A radiomics-based decision support tool improves lung cancer diagnosis in combination with the Herder score in large lung nodules

Development and validation of an integrated system for lung cancer screening and post-screening pulmonary nodules management: a proof-of-concept study (ASCEND-LUNG)

Background

In order to address the low compliance and dissatisfied specificity of low-dose computed tomography (LDCT), efficient and non-invasive approaches are needed to complement its limitations for lung cancer screening and management. The ASCEND-LUNG study is a prospective two-stage case-control study designed to evaluate the performance of a liquid biopsy-based comprehensive lung cancer screening and post-screening pulmonary nodules management system.

Methods

We aimed to develop a comprehensive lung cancer system called Peking University Lung Cancer Screening and Management System (PKU-LCSMS) which comprises a lung cancer screening model to identify specific populations requiring LDCT and an artificial intelligence-aided (AI-aided) pulmonary nodules diagnostic model to classify pulmonary nodules following LDCT. A dataset of 465 participants (216 cancer, 47 benign, 202 non-cancer control) were used for the two models' development phase. For the lung cancer screening model development, cancer participants were randomly split at a ratio of 1:1 into the train and validation cohorts, and then non-cancer controls were age-matched to the cancer cases in a 1:1 ratio. Similarly, for the AI-aided pulmonary nodules model, cancer and benign participants were also randomly divided at a ratio of 2:1 into the train and validation cohorts. Subsequently, during the model validation phase, sensitivity and specificity were validated using an independent validation cohort consisting of 291 participants (140 cancer, 25 benign, 126 non-cancer control). Prospectively collected blood samples were analyzed for multi-omics including cell-free DNA (cfDNA) methylation, mutation, and serum protein. Computerized tomography (CT) images data was also obtained. Paired tissue samples were additionally analyzed for DNA methylation, DNA mutation, and messenger RNA (mRNA) expression to further explore the potential biological mechanisms. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04817046.

Findings

Baseline blood samples were evaluated for the whole screening and diagnostic process. The cfDNA methylation-based lung cancer screening model exhibited the highest area under the curve (AUC) of 0.910 (95% CI, 0.869-0.950), followed by the protein model (0.891 [95% CI, 0.845-0.938]) and lastly the mutation model (0.577 [95% CI, 0.482-0.672]). Further, the final screening model, which incorporated cfDNA methylation and protein features, achieved an AUC of 0.963 (95% CI, 0.942-0.984). In the independent validation cohort, the multi-omics screening model showed a sensitivity of 99.2% (95% CI, 0.957-1.000) at a specificity of 56.3% (95% CI, 0.472-0.652). For the AI-aided pulmonary nodules diagnostic model, which incorporated cfDNA methylation and CT images features, it yielded a sensitivity of 81.1% (95% CI, 0.732-0.875), a specificity of 76.0% (95% CI, 0.549-0.906) in the independent validation cohort. Furthermore, four differentially methylated regions (DMRs) were shared in the lung cancer screening model and the AI-aided pulmonary nodules diagnostic model.

Interpretation

We developed and validated a liquid biopsy-based comprehensive lung cancer screening and management system called PKU-LCSMS which combined a blood multi-omics based lung cancer screening model incorporating cfDNA methylation and protein features and an AI-aided pulmonary nodules diagnostic model integrating CT images and cfDNA methylation features in sequence to streamline the entire process of lung cancer screening and post-screening pulmonary nodules management. It might provide a promising applicable solution for lung cancer screening and management.

Funding

This work was supported by Science, Science, Technology & Innovation Project of Xiongan New Area, Beijing Natural Science Foundation, CAMS Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences (CIFMS), Clinical Medicine Plus X-Young Scholars Project of Peking University, the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities, Research Unit of Intelligence Diagnosis and Treatment in Early Non-small Cell Lung Cancer, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, National Natural Science Foundation of China, Peking University People's Hospital Research and Development Funds, National Key Research and Development Program of China, and the fundamental research funds for the central universities.

