Establishment of a cancer surveillance programme: the South African experience

Cancer diagnostic service use in people living with HIV in South Africa: A cross-sectional study

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to map place of cancer diagnosis in relation to Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) care centre among people living with HIV (PLHIV) within South Africa (SA) using national laboratory database.

DESIGN

We linked HIV and cancer laboratory data from 2004-2014 using supervised machine-learning algorithms. We performed a cross-sectional analysis comparing province where individuals accessed their HIV care versus where they had their cancer diagnosis.

SETTING

We used laboratory test records related to HIV diagnostics and care, such as CD4 cell counts and percentages, rapid tests, qualitative Polymerase Chain Reaction (PCR), antibody and antigen tests for HIV data that was documented as HIV positive and laboratory diagnosed cancer records from SA.

STUDY POPULATION

Our study population consisted of HIV records from the National Health Laboratory Service (NHLS) that linked to cancer record at the National Cancer Registry (NCR) between 2004-2014.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOMES

We linked HIV records from NHLS to cancer records at NCR in order to study the inherent characteristics of the population with both HIV and cancer.

RESULTS

The study population was 68,284 individuals with cancer and documented HIV related laboratory test. The median age at cancer diagnosis was 40 [IQR, 33-48] years for the study population with most cancers in PLHIV diagnosed in females 70.9% [n = 46,313]. Of all the PLHIV and cancer, 25% (n = 16,364 p < 0.001) sought treatment outside their province of residence with 60.7% (n = 10,235) travelling to Gauteng. KZN had 46.6% (n = 4,107) of its PLHIV getting cancer diagnosis in Gauteng. Western Cape had 95% (n = 6,200) of PLHIV getting cancer diagnosis within the province.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results showed health systems inequalities across provinces in SA with respect to cancer diagnosis. KZN for example had nearly half of the PLHIV getting cancer diagnosis outside the province while Western Cape is able to offer cancer diagnostic services to most of the PLHIV in the province. Gauteng is getting over burdened with referral for cancer diagnosis from other provinces. More effort is required to ensure equitable access to cancer diagnostic services within the country.

Incidence and epidemiology of conjunctival squamous cell carcinoma in relation to the HIV epidemic in South Africa: a 25-year analysis of the National Cancer Registry (1994-2018)

AIMS

To describe the incidence and epidemiology of conjunctival squamous cell carcinoma (CSCC) in South Africa over a 25-year period (1994-2018), with particular reference to the HIV epidemic.

METHODS

Incident cases of histologically diagnosed CSCC were identified from the pathology-based South African National Cancer Registry. Crude and direct age-standardised incidence rates (ASIRs) per 100 000 persons (Segi World Standard Population) were calculated using national population statistics and compared by age, sex and ethnicity. Trends in the incidence and demographic features of CSCC were described and analysed. Incidence rates were compared with national HIV-related statistics for the same time period.

RESULTS

In total, there were 9016 reported CSCC cases (women: 56.6%, black: 86.8%, mean age: 41.5 years). The overall ASIR was 0.78 per 100 000. Two distinct epidemiological patterns were identified: (1) older white men, and (2) younger black women. There was a sixfold increase in CSCC incidence rates between 1994 and 2009 with a corresponding shift from the first to the second disease profile. Despite rising HIV seroprevalence, CSCC incidence rates have declined since 2009. A strong ecological correlation (r=0.96) between CSCC incidence and widespread antiretroviral therapy (ART) provision was identified.

CONCLUSION

This study highlights the evolving trends and disease burden of CSCC in South Africa. Widespread ART provision is ecologically correlated with declining CSCC rates over the last decade. These findings are in keeping with reported trends for other HIV-related cancers and have important implications for future incidence studies and public health policy.

Harnessing the law to advance equitable cancer care in South Africa: exploring the feasibility, desirability and added value of a dedicated national cancer act

Background

The 2017 World Health Assembly resolution on integrated cancer prevention and control provided clear guidance on creating an enabling environment for cancer care. Through a variety of mechanisms, including civil society advocacy, some countries have secured overarching legislation in the form of national cancer acts to promote equitable access and outcomes for cancer patients. In South Africa, cancer incidence is set to double by 2030; and, while existing legislative and policy frameworks do address cancer prevention and control, these are fragmented, poorly implemented and have had limited success.

Methods

This study assessed the feasibility and potential impact of promulgating a dedicated national cancer act in South Africa through exploratory in-depth interviews with 25 purposively selected key informants from various stakeholder groups, including cancer survivors; legal scholars; human rights advocates; health care providers; public health specialists and academicians.

Findings

Following thematic analysis, three key themes were identified: the content of a dedicated national cancer act, the socio-political leveragability of an act and accountability mechanisms that would support such an act.

Conclusion

While most respondents had not considered the possibility of a dedicated national cancer act, they were open to the concept for South Africa. Concerns about widening inequities, duplication, funding and accountability would need to be addressed against the current backdrop of health inequities and limited human rights leveraging for health.

Cancer diagnostic service use in people with HIV in South Africa: a cross-sectional study

Objective

The objective of this study was to map place of cancer diagnosis in relation to Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) care centre among people with HIV (PWH) within South Africa (SA) using national laboratory database.

Design

We linked HIV and cancer laboratory data from 2004-2014 using supervised machine-learning algorithms. We performed a cross-sectional analysis comparing province where individuals accessed their HIV care versus where they had their cancer diagnosis.

Setting

We used laboratory test records related to HIV diagnostics and care, such as CD4 cell counts and percentages, rapid tests, qualitative Polymerase Chain Reaction (PCR), antibody and antigen tests for HIV data that was documented as HIV positive and laboratory diagnosed cancer records from SA.

Study population

Our study population consisted of HIV records from the National Health Laboratory Service (NHLS) that linked to cancer record at the National Cancer Registry (NCR) between 2004- 2014.

Primary and secondary outcomes

We linked HIV records from NHLS to cancer records at NCR in order to study the inherent characteristics of the population with both HIV and cancer.

