Epidemiology of hepatitis C virus infection in an area of Southern Italy

Food Network Analysis in Non-Obese Patients with or without Steatosis

BACKGROUND

Steatosis is the most common liver disease worldwide and the leading cause of liver-associated morbidity and mortality. The aim of this study was to explore the differences in blood parameters and dietary habits in non-obese patients with and without steatosis.

METHODS

The present study included 987 participants with BMI < 30, assessed in the fourth recall of the MICOL study. Patients were divided by steatosis grade, and a validated food frequency questionnaire (FFQ) with 28 food groups was administered.

RESULTS

The prevalence of non-obese participants with steatosis was 42.86%. Overall, the results indicated many statistically significant blood parameters and dietary habits. Analysis of dietary habits revealed that non-obese people with or without steatosis had similar dietary habits, although higher daily amounts of red meat, processed meat, ready meals, and alcohol were recorded in participants with liver disease (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Many differences were found in non-obese people with and without steatosis, but in light of a network analysis, the two groups demonstrated similar dietary habits, proving that pathophysiological, genetic, and hormonal patterns are probably the basis of their liver status, regardless of weight. Future genetic analyses will be performed to analyze the expression of genes involved in the development of steatosis in our cohort.

Effects of weight change on all causes, digestive system and other causes mortality in Southern Italy: a competing risk approach

Weight change is associated with all causes of death, cardiovascular, and cancer mortality and a heterogeneous group of other causes of death. We aimed to estimate the effect of weight change on all causes and cause-specific mortality in a cohort with a high prevalence of deaths due to diseases of the digestive system.MethodsIn this prospective cohort study, 2230 subjects aged 30 to 50 years were examined. The study consisted of a 32-year longitudinal study period (January 1985 to December 2017) and mortality follow-up. Outcomes were mortality from all causes and deaths from gastrointestinal disease. Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) was evaluated to capture individual residual variation in Body Mass Index (BMI) after adjustment for baseline BMI, and the relationship of residual variation with mortality was calculated as cumulative incidence function and cause-specific hazard (CSH) rate.ResultsIn total, 793 participants died during the follow-up, 96 of them due to Digestive system causes. Magnitude of residual variation weight in the last quintile was associated with all-cause mortality (relative risk, 2.00; 95% CI, 1.54-2.59) and Digestive system causes (relative risk, 3.82; 95% CI, 1.86-7.81).ConclusionThe findings suggest an association between weight change and gastrointestinal disease mortality. Epidemiological works studying the correlation between weight change and mortality should consider this aspect.

Development and validation of a neural network for NAFLD diagnosis

Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease (NAFLD) affects about 20–30% of the adult population in developed countries and is an increasingly important cause of hepatocellular carcinoma. Liver ultrasound (US) is widely used as a noninvasive method to diagnose NAFLD. However, the intensive use of US is not cost-effective and increases the burden on the healthcare system. Electronic medical records facilitate large-scale epidemiological studies and, existing NAFLD scores often require clinical and anthropometric parameters that may not be captured in those databases. Our goal was to develop and validate a simple Neural Network (NN)-based web app that could be used to predict NAFLD particularly its absence. The study included 2970 subjects; training and testing of the neural network using a train–test-split approach was done on 2869 of them. From another population consisting of 2301 subjects, a further 100 subjects were randomly extracted to test the web app. A search was made to find the best parameters for the NN and then this NN was exported for incorporation into a local web app. The percentage of accuracy, area under the ROC curve, confusion matrix, Positive (PPV) and Negative Predicted Value (NPV) values, precision, recall and f1-score were verified. After that, Explainability (XAI) was analyzed to understand the diagnostic reasoning of the NN. Finally, in the local web app, the specificity and sensitivity values were checked. The NN achieved a percentage of accuracy during testing of 77.0%, with an area under the ROC curve value of 0.82. Thus, in the web app the NN evidenced to achieve good results, with a specificity of 1.00 and sensitivity of 0.73. The described approach can be used to support NAFLD diagnosis, reducing healthcare costs. The NN-based web app is easy to apply and the required parameters are easily found in healthcare databases.

Missed linkage to care for patients who screened positive for Hepatitis C in a tertiary care centre: Results of the Telepass project

Italy is one of the countries on track with the WHO's agenda to eliminate hepatitis C virus (HCV) by 2030. Healthcare facilities play a crucial role in seeking patients who are infected but have not yet been treated. We assessed the effectiveness of a recall strategy, named 'Telepass' project, for patients exposed to HCV infection who have not yet been linked to care in a large tertiary care centre. The 'Telepass' project was structured in two phases: (a) a retrospective analysis first identified all anti-HCV-positive subjects among patients who underwent pre-operative assessment in the facility in the course of one year; (b) a following prospective phase, aimed to recall patients in need either of further diagnostic tests (ie HCV-RNA) or treatment. A total of 12246 records of patients tested for HCV antibodies were reviewed. The overall prevalence of anti-HCV-positive subjects was 1.83% (224/12246) with a male/female ratio of 2.07. Out of the 224 anti-HCV-positive patients, 123 (54.91%) did not have documented HCV-RNA tests and were therefore selected for recall. Of these, 123 were reachable and 26 (21.13%) were successfully linked to care. Ten patients (38.46%) tested HCV-RNA positive and initiated treatment with direct-acting antivirals (DAAs). The Telepass study highlights that a recall strategy starting from internal hospital databases can help identify patients with chronic HCV infection who have not yet been linked to care, and provides an epidemiological insight into the prevalence of HCV infection in Italy in the late DAAs era.

Selecting the best machine learning algorithm to support the diagnosis of Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: A meta learner study

Background & aims

Liver ultrasound scan (US) use in diagnosing Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease (NAFLD) causes costs and waiting lists overloads. We aimed to compare various Machine learning algorithms with a Meta learner approach to find the best of these as a predictor of NAFLD.

Methods

The study included 2970 subjects, 2920 constituting the training set and 50, randomly selected, used in the test phase, performing cross-validation. The best predictors were combined to create three models: 1) FLI plus GLUCOSE plus SEX plus AGE, 2) AVI plus GLUCOSE plus GGT plus SEX plus AGE, 3) BRI plus GLUCOSE plus GGT plus SEX plus AGE. Eight machine learning algorithms were trained with the predictors of each of the three models created. For these algorithms, the percent accuracy, variance and percent weight were compared.

Results

The SVM algorithm performed better with all models. Model 1 had 68% accuracy, with 1% variance and an algorithm weight of 27.35; Model 2 had 68% accuracy, with 1% variance and an algorithm weight of 33.62 and Model 3 had 77% accuracy, with 1% variance and an algorithm weight of 34.70. Model 2 was the most performing, composed of AVI plus GLUCOSE plus GGT plus SEX plus AGE, despite a lower percentage of accuracy.

Conclusion

A Machine Learning approach can support NAFLD diagnosis and reduce health costs. The SVM algorithm is easy to apply and the necessary parameters are easily retrieved in databases.

Traditional Old Dietary Pattern of Castellana Grotte (Apulia) Is Associated with Healthy Outcomes

BACKGROUND

There is still room for further studies aimed at investigating the most widespread diets in the Mediterranean area. The objective of the study is to analyze the relation of food group intake to clinical chemical indicators of health, and also to compare the food group intake with healthy well-known diet indices.

