Fever in the Emergency Department Predicts Survival of Patients With Severe Sepsis and Septic Shock Admitted to the ICU

Door-to-antibiotic time and mortality in patients with sepsis: Systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate whether the timing of initial antibiotic administration in patients with sepsis in hospital affects mortality.

METHODS

This systematic review and meta-analysis included studies from inception up to 19 May 2022. Interventional and observational studies including adult human patients with suspected or confirmed sepsis and reported time of antibiotic administration with mortality were included. Data were extracted by two independent reviewers. Summary estimates were calculated by using random-effects model. The primary outcome was mortality.

RESULTS

We included 42 studies comprising 190,896 patients with sepsis. Pooled data showed that the OR for patient mortality who received antibiotics ≤1 hr was 0.83 (95 %CI: 0.67 to 1.04) when compared with patients who received antibiotics >1hr. Significant reductions in the risk of death in patients with earlier antibiotic administration were observed in patients ≤3 hrs versus >3 hrs (OR: 0.80, 95 %CI: 0.68 to 0.94) and ≤6 hrs vs 6 hrs (OR: 0.57, 95 %CI: 0.39 to 0.82).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings show an improvement in mortality in sepsis patients with early administration of antibiotics at <3 and <6 hrs. Thus, these results suggest that antibiotics should be administered within 3 hrs of sepsis recognition or ED arrival regardless of the presence or absence of shock.

Hypothermia and Influence of Rewarming Rates on Survival Among Patients Admitted to Intensive Care with Bloodstream Infection: A Multicenter Cohort Study

Although critically ill patients with bloodstream infections (BSIs) who present with hypothermia are at the highest risk for death, it is not known how rewarming rates may influence the outcomes. The objective of this study was to identify the occurrence and determinants of hypothermia among patients admitted to intensive care units (ICUs) with BSI and assess how the rate of temperature correction may influence 90-day all-cause case-fatality. A cohort of 3951 ICU admissions associated with BSI was assembled. The lowest temperature measured within the first 24 hours of admission was identified, and among those who were hypothermic (<36°C), the rewarming rate [(time difference between lowest and subsequent first temperature ≥36°C) divided by hypothermia severity (difference between lowest measured and 36°C)] was determined. Within the first 24 hours of admission to the ICU, 329 (8.4%) and 897 (22.7%) subjects had the lowest temperature measurements ranging <34.9°C and 35-35.9°C, respectively. Patients with lower temperatures were more likely to be admitted to tertiary care ICUs, have more comorbid illnesses, have greater severity of illness, and have a higher need for organ-supportive therapies. The 90-day all-cause case-fatality rate was 22.9% overall and was 45.3%, 24.8%, and 19.6% for those with the lowest 24 hours temperatures of <35°C, 35-35.9°C, and ≥36°C, respectively (p < 0.001). Among 1133 hypothermic patients with documented temperatures corrected to the normal range while admitted to the ICU, the median rate of temperature increase was 0.24 (interquartile range, 0.13-0.45)oC/hour. After controlling for the severity of illness and comorbidity, a faster rewarming rate was associated with significantly lower 90-day case-fatality. Hypothermia is a significant risk factor associated with death among critically ill patients with BSI that faster rates of rewarming may modify.

Non-conventional immunomodulation in the management of sepsis

Sepsis remains a critical global health issue, demanding novel therapeutic strategies. Traditional immunomodulation treatments such as corticosteroids, specific modifiers of cytokines, complement or coagulation, growth factors or immunoglobulins, have so far fallen short. Meanwhile the number of studies investigating non-conventional immunomodulatory strategies is expanding. This review provides an overview of adjunctive treatments with herbal-based medicine, immunonutrition, vasopressors, sedative treatments and targeted temperature management, used to modulate the immune response in patients with sepsis. Herbal-based medicine, notably within traditional Chinese medicine, shows promise. Xuebijing injection and Shenfu injection exhibit anti-inflammatory and immune-modulatory effects, and the potential to lower 28-day mortality in sepsis. Selenium supplementation has been reported to reduce the occurrence of ventilator-associated pneumonia among sepsis patients, but study results are conflicting. Likewise, the immune-suppressive effects of omega-3 fatty acids have been associated with improved clinical outcomes in sepsis. The immunomodulating properties of supportive treatments also gain interest. Vasopressors like norepinephrine exhibit dual dosage-dependent roles, potentially promoting both pro- and anti-inflammatory effects. Dexmedetomidine, a sedative, demonstrates anti-inflammatory properties, reducing sepsis mortality rates in some studies. Temperature management, particularly maintaining higher body temperature, has also been associated with improved outcomes in small scale human trials. In conclusion, emerging non-conventional immunomodulatory approaches, including herbal medicine, immunonutrition, and targeted supportive therapies, hold potential for sepsis treatment, but their possible implementation into everyday clinical practice necessitates further research and stringent clinical validation in different settings.

