Progression of coronary artery calcification seems to be inevitable, but predictable - results of the Heinz Nixdorf Recall (HNR) study

Progression of arterial calcifications: what, where, and in whom?

OBJECTIVES

There is a lack of information on the development of arteriosclerosis over time. This study aims to assess long-term sex-specific changes in arterial calcifications in five arteries, and the influence of cardiovascular risk factors hereon.

METHODS

From a population-based cohort, 807 participants (mean baseline age, 65.8; SD, 4.2) underwent a non-contrast computed tomography (CT) examination between 2003 and 2006, and after a median follow-up of 14 years. We assessed incidences and changes in volumes of coronary artery calcification (CAC), aortic arch calcification (AAC), extracranial (ECAC) and intracranial carotid artery calcification (ICAC), and vertebrobasilar artery calcification (VBAC). We investigated the simultaneous presence of severe progression (upper quartile of percentual change volumes). Associations of cardiovascular risk factors with changes in calcification volumes were assessed using multivariate linear regression models.

RESULTS

The difference in AAC was most substantial; the median volume (mm3) increased from of 129 to 916 in men and from 93 to 839 in women. For VBAC, no change in volumes was observed though more than a quarter of participants without baseline VBAC developed VBAC during follow-up. Severe progression was most often observed in only one artery at the same time. Hypertension was most consistently associated with increase in calcifications. Associations of diabetes, hypercholesterolemia, and smoking with changes in calcifications varied across arteries and sex.

CONCLUSIONS

We found a considerable incidence and increase in volumes of calcifications in different arteries, over a 14-year time interval. Cardiovascular risk factors were associated with increase of calcifications with sex-specific differential effects across arteries.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

There is a considerable incidence and increase in volumes of calcifications in different arteries, over a 14-year time interval. Cardiovascular risk factors are associated with increase of calcifications with sex-specific differential effects across arteries; thus, assessing changes in only one artery may thus not provide a good reflection of the systemic development of arteriosclerosis.

KEY POINTS

• Assessing change in arterial calcification in only one artery does not reflect the systemic development of arterial calcification. • Cardiovascular risk factors are associated with progression of arterial calcifications. • Progression of arterial calcification is sex and artery-specific.

Interpreting the Coronary Artery Calcium Score - Critical Information for the Practicing Physician

Coronary artery calcium scanning is a routine test for assessing the severity of atherosclerosis in asymptomatic individuals. This inexpensive, noninvasive test quantifies the calcium deposition in the 4 principal coronary arteries. Correct interpretation is important to the physician (for recommending therapy) and to the patient (for determining his or her lifetime risk of a cardiovascular event). A score of 0 indicates that a cardiovascular event is extremely unlikely in the next 5 years. In contrast, a score greater than 0 portends a coronary event. The higher the score, the greater the risk. Both the arterial location of the calcium and the number of coronary arteries involved alter the interpretation of the calcium score. At any given age, females have significantly lower scores than males. One-third of individuals with scores greater than 1000 will have a cardiovascular event within 3 years. For all elevated calcium scores, aggressive treatment is warranted, including significant lifestyle changes and medications to reduce low-density lipoprotein cholesterol. Understanding the importance of the coronary artery calcium score will result in improved therapy and patient compliance.

Vascular ageing: moving from bench towards bedside

Prevention of cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains one of the largest public health challenges of our time. Identifying individuals at increased cardiovascular risk at an asymptomatic, sub-clinical stage is of paramount importance for minimizing disease progression as well as the substantial health and economic burden associated with overt CVD. Vascular ageing (VA) involves the deterioration in vascular structure and function over time and ultimately leads to damage in the heart, brain, kidney, and other organs. Vascular ageing encompasses the cumulative effect of all cardiovascular risk factors on the arterial wall over the life course and thus may help identify those at elevated cardiovascular risk, early in disease development. Although the concept of VA is gaining interest clinically, it is seldom measured in routine clinical practice due to lack of consensus on how to characterize VA as physiological vs. pathological and various practical issues. In this state-of-the-art review and as a network of scientists, clinicians, engineers, and industry partners with expertise in VA, we address six questions related to VA in an attempt to increase knowledge among the broader medical community and move the routine measurement of VA a little closer from bench towards bedside.

Artificial intelligence in coronary computed tomography angiography: Demands and solutions from a clinical perspective

Coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) is increasingly the cornerstone in the management of patients with chronic coronary syndromes. This fact is reflected by current guidelines, which show a fundamental shift towards non-invasive imaging - especially CCTA. The guidelines for acute and stable coronary artery disease (CAD) of the European Society of Cardiology from 2019 and 2020 emphasize this shift. However, to fulfill this new role, a broader availability in adjunct with increased robustness of data acquisition and speed of data reporting of CCTA is needed. Artificial intelligence (AI) has made enormous progress for all imaging methodologies concerning (semi)-automatic tools for data acquisition and data post-processing, with outreach toward decision support systems. Besides onco- and neuroimaging, cardiac imaging is one of the main areas of application. Most current AI developments in the scenario of cardiac imaging are related to data postprocessing. However, AI applications (including radiomics) for CCTA also should enclose data acquisition (especially the fact of dose reduction) and data interpretation (presence and extent of CAD). The main effort will be to integrate these AI-driven processes into the clinical workflow, and to combine imaging data/results with further clinical data, thus - beyond the diagnosis of CAD- enabling prediction and forecast of morbidity and mortality. Furthermore, data fusing for therapy planning (e.g., invasive angiography/TAVI planning) will be warranted. The aim of this review is to present a holistic overview of AI applications in CCTA (including radiomics) under the umbrella of clinical workflows and clinical decision-making. The review first summarizes and analyzes applications for the main role of CCTA, i.e., to non-invasively rule out stable coronary artery disease. In the second step, AI applications for additional diagnostic purposes, i.e., to improve diagnostic power (CAC = coronary artery classifications), improve differential diagnosis (CT-FFR and CT perfusion), and finally improve prognosis (again CAC plus epi- and pericardial fat analysis) are reviewed.

Diagnostic Cardiac CT for the Improvement of Cardiovascular Event Prediction

BACKGROUND

The aim of the long-term Heinz Nixdorf Recall Study (observation period 20 years) was to establish the extent to which computed tomography (CT) improves the predictability of cardiovascular events relative to determination of risk factors alone.

METHODS

In the period 2000-2003, study staff examined 4355 probands (53% of them female) aged 45-75 years with no signs of cardiovascular disease. The Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease (ASCVD) score was calculated on the basis of demographic data and cardiovascular risk factors. Cardiac CT was carried out over the same period and coronary artery calcification (CAC) was graded according to the Agatston score.

RESULTS

The median duration of follow-up was 18.2 years for men and 17.8 years for women. Myocardial infarction or stroke occurred in 458 (11%) of the 4154 participants with complete data. Overall, estimation of risk using a combination of ASCVD score and CAC grade was superior to the ASCVD score alone-even after 10 and 20 years. Classification into established risk categories improved by 12.2% (95% confidence interval: [5.3%; 18.1%]). In the highest ASCVD risk category, we observed occurrence of a cardiovascular event over 20 years for 14% [5.0%; 23.1%] of probands with a CAC score = 0 but for 34.2% [27.5%; 41.4%] of those with a CAC score ≥ 400. In the lowest ASCVD risk category, an event occurred in 2.4% [1.4%; 3.7%] of probands with a CAC score = 0 and in 23.5% [2.3%; 35.8%] of those with a CAC score ≥ 400.

CONCLUSION

Even after 20 years, individual risk prediction is improved by addition of CT-based determination of coronary artery calcification to the ASCVD score. Therefore, assessment of ASCVD risk factors should be complemented more widely by cardiac CT in the primary prevention of cardiovascular disease.