Altruistic seagull optimization algorithm enables selection of radiomic features for predicting benign and malignant pulmonary nodules

Accurately differentiating indeterminate pulmonary nodules remains a significant challenge in clinical practice. This challenge becomes increasingly formidable when dealing with the vast radiomic features obtained from low-dose computed tomography, a lung cancer screening technique being rolling out in many areas of the world. Consequently, this study proposed the Altruistic Seagull Optimization Algorithm (AltSOA) for the selection of radiomic features in predicting the malignancy risk of pulmonary nodules. This innovative approach incorporated altruism into the traditional seagull optimization algorithm to seek a global optimal solution. A multi-objective fitness function was designed for training the pulmonary nodule prediction model, aiming to use fewer radiomic features while ensuring prediction performance. Among global radiomic features, the AltSOA identified 11 interested features, including the gray level co-occurrence matrix. This automatically selected panel of radiomic features enabled precise prediction (area under the curve = 0.8383 (95 % confidence interval 0.7862-0.8863)) of the malignancy risk of pulmonary nodules, surpassing the proficiency of radiologists. Furthermore, the interpretability, clinical utility, and generalizability of the pulmonary nodule prediction model were thoroughly discussed. All results consistently underscore the superiority of the AltSOA in predicting the malignancy risk of pulmonary nodules. And the proposed malignant risk prediction model for pulmonary nodules holds promise for enhancing existing lung cancer screening methods. The supporting source codes of this work can be found at: https://github.com/zzl2022/PBMPN.

Deep learning in pulmonary nodule detection and segmentation: a systematic review

OBJECTIVES

The accurate detection and precise segmentation of lung nodules on computed tomography are key prerequisites for early diagnosis and appropriate treatment of lung cancer. This study was designed to compare detection and segmentation methods for pulmonary nodules using deep-learning techniques to fill methodological gaps and biases in the existing literature.

METHODS

This study utilized a systematic review with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines, searching PubMed, Embase, Web of Science Core Collection, and the Cochrane Library databases up to May 10, 2023. The Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies 2 criteria was used to assess the risk of bias and was adjusted with the Checklist for Artificial Intelligence in Medical Imaging. The study analyzed and extracted model performance, data sources, and task-focus information.

RESULTS

After screening, we included nine studies meeting our inclusion criteria. These studies were published between 2019 and 2023 and predominantly used public datasets, with the Lung Image Database Consortium Image Collection and Image Database Resource Initiative and Lung Nodule Analysis 2016 being the most common. The studies focused on detection, segmentation, and other tasks, primarily utilizing Convolutional Neural Networks for model development. Performance evaluation covered multiple metrics, including sensitivity and the Dice coefficient.

CONCLUSIONS

This study highlights the potential power of deep learning in lung nodule detection and segmentation. It underscores the importance of standardized data processing, code and data sharing, the value of external test datasets, and the need to balance model complexity and efficiency in future research.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

Deep learning demonstrates significant promise in autonomously detecting and segmenting pulmonary nodules. Future research should address methodological shortcomings and variability to enhance its clinical utility.

KEY POINTS

Deep learning shows potential in the detection and segmentation of pulmonary nodules. There are methodological gaps and biases present in the existing literature. Factors such as external validation and transparency affect the clinical application.

Radiomics nomogram: distinguishing benign and malignant pure ground-glass nodules based on dual-layer spectral detector CT

AIM

To investigate the value of the combined model based on spectral quantitative parameters, radiomics features, imaging and clinical features to distinguish the benign and malignant pure ground-glass nodules (pGGNs).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A retrospective analysis of 113 patients with single pGGNs who underwent non-contrast enhancement examination of the chest on dual-layer spectral detector CT (SDCT) with two weeks before surgery was performed in our hospital. These patients were randomized into training and testing cohorts. Regions of interest based on the conventional 120 kVp poly energetic image of SDCT were outlined. Then the optimal features were extracted and selected to construct radiomic model. A combined model combining vacuole sign, electron density (ED) value and the rad score of radiomics model was built by logistic regression analysis. A nomogram was built in a training cohort and the performance of the models was evaluated in the training and testing cohorts by receiver operating characteristic curves, calibration curves and decision curve analysis.

