Impact of American Joint Committee on Cancer 8th edition classification on staging and survival of patients with melanoma

Detection of Endoleak after Endovascular Aortic Repair through Deep Learning Based on Non-contrast CT

OBJECTIVES

To develop and validate a deep learning model for detecting post-endovascular aortic repair (EVAR) endoleak from non-contrast CT.

METHODS

This retrospective study involved 245 patients who underwent EVAR between September 2016 and December 2022. All patients underwent both non-enhanced and enhanced follow-up CT. The presence of endoleak was evaluated based on computed tomography angiography (CTA) and radiology reports. First, the aneurysm sac was segmented, and radiomic features were extracted on non-contrast CT. Statistical analysis was conducted to investigate differences in shape and density characteristics between aneurysm sacs with and without endoleak. Subsequently, a deep learning model was trained to generate predicted segmentation of the endoleak. A binary decision was made based on whether the model produced a segmentation to detect the presence of endoleak. The absence of a predicted segmentation indicated no endoleak, while the presence of a predicted segmentation indicated endoleak. Finally, the performance of the model was evaluated by comparing the predicted segmentation with the reference segmentation obtained from CTA. Model performance was assessed using metrics such as dice similarity coefficient, sensitivity, specificity, and the area under the curve (AUC).

RESULTS

This study finally included 85 patients with endoleak and 82 patients without endoleak. Compared to patients without endoleak, patients with endoleak had higher CT values and greater dispersion. The AUC in validation group was 0.951, dice similarity coefficient was 0.814, sensitivity was 0.877, and specificity was 0.884.

CONCLUSION

This deep learning model based on non-contrast CT can detect endoleak after EVAR with high sensitivity.

[Construction and Validation of Prediction Models of Risk Factors for Early Death in Patients With Metastatic Melanoma]

Objective

To construct nomogram models to predict the risk factors for early death in patients with metastatic melanoma (MM).

Methods

The study covered 2138 cases from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program (SEER) database and all these patients were diagnosed with MM between 2010 and 2015. Logistic regression was performed to identify independent risk factors affecting early death in MM patients. These risk factors were then used to construct nomograms of all-cause early death and cancer-specific early death. The efficacy of the model was assessed with receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA). In addition, external validation of the model was performed with clinicopathologic data of 105 patients diagnosed with MM at Sichuan Cancer Hospital between January 2015 and January 2020.

Results

According to the results of logistic regression, marital status, the primary site, N staging, surgery, chemotherapy, bone metastases, liver metastases, lung metastases, and brain metastases could be defined as independent predictive factors for early death. Based on these factors, 2 nomograms were plotted to predict the risks of all-cause early death and cancer-specific early death, respectively. For the models for all-cause and cancer-specific early death, the areas under the curve (AUCs) for the training group were 0.751 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.726-0.776) and 0.740 (95% CI: 0.714-0.765), respectively. The AUCs for the internal validation group were 0.759 (95% CI: 0.722-0.797) and 0.757 (95% CI: 0.718-0.780), respectively, while the AUCs for the external validation group were 0.750 (95% CI: 0.649-0.850) and 0.741 (95% CI: 0.644-0.838), respectively. The calibration curves showed high agreement between the predicted and the observed probabilities. DCA analysis indicated high clinical application value of the models.

Conclusion

The nomogram models demonstrated good performance in predicting early death in MM patients and can be used to help clinical oncologists develop more individualized treatment strategies.

Risk factors and predictive models for early death in patients with advanced melanoma: A population-based study

The prognosis for advanced melanoma (AM) is extremely poor. Some patients are already in an advanced stage at the time of their first diagnosis and face a significant risk of early death. This study predicted all-cause early death and cancer-specific early death in patients with AM by identifying independent risk factors, building 2 separate nomogram models, and validating the efficiency of the models. A total of 2138 patients diagnosed with AM from 2010 to 2015 were registered in the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database and randomly assigned to a training cohort and a validation cohort. Logistic regression models were used to identify the associated independent risk factors. These factors have also been used to build nomograms for early deaths. Next, we validated the model's predictive power by examining subject operating characteristic curves, then applied calibration curves to assess the accuracy of the models, and finally, tested the net benefit of interventions based on decision curve analysis. The results of the logistic regression model showed that marital status, primary site, histological type, N stage, surgery, chemotherapy, bone, liver, lung and brain metastases were significant independent risk factors for early death. These identified factors contributed to the creation of 2 nomograms, which predict the risk of all-cause early death and cancer-specific early death in patients with AM. In the all-cause early death model, the area under the curve was 0.751 and 0.759 for the training and validation groups, respectively, whereas in the cancer-specific early death model, the area under the curve was 0.740 and 0.757 for the training and validation groups. Calibration curves indicated a high degree of agreement between the predicted and observed probabilities, and the decision curve analysis demonstrated a high value for the model in terms of its applicability in clinical settings. These nomograms have practical applications in predicting the risk of early death in patients with AM, helping oncologists to intervene early and develop more personalized treatment strategies.

The dynamics of circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) during treatment reflects tumour response in advanced melanoma patients

Despite the introduction of targeted (BRAFi/MEKi) and immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) has significantly reduced the recurrence rate and improved the overall survival (OS) of patients with Stage III and IV melanoma, only a percentage will benefit of durable disease control. The aim of this study was to examine whether the levels of circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) in plasma of advanced melanoma patients undergoing BRAFi/MEKi or ICIs vary according to the patients' survival outcomes (i.e. progression-free survival (PFS) and OS) and disease progression. Plasma samples of Stage III-IV melanoma patients were collected at baseline (treatment initiation) and thereafter every 3 months. Circulating BRAFV600E/K and NRASQ61R/K mutations were analysed through droplet digital PCR (ddPCR, Bio-Rad) in a total of 177 plasma samples from 48 melanoma patients (19 Stage III, 29 Stage IV). Baseline ctDNA concentration was significantly associated with OS (HR = 1.003, 95% CI = 1.000-1.006, p = 0.043) and PFS (HR = 1.004, 95% CI = 1.000-1.007, p = 0.029) independent of clinical-prognostic confounders. For each unit increase in the ∆ctDNA (concentration difference between the last follow-up and baseline) there was a 24% increased risk of disease progression, irrespective of treatment type and stage at diagnosis (OR = 1.24, 95% CI = 1.03-1.49, p = 0.020, AUC = 0.93). Patients with reduction of ctDNA level from baseline to the last follow-up had longer OS (HR = 0.14; 95% CI = 0.05-0.44, p = 0.001) and PFS (HR = 0.08; 95% CI = 0.03-0.27, p < 0.0001) compared to patients with increased ctDNA, including adjustment for confounding factors. Our findings suggest that variation of ctDNA over time during melanoma treatment reflects the clinical outcome and tumour response to therapy and might be helpful in clinical monitoring.