METHODS

Lifestyle, dietary, and clinical data collected in 2005/2006 and 2012/2018 from Castellana Grotte, located in the rural area of Apulia, were analyzed. The study populations included newly recruited subjects at each time period (n = 1870) as well as subjects examined twice and compared over time regarding health indicators (n = 734). Diet was assessed through a validated food frequency questionnaire. Three healthy diet indices were calculated and related to 29 food groups. We also performed prospective regression of food group consumption with health indicators.

RESULTS

The diet over the time period of observation was very stable and consisted of a high proportion of vegetables, fruit and grains. No major changes in body mass index (BMI) and blood pressure were observed. Consumption of low-fat dairy, juices, olive oil, and water were related to reductions in weight gain, systolic blood pressure, high-density lipoprotein (HDL)-cholesterol and cholesterol (total and HDL) levels, in that order. Over the time periods we observed only a slight decrease of adherence to the Meddietscore. The correlations of the healthy diet indices with food groups revealed some differences among the indices, mostly regarding the intake of fruit and vegetables.

CONCLUSIONS

The dietary pattern of Apulia is in line with many principles of a healthy diet and the cohort population seems to be less liable to undergo a transition to a westernized diet.

The Effect of Three Mediterranean Diets on Remnant Cholesterol and Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: A Secondary Analysis

BACKGROUND

Elevated fasting remnant cholesterol (REM-C) levels have been associated with an increased cardiovascular risk in patients with metabolic syndrome (Mets) and Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease (NAFLD). We aimed to estimate the effect of different diets on REM-C levels in patients with MetS, as well as the association between NAFLD and REM-C.

METHODS

This is a secondary analysis of the MEDIDIET study, a parallel-arm Randomized Clinical Trial (RCT). We examined 237 people with MetS who underwent Liver Ultrasound (LUS) to assess the NAFLD score at baseline, 3-, and 6-months follow-up. Subjects were randomly assigned to the Mediterranean diet (MD), Low Glycemic Index diet (LGID), or Low Glycemic Index Mediterranean diet (LGIMD). REM-C was calculated as [total cholesterol-low density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C)-high density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C)].

RESULTS

REM-C levels were higher in subjects with moderate or severe NAFLD than in mild or absent ones. All diets had a direct effect in lowering the levels of REM-C after 3 and 6 months of intervention. In adherents subjects, this effect was stronger among LGIMD as compared to the control group. There was also a significant increase in REM-C levels among Severe NAFLD subjects at 3 months and a decrease at 6 months.

CONCLUSIONS

fasting REM-C level is independently associated with the grade of severity of NAFLD. LGIMD adherence directly reduced the fasting REM-C in patients with MetS.

Traditional Dietary Patterns and Risk of Mortality in a Longitudinal Cohort of the Salus in Apulia Study

There is still room for further studies analyzing the long-term health impact of specific dietary patterns observable in regions belonging to the Mediterranean area. The aim of the study is to evaluate how much a diet practiced in southern Italy is associated to a risk of mortality. The study population included 2472 participants first investigated in 1985, inquiring about their frequencies of intake of 29 foods using a self-administered questionnaire covering the previous year. The population was followed up for mortality until 31 December 2017. Cox-based risk modeling referred to single foods, food groups, the results of principal component analysis (PCA), and a priori indexes. Single food analysis revealed eggs, fatty meat, and fatty/baked ham to be inversely associated with mortality. Furthermore, one of the 5 PCA derived dietary patterns, the "Farmhouse" pattern, showed a higher hazard ratio (HR), mostly driven by dairy products. In subsequent analyses, the increased risk of mortality for fresh cheese and decreased risk for fatty ham and eggs were confirmed. The a priori diet indexes (Italian Meddiet, Meddietscore, Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension (DASH), and Mediterranean-DASH Intervention for Neurodegenerative Delay diet (MIND) indexes) showed borderline inverse relationships. In a Mediterranean population with an overall healthy diet, foods such as eggs and fatty meat, reflecting dietary energy and wealth, played a role in prolonging the life of individuals. Our study confirms that some dairy products might have a detrimental role in mortality in the Mediterranean setting.

Reducing NAFLD-screening time: A comparative study of eight diagnostic methods offering an alternative to ultrasound scans

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The use of ultrasound scan (US) in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) screening overloads US waiting lists. We hypothesized and tested a hybrid two-step method, consisting of applying a formula, to exclude subjects at low risk, before US.

METHODS

The sample included 2970 males and females (937 with NAFLD) diagnosed by US. We selected eight formulas: Fatty Liver Index (FLI), Hepatic Steatosis Index (HIS), body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), Abdominal Volume Index (AVI), waist-to-height ratio (WHtR), waist/height^0.5 (WHT.5R) and Body Roundness Index (BRI), and calculated their performance in the two-step method evaluating percentage reduction of the number of liver US (US reduction percentage), percentage of false negative and percentage of NAFLD identified.

RESULTS

The US reductions percentage were 52.2% (WHtR), 52.1% (HIS), 51.8% (FLI), 50.8% (BRI), 50.7% (BMI and WHt_5R), 46.5% (WC) and 45.2% (AVI). The false negative percentage were 8.5% (WHtR), 7.9% (BRI), 7.3% (WHt_5R), 7.2% (BMI), 6.7% (HIS), 6.6% (FLI), 5.6% (WC) and 5.2% (AVI). The best percentage of NALFD identified was obtained using AVI (83.6%) before US, then WC (82.2%), FLI (79%), HIS (78.9%), BMI (77.3%), WHt_5R (76.9%), BRI (74.8%) and WHtR (73%).

CONCLUSION

The best formula to use in two-step diagnostic NAFLD screening was AVI, which showed a low false negative rate and a higher percentage of identified NAFLD. Other studies evaluating the economic advantages of this screening method are warranted.

Declining prevalence and increasing awareness of HCV infection in Italy: A population-based survey in five metropolitan areas

BACKGROUND

Data on the prevalence of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection in Italy are outdated and usually derived from studying residents in small towns.

METHODS

To assess prevalence of and risk factors for HCV infection among Italian residents in 5 metropolitan areas, subjects ≥20 years of age were randomly selected from the list of the general practitioners' registers in 2015. Anti-HCV was tested by a salivary test; HCV-RNA, HCV genotypes, and ALT were determined in positive individuals. Logistic regression analysis evaluated independent risk factors for HCV.

RESULTS

Of the 4907 enrolled subjects, 112 (2.3%) tested anti-HCV positive. The prevalence of HCV increased with age, from 0.2% in subjects born after the year 1984, to 4.2% in those born before the year 1935 (P < 0.01). The birth-cohort prevalence peaked (7.0%) in elderly. Serum HCV-RNA was detected in 1.7% of the whole population. Nearly 80% of anti-HCV subjects were aware of their status. Age > 70 years, low education level, past use of glass syringes, blood transfusion, intravenous drug use, and cohabitation with an anti-HCV positive subject predicted the HCV positivity.

INTERPRETATION

In metropolitan areas in Italy, HCV is prevalent in elderly, reflecting a cohort effect determined by modalities of viral transmission no longer operative. The impact of the infection will further diminish in the years to come due to the natural depletion of the reservoir of the virus. This age pattern and the high proportion of subjects aware of their status do not warrant a policy of screening.