RESULTS

ED value [Odds Ratio (OR):1.100; 95% confidence interval (CI):1.027-1.166)] and vacuole sign (OR:3.343; 95% CI:0.881-12.680) were independent risk factors for the malignant pGGNs in the training cohort. A combined model was constructed using radiomics features, ED value and vacuole sign. And the AUC was 0.910 (95% CI, 0.825-0.997) and 0.850 (95% CI, 0.714-0.981) in the training and testing cohorts, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The combined model based on SDCT has high specificity and sensitivity for distinguishing the benign and malignant pGGNs, suggesting the model can further improve diagnostic performance, and using a nomogram is helpful for individualized predictions.

Associations of Intrapancreatic Fat Deposition With Incident Diseases of the Exocrine and Endocrine Pancreas: A UK Biobank Prospective Cohort Study

INTRODUCTION

To investigate whether increased intrapancreatic fat deposition (IPFD) heightens the risk of diseases of the exocrine and endocrine pancreas.

METHODS

A prospective cohort study was conducted using data from the UK Biobank. IPFD was quantified using MRI and a deep learning-based framework called nnUNet. The prevalence of fatty change of the pancreas (FP) was determined using sex- and age-specific thresholds. Associations between IPFD and pancreatic diseases were assessed with multivariate Cox-proportional hazard model adjusted for age, sex, ethnicity, body mass index, smoking and drinking status, central obesity, hypertension, dyslipidemia, liver fat content, and spleen fat content.

RESULTS

Of the 42,599 participants included in the analysis, the prevalence of FP was 17.86%. Elevated IPFD levels were associated with an increased risk of acute pancreatitis (hazard ratio [HR] per 1 quintile change 1.513, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.179-1.941), pancreatic cancer (HR per 1 quintile change 1.365, 95% CI 1.058-1.762) and diabetes mellitus (HR per 1 quintile change 1.221, 95% CI 1.132-1.318). FP was also associated with a higher risk of acute pancreatitis (HR 3.982, 95% CI 2.192-7.234), pancreatic cancer (HR 1.976, 95% CI 1.054-3.704), and diabetes mellitus (HR 1.337, 95% CI 1.122-1.593, P = 0.001).

DISCUSSION

FP is a common pancreatic disorder. Fat in the pancreas is an independent risk factor for diseases of both the exocrine pancreas and endocrine pancreas.

Deep Learning Models for Predicting Malignancy Risk in CT-Detected Pulmonary Nodules: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

There has been growing interest in using artificial intelligence/deep learning (DL) to help diagnose prevalent diseases earlier. In this study we sought to survey the landscape of externally validated DL-based computer-aided diagnostic (CADx) models, and assess their diagnostic performance for predicting the risk of malignancy in computed tomography (CT)-detected pulmonary nodules.

METHODS

An electronic search was performed in four databases (from inception to 10 August 2023). Studies were eligible if they were peer-reviewed experimental or observational articles comparing the diagnostic performance of externally validated DL-based CADx models with models widely used in clinical practice to predict the risk of malignancy. A bivariate random-effect approach for the meta-analysis on the included studies was used.

RESULTS

Seventeen studies were included, comprising 8553 participants and 9884 nodules. Pooled analyses showed DL-based CADx models were 11.6% more sensitive than physician judgement alone, and 14.5% more than clinical risk models alone. They had a similar pooled specificity to physician judgement alone [0.77 (95% CI 0.68-0.84) v 0.81 (95% CI 0.71-0.88)], and were 7.4% more specific than clinical risk models alone. They had superior pooled areas under the receiver operating curve (AUC), with relative pooled AUCs of 1.03 (95% CI 1.00-1.07) and 1.10 (95% CI 1.07-1.13) versus physician judgement and clinical risk models alone, respectively.