Analytical Validation of an Immunohistochemical 7-Biomarker Prognostic Assay (immunoprint®) for Early-Stage Cutaneous Melanoma in Archival Tissue of Patients with AJCC v8 T2-T3 Disease

Selected patients with early-stage melanoma have a "hidden high risk" of poor oncologic outcomes. They might benefit from clinical trials, and ultimately, if warranted by trial results, judicious everyday use of adjuvant therapy. A promising tool to identify these individuals is the immunoprint® assay. This immunohistochemical 7-biomarker prognostic test was clinically validated in three independent cohorts (N = 762) to classify early-stage patients as high-risk or low-risk regarding melanoma recurrence and mortality. Using College of American Pathologists (CAP) recommendations, we analytically validated this assay in primary melanoma specimens (N = 20 patients). We assessed assay precision by determining consistency of risk classification under repeated identical conditions (repeatability) or across varying conditions (reproducibility), involving separate assay runs, operators (laboratory scientists), and/or observers (e.g., dermatopathologists). Reference classification was followed by five analytical validation phases: intra-run/intra-operator, intra-observer, inter-run, inter-operator, and inter-observer. Concordance of classifications in each phase was assessed via Fleiss' kappa (primary endpoint) and percent agreement (secondary endpoint). Seven-marker signature classification demonstrated high consistency across validation categories (Fleiss' kappa 0.864-1.000; overall percent agreement 95-100%), in 9/10 cases, exceeding, and in 1/10 cases, closely approaching, CAP's recommended 0.9 level. The 7-marker assay has now been verified to provide excellent repeatability, reproducibility, and precision, besides having been clinically validated.

Adjuvant treatment and outcome of stage III melanoma patients: Results of a multicenter real-world German Dermatologic Cooperative Oncology Group (DeCOG) study

PURPOSE

Clinical trials demonstrated significantly improved recurrence-free survival (RFS) of melanoma patients receiving adjuvant treatment. As data from controlled trials are based on selected populations, we investigated adjuvantly treated stage III melanoma patients under real-world conditions.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

In a prior multicenter cohort study, stage III-IV melanoma patients were analysed for their choice of adjuvant therapy. In this follow-up study, we examined RFS, overall and melanoma-specific survival (MSS) and response to the subsequent treatment of 589 stage III patients (232 BRAF-mutated) receiving adjuvant PD-1 inhibitors (PD1; n = 479) or targeted therapy (TT; n = 110).

RESULTS

The median follow-up of the total cohort was 25.7 months. The main reason for premature discontinuation of adjuvant therapy was disease progression in PD1- (28.8%, n = 138/479) and adverse events in TT-treated patients (28.2%, n = 31/110). Among BRAF-mutated patients, RFS at 24 months was 49% (95% CI 40.6-59.0%) for PD1- and 67% (95% CI 58-77%) for TT-treated patients. The risk of recurrence was higher for BRAF-mutated PD1 than TT (hazard ratio 1.99; 95% CI 1.34-2.96; hazard ratio adjusted for age, sex and tumour stage, 2.21; 95% CI 1.48-3.30). Twenty-four months MSS was 87% (95% CI 81.0-94.1) for PD1 and 92% (95% CI 86.6-97.0) for TT. Response to subsequent systemic treatment for unresectable disease was 22% for all PD1- and 16% for TT-treated patients.

CONCLUSIONS

PD1-treated patients had more and earlier recurrences than TT patients. In BRAF-mutated patients, adjuvant TT might prevent early recurrences more effectively than PD1 treatment. Management of recurrence despite adjuvant treatment is challenging, with low response to current therapeutic options.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Pembrolizumab as an Adjuvant Treatment of Resected Stage IIB or IIC Melanoma in the United States

INTRODUCTION

Pembrolizumab was approved in the US as adjuvant treatment of patients with stage IIB or IIC melanoma post-complete resection, based on prolonged recurrence-free survival vs. placebo in the Phase 3 KEYNOTE-716 trial. This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of pembrolizumab vs. observation as adjuvant treatment of stage IIB or IIC melanoma from a US health sector perspective.

METHODS

A Markov cohort model was constructed to simulate patient transitions among recurrence-free, locoregional recurrence, distant metastasis, and death. Transition probabilities from recurrence-free and locoregional recurrence were estimated via multistate parametric modeling based on patient-level data from an interim analysis (data cutoff date: 04-Jan-2022). Transition probabilities from distant metastasis were based on KEYNOTE-006 data and network meta-analysis. Costs were estimated in 2022 US dollars. Utilities were based on applying US value set to EQ-5D-5L data collected in trial and literature.

RESULTS

Compared to observation, pembrolizumab increased total costs by $80,423 and provided gains of 1.17 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and 1.24 life years (LYs) over lifetime, resulting in incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of $68,736/QALY and $65,059/LY. The higher upfront costs of adjuvant treatment were largely offset by reductions in costs of subsequent treatment, downstream disease management, and terminal care, reflecting the lower risk of recurrence with pembrolizumab. Results were robust in one-way sensitivity and scenario analyses. At a $150,000/QALY threshold, pembrolizumab was cost-effective vs. observation in 73.9% of probabilistic simulations that considered parameter uncertainty.

CONCLUSION

As an adjuvant treatment of stage IIB or IIC melanoma, pembrolizumab was estimated to reduce recurrence, extend patients' life and QALYs, and be cost-effective versus observation at a US willingness-to-pay threshold.

Alternatives and reduced need for sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB) staging for melanoma

Sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB) has been introduced in the 1990s to identify patients who might benefit from completion lymph node dissection. Neither SLNB nor CLND improved survival, but SLNB staging did provide the best staging, above Breslow thickness and ulceration. The SLN status and SLN tumour burden were used in all trials until date looking at modern adjuvant systemic therapy with immune checkpoint inhibition (ICI) or targeted therapies (TT). Adjuvant ICI and TT are shifting towards stage II melanoma. The question is whether there is still role for SLNB in melanoma, in this day and age, and if so, how does the future look for SLNB staging? The SLN status and SLN tumour burden might be useful for a consultation to discuss the number needed to treat in a risk/benefit discussion. For stage IIB/C patients, it seems likely, however, that patients will forego a nuclear scan followed by the risk of surgical intervention and morbidity associated with SLNB if they opt to receive adjuvant therapy regardless of the SLNB result. For stage I/IIA, it is still required to detect high-risk patients who might benefit from adjuvant therapy. However, biomarkers are emerging, such as gene expression profilers (GEP), immunohistological signatures and liquid biopsies with ctDNA. There still is a role for SLNB staging in melanoma today, but we expect that the availability of therapeutic option independent of SLNB status as well as emergence of validated biomarkers to predict risk will reduce the need for SLNB staging in the upcoming decade to the point it will no longer be used.

Identification of high-risk patients with a seven-biomarker prognostic signature for adjuvant treatment trial recruitment in American Joint Committee on Cancer v8 stage I-IIA cutaneous melanoma

PURPOSE

Many patients with resected American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) early-stage cutaneous melanoma nonetheless die of melanoma; additional risk stratification approaches are needed.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Using prospectively-collected whole-tissue sections, we assessed in consecutive stage I-IIA patients (N = 439), a previously-validated, immunohistochemistry-based, 7-biomarker signature to prognosticate disease-free survival (DFS), melanoma-specific survival (MSS; primary end-point) and overall survival (OS), independent of AJCC classification.

RESULTS

Seven-marker signature testing designated 25.1% of patients (110/439) as high-risk (stage IA, 13.3% [43/323], IB, 53.2% [42/79], and IIA, 67.6% [25/37]). A Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated high-risk patients to have significantly worse DFS, MSS and OS versus low-risk counterparts (P < 0.001). In multivariable Cox regression modelling also including key clinicopathological/demographic factors, 7-marker signature data independently prognosticated the studied end-points. Models with the 7-marker signature risk category plus clinicopathological/demographic covariates substantially outperformed models with clinicopathological/demographic variables alone in predicting all studied outcomes (areas under the receiver operator characteristic curve 74.1% versus 68.4% for DFS, 81.5% versus 71.2% for MSS, 80.9% versus 73.0% for OS; absolute differences 5.7%, 10.3% and 7.9%, respectively, favouring 7-marker signature risk category-containing models).

