EASL Clinical Practice Guidelines on non-invasive tests for evaluation of liver disease severity and prognosis - 2021 update

Screening for advanced liver fibrosis due to metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease alongside retina scanning in people with type 2 diabetes: a cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

International guidelines suggest screening for advanced fibrosis due to metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease in people with type 2 diabetes, but how to implement these guidelines in clinical care remains unclear. We hypothesise that examination with VCTE could be implemented simultaneously with retina scanning with a high acceptance rate in people with type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

In this cross-sectional study, we offered VCTE to people with type 2 diabetes referred to routine retina scanning in a large retina scanning facility in Stockholm, Sweden. We excluded people with type 1 diabetes, currently pregnant, with known liver disease, reporting high alcohol consumption, who did not speak Swedish, or younger than 18 years. Between Nov 6, 2020, and June 20, 2023, we conducted surveys with included participants and collected data from medical records on diabetes retinopathy, sex, and VCTE measurements. Increased liver stiffness was defined as at least 8·0 kPa, and possible advanced fibrosis as more than 12·0 kPa. Presence of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease was defined as a controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) value of 280 dB/m or higher. Participants with a liver stiffness measurement of at least 8·0 kPa or those with unreliable measurements were subsequently referred for a secondary evaluation at a liver specialist, including a follow-up liver stiffness measurement with VCTE. The primary outcome was the proportion of eligible people approached for screening who accepted. Secondary outcomes were the prevalence of elevated liver stiffness (≥8·0 kPa or >12·0 kPa), presence of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease, and the proportion of elevated liver stiffness readings at the first VCTE examination that were not elevated in the secondary evaluation with a liver specialist. Secondary outcomes were assessed in all participants who accepted screening, except false positives, which were assessed only in participants who had a second examination.

FINDINGS

1301 participants were eligible to undergo assessment with VCTE, which was accepted by 1005 (77·2%). 973 (96·8%) participants had complete measurements, of whom 504 (51·8%) had CAP values of 280 dB/m or higher, indicating metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease. Of 977 participants with reliable liver stiffness measurements, 154 (15·8%) had values of at least 8·0 kPa, suggestive of liver fibrosis, and 49 (5·0%) had values higher than 12·0 kPa, indicating possible advanced fibrosis. However, upon reassessment with a second VCTE after referral, 56 (45·2%) of 124 individuals had values less than 8·0 kPa. 74 (7·4%) of 1005 participants had a final liver stiffness of at least 8·0 kPa; 29 (2·9%) had values greater than 12·0 kPa.

INTERPRETATION

Simultaneous examination with VCTE alongside retina scanning had a high acceptance rate among people with type 2 diabetes and could be a strategy for case-finding of people with fibrosis due to metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease. However, a high proportion of participants in our study with elevated liver stiffness measurement at the screening visit did not have an elevated liver stiffness measurement at secondary evaluation, suggesting false-positive findings were common.

FUNDING

Gilead Sciences, Pfizer, Region Stockholm, Åke Wiberg Foundation, and Bengt Ihre Foundation.

Accurate non-invasive detection of MASH with fibrosis F2-F3 using a lightweight machine learning model with minimal clinical and metabolomic variables

BACKGROUND

There are no known non-invasive tests (NITs) designed for accurately detecting metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) with liver fibrosis stages F2-F3, excluding cirrhosis-the FDA-defined range for prescribing Resmetirom and other drugs in clinical trials. We aimed to validate and re-optimize known NITs, and most importantly to develop new machine learning (ML)-based NITs to accurately detect MASH F2-F3.

METHODS

Clinical and metabolomic data were collected from 443 patients across three countries and two clinic types (metabolic surgery, gastroenterology/hepatology) covering the entire spectrum of biopsy-proven MASH, including cirrhosis and healthy controls. Three novel types of ML models were developed using a categorical gradient boosting machine pipeline under a classic 4:1 split and a secondary independent validation analysis. These were compared with twenty-three biomarker, imaging, and algorithm-based NITs with both known and re-optimized cutoffs for MASH F2-F3.

RESULTS

The NAFLD (Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease) Fibrosis Score (NFS) at a - 1.455 cutoff attained an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.59, the highest sensitivity (90.9 %), and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 87.2 %. FIB-4 risk stratification followed by elastography (8 kPa) had the best specificity (86.9 %) and positive predictive value (PPV) (63.3 %), with an AUC of 0.57. NFS followed by elastography improved the PPV to 65.3 % and AUC to 0.62. Re-optimized FibroScan-AST (FAST) at a 0.22 cutoff had the highest PPV (69.1 %). ML models using aminotransferases, metabolic syndrome components, BMI, and 3-ureidopropionate achieved an AUC of 0.89, which further increased to 0.91 following hyperparameter optimization and the addition of alpha-ketoglutarate. These new ML models outperformed all other NITs and displayed accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV up to 91.2 %, 85.3 %, 97.0 %, 92.4 %, and 90.7 % respectively. The models were reproduced and validated in a secondary sensitivity analysis, that used one of the cohorts as feature selection/training, and the rest as independent validation, likewise outperforming all other applicable NITs.

CONCLUSIONS

We report for the first time the diagnostic characteristics of non-invasive, metabolomics-based biomarker models to detect MASH with fibrosis F2-F3 required for Resmetirom treatment and inclusion in ongoing phase-III trials. These models may be used alone or in combination with other NITs to accurately determine treatment eligibility.

EASL Clinical Practice Guidelines on the management of hepatocellular carcinoma

Liver cancer is the third leading cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide, with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) accounting for approximately 90% of primary liver cancers. Advances in diagnostic and therapeutic tools, along with improved understanding of their application, are transforming patient treatment. Integrating these innovations into clinical practice presents challenges and necessitates guidance. These clinical practice guidelines offer updated advice for managing patients with HCC and provide a comprehensive review of pertinent data. Key updates from the 2018 EASL guidelines include personalised surveillance based on individual risk assessment and the use of new tools, standardisation of liver imaging procedures and diagnostic criteria, use of minimally invasive surgery in complex cases together with updates on the integrated role of liver transplantation, transitions between surgical, locoregional, and systemic therapies, the role of radiation therapies, and the use of combination immunotherapies at various stages of disease. Above all, there is an absolute need for a multiparametric assessment of individual risks and benefits, considering the patient's perspective, by a multidisciplinary team encompassing various specialties.

Comparing serial and current liver stiffness measurements to predict decompensation in compensated advanced chronic liver disease patients

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The utility of serial liver stiffness measurements (LSM) to predict decompensation in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) remains unclear. We aimed to validate whether comparing serial LSM is superior to using the current LSM to predict liver-related events (LRE) in patients with cACLD.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

In this retrospective analysis of an international registry, patients with cACLD and serial LSM were followed up until index LRE. We compared the performance of both the dynamic LSM changes and the current LSM in predicting LRE using Cox regression analysis, considering time zero of follow-up as the date of latest liver stiffness measurement. Overall, 480 patients with cACLD with serial LSM were included from 5 countries. The commonest etiology of cACLD was viral (53%) and MASLD (34%). Over a median follow-up of 68 (IQR: 45-92) months, 32% experienced a LSM decrease to levels below 10kPa (resolved cACLD) and 5.8% experienced LRE. Resolved cACLD were more likely to be non-diabetic and had better liver function. While a higher value of the current LSM was associated with higher LREs, LSM changes over time (LSM slope) were not associated with LRE. In multivariable Cox regression, neither the prior LSM nor the LSM slope added predictive value to latest liver stiffness measurement.

CONCLUSIONS

Once the current LSM is known, previous LSM values do not add to the prediction of LREs in patients with cACLD.

Impact of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease on the Survival of People Living With HIV

BACKGROUND

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is an increasing concern for people living with HIV (PLWH). However, information on the impact of NAFLD on the prognosis of PLWH is very scarce.

AIMS

To investigate the influence of NAFLD on the overall and liver-related mortality in PLWH.

METHODS

PLWH followed in three Spanish centres were included in a prospective cohort at the date of the first transient elastography evaluation. Survival data were recorded, and the causes of death were centrally monitored. The risk of all-cause death and liver-related death was evaluated by applying time-to-event analyses.

RESULTS

A total of 2151 PLWH were included in the cohort and followed for a median (Q1-Q3) of 7.3 (3.5-10.4) years. There were 174 (8.1%) deaths. The probability of overall death and liver-related death was associated with liver stiffness measurement (LSM) and with FibroScan-AST (FAST) score. Among 844 PLWH with potential for NALFD, LSM was independently associated with all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [AHR], by 1 kPa increase: 1.06; 95% confidence interval [95% CI]: 1.04-1.08; p < 0.001). In a separate model and after adjustment, FAST score ≥ 0.67 was related to survival (AHR: 1.87; 95% CI: 1.40-2.50; p < 0.001). The AUROC (95% CI) of the models were based on LSM, 0.812 (0.739-0.885); and FAST, 0.825 (0.753-0.897) (p = 0.386).

CONCLUSIONS

For PLWH, advanced liver fibrosis increases the risk of overall death and liver-related death. LSM and the FAST score are similar predictors of survival for PLWH with potential for NAFLD.

In-Hospital Screening Campaign Against Hepatitis C Could Be Effective for Identifying More Patients Who Still Need Treatment

BACKGROUND

Screening programmes for the detection of patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) and positive viral load have been developed in many countries to achieve the World Health Organization's goal of HCV elimination by 2030. In Italy, a phased screening programme starting with individuals born between 1969 and 1989 has been implemented.

AIM

To assess the prevalence of patients with positive viraemia identified through a universal screening campaign conducted among hospitalised patients at our centre during the calendar year 2022.

METHODS

All adult (aged ≥ 18 years) hospitalised patients, who participated in HCV screening from January to December 2022 were included, without any age restriction. Screening initially involved testing for anti-HCV antibodies and then patients who tested positive underwent further HCV-RNA testing.