Systematic Literature Review of the Association of Fever and Elevated Temperature with Outcomes in Critically Ill Adult Patients

Although most commonly associated with infection, elevated temperature and fever also occur in a variety of critically ill populations. Prior studies have suggested that fever and elevated temperature may be detrimental to critically ill patients and can lead to poor outcomes, but the evidence surrounding the association of fever with outcomes is rapidly evolving. To broadly assess potential associations of elevated temperature and fever with outcomes in critically ill adult patients, we performed a systematic literature review focusing on traumatic brain injury, stroke (ischemic and hemorrhagic), cardiac arrest, sepsis, and general intensive care unit (ICU) patients. Searches were conducted in Embase® and PubMed® from 2016 to 2021, following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines, including dual-screening of abstracts, full texts, and extracted data. In total, 60 studies assessing traumatic brain injury and stroke (24), cardiac arrest (8), sepsis (22), and general ICU (6) patients were included. Mortality, functional, or neurological status and length of stay were the most frequently reported outcomes. Elevated temperature and fever were associated with poor clinical outcomes in patients with traumatic brain injury, stroke, and cardiac arrest but not in patients with sepsis. Although a causal relationship between elevated temperature and poor outcomes cannot be definitively established, the association observed in this systematic literature review supports the concept that management of elevated temperature may factor in avoidance of detrimental outcomes in multiple critically ill populations. The analysis also highlights gaps in our understanding of fever and elevated temperature in critically ill adult patients.

Association between acetaminophen administration and clinical outcomes in patients with sepsis admitted to the ICU: a retrospective cohort study

Background

Sepsis, affecting over 30 million people worldwide each year, is a key mortality risk factor in critically ill patients. There are significant regional discrepancies in its impact. Acetaminophen, a common over-the-counter drug, is often administered to control fever in suspected infection cases in intensive care units (ICUs). It is considered generally safe when used at therapeutic levels. Despite its widespread use, there's inconsistent research regarding its efficacy in sepsis management, which creates uncertainties for ICU doctors about its possible advantages or harm. To address this, we undertook a retrospective cohort study utilizing the MIMIC-IV database to examine the correlation between acetaminophen use and clinical outcomes in septic patients admitted to the ICU.

Methods

We gathered pertinent data on sepsis patients from the MIMIC-IV database. We used propensity score matching (PSM) to pair acetaminophen-treated patients with those who were not treated. We then used Cox Proportional Hazards models to examine the relationships between acetaminophen use and factors such as in-hospital mortality, 30-day mortality, hospital stay duration, and ICU stay length.

Results

The data analysis involved 22,633 sepsis patients. Post PSM, a total of 15,843 patients were matched; each patient not receiving acetaminophen treatment was paired with two patients who received it. There was a correlation between acetaminophen and a lower in-hospital mortality rate (HR 0.443; 95% CI 0.371-0.530; p < 0.001) along with 30-day mortality rate (HR 0.497; 95% CI 0.424-0.583; p < 0.001). Additionally, it correlated with a decrease in the duration of hospitalization [8.4 (5.0, 14.8) vs. 9.0 (5.1, 16.0), p < 0.001] and a shorter ICU stay [2.8 (1.5, 6.0) vs. 3.1 (1.7, 6.5); p < 0.05].

Conclusion

The use of acetaminophen may lower short-term mortality in critically ill patients with sepsis. To confirm this correlation, future research should involve multicenter randomized controlled trials.