Midlife Metabolic Profile and the Risk of Late-Life Cognitive Decline

Among metabolic syndrome components, the effects of higher plasma glucose levels on cognitive decline (CD) have been considered in few studies. We evaluated the associations among midlife glycemia, total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, triglycerides, midlife insulin resistance [homeostasis model assessment for insulin resistance (HOMA-index)], and CD in the older subjects of the population-based MICOL Study (Castellana Grotte, Italy) at baseline (M1) and at follow-ups seven (M2) and twenty years later (M3). At M1, a dementia risk score and a composite cardiovascular risk score for dementia were calculated. For 797 subjects out of 833, we obtained a Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) score at M3, subdividing these subjects in three cognitive functioning subgroups: normal cognition, mild CD, and moderate-severe CD. Mean fasting glycemia at baseline was significantly higher in moderate-severe CD subgroup (114.6±71.4 mg/dl) than in the normal cognition subgroup (101.2±20.6). Adjusting for gender, age, and other metabolic components, higher fasting glycemia values both at M1 [odds ratio (OR) = 1.31; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.08-1.59] and M2 (OR = 1.26; 95% CI: 1.01-1.57) were associated with an increased risk of moderate-severe CD. Mean HOMA index value was significantly higher in the moderate-severe CD subgroup (5.7±9.4) compared to the normal cognition subgroup (2.9±1.4) at M1. The dementia risk probability (MMSE < 24) increased moving through higher categories of the dementia risk score and decreased as long as the cardiovascular score increased. The present findings highlighted the indication to control blood glucose levels, regardless of a diagnosis of diabetes mellitus, as early as midlife for prevention of late-life dementia.

Role of CLU, PICALM, and TNK1 Genotypes in Aging With and Without Alzheimer's Disease

Healthy and impaired cognitive aging may be associated to different prevalences of single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). In a multicenter case-control association study, we studied the SNPs rs11136000 (clusterin, CLU), rs541458 (phosphatidylinositol binding clatrin assembly protein, PICALM), and rs1554948 (transcription factor A, and tyrosine kinase, non-receptor, 1, TNK1) according to the three age groups 50-65 years (group 1), 66-80 years (group 2), and 80+ years (group 3) in 569 older subjects without cognitive impairment (NoCI) and 520 Alzheimer's disease (AD) patients. In NoCI subjects, a regression analysis suggested a relationship between age and TNK1 genotypes, with the TNK1-A/A genotype frequency that increased with higher age, and resulting in a different distribution of the TNK1-A allele. In AD patients, a regression analysis suggested a relationship between age and PICALM genotypes and TNK1 genotypes, with the PICALM-T/C and TNK1-A/A genotype frequencies that decreased with increasing age. A resulting difference in the distribution of PICALM-C allele and TNK1-A allele was also observed. The TNK1-A allele was overrepresented in NoCI subjects than in AD patients in age groups 2 and 3. These results confirmed after adjustment for apolipoprotein E polymorphism, which suggested a different role of PICALM and TNK1 in healthy and impaired cognitive aging. More studies, however, are needed to confirm the observed associations.

Epidemiological burden estimates for pathologies with a nonconstant risk: an application to HCV in Italy according to age, Metavir score, and genotype: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Between western European countries, the hepatitis C virus (HCV) endemic is highest in Italy. The main objective of this paper is to estimate the endemic diffusion of hepatitis C at the national level and by geographical area, with an extrapolation at the regional level and by uniform cohorts of subjects (by sex and year of birth). The secondary objective is a stratification by gravity of the estimated statistical figures to provide an overview of possible targets of the new anti-HCV treatments.PubMed and the Cochrane Library were searched for relevant Italian populations studies regarding HCV prevalence. Random and fixed effect models were used for pooling data. To develop the epidemiological model, a meta-analysis of studies of Italian populations and the explicit consideration of the changes in the etiology of the disease in different cohorts (by year of birth) of population and the impact of effective treatments that have been introduced since the 1990s. A Markovian transition model, which is based on the distribution of HCV+ and HCV Ribonucleic Acid (RNA)+ subjects, provides a plausible assessment of the Italian situation. The Meta-analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology recommendations/statements were followed.In 2014, 1569,215 HCV+ subjects (95% credible interval [CrI]: 1202,630-2021,261) were estimated in Italy, with a 2.58% prevalence (95% CrI: 1.98%-3.33%). A total of 828,884 HCV RNA+ subjects (95% CrI: 615,892-1081,123), which is equal to a 1.36% prevalence (95% CrI: 1.01%-1.78%), is higher in southern Italy and the islands (1.9%) than in central-northern Italy (1.1%). The predominance of adult and elderly subjects, with an old or very old infection, inevitably entails a significant number of HCV RNA+ subjects in the advanced stages of the illness. According to our estimates, approximately 400,000 subjects have cirrhosis, decompensated cirrhosis, and hepatocarcinoma, with a median age of 70 years.The model aims to support policymakers to define action plans by providing an estimate of both the emerged infected population and nonemerged infected population by age, gender, gravity, genotype, and geographical area. In the future, the model may contribute to simulation of the costs and outcome of different action strategies that can be adopted by health authorities.

Prevalence and risk factors of HCV infection in a metropolitan area in southern Italy: Tail of a cohort infected in past decades

Data on the prevalence of HCV infection in Italy are often outdated and from non-urban populations. This study assessed the prevalence and risk factors for HCV infection in a large metropolitan area in southern Italy. A random 1:3 systematic sample of the adult general population of Naples was selected from three general practitioner patient registers in three different city districts. Socioeconomic indicators and risk factors for HCV infection were collected. Anti-HCV and HCV-RNA assays were performed. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent predictors of HCV infection. Of 1,500 randomly selected subjects, 1,315 (87.7%) participated in the study. Forty subjects (3.0%; 95%CI: 2.1-4.0) were anti-HCV-positive, with HCV-RNA detected by PCR in 31 (77.5%) of these. Anti-HCV prevalence increased with age, peaking (8.2%) in people born during the years 1945-1955. It was 1.7% in people residing in the better socioeconomic districts; but 5.7% in those residing in the district with lower socioeconomic status (P < 0.01). In multivariate analysis, age ≥60 years (OR 2.8, 95%CI: 1.3-6.1) and lower educational level (OR 3.6; 95%CI: 1.4-9.3), which is a proxy of low socioeconomic status, were the only independent predictors of the likelihood of anti-HCV positivity. Overall, 22.5% of anti-HCV positive subjects were previously unaware of their status. In the large city of Naples, infection with HCV is most common in people aged older than 60 years. Differences in socioeconomic conditions have played an important role in the spread of this infection. HCV positive subjects born during the years 1945-1955 are those who may benefit, to a greater extent, to be identified in order to receive the new effective therapy. J. Med. Virol. 89:291-297, 2017. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

Virus C hepatitis and type 2 diabetes: a cohort study in southern Italy

OBJECTIVES

The relationship between hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection and type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM 2) is still uncertain. The objective of this study was to evaluate the association between HCV infection, measured as positivity to anti-HCV antibodies, and the incidence of DM 2 in a cohort of subjects sampled from the general population and followed up for 20 years.

