A genetic risk score and diabetes predict development of alcohol-related cirrhosis in drinkers

Polygenic Risk Score Modifies the Association of HbA1c With Hearing Loss in Middle-Aged and Older Chinese Individuals: The Dongfeng-Tongji Cohort

OBJECTIVE

Evidence regarding the modifying effect of the polygenic risk score (PRS) on the associations between glycemic traits and hearing loss (HL) was lacking. We aimed to examine whether these associations can be influenced by genetic susceptibility.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

This cross-sectional study included 13,275 participants aged 64.9 years from the Dongfeng-Tongji cohort. HL was defined according to a pure tone average >25 dB in the better ear and further classified by severity. Prediabetes and type 2 diabetes (T2D) were defined based on the 2013 criteria from the American Diabetes Association. A PRS was derived from 37 single nucleotide polymorphisms associated with HL. Multivariable logistic regression models were fitted to estimate the associations of PRS and glycemic traits with HL and its severity.

RESULTS

Elevated fasting plasma glucose (FPG), glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c), and T2D were positively associated with higher HL risks and its severity, with odds ratios (ORs) ranging from 1.04 (95% CI 1.00, 1.08) to 1.25 (95% CI 1.06, 1.46). We also found significant interaction between HbA1c and PRS on risks of overall HL and its severity (P for multiplicative interaction <0.05), and the effects of HbA1c on HL risks were significant only in the group with high PRS. Additionally, compared with normoglycemia in the group with low PRS, T2D was associated with an OR of up to 2.00 and 2.40 for overall HL and moderate to severe HL, respectively, in the group with high PRS (P for additive interaction <0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

PRS modifies the association of HbA1c with HL prevalence among middle-aged and older Chinese individuals.

A polygenic risk score for alcohol-associated cirrhosis among heavy drinkers with European ancestry

BACKGROUND

Polygenic Risk Scores (PRS) based on results from genome-wide association studies offer the prospect of risk stratification for many common and complex diseases. We developed a PRS for alcohol-associated cirrhosis by comparing single-nucleotide polymorphisms among patients with alcohol-associated cirrhosis (ALC) versus drinkers who did not have evidence of liver fibrosis/cirrhosis.

METHODS

Using a data-driven approach, a PRS for ALC was generated using a meta-genome-wide association study of ALC (N=4305) and an independent cohort of heavy drinkers with ALC and without significant liver disease (N=3037). It was validated in 2 additional independent cohorts from the UK Biobank with diagnosed ALC (N=467) and high-risk drinking controls (N=8981) and participants in the Indiana Biobank Liver cohort with alcohol-associated liver disease (N=121) and controls without liver disease (N=3239).

RESULTS

A 20-single-nucleotide polymorphisms PRS for ALC (PRSALC) was generated that stratified risk for ALC comparing the top and bottom deciles of PRS in the 2 validation cohorts (ORs: 2.83 [95% CI: 1.82 -4.39] in UK Biobank; 4.40 [1.56 -12.44] in Indiana Biobank Liver cohort). Furthermore, PRSALC improved the prediction of ALC risk when added to the models of clinically known predictors of ALC risk. It also stratified the risk for metabolic dysfunction -associated steatotic liver disease -cirrhosis (3.94 [2.23 -6.95]) in the Indiana Biobank Liver cohort -based exploratory analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

PRSALC incorporates 20 single-nucleotide polymorphisms, predicts increased risk for ALC, and improves risk stratification for ALC compared with the models that only include clinical risk factors. This new score has the potential for early detection of heavy drinking patients who are at high risk for ALC.

Exploring the impact of lipid droplets on the evolution and progress of hepatocarcinoma

Over the past 10 years, the biological role of lipid droplets (LDs) has gained significant attention in the context of both physiological and pathological conditions. Considerable progress has been made in elucidating key aspects of these organelles, yet much remains to be accomplished to fully comprehend the myriad functions they serve in the progression of hepatic tumors. Our current perception is that LDs are complex and active structures managed by a distinct set of cellular processes. This understanding represents a significant paradigm shift from earlier perspectives. In this review, we aim to recapitulate the function of LDs within the liver, highlighting their pivotal role in the pathogenesis of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) (Hsu and Loomba, 2024) and their contribution to the progression towards more advanced pathological stages up to hepatocellular carcinoma (HC) (Farese and Walther, 2009). We are aware of the molecular complexity and changes occurring in the neoplastic evolution of the liver. Our attempt, however, is to summarize the most important and recent roles of LDs across both healthy and all pathological liver states, up to hepatocarcinoma. For more detailed insights, we direct readers to some of the many excellent reviews already available in the literature (Gluchowski et al., 2017; Hu et al., 2020; Seebacher et al., 2020; Paul et al., 2022).

A polygenetic risk score combined with environmental factors better predict susceptibility to hepatocellular carcinoma in Chinese population

AIMS

This study aimed to investigate environmental factors and genetic variant loci associated with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in Chinese population and construct a weighted genetic risk score (wGRS) and polygenic risk score (PRS).

METHODS

A case-control study was applied to confirm the single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and environmental variables linked to HCC in the Chinese population, which had been screened by meta-analyses. wGRS and PRS were built in training sets and validation sets. Area under the curve (AUC), net reclassification improvement (NRI), integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), Akaike information criterion (AIC), and Bayesian information criterion (BIC) were applied to evaluate the performance of the models.