CONCLUSION

DL-based models are already used in clinical practice in certain settings for nodule management. Our results show their diagnostic performance potentially justifies wider, more routine deployment alongside experienced physician readers to help inform multidisciplinary team decision-making.

A Multichannel CT and Radiomics-Guided CNN-ViT (RadCT-CNNViT) Ensemble Network for Diagnosis of Pulmonary Sarcoidosis

Pulmonary sarcoidosis is a multisystem granulomatous interstitial lung disease (ILD) with a variable presentation and prognosis. The early accurate detection of pulmonary sarcoidosis may prevent progression to pulmonary fibrosis, a serious and potentially life-threatening form of the disease. However, the lack of a gold-standard diagnostic test and specific radiographic findings poses challenges in diagnosing pulmonary sarcoidosis. Chest computed tomography (CT) imaging is commonly used but requires expert, chest-trained radiologists to differentiate pulmonary sarcoidosis from lung malignancies, infections, and other ILDs. In this work, we develop a multichannel, CT and radiomics-guided ensemble network (RadCT-CNNViT) with visual explainability for pulmonary sarcoidosis vs. lung cancer (LCa) classification using chest CT images. We leverage CT and hand-crafted radiomics features as input channels, and a 3D convolutional neural network (CNN) and vision transformer (ViT) ensemble network for feature extraction and fusion before a classification head. The 3D CNN sub-network captures the localized spatial information of lesions, while the ViT sub-network captures long-range, global dependencies between features. Through multichannel input and feature fusion, our model achieves the highest performance with accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, precision, F1-score, and combined AUC of 0.93 ± 0.04, 0.94 ± 0.04, 0.93 ± 0.08, 0.95 ± 0.05, 0.94 ± 0.04, and 0.97, respectively, in a five-fold cross-validation study with pulmonary sarcoidosis (n = 126) and LCa (n = 93) cases. A detailed ablation study showing the impact of CNN + ViT compared to CNN or ViT alone, and CT + radiomics input, compared to CT or radiomics alone, is also presented in this work. Overall, the AI model developed in this work offers promising potential for triaging the pulmonary sarcoidosis patients for timely diagnosis and treatment from chest CT.

A spatio-temporal image analysis for growth of indeterminate pulmonary nodules detected by CT scan

The objective is to evaluate the performance of computational image classification for indeterminate pulmonary nodules (IPN) chronologically detected by CT scan. Total 483 patients with 670 abnormal pulmonary nodules, who were taken chest thin-section CT (TSCT) images at least twice and resected as suspicious nodules in our hospital, were enrolled in this study. Nodular regions from the initial and the latest TSCT images were cut manually for each case, and approached by Python development environment, using the open-source cv2 library, to measure the nodular change rate (NCR). These NCRs were statistically compared with clinico-pathological factors, and then, this discriminator was evaluated for clinical performance. NCR showed significant differences among the nodular consistencies. In terms of histological subtypes, NCR of invasive adenocarcinoma (ADC) were significantly distinguishable from other lesions, but not from minimally invasive ADC. Only for cancers, NCR was significantly associated with loco-regional invasivity, p53-immunoreactivity, and Ki67-immunoreactivity. Regarding Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor gene mutation of ADC-related nodules, NCR showed a significant negative correlation. On staging of lung cancer cases, NCR was significantly increased with progression from pTis-stage 0 up to pT1b-stage IA2. For clinical shared decision-making (SDM) whether urgent resection or watchful-waiting, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis showed that area under the ROC curve was 0.686. For small-sized IPN detected by CT scan, this approach shows promise as a potential navigator to improve work-up for life-threatening cancer screening and assist SDM before surgery.