METHODS

At baseline, the cohort consisted of a random sample of 2,472 subjects (72% response rate, age range 30-69 years) from the electoral register of a town in Southern Italy. The cohort subjects were examined three times: in 1985 (M1), in 1992 (M2), and in 2005 (M3). At M1, M2, and M3, each participant filled in a questionnaire and had a blood sample taken to measure blood glucose and other serum variables including glutamic pyruvic alanine aminotransferase (ALT). Anti-HCV antibodies were analyzed with standard techniques at M1 and M2. Diabetes type 2 diagnosis was a history of diabetes and/or serum glucose ≥126 mg/dl and/or treatment with insulin or hypoglycemic drugs. Logistic regression was used for multivariable data analysis.

RESULTS

Diabetes prevalence was higher in subjects with positive anti-HCV antibodies at M1 and M2, and diabetes incidence was higher in subjects with baseline positive anti-HCV antibodies at M1-M2 and lower at M2-M3. In multivariable models, controlling for gender, age, and body mass index (BMI), there was no association between incident cases of diabetes and positive anti-HCV antibodies at baseline, either at M1-M2 (odds ratio (OR) 0.73, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.43-1.22) or at M2-M3 (0.65, 0.41-1.04). HCV was associated with DM 2 only in subjects with elevated ALT (OR 0.58, 95% CI 0.31-1.08, if ALT normal; OR 1.47, 95% CI 1-2.16, if ALT elevated, controlling for age, gender, and BMI).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings, in a cohort study at population level, support an association between the presence of anti-HCV antibodies at baseline and a higher incidence of type 2 diabetes in the following 20 years only in subjects with elevated ALT.

Limited liver resection: a good indication for the treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma in elderly patients

OBJECTIVE

Hepatocellular carcinoma is often diagnosed in elderly people.

METHODS

One hundred and seventy-five patients older than 70 years were operated on for hepatocellular carcinoma (Group 1). The results were compared with 276 resected patients younger than 70 (Group 2) and to 108 aged patients with chronic liver disease without hepatocellular carcinoma (Group 3).

RESULTS

Hepatocellular carcinoma in the elderly is more frequently associated with hepatitis C virus, less frequently capsulated and less frequently diagnosed by screening programs than in young patients. After resection, no difference was noted in post-operative complications and in mortality rates (3.2%); major hepatic resection in cirrhosis carried a high risk of death (22%). Five years survival was 42%, comparable with the young surgical patients but significantly lower than the medical patients in Group 3. Recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma was the main reason of death, but it was suitable for a radical treatment in 37.6% of cases, including surgery, with a mean survival of 31 months.

CONCLUSIONS

Liver resection is a valid option for the treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma in the elderly; major resections in cirrhotic old patients must be reserved for selected cases. Recurrence may be suitable of a radical approach, including surgery.

A systematic review of hepatitis C virus epidemiology in Europe, Canada and Israel

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Decisions on public health issues are dependent on reliable epidemiological data. A comprehensive review of the literature was used to gather country-specific data on risk factors, prevalence, number of diagnosed individuals and genotype distribution of the hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection in selected European countries, Canada and Israel.

METHODOLOGY

Data references were identified through indexed journals and non-indexed sources. In this work, 13,000 articles were reviewed and 860 were selected based on their relevance.

RESULTS

Differences in prevalence were explained by local and regional variances in transmission routes or different public health measures. The lowest HCV prevalence (≤ 0.5%) estimates were from northern European countries and the highest (≥ 3%) were from Romania and rural areas in Greece, Italy and Russia. The main risk for HCV transmission in countries with well-established HCV screening programmes and lower HCV prevalence was injection drug use, which was associated with younger age at the time of infection and a higher infection rate among males. In other regions, contaminated glass syringes and nosocomial infections continue to play an important role in new infections. Immigration from endemic countries was another factor impacting the total number of infections and the genotype distribution. Approximately 70% of cases in Israel, 37% in Germany and 33% in Switzerland were not born in the country. In summary, HCV epidemiology shows a high variability across Europe, Canada and Israel.

CONCLUSION

Despite the eradication of transmission by blood products, HCV infection continues to be one of the leading blood-borne infections in the region.

Incidence and risk factors for community-acquired hepatitis C infection from birth to 5 years of age in rural Egyptian children

A prospective study in three Egyptian villages (A, B and C) having a high prevalence of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection examined incidence of community-acquired HCV infection in children; 2852 uninfected infants were prospectively followed from birth for up to 5.5 years. Fifteen seroconverted for either HCV antibodies and/or HCV-RNA (incidence of 0.53%). Ten had both anti-HCV and HCV-RNA; four had only anti-HCV; and one had HCV-RNA in the absence of antibody. The incidence rate at all ages was 2.7/1000 person-years (PY). It was 3.8/1000 PY during infancy and 2.0/1000 PY for the 1-5-years age group. Hospitalization and low birth weight increased the risk of infection; while living in village B, the family having a higher socioeconomic status, and advanced maternal education were protective. Six of eight HCV-infected infants reported iatrogenic exposures (e.g. hospitalization, therapeutic injections, ear piercing) prior to infection whereas only 2/7 children older than 1 year reported these exposures. Having an HCV-positive mother was the only other reported risk in two of these older children. The virus cleared in six (40%) children by the end of follow-up. Health education targeting iatrogenic exposures and focusing on risk factors could reduce HCV infection in children in high-risk populations.

Estimating the incidence, prevalence and clinical burden of hepatitis C over time in Italy

Our objective was to estimate HCV clinical burden over time in Italy. A national age-specific HCV prevalence in 1995 was obtained from studies conducted in general population samples and intravenous drug users. Age profile of new HCV infections and trend of incidence since 1985 were derived from a database of reported acute HCV infections. These incidence and prevalence data were used to estimate HCV burden from 1950 to 2030 by mathematical modelling. Different rates of HCV related liver disease progression were tested to assess the robustness of estimates. It is estimated that HCV had a major spread in Italy in 1945-1969. HCV RNA-positive subjects peaked around 1970; their prevalence in 2005 was 3.2%, 58% of them being >65 y of age. The number of individuals with HCV related cirrhosis and that of HCV liver related deaths peaked in 1980-1985. In 2005, they were approximately 230,000 (range 150,000-240,000, according to lower or higher disease progression rates) and approximately 7,000 (range 2200-12,300), respectively: both will be halved by 2025. In conclusion, unlike other industrialized countries, the burden of clinically relevant HCV-positive cases in Italy is already on the decline and will further reduce in the future. This is due to differences in the age-specific prevalence, most of HCV-positive Italians currently being >65 y of age.

Epidemiology of HCV infection in the general population: a survey in a southern Italian town

OBJECTIVES

The objective of this study was to estimate the seroprevalence of hepatitis C virus (HCV) in the general population older than 18 years of age in a southern Italian town.

METHODS

The survey was conducted from July 2005 through January 2007 in Putignano, Bari, Apulia. A random 1:5 sampling from the list of records maintained by general practitioners was used. Serology for HCV, hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg), antibodies to hepatitis B core antigen (anti-HBc), and genotyping for HCV were performed.

