Estimates of mortality associated with seasonal influenza for the European Union from the GLaMOR project

Association between the anion gap and mortality in critically ill patients with influenza: A cohort study

Introduction

Influenza is an important global health concern, particularly in critically ill patients. The anion gap, a marker of metabolic acidosis, is associated with mortality in various critical illnesses. However, its association with mortality in critically ill patients with influenza remains unclear. This study investigated the association between the anion gap on admission and 28-day mortality in critically ill patients with influenza.

Methods

A retrospective cohort study was conducted using data from MIMIC-IV database. Patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) with influenza were included. The anion gap was measured within the first 24 h of ICU admission. The primary outcome was the 28-day mortality. The secondary outcomes were 60-day mortality and in-hospital mortality. Multivariable Cox regression was used to assess the association between the anion gap and mortality.

Results

A total of 276 critically ill patients with influenza were included in the study. The mean age was 65 years, and 60 % were male. The overall 28-day mortality was 15.5 %. A greater anion gap on admission was associated with significantly increased 28-day mortality in the unadjusted analysis (hazard ratio [HR], 1.11; 95 % confidence interval [CI], 1.03-1.2; p < 0.001). The association remained significant after adjusting for age, sex, race, and illness severity (adjusted HR, 1.09; 95 % CI, 1.02-1.17; p = 0.017). Subgroup analysis showed consistent results across the different groups.

Conclusion

A greater anion gap on admission was independently associated with increased 28-day mortality in critically ill patients with influenza. These findings suggest that the anion gap can be used as a prognostic marker in patients with influenza, aiding in risk stratification and guiding clinical management.

Safety and immunogenicity of the intranasal H3N2 M2-deficient single-replication influenza vaccine alone or coadministered with an inactivated influenza vaccine (Fluzone High-Dose Quadrivalent) in adults aged 65-85 years in the USA: a multicentre, randomised, double-blind, double-dummy, phase 1b trial

BACKGROUND

Older adults (aged ≥65 years) show increased susceptibility to severe disease with influenza virus infection, accounting for 70-85% of annual influenza-related fatalities in the USA. Stimulating mucosal antibodies and T cells might enhance the low vaccine effectiveness seen in older adults for currently licensed inactivated influenza vaccines, which induce mainly serum antibodies. We aimed to evaluate the safety and immunogenicity of the intranasal H3N2 M2-deficient single-replication (M2SR) vaccine, alone or coadministered with a licensed inactivated influenza vaccine (Fluzone High-Dose Quadrivalent; hereafter referred to as Fluzone HD), in older adults.

METHODS

In this multicentre, randomised, double-blind, double-dummy, phase 1b trial, individuals aged 65-85 years who were considered healthy or with stable chronic conditions with no recent (<6 months) influenza vaccinations were recruited from five clinical trial sites in the USA and randomly assigned (3:3:3:1) using a permuted block design to receive the H3N2 M2SR vaccine and Fluzone HD, the H3N2 M2SR vaccine and placebo, Fluzone HD and placebo, or placebo alone. All participants received a single intranasal spray and a single intramuscular injection, whether active or placebo, to maintain masking. The primary outcome was to assess the safety of H3N2 M2SR, administered alone or with Fluzone HD, in the safety analysis set, which included all participants who were randomly assigned and received treatment. Serum and mucosal antibodies were assessed as a secondary endpoint, and cell-mediated immunity as an exploratory endpoint, in participants in the per-protocol population, which included individuals in the safety analysis set without major protocol deviations. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT05163847.

