Rapid antiretroviral therapy initiation in the Botswana Combination Prevention Project: a quasi-experimental before and after study

Real-world clinical and economic outcomes from rapid start antiretroviral therapy in HIV: systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to synthesize clinical and economic outcomes of rapid start versus nonrapid antiretroviral therapy (ART) in people with HIV (PWH) in real-world settings.

METHODS

A search was conducted in PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and ProQuest from January 2017 to January 2023, supplementing a previous search by Ford et al . in 2018. Observational studies investigating clinical or economic outcomes of rapid start ART versus nonrapid ART in PWH were included. Clinical outcomes were mortality, loss-to-follow-up (LTFU), and viral suppression. Economic outcomes were incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) values and per patient per month (PPPM) costs. Meta-analyses using random-effects models were performed for clinical outcomes, whereas qualitative syntheses were conducted for economic outcomes. The quality of clinical and economic studies was assessed.

RESULTS

Sixty-two studies were included. The pooled adjusted risk ratio (aRR) for mortality demonstrated a significant reduction in risk of mortality among participants who received rapid start ART compared with nonrapid ART [0.80, 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.65-0.98]. For LTFU at 6 and 12 months, the pooled aRR showed increased LTFU for rapid start ART (1.33, 95% CI, 1.15-1.55 and 1.18, 95% CI, 0.74-1.89 respectively). All cost-effectiveness studies reported cost-saving or cost-effective findings. The PPPM costs of rapid start ART across the first 36 months of treatment were consistently lower than nonrapid ART.

CONCLUSION

Rapid ART is associated with reduced mortality and is cost-effective compared with nonrapid ART in real-world settings. Clinicians and policymakers should consider these findings to facilitate rapid start of ART in PWH. Further research on LTFU in PWH is needed.

Evolving mechanisms and presentations of cardiovascular disease in people with HIV: implications for management

People with HIV (PWH) are at elevated risk for cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), including myocardial infarction, heart failure, and sudden cardiac death, among other CVD manifestations. Chronic immune dysregulation resulting in persistent inflammation is common among PWH, particularly those with sustained viremia and impaired CD4+ T cell recovery. This inflammatory milieu is a major contributor to CVDs among PWH, in concert with common comorbidities (such as dyslipidemia and smoking) and, to a lesser extent, off-target effects of antiretroviral therapy. In this review, we discuss the clinical and mechanistic evidence surrounding heightened CVD risks among PWH, implications for specific CVD manifestations, and practical guidance for management in the setting of evolving data.

HIV epidemiology, prevention, treatment, and implementation strategies for public health

The global HIV response has made tremendous progress but is entering a new phase with additional challenges. Scientific innovations have led to multiple safe, effective, and durable options for treatment and prevention, and long-acting formulations for 2-monthly and 6-monthly dosing are becoming available with even longer dosing intervals possible on the horizon. The scientific agenda for HIV cure and remission strategies is moving forward but faces uncertain thresholds for success and acceptability. Nonetheless, innovations in prevention and treatment have often failed to reach large segments of the global population (eg, key and marginalised populations), and these major disparities in access and uptake at multiple levels have caused progress to fall short of their potential to affect public health. Moving forward, sharper epidemiologic tools based on longitudinal, person-centred data are needed to more accurately characterise remaining gaps and guide continued progress against the HIV epidemic. We should also increase prioritisation of strategies that address socio-behavioural challenges and can lead to effective and equitable implementation of existing interventions with high levels of quality that better match individual needs. We review HIV epidemiologic trends; advances in HIV prevention, treatment, and care delivery; and discuss emerging challenges for ending the HIV epidemic over the next decade that are relevant for general practitioners and others involved in HIV care.

Prior exposure to antiretroviral therapy among adult patients presenting for HIV treatment initiation or reinitiation in sub-Saharan Africa: a systematic review

OBJECTIVES

As countries have scaled up access to antiretroviral therapy (ART) for HIV, attrition rates of up to 30% annually have created a large pool of individuals who initiate treatment with prior ART experience. Little is known about the proportion of non-naïve reinitiators within the population presenting for treatment initiation.