RESULTS

Of a total of 2,195 serum samples tested, 58 (2.6%) were positive for anti-HCV antibodies. The prevalence increased from 1% in subjects aged <30 years to 7.7% in those aged 70 years and was similar in both males and females (3.1 vs. 2.4%, P=0.4). Approximately one-third of 58 positive subjects also showed alanine transaminase levels and 53.5% tested positive for HCV RNA by TaqMan PCR. Genotypes 2a and 1b were represented in 21 and 10 subjects, respectively. In a multivariate logistic regression analysis, age (adjusted odds ratio (OR) 1.05; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.03-1.07), blood transfusion (adjusted OR 3.3; 95% CI: 1.7-6.3), and household contact with HCV-infected individuals (adjusted OR 4.8; 95% CI: 1.8-13.1) were the independent variables predictive of HCV infection. The overall HBsAg and anti-HBc prevalence rates were 0.5 and 12%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

This survey confirms that HCV infection is clearly also declining in southern Italy, especially among the elderly. HCV genotype 2a predominates, reflecting the current epidemiology of HCV in Italy. Age, blood transfusion, and household contact with HCV-infected individuals may have had a role in the spread of HCV infection.

Antiviral treatment for hepatitis C virus infection: effectiveness at general population level in a highly endemic area

BACKGROUND

Peginterferon plus ribavirin treatment induced a sustained virological response in >50% of HCV-RNA-positive individuals enrolled in published clinical trials.

AIM

To determine anti-HCV treatment effectiveness at a general population level.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

In 2002, a 1:5 random sample of >11 years old inhabitants of a small Italian town (Cittanova) was invited for HCV screening. HCV-RNA-positive individuals were evaluated for antiviral treatment.

RESULTS

1645 of 1924 invited individuals (85.5%) participated in the screening. 84 HCV-RNA-positive individuals were detected: median age was 65 years (range: 32-87); 67% was infected with genotype 1 or 4. Antiviral treatment was judged unnecessary for 43 (51.2%), due to persistently normal alanine aminotransferases, mild disease at liver biopsy or age >70 years without cirrhosis. Twenty-eight of the remaining 41 patients (68.3%) were ineligible for treatment, because of medical/psychiatric contraindications (42.9%), alcohol/drug abuse (17.9%), decompensated cirrhosis/hepatocellular carcinoma (17.9%), not attending official appointments (10.7%), previous intolerance/non-response to interferon plus ribavirin (10.7%). 5 of 13 eligible patients (38.5%) did not receive treatment (4 refused and 1 accidental death). 3 of 8 treated patients (37.5%) reached a sustained virological response.

CONCLUSIONS

Although efficacy of anti-HCV therapy improved in recent years, we found that low eligibility to treatment still limited its effectiveness at general population level in a highly endemic town.

Hepatitis C virus infection in the elderly: epidemiology, natural history and management

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection frequently occurs in elderly individuals, with a prevalence in individuals aged >60 years of up to approximately 40%. Although progression to cirrhosis is accelerated and occurs more frequently in patients who acquire the infection in old age, this outcome is often not seen because most elderly infected patients acquired HCV when they were young. Data on progression of HCV infection to cirrhosis and eventually to hepatocellular carcinoma are often derived from studies of HCV-infected individuals who present or are referred to hospitals, and which are therefore likely to overestimate the seriousness of the disease; indeed, population-based studies indicate that in many elderly individuals the disease is asymptomatic and runs a fairly benign course. Treatment is based on use of pegylated interferon-alpha and ribavirin, and is overall less effective and more toxic in the elderly. Therefore, treatment should be carefully considered on an individual basis and proposed only in patients up to the age of 75 years with a significant risk of progression of liver disease, no serious co-morbidities and good life expectancy. All treated patients should be followed long term in order to assess the influence of therapy on the evolution of liver disease (decompensated cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma) and survival. It is hoped that liver biopsy, which is still required in order to assess prognosis appropriately, will be replaced in the future by less invasive methods based on combinations of biochemical markers of fibrosis and/or transient elastography, and that newer and less toxic orally administered drugs for HCV infection will become available.

The changing epidemiology of hepatitis C virus infection in Europe

The epidemic of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection in Europe is continuously evolving and epidemiological parameters (prevalence, incidence, disease transmission patterns and genotype distribution) have changed substantially during the last 15 years. Four main factors contribute to such changes: increased blood transfusion safety, improvement of healthcare conditions, continuous expansion of intravenous drug use and immigration to Europe from endemic areas. As a result, intravenous drug use has become the main risk factor for HCV transmission, prevalent infections have increased and genotype distribution has changed and diversified. Hence, prevalence data from studies conducted a decade ago may not be useful to estimate the current and future burden of HCV infection and additional epidemiological studies should be conducted, as well as new preventive strategies implemented to control the silent epidemic. This review summarizes recently published data on the epidemiology of HCV infection in Europe focusing on the factors currently shaping the epidemic.

Epidemiological profile of 806 Italian children with hepatitis C virus infection over a 15-year period

BACKGROUND/AIMS

To evaluate the epidemiological profile of Italian children with hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection over a 15-year period.

METHODS

Fifteen tertiary care centers, belonging to a national Observatory established in 1998, retrospectively/prospectively recruited 806 consecutive HCV-infected, otherwise healthy, children seen from 1990 to 2004.

RESULTS

Seven hundred and sixty four were Italian and 42 from foreign countries. Newly-diagnosed cases declined from 332 in 1995-1999 to 196 in 2000-2004, while the proportion of foreign children rose from 3% to 13%. Transfusion-transmitted infection disappeared after 1992. Maternal infection (with drug abuse in 63% of cases in the North) has become the most important mode of HCV diffusion throughout Italy and the exclusive source for all children infected in 2000-2004. The prevalence of HCV genotypes 3 and 4 increased and that of genotype 1b decreased significantly (p<0.02). Male/female ratio was significantly (p<0.001) lower among vertically infected (0.6) than in transfused children (1.3).

CONCLUSIONS

The number of children with newly-diagnosed HCV infection is declining in Italy and most post-transfusion cases are now young adults. Thus foreign children could significantly contribute to the reservoir of pediatric infection in years to come. New infections result from maternal transmission and seem to privilege females and genotypes 3 and 4.

Hepatocellular carcinoma prevention: A worldwide emergence between the opulence of developed countries and the economic constraints of developing nations

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the fifth most common neoplasm, the major cause of death in patients with liver cirrhosis, and the third most common cause of cancer-related death in the world. The geographic distribution of HCC varies significantly and 80% of cases occur in developing countries (Far East and South Asia) where the prevalence of viral hepatitis is higher. The treatment of HCC is difficult because most patients are diagnosed when the tumour is in an advanced stage and is not amenable to potential curative therapy, thus prevention is the key to reducing HCC and its related morbidity and mortality. HCC is unique among cancers, occurring mostly in patients with a known risk factor. Ninety percent of HCCs develop in the context of chronic liver diseases and mainly in patients with cirrhosis. Viral hepatitis is the most common cause of HCC worldwide, followed by alcoholic liver disease (ALD) and other causes such as non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), genetic haemocromatosis (GH) and primary biliary cirrhosis in an advanced stage (III-V). In certain areas of the People’s Republic of China, exposure to aflatoxin and HBV infection are thought to be responsible for the extraordinary high risk of HCC. Substantial progresses in the prevention of virusl-related hepatitis (screening of blood units, use of disposable sanitary tools, HBV vaccination) have been achieved in developed countries, but in the same areas, alcohol- and dysmetabolism-related HCCs are emerging problems which require specific interventions in terms of public health measures. In developing countries, economic constraints limit the development of any program for the prevention of viral hepatitis transmission (including health education campaigns, healthcare politics, primary prevention and the improvement of hygienic and sanitary conditions). When viral liver disease is established, only a minority of patients are treated worldwide and benefit a possible preventive effect of medical treatment on HCC development. Thus the real contribution of medical treatment to HCC prevention in patients with chronic viral hepatitis is small. Great efforts are needed to identify more effective medical measures for primary and secondary prevention of HCC.