High- vs. Low-Intensity Statin Therapy and Changes in Coronary Artery Calcification Density after One Year

Background: Statin therapy promotes the progression of coronary artery calcification (CAC). Comparing patients on high (HIST) vs. low-to-intermediate intensity statin therapy (LIST), randomized controlled trials with a one-year follow-up failed to document a relevant difference in the Agatston score and CAC volume. We evaluated whether statin intensity modifies CAC density at one year. Methods: We performed a pooled analysis of two randomized-controlled trials (BELLES, EBEAT), comparing the effects of HIST (Atorvastatin 80 mg) vs. LIST (Pravastatin 40 mg, Atorvastatin 10 mg) on CAC measures after one year. The differences in CAC density and its change were compared using the two-sided t-test. Results: Data from 852 patients (66.7% female) with available baseline and follow-up CT were evaluated from both trials. HIST vs. LIST more effectively reduced LDL-cholesterol (annualized change: −45.8 ± 38.5 vs. −72.9 ± 46.0 mg/dL, p < 0.001). Mean CAC density increased from 228.8 ± 35.4 HU to 232.6 ± 37.0 HU (p < 0.0001) at one-year follow-up. Comparing patients on HIST vs. LIST, CAC density at follow-up (HIST: 231.9 ± 36.1 HU vs. LIST: 233.3 ± 37.7 HU, p = 0.59) and its change from baseline (HIST: 4.0 ± 19.1 HU vs. LIST: 3.6 ± 19.6 HU, p = 0.73) did not differ. Subgroup analyses, stratifying by LDL reduction (<median: 2.0 ± 24.3 HU, ≥median: 3.6 ± 21.9 HU, p = 0.34), Agatston score at baseline (<100: 2.6 ± 22.5 HU vs. 3.2 ± 25.6 HU, p = 0.82; ≥100: 4.8 ± 17.0 HU vs. 3.8 ± 16.6 HU, p = 0.44, for HIST vs. LIST; respectively), and equal number of lesions in both CT scans (3.7 ± 20.3 HU vs. 7.0 ± 22.2 HU, p = 0.24) showed similar results. Conclusion: HIST vs. LIST leads to a higher reduction in cholesterol levels, which does not translate into relevant differences in the change of CAC density at one-year follow-up.

Glycemic control is independently associated with rapid progression of coronary atherosclerosis in the absence of a baseline coronary plaque burden: a retrospective case-control study from the PARADIGM registry

BACKGROUND

The baseline coronary plaque burden is the most important factor for rapid plaque progression (RPP) in the coronary artery. However, data on the independent predictors of RPP in the absence of a baseline coronary plaque burden are limited. Thus, this study aimed to investigate the predictors for RPP in patients without coronary plaques on baseline coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) images.

METHODS

A total of 402 patients (mean age: 57.6 ± 10.0 years, 49.3% men) without coronary plaques at baseline who underwent serial coronary CCTA were identified from the Progression of Atherosclerotic Plaque Determined by Computed Tomographic Angiography Imaging (PARADIGM) registry and included in this retrospective study. RPP was defined as an annual change of ≥ 1.0%/year in the percentage atheroma volume (PAV).

RESULTS

During a median inter-scan period of 3.6 years (interquartile range: 2.7-5.0 years), newly developed coronary plaques and RPP were observed in 35.6% and 4.2% of the patients, respectively. The baseline traditional risk factors, i.e., advanced age (≥ 60 years), male sex, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, hyperlipidemia, obesity, and current smoking status, were not significantly associated with the risk of RPP. Multivariate linear regression analysis showed that the serum hemoglobin A1c level (per 1% increase) measured at follow-up CCTA was independently associated with the annual change in the PAV (β: 0.098, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.048-0.149; P < 0.001). The multiple logistic regression models showed that the serum hemoglobin A1c level had an independent and positive association with the risk of RPP. The optimal predictive cut-off value of the hemoglobin A1c level for RPP was 7.05% (sensitivity: 80.0%, specificity: 86.7%; area under curve: 0.816 [95% CI: 0.574-0.999]; P = 0.017).

CONCLUSION

In this retrospective case-control study, the glycemic control status was strongly associated with the risk of RPP in patients without a baseline coronary plaque burden. This suggests that regular monitoring of the glycemic control status might be helpful for preventing the rapid progression of coronary atherosclerosis irrespective of the baseline risk factors. Further randomized investigations are necessary to confirm the results of our study.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT02803411.

Distribution of Coronary Artery Calcium by Age, Sex, and Race Among Patients 30-45 Years Old

BACKGROUND

Coronary artery calcium (CAC) is a measure of atherosclerotic burden and is well-validated for risk stratification in middle- to older-aged adults. Few studies have investigated CAC in younger adults, and there is no calculator for determining age-, sex-, and race-based percentiles among individuals aged <45 years.

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to determine the probability of CAC >0 and develop age-sex-race percentiles for U.S. adults aged 30-45 years.

METHODS

We harmonized 3 datasets-CARDIA (Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults), the CAC Consortium, and the Walter Reed Cohort-to study CAC in 19,725 asymptomatic Black and White individuals aged 30-45 years without known atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. After weighting each cohort equally, the probability of CAC >0 and age-sex-race percentiles of CAC distributions were estimated using nonparametric techniques.

RESULTS

The prevalence of CAC >0 was 26% among White males, 16% among Black males, 10% among White females, and 7% among Black females. CAC >0 automatically placed all females at >90th percentile. CAC >0 placed White males at the 90th percentile at age 34 years compared with Black males at age 37 years. An interactive webpage allows one to enter an age, sex, race, and CAC score to obtain the corresponding estimated percentile.

CONCLUSIONS

In a large cohort of U.S. adults aged 30-45 years without symptomatic atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, the probability of CAC >0 varied by age, sex, and race. Estimated percentiles may help interpretation of CAC scores among young adults relative to their age-sex-race matched peers and can henceforth be included in CAC score reporting.

Capsaicin Attenuates Arterial Calcification Through Promoting SIRT6-Mediated Deacetylation and Degradation of Hif1α (Hypoxic-Inducible Factor-1 Alpha)

BACKGROUND

Sustained Hif1α (hypoxic-inducible factor-1 alpha) accumulation plays a central role in osteogenic transdifferentiation and subsequent calcification. Capsaicin, the potent agonist of TRPV1 (transient receptor potential vanilloid type 1), was found to mitigate hypoxic-related injury and reverse phenotypic switch of vascular smooth muscle cells. However, its role in arterial calcification and the underlying mechanisms remain unexplored.

METHODS

We used data from Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis to examine the association of coronary artery calcification and chili consumption. Chronic kidney disease mice and high phosphate-induced vascular smooth muscle cells calcification models were established to investigate the anticalcification effect of capsaicin, evaluated by calcium deposition and changes in phenotype markers.

RESULTS

Chili consumption was negatively correlated with coronary artery calcification and conferred a smaller progression burden during follow-up. Capsaicin reduced calcium deposition and osteogenic transdifferentiation both in vivo and in vitro. Using siTRPV1 and capsazepine, the anticalcification effect of capsaicin was abrogated. Hif1α was increased in Pi-treated vascular smooth muscle cells and its degradation was accelerated by capsaicin. Retaining Hif1α stability using CoCl2 or MG132 abolished the protective effect of capsaicin. We further identified an increased expression of SIRT6 in response to capsaicin and confirmed the physical interaction between SIRT6 and Hif1α. Acetylated Hif1α was decreased, whereas hydroxylated Hif1α was increased under capsaicin treatment. Using immunohistochemistry analysis, we observed increased SIRT6 and reduced Hif1α in both SIRT6 transgenic and capsaicin-treated chronic kidney disease mice.

CONCLUSIONS

Capsaicin facilitates deacetylation and degradation of Hif1α by upregulating SIRT6, which inhibits osteogenic transdifferentiation and protects against arterial calcification. These data highlight a promising therapeutic target for the management of arterial calcification.

