The incidence and aetiology of acute pancreatitis across Europe

Temporal trends in gender, etiology, severity and outcomes of acute pancreatitis in a third-tier Chinese city from 2013 to 2021

BACKGROUND

To evaluate temporal trends in gender, etiology, severity, outcomes, cost and median length of stay (MLS) in patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) in a third-tier Chinese city.

METHODS

Patients with AP admitted to a university hospital between January 2013 and December 2021. Relationships between etiology, prevalence of severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) and survey years were investigated by joinpoint regression analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 5459 (male 62.3%) patients with AP were included. Between January 2013 and December 2021, we observed: (a) the prevalence of biliary diseases-related AP was stable, while the prevalence of hypertriglyceridemia (HTG)-associated AP (Ptrend = 0.04) and alcohol-associated AP (Ptrend < 0.0001) both increased; (b) there was an increase in crude prevalence of SAP from 4.97% to 12.2% between 2013 and 2021 (Ptrend < 0.0001); (c) compared to female populations, male gender had a higher prevalence of AP; (d) there was a decrease in MLS from 11 days to 8 days (Ptrend < 0.0001) and in median cost of hospitalization (MCH) for all patients (from 20,166 to 12,845 YUAN) (Ptrend < 0.0001); (e) the overall in-hospital mortality rate was 1.28% (70/5459) for patients with AP. There was no statistically significant in the time trend of mortality during the study period (Ptrend = 0.5873). At multivariate analysis, survey year was associated with prevalence of SAP after adjustment by age and biliary diseases (OR: 1.07; 95% CI: 1.03-1.12). Based on the stratification by severity of disease, the decrease of MLS and MCH was more significant in non-SAP vs. SAP patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Over the observational period, the proportion of male patients with AP, prevalence of age-adjusted rate of HTG and alcohol-associated AP and SAP increased, while MLS and MCH for all patients decreased, and the time trend of mortality of AP was stable.

MRI and CT radiomics for the diagnosis of acute pancreatitis

Purpose

To evaluate the single and combined diagnostic performances of CT and MRI radiomics for diagnosis of acute pancreatitis (AP).

Materials and methods

We prospectively enrolled 78 patients (mean age 55.7 ± 17 years, 48.7 % male) diagnosed with AP between 2020 and 2022. Patients underwent contrast-enhanced CT (CECT) within 48-72 h of symptoms and MRI ≤ 24 h after CECT. The entire pancreas was manually segmented tridimensionally by two operators on portal venous phase (PVP) CECT images, T2-weighted imaging (WI) MR sequence and non-enhanced and PVP T1-WI MR sequences. A matched control group (n = 77) with normal pancreas was used. Dataset was randomly split into training and test, and various machine learning algorithms were compared. Receiver operating curve analysis was performed.

Results

The T2WI model exhibited significantly better diagnostic performance than CECT and non-enhanced and venous T1WI, with sensitivity, specificity and AUC of 73.3 % (95 % CI: 71.5-74.7), 80.1 % (78.2-83.2), and 0.834 (0.819-0.844) for T2WI (p = 0.001), 74.4 % (71.5-76.4), 58.7 % (56.3-61.1), and 0.654 (0.630-0.677) for non-enhanced T1WI, 62.1 % (60.1-64.2), 78.7 % (77.1-81), and 0.787 (0.771-0.810) for venous T1WI, and 66.4 % (64.8-50.9), 48.4 % (46-50.9), and 0.610 (0.586-0.626) for CECT, respectively.The combination of T2WI with CECT enhanced diagnostic performance compared to T2WI, achieving sensitivity, specificity and AUC of 81.4 % (80-80.3), 78.1 % (75.9-80.2), and 0.911 (0.902-0.920) (p = 0.001).

Conclusion

The MRI radiomics outperformed the CT radiomics model to detect diagnosis of AP and the combination of MRI with CECT showed better performance than single models. The translation of radiomics into clinical practice may improve detection of AP, particularly MRI radiomics.

Machine learning for the rElapse risk eValuation in acute biliary pancreatitis: The deep learning MINERVA study protocol

BACKGROUND

Mild acute biliary pancreatitis (MABP) presents significant clinical and economic challenges due to its potential for relapse. Current guidelines advocate for early cholecystectomy (EC) during the same hospital admission to prevent recurrent acute pancreatitis (RAP). Despite these recommendations, implementation in clinical practice varies, highlighting the need for reliable and accessible predictive tools. The MINERVA study aims to develop and validate a machine learning (ML) model to predict the risk of RAP (at 30, 60, 90 days, and at 1-year) in MABP patients, enhancing decision-making processes.

METHODS

The MINERVA study will be conducted across multiple academic and community hospitals in Italy. Adult patients with a clinical diagnosis of MABP, in accordance with the revised Atlanta Criteria, who have not undergone EC during index admission will be included. Exclusion criteria encompass non-biliary aetiology, severe pancreatitis, and the inability to provide informed consent. The study involves both retrospective data from the MANCTRA-1 study and prospective data collection. Data will be captured using REDCap. The ML model will utilise convolutional neural networks (CNN) for feature extraction and risk prediction. The model includes the following steps: the spatial transformation of variables using kernel Principal Component Analysis (kPCA), the creation of 2D images from transformed data, the application of convolutional filters, max-pooling, flattening, and final risk prediction via a fully connected layer. Performance metrics such as accuracy, precision, recall, and area under the ROC curve (AUC) will be used to evaluate the model.

DISCUSSION

The MINERVA study aims to address the specific gap in predicting RAP risk in MABP patients by leveraging advanced ML techniques. By incorporating a wide range of clinical and demographic variables, the MINERVA score aims to provide a reliable, cost-effective, and accessible tool for healthcare professionals. The project emphasises the practical application of AI in clinical settings, potentially reducing the incidence of RAP and associated healthcare costs.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov ID: NCT06124989.

Practical management of severe acute pancreatitis

Acute pancreatitis (AP) represents one of the most common reasons for hospital admission and intensive care treatment in internal medicine. The incidence of AP is increasing, posing significant financial burden on healthcare systems due to the necessity for frequent medical interventions. Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) is a potentially life-threatening condition with substantial morbidity and mortality. The management of SAP requires prolonged hospitalization and the expertise of a multidisciplinary team, comprising emergency physicians, intensivists, internists, gastroenterologists, visceral surgeons, and experts in nutrition, infectious disease, endoscopy, as well as diagnostic and interventional radiology. Effective management and beneficial patient outcomes depend on continuous interdisciplinary collaboration. This review synthesizes recent evidence guiding the practical management of SAP, with a particular focus on emergency and intensive care settings. Both established as well as new diagnostic and therapeutic paradigms are highlighted, including workup, risk stratification, fluid management, analgesia, nutrition, organ support, imaging modalities and their timing, along with anti-infective strategies. Furthermore, the review explores interventions for local and vascular complications of SAP, with particular attention to the indications, timing and selection between endoscopic (both endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) and endoscopic ultrasound (EUS)), percutaneous and surgical approaches. Similarly, the management of biliary AP due to obstructive gallstones, including the imaging, timing of ERCP and cholecystectomy, are discussed. By integrating new evidence with relevant guidance for everyday clinical practice, this review aims to enhance the interdisciplinary approach essential for improving outcomes in SAP management.

Targeting apolipoprotein C-III: a game changer for pancreatitis prevention in severe hypertriglyceridemia

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

The aim of this review is to examine recent advancements in RNA-targeted therapies for the management of severe hypertriglyceridemia (sHTG) and prevention of sHTG-associated acute pancreatitis.

RECENT FINDINGS

Recent developments in RNA-targeted therapies, aimed at inhibiting apolipoprotein C-III (apoC-III), have demonstrated substantial and sustained reductions in triglyceride levels. Novel therapies, including antisense oligonucleotides (ASOs) and small interfering RNA (siRNA), such as volanesorsen, olezarsen, and plozasiran, have shown promising results in recent trials. These therapies not only effectively lower plasma triglyceride levels but also significantly reduce the incidence of acute pancreatitis.

SUMMARY

SHTG is a high-burden metabolic disorder that is associated with a significantly increased incidence and severity of acute pancreatitis. Traditional lifestyle interventions and conventional therapies, including fibrates and n-3 fatty acids, often provide only modest reductions in triglycerides and fail to prevent sHTG-associated acute pancreatitis. The emergence of novel and targeted RNA-therapies represents a potential breakthrough in the management of sHTG and acute pancreatitis prevention.

An association between average daily sleep duration and gallstones in US adults

Despite extensive research on the impact of health factors and sleep, the specific association between average daily sleep duration and the prevalence of gallstones in adults has not been thoroughly investigated. This study analyzes data from 7,441 individuals from the NHANES 2017-2020 dataset, using exclusion criteria to refine the participant pool. Employing multivariate logistic regression and subgroup analyses while controlling for potential confounders, we assessed the association between average daily sleep duration and the prevalence of gallstones. Our results revealed a statistically significant inverse association (OR = 0.92; 95% CI: 0.86, 0.99; p = 0.0236). This association was consistent across various demographic and health-related subgroups. Interestingly, the inflection points were observed among middle-aged adults (40-60 years) and individuals with diabetes. These findings could inform public health strategies on sleep management, potentially aiding in the prevention of gallstones within these populations.

