Identification of chronic hepatitis C patients without hepatic fibrosis by a simple predictive model

Validation of serum non-invasive tests of liver fibrosis as prognostic markers of clinical outcomes in people with fatty liver disease in Australia

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The validity of non-invasive tests (NITs) of liver fibrosis for the prediction of liver and mortality outcomes in an Australian cohort is unknown. We aimed to verify the utility of available NITs to predict overall and cause-specific mortality and major adverse liver outcome (MALO).

METHODS

This was an analysis from the Crossroads 1 clinic sub-study of a randomly sampled adult cohort from regional Australia between 2001 and 2003. Baseline variables included demographic details, anthropometry, health and lifestyle data, and laboratory tests. Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and metabolic-(dysfunction) associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) were defined by fatty liver index ≥ 60 and other accepted criteria. Outcomes were defined by the International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems 10th Revision codes for linked hospitalization and death registry data. Available serum-based NITs were analyzed as predictors of overall, cardiovascular disease-related, and cancer-related mortality and MALO in those with fatty liver disease (FLD).

RESULTS

In total, 1324 and 1444 participants were included for NAFLD and MAFLD analysis (prevalence 35.4% and 40.7%, respectively). There were 298 deaths (89 cardiovascular disease-related and 98 cancer-related) and 24 MALO over a median 19.7 years of follow-up time. In both forms of FLD, fibrosis-4 index, Steatosis-Associated Fibrosis Estimator score, and Forns fibrosis score consistently had the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for overall and cause-specific mortality, with AUROC > 0.70 for each outcome. However, all had poor discriminatory ability for determining MALO in each FLD.

CONCLUSIONS

Several liver fibrosis NITs perform similarly reasonably well in predicting the risk of mortality outcomes in those with FLD but are poorly discriminatory for MALO prediction.

A blood-based PT-LIFE (Pediatric Liver Transplantation-LIver Fibrosis Evaluation) biomarker panel for non-invasive evaluation of pediatric liver fibrosis after liver transplantation: a prospective derivation and validation study

Allograft fibrosis is increasingly detected in graft biopsies as the postoperative period extends, potentially emerging as a pivotal determinant of long-term graft function and graft survival among pediatric recipients. Currently, there is a paucity of non-invasive diagnostic tools capable of identifying allograft fibrosis in pediatric recipients of liver transplants. This study involved 507 pediatric liver transplant patients and developed a novel blood-based diagnostic assay, PT-LIFE, to noninvasively distinguish allograft fibrosis using blood samples, clinical data, and biopsy outcomes. The PT-LIFE assay was derived from a matrix of 23 variables and validated in two independent cohorts. It integrates three biomarkers (LECT2, YKL-40, FBLN3) with an AUROC of 0.91. In the pooled analysis, a PT-LIFE score lower than 0.12 identified LAFSc 0-2 with a sensitivity of 91.9%, whereas scores above 0.29 indicated LAFSc 3-6, with a specificity of 88.4%. The PT-LIFE assay presents as a promising non-invasive diagnostic tool for the detection of allograft fibrosis in pediatric liver transplant recipients. The study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, identifier NCT05308628.

Non-invasive fibrosis markers are useful in predicting the presence of varices in compensated cirrhosis and variceal bleeding in decompensated cirrhosis

This study aims to investigate the effectiveness of non-invasive fibrosis markers in predicting varices in compensated advanced chronic liver disease patients and variceal bleeding in decompensated cirrhotic patients. Between 1 July 2020-2021, 137 newly diagnosed cirrhosis patients (67 females/70 males; mean age: 53.35) were included in the study. The diagnosis of cirrhosis was made based on clinical, laboratory, imaging, and, if available, biopsy findings. Laboratory and clinical parameters, including lysyl oxidase-like protein 2 (LOXL2), were recorded for all patients. Commonly used noninvasive fibrosis scores were calculated, and endoscopies were performed to assess varices. All patients were followed up for 12 months, and variceal bleeding events were recorded. Parameters that could predict the presence of varices and variceal bleeding were identified using appropriate statistical methods. Out of the 137 cirrhotic patients, 55 were in the compensated stage and 82 were in the decompensated stage. Varices were detected in 36 (65%) of the compensated cirrhotic patients. It was found that a variceal score derived from spleen size and the ELF score could be used to predict varices (AUC: 0.83). Variceal bleeding developed in 26 (31%) of the patients with decompensated cirrhosis. It was determined that a scoring system derived from albumin, spleen size, LOXL2 level, and the Lok index could be used to predict variceal bleeding in this patient group (AUC: 0.845). This study demonstrates that, besides device-dependent examinations, non-invasive fibrosis scores and various serum parameters can predict varices and variceal bleeding in cirrhotic patients.

Liver fibrosis stage based on the four factors (FIB-4) score or Forns index in adults with chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND

The presence and severity of liver fibrosis are important prognostic variables when evaluating people with chronic hepatitis C (CHC). Although liver biopsy remains the reference standard, non-invasive serological markers, such as the four factors (FIB-4) score and the Forns index, can also be used to stage liver fibrosis.

OBJECTIVES

To determine the diagnostic accuracy of the FIB-4 score and Forns index in staging liver fibrosis in people with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) virus, using liver biopsy as the reference standard (primary objective). To compare the diagnostic accuracy of these tests for staging liver fibrosis in people with CHC and explore potential sources of heterogeneity (secondary objectives).

SEARCH METHODS

We used standard Cochrane search methods for diagnostic accuracy studies (search date: 13 April 2022).

SELECTION CRITERIA

We included diagnostic cross-sectional or case-control studies that evaluated the performance of the FIB-4 score, the Forns index, or both, against liver biopsy, in the assessment of liver fibrosis in participants with CHC. We imposed no language restrictions. We excluded studies in which: participants had causes of liver disease besides CHC; participants had successfully been treated for CHC; or the interval between the index test and liver biopsy exceeded six months.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Two review authors independently extracted data. We performed meta-analyses using the bivariate model and calculated summary estimates. We evaluated the performance of both tests for three target conditions: significant fibrosis or worse (METAVIR stage ≥ F2); severe fibrosis or worse (METAVIR stage ≥ F3); and cirrhosis (METAVIR stage F4). We restricted the meta-analysis to studies reporting cut-offs in a specified range (+/-0.15 for FIB-4; +/-0.3 for Forns index) around the original validated cut-offs (1.45 and 3.25 for FIB-4; 4.2 and 6.9 for Forns index). We calculated the percentage of people who would receive an indeterminate result (i.e. above the rule-out threshold but below the rule-in threshold) for each index test/cut-off/target condition combination.

MAIN RESULTS

We included 84 studies (with a total of 107,583 participants) from 28 countries, published between 2002 and 2021, in the qualitative synthesis. Of the 84 studies, 82 (98%) were cross-sectional diagnostic accuracy studies with cohort-based sampling, and the remaining two (2%) were case-control studies. All studies were conducted in referral centres. Our main meta-analysis included 62 studies (100,605 participants). Overall, two studies (2%) had low risk of bias, 23 studies (27%) had unclear risk of bias, and 59 studies (73%) had high risk of bias. We judged 13 studies (15%) to have applicability concerns regarding participant selection. FIB-4 score The FIB-4 score's low cut-off (1.45) is designed to rule out people with at least severe fibrosis (≥ F3). Thirty-nine study cohorts (86,907 participants) yielded a summary sensitivity of 81.1% (95% confidence interval (CI) 75.6% to 85.6%), specificity of 62.3% (95% CI 57.4% to 66.9%), and negative likelihood ratio (LR-) of 0.30 (95% CI 0.24 to 0.38). The FIB-4 score's high cut-off (3.25) is designed to rule in people with at least severe fibrosis (≥ F3). Twenty-four study cohorts (81,350 participants) yielded a summary sensitivity of 41.4% (95% CI 33.0% to 50.4%), specificity of 92.6% (95% CI 89.5% to 94.9%), and positive likelihood ratio (LR+) of 5.6 (95% CI 4.4 to 7.1). Using the FIB-4 score to assess severe fibrosis and applying both cut-offs together, 30.9% of people would obtain an indeterminate result, requiring further investigations. We report the summary accuracy estimates for the FIB-4 score when used for assessing significant fibrosis (≥ F2) and cirrhosis (F4) in the main review text. Forns index The Forns index's low cut-off (4.2) is designed to rule out people with at least significant fibrosis (≥ F2). Seventeen study cohorts (4354 participants) yielded a summary sensitivity of 84.7% (95% CI 77.9% to 89.7%), specificity of 47.9% (95% CI 38.6% to 57.3%), and LR- of 0.32 (95% CI 0.25 to 0.41). The Forns index's high cut-off (6.9) is designed to rule in people with at least significant fibrosis (≥ F2). Twelve study cohorts (3245 participants) yielded a summary sensitivity of 34.1% (95% CI 26.4% to 42.8%), specificity of 97.3% (95% CI 92.9% to 99.0%), and LR+ of 12.5 (95% CI 5.7 to 27.2). Using the Forns index to assess significant fibrosis and applying both cut-offs together, 44.8% of people would obtain an indeterminate result, requiring further investigations. We report the summary accuracy estimates for the Forns index when used for assessing severe fibrosis (≥ F3) and cirrhosis (F4) in the main text. Comparing FIB-4 to Forns index There were insufficient studies to meta-analyse the performance of the Forns index for diagnosing severe fibrosis and cirrhosis. Therefore, comparisons of the two tests' performance were not possible for these target conditions. For diagnosing significant fibrosis and worse, there were no significant differences in their performance when using the high cut-off. The Forns index performed slightly better than FIB-4 when using the low/rule-out cut-off (relative sensitivity 1.12, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.25; P = 0.0573; relative specificity 0.69, 95% CI 0.57 to 0.84; P = 0.002).

