Oropharyngeal cancer is no longer a disease of younger patients and the prognostic advantage of Human Papillomavirus is attenuated among older patients: Analysis of the National Cancer Database

Missed Adjuvant Therapy in Human Papillomavirus Positive Oropharyngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

Investigate missed adjuvant therapy and associated disparities in overall survival (OS) for human papillomavirus-associated (HPV+) oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC).

METHODS

The 2010-2017 National Cancer Database was queried for patients with surgically resected HPV+ OPSCC. Indications for adjuvant radiotherapy (aRT) included pT3-4 classification, pN2-3 classification, lymphovascular invasion, pathologic extranodal extension (pENE), and/or positive surgical margins (PSM). Indication(s) for adjuvant chemoradiotherapy (aCRT) included pENE and/or PSM. Multivariable logistic and Cox regression models were implemented.

RESULTS

Of 5297 patients satisfying inclusion criteria, 4288 had indication(s) for aRT; 775 did not receive any adjuvant therapy and were considered as missing aRT. A total of 2234 patients had indication(s) for aCRT. Of these, 1383 (61.9%) received aCRT, 555 (24.8%) patients received aRT alone and were considered as having missed aCRT, and 296 (13.2%) did not receive any adjuvant therapy. Missed aRT and missed aCRT were each associated with age, treatment facility type, pN classification, and surgical margin status (p < 0.015). Among patients with indication(s) for aRT alone, OS of those receiving no adjuvant therapy, aRT alone, and aCRT was 90.0%, 94.8%, and 93.4%, respectively (p = 0.080). Among patients with indication(s) for aCRT, those receiving aRT alone and aCRT had similar OS (89.0% vs. 86.6%, p = 0.357) which was superior to receiving no adjuvant therapy (74.9%, p < 0.001). These patterns in OS persisted on multivariable Cox regression.

CONCLUSION

Among patients with HPV+ OPSCC and indication(s) for aRT, missed aRT was not associated with worse OS. For patients with indication(s) for aCRT, aRT alone was associated with similar OS as aCRT.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

3 Laryngoscope, 2024.

Evaluation of the attributable fraction and burden of HPV-related oropharyngeal cancers in Greece-the ORPHEAS study

BACKGROUND

Herein, we evaluated the attributable fraction (AF) of human papillomavirus (HPV)-mediated (HPV+) oropharyngeal carcinomas (OPCs) in Greece over a recent calendar period.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

ORPHEAS, a retrospective, observational, multicenter, cross-sectional study with prospective recruitment, included adult patients with OPC in 2017-2022, each of them with a high-quality, treatment-naïve tumor specimen. The primary endpoint was the HPV-AF, defined as combined positivity for p16INK4a (p16) overexpression and HPV DNA presence by central laboratory testing, among included patients. Other endpoints evaluated the HPV+/HPV- patient/disease characteristics at OPC diagnosis and the HPV subtypes for HPV+ patients.

RESULTS

144/147 patients with available HPV status by central laboratory testing were analyzed [median age: 60.0 years; males: 111 (77.1%)]. The most common tumor anatomical sites were the tonsils (70/147, 48.6%) and the base of the tongue (51, 35.4%), and most patients were at the American Joint Committee on Cancer eighth edition TNM (tumor-node-metastasis) stages III (25, 22.7%) and IV (43, 39.1%). The HPV-AF was 52.1% (75/144; 95% confidence interval 43.6% to 60.5%). Most HPV+ patients were infected by an HPV type targeted by the 9-valent HPV vaccine (72/75, 96.0%), especially HPV16 (70/75, 93.3%). HPV+ compared with HPV- patients were younger (median age 58.0 versus 64.0 years; P = 0.003); more likely to have tumors in the tonsils (65.0% versus 30.4%; P < 0.001); less likely to have tumors in the base of the tongue (25.3% versus 46.4%; P = 0.008); and less frequently at TNM stage IV (20.4% versus 57.1%; overall P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In Greece, we observed a high HPV-AF (52.1%) in OPC, approximating the AFs reported for some Northern European countries. HPV+ versus HPV- patients were younger, more frequently with tonsillar tumors, and less frequently at TNM stage IV. Since most patients were infected by ≥1 HPV type targeted by the 9-valent vaccine, the HPV+ OPC burden could be mitigated through a routine HPV gender-neutral vaccination program.

Epidemiology of HPV-associated cancers past, present and future: towards prevention and elimination

Cervical cancer is the first cancer deemed amenable to elimination through prevention, and thus lessons from the epidemiology and prevention of this cancer type can provide information on strategies to manage other cancers. Infection with the human papillomavirus (HPV) causes virtually all cervical cancers, and an important proportion of oropharyngeal, anal and genital cancers. Whereas 20th century prevention efforts were dominated by cytology-based screening, the present and future of HPV-associated cancer prevention relies mostly on HPV vaccination and molecular screening tests. In this Review, we provide an overview of the epidemiology of HPV-associated cancers, their disease burden, how past and contemporary preventive interventions have shaped their incidence and mortality, and the potential for elimination. We particularly focus on the cofactors that could have the greatest effect on prevention efforts, such as parity and human immunodeficiency virus infection, as well as on social determinants of health. Given that the incidence of and mortality from HPV-associated cancers remain strongly associated with the socioeconomic status of individuals and the human development index of countries, elimination efforts are unlikely to succeed unless prevention efforts focus on health equity, with a commitment to both primary and secondary prevention.

Human Papilloma Virus Positive Oropharyngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma and the Immune System: Pathogenesis, Immunotherapy and Future Perspectives

Oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC), a subset of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC), involves the palatine tonsils, soft palate, base of tongue, and uvula, with the ability to spread to adjacent subsites. Personalized treatment strategies for Human Papillomavirus-associated squamous cell carcinoma of the oropharynx (HPV+OPSCC) are yet to be established. In this article, we summarise our current understanding of the pathogenesis of HPV+OPSCC, the intrinsic role of the immune system, current ICI clinical trials, and the potential role of small molecule immunotherapy in HPV+OPSCC.

Hypothesis of a CD137/Eomes activating axis for effector T cells in HPV oropharyngeal cancers

Chronic Human Papilloma Virus (HPV) infection is supplanting alcohol and tobacco intoxications as the leading cause of oropharyngeal cancer in developed countries. HPV-related squamous cell carcinomas of the oropharynx (HPV + OSC) present better survival and respond better to radiotherapy and chemotherapy. Regulatory T cells (TREG) are mainly described as immunosuppressive and protumoral in most solid cancers. However, TREG are paradoxically associated with a better prognosis in HPV + OSCs. The transcription factor FoxP3 is the basis for the identification of TREG. Among CD4 + FoxP3 + T cells, some have effector functions. A medical hypothesis is formulated here: the existence of a CD137 (4.1BB)-Eomesodermin (Eomes) activated pathway downstream of TCR-specific activation in a subpopulation of CD4 + FoxP3 + T cells may explain this effector function. Evidence suggest that this axis may exist either in CD4 + FoxP3 + T cells or CD8 + T cells. This pathway could lead T cells to strong antitumor cytotoxic activity in a tumor-specific manner. Furthermore, CD137 is one of the most expected targets for the development of agonist immunotherapies. The identification of CD137 + Eomes + FoxP3+/- T cells could be a key element in the selective activation of the most anti-tumor cells in the HPV + OSC microenvironment.

HPV-associated oropharyngeal cancer: in search of surrogate biomarkers for early lesions

The incidence of oropharyngeal cancer (OPSCC) has escalated in the past few decades; this has largely been triggered by high-risk human papillomavirus (HPV). Early cancer screening is needed for timely clinical intervention and may reduce mortality and morbidity, but the lack of knowledge about premalignant lesions for OPSCC poses a significant challenge to early detection. Biomarkers that identify individuals at high risk for OPSCC may act as surrogate markers for precancer but these are limited as only a few studies decipher the multistep progression from HPV infection to OPSCC development. Here, we summarize the current literature describing the multistep progression from oral HPV infection, persistence, and tumor development in the oropharynx. We also examine key challenges that hinder the identification of premalignant lesions in the oropharynx and discuss potential biomarkers for oropharyngeal precancer. Finally, we evaluate novel strategies to improve investigations of the biological process that drives oral HPV persistence and OPSCC, highlighting new developments in the establishment of a genetic progression model for HPV + OPSCC and in vivo models that mimic HPV + OPSCC pathogenesis.

Findings from a Malaysian multicentre study on oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

In addition to the conventional aetiologic agents of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) such as tobacco usage, alcohol consumption and betel quid usage, it has been established that a proportion of OPSCC are driven by persistent oncogenic human papillomavirus (HPV) infections. Currently, there is a lack of data on the burden of HPV- associated OPSCC in Asian countries including Malaysia.

METHODS

A cross-sectional multicentre study with tissue analysis of Malaysian patients diagnosed with primary OPSCC within a five-year period, from 2015 to 2019 between 01/01/2015 to 31/12/2019 was undertaken. Determination of HPV status was carried out using p16INK4a immunohistochemistry on tissue microarrays constructed from archived formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded tissue.

