, and those insured by Medicare Advantage also have disproportionately higher prevalence of cirrhosis. Public health interventions are important to mitigate this concerning trajectory of strain to the health system.

Prevalence of Immunomodulator Use as Combination Therapy With Vedolizumab or Ustekinumab in Inflammatory Bowel Disease

INTRODUCTION

The benefit of adding an immunomodulator to vedolizumab and ustekinumab remains unclear and may compromise the safety of these biologics. We evaluated the prevalence and predictors of immunomodulator use with vedolizumab or ustekinumab in patients with inflammatory bowel disease in a large longitudinal cohort.

METHODS

Clinical information was ascertained from electronic medical records of patients enrolled in TARGET-IBD, a prospective longitudinal observational cohort of patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) at 34 sites. The prevalence of immunomodulator use with vedolizumab, ustekinumab, and antitumor necrosis factor therapies and predictors of immunomodulator use with vedolizumab and ustekinumab were estimated. Rates of combination therapy were additionally stratified by time from drug approval.

RESULTS

Four thousand thirty-nine adults with IBD were identified, of whom 18.8% were treated with vedolizumab and 13.0% were treated with ustekinumab. Combination therapy with vedolizumab and ustekinumab exceeded 30% (30.7% and 36.2%, respectively) and was more likely in those with perianal disease or previous biologic exposure. Age and presence of extraintestinal manifestations did not consistently predict the use of an immunomodulator. Combination therapy decreased in the years after drug approval.

DISCUSSION

Combination therapy with vedolizumab or ustekinumab was common and was associated with perianal disease and greater exposure to other biologics, although the practice is decreasing with time. Further data are needed to determine the efficacy and safety of combination therapy in patients initiating vedolizumab or ustekinumab for IBD.

Validation of a Clinical Risk-based Classification System in a Large Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Real-world Cohort

BACKGROUND & AIMS

There is an unmet need to validate simple and easily available methods that can be used in routine practice to identify those at risk of adverse outcomes from nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). A retrospective-prospective analysis of NAFLD patients enrolled in a longitudinal noninterventional study (TARGET-NASH) was performed to validate the prognostic utility of the following risk-categories: (A) Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) <1.3 and/or liver-stiffness measurement (LSM) measured by Fibroscan <8 kp, (B) FIB-4 1.31‒2.6 and/or LSM 8.1-12.5 kp, and (C) FIB-4 >2.6 and/or LSM >12.5 kp.

METHODS

Those in class A with aspartate transaminase:alanine transaminase ratio >1 or platelets <150,000/mm3, or class B with aspartate transaminase:alanine transaminase ratio >1 or platelets <150,000/mm3 were upstaged by one class. Fine-Gray competing risk analyses were performed for all outcomes.

RESULTS

A total of 2523 individuals (class A = 555, B = 879, C = 1089) were followed for a median duration of 3.74 years. Adverse outcomes increased from class A to C in all-cause mortality (0.07 vs 0.3 vs 2.5/100 person-years [PY], hazard ratio [HR], 3.0 and 16.3 class B and C vs A), liver-associated clinical events (0.2 vs 1 vs 8/100 PY, HR, 4.3 and 36.6 B and C vs A), major adverse cardiovascular events (0.69 vs 0.87 vs 2.02/100 PY, HR, 0.78 and 1.55 B and C vs A), hepatocellular carcinoma (0 vs 0.09 vs 0.88/100 PY, HR, 8.32 C vs B), and chronic kidney disease (1.24 vs 2.48 vs 3.51/100 PY). Those who were upstaged had outcome rates similar to the lower class defined by their FIB-4.

CONCLUSIONS

These data support a FIB-4-based risk-stratification of NAFLD that can be used in routine clinical practice.

CLINICALTRIALS

gov Identifier: NCT02815891.

Clinical characteristics of patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in Germany - First data from the German NAFLD-Registry

BACKGROUND

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) affects more than 18 million individuals in Germany. Real-world data help to better characterize the natural history of disease and standard of care.

METHODS

The German NAFLD-Registry is a prospective non-interventional study initiated by the German Liver Foundation and aims to describe clinical characteristics and observe outcomes in patients with NAFLD recruited in secondary and tertiary care.

RESULTS

From this ongoing study, baseline data of the first 501 patients (mean age 54 years, 48% women) were analysed. 13 % of the study population had a high risk for advanced fibrosis (FIB-4 ≥2.67), approximately one-third had a liver stiffness value ≥9.6kPa measured by transient elastography, and the clinical diagnosis of liver cirrhosis was present in 10%. Typical comorbidities were more prevalent in high risk as compared to low risk patients (FIB-4 <1.3) including arterial hypertension (85 vs. 42%), hypercholesterolemia (39 vs. 16%), and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) (69 vs. 26%). Patients with T2DM (192/501) had a higher NAFLD disease burden as shown by liver stiffness values ≥9.6 kPa (51%) and clinical diagnosis of cirrhosis (20%). Statins were used in 22% of the main population, while in diabetic patients, metformin, GLP-1 agonists, and SGLT2 inhibitors were used in 65, 17, and 17%, respectively. Uptake of life-style interventions such as physical exercise or nutritional counselling was generally low.

CONCLUSION

First data of the German NAFLD registry show that approximately every 10th patient has advanced NAFLD, highlights T2DM patients as a high-risk group and gives insights in the use of comedication and life-style interventions in secondary and tertiary care.