Machine learning and radiomics for segmentation and classification of adnexal masses on ultrasound

Ultrasound-based models exist to support the classification of adnexal masses but are subjective and rely upon ultrasound expertise. We aimed to develop an end-to-end machine learning (ML) model capable of automating the classification of adnexal masses. In this retrospective study, transvaginal ultrasound scan images with linked diagnoses (ultrasound subjective assessment or histology) were extracted and segmented from Imperial College Healthcare, UK (ICH development dataset; n = 577 masses; 1444 images) and Morgagni-Pierantoni Hospital, Italy (MPH external dataset; n = 184 masses; 476 images). A segmentation and classification model was developed using convolutional neural networks and traditional radiomics features. Dice surface coefficient (DICE) was used to measure segmentation performance and area under the ROC curve (AUC), F1-score and recall for classification performance. The ICH and MPH datasets had a median age of 45 (IQR 35-60) and 48 (IQR 38-57) years old and consisted of 23.1% and 31.5% malignant cases, respectively. The best segmentation model achieved a DICE score of 0.85 ± 0.01, 0.88 ± 0.01 and 0.85 ± 0.01 in the ICH training, ICH validation and MPH test sets. The best classification model achieved a recall of 1.00 and F1-score of 0.88 (AUC:0.93), 0.94 (AUC:0.89) and 0.83 (AUC:0.90) in the ICH training, ICH validation and MPH test sets, respectively. We have developed an end-to-end radiomics-based model capable of adnexal mass segmentation and classification, with a comparable predictive performance (AUC 0.90) to the published performance of expert subjective assessment (gold standard), and current risk models. Further prospective evaluation of the classification performance of this ML model against existing methods is required.

Deep representation learning of tissue metabolome and computed tomography annotates NSCLC classification and prognosis

The rich chemical information from tissue metabolomics provides a powerful means to elaborate tissue physiology or tumor characteristics at cellular and tumor microenvironment levels. However, the process of obtaining such information requires invasive biopsies, is costly, and can delay clinical patient management. Conversely, computed tomography (CT) is a clinical standard of care but does not intuitively harbor histological or prognostic information. Furthermore, the ability to embed metabolome information into CT to subsequently use the learned representation for classification or prognosis has yet to be described. This study develops a deep learning-based framework -- tissue-metabolomic-radiomic-CT (TMR-CT) by combining 48 paired CT images and tumor/normal tissue metabolite intensities to generate ten image embeddings to infer metabolite-derived representation from CT alone. In clinical NSCLC settings, we ascertain whether TMR-CT results in an enhanced feature generation model solving histology classification/prognosis tasks in an unseen international CT dataset of 742 patients. TMR-CT non-invasively determines histological classes - adenocarcinoma/squamous cell carcinoma with an F1-score = 0.78 and further asserts patients' prognosis with a c-index = 0.72, surpassing the performance of radiomics models and deep learning on single modality CT feature extraction. Additionally, our work shows the potential to generate informative biology-inspired CT-led features to explore connections between hard-to-obtain tissue metabolic profiles and routine lesion-derived image data.

Experimental Examination of Conventional, Semi-Automatic, and Automatic Volumetry Tools for Segmentation of Pulmonary Nodules in a Phantom Study