Results

The study population was 68,284 individuals with cancer and documented HIV related laboratory test. The median age at cancer diagnosis was 40 [IQR, 33-48] years for the study population with most cancers in PWH diagnosed in females 70.9% [n=46,313]. Of all the PWH and cancer, 25% (n=16,364 p < 0.001) sought treatment outside their province of residence with 60.7% (n=10,235) travelling to Gauteng. KZN had 46.6% (n=4,107) of its PWH getting cancer diagnosis in Gauteng. Western Cape had 95% (n=6,200) of PWH getting cancer diagnosis within the province.

Conclusions

Our results showed health systems inequalities across provinces in South Africa with respect to cancer diagnosis. KZN for example had nearly half of the PWH getting cancer diagnosis outside the province while Western Cape is able to offer cancer diagnostic services to most of the PWH in the province. Gauteng is getting over burdened with referral for cancer diagnosis from other provinces. More effort is required to ensure equitable access to cancer diagnostic services within the country.

Population-based cancer registries in Nigeria and the National Cancer Control Programme

Population-based cancer registries (PBCRs) are important sources of data on cancer burden in a defined population. They are a cornerstone for establishing, implementing and monitoring and evaluating a rational cancer control programme. Despite the long history of PBCRs in more developed countries of the world, PBCRs in sub-Saharan Africa are still poorly developed and cancer control is poor. Compared to PBCRs in Europe and the United States, cancer registries in sub-Saharan Africa are still functioning at a basic level. Only a few cancer registries in sub-Saharan Africa contribute data regularly to the International Agency for Cancer Registries' (IACR) GLOBOCAN and Cancer in Five Continents' publication series. In Nigeria, there have been efforts at strengthening existing PBCRs and creating new ones, and implementing national cancer control programmes. It is however unclear how successful these efforts have been. It is therefore necessary to reflect on documented activities so far in order to identify gaps and proffer solutions.

Risk factors for breast cancer among women in Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality, Gauteng province of South Africa, 2017‒2020: a case-control study

Introduction

Breast cancer (BC) is the most common cancer among women in South Africa (SA), with an age-standardised incidence rate of 52.6 and an age-standardised mortality rate of 16.0 per 100,000 population. There is a paucity of evidence on the risk factors for BC among women of all races in SA. Given the rising prevalence of BC in SA, literature-based evidence is critical for the appropriate dissemination of preventative measures. This study aimed to identify the risk factors associated with the development of BC among women in Ekhuruleni Metropolitan Municipality.

Methods

An unmatched case-control study was conducted from 1 January 2017 to 31 December 2020 using secondary data extracted from the Ekurhuleni Population-Based Cancer Registry. Unconditional multivariable logistic regression analysis was carried out using the adjusted odds ratio (aOR). The variables race, employment, human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), smoking and alcohol status were included in the multivariable logistic regression model while the model was adjusted for age.

Results

A total of 2,217 cases and 851 controls were enrolled in the study. The mean age (±SD) in years was 55.7 (±15.2). The White population group, being self-employed and being HIV positive was significantly associated with reduced odds of BC development. HIV-positive women were 61% less likely to have BC than women who were HIV-negative (aOR 0.39; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.27‒0.57). White women were 65% less likely to have BC than women of other races (aOR 0.35; 95% CI: 0.29‒0.43). Self-employed women were 59% less likely to have BC than women who were formally employed (aOR 0.41; 95% CI: 0.18‒0.97). No evidence of association was observed between tobacco smoking and BC as well as alcohol consumption and BC.

Conclusion

There was a 65% reduction in BC risk among White women compared to other races. HIV-positive women demonstrated a 61% lower likelihood of BC while self-employed women showed a 59% reduced risk of developing BC. These findings suggest that being White, self-employed or HIV-positive may provide some protection against BC. However, additional research is needed to validate these results and establish the underlying reasons behind these associations.

Cancer mortality distribution in South Africa, 1997-2016

Introduction

The mortality data in South Africa (SA) have not been widely used to estimate the patterns of deaths attributed to cancer over a spectrum of relevant subgroups. There is no research in SA providing patterns and atlases of cancer deaths in age and sex groups per district per year. This study presents age-sex-specific geographical patterns of cancer mortality at the district level in SA and their temporal evolutions from 1997 to 2016.

Methods

Individual mortality level data provided by Statistics South Africa were grouped by three age groups (0-14, 15-64, and 65+), sex (male and female), and aggregated at each of the 52 districts. The proportionate mortality ratios (PMRs) for cancer were calculated per 100 residents. The atlases showing the distribution of cancer mortality were plotted using ArcGIS. Spatial analyses were conducted through Moran's I test.

Results

There was an increase in PMRs for cancer in the age groups 15-64 and 65+ years from 2006 to 2016. Ranges were 2.83 (95% CI: 2.77-2.89) -4.16 (95% CI: 4.08-4.24) among men aged 15-64 years and 2.99 (95% CI: 2.93-3.06) -5.19 (95% CI: 5.09-5.28) among women in this age group. The PMRs in men and women aged 65+ years were 2.47 (95% CI: 2.42-2.53) -4.06 (95% CI: 3.98-4.14), and 2.33 (95% CI: 2.27-2.38) -4.19 (95% CI: 4.11-4.28). There were considerable geographical variations and similarities in the patterns of cancer mortality. For the age group 15-64 years, the ranges were 1.18 (95% CI: 0.78-1.71) -8.71 (95% CI: 7.18-10.47), p < 0.0001 in men and 1.35 (95% CI: 0.92-1.92) -10.83 (95% CI: 8.84-13.14), p < 0.0001 in women in 2016. There were higher PMRs among women in the Western Cape, Northern Cape, North West, and Gauteng compared to other areas. Similar patterns were also observed among men in these provinces, except in North West and Gauteng.

Conclusion

The identification of geographical and temporal distributions of cancer mortality provided evidence of periods and districts with similar and divergent patterns. This will contribute to understanding the past, present, future trends and formulating interventions at a local level.