Weight Loss and Weight Regain in Usual Clinical Practice: Results From the TARGET-NASH Observational Cohort

First-line treatment for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) focuses on weight loss through lifestyle modifications.^1,2 Weight loss ≥5% results in reduction of steatosis and weight loss ≥10% has been associated with improvement in hepatic inflammation and fibrosis.³ The incidence and sustainability of weight loss among patients with NAFLD were estimated and associating factors identified.

Variation in Alanine Aminotransferase in Children with Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

Background: Pediatric non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a major public health concern. Aminotransferase (ALT) is frequently used for screening and monitoring, but few studies have reported typical patterns of ALT elevation in children. Methods: TARGET-NASH is a real-world longitudinal observational cohort of patients with NAFLD receiving care across the United States. Analyses included children enrolled between 1 August 2016, and 12 October 2020, with at least one ALT measurement after enrollment. Peak ALT was based on the first and last available record and categorized into clinical cut points: <70 IU/L, >70−<250 IU/L, and >250 IU/L. A chi-squared test was used to compare differences in proportions, and a Kruskal−Wallis test was used to compare the medians and distributions of continuous responses. Results: Analyses included 660 children with a median age of 13 years. Of the 660, a total of 187 had undergone a biopsy and were more likely to be Hispanic or Latino (67% vs. 57%, p = 0.02) and to have cirrhosis (10% vs. 1%, p < 0.001). The highest ALT scores ranged from 28 U/L to 929 U/L; however, these scores varied across time. The prevalence of cirrhosis or any liver fibrosis stage was most common among children with a peak ALT > 70 U/L. Conclusions: Large variability was seen in ALT among children, including many values > 250 U/L. Higher levels of ALT were associated with increased prevalence of comorbidities and more advanced stages of NAFLD. These findings support an increased need for therapeutics and disease severity assessment in children with peak ALT > 70 U/L.

Prevalence and Factors Associated With Statin Use Among Patients With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease in the TARGET-NASH Study

Patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) are at an increased risk of cardiovascular disease. Hydoxy-3-methyglutaryl-coenzyme reductase inhibitors, statins, reduce the risk of cardiovascular events.¹ Studies have shown that statins are safe among patients with liver disease, including those with compensated cirrhosis,² and their use is associated with lower mortality, hepatic decompensation, and possibly hepatocellular carcinoma.^3,4 Despite these data, statins are under prescribed among patients with liver disease due to concerns about hepatotoxicity.⁵ This study aimed to assess prevalence and patient factors associated with indicated statin use in patients with NAFLD in a real-world cohort.

Bariatric endoscopic-surgical therapies for NAFLD. Should they be considered viable options among current treatments?

Nowadays, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease is one of the first causes of liver transplant worldwide; many efforts have been done to find the perfect drug for this multifactorial disease. Presently we just have a few drugs that could be used in specific and limited clinical scenarios. Current evidence suggests that bariatric endoscopic and surgical therapies could be strategies with optimal outcomes, with high impact in quality of life, decrease of cardiovascular risk, and improvement in metabolic profile, despite being considered expensive procedures. This review proposes to consider these therapies early together with liver fibrosis evaluation, with long term cost-effectiveness benefits in the absence of response to lifestyle modifications and pharmacological treatments.

Liver biopsy in the real world-reporting, expert concordance and correlation with a pragmatic clinical diagnosis

BACKGROUND

Patients with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) and fibrosis stage ≥2 comprise a target population for pharmacotherapy. Liver biopsy, the reference standard for identifying this population, requires complete and accurate assessment of steatohepatitis and fibrosis. Aims To investigate the completeness of real-world NASH-related pathology reports, assess concordance between site pathologists and central expert interpretation of the histologic elements of NASH, and determine concordance between biopsy-diagnosed NASH and a pragmatic clinical definition of NASH.

METHODS

Liver pathology reports from 222 patients across 38 TARGET-NASH sites were analysed for documentation of the histologic features of NASH. Biopsy slides were over-read by a blinded central expert pathologist. Concordance of histologic scores and interpretation was assessed. Histologic concordance with a clinical definition of NASH was determined. TARGET-NASH clinically defined NASH: elevated ALT, hepatic steatosis on biopsy or imaging and ≥1 of the following: BMI ≥30 kg/m² , type 2 diabetes mellitus and dyslipidaemia.

RESULTS

Documentation of steatosis, lobular inflammation, portal inflammation and ballooning were missing from 21%, 35%, 46% and 40% of reports, respectively. There was slight-to-fair concordance (weighted kappa 0.01-0.35) between site and central pathologists for inflammatory features, and moderate concordance (weighted kappa 0.56-0.57) for fibrosis staging. Clinical definition of NASH was 75%-91% concordant (94%-95% sensitive) with biopsy-diagnosed NASH.

CONCLUSIONS

There is substantial variability in reporting and grading NASH and fibrosis staging in clinical practice. This heterogeneity may adversely impact patient assessment and translation of practice guidelines into reality. The TARGET-NASH pragmatic clinical definition may serve as a valuable tool to accurately identify NASH patients in clinical practice.

