Ectopic fat obesity presents the greatest risk for incident type 2 diabetes: a population-based longitudinal study

Association Between the Hepatic Steatosis Index and Risk of Incident Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus in the Normoglycemic Population:A Longitudinal Prospective Study in Japan

Purpose

The Hepatic Steatosis Index (HSI) is a reliable predictor of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), which can increase the risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). However, limited research has directly predicted HSI's association with T2DM occurrence at normal blood glucose levels. Hence, this study aimed to assess the link between baseline HSI and T2DM development under euglycemic conditions while also exploring potential sex differences.

Methods

Using data from the NAGALA cohort study, a Cox regression model analyzed the relationship between HSI and T2DM risk, calculating hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Subgroup analyses were conducted to investigate factors influencing HSI's prediction of incident T2DM.

Results

During a mean 6.1-year follow-up, 238 individuals (1.65% of participants) developed T2DM. After adjusting for age, ethanol consumption, smoking status, SBP, DBP, TG, and TC, HSI showed a significant association with incident T2DM in individuals with normal glucose levels, consistent across sexes. Compared to the lowest quartile group (Q1), the HR and 95% CI for Q2, Q3, and Q4 were 1.09 (0.61, 1.93), 1.16 (0.68, 1.98), and 3.30 (2.04, 5.33), respectively (P for trend < 0.001). Subgroup analysis indicated that elevated HSI significantly increased the risk of incident T2DM in individuals with normal TG levels (P for interaction = 0.0170).

Conclusion

This study highlights the significant association between elevated HSI levels and the likelihood of developing incident T2DM in individuals with normal glucose levels. Furthermore, it offers a simple and valuable screening tool for predicting T2DM.

Associations between metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease, chronic kidney disease, and abdominal obesity: a national retrospective cohort study

Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) present notable health challenges, however, abdominal obesity has received scant attention despite its potential role in exacerbating these conditions. Thus, we conducted a retrospective cohort study using the National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys III (NHANES III) of the United States from 1988 to 1994 including 9161 participants, and mortality follow-up survey in 2019. Statistical analyze including univariable and multivariable Logistic and Cox regression models, and Mediation effect analyze were applied in study after adjustment for covariates. Our findings revealed that individuals with both abdominal obesity and MAFLD were more likely to be female, older and exhibit higher prevalence of advanced liver fibrosis (7.421% vs. 2.363%, p < 0.001), type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) (21.484% vs. 8.318%, p < 0.001) and CKD(30.306% vs. 16.068%, p < 0.001) compared to those with MAFLD alone. MAFLD (adjusted OR: 1.392, 95% CI 1.013-1.913, p = 0.041), abdominal obesity (adjusted OR 1.456, 95% CI 1.127-1.880, p = 0.004), abdominal obesity with MAFLD (adjusted OR 1.839, 95% CI 1.377-2.456, p < 0.001), advanced fibrosis(adjusted OR 1.756, 95% CI 1.178-2.619, p = 0.006) and T2DM (adjusted OR 2.365, 95% CI 1.758-3.183, p < 0.001) were independent risk factors of CKD. The abdominal obese MAFLD group had the highest all-cause mortality as well as mortality categorized by disease during the 30-year follow-up period. Indices for measuring abdominal obesity, such as waist circumference (WC), waist-hip ratio (WHR), and lipid accumulation product (LAP), elucidated a greater mediation effect of MAFLD on CKD compared to BMI on CKD (proportion mediation 65.23%,70.68%, 71.98%, respectively vs. 32.63%). In conclusion, the coexistence of abdominal obesity and MAFLD increases the prevalence and mortality of CKD, and abdominal obesity serves as a mediator in the association between MAFLD and CKD.

Lipids as potential mediators linking body mass index to diabetes: evidence from a mediation analysis based on the NAGALA cohort

BACKGROUND

Body mass index (BMI) and lipid disorders are both known to be strongly associated with the development of diabetes, however, the indirect effect of lipid parameters in the BMI-related diabetes risk is currently unknown. This study aimed to investigate the mediating role of lipid parameters in the association of BMI with diabetes risk.

METHODS

We assessed the association of diabetes risk with BMI, as well as lipid parameters including high-density lipoprotein cholesterol(HDL-C), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol(LDL-CF and LDL-CS), triglycerides(TG), total cholesterol(TC), remnant cholesterol(RC), non-HDL-C, and combined indices of lipid parameters with HDL-C (RC/HDL-C ratio, TG/HDL-C ratio, TC/HDL-C ratio, non-HDL/HDL-C ratio, LDL/HDL-C ratio) using data from 15,453 subjects in the NAGALA project. Mediation models were used to explore the mediating role of lipid parameters in the association of BMI with diabetes risk, and mediation percentages were calculated for quantifying the strength of the indirect effects. Finally, receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis was used to compare the accuracy of BMI and BMI combined with lipid parameters in predicting incident diabetes.

RESULTS

Multivariate regression models, adjusted for confounding factors, demonstrated robust associations of lipid parameters, BMI, with diabetes risk, with the exception of TC, LDL-CF, LDL-CS, and non-HDL-C. Mediation analysis showed that lipid parameters except TC, LDL-CF, LDL-CS, and Non-HDL-C were involved in and mediated the association of BMI with diabetes risk, with the largest mediation percentage being the RC/HDL-C ratio, which was as high as 40%; it is worth mentioning that HDL-C and HDL-C-related lipid ratio parameters also play an important mediating role in the association between BMI and diabetes, with the mediator proportion being greater than 30%. Finally, based on the ROC results, we found that the prediction performance of all lipid parameters in the current study except TC was significantly improved when combined with BMI.

CONCLUSION

Our fresh findings suggested that lipid parameters partially mediated the association of BMI with diabetes risk; this result indicated that in the context of diabetes risk screening and disease management, it is important to not only monitor BMI but also pay attention to lipid parameters, particularly HDL-C and HDL-C-related lipid ratio parameters.

Evaluating the relative importance of different blood pressure indices in screening for NAFLD: a survey report based on a health examination population

Objective

While hypertension is a well-recognized risk factor for non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), the specific roles of various common blood pressure measurements [diastolic blood pressure (DBP), systolic blood pressure (SBP), pulse pressure (PP), mean arterial pressure (MAP)] in detecting NAFLD and evaluating the associated risk in adults remain unclear.

Methods

A retrospective analysis was conducted on 14,251 adult participants undergoing health screenings in the NAfld in the Gifu Area, Longitudinal Analysis project (NAGALA). Following the Z-transformation of the independent variables, we evaluated the relationships between the four blood pressure indices and NAFLD through multivariable logistic regression models. This analysis documented the odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for each standard deviation (SD) increase. Additionally, the effectiveness of these indices in identifying NAFLD was comparatively analyzed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.

Results

After adequately adjusting for confounders, all blood pressure indices except PP showed a positive correlation with NAFLD. For each SD increment, MAP had the strongest association with NAFLD compared to SBP and DBP. This finding was confirmed in populations without exercise habits, under 60 years of age, with normal blood pressure, and in non-obese groups. Furthermore, based on ROC analysis, MAP was found to have the highest accuracy in identifying NAFLD compared to the other three blood pressure indices.

Conclusion

Among the four blood pressure indices evaluated, MAP demonstrates the greatest efficacy in identifying NAFLD and assessing its associated risk. These findings underscore the potential of MAP as the most promising blood pressure index for screening NAFLD.

Association between predicted fat mass, predicted lean mass, predicted percent fat and type 2 diabetes mellitus in Japanese adults: a retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is known to have obesity as a risk factor. Body mass index cannot distinguish between lean mass and fat mass. We aimed to examine the association between predicted fat mass, predicted lean mass, predicted percent fat and risk of T2DM in Japanese adults. We also explored whether these three new parameters could predict T2DM better than other obesity markers.

METHODS

This present study is a secondary data analysis. The study enrolled 20,944 Japanese individuals who participated in the NAGALA medical assessment program between 2004 and 2015. 15,453 participants who are eligible and have complete information were included to our analysis. Through the use of Kaplan-Meier curve, restricted cubic spline and univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis, the relationship between predicted fat mass, predicted lean mass, predicted percent fat and T2DM risk was examined. The area under the curve method was used to assess the differences between these markers of obesity.

RESULTS

A total of 373 cases of T2DM occurred over a median time of 5.4 years. In the male group, we found a U-shaped connection between predicted fat mass, predicted lean mass, and T2DM onset (p value, non-linearity < 0.05). A linear relationship was found between predicted percent fat and T2DM onset. The linear relationship was also found in the female group for predicted fat mass, and predicted percent fat. And for women, predicted lean mass was not an independent predictor. The area under the curve (AUC) for predicted fat mass, predicted lean mass, predicted percent fat in men was 0.673 (95%CI: 0.639 ~ 0.707), 0.598 (95%CI: 0.561 ~ 0.635), 0.715 (95%CI: 0.684 ~ 0.745), respectively. In males, WHtR was the strongest predictor (AUC 0.7151, 95%CI: 0.684 ~ 0.746), followed by predicted percent fat (AUC 0.7150, 95%CI: 0.684 ~ 0.745). In the females, WHtR was also the strongest predictor (AUC 0.758, 95%CI: 0.703 ~ 0.813), followed by body mass index (AUC 0.757, 95%CI: 0.704 ~ 0.811) and predicted percent fat (AUC 0.742, 95%CI: 0.687 ~ 0.798).

CONCLUSION

Predicted fat mass, predicted lean mass, predicted percent fat were strongly connected with an increased risk for developing T2DM in Japanese, particularly in males. WHtR and predicted percent fat had a slightly better discrimination than other common obesity indicators in males. In the females, predicted fat mass and predicted percent fat were associated with T2DM risk, WHtR and body mass index had the slightly higher predictive power.

The Association Between the Triglyceride to High-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol Ratio and the Incidence of Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus in the Japanese Population

Abstract Aims: To explore whether the triglyceride to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (TG/HDL-C) was independently associated with the risk of incident type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in a large Japanese cohort. Methods: A secondary analysis was performed using open-access data from a retrospective cohort study. A total of 12,716 eligible participants who had standard medical examinations at the Murakami Memorial Hospital were included in this study. New-onset T2DM was the main outcome during follow-up. The risk of T2DM based on the TG/HDL-C ratio was evaluated using Cox regression analysis and Kaplan-Meier analysis. Subgroup analysis was performed to understand further the significance of the TG/HDL-C ratio in particular populations. To assess the potential of the TG/HDL-C ratio for predicting T2DM, a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was performed. Results: One hundred fifty new-onset T2DM cases were observed during a median follow-up of 5.39 years. The incidence of T2DM increased with a rise in the TG/HDL-C ratio based on the Kaplan-Meier curves (P < 0.0001). After controlling for potential confounding variables, the TG/HDL-C ratio was positively related to incidence of T2DM (hazard ratio = 1.08, 95% confidence interval: 1.01-1.15, P = 0.0239). In subgroup analysis, those with a body mass index of ≥18.5 and <24 kg/m2 showed a significantly positive relationship. The area under the ROC curve for the TG/HDL-C ratio as a T2DM predictor was 0.684. The optimal TG/HDL-C ratio cutoff value for T2DM was 1.609, with a sensitivity of 54.7% and a specificity of 73.6%. Conclusion: The authors' results showed a significant relationship between the TG/HDL-C ratio and the incidence of T2DM in the Japanese population.