The aim of this study is to examine the precision of semi-automatic, conventional and automatic volumetry tools for pulmonary nodules in chest CT with phantom N1 LUNGMAN. The phantom is a life-size anatomical chest model with pulmonary nodules representing solid and subsolid metastases. Gross tumor volumes (GTVis) were contoured using various approaches: manually (0); as a means of semi-automated, conventional contouring with (I) adaptive-brush function; (II) flood-fill function; and (III) image-thresholding function. Furthermore, a deep-learning algorithm for automatic contouring was applied (IV). An intermodality comparison of the above-mentioned strategies for contouring GTVis was performed. For the mean GTVref (standard deviation (SD)), the interquartile range (IQR)) was 0.68 mL (0.33; 0.34-1.1). GTV segmentation was distributed as follows: (I) 0.61 mL (0.27; 0.36-0.92); (II) 0.41 mL (0.28; 0.23-0.63); (III) 0.65 mL (0.35; 0.32-0.90); and (IV) 0.61 mL (0.29; 0.33-0.95). GTVref was found to be significantly correlated with GTVis (I) p < 0.001, r = 0.989 (III) p = 0.001, r = 0.916, and (IV) p < 0.001, r = 0.986, but not with (II) p = 0.091, r = 0.595. The Sørensen-Dice indices for the semi-automatic tools were 0.74 (I), 0.57 (II) and 0.71 (III). For the semi-automatic, conventional segmentation tools evaluated, the adaptive-brush function (I) performed closest to the reference standard (0). The automatic deep learning tool (IV) showed high performance for auto-segmentation and was close to the reference standard. For high precision radiation therapy, visual control, and, where necessary, manual correction, are mandatory for all evaluated tools.

Radiomics-based decision support tool assists radiologists in small lung nodule classification and improves lung cancer early diagnosis

BACKGROUND

Methods to improve stratification of small (≤15 mm) lung nodules are needed. We aimed to develop a radiomics model to assist lung cancer diagnosis.

METHODS

Patients were retrospectively identified using health records from January 2007 to December 2018. The external test set was obtained from the national LIBRA study and a prospective Lung Cancer Screening programme. Radiomics features were extracted from multi-region CT segmentations using TexLab2.0. LASSO regression generated the 5-feature small nodule radiomics-predictive-vector (SN-RPV). K-means clustering was used to split patients into risk groups according to SN-RPV. Model performance was compared to 6 thoracic radiologists. SN-RPV and radiologist risk groups were combined to generate "Safety-Net" and "Early Diagnosis" decision-support tools.

RESULTS

In total, 810 patients with 990 nodules were included. The AUC for malignancy prediction was 0.85 (95% CI: 0.82-0.87), 0.78 (95% CI: 0.70-0.85) and 0.78 (95% CI: 0.59-0.92) for the training, test and external test datasets, respectively. The test set accuracy was 73% (95% CI: 65-81%) and resulted in 66.67% improvements in potentially missed [8/12] or delayed [6/9] cancers, compared to the radiologist with performance closest to the mean of six readers.

CONCLUSIONS

SN-RPV may provide net-benefit in terms of earlier cancer diagnosis.

The leading global health challenges in the artificial intelligence era

Millions of people's health is at risk because of several factors and multiple overlapping crises, all of which hit the vulnerable the most. These challenges are dynamic and evolve in response to emerging health challenges and concerns, which need effective collaboration among countries working toward achieving Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and securing global health. Mental Health, the Impact of climate change, cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), diabetes, Infectious diseases, health system, and population aging are examples of challenges known to pose a vast burden worldwide. We are at a point known as the "digital revolution," characterized by the expansion of artificial intelligence (AI) and a fusion of technology types. AI has emerged as a powerful tool for addressing various health challenges, and the last ten years have been influential due to the rapid expansion in the production and accessibility of health-related data. The computational models and algorithms can understand complicated health and medical data to perform various functions and deep-learning strategies. This narrative mini-review summarizes the most current AI applications to address the leading global health challenges. Harnessing its capabilities can ultimately mitigate the Impact of these challenges and revolutionize the field. It has the ability to strengthen global health through personalized health care and improved preparedness and response to future challenges. However, ethical and legal concerns about individual or community privacy and autonomy must be addressed for effective implementation.