The global, regional, and national burden of stomach cancer among adolescents and young adults in 204 countries and territories, 1990-2019: A population-based study

Background

Stomach cancer is a significant health problem in many countries. But healthcare needs of adolescents and young adults (AYAs) stomach cancer patients have been historically neglected. An accurate appraisal of the burden of AYA stomach cancer is crucial to formulating effective preventive strategies. In this study, we report the most recent estimates of AYA stomach cancer burden concerning socio-demographic index (SDI) in 204 countries and territories between 1990 and 2019.

Methods

Estimates from the Global Burden of Disease study 2019 were used to analyze incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) due to AYA stomach cancer at global, regional, and national levels. Association between AYA stomach cancer burden and SDI were investigated. All estimates are reported as absolute numbers and age-standardized rates, which were standardized to the GBD world population and reported per 100,000 population.

Results

In 2019, there were 49,000 incident cases, 27,895 deaths, and 1.57 million DALYs due to AYA stomach cancer globally. The highest age-standardized incidence rate occurred in East Asia [2.42 (women) and 4.71 (men) per 100,000 person-years] and high-income Asia Pacific [3.16 (women) and 2.61 (men) per 100,000 person-years]. Age-standardized death [1.53 (women) and 2.65 (men) per 100,000 person-years] and DALY [150.96 (women) and 87.13 (men) per 100,000 person-years] rates were highest in Oceania. Compared with 1990, in 2019 more than 1,075 more incident cases of AYA stomach cancer were estimated with a decrease of 7,784 deaths. Despite the increase in absolute number of incident cases, the worldwide age-standardized rates of AYA stomach cancer (incidence, deaths, and DALYs) have declined since 1990. The drop in the disease burden was associated with an improved SDI. Globally, 24.41% of the age-standardized DALYs were attributable to a high-sodium diet in both sexes combined, and 0.57% of the age-standardized DALYs were attributable to smoking in men.

Conclusion

The global burden of AYA stomach cancer is substantial, especially in developing regions. Capacity-building activities for AYA stomach cancer will benefit the younger generation and population health worldwide.

Epidemiology of Breast Cancer Presentation in Botswana, South Africa, and the United States

INTRODUCTION

This study sought to compare the clinicopathologic features of women with breast cancer presenting in South Africa, Botswana, and the United States (US).

METHODS

Breast cancer samples from Botswana (n = 384, 2011-2015), South Africa (n = 475, 2016-2017), and the US (n = 361,353, 2011-2012) were retrospectively reviewed.

RESULTS

The median age of sub-Saharan African women presenting with breast cancer (age 54 in Botswana and South Africa) was younger than that of those in the US (age 61) (P < 0.001). Sub-Saharan women were more likely to present with advanced stage disease than US counterparts (64.7% in Botswana, 63.3% in South Africa, 13% in the US, P < 0.001). Triple negative disease was highest in Botswana (21.3%) compared to South Africa (11.4%) and the US (12.94%) (P < 0.001). Differences in receptor status at presentation among the three cohorts (P < 0.001) were not observed when the cohorts were stratified by ethnicity. Black/multiracial patients in Botswana and the US were the most likely subsets to present with the adverse characteristic of triple negative disease (21.3% and 23.2%, respectively). No correlation was found between HIV and receptor status in the Botswana (P = 0.513) or South African (P = 0.352) cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS

Here we report receptor status patterns at presentation in Botswana and South Africa. This study reveals important similarities and differences which may inform policy and provide context for future epidemiologic trends of breast cancer in low- and-middle-income countries particularly in sub-Saharan Africa.

Evaluation of post-operative surveillance strategies for esophageal and gastric cancers: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

There is no consensus or guidelines internationally to inform clinicians of how patients should be monitored for recurrence after esophagogastric resections.

AIM

This systematic review and meta-analysis summarizes the latest evidence investigating the usefulness of surveillance protocols in patients who underwent esophagectomy or gastrectomy.

METHODS

A systematic review of the literature was performed using MEDLINE, EMBASE, the Cochrane Review and Scopus databases. Articles were evaluated for the use of surveillance strategies including history-taking, physical examination, imaging modalities and endoscopy for monitoring patients post-gastrectomy or esophagectomy. Studies that compared surveillance strategies and reported detection of recurrence and post-recurrence survival were also included in the meta-analysis.

RESULTS

Fifteen studies that described a surveillance protocol for post-operative patients were included in the review. Seven studies were used in the meta-analysis. Random-effects analysis demonstrated a statistically significant higher post-recurrence survival (standardized mean difference [SMD] 14.15, 95% CI 1.40-27.26, p = 0.03) with imaging-based planned surveillance post-esophagectomy. However, the detection of recurrence (OR 1.76, 95% CI 0.78-3.97, p = 0.17) for esophageal cancers as well as detection of recurrence (OR 0.73, 95% CI 0.11-5.12, p = 0.76) and post-recurrence survival (SMD 6.42, 95% CI -2.16-18.42, p = 0.14) for gastric cancers were not significantly different with planned surveillance.

CONCLUSION

There is no consensus on whether surveillance carries prognostic survival benefit or how surveillance should be carried out. Surveillance may carry prognostic benefit for patients who underwent surgery for esophageal cancer. Randomized controlled trials are required to evaluate the survival benefits of intensive surveillance strategies, determine the ideal surveillance protocol and tailor it to the appropriate population.

Cancer in sub-Saharan Africa: a Lancet Oncology Commission

In sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), urgent action is needed to curb a growing crisis in cancer incidence and mortality. Without rapid interventions, data estimates show a major increase in cancer mortality from 520 348 in 2020 to about 1 million deaths per year by 2030. Here, we detail the state of cancer in SSA, recommend key actions on the basis of analysis, and highlight case studies and successful models that can be emulated, adapted, or improved across the region to reduce the growing cancer crises. Recommended actions begin with the need to develop or update national cancer control plans in each country. Plans must include childhood cancer plans, managing comorbidities such as HIV and malnutrition, a reliable and predictable supply of medication, and the provision of psychosocial, supportive, and palliative care. Plans should also engage traditional, complementary, and alternative medical practices employed by more than 80% of SSA populations and pathways to reduce missed diagnoses and late referrals. More substantial investment is needed in developing cancer registries and cancer diagnostics for core cancer tests. We show that investments in, and increased adoption of, some approaches used during the COVID-19 pandemic, such as hypofractionated radiotherapy and telehealth, can substantially increase access to cancer care in Africa, accelerate cancer prevention and control efforts, increase survival, and save billions of US dollars over the next decade. The involvement of African First Ladies in cancer prevention efforts represents one practical approach that should be amplified across SSA. Moreover, investments in workforce training are crucial to prevent millions of avoidable deaths by 2030. We present a framework that can be used to strategically plan cancer research enhancement in SSA, with investments in research that can produce a return on investment and help drive policy and effective collaborations. Expansion of universal health coverage to incorporate cancer into essential benefits packages is also vital. Implementation of the recommended actions in this Commission will be crucial for reducing the growing cancer crises in SSA and achieving political commitments to the UN Sustainable Development Goals to reduce premature mortality from non-communicable diseases by a third by 2030.