RESULTS

From the cases identified, 184 cases had sufficient tissue material for analysis. Overall, median age at diagnosis was 63.0 years (IQR = 15) and 76.1% of patients were males. In our cohort, 35.3% of patients were Indian, 34.2% were Chinese, 21.2% were Malay and 9.2% were from other ethnicities. The estimated prevalence of HPV-associated OPSCC in our cohort was 31.0% (CI 24.4-38.2%). The median age for the HPV-associated OPSCC sub-group of patients was not significantly lower than the median age of patients with HPV-independent OPSCC. More than half of HPV-associated OPSCC was seen in patients of Chinese ethnicity (54.4%). Patients with HPV-associated OPSCC had a much better overall survival than patients with HPV-independent OPSCC (Log rank test; p < 0.001). Patients with HPV-associated OPSCC with no habit-related risk factors such as smoking, were found to have much better overall survival when compared to all other sub-groups.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings from our study suggests that prevalence of HPV-associated OPSCC in Malaysia, though not as high as some developed countries, is however on an upward trend. HPV-associated OPSCC appears to be more frequently encountered in patients of Chinese ethnicity. Conventional risk-factors associated with OPSCC such as smoking, alcohol consumption and betel quid chewing should still be considered when estimating prognosis of patients with HPV-associated OPSCC.

Transoral Ultrasound in the Outpatient Clinic for the Diagnostic Work-Up of Oropharyngeal Cancer: A Feasibility Study

Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is the preferred imaging modality for oropharyngeal cancers (OPCs), but it has difficulties distinguishing between small OPCs and unilateral tonsil hypertrophy. We hypothesized that surgeon-performed transoral ultrasound (US) could be used to accurately detect T-stage OPCs. We performed a single-center prospective diagnostic accuracy study including patients with suspected or biopsy-verified OPCs during outpatient appointments. All patients were offered transoral US and MRI. If transoral US could not be tolerated by the patient, transcervical US was performed. The primary outcome was the diagnostic accuracy of detecting OPCs with US compared to MRI, using histopathology as the reference standard. The secondary outcome was comparing the primary tumor diameters between US and MRI blinded to each other. Out of the 26 patients included in the study, 21 (81%) had OPCs. Transoral US could be performed in 21/21 and 1/5 patients with suspected palatine and lingual tonsil OPCs, respectively. Overall, US diagnostic accuracy was 92%, compared to 81% with MRI (p = 0.37). US and MRI had a high correlation between tumor diameters in the anteroposterior diameter (R = 0.80, p < 0.001), corresponding to the depth axis on US. In conclusion, this small study showed the promise and feasibility of transoral US to improve the initial clinical evaluations of patients with suspected OPCs.

Oral Human Papillomavirus Prevalence and Genotyping Among a Healthy Adult Population in the US

Importance

In the US, oropharyngeal cancer, predominantly caused by high-risk (HR) human papillomavirus (HPV) infection, is the most frequent HPV-associated cancer, surpassing cervical cancer. However, little is known about oral HPV prevalence and genotype distribution in the general population.

Objective

To assess oral HPV prevalence and factors associated with HR and low-risk infection in a general US population.

Design, Setting, and Participants

PROGRESS (Prevalence of Oral HPV Infection, a Global Assessment) was a cross-sectional observational study conducted between November 2021 and March 2022 in 43 dental offices in the US (24 urban, 13 urban cluster, and 6 rural sites), spanning 21 states. Eligible participants were aged 18 to 60 years, visiting dental clinics for routine dental examination. Dental clinics used targeted sampling to recruit equal distributions of men and women and across age groups.

Exposure

Participants provided an oral gargle specimen for HPV DNA and genotyping and completed behavioral questionnaires, and dentists reported oral health status. Detection of HPV DNA and genotyping was performed using the SPF10/DEIA/LiPA25 system at a central laboratory.

Main Outcome

Oral HPV prevalence.

Results

Of the 3196 participants enrolled, mean (SD) age was 39.6 (12.1) years, and 55.5% were women. Oral HPV prevalence was 6.6% (95% CI, 5.7%-7.4%) for any HPV genotype, and 2.0% (95% CI, 1.5%-2.5%), 0.7% (95% CI, 0.4%-1.0%), and 1.5% (95% CI, 1.1%-1.9%) for HR, HPV-16, and 9-valent-HPV vaccine types, respectively. Among HPV-positive participants, HPV-16 was the most prevalent genotype (12.4% among men and 8.6% among women). Prevalence of HPV was higher in men than women and highest among men aged 51 to 60 years (16.8%, 6.8%, and 2.1% for any HPV, HR HPV, and HPV-16, respectively). Factors associated with HR oral infection included being male (adjusted odds ratio [AOR], 3.1; 95% CI, 1.2-8.5), being aged 51 to 60 years (AOR, 3.3; 95% CI, 1.5-7.3), having 26 or more lifetime male sex partners (AOR, 6.5; 95% CI, 2.3-18.7), and having 6 to 25 lifetime female oral sex partners (AOR, 3.4; 95% CI, 1.3-8.7).

Conclusions and Relevance

In this cross-sectional study, oral HPV burden was highest among older men who may be at higher risk of developing oropharyngeal cancer. In addition to male sex and older age, HR oral HPV infection was also associated with sexual behaviors, including increasing number of male sex partners and female oral sex partners.

Human Papillomavirus-Associated Oropharyngeal Cancer: Global Epidemiology and Public Policy Implications

Global trends in human papillomavirus (HPV)-associated head and neck cancers (HNC), specifically in the oropharynx subsite, have been dynamically changing, leading to new staging and treatment paradigms. Epidemiologic studies have noted regional variations in HPV-associated oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC). While HPV vaccination remains the main preventative approach, vaccination policy in relation to gender neutrality is heterogeneous and particularly sparse in low- and middle-income countries, where the burden of global cancer cases and HPV-associated HNC are not well-characterized in certain regions. This review summarizes the existing literature on regional variations of HPV-associated OPSCC and gender-neutral vaccine policies. Based on available data, the incidence of HPV-associated OPSCC is highest in North America, Europe, and Oceania. As of 2022, 122 of 195 (63%) World Health Organization (WHO) member states had incorporated HPV vaccinations nationally; of these, 41 of 122 (34%) member states have introduced gender-neutral vaccine coverage. Future research is needed to describe continued evolving trends in HPV-associated OPSCC, understand underlying risk factors leading to regional variation in disease, and implement gender-neutral policy more broadly.

Recurrent/Metastatic Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma in Older Patients: Are New Agents Bringing New Hope?

Head and neck cancer is a broad family of diseases, most of which are of squamous cell origin, affecting the epithelial mucosa lining the upper aerodigestive tract. They often recur or are progressive despite multimodality treatment approaches, resulting in a poor prognosis. Given the progressive aging of the global population, the probability to plan an active and eventually toxic treatment for an older patient, with either curative or palliative intent, can no longer be considered as an uncommon occurrence. A crucial point in offering a systemic treatment to older patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma is that they are underrepresented in randomised clinical trials, and evidence-based guidelines are lacking, while, from a clinical point of view, these patients may have varying grades of resilience to anticancer treatments due to differences in their health, social and/or economic status. Our aim is to draw attention to the older patient population suffering from recurrent and/or metastatic head and neck squamous cell carcinoma and to address some open questions, such as possible differences in epidemiology and biology compared with their younger counterparts; to highlight frailty and its components by discussing how to measure and use it to personalise treatment; to evaluate which outcomes should be best achieved in the older adult setting; finally, in the era of immunotherapy, to examine whether there are differences to be addressed when considering new treatments for older patients.

Disparities in head and neck cancer incidence and trends by race/ethnicity and sex

BACKGROUND

The epidemiology of head and neck cancer (HNC) sites differ substantially. This study compares HNC incidence trends by site and demographic subgroups.

METHODS

We used the U.S. Cancer Statistics Public Use Database to calculate HNC incidence rates per 100 000. We assessed trends with annual percent change (APC) longitudinally from 2001 to 2017.

RESULTS

The oropharyngeal cancer incidence APC decreased from 4.38% (95% CI: 3.6, 5.1) to 2.93% (2.5, 3.3) in 2008 among White males. Oral cavity cancer incidence rose in Other race males (APC 2.5% [1.6, 3.36]) and White females (APC: 0.96% [0.7, 1.2]). Although decreasing (APC: -1.15% [-1.48, -0.83]), laryngeal cancer incidence remained disproportionately high among Black males.

CONCLUSIONS

Notable incidence trends occurred in non-White groups at non-oropharyngeal sites. With parity of smoking rates by race, differing sexual behaviors, and shifting demographics by race and sex, future studies of HNC trends should consider stratifying analyses to understand health disparities.

Trends in hospitalization and death rates among patients with head and neck cancer in Spain, 2009 to 2019

BACKGROUND

Head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) is the seventh most common cancer worldwide, and prevalence is still substantially higher in men than in women. Causative factors include smoking and alcohol use, while human papillomavirus (HPV) infection is causally related to a subset of oropharyngeal cancers. In this retrospective study, we aimed to provide estimates on the clinical and economic burden of HNSCC in Spain.