Different seroprevalence and molecular epidemiology patterns of hepatitis C virus infection in Italy

The epidemiological picture of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection in the general population is largely unknown, even in developed countries. The aim of this study was to estimate the prevalence and genotype distribution of HCV amongst a large sample of the Italian general population. A total of 3,577 serum samples were collected and screened for anti-HCV antibodies. ELISA and RIBA tests were used to assess the presence of anti-HCV. NS5b region sequencing was performed for molecular characterization. Of 3,577 tested sera, 95 (2.7%) were anti-HCV positive and a genome was detected and sequenced in 50 sera. The age-adjusted prevalence was 4.4%. Seroprevalence increased with age, following a North-South gradient, and increased steeply between the 15 and 30 and 31-45 age groups. Subtype 1b showed the highest prevalence in all geographical areas and age groups, followed by subtypes 2c (detected mainly in the elderly population in Southern Italy), 4a/d, and 3a (detected exclusively in adults) and 1a. These findings confirm that Central and Southern Italy are hyperendemic areas. The high prevalence observed in adults over age 30 is mainly attributable to an increase in 1b-prevalence but also to subtypes 2c- and 3/4-infections. Age-specific prevalence data and molecular characterization of the virus suggest that two transmission patterns co-exist in Italy: one characterized by subtype 1b and 2c infections, mainly in adults older than 60 years, and the other by subtype 3 and 4 infections, mainly in the 31-60 year age group, and consistent with intravenous drug use and immigration.

Approach of primary care physicians to hepatitis C: an educational survey from a Southern Italian area

OBJECTIVES

To assess knowledge, attitudes and practices towards hepatitis C of primary care physicians (PCPs) working in a Southern Italian area.

METHODS

A questionnaire exploring the basic knowledge on risk factors and the management of hepatitis C virus infection was administered in two occasions to a sample of PCPs before and 2 months later the presentation of the EASL guidelines on the management of HCV infection.

RESULTS

At the first survey, drug addiction, transfusion in 1982 and sexual contact with multiple partners were listed as the most common risk factors for acquiring HCV infection. As many as 27% of PCPs believed that blood transfusion after 1994 was still an important risk factor for this infection. Only 38% of PCPs would refer HCV positive subject with abnormal ALT levels to a gastroenterologist. Some points showed a definite improvement when first and second survey were compared: the more frequent use of qualitative instead of quantitative HCV-RNA testing for diagnostic purpose and the selection of IFN plus ribavirin as the regimen of choice for active disease.

CONCLUSIONS

The general practice management of hepatitis C may be improved using educational activities involving directly and interactively PCPs.

HCV infection and oral lichen planus: a weak association when HCV is endemic

Oral lichen planus (OLP), an immune-mediated disorder, has been reported as an extra-hepatic manifestation of Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, especially in HCV hyperendemic areas such as southern Europe and Japan. The aim of this study was to investigate from an epidemiological standpoint whether HCV infection is an important factor affecting the relative risk of OLP in a Mediterranean population or whether this relates to the degree of HCV endemicity. Two cohorts of OLP patients resident in two different regions of southern Italy (Campania and Sicily; n = 859) were evaluated for HCV infection status and categorized into five age classes to respective region-matched controls. No significant difference was found between OLP patients and the general population in this area, when data were corrected by the age-stratified prevalence of HCV. Therefore, the age-specific prevalence of HCV infection in OLP patients shows a close trend of direct association with increasing age, without significant differences with the general population of each geographical area. An aetiological link between OLP and HCV cannot be inferred solely by epidemiological data.

Oral lichen planus, hepatitis C virus, and HIV: No association in a cohort study from an area of high hepatitis C virus endemicity

OBJECTIVES

We sought to assess the age-specific prevalence of oral lichen planus (OLP) in Mediterranean patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) and to evaluate the features of OLP in relation to sex, smoking, HCV genotype, HIV-1 coinfection, and antiviral treatments.

METHODS

In all, 178 anti-HCV-positive adults (60 women and 118 men; age range 20-66 years) recruited from two cohorts (104 HIV-negative patients and 74 patients with HIV coinfection) underwent oral examination.

RESULTS

Overall prevalence of OLP was 2.8% (5 of 178) (male/female ratio 0.2; odds ratio=0.119; 95% confidence interval=0.013-1.106), only among HIV-negative participants, always in the reticular pattern, and in the adult age. HCV genotype, tobacco smoking, and treatment (interferon alfa/ribavirin) were not significantly associated to OLP.

CONCLUSIONS

Among HCV-infected patients, we found a low prevalence of OLP. The absence of OLP in HIV-coinfected patients suggests immunosuppression secondary to defective CD4 functions.

Steatosis and hepatitis C virus: mechanisms and significance for hepatic and extrahepatic disease

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related liver disease are common in the general population, but their concurrence is 2- to 3-fold higher than would be expected by chance alone. In patients with chronic HCV infection, steatosis is attributable to a variable combination of the mechanisms considered to play a role in the pathogenesis of NAFLD--insulin resistance in the obese and in the lean subject--along with a direct effect of HCV on hepatic lipid metabolism that leads to triglyceride accumulation through inhibition of export proteins that are required for very low density lipoprotein (VLDL) assembly and secretion. Accumulating evidence suggests that steatosis contributes to the progression of fibrosis in HCV-related disease in a pattern similar to that observed in NAFLD. Potential mechanisms of this effect include the increased sensitivity of steatotic livers to oxidative stress and cytokine-mediated injury. Steatosis-related hepatic insulin resistance may also play a role through the profibrogenic effects of the compensatory hyperinsulinemia and provides a potential explanation for the association between HCV and type 2 diabetes mellitus. Indeed, an appreciation of the importance of fat in HCV has recently led to trials of adjuvant therapy for HCV directed at steatosis-associated disease mechanisms, with encouraging results reported for various modalities, including weight loss and antioxidants. Future therapy should be aimed at exploiting the interactions of HCV with host insulin and lipid metabolism, particularly in nonresponders to standard antiviral schedules.

The effect of highly active antiretroviral therapy for HIV on the anti-HCV specific humoral immune response

The effect of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) on HCV replication is controversial, with some studies reporting no effect and others increases, reductions and even clearances of HCV RNA after treatment. In this study, the effect of HAART was investigated on the titre of anti-HCV specific antibodies and on the relationship between these antibodies and HCV RNA level in a cohort of 24 patients with inherited bleeding disorders. A significant inverse correlation between antibodies to both total HCV proteins and HCV RNA (R = -0.42, P = 0.05) and between antibodies to HCV envelope glycoproteins and HCV RNA (R = -0.54, P = 0.01) was observed pre-HAART. The relationship disappeared or was obscured after therapy (R = 0.24, P = 0.30 and R = 0.16, P = 0.50, respectively). Thus, we show that HAART affects the HCV specific humoral immune responses without affecting the HCV RNA level.