Comprehensive Management of Cardiovascular Risk Factors for Adults With Type 2 Diabetes: A Scientific Statement From the American Heart Association

Cardiovascular disease remains the leading cause of death in patients with diabetes. Cardiovascular disease in diabetes is multifactorial, and control of the cardiovascular risk factors leads to substantial reductions in cardiovascular events. The 2015 American Heart Association and American Diabetes Association scientific statement, "Update on Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease in Adults With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus in Light of Recent Evidence," highlighted the importance of modifying various risk factors responsible for cardiovascular disease in diabetes. At the time, there was limited evidence to suggest that glucose-lowering medications reduce the risk of cardiovascular events. At present, several large randomized controlled trials with newer antihyperglycemic agents have been completed, demonstrating cardiovascular safety and reduction in cardiovascular outcomes, including cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, stroke, and heart failure. This AHA scientific statement update focuses on (1) the evidence and clinical utility of newer antihyperglycemic agents in improving glycemic control and reducing cardiovascular events in diabetes; (2) the impact of blood pressure control on cardiovascular events in diabetes; and (3) the role of newer lipid-lowering therapies in comprehensive cardiovascular risk management in adults with diabetes. This scientific statement addresses the continued importance of lifestyle interventions, pharmacological therapy, and surgical interventions to curb the epidemic of obesity and metabolic syndrome, important precursors of prediabetes, diabetes, and comorbid cardiovascular disease. Last, this scientific statement explores the critical importance of the social determinants of health and health equity in the continuum of care in diabetes and cardiovascular disease.

Effect of glycemic control on markers of subclinical atherosclerosis in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus: A review

Cardiovascular disease is the predominant cause of death in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Evidence suggests a strong association between duration and degree of hyperglycemia and vascular disease. However, large trials failed to show cardiovascular benefit after intensive glycemic control, especially in patients with longer diabetes duration. Atherosclerosis is a chronic and progressive disease, with a long asymptomatic phase. Subclinical atherosclerosis, which is impaired in T2DM, includes impaired vasodilation, increased coronary artery calcification (CAC), carotid intima media thickness, arterial stiffness, and reduced arterial elasticity. Each of these alterations is represented by a marker of subclinical atherosclerosis, offering a cost-effective alternative compared to classic cardiac imaging. Their additional use on top of traditional risk assessment strengthens the predictive risk for developing coronary artery disease (CAD). We, herein, review the existing literature on the effect of glycemic control on each of these markers separately. Effective glycemic control, especially in earlier stages of the disease, attenuates progression of structural markers like intima-media thickness and CAC. Functional markers are improved after use of newer anti-diabetic agents, such as incretin-based treatments or sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors, especially in T2DM patients with shorter disease duration. Larger prospective trials are needed to enhance causal inferences of glycemic control on clinical endpoints of CAD.

Circulatory microRNA expression profile for coronary artery calcification in chronic kidney disease patients

BACKGROUND & AIM

Coronary artery disease (CAD) is the primary cause of mortality in patients with end stage renal disease (ESRD). MicroRNA profiling is proven as a powerful tool in the diagnosis of any disease at the molecular level. Hence, the present study aimed to profile the microRNA expression for CAD especially coronary artery calcification in CKD patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Two hundread patients with CKD stages 3 to 5 without dialysis and healthy controls were included in this study. All two hundred patients underwent 1024 multi sliceardiac computed tomography (CT) scan for calcium scoring. The calcium scoring more than 100 have been included in the study. We performed miRNA microarray analysis from serum samples of seven high calcium scored with CKD patients and one control patients.

RESULTS

Seven patients have observed circulating miRNAs has significantly upregulated and downregulated when compared with control patients. mir21, mir 67, mir 390, mir 56, mir 250, mir 65 and mir 13 were up regulated and mir235, mir256, mir226, mir207, mir255, mir193 were downregulated. There was no significant difference in left ventricle function.

CONCLUSION

13 microRNAs play a potential role in coronary artery calcification in CKD patients.

Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances and calcifications of the coronary and aortic arteries in adults with prediabetes: Results from the diabetes prevention program outcomes study

BACKGROUND

Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) are endocrine disrupting chemicals that have been associated with cardiovascular risk factors including elevated body weight and hypercholesterolemia. Therefore, PFAS may contribute to the development of atherosclerosis and cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, no previous study has evaluated associations between PFAS exposure and arterial calcification.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This study used data from 666 prediabetic adults enrolled in the Diabetes Prevention Program trial who had six PFAS quantified in plasma at baseline and two years after randomization, as well as measurements of coronary artery calcium (CAC) and ascending (AsAC) and descending (DAC) thoracic aortic calcification 13-14 years after baseline. We performed multinomial regression to test associations between PFAS and CAC categorized according to Agatston score [low (<10), moderate (11-400) and severe (>400)]. We used logistic regression to assess associations between PFAS and presence of AsAC and DAC. We adjusted models for baseline sex, age, BMI, race/ethnicity, cigarette smoking, education, treatment assignment (placebo or lifestyle intervention), and statin use. PFAS concentrations were similar to national means; 53.9% of participants had CAC > 11, 7.7% had AsAC, and 42.6% had DAC. Each doubling of the mean sum of plasma concentrations of linear and branched isomers of perfluorooctane sulfonic acid (PFOS) was associated with 1.49-fold greater odds (95% CI: 1.01, 2.21) of severe versus low CAC. This association was driven mainly by the linear (n-PFOS) isomer [1.54 (95% CI: 1.05, 2.25) greater odds of severe versus low CAC]. Each doubling of mean plasma N-ethyl-perfluorooctane sulfonamido acetic acid concentration was associated with greater odds of CAC in a dose-dependent manner [OR = 1.26 (95% CI:1.08, 1.47) for moderate CAC and OR = 1.37 (95% CI:1.07, 1.74) for severe CAC, compared to low CAC)]. Mean plasma PFOS and n-PFOS were also associated with greater odds of AsAC [OR = 1.67 (95% CI:1.10, 2.54) and OR = 1.70 (95% CI:1.13, 2.56), respectively], but not DAC. Other PFAS were not associated with outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Prediabetic adults with higher plasma concentrations of select PFAS had higher risk of coronary and thoracic aorta calcification. PFAS exposure may be a risk factor for adverse cardiovascular health among high-risk populations.

Pharmacogenetic association of diabetes-associated genetic risk score with rapid progression of coronary artery calcification following treatment with HMG-CoA-reductase inhibitors -results of the Heinz Nixdorf Recall Study

HMG-CoA-Reductase inhibitors (HMGRIs) are currently the most widely used group of drugs in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) and are given preemptively to patients with high levels of cholesterol, including those with diabetes mellitus (DM). However, intake of HMGRIs also increases the progression of coronary artery calcification (CAC) and the risk of developing DM. This study aimed to investigate whether HMGRI intake interacts with the diabetes-associated genetic risk score (GRS) to affect CAC progression using data from the population-based Heinz Nixdorf Recall (HNR) study. CAC was measured in 3157 participants using electron-beam computed tomography twice, at baseline (CAC_b) and 5 years later (CAC_5y). CAC progression was classified as slow, expected, or rapid based on predicted values. Weighted DM GRS was constructed using 100 diabetes mellitus-associated single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). We used log-linear regression to evaluate the interaction of HMGRI intake with diabetes-associated GRS and individual SNPs on CAC progression (rapid vs. expected/slow), adjusting for age, sex, and log(CAC_b + 1). The prevalence of rapid CAC progression in the HNR study was 19.6%. We did not observe any association of the weighted diabetes mellitus GRS with the rapid progression of CAC (relative risk (RR) [95% confidence interval (95% CI)]: 1.01 [0.94; 1.10]). Furthermore, no indication of an interaction between GRS and HMGRI intake was observed (1.08 [0.83; 1.41]). Our analyses showed no indication that the impact of HMGRIs on CAC progression is significantly more severe in patients with a high genetic risk of developing DM than in those with a low GRS.