METHODS

We used the discharge reports from the Spanish Minimum Basic Data Set (MBDS), to retrospectively analyze hospital discharge data in individuals with a diagnosis of HNSCC in any diagnostic position, based on the ICD coding system (ICD-9-CM and ICD10 CM), from 2009 to 2019.

RESULTS

A total of 175,340 admissions and 14,498 deaths due to laryngeal, pharyngeal and oral cavity cancer were recorded in Spain, of which 85% occurred in men. The most prevalent diagnoses were laryngeal cancer in men (50.9%) and oral cavity cancer in women (49.1%). In general, the hospitalization and death rates for all major head and neck cancer sites decreased in men and increased or remained stable in women during the study period. However, the corresponding rates for tonsil cancer, strongly associated with HPV infection, increased significantly in men. Overall, the economic burden of HNSCC during the study period was estimated at 100 million euros per year on average.

CONCLUSION

HNSCC still places an important clinical and economic burden on the health system in Spain. Prevention strategies should be prioritized, and vaccination programs against HPV in both sexes should be reinforced.

Temporal trends in oropharyngeal cancer incidence, survival, and cancer-directed surgery among elderly Americans

OBJECTIVE

This study assesses longitudinal epidemiologic trends in the oldest head and neck cancer (HNC) patients, comparing the oropharynx to other mucosal HNC sites.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Using data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database, trends in incidence, two-year cancer specific mortality, and percent of cases recommended for and which received surgery from 2000 to 2018 in patients ages ≥85 years were assessed using Joinpoint analysis by HNC site. Trends were quantified as annual percentage change (APC) with 95% confidence intervals (CI).

RESULTS

Among older adults, oropharyngeal cancer (OPC) incidence increased (APC = 1.80% [95% CI: 0.94-2.67]), while mortality decreased (APC = -2.01% [95% CI: -3.26--0.74]) from 2000 to 2018. At other mucosal HNC sites, incidence and mortality remained stable. Percentage of patients who received surgery significantly changed for oropharyngeal (APC = -15.34% from 2000 to 2005 [95% CI: -24.37 to -4.79]) and laryngeal (APC = -4.61% from 2000 to 2008 [95% CI -8.28 to -0.80]) cancers. Trends in recommendation for surgery varied by site with significant decreases at the larynx, oral cavity, and oropharynx.

CONCLUSION

OPC incidence is increasing among the oldest HNC patients. An increasing proportion of HPV-associated tumors could account for associated mortality improvement. There has been a shift towards non-surgical therapy possibly due to known favorable response of HPV-associated OPC to radiation therapy and/or poor surgical candidacy in this age group. The evolving treatment approach has not been detrimental to population-level survival outcomes, but optimal treatment has yet to be established. Future studies with pathologically confirmed HPV status are needed to better understand older adult OPC burden.

Adjuvant Radiotherapy in Surgically Treated HPV-Positive Oropharyngeal Carcinoma with Adverse Pathological Features

Purpose: HPV-positive oropharyngeal carcinoma (HPV-OPC) is increasingly treated with primary surgery. The National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) recommends adjuvant therapy for surgically treated HPV-OPC displaying adverse pathological features (AF). We evaluated adjuvant radiotherapy patterns and outcomes in surgically treated AF-positive HPV-OPC (AF-HPV-OPC). Methods: The National Cancer Database was interrogated for patients ≥ 18 years with early-stage HPV-OPC from 2010 to 2017 who underwent definitive resection. Patients that had an NCCN-defined AF indication for adjuvant radiotherapy were assessed, including positive surgical margins (PSM), extranodal extension (ENE), lymphovascular invasion, and level 4/5 cervical lymph nodes. Overall survival (OS) was evaluated using Cox proportional hazards models and Kaplan−Meier analysis in whole and propensity score matched (PM) cohorts. Results: Of 15,036 patients meeting inclusion criteria, 55.7% were positive for at least one AF. Presence of any AF was associated with worse OS (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.56, p < 0.001). In isolation, each AF was associated with worse OS. On PM analysis, insurance status, T2 category, Charlson-Deyo comorbidity score, ENE (HR = 1.81, p < 0.001), and PSM (HR = 1.58, p = 0.002) were associated with worse OS. Median 3-year OS was 92.0% among AF-HPV-OPC patients undergoing adjuvant radiotherapy and 84.2% for those who did not receive adjuvant radiotherapy (p < 0.001, n = 1678). The overall rate of patients with AF-HPV-OPC who did not receive adjuvant radiotherapy was 13% and increased from 10% in 2010 to 17% in 2017 (ptrend = 0.007). Conclusions: In patients with AF-HPV-OPC, adjuvant radiotherapy is associated with improved survival. In the era of de-escalation therapy for HPV-OPC, our findings demonstrate the persistent prognostic benefit of post-operative radiotherapy in the setting of commonly identified adverse features. Ongoing clinical trials will better elucidate optimized patient selection for de-escalated therapy.

Age-group-specific trend analyses of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma incidence from 1989 to 2018 and risk factors profile by age-group in 2015-2018: a population-based study in The Netherlands

Incidence of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) is increasing globally and the human papillomavirus (HPV) has been linked to this increase. This study aimed to present a comprehensive overview of OPSCC trends in incidence rates by age group and investigate differences in risk factors profile. Netherlands Cancer Registry data from 1989-2018 were analyzed to calculate the annual percentage change (APC) over European standardized incidence rates by gender and age group using joinpoint regression software. Smoking, alcohol drinking and HPV-status were available for 2015-2018. During 1989-2018, 13 048 cases of OPSCC were reported with a male-to-female ratio of 2.1:1. The overall incidence rate increased by 5.4% (APC) annually from 1989 to 1996 but slowed thereafter by 1.2%. Significant declines were found in patients of 35-44 years (APCs -3.7%). Adults aged 45-59 years displayed significant increases from 1989 to 2001, followed by a significant decline. In patients ≥60 years, the incidence rates increased overall, with APC for women being consistently higher than men. The data on HPV status was available for 69% of the patients, of whom 47% were HPV+. Smoking and alcohol consumption were more prevalent, that is 75 and 76 % respectively. The declining trends of OPSCC for Dutch people aged 35-44 years from 1989 to 2018 and for those aged 45-59 years from 2002 onwards are inconsistent to trends reported elsewhere in the developed countries. The prevalence of smoking and drinking alcohol was quite high in all age groups, whereas the proportion of HPV-positivity was relatively low.

Cancer Incidence in World Trade Center Rescue and Recovery Workers: 14 Years of Follow-Up

BACKGROUND

Statistically significantly increased cancer incidence has been reported from 3 cohorts of World Trade Center (WTC) disaster rescue and recovery workers. We pooled data across these cohorts to address ongoing public concerns regarding cancer risk 14 years after WTC exposure.

METHODS

From a combined deduplicated cohort of 69 102 WTC rescue and recovery workers, a sample of 57 402 workers enrolled before 2009 and followed through 2015 was studied. Invasive cancers diagnosed in 2002-2015 were identified from 13 state cancer registries. Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) were used to assess cancer incidence. Adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) were estimated from Cox regression to examine associations between WTC exposures and cancer risk.

RESULTS

Of the 3611 incident cancers identified, 3236 were reported as first-time primary (FP) cancers, with an accumulated 649 724 and 624 620 person-years of follow-up, respectively. Incidence for combined FP cancers was below expectation (SIR = 0.96, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.93 to 0.99). Statistically significantly elevated SIRs were observed for melanoma-skin (SIR = 1.43, 95% CI = 1.24 to 1.64), prostate (SIR = 1.19, 95% CI = 1.11 to 1.26), thyroid (SIR = 1.81, 95% CI = 1.57 to 2.09), and tonsil (SIR = 1.40, 95% CI = 1.00 to 1.91) cancer. Those arriving on September 11 had statistically significantly higher aHRs than those arriving after September 17, 2001, for prostate (aHR = 1.61, 95% CI = 1.33 to 1.95) and thyroid (aHR = 1.77, 95% CI = 1.11 to 2.81) cancers, with a statistically significant exposure-response trend for both.

CONCLUSIONS

In the largest cohort of 9/11 rescue and recovery workers ever studied, overall cancer incidence was lower than expected, and intensity of WTC exposure was associated with increased risk for specific cancer sites, demonstrating the value of long-term follow-up studies after environmental disasters.

Age-specific oncogenic pathways in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma - are elderly a different subcategory?

BACKGROUND

In recent clinical practice, an increasing number of elderly patients suffering from head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) of unknown pathophysiology is observed. The majority of HNSCC patients can roughly be divided into three subcategories. First, a small group of young patients who present with variants of genomic aberrations and inheritable diseases like Fanconi anaemia. Second, an increasing population of HPV-related HNSCCs that are regarded as genomic stable tumours with a more favourable prognosis. Though HPV-related tumours used to be more common among younger males, a notable rise in the elderly population is observed. The third subcategory, that of HPV-negative tumours, has been shown to be more heterogeneous with involvement of a variety of oncogenic pathways related to lifestyle factors like smoking and alcohol consumption, often seen in middle-aged males. Some of these pathways could be related to age, such as TP53 alterations, EGFR activation, apoptotic pathway alterations and field cancerization.