FINDINGS

Between June 14 and Sept 15, 2022, 305 participants were enrolled and randomly assigned to receive the H3N2 M2SR vaccine plus placebo (n=89), H3N2 M2SR vaccine plus Fluzone HD (n=94), Fluzone HD plus placebo (n=92), or placebo alone (n=30). All randomly assigned participants were included in the safety analysis set. The most frequently reported local symptoms up to day 8 in groups that received M2SR were rhinorrhoea (43% [38 of 89] in the H3N2 M2SR plus placebo group and 38% [36 of 94] in the H3N2 M2SR plus Fluzone HD group), nasal congestion (51% [45 of 89] and 35% [33 of 94]), and injection-site pain (8% [seven of 89] and 49% [46 of 94]), and the most frequently reported solicited systemic symptoms were sore throat (28% [25 of 89]) for M2SR and decreased activity (26% [24 of 94]) for the M2SR plus Fluzone HD group. In the Fluzone HD plus placebo group, the most frequently reported local symptom was injection-site pain (48% [44 of 92]) and systemic symptom was muscle aches (22% [20 of 92]). The frequency of participants with any treatment-emergent adverse event related to vaccination was low across all groups (2-5%). One serious adverse event was reported, in a participant in the Fluzone HD plus placebo group. M2SR with Fluzone HD induced seroconversion (≥four-fold increase in haemagglutination inhibition antibodies from baseline to day 29) in 44 (48%) of 91 participants, compared with 28 (31%) of 90 participants who seroconverted in the Fluzone HD plus placebo group (p=0·023). M2SR with Fluzone HD also induced mucosal and cellular immune responses.

INTERPRETATION

The H3N2 M2SR vaccine coadministered with Fluzone HD in older adults was well tolerated and provided enhanced immunogenicity compared with Fluzone HD administered alone, suggesting potential for improved efficacy of influenza vaccination in this age group. Additional studies are planned to assess efficacy.

FUNDING

US Department of Defense.

Enhanced Safety Surveillance of GSK's Inactivated Quadrivalent Seasonal Influenza Vaccine in Belgium, Germany, and Spain During the 2022/2023 Influenza Season

BACKGROUND

Seasonal influenza is prevented through annual vaccination, especially in children and older adults. These vaccines are annually updated based on World Health Organization recommendations and require continuous safety monitoring.

OBJECTIVE

We assessed the frequency and severity of adverse events within 7 days of administering GSK's inactivated quadrivalent seasonal influenza vaccine (IIV4) in Belgium, Germany, and Spain during the 2022/2023 influenza season.

METHODS

In this enhanced safety surveillance study, adults who received GSK's IIV4 and parents/guardians/legally acceptable representatives of vaccinated children (aged 6 months-17 years) were invited to complete adverse drug reaction cards reporting adverse events within 7 days post-vaccination.

RESULTS

In total, 1332 participants (53.6% female) received at least one dose of GSK's IIV4, including 43 children who received two doses. Overall, 97.8% of adverse drug reaction cards were completed and returned in the study. All participants in Belgium were adults, while 54.7% and 7.4% in Spain and Germany, respectively, were pediatric participants aged 6 months-17 years. After Dose 1, across all age groups, 49.8% of participants reported at least one adverse event. The most common adverse events (cumulative frequency >5%) following Dose 1 were injection-site pain (37.6%), fatigue (15.0%), headache (13.2%), injection-site swelling (9.3%), myalgia (7.6%), and injection-site erythema (7.4%). Across all countries, adverse events were most common in adults aged 18-65 years (59.7%), followed by those aged 3-17 years (47.0%), >65 years (35.7%), and 6-35 months (23.5%). After Dose 2, 18.6% of participants reported at least one adverse event, with general disorders and administration site conditions again being the most frequent.

CONCLUSIONS

Across all age and risk groups for serious disease, no serious adverse events related to GSK's IIV4 were reported within 7 days post-vaccination. This study supports and confirms the acceptable safety profile of GSK's IIV4 across all recommended age groups.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov number: not applicable.

An 8-Year Prospective, Observational, Multi-centre Post-Marketing Safety Surveillance Study Conducted in South Korea (2014-2022) Following the Introduction of GSK's Inactivated Quadrivalent Seasonal Influenza Vaccine (Fluarix Tetra) for Subjects Aged 6 Months and Older

INTRODUCTION

Seasonal influenza is associated with substantial public health burden. The objective of this study was to assess the safety of inactivated quadrivalent seasonal influenza vaccine (IIV4, Fluarix Tetra, GSK, Belgium) in subjects aged ≥ 6 months in Korea.

METHODS

This prospective, observational, non-comparative, multi-centre post-marketing surveillance study was conducted in Korea in subjects aged ≥ 3 years for 6 years (2014-2020) and extended to subjects aged 6-35 months for 4 years (2018-2022). Subjects received IIV4 in routine clinical practice according to local prescribing information. Adverse events (AEs) were recorded over 21 days post-vaccination.