Differences between current clinical guidelines for screening, diagnosis and management of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and real-world practice: a targeted literature review

INTRODUCTION

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most common liver disease and is associated with obesity and metabolic comorbidities. Liver steatosis can progress to nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) exhibiting a relevant risk of fibrosis and ultimately liver failure. To date, no approved treatment for NASH to reduce its clinical and humanistic burden has been developed.

AREAS COVERED

We undertook a literature review to identify English language, national and international clinical guidelines for NAFLD regarding diagnosis, assessment and management, and determined their points of agreement and difference. Additionally, we investigated published literature relating to real-world management of NAFLD and NASH.

EXPERT OPINION

National (China, England/Wales, Italy, the USA) and international society (Asia-Pacific, Europe, World Gastroenterology Organization) guidelines were identified and analyzed. All guidelines addressed identifying and diagnosing subjects with likely NAFLD, as well as assessment and management of individuals with risk factors for advanced disease, including fibrosis. Real-world practice reveals widespread suboptimal awareness and implementation of guidelines. In the absence of proven therapeutics, such gaps risk failure to recognize patients in need of specialist care and monitoring, highlighting the need for clear, easy-to-apply care pathways to aid in reducing the clinical and humanistic burden of NAFLD and NASH.

Definite and indeterminate nonalcoholic steatohepatitis share similar clinical features and prognosis: A longitudinal study of 1893 biopsy-proven nonalcoholic fatty liver disease subjects

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Histological score systems may not fully capture the essential nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) features, which is one of the leading causes of screening failure in clinical trials. We assessed the NASH distribution and its components across the fibrosis stages and their impact on the prognosis and their relationship with the concept of metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD).

METHODS

Spanish multicenter study including 1893 biopsy-proven nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) patients from HEPAmet registry. NASH was diagnosed by NAS score ≥4 (including steatosis, ballooning and lobular inflammation) and fibrosis by Kleiner score. The presence of MAFLD was determined. Progression to cirrhosis, first episode of decompensated cirrhosis and death were collected during the follow-up (4.7 ± 3.8 years).

RESULTS

Fibrosis was F0 34.3% (649/1893), F1 27% (511/1893), F2 16.5% (312/1893), F3 15% (284/1893) and F4 7.2% (137/1893). NASH diagnosis 51.9% (982/1893), and its individual components (severe steatosis, ballooning and lobular inflammation), increased from F0 (33.6%) to F2 (68.6%), and decreased significantly in F4 patients (51.8%) (P = .0001). More than 70% of non-NASH patients showed some inflammatory activity (ballooning or lobular inflammation), showing a similar MAFLD rate than NASH (96.2% [945/982] vs. 95.2% [535/562]) and significantly higher than nonalcoholic fatty liver (NAFL) subjects (89.1% [311/349]) (P < .0001). Progression to cirrhosis was similar between NASH (9.5% [51/539]) and indeterminate NASH (7.9% [25/316]), and higher than steatosis (5% [14/263]) (logRank 8.417; P = .015). Death and decompensated cirrhosis were similar between these.

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of steatohepatitis decreased in advanced liver disease. However, most of these patients showed some inflammatory activity histologically and had metabolic disturbances. These findings should be considered in clinical trials whose main aim is to prevent cirrhosis progression and complications, liver transplant and death.

Nutritional supplementation for nonalcohol-related fatty liver disease: a network meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The prevalence of non-alcohol-related fatty liver disease (NAFLD) varies between 19% and 33% in different populations. NAFLD decreases life expectancy and increases risks of liver cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, and the requirement for liver transplantation. Uncertainty surrounds relative benefits and harms of various nutritional supplements in NAFLD. Currently no nutritional supplement is recommended for people with NAFLD.

OBJECTIVES

• To assess the benefits and harms of different nutritional supplements for treatment of NAFLD through a network meta-analysis • To generate rankings of different nutritional supplements according to their safety and efficacy SEARCH METHODS: We searched the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, MEDLINE, Embase, Science Citation Index Expanded, Conference Proceedings Citation Index-Science, the World Health Organization International Clinical Trials Registry Platform, and trials registers until February 2021 to identify randomised clinical trials in people with NAFLD.

SELECTION CRITERIA

We included only randomised clinical trials (irrespective of language, blinding, or status) for people with NAFLD, irrespective of method of diagnosis, age and diabetic status of participants, or presence of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). We excluded randomised clinical trials in which participants had previously undergone liver transplantation.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

We performed a network meta-analysis with OpenBUGS using Bayesian methods whenever possible and calculated differences in treatments using hazard ratios (HRs), odds ratios (ORs), and rate ratios with 95% credible intervals (CrIs) based on an available-case analysis, according to National Institute of Health and Care Excellence Decision Support Unit guidance.