RESULTS

A total of 10,846 samples were collected. Five hundred and thirty cases (4.8%) tested positive for HCV antibodies, and 109 (1%) tested positive for both HCV antibodies and HCV-RNA. Among patients with a positive viral load, the median [IQR] age was 62 [53-77] years, with a significant age difference between males and females (59 [48-67] vs. 78 [62-88]; Mann-Whitney U-test, p = 0.001). Eighty-four (77%) patients with a positive viral load were outside the target age range specified in the current National Recommendations for free-of-charge screening.

CONCLUSIONS

The non-negligible prevalence of patients with a positive viral load among an unselected group of hospitalised patients suggests that such settings could effectively enhance screening programmes aimed at HCV elimination. Additionally, this approach may help identify patients who are not currently included in the National Recommendations.

Development of a Deep Learning Model for Classification of Hepatic Steatosis from Clinical Standard Ultrasound

OBJECTIVE

Early detection and monitoring of hepatic steatosis can help establish appropriate preventative measures against progression to more advanced disease. We aimed to develop a deep learning (DL) program for classification of hepatic steatosis from standard-of-care grayscale ultrasound (US) images.

METHODS

In this single-center retrospective study, we utilized grayscale US images from January 1, 2010, to October 23, 2022, labeled with magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) proton density fat fraction (MRI-PDFF) to develop a DL multi-instance program for differentiating normal (S0) from steatotic liver (S1/2/3) and normal/mild steatosis (S0/1) from moderate/severe steatosis (S2/3). Diagnostic performances were assessed with area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC), sensitivity, specificity and balanced accuracy with 95% confidence interval (CI).

RESULTS

A total of 403 patients with 403 US exams were included: 171 (42%) were normal (S0: MRI-PDFF <5%), 154 (38%) had mild steatosis (S1: MRI-PDFF 5-17.4%), 29 (7%) had moderate steatosis (S2: MRI-PDFF >17.4%-22.1%) and 49 (12%) had severe steatosis (S3: MRI-PDFF >22.1%). The dataset was split to include 322 patients in train/validation and 81 patients in a holdout test set (kept blind). The S0 versus S1/2/3 model achieved 81.3% (95% CI 72.1-90.5) AUC, 81.1% (70.6-91.6) sensitivity, 71.4% (54.7-88.2) specificity and 76.3% (66.4-86.2) balanced accuracy. The S0/1 versus S2/3 model achieved 95.9% (89-100) AUC, 87.5% (71.3-100) sensitivity, 96.9% (92.7-100) specificity and 92.2% (83.8-100) balanced accuracy. A multi-class model achieved a sensitivity of 71.4% (54.7-88.2) for S0, 67.6% (52.5-82.7) for S1 and 87.5% (71.3-100) for S2/3; specificity for the same model was 81.1% (70.6-91.6) for S0, 77.3% (64.9-89.7) for S1 and 96.9% (92.7-100) for S2/3.

CONCLUSION

Our DL program offered high sensitivity and accuracy in detecting and categorizing hepatic steatosis from standard-of-care ultrasound.

Machine learning prediction of hepatic encephalopathy for long-term survival after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt in acute variceal bleeding

BACKGROUND

Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) is an effective intervention for managing complications of portal hypertension, particularly acute variceal bleeding (AVB). While effective in reducing portal pressure and preventing rebleeding, TIPS is associated with a considerable risk of overt hepatic encephalopathy (OHE), a complication that significantly elevates mortality rates.

AIM

To develop a machine learning (ML) model to predict OHE occurrence post-TIPS in patients with AVB using a 5-year dataset.

METHODS

This retrospective single-center study included 218 patients with AVB who underwent TIPS. The dataset was divided into training (70%) and testing (30%) sets. Critical features were identified using embedded methods and recursive feature elimination. Three ML algorithms-random forest, extreme gradient boosting, and logistic regression-were validated via 10-fold cross-validation. SHapley Additive exPlanations analysis was employed to interpret the model’s predictions. Survival analysis was conducted using Kaplan-Meier curves and stepwise Cox regression analysis to compare overall survival (OS) between patients with and without OHE.

RESULTS

The median OS of the study cohort was 47.83 ± 22.95 months. Among the models evaluated, logistic regression demonstrated the highest performance with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.825. Key predictors identified were Child-Pugh score, age, and portal vein thrombosis. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that patients without OHE had a significantly longer OS (P = 0.005). The 5-year survival rate was 78.4%, with an OHE incidence of 15.1%. Both actual OHE status and predicted OHE value were significant predictors in each Cox model, with model-predicted OHE achieving an AUC of 88.1 in survival prediction.

CONCLUSION

The ML model accurately predicts post-TIPS OHE and outperforms traditional models, supporting its use in improving outcomes in patients with AVB.

Estimating the prevalence of adults at risk for advanced hepatic fibrosis using FIB-4 in a Swiss tertiary care hospital

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Chronic liver diseases pose a serious public health issue. Identifying patients at risk for advanced liver fibrosis is crucial for early intervention. The Fibrosis-4 score (FIB-4), a simple non-invasive test, classifies patients into three risk groups for advanced fibrosis. This study aimed to estimate the prevalence of patients at risk for advanced hepatic fibrosis at a Swiss tertiary care hospital by calculating the FIB-4 score in routine blood analysis.

METHODS

A retrospective study was conducted using data from 36,360 patients who visited outpatient clinics at eight main clinics of the University Hospital Bern in Switzerland. The data collection period ran from January 1st to December 31st, 2022. Patients attending the hepatology outpatient clinic were excluded. We then calculated the overall and clinic-specific prevalence of patients falling into the high risk category for advanced fibrosis according to FIB-4.

RESULTS

Among the 36,360 patients, 26,245 (72.2%) had a low risk of advanced fibrosis (FIB-4 <1.3), whereas 3913 (10.8%) and 2597 (7.1%) patients were flagged to have a high risk of advanced fibrosis (FIB-4 >2.67 and FIB-4 >3.25 respectively). Geriatrics and Cardiology had the highest proportions of patients at risk for advanced fibrosis over all clinics.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrates a high prevalence of high FIB-4 score in a Swiss tertiary care hospital. The implementation of the automatically generated FIB-4 score in daily practice, not only in primary care, but also within tertiary care hospitals, could be crucial for early identification of outpatients at high risk of advanced liver fibrosis requiring further hepatological investigations.

Hepatoscope 2DTE's image-based quality index enhances applicability and repeatability of liver stiffness measurement

PURPOSE

Hepatoscope® is an ultraportable ultrasound system with 50 Hz two-dimensional transient elastography (2DTE) for liver stiffness measurement (LSM). It provides a quality index (QI) for individual stiffness values that is based on imaging features. This study evaluated the 2DTE intra- and inter-user repeatability in patients with chronic liver diseases (CLD) for novice and expert operators across various QI conditions. We compared the performances with other imaging and non-imaging elastography techniques.

METHODS

This investigation was a prospective cross-sectional single-center study. One hundred CLD patients underwent LSMs with vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE™), two-dimensional shear wave elastography (2DSWE) and 2DTE. Expert and novice operators each performed two consecutive exams with 2DTE, blinded to any output. Intra-class correlation coefficient for intra-, and inter-user repeatability were calculated as well as applicability for various QI conditions, and Spearman's correlations against VCTE and 2DSWE were assessed.

RESULTS

Computing LSM as the median of 10 stiffness values with a QI>85 % yielded the best compromise between reliability and applicability. In this setting, expert and inter-operator repeatability showed significant improvement over the condition with no QI threshold (ICC = 0.81 and 0.79, respectively) and 95 % applicability. Novice repeatability was excellent with a more restrictive QI (ICC = 0.80). LSM with 2DTE demonstrated strong and moderate correlation with VCTE and 2DSWE (r = 0.63 and 0.55, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Hepatoscope 2DTE provides a promising and reliable alternative for non-invasive liver stiffness assessment in patients with CLD. The application of the image-based QI enhances LSM reliability and consistency across novice and expert operators.

Prognostic value of changes in vibration-controlled transient elastography parameters for liver, cardiovascular and mortality outcomes in individuals with type 2 diabetes and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease: The Rio de Janeiro type 2 diabetes cohort

BACKGROUND/AIMS

The prognostic importance of changes in vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) parameters, liver stiffness measurement (LSM), and controlled attenuation parameter (CAP), in individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is unknown.

METHODS

A prospective cohort of 288 patients underwent 2 VCTE exams at least 2 years apart, and the relative percentage changes in LSM and CAP were calculated. Outcomes were the occurrence of any liver-related events (LREs), cardiovascular events (CVEs), and all-cause mortality. Multivariable Cox analyses, adjusted for liver and cardiometabolic factors, assessed associations between VCTE parameters changes, both as continuous and dichotomical variables (LSM increase >15% and CAP reduction >10%), and outcomes.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 6 years, there were 22 LREs, 28 CVEs, and 37 all-cause deaths. For LREs, baseline LSM was the strongest predictor, but LSM increases added further prognostic value (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.5 [1.0-2.1], 1-SD increment). For CVEs, both LSM increase (HR: 1.7 [1.3-2.3]) and CAP reduction (HR: 1.5 [1.0-2.3], 1-SD decrease) were significant predictors. For all-cause mortality, baseline CAP was a protective predictor. When classified into subgroups based on LSM and CAP changes, the subgroup with both increased LSM and reduced CAP had the highest risks for CVEs (HR:5.3 [1.4-19.6]) and all-cause mortality (HR: 3.4 [1.2-9.6]). The highest risk for LREs was observed in the subgroup with increased LSM without CAP reduction (HR: 3.5 [0.9-12.9]).

CONCLUSIONS

VCTE parameters changes, LSM increase and CAP reduction, provide prognostic information for adverse liver, cardiovascular, and mortality outcomes in individuals with T2D and MASLD.

Comparison of Referral Rates and Costs Using Fibrosis-4 and Enhanced Liver Fibrosis (ELF) Testing Strategies for Initial Evaluation of Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease (MASLD) in a Veteran Population

BACKGROUND

Global metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) prevalence is estimated at 30% and projected to reach 55.7% by 2040. In the Veterans Affairs (VA) healthcare system, an estimated 1.8 million veterans have metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH).