Screening the General Population for Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: Model Development and Validation

BACKGROUND

The prevalence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is increasing worldwide. Screening the general population for this may help to select appropriate diagnostic and preventive measures before disease progression.

AIMS

We aimed to develop a screening method to identify patients with NAFLD in the general population.

METHODS

We analyzed cross-sectional data from a large Japanese study of NAFLD. Principal component analysis was used to analyze the data. Candidate predictors were patients' demographic, clinical, and laboratory characteristics. The resulting model was externally validated using three data sets from different populations.

RESULTS

Of 15,464 (54.5% men) included patients, 2,741 (17.7%) had NAFLD as determined by ultrasonography. An index was calculated as the arithmetic mean of the scaled body mass index and serum triglyceride levels for both men and women. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, sensitivity, specificity, and false positive rate were 0.875, 0.824, 0.770, and 17.6%, respectively. The mean index values were significantly different between the patients with and without non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (p <0.001). The odds ratio of the index cutoff was 15.6 (95% confidence interval [CI]:14.05, 17.39). The model yielded areas under the curve of 0.828, 0.851, and 0.836 for a Chinese (N = 2,319), an Iranian (N = 2,160), and a Brazilian (N = 45,029) data set, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed composite index demonstrated high performance and generalizability, suggesting its potential use as a screening tool for NAFLD in the general population.

Predictive value of insulin resistance surrogates for the development of diabetes in individuals with baseline normoglycemia: findings from two independent cohort studies in China and Japan

BACKGROUND

Insulin resistance (IR) plays a crucial role in the occurrence and progression of diabetes. This study aimed to evaluate and compare the predictive value of four IR surrogates, including the triglycerides glucose (TyG) index, TyG and body mass index (TyG-BMI), triglycerides/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (TG/HDL-C) ratio, and the metabolic score for IR (MetS-IR) for diabetes in two large cohorts.

METHODS

A total of 116,661 adult participants from the China Rich Healthcare Group and 15,464 adult participants from the Japanese NAGALA cohort were included in the study. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the standardized hazard ratio (HR) of the TyG index, TyG-BMI, TG/HDL-C ratio, and MetS-IR directly associated with diabetes. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and time-dependent ROC curve analysis were performed to evaluate and compare the predictive value of the four IR surrogates for diabetes.

RESULTS

In the two independent cohorts, the average follow-up time was 3.1 years in the China cohort, with 2681(2.30%) incident cases of diabetes recorded, and 6.13 years in the Japan cohort, with 373 incident cases (2.41%) of diabetes recorded. After adjusting for potential confounding factors, we found that among the four IR surrogates, TyG-BMI and MetS-IR showed stronger associations with diabetes. The stronger associations persisted even after further stratification by age, sex, hypertension, and obese subgroups. In terms of diabetes prediction, based on ROC analysis, TyG-BMI demonstrated the highest predictive accuracy for diabetes in the Chinese population, while both TyG-BMI and MetS-IR showed the highest predictive accuracy in the Japanese population. The results of further subgroup ROC analysis confirmed the robustness of these findings. Furthermore, the time-dependent ROC results indicated that among the four IR surrogates, MetS-IR exhibited the highest accuracy in predicting future diabetes at various time intervals in the Japanese population.

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest that evaluating TyG-BMI and MetS-IR as IR surrogates may be the most useful for predicting diabetes events and assessing the risk of developing diabetes in East Asian populations.

Correlation between the triglyceride-glucose index and arterial stiffness in Japanese individuals with normoglycaemia: a cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

The association between the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index and arterial stiffness in individuals with normoglycaemia remains unclear. We aimed to evaluate the relationship between the TyG index and arterial stiffness in Japanese individuals with normoglycaemia, providing additional evidence for predicting early arterial stiffness.

METHODS

This study included 15,453 adults who participated in the NAGALA Physical Examination Project of the Murakami Memorial Hospital in Gifu, Japan, from 2004 to 2015. Data on clinical demographic characteristics and serum biomarker levels were collected. The TyG index was calculated from the logarithmic transformation of fasting triglycerides multiplied by fasting glucose, and arterial stiffness was measured using the estimated pulse wave velocity calculated based on age and mean blood pressure. The association between the TyG index and arterial stiffness was analysed using a logistic regression model.

RESULTS

The prevalence of arterial stiffness was 3.2% (500/15,453). After adjusting for all covariates, the TyG index was positively associated with arterial stiffness as a continuous variable (adjusted odds ratio (OR) = 1.86; 95% Confidence Interval = 1.45-2.39; P<0.001). Using the quartile as the cutoff point, a regression analysis was performed for arterial stiffness when the TyG index was converted into a categorical variable. After adjusting for all covariates, the OR showed an upward trend; the trend test was P<0.001. Subgroup analysis revealed a positive association between the TyG index and arterial stiffness in Japanese individuals with normoglycaemia and different characteristics.

CONCLUSION

The TyG index in Japanese individuals with normoglycaemia is significantly correlated with arterial stiffness, and the TyG index may be a predictor of early arterial stiffness.

Adipose organ dysfunction and type 2 diabetes: Role of nitric oxide

Adipose organ, historically known as specialized lipid-handling tissue serving as the long-term fat depot, is now appreciated as the largest endocrine organ composed of two main compartments, i.e., subcutaneous and visceral adipose tissue (AT), madding up white and beige/brown adipocytes. Adipose organ dysfunction manifested as maldistribution of the compartments, hypertrophic, hypoxic, inflamed, and insulin-resistant AT, contributes to the development of type 2 diabetes (T2D). Here, we highlight the role of nitric oxide (NO·) in AT (dys)function in relation to developing T2D. The key aspects determining lipid and glucose homeostasis in AT depend on the physiological levels of the NO· produced via endothelial NO· synthases (eNOS). In addition to decreased NO· bioavailability (via decreased expression/activity of eNOS or scavenging NO·), excessive NO· produced by inducible NOS (iNOS) in response to hypoxia and AT inflammation may be a critical interfering factor diverting NO· signaling to the formation of reactive oxygen and nitrogen species, resulting in AT and whole-body metabolic dysfunction. Pharmacological approaches boosting AT-NO· availability at physiological levels (by increasing NO· production and its stability), as well as suppression of iNOS-NO· synthesis, are potential candidates for developing NO·-based therapeutics in T2D.

G protein-coupled receptors driven intestinal glucagon-like peptide-1 reprogramming for obesity: Hope or hype?

'Globesity' is a foremost challenge to the healthcare system. The limited efficacy and adverse effects of available oral pharmacotherapies pose a significant obstacle in the fight against obesity. The biology of the leading incretin hormone glucagon-like-peptide-1 (GLP-1) has been highly captivated during the last decade owing to its multisystemic pleiotropic clinical outcomes beyond inherent glucoregulatory action. That fostered a pharmaceutical interest in synthetic GLP-1 analogues to tackle type-2 diabetes (T2D), obesity and related complications. Besides, mechanistic insights on metabolic surgeries allude to an incretin-based hormonal combination strategy for weight loss that emerged as a forerunner for the discovery of injectable 'unimolecular poly-incretin-agonist' therapies. Physiologically, intestinal enteroendocrine L-cells (EECs) are the prominent endogenous source of GLP-1 peptide. Despite comprehending the potential of various G protein-coupled receptors (GPCRs) to stimulate endogenous GLP-1 secretion, decades of translational GPCR research have failed to yield regulatory-approved endogenous GLP-1 secretagogue oral therapy. Lately, a dual/poly-GPCR agonism strategy has emerged as an alternative approach to the traditional mono-GPCR concept. This review aims to gain a comprehensive understanding by revisiting the pharmacology of a few potential GPCR-based complementary avenues that have drawn attention to the design of orally active poly-GPCR agonist therapy. The merits, challenges and recent developments that may aid future poly-GPCR drug discovery are critically discussed. Subsequently, we project the mechanism-based therapeutic potential and limitations of oral poly-GPCR agonism strategy to augment intestinal GLP-1 for weight loss. We further extend our discussion to compare the poly-GPCR agonism approach over invasive surgical and injectable GLP-1-based regimens currently in clinical practice for obesity.

Association between weight-adjusted waist index and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: a population-based study

BACKGROUND

Obesity is the most important driver of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD); nevertheless, the relationship of weight-adjusted waist index (WWI), a new obesity index, with NAFLD is unclear.

METHODS

This retrospective study used data from the NAGALA project from 1994 to 2016. WWI values were calculated using waist circumference (WC) and weight measurements of the participants. Three stepwise adjusted logistic regression models were developed to assess the relationship of WWI with NAFLD in the whole population and in both sexes. Additionally, we also conducted a series of exploratory analysis to test the potential impact of body mass index (BMI), age, smoking status and exercise habits on the association of WWI with NAFLD. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to estimate cut-off points for identifying NAFLD in the entire population and in both sexes.

RESULTS

The current study included a population of 11,805 individuals who participated in health screenings, including 6,451 men and 5,354 women. After adjusting for all non-collinear variables in the multivariable logistic regression model, we found a significant positive correlation of WWI with NAFLD. For each unit increase in WWI, the risk of NAFLD increased by 72% in the entire population, by 84% in men, and by 63% in women. Furthermore, subgroup analyses revealed no significant discrepancies in the correlation of WWI with NAFLD across individuals with varying ages, exercise habits, and smoking status (all P-interaction > 0.05), except for different BMI groups (P-interaction < 0.05). Specifically, compared to the overweight/obese group, the relationship of WWI with NAFLD was significantly stronger in the non-obese group, especially in non-obese men. Finally, based on the results of ROC analysis, we determined that the WWI cut-off point used to identify NAFLD was 9.7675 in men and 9.9987 in women.

CONCLUSIONS

This study is the first to establish a positive correlation between WWI and NAFLD. Moreover, assessing the influence of WWI on NAFLD in individuals without obesity may yield more valuable insights compared to those who are overweight or obese.

The combination of body mass index and fasting plasma glucose is associated with type 2 diabetes mellitus in Japan: a secondary retrospective analysis

Background

Body mass index (BMI) and fasting plasma glucose (FPG) are known risk factors for type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), but data on the prospective association of the combination of BMI and FPG with T2DM are limited. This study sought to characterize the association of the combination of BMI and FPG (ByG) with T2DM.

Methods

The current study used the NAGALA database. We categorized participants by tertiles of ByG. The association of ByG with T2DM was expressed with hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) after adjustment for potential risk factors.