Cohort profile: the South African HIV Cancer Match (SAM) Study, a national population-based cohort

PURPOSE

The South African HIV Cancer Match (SAM) Study is a national cohort of people living with HIV (PLWH). It was created using probabilistic record linkages of routine laboratory records of PLWH retrieved by National Health Laboratory Services (NHLS) and cancer data from the National Cancer Registry. The SAM Study aims to assess the spectrum and risk of cancer in PLWH in the context of the evolving South African HIV epidemic. The SAM Study's overarching goal is to inform cancer prevention and control programmes in PLWH in the era of antiretroviral treatment in South Africa.

PARTICIPANTS

PLWH (both adults and children) who accessed HIV care in public sector facilities and had HIV diagnostic or monitoring laboratory tests from NHLS.

FINDINGS TO DATE

The SAM cohort currently includes 5 248 648 PLWH for the period 2004 to 2014; 69% of these are women. The median age at cohort entry was 33.0 years (IQR: 26.2-40.9). The overall cancer incidence in males and females was 235.9 (95% CI: 231.5 to 240.5) and 183.7 (181.2-186.2) per 100 000 person-years, respectively.Using data from the SAM Study, we examined national cancer incidence in PLWH and the association of different cancers with immunodeficiency. Cancers with the highest incidence rates were Kaposi sarcoma, cervix, breast, non-Hodgkin's lymphoma and eye cancer.

FUTURE PLANS

The SAM Study is a unique, evolving resource for research and surveillance of malignancies in PLWH. The SAM Study will be regularly updated. We plan to enrich the SAM Study through record linkages with other laboratory data within the NHLS (eg, tuberculosis, diabetes and lipid profile data), mortality data and socioeconomic data to facilitate comprehensive epidemiological research of comorbidities among PLWH.

Cervical cancer in women living in South Africa: a record linkage study of the National Health Laboratory Service and the National Cancer Registry

INTRODUCTION

In countries with high HIV prevalence, it is important to understand the cervical cancer (CC) patterns by HIV status to ensure targeted prevention measures. We aimed to determine the factors associated with CC compared to non-infection related cancer in women living in South Africa.

METHODS

This was a cross-sectional study of women aged 15 years and older diagnosed with CC and non-infection related cancer in the South African public health sector from 2004 to 2014. The National Cancer Registry provided data on cancer, whilst HIV status was determined from routinely collected HIV related data from the National Health Laboratory Service. We explored the association of HIV infection, age, ethnicity and calendar period with CC compared to non-infection related cancer.

RESULTS

From 2004 to 2014, 49,599 women were diagnosed with CC, whilst 78,687 women had non-infection related cancer. About 40% (n = 20,063) of those with CC and 28% (n = 5,667) of those with non-infection related cancer had a known HIV status. The median age at CC diagnosis was 44 years (interquartile range (IQR): 37-52) and 54 years (IQR: 46-64) for HIV positive and negative women, respectively, and for non-infection related cancer, 45 years (IQR: 47-55) and 56 years (IQR: 47-66) for HIV negative and positive women, respectively. Diagnosis of CC was associated with HIV positivity, Black ethnicity, earlier calendar period (2004-2006) and the ages 30-49 years. In comparison with Black women, the odds of CC were 44% less in Coloured women, 50% less in Asian women and 51% less in White women.

CONCLUSIONS

HIV positive women presented a decade earlier with CC compared to HIV negative women. A large proportion of women with CC were unaware of their HIV status with a disproportionate burden of CC in Black women. We recommend women attending CC screening facilities to be offered HIV testing so that recommendations for their follow-up visits are given according to their HIV status.

The Incidence of Retinoblastoma in South Africa: Findings from the South African National Cancer Registry (2004-2018)

PURPOSE

To determine the frequency and incidence rate of retinoblastoma in children in South Africa from 2004 to 2018.

METHODS

Incident cases of histologically diagnosed retinoblastoma were identified from the South African National Cancer Registry. Crude incidence rates were calculated using national population data on children <15 years and live births. Incidence rates were stratified and compared by age, sex and population group. Direct age-standardised incidence rates and comparative incidence ratios were calculated.

RESULTS

The overall age-standardised incidence rate for children <15 years was 3.3 per million or 1 per 21 641 live births. Age-specific rates for children aged 0-4, 5-9 and 10-14 years were 7.7, 0.8 and 0.2 per million, respectively. There was no difference in incidence rates by sex. White children had a significantly higher incidence rate compared to other population groups, but this finding may be due to systemic biases introduced by access to healthcare in South Africa or study methodology.

CONCLUSION

This is the largest study to provide population-based, histologically confirmed national estimates of retinoblastoma incidence from an African nation to date and affirms the need for high-quality cancer registries across the African continent.

Reporting Incidences of Neuroblastoma in Various Resource Settings

The incidences of neuroblastoma (NB) differ significantly between various resource settings because of varying quality of cancer registries and underdiagnoses. This study aimed to evaluate current regional variations as reported by international cancer registries and the theoretical and reported differences in international NB incidences and to evaluate South Africa (SA) as a case for variable reporting.

Establishing and Evaluating Cancer Surveillance System in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa

Background:

The increasing cancer burden remains a public health challenge. Quality and accurate population data is important to improve cancer control, screening, and treatment programmes for the sub-Saharan Africa region.