METHODS

Adult patients at risk for MASLD in a VA healthcare system underwent Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) and Enhanced Liver Fibrosis (ELF®) testing. Referral rates and cost savings were compared among 6 noninvasive testing (NIT) strategies using these 2 tests independently or sequentially at various cutoffs.

RESULTS

Enrolled patients (N = 254) had a mean age of 65.3 ± 9.3 years and mean body mass index (BMI) of 31.7 ± 6, 87.4% male: 78.3% were non-Hispanic/Latino, and 96.5% had type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Among the 6 evaluated strategies, using FIB-4 followed by ELF at a 9.8 cutoff yielded the highest proportion of patients retained in primary care without need of referral to hepatology clinic (165/227; 72.7%), and was associated with the lowest costs ($407.62). Compared to the FIB-4 only strategy, FIB-4/ELF with a 9.8 cutoff strategy resulted in 26% fewer referrals and 8.47% lower costs. In the subgroup of patients with BMI >32, there were 25.17% fewer referrals and costs were 8.31% lower.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study suggests that sequential use of ELF with a 9.8 cutoff following indeterminate FIB-4 tests results in lower referral rates and lower care costs in a veteran population at risk of MASLD. Adding ELF as a sequential test after indeterminate FIB-4 might help reduce the number of referrals and overall cost of care.

Golgi protein 73 in liver fibrosis

Golgi protein 73 (GP73) is implicated in key pathogenic processes, particularly those related to inflammation and fibrogenesis. In the last years, its measurement has emerged as a promising biomarker for detection of liver fibrosis (LF), a common consequence of chronic liver disease that can progress to cirrhosis and eventually hepatocellular carcinoma. GP73 concentrations in blood appear significantly increased in LF patients, correlating with disease severity, making this biomarker a possible non-invasive alternative for detecting and monitoring this condition regardless of etiology. Understanding the molecular mechanisms involving GP73 expression could also lead to new therapeutic strategies aimed at modulating its synthesis or function to prevent or reverse LF. Despite its clinical potential, GP73 as a LF biomarker faces several challenges. The lack of demonstrated comparability among different assays as well as the lack of knowledge of individual variability can make difficult the result interpretation. Further research is therefore needed focusing on robust clinical validation of GP73 as a LF biomarker. Addressing analytical, biological, and clinical limitations will be critical to exploiting its potential for improving detection and monitoring of advanced LF.

Liver stiffness: a novel imaging biomarker by ultrasound elastography for prediction of early allograft failure following liver transplantation

OBJECTIVES

The objective of this study was to evaluate the role of Liver Stiffness Measurement (LSM) and serum transaminase levels for predicting early allograft failure (EAF) after liver transplantation (LT).

METHODS

A total of 189 patients who underwent LT were prospectively recruited in the study. Of these patients, 13 cases died or received re-transplantation within 90 days after surgery were classified as EAF group, while rest 176 patients were included in the non-EAF group. LSM values and serum transaminase levels within 1 week after operation were recorded and compared between two groups. The area under the curve (AUC) was utilized to assess the performance of LSM, serum transaminase and their combination in predicting EAF.

RESULTS

The earliest significant difference in LSM between EAF and non-EAF group was observed on postoperative day 3 (POD-3) (p = 0.046). Comparing to non-EAF group, patients in the EAF group had higher aspartate-aminotransferase (AST) and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) on postoperative day 2 (POD-2)(p = 0.009, 0.033), and also demonstrated higher AST on POD-3 (p = 0.021). Furthermore, the reduction rate of AST/ALT from day 1 to day 3 (AST/ALT Red) were slower (p = 0.001, 0.014) in EAF group. Using a LSM value > 12.1 kPa and an AST level > 339U/L on POD-3 predicted EAF with a sensitivity of 89%, a specificity of 86%, and an AUC of 0.926, surpassing the traditional early allograft dysfunction (EAD) model.

CONCLUSIONS

The combination of LSM values and AST levels on the third day after LT can effectively predict EAF and facilitate timely interventions.

Associations of Essential and Non-Essential Trace Elements' Levels in the Blood, Serum, and Urine in Women with Premature Ovarian Insufficiency

Premature ovarian insufficiency (POI) is poorly understood, with causes identified in only 25% of cases. Emerging evidence suggests links between trace elements (TEs) and POI. This study is the first to compare concentrations of manganese (Mn), copper (Cu), zinc (Zn), selenium (Se), molybdenum (Mo), arsenic (As), cadmium (Cd), mercury (Hg), and lead (Pb) across urine, serum, and whole blood in women with POI compared to healthy controls (HC), aiming to explore their distribution and potential associations with POI. This cross-sectional-case-control study enrolled 81 participants (40 POI patients and 41 healthy controls) at the University Medical Centre Ljubljana, Slovenia. Blood and urine samples were collected to quantify basic biochemical parameters using standard clinical chemistry methods and concentrations of Mn, Cu, Zn, Se, Mo, As, Cd, Hg, and Pb using inductively coupled plasma-mass spectrometry (ICP-MS). Participants also completed questionnaires on socio-demographics, medical history, lifestyle, and nutrition. Data was analyzed using the Mann-Whitney U test, Student's t-tests, Fisher exact test, logistic regression models adjusted on body mass index (BMI), age, hematocrit, and Kendall's tau correlation. Women with POI had significantly higher BMI and red blood cell (RBC) indices, including hemoglobin, hematocrit, and red cell distribution width (RDW), compared to controls. A larger proportion of POI patients resided in rural agricultural areas. Liver and kidney function assessments showed no significant differences between the groups. Adjusted models revealed that POI patients had significantly lower urinary levels of Cu, Zn, Se, Mo, Cd, Hg, and Pb than controls, while whole blood Mn levels were higher. Serum Cu levels were significantly elevated in POI patients, whereas Pb, Cd, and Hg were lower. No significant differences were observed for As. Correlation analysis showed several strong to moderate associations among TEs across biofluids, but only weak correlations were found between TEs and demographic or biochemical factors. This study suggests potential associations between TEs and POI in women. Notably, most TEs (Zn, Se, Cu, Mo, Cd, Hg, Pb) were significantly lower in the urine of the POI group, while Cu, Cd, Hg, and Pb showed significant differences in both urine and serum.

Autologous macrophage therapy for liver cirrhosis: a phase 2 open-label randomized controlled trial

Cirrhosis is a major cause of morbidity and mortality; however, there are no approved therapies except orthotopic liver transplantation. Preclinical studies showed that bone-marrow-derived macrophage injections reduce inflammation, resolve fibrosis and stimulate liver regeneration. In a multicenter, open-label, parallel-group, phase 2 randomized controlled trial ( ISRCTN10368050 ) in n = 51 adult patients with compensated cirrhosis and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score ≥10 and ≤17, we evaluated the efficacy of autologous monocyte-derived macrophage therapy (n = 27) compared to standard medical care (n = 24). The primary endpoint was the difference in baseline to day 90 change in MELD score (ΔMELD) between treatment and control groups (ΔΔMELD). Secondary endpoints included adverse clinical outcomes, non-invasive fibrosis biomarkers and health-related quality of life (HRQoL) at 90 d, 180 d and 360 d. The ΔΔMELD between day 0 and day 90 in the treatment group compared to controls was -0.87 (95% confidence interval: -1.79, 0.0; P = 0.06); therefore, the primary endpoint was not met. During 360-d follow-up, five of 24 participants in the control group developed a total of 10 severe adverse events, four of which were liver related, and three deaths (two liver related), whereas no liver-related severe adverse events or deaths occurred in the treatment group. Although no differences were observed in biomarkers or HRQoL, exploratory analysis showed anti-inflammatory serum cytokine profiles after macrophage infusion. This study reinforces the safety and potential efficacy of macrophage therapy in cirrhosis, supporting further investigation.

The role of noninvasive biomarkers for monitoring cell injury in advanced liver fibrosis

INTRODUCTION

Accurate and reliable diagnosis and monitoring of hepatic fibrosis is increasingly important given the variable natural history in chronic liver disease (CLD) and expanding antifibrotic therapeutic options targeting reversibility of early-stage cirrhosis. This highlights the need to develop more refined and effective noninvasive techniques for the dynamic assessment of fibrogenesis and fibrolysis.

AREAS COVERED

We conducted a literature review on PubMed, from 1 December 1970, to 1 November 2024, to evaluate and compare available blood-based and imaging-based noninvasive tools for hepatic fibrosis diagnosis and monitoring. Simple scores such as FIB-4 and NAFLD fibrosis score are suitable for excluding significant or advanced fibrosis, while tertiary centers should adopt complex scores and liver stiffness measurement as part of a secondary diagnostic and more comprehensive evaluation. Moreover, the advent of multiomics for high-resolution molecular profiling, and integration of artificial intelligence for noninvasive diagnostics holds promise for revolutionizing fibrosis monitoring and treatment through novel biomarker discovery and predictive omics-based algorithms.

EXPERT OPINION

The increased shift toward noninvasive diagnostics for liver fibrosis needs to align with personalized medicine, enabling more effective, tailored management strategies for patients with liver disease in the future.

Real-world effectiveness and safety of bulevirtide monotherapy for up to 96 weeks in patients with HDV-related cirrhosis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Bulevirtide (BLV) 2 mg/day is EMA approved for treatment of compensated chronic hepatitis due to Delta virus (HDV) infection, however real-life data in large cohorts of patients with cirrhosis are lacking.

METHODS

Consecutive HDV-infected patients with cirrhosis starting BLV 2 mg/day since September 2019 were included in a European retrospective multicenter real-life study (SAVE-D). Patient characteristics before and during BLV treatment were collected. Virological, biochemical, combined responses, adverse events and liver-related events (HCC, decompensation, liver transplant) were assessed.