CONCLUSIONS

In this narrative review, we provide an overview of established and newly discovered age-specific pathophysiological mechanisms underlying HNSCC. We propose a fourth subcategory of patients with a suspected different pathophysiology: elderly (HPV-negative) HNSCC patients without a history of tobacco and alcohol consumption. In this subcategory, carcinogenesis seems to be a multi-step process based on genomic instability, immunosenescence, cell cycle disruption and telomere shortening. To conclude, we discuss suggestions for future research to fill the knowledge gap about age-dependent HNSCC carcinogenesis.

The Prevalence of Human Papillomavirus-Positive Oropharyngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma at One of the Largest Tertiary Care Centers in Sub-Saharan Africa

CONTEXT.—

Limited data exist on the prevalence of human papillomavirus (HPV)-positive oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma in sub-Saharan Africa.

OBJECTIVE.—

To determine the prevalence of HPV-positive oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma at a large tertiary care center in South Africa.

DESIGN.—

A total of 266 oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinomas diagnosed during an 11-year period (2007-2017) were selected for evaluation. Cases staining positive for p16 immunohistochemistry were evaluated for high-risk HPV using the BD Onclarity assay (BD Diagnostics, Sparks, Maryland).

RESULTS.—

Of 266 oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinomas, 14% (n = 36) were positive for p16. Polymerase chain reaction for high-risk HPV performed on the p16-positive cases was negative in 23 cases and positive in 13 cases (13 of 266; 5%). p16 showed a positive predictive value of 36.1%. The HPV subtypes were HPV-16 (n = 10), HPV-18 (n = 1), HPV-52 (n = 1), and HPV-31 (n = 1). Human papillomavirus-positive cases occurred in 10 men and 3 women (mean age, 51 years) and arose from the tonsil (n = 10) or base of the tongue (n = 3). The HPV-positive cases were non-keratinizing (n = 10) or partially keratinizing (n = 1). Partially/nonkeratinizing cases revealed a modest improvement in p16 positive predictive value (11 of 21; 52.4%).

CONCLUSIONS.—

The presence of high-risk HPV in 5% of cases suggests that high-risk HPV is a minor etiologic agent in oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma in this region. Given its suboptimal positive predictive value, p16 is not a reliable marker for high-risk HPV infection in this region. When p16 is positive, HPV-specific testing is necessary. The identification of less common high-risk HPV types, HPV-52 and HPV-31, may influence current local vaccination strategies.

Treatment outcomes and survival following definitive (chemo)radiotherapy in HPV-positive oropharynx cancer: Large-scale comparison of DAHANCA vs PMH cohorts

We compare outcomes in two large-scale contemporaneously treated HPV-positive (HPV+) oropharynx cancer (OPC) cohorts treated with definitive radiotherapy/chemoradiotherapy (RT/CRT). p16-confirmed HPV+ OPC treated between 2007 and 2015 at PMH and DAHANCA were identified. Locoregional failure (LRF), distant metastasis (DM), and overall survival (OS) were compared. Multivariable analysis (MVA) calculated adjusted-hazard-ratio (aHR) with 95% confidence interval (95% CI), adjusting for cohort, age, gender, performance status, smoking pack-years, T-category and N-category and chemotherapy. Compared to PMH (n = 701), DAHANCA (n = 1174) contained lower TNM-8T-categories (T1-T2: 77% vs 56%), N-categories (N0-N1: 77% vs 67%) and stages (stage I: 63% vs 44% (all P < .001). PMH used standard-fractionation CRT in 69% (481) while 31% (220) received hypofractionated or moderately accelerated RT-alone. All DAHANCA patients were treated with moderately accelerated RT; 96% (1129) received nimorazole (NIM) and 73% (856) concurrent weekly cisplatin. DAHANCA had shorter overall-treatment-time (P < .001), lower gross tumor (66-68 vs 70 Gy) and elective neck (50 vs 56 Gy) doses. Median follow-up was 4.8 years. DAHANCA had higher 5-year LRF (13% vs 7%, aHR = 0.47 [0.34-0.67]), comparable DM (7% vs 12%, aHR = 1.32 [0.95-1.82]), but better OS (85% vs 80%, aHR = 1.30 [1.01-1.68]). CRT patients had a lower risk of LRF (aHR 0.56 [0.39-0.82]), DM (aHR 0.70 [0.50-1.00]) and death (aHR 0.39 [0.29-0.52]) vs RT-alone. We observed exemplary outcomes for two large-scale trans-Atlantic HPV+ OPC cohorts treated in a similar manner. Concurrent chemotherapy was a strong, independent prognostic factor for all endpoints. Our findings underscore the need for a very careful approach to de-intensification of treatment for this disease.

Projected Association of Human Papillomavirus Vaccination With Oropharynx Cancer Incidence in the US, 2020-2045

Importance

Oropharynx cancer (OPC) incidence has increased for several decades in the US. It is unclear when and how this trend will be affected by current HPV vaccination trends.

Objective

To assess the association of HPV vaccination with future OPC incidence in the US.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This population-based age-period-cohort analysis obtained OPC incidence data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program from 69 562 patients 34 to 83 years of age diagnosed with OPC. The HPV vaccination data were obtained from the National Immunization Survey-Teen (60 124 participants) and National Health Interview Survey (16 904 participants). Data were collected from January 1, 1992, to December 31, 2017. Age-period-cohort forecasting models projected expected 2018 to 2045 OPC incidence under a counterfactual scenario of no HPV vaccination and current levels of HPV vaccination, stratifying by sex. Data analyses were completed by December 2020.

Exposures

Age- and sex-specific cumulative prevalence of HPV vaccination in 2016 to 2017 projected forward.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Projected OPC incidence and number of OPC cases expected to be prevented by HPV vaccination.

Results

Under current HPV vaccination rates, between 2018 and 2045, OPC incidence is projected to decrease in younger individuals (36-45 years of age: from 1.4 to 0.8 per 100 000 population; 46-55 years of age: from 8.7 to 7.2 per 100 000 population) but continue to increase among older individuals (70-83 years of age: from 16.8 to 29.0 per 100 000 population). The association of HPV vaccination with overall OPC incidence through 2045 will remain modest (no vaccination vs vaccination: 14.3 vs 13.8 per 100 000 population in 2045). By 2045 HPV vaccination is projected to reduce OPC incidence among individuals 36 to 45 years of age (men: 48.1%; women: 42.5%) and 46 to 55 years of age (men: 9.0%; women: 22.6%), but among those 56 years or older, rates are not meaningfully reduced. Between 2018 and 2045, a total of 6334 OPC cases will be prevented by HPV vaccination, of which 88.8% of such cases occur in younger age (≤55 years) groups.

Conclusions and Relevance

According to the projections of this population-based age-period-cohort study, current HPV vaccination rates will have a limited association with overall OPC incidence through 2045 because older individuals who have not yet been vaccinated remain at high risk for OPC. However, reductions in OPC incidence should occur among young and middle-aged adults, the group at lowest risk of diagnosis. These findings forecast a continued shift in the landscape of OPC to an older population.

Human Papillomavirus Vaccination Rates by Gender Identity and Sexual Orientation Among 18-44-Year-Olds in the U.S

In the U.S., human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination has been recommended for individuals up to age 26, although the vaccination is currently approved for all people up to the age of 45. This research sought to explore HPV vaccination disparities by age with subgroup analysis by gender identity and sexual orientation groups, as well as sociodemographic factors that may serve as barriers to or facilitators of vaccination. This study used data from the 2018 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System. Only data for individuals who reported their gender identity, sexual orientation, and HPV vaccination status were included in the analytic sample (n = 7330). HPV vaccination rates for this sample were low, as only 18.2% (n = 1332) of the sample had received the HPV vaccination. These low rates of vaccination were similar across all subsamples: cisgender men (9.8%, n = 343), cisgender women (25.8%, n = 985), heterosexuals (17.5%, n = 1197), lesbian women or gay men (20.8%, n = 40), and bisexuals (30.8%, n = 95). In multivariable logistic regression models, younger participants (18-34) were more likely to report receiving the HPV vaccination across all subsamples. Further modeling indicated several common factors associated with higher odds of vaccination: living in a metropolitan area, having insurance coverage, and having at least one provider. Understanding vaccination disparities, as well as vaccination facilitators and barriers, is important to inform policy and program efforts. This is especially significant for adults between the ages of 35 and 44 who were excluded from the initial vaccination recommendations but are vulnerable due to changing cultural norms, including delayed marriage, nonmonogamous long-term relationships, and the ending of long-term partnerships.

Are Throat Pain and Otalgia Predictive of Perineural Invasion in Squamous Cell Carcinoma of the Oropharynx?

PURPOSE

Head and neck cancer is often associated with pain and perineural invasion (PNI). The purpose of this study was to determine the association of pain complaints and the microscopic identification of PNI in patients with oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was performed including patients diagnosed with OPSCC from 2010 to 2019. Patients diagnosed and operated on with curative intent at 2 institutions were included. The primary predictor variable was pain (measured as no pain, ear pain, throat pain, or simultaneous pain). Other variables were patient demographics, p16 status, and TNM staging. The primary outcome variable was the histologic presence of PNI. Chi-square analysis was performed to test for any significant associations between pain, T stage, overall stage, and p16 status in relation to PNI outcome. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to control for cancer staging variables when testing the association between pain and PNI.