Current State of Knowledge on the Definition, Pathophysiology, Etiology, Outcomes, and Management of Fever in the Intensive Care Unit

Fever-an elevated body temperature-is a prominent feature of a wide range of disease conditions and is a common finding in intensive care, affecting up to 70% of patients in the intensive care unit (ICU). The causes of fever in the ICU are multifactorial, and it can be due to a number of infective and noninfective etiologies. The production of fever represents a complex physiological, adaptive host response that is beneficial for host defense and survival but can be maladaptive and harmful if left unabated. Despite any cause, fever is associated with a wide range of cellular, local, and systemic effects, including multiorgan dysfunction, systemic inflammation, poor neurological recovery, and an increased risk of mortality. This narrative review presents the current state-of-the-art knowledge on the definition, pathophysiology, etiology, and outcomes of fever in the ICU and highlights evidence-based findings regarding the management of fever in the intensive care setting.

The reverse shock index multiplied by the Glasgow Coma Scale score can predict the need for initial resuscitation in patients suspected of sepsis

For patients suspected of sepsis, early recognition of the need for initial resuscitation is key in management. This study evaluated the ability of a modified shock index - the reverse shock index multiplied by the Glasgow Coma Scale score (rSIG) - to predict the need for initial resuscitation in patients with sepsis. This retrospective study involved adults with infection who were admitted to a Japanese tertiary care hospital from an emergency department between January and November 2020. The rSIG, modified Early Warning Score (MEWS), quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA), and original shock index (SI) values were recorded using initial vital signs. The primary outcome was the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for the composite outcome consisting of vasopressor use, mechanical ventilation, and 72-h mortality. Secondary outcomes were the AUROCs for each component of the primary outcome and 28-day mortality. As a result, the primary outcome was met by 67 of the 724 patients (9%). The AUROC was significantly higher for the rSIG than for the other tools (rSIG 0.84 [0.78 - 0.88]; MEWS 0.78 [0.71 - 0.84]; qSOFA 0.72 [0.65 - 0.79]; SI 0.80 [0.74 - 0.85]). Compared with MEWS and qSOFA, the rSIG also had a higher AUROC for vasopressor use and mechanical ventilation, but not for 72-h mortality or in-hospital mortality. The rSIG could be a simple and reliable predictor of the need for initial resuscitation in patients suspected of sepsis.

Clinical Sepsis Phenotypes in Critically Ill Patients

Sepsis, defined as the life-threatening dysregulated host response to an infection leading to organ dysfunction, is considered as one of the leading causes of mortality worldwide, especially in intensive care units (ICU). Moreover, sepsis remains an enigmatic clinical syndrome, with complex pathophysiology incompletely understood and a great heterogeneity both in terms of clinical expression, patient response to currently available therapeutic interventions and outcomes. This heterogeneity proves to be a major obstacle in our quest to deliver improved treatment in septic critical care patients; thus, identification of clinical phenotypes is absolutely necessary. Although this might be seen as an extremely difficult task, nowadays, artificial intelligence and machine learning techniques can be recruited to quantify similarities between individuals within sepsis population and differentiate them into distinct phenotypes regarding not only temperature, hemodynamics or type of organ dysfunction, but also fluid status/responsiveness, trajectories in ICU and outcome. Hopefully, we will eventually manage to determine both the subgroup of septic patients that will benefit from a therapeutic intervention and the correct timing of applying the intervention during the disease process.

Temperature Monitoring and Thermal Support in Exotic Animal Critical Care

Body temperature measurement is one of the most important parameters to assess the health of a patient. In small exotic mammals, rectal temperature is obtained via a similar process as in dogs or cats, with a few specific differences. In reptiles and birds, measurement of body temperature can provide important information, albeit its accuracy may be limited. In most animals, temperature should be taken at the beginning of the examination to not artificially elevate the temperature during the physical exam. Heat support is typically indicated any time a patient's temperature is below the accepted core temperature range and cooling may be indicated whenever a patient's temperature exceeds a critical point.

Nausea Predicts Bacteremia in Immunocompetent Patients with Pneumococcal Community-Acquired Pneumonia: Secondary Data Analysis from a Prospective Cohort

BACKGROUND

In pneumococcal community-acquired pneumonia (CAP), bacteremia is associated with increased mortality, but initial clinical severity scores frequently fail to identify bacteremic patients at risk. We have previously shown that gastrointestinal symptoms are common among patients admitted to the hospital with pneumococcal bacteremia. The aim of this study was to examine gastrointestinal symptoms and inflammatory responses in bacteremic and non-bacteremic pneumococcal CAP in a prospective cohort of immunocompromised and immunocompetent patients hospitalized with CAP.