CONCLUSION

In patients with AJCC early-stage disease, the 7-marker signature reliably prognosticates melanoma-related outcomes, independent of AJCC classification, and provides a valuable complement to clinicopathological/demographic factors.

Machine learning to predict overall short-term mortality in cutaneous melanoma

BACKGROUND

Cutaneous malignant melanoma (CMM) ranks among the ten most frequent malignancies, clinicopathological staging being of key importance to predict prognosis. Artificial intelligence (AI) has been recently applied to develop prognostically reliable staging systems for CMM. This study aims to provide a useful machine learning based tool to predict the overall CMM short-term survival.

METHODS

CMM records as collected at the Veneto Cancer Registry (RTV) and at the Veneto regional health service were considered. A univariate Cox regression validated the strength and direction of each independent variable with overall mortality. A range of machine learning models (Logistic Regression classifier, Support-Vector Machine, Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, and k-Nearest Neighbors) and a Deep Neural Network were then trained to predict the 3-years mortality probability. Five-fold cross-validation and Grid Search were performed to test the best data preprocessing procedures, features selection, and to optimize models hyperparameters. A final evaluation was carried out on a separate test set in terms of balanced accuracy, precision, recall and F1 score. The best model was deployed as online tool.

RESULTS

The univariate analysis confirmed the significant prognostic value of TNM staging. Adjunctive clinicopathological variables not included in the AJCC 8th melanoma staging system, i.e., sex, tumor site, histotype, growth phase, and age, were significantly linked to overall survival. Among the models, the Neural Network and the Random Forest models featured the best prognostic performance, achieving a balanced accuracy of 91% and 88%, respectively. According to the Gini importance score, age, T and M stages, mitotic count, and ulceration appeared to be the variables with the greatest impact on survival prediction.

CONCLUSIONS

Using data from patients with CMM, we developed an AI algorithm with high staging reliability, on top of which a web tool was implemented ( unipd.link/melanomaprediction ). Being essentially based on routinely recorded clinicopathological variables, it can already be implemented with minimal effort and further tested in the current clinical practice, an essential phase for validating the model's accuracy beyond the original research context.

Multispectral optoacoustic tomography to differentiate between lymph node metastases and coronavirus-19 vaccine-associated lymphadenopathy

INTRODUCTION

Worldwide mass vaccination for COVID-19 started in late 2020. COVID-19 vaccines cause benign hypermetabolic lymphadenopathies. Clinical stratification between vaccine-associated benign lymphadenopathies and malignant lymphadenopathies through ultrasound, MRI or FDG PET-CT is not feasible. This leads to unnecessary lymph node biopsies, excisions and even radical lymph node dissections. Therefore, to avoid unnecessary surgeries, we assessed whether noninvasive multispectral optoacoustic tomography (MSOT) enables a better differentiation between benign and malignant lymphadenopathies.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

All patients were vaccinated for COVID-19. We used MSOT to image deoxy- and oxyhaemoglobin levels in lymph nodes of tumour patients to assess metastatic status. MSOT imaging results were compared with standard ultrasound and pathological lymph node analysis. We also evaluated the influences of gender, age and time between vaccination and MSOT measurement of lymph nodes on the measured deoxy- and oxyhaemoglobin levels in patients with reactive lymph node changes.

RESULTS

Multispectral optoacoustic tomography was able to identify cancer-free lymph nodes in vivo without a single false negative (33 total lymph nodes), with 100% sensitivity and 50% specificity. A statistically significant higher deoxyhaemoglobin content was detected in patients with tumour manifestations in the lymph node (p = 0.02). There was no statistically significant difference concerning oxyhaemoglobin (p = 0.65). Age, sex and time between vaccination and MSOT measurement had statistically non-significant impact on deoxy- and oxyhaemoglobin levels in patients with reactive lymph nodes.

CONCLUSION

Here, we show that MSOT measurement is an advantageous clinical approach to differentiate between vaccine-associated benign lymphadenopathy and malignant lymph node metastases based on the deoxygenation level in lymph nodes.

Cost-effectiveness of pembrolizumab as an adjuvant treatment for patients with resected stage IIB or IIC melanoma in Switzerland

AIM

To assess the cost-effectiveness of adjuvant pembrolizumab versus observation for patients with resected stage IIB/IIC melanoma from a third-party payers' perspective in Switzerland over a lifetime horizon.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A Markov state transition model with four health states (recurrence-free [RF], locoregional recurrence, distant metastases [DM], and death) was developed to determine the cost-effectiveness of pembrolizumab versus observation as an adjuvant treatment in patients with stage IIB/IIC melanoma who have undergone complete resection. The model utilized data from the KEYNOTE-716 randomized controlled trial (ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03553836). The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) (Swiss Franc [CHF] per life year or quality-adjusted life years [QALYs] gained) was calculated. A probabilistic sensitivity analysis and deterministic sensitivity analysis were conducted to assess the robustness of the base case results.

RESULTS

Model results demonstrated that pembrolizumab is highly cost-effective as an adjuvant treatment for resected stage IIB/IIC melanoma versus observation in Switzerland. Base case results showed an ICER of CHF 27,424/QALY (EUR 27,342/QALY; exchange rate: 1 CHF = 0.997 EUR) for pembrolizumab versus observation. Results were most sensitive to changes to transition probabilities from the RF state. Most sensitivity and scenario analyses resulted in ICERs below the willingness-to-pay threshold (WTP) of CHF 100,000. At this WTP, pembrolizumab had a 78.9% probability of being cost-effective versus observation.

LIMITATIONS

Due to a limited follow-up period in the KEYNOTE-716 trial, data from other clinical trials in the advanced melanoma setting were synthesized in a network meta-analysis and used to inform transition probabilities from DM to death in the cost-effectiveness model, to overcome the absence of these data from the trial.

CONCLUSION

The model demonstrated that pembrolizumab is highly cost-effective versus observation in patients with resected stage IIB/IIC melanoma in Switzerland. The ICER was below the WTP threshold of CHF 100,000, commonly used for cost-effectiveness models in Switzerland.

Prognosis of Patients With Primary Melanoma Stage I and II According to American Joint Committee on Cancer Version 8 Validated in Two Independent Cohorts: Implications for Adjuvant Treatment

PURPOSE

The first randomized trial of adjuvant treatment with checkpoint inhibitor in stage II melanoma reported a significant reduction in risk of tumor recurrence. This study evaluates two independent data sets to further document survival probabilities for patients with primary stage I and II melanoma.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The Central Malignant Melanoma Registry (CMMR) in Germany evaluated 17,544 patients with a primary diagnosis of stage I and II melanoma from 2000 to 2015. The exploratory cohort consisted of 6,725 patients from the Center for Dermato-Oncology at the University of Tübingen, and the confirmatory cohort consisted of 10,819 patients from 11 other German centers. Survival outcomes were compared with published American Joint Committee on Cancer version 8 (AJCCv8) stage I and II survival data.

RESULTS

For the two CMMR cohorts in stage IA compared with the AJCCv8 cohort, melanoma-specific survival rates at 10 years were 95.1%-95.6% versus 98%; 89.7%-90.9% versus 94% in stage IB; 80.7%-83.1% versus 88% in stage IIA; 72.0%-79.9% versus 82% in stage IIB; and 57.6%-64.7% versus 75% in stage IIC, respectively. Recurrence rates were approximately twice as high as melanoma-specific mortality rates in stages IA-IIA.