RESULTS

The group aged ≥ 3 years included 701 subjects (mean 31.97 years, range 3-86 years, 46.36% male), and the group aged 6-35 months included 687 subjects (mean 16.31 months, 47.02% male). In the group aged ≥ 3 years, 98 subjects (13.98%) reported 140 AEs, of which 42 events in 34 subjects (4.85%) were adverse reactions to vaccine (ARVs). Most of the ARVs were expected, mainly administration site reactions. There were seven mild unexpected ARVs. In the group aged 6-35 months, 248 AEs were reported in 149/687 subjects (21.69%). ARVs were reported in 25/687 subjects (3.64%, 29 events); one was considered unexpected. There were five serious AEs overall, none of which were considered related.

CONCLUSION

No safety concerns were found during this surveillance study of IIV4 in subjects aged ≥ 6 months in Korea. The findings of this study suggest IIV4 is safe and well tolerated for use in all age groups with a vaccine indication.

The influenza landscape and vaccination coverage in older adults during the SARS-Cov-2 pandemic: data from Several European Countries and Israel

INTRODUCTION

The Raise Awareness of Influenza Strategies in Europe (RAISE) group gathered information about the healthcare burden of influenza (hospitalizations, intensive care unit [ICU] admissions, and excess deaths), surveillance systems, and the vaccine coverage rate (VCR) in older adults in 18 European countries and Israel.

AREAS COVERED

Published medical literature and official medical documentation on the influenza disease burden in the participating countries were reviewed from 2010/11 until the 2022/23 influenza seasons. Information on the framework for monitoring the disease burden and the provision for ensuring older adults had access to vaccination in their respective countries was provided. Data on influenza VCR in older adults were collected for the 2019/20 to 2022/23 influenza seasons. Data are reported descriptively.

EXPERT OPINION

Influenza presents a significant healthcare burden in older adults. Reporting outcomes across participating countries is heterogeneous, highlighting the need for standardized approaches. Although older adults receive free influenza vaccination, vaccine uptake is highly variable among countries. Moreover, hospitalization rates remain high even in countries reporting a high VCR. Increased awareness and education on the burden of disease and the broader use of improved influenza vaccines for older adults may help reduce the disease burden on this population.

Inequalities in regional excess mortality and life expectancy during the COVID-19 pandemic in Europe

Using data for 201 regions (NUTS 2) in Europe, we examine the mortality burden of the COVID-19 pandemic and how the mortality inequalities between regions changed between 2020 and 2022. We show that over the three years of the pandemic, not only did the level of excess mortality rate change considerably, but also its geographical distribution. Focusing on life expectancy as a summary measure of mortality conditions, we find that the variance of regional life expectancy increased sharply in 2021 but returned to the pre-pandemic level in 2022. The 2021 increase was due to a much higher-than-average excess mortality in regions with lower pre-pandemic life expectancy. While the life expectancy inequality has returned to its pre-pandemic level in 2022, the observed life expectancy in almost all regions is far below that expected without the pandemic.

Cost of illness of the vaccine-preventable diseases influenza, herpes zoster and pneumococcal disease in France

BACKGROUND

The incidence of certain vaccine-preventative diseases, such as influenza, herpes zoster and pneumococcal infection, continues to be high despite the availability of vaccines, resulting in a substantial health and economic burden on society, particularly among older adults aged ≥65 years.

METHODS

A cost calculator was developed to assess the cost of illness of influenza, herpes zoster and pneumococcal disease in France. Direct medical costs related to diagnosis and treatment in the older adult population in both inpatient and outpatient settings were modelled over a 1-year time horizon. Scenario analyses were conducted to determine the impact of hospitalizations on the results by considering only influenza-attributed diagnoses.

RESULTS

In France, influenza has the highest incidence, followed by herpes zoster and pneumococcal disease. Similarly, influenza poses the greatest cost burden among all older adults, while pneumococcal disease poses the greatest cost burden among those aged 65-74 years. When considering only influenza-attributed diagnoses, the number of inpatient visits and associated costs was reduced by 63% in the overall older adult population. In the low-incidence season, the number of inpatient visits and associated costs were reduced by 69%, while in the high-incidence season, the number of inpatient visits and associated costs increased by 63%.