YKL-40 as a risk stratification marker in acute pancreatitis: A prospective study

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

Increased systemic concentrations of YKL-40 are seen in various inflammatory conditions. We explored the relationship between the serum YKL-40 concentrations and subsequent disease severity in patients with acute pancreatitis (AP).

METHODS

Consecutive adults with AP were prospectively enrolled, and classified as having mild, moderate or severe disease. On admission and 48 h later, C-reactive protein (CRP), YKL-40, interleukin-6 and 8 (IL-6, IL-8), and tumor necrosis factor alpha (TNF-α) concentrations were measured. Patients were also classified as those with low (<50 ng/mL, in the range seen in 30 age and sex-matched non-AP subjects), high (≥190 ng/mL, seen in most of the other inflammatory conditions), and intermediate YKL-40 (50-189 ng/mL).

RESULTS

Incidence of mild, moderate and severe AP among the 150 enrolled patients was 80 (53.3 %), 59 (39.3 %), and 11 (7.4 %), respectively. Both on admission and 48 h later, high YKL-40 (vs. intermediate or low) was strongly associated with higher odds of a more severe AP, independently of the concurrent IL-8 and TNF-α concentrations (OR around 3.5-4.0, or higher). On admission, the association was independent also of the concurrent CRP, whereas the association between the later concentrations and the outcome was conditional on CRP - uncertain at low, strong at high CRP. The high YKL-40 - outcome association at both time-points was conditional on concurrent IL-6: uncertain if IL-6 was low, strong if IL-6 was high.

CONCLUSIONS

Serum YKL-40 is a plausible candidate for further evaluation as an early biochemical indicator of subsequent AP severity, particularly if considered jointly with CRP and/or IL-6.

Systematic review of peritoneal lavage and dialysis for patients with severe acute pancreatitis

AIMS

Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) remains a lethal condition with a rising incidence worldwide. Recent randomised trials suggest that peritoneal lavage and/or dialysis (PLD), when administered early in SAP, may be beneficial to improve patient outcomes. This study aimed to review this data systematically.

METHODS

Studies featuring PLD for the treatment of SAP were searched systematically (2012 Atlanta classification to 2023). A traditional approach to reporting data was augmented by a narrative synthesis.

RESULTS

210 articles were reviewed, of which six studies featuring 499 patients were included. The technical approach, duration and type of lavage varied in each study and no safety concerns were reported. In patients undergoing PLD, improvements in inflammatory markers and length of stay were seen in all studies. Where reported, fewer invasive procedures for peri-pancreatic fluid collections were required after PLD. Lower mortality was seen in cohorts receiving laparoscopic lavage alone and combined lavage and dialysis when compared with standard treatment. All studies were rated at moderate or high risk of bias.

CONCLUSIONS

PLD demonstrates potential as an early therapy to improve outcomes for patients with SAP. Further research is required to define intervention delivery, explore acceptability and investigate efficacy through a powered randomised controlled trial.

Sex-dependent modulation of caerulein-induced acute pancreatitis in C57BL/6J mice

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a life-threatening condition, with a higher mortality rate in men than women and in which estrogens might play a protective role. This study aimed to investigate sex-dependent differences in a mouse model of caerulein-induced AP. Thirty-six C57BL/6J mice (19 females and 17 males) were treated intraperitoneally with phosphate-buffered saline or caerulein, and sacrificed 12 hours, 2 days, or 7 days after the last injection. Blood was collected for amylase, lipase, and glucose determination. Severity and extent of inflammation, apoptosis, and acinar to ductal metaplasia (ADM) in pancreatic tissue were scored histologically and total macrophages, major histocompatibility complex (MHC)-II+ cells, M2 macrophages, T and B cells, neutrophils, apoptosis, and ADM were marked immunohistochemically and quantified by digital image analysis. Serum amylase had a peak at 12 hours, without differences between the sexes. In females, pancreatitis reached a peak at 12 hours with a fast recovery while, in males, the peak was delayed to day 2 with residual apoptosis still present. Macrophages were the main inflammatory cell population, followed by T cells, B cells and neutrophils, without differences between sexes. In males, CD206+ cells and apoptosis were higher at both days 2 and 7, and cytokeratin-19+ (CK19+) ADM was higher at day 7 compared with females. The results of this study revealed a faster onset and resolution of caerulein-induced AP in female mice compared with male mice, supporting a sex-dependent modulation of acute pancreatitis.

Evaluation of the Value of Fine Needle Aspiration Cytology and Cell Morphology in Determining the Histogenesis of Pancreatic Lesions With Review of Literature, Overview and Cytological Experience of 25 Years: Original Research

Background and Aims

Benign lesions, inflammation, cysts and pseudocysts, as well as neoplasms of the exocrine and endocrine parts of the pancreas can be easily identified using cytological methods. The sensitivity and specificity can be increased with the help of additional examination methods. The sensitivity of intraoperative rapid cytology reaches about 99%. In the literature, the sensitivity reaches an average of about 85% for biopsies. The method is easy to use, has very low complication rates (1%-2%) and is safe for the patient.

Methods

1290 cytological samples from pancreatic lesions were processed in the institute of pathology at Hannover Medical School (MHH), as cytological smears and stained with Giemsa and PAS stains as conventional methods. They were compared with the histological specimens that were processed at the same institute. Immunocytochemistry and molecularpathology have been processed only in selected cases. In general, it is routine in the university that the patients give their written consent to participate in clinical studies. The local ethics committee has stated that there is no need for approval due to the retrospective nature of the study.

Results

In this work, we detected 20.077% malignant lesions, 63.333% benign findings and inflammation, 7.441% pseudocysts and cysts. About 9.147% samples were unrepresentative due to insufficient number of cells.

Conclusion

This work will highlight the importance of fine aspiration cytology (FNAC) of suspicious pancreatic lesions, its possibilities and limitations in routine diagnostics with discussing the differential diagnoses, pointing to its great value and safety for patients. FNAC is the gold standard, its power is strongly associated with high specificity and sensitivity in the diagnosis of pancreatic lesions, and is very useful in the differential diagnosis between malignant and inflammatory lesions in pancreas.

Pancreatitis in children: practical management from the BSPGHAN Pancreatitis Working Group

Pancreatitis, a condition characterised by inflammation of the pancreas, has multiple aetiologies. Improving clinical proficiency in prompt diagnosis and effective management leads to better outcomes for children with acute pancreatitis, acute recurrent pancreatitis and chronic pancreatitis. Establishing consensus guidance via the British Society of Paediatric Gastroenterology Hepatology and Nutrition Pancreatitis Working Group has ensured further focus on these patients who are often cared for in a multidisciplinary framework and may prompt future research in this area. Initial assessment includes serum amylase/lipase, triglyceride levels, full blood count, C reactive protein, renal and liver function profile, glucose, calcium and capillary blood gas. Fasted transabdominal ultrasound for all children and young people with suspected pancreatitis is recommended to identify pancreatic parenchyma and pancreatobiliary ductal changes, and complications. For fluid resuscitation, use crystalloids or Ringer’s lactate: initial bolus of 10 to 20 mL/kg, 1.5–2 times maintenance volume, with hourly monitoring of urine output over the initial 24–48 hours. Initiate oral intake within the first 24 hours after fluid resuscitation; fat restriction is not recommended. For suspected autoimmune pancreatitis, workup includes immunoglobulin levels (IgG, IgM, IgA, IgG subclasses), complement components and autoantibody profile to confirm diagnosis. Significant interventional management for pancreatitis and related complications is performed via endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography or endoscopic ultrasound; referral to a specialised paediatric hepatobiliary surgical team is highly recommended. Close collaboration with a specialist centre can improve diagnostic and management pathways and outcomes for children.

Incidence and impact of venous thromboembolism in hospitalized patients with acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Acute pancreatitis (AP) and venous thromboembolism (VTE) remain common and potentially lethal disease entities. AP might be an important trigger of systemic inflammtion and may activate the coagulation system with increased VTE risk.

METHODS

The German nationwide inpatient sample was screened for patients admitted due to AP (ICD-code K85) 2005-2019. AP hospitalizations were stratified for VTE as well as risk-factors and the impact of VTE on in-hospital case-fatality rate were investigated.

RESULTS

Overall, 797,364 hospitalizations of patients due to AP (aged in median 56.0 [IQR 44.0-71.0] years), 39.2 % females) were detected in Germany 2005-2019. Incidence of VTE in hospitalized AP patients was 1764.8 per 100,000 hospitalizations (1.8 %) with highest VTE rate between 5th and 6th decade. Cancer (OR 1.656 [95 %CI 1.513-1.812], P < 0.001), any surgery (OR 4.063 [95 %CI 3.854-4.284], P < 0.001), and heart failure (OR 1.723 [95 %CI 1.619-1.833], P < 0.001) were independently associated with VTE occurrence. Case-fatality (8.8 % vs. 2.7 %, P < 0.001) was more than 3-fold higher in AP patients with than without VTE. VTE was associated with increased case-fatality in AP patients (OR 3.925 [95 %CI 3.684-4.181], P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

VTE is a life-threatening event in hospitalized AP patients associated with an almost 4-fold increased case-fatality rate. Cancer, any surgery, thrombophilia and heart failure were important risk factors for occurrence of VTE in AP.