DESIGN

Systematic review of published articles and abstracts reporting proportions of non-naïve adult patients initiating ART in sub-Saharan Africa.

DATA SOURCES

PubMed, Embase Elsevier, Web of Science Core Collection, International AIDS Society conferences, Conference on Retroviruses and Opportunistic Infections conferences.

ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA

Clinical trials and observational studies; reporting on adults in sub-Saharan Africa who initiated lifelong ART; published in English between 1 January 2018 and 11 July 2023 and with data collected after January 2016. Initiator self-report, laboratory discernment of antiretroviral metabolites, and viral suppression at initiation or in the medical record were accepted as evidence of prior exposure.

DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS

We captured study and sample characteristics, proportions with previous ART exposure and the indicator of previous exposure reported. We report results of each eligible study, estimate the risk of bias and identify gaps in the literature.

RESULTS

Of 2740 articles, 11 articles describing 12 cohorts contained sufficient information for the review. Proportions of initiators with evidence of prior ART use ranged from 5% (self-report only) to 53% (presence of ART metabolites in hair or blood sample). The vast majority of screened studies did not report naïve/non-naïve status. Metrics used to determine and report non-naïve proportions were inconsistent and difficult to interpret.

CONCLUSIONS

The proportion of patients initiating HIV treatment who are truly ART naïve is not well documented. It is likely that 20%-50% of ART patients who present for ART are reinitiators. Standard reporting metrics and diligence in reporting are needed, as is research to understand the reluctance of patients to report prior ART exposure.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42022324136.

Prevalence of delayed antiretroviral therapy initiation among people living with HIV: A systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

HIV continues to be a global challenge. Key recommendations for HIV prevention and treatment are presented on rapid antiretroviral therapy (ART) initiation. However, several studies showed a high prevalence of delayed ART initiation. The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to assess the prevalence of delayed ART initiation among HIV-infected patients globally.

METHODS

This review summarised eligible studies conducted between January 2015 and August 2022 on the prevalence of delayed ART initiation in HIV-infected adults (age ≥ 15). Relevant studies were systematic searched through PubMed/Medline, EMBASE, Web of Science, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Wanfang, and Chongqing VIP databases. Random-effects models were used to calculate pooled prevalence estimates. The heterogeneity was evaluated using Cochran's Q test and I2 statistics. Moreover, potential sources of heterogeneity were explored using univariate subgroup analysis.

RESULTS

Data on the prevalence of delayed ART initiation was pooled across 29 studies involving 34,937 participants from 15 countries. The overall pooled prevalence of delayed ART initiation was 36.1% [95% confidence interval (CI), 29.7-42.5%]. In subgroup analysis, the estimated pooled prevalence decreased with age. By sex, the prevalence was higher among male patients (39.3%, 95% CI: 32.2-46.4%) than female (36.5%, 95% CI: 26.9-50.7%). Patients with high CD4 cell count were more likely to delay ART initiation than those with low CD4 cell count (>500cells/mm3: 40.3%; 201-500cells/mm3: 33.4%; and ≤200cells/mm3: 25.3%).

CONCLUSIONS

Our systematic review and meta-analysis identified a high prevalence of delayed ART initiation. The prolonged time interval between diagnosis and treatment is a prevalent and unaddressed problem that should spur initiatives from countries globally. Further research is urgently needed to identify effective strategies for promoting the early ART initiation.

HIV test-and-treat policy improves clinical outcomes in Zambian adults from Southern Province: a multicenter retrospective cohort study

Background

Globally, most countries have implemented a test-and-treat policy to reduce morbidity and mortality associated with HIV infection. However, the impact of this strategy has not been critically appraised in many settings, including Zambia. We evaluated the retention and clinical outcomes of adults enrolled in antiretroviral therapy (ART) and assessed the impact of the test-and-treat policy.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective cohort study among 6,640 individuals who initiated ART between January 1, 2014 and July 31, 2016 [before test-and-treat cohort (BTT), n = 2,991] and between August 1, 2016 and October 1, 2020 [after test-and-treat cohort (ATT), n = 3,649] in 12 districts of the Southern province. To assess factors associated with retention, we used logistic regression (xtlogit model).