Results

During a median follow-up of 6.19 years in the normoglycemia cohort and 5.58 years in the prediabetes cohort, the incidence of T2DM was 0.75% and 7.79%, respectively. Following multivariable adjustments, there were stepwise increases in T2DM with increasing tertiles of ByG. After a similar multivariable adjustment, the risk of T2DM was 2.57 (95% CI 2.26 - 2.92), 1.97 (95% CI 1.53 - 2.54) and 1.50 (95% CI 1.30 - 1.74) for a per-SD change in ByG in all populations, the normoglycemia cohort and the prediabetes cohort, respectively.

Conclusion

ByG was associated with an increased risk of T2DM in Japan. The result reinforced the importance of the combination of BMI and FPG in assessing T2DM risk.

Severity of adipose tissue dysfunction is associated with progression of pre-diabetes to type 2 diabetes: the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study

BACKGROUND

The association of prediabetes (Pre-DM) regression and progression with visceral adiposity index (VAI) and adipose tissue dysfunction (ATD) remains to be investigated.

METHODS

The present cohort study was conducted within the framework of the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (TLGS) on 1458 Pre-DM cases (aged ≥ 21 years) who were followed for nine years. VAI was estimated based on waist circumference, body mass index, triglycerides, and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol. ATD status (i.e., absent, mild-moderate, and severe) was defined based on the age-stratified cutoff values of VAI. Multinomial logistic regression models with adjustment of potential confounders were used to estimate the chance of Pre-DM regression to normoglycemia or progression to T2D across ATD status.

RESULTS

During the study follow-up, 39.0% of the participants developed T2D, and 37.7% returned to normoglycemia. Compared to mild-moderate ATD, Pre-DM subjects with severe ATD had a higher risk of developing T2D by 45% (OR = 1.45, 95% CI = 11.08-1.93). Severe ATD was also associated with a decreased chance of returning to normoglycemia by 26% (OR = 0.74, 95% CI = 0.55-0.99). Participants with severe ATD had significantly higher fasting (overall mean = 111, 95% CI = 109-112 vs. 106, 95% CI = 105-108 mg/dL) and 2h-serum glucose (overall mean = 165, 95% CI = 161-168 vs. 153, 95% CI = 149-156 mg/dL) concentrations over time.

CONCLUSION

Severe ATD was associated with an elevated risk of developing T2D and longitudinal poor-glycemic controls in Pre-DM subjects. ATD may be a simple and useful index for detecting subjects at a higher risk of Pre-DM progression to T2D, allowing for timely intervention strategies.

Sex Differences in the Association Between AST/ALT and Incidence of Type 2 Diabetes in Japanese Patients with Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: A Retrospective Cohort Study

OBJECTIVES/INTRODUCTION

The purpose of the current study was to investigate the association between Aspartate Transaminase (AST)/Alanine transaminase(ALT) and type 2 diabetes (T2DM) in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) patients and to determine whether there were sex differences.

METHODS

In the retrospective study, we collected data on NAFLD patients (1, 896 men and 465 women) at Murakami Memorial Hospital from 2004 to 2015. Data were stratified by sex to investigate the association between AST/ALT and T2DM incidence by sex. Multiple regression analysis, smooth curve fitting model and subgroup analysis were used to determine the correlation, non-linear relationship and threshold effect between AST/ALT and T2DM.

RESULTS

In our study, 157 men and 40 women developed T2DM at follow-up. After adjusting for risk factors, AST/ALT was significantly associated with T2DM in men with NAFLD but not in women with NAFLD. The risk of T2DM increased as the AST/ALT ratio decreased. Besides, in male NAFLD patients, AST/ALT showed a non-linear relationship with T2DM, with an inflection point value of 0.964. When the AST to ALT ratio was below the threshold (AST/ALT <0.964), AST/ALT was significantly negatively associated with T2DM (HR = 0.177, 95% CI 0.055-0.568; P = 0.0036). In contrast, when AST/ALT >0.964, no significant association was found (HR = 3.174, 95% CI 0.345-29.167; P = 0.3074). Moreover, subgroup analysis showed that GGT could alter the relationship between AST/ALT and T2DM. In the group with GGT ≤ 40, AST/ALT was strongly associated with T2DM (HR = 0.24, 95% CI 0.09-0.66; P = 0.0059).

CONCLUSIONS

These results suggested that there were sex differences in the association between AST/ALT and T2DM in NAFLD participants. A non-linear association between AST/ALT and T2DM was observed in males. AST/ALT in the normal GGT group (GGT ≤40) might better facilitate the early screening of T2DM.

Identifying metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease in patients with hypertension and pre-hypertension: An interpretable machine learning approach

Objective

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is one of the most prevalent liver diseases and is associated with pre-hypertension and hypertension. Our research aims to develop interpretable machine learning (ML) models to accurately identify MASLD in hypertensive and pre-hypertensive populations.

Methods

The dataset for 4722 hypertensive and pre-hypertensive patients is from subjects in the NAGALA study. Six ML models, including the decision tree, K-nearest neighbor, gradient boosting, naive Bayes, support vector machine, and random forest (RF) models, were used in this study. The optimal model was constructed according to the performances of models evaluated by K-fold cross-validation (k = 5), the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), average precision (AP), accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and F1. Shapley additive explanation (SHAP) values were employed for both global and local interpretation of the model results.

Results

The prevalence of MASLD in hypertensive and pre-hypertensive patients was 44.3% (362 cases) and 28.3% (1107 cases), respectively. The RF model outperformed the other five models with an AUC of 0.889, AP of 0.800, accuracy of 0.819, sensitivity of 0.816, specificity of 0.821, and F1 of 0.729. According to the SHAP analysis, the top five important features were alanine aminotransferase, body mass index, waist circumference, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and total cholesterol. Further analysis of the feature selection in the RF model revealed that incorporating all features leads to optimal model performance.

Conclusions

ML algorithms, especially RF algorithm, improve the accuracy of MASLD identification, and the global and local interpretation of the RF model results enables us to intuitively understand how various features affect the chances of MASLD in patients with hypertension and pre-hypertension.

Abnormal adiposity indices are associated with an increased risk of diabetes in a non-obese Asian population

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between adiposity indices and the risk of incident diabetes and to compare their predictive ability in non-obese healthy individuals.

STUDY DESIGN

Population-based cohort study.

METHODS

Data were taken from the NAGALA research study, which enrolled Japanese adults aged 18-79 years. Cox regression was used to evaluate the association between adiposity indices (including waist circumference [WC], waist-to-height ratio [WHtR], lipid accumulation product index [LAP], body roundness index [BRI], visceral adiposity index [VAI] and Chinese visceral adiposity index [CVAI]) and diabetes risk. The performance of the indices for predicting diabetes was explored using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). A Chinese community-based population was used for validation.

RESULTS

A total of 12,940 healthy Japanese individuals with normal body mass index and glycaemic levels were included and were followed up for a median of 6 years. Multivariable Cox models revealed a positive and significant association between all indices and incident diabetes, with the hazard ratios for the highest quartile of the indices ranging from 1.89 to 2.90 (all P-values < 0.01). A non-linear association between WC, BRI and VAI and a linear association between WHtR, LAP and CVAI and diabetes risk were observed. CVAI, VAI and LAP had comparable ability in predicting diabetes, with the highest AUC being 0.733 for CVAI. Data from 10,830 Chinese individuals confirmed these results.

CONCLUSIONS

Adiposity indices are associated with incident diabetes in healthy non-obese individuals. Participants in the highest quartile of WC, WHtR, LAP, BRI, VAI and CVAI had an increased risk of developing diabetes.

Visceral fat and its dynamic change are associated with renal damage: Evidence from two cohorts

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

To evaluate the association of Chinese visceral adiposity index (CVAI) and its dynamic trends with risk of renal damage, and to compare its prediction performance with that of other obesity indices.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A community-based population with 23 905 participants from Shantou city was included in the cross-sectional analysis. A total of 9,778 individuals from two separated cohort were included in the longitudinal portion. Five patterns of CVAI change were predefined (low-stable, decreasing, moderate, increasing, and persistent-high). Logistic and Cox regressions were used to evaluate the association between CVAI and renal damage. We explored potential mechanisms using the mediating effect method, and the prediction performance was determined by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. Results from both cross-sectional and longitudinal data revealed a positive and linear association between CVAI and risk of renal damage. Pooled analysis of the two cohorts showed that per unit increase in Z score of CVAI induced 18% increased risk of renal damage (P = .008). Longitudinal trends of CVAI were also associated with renal damage, and the moderate, increasing, and persistent-high patterns showing a higher risk. Blood pressure and glucose had a mediating effect on renal damage induced by CVAI. Among several obesity indices, CVAI was the optimal for predicting renal damage.

CONCLUSION

A higher level of immediate CVAI and longitudinal increasing and persistent-high patterns of CVAI were independently associated with increased risk of renal damage. Monitoring immediate level and long-term trend of CVAI may contribute to the prevention of renal damage.

Weight-adjusted waist index is not superior to conventional anthropometric indices for predicting type 2 diabetes: a secondary analysis of a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Weight-adjusted waist index (WWI) is a new anthropometric indicator to assess adiposity. Current knowledge regarding its association with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is limited. This present study aims to evaluate the association of WWI with the risk of T2DM in the Japanese population, and to compare its predictive ability with body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (WC).

METHODS

This was a secondary analysis of a retrospective cohort study involving 15,464 participants. Participants were divided into quartiles based on baseline WWI levels. Cox regression model, Kaplan-Meier curve, and smooth curve fitting were used to explore the relationship between WWI and T2DM. The discriminative ability of obesity indices in predicting T2DM was compared by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.

RESULTS

After a mean follow-up of 6.05 years, 373 participants were diagnosed with T2DM. In fully adjusted models, the risk of incident T2DM was 1.96 times higher for each 1-unit increment in WWI levels (95% CI: 1.61-2.39, P < 0.001). Smooth curve fitting analysis showed a linear positive association between baseline WWI and new-onset T2DM. Subgroup analysis showed consistent results which subjects in the 4th WWI quartile had the highest risk of developing T2DM in different age, gender, and BMI groups. WWI did not exhibit better predictive ability compared with BMI and WC in the results of ROC curve.

CONCLUSION

WWI, a new metabolic index, can be used to predict new-onset T2DM in the Japanese population. However, its predictive capability was not superior to conventional anthropometric indices.

Gender perspective on the association between liver enzyme markers and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: insights from the general population

Objective

Every distinct liver enzyme biomarker exhibits a strong correlation with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). This study aims to comprehensively analyze and compare the associations of alanine aminotransferase (ALT), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), and gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT) with NAFLD from a gender perspective.