CONCLUSION

The melanoma-specific survival rates in the two CMMR cohorts across stages I and II are less favorable than published in AJCCv8. This has important implications for the consideration of adjuvant treatment in this population.

Pembrolizumab versus placebo as adjuvant therapy in resected stage IIB or IIC melanoma (KEYNOTE-716): distant metastasis-free survival results of a multicentre, double-blind, randomised, phase 3 trial

BACKGROUND

Patients with stage IIB or IIC melanoma who undergo surgery alone are at a substantial risk for disease recurrence. Adjuvant pembrolizumab significantly improved recurrence-free survival versus placebo in stage IIB or IIC melanoma in the first interim analysis of the KEYNOTE-716 trial. Here, we report results from the secondary endpoint of distant metastasis-free survival (prespecified third interim analysis), and recurrence-free survival with longer follow-up.

METHODS

KEYNOTE-716 is a multicentre, double-blind, placebo-controlled, crossover or rechallenge, randomised, phase 3 trial done at 160 academic medical centres and hospitals across 16 countries. Eligible patients were aged 12 years and older with newly-diagnosed, completely resected, and histologically confirmed stage IIB (T3b or T4a) or IIC (T4b) cutaneous melanoma; negative sentinel lymph node biopsy; and an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status of 0-1. Patients were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive either 200 mg of pembrolizumab (2 mg/kg up to a maximum of 200 mg in paediatric patients) or placebo, both intravenously, every 3 weeks for 17 cycles (part 1) or until disease recurrence or unacceptable toxicity. Eligible patients with disease recurrence could receive further treatment with pembrolizumab in the part 2 crossover or rechallenge phase. Randomisation was done using an interactive response technology system and stratified by T category and paediatric status. The primary endpoint was investigator-assessed recurrence-free survival (assessed here with longer follow-up), and we report the prespecified third interim analysis of distant metastasis-free survival (secondary endpoint). Efficacy analyses were done in the intention-to-treat population (all patients who were randomly assigned, according to assigned group) and safety was assessed in all patients who were randomly assigned and received at least one dose of trial treatment, according to the treatment received. KEYNOTE-716 is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03553836, and has completed recruitment.

FINDINGS

Between Sept 23, 2018, and Nov 4, 2020, 976 patients were randomly assigned to receive pembrolizumab (n=487) or placebo (n=489). At a median follow-up of 27·4 months (IQR 23·1-31·7), median distant metastasis-free survival was not reached (95% CI not reached [NR]-NR) in either group. Pembrolizumab significantly improved distant metastasis-free survival (hazard ratio [HR] 0·64, 95% CI 0·47-0·88, p=0·0029) versus placebo. Median recurrence-free survival was 37·2 months (95% CI NR-NR) in the pembrolizumab group and not reached in the placebo group (95% CI NR-NR). The risk of recurrence remained lower with pembrolizumab versus placebo (HR 0·64, 95% CI 0·50-0·84). The most common grade 3 or worse adverse events were hypertension (16 [3%] of 483 patients in the pembrolizumab group vs 17 [4%] of 486 patients in the placebo group), diarrhoea (eight [2%] vs one [<1%]), rash (seven [1%] vs two [<1%]), autoimmune hepatitis (seven [1%] vs two [<1%]), and increased lipase (six [1%] vs eight [2%]). Treatment-related serious adverse events occurred in 49 (10%) patients in the pembrolizumab group and 11 (2%) patients in the placebo group. No treatment-related deaths were reported.

INTERPRETATION

Adjuvant pembrolizumab is an efficacious treatment option for resected stage IIB and IIC melanoma, with significant improvement in distant-metastasis free survival versus placebo and continued reduction in the risk of recurrence with an adverse event profile consistent with previous studies of pembrolizumab. The overall benefit-risk of pembrolizumab continues to be positive in the adjuvant setting.

FUNDING

Merck Sharp & Dohme, a subsidiary of Merck & Co.

Real-world clinical outcomes of patients with stage IIB or IIC cutaneous melanoma treated at US community oncology clinics

Aim: To describe clinical outcomes after complete surgical resection of stage IIB and IIC melanoma. Methods: Adult patients (n = 567) with stage IIB or IIC cutaneous melanoma initially diagnosed and completely resected from 2008-2017 were identified using data from a US community-based oncology network. Results: Median patient follow-up was 38.8 months from melanoma resection to death, last visit or data cut-off (31 December 2020). For stage IIB (n = 375; 66%), Kaplan-Meier median real-world recurrence-free survival (rwRFS) was 58.6 months (95% CI, 48.6-69.5). For stage IIC (n = 192; 34%), median rwRFS was 29.9 months (24.9-45.5). Overall, 44% of patients had melanoma recurrence or died; 30% developed distant metastases. Conclusion: Melanoma recurrence was common, highlighting the need for effective adjuvant therapy for stage IIB and IIC melanoma.

Prognostic Potential of the Baseline Pan-Immune-Inflammation Value and Neutrophil/Lymphocyte Ratio in Stage I to III Melanoma Patients

Prognostic biomarkers derived from complete blood count (CBC) have received marked interest as an indirect measure of the inflammatory pressure in cancers such as metastatic melanoma. Here, we evaluated the novel pan-immune-inflammation value (PIV) and the frequently assessed neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in a large cohort of patients with cutaneous melanoma (CM) without distant metastases (stages I to III). PIV and NLR were calculated at CM diagnosis. Healthy controls were also included. We used the Kaplan-Meier method to estimate crude survival probabilities and used Cox proportional hazards regression for multiple adjustment of hazard ratios. We observed that higher PIV (HR: 1.72, 95% CI 1.14 to 2.58 and HR: 1.696, 95% CI 1.029 to 2.795, respectively) and NLR (HR: 1.70, 95% CI 1.10 to 2.62) values were associated with CM relapse and CM-specific death in the crude analysis. However, when adjusting for potential confounders, in particular age and tumor thickness, the total effect of PIV and NLR on CM-relapse-free (HR: 1.28, 95% CI 0.83 to 1.98 and HR: 1.26, 95% CI 0.80 to 1.98, respectively) and CM-specific survival (HR: 1.36, 95% CI 0.80 to 2.30 and HR: 1.37, 95% CI 0.80 to 2.33, respectively) was substantially reduced. However, both PIV and NLR were positively correlated with age and tumor thickness, which are important independent predictors for CM relapse and CM-specific death. In conclusion, in stage I to III CM patients PIV as well as NLR appear to be confounded by age and tumor thickness and probably have no potential to further improve the prediction of survival of stage I to III CM patients beyond standard prognostic factors.

Vulvar melanoma: A diagnostic challenge for young women - a case report

Vulvar melanoma is a rare malignant tumor of the female genital sphere, representing postmenopausal women's prerogative, the diagnosis is based on immunohistochemicals analysis, and treatment requires a multidisciplinary approach. On account of its high metastatic potential as well as the late diagnosis given that it has non-specific clinical signs, the prognosis remains poor.

In this study, we report the case of a woman of childbearing who presented a vaginal mass associated to chronic pelvic pain. Paraclinical investigations revealed a right vulvar tumoral process with pathological-looking inguinal adenomegalies on the right side with a necrotic center measuring 16.7 mm on the short axis, micronodules and secondary pulmonary nodules. The patient has been put under palliative chemotherapy, then passed out 8 months later.