RESULTS

244 patients with HDV-related cirrhosis receiving BLV monotherapy for a median of 92 (IQR 71-96) weeks were included: at BLV start, median (IQR) age was 49 (40-58) years, 61% men, ALT 80 (55-130) U/L, liver stiffness measurement (LSM) 18.3 (13.0-26.3) kPa, platelets 94 (67-145) x 103/mm3, 54% with esophageal varices, 95% Child Pugh score A, 10% HIV-coinfected, 92% on NUC, median HDV RNA 5.4 (4.1-6.5) Log10 IU/mL, HBsAg 3.8 (3.4-4.1) Log10 IU/mL. At weeks (W)48 and 96, virological, biochemical and combined responses were observed in 65% and 79%, 61% and 64%, 44% and 54% of patients, respectively. AST, GGT, albumin, IgG and LSM values significantly improved throughout treatment. Serum bile acid levels increased in most patients, only 10% patients reported mild and transient pruritus, independently of bile acid levels. The W96 cumulative risk of de-novo HCC and decompensation was 3.0% (95% CI 2-6%) and 2.8% (95% CI 1-5%), respectively. Thirteen (5%) patients underwent liver transplantation (n=11 for HCC, n=2 for decompensation).

CONCLUSION

BLV 2 mg/day monotherapy up to 96 weeks was safe and effective in patients with HDV-related cirrhosis. Virological and clinical responses increased over time. Liver-related complications were few.

Liver fibrosis stage classification in stacked microvascular images based on deep learning

BACKGROUND

Monitoring fibrosis in patients with chronic liver disease (CLD) is an important management strategy. We have already reported a novel stacked microvascular imaging (SMVI) technique and an examiner scoring evaluation method to improve fibrosis assessment accuracy and demonstrate its high sensitivity. In the present study, we analyzed the effectiveness and objectivity of SMVI in diagnosing the liver fibrosis stage based on artificial intelligence (AI).

METHODS

This single-center, cross-sectional study included 517 patients with CLD who underwent ultrasonography and liver stiffness testing between August 2019 and October 2022. A convolutional neural network model was constructed to evaluate the degree of liver fibrosis from stacked microvascular images generated by accumulating high-sensitivity Doppler (i.e., high-definition color) images from these patients. In contrast, as a method of judgment by the human eye, we focused on three hallmarks of intrahepatic microvessel morphological changes in the stacked microvascular images: narrowing, caliber irregularity, and tortuosity. The degree of liver fibrosis was classified into five stages according to etiology based on liver stiffness measurement: F0-1Low (< 5.0 kPa), F0-1High (≥ 5.0 kPa), F2, F3, and F4.

RESULTS

The AI classification accuracy was 53.8% for a 5-class classification, 66.3% for a 3-class classification (F0-1Low vs. F0-1High vs. F2-4), and 83.8% for a 2-class classification (F0-1 vs. F2-4). The diagnostic accuracy for ≥ F2 was 81.6% in the examiner's score assessment, compared with 83.8% in AI assessment, indicating that AI achieved higher diagnostic accuracy. Similarly, AI demonstrated higher sensitivity and specificity of 84.2% and 83.5%, respectively. Comparing human judgement with AI judgement, the AI analysis was a superior model with a higher F1 score in the 2-class classification.

CONCLUSIONS

In detecting significant fibrosis (≥ F2) using the SMVI method, AI-based assessments are more accurate than human judgement; moreover, AI-based SMVI analysis eliminating human subjectivity bias and determining patients with objective fibrosis development is considered an important improvement.

A positive relationship between weight-adjusted waist index and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: a study on US adolescents

Background

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most prevalent chronic liver condition in children, underscoring the urgent need for non-invasive markers for early detection in this population.

Methods

We utilized survey data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2017-2020 regarding liver ultrasound transient elastography (LUTE) for the diagnosis of NAFLD (dependent variable), and used multiple logistic regression models to explore the association between weight-adjusted waist circumference index (WWI) and the prevalence of NAFLD in US adolescents. Smoothing curves and threshold effect analyses were used to assess the non-linear association between the independent variables and the dependent variable. Subgroup analysis was conducted to pinpoint particularly susceptible subgroups within our study cohort of 1,711 participants.

Results

Our findings indicated a positive correlation between WWI and NAFLD scores. Adjusting for all covariates revealed a significant association between increased WWI and the presence of NAFLD, with an odds ratio of 3.37 (95% CI: 2.74, 4.15). This association proved stronger than those observed with waist circumference, body mass index, and NAFLD. Stratifying WWI into quartiles showed a clear and strong positive correlation (P for trend < 0.0001). The results of smoothing curves and threshold effect analysis showed a non-linear relationship between WWI and NAFLD (LLR < 0.001). Notably, for WWI values below 10.65, a significant correlation was observed (OR = 5.25, 95% CI: 3.77,7.31). Additionally, our subgroup analysis revealed that WWI and NAFLD were associated more positively among male participants aged 16 years and older.

Conclusion

WWI is positively correlated with NAFLD in American adolescents and offers a straightforward and cost-effective method for identifying hepatic steatosis. The findings highlight the importance of focusing on individuals with a WWI below 10.65, where the risk of NAFLD increases. Priority should be given to the male adolescent population aged 16 and above.

Biologic therapy for psoriasis is associated with the development of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). A study on the association of cardiometabolic conditions with psoriasis treatment

BACKGROUND

Psoriasis requires a comprehensive assessment of concomitant diseases to make better therapeutic decisions. This study examined the differences in the onset and progression of associated cardiometabolic comorbidities in psoriasis patients based on their treatments.

METHODS

A retrospective longitudinal study was conducted on patients aged over 13 years with psoriasis seen at a Northern Mexican Hospital between 2012 and 2023. Patients were categorized into three groups according on the type of treatment received: topical, systemic, and biologic. A logistic regression analysis was performed to identify predictors of comorbidity development.

RESULTS

197 patients were included; 52.8% were women, with a mean (SD) age of 54.45 (16.91) years, divided into topical [n = 90 (45.7%)], systemic [n = 57 (29.1%)], and biologic [n = 50 (25.5%)] groups, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) was significantly more prevalent in the biologic group [22 (44%)], p < 0.001. The logistic regression showed that type 2 diabetes mellitus, biological treatments (OR = 5.798, p = 0.001), and body mass index (OR = 1.144, p = 0.002), predicted the development of MASLD with a Nagelkerke's R2 of 0.400.

CONCLUSIONS

Psoriasis patients using biological therapies have a greater predisposition to MASLD. These patients should receive a comprehensive approach to identify metabolic conditions, and screening tests for MASLD are recommended.

Impact of bariatric surgery on liver fibrosis indices among type 2 diabetes patients in a national cohort

Obesity is related to liver fibrosis, a condition marked by the collection of scar tissue in the liver due to the development of a profibrotic environment, which includes increased hepatocellular death and elevated reactive oxygen species production. The aim of study is to evaluate the effect of bariatric surgery on the association between liver fibrosis indices and obesity. This is a retrospective cohort, evaluating 1205 individuals diagnosed with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and living with obesity, who experienced bariatric surgery. These patients living with T2D and obesity were monitored after bariatric surgery for two years. The trajectory of biochemical markers and liver fibrosis indices were evaluated at five visits. These liver indices were Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index, aspartate aminotransferase (AST) to platelet ratio index, and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) fibrosis score. FIB-4 index demonstrated notable trends based on its values. It showed an initial increase observed at the three-months visit, followed by a decline up to one year with a slight increase at the last follow-up (P-trend < 0.001). It should be mentioned that, mean FIB-4 in patients with FIB-4 ≥ 1.3 (pre-operation) did not exceed the value of 2.00, which is lower than the cut-off value of high risk for liver cirrhosis (FIB-4 ≥ 2.67). In addition, the NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) demonstrated a substantial decline from - 0.32 ± 1.32 pre-operation to -0.86 ± 1.15 at the two-year mark (P-trend < 0.001). Finally, the AST to platelet ratio index (APRI) decreased from 0.27 ± 0.20 pre-operation to 0.23 ± 0.12 at the 12-month follow-up. Bariatric surgery significantly improves NFS and cause alterations in APRI and Fib-4 index levels without increasing the risk of liver cirrhosis development among patients with T2D and obesity.

A blood-based biomarker panel for non-invasive diagnosis of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis

The current diagnosis of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and its severe form, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH), is suboptimal. Here, we recruited 700 individuals, including 184 from Hong Kong as a discovery cohort and 516 from San Diego, Wenzhou, and Hong Kong as three validation cohorts. A panel of 3 parameters (C-X-C motif chemokine ligand 10 [CXCL10], cytokeratin 18 fragments M30 [CK-18], and adjusted body mass index [BMI]) was formulated (termed N3-MASH), which discriminated patients with MASLD from healthy controls with an area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) of 0.954. Among patients with MASLD, N3-MASH could identify patients with MASH with an AUROC of 0.823, achieving 90.0% specificity, 62.9% sensitivity, and 88.6% positive predictive value. The diagnostic performance of N3-MASH was confirmed in three validation cohorts with AUROC of 0.802, 0.805, and 0.823, respectively. Additionally, N3-MASH identifies patients with MASH improvement with an AUROC of 0.857. In summary, we developed a robust blood-based panel for the non-invasive diagnosis of MASH, which might help clinicians reduce unnecessary liver biopsies.

Association between the triglyceride-glucose index and liver fibrosis in adults with metabolism-related fatty liver disease in the United States: a cross-sectional study of NHANES 2017-2020

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to examine the association between the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index and liver fibrosis (LF) in U.S. adults with Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease (MAFLD).

METHODS

Using data from the 2017 to 2020 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) database, we conducted a population-based cross-sectional study with 1,324 participants. MAFLD was defined as a controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) score ≥ 248 dB/m accompanied by metabolic dysfunction. A median liver stiffness measurement ≥ 8.2 kPa was used to identify significant fibrosis (≥ F2). Multivariable logistic regression was employed to assess the impact of the TyG index on LF outcomes. A restricted cubic spline (RCS) model was used to explore nonlinear effects, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were applied to evaluate the effectiveness in predicting.