MAIN RESULTS

We included in the review a total of 202 randomised clinical trials (14,200 participants). Nineteen trials were at low risk of bias. A total of 32 different interventions were compared in these trials. A total of 115 trials (7732 participants) were included in one or more comparisons. The remaining trials did not report any of the outcomes of interest for this review. Follow-up ranged from 1 month to 28 months. The follow-up period in trials that reported clinical outcomes was 2 months to 28 months. During this follow-up period, clinical events related to NAFLD such as mortality, liver cirrhosis, liver decompensation, liver transplantation, hepatocellular carcinoma, and liver-related mortality were sparse. We did not calculate effect estimates for mortality because of sparse data (zero events for at least one of the groups in the trial). None of the trials reported that they measured overall health-related quality of life using a validated scale. The evidence is very uncertain about effects of interventions on serious adverse events (number of people or number of events). We are very uncertain about effects on adverse events of most of the supplements that we investigated, as the evidence is of very low certainty. However, people taking PUFA (polyunsaturated fatty acid) may be more likely to experience an adverse event than those not receiving an active intervention (network meta-analysis results: OR 4.44, 95% CrI 2.40 to 8.48; low-certainty evidence; 4 trials, 203 participants; direct evidence: OR 4.43, 95% CrI 2.43 to 8.42). People who take other supplements (a category that includes nutritional supplements other than vitamins, fatty acids, phospholipids, and antioxidants) had higher numbers of adverse events than those not receiving an active intervention (network meta-analysis: rate ratio 1.73, 95% CrI 1.26 to 2.41; 6 trials, 291 participants; direct evidence: rate ratio 1.72, 95% CrI 1.25 to 2.40; low-certainty evidence). Data were sparse (zero events in all groups in the trial) for liver transplantation, liver decompensation, and hepatocellular carcinoma. So, we did not perform formal analysis for these outcomes. The evidence is very uncertain about effects of other antioxidants (antioxidants other than vitamins) compared to no active intervention on liver cirrhosis (HR 1.68, 95% CrI 0.23 to 15.10; 1 trial, 99 participants; very low-certainty evidence). The evidence is very uncertain about effects of interventions in any of the remaining comparisons, or data were sparse (with zero events in at least one of the groups), precluding formal calculations of effect estimates. Data were probably because of the very short follow-up period (2 months to 28 months). It takes follow-up of 8 to 28 years to detect differences in mortality between people with NAFLD and the general population. Therefore, it is unlikely that differences in clinical outcomes are noted in trials providing less than 5 to 10 years of follow-up.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

The evidence indicates considerable uncertainty about effects of nutritional supplementation compared to no additional intervention on all clinical outcomes for people with non-alcohol-related fatty liver disease. Accordingly, high-quality randomised comparative clinical trials with adequate follow-up are needed. We propose registry-based randomised clinical trials or cohort multiple randomised clinical trials (study design in which multiple interventions are trialed within large longitudinal cohorts of patients to gain efficiencies and align trials more closely to standard clinical practice) comparing interventions such as vitamin E, prebiotics/probiotics/synbiotics, PUFAs, and no nutritional supplementation. The reason for the choice of interventions is the impact of these interventions on indirect outcomes, which may translate to clinical benefit. Outcomes in such trials should be mortality, health-related quality of life, decompensated liver cirrhosis, liver transplantation, and resource utilisation measures including costs of intervention and decreased healthcare utilisation after minimum follow-up of 8 years (to find meaningful differences in clinically important outcomes).

Lifestyle modifications for nonalcohol-related fatty liver disease: a network meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The prevalence of nonalcohol-related fatty liver disease (NAFLD) varies between 19% and 33% in different populations. NAFLD decreases life expectancy and increases the risks of liver cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, and requirement for liver transplantation. There is uncertainty surrounding the relative benefits and harms of various lifestyle interventions for people with NAFLD.

OBJECTIVES

To assess the comparative benefits and harms of different lifestyle interventions in the treatment of NAFLD through a network meta-analysis, and to generate rankings of the different lifestyle interventions according to their safety and efficacy.

SEARCH METHODS

We searched CENTRAL, MEDLINE, Embase, Science Citation Index Expanded, Conference Proceedings Citation Index - Science, World Health Organization International Clinical Trials Registry Platform, and trials registers until February 2021 to identify randomised clinical trials in people with NAFLD.

SELECTION CRITERIA

We included only randomised clinical trials (irrespective of language, blinding, or status) in people with NAFLD, whatever the method of diagnosis, age, and diabetic status of participants, or presence of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). We excluded randomised clinical trials in which participants had previously undergone liver transplantation.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

We planned to perform a network meta-analysis with OpenBUGS using Bayesian methods and to calculate the differences in treatments using hazard ratios (HRs), odds ratios (ORs), and rate ratios (RaRs) with 95% credible intervals (CrIs) based on an available-participant analysis, according to National Institute of Health and Care Excellence Decision Support Unit guidance. However, the data were too sparse for the clinical outcomes. We therefore performed only direct comparisons (head-to-head comparisons) with OpenBUGS using Bayesian methods.

MAIN RESULTS

We included a total of 59 randomised clinical trials (3631 participants) in the review. All but two trials were at high risk of bias. A total of 33 different interventions, ranging from advice to supervised exercise and special diets, or a combination of these and no additional intervention were compared in these trials. The reference treatment was no active intervention. Twenty-eight trials (1942 participants) were included in one or more comparisons. The follow-up ranged from 1 month to 24 months. The remaining trials did not report any of the outcomes of interest for this review. The follow-up period in the trials that reported clinical outcomes was 2 months to 24 months. During this short follow-up period, clinical events related to NAFLD such as mortality, liver cirrhosis, liver decompensation, liver transplantation, hepatocellular carcinoma, and liver-related mortality were sparse. This is probably because of the very short follow-up periods. It takes a follow-up of 8 years to 28 years to detect differences in mortality between people with NAFLD and the general population. It is therefore unlikely that differences by clinical outcomes will be noted in trials with less than 5 years to 10 years of follow-up. In one trial, one participant developed an adverse event. There were no adverse events in any of the remaining participants in this trial, or in any of the remaining trials, which seemed to be directly related to the intervention.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