Pancreatic Morphology, Immunology, and the Pathogenesis of Acute Pancreatitis

Acute pancreatitis is a complex inflammatory disorder with significant morbidity and mortality. This review aims to integrate the current knowledge of pancreatic morphology and immunology with the pathogenesis of acute pancreatitis, providing a comprehensive understanding of this critical condition. We conducted an extensive literature review, synthesizing data from recent studies and authoritative sources on pancreatic anatomy, histology, immunology, and the pathophysiology of acute pancreatitis. We also incorporated epidemiological data, clinical features, diagnostic criteria, and prognostic factors. The pancreas exhibits a complex morphology with intricate interactions between its exocrine and endocrine components. Its unique immunological landscape plays a crucial role in maintaining homeostasis and orchestrating responses to pathological conditions. In acute pancreatitis, the disruption of intracellular calcium signaling leads to premature enzyme activation, triggering a cascade of events including mitochondrial dysfunction, ATP depletion, and the release of proinflammatory mediators. This process can escalate from localized inflammation to systemic complications. The interplay between pancreatic morphology, immune responses, and pathophysiological mechanisms contributes to the varied clinical presentations and outcomes observed in acute pancreatitis. Understanding the intricate relationships between pancreatic morphology, immunology, and the pathogenesis of acute pancreatitis is crucial for developing more effective diagnostic and therapeutic strategies. This integrated approach provides new insights into the complex nature of acute pancreatitis and may guide future research directions in pancreatic disorders.

Global and regional burden of pancreatitis: epidemiological trends, risk factors, and projections to 2050 from the global burden of disease study 2021

BACKGROUND

Pancreatitis is a significant global health concern with rising incidence, complex management, and substantial mortality. This study aimed to assess global and regional trends in pancreatitis from 1990 to 2021 and project future trends to 2050 using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2021.

METHODS

We analyzed GBD 2021 data to evaluate age-standardized incidence (ASIR), mortality (ASMR), and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rates of pancreatitis. Regional trends, gender disparities, and correlations with the Socio-demographic Index (SDI) were examined. Key risk factors, including alcohol consumption, smoking, and metabolic disorders such as hyperlipidemia, were extracted and evaluated. A Bayesian age-period-cohort model (BAPC) was used for future projections.

RESULTS

From 1990 to 2021, global pancreatitis cases increased from 1.73 million to 2.75 million, representing a rise of 59%. Despite this, ASIR decreased slightly from 37.62 to 32.81 per 100,000, a 12.8% reduction. Deaths rose from 68,490 to 122,416, an increase of 78.7%, while ASMR decreased from 1.69 to 1.45 per 100,000, a reduction of 14.2%. DALYs increased from 2.58 million to 4.10 million (59%). Significant regional variations were found, with Eastern Europe showing the highest ASIR, ASMR, and DALY rates. Projections indicate continued declines in ASIR, ASMR, and DALYs through 2050.

CONCLUSIONS

While global age-standardized rates of pancreatitis have declined, significant regional and socioeconomic disparities persist. Targeted prevention efforts, particularly in high-burden areas like Eastern Europe, and addressing modifiable risk factors such as alcohol use are crucial for reducing the future burden of pancreatitis.

Efficacy of integrated traditional Chinese and western medicine in managing mild-moderate acute pancreatitis: a real-world clinical perspective analysis

Background

Given the prevalent utilization of integrated traditional Chinese and western medicine (ITCWM) in the management of acute pancreatitis, the majority of studies have concentrated on severe cases, lacking robust evidence-based medical research. Real-world investigations can provide an objective assessment of the clinical effectiveness of combining traditional Chinese medicine with western medicine. Consequently, relying on real-world research, we intend to evaluate the clinical efficacy and safety of the combined approach in treating mild to moderate acute pancreatitis.

Methods

A total of 563 AP patients from Henan Provincial Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine were collected from January 2019 to October 2023. A propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was conducted to evaluate the clinical efficacy of traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) in treating mild to moderate acute pancreatitis. Patients were divided into a control group (61 cases) and an integrated traditional Chinese and Western medicine (ITCWM) group (120 cases). To further assess the clinical efficacy of TCM enema in the treatment of mild to moderate acute pancreatitis, PSM analysis was conducted across three groups. The patients were categorized into a control group (n = 49), an oral TCM treatment group (OCM group, n = 274), and an oral TCM plus enema treatment group (OCM+E group, n = 131). Logistic regression was used to analyze factors after treatment in each group, and the Kaplan-Meier method compared symptom duration in each group.

Results

Compared with the control group, the ITCWM group significantly decreased C-reactive protein (CRP, mg/L) (17.8 [1.2-59.5] vs. 8.0 [3.3-33.5], P = 0.022), shortened the duration of abdominal distension, abdominal pain, nausea and bitter taste symptoms (P < 0.05), and shortened the length of hospital stay (median 19.0 and 11.5 days, respectively, P = 0.001); Compared with the other two groups, the neutrophil percentage (NEUT%) was lower (74.1 vs. 61.9 vs. 59.5, P < 0.05) and serum prealbumin (PA, mg/L) was higher (116.0 vs. 184.4 vs. 220.0, P < 0.05), the length of hospitalization (days) was shortened (19.0 vs.12.0 vs.10.0, P < 0.05) in the OCM+E group.

Conclusion

The combination of traditional Chinese medicine and modern medicine has been shown to effectively decrease inflammatory indicators in patients with mild to moderate acute pancreatitis, leading to a reduction in symptom duration and hospitalization period, as well as promoting disease recovery. Notably, the use of traditional Chinese medicine in conjunction with enema therapy yields more pronounced benefits.

Incidence rate of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome complicated with acute pancreatitis: a meta-analysis

Background

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a rare but serious complication in patients diagnosed with hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS). When AP complicates HFRS, the clinical outcome significantly worsens and the risk of mortality increases. However, the incidence of AP in HFRS patients and its associated mortality risk remain unclear. To address this knowledge gap, we conducted a meta-analysis to determine the AP incidence rate in HFRS patients and assess the impact of AP on mortality in these patients.

Methods

We systematically searched seven databases (PubMed, Web of Science, EMBase, Sinomed, Chinese National Knowledge Infrastructure, WanFang Data, and Chongqing VIP) for relevant studies on HFRS complicated by AP. The studies were selected using predefined inclusion and exclusion criteria based on the Population, Intervention, Comparison, Outcome, and Study design principle. Two independent reviewers screened the studies, and the quality of the included studies was assessed using the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality and the Newcastle-Ottawa Evaluation Scale (NOS).

Results

In total, 11 studies, encompassing 1,218 HFRS patients, met the inclusion criteria. The overall incidence of HFRS complicated by AP was 8.5% (95% CI for r 5.9-11.1%). The HFRS patients with AP had a significantly higher risk of mortality than those without AP (OR = 3.668, 95% CI for OR 1.112-12.031). No statistically significant differences were observed in the subgroup and meta-regression analyses.

Conclusion

Although the incidence of AP in HFRS patients is not high, it significantly increases the risk of mortality in these patients. Future large-scale prospective studies are required to further validate these findings.

Genetic Variability in the CPA1 Gene and Its Impact on Acute Pancreatitis Risk: New Insights from a Large-Scale Study

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a common and potentially lethal disease. Over the last 10 years, AP has become one of the most important healthcare problems. On a global scale, the incidence has increased by 63% over the last 20 years. AP is usually caused by gallstones and excessive alcohol consumption and genetic factors play an important role in the development of inflammation. Recent studies involving the CPA1 mutations are ambiguous and dependent on the population studied. In this study, the variability of the CPA1 gene in patients with AP was analyzed. Genetic material was isolated from the blood of 301 patients with AP and 184 healthy individuals. Identification of the variants in exons 5, 6, 8, and 9 with introns was performed using molecular biology methods. Mutations were identified by comparison to the reference sequence (NM_001868.4). Statistical analysis included the identification of mutations correlating with the risk of AP, the etiology of inflammation, and family history. Several novel mutations in the CPA1 gene have been identified, along with a high degree of variability within the coding region of the carboxypeptidase gene. A correlation between mutations CPA1:c.1072 + 84del; c.987 + 57G>A and increased risk of developing AP was found. Two protective mutations, CPA1:c.625A>T, c.1072 + 94del, were identified. The CPA1 gene is characterized by high sequence variability and regions in which mutations lead to an increased risk of developing AP. Single or co-occurring mutations of the CPA1 gene can significantly affect the risk of developing AP.

Predictive value of thrombin-antithrombin III complex and tissue plasminogen activator-inhibitor complex biomarkers in assessing the severity of early-stage acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The development of acute pancreatitis (AP) is strongly linked to blood clotting and fibrinolysis issues. Modern clinical practices now utilize advanced blood markers like thrombin-antithrombin III complex (TAT), plasmin-α2-plasmin inhibitor complex, thrombomodulin (TM), and tissue plasminogen activator-inhibitor complex (t-PAIC) to assess thrombosis risk. Our study used a highly sensitive chemiluminescence technique to measure these markers in AP patients, aiming to determine their early predictive value for AP severity.

METHODS

There were 173 patients with AP, all of whom developed symptoms within 72 h; 102 individuals had onset symptoms within 48 h. The biomarkers were measured upon admission before determining the severity of AP.