RESULTS

The final sample was composed of 157 subjects of whom 126 were men. The mean age was 59.7 years. Seventy-seven (49.0%) presented with no pain, while 35 (22.3%), 39 (24.8%), and 6 (3.8%) presented with both throat/ear pain, throat pain only, and ear pain only, respectively. Patients with simultaneous pain had 3.41 times higher odds of PNI compared to the no pain group (P = .02), although only pathologic T stage 4 and a diagnosis on the base of the tongue were independent postoperative predictors of PNI (P < .05).

CONCLUSIONS

Our study demonstrates that otalgia is a preoperative predictor of PNI in OPSCC and also demonstrates a trend of increasing pain complaints with PNI.

Risk and Clinical Risk Factors Associated With Late Lower Cranial Neuropathy in Long-term Oropharyngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Survivors

Importance

Lower cranial neuropathy (LCNP) is a rare, but permanent, late effect of radiotherapy and other cancer therapies. Lower cranial neuropathy is associated with excess cancer-related symptoms and worse swallowing-related quality of life. Few studies have investigated risk and clinical factors associated with late LCNP among patients with long-term survival of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC survivors).

Objective

To estimate the cumulative incidence of and identify clinical factors associated with late LCNP among long-term OPSCC survivors.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This single-institution cohort study included disease-free adult OPSCC survivors who completed curative treatment from January 1, 2000, to December 31, 2013. Exclusion criteria consisted of baseline LCNP, recurrent head and neck cancer, treatment at other institutions, death, and a second primary, persistent, or recurrent malignant neoplasm of the head and neck less than 3 months after treatment. Median survival of OPSCC among the 2021 eligible patients was 6.8 (range, 0.3-18.4) years. Data were analyzed from October 12, 2019, to November 13, 2020.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Late LCNP events were defined by neuropathy of the glossopharyngeal, vagus, and/or hypoglossal cranial nerves at least 3 months after cancer therapy. Cumulative incidence of LCNP was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method, and multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were fit.

Results

Among the 2021 OPSCC survivors included in the analysis of this cohort study (1740 [86.1%] male; median age, 56 [range, 28-86] years), 88 (4.4%) were diagnosed with late LCNP, with median time to LCNP of 5.4 (range, 0.3-14.1) years after treatment. Cumulative incidence of LCNP was 0.024 (95% CI, 0.017-0.032) at 5 years, 0.061 (95% CI, 0.048-0.078) at 10 years, and 0.098 (95% CI, 0.075-0.128) at 15 years of follow-up. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression identified T4 vs T1 classification (hazard ratio [HR], 3.82; 95% CI, 1.85-7.86) and accelerated vs standard radiotherapy fractionation (HR, 2.15; 95% CI, 1.34-3.45) as independently associated with late LCNP status, after adjustment. Among the subgroup of 1986 patients with nonsurgical treatment, induction chemotherapy regimens including combined docetaxel, cisplatin, and fluorouracil (TPF) (HR, 2.51; 95% CI, 1.35-4.67) and TPF with cetuximab (HR, 5.80; 95% CI, 1.74-19.35) along with T classification and accelerated radiotherapy fractionation were associated with late LCNP status after adjustment.

Conclusions and Relevance

This single-institution cohort study found that, although rare in the population overall, cumulative risk of late LCNP progressed to 10% during the survivors' lifetime. As expected, clinical factors associated with LCNP primarily reflected greater tumor burden and treatment intensity. Further efforts are necessary to investigate risk-reduction strategies as well as surveillance and management strategies for this disabling late effect of cancer treatment.

Epidemiology of HPV Related Malignancies

Human papillomavirus is the most common sexually transmitted infection in the world and had been linked to both anogenital and oropharyngeal cancers. It causes nearly 100% of cervical cancers and an increasing portion of oropharyngeal cancers. The geographical burden of cervical HPV infection and associated cancers is not uniform and is mainly found in low middle income countries in South America, Africa, and Asia. However, HPV-positive oropharyngeal cancer is rapidly becoming more prevalent in high middle income countries. With the development of vaccines which prevent HPV infection, the World Health Organization has designated the extirpation of HPV and its associated cancers a priority. Countries that have implemented adequate vaccine programs have shown a decrease in HPV prevalence. Understanding the epidemiology of HPV and its associated cancers is fundamental in improving vaccine programs and other health programs.

Incidence trends of squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck (SCCHN) in the aging population--A SEER-based analysis from 2000 to 2016

Background

Tobacco and alcohol use are risk factors for Squamous Cell Carcinoma of the Head and Neck (SCCHN); however, there is growing recognition of HPV as a risk factor for SCCHN. HPV‐related SCCHN is thought to affect mostly middle‐aged individuals but as the US population ages, it is important to evaluate the change in incidence of HPV‐ and non‐HPV‐related SCCHN in individuals who are ≥65 years old.

Methods

This was a retrospective study using data from a population‐based cancer registry (SEER) to identify individuals ≥65 years old diagnosed with SCCHN between 2000 and 2016 also stratified by sex, race, and birth cohort. The subgroups of HPV‐associated and non‐HPV associated sites were analyzed independently. The incidence per year was calculated and joinpoint detection was used to identity significant changes in incidence trends and annual percent change (APC).

Results

For HPV‐associated sites from 2000 to 2016, there was an average annual rate of 10.8 per 100,000 individuals with an APC of 2.92% (p = <0.05). For HPV‐ and non‐HPV‐related SCCHN males had a higher annual rate compared to females, 54.5 versus 18.0 in non‐HPV‐related and 19.1 versus 4.4 in HPV‐related sites. For non‐HPV‐related sites there was a decrease in APC across all stratified groups. For HPV‐related sites there was an increase in APC across all stratified groups, especially males (APC 8.82% 2006–2016 p < 0.05) and White individuals (APC 8.19% 2006–2016 p < 0.05). When stratified by birth cohort, HPV‐related SCCHN sites had a higher APC in ages 65–69 (8.38% p < 0.05) and 70–74 (8.54% p < 0.05).

Conclusion

Among the population ≥65 years old from 2000 to 2016, the incidence rate for HPV‐related SCCHN sites has increased across all stratified groups, especially in White individuals, males, and age groups 65–74. The incidence rate for non‐HPV‐related sites has decreased across all stratified groups during this time.

Cancer of the Oropharynx and the Association with Human Papillomavirus

Squamous cell carcinoma of the oropharynx (OPC) consists of human papillomavirus (HPV)-negative disease caused by tobacco and alcohol use, and HPV-positive disease caused by the sexually transmitted infection HPV. These entities have unique but overlapping risk factors, epidemiologic trends, staging systems, and survival outcomes. HPV-positive tumor status confers a significant survival benefit compared with HPV-negative disease. OPC treatment entails a combination of surgery, radiation, and chemotherapy. Ongoing trials will determine whether treatment of HPV-related disease may be safely deintensified to decrease morbidity. Emerging HPV-related biomarkers are under study as tools to inform screening, diagnosis, treatment, and surveillance for HPV-positive OPC.

The impact of age on outcome in phase III NRG Oncology/RTOG trials of radiotherapy (XRT) +/- systemic therapy in locally advanced head and neck cancer

PURPOSE

To examine the role age plays in the treatment and prognosis of locally advanced head and neck cancer (LAHNC) treated definitively with radiation alone or combined modality therapy.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was performed of three NRG/RTOG trials examining either radiation alone or combined radiation and systemic therapy for LAHNC. The effect of age (≥70 yrs.) on cause-specific survival (CSS), overall survival (OS), and toxicity was evaluated.

RESULTS

A total of 2688 patients were analyzed, of whom 309 patients (11.5%) were ≥ 70. For all studies combined, the hazard ratio (HR) for CSS for patients age ≥ 70 vs. those <70 was 1.33 (95%CI: 1.14-1.55, p < 0.001). For OS, the HR for patients age ≥ 70 vs. those <70 for all studies combined was 1.55 (95% CI 1.35-1.77, p < 0.001). After adjustment for all covariates, age ≥ 70 was associated with worse OS regardless of adjustment for smoking and p16 status. The survival difference was more pronounced in those receiving combined radiation and systemic therapy. Hematologic and renal toxicities were increased in combined modality trials in patients ≥70 years old.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients age ≥ 70 with LAHNC were underrepresented in these clinical trials. Their CSS and OS proved inferior to patients <70 years old.

Does insurance type influence overall survival in patients with laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma?

OBJECTIVE

Patients with head and neck cancer with Medicaid or no insurance present at a more advanced stage and have lower survival. This study is one of the first to examine the relationship between specific insurance types and overall survival for laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma patients.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective chart review.

SETTING

Henry Ford Cancer Institute.

SUBJECTS AND METHODS

A retrospective database review was performed using the Henry Ford Virtual Data Warehouse Tumor Registry. Six hundred and fifty patients diagnosed with laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma were identified. Insurance groups analyzed were fee for service, health maintenance organization, Henry Ford Medical Group - a managed care type insurance, Medicare and Medicaid/uninsured. Cox proportional hazards and Kaplan-Meier curves were generated to analyze overall survival and display survival differences respectively.