Methods

This study was conducted on 6,840 females and 7,411 males from the NAGALA cohort. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to compare the associations between liver enzyme markers and NAFLD in both genders, recording the corresponding adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to evaluate the accuracy of individual liver enzyme markers and different combinations of them in identifying NAFLD.

Results

Liver enzyme markers ALT, AST, and GGT were all independently associated with NAFLD and exhibited significant gender differences (All P-interaction<0.05). In both genders, ALT exhibited the most significant association with NAFLD, with adjusted standardized ORs of 2.19 (95% CI: 2.01-2.39) in males and 1.60 (95% CI: 1.35-1.89) in females. Additionally, ROC analysis showed that ALT had significantly higher accuracy in identifying NAFLD than AST and GGT in both genders (Delong P-value < 0.05), and the accuracy of ALT in identifying NAFLD in males was higher than that in females [Area under the ROC curve (AUC): male 0.79, female 0.77]. Furthermore, out of the various combinations of liver enzymes, ALT+GGT showed the highest accuracy in identifying NAFLD in both genders, with AUCs of 0.77 (95% CI: 0.75-0.79) in females and 0.79 (95% CI: 0.78-0.81) in males.

Conclusion

Our study revealed significant gender differences in the associations of the three commonly used liver enzyme markers with NAFLD. In both genders, the use of ALT alone may be the simplest and most effective tool for screening NAFLD, especially in males.

The newly proposed Metabolic Score for Visceral Fat is a reliable tool for identifying non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, requiring attention to age-specific effects in both sexes

Objective

The newly proposed Metabolic Visceral Fat Score (METS-VF) is considered a more effective measure for visceral adipose tissue (VAT) than other obesity indicators. This study aimed to reveal the association between METS-VF and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), and its variations across age groups within both sexes.

Methods

Data from 14,251 medical examiners in the NAGALA project were employed in this study. 3D fitted surface plots were constructed based on multivariate logistic regression models to visualize the isolated and combined effects of aging and METS-VF on NAFLD. Receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis was conducted to compare the diagnostic performance of METS-VF with other VAT surrogate markers in predicting NAFLD.

Results

The results of multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that each unit increase in METS-VF was independently associated with a 333% and 312% increase in the odds of NAFLD in males and females, respectively. Additionally, the 3D fitted surface plot showed that age significantly influenced the association between METS-VF and the odds of NAFLD in both sexes, as follows: (i) In males, when METS-VF was less than 6.2, the METS-VF-related odds of NAFLD increased gradually with age in the 20-45 age group, reached a plateau in the 45-65 age group, and then decreased in the group above 65 years old; however, when male METS-VF exceeded 6.2, aging and METS-VF combined to further increase the odds of NAFLD in all age groups, particularly in the 45-65 age group. (ii) In females, aging seemed to reduce METS-VF-related odds of NAFLD in the 18-40 age group, but significantly increased it in the 40-60 age group, particularly for those with higher METS-VF levels. Further ROC analysis revealed that compared to other VAT surrogate markers, METS-VF showed the highest diagnostic accuracy for NAFLD in females, especially in those under 45 years of age [area under the curve (AUC) = 0.9256].

Conclusions

This study firstly revealed a significant positive correlation between METS-VF and the odds of NAFLD, with METS-VF surpassing other VAT surrogate markers in NAFLD diagnosis. Moreover, age significantly influenced the METS-VF-related odds of NAFLD and METS-VF's diagnostic efficacy for NAFLD in both sexes.

Anti-Obesity Drug Delivery Systems: Recent Progress and Challenges

Obesity has reached an epidemic proportion in the last thirty years, and it is recognized as a major health issue in modern society now with the possibility of serious social and economic consequences. By the year 2030, nearly 60% of the global population may be obese or overweight, which emphasizes a need for novel obesity treatments. Various traditional approaches, such as pharmacotherapy and bariatric surgery, have been utilized in clinical settings to treat obesity. However, these methods frequently show the possibility of side effects while remaining ineffective. There is, therefore, an urgent need for alternative obesity treatments with improved efficacy and specificity. Polymeric materials and chemical strategies are employed in emerging drug delivery systems (DDSs) to enhance therapy effectiveness and specificity by stabilizing and controlling the release of active molecules such as natural ingredients. Designing DDSs is currently a top priority research objective with an eye towards creating obesity treatment approaches. In reality, the most recent trends in the literature demonstrate that there are not enough in-depth reviews that emphasize the current knowledge based on the creation and design of DDSs for obesity treatment. It is also observed in the existing literature that a complex interplay of different physical and chemical parameters must be considered carefully to determine the effectiveness of the DDSs, including microneedles, for obesity treatment. Additionally, it is observed that these properties depend on how the DDS is synthesized. Although many studies are at the animal-study stage, the use of more advanced DDS techniques would significantly enhance the development of safe and efficient treatment approaches for obese people in the future. Considering these, this review provides an overview of the current anti-obesity treatment approaches as well as the conventional anti-obesity therapeutics. The article aims to conduct an in-depth discussion on the current trends in obesity treatment approaches. Filling in this knowledge gap will lead to a greater understanding of the safest ways to manage obesity.

The predictive significance of lipid accumulation products for future diabetes in a non-diabetic population from a gender perspective: an analysis using time-dependent receiver operating characteristics

Objective

The increasing prevalence of diabetes is strongly associated with visceral adipose tissue (VAT), and gender differences in VAT remarkably affect the risk of developing diabetes. This study aimed to assess the predictive significance of lipid accumulation products (LAP) for the future onset of diabetes from a gender perspective.

Methods

A total of 8,430 male and 7,034 female non-diabetic participants in the NAGALA (NAfld in the Gifu Area, Longitudinal Analysis) program were included. The ability of LAP to assess the risk of future new-onset diabetes in both genders was analyzed using multivariate Cox regression. Subgroup analysis was conducted to explore the impact of potential modifiers on the association between LAP and diabetes. Additionally, time-dependent receiver operator characteristics (ROC) curves were used to assess the predictive power of LAP in both genders for new-onset diabetes over the next 2-12 years.

Results

Over an average follow-up of 6.13 years (maximum 13.14 years), 373 participants developed diabetes. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed a significant gender difference in the association between LAP and future diabetes risk (P-interaction<0.05): the risk of diabetes associated with LAP was greater in females than males [hazard ratios (HRs) per standard deviation (SD) increase: male 1.20 (1.10, 1.30) vs female 1.35 (1.11, 1.64)]. Subgroup analysis revealed no significant modifying effect of factors such as age, body mass index (BMI), smoking history, drinking history, exercise habits, and fatty liver on the risk of diabetes associated with LAP (All P-interaction <0.05). Time-dependent ROC analysis showed that LAP had greater accuracy in predicting diabetes events occurring within the next 2-12 years in females than males with more consistent predictive thresholds in females.

Conclusions

This study highlighted a significant gender difference in the association between LAP and future diabetes risk. The risk of diabetes associated with LAP was greater in females than in males. Furthermore, LAP showed superior predictive ability for diabetes at different time points in the future in females and had more consistent and stable predictive thresholds in females, particularly in the medium and long term.

Association of TyG index with prehypertension or hypertension: a retrospective study in Japanese normoglycemia subjects

Aim

The objective of our study was to investigate the potential association between the triglyceride and glucose (TyG) index and the occurrence of prehypertension or hypertension in a cohort of normoglycemic Japanese subjects.

Methods

The NAGALA physical examination program was conducted in 1994 at Murakami Memorial Hospital in Gifu City, Japan. For our retrospective study, we selected 15,450 participants who had taken part in this program. Our aim was to explore the potential link between the TyG index, a surrogate marker for insulin resistance, and the presence of prehypertension (pre-HTN) or hypertension (HTN). Our analysis included adjustments for clinical demographic attributes and serum biomarkers. Logistic regression was employed to assess the relationship between the TyG index and the likelihood of pre-HTN or HTN.

Results

A total of 15,450 study subjects were included in our analysis. Notably, the prevalence of both pre-HTN and HTN displayed an ascending trend with increasing quartiles of the TyG index. In our comprehensive multivariable logistic regression analysis, when evaluating TyG as a continuous variable, the adjusted odds ratio (OR) for pre-HTN was OR 1.31 [95% CI 1.11-1.56], while for HTN, it was OR 1.76 [95% CI 1.24-2.5] within the fully adjusted model (model 3). When TyG was stratified into quartiles within model 3, the adjusted ORs for pre-HTN were OR 1.16 [95% CI 1.02-1.31], OR 1.22 [95% CI 1.06-1.41], and OR 1.31 [95% CI 1.08-1.59], respectively, using quartile 1 as the reference. The adjusted ORs for HTN in quartiles 2, 3, and 4 were OR 1.22 [95% CI 0.89-1.66], OR 1.4 [95% CI 1.02-1.91], and OR 1.48 [95% CI 1.02-2.15], respectively, within the same model and analysis, with quartile 1 as the reference. Subgroup analysis indicated that the TyG index exhibited a significant positive correlation with the risk of hypertension or prehypertension, except in the subgroup aged ≥65 years.

Conclusion

Our study highlights a robust correlation between the TyG index and the likelihood of pre-HTN or HTN in normoglycemic Japanese subjects. This underscores the potential clinical relevance of the TyG index in refining early hypertension management strategies. Nonetheless, the validation of these findings necessitates larger studies with extended follow-up periods.

Association of mean arterial pressure with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: results from the NAGALA study

Objective

Several recent reports have suggested the use of mean arterial blood pressure (MAP) to assess/predict the risk of developing atherosclerosis, chronic kidney disease, diabetes, metabolic syndrome, and poor prognosis in a variety of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases. The current study aimed to investigate the association of MAP with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and to explore the differences in this association across populations.

Methods

This study used data from the NAGALA study from 1994 to 2016. MAP was calculated as 1/3 systolic blood pressure (SBP) + 2/3 diastolic blood pressure (DBP). Restricted cubic spline (RCS) and logistic regression models were used to examine the correlation of MAP with NAFLD.

Results

The study population was 14,251 general people undergoing health screening, with a median (interquartile range) age of 42 (36-50) years; among them, 48% were women, and 2,507 (17.59%) were diagnosed with NAFLD. After fully controlling for confounders in the current dataset, MAP was positively and non-linearly associated with NAFLD [(odds ratios (ORs): 1.39, 95% confidence intervals (CIs): 1.15, 1.68); P for non-linearity = 0.024]; the dose-response curve showed that there was a transient saturation effect interval when MAP was between 85 and 95 mmHg, where the risk of NAFLD was neither increased nor decreased. The results of the stratified analysis showed that the risk of NAFLD associated with MAP appeared to be influenced only by age (P-interaction = 0.002), but not by sex, body mass index (BMI), habits of exercise, drinking status, or smoking status (P-interaction > 0.05); further age-stratified RCS analysis showed that the non-linear association between MAP and NAFLD in the young and middle-aged and the middle-aged and elderly populations was consistent with the results of the whole population, whereas, in the elderly population, a U-shaped curve association between MAP and NAFLD was observed, with both low and high MAP increasing the risk of NAFLD.