RESULTS

The levels of TAT, plasmin-α2-plasmin inhibitor complex, TM, and t-PAIC were significantly higher in the severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) group compared with the mild acute pancreatitis and moderate severe acute pancreatitis groups. For the patients within 72 h of onset, TAT, TM, and t-PAIC predicted the occurrence of SAP. For the patients within 48 h of onset, TAT and t-PAIC predicted the occurrence of SAP. The area under the curve (AUC) of prediction models is similar to Bedside Index for Severity in Acute Pancreatitis (BISAP) but significantly higher than C-reactive protein (P < 0.05). Notably, t-PAIC had a larger AUC than TAT, BISAP, and C-reactive protein.

CONCLUSION

In the initial 48 h, plasma TAT and t-PAIC levels may predict the development of SAP. Within 72 h, plasma levels of TAT, TM, and t-PAIC may predict the development of SAP, and the TAT + TM + t-PAIC prediction model achieved a maximum AUC of 0.915, comparable to BISAP.

DGA ameliorates severe acute pancreatitis through modulating macrophage pyroptosis

Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) is an inflammatory disease with varying severity, ranging from mild local inflammation to severe systemic disease, with a high incidence rate and mortality. Current drug treatments are not ideal. Therefore, safer and more effective therapeutic drugs are urgently needed. 7α,14β-dihydroxy-ent-kaur-17-dimethylamino-3,15-dione DGA, a diterpenoid compound derivatized from glaucocalyxin A, exhibits anti-inflammatory activity. In this study, we demonstrated the therapeutic potential of DGA against SAP and elucidated the underlying mechanisms. Treatment with DGA markedly (1) inhibited death of RAW264.7 and J774a.1 cells induced by Nigericin and lipopolysaccharide, (2) alleviated edema, acinar cell vacuolation, necrosis, and inflammatory cell infiltration of pancreatic tissue in mice, and (3) inhibited the activity of serum lipase and the secretion of inflammatory factor IL-1β. DGA significantly reduced the protein expression of IL-1β and NLRP3 and inhibited the phosphorylation of NF-κB. However, DGA exhibited no inhibitory effect on the expression of caspase-1, gasdermin D (GSDMD), NF-κB, TNF-α, or apoptosis-associated speck-like protein (ASC) and on the cleavage of caspase-1 or GSDMD. Molecular docking simulation confirmed that DGA can bind to TLR4 and IL-1 receptor. In conclusion, DGA may effectively alleviate the symptoms of SAP in mice and macrophages by inhibiting the binding of TLR4 and IL-1 receptor to their ligands; therefore, DGA is a promising drug candidate for the treatment of patients with SAP.

A meta-analysis of Lactate Ringer's solution versus Normal Saline in the treatment of acute pancreatitis

Fluid resuscitation is an important way in the treatment of acute pancreatitis (AP). This meta-analysis aimed to compare the safety and efficacy of Lactate Ringer's solution (LR) and Normal Saline (NS) in the treatment of patients with acute pancreatitis. Searched in PubMed, Web of Science Core Collection (Clarivate), Embase, Cochrane Library, CNKI, China Wanfang, and China VIP database. All randomized controlled clinical trials (RCTs) were identified. Six studies with 431 patients were included. Compared with NS, LR can significantly reduce the incidence of SIRS at 24h, reduce the length of hospitalization, moderate-severe AP, ICU admission and local complications, especially pancreatic necrosis. It is safe and effective to choose LR for fluid resuscitation in AP, but due to the small number of included studies, multi-center and large-sample RCTs are still needed for further verification. PROSPERO registration number: CRD42022322788.

The Significance of Diffusion-Weighted Imaging and Apparent Diffusion Coefficient in the Diagnosis of Early Acute Interstitial Edematous Pancreatitis

The study assessed the diagnostic value of diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) and mean apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) in early acute interstitial edematous pancreatitis (AIEP). Fifty-six AIEP patients and 60 healthy controls underwent an upper abdominal magnetic resonance (MR) examination. The pancreas diameter and ADC values were measured and analyzed across age and gender groups. Results showed that the pancreas diameter varied with sex and age, with smaller diameters in females and the elderly. Mean ADC values were not significantly affected by age or sex. Signal changes were observed in AIEP patients' images, with DWI showing a higher positive rate than T1WI and T2WI. Comparing the control and AIEP groups, the pancreas diameter was significantly larger in AIEP patients, particularly the pancreatic tail in males. ADC values were significantly lower in AIEP patients, and the difference was more pronounced at b=800 s/mm² compared to b=500 s/mm². Mean ADC exhibited good diagnostic potential for early AIEP, with higher sensitivity and specificity values than serum amylase levels. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) indicated that the diagnostic value was better at b=800 s/mm² than at b=500 s/mm². In conclusion, the study found that normal pancreas diameter is influenced by sex and age, with smaller diameters in females and the elderly. Mean ADC values were not affected by these factors. Early AIEP could not be diagnosed solely based on pancreas diameter changes. DWI combined with Mean ADC demonstrated high diagnostic value for early AIEP.

When to Intervene in Acute Necrotizing Pancreatitis: A Narrative Review of the Optimal Timing for Intervention Strategies

Introduction: Acute necrotizing pancreatitis (ANP) is the acute inflammation of pancreatic parenchyma, most commonly due to alcohol abuse or cholelithiasis. The treatment can be either conservative or invasive, including a variety of techniques; however, it has not yet been established if the intervention should be early or if it should be delayed. The aim of this review is to investigate the optimal time for intervention in ANP. Methods: A literature search was conducted in PubMed and Scopus from inception until September 2024 for studies reporting the comparison between early and late intervention. Results: Early intervention, within 4 weeks of symptom onset, often involves drainage via percutaneous, endoscopic, or combined methods. Delayed intervention occurs after 4 weeks of symptom onset. This can be conducted either surgically or via minimally invasive means. The results of this review reveal that the time of intervention for ANP plays an important role in the prognosis and the course of the disease. In particular, early intervention is associated with higher mortality, which is also the primary clinical outcome. Delayed intervention is also superior regarding secondary clinical outcomes, specifically the complications associated with the intervention. Thus, it is accompanied by fewer episodes of new-onset organ failure, bleeding, gastrointestinal fistula, pancreatic fistula, wound infection, endocrine pancreatic insufficiency, and other complications. Finally, delayed intervention results in shorter stays, both in hospitals and the ICU. Conclusions: Delayed intervention is clearly more effective than early intervention and should be preferred. However, early intervention appears to be both safe and effective, and it is feasible.

Establishment of trypsinogen-2 Amplification Luminescent Proximity Homogeneous Assay and its Application in Acute Pancreatitis

We aim to develop an amplified luminescence proximity homogeneous assay (AlphaLISA) for quantification of trypsinogen-2 levels in human serum for the diagnosis of acute pancreatitis. Based on new amplified luminescence proximity homogeneity assay (AlphaLISA) method, carboxyl-modified donor and acceptor beads were coupled to capture and detection antibodies. A double antibody sandwich immunoassay was used to detect the concentration of trypsinogen-2 in serum. The method had good linearity (> 0.998). The intra - analysis precision was between 1.54% and 2.20% (< 10%), the inter-analysis precision was between 3.17% and 6.94% (< 15%), and the recovery was between 96.23% and 103.45%. The cross-reactivity of carbohydrate antigen 242 (CA242) and T-cell immunoglobulin mucin-3 (Tim-3) were 0.09% and 0.93%, respectively. The detection time only needed 15 min. The results of trypsinogen-2-AlphaLISA and time-resolved fluorescence immunoassay were consistent (ρ = 0.9019). In addition, serum trypsinogen-2 concentration in patients with acute pancreatitis [239.23 (17.83-807.58) ng/mL] was significantly higher than that in healthy controls [20.54 (12.10-39.73) ng/mL]. When the cut-off value was 35.38ng/mL, the sensitivity and specificity were 91.8% and 96.67%, and the positive detection rate was 91.80%. We have successfully established a trypsinogen-2-AlphaLISA method, which can promote the timely diagnosis of acute pancreatitis.

The Role of Hematocrit Levels in Diagnosing the Severity of Acute Pancreatitis: A Cross-Sectional Study at a Tertiary Care Center in Nepal

Background and objective Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a frequent cause of hospitalization for gastrointestinal issues, with a significant proportion of cases requiring intensive care. Although various scoring systems are available to predict AP severity, they often involve inconvenience and can be time-consuming and expensive. Hematocrit, a simple, cost-effective, readily available hematological test, has been used to predict AP severity. However, its effectiveness has been inconsistent across different studies. In light of this, we aimed to analyze the role of hematocrit levels in determining AP severity. Methods We conducted a prospective study at Patan Hospital in Lalitpur, Nepal, from June 8, 2022, to June 27, 2023. Sixty-five AP patients were evaluated to determine the prognostic value of hematocrit at admission. The severity of AP was classified per the Revised Atlanta Classification. Results Among the patients, 52 (80%) had mild AP (MAP), five (7.69%) had moderately severe AP (MSAP), and eight (12.31%) had severe AP (SAP). The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for admission hematocrit levels yielded an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.551 (95% CI: 0.423-0.675). A hematocrit cutoff value of 42% resulted in a sensitivity of 69.23% and a specificity of 46.15% for predicting severe AP (MSAP + SAP). Conclusions Based on our findings, hematocrit at admission is not a strong predictor of the severity of AP.