Results

The median age [interquartile range (IQR)] was 34.8 years (28.0, 42.1), and 60.2% (n = 3,995) were women. The overall retention was 83.4% [95% confidence interval (CI) 82.6, 84.4], and it was significantly higher among the ATT cohort, 90.6 vs. 74.8%, p < 0.001. The reasons for attrition were higher in the BTT compared to the ATT cohorts: stopped treatment (0.3 vs. 0.1%), transferred out (9.3 vs. 3.2%), lost to follow-up (13.5 vs. 5.9%), and death (1.4 vs. 0.2%). Retention in care was significantly associated with the ATT cohort, increasing age and baseline body mass index (BMI), rural residence, and WHO stage 2, while non-retention was associated with never being married, divorced, and being in WHO stage 3.

Conclusion

The retention rate and attrition factors improved in the ATT compared to the BTT cohorts. Drivers of retention were test-and-treat policy, older age, high BMI, rural residence, marital status, and WHO stage 1. Therefore, there is need for interventions targeting young people, urban residents, non-married people, and those in the symptomatic WHO stages and with low BMI. Our findings highlight improved ART retention after the implementation of the test-and-treat policy.

Resistance Trends of Antiretroviral Agents in People with Human Immunodeficiency Virus in Korea, 2012 - 2020

BACKGROUND

Domestic data on antiretroviral drug (ARV) resistance are limited, while alterations in ARV resistance are expected as the incidence of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection increases. We evaluated the ten-year change in ARV resistance in people with HIV (PWH) in Korea.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Adults aged ≥19 years and diagnosed with HIV infection between January 2010 and December 2020 at a 750-bed municipal hospital were retrospectively reviewed. Data on clinical characteristics and resistance mutation test results were collected. The study population was divided into three-year intervals according to diagnosed year and their clinical characteristics were compared.

RESULTS

A total of 248 PWH were analyzed, and ARV resistance was detected in 30 of them (12.1%). Resistance was detected most frequently in PWH aged ≤29 years (16, 6.5%), and the median percentage of resistance detection per year was 14.3% (interquartile range, 12.7 - 16.1). The trend of the overall prevalence of ARV resistance mutations slightly decreased and then increased over time (15.3% in 2012 - 2014, 9.6% in 2015 - 2017, and 12.9% in 2018 - 2020). The prevalence of the non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NNRTI) resistance markedly decreased over time (15.3% in 2012 - 2014, 8.7% in 2015 - 2017, and 2.4% in 2018-2020), while that of protease inhibitor (PI) and integrase strand transfer inhibitor (INSTI) increased from 0 until 2018 to 3.5% and 8.2% in 2018 - 2020, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The trend of NNRTI resistance has decreased over time, and resistance to PIs and INSTIs increased from 2018. Therefore, continuous monitoring of ARV resistance pattern is necessary.

Association Between Time to Antiretroviral Therapy and Loss to Care Among Newly Diagnosed Rwandan People Living with Human Immunodeficiency Virus