Evolution of coronary artery calcium and absolute myocardial perfusion after percutaneous revascularization: A 3-year serial hybrid [15O]H2O PET/CT imaging study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The value of serial coronary artery calcium (CAC) scores to predict changes in absolute myocardial perfusion and epicardial vasomotor function is poorly documented. This study explored the association between progression of CAC score and changes in absolute myocardial perfusion.

METHODS

Fifty-three patients (26% female) with de novo single-vessel coronary artery disease underwent [¹⁵O]H₂O positron emission tomography/computed tomography at 1 month (baseline), 1 year, and 3 years after complete revascularization with percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) to assess CAC scores, hyperemic myocardial blood flow (hMBF), coronary flow reserve (CFR) and cold pressor test MBF (CPT-MBF), within the context of the VANISH trial.

RESULTS

Baseline CAC score was 0 in 9%, 0.1-99.9 in 40%, 100-399.9 in 36% and ≥400 in 15% of patients, respectively. Mixed model-analysis allowed for averaging perfusion indices over all time points: hMBF (3.74 ± 0.83; 3.33 ± 0.79; 3.08 ± 0.78 and 2.44 ± 0.74 mL min^-1·g^-1) and CFR (3.82 ± 1.12; 3.17 ± 0.80; 3.19 ± 0.81; 2.63 ± 0.92) were lower among higher baseline CAC groups (p < 0.01; p = 0.03). However, no significant interaction was found between baseline CAC groups and time after PCI for all perfusion indices, denoting that evolution of perfusion indices over time was not significantly different between CAC groups. Furthermore, CAC progression was not correlated with evolution of hMBF (r = 0.08, p = 0.57), CFR (r = 0.09, p = 0.53) or CPT-MBF (r = 0.03, p = 0.82) during 3 years of follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher baseline CAC was associated with lower hMBF and CFR. However, both baseline CAC and its progression were not associated with evolution of absolute hMBF, CFR and CPT-MBF over time, suggesting that CAC score and progression of CAC are poor indicators of change in absolute myocardial perfusion.

Association of progressive thoracic aortic calcification with future cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality: ability to improve risk prediction? Results of the Heinz Nixdorf Recall (HNR) study

AIMS

Thoracic aortic calcification (TAC) is measured by computed tomography (CT). We investigated the association of TAC-progression with incident cardiovascular (CV) events and all-cause mortality in a population-based cohort and to determine its predictive value for these endpoints.

METHODS AND RESULTS

In 3080 participants (45-74 years, 53.6% women), risk factors and TAC via CT were measured at baseline and at a second examination after 5.1 ± 0.3 years. Hard coronary, hard CV events as well as CV events including revascularization and all-cause mortality were recorded during a follow-up time of 7.8 ± 2.2 years after the second CT scan. Cox regression analysis determined the association of TAC-progression with observed endpoints. The predictive value of TAC-progression was assessed using Harrell's C index. We observed 81 hard coronary, 154 hard CV, 231 CV events including revascularization, and 266 deaths. In the crude analysis, event rates increased continuously with the level of TAC-change over 5 years for all endpoints. After adjustment, the significant association of TAC-progression with hard CV events [hazard ratio (HR) 1.28, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.05-1.57] and all-cause mortality (HR 1.34, 95% CI 1.14-1.58) persisted, per one standard deviation increase in TAC-progression (log(TAC + 1)). Regarding aortic segments separately, HRs were consistently higher for descending thoracic aorta. When adding TAC (baseline and progression) to the model containing classical risk factors and coronary artery calcification (CAC), Harrell's C indices did not increase for any of the observed endpoints.

CONCLUSION

TAC-progression is associated with incident hard CV events and all-cause mortality but fails to improve event prediction over CAC.

Genetic variations in G-protein signal pathways influence progression of coronary artery calcification: Results from the Heinz Nixdorf Recall study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Coronary artery calcification (CAC) is one of the most sensitive and specific markers of coronary atherosclerosis and believed to be heritable. We hypothesized that functionally relevant single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in the G-protein signal pathway, which have been previously related to coronary artery disease, are associated with CAC progression.

METHODS

3108 participants from the Heinz Nixdorf Recall study with CAC measurements at both baseline (CACb) and 5-year follow-up (CAC5y) were included. We genotyped SNPs rs1042714 (ADRB2), rs6026584 and rs12481583 (GNAS), and rs5443 (GNB3) and defined a priori risk alleles derived from literature data. Regression analyses were applied to measures of 5-year CAC progression, unadjusted, adjusted for age, sex, and adjusted for age, sex, log(CACb+1) as well as for cardiovascular risk factors.

RESULTS

The presence of one or more risk alleles was associated with a 26.9% (95% CI 5.5-52.4) increase in 5-year CAC progression (p = 0.011) and a 29.2% (95% CI 5.9-57.6) accelerated increase of CAC over the 5-year period compared to what was expected with respect to the baseline CAC percentile value (p = 0.012). Each of those risk alleles increased the 5-year CAC progression by 4.4% (95% CI 1.3-7.6, p = 0.006) and resulted in a 4.9% accelerated increase of CAC over the 5-year period (95% CI 1.6-8.4, p = 0.004). These unadjusted data did not change after adjustment.

CONCLUSIONS

Genetic variations in the G-protein signal pathway are associated with CAC progression in a cumulative fashion, indicating the importance of the pathway for genetic heritability in CAC progression and coronary artery disease.

Serum uric acid is independently associated with aortic arch calcification in a cross-sectional study of middle-aged and elderly women

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The increased serum uric acid (SUA) level is associated with the prevalence of cardiovascular disease (CVD) risks. Aortic arch calcification (AAC) reflects subclinical coronary atherosclerosis and is linked to subsequent cardiovascular morbidity and mortality risks closely. To better understand the role of SUA on arteriosclerosis and CVD, we aim to determine the association between SUA and the presence of AAC.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 5920 individuals aged >45 years old without prior CVD disease were included. The prevalence rate of AAC was 14.4% in all participants and a significantly increasing trend for AAC prevalence rate was found across the SUA tertiles (p < 0.001 for trend). Subsequent subgroup analyses revealed that this positive association trend was only significant in female subjects. After adjusting for confounders, SUA is an independent predictor for the presence of AAC in overall participants and in women.

CONCLUSION

SUA is independently associated with AAC in middle-aged and elderly population, especially in the women. More research needs to determine whether lower thresholds for CVD risk screening for those middle-aged and elderly women with higher SUA tertile even without hyperuricemia are warranted.

Genetic risk scores for coronary artery disease and its traditional risk factors: Their role in the progression of coronary artery calcification-Results of the Heinz Nixdorf Recall study

Background

Atherosclerosis is the primary cause of coronary artery disease (CAD). Several observational studies have examined the association of traditional CAD risk factors with the progression of coronary artery calcification (CAC). In our study we investigated the effect of 11 different genetic risk scores associated with CAD and CAD risk factors on the progression of CAC.