Aim:

The aim of this study was to establish hospital-based cancer surveillance system, thereby reporting the burden that cancer diagnosis and treatment place on 3 hospitals – an approach of health systems strengthening.

Methods:

A hospital-based cancer surveillance was established in 3 public health facilities that provide oncology services in KwaZulu-Natal. An active method was used for finding cancer cases. The cancer surveillance database was evaluated according to the criteria recommended for cancer registries. Analyses of data included descriptive and crude incidence rates.

Results:

A total of 2307 newly diagnosed cancer cases were reported in 2018, with a majority from Inkosi Albert Luthuli Central hospital (65.3%), followed by Greys hospital (30.8%) and then Addington hospital (3.94%). Most of the cancer cases were from the 2 major urban areas of the province (eThekwini and uMgungundlovu district). The most commonly diagnosed cancers from all combined 3 facilities for both sexes were breast, cervix, colorectal, Kaposi Sarcoma, and lung. Approximately half of the cancer cases had no staging, and 12.8% of the cases were diagnosed at stage 4. The mostly prescribed treatments for the patients were radiotherapy and chemotherapy.

Conclusions:

Based on our hospital-based surveillance, cancer burden is high in the 3 facilities. Strengthening cancer screening and diagnostic policies and procedures that will allow expansion of accurate cancer surveillance system is essential in KwaZulu-Natal and South Africa as a whole.

Spatial Distribution of Cancer Cases Seen in Three Major Public Hospitals in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa

Background:

Noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) like cancer are posing a challenge in the health system especially in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). In South Africa, cancer is under-reported due to the lack of a comprehensive cancer surveillance system. The limited knowledge on the extent of cancer burden has led to inaccurate allocation of public health resources. The aim of this study was to describe cancer incidence and spatial distribution of cancer cases seen at 3 main public oncology facilities in KwaZulu-Natal.

Methods:

In this retrospective study, cases of cancer observed from year 2015 to 2017 were extracted from medical records. The crude incidence rate was estimated for the total cancer cases and for different type of cancer reported over that period. Age-standardised incidence rates (ASR) per 100 000 was calculated per year using age groups and sex according to the district population data of KwaZulu-Natal. The comparisons of cancer diagnosed incidences were made between 11 districts using the ASR. Choropleth spatial maps and Moran’s Index were used to assess the ASR cancer spatial distribution along with geographical patterns among the districts. One sample chi-square test was used to assess the significant increase/decrease over time.

Results:

The study lost numerous cases due to incompleteness. A total of 4909 new cases were diagnosed with cancer during 2015 to 2017, 62% of which were female. Both uMgungundlovu and eThekwini districts had the highest ASR among district municipalities of KwaZulu-Natal for both male and female (83.6 per 100 000 per men year for men, 158.2 per 100 000 women per year, and 60.1 per 100 000 men per year and 96.9 per 100 000 women per year, respectively). Random distribution of reported cancer cases in KwaZulu-Natal was observed with a high concentration being in and around 2 metropolitan districts. Spatial variation showed a significant difference from year to year between the districts with the random spatial distribution. Overall, there was a significant decline of cancer incidences observed from 2015 to 2017 (P < .05) in the province.

Conclusion:

The overall cancer incidence in the study shows that female cancers (breast and cervical) are still on the rise and still need to be given priority as they were most prevalent in KwaZulu-Natal. Spatial analysis (choropleth maps) was used to show a pattern of higher concentration of cancer incidence in the north-western parts of the province.

Spatiotemporal modelling and mapping of cervical cancer incidence among HIV positive women in South Africa: a nationwide study

BACKGROUND

Disparities in invasive cervical cancer (ICC) incidence exist globally, particularly in HIV positive women who are at elevated risk compared to HIV negative women. We aimed to determine the spatial, temporal, and spatiotemporal incidence of ICC and the potential risk factors among HIV positive women in South Africa.

METHODS

We included ICC cases in women diagnosed with HIV from the South African HIV cancer match study during 2004-2014. We used the Thembisa model, a mathematical model of the South African HIV epidemic to estimate women diagnosed with HIV per municipality, age group and calendar year. We fitted Bayesian hierarchical models, using a reparameterization of the Besag-York-Mollié to capture spatial autocorrelation, to estimate the spatiotemporal distribution of ICC incidence among women diagnosed with HIV. We also examined the association of deprivation, access to health (using the number of health facilities per municipality) and urbanicity with ICC incidence. We corrected our estimates to account for ICC case underascertainment, missing data and data errors.

RESULTS

We included 17,821 ICC cases and demonstrated a decreasing trend in ICC incidence, from 306 to 312 in 2004 and from 160 to 191 in 2014 per 100,000 person-years across all municipalities and corrections. The spatial relative rate (RR) ranged from 0.27 to 4.43 in the model without any covariates. In the model adjusting for covariates, the most affluent municipalities had a RR of 3.18 (95% Credible Interval 1.82, 5.57) compared to the least affluent ones, and municipalities with better access to health care had a RR of 1.52 (1.03, 2.27) compared to municipalities with worse access to health.

CONCLUSIONS

The results show an increased incidence of cervical cancer in affluent municipalities and in those with more health facilities. This is likely driven by better access to health care in more affluent areas. More efforts should be made to ensure equitable access to health services, including mitigating physical barriers, such as transportation to health centres and strengthening of screening programmes.

The global, regional, and national burden of cancer among adolescents and young adults in 204 countries and territories, 1990-2019: a population-based study

BACKGROUND

Accurate appraisal of burden of adolescents and young adults (AYAs) cancers is crucial to informing resource allocation and policy making. We report on the latest estimates of burden of AYA cancers in 204 countries and territories between 1990 and 2019 in association with socio-demographic index (SDI).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Estimates from the Global Burden of Disease study 2019 were used to analyse incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) due to AYA cancers at global, regional, and national levels by sex. Association between AYA cancer burden and SDI were investigated. Burdens of AYA cancers were contextualized in comparison with childhood and older adult cancers. All estimates are reported as counts and age-standardized rates per 100,000 person-years.