Conclusion

In the general population, MAP was positively and non-linearly associated with NAFLD, and this association only differed significantly by age, but not by sex, BMI, habits of exercise, drinking status, and smoking status.

Ube2L6 Promotes M1 Macrophage Polarization in High-Fat Diet-Fed Obese Mice via ISGylation of STAT1 to Trigger STAT1 Activation

INTRODUCTION

In obesity-related type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), M1 macrophages aggravate chronic inflammation and insulin resistance. ISG15-conjugation enzyme E2L6 (Ube2L6) has been demonstrated as a promoter of obesity and insulin resistance. This study investigated the function and mechanism of Ube2L6 in M1 macrophage polarization in obesity.

METHODS

Obesity was induced in Ube2L6AKO mice and age-matched Ube2L6flox/flox control mice by high-fat diet (HFD). Stromal vascular cells were isolated from the epididymal white adipose tissue of mice. Polarization induction was performed in mouse bone marrow-derived macrophages (BMDMs) by exposure to IFN-γ, lipopolysaccharide, or IL-4. F4/80 expression was assessed by immunohistochemistry staining. Expressions of M1/M2 macrophage markers and target molecules were determined by flow cytometry, RT-qPCR, and Western blotting, respectively. Protein interaction was validated by co-immunoprecipitation (Co-IP) assay. The release of TNF-α and IL-10 was detected by ELISA.

RESULTS

The polarization of pro-inflammatory M1 macrophages together with an increase in macrophage infiltration was observed in HFD-fed mice, which could be restrained by Ube2L6 knockdown. Additionally, Ube2L6 deficiency triggered the repolarization of BMDMs from M1 to M2 phenotypes. Mechanistically, Ube2L6 promoted the expression and activation of signal transducer and activator of transcription 1 (STAT1) through interferon-stimulated gene 15 (ISG15)-mediated ISGlylation, resulting in M1 macrophage polarization.

CONCLUSION

Ube2L6 exerts as an activator of STAT1 via post-translational modification of STAT1 by ISG15, thereby triggering M1 macrophage polarization in HFD-fed obese mice. Overall, targeting Ube2L6 may represent an effective therapeutic strategy for ameliorating obesity-related T2DM.

The newly proposed alanine aminotransferase to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio has shown effectiveness in identifying non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

Objective

Alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) are important predictive factors for non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). The aim of this study was to analyze the association between the ALT/HDL-C ratio and NAFLD.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective analysis of data from 14,251 individuals participating in the NAGALA project's health screening program. The presence of NAFLD was diagnosed based on the participants' alcohol consumption status and liver ultrasonography images. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to assess the association between the ALT/HDL-C ratio and NAFLD. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was performed to determine and compare the effectiveness of ALT, HDL-C, the aspartate aminotransferase to HDL-C (AST/HDL-C) ratio, the gamma-glutamyl transferase to HDL-C (GGT/HDL-C) ratio and the ALT/HDL-C ratio in identifying NAFLD.

Results

We observed a significant positive association between the ALT/HDL-C ratio and the prevalence of NAFLD. For each standard deviation (SD) increase in the ALT/HDL-C ratio, the adjusted odds ratio (OR) for NAFLD among the participants was 3.05 [95% confidence interval (CI): 2.63, 3.53], with the highest quartile of ALT/HDL-C ratio having a 9.96-fold increased risk compared to the lowest quartile. In further subgroup analyses stratified by gender, age, and waist circumference (WC), we observed a significantly higher risk of NAFLD associated with the ALT/HDL-C ratio among individuals aged ≥45 years, males, and those who were abdominal obesity. Furthermore, based on the results of ROC analysis, we found that the ALT/HDL-C ratio [area under the curves (AUC): 0.8553] was significantly superior to ALT, HDL-C, AST/HDL-C ratio and GGT/HDL-C ratio in identifying NAFLD (All Delong P<0.05); the threshold of suggested ALT/HDL-C ratio for identifying NAFLD was 15.97.

Conclusion

This population-based study demonstrates a positive association between the ALT/HDL-C ratio and NAFLD. The ALT/HDL-C ratio can effectively identify individuals with NAFLD.

Assessing the usefulness of a newly proposed metabolic score for visceral fat in predicting future diabetes: results from the NAGALA cohort study

Objective

Visceral adipose tissue assessment holds significant importance in diabetes prevention. This study aimed to explore the association between the newly proposed Metabolic Score for Visceral Fat (METS-VF) and diabetes risk and to further assess the predictive power of the baseline METS-VF for the occurrence of diabetes in different future periods.

Methods

This longitudinal cohort study included 15,464 subjects who underwent health screenings. The METS-VF, calculated using the formula developed by Bello-Chavolla et al., served as a surrogate marker for visceral fat obesity. The primary outcome of interest was the occurrence of diabetes during the follow-up period. Established multivariate Cox regression models and restricted cubic spline (RCS) regression models to assess the association between METS-VF and diabetes risk and its shape. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to compare the predictive power of METS-VF with body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), waist-to-height ratio (WHtR), and visceral adiposity index (VAI) for diabetes, and time-dependent ROC analysis was conducted to assess the predictive capability of METS-VF for the occurrence of diabetes in various future periods.

Results

During a maximum follow-up period of 13 years, with a mean of 6.13 years, we observed that the cumulative risk of developing diabetes increased with increasing METS-VF quintiles. Multivariable-adjusted Cox regression analysis showed that each unit increase in METS-VF would increase the risk of diabetes by 68% (HR 1.68, 95% CI 1.13, 2.50), and further RCS regression analysis revealed a possible non-linear association between METS-VF and diabetes risk (P for non-linearity=0.002). In addition, after comparison by ROC analysis, we found that METS-VF had significantly higher predictive power for diabetes than other general/visceral adiposity indicators, and in time-dependent ROC analysis, we further considered the time-dependence of diabetes status and METS-VF and found that METS-VF had the highest predictive value for predicting medium- and long-term (6-10 years) diabetes risk.

Conclusion

METS-VF, a novel indicator for assessing visceral adiposity, showed a significantly positive correlation with diabetes risk. It proved to be a superior risk marker in predicting the future onset of diabetes compared to other general/visceral adiposity indicators, particularly in forecasting medium- and long-term diabetes risk.

A non-linear relationship between triglyceride glucose waist circumference and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease in a Japanese population: a secondary analysis

Introduction

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a common metabolic disorder associated with insulin resistance (IR). Triglyceride glucose waist circumference (TyG-WC) is a novel index of IR that reflects both visceral fat and hepatic steatosis. However, it is not known whether TyG-WC and NAFLD exhibit a nonlinear relationship in Japanese subjects with normal plasma glucose level. Thus, we examined the relationship between TyG-WC and NAFLD, in addition to determining the threshold level of TyG-WC associated with NAFLD.

Methods

A secondary analysis was performed based on a previous study that extracted medical examination records from Murakami Memorial Hospital between 2004 and 2015 in order to detect chronic diseases and their risk factors. TyG-WC was determined at baseline. NAFLD is the dependent variable. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were used to evaluate the risk of NAFLD incidence. Based on the smoothing plot, a two-piecewise linear regression model was used to examine the threshold effect of TyG-WC on NAFLD. A subgroup analysis was carried out in order to study other factors that may influence the association between TyG-WC and NAFLD.

Results

14,280 met the criteria for inclusion in the current secondary analysis. The adjusted OR (95% CI) for NAFLD in all subjects was 1.007 (95% CI 1.006-1.009, P < 0.001). The relationship between TyG-WC and NAFLD in Japanese subjects with normal plasma glucose level is nonlinear. TyG-WC is positively associated with NAFLD when TyG-WC is ranged between 480 and 800. In subgroup analyses, there was a significant interaction between BMI and TyG-WC associated NAFLD risk (P for interaction <0.001).

Discussion

The relationship between TyG-WC and NAFLD is nonlinear. TyG-WC is positively associated with NAFLD when TyG-WC is ranged between 480 and 800. There is potential clinical significance for the TyG-WC in identifying groups at high risk for NAFLD in subjects with normal plasma glucose level.

Association between atherogenic index of plasma and prehypertension or hypertension among normoglycemia subjects in a Japan population: a cross-sectional study

OBJECTIVE

The atherogenic index of plasma (AIP), consisting of triglycerides and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, is applied to estimate the cardiovascular disease risk. The evidence regarding the association between AIP and prehypertension or hypertension remains inconclusive. This study was conducted to investigate the association of AIP and prehypertension or hypertension in normoglycemic subjects in Japan.

METHODS

In the present cross-sectional study, 15,453 normoglycemic participants aged 18 years or older in Gifu, Japan, were evaluated. The selected participants were separated into four groups in the light of AIP quartiles, ranging from the lowest quartile (Q1) to the highest quartile (Q4). And the association between AIP and prehypertension or hypertension was explored with multivariate logistic regression by gradually adjusting model.

RESULTS

Among the 15,453 participants, aged of 43.7 ± 8.9 years, and of whom 45.5% were females, the prevalence rates of prehypertension or hypertension were 27.68% (4,278) and 6.23% (962) respectively. In multivariate logistic regression analyses, participants in the highest AIP quartile had an increase risk in prehypertension and hypertension, compared with participants the lowest one, the odds ratios (OR) were 1.15 (95%CI: 1.00-1.13, P = 0.045) for prehypertension and 1.54 (95%CI:1.16-2.04, P = 0.003) for hypertension after adjusting confounders. In subgroup analyses, the high risk of hypertension was also observed for female participants in the highest AIP quartile (Q4) (OR = 2.19, 95%CI: 1.37-3.49, P = 0.001), especially between the ages of 40 and 60 years (OR = 2.20, 95%CI: 1.24-3.88, P = 0.007).

CONCLUSIONS

Higher AIP is significantly and positively associated with the risk of prehypertension or hypertension in normoglycemic subjects in Gifu, Japan, which was more pronounced in the female population, especially between the years of 40 and 60.

A South Asian Mediterranean-style diet is associated with favorable adiposity measures and lower diabetes risk: The MASALA cohort

OBJECTIVE

The Mediterranean diet is associated with lower risks for type 2 diabetes (T2D) and cardiovascular disease in certain populations, although data among diverse groups are limited. This study evaluated cross-sectional and prospective associations between a novel South Asian Mediterranean-style (SAM) diet and cardiometabolic risk among US South Asian individuals.

METHODS

The study included 891 participants at baseline in the Mediators of Atherosclerosis in South Asians Living in America (MASALA) study. Culturally relevant foods were grouped into nine categories to construct the SAM score. The study examined associations of this score with cardiometabolic risk factors and incident T2D.