The evidence indicates considerable uncertainty about the effects of the lifestyle interventions compared with no additional intervention (to general public health advice) on any of the clinical outcomes after a short follow-up period of 2 months to 24 months in people with nonalcohol-related fatty liver disease. Accordingly, high-quality randomised clinical trials with adequate follow-up are needed. We propose registry-based randomised clinical trials or cohort multiple randomised clinical trials (a study design in which multiple interventions are trialed within large longitudinal cohorts of participants to gain efficiencies and align trials more closely to standard clinical practice), comparing aerobic exercise and dietary advice versus standard of care (exercise and dietary advice received as part of national health promotion). The reason for the choice of aerobic exercise and dietary advice is the impact of these interventions on indirect outcomes which may translate to clinical benefit. The outcomes in such trials should be mortality, health-related quality of life, decompensated liver cirrhosis, liver transplantation, and resource use measures including costs of intervention and decreased healthcare use after a minimum follow-up of eight years, to find meaningful differences in the clinically important outcomes.

Patient Determinants for Histologic Diagnosis of NAFLD in the Real World: A TARGET-NASH Study

Much of the current data on nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) are derived from biopsy-based studies that may introduce ascertainment and selection bias. Selection of patients for liver biopsy has implications for clinical practice and the reported epidemiology of NAFLD. The aim of this study was to determine patient factors predictive of histologic versus empiric clinical diagnosis of NAFLD in real-world practice. Adults from TARGET-NASH were included in this study. Descriptive statistics are provided for the cohort and compare the characteristics of histologic NAFLD versus patients with clinically diagnosed NAFLD, followed by logistic regression and machine-learning models to describe predictors of liver biopsy. The records of 3,474 subjects were analyzed; median age was 59 years, 59% were female, 75% were White, and median body mass index was 32 kg/m2. Using histologic and/or clinical criteria, a diagnosis of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis was made in 37%, and cirrhosis in 33%. Comorbid conditions included cardiovascular disease (19%), mental health diagnoses (49%), and osteoarthritis (10%). Predictors of a biopsy diagnosis included White race, female sex, diabetes, and elevated alanine aminotransferase (ALT). ALT increased the odds of liver biopsy by 14% per 10-point rise. Machine-learning analyses showed non-White patients with ALT <69 had only a 0.06 probability of undergoing liver biopsy. ALT was the dominant variable that determined liver biopsy. Conclusions: In this real-world cohort of patients with NAFLD, two-thirds of patients did not have a liver biopsy. These patients were more likely to be non-White, older, with a normal ALT, showing potential gaps in or knowledge about this population.

Methodology and Initial Results From a Real-World Observational Cohort of Patients With Inflammatory Bowel Disease: TARGET-IBD

Background

Data on care patterns for inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) from large-scale, diverse clinical cohorts in real-world practice are sparse. We developed a real-world cohort of patients receiving care at academic and community sites, for comparative study of therapies and natural history of IBD.

Methods

We describe novel methodology of central abstraction of clinical data into a real-world IBD registry with patient reported outcomes (PROs). Baseline demographics, clinical characteristics, healthcare utilization, and disease metrics were assessed. Bivariate statistics were used to compare demographic and clinical data by Crohn disease (CD) or ulcerative colitis (UC) and site of care (academic, community).

Results

In 1 year, 1343 IBD patients (60.1% CD, 38.9% UC) were recruited from 27 academic (49.5%) and community (50.5%) sites, exceeding expectations (110% enrolled). Most participants also consented to provide PROs (59.5%) or biosamples (85.7%). Overall, 48.7% of the cohort provided a baseline PRO, and 62.6% provided a biosample. Compared to UC, CD subjects had higher prior (34.1% CD vs 7.7% UC; P < 0.001) and current (72.1% vs 47.9%; P < 0.001) biologic utilization. CD participants from academic sites had more complicated disease than those from community sites (62.5% vs 46.8% stricturing/penetrating; 33.5% vs 27% perianal; 36.8% vs 14.5% prior biologic, respectively). Nearly all (90.4%) participants had endoscopic data of whom 37.7% were in remission. One-year retention was 98.4%.

Conclusions

Centralized data abstraction and electronic PRO capture provided efficient recruitment into a large real-world observational cohort. This novel platform provides a resource for clinical outcomes and comparative effectiveness research in IBD.

Lean Americans With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Have Lower Rates of Cirrhosis and Comorbid Diseases

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is typically associated with obesity. Little is known about the prevalence of cirrhosis in patients with NAFLD and a normal body mass index (BMI).

METHODS

We determined prevalence of cirrhosis, cardiovascular disease (CVD), and metabolic abnormalities among participants in all BMI categories in the TARGET-NASH study. A total of 3386 patients with NAFLD were enrolled from August 2016 through March 2019. The odds ratios of cirrhosis, CVD, and metabolic abnormalities were estimated by age and race, adjusting for sex and center type.