RESULTS

In 2019, there were 1.2 million incident cases, 0.4 million deaths, and 23.5 million DALYs due to AYA cancers globally. The highest age-standardized incidence rate occurred in Western Europe (75.3 [Females] and 67.4 [Males] per 100,000 person-years). Age-standardized death (23.2 [Females] and 13.9 [Males] per 100,000 person-years) and DALY (1328.3 [Females] and 1059.2 [Males] per 100,000 person-years) rates were highest in Oceania. Increasing SDI was associated with a higher age-standardized incidence rate. An inverted U-shaped association was identified between SDI and death and DALY rates. AYA cancers collectively is the second leading cause of non-communicable diseases-related deaths globally in 2019. DALYs of AYA cancers ranked the second globally and the first in low and low-middle SDI locations when compared with that of childhood and older adult cancers.

CONCLUSION

The global burden of AYA cancers is substantial and disproportionally affect populations in limited-resource settings. Capacity building for AYA cancers is essential in promoting equity and population health worldwide.

Colorectal cancer incidence and mortality trends by sex and population group in South Africa: 2002-2014

BACKGROUND

South Africa (SA) has experienced a rapid transition in the Human Development Index (HDI) over the past decade, which had an effect on the incidence and mortality rates of colorectal cancer (CRC). This study aims to provide CRC incidence and mortality trends by population group and sex in SA from 2002 to 2014.

METHODS

Incidence data were extracted from the South African National Cancer Registry and mortality data obtained from Statistics South Africa (STATS SA), for the period 2002 to 2014. Age-standardised incidence rates (ASIR) and age-standardised mortality rates (ASMR) were calculated using the STATS SA mid-year population as the denominator and the Segi world standard population data for standardisation. A Joinpoint regression analysis was computed for the CRC ASIR and ASMR by population group and sex.

RESULTS

A total of 33,232 incident CRC cases and 26,836 CRC deaths were reported during the study period. Of the CRC cases reported, 54% were males and 46% were females, and among deaths reported, 47% were males and 53% were females. Overall, there was a 2.5% annual average percentage change (AAPC) increase in ASIR from 2002 to 2014 (95% CI: 0.6-4.5, p-value < 0.001). For ASMR overall, there was 1.3% increase from 2002 to 2014 (95% CI: 0.1-2.6, p-value < 0.001). The ASIR and ASMR among population groups were stable, with the exception of the Black population group. The ASIR increased consistently at 4.3% for black males (95% CI: 1.9-6.7, p-value < 0.001) and 3.4% for black females (95% CI: 1.5-5.3, p-value < 0.001) from 2002 to 2014, respectively. Similarly, ASMR for black males and females increased by 4.2% (95% CI: 2.0-6.5, p-value < 0.001) and 3.4% (, 95%CI: 2.0-4.8, p-value < 0.01) from 2002 to 2014, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The disparities in the CRC incidence and mortality trends may reflect socioeconomic inequalities across different population groups in SA. The rapid increase in CRC trends among the Black population group is concerning and requires further investigation and increased efforts for cancer prevention, early screening and diagnosis, as well as better access to cancer treatment.

Physiotherapy management of chemotherapy-induced peripheral neuropathy in Pretoria, South Africa

Background

The increase in newly diagnosed patients with cancer in South Africa and globally, may contribute to the increase in patients living with chemotherapy-induced peripheral neuropathy (CIPN). Chemotherapy-induced peripheral neuropathy negatively impacts on quality of life (QoL) during and post chemotherapy treatment. Physiotherapy management of CIPN helps patients to manage symptoms and improves function in activity- and participation-levels to ultimately improve QoL. However, little evidence exists regarding the type or combination of physiotherapy management strategies in South Africa.

Objectives

The purpose of our study was to determine how the symptoms of CIPN were managed by physiotherapists in Pretoria, South Africa.

Method

A quantitative, descriptive study design was used. Electronic questionnaires were distributed to physiotherapists who worked with cancer patients and who treated patients with CIPN.

Results

Physiotherapists used massage, proprioceptive neuromuscular facilitation, sensory integration, activities of daily living training, postural drainage, lifestyle modifications; Bobath-, breathing-, stability-, stretching-, strengthening- and endurance-exercises; electrical stimulation, thermal modalities, transcutaneous electrical nerve stimulation, soft tissue mobilisation; muscle energy-, positional- and Mulligan-techniques in the management of CIPN.

Conclusion

Cardiopulmonary therapy, therapeutic exercises, manual therapy and neuro-developmental techniques were used by physiotherapists in the management of CIPN. Almost half of the participants did not use electrotherapy techniques. Physiotherapy management strategies that are used in Pretoria are similar to published research.

Clinical implications

Physiotherapists in Pretoria are managing CIPN according to international practices. However, studies to determine the effectiveness of the management strategies in a South African context should be conducted. Alternative management strategies, based on the pathophysiology of CIPN, should be explored.

Keywords

physiotherapy; chemotherapy-induced peripheral neuropathy; intervention; management; cancer.

Identification of Malignancies from Free-Text Histopathology Reports Using a Multi-Model Supervised Machine Learning Approach

We explored various Machine Learning (ML) models to evaluate how each model performs in the task of classifying histopathology reports. We trained, optimized, and performed classification with Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF), K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), Adaptive Boosting (AB), Decision Trees (DT), Gaussian Naïve Bayes (GNB), Logistic Regression (LR), and Dummy classifier. We started with 60,083 histopathology reports, which reduced to 60,069 after pre-processing. The F1-scores for SVM, SGD KNN, RF, DT, LR, AB, and GNB were 97%, 96%, 96%, 96%, 92%, 96%, 84%, and 88%, respectively, while the misclassification rates were 3.31%, 5.25%, 4.39%, 1.75%, 3.5%, 4.26%, 23.9%, and 19.94%, respectively. The approximate run times were 2 h, 20 min, 40 min, 8 h, 40 min, 10 min, 50 min, and 4 min, respectively. RF had the longest run time but the lowest misclassification rate on the labeled data. Our study demonstrated the possibility of applying ML techniques in the processing of free-text pathology reports for cancer registries for cancer incidence reporting in a Sub-Saharan Africa setting. This is an important consideration for the resource-constrained environments to leverage ML techniques to reduce workloads and improve the timeliness of reporting of cancer statistics.