RESULTS

At baseline, higher adherence to the SAM diet was associated with lower glycated hemoglobin (-0.43% ± 0.15% per 1-unit increase in SAM score; p = 0.004) and lower pericardial fat volume (-1.22 ± 0.55 cm3 ; p = 0.03), as well as a lower likelihood of obesity (odds ratio [OR]: 0.88, 95% CI: 0.79-0.98) and fatty liver (OR: 0.82, 95% CI: 0.68-0.98). Over the follow-up (~5 years), 45 participants developed T2D; each 1-unit increase in SAM score was associated with a 25% lower odds of incident T2D (OR: 0.75, 95% CI: 0.59-0.95).

CONCLUSIONS

A greater intake of a SAM diet is associated with favorable adiposity measures and a lower likelihood of incident T2D.

The nonlinear correlation between alanine aminotransferase to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio and the risk of diabetes: a historical Japanese cohort study

BACKGROUND

Low levels of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) and high levels of alanine aminotransferase (ALT) are related to insulin resistance, metabolic syndrome, and diabetes mellitus (DM). However, evidence on the connection between the alanine aminotransferase to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (ALT/HDL-C) ratio and diabetes mellitus (DM) risk was limited. The study aimed to investigate the relationship between baseline ALT/HDL-C ratio and DM among Japanese individuals.

METHODS

This second analysis was based on a cohort study using open-source data. Data from 15,342 individuals who participated in the medical examination program were recorded at Murakami Memorial Hospital in Japan between 2004 and 2015. Smooth curve fitting, subgroup analysis, Cox proportional-hazards regression, and a series of sensitivity analyses were conducted to examine the relationship between ALT/HDL-C ratio and incident diabetes. The ability of the ALT/HDL-C ratio to predict diabetes was evaluated using a receiver operating characteristic curve analysis.

RESULTS

After controlling for confounding covariates, the ALT/HDL-C ratio was found to be positively correlated to the DM risk in Japanese adults (HR: 1.01, 95%CI: 1.00-1.02, P = 0.049). This study also found a stable relationship between ALT/HDL-C ratio and diabetes after employing a series of sensitivity analyses. Additionally, there was a non-linear association between the ALT/HDL-C ratio and incident diabetes, and the ALT/HDL-C ratio inflection point was 30.12. When the ALT/HDL-C ratio was below 30.12, the present study discovered a significant positive association between the ALT/HDL-C ratio and incident diabetes (HR: 1.04, 95%CI: 1.02-1.06, P = 0.001). Furthermore, among liver enzymes, blood lipids, and anthropometric indicators, the ALT/HDL-C ratio best predicts DM (AUC = 0.75, 95%CI: 0.73-0.78).

CONCLUSION

Increased ALT/HDL-C ratio levels at baseline correlated to incident DM. The relationship between ALT/HDL-C ratio and incident DM was also non-linear. When the ALT/HDL-C ratio is below 30.12, there is a statistically significant positive correlation between the ALT/HDL-C ratio and incident DM.

Relationship between lipid accumulation product and new-onset diabetes in the Japanese population: a retrospective cohort study

Background

Diabetes has become a global public health problem. Obesity has been established as a risk factor for diabetes. However, it remains unclear which of the obesity indicators (BMI, WC, WhtR, ABSI, BRI, LAP, VAI) is more appropriate for monitoring diabetes. Therefore, the objective of this investigation is to compare the strength of the association of these indicators and diabetes and reveal the relationship between LAP and diabetes.

Methods

15,252 people took part in this research. LAP was quartered and COX proportional risk model was applied to explore the relationship between LAP and new-onset diabetes. Smooth curve fitting was employed to investigate the non-linear link between LAP and diabetes mellitus. Finally, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the predictive ability of the aforementioned indicators for diabetes.

Results

After adjusting for confounding factors, multiple linear regression analysis showed that each unit increase in LAP was associated with a 76.8% increase in the risk of developing diabetes (HR=1.768, 95% CI: 1.139 to 2.746, P=0.011). In addition, LAP predicted new-onset diabetes better than other indicators, and the AUC was the largest [HR: 0.713, 95% CI: 0.6806-0.7454, P<0.001, in women; HR: 0.7922, 95% CI: 0.7396-0.8447; P<0.001, in men]. When LAP was used as a lone predictor, its AUC area was largest both men and women. However, after adding classical predictors (FPG, HbA1c, SBP, exercise, age) to the model, the LAP is better than the ABSI, but not better than the other indicators when compared in pairs.

Conclusions

High levels of LAP correlate very strongly with diabetes and are an important risk factor for diabetes, especially in women, those with fatty liver and current smokers. LAP was superior to other indicators when screening for diabetes susceptibility using a single indicator of obesity, both in men and in women. However, when obesity indicators were added to the model together with classical predictors, LAP did not show a significant advantage over other indicators, except ABSI.

Association of predicted fat mass and lean body mass with diabetes: a longitudinal cohort study in an Asian population

Objective

The relationship between body composition fat mass (FM) and lean body mass (LBM) and diabetes risk is currently debated, and the purpose of this study was to examine the association of predicted FM and LBM with diabetes in both sexes.

Methods

The current study was a secondary analysis of data from the NAGALA (NAfld in the Gifu Area, Longitudinal Analysis) cohort study of 15,463 baseline normoglycemic participants. Predicted LBM and FM were calculated for each participant using anthropometric prediction equations developed and validated for different sexes based on the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) database, and the outcome of interest was diabetes (types not distinguished) onset. Multivariate Cox regression analyses were applied to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the associations of predicted FM and LBM with diabetes risk and further visualized their associations using a restricted cubic spline function.

Results

The incidence density of diabetes was 3.93/1000 person-years over a mean observation period of 6.13 years. In women, predicted LBM and FM were linearly associated with diabetes risk, with each kilogram increase in predicted LBM reducing the diabetes risk by 65% (HR 0.35, 95%CI 0.17, 0.71; P < 0.05), whereas each kilogram increase in predicted FM increased the diabetes risk by 84% (HR 1.84, 95%CI 1.26, 2.69; P < 0.05). In contrast, predicted LBM and FM were non-linearly associated with diabetes risk in men (all P for non-linearity < 0.05), with an L-shaped association between predicted LBM and diabetes risk and a saturation point that minimized the risk of diabetes was 45.4 kg, while predicted FM was associated with diabetes risk in a U-shape pattern and a threshold point with the lowest predicted FM-related diabetes risk was 13.76 kg.

Conclusion

In this Asian population cohort, we found that high LBM and low FM were associated with lower diabetes risk according to anthropometric equations. Based on the results of the non-linear analysis, we believed that it may be appropriate for Asian men to keep their LBM above 45.4 kg and their FM around 13.76 kg.

Assessing temporal differences in the predictive power of baseline TyG-related parameters for future diabetes: an analysis using time-dependent receiver operating characteristics

BACKGROUND

It is known that measuring the triglyceride glucose (TyG) index and TyG-related parameters [triglyceride glucose-body mass index (TyG-BMI), triglyceride glucose-waist circumference (TyG-WC), and triglyceride glucose-waist to height ratio (TyG-WHtR)] can predict diabetes; this study aimed to compare the predictive value of the baseline TyG index and TyG-related parameters for the onset of diabetes at different future periods.

METHODS

We conducted a longitudinal cohort study involving 15,464 Japanese people who had undergone health physical examinations. The subject's TyG index and TyG-related parameters were measured at the first physical examination, and diabetes was defined according to the American Diabetes Association criteria. Multivariate Cox regression models and time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were constructed to examine and compare the risk assessment/predictive value of the TyG index and TyG-related parameters for the onset of diabetes in different future periods.

RESULTS

The mean follow-up period of the current study cohort was 6.13 years, with a maximum of 13 years, and the incidence density of diabetes was 39.88/10,000 person-years. In multivariate Cox regression models with standardized hazard ratios (HRs), we found that both the TyG index and TyG-related parameters were significantly and positively associated with diabetes risk and that the TyG-related parameters were stronger in assessing diabetes risk than the TyG index, with TyG-WC being the best parameter (HR per SD increase: 1.70, 95% CI 1.46, 1.97). In addition, TyG-WC also showed the highest predictive accuracy in time-dependent ROC analysis for diabetes occurring in the short-term (2-6 years), while TyG-WHtR had the highest predictive accuracy and the most stable predictive threshold for predicting the onset of diabetes in the medium- to long-term (6-12 years).

CONCLUSIONS

These results suggest that the TyG index combined with BMI, WC, and WHtR can further improve its ability to assess/predict the risk of diabetes in different future periods, where TyG-WC was not only the best parameter for assessing diabetes risk but also the best risk marker for predicting future diabetes in the short-term, while TyG-WHtR may be more suitable for predicting future diabetes in the medium- to long-term.

Association between alcohol consumption and incidence of type 2 diabetes mellitus in Japanese men: a secondary analysis of a Retrospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Alcohol consumption is known to be associated with an increased risk of type 2 diabetes (T2DM). However, the effect of alcohol intake on the incidence of T2DM remains controversial due to inconsistent results across studies. This study aimed to bridge the gap among available literature in order to better define the association between alcohol consumption and incidence of T2DM.

METHODS

We performed a secondary analysis using open-access data from a retrospective Japanese cohort of 15,464 participants who underwent regular medical examinations at Murakami Memorial Hospital. All participants underwent an initial exam including a questionnaire survey, physical examination, and blood biochemical testing to establish a at baseline. The primary outcome was new-onset T2DM during the follow-up exam. Statistical analysis was conducted using Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier methods to assess the risk of alcohol consumption on T2DM.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up time of 5.39 years, 373 new-onset T2DM events were observed. The cumulative risk of T2DM incidence was higher in the heavy alcohol consumption group vs. the other three groups: none/minimal, light, and moderate consumption (log-rank test, P = 0.0002). Multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated incidental T2DM was independently associated with alcohol consumption. The adjusted hazard ratio relative to the none/minimal consumption group was as follows: 1.02 (95% confidence interval: 0.71, 1.48) for light consumption, 1.06 (0.71, 1.57) for moderate consumption, and 2.06 (1.30, 3.24) for heavy consumption (P value = 0.024). Subsequent subgroup analysis confirmed the association between alcohol consumption and T2DM incidence in men, but not in women.

CONCLUSION

Heavy alcohol consumption was independently associated with an increased risk of new-onset T2DM in Japanese men.

High triglyceride glucose-body mass index correlates with prehypertension and hypertension in east Asian populations: A population-based retrospective study

Background

There is compelling evidence for an association between triglyceride glucose-body mass index (TyG-BMI) and cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, data on the relationship between TyG-BMI and prehypertension (pre-HTN) or hypertension (HTN) remains scant. The aim of this study was to characterize the association between TyG-BMI and pre-HTN or HTN risk, and to assess the ability of TyG-BMI in predicting pre-HTN and HTN in Chinese and Japanese populations.