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

Both the FIB-4 score and the Forns index may be considered for the initial assessment of people with CHC. The FIB-4 score's low cut-off (1.45) can be used to rule out people with at least severe fibrosis (≥ F3) and cirrhosis (F4). The Forns index's high cut-off (6.9) can be used to diagnose people with at least significant fibrosis (≥ F2). We judged most of the included studies to be at unclear or high risk of bias. The overall quality of the body of evidence was low or very low, and more high-quality studies are needed. Our review only captured data from referral centres. Therefore, when generalising our results to a primary care population, the probability of false positives will likely be higher and false negatives will likely be lower. More research is needed in sub-Saharan Africa, since these tests may be of value in such resource-poor settings.

Noninvasive liver fibrosis markers are independently associated with carotid atherosclerosis risk in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

OBJECTIVE

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is considered an independent risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD). The overall morbidity and mortality of CVD increase with higher fibrosis stage in NAFLD. Carotid atherosclerosis (CAS) is an important predictor of cardiovascular events. However, the relationship between liver fibrosis degree and the risk of CAS in NAFLD patients remains uncertain. We aimed to investigate the relationship between noninvasive liver fibrosis markers and CAS risk in patients with NAFLD.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study included 3,302 participants with NAFLD. Participants were divided into a CAS group and a non-CAS group based on carotid artery ultrasound results. They were then stratified into quartiles using various noninvasive liver fibrosis markers (fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), modified FIB-4 (mFIB-4), aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI), aminotransferase to alanine aminotransferase ratio (AAR), AAR-to-platelet ratio index (AARPRI), and Forns index) to assess the associations between these markers and the risk of CAS.

RESULTS

In the NAFLD population, individuals with CAS exhibited elevated levels of blood pressure, glucose, lipids, and noninvasive liver fibrosis markers (p < 0.001). The higher quartiles of noninvasive liver fibrosis markers, including FIB-4, mFIB-4, AAR, AARPRI, and Forns index, were significantly associated with increased risks of CAS, even after adjusting for multiple CVD risk factors.

CONCLUSIONS

In individuals with NAFLD, increased noninvasive liver fibrosis markers were independently associated with elevated CAS risk, which may be beneficial in assessing the risk of CVD in individuals with NAFLD.

Serum biomarkers for liver fibrosis assessment

Liver fibrosis is the result of chronic liver injury of different etiologies produced by an imbalance between the synthesis and degeneration of the extracellular matrix and dysregulation of physiological mechanisms. Liver has a high regenerative capacity in the early stage of chronic diseases so a prompt liver fibrosis detection is important. Consequently, an easy and economic tool that could identify patients with liver fibrosis at the initial stages is needed. To achieve this, many non-invasive serum direct, such as hyaluronic acid or metalloproteases, and indirect biomarkers have been proposed to evaluate liver fibrosis. Also, there have been developed formulas that combine these biomarkers, some of them also introduce clinical and/or demographic parameters, like FIB-4, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS), enhance liver fibrosis (ELF) or Hepamet fibrosis score (HFS). In this manuscript we critically reviewed different serum biomarkers and formulas for their utility in the diagnosis and progression of liver fibrosis.

Biomarcadores séricos para la evaluación de la fibrosis hepática

La fibrosis hepática se desarrolla como respuesta a la presencia de daño hepático crónico de diferentes etiologías, provocando un desequilibrio entre la síntesis y degeneración de la matriz extracelular y la desregulación de diversos mecanismos fisiológicos. En los estadios iniciales de las patologías crónicas, el hígado posee una elevada capacidad de regeneración, por lo que la detección temprana de la fibrosis hepática resulta esencial. En este contexto, es preciso contar con herramientas sencillas y económicas que permitan detectar la fibrosis hepática en sus fases iniciales. Para evaluar la fibrosis hepática, se han propuesto multitud de biomarcadores séricos no invasivos, tanto directos, como el ácido hialurónico o las metaloproteasas, como indirectos. Así mismo, se han desarrollado diversas fórmulas que combinan dichos biomarcadores junto con parámetros demográficos, como el índice FIB-4, el índice de fibrosis en la enfermedad de hígado graso no alcohólico (NFS, por sus siglas en inglés), la prueba ELF o el score de fibrosis Hepamet (HFS, por sus siglas en inglés). En el presente manuscrito, realizamos una revisión crítica del valor diagnóstico y pronóstico de los diferentes biomarcadores séricos y fórmulas actualmente existentes.

FibroScan-aspartate transaminase: A superior non-invasive model for diagnosing high-risk metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis

BACKGROUND

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) with hepatic histological NAFLD activity score ≥ 4 and fibrosis stage F ≥ 2 is regarded as "at risk" non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). Based on an international consensus, NAFLD and NASH were renamed as metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH), respectively; hence, we introduced the term "high-risk MASH". Diagnostic values of seven non-invasive models, including FibroScan-aspartate transaminase (FAST), fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), aspartate transaminase to platelet ratio index (APRI), etc. for high-risk MASH have rarely been studied and compared in MASLD.

AIM

To assess the clinical value of seven non-invasive models as alternatives to liver biopsy for diagnosing high-risk MASH.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted on 309 patients diagnosed with NAFLD via liver biopsy at Beijing Ditan Hospital, between January 2012 and December 2020. After screening for MASLD and the exclusion criteria, 279 patients were included and categorized into high-risk and non-high-risk MASH groups. Utilizing threshold values of each model, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive values (NPV), were calculated. Receiver operating characteristic curves were constructed to evaluate their diagnostic efficacy based on the area under the curve (AUROC).

RESULTS

MASLD diagnostic criteria were met by 99.4% patients with NAFLD. The MASLD population was analyzed in two cohorts: Overall population (279 patients) and the subgroup (117 patients) who underwent liver transient elastography (FibroScan). In the overall population, FIB-4 showed better diagnostic efficacy and higher PPV, with sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, and AUROC of 26.9%, 95.2%, 73.5%, 72.2%, and 0.75. APRI, Forns index, and aspartate transaminase to alanine transaminase ratio (ARR) showed moderate diagnostic efficacy, whereas S index and gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase to platelet ratio (GPR) were relatively weaker. In the subgroup, FAST had the highest diagnostic efficacy, its sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, and AUROC were 44.2%, 92.3%, 82.1%, 67.4%, and 0.82. The FIB-4 AUROC was 0.76. S index and GPR exhibited almost no diagnostic value for high-risk MASH.

CONCLUSION

FAST and FIB-4 could replace liver biopsy as more effectively diagnostic methods for high-risk MASH compared to APRI, Forns index, ARR, S index, and GPR; FAST is superior to FIB-4.

New markers of fibrosis in hepatitis C: A step towards the Holy Grail?

In the present issue of the World Journal of Hepatology, Ferrassi et al examine the problem of liver fibrosis staging in chronic hepatitis C. They identify novel biomarkers in an effort to predict accurate fibrosis staging with the aid of the metabolome of Hepatitis C patients. Overall I think Ferrassi et al took a different approach in identifying fibrosis biomarkers, by looking at the patients' metabolome. Their biomarkers clearly separate patients from controls. They can also separate out, patients with minimal fibrosis (F0-F1 stage) and patients with cirrhosis (F4 stage). Obviously, if these biomarkers were to be widely used, tests for all the important metabolites would need to be readily available for use in hospitals or outpatient setting and that may prove difficult and above all, costly. Nevertheless, this step could eventually lead to a metabolomic approach for novel biomarkers of Fibrosis. Obviously, it would need to be validated, but could represent a step towards the Holy Grail of Hepatology.

Long-Term Renal Involvement in Association with Fontan Circulation

Multiorgan dysfunction is a concern of Fontan patients. To clarify the pathophysiology of Fontan nephropathy, we characterize renal disease in the long-term observational study. Medical records of 128 consecutive Fontan patients [median age: 22 (range 15-37) years old] treated between 2009 and 2018 were reviewed to investigate the incidence of nephropathy and its association with other clinical variables. Thirty-seven patients (29%) showed proteinuria (n = 34) or < 90 mL/min/1.73 m2 of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) (n = 7), including 4 overlapping cases. Ninety-six patients (75%) had liver dysfunction (Forns index > 4.21). Patients with proteinuria received the Fontan procedure at an older age [78 (26-194) vs. 56 (8-292) months old, p = 0.02] and had a higher cardiac index [3.11 (1.49-6.35) vs. 2.71 (1.40-4.95) L/min/m2, p = 0.02], central venous pressure [12 (7-19) vs. 9 (5-19) mmHg, p < 0.001], and proportion with > 4.21 of Forns index (88% vs. 70%, p = 0.04) than those without proteinuria. The mean renal perfusion pressure was lower in patients with a reduced eGFR than those without it [55 (44-65) vs. 65 (45-102) mmHg, p = 0.03], but no other variables differed significantly. A multivariable analysis revealed that proteinuria was associated with an increased cardiac index (unit odds ratio 2.02, 95% confidence interval 1.12-3.65, p = 0.02). Seven patients with severe proteinuria had a lower oxygen saturation than those with no or mild proteinuria (p = 0.01, 0.03). Proteinuria or a decreased eGFR differentially occurred in approximately 30% of Fontan patients. Suboptimal Fontan circulation may contribute to the development of proteinuria and reduced eGFR.

Mitochondrial dysfunction is associated with the severity of liver fibrosis in patients after the Fontan operation

The gold standard for determining the severity of liver disease in Fontan patients is now liver biopsy. Since it is an invasive procedure, this study determined the possibility of applying mitochondrial function from isolated peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) as a non-invasive indicator of liver fibrosis. Fontan patients (n = 37) without known liver disease were analysed cross-sectionally. Patients were classified according to their histology using the METAVIR score as follows; F0/F1-no/mild fibrosis; F2-moderate fibrosis; and F3/F4-cirrhosis. Peripheral blood mononuclear cells were assessed for mitochondrial activity and apoptosis. This study did not find any significant differences in cardiac function among the groups according to liver histology. Interestingly, our findings indicated a significant decrease in maximal respiration and spare respiratory capacity, in both the moderate (F2) and cirrhosis (F3/F4) groups compared with the group without significant fibrosis (F0/F1). Moreover, the cirrhosis group exhibited higher levels of apoptosis and lower levels of live cells, compared with both the moderate and no significant fibrosis groups. In conclusion, the degree of liver fibrosis in Fontan patients is strongly correlated with mitochondrial dysfunction in PBMCs. Mitochondrial function and apoptosis could potentially serve as novel markers for tracking the progression of liver fibrosis in these patients.