RESULTS

A total of 13 SNPs were included in both risk prediction models. Compared with wGRS, PRS had better accuracy and discrimination ability in predicting HCC risk. The AUC for PRS in combination with drinking history, cirrhosis, HBV infection, and family history of HCC in training sets and validation sets (AUC: 0.86, 95% CI: 0.84-0.89; AUC: 0.85, 95% CI: 0.81-0.89) increased at least 20% than the AUC for PRS alone (AUC: 0.63, 95% CI: 0.60-0.67; AUC: 0.65, 95% CI: 0.60-0.71).

CONCLUSIONS

A novel model combining PRS with alcohol history, HBV infection, cirrhosis, and family history of HCC could be applied as an effective tool for risk prediction of HCC, which could discriminate at-risk individuals for precise prevention.

Alcohol-associated liver disease-Global epidemiology

Alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD), as highlighted in this narrative review, is a major public health concern, increasingly impacting global disease burden and premature mortality. In 2019, ALD accounted for the loss of 11 million life-years worldwide. The rising number of deaths and disability-adjusted life-years attributed to ALD, particularly pronounced in the United States, are alarming. Projections suggest that the economic impact of ALD, as seen in the United States, could potentially double by 2040. ALD is increasingly prevalent among younger adults (20-45 y) and has become the leading cause of liver transplantation in both United States and Europe. During the COVID-19 pandemic, the existing trend was further amplified as high-risk drinking patterns coincided with a rise in hospital admissions for alcohol-associated hepatitis and increased ALD-related mortality. The prevalence of ALD is estimated at 3.5% in the general population, 26.0% among hazardous drinkers, and 55.1% among those with alcohol use disorders. Alarmingly, 5-year mortality rates for patients with ALD exceed 50%, with even higher rates in more advanced disease stages. Methodological challenges, such as underreporting, diagnostic difficulties, and variability in registry data quality, complicate the accurate assessment of the impact of ALD. Additionally, the contribution of alcohol to the progression of other liver diseases is often under acknowledged in health care registries, leading to a significant underestimation of its broader implications for liver health. Addressing the growing ALD concern requires robust public health initiatives, heightened awareness, refined diagnostic techniques, and comprehensive epidemiological studies. These measures are vital to tackle the increasing prevalence of ALD and mitigate its extensive impact on individuals and health care systems.

Racial and ethnic disparities in alcohol-associated liver disease in the United States: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD), encompassing alcohol-associated hepatitis and alcohol-associated cirrhosis, is rising in the United States. Racial and ethnic disparities are evident within ALD; however, the precise nature of these disparities is poorly defined.

METHODS

We conducted a search of the PubMed/MEDLINE and EMBASE databases to identify studies published from inception through September 2023 that reported ALD incidence, prevalence, and mortality within the United States, stratified by race and ethnicity. We calculated pooled prevalence and incidence by race and ethnicity, including risk ratios and ORs for ALD pooled prevalence and alcohol-associated hepatitis/alcohol-associated cirrhosis pooled proportions, and OR for ALD mortality using the DerSimonian and Laird method for random-effect models.

RESULTS

We identified 25 relevant studies (16 for quantitative meta-analysis), comprising 76,867,544 patients. ALD prevalence was highest in Hispanic (4.5%), followed by White (3.1%) and Black (1.4%) individuals. Pooled risk ratios of ALD prevalence were 1.64 (95% CI: 1.12-2.39) for Hispanic and 0.59 (95% CI: 0.35-0.87) for Black compared to White individuals. Mortality among those with ALD did not significantly differ between White and Hispanic (OR: 1.54, 95% CI: 0.9-2.5; I2=0%), Black (OR: 1.2, 95% CI: 0.8-1.6; I2=0%), or Native American (OR: 2.41, 95% CI: 0.9-2.9) individuals, while there was a significant difference between White and Asian (OR: 0.1; 95% CI: 0.03-0.5) individuals. Most data were cross-sectional and assessed to be of poor or fair quality.

CONCLUSIONS

Differences were observed in ALD epidemiology, including higher prevalence among Hispanic and lower prevalence among Black individuals, although there were smaller differences in ALD mortality. Differences in ALD prevalence and prognosis remain poorly defined based on existing data, highlighting a need for higher-quality epidemiological studies in this area.

ACG Clinical Guideline: Alcohol-Associated Liver Disease

ABSTRACT

Alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) is the most common cause of advanced hepatic disease and frequent indication for liver transplantation worldwide. With harmful alcohol use as the primary risk factor, increasing alcohol use over the past decade has resulted in rapid growth of the ALD-related healthcare burden. The spectrum of ALD ranges from early asymptomatic liver injury to advanced disease with decompensation and portal hypertension. Compared with those with other etiologies of liver disease, patients with ALD progress faster and more often present at an advanced stage. A unique phenotype of advanced disease is alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH) presenting with rapid onset or worsening of jaundice, and acute on chronic liver failure in severe forms conveying a 1-month mortality risk of 20%-50%. The model for end stage disease score is the most accurate score to stratify AH severity (>20 defined as severe disease). Corticosteroids are currently the only available therapeutic with proven efficacy for patients with severe AH, providing survival benefit at 1 month in 50%-60% of patients. Abstinence of alcohol use, a crucial determinant of long-term outcomes, is challenging to achieve in ALD patients with concurrent alcohol use disorder (AUD). As patients with ALD are rarely treated for AUD, strategies are needed to overcome barriers to AUD treatment in patients with ALD and to promote a multidisciplinary integrated care model with hepatology, addiction medicine providers, and social workers to comprehensively manage the dual pathologies of liver disease and of AUD. Liver transplantation, a definitive treatment option in patients with advanced cirrhosis, should be considered in selected patients with AH, who are unresponsive to medical therapy and have a low risk of relapse to posttransplant alcohol use. Level of evidence and strength of recommendations were evaluated using the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluations system. This guideline was developed under the American College of Gastroenterology Practice Parameters Committee.