Association between diabetic status and risk of acute pancreatitis: A nationwide population-based study

OBJECTIVE

There have been several epidemiologic studies on the association between diabetes mellitus and acute pancreatitis. However, there is no solid evidence, and the effect of diabetes mellitus severity on acute pancreatitis incidence is not well known. This study aimed to evaluate the association between diabetic status and the risk of acute pancreatitis in a nationwide population-based cohort.

METHODS

Among the participants who underwent national health examinations between 2009 and 2012, patients with diabetes mellitus were included. Patients diagnosed with acute pancreatitis before the health examination or diagnosed with pancreatitis within 1 year following the examination were excluded. The association between the number of oral hypoglycemic agents (<3 or ≥3) or insulin use during examination and acute pancreatitis occurrence was analyzed after follow-up until December 31, 2018.

RESULTS

Overall, 2,444,254 patients were included in the final analysis. During the follow-up period, acute pancreatitis occurred in 10,360 patients with an incidence ratio of 0.585 per 1,000 person-years, and it was observed that the risk of acute pancreatitis sequentially increased between patients taking oral hypoglycemic agents <3 (incidence ratio = 0.546), those taking ≥3 (incidence ratio = 0.665), and those using insulin (incidence ratio = 0.872). The adjusted hazard ratios of patients taking three or more hypoglycemic agents and those using insulin were 1.196 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.123-1.273) and 1.493 (95% CI 1.398-1.594), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

As diabetes mellitus severity increases, the risk of acute pancreatitis increases.

Predictive Value of C-Reactive Protein/Albumin Ratio for Acute Kidney Injury in Patients with Acute Pancreatitis

Purpose

This study aims to evaluate the predictive efficacy of the C-reactive protein/albumin ratio (CAR), a cost-effective, easily accessible, and reproducible biomarker obtained from standard blood tests, in forecasting acute kidney injury (AKI) among patients undergoing acute pancreatitis (AP). Considering that changes in the CAR are associated with AKI incidence in AP cases, this work aims to explore whether CAR can be used as the innovative, inflammation-based diagnostic marker for AKI in AP patients.

Methods

The current retrospective cohort study consecutively enrolled AP patients admitted to First College of Clinical Medical Science of China Three Gorges University during the period from January 2019 to October 2023. Data were extracted systematically in electronic medical records from these hospitalized individuals, including baseline demographic and clinical characteristics. To ascertain the association of the CAR level with the development of AKI, we carried out multivariate logistic regression, adjusting for potential confounders. These confounders were initially identified through univariate regression. Furthermore, the potential effect modifiers in the relationship between CAR and AKI occurrence were explored by stratified logistic regression.

Results

Totally, 1514 AP were recruited, including 257 (16.9%) with AKI. CAR was positively correlated with AKI. When adjusting for potential confounders, the AKI risk in patients in the upper CAR tertile (2.628-22.994) increased by 83% relative to those in lower tertile (0.05-0.289) (OR 1.83, 95% CI 1.13-2.96, P = 0.013). The AKI risk tended to increase according to the increasing CAR tertile (P for trend = 0.013). No significant interactions were observed among subgroups based on age, sex, BMI, admission to ICU, hypertension, DM, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, severity of AP, etiology of AP, demand for CRRT, mechanical ventilation, and blood transfusion (all P > 0.05).

Conclusion

A higher CAR is significantly related to the higher AKI incidence in AP patients in the Chinese population.

Retinal microvascular changes in patients with pancreatitis and their clinical significance

Acute pancreatitis, a common exocrine inflammatory disease affecting the pancreas, is characterized by intense abdominal pain and multiple organ dysfunction. However, the alterations in retinal blood vessels among individuals with acute pancreatitis remain poorly understood. This study employed optical coherence tomography angiography (OCTA) to examine the superficial and deep retinal blood vessels in patients with pancreatitis. Sixteen patients diagnosed with pancreatitis (32 eyes) and 16 healthy controls (32 eyes) were recruited from the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University for participation in the study. Various ophthalmic parameters, such as visual acuity, intraocular pressure, and OCTA image for retina consisting of the superficial retinal layer (SRL) and the deep retinal layer (DRL), were recorded for each eye. The study observed the superficial and deep retinal microvascular ring (MIR), macrovascular ring (MAR), and total microvessels (TMI) were observed. Changes in retinal vascular density in the macula through annular partitioning (C1-C6), hemispheric quadrant partitioning (SR, SL, IL, and IR), and early diabetic retinopathy treatment studies (ETDRS) partitioning methods (R, S, L, and I). Correlation analysis was employed to investigate the relationship between retinal capillary density and clinical indicators. Our study revealed that in the superficial retinal layer, the vascular density of TMI, MIR, MAR, SR, IR, S, C2, C3 regions were significantly decreased in patients group compared with the normal group. For the deep retinal layer, the vascular density of MIR, SR, S, C1, C2 regions also reduced in patient group. The ROC analysis demonstrated that OCTA possesses significant diagnostic performance for pancreatitis. In conclusion, patients with pancreatitis may have retinal microvascular dysfunction, and OCTA can be a valuable tool for detecting alterations in ocular microcirculation in pancreatitis patients in clinical practice.

Acute Pancreatitis in Individuals with Sickle Cell Disease: A Systematic Review

Background/Objectives: Sickle cell disease (SCD) impacts about 100,000 people in the US. SCD increases the risk of cholelithiasis and microvascular ischemia, which could increase the risk of acute pancreatitis (AP). Abdominal pain is a common presenting symptom of AP and sickle cell vaso-occlusive crisis. The purpose of our systematic review is to estimate the prevalence and determine the severity of AP in individuals with SCD compared to the general population. Methods: Multiple electronic databases were searched. We included studies that included children and adults (population) and addressed the association of SCD (exposure) with AP (outcome) compared to the same population without SCD (control). Two authors screened titles and abstracts independently, and data were abstracted in duplication from included studies. We registered this protocol in PROSPERO-CRD42023422397. Results: Out of 296 studies screened from multiple electronic databases, we identified 33 studies. These studies included 17 case reports, one case series, and 15 retrospective cohort studies, and 18 studies included children. Eight of the AP case reports were in patients with HbSS genotype, two with sickle beta thalassemia, and one with HbSoArab, and in six case reports, a genotype was not specified. Complications were reported in 11 cases-respiratory complication (in at least four cases), splenic complications (three cases), pancreatic pseudocyst (two cases) and death from AP (one case). Of the four AP cases in the case series, three had HbSS genotype, and two cases had complications and severe pancreatitis. AP prevalence in SCD was estimated to be 2% and 7% in two retrospective studies, but they lacked a comparison group. In retrospective studies that evaluated the etiology of AP in children, biliary disease caused mostly by SCD was present in approximately 12% and 34%, respectively. Conclusions: Data on the prevalence of AP in individuals with SCD are limited. Prospectively designed studies aiming to proactively evaluate AP in individuals with SCD who present with abdominal pain are needed to improve timely diagnosis of AP in SCD and outcomes.

Pancreatic Cancer: A Review of Risk Factors

Pancreatic adenocarcinoma is one of the most lethal types of gastrointestinal cancer despite the latest medical advances. Its incidence has continuously increased in recent years in developed countries. The location of the pancreas can result in the initial symptoms of neoplasia being overlooked, which can lead to a delayed diagnosis and a subsequent reduction in the spectrum of available therapeutic options. The role of modifiable risk factors in pancreatic cancer has been extensively studied in recent years, with smoking and alcohol consumption identified as key contributors. However, the few screening programs that have been developed focus exclusively on genetic factors, without considering the potential impact of modifiable factors on disease occurrence. Thus, fully understanding and detecting the risk factors for pancreatic cancer represents an important step in the prevention and early diagnosis of this type of neoplasia. This review reports the available evidence on different risk factors and identifies the areas that could benefit the most from additional studies.

Association between monocyte-to-high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol ratio and gallstones in U.S. adults: findings from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2017-2020

BACKGROUND

Studies have indicated that monocyte-to-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (MHR) can be a reliable indicator of various diseases. However, the association between MHR and gallstone prevalence remains unclear. Therefore, this study aimed to explore any potential association between MHR and gallstone prevalence.

METHODS

This study used data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2017-March 2020. MHR was calculated as the monocyte count ratio to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels. Multiple logistic regression models, Cochran-Armitage trend test, and subgroup analyses were used to examine the association between MHR and gallstones.

RESULTS

This study included 5907 participants, of whom 636 (10.77%) were gallstone formers. The study participants had a mean age of 50.78 ± 17.33 years. After accounting for multiple covariables, the multiple logistic regression model showed a positive linear association between MHR and gallstone odds. The subgroup analyses and interaction testing results revealed that the association between MHR and gallstones was statistically different across strata, including sex, smoking, asthma, and hypertension.

CONCLUSIONS

Gallstone prevalence positively associated with elevated MHR, indicating that MHR can be employed as a clinical indicator to assess gallstone prevalence.

Gallstones as a cause in presumed acute alcoholic pancreatitis: observational multicentre study

BACKGROUND

Data on the incidence and clinical relevance of gallstones in patients with suspected acute alcoholic pancreatitis are lacking and are essential to minimize the risk of recurrent acute pancreatitis. The aim of this study was to assess the incidence of gallstones and the associated rate of recurrent acute pancreatitis in patients with presumed acute alcoholic pancreatitis.