Noninvasive Fibrosis Assessment in Chronic Hepatitis C Infection: An Update

Liver biopsy is historically the gold standard for liver fibrosis assessment of chronic hepatitis C patients. However, with the introduction and validation of noninvasive tests (NITs) to evaluate advanced fibrosis, and the direct-acting antiviral agents for treatment of chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV), the role of NITs have become even more complex. There is now need for longitudinal monitoring and elucidation of cutoff values for prediction of liver-related complication after sustained virological response. The aim of this report is to provide a critical overview of the various NITs available for the assessment of liver fibrosis in HCV patients.

The NAFLD burden on mortality and morbidities in general population: A community-based longitudinal study (NASH-CO study)

BACKGROUND

The impact of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) on morbidity and mortality has yet to be documented at the general population level. This study aimed to assess whether NAFLD was associated with morbidities and mortality and to estimate its impact on health status and mortality.

METHODS

The study population consisted of 137 206 participants from Constances cohort. Non-invasive diagnosis of NAFLD and advanced fibrosis was performed using the fatty liver index and Forns index, respectively. Constances data were linked to health care and hospitalization data to identify liver-related events, cardiovascular diseases (CVD), extrahepatic cancers (EHC), chronic kidney disease (CKD) and all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

The prevalence of NAFLD was 18.3% in subjects without other chronic liver diseases, among whom 2.7% had fibrosis. NAFLD after IPTW-weighted remained associated with an increased risk of death (HR 1.26, 95% CI 1.01-1.57), hepatic-related complications (HR 2.48, 95% CI 1.99-3.29), CVD (HR 1.42, 95% CI 1.30-1.55), EHC (HR 1.11, 95% CI 1.01-1.28) and CKD (HR 1.81, 95% CI 1.53-2.07) compared to those without chronic liver diseases risk factors (Non-NAFLD). In the trend analysis over the study period of inclusion and compared to Non-NAFLD, NAFLD has shown a fastest growing cause of hepatic events (HR 1.38, 95% CI 1.07-1.76 per year), CVD (HR 1.08, 95% CI 1.03-1.12), CKD (HR 1.16, 95% CI 1.07-1.25), and death (HR 1.39, 95% CI 1.39-1.50).

CONCLUSION

This large community-based cohort showed that NAFLD was associated with excess morbidity and mortality and demonstrated a fastest-growing trend.

Development and validation of a non-invasive model for predicting significant fibrosis based on patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease in the United States

Background

Liver fibrosis is closely related to abnormal liver function and liver cancer. Accurate noninvasive assessment of liver fibrosis is of great significance for preventing disease progression and treatment decisions. The purpose of this study was to develop and validate a non-invasive predictive model for the asses`sment of significant fibrosis in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease.

Methods

Information on all participants for 2017-2018 was extracted from the NHANES database. The eligible patients with significant fibrosis (n=123) and non-significant fibrosis (n=898) were selected to form the original dataset. Variable selection was performed using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso) regression, and multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to develop a prediction model. The utility of the model is assessed in terms of its discrimination, calibration and clinical usability. Bootstrap-resampling internal validation was used to measure the accuracy of the prediction model.

Results

This study established a new model consisting of 9 common clinical indicators and developed an online calculator to show the model. Compared with the previously proposed liver fibrosis scoring system, this model showed the best discrimination and predictive performance in the training cohort (0.812,95%CI 0.769-0.855) and the validation cohort (0.805,95%CI 0.762-0.847), with the highest area under curve. Specificity(0.823), sensitivity(0.699), positive likelihood ratio(3.949) and negative likelihood ratio(0.366) were equally excellent. The calibration plot of the predicted probability and the actual occurrence probability of significant fibrosis shows excellent consistency, indicating that the model calibration is outstanding. Combined with decision curve analysis, this model has a great benefit in the range of 0.1-0.8 threshold probability, and has a good application value for the diagnosis of clinical significant fibrosis.

Conclusion

This study proposes a new non-invasive diagnostic model that combines clinical indicators to provide an accurate and convenient individualized diagnosis of significant fibrosis in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease.

Benchmarking clinical risk prediction algorithms with ensemble machine learning: An illustration of the superlearner algorithm for the non-invasive diagnosis of liver fibrosis in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

Background and Aims

Ensemble machine learning (ML) methods can combine many individual models into a single 'super' model using an optimal weighted combination. Here we demonstrate how an underutilized ensemble model, the superlearner, can be used as a benchmark for model performance in clinical risk prediction. We illustrate this by implementing a superlearner to predict liver fibrosis in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD).

Methods

We trained a superlearner based on 23 demographic and clinical variables, with the goal of predicting stage 2 or higher liver fibrosis. The superlearner was trained on data from the Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis - clinical research network observational study (NASH-CRN, n=648), and validated using data from participants in a randomized trial for NASH ('FLINT' trial, n=270) and data from examinees with NAFLD who participated in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES, n=1244). We compared the performance of the superlearner with existing models, including FIB-4, NFS, Forns, APRI, BARD and SAFE.

Results

In the FLINT and NHANES validation sets, the superlearner (derived from 12 base models) discriminates patients with significant fibrosis from those without well, with AUCs of 0.79 (95% CI: 0.73-0.84) and 0.74 (95% CI: 0.68-0.79). Among the existing scores considered, the SAFE score performed similarly to the superlearner, and the superlearner and SAFE scores outperformed FIB-4, APRI, Forns, and BARD scores in the validation datasets. A superlearner model derived from 12 base models performed as well as one derived from 90 base models.

Conclusions

The superlearner, thought of as the "best-in-class" ML prediction, performed better than most existing models commonly used in practice in detecting fibrotic NASH. The superlearner can be used to benchmark the performance of conventional clinical risk prediction models.

Non-Invasive Liver Fibrosis Scores Are Associated With Contrast-Associated Acute Kidney Injury in Patients Undergoing Elective Percutaneous Coronary Intervention

Previous studies have demonstrated that non-invasive liver fibrosis scores (LFSs) are associated with kidney function deterioration. This study aimed to assess the predictive performance of LFSs in contrast-associated acute kidney injury (CA-AKI) in coronary artery disease (CAD) patients undergoing elective percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). This retrospective study involved 5627 patients. The frequency of CA-AKI was 6.3% (n = 353). In a multivariate logistic analysis after adjustment, non-invasive LFSs, including fibrosis-5 score (FIB-5), fibrosis-4 score (FIB-4), aspartate aminotransferase to alanine aminotransferase ratio (AAR), and aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index were independent risk factors for CA-AKI (all P < .05), whereas the Forns score was not (P > .05). The highest predictive performance was observed for FIB-5 (area under the curve [AUC] = .644) compared to other LFSs. A restricted cubic spline analysis confirmed approximately linear relationships between LFSs and risks of CA-AKI. Furthermore, adding FIB-5 (AUC = .747; net reclassification improvement [NRI] = .441, P < .001; integrated discrimination improvement [IDI] = .008, P < .001) or AAR (AUC = .747; NRI = .419, P < .001; IDI = .006, P = .010) to an established clinical risk model could significantly improve the prediction of CA-AKI. The LFSs were significantly associated with CA-AKI, possibly serving as predictive tools for early identification of CAD patients undergoing elective PCI that are at high risk of CA-AKI.

Circulating TREM2 as a noninvasive diagnostic biomarker for NASH in patients with elevated liver stiffness

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Reliable noninvasive biomarkers are an unmet clinical need for the diagnosis of NASH. This study investigates the diagnostic accuracy of the circulating triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells 2 (plasma TREM2) as a biomarker for NASH in patients with NAFLD and elevated liver stiffness.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

We collected cross-sectional, clinical data including liver biopsies from a derivation ( n = 48) and a validation cohort ( n = 170) of patients with elevated liver stiffness measurement (LSM ≥ 8.0 kPa). Patients with NAFLD activity scores (NAS) ≥4 were defined as having NASH. Plasma TREM2 levels were significantly elevated in patients with NASH of the derivation cohort, with an area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC) of 0.92 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.84-0.99). In the validation cohort, plasma TREM2 level increased approximately two-fold in patients with NASH, and a strong diagnostic accuracy was confirmed (AUROC, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.77-0.89; p  < 0.0001). Plasma TREM2 levels were associated with the individual histologic features of NAS: steatosis, lobular inflammation, and ballooning ( p  < 0.0001), but only weakly with fibrosis stages. Dual cutoffs for rule-in and rule-out were explored: a plasma TREM2 level of ≤38 ng/ml was found to be an optimal NASH rule-out cutoff (sensitivity 90%; specificity 52%), whereas a plasma TREM2 level of ≥65 ng/ml was an optimal NASH rule-in cutoff (specificity 89%; sensitivity 54%).

CONCLUSIONS

Plasma TREM2 is a plausible individual biomarker that can rule-in or rule-out the presence of NASH with high accuracy and thus has the potential to reduce the need for liver biopsies and to identify patients who are eligible for clinical trials in NASH.

Development and validation of non-invasive models in predicting advanced fibrosis of choledochal cyst

PURPOSE

Patients with choledochal cyst (CDC) develop liver fibrosis, especially advanced fibrosis without prompt surgery. This study validated the aspartate aminotransferase (AST)-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) and Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) and constructed a model for predicting advanced fibrosis in pediatric CDCs.

METHODS

Between January 2020 and March 2022, 330 CDCs (advanced fibrosis: 34, Ludwig staging 3-4; non-advanced fibrosis: 296, Ludwig staging 0-2) were reviewed. APRI and FIB-4 were validated. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve was used to assess discrimination. Relevant variables were analyzed by backward stepwise logistic regression. Enhanced bootstrap method was used for internal verification with 1000 samples.