RESULTS

Among the participants, 716 were men and 608 were women, aged 20 to 80 years, representing various racial groups. Significant fibrosis was observed in 137 out of 1,324 participants. After adjusting for confounding factors, a higher TyG index was significantly associated with an increased incidence of MAFLD-related LF (OR = 2.18, 95% CI, 1.14-4.18; p < 0.05). Elevated TyG levels showed a positive correlation with significant fibrosis, with an odds ratio (OR) exceeding 1 when the TyG index was above 8.054. Subgroup analyses stratified by sex, age, and body mass index (BMI) revealed differences after adjusting for confounders. The association was stronger in women (OR = 2.53, 95% CI, 1.16-5.53) than in men (OR = 1.95, 95% CI, 0.81-4.72). A significant correlation was also found between TyG levels and obesity status (overweight: OR = 4.80, 95% CI, 1.27-18.2; obese: OR = 2.26, 95% CI, 1.20-5.53). In MAFLD patients aged 40-59, TyG was strongly associated with LF (OR = 2.85, 95% CI, 1.16-6.79). Furthermore, the area under the ROC curve (AUC) for the TyG index in predicting significant fibrosis in MAFLD patients was 0.73 (95% CI, 0.68-0.78), indicating moderate predictive ability.

CONCLUSIONS

In the general U.S. population, elevated TyG index levels were positively associated with an increased risk of LF in MAFLD patients.

Accuracy of blood-based biomarkers for staging liver fibrosis in chronic liver disease: A systematic review supporting the AASLD Practice Guideline

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Blood-based biomarkers have been proposed as an alternative to liver biopsy for noninvasive liver disease assessment in chronic liver disease. Our aims for this systematic review were to evaluate the diagnostic utility of selected blood-based tests either alone, or in combination, for identifying significant fibrosis (F2-4), advanced fibrosis (F3-4), and cirrhosis (F4), as compared to biopsy in chronic liver disease.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

We included a comprehensive search of databases including Ovid MEDLINE(R), EMBASE, Cochrane Database, and Scopus through to April 2022. Two independent reviewers selected 286 studies with 103,162 patients. The most frequently identified studies included the simple aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index and fibrosis (FIB)-4 markers (with low-to-moderate risk of bias) in HBV and HCV, HIV-HCV/HBV coinfection, and NAFLD. Positive (LR+) and negative (LR-) likelihood ratios across direct and indirect biomarker tests for HCV and HBV for F2-4, F3-4, or F4 were 1.66-6.25 and 0.23-0.80, 1.89-5.24 and 0.12-0.64, and 1.32-7.15 and 0.15-0.86, respectively; LR+ and LR- for NAFLD F2-4, F3-4, and F4 were 2.65-3.37 and 0.37-0.39, 2.25-6.76 and 0.07-0.87, and 3.90 and 0.15, respectively. Overall, the proportional odds ratio indicated FIB-4 <1.45 was better than aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index <0.5 for F2-4. FIB-4 >3.25 was also better than aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index >1.5 for F3-4 and F4. There was limited data for combined tests.

CONCLUSIONS

Blood-based biomarkers are associated with small-to-moderate change in pretest probability for diagnosing F2-4, F3-4, and F4 in viral hepatitis, HIV-HCV coinfection, and NAFLD, with limited comparative or combination studies for other chronic liver diseases.

Utility of Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer as an excellent biomarker for the prediction of liver fibrosis, activity, and hepatocellular carcinoma onset: an expert review

Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer (M2BPGi) is a liver fibrosis biomarker that originated in Japan and has been covered by health insurance for 10 years. M2BPGi is useful not only for liver fibrosis stage prediction but also for assessment of the degree of liver inflammation and prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma development. The usefulness of M2BPGi for assessing disease progression in patients with various chronic liver diseases has been demonstrated over the past decade in a large number of patients. Recently, there have been many reports from outside Japan, including reports from South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, and China. These studies demonstrated that M2BPGi is an excellent biomarker that can evaluate the progression of liver fibrosis in chronic liver disease. It is also an excellent indicator of liver activity. Recently, a quantitative M2BPGi (M2BPGi-Qt) assay was developed, and future validation in real-world settings is expected. This will enable diagnosis of the progression of liver fibrosis based on more precise test results and is expected to contribute to the early detection and follow-up of diseases caused by chronic hepatitis, as well as post-treatment monitoring. The significance of the M2BPGi-Qt assay will likely become clearer as real-world data accumulate. If new cutoff values for each chronic liver disease stage and activity level using the M2BPGi-Qt assay are set based on real-world data, it is expected that this will become a useful tool to identify cases of liver fibrosis and monitor the progression of chronic liver disease.

Central Obesity is an Independent Determinant of Advanced Fibrosis in Lean Patients With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

Background

The current definition of lean is based on body mass index (BMI). However, BMI is an imperfect surrogate for adiposity and provides no information on central obesity (CO). Hence, we explored the differences in clinical profile and liver disease severity in lean patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) with and without CO.

Methods

One hundred seventy lean patients with NAFLD (BMI <23 kg/m2) were divided into two groups depending upon the presence or absence of CO (waist circumference ≥80 cm in females and ≥90 cm in males). Noninvasive assessment of steatosis was done by ultrasound and controlled attenuation parameter (CAP), while fibrosis was assessed with FIB-4 and liver stiffness measurement (LSM). FibroScan-AST (FAST) score was used for non-invasive prediction of NASH with significant fibrosis.

Results

Of 170 patients with lean NAFLD, 96 (56.5%) had CO. Female gender (40.6% vs. 17.6%, P = 0.001), hypertriglyceridemia (58.3% vs. 39.2%, P = 0.01) and metabolic syndrome (23.9% vs. 4.1%, P < 0.001) were more common in the CO group. There was a poor correlation between BMI and waist circumference (r = 0.24, 95% CI: 0.09-0.38). Grade 2-3 steatosis on ultrasound was significantly more common in CO patients (30% vs. 12.3%, P = 0.007). CAP [312.5 (289.8-341) dB/m vs. 275 (248-305.1) dB/m, P = 0.002], FAST score [0.42 (0.15-0.66) vs. 0.26 (0.11-0.39), P = 0.04], FIB-4 and LSM were higher in those with CO. Advanced fibrosis was more prevalent among CO patients using FIB-4 (19.8% vs 8.1%, P = 0.03) and LSM (9.5% vs. 0, P = 0.04). CO was independently associated with advanced fibrosis after adjusting for BMI and metabolic risk factors (aOR: 3.11 (1.10-8.96), P = 0.03). Among these 170 patients, 142 fulfilled metabolic dysfunction associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) criteria. CO was also an independent risk factor for advanced fibrosis in MASLD (3.32 (1.23-8.5), P = 0.02).

Conclusion

Lean patients with NAFLD or MASLD and CO have more severe liver disease compared to those without CO.

Multisociety consensus recommendations on hepatitis delta virus infection

ABSTRACT

Hepatitis D virus (HDV) prevalence data and country-specific HDV guidelines are not widely available in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states. We developed consensus recommendations to guide healthcare professionals, policymakers, and researchers in improving HDV management and patient health outcomes in three GCC states: Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates. A consensus panel comprising hepatology experts (n = 6) from the three GCC societies was formed. The panel identified two broader areas related to clinical practice (screening and diagnosis, and treatment and management), addressed critical questions, and developed draft recommendations in February 2024. The strength of the final set of recommendations was subjected to consensus voting in March 2024. A majority was defined apriori with a two-thirds vote (67%). The paper outlines those recommendations alongside showcasing the current epidemiology of HDV in the GCC states, emphasizing the variability in prevalence, demographic patterns, and region-specific risk factors. It also highlights the current state of screening and diagnosis practices, identifying key obstacles, such as access to advanced screening protocols and diagnostic tools. Furthermore, HDV treatment landscape and preventative strategies are outlined, focusing on vaccination, public health initiatives, and the crucial role of public awareness and education. Ethical and sociocultural considerations are discussed, underscoring the importance of culturally sensitive healthcare practices. These recommendations present a comprehensive overview of the challenges and strategies for managing HDV in these states. Policy recommendations are provided to support HDV management, including standardizing care protocols and promoting public health measures.

Development, validation, and prognostic evaluation of LiverPRO for the prediction of significant liver fibrosis in primary care: a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Clinically significant liver fibrosis is associated with future adverse events in patients with steatotic liver disease. We designed a software tool for detection of clinically significant liver fibrosis in primary care.

METHODS

In this prospective cohort study, we developed and validated LiverPRO using six independent cohorts from Denmark, Germany, and England that included patients from primary and secondary care with steatotic liver disease related to alcohol or metabolic dysfunction. We used clinically significant fibrosis (histology stage ≥F2) and advanced fibrosis (≥F3) as outcomes for variable selection in the development cohort and built the model with fractional polynomial regression. In all cohorts, we independently validated the tool for prediction of elevated liver stiffness by transient elastography (≥8 kPa and ≥12 kPa) and for the 2-year and 5-year risk of liver-related events. Diagnostic performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating curve (AUC), with clinical performance evaluated through sensitivity, specificity, and Harrell's C-statistic for prognostic purposes.