Despite improved clinical outcomes of initiating antiretroviral therapy (ART) soon after diagnosis, conflicting evidence exists regarding the impact of same-day ART initiation on subsequent clinical outcomes. We aimed to characterize the associations of time to ART initiation with loss to care and viral suppression in a cohort of newly diagnosed people living with HIV (PLHIV) entering care after Rwanda implemented a national "Treat All" policy. We conducted a secondary analysis of routinely collected data of adult PLHIV enrolling in HIV care at 10 health facilities in Kigali, Rwanda. Time from enrollment to ART initiation was categorized as same day, 1-7 days, or >7 days. We examined associations between time to ART and loss to care (>120 days since last health facility visit) using Cox proportional hazards models, and between time to ART and viral suppression using logistic regression. Of 2,524 patients included in this analysis, 1,452 (57.5%) were women and the median age was 32 (interquartile range: 26-39). Loss to care was more frequent among patients who initiated ART on the same day (15.9%), compared with those initiating ART 1-7 days (12.3%) or >7 days (10.1%), p < .001. In multivariable analyses, same-day ART initiation was associated with a greater hazard of loss to care compared with initiating >7 days after enrollment (adjusted hazard ratio 1.39, 95% confidence interval: 1.04-1.85). A total of 1,698 (67.3%) had available data on viral load measured within 455 days after enrollment. Of these, 1,476 (87%) were virally suppressed. A higher proportion of patients initiating ART on the same day were virally suppressed (89%) compared with those initiating 1-7 days (84%) or >7 days (88%) after enrollment. This association was not statistically significant. Our findings suggest that ensuring adequate, early support for PLHIV initiating ART rapidly may be important to improve retention in care for newly diagnosed PLHIV in the era of Treat All.

Tuberculosis-Associated Immune Reconstitution Inflammatory Syndrome-An Extempore Game of Misfiring with Defense Arsenals

The lethal combination involving TB and HIV, known as "syndemic" diseases, synergistically act upon one another to magnify the disease burden. Individuals on anti-retroviral therapy (ART) are at risk of developing TB-associated immune reconstitution inflammatory syndrome (TB-IRIS). The underlying inflammatory complication includes the rapid restoration of immune responses following ART, eventually leading to exaggerated inflammatory responses to MTB antigens. TB-IRIS continues to be a cause of morbidity and mortality among HIV/TB coinfected patients initiating ART, and although a significant quantum of knowledge has been acquired on the pathogenesis of IRIS, the underlying pathomechanisms and identification of a sensitive and specific diagnostic marker still remain a grey area of investigation. Here, we reviewed the latest research developments into IRIS immunopathogenesis, and outlined the modalities to prevent and manage strategies for better clinical and diagnostic outcomes for IRIS.

Same-Day Antiretroviral Therapy Initiation as a Predictor of Loss to Follow-up and Viral Suppression Among People With Human Immunodeficiency Virus in Sub-Saharan Africa

BACKGROUND

Treat-All guidelines recommend initiation of antiretroviral therapy (ART) for all people with HIV (PWH) on the day of diagnosis when possible, yet uncertainty exists about the impact of same-day ART initiation on subsequent care engagement. We examined the association of same-day ART initiation with loss to follow-up and viral suppression among patients in 11 sub-Saharan African countries.

METHODS

We included ART-naive adult PWH from sites participating in the International epidemiology Databases to Evaluate AIDS (IeDEA) consortium who enrolled in care after Treat-All implementation and prior to January 2019. We used multivariable Cox regression to estimate the association between same-day ART initiation and loss to follow-up and Poisson regression to estimate the association between same-day ART initiation and 6-month viral suppression.

RESULTS

Among 29 017 patients from 63 sites, 18 584 (64.0%) initiated ART on the day of enrollment. Same-day ART initiation was less likely among those with advanced HIV disease versus early-stage disease. Loss to follow-up was significantly lower among those initiating ART ≥1 day of enrollment, compared with same-day ART initiators (20.6% vs 27.7%; adjusted hazard ratio: .66; 95% CI .57-.76). No difference in viral suppression was observed by time to ART initiation (adjusted rate ratio: 1.00; 95% CI: .98-1.02).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients initiating ART on the day of enrollment were more frequently lost to follow-up than those initiating later but were equally likely to be virally suppressed. Our findings support recent World Health Organization recommendations for providing tailored counseling and support to patients who accept an offer of same-day ART.