RESULTS

The AUROCs of APRI and FIB-4 were 0.761 (0.673-0.850) and 0.561 (0.455-0.667). AST to prealbumin ratio (APAR), was constructed with an AUROC of 0.776 (0.693-0.860). The AUROCs of APAR + APRI and APAR + FIB-4 were 0.791 (0.713-0.869) and 0.782 (0.699-0.865). No significant differences were noted in the AUROCs of the indices or their combinations. APAR and APRI could be used together to reduce missed diagnosis rate. The risk of advanced fibrosis varied from different APAR and APRI scores.

CONCLUSION

Both APAR and APRI were indispensable to identify CDC patients at high risk of advanced fibrosis.

Association between birth weight, preterm birth, and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease in a community-based cohort

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The association between birth weight (BW) and metabolic outcomes has been described since the 1980s but NAFLD has been rarely studied. This study aimed to investigate the association between BW and NAFLD occurrence in adult subjects.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

The study population consisted of participants from the French nationwide Constances cohort from 2012 to 2019. Participants with a history of chronic viral hepatitis or excessive alcohol consumption were excluded. Noninvasive diagnosis of NAFLD and fibrosis was performed using a combination of the Fatty Liver Index (FLI) and the Forns Index. The relationship between BW and NAFLD was analyzed with a sex-stratified logistic regression model adjusted for sociodemographic parameters, lifestyle, and birth term, whereas liver fibrosis was analyzed with a sex-stratified linear regression model. In total, 55,034 individuals with reliable BW were included (43% men, mean age: 38 years). NAFLD (FLI ≥ 60) was present in 5530 individuals (10%). Multivariate logistic regression showed a significant U-shaped relationship between BW and NAFLD, with no significant interaction with sex. A significant and slightly decreasing association was found between BW and Forns Index (β = -0.05; p = 0.04). Premature birth (OR, 1.23; 95% CI, 1.03-1.48 for birth between 33 and 37 weeks versus ≥ 37 weeks) was associated with NAFLD, with a significant direct effect of premature birth, and without an indirect effect of low BW in mediation analysis. Forns Index was not significantly higher in participants with preterm birth compared to full-term birth.

CONCLUSIONS

This large prospective adult-based cohort confirms the relationship between BW and NAFLD occurrence.

Concordance between indirect fibrosis and steatosis indices and their predictors in subjects with overweight/obesity

BACKGROUND

The non-invasive assessment of steatosis/fibrosis tried to overcome some of peri-procedural risk of liver biopsy; for this, several indices of steatosis and fibrosis in liver have been proposed.

AIM

To evaluate concordance of non-invasive fibrosis and steatosis indices in a large population of adult subjects at risk of NAFLD, and how obesity and its physio-pathological features may interact with steatosis/fibrosis indexes and related biomarkers of cardio-metabolic risk.

METHODS

Indices of steatosis (fatty liver index-FLI), NAFLD liver fat score-NLFS)) and fibrosis (Fibrosis 4 (FIB-4), BARD, BAAT and FORN) were calculated in 1145 outpatients with overweight or obesity at risk for T2D and NAFLD. Indices were correlated with clinical variables.

RESULTS

Concordance between tests occurred in 81% of the overall values between FLI and NLFS, but was lower when comparing the other fibrosis scores (FIB-4 vs FORN 72%, FIB-4 vs BARD 36%, BARD vs FORN 46%, BARD vs BAAT 58%, FIB-4 vs BAAT 46%, BAAT vs FORN 62%). Each index was differently correlated with anthropometric, clinical and laboratory variables.

CONCLUSION

Indices evaluated retain low concordance, clinicians should be aware of these differences between steatosis/fibrosis scores when expressing a differential liver disease diagnosis or assessing the progression of a known liver disease.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level V, descriptive research.

Liver Fibrosis Indices Predict the Severity of SARS-CoV-2 Infection

Discovering novel risk and prognostic factors for COVID-19 may help not only in reducing severity and mortality but also in creating targeted therapies considering patients’ individual features. Liver fibrosis is considered a complication in Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease (NAFLD), it is a feature of steatohepatitis (NASH), and it has already been related to an increased risk for a wide range of diseases. Here, we aimed to define if any parameter assessing metabolic status has predictive power in identifying inpatients at risk for poorer prognosis and an increased mortality from COVID-19. This retrospective study was conducted at the Sub-Intensive Medicine Care Unit of the Presidio Maxi-Emergenze Fiera del Levante, Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Policlinico di Bari, Italy. We evaluated 271 inpatients with moderate-to-severe SARS-CoV-2-related respiratory failure by comparing biochemical features and non-invasive liver fibrosis scores among discharged, transferred to Intensive Care Units (ICU) and non-survivor patients. Moreover, by performing ROC curves, we defined cut-off values to predict mortality and disease severity for each score. We found that non-invasive scores of liver fibrosis, obtained at day of admission, such as AAR (p < 0.001), FIB-4 and mFIB-4, FORNS, and AARPRI (p < 0.05) strongly predict not only in-hospital mortality but also the length of hospitalization and eventual admission to ICU. FIB-4 was the best score to identify non-survivor patients (sensitivity of 80% and specificity of 63%) and predict the need for ICU or mortality (71% of sensitivity and 65% of specificity), with a cut-off value of 1.94. Therefore, we present the predictive power and the cut-off values of several liver fibrosis scores here for disease severity and mortality in SARS-CoV-2 in-patients and we proposed the use of the present scores to identify ab initio the clinical therapeutic and diagnostic protocols for high-risk patients.

Serum Glial Cell Line-Derived Neurotrophic Factor (sGDNF) Is a Novel Biomarker in Predicting Cirrhosis in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B

OBJECTIVES

We assessed the potential of glial cell line-derived neurotrophic factor (GDNF) as a useful biomarker to predict cirrhosis in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients.

METHODS

A total of 735 patients from two medical centers (385 CHB patients and 350 healthy controls) were included to determine the association of serum and tissue GDNF levels with biopsy-proven cirrhosis. The diagnostic accuracy of serum GDNF (sGDNF) was estimated and compared with other indices of cirrhosis.

RESULTS

We showed significantly higher levels of sGDNF in CHB patients with fibrosis (28.4 pg/ml vs. 11.6 pg/ml in patients without) and patients with cirrhosis (33.8 pg/ml vs. 23.5 pg/ml in patients without). The areas under receiver operating curve (AUROCs) of sGDNF were 0.83 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.80-0.87) for predicting liver fibrosis and 0.84 (95% CI: 0.79-0.89) for cirrhosis. Findings from the serum protein level and hepatic mRNA expression were consistent. Using the best cutoff to predict cirrhosis, we categorized the patients into sGDNF-high and sGDNF-low groups. The sGDNF-high group had significantly larger Masson's trichrome and reticulin staining-positive area, higher Scheuer score, and METAVIR fibrosis stage (all p < 0.001) but not steatosis. On multivariable regression, sGDNF was independently associated with cirrhosis with an odds ratio of 6.98 (95% CI: 1.10-17.94). Finally, we demonstrated that sGDNF outperformed AST to platelet ratio index, FIB-4, fibroscore, forn index, and fibrometer in differentiating F4 vs. F3.

CONCLUSION

Using serum, tissue mRNA, and biopsy data, our study revealed a significant potential of sGDNF as a novel noninvasive biomarker for cirrhosis in CHB patients.

The Benefit of Bariatric Surgery on Histological Features of Metabolic Associated Fatty Liver Disease Assessed Through Noninvasive Methods

BACKGROUND

In patients with clinically severe obesity, metabolic associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) and steatohepatitis are highly prevalent. There is a lack of prospective studies evaluating the impact of bariatric surgery (BS) on MAFLD using both noninvasive and histological criteria. The present study aims to assess the impact of BS on MAFLD using histological and biochemical criteria.

METHODS

This is a prospective study of 52 patients subjected to BS. Noninvasive fibrosis risk scores (NIFRS) along with anthropometric, clinical, and biochemical parameters were recorded pre- and 12 months post-BS. Liver biopsy was obtained in all individuals at baseline (wedge biopsy) and was repeated at 12 months (percutaneous Tru-cut) in those diagnosed with steatohepatitis. The primary outcome was the change in the degree of steatohepatitis and fibrosis. The secondary outcome was the change in scores for hepatocellular ballooning, lobular inflammation, steatosis, and fibrosis.

RESULTS

One year after BS, steatohepatitis resolved in core biopsies with no worsening of fibrosis in 95.7% of individuals (n = 21, 95% CI: 87.3-100), and 13 (56.5%) exhibited complete resolution. Of 15 patients with fibrosis at baseline, 13 (86.7%) showed improvement and 12 exhibited fibrosis resolution. The values of transaminases improved, but only gamma glutamyl transferase (GGT) showed statistical significance. Among the NIFRS, NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) and Hepamet fibrosis score (HFS) showed significant improvement.

CONCLUSIONS

In the setting it was studied, BS improved or resolved steatohepatitis and fibrosis in patients with obesity. NIFRS, especially NFS and HFS, and levels of GGT could be used as markers of recovery of liver function after BS.

Prevalence and Prognostic Significance of Liver Fibrosis in Patients With Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

Objectives

To report the prevalence, clinical associations, and prognostic consequences of liver fibrosis in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH).

Methods

In a retrospective study of patients with aSAH, we evaluated three validated liver fibrosis indices and modeled them as continuous-exposure variables, including the aspartate aminotransferase/platelet ratio index (APRI), the fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index, and the Forns index. The primary outcome was mortality at 90 days. We compared the addition of fibrosis indices to the predictors of the full Subarachnoid Hemorrhage International Trialists model.

Results

A total of 3,722 patients with aSAH were included in the study. According to the APRI, FIB-4 index, and Forns index, 21.7, 17.7, and 11.4% of patients had liver fibrosis. After adjusting for potential confounding factors, liver fibrosis indices were associated with increased 90-day mortality, with odds ratios of 1.35 (95% CI 1.02–1.77) for the FIB-4 index, 1.39 (95% CI.08–1.78) for APRI, and 1.53 (95% CI 1.11–2.12) for the Forns index. Similarly, high liver fibrosis indices were associated with an increased risk of rebleeding. However, the Forns index was not significantly associated with mortality and rebleeding. The addition of FIB-4 indices and APRI into the standard model improved the mortality prediction.