CONCLUSION

Influenza remains a leading vaccine-preventable disease among older adults in France, resulting in a substantial economic burden that could be prevented by increasing vaccine uptake.

Burden of Respiratory Syncytial Virus in the European Union: estimation of RSV-associated hospitalizations in children under 5 years

BACKGROUND

No overall estimate of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV)-associated hospitalizations in children aged under 5 years has been published for the European Union (EU). We aimed to estimate the RSV hospitalization burden in children aged under 5 years in EU countries and Norway, by age group.

METHODS

We collated national RSV-associated hospitalization estimates calculated using linear regression models via the RESCEU project for Denmark, England, Finland, Norway, the Netherlands, and Scotland, 2006-2018. Additional estimates were obtained from a systematic review. Using multiple imputation and nearest neighbor matching methods, we estimated overall RSV-associated hospitalizations and rates in the EU.

RESULTS

Additional estimates for 2 countries (France and Spain) were found in the literature. In the EU, an average of 245 244 (95% confidence interval [CI], 224 688-265 799) yearly hospital admissions with a respiratory infection per year were associated with RSV in children aged under 5 years, with most cases occurring among children aged under 1 year (75%). Infants aged under 2 months represented the most affected group (71.6 per 1000 children; 95% CI, 66.6-76.6).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings will help support decisions regarding prevention efforts and represent an important benchmark to understand changes in the RSV burden following the introduction of RSV immunization programs in Europe.

Estimation of the Number of Respiratory Syncytial Virus-Associated Hospitalizations in Adults in the European Union

BACKGROUND

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a major cause of lower respiratory tract infections in adults that can result in hospitalizations. Estimating RSV-associated hospitalization is critical for planning RSV-related healthcare across Europe.

METHODS

We gathered RSV-associated hospitalization estimates from the RSV Consortium in Europe (RESCEU) for adults in Denmark, England, Finland, Norway, Netherlands, and Scotland from 2006 to 2017. We extrapolated these estimates to 28 European Union (EU) countries using nearest-neighbor matching, multiple imputations, and 2 sets of 10 indicators.

RESULTS

On average, 158 229 (95% confidence interval [CI], 140 865-175 592) RSV-associated hospitalizations occur annually among adults in the EU (≥18 years); 92% of these hospitalizations occur in adults ≥65 years. Among 75-84 years, the annual average is estimated at 74 519 (95% CI, 69 923-79 115) at a rate of 2.24 (95% CI, 2.10-2.38) per 1000. Among ≥85 years, the annual average is estimated at 37 904 (95% CI, 32 444-43 363) at a rate of 2.99 (95% CI, 2.56-3.42).

CONCLUSIONS

Our estimates of RSV-associated hospitalizations in adults are the first analysis integrating available data to provide the disease burden across the EU. Importantly, for a condition considered in the past to be primarily a disease of young children, the average annual hospitalization estimate in adults was lower but of a similar magnitude to the estimate in young children (0-4 years): 158 229 (95% CI, 140 865-175 592) versus 245 244 (95% CI, 224 688-265 799).

From respiratory diseases to nervous system disorders: Unraveling the certified causes of influenza-associated deaths in Poland from 2000 to 2019

Background

This study aims to accurately estimate influenza-associated deaths in Poland and their certified cause of death, due to significant discrepancies between official numbers and expected impact.

Methods

Excess influenza-associated mortality in Poland from 2000 to 2019 was calculated using Seasonal-Trend Decomposition Procedure based on LOESS (STL), which can detect non-linear trends and non-sinusoidal cycles. Excess mortality was then used as an explanatory variable in a model predicting monthly fluctuations of officially recorded causes of death from 2010 to 2019.

Results

A total of 142,000 conservative estimates of influenza-associated deaths were identified, representing 1.86% of overall mortality. Only 0.61% of influenza-associated deaths were officially recorded as influenza. Nearly half of certified influenza deaths were attributed to the seasonal baseline mortality, potentially doubling estimated impact based solely on influenza peaks. Influenza-associated deaths were frequently recorded as respiratory diseases (24.36%), with majority attributed to underlying conditions such as cardiovascular diseases (45.31%), cancer (9.06%), or diabetes (2.66%). Influenza-associated deaths were more commonly certified as nervous system diseases (1.84%) or mental disorders (1.04%), rather than influenza itself. There was a noticeable impact of influenza on secondary infections, such as meningococcal and gastrointestinal infections.