FK-binding protein 5: Possible relevance to the pathogenesis of metabolic dysfunction and alcohol-associated liver disease

The FK506-binding protein (FKBP5) plays significant roles in mediating stress responses by interacting with glucocorticoids, participating in adipogenesis, and influencing various cellular pathways throughout the body. In this review, we described the potential role of FKBP5 in the pathogenesis of two common chronic liver diseases, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), and alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD). We provided an overview of the FK-binding protein family and elucidated their roles in cellular stress responses, metabolic diseases, and adipogenesis. We explored how FKBP5 may mechanistically influence the pathogenesis of MASLD and ALD and provided insights for further investigation into the role of FKBP5 in these two diseases.

Risk of alcohol-associated liver disease in the offspring of parents with alcohol-associated liver disease: A nationwide cohort study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Offspring of patients with alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) may have a higher risk of ALD. We examined their risk of ALD and survival with ALD.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

We used Danish nationwide registries to identify the offspring of patients diagnosed with ALD in 1996-2018 and 20:1 matched comparators from the general population. They were followed for ALD diagnosis through 2018. We used landmark competing risk analysis to estimate the age-specific absolute and relative 10-year risks of ALD. ALD was diagnosed in 385 of 60,707 offspring and 2842 of 1,213,357 comparators during 0.7 and 14.0 million person-years of follow-up, respectively, yielding an incidence rate ratio of 2.73 (95% CI: 2.44-3.03). The risk of being diagnosed with ALD within the next 10 years peaked at age 55 years for offspring and age 57 years for comparators with 10-year risks of 1.66% (95% CI: 1.16-2.30) in offspring and 0.81% (95% CI: 0.68-0.97) in comparators at these ages. Offspring were younger at ALD diagnosis than comparators (median age of 47.4 vs. 48.9 years), yet slightly more of them had developed cirrhosis (60.3% vs. 58.7%). Survival after ALD diagnosis was similar in offspring and comparators, adjusted hazard ratio=1.03 (95% CI: 0.88-1.21), so on average offspring died younger due to their younger age at diagnosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Offspring of patients with ALD had a low but increased risk of ALD. Screening offspring for chronic liver disease may be unnecessary, but other interventions to mitigate alcohol-associated harm should be considered.

Binge-pattern alcohol consumption and genetic risk as determinants of alcohol-related liver disease

Alcohol-related liver disease (ARLD) represents a major public health burden. Identification of high-risk individuals would allow efficient targeting of public health interventions. Here, we show significant interactions between pattern of drinking, genetic predisposition (polygenic risk score, PRS) and diabetes mellitus, and risk of incident ARLD, in 312,599 actively drinking adults in UK Biobank. Binge and heavy binge drinking significantly increase the risk of alcohol-related cirrhosis (ARC), with higher genetic predisposition further amplifying the risk. Further, we demonstrate a pronounced interaction between heavy binge drinking and high PRS, resulting in a relative excess risk due to interaction (RERI) of 6.07. Diabetes consistently elevates ARC risk across all drinking and PRS categories, and showed significant interaction with both binge patterns and genetic risk. Overall, we demonstrate synergistic effects of binge drinking, genetics, and diabetes on ARC, with potential to identify high-risk individuals for targeted interventions.

Ceramide synthase 6 (CerS6) is upregulated in alcohol-associated liver disease and exhibits sex-based differences in the regulation of energy homeostasis and lipid droplet accumulation

OBJECTIVE

Alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) is the leading cause of liver-related mortality worldwide. Current strategies to manage ALD focus largely on advanced stage disease, however, metabolic changes such as glucose intolerance are apparent at the earliest stage of alcoholic steatosis and increase the risk of disease progression. Ceramides impair insulin signaling and accumulate in ALD, and metabolic pathways involving ceramide synthase 6 (CerS6) are perturbed in ALD during hepatic steatosis. In this study, we aimed to investigate the role of CerS6 in ALD development and the relevance of CerS6 to human ALD.

METHODS

C57BL/6 WT and CerS6 KO mice of both sexes were fed either a Lieber-DeCarli control (CON) or 15% ethanol (EtOH) diet for six weeks. In vivo metabolic tests including glucose and insulin tolerance tests (GTT and ITT) and energy expenditure were performed. The mice were euthanized, and serum and liver lipids and liver histology were examined. For in vitro studies, CerS6 was deleted in human hepatocytes, VL17A and cells were incubated with EtOH and/or C16:0-ceramides. RNAseq analysis was performed in livers from mice and human patients with different stages of ALD and diseased controls.