Methods and results

We included 3097 participants from the Heinz Nixdorf Recall study who had available CAC measurements at baseline (CAC_b) and at the 5-year follow-up (CAC_5y). A weighted genetic risk score for CAD and each of the CAD-associated risk factors was constructed. Multiple regression analyses were applied to i) the difference between the observed log(CAC_5y+1) (log(obs)) and expected log(CAC_5y+1) (log(exp)) at the 5-year follow-up following the individual’s log(CAC_b+1) percentile for the time between scans (log(obs)–log(exp)) and ii) the 5-year CAC progression, defined as 5*(log(CAC_5y+1)–log(CAC_b+1))/time between the scans, adjusted for age, sex, and log(CAC_b+1) as well as for risk factors. The median percent deviation from the expected (CAC_5y+1) and the 5-year progression of (CAC+1) in our study were 0 (first quartile: Q1; third quartile: Q3: -0.32; 0.48) and 45.4% (0%; 171.0%) respectively. In the age-, sex- and log(CAC_b+1)-adjusted model, the per-standard deviation (SD) increase in CAD genetic risk score was associated with the percent deviation from the expected (CAC_5y+1) (9.7% (95% confidence interval: 5.2%; 14.5%), p = 1.6x10^-5) and the 5-year progression of CAC (7.1% (3.0%; 11.4%), p = 0.0005). The CAD genetic risk score explains an additional 0.6% of the observed phenotypic variance for “log(obs)–log(exp)” and 0.4% for 5-year progression of CAC. Additionally, the per-SD increase in the CAC genetic risk score was associated with the percent deviation from the expected (CAC_5y+1) (6.2% (1.9%; 10.8%, p = 0.005)) explaining an additional 0.2% of the observed phenotypic variance. However, the per-SD increase in the CAC genetic risk score was not associated with the 5-year progression of CAC (4.4% (0.4%; 8.5%), p = 0.03) after multiple testing. Adjusting for risk factors did not change the results. None of the other genetic risk scores showed an association with the percent deviation from the expected (CAC_5y+1) or with the 5-year progression of CAC.

Conclusions

The association of the CAC genetic risk score and the CAD genetic risk score provides evidence that genetic determinants for CAC and CAD influence the progression of CAC.

Endurance exercise training volume is not associated with progression of coronary artery calcification

BACKGROUND

Recent cross-sectional studies have suggested a dose-dependent relationship between lifelong exposure to physical activity and the burden of calcified coronary artery disease (CAD). No longitudinal studies have addressed this concern.

HYPOTHESIS

Exercise volume is associated with progression of coronary artery calcium (CAC), defined as ≥10 units increase in CAC score.

METHODS

Sixty-one recreational athletes who were assessed by coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) as part of the NEEDED 2013/14 study were re-assessed 4-5 years later, in 2018.

RESULTS

Subjects were 45.9 ± 9.6 years old at inclusion, and 46 (74%) were male. Between 2013 and 2018, the participants reported median 5 (range: 0-20, 25th-75th percentile: 4-6) hours of high-intensity exercise per week. None of the included subjects smoked during follow-up. At inclusion, 21 (33%) participants had coronary artery calcifications. On follow-up CCTA in 2018, 15 (25%) subjects had progressive coronary calcification (≥10 Agatston units increase in CAC). These subjects were older (53 ± 9 vs 44 ± 9 years old, P = .002) and had higher levels of low-density lipoprotein at baseline (3.5 (2.9-4.3) vs 2.9 (2.3-3.5) mmol/L, P = .031) as compared to subjects with stable condition. No relationship was found between hours of endurance training per week and progression of coronary artery calcification. In multiple regression analysis, age and baseline CAC were the only significant predictors of progressive CAC.

CONCLUSION

No relationship between exercise training volume and the progression of coronary artery calcification was found in this longitudinal study of middle-aged recreational athletes.

Use of Coronary Computed Tomography for Calcium Screening of Atherosclerosis

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Male-pattern baldness and incident coronary heart disease and risk factors in the Heinz Nixdorf Recall Study

Male-pattern baldness (MPB) is characterized by a progressive hair loss from the frontal and vertex scalp that affects about 80% of men at the age of 80 years. Epidemiological studies show positive associations between MPB and coronary heart disease (CHD) and CHD related risk factors such as blood pressure (BP), diabetes mellitus (DM) or elevated blood lipid levels. The results however vary with regard to the pattern of hair loss (i.e. moderate, severe, frontal or vertex). Further, no study has investigated for a shared genetic determinant between MPB and CHD as well as CHD related risk factors. Using the longitudinal data from the population-based Heinz Nixdorf Recall study we aimed to systematically investigate the association between MPB and incident CHD and CHD risk factors on (i) an epidemiological (N = 1,673 males) and (ii) a genetic (N = 1,357 males) level. The prevalence of any baldness in our study population was 88% (mean age ± SD: 64±7.5 years). Compared to men with ‘no baldness’, in men with any kind of baldness a slightly increased risk for CHD (Hazard ratio [95% confidence interval (95%CI)] = 1.2 [0.8; 1.9]), a slightly higher extend of coronary artery calcification (CAC) (Beta [95%CI] = 0.2 [-0.1; 0.6]), a moderately increased risk for DM (prevalence ratio [95%CI] = 1.4 [0.9; 2.0]) and higher body mass index (BMI) (Beta [95%CI] = 0.6 [0.00003; 1.2]) seem to be indicated in the adjusted model. In contrast, the MPB genetic risk score did not show any association with CHD or CHD risk factors. Taken together, the results of our study suggest a weak association between MPB and a few CHD risk factors (CAC, DM and BMI) but do not point to MPB as a strong surrogate measure for CHD and CHD risk factors in general.

Associations of metabolically healthy obesity with prevalence and progression of coronary artery calcification: Results from the Heinz Nixdorf Recall Cohort Study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

There is controversy on the potentially benign nature of metabolically healthy obesity (MHO), i.e., obese persons with few or no metabolic abnormalities. So far, associations between MHO and coronary artery calcification (CAC), a measure of subclinical atherosclerosis, have mainly been studied cross-sectionally in Asian populations. We assessed cross-sectional and longitudinal MHO CAC associations in a Caucasian population.

METHODS AND RESULTS

In the Heinz Nixdorf Recall Study, a population-based cohort study in Germany, CAC was assessed by electron-beam tomography at baseline and at 5-year follow-up. For cross-sectional and longitudinal analyses, we included 1585 participants free of coronary heart disease at baseline, with CAC measurements at baseline and at follow-up, and with either normal weight (BMI 18.5-24.9 kg/m²) or obesity (BMI ≥30.0 kg/m²) at baseline. We used four definitions of MHO. In our main analysis, we defined obese persons as metabolically healthy if they met ≤1 of the NCEP ATP III criteria for the definition of the metabolic syndrome - waist circumference was not taken into account because of collinearity with BMI. Persons with MHO had a higher prevalence of CAC than metabolically healthy normal weight (MHNW) persons (prevalence ratio = 1.59 (95% confidence interval 1.38-1.84) for the main analysis). Persons with MHO had slightly larger odds of CAC progression than persons with MHNW (odds ratios ranged from 1.17 (0.69-1.99) to 1.48 (1.02-2.13) depending on MHO definition and statistical approach).

CONCLUSION

Our analyses on MHO CAC associations add to the evidence that MHO is not a purely benign health condition.

Evaluation of Coronary Artery Calcium Progression in Asymptomatic Individuals with an Initial Score of Zero

Background and Objectives

Coronary artery calcium (CAC) scoring in the asymptomatic population can improve cardiovascular risk prediction. We aimed to assess CAC progression and the impact of coronary risk factors on the CAC progression rate in asymptomatic Korean individuals with a baseline CAC score of zero.

Methods

The study population was derived from the Korea Initiatives on Coronary Artery Calcification (KOICA) registry: a retrospective, single ethnicity, multicenter registry of asymptomatic individuals who underwent CAC scoring as a part of a health checkup. Individuals with at least two CAC scores and an initial score of zero were included. CAC progression was defined as [√CAC score (follow-up) − √CAC score (baseline)] ≥2.5. The 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk was calculated.

Results

Among 6,268 participants (mean age, 48.0±7.1 years; male, 80.5%), 719 (11.5%) experienced CAC progression during follow-up (median, 109 months; interquartile range, 78–208 months). The CAC progression rate was 0.3%, 1.9%, 4.3%, 8.6%, and 16.7% in years 1–5, respectively. The chance of CAC progression at 5 years was 13.1%, 22.0%, and 27.9% for individuals with a 10-year ASCVD risk of <5%, ≥5% but <7.5%, and ≥7.5%, respectively. A multivariable analysis revealed age, male sex, waist circumference, diabetes, and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol level as independently associated with annualized CAC progression (p<0.001, p=0.017, p=0.025, p=0.032, and p=0.003, respectively).