By this work, we attempt to review the diagnostic circumstances to better understand this delay, also to encourage self-examination and self-screening of abnormal lesions, as well as leveling the awareness of health professionals on this rare disease.

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The vulvar melanoma is a rare and aggressive entity of the female's genital tract.

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The clinical signs remain non-specific; the diagnosis is based on immunohistochemical study.

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The prevention of vulvar melanoma requires awareness of health professionals on this rare disease, as well as patient education on self-examination of the genital tract and self-screening all atypical pigmentary lesions.

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The prognosis is very poor due to the delay in diagnosis and the high metastatic potential.

Health-related quality of life in stage III-IV melanoma treated with targeted therapy or immunotherapy: A systematic review on the adequacy of reporting and clinical issues in phase III randomized controlled trials

Cutaneous melanoma represents around over 90% of all melanoma. With more effective treatments able to extend patients' survival, health-related quality of life (HRQOL) is increasingly becoming an important endpoint in cancer clinical trials. They are often secondary outcomes measured in phase III randomized controlled trials and their implementation, collection, analysis, and reporting can be challenging methodologically. For these reasons, an increasing number of international recommendations introduced the standards regarding the conduct of HRQOL. In this systematic review, we appraise the adequacy of HRQOL reporting in phase III randomized controlled trials of stage III-IV cutaneous melanoma and the clinical issues of immunotherapy and small-molecular-targeted therapy on HRQOL. Our search strategy totally got 55 articles, and only 13 studies met all inclusion criteria. Findings suggest that most treatments did not yield significant improvements in HRQOL but kept baseline levels, accompanied by prolonged survival and acceptable toxicity. Except for some existing limitations, reporting of HRQOL has made encouraging progress during the period covered by our search, but some aspects still need further optimization.

A population-based validation study of the 8th edition UICC/AJCC TNM staging system for cutaneous melanoma

BACKGROUND

The 8th edition UICC/AJCC TNM8 (Tumour, Nodes, Metastasis) melanoma staging system introduced several modifications from the 7th edition (TNM7), resulting in changes in survival and subgroup composition. We set out to address the limited validation of TNM8 (stages I-IV) in large population-based datasets.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort-study included 6,414 patients from the population-based Ontario Cancer Registry diagnosed with cutaneous melanoma between January 1, 2007 and December 31, 2012. Kaplan-Meier curves estimated the melanoma-specific survival (MSS) and overall survival (OS). Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios for MSS and OS across stage groups. The Schemper-Henderson measure was used to assess the variance explained in the Cox regression.

RESULTS

In our sample, 21.3% of patients were reclassified with TNM8 from TNM7; reclassifications in stage II were uncommon, and 44.1% of patients in stage III were reclassified to a higher subgroup. Minimal changes in MSS curves were observed between editions, but the stage IIB curve decreased and the stage IIIC curve increased. For TNM8, Stage I (n = 4,556), II (n = 1,206), III (n = 598), and IV (n = 54) had an estimated 5-year MSS of 98.4%, 82.5%, 66.4%, and 14.4%, respectively. Within stage III, IIIA 5-year MSS was 91.7% while stage IIID was 23.5%. HRs indicated that TNM8 more evenly separates subgroups once adjusted for patient- and disease-characteristics. The variance in MSS explained by TNM7 and TNM8 is 18.9% and 19.7%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

TNM8 performed well in our sample, with more even separation of stage subgroups and a modest improvement in predictive ability compared to TNM7.

Treat Now or Treat Later: Comparative Effectiveness of Adjuvant Therapy in Resected Stage IIIA Melanoma

BACKGROUND

Adjuvant therapy for most sentinel-node-positive (stage IIIA) melanoma may have limited clinical benefit for older patients given the competing risk of non-cancer death. The objective of this study is to model the clinical effect and cost of adjuvant therapy in stage IIIA melanoma across age groups.

STUDY DESIGN

A Markov decision analysis model simulated the overall survival of patients with resected stage IIIA melanoma treated with adjuvant therapy vs observation. In the adjuvant approach, patients are modeled to receive adjuvant pembrolizumab (BRAF wild type) or dabrafenib/trametinib (BRAF mutant). In the observation approach, treatment is deferred until recurrence. Transition variables were derived from landmark randomized trials in adjuvant and salvage therapy. The model was analyzed for age groups spanning 40 to 89 years. The primary outcome was the number needed to treat (NNT) to prevent one melanoma-related death at 10 years. Cost per mortality avoided was estimated using Medicare reimbursement rates.

RESULTS

Projections for NNT among BRAF wild type patients increased by age from 14.71 (age 40 to 44) to 142.86 (age 85 to 89), with patients in cohorts over the age of 75 having an NNT over 25. The cost per mortality avoided ranged from $2.75 million (M) (age 40 to 44) to $27.57M (age 85 to 89). Corresponding values for BRAF mutant patients were as follows: NNT 18.18 to 333.33; cost per mortality avoided ranged from $2.75M to $54.70M.

CONCLUSION

Universal adjuvant therapy for stage IIIA melanoma is costly and provides limited clinical benefit in patients older than 75 years.

Follow-up of primary melanoma patients with high risk of recurrence: recommendations based on evidence and consensus

In spite of the good prognosis of patients with early-stage melanoma, there is a substantial proportion of them that develop local or distant relapses. With the introduction of targeted and immune therapies for advanced melanoma, including at the adjuvant setting, early detection of recurrent melanoma and/or second primary lesions is crucial to improve clinical outcomes. However, there is a lack of universal guidelines regarding both frequency of surveillance visits and diagnostic imaging and/or laboratory evaluations. In this article, a multidisciplinary expert panel recommends, after careful review of relevant data in the field, a consensus- and experience-based follow-up strategy for melanoma patients, taking into account prognostic factors and biomarkers and the high-risk periods and patterns of recurrence in each (sub) stage of the disease. Apart from the surveillance intensity, healthcare professionals should focus on patients' education to perform regular self-examinations of the skin and palpation of lymph nodes.

External validation of the American Joint Committee on Cancer melanoma staging system eighth edition using the surveillance, epidemiology, and end results program

AIM

The American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) melanoma staging system eighth edition (AJCC-8) was recently released to provide accurate staging reflecting advances in the treatment of melanoma. Using population registry data, this study independently validates and compares the prognostic performance of AJCC-8 to the seventh edition (AJCC-7).

METHODS

We extracted patient-, tumor-related, and survival data from the SEER-18 registry between 2010 and 2015. To assess overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) for AJCC-7 and AJCC-8, we performed Kaplan-Meier analysis and computed cumulative hazard functions using Nelson-Aalen function.

RESULTS

Of 126,408 individuals, 59,989 (47%) and 60,411 (48%) had available data for pathological and clinical-stage OS analysis, respectively. The 3-year OS for AJCC-7 among pathologically staged patients was: stage IA 97%, stage IB 95%, stage IIA 87%, stage IIB 76%, stage IIC 57%, stage IIIA 86%, stage IIIB 69%, stage IIIC 50%, and stage IV 24%. The 3-year OS for AJCC-8 patients was similar but was 56% for stage IIIC and 30% for stage IIID. Stage IV individuals with an elevated LDH had worse OS and CSS at all measured time-points up to 60 months compared to those with a normal LDH.