Conclusion

These findings highlight the importance of improved estimation for informing public health policy decisions.

Influenza hospitalisations in Spain between the last influenza and COVID-19 pandemic (2009-2019)

Knowing the burden of severe disease caused by influenza is essential for disease risk communication, to understand the true impact of vaccination programmes and to guide public health and disease control measures. We estimated the number of influenza-attributable hospitalisations in Spain during the 2010-2011 to 2019-2020 seasons - based on the hospitalisations due to severe acute respiratory infection (SARI) in Spain using the hospital discharge database and virological influenza information from the Spanish Influenza Sentinel Surveillance System (SISSS). The weekly numbers of influenza-attributable hospitalisations were calculated by multiplying the weekly SARI hospitalisations by the weekly influenza virus positivity, obtained from the SISSS in each season, stratified by age group and sex. The influenza-related hospitalisation burden is age-specific and varies significantly by influenza season. People aged 65 and over yielded the highest average influenza-attributable hospitalisation rates per season (615.6 per 100,000), followed by children aged under 5 (251.2 per 100,000). These results provide an essential contribution to influenza control and to improving existing vaccination programmes, as well as to the optimisation and planning of health resources and policies.

Contributions of cost-effectiveness analyses (CEA) to influenza vaccination policy for older adults in Europe

This review describes the importance of economic evaluations and real-world evidence (RWE) for the assessment of enhanced influenza vaccines for older adults in Europe. Individuals ≥65 years of age are at increased risk of severe influenza outcomes and many countries in Europe recommend enhanced vaccines for this population to mitigate immunosenescence. Some National Immunization Technical Advisory Groups (NITAGs) may preferentially recommend a specific enhanced vaccine, necessitating comparative economic evaluation and estimation of relative vaccine effectiveness between enhanced vaccine options in the absence of direct head-to-head efficacy data. Distinct approaches to economic modeling and cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) guide national vaccination policies in Europe, including how underlying data, such as RWE, are used in these models. RWE is an important evidence source for input into CEA models based on disease factors (e.g., antigenic shift and seasonal variation) and practical factors (e.g., limitations of performing multiple randomized clinical trials to capture seasonal variation; the need to obtain relevant patient-oriented, real-world endpoints, such as hospitalizations). CEA is considered crucial to vaccine assessment among certain countries in Europe, but further harmonization of economic evaluations, including the use of RWE, across NITAGs in Europe may be of benefit, alongside standardized approaches for vaccine appraisal. In the future, more countries may use RWE as an input in CEA models to support NITAG recommendations for enhanced influenza vaccines in older populations, especially considering the value of RWE for the assessment of influenza epidemiology and vaccine effectiveness as stated by the World Health Organization, and the availability of a broad RWE base for certain enhanced vaccines.

Effect of Primary Care Center Characteristics, Healthcare Worker Vaccination Status and Patient Economic Setting on Patient Influenza Vaccination Coverage Rates

BACKGROUND

Reaching the public health organizations targets of influenza vaccination in at-risk patient groups remains a challenge worldwide. Recognizing the relationship between the healthcare system characteristics and the economic environment of the population with vaccination uptake can be of great importance to improve.

METHODS

Several characteristics were correlated in this retrospective ecological study with data from 6.8 million citizens, 15,812 healthcare workers across 258 primary care health centers, and average income by area of the care center in Spain.

RESULTS

No correlation between HCW vaccination status and patient vaccination was found. A weak negative significant correlation between the size of the population the care center covers and their vaccination status did exist (6 mo.-59 yr., r = 0.19, p = 0.002; 60-64 yr., r = 0.23, p < 0.001; ≥65 yr., r = 0.23, p ≥ 0.001). The primary care centers with fewer HCWs had better uptake in the at-risk groups in the age groups of 60-64 yr. (r = 0.20, p = 0.002) and ≥65 (r = 0.023, p ≥ 0.001). A negative correlation was found regarding workload in the 6 mo.-59 yr. age group (r = 0.18, p = 0.004), which showed the at-risk groups that lived in the most economically deprived areas were more likely to be vaccinated.