Accuracy of point-of-care HIV and CD4 field testing by lay healthcare workers in the Botswana Combination Prevention Project

Accurate HIV and CD4 testing are critical in program implementation, with HIV misdiagnosis having serious consequences at both the client and/or community level. We implemented a comprehensive training and Quality Assurance (QA) program to ensure accuracy of point-of-care HIV and CD4 count testing by lay counsellors during the Botswana Combination Prevention Project (BCPP). We compared the performance of field testing by lay counsellors to results from an accredited laboratory to ascertain accuracy of testing. All trained lay counsellors passed competency assessments and performed satisfactorily in proficiency testing panel evaluations in 2013, 2014, and 2015. There was excellent agreement (99.6 %) between field and laboratory-based HIV test results; of the 3002 samples tested, 960 and 2030 were concordantly positive and negative respectively, with 12 misclassifications (kappa score 0.99, p < 0.0001). Of the 149 HIV-positive samples enumerated for CD4 count in the field using PIMA at a threshold of ≤ 350 cells/µl; there was 86 % agreement with laboratory testing, with only 21 misclassified. The mean difference between field and lab CD4 testing was - 16.16 cells/µl (95 % CI -5.4 to 26.9). Overall, there was excellent agreement between field and laboratory results for both HIV rapid test and PIMA CD4 results. A standard training package to train lay counsellors to accurately perform HIV and CD4 point-of-care testing in field settings was feasible, with point-of-care results obtained by lay counsellors comparable to laboratory-based testing.

Laboratory Evaluation of the VISITECT Advanced Disease Semiquantitative Point-of-Care CD4 Test

BACKGROUND

Advanced HIV disease (AHD; CD4 counts <200 cells/µL) remains common in many low- and middle-income settings. An instrument-free point-of-care test to rapidly identify patients with AHD would facilitate implementation of the World Health Organization (WHO) recommended package of care. We performed a laboratory-based validation study to evaluate the performance of the VISITECT CD4 Advanced Disease assay in Botswana.

SETTING

A laboratory validation study.

METHODS

Venous blood samples from people living with HIV having baseline CD4 testing in Gaborone, Botswana, underwent routine testing using flow cytometry, followed by testing with the VISITECT CD4 Advanced Disease assay by a laboratory scientist blinded to the flow cytometry result with a visual read to determine whether the CD4 count was below 200 cells/µL. A second independent investigator conducted a visual read blinded to the results of flow cytometry and the initial visual read. The sensitivity and specificity of the VISITECT for detection of AHD were determined using flow cytometry as a reference standard, and interrater agreement in VISITECT visual reads assessed.

RESULTS

One thousand fifty-three samples were included in the analysis. The VISITECT test correctly identified 112/119 samples as having a CD4 count <200 cells/µL, giving a sensitivity of 94.1% (95% confidence interval: 88.3% to 97.6%) and specificity of 85.9% (95% confidence interval: 83.5% to 88.0%) compared with flow cytometry. Interrater agreement between the 2 independent readers was 97.5%, Kappa 0.92 ( P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The VISITECT CD4 advanced disease reliably identified individuals with low CD4 counts and could facilitate implementation of the WHO recommended package of interventions for AHD.

Testing modality associated with fast-track ART initiation in Botswana

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to identify community testing modalities associated with fast-track ART initiation in Botswana.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study that included all Botswana citizens 15 years or older who were newly identified as HIV-positive from 1 May 2017 to 31 January 2019, in Mahalapye and Southern districts. We used Poisson regression with robust error variance and generalised linear mixed models to control for cluster effects to model risk of ART initiation within 7 and 30 days of HIV diagnosis, testing modality factors.

RESULTS

A total of 1436 individuals were newly identified HIV-positive, with men accounting for 60% across all testing modalities. 22% of all HIV-positive individuals were initiated on ART within 7 days. Clients diagnosed through index testing were more likely to be started on ART within 7 days (adjusted risk ratio [aRR] = 1.38, 95% CI 1.37-1.38) and 30 days (aRR = 1.17, 95% CI 1.09-1.26) than those diagnosed through mobile/outreach testing.