FINDINGS

In the development cohort (n=462), we derived 466 multivariable models consisting of age in combination with three to nine variables from a list of nine blood tests (aspartate aminotransferase, alkaline phosphatase, gamma-glutamyl transferase, international normalised ratio, albumin, sodium, bilirubin, platelet count, and cholesterol). In the development cohort, LiverPRO diagnosed clinically significant fibrosis with good accuracy (transient elastography ≥8 kPa area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC] 0·86 [95% CI 0·83-0·90]). In the DECIDE validation cohort (n=6468), LiverPRO detected participants with a transient elastography of 8 kPa or higher with good accuracy (AUC 0·80 [95% CI 0·78-0·82]), comparable to enhanced liver fibrosis testing (0·78 [0·75-0·80]) and the LiverRisk score (0·81 [0·79-0·84]), but superior to the Fibrosis-4 index (0·69 [0·66-0·72]) and NAFLD Fibrosis Score (0·74 [0·72-0·77]). Findings were consistent in three other validation cohorts (n=2554), albeit accuracy was slightly lower. Using a rule-out cutoff of less than 25% (indicating no further examinations required), LiverPRO had a rule-out sensitivity of 80·6% (95% CI 76·4-84·3) and a rule-out negative predictive value of 98·0% (95% CI 97·5-98·4) in the DECIDE cohort. Similarly, with a rule-out cutoff of less than 1·3, FIB-4 had a rule-out sensitivity of 53·8% (48·5-58·9) and a rule-out negative predictive value of 95·8% (95·1-96·4). For rule-in thresholds, using a cutoff of more than 65% (indicating referral to a hepatologist required) LiverPRO had a rule-in specificity of 95·5% (95% CI 94·9-96·0) and a rule-in positive predictive value of 33·0% (95% CI 28·5-37·8) in the DECIDE cohort whereas FIB-4, with a rule-in threshold of 2·67, had a rule-in specificity of 98·7% (94·9-96·0) and a rule-in positive predictive value 35·6% (27·0-44·9). Using UK Biobank data, LiverPRO predicted liver-related events with a C-statistic of 0·80 (0·77-0·84) at 2 years.

INTERPRETATION

LiverPRO reliably identifies clinically significant liver fibrosis and elevated liver stiffness, predicts the risk of liver-related events in primary care, and is adaptable to the availability of different liver blood test analytes. On the basis of these results LiverPRO was certified according to IVDR class b, obtaining European CE approval in 2024.

FUNDING

EU Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme and Novo Nordisk Foundation.

Porto-sinusoidal vascular disorder in surgical candidates for liver metastases: Prevalence, noninvasive diagnosis, and burden on surgical outcomes

Chemotherapy can cause vascular and metabolic liver injury in patients with liver metastases, but scarce data are available. We aimed to (i) describe the prevalence of porto-sinusoidal vascular disorder (PSVD) among patients undergoing resection for liver metastases; and (ii) assess whether liver (LSM) and spleen stiffness measurements could diagnose PSVD and predict postoperative complications. This is a prospective single-center study enrolling consecutive patients undergoing hepatic resection for metastases at a tertiary center. For each patient, we evaluated previous exposure to chemotherapy, comorbidities, elastography, type of surgery, histological features at the resection specimen, morbidity (post-hepatectomy liver failure and major complications according to Clavien-Dindo), and 90-day survival. Sixty-eight patients were included, of whom 60 (88%) had received chemotherapy. Twenty-nine (44%) patients had PSVD. Spleen stiffness measurements <21 kPa (negative predictive value 87%) and >40 kPa (positive predictive value 100%) could accurately diagnose PSVD. PSVD significantly increased the risk of post-hepatectomy liver failure (22% vs. 45%) and major complications (11% vs. 31%). Preoperative LSM was associated with postoperative morbidity. The cutoff LSMs <4.5 and >8 kPa predicted the risk of clinically significant post-hepatectomy liver failure (0%, 11%, and 33% in LSM <4.5, 4.5-8, and >8 kPa, respectively) and major complications (0%, 25%, 44% in LSM <4.5, 4.5-8, and >8 kPa, respectively). PSVD is very common among patients undergoing liver surgery for metastases, and it is associated with increased morbidity. LSM and spleen stiffness measurements can correctly identify patients with PSVD and those at risk of clinically relevant postoperative complications.

Timely Follow-Up After a First Diagnosis of Cirrhosis is Associated With Reduced Mortality but No Impact on Rehospitalisations: A Population-Based Cohort of 8852 Patients

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Timely transition of care amongst patients with a first diagnosis of cirrhosis in a hospital to an outpatient visit is important. We evaluated rates of outpatient follow-up after a first diagnosis of cirrhosis during an inpatient setting, and its association with subsequent rates of rehospitalisation and mortality.

METHODS

We conducted a population-based cohort study identifying all hospitalised patients in Sweden diagnosed with cirrhosis between 2002 and 2020 from the Swedish National Patient Register. The primary outcome was any outpatient visit related to cirrhosis within 90 days after hospital discharge. Secondary outcomes were rates of rehospitalisation and mortality within 1 year of discharge in patients receiving outpatient follow-up within 90 days or not. Cox regression was used for all analyses, and incidence rates per 1000 person-years were calculated for mortality and rehospitalisation.

RESULTS

Of 8852 patients, 3759 (42%) had outpatient follow-up within 90 days of discharge. Patients who received follow-up within 90 days of discharge were younger, had a higher level of education and were more likely to have liver decompensation or hepatocellular carcinoma compared to those without timely follow-up. We found that follow-up within 90 days was associated with lower rates of all-cause mortality within 1 year (aHR = 0.86, 95%CI = 0.78-0.96) but with no significant impact on rehospitalisations (aHR = 0.97, 95%CI = 0.91-1.03).

CONCLUSIONS

In Sweden, 42% of hospitalised patients with newly diagnosed cirrhosis receive outpatient follow-up within 90 days of their hospital discharge. These patients may experience lower mortality but no change in rehospitalisations within 1 year.

Machine-learning-based plasma metabolomic profiles for predicting long-term complications of cirrhosis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The complications of liver cirrhosis occur after long asymptomatic stages of progressive fibrosis and are generally diagnosed late. We aimed to develop a plasma metabolomic-based score tool to predict these events.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

We enrolled 64,005 UK biobank participants with metabolomic profiles. Participants were randomly divided into the training (n=43,734) and validation cohorts (n=20,271). Liver cirrhosis complications were defined as hospitalization for liver cirrhosis or presentation with HCC. An interpretable machine-learning framework was applied to learn the metabolomic states extracted from 168 circulating metabolites in the training cohort. An integrated nomogram was developed and compared to conventional and genetic risk scores. We created 3 groups: low-risk, middle-risk, and high-risk through selected cutoffs of the nomogram. The predictive performance was validated through the area under a time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve (time-dependent AUC), calibration curves, and decision curve analysis. The metabolomic state model could accurately predict the 10-year risk of liver cirrhosis complications in the training cohort (time-dependent AUC: 0.84 [95% CI: 0.82-0.86]), and outperform the fibrosis-4 index (time-dependent AUC difference: 0.06 [0.03-0.10]) and polygenic risk score (0.25 [0.21-0.29]). The nomogram, integrating metabolomic state, aspartate aminotransferase, platelet count, waist/hip ratio, and smoking status showed a time-dependent AUC of 0.930 at 3 years, 0.889 at 5 years, and 0.861 at 10 years in the validation cohort, respectively. The HR in the high-risk group was 43.58 (95% CI: 27.08-70.12) compared with the low-risk group.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed a metabolomic state-integrated nomogram, which enables risk stratification and personalized administration of liver-related events.

Cholate Shunt, Oral Cholate Challenge and Endoscopic Lesions of Portal Hypertension: The SHUNT-V Study

BACKGROUND

The accuracy of current criteria for ruling out large oesophageal varices (LEV) and other endoscopic lesions of portal hypertension (PH) may be compromised by obesity and MASLD/MASH.

AIMS

In the US multicentre SHUNT-V study, we evaluated the disease severity index (DSI) for detecting LEV and other lesions of PH at endoscopy.

METHODS

Subjects were adults with compensated cirrhosis scheduled for endoscopy to screen for varices. DSI was calculated from clearances of labelled cholates after oral and intravenous administration. DSI ≤ 18.3 was evaluated as a cut-off for ruling out LEV with acceptance criteria of negative likelihood ratio < 0.52 and sensitivity > 85%.

RESULTS

SHUNT-V enrolled 306 subjects; 275 had both DSI and endoscopy, and 238 had Child-Pugh A cirrhosis (52.1% MASLD/MASH, 25.2% chronic hepatitis C and 15.6% alcoholic liver disease; 87% were overweight, 64% were obese and 54% had diabetes). AUROCs for DSI ranged from 0.81 to 0.82 for LEV and 0.79 to 0.80 for all significant PH lesions. DSI 18.3 had sensitivity 96.3%-100% for LEV and 97.3%-100% for all significant PH lesions. If DSI ≤ 18.3 were used as the sole determinant to defer EGD, 27%-35% of EGDs could have been avoided with 0%-3.7% of LEV and 0%-2.7% of all significant PH lesions missed.

CONCLUSIONS

HepQuant DSI predicts the likelihood of LEV and significant PH lesions across a spectrum of patient characteristics and disease aetiologies. DSI, based on liver function and portal-systemic shunting, can aid in the decision to defer endoscopy for varices in patients with Child-Pugh A cirrhosis.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

The SHUNT-V study was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT03583996).

An updated overview on hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with Metabolic dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease: Trends, pathophysiology and risk-based surveillance

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a relevant complication occurring in individuals with advanced Metabolic dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease (MASLD). Recent epidemiological data suggest an alarming increase in the HCC burden worldwide, with a relevant proportion attributable to MASLD (up to 38 %), either in cirrhotic or non-cirrhotic livers. In view of the changing landscape of metabolic syndrome as "silent pandemic", this narrative review aims to provide an updated picture of the burden of HCC in individuals with MASLD. In the complex pathophysiological pathways linking insulin resistance to MASLD and cardiometabolic syndrome, metabolic inflammation appears a relevant driver of systemic as well as organ-specific complications. Novel insights from the field of immunology, gut-derived liver damage, and association with extra-hepatic cancers will be discussed. Finally, strategies for risk-based HCC surveillance (circulating biomarkers, prognostic models and polygenic risk scores) will be provided and the potential impact of novel drug targeting fibrosing Metabolic dysfunction-Associated Steatohepatitis (MASH) on incident HCC will be discussed.

Alcohol-Associated Hepatitis: Short- and Long-Term Management

Alcohol-associated hepatitis, considered a severe form of alcohol-associated liver disease, carries with it multiple negative health outcomes ranging not only to increased hospitalizations but also increased rates of mortality. While the inpatient management remains critical in optimizing clinical outcomes, a shift in focus to the outpatient management of alcohol-associated hepatitis is warranted as a long-term solution to this emerging health pandemic. Here, we review the clinical presentation, diagnosis, and current prognostication scoring systems for alcohol-associated hepatitis. We then offer a multimodal approach to the continued management of alcohol-associated hepatitis in the outpatient setting encompassing not only nutritional optimization, alcohol use disorder treatment, and the medical management of chronic liver disease, but also briefly review the current trend of the use of liver transplantation.