Dietary intake and breast cancer risk in black South African women: the South African Breast Cancer study

Incidence rates of breast cancer (BC) are increasing in South Africa. The aim of this study was to investigate the association between dietary intake and BC risk in black South African women. The study population included 396 BC cases and 396 population-based controls matched on age and residence, participating in the South African Breast Cancer study. Diet was assessed using a validated quantified FFQ from which twelve energy-adjusted food groups were formed and analysed. OR were estimated using conditional logistic regressions, adjusted for confounding factors, comparing highest v. lowest median intake. Fresh fruit consumption showed an inverse association with BC risk (OR=0·3, 95 % CI 0·12, 0·80) in premenopausal women, whilst red and organ meat consumption showed an overall inverse association with BC risk (OR=0·6, 95 % CI 0·49, 0·94 and OR=0·6, 95 % CI 0·47, 0·91). Savoury food consumption (sauces, soups and snacks) were positively associated with BC risk in postmenopausal women (OR=2·1, 95 % CI 1·15, 4·07). Oestrogen receptor-positive stratification showed an inverse association with BC risk and consumption of nuts and seeds (OR=0·2, 95 % CI 0·58, 0·86). Based on these results, it is recommended that black South African women follow a diet with more fruit and vegetables together with a decreased consumption of less energy-dense, micronutrient-poor foods such as savoury foods. More research is necessary to investigate the association between BC risk and red and organ meat consumption. Affordable and practical methods regarding these recommendations should be implemented within health intervention strategies.

Surgical oncology at a major referral center in Ghana: Burden, staging, and outcomes

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Outcome data after surgery for cancer in Sub-Saharan Africa are insufficient. We aimed to describe the presentation and outcomes of patients with solid cancers managed at a tertiary hospital in Ghana.

METHODS

Records of cancer patients admitted to Komfo Anokye Teaching Hospital general surgery wards from 2013 to 2016 were reviewed for data on presentation, staging, management, and mortality. Patients discharged alive were followed-up by biannual telephone calls to establish their postdischarge status. Survival analysis was performed for patients with pathologic or radiologic confirmation of cancer and adequate staging.

RESULTS

A total of 343 patients were included. Of these, 76% were female. The most common diagnoses were breast 136 (40%), foregut 70 (20%), and colorectal 63 (18%) cancers. Cancer diagnosis was confirmed by pathology or radiology in 281 (82%) patients, but only 112 (40%) had adequate staging. Seventy-four (66%) patients were stage IV. Two-year overall survival for all 343 patients was 22% to 69%, depending on cancer site. Among those with adequate staging who were alive after postoperative 90 days, 3-year survival was similar for curative compared with palliative operations (P = 0.64).

CONCLUSIONS

Improved capacity for both therapeutic and palliative cancer care is needed to achieve better outcomes by more appropriate allocation of surgery with respect to the goal of treatment.

Liver cancer mortality trends in South Africa: 1999-2015

Background

In South Africa (SA), liver cancer (LC) is a public health problem and information is limited.

Methods

Joinpoint regression analysis was computed for the most recent LC mortality data from Statistics South Africa (StatsSA), by age group, sex and population group. The mortality-to-incidence ratios (MIRs) were calculated as the age-adjusted mortality rate divided by the age-adjusted incidence rate.

Results

From 1999 to 2015, the overall LC mortality significantly decreased in men (− 4.9%) and women (− 2.7%). Overall a significant decrease was noted in black African men aged 20–29 and 40–49 years, and white women older than 60 years but mortality rates increased among 50–59 and 60–69 year old black African men (from 2010/2009–2015) and women (from 2004/2009–2015). The mortality rates increased with age, and were higher among blacks Africans compared to whites in all age groups - with a peak black African-to-white mortality rate ratio of six in men and three in women at ages 30–39 years. The average MIR for black African men and women was 4 and 3.3 respectively, and 2.2 and 1.8 in their white counterparts. Moreover, decreasing LC mortality rates among younger and the increase in rates in older black Africans suggest that the nadir of the disease may be near or may have passed.

Conclusions

Findings of population-age subgroup variations in LC mortality and the number of underdiagnosed cases can inform surveillance efforts, while more extensive investigations of the aetiological risk factors are needed. Impact: There was a large race, sex and age differences in trends of LC mortality in SA. These findings should inform more extensive evaluation of the aetiology and risk factors of LC in the country in order to guide control efforts.

Design and methodology of a study on colorectal cancer in Johannesburg, South Africa

Background and Aim

Cancer is one of the foremost causes of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Globally, colorectal cancer (CRC) is the third most diagnosed and fourth most important cause of cancer death. A total of 70% of all CRC‐related deaths occur in low‐ and middle‐income countries. In Sub‐Saharan Africa (SSA), estimating the burden of CRC is difficult. Only 27 of 43 SSA countries have formalized cancer registration systems; data quality is variable and national coverage rare.

Methods

This is a multidisciplinary, longitudinal cohort study started in January 2016. Patients >18 years with histologically confirmed primary adenocarcinoma of the colon and rectum, diagnosed within the previous 12 months, are eligible. Participants were assessed and were followed up for 3 years. Baseline information, including demographics, socioeconomic status, family history, medical and surgical non‐cancer‐related history, dietary history, colonoscopic findings, staging at presentation, treatment, and disease recurrence, is collected, as well as blood tests and histology results. Outcomes include disease recurrence (local and metastatic) and survival.

Results and Conclusion

This study aims to describe the clinical presentation, management, and outcomes of adults with CRC in a multiethnic, urban South African population. It will be the first prospective study to describe clinical presentation, demographics, risk factors, treatment, and outcomes according to population group, from both private and state health‐care facilities in Johannesburg, South Africa. The results of this study will be relevant not only to South Africa but also to other SSA countries undergoing similar rates of rapid urbanization and epidemiological transition.