Conclusions

Liver fibrosis is common in patients with aSAH, and high liver fibrosis indices are associated with mortality and rebleeding. The addition of liver fibrosis indices to a standard clinical model significantly improves risk stratification.

Noninvasive proteomic biomarkers for alcohol-related liver disease

Alcohol-related liver disease (ALD) is a major cause of liver-related death worldwide, yet understanding of the three key pathological features of the disease-fibrosis, inflammation and steatosis-remains incomplete. Here, we present a paired liver-plasma proteomics approach to infer molecular pathophysiology and to explore the diagnostic and prognostic capability of plasma proteomics in 596 individuals (137 controls and 459 individuals with ALD), 360 of whom had biopsy-based histological assessment. We analyzed all plasma samples and 79 liver biopsies using a mass spectrometry (MS)-based proteomics workflow with short gradient times and an enhanced, data-independent acquisition scheme in only 3 weeks of measurement time. In plasma and liver biopsy tissues, metabolic functions were downregulated whereas fibrosis-associated signaling and immune responses were upregulated. Machine learning models identified proteomics biomarker panels that detected significant fibrosis (receiver operating characteristic-area under the curve (ROC-AUC), 0.92, accuracy, 0.82) and mild inflammation (ROC-AUC, 0.87, accuracy, 0.79) more accurately than existing clinical assays (DeLong's test, P < 0.05). These biomarker panels were found to be accurate in prediction of future liver-related events and all-cause mortality, with a Harrell's C-index of 0.90 and 0.79, respectively. An independent validation cohort reproduced the diagnostic model performance, laying the foundation for routine MS-based liver disease testing.

Systematic screening for advanced liver fibrosis in patients with coronary artery disease: The CORONASH study

Although coronary artery disease (CAD) and advanced liver fibrosis (AdLF) are commonly associated in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), the prevalence of AdLF and the diagnostic performance of non-invasive fibrosis tests (NITs) in CAD patients remains unknown. We aimed to prospectively screen for AdLF in patients with documented CAD using NITs and Fibroscan. High and intermediate zones of NITs were combined to define AdLF. AdLF was suspected whenever APRI ≥ 0.5, Forns index ≥ 4.2, NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) ≥ -1.455/0.12 for age </≥ 65 yrs), Fib4 (≥ 1.30/2.0 for age </≥ 65 yrs) and eLIFT≥ 8. A presumed AdLF assessed by Fibroscan ≥ 8 kPa was the primary outcome measure. Results were given on the basis of intent-to-diagnose liver stiffness ≥ 8 kPa. Among 189 patients (age 60±7years), 10 (5.3%) had a Fibroscan ≥ 8 kPa, of whom 5 underwent liver biopsy (F3/F4: n = 3; no fibrosis: n = 2). AdLF was suspected in 31% of cases using eLIFT (specificity, Sp 70%), 85% with Forns (Sp 16%), 38% with NFS (Sp 63%), 25% with Fib4 (Sp 74%), and 10% with APRI (Sp 91%). In 149 patients “at-risk” of NAFLD (i.e., elevated ALT or diabetes or hypertriglyceridemia or BMI ≥25 kg/m²), AdLF ranged between 10% (APRI) to 84% (Forns). In this subgroup, the most efficient NITs to predict Fibroscan ≥ 8 kPa were eLIFT (Se 60%, Sp 70%) and NFS (Se 70%, Sp 60%). Finally, in CAD patients with risk factors for NAFLD, NFS or the more user-friendly eLIFT are the most attractive first-line biochemical NITs to discriminate good candidates for Fibroscan.

Principles of diagnosis and treatment of alcohol-induced liver fibrosis

Alcohol-related liver diseases are one of the leading causes of death worldwide, primarily due to complications of liver cirrhosis (LC). Early detection of alcohol-induced liver fibrosis (LF) is a difficult task, since often  alcoholic liver disease (ALD) is clinically manifested only at late stages. Given that not all alcoholic suffer from ALD, the widespread use of liver biopsy to verify the diagnosis is not advisable. Despite the variety of proposed non-invasive methods for assessing the severity of LF in patients with ALD, none of them has sufficient validation and therefore cannot be recommended for widespread use in clinical practice. The most well-studied transient elastography, due to its suboptimal specificity, can be effectively used only to exclude clinically significant LF or LC. The only proven approach to treat ALD is persistent and total alcohol abstinence. While the therapeutic options for patients with severe forms of acute hepatitis remain unchanged since the 70s of the last century and are based mainly on the use of corticosteroids, currently, there are no approaches to antifibrotic therapy of ALD approved by the guidelines. At the same time, modern achievements in understanding the pathophysiological mechanisms  of this disease  have served  as an impetus  for  the development  of ways to solve  the problem. In particular, providing intestinal eubiosis may be an important goal for the prevention and treatment of alcohol-induced LF. Randomized controlled multicenter trials involving a large number of patients are needed to confirm this and other hypotheses related to antifibrotic therapy of ALD and to accept them as a standard of medical care.

24-month decline of non-invasive liver fibrosis markers in HCV-mono and HCV/HIV coinfection after direct-acting antiviral therapy

Long term liver fibrosis (LF) changes and their best -monitoring non-invasive markers (NILFM) after effective anti-HCV DAA therapy are little- known. Matrix-metalloproteases (MMPs) and their tissue-inhibitors (TIMPs) are pivotal in liver inflammation repair. Their plasma levels might assess long-term LF changes after therapy. Overall 374 HCV-infected adult patients, 214 HCV-HIV coinfected, were followed-up for 24 months after starting DAA. LF was assessed by transient elastometry (TE), biochemical indexes (APRI, Forns, FIB-4) and, in 61 individuals, by MMPs and TIMP-1 plasma levels. Several MMPs and TIMP-1 SNPs were genotyped in 319 patients. TE was better than biochemical indexes for early and long-term LF monitoring. MMPs-2,-8,-9 and-TIMP-1 levels and TE displayed parallel declining curves although only TIMP-1 correlated with TE (P = 0.006) and biochemical indexes (P < 0.02). HCV monoinfected had significantly higher baseline NILFM and TIMP-1 plasma values, but lower MMPs levels than coinfected patients. No differences in NILFM course were observed between mono-and coinfected or between different DAA regimens. Only the MMP-2 (-1306 C/T) variant TT genotype associated with higher values of NILFM NILFM decline extends 24 months after therapy. TE and TIMP1 are reliable LF-monitoring tools. NILFM courses were similar in mono-and coinfected patients, DAA regimens type did not influence NILFM course.

The burden of NAFLD in type 2 diabetic subjects from the general population: A Nationwide population-based follow-up study (NASHCO)

BACKGROUND

The epidemiology and natural history of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in diabetes have been mainly investigated in the hospital setting. The goal of this study was to evaluate the characteristics of NAFLD and its impact on morbidity and mortality in type 2 diabetic subjects in a community setting.

METHOD

This study included 199 341 participants in the nationwide Constances cohort. After patients with excessive alcohol consumption, viral hepatitis or other causes of liver disease were excluded, 164 285 were analysed and 8386 (5.3%) were considered to have type 2 diabetes. The non-invasive diagnosis of NAFLD and advanced fibrosis was made using a combination of the fatty liver index and Forns index. Median follow-up was 2.5 years.

RESULTS

Diabetes increased the risk of NAFLD by sixfold (adjusted OR 6.05, 95% CI 5.68-6.45) and the risk of advanced fibrosis by 3.76-fold (aOR 3.76, 95% CI 2.87-4.91) in NAFLD subjects. After controlling for confounders, the presence of NAFLD in diabetic subjects was associated with an increased risk of severe liver-related events (aHR 2.53, 95% CI 1.36-4.69), cardiovascular disease (CVD, aHR 2.71, 95% CI 1.72-4.26) and overall mortality (aHR 2.91, 95% CI 1.53-5.53). The risk of hepatic and extrahepatic complications in diabetic subjects with NAFLD significantly increased with the severity of fibrosis (P < .05).

CONCLUSION

This prospective, longitudinal study in a large community-based cohort provides real-world evidence of the risk for NAFLD and advanced fibrosis in diabetes, and its impact on liver disease progression, diabetes-related complications such as CVD, and overall mortality. These data could be used to estimate real clinical and economic burden of NAFLD in diabetic subjects.

Artificial intelligence outperforms standard blood-based scores in identifying liver fibrosis patients in primary care

For years, hepatologists have been seeking non-invasive methods able to detect significant liver fibrosis. However, no previous algorithm using routine blood markers has proven to be clinically appropriate in primary care. We present a novel approach based on artificial intelligence, able to predict significant liver fibrosis in low-prevalence populations using routinely available patient data. We built six ensemble learning models (LiverAID) with different complexities using a prospective screening cohort of 3352 asymptomatic subjects. 463 patients were at a significant risk that justified performing a liver biopsy. Using an unseen hold-out dataset, we conducted a head-to-head comparison with conventional methods: standard blood-based indices (FIB-4, Forns and APRI) and transient elastography (TE). LiverAID models appropriately identified patients with significant liver stiffness (> 8 kPa) (AUC of 0.86, 0.89, 0.91, 0.92, 0.92 and 0.94, and NPV ≥ 0.98), and had a significantly superior discriminative ability (p < 0.01) than conventional blood-based indices (AUC = 0.60–0.76). Compared to TE, LiverAID models showed a good ability to rule out significant biopsy-assessed fibrosis stages. Given the ready availability of the required data and the relatively high performance, our artificial intelligence-based models are valuable screening tools that could be used clinically for early identification of patients with asymptomatic chronic liver diseases in primary care.