METHODS

Between 2008 and 2019, 23 hospitals prospectively enrolled patients with acute pancreatitis. Those diagnosed with their first episode of presumed acute alcoholic pancreatitis were included in this study. The term gallstones was used to describe the presence of cholelithiasis or biliary sludge found during imaging. The primary outcome was pancreatitis recurrence during 3 years of follow-up.

RESULTS

A total of 334 patients were eligible for inclusion, of whom 316 were included in the follow-up analysis. Gallstone evaluation, either during the index admission or during follow-up, was performed for 306 of 334 patients (91.6%). Gallstones were detected in 54 patients (17.6%), with a median time to detection of 6 (interquartile range 0-42) weeks. During follow-up, recurrent acute pancreatitis occurred in 121 of 316 patients (38.3%), with a significantly higher incidence rate for patients with gallstones compared with patients without gallstones (59% versus 34.2% respectively; P < 0.001), while more patients with gallstones had stopped drinking alcohol at the time of their first recurrence (41% versus 24% respectively; P = 0.020). Cholecystectomy was performed for 19 patients with gallstones (36%). The recurrence rate was lower for patients in the cholecystectomy group compared with patients who did receive inadequate treatment or no treatment (5/19 versus 19/34 respectively; P = 0.038).

CONCLUSION

Gallstones were found in almost one in every five patients diagnosed with acute alcoholic pancreatitis. Gallstones were associated with a higher rate of recurrent pancreatitis, while undergoing cholecystectomy was associated with a reduction in this rate.

The Pathogenesis of Pancreatitis and the Role of Autophagy

The pathogenesis of acute and chronic pancreatitis has recently evolved as new findings demonstrate a complex mechanism operating through various pathways. In this review, the current evidence indicating that several mechanisms act in concert to induce and perpetuate pancreatitis were presented. As autophagy is now considered a fundamental mechanism in the pathophysiology of both acute and chronic pancreatitis, the fundamentals of the autophagy pathway were discussed to allow for a better understanding of the pathophysiological mechanisms of pancreatitis. The various aspects of pathogenesis, including trypsinogen activation, ER stress and mitochondrial dysfunction, the implications of inflammation, and macrophage involvement in innate immunity, as well as the significance of pancreatic stellate cells in the development of fibrosis, were also analyzed. Recent findings on exosomes and the miRNA regulatory role were also presented. Finally, the role of autophagy in the protection and aggravation of pancreatitis and possible therapeutic implications were reviewed.

Nomogram for the prediction of infected pancreatic necrosis in moderately severe and severe acute pancreatitis

OBJECTIVES

As a serious complication of moderately severe acute pancreatitis (MSAP) and severe acute pancreatitis (SAP), infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN) can lead to a prolonged course of interventional therapy. Most predictive models designed to identify such patients are complex or lack validation. The aim of this study was to develop a predictive model for the early detection of IPN in MSAP and SAP.

METHODS

A total of 594 patients with MSAP or SAP were included in the study. To reduce dimensionality, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression analysis was used to screen potential predictive variables, a nomogram was then constructed using logistic regression analysis. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to evaluate the discrimination, accuracy, and clinical efficacy of the model. External data were also obtained to further validate the constructed model.

RESULTS

There were 476, 118, and 82 patients in the training, internal validation, and external validation cohorts, respectively. Platelet count, hematocrit, albumin/globulin, severity of acute pancreatitis, and modified computed tomography severity index score were independent factors for predicting IPN in MSAP and SAP. The area under the ROC curves were 0.923, 0.940, and 0.817, respectively, in the three groups. There was a good consistency between the actual probabilities and the predicted probabilities. DCA revealed excellent clinical utility.

CONCLUSION

The constructed nomogram is a simple and feasible model that has good clinical predictive value and efficacy in clinical decision-making for IPN in MSAP and SAP.

A retrospective study of pregnant patients with acute pancreatitis

OBJECTIVE

Acute pancreatitis is a rare disease in pregnant patients. Although it may have serious maternal and fetal consequences, morbidity and mortality rates have decreased recently due to appropriate and rapid treatment with earlier diagnosis. The aim of this study was to evaluate pregnant patients diagnosed with acute pancreatitis.

METHODS

The study included pregnant patients diagnosed with acute pancreatitis who were admitted to Adana City Training and Research Hospital in Adana, Turkey, between January 2014 and January 2022. Patients' files were screened. Patients' demographics, acute pancreatitis etiology, severity, complications, and applied treatment, as well as maternal and fetal outcomes were evaluated.

RESULTS

The study included 65 pregnant patients with acute pancreatitis. The mean age was 26.6±5 (19-41) years. Acute pancreatitis was observed in the third trimester. The most common cause of acute pancreatitis was gallstones, and its severity was often mild. Only two patients required endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography, and the remaining patients were treated medically. Maternal and infant death developed in a patient with necrotizing acute pancreatitis secondary to hyperlipidemia.

CONCLUSION

The most common etiology of acute pancreatitis in pregnancy was gallstones. Acute pancreatitis occurred in the third trimester. Most of the patients had mild acute pancreatitis. Maternal and fetal complications were rare. We think that the reasons for the low mortality rate were mild disease severity and biliary etiology, and most patients were in the third trimester, as well as early diagnosis and no delay in the intervention.

The red cell distribution width-to-albumin ratio: A simple index has high predictive accuracy for clinical outcomes in patients with acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

Ongoing research is seeking to identify the best prognostic marker for acute pancreatitis (AP). The purpose of this study was to investigate the role of the red blood cell distribution width-to-albumin ratio (RAR) in the prognosis of AP.

METHODS

This 18-month prospective cohort study was conducted between June 2021 and December 2022 with patients diagnosed with AP. The patients were divided into two groups: severe AP (SAP) and non-severe AP. Factors associated with SAP within the first 48 h of admission were determined. In addition, RAR values at admission and at 48 h (RAR-48th) were calculated, and their ability to predict clinical outcomes was assessed. The primary outcomes were severe disease and in-hospital mortality.

RESULTS

Fifty (13.7 %) of 365 patients had SAP. Systemic inflammatory response syndrome, blood urea nitrogen, calcium, and RAR at 48 h after admission were independent predictors of SAP. When RAR-48th was >4.35, the risk of SAP increased approximately 18-fold (OR: 18.59; 95 % CI: 8.58-40.27), whereas no patients with a RAR-48th value of <4.6 died. For in-hospital mortality, the area under the curve (AUC) value of RAR-48th was 0.960 (95 % CI: 0.931-0.989), significantly higher than the AUC values of existing scoring systems. The results of RAR-48th were comparable to those of the other scoring systems with regard to the remaining clinical outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

RAR-48th successfully predicted clinical outcomes, particularly in-hospital mortality. Being simple and readily calculable, RAR-48th is a promising alternative to burdensome and complex scoring systems for the prediction of clinical outcomes in AP.

The 2023 MANCTRA Acute Biliary Pancreatitis Care Bundle: A Joint Effort Between Human Knowledge and Artificial Intelligence (ChatGPT) to Optimize the Care of Patients With Acute Biliary Pancreatitis in Western Countries

OBJECTIVE

To generate an up-to-date bundle to manage acute biliary pancreatitis using an evidence-based, artificial intelligence (AI)-assisted GRADE method.

BACKGROUND

A care bundle is a set of core elements of care that are distilled from the most solid evidence-based practice guidelines and recommendations.

METHODS

The research questions were addressed in this bundle following the PICO criteria. The working group summarized the effects of interventions with the strength of recommendation and quality of evidence applying the GRADE methodology. ChatGPT AI system was used to independently assess the quality of evidence of each element in the bundle, together with the strength of the recommendations.

RESULTS

The 7 elements of the bundle discourage antibiotic prophylaxis in patients with acute biliary pancreatitis, support the use of a full-solid diet in patients with mild to moderately severe acute biliary pancreatitis, and recommend early enteral nutrition in patients unable to feed by mouth. The bundle states that endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography should be performed within the first 48 to 72 hours of hospital admission in patients with cholangitis. Early laparoscopic cholecystectomy should be performed in patients with mild acute biliary pancreatitis. When operative intervention is needed for necrotizing pancreatitis, this should start with the endoscopic step-up approach.

CONCLUSIONS

We have developed a new care bundle with 7 key elements for managing patients with acute biliary pancreatitis. This new bundle, whose scientific strength has been increased thanks to the alliance between human knowledge and AI from the new ChatGPT software, should be introduced to emergency departments, wards, and intensive care units.

Etiological Changes and Prognosis of Hospitalized Patients with Acute Pancreatitis Over a 15-Year Period

BACKGROUND

The worldwide incidence of acute pancreatitis (AP) is increasing, but the dominant etiology of AP may vary by country. Mixed etiologies are involved in the increase in the number of AP patients.

AIMS

This study was to analyze the etiological changes and prognosis of AP patients and explore the prognosis of AP patients with mixed etiologies.

METHODS

Using a retrospective analysis method, AP patients hospitalized from January 2007 to December 2021 were selected from a pancreatic center in Nanchang, China. Trends in the main etiologies were analyzed, and the severity and prognosis of different etiologies were compared.