RESULTS

After six weeks on an EtOH diet, CerS6 KO mice had reduced body weight, food intake, and %fat mass compared to WT mice. Energy expenditure increased in both male and female KO mice, however, was only statistically significant in male mice. In response to EtOH, WT mice developed mild hepatic steatosis, while steatosis was ameliorated in KO mice as determined by H&E and ORO staining. KO mice showed significantly decreased long-chain ceramide species, especially C16:0-ceramides, in the serum and liver tissues compared to WT mice. CerS6 deletion decreased serum TG and NEFA only in male not female mice. CerS6 deletion improved glucose tolerance and insulin resistance in EtOH-fed mice of both sexes. RNAseq analysis revealed that 74 genes are significantly upregulated and 66 genes are downregulated by CerS6 deletion in EtOH-fed male mice, with key network pathways including TG biosynthetic process, positive regulation of lipid localization, and fat cell differentiation. Similar to RNAseq results, absence of CerS6 significantly decreased mRNA expression of lipid droplet associated proteins in EtOH-fed mice. In vitro, EtOH stimulation significantly increased PLIN2 protein expression in VL17A cells while CerS6 deletion inhibited EtOH-mediated PLIN2 upregulation. C16:0-ceramide treatment significantly increased PLIN2 protein expression compared to CON. Notably, progression of ALD in humans was associated with increased hepatic CerS6 expression.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings demonstrate that CerS6 deletion improves glucose homeostasis in alcohol-fed mice and exhibits sex-based differences in the attenuation of EtOH-induced weight gain and hepatic steatosis. Additionally, we unveil that CerS6 plays a major role as a regulator of lipid droplet biogenesis in alcohol-induced intra-hepatic lipid droplet formation, identifying it as a putative target for early ALD management.

Alcohol-Associated Liver Disease: Evolving Concepts and Treatments

Alcohol is a prominent cause of liver disease worldwide with higher prevalence in developed nations. The spectrum of alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) encompasses a diverse range of clinical entities, from asymptomatic isolated steatosis to decompensated cirrhosis, and in some cases, acute or chronic liver failure. Consequently, it is important for healthcare practitioners to maintain awareness and systematically screen for ALD. The optimal evaluation and management of ALD necessitates a collaborative approach, incorporating a multidisciplinary team and accounting for concurrent medical conditions. A repertoire of therapeutic interventions exists to support patients in achieving alcohol cessation and sustaining remission, with complete abstinence being the ultimate objective. This review explores the existing therapeutic options for ALD acknowledging geographical discrepancies in accessibility. Recent innovations, including the inclusion of alcohol consumption biomarkers into clinical protocols and the expansion of liver transplantation eligibility to encompass severe alcohol-associated hepatitis, are explored.

Molecular genetics of neuropsychiatric illness: some musings

Research into the genetic underpinnings of neuropsychiatric illness has occurred at many levels. As more information accumulates, it appears that many approaches may each offer their unique perspective. The search for low penetrance and common variants, that may mediate risk, has necessitated the formation of many international consortia, to pool resources, and achieve the large sample sizes needed to discover these variants. There has been the parallel development of statistical methods to analyse large datasets and present summary statistics which allows data comparison across studies. Even so, the results of studies on well-characterised clinical datasets of modest sizes can be enlightening and provide important clues to understanding these complex disorders. We describe the use of common variants, at multiallelic loci like TOMM40 and APOE to study dementia, weighted genetic risk scores for alcohol-induced liver cirrhosis and whole exome sequencing to identify rare variants in genes like PLA2G6 in familial psychoses and schizophrenia in our Indian population.

Diabetes and the risk of cirrhosis and HCC: An analysis of the UK Biobank

BACKGROUND

Diabetes increases the risk of cirrhosis and HCC. We aimed to assess such associations given different diabetes statuses.

METHODS

We included 449,497 participants in the UK Biobank cohort (mean age 56.7±8.0 y; 45.5% male) and assessed the association between preclinical diabetes (prediabetes, having a high risk of diabetes), clinical diabetes (presence, duration, or glycemic control of type 2 diabetes), and incident liver cirrhosis and HCC by the Cox regression. Liver diseases were ascertained through inpatient records and national death registration. Gene-environment interaction was examined using the polygenic risk scores of cirrhosis and HCC.

RESULTS

Compared with normoglycemia, having <5 years,≥5 years of diabetes showed adjusted HRs (aHRs) of cirrhosis as 2.85 (2.45-3.32) and 3.43 (2.92-4.02), respectively, which was similarly observed in HCC. In diabetes, a level of hemoglobin A1c ≥ 7.5% showed aHRs of 1.37 (1.07-1.76) and 1.89 (1.10-3.25) for cirrhosis and HCC, respectively, compared with hemoglobin A1c < 6.5%. In non-diabetes, prediabetes presented aHRs of 1.41 (1.14-1.73) and 1.80 (1.06-3.04) of cirrhosis and HCC, respectively. Participants with a high risk of diabetes at baseline showed an aHR of 3.31 (2.65-4.13) for cirrhosis and 2.09 (1.15-3.80) for HCC. In those with a high genetic risk of HCC, having an increased risk of diabetes posed a significantly higher risk of HCC (aHR: 1.93, 1.45-2.58, Pinteraction=0.005), compared with those without a high genetic risk of HCC.

CONCLUSIONS

Not only diabetes but preclinical diabetes, longer diabetes duration, and higher baseline hemoglobin A1c were associated with an increased risk of incident cirrhosis and HCC in the general population.