MAFLD/NAFLD Biopsy-Free Scoring Systems for Hepatic Steatosis, NASH, and Fibrosis Diagnosis

Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD), formerly known as nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, is the most prevalent liver disorder worldwide. Historically, its diagnosis required biopsy, even though the procedure has a variable degree of error. Therefore, new non-invasive strategies are needed. Consequently, this article presents a thorough review of biopsy-free scoring systems proposed for the diagnosis of MAFLD. Similarly, it compares the severity of the disease, ranging from hepatic steatosis (HS) and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) to fibrosis, by contrasting the corresponding serum markers, clinical associations, and performance metrics of these biopsy-free scoring systems. In this regard, defining MAFLD in conjunction with non-invasive tests can accurately identify patients with fatty liver at risk of fibrosis and its complications. Nonetheless, several biopsy-free scoring systems have been assessed only in certain cohorts; thus, further validation studies in different populations are required, with adjustment for variables, such as body mass index (BMI), clinical settings, concomitant diseases, and ethnic backgrounds. Hence, comprehensive studies on the effects of age, morbid obesity, and prevalence of MAFLD and advanced fibrosis in the target population are required. Nevertheless, the current clinical practice is urged to incorporate biopsy-free scoring systems that demonstrate adequate performance metrics for the accurate detection of patients with MAFLD and underlying conditions or those with contraindications of biopsy.

Triglyceride-Rich Lipoproteins and Glycoprotein A and B Assessed by 1H-NMR in Metabolic-Associated Fatty Liver Disease

High plasma triglyceride (TG) levels and chronic inflammation are important factors related to metabolic-associated fatty liver disease in patients at cardiovascular risk. Using nuclear magnetic resonance (1H-NMR), we aimed to study the triglyceride-rich lipoprotein (TRL) and acute-phase glycoprotein profiles of a cohort of patients with metabolic disease and their relationship with fatty liver. Plasma samples of 280 patients (type 2 diabetes, 81.1%; obesity, 63.3%; and metabolic syndrome, 91.8%) from the University Hospital Lipid Unit were collected for the measurement of small, medium and large TRL particle numbers and sizes and glycoprotein profiles (Glyc-A and Glyc-B) by 1H-NMR. Liver function parameters, including the fatty liver index (FLI) and fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) score, were assessed. Hepatic echography assessment was performed in 100 patients, and they were followed up for 10 years. TRL particle concentrations showed a strong positive association with Glyc-A and Glyc-B (ρ=0.895 and ρ=0.654, p<0.001, respectively) and with the liver function-related proteins ALT ρ=0.293, p<0.001), AST (ρ=0.318, p<0.001) and GGT (ρ=0.284, p<0.001). Likewise, TRL concentrations showed a positive association with FLI (ρ=0.425, p<0.001) but not with FIB-4. During the follow-up period of 10 years, 18 new cases of steatosis were observed among 64 patients who were disease-free at baseline. Baseline TRL particle numbers and glycoprotein levels were associated with the new development of metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) (AUC=0.692, p=0.018 and AUC=0.669, p=0.037, respectively). Overall, our results indicated that TRL number and acute-phase glycoproteins measured by 1H-NMR could be potential biomarkers of the development of hepatic steatosis in patients at metabolic risk.

Non-invasive assessment of liver abnormalities in pediatric Fontan patients

Liver abnormalities are well known among long-term survivors of Fontan palliation, which remains the definite surgery for complex congenital heart disease and single ventricle physiology. Pediatric data however are scarce. We assessed the prevalence and degree of liver abnormalities in pediatric Fontan patients through non-invasive investigations suitable for longitudinal follow-up. Thirty-five patients with a median age of 11.8 years (5.2-16.6) and median time since Fontan of 6 years (1.17-13.83) were studied. Each child underwent a blood test, liver Doppler ultrasound (US), and transient elastography (TE). Healthy children were used as controls for TE measurement. AST, ALT, γGT, and direct bilirubin were abnormal in respectively 12 (34%), 5 (14%), 24 (69%), and 7 (20%) patients, while platelet count was decreased in 7 (20%). Splenomegaly was present in 7 (20%) patients. Portal vein mean flow velocity was < 15 cm/s in 19 (54%) patients indicative of portal hypertension. Twenty-two patients (63%) showed inferior vena cava collapsibility index values below 17%, indicating venous congestion. Hepatic artery and superior mesenteric artery resistance index were inversely correlated with time post Fontan (p < 0.05). TE values in Fontan patients were significantly higher than controls, with a median of 12.6 versus 4.6 kPa (p < 0.001) and were already increased shortly after Fontan completion. Conclusion: Liver abnormalities are frequently observed in pediatric Fontan patients. The non-invasive investigations used were not able to confirm liver fibrosis or differentiate hepatic congestion from fibrosis. Based on our findings, we propose a prospective screening protocol with serial measurements of laboratory, (Doppler) US, and TE parameters. What is Known: • Hepatic dysfunction is a well-known consequence of the Fontan circulation. • The natural history of Fontan-associated liver disease in the pediatric age group remains unclear. What is New: • Liver abnormalities are frequently observed in pediatric Fontan patients; however, differentiating liver fibrosis and hepatic congestion with non-invasive investigations remains challenging. Sonographic Doppler measurements may improve our insight in both Fontan-associated liver disease development and the functioning of the Fontan circulation. • A prospective screening protocol is proposed to improve our ability to detect Fontan-associated liver disease early on and understand its natural history.

Potential role of noninvasive biomarkers during liver fibrosis

Various types of liver disease exist, such as hepatitis and alcoholic liver disease. These liver diseases can result in scarring of liver tissue, cirrhosis, and finally liver failure. During liver fibrosis, there is an excess and disorganized accumulation of extracellular matrix (ECM) components which cause the loss of normal liver cell functions. For patients with chronic liver disease, fibrosis prediction is an essential part of the assessment and management. To diagnose liver fibrosis, several invasive and noninvasive markers have been proposed. However, the adoption of invasive markers remains limited due to their inherent characteristics and poor patient acceptance rate. In contrast, noninvasive markers can expedite the clinical decision through informed judgment about disease stage and prognosis. These noninvasive markers are classified into two types: Imaging techniques and serum biomarkers. However, the diagnostic values of biomarkers associated with liver fibrosis have also been analyzed. For example, the serum levels of ECM proteins can react to either matrix accumulation or degradation. During virus-host interactions, several regulatory steps take place to control gene expression, such as the change in cellular microRNA expression profiles. MicroRNAs are a class of non-coding RNAs (18-20 long nucleotides) that function by post-transcriptional regulation of gene expression. Although various noninvasive markers have been suggested in recent years, certain limitations have restricted their clinical applications. Understanding the potential of non-invasive biomarkers as a therapeutic option to treat liver fibrosis is still in progress.

The Leg Fat to Total Fat Ratio Is Associated with Lower Risks of Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease and Less Severe Hepatic Fibrosis: Results from Nationwide Surveys (KNHANES 2008-2011)

BACKGROUND

The prevalence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has rapidly increased worldwide. The aim of this study was to investigate whether there is an independent relationship between regional fat distribution, especially leg fat mass, and the presence of NAFLD using nationally representative data in Korea.

METHODS

This cross-sectional study analyzed data from 14,502 participants in the Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2008 to 2011. Total fat mass, leg fat mass, and appendicular skeletal muscle mass were measured by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry. Validated NAFLD prediction models and scoring systems for hepatic fibrosis were used.

RESULTS

The leg fat to total fat (LF/TF) ratio showed a negative relationship with many factors, including body mass index, waist circumference, blood pressure, fasting blood glucose, and liver enzyme levels. When the LF/TF ratio and indices of hepatic steatosis were stratified by quartiles, the LF/TF ratio showed a negative correlation with the scoring systems that were used. The LF/TF ratio showed better accuracy in predicting NAFLD than total fat mass or leg fat mass alone. After adjusting for various traditional and lifestyle factors, a low LF/TF ratio remained a risk factor for NAFLD. Among NAFLD subjects, the LF/TF ratio showed a negative relationship with hepatic fibrosis.

CONCLUSION

A lower LF/TF ratio was markedly associated with a higher risk of hepatic steatosis and advanced hepatic fibrosis using various predictive models in a Korean population. Therefore, the LF/TF ratio could be a useful anthropometric parameter to predict NAFLD or advanced hepatic fibrosis.

Expert opinion on the preoperative medical optimization of adults with diabetes undergoing metabolic surgery

Diabetes mellitus (DM) and obesity are interrelated in a complex manner, and their coexistence predisposes patients to a plethora of medical problems. Metabolic surgery has evolved as a promising therapeutic option for both conditions. It is recommended that patients, particularly those of Asian origin, maintain a lower body mass index threshold in the presence of uncontrolled DM. However, several comorbidities often accompany these chronic diseases and need to be addressed for successful surgical outcome. Laparoscopic Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB) and laparoscopic sleeve gastrectomy (LSG) are the most commonly used bariatric procedures worldwide. The bariatric benefits of RYGB and LSG are similar, but emerging evidence indicates that RYGB is more effective than LSG in improving glycemic control and induces higher rates of long-term DM remission. Several scoring systems have been formulated that are utilized to predict the chances of remission. A glycemic target of glycated hemoglobin < 7% is a reasonable goal before surgery. Cardiovascular, pulmonary, gastrointestinal, hepatic, renal, endocrine, nutritional, and psychological optimization of surgical candidates improves perioperative and long-term outcomes. Various guidelines for preoperative care of individuals with obesity have been formulated, but very few specifically focus on the concerns arising from the presence of concomitant DM. It is hoped that this statement will lead to the standardization of presurgical management of individuals with DM undergoing metabolic surgery.

A Generic Nomogram Predicting the Stage of Liver Fibrosis Based on Serum Biochemical Indicators Among Chronic Hepatitis B Patients

Introduction: Liver fibrosis staging is of great importance for reducing unnecessary injuries and prompting treatment in chronic viral hepatitis B patients. Liver biopsy is not suitable to act a screening method although it is a gold standard because of various shortcomings. This study aimed to establish a predictive nomogram as a convenient tool to effectively identify potential patients with different stages of liver fibrosis for patients with chronic hepatitis B.