Hepatitis C virus infection: prevalence, predictor variables and prevention opportunities among drug users in Italy

The study assessed rates and predictor variables of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection among drug users receiving pharmacological treatment for opiates addiction. There was a large cohort study in 16 public centres for drug users in north-eastern Italy, with data collected by standardized face-to-face interviews between February 2001 and August 2001. Of 1095 participants, 74.2% were HCV seropositive. Anti-HCV status was independently associated with duration of drug use of over 10 years, injecting as a route of drug administration, and hepatitis B virus (HBV) and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) seropositivity. Further statistical analysis was conducted by dividing the subjects on the basis of the duration of heroin use: more or <10 years. In the multivariate analyses, route of drug administration and HBV status were associated with HCV seropositivity among both groups. Less education was associated with HCV among the shorter term drug users. HIV status and having a sexual partner with a history of drug use were associated with HCV seropositivity among the longer term drug users. Half of the short-term heroin users were still HCV seronegative when starting treatment, suggesting opportunities for reducing new HCV infections. Remarkable was the relationship between vaccination for hepatitis B and HCV serostatus. Being HBV seropositive was strongly associated with being HCV seropositive. But heroin users who had been vaccinated for HBV were not significantly more likely to be HCV seropositive than heroin users who were HBV seronegative. HBV vaccination does not provide biological protection against HCV; however, vaccinating heroin users against HBV may help to create a stronger pro-health attitude among heroin users, leading to a reduction in HCV risk behaviour.

Incidence of Sjögren's syndrome in Japanese patients with hepatitis C virus infection

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Hepatitis viruses induce not only chronic liver diseases but also the impairment of other organs and tissues as extrahepatic manifestations. In particular, hepatitis C virus (HCV) is involved in various extrahepatic manifestations. The purpose of the present study was to evaluate Sjögren's syndrome (SS) and lichen planus (LP) involvement, which are various extrahepatic manifestations in patients with liver diseases related to hepatitis B virus (HBV) or HCV.

METHODS

We examined a total of 110 Japanese patients with chronic liver disease: 29 with HBV infections and 81 HCV infections.

RESULTS

The prevalence of SS according to European and Japanese criteria in patients with chronic HCV infection was significantly higher than in patients with chronic HBV infection (European criteria: 25.9 vs 3.4%; P < 0.05, Japanese criteria: 21.0 vs 3.4%; P = 0.05). Lichen planus was observed in one (3.4%) of 29 patients with chronic HBV infection, and in 11 (13.6%) of 81 patients with chronic HCV infection. Simultaneously combined LP and SS occurred in 8.6% (seven of 81) of patients with HCV infection, but in none with HBV infection.

CONCLUSIONS

Clinicians should routinely follow the HCV-infected patients, paying sufficient attention to the presence of SS and LP, and they should also carefully monitor their prognosis.

Endemic hepatitis C virus infection in a Sicilian town: further evidence for iatrogenic transmission

The prevalence of and risk factors for HCV and HBV infections in the general population and the predictive value of ALT screening in identifying anti-HCV positive subjects have been evaluated in a small Sicilian town. A random 1:4 sampling from the census of the general population was performed. Anti-HCV, HCV-RNA, HCV genotype, HBsAg, and anti-HBc were tested. The linkage between HCV infection and potential risk factors was evaluated by multiple logistic regression analysis. Among 721 subjects studied, 75 (10.4%) were anti-HCV positive. The HCV infection rate increased from 0.4% in subjects 10-29 years of age to 34% in those > 60 years of age. Among the 75 anti-HCV positive subjects, 66.7% were HCV-RNA positive and 36% had abnormal ALT, in contrast abnormal ALT levels were found in 4.3% of the 646 anti-HCV negative subjects (P < 0.01). HCV genotype 1b infected the majority (88.0%) of viremic subjects. Exposure to HBV infection (anti-HBc positivity) was found in 11.2% of subjects; HBsAg positivity was 0.7%. At multivariate analysis, two variables were associated with HCV infection: age > or = 45 years (OR 27.8; CI 95% = 11.0-70.2) and previous hospitalization (OR 2.5; CI 95% = 1.3-4.7). ALT testing had low positive predictive value (PPV = 49.1%) for HCV infection. The positive predictive value was good (88%) in people > or = 60 years of age, but minimal (16.7%) in those below 60. These findings indicate that HCV infection is common in the elderly, perhaps as a result of past iatrogenic transmission. The present low rate of HCV infection among the younger generations coupled with the low progression of the viral related liver damage does not support the projection of a future increasing incidence in the next decades of the burden of HCV-related chronic disease. HBV infection, formerly common in this area, is already in sharp decline. In an area of high HCV endemicity, screening of the general population by ALT cannot be used a surrogate marker to detect HCV infection in those susceptible to treatment.

Does hepatitis C virus cause severe liver disease only in people who drink alcohol?

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infects about 170 million people worldwide, and has been portrayed in the media as a silent killer, incorrectly implying that cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma are the certain final outcomes of infection. Results of numerous population-based surveys indicate that chronic HCV infection is highly prevalent in elderly people who, in most instances, do not develop end-stage liver disease. In individuals who do progress to cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma alcohol plays a fundamental part, via mechanisms that result in increased viral replication, enhanced HCV quasispecies complexity, increased liver-cell death, suppression of immune responses, and iron overload. Although overlaps are present in the histological appearance of the liver in patients with hepatitis C who do and do not drink alcohol, histology could be of some help in revealing the role of alcohol in HCV disease progression even in people who deny drinking. Interventions and high-impact, continuous public-health campaigns are needed to persuade doctors and patients infected with HCV of the importance of abstaining from alcohol if risk of progression towards cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma is to be reduced.

Hepatitis C: an epidemiological review

The aim of the study was to analyse the current literature regarding the mode of transmission of HCV and its global prevalence in different groups of people. A systematic review of the literature on the epidemiology of hepatitis C from 1991 to 2000 using computerized bibliographic databases which include Medline, Current Content and Embase. The prevalence of hepatitis C virus (HCV) varies tremendously in different parts of the world, with the highest incidence in the Eastern parts of the globe compared with the Western parts. Furthermore, certain groups of individuals such as intravenous drug users are at increased risk of acquiring this disease irrespective of the geographical location. Although the main route of transmission is via contaminated blood, curiously enough in up to 50% of the cases no recognizable transmission factor/route could be identified. Therefore, a number of other routes of transmission such as sexual or household exposure to infected contacts have been investigated with conflicting results. Hepatitis C infection is an important public health issue globally. Better understanding of routes of transmission will help to combat the spread of disease. In order to prevent a world wide epidemic of this disease, urgent measures are required to (i) develop a strategy to inform and educate the public regarding this disease and (ii) expedite the efforts to develop a vaccine.

Prevalence of hepatitis C infection among general practice patients in the Lyon area, France

STUDY OBJECTIVE

To estimate the prevalence of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection among patients in general practices.

DESIGN AND PARTICIPANTS

A screening campaign requested by the French Health Insurance Fund and involving 271 general practitioners (GPs) and 96% of the 95 medical laboratories was conducted in the Lyon area. Each GP participated for one week and offered an HCV screening to all patients aged 18-69 years during this period. Risk factors were estimated by a medical questionnaire (MQ) filled in by the physician.