CONCLUSION

The discriminatory ability of AJCC-8 and AJCC-7 appear comparable. Changes in AJCC-8 identified stage IIID as a poor prognostic subgroup among stage III patients and elevated LDH in stage IV. However, patients with advanced T-stage, node-negative tumors experienced worse survival compared to those with earlier T-stage, node-positive tumors, and the results of ongoing trials should inform adjuvant therapy in this subset of patients.

Cost-effectiveness of adjuvant systemic therapies for patients with high-risk melanoma in Europe: a model-based economic evaluation

BACKGROUND

The introduction of adjuvant systemic treatment has significantly improved recurrence-free survival in patients with resectable high-risk melanoma. Adjuvant treatment with immune checkpoint inhibitors and targeted therapy, however, substantially impacts health care budgets, while the number of patients with melanoma who are treated in the adjuvant setting is still increasing. To evaluate the socioeconomic impact of the three adjuvant treatments, a cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) was carried out.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Data were obtained from the three pivotal registration phase III clinical trials on the adjuvant treatment of patients with resected high-risk stage III in melanoma (KEYNOTE-054, CheckMate 238, and COMBI-AD). For this CEA, a Markov model with three health states (no evidence of disease, recurrent/progressive disease, and death) was applied. From a societal perspective, different adjuvant strategies were compared according to total costs, life years (LYs), quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios. To evaluate model uncertainty, sensitivity analyses (deterministic and probabilistic) were carried out.

RESULTS

In the adjuvant setting, total costs (per patient) were €168 826 for nivolumab, €194 529 for pembrolizumab, and €211 110 for dabrafenib-trametinib. These costs were mainly determined by drug acquisition costs, whereas routine surveillance costs varied from €126 096 to €134 945. Compared with routine surveillance, LYs improved by approximately 1.41 for all therapies and QALYs improved by 2.02 for immune checkpoint inhibitors and 2.03 for targeted therapy. This resulted in incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of €21 153 (nivolumab), €33 878 (pembrolizumab), and €37 520 (dabrafenib-trametinib) per QALY gained.

CONCLUSIONS

This CEA compared the three EMA-approved adjuvant systemic therapies for resected stage III melanoma. Adjuvant treatment with nivolumab was the most cost-effective, followed by pembrolizumab. Combination therapy with dabrafenib-trametinib was the least cost-effective. With the increasing number of patients with high-risk melanoma who will be treated with adjuvant treatment, there is an urgent need to reduce drug costs while developing better prognostic and predictive tools to identify patients who will benefit from adjuvant treatment.

The Status of Adjuvant and Neoadjuvant Melanoma Therapy, New Developments and Upcoming Challenges

The global incidence of malignant melanoma, the leading cause of skin cancer death, has steadily increased in recent years. Surgical excision is the treatment of choice for early-stage melanoma. However, 40-60% of patients with high-risk melanoma or with nodal involvement eventually experience loco-regional relapse or tumor progression. Adjuvant therapy aims to reduce the rate of recurrence in radically operated high-risk patients with melanoma and thus improves survival. Interferon-α has long been the only approved drug for adjuvant melanoma therapy, despite an unclear survival benefit. The landmark success of immune-checkpoint inhibitors and BRAF/MEK-directed targeted therapies in the treatment of patients with stage IV melanoma led to the initiation of clinical trials in the adjuvant setting. These trials demonstrated the efficacy of immune-checkpoint inhibitors and targeted therapies for the adjuvant treatment of high-risk patients with melanoma, as shown both by an increase in recurrence-free survival and the emergence of long-term survivors, finally resulting in the approval of the cytotoxic T-lymphocyte antigen 4 inhibitor ipilimumab, PD1 inhibitors (nivolumab, pembrolizumab), and BRAF/MEK inhibitors for adjuvant melanoma therapy. This review aims to delineate the advances in adjuvant melanoma therapy, issuing particularly recent results from clinical trials. Moreover, we also discuss pending issues and future challenges, which comprise the adequate selection of adjuvant regimens for patient subgroups and the identification of markers likely to predict the individual response to adjuvant treatments. Last, we outline the role of emerging neoadjuvant approaches, which may complement adjuvant strategies and are currently investigated in clinical trials.

Identifying High-Risk Tumors within AJCC Stage IB-III Melanomas Using a Seven-Marker Immunohistochemical Signature

Simple Summary

Immunotherapy and targeted therapy are widely accepted for stage III and IV melanoma patients. Clinical investigation of adjuvant therapy in stage II melanoma has already started. Therefore, methods for relapse prediction in lower stage melanoma patients apart from sentinel node biopsies are much needed to guide (neo)adjuvant therapies. Gene scores such as the “DecisionDx-Melanoma” and the “MelaGenix” score can help assist therapy decisions. However, a seven-marker immunohistochemical signature could add valuable feasibility to the biomarker toolbox.

Abstract

Background: We aim to validate a seven-marker immunohistochemical signature, consisting of Bax, Bcl-X, PTEN, COX-2, (loss of) ß-Catenin, (loss of) MTAP and (presence of) CD20, in an independent patient cohort and test clinical feasibility. Methods: We performed staining of the mentioned antibodies in tissue of 88 primary melanomas and calculated a risk score for each patient. Data were correlated with clinical parameters and outcome (recurrence-free, distant metastasis-free and melanoma-specific survival). Results: The seven-marker signature was able to identify high-risk patients within stages IB-III melanoma patients that have a significantly higher risk of disease recurrence, metastasis, and death. In particular, the high sensitivity of relapse prediction (>94%) in sentinel negative patients (stages IB–IIC) was striking (negative predictive value of 100% for melanoma-specific survival and distant metastasis-free survival, and 97.5% for relapse-free survival). For stage III patients (positive nodal status), the negative predictive value was 100% with the seven-marker signature. Conclusions: The seven-marker signature can help to further select high-risk patients in stages IIB-C but also in earlier stages IB–IIA and be a useful tool for therapy decisions in the adjuvant and future neo-adjuvant settings. Stage III patients with measurable lymph node disease classified as high-risk with the seven-marker signature are potential candidates for neoadjuvant immunotherapy.

Factors Influencing the Adjuvant Therapy Decision: Results of a Real-World Multicenter Data Analysis of 904 Melanoma Patients

Adjuvant treatment of melanoma patients with immune-checkpoint inhibition (ICI) and targeted therapy (TT) significantly improved recurrence-free survival. This study investigates the real-world situation of 904 patients from 13 German skin cancer centers with an indication for adjuvant treatment since the approval of adjuvant ICI and TT. From adjusted log-binomial regression models, we estimated relative risks for associations between various influence factors and treatment decisions (adjuvant therapy yes/no, TT vs. ICI in BRAF mutant patients). Of these patients, 76.9% (95% CI 74-80) opted for a systemic adjuvant treatment. The probability of starting an adjuvant treatment was 26% lower in patients >65 years (RR 0.74, 95% CI 68-80). The most common reasons against adjuvant treatment given by patients were age (29.4%, 95% CI 24-38), and fear of adverse events (21.1%, 95% CI 16-28) and impaired quality of life (11.9%, 95% CI 7-16). Of all BRAF-mutated patients who opted for adjuvant treatment, 52.9% (95% CI 47-59) decided for ICI. Treatment decision for TT or ICI was barely associated with age, gender and tumor stage, but with comorbidities and affiliated center. Shortly after their approval, adjuvant treatments have been well accepted by physicians and patients. Age plays a decisive role in the decision for adjuvant treatment, while pre-existing autoimmune disease and regional differences influence the choice between TT or ICI.