RESULTS

Based on standard BMI cutoff values, 12.8% of study subjects were lean, 27.1% were overweight, 26.5% had class 1 obesity, and 33.7% had class 2 or 3 obesity. Asians accounted for 48.7% of lean participants, and proportions decreased as BMI categories increased (P < .0001). Lower proportions of lean participants had cirrhosis (22.6% vs 40.2% of non-lean participants), CVD history (9.0% vs 14.8% of nonlean participants), diabetes (32.6% vs 53.5% of non-lean participants), hypertension (47.8% vs 67.4% of non-lean participants), or dyslipidemia (54.0% vs 64.1% of non-lean participants). Asian participants had a lower prevalence of cirrhosis, history of CVD, cardiovascular events, and diabetes compared with non-Asians, independent of BMI category. After we adjusted for age, sex, and center type and site, the odds of NAFLD-associated cirrhosis in Asians who were lean was almost half the odds of NAFLD-associated cirrhosis in non-Asians who were lean (odds ratio, 0.47; 95% CI, 0.29-0.77).

CONCLUSIONS

More than 10% participants in a cohort of persons with NAFLD in the United States are lean; Asians account for almost half of the lean persons with NAFLD. Lean participants had a lower prevalence of cirrhosis, CVD, and metabolic abnormalities than non-lean persons with NAFLD. Asian participants had a significantly lower prevalence of cirrhosis, CVD, and metabolic abnormalities than non-Asians in all BMI categories. ClinicalTrials.gov, Number: NCT02815891.

A Real-World Observational Cohort of Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Design and Rationale for TARGET-HCC

This study describes the design of the TARGET-hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) cohort and descriptive characteristics of the patient population at diagnosis among those who were enrolled in the cohort across academic and community clinical centers. TARGET-HCC is a 5-year, longitudinal, observational cohort of patients with HCC receiving care in usual clinical practice. Redacted clinical information, obtained from medical records, captures the natural history and management of the disease, including the safety and efficacy of treatment interventions used in usual clinical practice. Patients can complete patient-reported outcome measures and provide biological specimens for future translational studies. The TARGET-HCC study includes adults with histologic, cytologic, or radiologic diagnosis of HCC from academic and community centers in both the United States and Europe. A total of 1,841 participants were enrolled between January 9, 2017, and July 23, 2019, at 67 sites in the United States and Europe. To date, the most common liver disease etiology in the cohort continues to be hepatitis C, although nearly half had a nonviral etiology, including alcohol-related liver disease or nonalcoholic steatohepatitis. Most included patients were diagnosed at an early stage (Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer Stage [BCLC] 0/A), but only approximately one third underwent curative treatment. Systemic therapy has been used in 7.3% of enrolled patients, including 45.7% of those with BCLC stage C tumors. Conclusion: Overall, the TARGET-HCC cohort allows for the assessment of patient characteristics and investigation of new treatment paradigms and sequencing with existing agents as well as novel regimens for HCC.

Therapy for Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: Current Options and Future Directions

PURPOSE

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a highly prevalent chronic liver disease that is driven by the metabolic syndrome. NAFLD encompasses nonalcoholic fatty liver, >5% fat in the liver without inflammation of fibrosis, nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), fat plus varying degrees of inflammation and fibrosis, and cirrhosis of the liver from NASH. As facets of the metabolic syndrome, particularly diabetes and obesity, become more common worldwide, the incidence of new NAFLD is increasing.

METHODS

A qualitative systematic review was performed via searches of PubMed and ClinicalTrials.gov for therapeutic interventions for NAFLD.

FINDINGS

Current therapies rely on metabolic syndrome risk factor control and lifestyle changes to achieve weight loss. Because sustained weight loss is difficult for many patients, there is a critical unmet need for pharmacotherapy to treat NAFLD, especially the progressive form, NASH, to prevent cirrhosis of the liver. New therapies for NAFLD focus on the subset of patients with NASH and some degree of fibrosis. Novel mechanisms of action, including farnesoid X nuclear receptor agonism, C-C motif chemokine receptor 2 and receptor 5 antagonism, stearoyl-CoA desaturase-1, and thyroid hormone receptor β agonism, are currently under investigation as monotherapy. The products also hold potential for use in combination with and without insulin sensitizers and other established drugs in the future.

IMPLICATIONS

This review of NASH treatments details the interventions that are currently available as well as those in late-stage clinical trials that may represent the future of NASH therapy.

Adolescent Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease and Type 2 Diabetes in Young Adulthood

CONTEXT

The long-term risk of type 2 diabetes in adolescents with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is unclear.

OBJECTIVE

To assess type 2 diabetes risk among adolescents with NAFLD.

DESIGN AND SETTING

A nationwide, population-based study of Israeli adolescents who were examined before military service during 1997-2011 and were followed until December 31, 2016.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 1 025 796 normoglycemic adolescents were included.

INTERVENTIONS

Biopsy or radiographic tests were prerequisite for NAFLD diagnosis. Data were linked to the Israeli National Diabetes Registry.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Type 2 diabetes incidence.

RESULTS

During a mean follow-up of 13.3 years, 12 of 633 adolescents with NAFLD (1.9%; all with high body mass index [BMI] at baseline) were diagnosed with type 2 diabetes compared with 2917 (0.3%) adolescents without NAFLD. The hazard ratio (HR) for type 2 diabetes was 2.59 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.47-4.58) for the NAFLD vs. the non-NAFLD group after adjustment for BMI and sociodemographic confounders. The elevated risk persisted in several sensitivity analyses. These included an analysis of persons without other metabolic comorbidities (adjusted HR, 2.75 [95% CI, 1.48-5.14]) and of persons with high BMI; and an analysis whose outcome was type 2 diabetes by age 30 years (adjusted HR, 2.14 [95% CI, 1.02-4.52]). The results remained significant when a sex-, birth year-, and BMI-matched control group was the reference (adjusted HR, 2.98 [95% CI, 1.54-5.74]).