Methods

A total of 214,493 participants were included in this study. The participants were divided into 5 groups based on quintiles of TyG-BMI index at baseline (Q1, Q2, Q3 Q4 and Q5). Logistic regression analysis was then employed to assess the relationship between TyG-BMI quintiles and pre-HTN or HTN. Results were presented as odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

Results

Our restricted cubic spline analysis showed that TyG-BMI was linearly correlated with both pre-HTN and HTN. Multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that TyG-BMI was independently correlated with pre-HTN [ORs and 95% CIs were 1.011 (1.011-1.012), 1.021 (1.02-1.023), 1.012 (1.012-1.012), respectively] and HTN [ORs and 95% CIs were 1.021 (1.02-1.021), 1.031 (1.028-1.033), 1.021 (1.02-1.021), respectively] in Chinese or Japanese individuals or both groups after adjusting for all variates. In addition, subgroup analyses showed that the relationship between TyG-BMI and pre-HTN or HTN was independent of age, sex, BMI, country, smoking and drinking status. Across all study populations, the areas under the TyG-BMI curve predicting pre-HTN and HTN were 0.667 and 0.762, respectively, resulting in cut-off values of 189.7 and 193.7, respectively.

Conclusion

Our analyses showed that TyG-BMI was independently correlated with both pre-HTN and HTN. Besides, TyG-BMI showed superior predictive power in predicting pre-HTN and HTN compared to TyG or BMI alone.

The association between fatty liver index and onset of diabetes: secondary analysis of a population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

According to research, the fatty liver index (FLI) is associated with diabetes. However, few studies have been conducted to investigate the relationship between FLI and diabetes risk from various perspectives. This study comprehensively investigated the relationship between FLI and incident diabetes in a large Japanese population.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included 14,280 participants from Murakami Memorial Hospital in Japan from 2004 to 2015. The independent and dependent variables are FLI and risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), respectively. To examine the link between FLI and incident T2DM, Cox proportional-hazards regression was employed. In addition, we performed a number of sensitivity studies to guarantee the validity of the results. Moreover, we conducted subgroup analyses.

RESULTS

After adjusting covariates, the results showed that FLI was positively associated with the risk of T2DM (HR = 1.019, 95%CI: 1.012, 1.025). Additionally, the sensitivity analysis showed how reliable the outcomes were. And a stronger association between FLI and incident T2DM was observed in the regular exercisers (HR = 1.036, 95%CI: 1.019-1.053, P < 0.0001) and the population without ethanol consumption (HR = 1.028, 95%CI: 1.017-1.039, P < 0.0001). Besides, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis showed that FLI was better than waist circumference, triglycerides, body mass index, and gamma-glutamyl transferase in predicting incident T2DM.

CONCLUSION

FLI is positively associated with incident T2DM.

Isolation and characterization of a new oxyphenisatin analogue, oxyphenisatin propionate, from a processed plum intended as a weight loss product

A new oxyphenisatin analogue was detected from a processed plum claiming to be a weight loss product without any side effects during the daily inspecting and monitoring of illegal adulterants in health supplements. An abundant peak caused our interest firstly owing to its identical fragments of m/z 224 and 196 in the MS/MS experiments with those of oxyphenisatin acetate. The chemical structure of the unknown compound was characterized by ultra-high performance liquid chromatography equipped with diode array detector and quadrupole time-of-flight tandem mass spectrometry (UHPLC-DAD-Q-TOF/MS), followed by nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) and infrared (IR) spectroscopy experiments. Based on the data, it was defined that the two symmetrical acetyl groups in oxyphenisatin acetate were replaced by two propionyl groups for the unknown structure. Finally, the new oxyphenisatin analogue was identified as 3,3-bis[4'-(propionyloxy)phenyl]-1,3-dihydroindole-2-one and designated as oxyphenisatin propionate. Thereafter, the content of the new analogue was quantitatively determined to be 681 mg/kg, which would inevitably cause adverse health effect because there was not specification for daily consumption of this product. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first report for identification of oxyphenisatin propionate.

Propolis polyphenols: A review on the composition and anti-obesity mechanism of different types of propolis polyphenols

Obesity, one of the most common nutritional diseases worldwide, can lead to dyslipidemia, high blood sugar, high blood pressure, and inflammation. Some drugs have been developed to ameliorate obesity. However, these drugs may cause serious side effects. Therefore, there is an urgent need for alternative “natural” remedies including propolis. Studies have found that propolis has excellent anti-obesity activity in in vitro and in vivo models during the past decades, of which polyphenols are the key component in regulating weight loss. This review focused on the different polyphenol compositions of propolis from different regions and plants, the evidence for the anti-obesity effects of different types of propolis and its derivatives, discussed the impact of propolis polyphenols on obesity related signal pathways, and proposed the molecular mechanism of how propolis polyphenols affect these signal pathways. For example, propolis and its derivatives regulate lipid metabolism related proteins, such as PPARα, PPARγ, SREBP-1&amp;2, and HMG CoA etc., destroy the formation of CREB/CRTC2 transcription complex, activate Nrf2 pathway or inhibit protein kinase IKK ε/TBK1, thereby affecting fat production and lipid metabolism; The effects of propolis on adipokines (adiponectin, leptin and inflammatory factors) were discussed. Additionally, the mechanism of polyphenols in propolis promoting the browning of adipose tissues and the relationship between intestinal microorganisms was summarized. These information may be of value to better understand how specific propolis polyphenols interact with specific signaling pathways and help guide the development of new drugs to combat obesity and related metabolic diseases.

Lipid metabolism, BMI and the risk of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease in the general population: evidence from a mediation analysis

BACKGROUND

Body mass index (BMI) and lipid parameters are the most commonly used anthropometric parameters and biomarkers for assessing nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) risk. This study aimed to assess and quantify the mediating role of traditional and non-traditional lipid parameters on the association between BMI and NAFLD.

METHOD

Using data from 14,251 subjects from the NAGALA (NAfld in the Gifu Area, Longitudinal Analysis) study, mediation analyses were performed to explore the roles of traditional [total cholesterol (TC), triglyceride (TG), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C)] and non-traditional [non-HDL-C, remnant cholesterol (RC), TC/HDL-C ratio, LDL-C/HDL-C ratio, TG/HDL-C ratio, non-HDL-C/HDL-C ratio, and RC/HDL-C ratio] lipid parameters in the association of BMI with NAFLD and quantify the mediation effect of these lipid parameters on the association of BMI with NAFLD using the percentage of mediation.

RESULT

After fully adjusting for confounders, multivariate regression analysis showed that both BMI and lipid parameters were associated with NAFLD (All P-value < 0.001). Mediation analysis showed that both traditional and non-traditional lipid parameters mediated the association between BMI and NAFLD (All P-value of proportion mediate < 0.001), among which non-traditional lipid parameters such as RC, RC/HDL-C ratio, non-HDL-C/HDL-C ratio, and TC/HDL-C ratio accounted for a relatively large proportion, 11.4%, 10.8%, 10.2%, and 10.2%, respectively. Further stratified analysis according to sex, age, and BMI showed that this mediation effect only existed in normal-weight (18.5 kg/m² ≤ BMI < 25 kg/m²) people and young and middle-aged (30-59 years old) people; moreover, the mediation effects of all lipid parameters except TC accounted for a higher proportion in women than in men.

CONCLUSION

The new findings of this study showed that all lipid parameters were involved in and mediated the risk of BMI-related NAFLD, and the contribution of non-traditional lipid parameters to the mediation effect of this association was higher than that of traditional lipid parameters, especially RC, RC/HDL-C ratio, non-HDL-C/HDL-C ratio, and TC/HDL-C ratio. Based on these results, we suggest that we should focus on monitoring non-traditional lipid parameters, especially RC and RC/HDL-C ratio, when BMI intervention is needed in the process of preventing or treating NAFLD.

Association between triglyceride to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio and type 2 diabetes risk in Japanese

Abnormal lipid metabolism is known to increases the risk for metabolic diseases, such as type 2 diabetes mellitus(T2DM). The relationship between baseline ratio of triglyceride to HDL cholesterol (TG/HDL-C) and T2DM in Japanese adults was investigated in this study. Our secondary analysis included 8419 male and 7034 female Japanese subjects who were free of diabetes at baseline. The correlation between baseline TG/HDL-C and T2DM was analyzed by a proportional risk regression model, the nonlinear correlation between baseline TG/HDL-C and T2DM was analyzed by a generalized additive model (GAM), and the threshold effect analysis was performed by a segmented regression model. We conducted subgroup analyses in different populations. During the median 5.39 years follow-up, 373 participants, 286 males and 87 females, developed diabetes mellitus. After full adjustment for confounders, the baseline TG/HDL-C ratio positively correlated with the risk of diabetes (hazard ratio 1.19, 95% confidence interval 1.09-1.3), and smoothed curve fitting and two-stage linear regression analysis revealed a J-shaped relationship between baseline TG/HDL-C and T2DM. The inflection point for baseline TG/HDL-C was 0.35. baseline TG/HDL-C > 0.35 was positively associated with the development of T2DM (hazard ratio 1.2, 95% confidence interval 1.10-1.31). Subgroup analysis showed no significant differences in the effect between TG/HDL-C and T2DM in different populations. A J-shaped relationship was observed between baseline TG/HDL-C and T2DM risk in the Japanese population. When TG/HDL-C was higher than 0.35, there was a positive relationship between baseline TG/HDL-C and the incidence of diabetes mellitus.

J-shape relationship between normal fasting plasma glucose and risk of type 2 diabetes in the general population: results from two cohort studies

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have reported that high fasting plasma glucose (FPG), even that within the normal range, is associated with the risk of type 2 diabetes (T2D). Nevertheless, these findings are limited to specific populations. Thus, studies in the general population are imperative.

METHODS

This study included two cohorts comprising 204 640 individuals who underwent physical examinations at the Rich Healthcare Group present at 32 locations in 11 cities of China from 2010 to 2016 and 15 464 individuals who underwent physical tests at the Murakami Memorial Hospital in Japan. Cox regression, restricted cubic spline (RCS), Kaplan-Meier (KM) curves, and subgroup analysis were used to determine the relationship between FPG and T2D. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to evaluate the predictive power of FPG for T2D.

RESULTS

The mean age of the 220 104 participants (204 640 Chinese and 15 464 Japanese participants) was 41.8 years (41.7 years for the Chinese and 43.7 years for the Japanese participants). During follow-up, 2611 individuals developed T2D (2238 Chinese and 373 Japanese participants). The RCS demonstrated a J-shaped relationship between FPG and T2D risk, with inflexion points of 4.5 and 5.2 for the Chinese and Japanese populations, respectively. Multivariate-adjusted hazard ratio (HR) was 7.75 for FPG and T2D risk after the inflexion point (7.3 for Chinese and 21.13 for Japanese participants).

CONCLUSIONS

In general Chinese and Japanese populations, the normal baseline FPG range showed a J-shaped relationship with the risk of T2D. Baseline FPG levels help identify individuals at high risk of T2D and may enable early primary prevention to improve their outcomes.