Age-dependent differences in FIB-4 predictions of fibrosis in patients with MASLD referred from primary care

BACKGROUND

Fibrosis 4 (FIB-4) is widely used to triage patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease. Given that age is part of FIB-4, higher scores may be expected in the elderly population. This led to the proposal of using a higher threshold of FIB-4 to triage patients aged ≥65. Our main objective is to evaluate how age modifies the association between the FIB-4 index and disease severity based on the vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) "rule of 5s."

METHODS

In this cross-sectional study, we prospectively analyzed data from a primary care referral pathway. We used liver stiffness measurement by VCTE as a reference standard for liver risk. We modeled with ordinal regression the exceedance probabilities of finding different liver stiffness measurement thresholds according to FIB-4, and how age modifies FIB-4 predictions.

RESULTS

Nine hundred eighty-five participants with complete data were used for modeling. Participants aged ≥65 had a higher prevalence of advanced liver disease estimated by VCTE and higher FIB-4 values than those <65 (85.9% vs. 20.2% for FIB-4 ≥1.3, and 46.5% vs. 6.5% for FIB-4 ≥2.0). In participants age ≥65, the negative predictive value for VCTE ≥10 kPa of FIB-4 <1.3 was 100% versus FIB-4 <2.0 was 83%. Age significantly modified FIB-4-based prediction of fibrosis, but predictions at a threshold of 1.3 or 2 were only minimally altered. For higher FIB-4 threshold (ie, 2.7), age strongly modified FIB-4 predictions of liver stiffness measurement.

CONCLUSIONS

Age does not relevantly modify FIB-4 predictions when using the common threshold of 1.3. Our data suggest no rationale for increasing the FIB-4 threshold to 2 for undergoing further testing in patients aged ≥65. However, the meaning of a FIB-4 of 2.7 strongly changes with age. This cutoff for ages over 65 is not enough to define high-risk and would not warrant direct referral.

Higher FIB-4 index at baseline predicts development of liver cancer in a community-based cohort with viral hepatitis

Hepatitis B and C (HBV and HCV) testing has been performed in Japan since 2002 and is subsidized by central and prefectural governments. A follow-up program for HBV- or HCV-infected persons was started at that time in Ishikawa Prefecture. This study analyzed the long-term follow-up data from this program. In total, 1029 participants in the Ishikawa Hepatitis Follow-up Program (HBV-infected, n = 535; HCV-infected, n = 494) were enrolled. Clinical data between the first visit and the most recent visit by March 2019 were collected. In the HBV-infected group, 384 persons (71.8%) were asymptomatic carriers, 133 (24.9%) developed chronic hepatitis, 15 (2.8%) developed compensated liver cirrhosis, and 3 (0.6%) developed decompensated liver cirrhosis. Ninety (16.8%) were treated with nucleotide/nucleoside analogs. Sixteen (3.0%) developed liver cancer. In the HCV-infected group, 427 persons (86.4%) developed chronic hepatitis, 46 (9.3%) developed compensated liver cirrhosis, and 21 (4.3%) developed decompensated liver cirrhosis. Forty-eight (9.7%) developed liver cancer. Three hundred and seventy-eight (76.5%) received antiviral therapy (a direct-acting antiviral in 166, interferon-based treatment followed by a direct-acting antiviral in 73, and interferon-based treatment in 139). The subsidy system was used by 270 persons (71.4%). Sustained virological response was confirmed in 340 persons (68.8%). A higher FIB-4 index at the first visit was a significant risk factor for liver cancer in HBV-infected and HCV-infected persons. The Ishikawa Hepatitis Follow-up Program has revealed the clinical course of HBV and HCV infection in community-dwelling individuals. The results will be used for micro-elimination at a prefectural level.

Prevalence and associated factors of MAFLD in adults with type 2 diabetes

To estimate the prevalence and associated factors of hepatic steatosis and fibrosis in adults with type 2 diabetes (T2DM) in the United States.Data were retrieved from the 2017‒March 2020 prepandemic cycle of the National Health and Nutritional Examination and Survey (NHANES). The study population included patients with T2DM. The controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) were used to assess hepatic steatosis and fibrosis, respectively. A total of 1,290 T2DM patients were included, 85.2% (1044 patients) of whom presented with hepatic steatosis (CAP>248 dB/m). Among the 1044 T2DM patients with metabolically associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD), 29.5% developed hepatic fibrosis (LSM>8 kPa). Non-Hispanic black individuals (adjusted OR = 0.4008), BMI (adjusted OR = 1.1627), HbA1c (adjusted OR = 1.1450), TG (adjusted OR = 1.2347), HDL (adjusted OR = 0.4981), ALT (adjusted OR = 1.0227), AST (adjusted OR = 0.9396), and albumin (adjusted OR = 1.7030) were independently associated with steatosis. Age (adjusted OR = 1.0300), female sex (adjusted OR = 0.6655), BMI (adjusted OR = 1.1324), AST (adjusted OR = 1.0483), and GGT (adjusted OR = 1.0101) were independently associated with fibrosis. Heart failure was an independent factor associated with advanced fibrosis (adjusted OR = 1.9129) and cirrhosis (adjusted OR = 2.228). In the United States, hepatic steatosis is highly prevalent among T2DM patients, with 29.5% of these patients developing hepatic fibrosis. Some components of metabolic syndrome are related to hepatic steatosis and fibrosis. Moreover, heart failure is an independent factor associated with advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis.

Do Risk Factors for HCC Impact the Association of CT/MRI LIRADS Major Features With HCC? An Individual Participant Data Meta-Analysis

Background: Guidelines suggest the Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System (LI-RADS) may not be applicable for some populations at risk for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, data assessing the association of HCC risk factors with LI-RADS major features are lacking. Purpose: To evaluate whether the association between HCC risk factors and each CT/MRI LI-RADS major feature differs among individuals at-risk for HCC. Methods: Databases (MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, and Scopus) were searched from 2014 to 2022. Individual participant data (IPD) were extracted from studies evaluating HCC diagnosis using CT/MRI LI-RADS and reporting HCC risk factors. IPD from studies were pooled and modelled with one-stage meta-regressions. Interactions were assessed between major features and HCC risk factors, including age, sex, cirrhosis, chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV), and study location. A mixed effects model that included the major features, as well as separate models that included interactions between each risk factor and each major feature, were fit. Differences in interactions across levels of each risk factor were calculated using adjusted odds-ratios (ORs), 95% confidence-intervals (CI), and z-tests. Risk of bias was assessed using QUADAS-2. (Protocol: https://osf.io/tdv7j/). Results: Across 23 studies (2958 patients and 3553 observations), the associations between LI-RADS major features and HCC were consistent across several HCC risk factors (P-value range: .09-.99). A sensitivity analysis among the 4 studies with a low risk of bias did not differ from the primary analysis. Conclusion: The association between CT/MRI LI-RADS major features and HCC risk factors do not significantly differ in individuals at-risk for HCC. These findings suggest that CT/MR LI-RADS should be applied to all patients considered at risk by LI-RADS without modification or exclusions, regardless of the presence or absence of the risk factors evaluated in this study.

Anti-hepatitis B Virus Treatment with Tenofovir Amibufenamide Has No Impact on Blood Lipids: A Real-world, Prospective, 48-week Follow-up Study

Background and Aims

The effect of tenofovir amibufenamide (TMF) on blood lipid profiles in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) remains unclear. This study aimed to explore whether TMF affects blood lipids during 48 weeks in patients with CHB.

Methods

A total of 91 patients with CHB undergoing TMF treatment for 48 weeks were divided into two groups: Lipid Normal (n = 42) and Lipid Abnormal (n = 49), based on baseline blood lipid levels. Lipid indices, virological responses, and biochemical indicators were compared between the two groups. Clinical observations were further verified through in vitro experiments.

Results

After an average follow-up of 373 ± 121 days, lipid indices in all 91 patients had not significantly changed compared with baseline (total cholesterol: 4.67 vs. 4.69 mmol/L, P = 0.2499; triglycerides: 1.08 vs. 1.04 mmol/L, P = 0.4457; high-density lipoprotein cholesterol: 1.25 vs. 1.25 mmol/L, P = 0.3063; low-density lipoprotein cholesterol: 3.03 vs. 3.02 mmol/L, P = 0.5765). Subgroup comparisons showed lipid indices remained stable. Among treatment-naïve patients (n = 82), complete viral suppression rates were 23.2%, 59.8%, 70.7%, and 86.6% at four, 12, 24, and 48 weeks, respectively. Cellular experiments revealed that TMF did not promote lipid metabolism in primary hepatocytes and AML12 cells.

Conclusions

Regardless of baseline blood lipid characteristics, 48 weeks of antiviral treatment with TMF in patients with CHB had no significant lipid-raising effect.

Current and Emerging Issues in Adeno-Associated Virus Vector-Mediated Liver-Directed Gene Therapy

Adeno-associated virus (AAV) vectors have demonstrated safety and efficacy for gene transfer to hepatocytes in preclinical models, in various clinical trials and from a clinical experience with a growing number of approved gene therapy products. Although the exact duration is unknown, the expression of therapeutic genes in hepatocytes remains stable for several years after a single administration of the vector at clinically relevant doses in adult patients with hemophilia and other inherited metabolic disorders. However, clinical applications, especially for diseases requiring high AAV vector doses by intravenous administrations, have raised several concerns. These include the high prevalence of pre-existing immunity against the vector capsid, activation of the complement and the innate immunity with serious life-threatening complications, elevation of liver transaminases, liver growth associated with loss of transgene expression, underlying conditions negatively affecting AAV vector safety and efficacy. Despite these issues, the field is rapidly advancing with a better understanding of vector-host interactions and the development of new strategies to improve liver-directed gene therapy. This review provides an overview of the current and emerging challenges for AAV-mediated liver-directed gene therapy.