CONCLUSIONS

Community HIV testing can complement facility-based testing by reaching individuals who may be less likely to seek HIV services at a facility, such as men. Monitoring ART initiation by testing modalities is critical to identify the optimal ones and to guide continuous programme improvement.

Timely initiation of HIV antiretroviral therapy in Haiti 2004-2018: a retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To describe trends in timing of ART initiation for newly diagnosed people living with HIV before and after Haiti adopted its Test and Start policy for universal HIV antiretroviral therapy (ART) in July 2016, and to explore predictors of timely ART initiation for both newly and previously diagnosed people living with HIV following Test and Start adoption.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study explored timing of ART initiation among 147 900 patients diagnosed with HIV at 94 ART clinics in 2004-2018 using secondary electronic medical record data. The study used survival analysis methods to assess time trends and risk factors for ART initiation.

RESULTS

Timely uptake of ART expanded with Test and Start, such that same-day ART initiation rates increased from 3.7% to 45.0%. However, only 11.0% of previously diagnosed patients initiated ART after Test and Start. In adjusted analyses among newly diagnosed people living with HIV, factors negatively associated with timely ART initiation included being a pediatric patient aged 0-14 years (HR = 0.23, p < 0.001), being male (HR = 0.92, p = 0.03), being 50+ years (HR = 0.87, p = 0.03), being underweight (HR = 0.79, p < 0.001), and having WHO stage 3 (HR = 0.73, p < 0.001) or stage 4 disease (HR = 0.49, p < 0.001). Variation in timely ART initiation by geographic department and health facility was observed.

CONCLUSIONS

Haiti has made substantial progress in scaling up Test and Start, but further work is needed to enroll previously diagnosed patients and to ensure rapid ART in key patient subgroups. Further research is needed on facility and geographic factors and on strategies for improving timely ART initiation among vulnerable subgroups.

Rapid antiretroviral therapy initiation and its effect on treatment response in MSM in West Africa

OBJECTIVE

To assess the time from HIV diagnosis to ART initiation and the effect of rapid ART initiation (i.e. within 7 days of HIV diagnosis) on attrition and virologic and immunologic responses among MSM in Burkina Faso, Côte d'Ivoire, Mali, and Togo.

DESIGN

Prospective cohort study between 2015 and 2019.

METHODS

MSM aged 18 years or older newly diagnosed with HIV infection were eligible to participate. ART was proposed to participants upon HIV diagnosis, irrespective of clinical stage and CD4+ cell count, and was initiated as soon as possible, with no specific time frame. Determinants of rapid ART initiation and its effect on treatment outcomes were assessed using multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

Of 350 MSM, 335 (95.7%) initiated ART after a median time of 5 days. Of the latter, 216 (64.5%) had rapid ART initiation. The 335 participants were followed up for a median time of 24.1 months. One hundred and eleven (33.1%) were not retained in care. Rapid ART initiation was less likely in participants with a CD4+ cell count at least 200 cells/μl [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 0.37, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.15-0.88]. It improved viral load suppression (aOR 6.96, 95% CI 1.98-24.46) but had no effect on attrition (aOR 0.87, 95% CI 0.57-1.33) or CD4+ cell count increase (adjusted coefficient 28.23, 95% CI -17.00 to 73.45).

CONCLUSION

These results in MSM in West Africa support the WHO recommendation for rapid ART initiation. Clinics need to develop context-specific strategies for rapid ART initiation and for retaining MSM in HIV care.ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT02626286.

Effects of implementing universal and rapid HIV treatment on initiation of antiretroviral therapy and retention in care in Zambia: a natural experiment using regression discontinuity

BACKGROUND

Universal testing and treatment (UTT) for all people living with HIV has only been assessed under experimental conditions in cluster-randomised trials. The public health effectiveness of UTT policies on the HIV care cascade under real-world conditions is not known. We assessed the real-world effectiveness of universal HIV treatment policies that were implemented in Zambia on Jan 1, 2017.