Melanoma recurrence patterns and management after adjuvant targeted therapy: a multicentre analysis

BACKGROUND

Adjuvant targeted therapy (TT) improves relapse free survival in patients with resected BRAF mutant stage III melanoma. The outcomes and optimal management of patients who relapse after adjuvant TT is unknown.

METHODS

Patients from twenty-one centres with recurrent melanoma after adjuvant TT were included. Disease characteristics, adjuvant therapy, recurrence, treatment at relapse and outcomes were examined.

RESULTS

Eighty-five patients developed recurrent melanoma; nineteen (22%) during adjuvant TT. Median time to first recurrence was 18 months and median follow-up from first recurrence was 31 months. Fifty-eight (68%) patients received immunotherapy (IT) or TT as 1st line systemic therapy at either first or subsequent recurrence and had disease that was assessable for response. Response to anti-PD-1 (±trial agent), combination ipilimumab-nivolumab, TT rechallenge and ipilimumab monotherapy was 63%, 62% 25% and 10% respectively. Twenty-eight (33%) patients had died at census, all from melanoma. Two-year OS was 84% for anti-PD-1 therapy (±trial agent), 92% for combination ipilimumab and nivolumab, 49% for TT and 45% for ipilimumab monotherapy (p = 0.028).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients who relapse after adjuvant TT respond well to subsequent anti-PD-1 based therapy and have outcomes similar to those seen when first line anti-PD-1 therapy is used in stage IV melanoma.

Differences in cutaneous melanoma survival between the 7th and 8th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC). A multicentric population-based study

BACKGROUND

The 8th edition of the AJCC manual for melanoma includes many changes leading to major substage migrations, which could lead to important clinical reassessments.

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the differences and prognostic value of the 8th AJCC classification in comparison with the 7th edition.

METHODS

Clinical and histopathological data were retrieved from five melanoma referral centers including 7815 melanoma patients diagnosed between January 1998 and December 2018. All patients were reclassified and compared using the 7th and 8th classifications of the AJCC. Sankey plots were used to evaluate the migration of patients between the different versions. The primary outcome was overall survival (OS), and curves based on the Kaplan-Meier method were used to investigate survival differences between the 7th and 8th editions.

RESULTS

The number of patients classified as stages IB, IIIA, and IIIB decreased while the patients classified as stages IA and IIIC increased notably. Migration analysis showed that many patients in group I were understaged whereas a significant percentage of patients in group III were upstaged. Indirect OS analysis showed a loss in the linearity in the AJCC 8th edition and the groups tended to overlap. Direct OS analysis between groups and versions of the AJCC showed a better prognosis within the new stage III patients, with no effect on those in stages I and II.

CONCLUSION

The 8th AJCC edition represents an important change in the classification of patients. We observe that the main migratory changes occur in stage I and III, that severity linearity is lost and groups overlap, and that a more advanced stage does not mean a worse prognosis.

Sex-specific survival benefit in early skin melanoma based on 8th AJCC edition: an analysis of data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database

Background

Females have been found to have a survival benefit over males in past studies. However, in early melanoma patients, this benefit occurred in only those aged >60 years. The 8th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) readjusted the melanoma staging system, specifically stage I. This study aims to verify whether the sex-specific benefit in females exists in different age groups according to the 8th edition of the staging system.

Methods

We collected the data of individuals diagnosed with skin melanoma between 2004 and 2015 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Based on the 8th edition of the melanoma staging system, patients diagnosed with pathological stage T1a-T3a, N0 and M0 melanoma were enrolled.

Results

A total of 115,576 patients, including 62,938 male patients and 52,638 female patients, were enrolled in this study. The survival rates of males and females in each stage from IA–IIA were significantly different (P<0.001). In further analyses of each age group, it was found that the proportions of patients with stages IA, IB and IIA were significantly different in each age group. Cox analysis showed that females with stage IA in all age groups benefited significantly, but those in stage IB benefited only when they were aged >60 years. In stage IIA patients, there were significant differences between the <50 and 61–70 years age groups.

Conclusions

Based on data from the SEER database, we found that according to the 8th edition of the AJCC melanoma staging system, females had a higher survival rate than males, and this difference was significant in all age groups in the stage IA group but fluctuated with age in the stage IB and IIA groups.

Skin melanoma survival is not superior in females in the new stage IIID of the 8th edition of the staging system: an analysis of data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database

Background

In the 8th edition of the melanoma staging system, stage III was divided into stages IIIA-IIID. Previous studies have found that the long-term survival rate of females is much higher than that of males. This study was designed to explore whether this sex-specific advantage still exists in the new staging subgroups.

Methods

We obtained data from individuals diagnosed with skin melanoma between 2004 and 2015 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. A total of 8,726 patients with stage III disease were enrolled in the study (5,370 males and 3,356 females). Among these patients, 505 had stage IIID disease (370 males and 135 females).

Results

In the 7th edition of the staging system, there were significant sex-specific differences in overall survival (OS) and melanoma-specific survival (MSS) in each subgroup of stage III. In stages IIIA-IIIC in the 8th edition, there were also significant differences between males and females (P<0.001), but in stage IIID patients, there were no significant differences in either OS (P=0.312) or MSS (P=0.288). Cox analysis confirmed that stage IIID does not affect prognosis in males. Further research found no difference between males and females with stage IIID disease in any age subgroup.

Conclusions

We compared sex-specific survival differences in patients with stage III disease according to the 8th edition of the staging system. Females with stage IIIA-IIIC disease have better survival rates than males. However, among patients with stage IIID disease, there is no significant difference in survival between males and females.

Cost-Benefit Implication of Gene Expression Profiling and Adjuvant Therapy in Stage IIIA Melanoma

BACKGROUND

Indiscriminate use of adjuvant therapy in stage IIIA melanoma is controversial. We sought to model the clinical impact and cost of implementing a gene expression profile (GEP) test to guide adjuvant therapy.

STUDY DESIGN

A Markov decision-analysis model was created to represent resected stage IIIA melanoma with 3 treatment options: observation (OBS), adjuvant pembrolizumab for all patients (ALL), and selective adjuvant therapy (SEL). In the SEL option, only high-risk patients based on GEP stratification were treated with pembrolizumab. Cost of adjuvant therapy was normalized to reflect Medicare reimbursement schedules. The primary outcome was cost per mortality avoided at 10 years.

RESULTS

Model projections for 10-year overall survival were 68% for OBS, 73% for SEL, and 76% for ALL. The estimated incremental cost-per-mortality-avoided (compared to OBS) was $2.1 million for SEL and $2.4 million for ALL. These translate to costs of $583.0K and $697.1K per life-year for the SEL and ALL strategies, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Routine adjuvant pembrolizumab for stage IIIA melanoma is costly, and risk-stratification by GEP only marginally improves the value of therapy.