RESULTS

The uninsured group had the lowest median survival time of 29.8 months (95% CI: 20.3-44.8) and the highest HR of 1.85 (95% CI 1.16-2.93) as compared to the HMO group at p < 0.001. Patients with fee for service insurance had longer overall survival compared to the other insurance types. Patients with fee for service insurance also had a high proportion of patients with advanced stage disease, but a younger mean age. Henry Ford Medical Group had a higher mean age and no statistically significant difference in survival when compared to fee for service. (p = 0.999) After controlling for socioeconomic status, insurance type remains a significant predictor of overall survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Fee for service had the highest overall survival of the different insurance types, but it was only statistically significant when compared to the Medicaid/uninsured group.

Survival advantage in patients with human papillomavirus-driven oropharyngeal cancer and variation by demographic characteristics and serologic response: Findings from Head and Neck 5000

BACKGROUND

Patients with human papillomavirus (HPV)-driven oropharyngeal cancer (OPC) experience better survival than those with HPV-negative OPC. It is unclear whether this benefit varies by demographic characteristics and serologic response.

METHODS

Records from 1411 patients with OPC who had HPV serology data were analyzed. HPV status was based on HPV type 16 (HPV16) E6 serology. Participants were followed for a median of 5.9 years, and Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs). The association between HPV status and overall survival was analyzed by age group, sex, smoking status, tumor site, HPV antibody levels, and HPV antibody pattern. Models were adjusted for age, sex, smoking status, and comorbidity.

RESULTS

For the overall association between HPV status and survival, the fully adjusted HR was 0.43 (95% CI, 0.33-0.56). The HR was 0.19 (95% CI, 0.10-0.35) for participants aged ≤54 years, 0.38 (95% CI, 0.25-0.56) for those aged 55 to 64 years, and 0.73 (95% CI, 0.47-1.13) for those aged ≥65 years (P for interaction = .023). There was no clear evidence for an interaction by sex, smoking status, or tumor site. Survival did not differ according to E6 antibody levels in those who were seropositive. All seropositivity patterns were associated with increased survival compared with a pattern of seronegativity for all antibodies. Patients who are positive for E1, E2, E6, and E7 may experience better survival.

CONCLUSIONS

HPV status confers a survival advantage across all groups. This survival advantage is more marked for younger patients. The HPV antibody pattern, but not the antibody level, may also affect survival.

Increasing Mean Age of Head and Neck Cancer Patients at a German Tertiary Referral Center

BACKGROUND

The impact of demographic change on the age at diagnosis in German head and neck cancer (HNC) patients is unclear. Here we present an evaluation of aging trends in HNC at a tertiary referral center.

METHODS

Retrospective cohort study on aging trends at the initial diagnosis of newly diagnosed patients with HNC between 2004 and 2018 at the head and neck cancer center Ulm in relation to demographic data of the catchment area.

RESULTS

The study population consisted of 2450 individuals diagnosed with HNC with a mean age of 62.84 (±11.67) years. We observed a significant increase in annual incidence rates and mean age over time. Mean age among HNC patients increased significantly more than among the population in the catchment area. Whereas the incidence rate of patients <50 years did not change, the incidence of HNC patients aged ≥70 years increased the most. The mean patient age in the main tumor sites increased significantly. Surprisingly, HPV-positive patients were not younger than HPV-negative patients, but showed a non-significant trend towards a higher mean age (63.0 vs. 60.7 years).

CONCLUSIONS

Increasing incidence rates in older patients pose a challenge for health care systems. A nationwide study is needed to assess the dynamics and impact of aging on the incidence of HNC.

Radiation Therapy Alone for Human Papillomavirus-Related Squamous Cell Carcinoma of the Oropharynx: A Single-Arm, Phase 2 Study

PURPOSE

Human papillomavirus (HPV)-related squamous cell carcinoma of the oropharynx (OPSCC) is extremely radiosensitive. Radiation therapy plus high-dose cisplatin remains the standard of care but causes long-term toxicity. Treatment deintensification approaches that reduce toxicity while maintaining survival are desirable for HPV-related OPSCC.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

We conducted a single-arm, multicenter, phase 2 trial. Patients with newly diagnosed, biopsy-proven, American Joint Committee on Cancer (seventh edition) stage III or IV OPSCC positive for both p16 and HPV DNA were eligible. Patients with T4, N3, or T1N1 disease were excluded. Smoking history was not included in eligibility criteria. Patients received intensity modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) of 70 Gy in 35 fractions or 70.4 Gy in 32 fractions without chemotherapy. The primary endpoint was complete response or complete metabolic response 10 weeks after IMRT completion.

RESULTS

Between September 13, 2013, and November 15, 2016, 39 patients were enrolled according to a 2-stage Simon design. Twenty-three patients (59%) had smoked for more than10 pack-years. Thirty-six patients (92%) had tumors genotyped as HPV16. Thirty-seven patients (95%) received full-dose radiation therapy and 35 (90%) had complete response or complete metabolic response. Median follow-up was 51 months (interquartile range, 41-63 months). One patient (3%) had regional recurrence and 3 (8%) had distant metastasis. One patient died of disease. The 2-year progression-free survival rate was 94% (95% CI, 81%-99%), and the 2-year overall survival rate was 100%. Common grade 3 adverse events during IMRT included mucositis in 10 patients (26%) and dysphagia in 7 patients (18%). No patients were dependent on a feeding tube at 1 month after IMRT completion. No grade 3 or 4 late adverse events were observed.

CONCLUSIONS

IMRT alone is associated with excellent response as well as reduced toxicity and could be a treatment option for carefully selected patients with locally advanced "true" HPV-related OPSCC. Further studies are warranted.

Gender Disparities in Epidemiology, Treatment, and Outcome for Head and Neck Cancer in Germany: A Population-Based Long-Term Analysis from 1996 to 2016 of the Thuringian Cancer Registry

Simple Summary

Head and neck cancer (HNC) comprises a heterogeneous group of cancers. Not much population-based data has been published on gender disparities related to the incidences between different age groups, subsites, tumor stages, and its effect on therapy decisions. All new HNC cases from Thuringia between 1996 and 2016 were analyzed. The incidence of head and neck cancer still was 4-fold higher in men compared to women. Incidence reached a peak for men between 60–64 years, where the incidence increased with older age in women. Male gender, higher tumor stage and subsite (worst: hypopharyngeal cancer) still had a major negative impact on the survival of the patients. Treatment decisions were different between male and female patients, especially in older patients with a tendency to less aggressive therapy. Putting all patients together, there probably was no improvement in survival beyond changes in treatment over the observation period from 1996 to 2016.

Abstract

This study determined with focus on gender disparity whether incidence based on age, tumor characteristics, patterns of care, and survival have changed in a population-based sample of 8288 German patients with head neck cancer (HNC) registered between 1996 and 2016 in Thuringia, a federal state in Germany. The average incidence was 26.13 ± 2.89 for men and 6.23 ± 1.11 per 100,000 population per year for women. The incidence peak for men was reached with 60–64 years (63.61 ± 9.37). Highest incidence in females was reached at ≥85 years (13.93 ± 5.87). Multimodal concepts increased over time (RR = 1.33, CI = 1.26 to 1.40). Median follow-up time was 29.10 months. Overall survival (OS) rate at 5 years was 48.5%. The multivariable analysis showed that male gender (Hazard ratio [HR] = 1.44; CI = 1.32 to 1.58), tumor subsite (worst hypopharyngeal cancer: HR = 1.32; CI = 1.19 to 1.47), and tumor stage (stage IV: HR = 3.40; CI = 3.01 to 3.85) but not the year of diagnosis (HR = 1.00; CI = 0.99 to 1.01) were independent risk factors for worse OS. Gender has an influence on incidence per age group and tumor subsite, and on treatment decision, especially in advanced stage and elderly HNC patients.

Change in Age at Diagnosis of Oropharyngeal Cancer in the United States, 1975-2016

Simple Summary

While previous studies have suggested that HPV-associated head and neck cancer (HNC) is mostly in the younger population, we found that in the last 40 years, the mean age at diagnosis of oropharyngeal cancer has been 60.3 years. We found that after an initially decrease leading up to the early 2000s, there has been a steady increase in age at diagnosis of oropharyngeal cancer since 2002. For non-oropharyngeal HNC, mean age at diagnosis has steadily increased throughout the last four decades. Finally, we found that age at diagnosis of HNC is higher among females in general, and lowest among blacks.