Methods: A nomogram for multinomial model was developed in a training set to calculate the probability for each stage of fibrosis and tested in a validation set. Fibrosis stages were subgrouped as followed: severe fibrosis/cirrhosis (F3–F4), moderate fibrosis (F2), and nil-mild fibrosis (F0–F1). The indicators were demographic characteristics and biochemical indicators of patients. Continuous indicators were divided into several groups according to the optimal candidate value generated by the decision tree.

Results: This study recruited 964 HBV patients undergoing percutaneous liver biopsy. The multinomial model with 10 indicators was transformed into the final nomogram. The calibration plot showed a good agreement between nomogram-predicted and observed probability of different fibrosis stages. Areas under the receiver operating characteristics (AUROCs) for severe fibrosis/cirrhosis were 0.809 for training set and 0.879 for validation set. For moderate fibrosis, the AUROCs were 0.75 and 0.781. For nil-mild fibrosis, the AUROCs were 0.792 and 0.843. All the results above showed great predictive performance in predicting the stage of fibrosis by our nomogram.

Conclusion: Our model demonstrated good discrimination and extensibility in internal and external validation. The proposed nomogram in this study resulted in great reliability and it can be widely used as a convenient and efficient way.

Role of Transient Elastography to Stage Fontan-Associated Liver Disease (FALD) in Adults with Single Ventricle Congenital Heart Disease Correction

Fontan-associated liver disease (FALD) is an arising clinical entity that can occur long after a successful Fontan operation for correction of single ventricle (SV) congenital heart disease (CHD). Occurrence of FALD is characterized by liver cirrhosis and other hepatic complications, and determinates an increased morbidity and mortality. Currently, there is no consensus on how to stage FALD. We report here our experience by an observational study in 52 patients with SV-CHD after Fontan operation that were recruited through a period of 36 ± 9.3 months. All cases underwent lab tests and liver and cardiac imaging evaluation, including liver stiffness (LS) measurement by transient elastography (TE) (FibroScan®). According to selective criteria for liver disease, we identified 23/43 (53.5%) cases with advanced FALD that showed: older age (p < 0.05), larger hepatic and cava veins diameter (p < 0.05), worsened NYHA class (p < 0.05), abnormal lymphocytes (p < 0.01), platelet count (p < 0.05), and GGT, prothrombin time (INR), albumin and cystatin C levels (p < 0.05), with respect to cases without advanced FALD. LS values were significantly increased in cases with advanced FALD, at cut-off values higher than 22 kPa (p < 0.001). LS, and its combined score with spleen diameter and platelet count (LSPS) successfully helped to detect 100% of cases with portal hypertension (p < 0.001). In conclusion, LS can be effective to stage FALD and to uncover cases with severe risk of complications, avoiding higher morbidity and mortality related to advanced FALD.

Non-invasive markers of liver fibrosis and outcome in large vessel occlusion stroke

Background:

Liver fibrosis has been identified as an outcome predictor in cardiovascular disease and has been associated with hematoma expansion and mortality in patients with primary intracerebral hemorrhage. We aimed to explore whether clinically inapparent liver fibrosis is related to neurological outcome, mortality, and intracranial hemorrhage risk in ischemic stroke patients after mechanical thrombectomy.

Methods:

We included consecutive patients with anterior circulation large vessel occlusion stroke treated at our center with mechanical thrombectomy between January 2011 and April 2019. Clinical data had been collected prospectively; laboratory data were extracted from our electronic hospital information system. We calculated the Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4), an established non-invasive liver fibrosis test. The main outcomes were postinterventional intracranial hemorrhage, unfavorable functional status (modified Rankin scale scores of 3–6), and mortality three months post-stroke.

Results:

In the 460 patients (mean age 69 years, 49.3% female) analyzed, FIB-4 indicated advanced liver fibrosis in 22.6%. Positive FIB-4 was associated with unfavorable neurological outcomes and mortality three months post-stroke, even after correction for co-factors [Odds Ratio (OR) 2.15 for unfavorable outcome in patients with positive FIB-4, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.21–3.83, p = 0.009, and 2.16 for mortality, 95% CI 1.16–4.03, p = 0.01]. However, FIB-4 was neither related to hemorrhagic transformation nor symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage. Moreover, atrial fibrillation was more frequent in patients with liver fibrosis (p < 0.001). Two further commonly-used liver fibrosis indices (Forns index and the Easy Liver Fibrosis Test) yielded comparable results regarding outcome and atrial fibrillation.

Conclusions:

Clinically inapparent liver fibrosis (based on simple clinical and laboratory parameters) represents an independent risk factor for unfavorable outcomes, including mortality, at three months after stroke thrombectomy. Elevated liver fibrosis indices warrant further hepatological work-up and thorough screening for atrial fibrillation in stroke patients.

Non-Invasive Indirect Markers of Liver Fibrosis after Interferon-Free Treatment for Hepatitis C

The effectiveness of interferon-free therapy during the course of HCV infection has already been confirmed. Liver fibrosis can be assessed in several ways, from biopsies to imaging tests. The present study evaluates the usefulness of non-invasive indirect biomarkers of liver fibrosis (APRI, GAPRI, FORNS, FIB-4, the AP index and HUI score) as markers of the effective treatment of HCV with the 3D regimen. Blood samples were collected from 70 patients suffering from chronic hepatitis C. Patients received the 3D AbbVie regimen for hepatitis C. All patients had HCV genotype 1b. The APRI, GAPRI, FIB-4, FORNS, HUI and AP index (age–platelet score) values were calculated with their respective algorithms. The stage of fibrosis was evaluated on the basis of a liver biopsy and confirmed by FibroScan-based transient elastography. An undetectable level of HCV RNA after 12 weeks of treatment with the 3D regimen indicates 100% eradication of hepatitis C virus. After the treatment, non-invasive indirect markers of liver fibrosis achieved levels below the limit for significant fibrosis, Thus, non-invasive indirect biomarkers of hepatic fibrosis failed to detect the presence of significant fibrosis, which was proved in histopathological examination. However, the eradication of hepatitis C virus by means of the 3D regimen treatment does not mean that patients were completely cured.

Noninvasive Evaluation of Liver Fibrosis in a Sample of Putative Inactive HBV Carriers in Rome, Italy

Background

Noninvasive methods are useful for investigating patients with chronic HBV infection. The severity of liver disease in inactive HBsAg carriers can be noninvasively assessed by transient elastography (TE) alone or in association with biochemical markers of fibrosis.

Objectives

The study evaluates the effectiveness of the TE compared to common fibrosis scores (FSs), APRI, Forns Index, and FIB4, for identifying significant fibrosis in Italian and foreigner HBsAg carriers. To investigate the risk of progression of the liver disease, liver stiffness (LS) and HBV-DNA were monitored over time.

Methods

Viral load, biochemical parameters, and LS have been retrospectively evaluated in 125 putative inactive HBV carriers, who visited two outpatient departments (Colleferro Hospital and INMP) from 01/03/2014 to 31/12/2019. Differences in clinical, biochemical, and demographic variables between Italians and foreigners were analyzed. 66 of 125 patients were followed up for 24 months by monitoring liver stiffness and HBV-DNA.

Results

Mean overall LS was 5.55 ± 1.92 kPa; 18 (14.4%) patients had a LS ≥7.5 kPa. Mean of APRI, Forns, and FIB4 was 0.29 ± 0.11, 4.15 ± 1.63, and 1.16 ± 0.59, respectively. FS did not differ between the patients with LS <7.5 kPa and those with LS ≥7.5 kPa. Italians displayed a significant lower ALT (0.53 ± 0.18 vs. 0.67 ± 0.33, p < 0.05) and AST (0.59 ± 0.16 vs. 0.70 ± 0.21, p < 0.01) value than foreigners. No differences in LS and HBV-DNA levels were observed. In 66 patients followed up for 24 months, HBV-DNA increased by ≥2000 UI/ml after 12 months in 15 individuals and remained ≥2000 UI/ml after 24 months in 10/15 individuals. 7/10 patients showed LS ≥ 7.5 kPa after 24 months, and 4 of them underwent antiviral therapy for HBV. Patients with HBV-DNA <2000 IU/ml had a significantly lower LS than those with HBV-DNA ≥2000 IU/ml (5.30 ± 1.43 vs. 7.69 ± 1.07, p < 0.0001).

Conclusions

Analysis shows lower effectiveness of FS vs. TE in the assessment of putative inactive HBV carriers. Furthermore, using FibroScan® and HBV-DNA can identify “false” inactive carriers.

Assessment of liver disease in patients with chronic hepatitis C and unhealthy alcohol use

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection and unhealthy alcohol use are major drivers of the burden of liver disease worldwide and commonly co-occur. Assessment of underlying liver damage is a cornerstone of the clinical care of patients with chronic HCV infection and/or unhealthy alcohol use because many of them are diagnosed at advanced stages of disease. Early diagnosis of liver disease before decompensated liver cirrhosis becomes established is essential for treatment with direct acting antivirals and/or abstinence from alcohol consumption, which are the main therapeutic approaches for clinical management. In this review, we discuss current knowledge around the use of non-invasive methods to assess liver disease, such as abdominal ultrasound, controlled attenuation parameter, transient elastography, magnetic resonance imaging, and indices based on serum markers of liver injury.

Possible unrecognised liver injury is associated with mortality in critically ill COVID-19 patients

BACKGROUND

Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) with acute respiratory distress syndrome is a life-threatening condition. A previous diagnosis of chronic liver disease is associated with poorer outcomes. Nevertheless, the impact of silent liver injury has not been investigated. We aimed to explore the association of pre-admission liver fibrosis indices with the prognosis of critically ill COVID-19 patients.

METHODS

The work presented was an observational study in 214 patients with COVID-19 consecutively admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU). Pre-admission liver fibrosis indices were calculated. In-hospital mortality and predictive factors were explored with Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analysis.