Genomic approaches to explore susceptibility and pathogenesis of alcohol use disorder and alcohol-associated liver disease

Excessive alcohol use is a major risk factor for the development of an alcohol use disorder (AUD) and contributes to a wide variety of other medical illnesses, including alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD). Both AUD and ALD are complex and causally interrelated diseases, and multiple factors other than alcohol consumption are implicated in the disease pathogenesis. While the underlying pathophysiology of AUD and ALD is complex, there is substantial evidence for a genetic susceptibility of both diseases. Current genome-wide association studies indicate that the genes associated with clinical AUD only poorly overlap with the genes identified for heavy drinking and, in turn, neither overlap with the genes identified for ALD. Uncovering the main genetic factors will enable us to identify molecular drivers underlying the pathogenesis, discover potential targets for therapy, and implement patient care early in disease progression. In this review, we described multiple genomic approaches and their implications to investigate the susceptibility and pathogenesis of both AUD and ALD. We concluded our review with a discussion of the knowledge gaps and future research on genomic studies in these 2 diseases.

Alcohol-Related Liver Disease: Is There a Safe Alcohol Consumption Limit for Liver Disease?

This review is to evaluate how much alcohol is safe in the context of alcohol-related liver disease (ALD). In patients without an established diagnosis of ALD consuming alcohol at quantities below 12 to 20 g daily with alcohol-free days is associated with a very low risk of developing disease. This risk is mediated by the presence of cofactors such as sex, medical comorbidity, obesity, and genetic factors. A threshold effect below which liver disease will not occur is not seen, instead a dose-response relationship where risk ranges from low to high. Once ALD is present, natural history studies confirm that continued alcohol consumption is clearly associated with an increased risk of ill health and premature death. In conclusion, low-level alcohol consumption in the absence of liver disease is associated with a very small risk of developing ALD, but once ALD is present patients should be supported to achieve complete abstinence from alcohol.

The impact of transmembrane 6 superfamily 2 (TM6SF2) rs58542926 on liver-related events in patients with advanced chronic liver disease

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Genetic factors such as the transmembrane 6 superfamily 2 (TM6SF2) rs58542926 single nucleotide variant(SNV) modulate the susceptibility for (advanced) chronic liver disease ([A]CLD). However, the impact of this variant in patients who have already progressed to ACLD is unknown.

METHODS

The association between TM6SF2-rs58542926 genotype and liver-related events was evaluated in 938 ACLD patients undergoing hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurement.

RESULTS

Mean HVPG was 15±7 mmHg and mean UNOS MELD (2016) 11±5 points. Viral hepatitis (n = 495, 53%) was the most common cause of ACLD, followed by alcohol-related (ARLD; n = 342, 37%) and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD; n = 101, 11%). While 754 (80%) patients harboured the TM6SF2 wild-type (C/C), 174 (19%) and 10 (1%) patients had one or two T-alleles. At baseline, patients with at least one TM6SF2 T-allele had more pronounced portal hypertension (HVPG: 16±7 vs. 15±7 mmHg; p = 0.031), higher gamma-glutamyl transferase levels (123 [63-229] vs. 97 [55-174] UxL-1; p = 0.002), and more commonly hepatocellular carcinoma (17% vs. 12%; p = 0.049). Harbouring the TM6SF2 T-allele was associated with the composite endpoint hepatic decompensation/liver transplantation/liver-related death (SHR: 1.44 [95%CI: 1.14-1.83]; p = 0.003). This was confirmed in multivariable competing risk regression analyses that were adjusted for severity of portal hypertension and hepatic dysfunction at baseline.

CONCLUSION

The TM6SF2 variant modulates liver disease progression beyond the development of ACLD, as it modifies the risks of hepatic decompensation and liver-related death, independently of baseline liver disease severity.

New Diagnostic and Prognostic Models for the Development of Alcoholic Cirrhosis Based on Genetic Predisposition and Alcohol History

Liver cirrhosis development is a multifactorial process resulting from a combination of environmental and genetic factors. The aim of the study was to develop accurate non-invasive diagnostic and prognostic models for alcoholic cirrhosis. Consecutive subjects with at-risk alcohol intake were retrospectively enrolled (110 cirrhotic patients and 411 non-cirrhotics). At enrollment, the data about lifetime drinking history were collected and all patients were tested for Patatin-like phospholipase domain-containing protein 3 (PNPLA3) rs738409, Transmembrane 6 Superfamily 2 (TM6SF2) rs58542926, and hydroxysteroid 17-beta dehydrogenase 13 (HSD17B13) rs72613567 variants. In cross-sectional analyses, models for the diagnosis of cirrhosis were developed using multivariate logistic regression. A predictive score for cirrhosis development over 24 years was built by evaluating time-dependent AUC curves. The best diagnostic accuracy was demonstrated by the model, which also includes daily alcohol consumption, duration of hazardous alcohol use, and genetic variants, with AUCs of 0.951 (95% CI 0.925-0.977) and 0.887 (95% CI 0.925-0.977) for cirrhosis and compensated cirrhosis, respectively. The predictive model for future cirrhosis development (AUC of 0.836 95% CI: 0.769-0.904) accounted for age at onset of at-risk alcohol consumption and the number of PNPLA3 and HSD17B13 variant alleles. We have developed accurate genetic and alcohol consumption models for the diagnosis of alcoholic cirrhosis and the prediction of its future risk.