CONCLUSIONS

Among normoglycemic adolescents, NAFLD was associated with an increased adjusted risk for type 2 diabetes, which may be apparent before age 30 years.

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease to metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease: Conceptual changes for clinicians, researchers and patients

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is now the most common etiology of chronic liver disease threatening global public health. However, the name "NAFLD" is no longer appropriate with the change of time. Recently, a new term, "metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease" has been proposed by an international panel of experts, which implies profound conceptual changes in terms of its metabolism-related etiology and disease heterogeneity. In this article we discuss the specific conceptual changes that clinicians, researchers and patients must absorb.

Opioid Use Is More Common in Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Patients with Cirrhosis, Higher BMI, and Psychiatric Disease

BACKGROUND

Opioid use is a topic of growing concern among patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Given safety concerns of opioids, proactively identifying subgroups of patients with an increased probability of opioid use may encourage practitioners to recommend alternative therapies for pain, thus reducing the likelihood of opioid misuse. This work assessed the prevalence and patient characteristics associated with opioid use in a real-world cohort of patients with NAFLD.

METHODS

TARGET-NASH, an observational study of participants at 55 academic and community sites in the United States, includes patients with NAFLD defined by pragmatic case definitions. Opioid use was defined as any documented opioid prescriptions in the year prior to enrollment. The association between patient characteristics and the odds of opioid use were modeled with stepwise multivariable logistic regression and tree ensemble methods (Classification and regression tree/Boosted Tree).

RESULTS

The cohort included 3,474 adult patients with NAFLD including 18.0% with documented opioid use. Variables associated with opioid use included presence of cirrhosis (OR 1.51, 95% CI 1.16-1.98), BMI ≥32 kg/m2 (OR 1.29, 95% CI 1.05-1.59), depression (OR 1.87, 95% CI 1.50-2.33), and anxiety (OR 1.59, 95% CI 1.27-1.98). In the boosted tree analysis, history of back pain, depression, and fibromyalgia had the greatest relative importance in predicting opioid use.

CONCLUSION

Prescription opioids were used in nearly 1 of 5 patients with NAFLD. Given the safety concerns of opioids in patients with NAFLD, alternative therapies including low-dose acetaminophen and nonpharmacologic treatments should be considered for these patients.

The Fatty Liver Assessment in Germany (FLAG) cohort study identifies large heterogeneity in NAFLD care

Background & Aims

NAFLD is a growing health concern. The aim of the Fatty Liver Assessment in Germany (FLAG) study was to assess disease burden and provide data on the standard of care from secondary care.

Methods

The FLAG study is an observational real-world study in patients with NAFLD enrolled at 13 centres across Germany. Severity of disease was assessed by non-invasive surrogate scores and data recorded at baseline and 12 months.

Results

In this study, 507 patients (mean age 53 years; 47% women) were enrolled. According to fibrosis-4 index, 64%, 26%, and 10% of the patients had no significant fibrosis, indeterminate stage, and advanced fibrosis, respectively. Patients with advanced fibrosis were older, had higher waist circumferences, and higher aspartate aminotransferase and gamma-glutamyltransferase as well as ferritin levels. The prevalence of obesity, arterial hypertension, and type 2 diabetes increased with fibrosis stages. Standard of care included physical exercise >2 times per week in 17% (no significant fibrosis), 19% (indeterminate), and 6% (advanced fibrosis) of patients. Medication with either vitamin E, silymarin, or ursodeoxycholic acid was reported in 5%. Approximately 25% of the patients received nutritional counselling. According to the FibroScan-AST score, 17% of patients presented with progressive non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (n = 107). On follow-up at year 1 (n = 117), weight loss occurred in 47% of patients, of whom 17% lost more than 5% of body weight. In the weight loss group, alanine aminotransferase activities were reduced by 20%.

Conclusions

This is the first report on NAFLD from a secondary-care real-world cohort in Germany. Every 10th patient presented with advanced fibrosis at baseline. Management consisted of best supportive care and lifestyle recommendations. The data highlight the urgent need for systematic health agenda in NAFLD patients.

Lay summary

FLAG is a real-world cohort study that examined the liver disease burden in secondary and tertiary care. Herein, 10% of patients referred to secondary care for NAFLD exhibited advanced liver disease, whilst 64% had no significant liver scarring. These findings underline the urgent need to define patient referral pathways for suspected liver disease.

Pediatric NAFLD: an overview and recent developments in diagnostics and treatment

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most common chronic liver disease in children and adults in industrialized countries. Besides liver-related morbidity, NAFLD is also associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular disease, type 2 diabetes and mortality at adult age. However, despite the high prevalence and serious complications, diagnosing and staging of disease remains complicated due to a lack of accurate screening tools and non-invasive methods to detect fibrosis. Areas covered: Recent insights in epidemiology, pathogenesis, diagnostic evaluation and treatment options in pediatric NAFLD are being reviewed, with a particular focus on new developments in diagnostic tools. Expert opinion: Due to their long life span, children with NAFLD are particularly at risk of complications in their lifetime. Therefore, an effective screening strategy for children to identify those with NAFLD at risk of complications is urgently needed. This is further underscored by new pharmacological therapies that are expected to become available in the next 5 years. Momentarily no accurate non-invasive method for diagnosing pediatric NAFLD is available. New promising biomarkers and imaging tools could hopefully provide better screening tools and could contribute to the development of a successful management plan to identify children with NAFLD.