CONCLUSIONS

This study reveals that the confounding variables that determine influenza vaccination in a population and in HCWs are complex. Future influenza campaigns should address these especially considering the possibility of combining influenza and SARS-CoV-2 vaccines each year.

Enhanced safety surveillance of GSK's quadrivalent seasonal influenza vaccine in Germany and Spain (2021/2022 season) using an electronic patient‐reported outcome system for vaccine safety remote monitoring

Background

Seasonal influenza epidemics are managed through vaccination each winter in the European Union, to prevent infections, complications, and deaths. As circulating virus strains vary unpredictably, vaccines are reformulated annually, and their safety monitored rapidly and continuously at the start of each season, following European Medicines Agency guidelines.Seasonal influenza epidemics are managed through vaccination each winter in the European Union, to prevent infections, complications, and deaths. As circulating virus strains vary unpredictably, vaccines are reformulated annually, and their safety monitored rapidly and continuously at the start of each season, following European Medicines Agency guidelines.

Methods

This enhanced safety surveillance study assessed pre‐specified and other adverse events (AEs) occurring within 7 days of GSK's inactivated quadrivalent seasonal influenza vaccine (IIV4) in children and adults in Spain and Germany. As the study was conducted during the COVID‐19 pandemic (2021/2022 season), data were collected electronically, using a web portal or call center.

Results

Safety was assessed in 737 participants (median age 49 and 9 years in Germany and Spain, respectively, 19.3% with a chronic medical condition). After Dose 1 and Dose 2, respectively, 332 (45.1%) and 5 (26.3%) participants reported at least one AE, primarily pre‐specified AEs. The most common AEs after Dose 1 (adults and children) were injection site pain, swelling or erythema, headache, and fatigue. After Dose 2 (in children), the most common AEs were injection site pain, rhinorrhea, fatigue, and decreased appetite. No new or unexpected safety issues were identified.

Conclusion

This study supports and confirms the safety profile of GSK's IIV4 in all age groups with a vaccine indication. The new electronic safety reporting method (with response rates of 75.4% following Dose 1 and 100% following Dose 2) provides an alternative for future studies to reduce the burden on sites or in case site visits are not feasible.

Enhanced passive safety surveillance of the MF59-adjuvanted quadrivalent influenza vaccine in the elderly during the 2021/22 influenza season

In accordance with European directives, each year the enhanced safety surveillance (ESS) of seasonal influenza vaccines should be conducted in order to detect any potential increase in reactogenicity when the vaccine composition is updated or a new formulation becomes available. The objective of this passive ESS (EPSS) was to assess the frequency of spontaneously reported adverse events (AEs) following vaccination with the 2021/22 formulation of the MF59-adjuvanted quadrivalent influenza vaccine (aQIV) among older adults in Italy through the collection of data within a short time period (start of seasonal influenza vaccination) in order to monitor the reactogenicity of aQIV early in the season. All AEs reported within seven days following vaccination were analyzed by type and seriousness. In all, 1,059 vaccination cards were distributed to individuals aged ≥65 years. Only one, non-serious, spontaneous individual case safety report was submitted, yielding an overall rate of 0.9 per 1,000 doses administered. This report consisted of a reactogenic AE of pyrexia. The EPSS confirmed that the reactogenicity profile of aQIV was consistent with the known safety profile of the previous trivalent formulation. These optimal safety data could bolster public confidence in influenza vaccination and help to improve vaccination coverage.

Excess hospitalizations and mortality associated with seasonal influenza in Spain, 2008-2018

BACKGROUND

Influenza may trigger complications, particularly in at-risk groups, potentially leading to hospitalization or death. However, due to lack of routine testing, influenza cases are infrequently coded with influenza-specific diagnosis. Statistical models using influenza activity as an explanatory variable can be used to estimate annual hospitalizations and deaths associated with influenza. Our study aimed to estimate the clinical and economic burden of severe influenza in Spain, considering such models.