The relationship between the CUN-BAE body fatness index and incident diabetes: a longitudinal retrospective study

BACKGROUND

The Clínica Universidad de Navarra-Body Adiposity Estimator (CUN-BAE) index has been recommended as an ideal indicator of body fat and exhibited significant correlation with cardiometabolic risk factors. However, whether the CUN-BAE index correlates with incident diabetes in Asian populations is unknown. Therefore, this longitudinal study was designed to evaluate the association between baseline CUN-BAE index and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).

METHODS

This retrospective longitudinal study involved 15,464 participants of 18-79 years of age in the NAGALA (NAfld in the Gifu Area Longitudinal Analysis) study over the period of 2004-2015. Cox proportional hazards regression was performed to test the relationship between the baseline CUN-BAE index and diabetes incidence. Further stratification analysis was conducted to ensure that the results were robust. The diagnostic utility of the CUN-BAE index was tested by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.

RESULTS

Over the course of an average follow-up of 5.4 years, 373 (2.41%) participants developed diabetes. A higher diabetes incidence was associated with higher CUN-BAE quartiles (P for trend< 0.001). Each 1 unit increase in CUN-BAE index was associated with a 1.08-fold and 1.14-fold increased risk of diabetes after adjustment for confounders in males and females, respectively (both P < 0.001). Stratification analysis demonstrated a consistent positive correlation between baseline CUN-BAE and diabetes incidence. Moreover, based on ROC analysis, CUN-BAE exhibited a better capacity for diabetes prediction than both body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (WC) in both sexes.

CONCLUSIONS

The baseline CUN-BAE level was independently related to the incidence of diabetes. Increased adiposity determined by CUN-BAE could be used as a strong nonlaboratory predictor of incident diabetes in clinical practice.

Metabolic Signatures Elucidate the Effect of Body Mass Index on Type 2 Diabetes

Obesity plays an important role in the development of insulin resistance and diabetes, but the molecular mechanism that links obesity and diabetes is still not completely understood. Here, we used 146 targeted metabolomic profiles from the German KORA FF4 cohort consisting of 1715 participants and associated them with obesity and type 2 diabetes. In the basic model, 83 and 51 metabolites were significantly associated with body mass index (BMI) and T2D, respectively. Those metabolites are branched-chain amino acids, acylcarnitines, lysophospholipids, or phosphatidylcholines. In the full model, 42 and 3 metabolites were significantly associated with BMI and T2D, respectively, and replicate findings in the previous studies. Sobel mediation testing suggests that the effect of BMI on T2D might be mediated via lipids such as sphingomyelin (SM) C16:1, SM C18:1 and diacylphosphatidylcholine (PC aa) C38:3. Moreover, mendelian randomization suggests a causal relationship that BMI causes the change of SM C16:1 and PC aa C38:3, and the change of SM C16:1, SM C18:1, and PC aa C38:3 contribute to T2D incident. Biological pathway analysis in combination with genetics and mice experiments indicate that downregulation of sphingolipid or upregulation of phosphatidylcholine metabolism is a causal factor in early-stage T2D pathophysiology. Our findings indicate that metabolites like SM C16:1, SM C18:1, and PC aa C38:3 mediate the effect of BMI on T2D and elucidate their role in obesity related T2D pathologies.

Association of Body Mass Index and Waist-to-Hip Ratio With Retinal Microvasculature in Healthy Chinese Adults: An Optical Coherence Tomography Angiography Study

PURPOSE

To investigate the association of body mass index (BMI) and waist-to-hip ratio (WHR) with macular vessel density (VD) and foveal avascular zone (FAZ), using optical coherence tomography angiography (OCTA), in healthy Chinese adults.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional study.

METHODS

A total of 1555 Chinese adults aged ≥ 50 years with no history of ocular disease were recruited from communities in Guangzhou, China. The OCTA was performed with a 6 × 6 mm macular angiography model. The FAZ of the superficial capillary plexus (SCP), and VD of SCP and deep capillary plexus (DCP) were calculated. Univariable and multivariable linear regression analyses were used to evaluate the effect of BMI and WHR on VD and FAZ.

RESULTS

The VD of the SCP increased as BMI increased, with average measurements of 39.30 ± 2.14 for normal, 39.52 ± 2.07 for overweight, and 39.76 ± 2.03 for obesity (P = .001). The VD of the DCP also increased with increasing BMI (P = .009). Multiple regression models confirmed a positive association between generalized obesity and superficial VD in the whole image (β = 0.350, P = .008), inner circle (β = 0.431, P = .032), and outer circle (β = 0.368, P = .005). After adjusting for confounders, tertile 3 of the WHR level was positively associated with superficial VD (β = 0.472, P = .033) and deep VD (β = 0.422, P = .034) only in the inner circle.

CONCLUSIONS

Generalized obesity was associated with increased superficial VD, while abdominal obesity was associated with increased superficial and deep VD only in the inner circle. Different manifestations of the retinal microvasculature may reflect distinct roles of body composition on macular vessel alterations and disease occurrence.

The role of predicted lean body mass and fat mass in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in both sexes: Results from a secondary analysis of the NAGALA study

Objective

High body mass index (BMI) is an important risk factor for non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). However, the association of body composition such as fat mass (FM) and lean body mass (LBM) with NAFLD has not been adequately studied. The purpose of this study was to clarify the contribution of body composition FM and LBM to NAFLD.

Methods

We analyzed data from 7,411 men and 6,840 women in the NAGALA cohort study. LBM and FM were estimated for all subjects using validated anthropometric prediction equations previously developed from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). Using multiple logistic regression and restricted cubic spline (RCS) to analyze the association and the dose-response curve of predicted LBM and FM with NAFLD in both sexes.

Results

The prevalence of NAFLD in man and woman subjects was 27.37 and 6.99%, respectively. Predicted FM was positively and linearly associated with NAFLD in both sexes, with each 1 kg increase in predicted FM associated with a 27 and 40% increased risk of NAFLD in men and women, respectively. In contrast, predicted LBM was negatively associated with NAFLD in both sexes, with each 1 kg increase in predicted LBM reducing the risk of NAFLD by 4 and 19% in men and women, respectively. In addition, according to the RCS curve, the risk of NAFLD did not change in men when the predicted LBM was between 47 and 52 kg, and there seemed to be a saturation effect; further, the threshold value of the saturation effect was calculated to be about 52.08 kg by two-piecewise logistic regression, and the protective effect on NAFLD would be significantly enhanced when the man predicted LBM was greater than 52.08 kg.

Conclusion

The current findings suggested that body composition LBM and FM had opposite associations with NAFLD in both sexes, with higher LBM associated with a lower risk of NAFLD and higher FM increasing the risk of NAFLD, especially in women.

The relationship between the ratio of gamma-glutamyltransferase to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol and the risk of diabetes mellitus using publicly available data: a secondary analysis based on a longitudinal study in Japan

BACKGROUND

The ratio of gamma-glutamyltransferase to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (GGT/HDL-C) has been highlighted in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) by previous studies. However, there have been fewer investigations into the correlation between the GGT/HDL-C ratio and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) incidence. Our secondary analysis used published data from a Japanese population and aimed to investigate the role of the GGT/HDL-C ratio in the incidence of T2DM.

METHODS

The research was a longitudinal cohort study completed by Okamura, Takuro et al. We obtained the data from the DATADRYAD website and used it for secondary analysis only. The participants recruited from a medical program called the NAGALA database received regular medical examinations and standardized questionnaires to obtain the baseline variables. Abdominal ultrasound was used to diagnose fatty liver disease. The participants were followed up, and the duration and occurrence of T2DM were documented. The GGT/HDL-C ratio evaluated at baseline served as the independent variable, while the occurrence of diabetes served as the dependent variable.

RESULTS

A total of 15,453 cases (8,419 men and 7,034 women) were included in our study. After adjusting for age, sex, BMI, DBP, SBP, ALT, AST, TG, TC, HbA1C, FPG, drinking status, smoking status, exercise status, and fatty liver, we observed that the GGT/HDL-C ratio was positively associated with the incidence of T2DM (hazard ratio = 1.005, 95% confidence interval: 1.000 to 1.010, P = 0.0667). The results were consistent when the GGT/HDL-C quartile was used as a categorical variable (P for trend < 0.00396). A curvilinear relationship with a threshold effect was identified between the GGT/HDL-C ratio and the risk of incident T2DM. On the left of the point, a one-unit increase in the GGT/HDL-C ratio was associated with a 1.5-fold increase in the risk of incident T2DM (hazard ratio 2.57, 95% confidence interval 1.20 to 5.49). On the right of the point, when GGT/HDL-C was greater than 6.53, their relationship became saturated.

CONCLUSION

The GGT/HDL-C ratio correlated with the incidence of T2DM in a curvilinear form with a threshold effect. Their positive relationship could be observed when GGT/HDL-C was less than 6.53.

Assessing temporal differences of baseline body mass index, waist circumference, and waist-height ratio in predicting future diabetes

Objective

Obesity is the prominent modifiable risk factor known to influence the occurrence and progression of diabetes other than age, and the objective of this study was to evaluate and compare the predictive value of three simple baseline anthropometric indicators of obesity, body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), and waist-height ratio (WHtR), for the occurrence of diabetes at different time points in the future.

Methods

The study subjects were 12,823 individuals with normoglycemic at baseline who underwent health screening and had measurements of BMI, WC, and WHtR. The outcome of interest was new-onset diabetes during follow-up. Time-dependent receiver operator characteristics (ROC) curves of baseline BMI, WC, and WHtR for predicting the risk of diabetes in the next 2 to 12 years were constructed and their area under the ROC curves (AUCs) and corresponding optimal threshold values were calculated for each time point, which were used to compare the accuracy and stability of the above three indicators for predicting the occurrence of diabetes in different future periods.

Results

During a median follow-up period of 7.02 years, with a maximum follow-up of 13 years, 320 new-onset diabetes were recorded. After adjusting for confounders and comparing standardized hazard ratios (HRs), WC was shown to be the best simple anthropometric indicator of obesity reflecting diabetes risk in all models, followed by WHtR. Time-dependent ROC analysis showed that WC had the highest AUC in predicting the occurrence of diabetes in the short term (2-5 years), and WHtR had the highest AUC in predicting the occurrence of diabetes in the medium to long term (6-12 years), while in any time point, both WC and WHtR had higher AUC than BMI in predicting future diabetes. In addition, we found relatively larger fluctuations in the thresholds of BMI and WC for predicting diabetes over time, while the thresholds of WHtR consistently remained between 0.47-0.50; comparatively speaking, WHtR may have greater application value in predicting future diabetes.

Conclusions

Our analysis sustained that central obesity is a more important predictor of diabetes, and in clinical practice, we proposed measuring WHtR as a useful tool for predicting future diabetes.