METHODS

We used data from Zambia's routine electronic health record system to analyse antiretroviral therapy (ART)-naive adults who newly enrolled in HIV care up to 1 year before and after the implementation of universal treatment (ie, Jan 1, 2016, to Jan 1, 2018) at 117 clinics supported by the Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia. We used a regression discontinuity design to estimate the effects of implementing UTT on same-day ART initiation, ART initiation within 1 month, and retention on ART at 12 months (defined as clinic attendance 9-15 months after enrolment and at least 6 months on ART), under the assumption that patients presenting immediately before and after UTT implementation were balanced on both measured and unmeasured characteristics. We did an instrumental variable analysis to estimate the effect of same-day ART initiation under routine conditions on 12-month retention on ART.

FINDINGS

65 673 newly enrolled patients with HIV (40 858 [62·2%] female, median age 32 years [IQR 26-39], median CD4 count 287 cells per μL [IQR 147-466]) were eligible for inclusion in the analyses; 31 145 enrolled before implementation of UTT, and 34 528 enrolled after UTT. Implementation of universal treatment increased same-day ART initiation from 41·7% to 74·8% (risk difference [RD] 33·1%, 95% CI 30·5-35·7), ART initiation by 1 month from 69·6% to 87·0% (RD 17·4%, 15·5-19·3), and 12-month retention on ART from 56·2% to 63·3% (RD 7·1%, 4·3-9·9). ART initiation rates became more uniform across patient subgroups after implementation of universal treatment, but heterogeneity in 12-month retention on ART between subgroups was unchanged. Instrumental variable analyses indicated that same-day ART initiation in routine settings led to a 15·8% increase (95% CI 12·1-19·5) in 12-month retention on ART.

INTERPRETATION

UTT policies implemented in Zambia increased the rapidity and uptake of ART, as well as retention on ART at 12 months, although overall retention on ART remained suboptimal. UTT policies reduced disparities in treatment initiation, but not 12-month retention on ART. Natural experiments reveal both the anticipated and unanticipated effects of real-world implementation and indicate the need for new strategies leveraging the short-term effects of UTT to cultivate long-term treatment success.

FUNDING

National Institutes of Health.

CD4+ T-Cell Count at Antiretroviral Therapy Initiation in the "Treat-All" Era in Rural South Africa: An Interrupted Time Series Analysis

BACKGROUND

South Africa implemented universal test and treat (UTT) in September 2016 in an effort to encourage earlier initiation of antiretroviral therapy (ART).

METHODS

We therefore conducted an interrupted time series (ITS) analysis to assess the impact of UTT on mean CD4 count at ART initiation among adults aged ≥16 years attending 17 public sector primary care clinics in rural South Africa, between July 2014 and March 2019.

RESULTS

Among 20 599 individuals (69% women), CD4 counts were available for 74%. Mean CD4 at ART initiation increased from 317.1 cells/μL (95% confidence interval [CI], 308.6 to 325.6) 1 to 8 months prior to UTT to 421.0 cells/μL (95% CI, 413.0 to 429.0) 1 to 12 months after UTT, including an immediate increase of 124.2 cells/μL (95% CI, 102.2 to 146.1). However, mean CD4 count subsequently fell to 389.5 cells/μL (95% CI, 381.8 to 397.1) 13 to 30 months after UTT but remained above pre-UTT levels. Men initiated ART at lower CD4 counts than women (-118.2 cells/μL, 95% CI, -125.5 to -111.0) throughout the study.

CONCLUSIONS

Although UTT led to an immediate increase in CD4 count at ART initiation in this rural community, the long-term effects were modest. More efforts are needed to increase initiation of ART early in those living with human immunodeficiency virus, particularly men.