METHODS

The study comprised ten epidemic seasons (2008/2009-2017/2018) and used two approaches: (i) a direct method of estimating the seasonal influenza hospitalization, based on the number of National Health Service hospitalizations with influenza-specific International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes (ICD-9: 487-488; ICD-10: J09-J11), as primary or secondary diagnosis; (ii) an indirect method of estimating excess hospitalizations and deaths using broader groups of ICD codes in time-series models, computed for six age groups and four groups of diagnoses: pneumonia or influenza (ICD-9: 480-488, 517.1; ICD-10: J09-J18), respiratory (ICD-9: 460-519; ICD-10: J00-J99), respiratory or cardiovascular (C&R, ICD-9: 390-459, 460-519; ICD-10: I00-I99, J00-J99), and all-cause. Means, excluding the H1N1pdm09 pandemic (2009/2010), are reported in this study.

RESULTS

The mean number of hospitalizations with a diagnosis of influenza per season was 13,063, corresponding to 28.1 cases per 100,000 people. The mean direct annual cost of these hospitalizations was €45.7 million, of which 65.7% was generated by patients with comorbidities. Mean annual influenza-associated C&R hospitalizations were estimated at 34,894 (min: 16,546; max: 52,861), corresponding to 75.0 cases per 100,000 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 63.3-86.3) for all ages and 335.3 (95% CI: 293.2-377.5) in patients aged ≥ 65 years. We estimate 3.8 influenza-associated excess C&R hospitalizations for each hospitalization coded with an influenza-specific diagnosis in patients aged ≥ 65 years. The mean direct annual cost of the estimated excess C&R hospitalizations was €142.9 million for all ages and €115.9 million for patients aged ≥ 65 years. Mean annual influenza-associated all-cause mortality per 100,000 people was estimated at 27.7 for all ages.

CONCLUSIONS

Results suggest a relevant under-detected burden of influenza mostly in the elderly population, but not neglectable in younger people.

Understanding the Barriers and Attitudes toward Influenza Vaccine Uptake in the Adult General Population: A Rapid Review

Influenza is a common respiratory infection associated with a substantial clinical, humanistic, and economic burden globally. Vaccines are essential to prevent and control influenza and are recommended by public-health agencies, such as the WHO and US CDC; however, vaccination rates vary considerably across the globe. This review aimed to investigate the perceived barriers and attitudes to influenza vaccination in the global population, in order to identify strategies that may improve influenza vaccination coverage. A structured literature search was undertaken to identify studies that reported on patient-reported attitudes towards influenza vaccination, focused on the adult general population in 16 prespecified countries. Eighty studies were included in this review. Negative attitude towards healthcare were found to be the most agreed upon barrier to vaccine uptake (31.1% agreement). The most agreed promoter of influenza vaccination was trust in healthcare services (62.0% agreement). Approximately 50% of participants intended to receive the influenza vaccine in the following season. To improve influenza vaccination coverage, healthcare workers must strengthen the foundation of substantial trust in healthcare services and provide educational materials that improve influenza vaccination knowledge among the adult general population.

Cost-effectiveness of influenza vaccination with a high dose quadrivalent vaccine of the elderly population in Belgium, Finland, and Portugal

BACKGROUND

Seasonal influenza may result in severe outcomes, resulting in a significant increase of hospitalizations during the winter. To improve the protection provided by the standard dose influenza quadrivalent vaccine (SDQIV), a high-dose vaccine (HDQIV) has been developed specifically for adults aged 60 and older who are at higher risk of life-threatening complications.

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to determine the cost-effectiveness of HD QIV vs. SD-QIV in the recommended population of three European countries: Belgium, Finland and Portugal.

METHODS

A cost-utility analysis comparing HDQIV vs. SDQIV was conducted using a decision tree estimating health outcomes conditional on influenza: cases, general practitioner and emergency department visits, hospitalizations and deaths. To account for the full benefit of the vaccine, an additional outcome-hospitalizations attributable to influenza-was also evaluated. Demographic, epidemiological and economic inputs were based on the respective local data. HDQIV relative vaccine efficacy vs. SDQIV was obtained from a phase IV efficacy randomized clinical trial. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) were computed for each country, and a probabilistic sensitivity analysis (1,000 simulations per country) was performed to assess the robustness of the results.

RESULTS

In the base case analysis, HDQIV resulted in improved health outcomes (visits, hospitalizations, and deaths) compared to SDQIV. The ICERs computed were 1,397, 9,581, and 15,267 €/QALY, whereas the PSA yielded 100, 100, and 84% of simulations being cost-effective at their respective willingness-to-pay thresholds, for Belgium, Finland, and Portugal, respectively.