Noninvasive Assessment of Liver Fibrosis in NAFLD

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has emerged as a leading cause of liver-related morbidity and mortality worldwide, afflicting approximately a billion individuals. NAFLD is a slowly progressive disease that may evolve in a subset of patients toward cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, and end-stage liver disease. Liver fibrosis severity is the strongest predictor of clinical outcomes. The emergence of effective therapeutics on the horizon highlights the need to identify among patients with NAFLD, those with severe fibrosis or cirrhosis, who are the most at risk of developing complications and target them for therapy. Liver biopsy has been the reference standard for this purpose. However, it is not suitable for large-scale population evaluation, given its well-known limitations (invasiveness, rare but severe complications, and sampling variability). Thus, there have been major efforts to develop simple noninvasive tools that can be used in routine clinical settings and in drug development. Noninvasive approaches are based on the quantification of biomarkers in serum samples or on the measurement of liver stiffness, using either ultrasound- or magnetic resonance-based elastography techniques. This review provides a roadmap for future development and integration of noninvasive tools in clinical practice and in drug development in NAFLD. We discuss herein the principles for their development and validation, their use in clinical practice, including for diagnosis of NAFLD, risk stratification in primary care and hepatology settings, prediction of long-term liver-related and non-liver-related outcomes, monitoring of fibrosis progression and regression, and response to future treatment.

Validation of scores of PRO-C3 to predict liver-related events in alcohol-related liver disease

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Risk prediction in alcohol-related liver disease (ArLD) is an unmet need. We aimed to assess PRO-C3 models to predict liver-related events (LRE) in patients with a history of excessive alcohol use without an established diagnosis of chronic liver disease.

METHODS

A prospective cohort study of 462 patients with ArLD, split into a derivation cohort of 221 secondary care patients and a validation cohort of 241 primary care patients. Baseline variables, including fibrogenesis marker PRO-C3, were used to develop a prediction model. Prognostic accuracy was compared to enhanced liver fibrosis (ELF), fibrosis-4-index (FIB-4), transient elastography (TE) and ADAPT.

RESULTS

In the derivation and validation cohorts, 67 (30%) and 19 (8%) experienced an LRE during a median follow-up of 5.2 years (IQR: 3.2-6.8) and 4.0 years (IQR: 2.7-5.6). On top of PRO-C3 and ADAPT score, we generated a model (ALPACA) of independent predictors of LREs (PRO-C3, AST/ALT, platelets). ALPACA had high prognostic accuracy with a C-statistic of 0.85 in the derivation cohort, comparable to ELF (0.83) and TE (0.84) and significantly higher than FIB-4 (0.78), PRO-C3 (0.80) and ADAPT (0.81). In the validation cohort, all tests had comparable C-statistics. Compared to low-risk patients (ALPACA ≤11), high-risk patients (>11) had a subhazard ratio for LREs of 12.6 (95% CI 5.9-26.8, p < .001) and higher cumulative incidence (57% vs. 7%, p < .001; derivation cohort). We observed similar subhazard ratio in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

PRO-C3-based scores are reliable tools to predict LREs in ArLD patients and are suitable for risk stratification in primary and secondary care.

Diagnosis and Management of Cirrhosis and Its Complications: A Review

Importance

Cirrhosis affects approximately 2.2 million adults in the US. From 2010 to 2021, the annual age-adjusted mortality of cirrhosis increased from 14.9 per 100 000 to 21.9 per 100 000 people.

Observations

The most common causes of cirrhosis in the US, which can overlap, include alcohol use disorder (approximately 45% of all cases of cirrhosis), nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (26%), and hepatitis C (41%). Patients with cirrhosis experience symptoms including muscle cramps (approximately 64% prevalence), pruritus (39%), poor-quality sleep (63%), and sexual dysfunction (53%). Cirrhosis can be diagnosed by liver biopsy but may also be diagnosed noninvasively. Elastography, a noninvasive assessment of liver stiffness measured in kilopascals, can typically confirm cirrhosis at levels of 15 kPa or greater. Approximately 40% of people with cirrhosis are diagnosed when they present with complications such as hepatic encephalopathy or ascites. The median survival time following onset of hepatic encephalopathy and ascites is 0.92 and 1.1 years, respectively. Among people with ascites, the annual incidence of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis is 11% and of hepatorenal syndrome is 8%; the latter is associated with a median survival of less than 2 weeks. Approximately 1% to 4% of patients with cirrhosis develop hepatocellular carcinoma each year, which is associated with a 5-year survival of approximately 20%. In a 3-year randomized clinical trial of 201 patients with portal hypertension, nonselective β-blockers (carvedilol or propranolol) reduced the risk of decompensation or death compared with placebo (16% vs 27%). Compared with sequential initiation, combination aldosterone antagonist and loop diuretics were more likely to resolve ascites (76% vs 56%) with lower rates of hyperkalemia (4% vs 18%). In meta-analyses of randomized trials, lactulose was associated with reduced mortality relative to placebo (8.5% vs 14%) in randomized trials involving 705 patients and reduced risk of recurrent overt hepatic encephalopathy (25.5% vs 46.8%) in randomized trials involving 1415 patients. In a randomized clinical trial of 300 patients, terlipressin improved the rate of reversal of hepatorenal syndrome from 39% to 18%. Trials addressing symptoms of cirrhosis have demonstrated efficacy for hydroxyzine in improving sleep dysfunction, pickle brine and taurine for reducing muscle cramps, and tadalafil for improving sexual dysfunction in men.