Preoperative predicting invasiveness of lung adenocarcinoma manifesting as ground-glass nodules based on multimodal images of dual-layer spectral detector CT radiomics models

OBJECTIVE

To construct and validate conventional and radiomics models based on dual-layer spectral CT radiomics for preoperative prediction of lung ground glass nodules (GGNs) invasiveness.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A retrospective study was conducted on 176 GGNs patients who underwent chest non-contrast enhancement scan on dual-layer spectral detector CT at our hospital within 2 weeks before surgery. Patients were randomized into the training cohort and testing cohort. Clinical features, imaging features and spectral quantitative parameters were collected to establish a conventional model. Radiomics models were established by extracting 1781 radiomics features form regions of interest of each spectral image [120 kVp poly energetic images (PI), 60 keV images and electron density maps], respectively. After selecting the optimal radiomic features and integrating multiple machine learning models, the conventional model, PI model, 60 keV model, electron density (ED) model and combined model based on multimodal spectral images were finally established. The performance of these models was assessed through the evaluation of discrimination, calibration, and clinical application.

RESULTS

In the conventional model, age, vacuole sign, 60 keV and ED were independent risk factors of invasiveness. The combined model using logistic regression-least absolute shrinkage and selection operator classifiers was the optimal model with a higher area under the curve of the training (0.961, 95% confidence interval, CI: 0.932-0.991) and testing set (0.944, 0.890-0.999).

CONCLUSION

The combined models are helpful to predict the invasiveness of GGNs before surgery and guide the individualized treatment of patients.

Validity of a multiphase CT-based radiomics model in predicting the Leibovich risk groups for localized clear cell renal cell carcinoma: an exploratory study

OBJECTIVE

To develop and validate a multiphase CT-based radiomics model for preoperative risk stratification of patients with localized clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC).

METHODS

A total of 425 patients with localized ccRCC were enrolled and divided into training, validation, and external testing cohorts. Radiomics features were extracted from three-phase CT images (unenhanced, arterial, and venous), and radiomics signatures were constructed by the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression algorithm. The radiomics score (Rad-score) for each patient was calculated. The radiomics model was established and visualized as a nomogram by incorporating significant clinical factors and Rad-score. The predictive performance of the radiomics model was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

The AUC of the triphasic radiomics signature reached 0.862 (95% CI: 0.809-0.914), 0.853 (95% CI: 0.785-0.921), and 0.837 (95% CI: 0.714-0.959) in three cohorts, respectively, which were higher than arterial, venous, and unenhanced radiomics signatures. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that Rad-score (OR: 4.066, 95% CI: 3.495-8.790) and renal vein invasion (OR: 12.914, 95% CI: 1.118-149.112) were independent predictors and used to develop the radiomics model. The radiomics model showed good calibration and discrimination and yielded an AUC of 0.872 (95% CI: 0.821-0.923), 0.865 (95% CI: 0.800-0.930), and 0.848 (95% CI: 0.728-0.967) in three cohorts, respectively. DCA showed the clinical usefulness of the radiomics model in predicting the Leibovich risk groups.

CONCLUSIONS

The radiomics model can be used as a non-invasive and useful tool to predict the Leibovich risk groups for localized ccRCC patients.

CRITICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

The triphasic CT-based radiomics model achieved favorable performance in preoperatively predicting the Leibovich risk groups in patients with localized ccRCC. Therefore, it can be used as a non-invasive and effective tool for preoperative risk stratification of patients with localized ccRCC.

KEY POINTS

• The triphasic CT-based radiomics signature achieves better performance than the single-phase radiomics signature. • Radiomics holds prospects in preoperatively predicting the Leibovich risk groups for ccRCC. • This study provides a non-invasive method to stratify patients with localized ccRCC.

Bayesian network enables interpretable and state-of-the-art prediction of immunotherapy responses in cancer patients

Immune checkpoint inhibitors, especially PD-1/PD-L1 blockade, have revolutionized cancer treatment and brought tremendous benefits to patients who otherwise would have had a limited prognosis. Nonetheless, only a small fraction of patients respond to immunotherapy, and the costs and side effects of immune checkpoint inhibitors cannot be ignored. With the advent of machine and deep learning, clinical and genetic data have been used to stratify patient responses to immunotherapy. Unfortunately, these approaches have typically been "black-box" methods that are unable to explain their predictions, thereby hindering their responsible clinical application. Herein, we developed a "white-box" Bayesian network model that achieves accurate and interpretable predictions of immunotherapy responses against nonsmall cell lung cancer (NSCLC). This tree-augmented naïve Bayes (TAN) model accurately predicted durable clinical benefits and distinguished two clinically significant subgroups with distinct prognoses. Furthermore, our state-of-the-art white-box TAN approach achieved greater accuracy than previous methods. We hope that our model will guide clinicians in selecting NSCLC patients who truly require immunotherapy and expect our approach to be easily applied to other types of cancer.