TERT amplification but not activation of canonical Wnt/β-catenin pathway is involved in acral lentiginous melanoma progression to metastasis

Acral lentiginous melanoma (ALM) is a rare tumor that occurs on non-sun exposed skin areas of the hands and feet. Reports suggest that ALM exhibits poor prognosis, although mechanisms driving this remain poorly understood. Alterations in TERT and the Wnt/β-catenin (Wnt) pathway have been suggested to correlate with prognosis of ALM. Thus, immunohistochemical expression of β-catenin and LEF1 along with TERT amplification by FISH was investigated in 34 primary ALMs, 20 metastatic ALMs, 10 primary non-ALMs, and 15 acral nevi. Foot/toe was the most common primary tumor location (85%) for ALM. TERT amplification was detected in 6 of 28 (21.4%) primary ALM, 2 of 8 (25%) primary non-ALM, and 8 of 18 (44.4%) metastatic ALM, the latter showing significantly higher frequency compared with primary melanomas (P = 0.043). Most metastatic ALMs positive for TERT amplification lacked BRAF V600E (87.5%). Cytoplasmic and nonnuclear expression of β-catenin was variably detected in all cases. Metastatic ALM revealed lower expression of β-catenin compared with primary ALM (P = 0.017). No differences in LEF1 expression were detected among the groups; however, acral nevi showed decreased labeling with dermal descent, in contrast to melanoma. No molecular-genetic alteration correlated with prognosis. TERT amplification by FISH is a frequent finding in primary ALM and appears to increase in metastatic tumors, suggesting a role in tumor progression to metastasis. Although TERT amplification has been reported to be infrequent in primary non-ALM, it showed comparable frequency with ALM in our series. Our immunohistochemical findings are not fully supportive of activation of either canonical or noncanonical Wnt cascades in ALM. TERT amplification by FISH and LEF1 immunohistochemistry may help in the differential diagnosis between primary ALM and acral nevus. TERT amplification appears to be a promising target for therapy in patients with metastatic ALM.

ESMO consensus conference recommendations on the management of locoregional melanoma: under the auspices of the ESMO Guidelines Committee

The European Society for Medical Oncology (ESMO) held a consensus conference on melanoma on 5-7 September 2019 in Amsterdam, The Netherlands. The conference included a multidisciplinary panel of 32 leading experts in the management of melanoma. The aim of the conference was to develop recommendations on topics that are not covered in detail in the current ESMO Clinical Practice Guideline and where available evidence is either limited or conflicting. The main topics identified for discussion were: (i) the management of locoregional disease; (ii) targeted versus immunotherapies in the adjuvant setting; (iii) targeted versus immunotherapies for the first-line treatment of metastatic melanoma; (iv) when to stop immunotherapy or targeted therapy in the metastatic setting; and (v) systemic versus local treatment of brain metastases. The expert panel was divided into five working groups in order to each address questions relating to one of the five topics outlined above. Relevant scientific literature was reviewed in advance. Recommendations were developed by the working groups and then presented to the entire panel for further discussion and amendment before voting. This manuscript presents the results relating to the management of locoregional melanoma, including findings from the expert panel discussions, consensus recommendations and a summary of evidence supporting each recommendation. All participants approved the final manuscript.

Prognosis of Patients With Stage III Melanoma According to American Joint Committee on Cancer Version 8: A Reassessment on the Basis of 3 Independent Stage III Melanoma Cohorts

PURPOSE

Three new therapies have been approved recently for the adjuvant treatment of stage III melanoma, substantially reducing the risk of tumor recurrences. This study evaluates 3 independent data sets to clarify the survival probabilities of patients with stage III melanoma.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The Central Malignant Melanoma Registry (CMMR) evaluated 1,553 patients with a primary diagnosis of stage III melanoma from 2000 to 2012. Studies from the European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC), of 573 patients in the observation arm of the 18991 study and 445 patients in the placebo arm of the 18071 study, were evaluated as reference cohorts. The survival outcomes were compared with the published American Joint Committee on Cancer version 8 (AJCCv8) stage III survival data.

RESULTS

For the CMMR stage III cohort versus the AJCCv8 cohort, the melanoma-specific survival (MSS) rates at 5 years were 67% versus 77%, and at 10 years were 56% versus 69%, respectively. For stage IIIA, the MSS rates at 5 years were 80% versus 93%, and at 10 years were 71% versus 88%; for stage IIIB, the MSS rates at 5 years were 75% versus 83%, and at 10 years were 61% versus 77%. The MSS rates of the EORTC studies either overlapped with or were lower than, the CMMR data.

CONCLUSION

The MSS rates in the CMMR and EORTC cohorts over the entire stage III are less favorable than those published in AJCCv8. This is particularly true for substages IIIA and IIIB.

Treatment of High Risk Resected Melanoma in Australia: Current Landscape and Practises

Stage III melanoma involves regional lymph nodes and/or in-transit or satellite disease, without spread to distant metastatic sites. Stage IIIA melanoma includes a T1a-T2a primary lesion with N1a or N2a nodal involvement, whilst stage IIID melanoma includes a T4b primary lesion with N3a-N3c nodal involvement. With surgery alone, patients with stage IIIA melanoma have 10-year survival rates of ~88%; however, patients with stage IIID melanoma have 10-year survival rates of only ~24%. Targeted therapy and immunotherapy are being explored in stage III disease as adjuvant therapy after surgical resection, to eliminate micro-metastatic disease and thereby prevent relapse of melanoma and increase patient survival. A number of pivotal trials published in the last two years have shown improved relapse-free survival (RFS) and overall survival in patients with stage III melanoma treated with adjuvant therapy. COMBI-AD showed adjuvant dabrafenib and trametinib improving RFS compared with placebo (HR 0.49; 95% CI 0.40-0.59). Checkmate-238 demonstrated an improvement in RFS of adjuvant nivolumab over ipilimumab (HR 0.68, P < 0.001) whilst Keynote-054 demonstrated an improvement in RFS with adjuvant pembrolizumab over placebo (HR 0.57, P < 0.001). Many nuances need to be considered when interpreting this data, including implications of an updated staging system, which patients are suitable for adjuvant therapy and the choice between adjuvant targeted therapy and immunotherapy in BRAF mutant patients. This review article summaries the currently available literature on adjuvant targeted therapy and provides a guide on applying this data in everyday practise.

Indirect treatment comparison of nivolumab versus placebo for the adjuvant treatment of melanoma

INTRODUCTION

Until recently, adjuvant treatment options for stage III and IV resectable melanoma have been limited. Patients were often managed through routine surveillance. The phase III randomised controlled trial (RCT) CheckMate 238 (238) demonstrated the safety and efficacy of nivolumab as an adjuvant treatment for melanoma in patients with stage IIIB/C or IV disease (American Joint Committee on Cancer [AJCC], 7th edition) versus ipilimumab. The study objective was to estimate the relative efficacy, safety and health-related quality of life (HRQoL) between nivolumab and routine surveillance.

METHODS

Indirect treatment comparisons (ITCs) of nivolumab versus placebo were constructed using data from 238 and EORTC 18071. EORTC 18071 is a phase III RCT comparing ipilimumab with placebo in patients with resected stage IIIA-IIIC melanoma (AJCC, 6th edition). ITCs were performed using the Bucher comparison method and patient-level data for efficacy, safety and HRQoL.

RESULTS

For the efficacy outcomes, nivolumab performed significantly better than placebo for recurrence-free survival (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.53 [95% confidence interval {CI}: 0.41, 0.68]) and distant metastases-free survival (HR: 0.59 [95% CI: 0.44, 0.78]). Safety ITCs indicated that patients receiving nivolumab had a greater hazard of experiencing an adverse event (AE) and AEs leading to treatment discontinuation, whereas there was a non-significant increased hazard of experiencing a serious AE. HRQoL ITCs showed comparable time to deterioration in 14 of the 15 QLQ-C30 domains; only the dyspnoea domain significantly favoured placebo.

CONCLUSION

Nivolumab was associated with significantly improved efficacy outcomes versus placebo, whereas maintaining patient's overall HRQoL. Across the different analysis and populations, there was a high level of consistency in the effect size.