A Bayesian nonparametric causal inference model for synthesizing randomized clinical trial and real-world evidence

With the wide availability of various real-world data (RWD), there is an increasing interest in synthesizing information from both randomized clinical trials and RWD for health-care decision makings. The task of addressing study-specific heterogeneities is one of the most difficult challenges in synthesizing data from disparate sources. Bayesian hierarchical models with nonparametric extension provide a powerful and convenient platform that formalizes the information borrowing strength across the sources. In this paper, we propose a propensity score-based Bayesian nonparametric Dirichlet process mixture model that summarizes subject-level information from randomized and registry studies to draw inference on the causal treatment effect. Simulation studies are conducted to evaluate the model performance under different scenarios. In addition, we demonstrate the proposed method using data from a clinical study on angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitor for treating congestive heart failure.

Reevaluation of the post-marketing safety of Xuebijing injection based on real-world and evidence-based evaluations

AIMS

To determine the causes of adverse reactions associated with Xuebijing injection and provide medical evidence for its safe and rational post-marketing use in clinical practice.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We used prospective nested case-control and prescription sequence analysis designs. Using data from the Hospital Information System, patients exhibiting trigger signals after receiving Xuebijing injection were classified as suspected allergic patients. Logistic regression analysis was performed on the risk factors associated with Xuebijing-induced allergic reactions. Randomized controlled and cohort studies on adverse drug reactions to Xuebijing injection were screened from databases and the results were subjected to meta-analysis.

RESULTS

The overall incidence of allergic reactions or anaphylaxis tended to increase with dosage and patient's age. Moreover, compared with Xuebijing alone, co-administration of Xuebijing with other drugs or agents (including Ringer's sodium acetate solution, reduced glutathione, aspirin-DL-lysine, and torasemide) increased the risk of adverse reactions. The use of glucose as a vehicle also provoked a greater incidence of allergic reactions than that by the use of 0.9% w/v sodium chloride as a vehicle. Adverse reactions occurred more frequently in patients receiving indicated dosages than in those receiving off-label dosages.

CONCLUSIONS

Adverse reactions to Xuebijing injections were correlated with vehicle type, dosage, age, and drug combination. There was no clear association between patient's condition at admission and suspected adverse reactions to Xuebijing injection. Factors influencing the adverse reactions to Xuebijing injection must be fully considered in clinical practice.

Reevaluation of the post-marketing safety of Shuxuening injection based on real-world and evidence-based evaluations

Aim

To evaluate the factors influencing suspected hypersensitivity and adverse systemic reactions after Shuxuening injection and to provide innovative ideas and methods for the reevaluation of post-marketing safety of Shuxuening.

Methods

This study used a prospective, nested case–control study design, combined with a prescription sequence analysis design method. It classified patients who exhibited trigger signals after administration of Shuxuening injection as suspected allergic patients and made comparisons with patients who did not report adverse effects to calculate the correlation between relevant risk factors and suspected allergic reactions. Randomized controlled studies and cohort studies of the adverse drug reaction (ADR) of Shuxuening were performed using a computer database. Data retrieval was carried out by the foundation governing the individual database. Meta-analysis was performed by using R3.2.3 software to evaluate the ADRs of Shuxuening.

Results

The results of real-world study showed that administration of Shuxuening in combination with potassium aspartate and magnesium, atorvastatin calcium, Shengmai injection, pantoprazole sodium, or high-dose medication was a risk factor for suspected allergic reactions. Meta-analysis showed that the incidence of adverse events was 5.84% (95% CI 0.0499; 0.0674), and serious adverse reaction rate was 4.36% (95% CI 0.0188; 0.0760) when Shuxuening was used in combination with these drugs. The incidence of allergic reaction was also influenced by the vehicle, duration of treatment, single dose, and indicated vs off-label use.

Conclusion

Risk factors for adverse reaction following the use of Shuxuening injection in patients are associated with a single dose, vehicle, type of disease, and combination with potassium aspartate, atorvastatin calcium, Shengmai injection, injection with pantoprazole sodium, and other drugs. Physicians should be careful to follow guidelines when administering this drug. We further propose that the unique methodology used in this study may be useful for reevaluation of the safety of other traditional Chinese medicines.

Management of patients with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) in real life

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)/non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is a prevalent condition that is associated with the development of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma and with no approved treatment options except for lifestyle changes. Guidelines have been drafted for the management of NAFLD patients in this setting. Because of the lack of real-life cohort data, we will focus on practice surveys on the management of patients with NAFLD/NASH, which included primary care practitioners, gastroenterologists/hepatologists and other specialists from various countries. Practice patterns have been collected from interviews with practitioners or reviews of patient's files. This review discusses the screening, diagnosis and therapeutic management of NAFLD/NASH patients in real life practice, as well as adherence to guidelines.