Cell-free DNA methylation-based inflammation score as a marker for hepatocellular carcinoma among people living with HIV

BACKGROUND

People living with the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) are at a greater risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), potentially due to the stimulation of inflammation by HIV infection. Inflammation-related DNA methylation signatures obtained in liquid biopsy, such as circulating cell-free DNA (cfDNA), may serve as promising minimally invasive biomarkers that can inform diagnosis of HCC.

METHODS

Using data from 249 individuals with HIV (114 individuals with normal liver conditions, 69 with fibrosis, 30 with cirrhosis, and 36 with HCC), we constructed a cfDNA methylation-based inflammation score (inflammation-DNAm score) based on 54 CpGs previously associated with circulating C-reactive protein concentrations. Associations of DNAm scores with HCC were assessed using multivariable logistic regression models. Receiver operating characteristic analysis was conducted to assess the performance of discriminating HCC between the inflammation-DNAm score and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), one of the current screening biomarkers.

RESULTS

A higher inflammation-DNAm score was associated with a 29% increase in the odds of HCC (OR = 1.29, 95% CI = 1.01-1.65). The association remained consistent in the models adjusted for cellular origin proportions. The DNAm score exhibited superior performance in discriminating HCC from controls (AUC = 0.94, 95% CI = 0.90-0.98), compared to AFP (AUC = 0.68, 95% CI = 0.51-0.85).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that cfDNA methylation-based biomarkers may aid in the detection of HCC in people living with HIV, a population at high-risk of developing HCC.

Diagnostic accuracy of Agile-4 score for liver cirrhosis in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease. A systematic review and meta-analysis of diagnostic test accuracy studies

AIMS

A novel noninvasive score, Agile-4 score, combining liver stiffness measurements, aspartate aminotransferase/alanine aminotransferase, platelet count, diabetes status and sex has been developed for the identification of cirrhosis in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). We assessed the performance of Agile-4 for ruling-in/out liver cirrhosis in MASLD patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We searched Medline, Cochrane library, Web of science, Scopus and Echosens website up to May 2024. Eligible studies assessed the accuracy of Agile-4 for ruling-in (≥0.565) and ruling-out (<0.251) liver cirrhosis, using biopsy as the reference standard, at predefined thresholds. We calculated pooled sensitivity and specificity estimates for both Agile-4 thresholds alongside 95% confidence intervals following bivariate random-effect models. We assessed the risk of bias using Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies-2 tool.

RESULTS

We included seven studies with 6037 participants. An Agile-4 score ≥0.565 yielded a pooled specificity of 0.93 (95% CI, 0.86-0.97). Similarly, an Agile-4 score <0.251 excluded cirrhosis with a summary sensitivity of 0.90 (0.80-0.95). Assuming a cirrhosis prevalence of 30%, the positive predictive value (PPV) for ruling-in cirrhosis was 80%, while the negative predictive value for ruling-out cirrhosis was 95%. Most studies were at high or unclear risk for bias due to concerns regarding patient selection and the blinding status of Agile-4 score interpretation in relation to biopsy results.

CONCLUSIONS

Agile-4 score performs well for ruling-in/out liver cirrhosis in MASLD patients. Owing to the relatively low PPV, sequential application of the Agile-4 after fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) testing might further enhance its performance.

Validation and expansion of Baveno VII criteria for cACLD and CSPH based on liver stiffness and platelet count: Correlation with risk of hepatic decompensation and death

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Recently proposed "Rule-of-Five" criteria define compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) and clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) using liver stiffness (LS) and platelet count. We aimed to validate these criteria by determining whether they are associated with risk of adverse outcomes.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

Patients without prior hepatic decompensation or HCC who underwent LS and platelet measurements (n = 17,076) were categorized as follows: no cACLD (LS: 2.5-9.9 kPa); probable cACLD (LS: 10-14.9 kPa); certain cACLD-no CSPH (LS: 15-19.9 kPa and platelets ≥110,000/µL or LS 20-24.9 kPa and platelets ≥150,000/µL); probable CSPH (LS 15-19.9 kPa and platelets <110,000/µL or LS 20-24.9 and platelets <150,000/µL); and certain CSPH (LS ≥25 kPa), which we further subdivided into 25-49.9 and 50-75 kPa.During a median follow-up of 2.82 years, each increase in the "Rule-of-Five" category was associated linearly with higher risks of death (HR: 1.22, 95% CI: 1.18-1.25) and decompensation (HR: 1.52, 95% CI: 1.46-1.58). Compared to patients with LS 25-49.9 kPa, those with LS 50-75 kPa ("critical" CSPH) had approximately double the risk of decompensation (11.24 vs. 4.20 per 100 patient-years) and death (9.85 vs. 6.98 per 100 patient-years).

CONCLUSIONS

The Baveno VII "Rule-of-Five" criteria provide a valid system for stratifying risks of death and hepatic decompensation and should be used routinely in patients with chronic liver disease. Among patients with CSPH (LS ≥25 kPa), the subgroup with LS 50-75 kPa ("critical" CSPH) has approximately double the risk of death and hepatic decompensation than LS 25-49.9 kPa.

Diagnostic accuracy of 2D-SWE ultrasound for liver fibrosis assessment in MASLD: A multilevel random effects model meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) imposes significant health care burdens. Early detection of advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis in MASLD is essential due to their unfavorable outcomes. This multilevel random-effects meta-analysis aimed to provide the best evidence for the diagnostic accuracy of 2-dimensional shear wave elastography in detecting liver fibrosis in biopsy-proven MASLD.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

This study involves systematic search in PubMed/MEDLINE, Embase, Scopus, Web of Science, LILACS, and Cochrane Library electronic databases for full-text articles published in any language up to February 26, 2024. Included studies reported liver stiffness measurement by 2-dimensional shear wave elastography and used histological diagnosis as the gold standard. A linear mixed-effects multiple thresholds model was employed, and summary estimates for sensitivity, specificity (Sp), and summary area under the receiver operator characteristic curve were computed. Twenty observational studies (SuperSonic Imagine, General Electric Healthcare, and Canon Medical Systems) fulfilled the inclusion criteria, comprising 2223 participants with biopsy-proven MASLD. The prevalence of mild fibrosis (F1), significant fibrosis (F2), advanced fibrosis (F3), and cirrhosis (F4) was 30.0%, 18.5%, 17.9%, and 10.9%, respectively. The summary area under the receiver operator characteristic curve [95% CI] in detecting ≥F1, ≥F2, ≥F3, and F4 for all ultrasound machines considered together were 0.82 [0.16-0.98], 0.82 [0.76-0.88], 0.86 [0.77-0.93], and 0.89 [0.80-0.95], respectively. The optimal cutoff values were 6.432 kPa for ≥F1, 8.174 kPa for ≥F2, 9.418 kPa for ≥F3, and 11.548 kPa for F4, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Our meta-analysis identified optimized cutoffs for fibrosis staging by 2-dimensional shear wave elastography in etiology-specific chronic liver diseases (MASLD), with excellent diagnostic performance, underscoring the potential for standardizing cutoff values.

Unexplained Chronically Elevated Aminotransferases: Liver Biopsy Gives Major Information with Therapeutic Implication in One Patient Out of Seven

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Liver biopsy contribution in patients with unexplained elevation of transaminases is not clearly established. The aim was to study liver biopsy contribution in patients with unexplained elevated transaminases strictly defined according to the current guidelines, reflecting the present clinical practice.

METHODS

In a retrospective study, we identified all the liver biopsies performed in patients with elevated transaminases for at least six months. Patients with a particular context, or with an identified cause of liver disease were excluded. The biopsies were classified according to the 4 following injury patterns: hepatitic, biliary, steatotic, vascular.

RESULTS

87 patients were included. Liver biopsy showed minimal changes or a normal histology in 48%, a steatotic pattern in 21%, a hepatitic pattern in 13%, a vascular pattern in 8%, a biliary pattern in 1%, and a mixed pattern in 8%. A cause could be determined in 21% of patients with normal histology, 85% with steatosis, 56% with hepatitis, 75% with biliary, but in none with isolated vascular pattern. Liver biopsy had important clinical and therapeutic implications in 15% of patients, with a diagnosis of autoimmune hepatitis, primary biliary cholangitis or metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis. Elevation of transaminases > 10 upper normal limit was present in all the patients with confirmed autoimmune hepatitis, but in only 7% of others.

CONCLUSION

Liver biopsy had important clinical and therapeutic implications in 15% of patients. However, the majority of patients had minimal changes without a cause, or minor vascular lesions of uncertain significance.

Diagnostic accuracy of Fatty Liver Index (FLI) for detecting Metabolic Associated Fatty Liver Disease (MAFLD) in adults attending a tertiary care hospital, a cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

Metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is a major public health problem worldwide. This study aimed to determine the prevalence of MAFLD and evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of the Fatty Liver Index (FLI) compared to ultrasonography for detecting fatty liver in adults attending a tertiary care hospital in Gujarat, India.

METHODS

This cross-sectional study included 500 adults visiting the outpatient department between January 2023 and December 2023. MAFLD was diagnosed on ultrasound. FLI was calculated using body mass index, waist circumference, triglycerides, and gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase levels. FLI ≥ 60 indicated fatty liver. Logistic regression analysis identified factors associated with fatty liver.

RESULTS

MAFLD prevalence was 32.2% on ultrasound. High FLI (≥ 60) was present in 26.2%. Male sex, higher BMI, waist circumference, night shift work, diabetes, and triglycerides were independent predictors of fatty liver. FLI showed excellent diagnostic accuracy with a sensitivity of 96%, specificity of 92.5%, and AUC of 0.92 for detecting fatty liver on ultrasound.

CONCLUSION

MAFLD prevalence among adults was high in this hospital-based sample. FLI can serve as an accurate non-invasive tool for identifying individuals with a high probability of MAFLD. These findings emphasize the need for larger population-based studies and the implementation of regular MAFLD screening programs in high-risk groups.