RESULTS

A total of 10,071 patients were included. Cholelithiasis (56.0%), hyperlipidemia (25.3%), and alcohol (6.5%) were the top three etiologies. The proportion of acute biliary pancreatitis (ABP) showed a decreasing trend, while the proportion of hypertriglyceridemic pancreatitis (HTGP) and alcoholic AP showed an increasing trend (all ptrend < 0.001). The incidence of organ failure and necrotizing pancreatitis was higher in patients with HTGP than in those with AP induced by other etiologies (all p < 0.05). There was no statistically significant difference in mortality among patients with different etiologies. Patients with AP due to a mixed hypertriglyceridemia-alcoholic etiology had higher ICU admission rates and were more severe than those with AP induced by other mixed etiologies.

CONCLUSION

In the past 15 years, the proportion of ABP has trended downward, while those of HTGP and alcoholic AP have risen. Among patients with mixed etiologies, those with a mixed hypertriglyceridemia-alcoholic etiology had a worse prognosis.

Performance of European and American Societies of Gastrointestinal Endoscopy Guidelines for Prediction of Choledocholithiasis in Patients with Acute Biliary Pancreatitis

Background and Objectives: Up to one-third of patients with acute biliary pancreatitis also present with choledocholithiasis. Guidelines from the European Society of Gastrointestinal Endoscopy (ESGE) and the American Society for Gastrointestinal Endoscopy (ASGE) for investigating suspected choledocholithiasis suggest endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography in patients with high-likelihood (ESGE)/high-probability (ASGE) predictors and endoscopic ultrasound in those with intermediate-likelihood (ESGE)/intermediate-probability (ASGE) predictors. Although both guidelines are similar, they are not identical. Furthermore, these algorithms were mainly developed from cohorts of patients without pancreatitis and are therefore poorly validated in a subset of patients with acute pancreatitis. We aimed to assess the performance of the ESGE and ASGE algorithms for the prediction of choledocholithiasis in patients with acute biliary pancreatitis. Materials and Methods: This was a retrospective analysis of 86 consecutive patients admitted to a tertiary referral centre in the year 2020 due to acute biliary pancreatitis. Results: Choledocholithiasis was confirmed in 29/86 (33.7%) of patients (13 with endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography and 16 with endoscopic ultrasound). All 10/10 (100%) ESGE high-likelihood and 14/19 (73.7%) ASGE high-probability patients had choledocholithiasis. Only 19/71 (26.8%) patients with ESGE intermediate likelihood and 15/67 (22.4%) with ASGE intermediate probability had choledocholithiasis. Only 8/13 (61.5%) patients with the ASGE high-probability predictor of dilated common bile duct plus bilirubin > 68.4 µmol/mL had choledocholithiasis. Since this predictor is not considered high likelihood by ESGE, this resulted in a superior specificity of the European compared to the American guideline (100% vs. 91.2%). Following the American instead of the European guidelines would have resulted in five unnecessary endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatographies and five unnecessary endoscopic ultrasound examinations. Conclusions: This retrospective analysis suggests that the European guidelines may perform better than the American guidelines at predicting choledocholithiasis in the setting of acute pancreatitis. This was because dilated common bile duct plus bilirubin > 68.4 µmol/mL was not a reliable predictor for persistent bile duct stones.

Structured alcohol cessation support program versus current practice in acute alcoholic pancreatitis (PANDA): Study protocol for a multicentre cluster randomised controlled trial

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

The most important risk factor for recurrent pancreatitis after an episode of acute alcoholic pancreatitis is continuation of alcohol use. Current guidelines do not recommend any specific treatment strategy regarding alcohol cessation. The PANDA trial investigates whether implementation of a structured alcohol cessation support program prevents pancreatitis recurrence after a first episode of acute alcoholic pancreatitis.

METHODS

PANDA is a nationwide cluster randomised superiority trial. Participating hospitals are randomised for the investigational management, consisting of a structured alcohol cessation support program, or current practice. Patients with a first episode of acute pancreatitis caused by harmful drinking (AUDIT score >7 and < 16 for men and >6 and < 14 for women) will be included. The primary endpoint is recurrence of acute pancreatitis. Secondary endpoints include cessation or reduction of alcohol use, other alcohol-related diseases, mortality, quality of life, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and costs. The follow-up period comprises one year after inclusion.

DISCUSSION

This is the first multicentre trial with a cluster randomised trial design to investigate whether a structured alcohol cessation support program reduces recurrent acute pancreatitis in patients after a first episode of acute alcoholic pancreatitis, as compared with current practice.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Netherlands Trial Registry (NL8852). Prospectively registered.

Identification of optimal reference genes in golden Syrian hamster with ethanol- and palmitoleic acid-induced acute pancreatitis using quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction

BACKGROUND

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a severe disorder that leads to high morbidity and mortality. Appropriate reference genes are important for gene analysis in AP. This study sought to study the expression stability of several reference genes in the golden Syrian hamster, a model of AP.

METHODS

AP was induced in golden Syrian hamster by intraperitoneal injection of ethanol (1.35 g/kg) and palmitoleic acid (2 mg/kg). The expression of candidate genes, including Actb, Gapdh, Eef2, Ywhaz, Rps18, Hprt1, Tubb, Rpl13a, Nono, and B2m, in hamster pancreas at different time points (1, 3, 6, 9, and 24 h) posttreatment was analyzed using quantitative polymerase chain reaction. The expression stability of these genes was calculated using BestKeeper, Comprehensive Delta CT, NormFinder, and geNorm algorithms and RefFinder software.

RESULTS

Our results show that the expression of these reference genes fluctuated during AP, of which Ywhaz and Gapdh were the most stable genes, whereas Tubb, Eef2, and Actb were the least stable genes. Furthermore, these genes were used to normalize the expression of TNF-α messenger ribonucleic acid in inflamed pancreas.

CONCLUSIONS

In conclusion, Ywhaz and Gapdh were suitable reference genes for gene expression analysis in AP induced in Syrian hamster.

Cause or Coincidence: A Case of Necrotizing Pancreatitis in the Setting of Herpes Simplex Virus Infection

This study explores a rare occurrence of acute pancreatitis induced by herpes simplex virus (HSV) in an immunocompetent adult. The patient, initially diagnosed with pancreatitis presumed to be gallstone-related, exhibited persistent symptoms and elevated lipase levels. Endoscopic ultrasound revealed necrotizing pancreatitis without stones, prompting suspicion of an atypical cause. Subsequent serology confirmed acute HSV infection. This case underscores the importance of considering viral etiologies in atypical pancreatitis cases, especially when hepatitis coexists. The study contributes to the limited literature on HSV-induced pancreatitis in immunocompetent individuals, emphasizing the significance of early recognition and appropriate management in the absence of typical risk factors.

Predictors of Pancreatitis Among Patients with Inflammatory Bowel Disease Treated with Vedolizumab: Observation from a Large Global Safety Database

BACKGROUND

Patients with inflammatory bowel diseases (IBDs) are at increased risk of pancreatitis. Data from a global safety database (GSD) were queried to identify risk factors for pancreatitis in vedolizumab-treated patients with IBD.

METHODS

Takeda's GSD was retrospectively queried for case reports (CRs) of adverse events (AEs) following vedolizumab treatment, from licensure (May 20, 2014) through March 31, 2021. Unsolicited and solicited CRs of pancreatitis were coded using the Medical Dictionary for Regulatory Activities (MedDRA) High-Level Term "Acute and chronic pancreatitis." To examine factors associated with severe pancreatitis, serious CRs (serious AEs [SAEs]) were compared with SAEs from a comparator group of 600 random non-pancreatitis AEs. Comparisons were performed using t, χ2, and Fisher's exact tests. Logistic regression was performed to adjust for covariates allowing backward selection.

RESULTS

In total, 196 patients reported pancreatitis in > 700,000 patient-years of vedolizumab exposure. Pancreatitis was serious in 195 patients (99.5%), and non-pancreatitis AEs were serious in 195 of 600 (32.5%) in the random comparator group. In the pancreatitis group, 17 patients (8.7%) had a known history of pancreatitis versus none in the random comparator group. Younger age, vedolizumab indication of ulcerative colitis, concomitant medications (with a risk for pancreatitis), pancreatitis history, and comorbid conditions (especially ongoing pancreatitis) were associated with development of severe pancreatitis.

CONCLUSIONS

These analyses identified factors associated with pancreatitis SAEs in patients with IBD treated with vedolizumab, but do not suggest an increased risk of pancreatitis with vedolizumab. These findings will help inform which patients treated for IBD might have an elevated risk, regardless of treatment.

Incidence and prognostic role of pleural effusion in patients with acute pancreatitis: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Pleural effusion (PE) is reported as a common complication in acute pancreatitis (AP), while the incidence of PE in AP varies widely among studies, and the association between PE and mortality is not clear. This study aimed to comprehensively analyze the pooled incidence of PE in patients with AP and to evaluate the influence of PE on mortality through a meta-analysis.

METHOD

Six databases (PubMed, Web of Science, EMBASE, Cochrane, Scopus, and OVID) were searched thoroughly for relevant studies. Data were extracted, and Stata SE 16.0 software was applied to compute the pooled incidence of PE and assess the association between PE and mortality, taking the risk ratio (RR) as the effect size.