Conclusions

The probability of CAC progression is very low in Korean individuals with a CAC score of zero. However, the risk of CAC progression increases nonlinearly over time, and increases as the 10-year ASCVD risk increases.

Identifying Coronary Artery Calcification on Non-gated Computed Tomography Scans

Coronary artery calcification (CAC) provides an objective measure of coronary artery disease and can readily be identified on non-gated computed tomography (CT) scans with a high correlation with gated cardiac CT scans. This standardized protocol takes a step-wise approach to not only optimizing an image for the identification of calcification but also to distinguishing CAC from other common causes of calcification in the cardiac silhouette. Recognition of CAC on non-gated CT scans helps to identify a very powerful prognostic factor that can influence therapeutic interventions or downstream diagnostic testing without requiring a gated cardiac scan. These non-gated CT scans are often acquired as part of the routine care of the patient, and this data is readily available without another dose of ionizing radiation. This protocol allows for the precise and accurate extraction of this data for the purposes of retrospective data analysis in clinical research studies, but also in the clinical evaluation and management of patients.

Coronary Calcium Score and Cardiovascular Risk

Coronary artery calcium (CAC) is a highly specific feature of coronary atherosclerosis. On the basis of single-center and multicenter clinical and population-based studies with short-term and long-term outcomes data (up to 15-year follow-up), CAC scoring has emerged as a widely available, consistent, and reproducible means of assessing risk for major cardiovascular outcomes, especially useful in asymptomatic people for planning primary prevention interventions such as statins and aspirin. CAC testing in asymptomatic populations is cost effective across a broad range of baseline risk. This review summarizes evidence concerning CAC, including its pathobiology, modalities for detection, predictive role, use in prediction scoring algorithms, CAC progression, evidence that CAC changes the clinical approach to the patient and patient behavior, novel applications of CAC, future directions in scoring CAC scans, and new CAC guidelines.

External validity of a cardiovascular screening including a coronary artery calcium examination in middle-aged individuals from the general population

Background

Coronary artery calcium is important in cardiovascular risk stratification, but this knowledge is based on studies with a significant selection bias. This study aims to evaluate the external validity of a screening programme including coronary artery calcium examination, and the association between coronary artery calcium and cardiovascular events.

Design

Multi-centre population based study.

Methods

Randomly selected middle-aged men and women ( N = 1751) free of cardiovascular disease were invited to the examination during 2009–2010. Participation rate in the examination was 70%. Participants ( n = 1227) and non-participants ( n = 524) were compared regarding: cardiovascular medical treatment, Charlson comorbidity index and socioeconomic status (evaluated by cohabitation, gross income and education). Study endpoints were cardiovascular events and mortality.

Results

Non-participants had a significant higher comorbidity ( p = 0.003) and a lower socioeconomic status ( p < 0.0001), while cardiovascular medical treatment was alike. Over a median follow-up time of 6.5 years the cardiovascular event and mortality rates were equal (6.7% vs. 6.4%, p = 0.80 and 0.4% vs. 0.5%, p = 0.76, respectively). Adjusted hazard ratio was 0.90 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.63–1.37). Among participants, the extent of coronary artery calcium was significantly associated with increased risk of cardiovascular events (hazard ratio 1.92, 95% CI 1.03–3.54, hazard ratio 3.66, 95% CI 1.82–7.32, hazard ratio 6.51, 95% CI 3.17–13.36 for coronary artery calcium scores 1–99, 100–399, ≥400 AU, respectively).

Conclusions

Non-participants had a higher comorbidity index and a lower socioeconomic status, but the cardiovascular event and mortality rates were equal to those of participants. Thus, a screening programme including a coronary artery calcium examination had a high external validity regarding cardiovascular risk, but also a significant social imbalance.

Sleep characteristics and progression of coronary artery calcification: Results from the Heinz Nixdorf Recall cohort study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Sleep characteristics are associated with incident cardiovascular diseases (CVD), but there is a lack of studies on the association between sleep characteristics and incidence/progression of coronary artery calcification (CAC).

METHODS

In the Heinz Nixdorf Recall Study, a population-based cohort study in Germany, CAC was assessed by electron-beam tomography at baseline and at 5-year follow-up. In an analysis set of 3043 subjects (age at baseline 45-74 years; 47% men), we fitted logistic and linear regression models to assess associations between self-rated sleep characteristics (nocturnal and total sleep duration; napping; various sleep disorders) and CAC incidence/CAC progression. Progression was measured as 5-year progression factor, as categories of absolute CAC change, and additionally characterized as rapid or slow compared to an extrapolation of baseline CAC values.

RESULTS

We observed barely any association between sleep characteristics and CAC progression regardless of the chosen statistical approach; associations between sleep and CAC incidence were slightly larger, e.g., the geometric mean of the 5-year CAC progression factor was 6.8% (95% confidence interval: -9.5; 25.9) larger for ≤5 h, 2.9% (-7.3; 14.3) larger for 5.1-6.9 h and 7.1% (-2.4; 15.7) smaller for ≥7.5 h total sleep compared to 7- <7.5 h total sleep. For subjects with any regular sleep disorder, the geometric mean of the 5-year CAC progression was 3.5% (-4.7; 11.2) smaller compared to subjects without any regular sleep disorder.

CONCLUSIONS

In this German cohort study, sleep characteristics were barely associated with CAC progression.

Elevated serum uric acid predicts the development of moderate coronary artery calcification independent of conventional cardiovascular risk factors

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Hyperuricemia was frequently noted in subjects with a high risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). This study aimed to elucidate whether serum uric acid (SUA) is associated with development of moderate coronary artery calcification in generally healthy adults.

METHODS

A total of 9297 subjects underwent multidetector CT for the evaluation of CAC at least two times during their annual health examinations. Among them, 4461 participants without CVD history and who had no (scores 0) or minimal CAC (scores 1-10) in their first examination were enrolled. The association between SUA as a continuous and categorical variable and development of moderate coronary artery calcification (CAC score > 100) was assessed by Cox regression analysis. Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves were constructed to investigate the diagnostic efficacy of SUA.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 4.1 years, 131 incident cases of moderate calcification developed. Baseline SUA concentration was significantly higher in subjects with progression to moderate coronary artery calcification (6.6 ± 1.3 vs. 5.8 ± 1.3 mg/dL, p < 0.001). SUA as a continuous variable (per 1 mg/dL) and divided into quartiles was positively associated with a higher risk of development of moderate calcification after adjustment for conventional CVD risk factors. The addition of SUA to the conventional CVD risk factors improved the predictive power for development of moderate coronary artery calcification.

CONCLUSIONS

SUA was an independent predictor for development of moderate coronary artery calcification in subjects with no or minimal calcification.

Cardiac computed tomography in patients with symptomatic new-onset atrial fibrillation, rule-out acute coronary syndrome, but with intermediate pretest probability for coronary artery disease admitted to a chest pain unit

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) and coronary artery disease (CAD) may be encountered coincidently in a large portion of patients. However, data on coronary artery calcium burden in such patients are lacking. Thus, we sought to determine the value of cardiac computed tomography (CCT) in patients presenting with new-onset AF associated with an intermediate pretest probability for CAD admitted to a chest pain unit (CPU).

Methods

Calcium scores (CS) of 73 new-onset, symptomatic AF subjects without typical clinical, electrocardiographic, or laboratory signs of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) admitted to our CPU were analyzed. In addition, results from computed tomography angiography (CTA) were related to coronary angiography findings whenever available.