CONCLUSION

In three European countries with different healthcare systems, HD-QIV would contribute to a significant improvement in the prevention of influenza health outcomes while being cost-effective.

Vaccination Strategies against Seasonal Influenza in Long Term Care Setting: Lessons from a Mathematical Modelling Study

BACKGROUND

seasonal influenza in nursing homes is a major public health concern, since in EU 43,000 long term care (LTC) facilities host an estimated 2.9 million elderly residents. Despite specific vaccination campaigns, many outbreaks in such institutions are occasionally reported. We explored the dynamics of seasonal influenza starting from real data collected from a nursing home located in Italy and a mathematical model. Our aim was to identify the best vaccination strategy to minimize cases (and subsequent complications) among the guests.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

after producing the contact matrices with surveys of both the health care workers (HCW) and the guests, we developed a mathematical model of the disease. The model consists of a classical SEIR part describing the spreading of the influenza in the general population and a stochastic agent based model that formalizes the dynamics of the disease inside the institution. After a model fit of a baseline scenario, we explored the impact of varying the HCW and guests parameters (vaccine uptake and vaccine efficacy) on the guest attack rates (AR) of the nursing home.

RESULTS

the aggregate AR of influenza like illness in the nursing home was 36.4% (ward1 = 56%, ward2 = 33.3%, ward3 = 31.7%, ward4 = 34.5%). The model fit to data returned a probability of infection of the causal contact of 0.3 and of the shift change contact of 0.2. We noticed no decreasing or increasing AR trend when varying the HCW vaccine uptake and efficacy parameters, whereas the increase in both guests vaccine efficacy and uptake parameter was accompanied by a slight decrease in AR of all the wards of the LTC facility.

CONCLUSION

from our findings we can conclude that a nursing home is still an environment at high risk of influenza transmission but the shift change room and the handover situation carry no higher relative risk. Therefore, additional preventive measures in this circumstance may be unnecessary. In a closed environment such as a LTC facility, the vaccination of guests, rather than HCWs, may still represent the cornerstone of an effective preventive strategy. Finally, we think that the extensive inclusion of real life data into mathematical models is promising and may represent a starting point for further applications of this methodology.

Focus group study on perceptions and information needs regarding vaccines targeting the older population: a cross-country comparison in four European countries

The increasing life expectancy leads to more older adults suffering from infectious diseases. Vaccines are available against diverse infections such as influenza, pneumococcal disease, herpes zoster and tetanus. However, vaccine acceptance is crucial for optimal preventive effect. The objective of the study is to perform a cross-country analysis of the perceptions and decision-making behaviour of older adults regarding vaccinations and their information needs. Focus groups with older adults were conducted in four countries: France, Hungary, Italy and the Netherlands. Data were analysed using thematic analysis. Demographic characteristics of participants were gathered with a questionnaire. Influenza and tetanus vaccines were commonly known, as was the disease influenza. On the contrary, the awareness of the vaccines against pneumococcal disease and herpes zoster were low. Participants also expressed a need for more information on vaccines, such as possible side effects, contra-indications and duration of protection, emphasizing that information is a condition for decision-making on vaccination. General practitioners were found to be the most important in information provision on vaccines. Perceptions on vaccines, such as effectiveness, side effects and safety, as well as perceptions on infectious diseases, such as severity, susceptibility and experiencing an infectious disease, played a role in the decision-making of older adults on vaccines. More awareness of the information needs among older adults with regard to vaccines should be raised among general practitioners and other healthcare providers. This requires appropriate knowledge about the vaccines among healthcare providers as well as communication skills to meet the information needs of older adults.

The Epidemiology of Influenza and the Associated Vaccines Development in China: A Review

Influenza prevention and control has been one of the biggest challenges encountered in the public health domain. The vaccination against influenza plays a pivotal role in the prevention of influenza, particularly for the elderly and small children. According to the epidemiology of influenza in China, the nation is under a heavy burden of this disease. Therefore, as a contribution to the prevention and control of influenza in China through the provision of relevant information, the present report discusses the production and batch issuance of the influenza vaccine, analysis of the vaccination status and vaccination rate of the influenza vaccine, and the development trend of the influenza vaccine in China.