RESULTS

Thirty-five articles involving 7,675 patients with AP were eventually included in this meta-analysis. The pooled incidence of PE was 34% (95% CI: 28%-39%), with significant heterogeneity among studies (I2=96.7%). Further analysis revealed that the pooled incidence of unilateral and small PE occupied 49% (95% CI: 21%-77%) and 59% (95% CI: 38%-81%) of AP patients complicated by PE, respectively. The subgroup analysis revealed that "region" and "examination method" may contribute to heterogeneity. PE may be associated with increased mortality in AP patients (RR 3.99, 95% CI: 1.73-9.2).

CONCLUSION

This study suggested that PE is a common complication with high pooled incidence and that PE may be associated with increased mortality in AP patients. More studies should be performed to validate our findings.

Microenvironment of pancreatic inflammation: calling for nanotechnology for diagnosis and treatment

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a common and life-threatening digestive disorder. However, its diagnosis and treatment are still impeded by our limited understanding of its etiology, pathogenesis, and clinical manifestations, as well as by the available detection methods. Fortunately, the progress of microenvironment-targeted nanoplatforms has shown their remarkable potential to change the status quo. The pancreatic inflammatory microenvironment is typically characterized by low pH, abundant reactive oxygen species (ROS) and enzymes, overproduction of inflammatory cells, and hypoxia, which exacerbate the pathological development of AP but also provide potential targeting sites for nanoagents to achieve early diagnosis and treatment. This review elaborates the various potential targets of the inflammatory microenvironment of AP and summarizes in detail the prospects for the development and application of functional nanomaterials for specific targets. Additionally, it presents the challenges and future trends to develop multifunctional targeted nanomaterials for the early diagnosis and effective treatment of AP, providing a valuable reference for future research.

Prospective multicentre study of indications for surgery in patients with idiopathic acute pancreatitis following endoscopic ultrasonography (PICUS)

BACKGROUND

Cholecystectomy in patients with idiopathic acute pancreatitis (IAP) is controversial. A randomized trial found cholecystectomy to reduce the recurrence rate of IAP but did not include preoperative endoscopic ultrasonography (EUS). As EUS is effective in detecting gallstone disease, cholecystectomy may be indicated only in patients with gallstone disease. This study aimed to determine the diagnostic value of EUS in patients with IAP, and the rate of recurrent pancreatitis in patients in whom EUS could not determine the aetiology (EUS-negative IAP).

METHODS

This prospective multicentre cohort study included patients with a first episode of IAP who underwent outpatient EUS. The primary outcome was detection of aetiology by EUS. Secondary outcomes included adverse events after EUS, recurrence of pancreatitis, and quality of life during 1-year follow-up.

RESULTS

After screening 957 consecutive patients with acute pancreatitis from 24 centres, 105 patients with IAP were included and underwent EUS. In 34 patients (32 per cent), EUS detected an aetiology: (micro)lithiasis and biliary sludge (23.8 per cent), chronic pancreatitis (6.7 per cent), and neoplasms (2.9 per cent); 2 of the latter patients underwent pancreatoduodenectomy. During 1-year follow-up, the pancreatitis recurrence rate was 17 per cent (12 of 71) among patients with EUS-negative IAP versus 6 per cent (2 of 34) among those with positive EUS. Recurrent pancreatitis was associated with poorer quality of life.

CONCLUSION

EUS detected an aetiology in a one-third of patients with a first episode of IAP, requiring mostly cholecystectomy or pancreatoduodenectomy. The role of cholecystectomy in patients with EUS-negative IAP remains uncertain and warrants further study.

COVID-19 and Acute Pancreatitis: Not Increased Risk but Reduced Care

Background and aim: Over the last few years, SARS-CoV-2 has been reported as a possible cause of acute pancreatitis (AP), but whether it is a relevant clinical–epidemiological entity is still a matter of debate. We aim to evaluate the epidemiological characteristics of AP during the first year of the COVID pandemic (2020) and compare them with the pre-COVID period (2008–2019) to identify any differences and clarify a potential causative role of SARS-CoV-2. Methods: We used a monocentric retrospective study of 132 AP patients during 2020 and 1987 AP patients during 2008–2019. Diagnosis and severity were classified according to the revised Atlanta criteria. Propensity score matching was performed according to clinical–epidemiological features, and outcome analysis was performed on two subgroups of 109 patients. Results: The total number of AP cases in 2020 is one of the lowest in the last 13 years (132 cases, median 161, IQR 146-183). No major epidemiological differences were noted. During 2020, we observed a significant modification of the distribution of etiologies (p < 0.001), mainly based on a decrease in biliary forms (59.6% vs. 43.2%) and an increase in alcoholic forms (6.9% vs. 12.9%). Idiopathic forms remain unchanged (20.5% vs. 21.9%). The proportion of AP of idiopathic etiology and SARS-CoV-2 infection was 0.008%. There were no differences in terms of severity distribution (p = 0.127), length of stay (p = 0.916), need for ICU (p = 0.139), or mortality (p = 0.462). Even among statistically matched groups, there were no differences between the length of stay (9 vs. 10 days, p = 0.890), need for ICU admission (1.8% vs. 3.7%, p = 0.683), or in-hospital mortality (0 vs. 1.8%, p = 0.342). Conclusions: The lower AP diagnoses indicate delayed and likely missed diagnoses, probably because of both hesitancy and organizational problems during the pandemic. The unchanged proportion of idiopathic forms supports the hypothesis that SARS-CoV-2 is not an AP trigger.

Natural Course of Common Bile Duct Microlithiasis

BACKGROUND

Common bile duct microlithiasis (CBDM) with a diameter of ≤ 3 mm can pass spontaneously without causing any symptoms, but in some cases, it can also cause severe cholangitis and pancreatitis. The optimal strategy for managing CBDM is yet to be determined.

METHODS

Data of 154 patients with CBDM were collected and divided into two groups: with endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (with ERCP, n = 82) and without ERCP (n = 72). Clinical outcomes, including the incidence of unfavorable outcomes (UOs), such as cholangitis and pancreatitis, were observed and compared between the two groups.

RESULTS

The incidence of UOs was significantly lower in the ERCP group than in the without ERCP group (3.7% vs. 23.6%, respectively, p < 0.001). Moreover, the total number of readmissions was also lower in the ERCP group than in the without ERCP group (p < 0.001). A multivariate analysis adjusted for age, sex, and the American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) class revealed that endoscopic sphincterotomy (EST) and cholecystectomy were associated with a lower risk of UOs.

CONCLUSION

The high rate of UOs in CBDM patients without ERCP suggests that its natural clinical course may not be as favorable as previously suggested. This finding implies that efforts should be made to clear the bile ducts.

Genotype 4 HEV infection triggers the initiation and development of acute pancreatitis

The role of HEV infection in AP remains unclear. 1000 patients with AP and 1000 HCs were enrolled, and pancreatitis was evaluated in HEV-infected rhesus macaques. The positive rates of anti-HEV IgG, IgM, and HEV RNA in the AP patients were significantly higher than HCs. With the increase in the severity of AP, the percentage of HEV infection increased. AP patients were divided into AP- and AP + AHE groups. The percentage of severe AP in the AP + AHE group was significantly higher than in the AP- group. HEV infection was one of the main independent risk factors and had high predictive power for AP outcomes. A high level of HEV titer would prolong the recovery time and increase the risk of recurrent AP. Moreover, AP + AHE patients receiving conservative treatment showed a better prognosis. Furthermore, HEV can replicate in the pancreas of rhesus macaques. The pancreatic islet structure was damaged, the tissue was loose after 272 dpi, and a large amount of hyperemia appeared after 770 dpi. HEV infection also caused a large number of inflammatory cells in the pancreas. The pancreas and liver had a comparable viral load. HEV infection affects AP's occurrence, development, and prognosis.

Low molecular weight heparin decreases mortality and major complication rates in moderately severe and severe acute pancreatitis-a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Routine anticoagulation therapy in acute pancreatitis (AP) is not recommended by the guidelines in the field, although it is frequently used in clinical practice.

Objectives

We aimed to analyze the efficacy and safety of adding anticoagulants therapy to AP management.

Methods

The systematic search was performed in three databases on the 14th of October 2022 without restrictions. Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and observational studies that reported the differences in the outcomes of AP for patients receiving anticoagulants (intervention group) in addition to the standard of care (SOC), compared to patients managed by SOC alone (control group), were eligible. A random-effects model was used to calculate the pooled odds ratios (OR) and mean differences (MD) with the corresponding 95%-confidence intervals (CI). We performed subgroup analysis for study design and disease severity, among other criteria.

Results

Of the 8,223 screened records, we included eight in the meta-analysis. Except one, all studies reported on low-molecular-weight heparin (LMWH). Both RCTs and observational studies reported results in favor of the LMWH group. Subgroup RCTs' analysis revealed significantly decreased odds of mortality [OR 0.24; 95%CI 0.17-0.34] and multiple organ failure [OR 0.32; 95%CI 0.17-0.62] in the intervention group. Moreover, the need for endoscopic or surgical interventions [OR 0.41; 95%CI 0.28-0.61] were significantly reduced by LMWH. The subgroup analyzes for moderate and severe cases, respectively, yielded similar results. Due to limited data, we could no perform subgroup analysis for mild cases.

Conclusion

LMWH therapy reduces major complication rates in moderate and severe AP. Across all identified RCTs, LMWH were initiated early after AP diagnosis and improved its prognosis.