METHODS

Logistic regression analysis was used to estimate the predictive value of gastrointestinal symptoms for pneumococcal bacteremia in patients with CAP. The Mann-Whitney test was used to compare inflammatory responses in patients with bacteremic vs. non-bacteremic pneumococcal CAP.

RESULTS

Eighty-one patients with pneumococcal CAP were included, of whom 21 (26%) had bacteremia. Immunocompetent patients with pneumococcal CAP had an odds ratio of 16.5 (95% CI 3.0-90.9, p = 0.001) for bacteremia if nausea was present, whereas no such association was found in the immunocompromised patients (OR 0.22, 95% CI 0.02-2.05, p = 0.18). The serum levels of C-reactive protein, procalcitonin and interleukin 6 were significantly higher in the patients with bacteremic pneumococcal CAP compared to non-bacteremic pneumococcal CAP patients (p < 0.001, p = 0.005, and p = 0.019, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

In immunocompetent patients hospitalized with pneumococcal CAP, nausea may be a predictor of bacteremia. Bacteremic pneumococcal CAP patients display an increased inflammatory response compared to non-bacteremic pneumococcal CAP patients.

An investigation of temperature and fever burdens in patients with sepsis admitted from the emergency department to the hospital

Aim

We sought to collect granular data on temperature burden to further explore existing conflicting information on the relationship between temperature alterations and outcomes in patients with sepsis requiring hospital admission.

Methods

This was a prospective cohort study that enrolled a convenience sample of patients with sepsis or septic shock admitted to the hospital from the emergency department (ED). A "unit of temperature burden (UTB)" was defined as >1°C (1.8°F) above or below 37°C (98.6°F) for 1 min. Fever burden was defined as the number of UTBs >38°C (100.4°F). The primary objective was to calculate the fever burden in patients with sepsis during their ED stay. This was analyzed for patients who present to triage febrile or hypothermic and also for those who developed temperature abnormalities during their ED stay. The secondary objectives were correlating fever and hypothermia burden with in-hospital mortality, Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome (SIRS) criteria, and the quick Sequential (Sepsis-Associated) Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) score and identification of patients who may benefit from early implementation of targeted temperature management.

Results

A total of 256 patients met the inclusion criteria. The mean age of patients was 60.1 ± 18.4 years; 46% were female and 29.6% were black. The median (interquartile range [IQR]) fever burden for the fever in triage cohort (n = 99) was 364.6 (174.3-716.8) UTB and for the no fever in triage cohort (n = 157) was 179.3 (80.9-374.0) UTB (p = 0.005). The two groups had similar in-hospital mortality (6.1 vs 8.3%; p = 0.5). The median fever burden for the fever anytime cohort was 303.8 (IQR 138.8-607.9) UTB and they had lower mortality than the no fever anytime cohort (4.7% vs 11.2%; p = 0.052). Patients with fever at triage had higher mean SIRS criteria than those without (2.8 vs 2.0; p < 0.001) while qSOFA points were similar (p = 0.199). A total of 27 patients had hypothermia during their ED stay and these patients were older with higher mean SIRS criteria.

Conclusions

Patients with sepsis and septic shock have a significant temperature burden in the ED. When comparing patients who had fever at any time during their ED stay with those who never had a fever, a trend toward an inverse relationship between fever burden and mortality was found.

Presentation of the septic patient to the emergency department with respect to age and sex - a retrospective cross-sectional study

OBJECTIVE

It is challenging to identify sepsis in the emergency department, in part due to the non-specific presentation of septic patients. Current clinical sepsis screening tools rely on vital signs but many patients present with near normal vital signs and are therefore not identified as septic. This suggests that variables, e.g. signs and symptoms, need to be included to improve sepsis detection in the emergency department. Our hypothesis was that the presentation of sepsis differs based age and sex. The potential differences in presentation could be used to apply to future sepsis screening tools. The aim was to analyze the prevalence of keywords reflecting the presentation of septic patients in the emergency department in relation to age and sex.

METHOD

Retrospective cross-sectional study. Keywords reflecting sepsis presentation to the emergency department were quantified and compared between age categories and the sex. 479 patients admitted to the emergency department of Södersjukhuset, Stockholm during 2013 and discharged with an ICD-10 code consistent with sepsis were included. We adjusted for multiple comparisons by applying Bonferroni-adjusted significance levels for all comparisons.