This paper summarizes the design and methodology being used for a prospective cohort study of colorectal cancer (CRC) in Johannesburg, South Africa. It aims to describe the clinical presentation, management and outcomes of adults with CRC in a multi‐ethnic, urban South African population. It will be the first prospective study to describe clinical presentation, demographics, risk factors, treatment and outcomes according to population group, from both private and state healthcare facilities.

A Global Cancer Surveillance Framework Within Noncommunicable Disease Surveillance: Making the Case for Population-Based Cancer Registries

The growing burden of cancer among several major noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) requires national implementation of tailored public health surveillance. For many emerging economies where emphasis has traditionally been placed on the surveillance of communicable diseases, it is critical to understand the specificities of NCD surveillance and, within it, of cancer surveillance. We propose a general framework for cancer surveillance that permits monitoring the core components of cancer control. We examine communalities in approaches to the surveillance of other major NCDs as well as communicable diseases, illustrating key differences in the function, coverage, and reporting in each system. Although risk factor surveys and vital statistics registration are the foundation of surveillance of NCDs, population-based cancer registries play a unique fundamental role specific to cancer surveillance, providing indicators of population-based incidence and survival. With an onus now placed on governments to collect these data as part of the monitoring of NCD targets, the integration of cancer registries into existing and future NCD surveillance strategies is a vital requirement in all countries worldwide. The Global Initiative for Cancer Registry Development, endorsed by the World Health Organization, provides a means to enhance cancer surveillance capacity in low- and middle-income countries.

Breast cancer trends differ by ethnicity: a report from the South African National Cancer Registry (1994-2009)

Background

To describe breast cancer (BC) incidence and mortality by ethnicity in South Africa (SA).

Methods

Sources of data included the South African National Cancer Registry (NCR) pathology-based reports (1994–2009) and Statistics South Africa (SSA) mortality data (1997–2009). Numbers of cases, age-standardised incidence rates (ASIR) and lifetime risk (LR) were extracted from the NCR database for 1994–2009. Age-specific incidence rates were calculated for five-year age categories. The direct method of standardisation was employed to calculate age-standardised mortality rates (ASMR) using mortality data.

Results

Between 1994 and 2009, there were 85 561 female BC. For the Black, Coloured and Asian groups, increases in ASIR and LR were observed between 1994 and 2009. In 2009, the ASIR for the total population, Blacks, Whites, Coloureds and Asians were 26.9, 18.7, 50.2, 40.9 and 51.2 per 100 000, respectively. For Asians, an increase in proportion of BC as a percentage of all female cancers was observed between 1994 and 2002 (11.1%) and continued to increase to 2009 (a further 4.5%). Whites and Asians presented higher incidences of BC at earlier ages compared with Blacks and Coloureds in 2009. In 1998, there were 1618 BC deaths in SA compared with 2784 deaths in 2009. ASMR between 1997 and 2004 increased but stabilised thereafter.

Conclusion

This paper demonstrated that SA BC incidence rates are similar to other countries in the region, but lower than other countries with similar health systems. Ethnic differences in BC trends were observed. However, the reasons for observed ethnic differences are unclear.

Exploring grassroots feedback about cancer challenges in South Africa: a discussion of themes derived from content thematic analysis of 316 photo-narratives

INTRODUCTION

Cancer is an important health problem in Africa with projections that incidence could double by 2030. While sparse, the literature on cancer control in African low- and middle-income countries suggests poor cancer planning, overburdened services and poor outcomes. South Africa has established oncology health care services but also has low cancer awareness, poor cancer surveillance and widespread service challenges.

METHODS

Data for this study was derived from 316 photovoice interviews with cancer patients, families of cancer patients and oncology workers across South Africa. The objectives of the study were to collect first-hand feedback about cancer challenges and to develop recommendations for the improvement of cancer control strategies.

RESULTS

9 themes of cancer challenges were distinguished via thematic content analysis of the photo-narratives. The identified themes of cancer challenges were physical and treatment challenges, emotional, poor services, transport, finances, information, powerlessness, stigma, and schooling challenges.

CONCLUSION

The findings of this study offer the patient and family perspective of cancer challenges as a valid contribution to our body of cancer knowledge. The 9 themes of cancer challenges profile the emotional, physical and social impact of cancer on patients and families, and offer detailed subjective information about problem occurrence in the trajectory of care. Recommendations following from the 9 themes of cancer challenges include training for improved patient-centred care standards, the need for cancer surveillance, innovative and locally appropriate cancer awareness campaigns, private and government health care partnerships and the development of psychosocial services. The advocating of findings and recommendations to influence cancer control strategies in South Africa, is indicated.

From habits of attrition to modes of inclusion: enhancing the role of private practitioners in routine disease surveillance

BACKGROUND

Private practitioners are the preferred first point of care in a majority of low and middle-income countries and in this position, best placed for the surveillance of diseases. However their contribution to routine surveillance data is marginal. This systematic review aims to explore evidence with regards to the role, contribution, and involvement of private practitioners in routine disease data notification. We examined the factors that determine the inclusion of, and the participation thereof of private practitioners in disease surveillance activities.

METHODS

Literature search was conducted using the PubMed, Web of Knowledge, WHOLIS, and WHO-IRIS databases to identify peer-reviewed and gray full-text documents in English with no limits for year of publication or study design. Forty manuscripts were reviewed.

RESULTS

The current participation of private practitioners in disease surveillance efforts is appalling. The main barriers to their participation are inadequate knowledge leading to unsatisfactory attitudes and misperceptions that influence their practices. Complicated reporting mechanisms with unclear guidelines, along with unsatisfactory attitudes on behalf of the government and surveillance program managers also contribute to the underreporting of cases. Infrastructural barriers especially the availability of computers and skilled human resources are critical to improving private sector participation in routine disease surveillance.

CONCLUSION

The issues identified are similar to those for underreporting within the Integrated infectious Disease Surveillance and Response systems (IDSR) which collects data mainly from public healthcare facilities. We recommend that surveillance program officers should provide periodic training, supportive supervision and offer regular feedback to the practitioners from both public as well as private sectors in order to improve case notification. Governments need to take leadership and foster collaborative partnerships between the public and private sectors and most importantly exercise regulatory authority where needed.