Results

Calcium scores of zero were found in 25%. Median Agatston score was 77 (interquartile range: 1–270) with gender- and territory-specific dispersal. CS scores above average were present in about 50%, high (> 400)-to-very high (> 1000) CS scores were found in 22%. Overall percentile ranking showed a relative accordance to the reference percentile distribution. Additional CTA was performed in 47%, revealing stenoses in 12%. Coronary angiography was performed in 22% and resulted in coronary intervention or surgical revascularization in 7%. On univariate analysis, CS > 50th percentile failed to serve as an independent determinant of significant stenosis during catheterization.

Conclusions

Within a CPU setting, relevant CAD was excluded or confirmed in almost 50%, the latter with a high proportion of coronary angiographies and subsequent coronary interventions, underlining the diagnostic value of CCT in symptomatic, non-ACS, new-onset AF patients when admitted to a CPU.

Evaluation of the impact of glycemic status on the progression of coronary artery calcification in asymptomatic individuals

BACKGROUND

Data on the influence of glycemic status on the progression of coronary calcification, an important marker for future adverse cardiovascular events, are limited.

METHODS

Data from the Korea Initiatives on Coronary Artery Calcification (KOICA) registry on 12,441 asymptomatic Korean adults (52 ± 9 years, 84.2% males) without previous history of coronary artery disease and stroke, who underwent serial coronary artery calcification (CAC) screening examinations, were included in this study. The median inter-scan period was 3.0 (2.0-4.8) years. All participants were categorized into three groups based on their glycemic status: normal (n = 6578), pre-diabetes (n = 4146), and diabetes (n = 1717). CAC progression was defined as a difference ≥ 2.5 between the square roots (√) of the baseline and follow-up CAC scores.

RESULTS

The incidence of CAC progression was significantly different between the three groups (normal, 26.3%; pre-diabetes, 30.9%; and diabetes, 46.9%; p < 0.001). In the univariate logistic analysis, the risk of CAC progression was higher in the pre-diabetes (odds ratio [OR] 1.253; 95% confidential interval [CI] 1.150-1.366) and diabetes (OR 2.471; 95% CI 2.215-2.758) groups than in the normal group (p < 0.001, both). In the multivariate logistic analysis, the risk of CAC progression was not significantly different between the normal and pre-diabetes groups but was significantly higher in the diabetes group than in the normal group.

CONCLUSIONS

In asymptomatic subjects, diabetes had an incremental impact on CAC progression; however, pre-diabetes did not increase the risk of CAC progression after adjusting for confounding factors.

Maintenance of Ideal Cardiovascular Health and Coronary Artery Calcium Progression in Low-Risk Men and Women in the Framingham Heart Study

BACKGROUND

Ideal cardiovascular health (CVH) is associated with a lower risk of cardiovascular disease and freedom from coronary artery calcium (CAC). Prospective data on the association between maintenance of optimal CVH and the progression of subclinical coronary atherosclerosis are limited. We assessed the influence of unfavorable versus favorable CVH on the incidence of CAC progression.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The study population consisted of 1119 FHS (Framingham Heart Study) participants who attended the serial FHS MDCT I and MDCT II study (Multi-Detector Computed Tomography) and had a zero Agatston CAC score at baseline. CVH status was defined using 6 CVH metrics from the American Heart Association definition. CAC progression was defined by an increase in Agatston CAC score to ≥3.4. Generalized estimating equations were applied to identify significant associations of CAC progression with both the baseline measurement of CVH and the longitudinal maintenance of CVH. After follow-up (mean, 6.1 years), we observed CAC progression in 191 participants (17.1%). Participants with unfavorable CVH at baseline had a greater risk of CAC progression (odds ratio, 2.43; 95% confidence interval, 1.40-4.23; P=0.0017). In addition, each unit decrease in ideal CVH metric was associated with an increase in CAC progression (odds ratio, 1.15; 95% confidence interval, 0.99-1.34; P=0.067), after adjustment for baseline ideal CVH metrics.

CONCLUSIONS

Significant associations between an unfavorable CVH profile and CAC progression support public health measures that seek to prevent cardiovascular disease by promoting favorable CVH profiles in persons free of clinical and subclinical cardiovascular disease.

Value of Progression of Coronary Artery Calcification for Risk Prediction of Coronary and Cardiovascular Events: Result of the HNR Study (Heinz Nixdorf Recall)

Supplemental Digital Content is available in the text.

Background:

Computed tomography (CT) allows estimation of coronary artery calcium (CAC) progression. We evaluated several progression algorithms in our unselected, population-based cohort for risk prediction of coronary and cardiovascular events.

Methods:

In 3281 participants (45–74 years of age), free from cardiovascular disease until the second visit, risk factors, and CTs at baseline (b) and after a mean of 5.1 years (5y) were measured. Hard coronary and cardiovascular events, and total cardiovascular events including revascularization, as well, were recorded during a follow-up time of 7.8±2.2 years after the second CT. The added predictive value of 10 CAC progression algorithms on top of risk factors including baseline CAC was evaluated by using survival analysis, C-statistics, net reclassification improvement, and integrated discrimination index. A subgroup analysis of risk in CAC categories was performed.

Results:

We observed 85 (2.6%) hard coronary, 161 (4.9%) hard cardiovascular, and 241 (7.3%) total cardiovascular events. Absolute CAC progression was higher with versus without subsequent coronary events (median, 115 [Q1–Q3, 23–360] versus 8 [0–83], P<0.0001; similar for hard/total cardiovascular events). Some progression algorithms added to the predictive value of baseline CT and risk assessment in terms of C-statistic or integrated discrimination index, especially for total cardiovascular events. However, CAC progression did not improve models including CAC_5y and 5-year risk factors. An excellent prognosis was found for 921 participants with double-zero CAC_b=CAC_5y=0 (10-year coronary and hard/total cardiovascular risk: 1.4%, 2.0%, and 2.8%), which was for participants with incident CAC 1.8%, 3.8%, and 6.6%, respectively. When CAC_b progressed from 1 to 399 to CAC_5y≥400, coronary and total cardiovascular risk were nearly 2-fold in comparison with subjects who remained below CAC_5y=400. Participants with CAC_b≥400 had high rates of hard coronary and hard/total cardiovascular events (10-year risk: 12.0%, 13.5%, and 30.9%, respectively).

Conclusions:

CAC progression is associated with coronary and cardiovascular event rates, but adds only weakly to risk prediction. What counts is the most recent CAC value and risk factor assessment. Therefore, a repeat scan >5 years after the first scan may be of additional value, except when a double-zero CT scan is present or when the subjects are already at high risk.

Association of dietary patterns with five-year degree and progression of coronary artery calcification in the Heinz Nixdorf Recall study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

As a modifiable lifestyle factor, diet is hypothesized to play an important role in the progression of atherosclerosis. The aim of this study was to explore associations of comprehensive dietary patterns derived by cluster analysis with degree and progression of coronary artery calcification (CAC) over five years of follow-up.

METHODS AND RESULTS

In the population-based Heinz Nixdorf Recall study, 3718 participants (45-75 years; 47.6% men) without coronary heart disease completed a food frequency questionnaire at baseline. Five distinct dietary patterns were identified using cluster analysis: "Health-conscious", "Traditional German/Less alcohol", "Mediterranean-like", "Western" and "Animal fat/Alcohol" (used as reference). CAC was measured using electron-beam computed tomography at baseline and five years later. CAC after five years was predicted based on sex- and age-specific baseline percentiles. After comparing observed and predicted CAC Scores, CAC progression was classified as slow, expected, or rapid. Compared to "Animal fat/Alcohol" diet, a "Mediterranean-like" diet was associated with a relative risk (RR) for a rapid CAC progression in both sexes (men: 0.61; 95%-confidence interval [95%-CI]: 0.41; 0.90; women: 0.59; 95%-CI: 0.45; 0.78). Furthermore, reduced RRs were observed in women with a "Health-conscious" and a "Traditional German/Less alcohol" diet (0.63; 95%-CI: 0.47; 0.84, respectively 0.69; 95%-CI: 0.52; 0.90). No association was observed for a "Western" diet for both sexes. Similar results were revealed for degree of CAC.