RESULT

"Pain" and "risk factors for sepsis" were significantly more common among patients younger than 65 years as compared with those 75 years and older: (n = 87/137; 63.5% vs n = 99/240; 41.3%, P-value < 0.000) and (n = 74/137; 54.0% vs 55/240; 22.9%, P-value < 0.000) respectively. "Risk factors for sepsis" was also significantly more common among patients between 65 and 74 years as compared with those 75 years and older: (n = 43/102; 42.2% vs 55/240; 22.9%, P-value < 0.000). "Pain" and "gastrointestinal symptoms" were significantly more common among women as compared with men: (n = 128/224; 57.1% vs n = 102/255; 40.0%, P-value < 0.000) and (n = 82/244; 36.6% vs n = 55/255; 21.6%, P-value < 0.000) respectively.

CONCLUSION

The keywords "pain" and "risk factors for sepsis" were more common among younger patients and "pain" and "gastrointestinal symptoms" were more common among women. However, most keywords had a similar prevalence irrespective of age and sex. The results could potentially be used to augment sepsis screening tools or clinical decision tools.

Machine Learning Model Development and Validation for Predicting Outcome in Stage 4 Solid Cancer Patients with Septic Shock Visiting the Emergency Department: A Multi-Center, Prospective Cohort Study

A reliable prognostic score for minimizing futile treatments in advanced cancer patients with septic shock is rare. A machine learning (ML) model to classify the risk of advanced cancer patients with septic shock is proposed and compared with the existing scoring systems. A multi-center, retrospective, observational study of the septic shock registry in patients with stage 4 cancer was divided into a training set and a test set in a 7:3 ratio. The primary outcome was 28-day mortality. The best ML model was determined using a stratified 10-fold cross-validation in the training set. A total of 897 patients were included, and the 28-day mortality was 26.4%. The best ML model in the training set was balanced random forest (BRF), with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.821 to predict 28-day mortality. The AUC of the BRF to predict the 28-day mortality in the test set was 0.859. The AUC of the BRF was significantly higher than those of the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score and the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score (both p < 0.001). The ML model outperformed the existing scores for predicting 28-day mortality in stage 4 cancer patients with septic shock. However, further studies are needed to improve the prediction algorithm and to validate it in various countries. This model might support clinicians in real-time to adopt appropriate levels of care.

Association between variables measured in the ambulance and in-hospital mortality among adult patients with and without infection: a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Patients presenting with infection to the ambulance are common, but risk factors for poor outcome are not known. The primary aim of the current study was to study the association between variables measured in the ambulance and mortality among adult patients with and without infection. The secondary aim was to study the association between these variables and mortality in a subgroup of patients who developed sepsis within 36 h.

METHODS

Prospective cohort study of 553 ambulance patients with, and 318 patients without infection, performed in Stockholm during 2017-2018. The association between 21 variables (8 keywords related to medical history, 6 vital signs, 4 blood tests, and age, gender, comorbidity) and in-hospital mortality was analysed using logistic regression.

RESULTS

Among patients with infection, inability of the patient to answer questions relating to certain symptoms such as pain and gastrointestinal symptoms was significantly associated with mortality in univariable analysis, in addition to oxygen saturation < 94%, heart rate > 110 /min, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) < 15, soluble urokinase Plasminogen Activator Receptor (suPAR) 4.0-7.9 ng/mL, suPAR ≥ 8.0 ng/mL and a Charlson comorbidity score ≥ 5. suPAR ≥ 8.0 ng/mL remained significant in multivariable analysis (OR 25.4; 95% CI, 3.2-199.8). Among patients without infection, suPAR ≥ 8.0 ng/mL and a Charlson comorbidity score ≥ 5 were significantly associated with mortality in univariable analysis, while suPAR ≥ 8.0 ng/mL remained significant in multivariable analysis (OR 56.1; 95% CI, 4.5-700.0). Among patients who developed sepsis, inability to answer questions relating to pain remained significant in multivariable analysis (OR 13.2; 95% CI, 2.2-78.9), in addition to suPAR ≥ 8.0 ng/mL (OR 16.1; 95% CI, 2.0-128.6).

CONCLUSIONS

suPAR ≥ 8.0 ng/mL was associated with mortality in patients presenting to the ambulance both with and without infection and in those who developed sepsis. Furthermore, the inability of the ambulance patient with an infection to answer questions relating to specific symptoms was associated with a surprisingly high mortality. These results suggest that suPAR and medical history are valuable tools with which to identify patients at risk of poor outcome in the ambulance and could potentially signal the need of enhanced attention.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03249597. Registered 15 August 2017-Retrospectively registered, https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT03249597 .