Conclusions and Relevance

Approximately 2.2 million US adults have cirrhosis. Many symptoms, such as muscle cramps, poor-quality sleep, pruritus, and sexual dysfunction, are common and treatable. First-line therapies include carvedilol or propranolol to prevent variceal bleeding, lactulose for hepatic encephalopathy, combination aldosterone antagonists and loop diuretics for ascites, and terlipressin for hepatorenal syndrome.

Subclinical versus advanced forms of alcohol-related liver disease: Need for early detection

Alcohol-related liver disease (ALD) consists of a wide spectrum of clinical manifestations and pathological features, ranging from asymptomatic patients to decompensated cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. Patients with heavy alcohol intake and advanced fibrosis often develop a subacute form of liver failure called alcohol-induced hepatitis (AH). Globally, most patients with ALD are identified at late stages of the disease, limiting therapeutic interventions. Thus, there is a need for early detection of ALD patients, which is lacking in most countries. The identification of alcohol misuse is hampered by the existence of alcohol underreporting by many patients. There are useful biomarkers that can detect recent alcohol use. Moreover, there are several non-invasive techniques to assess the presence of advanced fibrosis among patients with alcohol misuse, which could identify patients at high risk of liver related events or early death. In this review, we discuss differences between early stages of ALD and AH as the cornerstone of advanced forms. A global overview of epidemiological, anthropometric, clinical, analytical, histological, and molecular differences is summarized in this article. We propose that campaigns aimed at identifying patients with subclinical forms can prevent the development of life-threatening forms.

Genetic Variation of SAMM50 Is Not an Independent Risk Factor for Alcoholic Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Caucasian Patients

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a severe complication of advanced alcoholic liver disease, which is modulated by genetic predisposition. Identifying new genetic loci might improve screening. Genetic variation of SAMM50 was linked to HCC. We aimed to validate this finding in a large cohort of patients with advanced alcoholic liver disease (ALD). A large, well-characterised cohort of patients with alcoholic cirrhosis without (n = 674) and with (n = 386) HCC, as well as controls with HCC due to viral hepatitis (n = 134), controls with heavy alcohol abuse without liver disease (n = 266) and healthy subjects (n = 237), were genotyped for SAMM50 rs3827385 and rs3761472 and for PNPLA3 rs738409. Genotype frequencies were compared between patients with alcohol-associated cirrhosis with and without HCC by uni- and multivariate analysis. Minor variants in both SAMM50 rs3827385 and rs3761472 were significantly more frequent in patients with alcoholic HCC versus alcoholic cirrhosis and versus the control cohorts. An even stronger association was noted for PNPLA3 rs738409. The univariate analysis resulted in an odds ratio (OR) of 1.8 for carriers of at least one minor variant of SAMM50 rs3827385 and rs3761472 (each p < 0.001), but this association was lost in multivariate analysis with age (OR 1.1/year), male sex (OR 3.2), diabetes (OR 1.9) and carriage of PNPLA3 148M (OR 2.1) remaining in the final model. Although minor variants of both SAMM50 loci are strongly associated with alcoholic HCC, this association is not independent of carriage of the well-known risk variant PNPLA3 148M.

Diabetes mellitus - risk factor and potential future target for hepatic encephalopathy in patients with liver cirrhosis?

Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) is one of the major complications of cirrhosis, and its presence is associated with poor survival. Several risk factors for HE are well established, including age, history of HE, portosystemic shunts, or poorer liver function. In recent years, diabetes mellitus (DM) has emerged as another potential risk factor for the development of HE. This may be important for many patients, as the incidence of type 2 DM (T2DM) is increasing worldwide and, consequently, the incidence of NAFLD-related cirrhosis is rising simultaneously. In addition, DM is a critical factor in the progression of other liver diseases, such as alcohol-related liver disease. Thus, the number of patients with cirrhosis and comorbid T2DM will also increase. To date, the prevalence of DM already ranges between 22 - 40% in patients with cirrhosis. DM-associated factors that may influence the risk of HE include systemic inflammation, insulin resistance with increased muscle protein breakdown as well as autonomic dysfunction with prolonged intestinal transit time and small intestinal bacterial overgrowth. Currently, the evidence for an association between DM and both minimal and overt HE is weak and it seems likely that only poor glycemic control has an impact on HE risk. In addition, there are some early signs indicating that DM may impair the response of patients with HE to pharmacological therapies such as rifaximin. Thus, improvements in the management of glycemic control may be a candidate future target to reduce the risk of HE. In this concise review, we summarize the current evidence on the association between DM and HE and its potential future implications.

METTL1 gene polymorphisms synergistically confer hepatoblastoma susceptibility

INTRODUCTION

Hepatoblastoma is a rare but devastating pediatric liver malignancy. Overexpressed methyltransferase-like 1 (METTL1) is a methyltransferase that catalyzes essential N7-methylguanosine (m7G) modification of eukaryotic mRNA. Accumulating evidence has revealed the oncogenic potential of METTL1. However, whether METTL1 gene polymorphisms confer susceptibility to hepatoblastoma has not been reported. This study aimed to identify causal relationships between genetic variants of this gene and susceptibility to hepatoblastoma.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Using the TaqMan assay, we genotyped three METTL1 polymorphisms (rs2291617 G > T, rs10877013 T > C, rs10877012 T > G) in germline DNA samples from 1759 Chinese children of Han ethnicity (313 cases vs. 1446 controls).