CONCLUSION

The study results support the hypothesis that a "Mediterranean-like" diet is associated with a lower CAC-progression and lower degree of CAC in men and women.

Accelerated progression of coronary artery calcification in hypertension but also prehypertension

OBJECTIVE

To determine the role of hypertension for coronary artery calcification (CAC) progression.

METHODS

The population-based Heinz Nixdorf Recall study recruited 4814 participants from a German urban population in 2000-2003. CAC was measured using electron-beam computed tomography at baseline and after 5 years. The present analyses refer to 3481 participants with repeat scan (coronary heart disease until 5 years excluded, age at baseline 45-74 years, and 53.1% women). Blood pressure (BP), Framingham risk factors, and antihypertensive medication were recorded at baseline. BP was staged according to Joint National Committee 7 guidelines. Participants under antihypertensive medication were classified as stage 2. CAC at 5 years was predicted from baseline using our dedicated, publicly available algorithm. CAC progression was accordingly classified as slow, expected, or rapid.

RESULTS

Normotension was found in 20.5%, prehypertension in 27.2%, stage 1 hypertension in 15.8%, and stage 2 (ST2) in 36.5%. The frequency of rapid progression increases with BP stage (normotension: 16.7% to ST2: 21.1%, P = 0.004). Risk factor adjusted relative risk [RR (95% confidence interval), reference: normotension] of rapid progression was for prehypertension: 1.22 (0.98;1.51), stage 1: 1.29 (1.01;1.65), and ST2: 1.45 (1.17;1.79). Risk factor adjusted measures of CAC progression per 10 mmHg SBP were already elevated in women with BP below 140/90 mmHg: CAC onset, RR = 1.22 (1.07;1.40), rapid progression, RR = 1.17 (1.05;1.31), 5-year CAC progression, 6.7% (0.5;13.4). In men below 140/90 mmHg, only RR of rapid progression was considerably increased [RR = 1.11 (0.96;1.29)].

CONCLUSION

CAC progression, a sign of ongoing target organ damage, is already accelerated in prehypertensive patients, a substantial proportion of our urban population.

Bridging the gap for lipid lowering therapy: plaque regression, coronary computed tomographic angiography, and imaging-guided personalized medicine

INTRODUCTION

Lipid-lowering therapy effectively decreases cardiovascular risk on a population level, but it remains difficult to identify an individual patient's personal risk reduction while following guideline directed medical therapy, leading to overtreatment in some patients and cardiovascular events in others. Recent improvements in cardiac CT technology provide the ability to directly assess an individual's atherosclerotic disease burden, which has the potential to personalize risk assessment for lipid-lowering therapy. Areas covered: We review the current unmet need in identifying patients at elevated residual risk despite guideline directed medical therapy, the evidence behind plaque regression as a potential marker of therapeutic response, and highlight state-of-the-art advances in coronary computed tomographic angiography (CCTA) for measurement of quantitative and qualitative changes in coronary atherosclerosis over time. Literature search was performed using PubMed and Google Scholar for literature relevant to statin therapy and residual risk, coronary plaque regression measurement, and CCTA assessment of quantitative and qualitative change in coronary atherosclerosis. Expert commentary: We discuss the potential ability of CCTA to guide lipid-lowering therapy as a bridge between population and personalized medicine in the future, as well as the potential barriers to its use.

Aortic Calcification Onset and Progression: Association With the Development of Coronary Atherosclerosis

Background

Thoracic aortic calcification (TAC) and coronary artery calcification (CAC) are markers of subclinical atherosclerosis and are associated with incident major cardiovascular events. We investigated major determinants for incidence and progression of TAC and the association between TAC and CAC incidence and progression.

Methods and Results

In a population‐based cohort study, 3270 participants (aged 45–74 years, 53.1% women) received cardiac computed tomography at baseline and after a mean follow‐up of 5.1±0.3 years for quantification of calcification of the ascending (ATAC) and descending thoracic aorta (DTAC) and CAC. Multivariable relative risk regression analysis was used to investigate associations of cardiovascular risk factors with incident TAC, of baseline TAC with incident CAC, and of baseline CAC with incident TAC. Of 1243 participants with baseline TAC of 0, 517 (41.6%) revealed incident TAC after 5 years. Incidence of descending TAC was higher (34.5%) than ascending TAC (23.3%). Incident TAC after 5 years was associated with age (relative risk 1.26 [95% CI 1.21–1.33], per 5 years), blood pressure (relative risk 1.06 [95% CI 1.03–1.10], per 10 mm Hg), low‐density lipoprotein cholesterol (relative risk 1.08 [95% CI 1.04–1.12], per 20 mg/dL), and smoking (relative risk 1.28 [95% CI 1.07–1.53]). Among the 1185 participants without CAC at baseline, the risk of developing CAC was 28.3% when baseline TAC was present compared with 22.2% among those without baseline TAC (excess risk 6.1% [95% CI 1.2–11.0%]). The point estimate of excess risk for incident CAC was higher for ascending TAC (10.8% [95% CI 4.8–16.7%]) and low for descending TAC (1.8% [95% CI −3.2% to 6.7%]). Excess risk for developing ascending and descending TAC with present baseline CAC was 16.4% (95% CI 12.7–20.0%) and 15.6% (95% CI 10.8–20.4%), respectively.

Conclusion

TAC and CAC share similar major determinants for incident calcification. Participants with TAC, especially ascending TAC, are at elevated risk for development of CAC.

Imaging Techniques for the Assessment of Coronary Arteries in Diabetic Patients Undergoing PCI with Bioresorbable Vascular Scaffolds

Patients who suffer from diabetes mellitus and present coronary artery disease are at a higher risk of cardiovascular events. The coronary arteries of diabetic patients present a diffuse process of atherosclerosis with frequent distal involvement, being prone to acute cardiovascular events. Diabetics present an increased rate of developing coronary artery remodeling, negative remodeling being representative for this class of patients; this process is characterized by vessel shrinkage and an increased rate of coronary calcium accumulation that is a predictor for cardiovascular risk. Currently, it is desired to improve the treatment of diabetic patients with bioresorbable vascular scaffolds (BVS), because of their reduced risk of restenosis and the ability to restore coronary function, including vasomotion, adaptive shear stress, and expansive remodeling. Optical coherence tomography, intravascular ultrasound and multi-slice computed tomography are imaging techniques used for a high accuracy of diagnosis in coronary artery disease. This manuscript is a review that aims to highlight imaging techniques used for evaluating the functional impact of coronary lesions in diabetic patients who underwent coronary PCI with bioresorbable scaffolds and to describe the functional markers that show the specificity for predicting coronary artery disease.

Hyperphosphatemia and hs-CRP Initiate the Coronary Artery Calcification in Peritoneal Dialysis Patients

Background. Coronary artery calcification (CAC) contributes to high risk of cardiocerebrovascular diseases in dialysis patients. However, the risk factors for CAC initiation in peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients are not known clearly. Methods. Adult patients with baseline CaCS = 0 and who were followed up for at least 3 years or until the conversion from absent to any measurable CAC detected were included in this observational cohort study. Binary logistic regression was performed to identify the risk factors for CAC initiation in PD patients. Results. 70 patients recruited to our study were split into a noninitiation group (n = 37) and an initiation group (n = 33) according to the conversion of any measurable CAC during their follow-up or not. In univariate analysis, systolic blood pressure, serum phosphorus, fibrinogen, hs-CRP, serum creatinine, and triglycerides were positively associated with the initiation of CAC, while the high density lipoprotein and nPCR did the opposite function. Multivariate analysis revealed that hyperphosphatemia and hs-CRP were the independent risk factors for CAC initiation after adjustments. Conclusions. Hyperphosphatemia and hs-CRP were the independent risk factors for CAC initiation in PD patients. These results suggested potential clinical strategies to prevent the initiation of CAC in PD patients.