MAIN RESULTS

From May to October 1997, 11,805 subjects were recruited into the study. Among them, 101 were known HCV positive. The MQ was filled up in 86% of the 11,704 remaining patients. Only 59% of those (6876/11,704) went to a laboratory to be tested. Fifty-one were ELISA positive of whom 30 were confirmed by RIBA or PCR. If we add 101 patients that were known HCV positive and estimate the prevalence among patients who did not go to the laboratory, this study gives a total estimated prevalence of 1.3%.

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of HCV infection among patients of GPs is about 1.3%, very close to the estimate in the French general population. The substantial number of patients known HCV positive is probably related to the participation of GPs sensitised to HCV issues and who already have screened most of their HCV patients.

High prevalence of HCV infection among the general population in a rural area of central Italy

The hepatitis C virus infection (HCV) is the most frequent cause of hepatic infection in Europe. In Italy, anti-HCV positivity values are extremely variable, depending on the age and geographic location of the population being analysed. The aims of the study were: (1) evaluating positivity for anti-HCV antibodies in various age groups and determining the HBsAg in a mountainous and predominantly farming area in central Italy; (2) assessing some anamnestic and clinical variables through a questionnaire, submitted during the taking of blood samples, in order to determine HCV exposure and risk factors for the target population. 344 subjects selected by random sampling among 3308 people, older than 16, were considered as the target population. A prevalence study was carried out. The sources of data were: blood samples taken to carry out the HCV positivity test; a questionnaire including items about exposures at risk and case-historical and clinical patient data. The risk of infection was evaluated by a multiple logistic regression model. The inferred HCV+ prevalence rate is 22.4/100 (95% confidence interval (CI): 20.8-24.1). An increasing age trend is shown with a higher positive predominance among females (28.99/100 vs. 14.29/100 in males). The positive HBsAg prevalence in the examined survey is 1.2/100. Variables associated with the HCV occurrence are case history of pneumonopathy (OR: 4.9) and exposure to parenteral therapies with glass syringes (OR: 3.3). This study is consistent with literature about the hypothesis of a north-south geographic gradient in the hepatitis C occurrence in Italy. Data clearly show the effects of the inappropriate use of medical or surgery practices on the population, with particular reference to the use of glass syringes. No elements prove that the farming features of the area may be predictive of HCV infection risk. The extent of the recorded prevalence values calls for the implementation of programmes aimed at detecting clusters or population areas at risk.

Community-based seroepidemiological survey of HCV infection in Catalonia, Spain

The objective of this study was to investigate the prevalence of antibodies against the hepatitis C virus (anti-HCV) and the associated risk factors in a representative sample of the population of Catalonia, Spain. Serum samples from 2,142 subjects aged between 5 and 70 years, selected at random from urban and rural habitats, were studied. Multiple logistic regression analysis was carried out to determine variables associated independently with the presence of HCV antibodies. The age and gender standardized prevalence of anti-HCV was 2.5% (95% confidence interval, 1.8-3.2). Prevalence increased significantly with age (P < 0.001), but no other sociodemographic variables were associated with HCV infection. Tattoos (OR: 6.2), blood transfusions (OR: 5.0) intravenous drug use (OR: 4.9) and antecedents of hospitalization (OR: 2.3) were variables associated independently with infection. HCV infection affects mainly elderly people in Spain and spares children and adolescents. This suggests that major exposure to HCV may have occurred many years ago, when infection was more widespread than in recent years.

Hepatitis C. Epidemiologic quandaries

Although many aspects of the transmission of HCV have been clarified, some important issues remain controversial, and the conventional wisdom may be based more on opinion than data (Table 2). HCV is transmitted by percutaneous exposure to contaminated blood, uncommonly from a mother to her infant and between sexual partners, and rarely during the provision of medical care in developed nations. Improved behavioral research instruments are needed to further the understanding of the practices that actually transmit infection. In addition, large, prospective studies are necessary to characterize the frequency [table: see text] of transmission between sexual partners and the potential role of cesarian section in reducing HCV transmission to infants.

Hepatitis C virus genotypes and risk of cirrhosis in southern Italy

Because hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotypes have raised considerable interest as variables that influence chronic hepatitis C progression, a case-control study was conducted to estimate their effects on patients with cirrhosis. Case patients (n = 46) had tested positive for anti-HCV antibody and HCV RNA and were residents of the study area who had cirrhosis recently diagnosed. Controls (n = 138) were drawn randomly from a residents' cohort from the same area. Demographic and other information were recorded. Presence of HCV infection, presence of HCV RNA, and HCV genotypes were assessed. Crude, stratified, and logistic regression analyses were performed. HCV genotype 2a/c occurred in 84 controls (60.9%) and 9 case patients (19.6%); HCV genotype 1b was found in 45 controls (32.6%) and 34 case patients (73.9%). HCV 1b genotype showed an independent effect on the risk of cirrhosis (odds ratio, 7.49; 95% confidence interval, 3.15--17.81). No significant effects related to other variables were observed. These results indicate that the genetic diversity of HCV phylogenetic variants may explain differences in biological behaviors.

Hepatitis C virus infection: 10 years after the discovery of the virus

The hepatitis C virus (HCV) causes an acute but very often chronic liver disease. An estimated 3% of the world population is chronically infected with HCV. Chronic hepatitis C is the major cause of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), which most often lead to liver transplantation. HCV is a single-stranded enveloped RNA virus; it belongs to the flaviviridae family. The virus has been classified into six genotypes, some of which are distributed worldwide, others of which are confined to more restricted areas. The genotype is an independent predictor of response to antiviral treatment. Blood transfusion was a major risk factor for acquiring HCV infection before donor screening for surrogate marker testing for non-A, non-B (NANB) hepatitis began in the mid-1980s, followed by screening for antibody to HCV in 1990. Today, intravenous drug use and high-risk sexual activity are the most frequently identified risk factors associated with HCV infection. The prevalence of people with unknown HCV infection worldwide is high, so it is necessary to screen people with risk factors. The treatment of patients with chronic HCV infection who have not been treated previously should consist of interferon alpha (IFN-alpha) and ribavirin.

Prevalence of hepatitis C virus infection in the general population of northern Spain

OBJECTIVES

To estimate the prevalence of hepatitis C in a population of northern Spain and describe (i) the risk factors associated with infection and (ii) the distribution of genotypes.

DESIGN

Randomized cross-sectional study.

METHODS

A random sample of 1,170 people participated in the study. Sociodemographic data were obtained. Antibodies against hepatitis C virus (anti-HCV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotypes were determined.

RESULTS

Nineteen of 1,170 (1.6%) subjects were anti-HCV positive (95% CI 1.0-2.6%). In 12 cases (63%), viraemia was present, and the predominant genotype was 1 b (80%). Anti-HCV positive subjects were older than anti-HCV negative subjects (55.8 +/- 15.3 v. 44.8 +/- 20.9; P = 0.02). Two peaks of maximum frequency were found (in the fourth decade and in those over 60 years). Parenteral drug addiction predominates among those of the fourth decade, while transfusion and surgery predominate in people over 60 years. Three (16%) subjects knew they were carriers of HCV. Only three variables remained significant in the multivariate model (illegal drug use, P< 0.0001; previous hepatitis, P< 0.0001; and age, P< 0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

Our study emphasizes the need to develop health policies that can cope with the foreseeable increases in the problems associated with HCV infection in the near future.