Abstract

The emergence of the human papillomavirus (HPV) as the primary etiology of oropharyngeal cancer has changed head and neck cancer (HNC) epidemiology. This study described change in the age at diagnosis of oropharyngeal and non-oropharyngeal HNC in the United States in the last four decades. Using a retrospective cohort analysis, the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results dataset from 1975 to 2016 was queried for eligible adult cases of HNC, grouped as oropharyngeal (n = 31,702) versus non-oropharyngeal (n = 87,108). Age at diagnosis was compared by gender (female, male) using independent t-test, and by race/ethnicity (Hispanic, non-Hispanic black, non-Hispanic white, non-Hispanic other) using analysis of variance. Joinpoint regression estimated yearly increases/decreases in age of diagnosis by sex and race/ethnicity through annual percent changes (APC), which were summarized with average annual percent changes (AAPC). Mean age at diagnosis for oropharyngeal cancer was 60.3 years. While there was initially a decrease in age at diagnosis, a 0.37% annual increase occurred from 2002 to 2016 (APC = 0.37, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.28, 0.45). For non-oropharyngeal cancer, mean age at diagnosis was 63.2 years, with a continuous increase in age at diagnosis throughout the study period (1975–2016 AAPC = 0.08, 95% CI 0.04, 0.12). Females had higher average age at diagnosis than males for both sites, while blacks (57.4 years for oropharyngeal cancer; 59.0 years for non-oropharyngeal) had the lowest age at diagnosis of all races/ethnicity. Age at diagnosis of oropharyngeal cancer has increased significantly since 2002, while non-oropharyngeal HNC has increased significantly in the last four decades.

Evolving Profile of HPV-Driven Oropharyngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma in a National Cancer Institute in Italy: A 10-Year Retrospective Study

Globally, 30% of oropharyngeal carcinomas (OPSCC) are caused by Human Papillomavirus (HPV). Recently, increasing incidence trends for HPV-driven OPSCC have been reported in many countries and changes in the typical HPV-positive OPSCC patient have been recorded, with an increase in the median age and diagnoses in women. We investigated the characteristics of the OPSCC patients attending an Italian Cancer Institute from 2010 to 2019 and assessed possible changes overtime of demographic, behavioral, and clinico-pathologic variables of HPV-driven OPSCC. Overall, 339 OPSCCs were evaluated. HPV-DNA and p16 positivity were 48.7% and 55.2%, respectively, with an HPV-driven fraction (i.e., HPV-DNA+/p16+) of 48.3%. We observed a significant increase overtime in the rate of HPV-associated cases (53.7% in 2015–2019 vs. 40.3% in 2010–2014, p = 0.019). The rate of HPV-driven cases was significantly higher among women, never smokers, patients with T1–T2 tumors, and with nodal involvement. A trend was also observed toward an increase in HPV-driven OPSCCs among patients >61 years, women, former smokers, and patients with no nodal involvement in 2015–2019. Our findings consolidate the observation that HPV-associated OPSCCs are also increasing in Italy. Moreover, they suggest that the profile of the HPV-driven OPSCC patient might be changing.

Epidemiology of head and neck cancers: an update

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

This review attempts to give an update of epidemiological knowledge on head and neck cancers (HNC).

RECENT FINDINGS

Worldwide, from 1990 to 2017, incidence rates for larynx and nasopharyngeal cancers decreased, whereas they increased for oro/hypopharyngeal cancers and lip/oral cavity cancers. They are still markedly higher among men than women. South Asia has the highest HNC incidence rate, followed by Europe, North America, and Australasia.Tobacco and alcohol remain the major risk factors. Rate of cancers attributable to human papillomavirus (HPV) among HNCs is highly depending on world region and tobacco use prevalence. It increases in high-income countries. In the US population, the number of HPV-attributable oropharyngeal cancers now exceeds the number of cervix cancers. HPV vaccination for boys is recommended in an increasing number of countries. Many occupations are associated with an increased HNC risk. Fruits and vegetables intake have a protective effect against HNC.

SUMMARY

To decrease HNC incidence, measures to reduce tobacco use and alcohol consumption remain essential. Improvement of HPV vaccination coverage is also a major objective. Reduction of carcinogens at occupation, protection of workers from carcinogen exposures, education for better diet, and easy and affordable access to fruits and vegetables can contribute to incidence decrease.

HPV Detection in Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinomas: What Is the Issue?

Besides classic tobacco and alcohol risk factors, human papillomavirus (HPV) plays a role in the development of a subset of head and neck squamous cell carcinomas (HNSCCs), and notably oropharynx squamous cell carcinomas (OPSCCs). HPV-induced OPSCCs have a different biological behavior and a better prognosis compared to non-HPV-induced OPSCCs and the eighth-edition TNM classification now separates these two entities. Therefore, determining the HPV status of patients with OPSCC is now essential for treatment, prognosis, and development of clinical trials. In this review, after reminding essential steps of HPV implication in the cell cycle, we describe the existing tools that are currently feasible in routine practice according to facilities available in health structures, with their benefits and drawbacks: HPV PCR, E6/E7 mRNA RT-PCR, E6/E7 mRNA in situ hybridization, HPV DNA in situ hybridization, and P16 immunochemistry. Besides these traditional HPV detection tools, novel diagnostic approaches are being evaluated for HPV-induced OPSCC “ultrastaging.” E6 humoral response and ddPCR-detecting HPVct DNA are two techniques performed on blood and are therefore non-invasive. Baseline E6 humoral levels could have a prognostic value, and HPVct DNA could be helpful for HPV OPSCC recurrence monitoring. At last, next-generation sequencing (NGS)-based “capture HPV” is a technique feasible on biopsies and circulating DNA material. It helps characterize HPV integration status and sites, and it could define prognostic subgroups in HPV-induced OPSCC. These novel precision detection tools could be further integrated in the care of patients with HPV-induced OPSCC.

National trends in oropharyngeal cancer incidence and survival within the Veterans Affairs Health Care System

BACKGROUND

Oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) epidemiology has not been examined previously in the nationwide Veterans Affairs (VA) population.

METHODS

Joinpoint regression analysis was applied to OPSCC cases identified from VA administrative data from 2000 to 2012.

RESULTS

We identified 12 125 OPSCC cases (incidence: 12.2 of 100 000 persons). OPSCC incidence declined between 2000 and 2006 (annual percent change [APC] = -4.27, P < .05), then increased between 2006 and 2012 (APC = 7.02, P < .05). Significant incidence increases occurred among white (APC = 7.19, P < .05) and African American (APC = 4.87, P < .05) Veterans and across all age cohorts. The percentage of never-smokers increased from 8% in 2000 to 15.7% in 2012 (P < .001), and 2-year overall survival improved from 31.2% (95% confidence interval (CI) [30-33.4]) to 55.7% (95% CI [54.4-57.1]).

CONCLUSIONS

OPSCC incidence is increasing across all racial and age cohorts in the VA population. Smoking rates remain high among Veterans with OPSCC and gains in survival lag those reported in the general population.

Epidemiology of human papillomavirus-related oropharyngeal cancer in a classically low-burden region of southern Europe

The incidence of human papillomavirus (HPV)-related oropharyngeal cancer is increasing in some regions. Nevertheless, the epidemiology of this disease has not been extensively investigated in southern Europe. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients diagnosed with primary oropharyngeal cancer from 1991 to 2016. Cancer tissues underwent histopathological evaluation, DNA quality control, HPV-DNA detection and p16^INK4a immunohistochemistry. Data were collected from medical records. Factors associated with HPV positivity and time trends were evaluated with multivariable Bayesian models. The adjusted prevalence of HPV-related cases in 864 patients with a valid HPV-DNA result was 9.7%, with HPV-DNA/p16^INK4a double positivity being considered. HPV-related oropharyngeal cancer was likely to occur in non-smokers and non-drinkers, to be located in the tonsil or diagnosed at advanced stages. Time-trend analysis showed an increasing risk of HPV-related oropharyngeal cancer in the most recent periods (5-year period increase of 30%). This increase was highest and with a clear increasing trend only in the most recent years (2012–2016). The prevalence of HPV-related oropharyngeal cancer started to sharply increase in the most recent years in our setting, as occurred two decades ago in areas where most oropharyngeal cancer cases are currently HPV-related. Our results provide a comprehensive assessment of the epidemiological landscape of HPV-related oropharyngeal cancer in a region of southern Europe.

The Evolution of Care of Cancers of the Head and Neck Region: State of the Science in 2020

Cancers that arise in the head and neck region are comprised of a heterogeneous group of malignancies that include carcinogen- and human papillomavirus (HPV)-driven mucosal squamous cell carcinoma as well as skin cancers such as cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma, basal cell carcinoma, melanoma, and Merkel cell carcinoma. These malignancies develop in critical areas for eating, talking, and breathing and are associated with substantial morbidity and mortality despite advances in treatment. Understanding of advances in the management of these various cancers is important for all multidisciplinary providers who care for patients across the cancer care continuum. Additionally, the recent Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has necessitated adaptations to head and neck cancer care to accommodate the mitigation of COVID-19 risk and ensure timely treatment. This review explores advances in diagnostic criteria, prognostic factors, and management for subsites including head and neck squamous cell carcinoma and the various forms of skin cancer (basal cell carcinoma, cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma, Merkel cell carcinoma, and melanoma). Then, this review summarizes emerging developments in immunotherapy, radiation therapy, cancer survivorship, and the delivery of care during the COVID-19 era.