RESULTS

The mean age was 59.58 (13.79) years; 16 patients (7.48%) had previously recognised chronic liver disease. Up to 78.84% of patients according to Forns, and 45.76% according to FIB-4, had more than minimal fibrosis. Fibrosis indices were higher in non-survivors [Forns: 6.04 (1.42) versus 4.99 (1.58), p < 0.001; FIB-4: 1.77 (1.17) versus 1.41 (0.91), p = 0.020)], but no differences were found in liver biochemistry parameters. Patients with any degree of fibrosis either by Forns or FIB-4 had a higher mortality, which increased according to the severity of fibrosis (p < 0.05 for both indexes). Both Forns [HR 1.41 (1.11-1.81); p = 0.006] and FIB-4 [HR 1.31 (0.99-1.72); p = 0.051] were independently related to survival after adjusting for the Charlson comorbidity index, APACHE II, and ferritin.

CONCLUSION

Unrecognised liver fibrosis, assessed by serological tests prior to admission, is independently associated with a higher risk of death in patients with severe COVID-19 admitted to the ICU.

Treg cells in the course of chronic hepatitis C virus infection partially normalize in longitudinal observation after successful DAA treatment regardless of hepatic fibrosis stage

AIM OF THE STUDY

Elevated circulating CD4+ CD25+ Foxp3+ regulatory T cells in patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) play an unspecified role in liver fibrosis development. This study aimed to determine whether Treg cells diminish after successful treatment with directacting antivirals (DAA) in patients at different liver fibrosis stages.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We examined 44 patients with CHC (including 29 with liver cirrhosis) seven days before DAA treatment (T0), six months later (T1) and then 22 of them were examined one year (T2) after the first dose. Subsequently, these were compared with 28 volunteers without hepatitis C virus (HCV) (15 with excessive alcohol intake). We assessed the degree of liver fibrosis with FibroScan, aspartate transaminase (AST) to platelet ratio index (APRI), FibroIndex, the Forns index and Fib-4. Circulating Treg cells were measured using flow cytometry.

RESULTS

All patients achieved a sustained virological response (SVR). After the treatment, all liver fibrosis indicators decreased significantly. The number of circulating Tregs was lower in healthy controls than in patients with CHC (0.0066 × 103 cells/µl and 0.0084 × 103 cells/µl, respectively, p = 0.048). After the treatment we observed an insignificant change to 0.0047 × 103 cells/µl for T1 (p > 0.05) and a significant fall to 0.0041 × 103 cells/µl for T2 (p = 0.03). There was no correlation between the degree of hepatic fibrosis and number of Tregs or post-treatment dynamics.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study shows that Treg cells normalize gradually over a prolonged period of time after a successful DAA treatment. Their number and dynamics remain independent of liver fibrosis degree. The correlation of this revelation with metabolic disorders, increased susceptibility to infections or persistent risk of HCC remains unclear.

Impact of liver fibrosis score on prognosis in patients with previous myocardial infarction: A prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Liver fibrosis score (LFS) has been used for predicting the cardiovascular outcomes (CVOs) in diverse populations. However, the association of LFS with CVOs in patients with previous myocardial infarction (MI) remains undetermined. We aimed to examine the prognostic value of LFS in patients with prior MI in a prospective cohort.

METHODS

A total of 3718 patients with previous MI were consecutively enrolled from March 2009 to January 2019. Five LFSs including the fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) score, non-alcohol fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS), Forns score, HUI score and BARD score were used. The CVOs covered major adverse cardiac event (MACEs), cardiovascular mortality and all-cause mortality. Cox proportional hazards model was used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

During a mean follow-up of 47.4 ± 24.8 months, 431 (11.6%) MACEs occurred. Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated that higher LFSs resulted in a significantly higher probability of CVOs. Compared to the lowest score group, multivariable-adjusted HRs (95% CIs) of the highest group of FIB-4, NFS, Forns score, HUI score and BARD score were 1.75 (1.32-2.33), 2.37 (1.70-3.33), 2.44 (1.61-3.73), 1.58 (1.16-2.14) and 1.27 (1.03-1.57) respectively. These LFSs were also independent predictors of cardiovascular mortality and all-cause mortality. Similar results were observed across subgroups analysis. The addition of LFSs to a prediction model significantly increased the C-statistic for CVOs.

CONCLUSIONS

The present study firstly demonstrated that LFS could be used as a risk stratification tool for predicting CVOs in patients with previous MI, which should be evaluated further.

Valoración bioquímica en la enfermedad hepática grasa asociada a la disfunción metabólica

La enfermedad hepática grasa asociada a la disfunción metabólica (MAFLD) se define por el acúmulo de grasa en el hígado en presencia de alteraciones metabólicas. Suele cursar de forma asintomática y puede progresar a formas graves de enfermedad hepática, ligadas a la aparición de inflamación y/o fibrosis. Su prevalencia es muy elevada (26%), resultando en un alto número de pacientes con riesgo de presentar una enfermedad hepática avanzada. El presente documento describe los marcadores serológicos más relevantes en la caracterización y diagnóstico de la MAFLD, y se propone un ejemplo de su integración en un algoritmo diagnóstico en práctica clínica habitual. En la actualidad se dispone de índices serológicos útiles en el manejo de los pacientes con MAFLD, especialmente en la estratificación del riesgo de la presencia fibrosis. Una gran parte de la población está en riesgo de desarrollar enfermedad hepática grave. La integración de los marcadores serológicos no invasivos en la estratificación del riesgo de fibrosis hepática puede contribuir a un mejor control y manejo de los pacientes con MAFLD.

Biochemical assessment of metabolic associated fatty liver disease

Metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is defined as fat accumulation in the liver in the presence of metabolic alterations. This disorder is generally asymptomatic and may progress to severe liver disease, which are linked to inflammation and/or fibrosis. MAFLD has a high prevalence (26%) and therefore a considerable number of patients are at high risk of having advanced liver disease. This document provides an overview of the most relevant serological markers in the characterization and diagnosis of MAFLD. An example is provided of a routine diagnostic algorithm that incorporates serological testing. A range of useful serological scores are currently available for the management of MAFLD patients, especially for the stratification of patients at risk of fibrosis. A large proportion of the population is at risk of developing severe liver disease. The integration of non-invasive serological markers in the stratification of patients at risk for liver fibrosis may contribute to improve the control and management of MAFLD patients.

Diagnostic Accuracy of the Forns Score for Liver Cirrhosis in Patients With Chronic Viral Hepatitis

Introduction Liver cirrhosis is an irreversible and end-stage disease. It results from chronic liver damage characterized by the replacement of normal liver tissue by fibrosis, leading to the progressive loss of liver function. Making an early diagnosis of cirrhosis is important for patients with chronic hepatitis because early antiviral therapy can prevent the progression of cirrhosis and even induce regression. There have been efforts to develop surrogate markers for liver cirrhosis as the biopsy is invasive, costly, and difficult to standardize. Methods This was a cross-sectional study conducted at the Section of Chemical Pathology, the Department of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine in Collaboration with the Section of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, the Aga Khan University, from January to December 2018. A total of 90 patients (>18 years of age) with a history of chronic viral hepatitis, who were attending the FibroScan® (Echosens, Paris, France) clinic were included. Patients with a history of autoimmune liver diseases and hepatocellular carcinoma were excluded from the study. Blood samples withdrawn were analyzed on ADVIA Centaur^® (Siemens Healthineers, Erlangen, Germany), and Forns scores were calculated based on the following four parameters: patient age, total cholesterol, gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT), and platelet count. Results The median age of the patients was 38.5 years [interquartile range (IQR): 21]. Among the study population, 59 (65.6%) were males and 31 (34.4%) were females; 26 patients showed reactivity for hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg), and 63 patients were found chronic with hepatitis C virus (HCV). The proportion of HCV was observed to be higher as compared with that of Hepatitis B virus (HBV). Nineteen patients were found to have jaundice and only one patient had ascites. An Area Under the Receiver Operating Curve (AUROC) was generated to determine the diagnostic accuracy of the Forns score. It was observed that the Forn score value of >7.110 had an AUROC of 0.9928 (95% CI: 0.9821-1.003, p-value: <0.001) with a sensitivity of 100% (95% CI: 91.19-100.0%) and specificity of 94% (95% CI: 83.45-98.75%), with a higher positive likelihood ratio of 16.67. Conclusion This study found the Forns score to be sensitive and specific in diagnosing liver cirrhosis in patients with chronic hepatitis. The Forns score at a cutoff of 7.11 is highly sensitive as well as a specific noninvasive method that can be used to ascertain the status of fibrosis in chronic hepatitis patients.

Incidence, Predictors, and Mortality in Patients With Liver Cancer After Fontan Operation

Background

Liver cancer (LC) is a serious late complication after the Fontan operation. However, the incidence, predictors, and prognosis remain unknown. The purpose of our study was to determine these clinical characteristics.

Methods and Results

We assessed liver function in 339 consecutive patients who had undergone the Fontan procedure from 2005 to 2019. LC was histologically diagnosed in 10 patients after a median period of 2.9 years (range: 0.3–13.8; median age: 29.9 years [range: 14.4–41.5 years]; overall median post–Fontan procedure follow‐up: 25.6 years [range: 13–32.1 years]), and the annual incidence was 0.89%. Over the entire post‐Fontan follow‐up period, the annual incidences of new‐onset LC in the second, third, and fourth decades were 0.14%, 0.43%, and 8.83%, respectively. The patients with LC had longer follow‐up periods, higher levels of AFP (α‐fetoprotein), and higher values of liver fibrosis indices (P<0.01–0.0001). Moreover, all indices were predictive of new‐onset LC (P<0.01–0.0001). The LC treatments were surgical resection (n=3), transarterial chemoembolization (n=3), radiofrequency ablation (n=2), and hospice care (n=2). During a median follow‐up of 9.4 months, 4 patients died; the survival rate at 1 year was 60%, and it was better among asymptomatic patients (P<0.01).

Conclusions

The LC incidence rapidly increased ≥30 years after the Fontan procedure, and liver fibrosis indices and AFP were predictive of new‐onset LC. These LC‐predictive markers should be monitored closely and mandatorily for early LC detection and better prognosis.