RESULTS

None of these polymorphisms were associated with hepatoblastoma risk. However, combination analysis showed that children with 1 to 3 risk genotypes were associated with increased hepatoblastoma risk (adjusted odds ratio = 1.47, 95% confidence interval  1.07-2.02; P = 0.018). Stratified analyses revealed significant effects of combined polymorphisms mainly among young children (< 17 months of age), boys, and those with advanced hepatoblastoma.

CONCLUSION

We identified some potential functional METTL1 gene polymorphisms that work together to increase the risk of hepatoblastoma among Chinese Han children; single polymorphism showed only weak effects. These METTL1 polymorphisms may be promising biomarkers for screening high-risk individuals for hepatoblastoma. These findings are inspiring and deserve to be validated among individuals of different ethnicities.

Performance of routine risk scores for predicting cirrhosis-related morbidity in the community

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Models predicting an individual's 10-year risk of cirrhosis complications have not been developed for a community setting. Our objectives were to assess the performance of existing risk scores - both with and without genetic data - for predicting cirrhosis complications in the community.

METHODS

We used a 2-stage study design. In stage 1, a systematic review was conducted to identify risk scores derived from routine liver blood tests that have demonstrated prior ability to predict cirrhosis-related complication events. Risk scores identified from stage 1 were tested in a UK Biobank subgroup, comprising participants with a risk factor for chronic liver disease (stage 2). Cirrhosis complications were defined as hospitalisation for liver cirrhosis or presentation with hepatocellular carcinoma. Discrimination of risk scores with and without genetic data was assessed using the Wolbers C-index, Harrell's adequacy index, and cumulative incidence curves.

RESULTS

Twenty risk scores were identified from the stage-1 systematic review. For stage-2, 197,509 UK biobank participants were selected. The cumulative incidence of cirrhosis complications at 10 years was 0.58%; 95% CI 0.54-0.61 (1,110 events). The top performing risk scores were aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI: C-index 0.804; 95% CI 0.788-0.820) and fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4: C-index 0.780; 95% CI 0.764-0.795). The 10-year cumulative incidences of cirrhosis complications for participants with an APRI score exceeding the 90^th, 95^th and 99^th percentile were 3.30%, 5.42% and 14.83%, respectively. Inclusion of established genetic risk loci associated with cirrhosis added <5% of new prognostic information to the APRI score and improved the C-index only minimally (i.e. from 0.804 to 0.809).

CONCLUSIONS

Accessible risk scores derived from routine blood tests (particularly APRI and FIB-4) can be repurposed to estimate 10-year risk of cirrhosis morbidity in the community. Genetic data improves performance only minimally.

LAY SUMMARY

New approaches are needed in community settings to reduce the late diagnosis of chronic liver disease. Thus, in a community cohort, we assessed the ability of 20 routine risk scores to predict 10-year risk of cirrhosis-related complications. We show that 2 routine risk scores in particular - "APRI" and "FIB-4" - could be repurposed to estimate an individual's 10-year risk of cirrhosis-related morbidity. Adding genetic risk factor information to these scores only modestly improved performance.

Impact of non-invasive biomarkers on hepatology practice: Past, present and future

Over the last two decades, there have been tremendous advances in the non-invasive diagnosis and risk stratification of chronic liver diseases (CLDs). Non-invasive approaches are based on the quantification of biomarkers in serum samples or on the measurement of liver stiffness, using either ultrasound- or magnetic resonance-based elastography techniques. The fibrosis-4 index (non-patented) and enhanced liver fibrosis test (patented) are the most widely adopted serum markers, whereas vibration-controlled transient elastography is the most widely adopted elastography technique. In this review, we discuss the role of non-invasive tests in the current era, as well as their accuracy and how their use in clinical practice has changed the practice of hepatology, including identification of early cirrhosis in patients with risk factors for CLD, diagnosis of portal hypertension, establishing prognosis in compensated cirrhosis, guiding antiviral treatment, and screening for fibrosis and cirrhosis in primary care.

HSD17B13: A Potential Therapeutic Target for NAFLD

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), especially in its inflammatory form (steatohepatitis, NASH), is closely related to the pathogenesis of chronic liver disease. Despite substantial advances in the management of NAFLD/NASH in recent years, there are currently no efficacious therapies for its treatment. The biogenesis and expansion of lipid droplets (LDs) are critical pathophysiological processes in the development of NAFLD/NASH. In the past decade, increasing evidence has demonstrated that lipid droplet-associated proteins may represent potential therapeutic targets for the treatment of NAFLD/NASH given the critical role they play in regulating the biogenesis and metabolism of lipid droplets. Recently, HSD17B13, a newly identified liver-enriched, hepatocyte-specific, lipid droplet-associated protein, has been reported to be strongly associated with the development and progression of NAFLD/NASH in both mice and humans. Notably, human genetic studies have repeatedly reported a robust association of HSD17B13 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) with the occurrence and severity of NAFLD/NASH and other chronic liver diseases (CLDs). Here we briefly overview the discovery, tissue distribution, and subcellular localization of HSD17B13 and highlight its important role in promoting the pathogenesis of NAFLD/NASH in both experimental animal models and patients. We also discuss the potential of HSD17B13 as a promising target for the development of novel therapeutic agents for NAFLD/NASH.