Finding, treating and retaining persons with HIV in a high HIV prevalence and high treatment coverage country: Results from the Botswana Combination Prevention Project

INTRODUCTION

The scale-up of Universal Test and Treat has resulted in reductions in HIV morbidity, mortality and incidence. However, healthcare system and personal challenges have impacted the levels of treatment coverage achieved. We implemented interventions to improve linkage to care, retention, viral load (VL) coverage and service delivery, and describe the HIV care cascade over the course of the Botswana Combination Prevention Project (BCPP) study.

METHODS

BCPP was designed to evaluate the impact of prevention interventions on HIV incidence in 30 communities in Botswana. We followed a longitudinal cohort of newly identified and known HIV-positive persons not on antiretroviral therapy (ART) identified through community-based testing activities through BCPP and referred with appointments to local HIV clinics in 15 intervention communities. Those who did not keep the first or follow-up appointments were tracked and traced through phone and home contacts. Improvements to service delivery models in the intervention clinics were also implemented.

RESULTS

A total of 3,657 newly identified or HIV-positive persons not on ART were identified and referred to their local HIV clinic; 90% (3,282/3,657) linked to care and of those, 93% (3,066/3,282) initiated treatment. Near the end of the study, 221 persons remained >90 days late for appointments or missing. Tracing efforts identified 54/3,066 (2%) persons who initiated treatment but died, and 106/3,066 (3%) persons were located and returned to treatment. At study end, 61/3,066 (2%) persons remained missing and were never reached. Overall, 2,951 (98%) persons living with HIV (PLHIV) who initiated treatment were still alive, retained in care and still receiving ART out of the 3,001 persons alive at the end of the study. Of those on ART, 2,854 (97%) had current VL results and 2,784 (98%) of those were virally suppressed at study end.

CONCLUSIONS

This study achieved high rates of linkage, treatment initiation, retention and VL coverage and suppression in a cohort of newly identified and known PLHIV not on ART. Tracking and tracing interventions effectively identified those persons who needed more resource intensive follow-up. The interventions implemented to improve service delivery and data quality may have also contributed to high linkage and retention rates. Clinical trial number: NCT01965470.

Utility of CD4 count measurement in the era of universal antiretroviral therapy: an analysis of routine laboratory data in Botswana

OBJECTIVES

National guidelines in Botswana recommend baseline CD4 count measurement and both CD4 and HIV viral load (VL) monitoring post-antiretroviral therapy (ART) initiation. We evaluated the utility of CD4 count measurement in Botswana in the era of universal ART.

METHODS

CD4 and VL data were analysed for HIV-infected adults undergoing CD4 count measurement in 2015-2017 at the Botswana Harvard HIV-Reference Laboratory. We determined (1) the proportion of individuals with advanced HIV disease (CD4 count < 200 cells/µL) at initial CD4 assessment, (2) the proportion with an initial CD4 count ≥ 200 cells/µL experiencing a subsequent decline in CD4 count to < 200 cells/µL, and (3) the proportion of these immunologically failing individuals who had virological failure. Logistic regression modelling examined factors associated with advanced HIV disease. CD4 count trajectories were assessed using locally weighted scatterplot smoothing (LOWESS) regression.

RESULTS

Twenty-five per cent (3571/14 423) of individuals with an initial CD4 assessment during the study period had advanced HIV disease at baseline. Older age [≥ 35 years; adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 1.9; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.8-2.1] and male sex were associated with advanced HIV disease. Fifty per cent (7163/14 423) of individuals had at least two CD4 counts during the study period. Of those with an initial CD4 count ≥ 200 cells/µL, 4% (180/5061) experienced a decline in CD4 count to < 200 cells/µL; the majority of CD4 count declines were in virologically suppressed individuals and transient.

CONCLUSIONS

One-quarter of HIV-positive individuals in Botswana still present with advanced HIV disease, highlighting the importance of baseline CD4 count measurement to identify this at-risk population. Few with a baseline CD4 count ≥ 200 cells/µL experienced a drop below 200 cells/µL, suggesting limited utility for ongoing CD4 monitoring.