Age-independent increasing prevalence of Human Papillomavirus-driven oropharyngeal carcinomas in North-East Italy

HPV-driven oropharyngeal carcinomas (OPCs) show geographical variations with increasing temporal trends in several areas. We investigated their frequency and clinical outcomes within a prospective multicenter cohort study in North-East Italy. A tumor was defined as HPV-driven by using at least two different biomarkers, usually HPV-DNA positivity and p16^INK4A overexpression. Different survival outcomes were compared among patients with HPV-driven and non-HPV-driven tumors. Overall, 42/130 (32.3%) patients with newly diagnosed OPC during the period 2000–2018 resulted HPV-driven; HPV16 was involved in 37 cases (88%), HPV33 in 3 cases (7%), HPV58 and HPV18 in 1 case each. Over time, HPV-driven cases raised from 16.7% (6/36) during 2000–2006 to 46.1% (24/52) during 2013–2018 (p < 0.001). The increase in HPV-driven OPCs was more marked in females than males (p = 0.010), and the frequency of HPV-driven cases was similar in the different age groups. In comparison to cases with non-HPV-driven tumors, a significantly (p < 0.001) better progression-free and overall survival were recorded among patients affected by HPV-driven OPC. The prevalence of HPV-driven OPC cases has been significantly increasing during the last two decades also in North-East Italy and was associated with favorable outcome. OPCs driven by non-HPV16 oncogenic types were restricted to patients older than 68-yrs.

The prognostic role of medical comorbidities in surgically treated human papillomavirus-associated oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

Prognostic factors specific to surgically managed human papillomavirus (HPV)-associated oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (HPV(+)OPSCC) are not fully understood. Medical co-morbidities may have an impact on survival after surgical treatment. We aimed to identify co-morbidities associated with distant metastases-free survival (DMFS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) in HPV(+)OPSCCs.

METHODS

This is a retrospective case series of HPV(+)OPSCC patients at a tertiary referral center from 2007 to 2016. All patients in the study underwent primary intent-to-cure transoral resection with concomitant neck dissection ± adjuvant radiation ± chemotherapy. Exclusion criteria included a history of previous head and neck cancer or distant metastases at diagnosis. Associations with DMFS and CSS were evaluated using univariable and multivariable Cox regression and summarized with hazard ratios (HRs).

RESULTS

406 patients were included in the cohort (100% HPV(+), 90% Male). All had tumors of the tonsil (62%) or base of tongue (38%). Median follow-up for the cohort was 4.0 years (IQR: 2.6-6.2). Higher tumor stage and a higher Adult Comorbidity Evaluation-27 score were significantly associated with worse DMFS and CSS (p < 0.02 for all). A history of diabetes mellitus (N = 36, 9%) was significantly associated with DMFS (HR 3.05 [95%CI 1.26-7.37], p = 0.014) and CSS (HR 4.82 [95%CI 1.84-12.61], p = 0.001). On multivariable analysis, after adjusting for tumor stage, diabetes remained significantly associated with worse DMFS (HR 2.58 [95%CI 1.06-6.26], p = 0.037).

CONCLUSION

Diabetes mellitus may be associated with worse DMFS and CSS in surgically managed HPV(+)OPSCC.

The current epidemic of HPV-associated oropharyngeal cancer: An 18-year Danish population-based study with 2,169 patients

BACKGROUND

The objectives of this study were to investigate the incidence of high-risk genotypes of human papillomavirus (HPV) in tumours of patients with oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) during an 18-year period in Eastern Denmark.

METHODS

In this population-based, consecutive, semi-national registry study, all patients diagnosed with OPSCC from 2000 to 2017 in Eastern Denmark were evaluated at head and neck oncological departments at public university hospitals. Analyses included tumour characteristics (HPV-positive [HPV+] versus HPV-negative [HPV-]), age-adjusted incidence rates (AAIRs), average annual percentage change (AAPC) of OPSCC, and patient demographics. All HPV+ cases from 2011 to 2017 were genotyped.

RESULTS

In total, 55% of 2169 OPSCC cases were HPV+. HPV16, HPV33, HPV35 or other types were found in 86%, 7.4%, 3.4% and 3.2% of cases, respectively. The AAIR per 100,000 of all OPSCCs was 1.8 in 2000, which increased to 5.1 in 2017 (HPV+: threefold increase, HPV-: twofold increase). The AAPC from 2000 to 2017 increased by 7% (HPV+ increased by 10% and HPV- by 4%). The median age at diagnosis for all OPSCC cases increased during the 18-year study period (HPV+: 58-61 years, p < 0.001; HPV-: 60-65 years, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

We report a threefold increase in OPSCC incidence during the 18-year observation period and a significant increase in median age at diagnosis. Over 93% of HPV genotypes in HPV+ OPSCC are included in current HPV vaccines except for HPV35 (4%). HPV vaccination of both sexes is advised to halt this emerging cancer epidemic.

Age Is Associated With Pain Experience and Opioid Use After Head and Neck Free Flap Reconstruction

OBJECTIVES

To describe pain experience and opioid use after major head and neck reconstructive surgery.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

METHODS

Patients undergoing major head and neck surgery with microvascular free tissue transfer (free flaps) at a tertiary academic center were included. Pain scores (0-10) and demographic and clinical data were ascertained from medical records. Discharge opioid prescriptions and refills obtained within 30 days were recorded. Patient characteristics were compared with pain scores using nonparametric rank-sum tests and with likelihood of refill using logistic regression models to calculate adjusted odds ratios (aORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

The study population comprised 445 patients. Median age was 60 years (interquartile range 50-68). Most patients had cancer (N = 350, 78%). The majority of free flaps were fibula (N = 153, 34%) or radial forearm (N = 159, 36%). Older patients reported significantly lower pain scores, whereas patients with opioid tolerance, anxiety, current smokers, and those undergoing larger volume resections or boney free flaps reported significantly higher pain scores. One-quarter (N = 115, 26%) of patients obtained opioid refills. Patients aged ≥ 60 years had one-half the odds of obtaining a refill compared with patients aged < 60 years (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 0.52, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.33-0.84), whereas surgical defect volume ≥ 100 cm³ (aOR = 1.92, 95% CI = 1.21-3.07) and higher pain score (aOR = 1.19, 95% CI = 1.07-1.32 per 1 point increase) increased the odds of refill.

CONCLUSION

Continued opioid use after discharge is common among patients undergoing major head and neck reconstruction, particularly for younger patients and after more extensive surgery. Older patients reported lower pain intensity and were less likely to obtain opioid refills, highlighting the wisdom of judicious opioid use for this vulnerable population.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

IV Laryngoscope, 130: E469-E478, 2020.

Burden of comorbidities is higher among elderly survivors of oropharyngeal cancer compared with controls

BACKGROUND

The prevalence of survivors of oropharyngeal cancer (OPC) is increasing due to improved survival for individuals with human papillomavirus (HPV)-related disease. Although elderly survivors of OPC are known to have a high burden of comorbidities, to the authors' knowledge it is unknown how this compares with a similar cohort without a history of cancer.

METHODS

The current retrospective, cross-sectional study included individuals with a first incident primary diagnosis of OPC from 2004 through 2011 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-Medicare-linked databases and matched controls. The baseline prevalence and subsequent incidence of comorbid conditions were identified. The association between comorbidity and overall survival was evaluated.

RESULTS

A total of 2497 eligible patients with OPC were matched to 4994 noncancer controls. Baseline comorbidity was higher in cases (Charlson Comorbidity Index >0 for 48.5% of cases vs 35.8% of controls). At 5 years, cases were more likely than controls to develop comorbidities. Survivors of OPC were at high risk (≥20% cumulative prevalence by 5 years) of developing several comorbidities, including cardiovascular diseases, cerebrovascular disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and tobacco abuse, and were at moderately high risk (10%-19% cumulative prevalence) of developing other conditions including carotid artery occlusive stroke, alcohol abuse, depression, and anxiety. In both cases and controls, the presence of the majority of comorbidities either at the time of diagnosis or during the follow-up period was associated with worse survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with OPC have a higher comorbidity burden compared with matched controls, both at baseline and during survivorship, the majority of which are associated with decreased survival. Oncologic surveillance of survivors of OPC should include screening for highly prevalent conditions.

Modelling human papillomavirus biology in oropharyngeal keratinocytes

Most human papillomavirus (HPV) positive head and neck cancers arise in the tonsil crypts; deep invaginations at the tonsil surface that are lined with reticulated epithelium infiltrated by immune cells. As in cervical HPV infections, HPV16 is the most prevalent high-risk type in the oropharyngeal cancers, and a genital-oral route of infection is most likely. However, the natural history of HPV-driven oropharyngeal pathogenesis is an enigma, although there is evidence that it is different to that of cervical disease. It is not known if the virus establishes a productive or abortive infection in keratinocytes of the tonsil crypt, or if viral infections progress to cancer via a neoplastic phase, as in cervical HPV infection. The HPV DNA is more frequently found unintegrated in the cancers of the oropharynx compared to those that arise in the cervix, and may include novel HPV-human DNA hybrids episomes. Here, we review current understanding of HPV biology in the oropharynx and discuss the cell-based systems being used to model the HPV life cycle in tonsil keratinocytes and how they can be used to inform on HPV-driven neoplastic progression in the oropharynx.

This article is part of the theme issue ‘Silent cancer agents: multi-disciplinary modelling of human DNA oncoviruses’.