Artificial Intelligence in the Diagnosis and Treatment of Pancreatic Cystic Lesions and Adenocarcinoma

Pancreatic cancer is projected to become the second leading cause of cancer-related mortality in the United States by 2030. This is in part due to the paucity of reliable screening and diagnostic options for early detection. Amongst known pre-malignant pancreatic lesions, pancreatic intraepithelial neoplasia (PanIN) and intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) are the most prevalent. The current standard of care for the diagnosis and classification of pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) involves cross-sectional imaging studies and endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) and, when indicated, EUS-guided fine needle aspiration and cyst fluid analysis. However, this is suboptimal for the identification and risk stratification of PCLs, with accuracy of only 65-75% for detecting mucinous PCLs. Artificial intelligence (AI) is a promising tool that has been applied to improve accuracy in screening for solid tumors, including breast, lung, cervical, and colon cancer. More recently, it has shown promise in diagnosing pancreatic cancer by identifying high-risk populations, risk-stratifying premalignant lesions, and predicting the progression of IPMNs to adenocarcinoma. This review summarizes the available literature on artificial intelligence in the screening and prognostication of precancerous lesions in the pancreas, and streamlining the diagnosis of pancreatic cancer.

Development and validation of a contrast-enhanced CT-based radiomics nomogram for preoperative diagnosis in neuroendocrine carcinoma of digestive system

Objectives

To develop and validate a contrast-enhanced CT-based radiomics nomogram for the diagnosis of neuroendocrine carcinoma of the digestive system.

Methods

The clinical data and contrast-enhanced CT images of 60 patients with pathologically confirmed neuroendocrine carcinoma of the digestive system and 60 patients with non-neuroendocrine carcinoma of the digestive system were retrospectively collected from August 2015 to December 2021 at Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, and randomly divided into a training cohort (n=84) and a validation cohort (n=36). Clinical characteristics were analyzed by logistic regression and a clinical diagnosis model was developed. Radiomics signature were established by extracting radiomic features from contrast-enhanced CT images. Based on the radiomic signature and clinical characteristics, radiomic nomogram was developed. ROC curves and Delong's test were used to evaluate the diagnostic efficacy of the three models, calibration curves and application decision curves were used to analyze the accuracy and clinical application value of nomogram.

Results

Logistic regression results showed that TNM stage (stage IV) (OR 6.8, 95% CI 1.320-43.164, p=0. 028) was an independent factor affecting the diagnosis for NECs of the digestive system, and a clinical model was constructed based on TNM stage (stage IV). The AUCs of the clinical model, radiomics signature, and radiomics nomogram for the diagnosis of NECs of the digestive system in the training, validation cohorts and pooled patients were 0.643, 0.893, 0.913; 0.722, 0.867, 0.932 and 0.667, 0.887, 0.917 respectively. The AUCs of radiomics signature and radiomics nomogram were higher than clinical model, with statistically significant difference (Z=4.46, 6.85, both p < 0.001); the AUC difference between radiomics signature and radiomics nomogram was not statistically significant (Z=1.63, p = 0.104). The results of the calibration curve showed favorable agreement between the predicted values of the nomogram and the pathological results, and the decision curve analysis indicated that the nomogram had favorable application in clinical practice.

Conclusions

The nomogram constructed based on contrast-enhanced CT radiomics and clinical characteristics was able to effectively diagnose neuroendocrine carcinoma of the digestive system.