Therapeutic Hyperthermia Is Associated With Improved Survival in Afebrile Critically Ill Patients With Sepsis: A Pilot Randomized Trial

OBJECTIVES

To test the hypothesis that forced-air warming of critically ill afebrile sepsis patients improves immune function compared to standard temperature management.

DESIGN

Single-center, prospective, open-label, randomized controlled trial.

SETTING

One thousand two hundred-bed academic medical center.

PATIENTS

Eligible patients were mechanically ventilated septic adults with: 1) a diagnosis of sepsis within 48 hours of enrollment; 2) anticipated need for mechanical ventilation of greater than 48 hours; and 3) a maximum temperature less than 38.3°C within the 24 hours prior to enrollment. Primary exclusion criteria included: immunologic diseases, immune-suppressing medications, and any existing condition sensitive to therapeutic hyperthermia (e.g., brain injury). The primary outcome was monocyte human leukocyte antigen (HLA)-DR expression, with secondary outcomes of CD3/CD28-induced interferon gamma (IFN-γ) production, mortality, and 28-day hospital-free days.

INTERVENTIONS

External warming using a forced-air warming blanket for 48 hours, with a goal temperature 1.5°C above the lowest temperature documented in the previous 24 hours.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

We enrolled 56 participants in the study. No differences were observed between the groups in HLA-DR expression (692 vs 2,002; p = 0.396) or IFN-γ production (31 vs 69; p = 0.678). Participants allocated to external warming had lower 28-day mortality (18% vs 43%; absolute risk reduction, 25%; 95% CI, 2-48%) and more 28-day hospital-free days (difference, 2.6 d; 95% CI, 0-11.6).

CONCLUSIONS

Participants randomized to external forced-air warming did not have a difference in HLA-DR expression or IFN-γ production. In this pilot study, however, 28-day mortality was lower in the intervention group. Future research should seek to better elucidate the impact of temperature modulation on immune and nonimmune organ failure pathways in sepsis.

Septic patients without obvious signs of infection at baseline are more likely to die in the ICU

Objective

Early identification of sepsis is mandatory. However, clinical presentation is sometimes misleading given the lack of infection signs. The objective of the study was to evaluate the impact on the 28-day mortality of the so-called “vague” presentation of sepsis.

Design

Single centre retrospective observational study.

Setting

One teaching hospital Intensive Care Unit.

Subjects

All the patients who presented at the Emergency Department (ED) and were thereafter admitted to the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) with a final diagnosis of sepsis were included in this retrospective observational three-year study. They were classified as having exhibited either “vague” or explicit presentation at the ED according to previously suggested criteria. Baseline characteristics, infection main features and sepsis management were compared. The impact of a vague presentation on 28-day mortality was then evaluated.

Interventions

None.

Measurements and main results

Among the 348 included patients, 103 (29.6%) had a vague sepsis presentation. Underlying chronic diseases were more likely in those patients [e.g., peripheral arterial occlusive disease: adjusted odd ratio (aOR) = 2.01, (1.08–3.77) 95% confidence interval (CI); p = 0.028], but organ failure was less likely at the ED [SOFA score value: 4.7 (3.2) vs. 5.2 (3.1), p = 0.09]. In contrast, 28-day mortality was higher in the vague presentation group (40.8% vs. 26.9%, p = 0.011), along with longer time-to-diagnosis [18 (31) vs. 4 (11) h, p < 0.001], time-to-antibiotics [20 (32) vs. 7 (12) h, p < 0.001] and time to ICU admission [71 (159) vs. 24 (69) h, p < 0.001]. Whatever, such a vague presentation independently predicted 28-day mortality [aOR = 2.14 (1.24–3.68) 95% CI; p = 0.006].

Conclusions

Almost one third of septic patient requiring ICU had a vague presentation at the ED. Despite an apparent lower level of severity when initially assessed, those patients had an increased risk of mortality that could not be fully explained by delayed diagnosis and management of sepsis.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12879-022-07210-y.

A Novel Risk-Prediction Scoring System for Sepsis among Patients with Acute Pancreatitis: A Retrospective Analysis of a Large Clinical Database

Background

The prognosis is poor when acute pancreatitis (AP) progresses to sepsis; therefore, it is necessary to accurately predict the probability of sepsis and develop a personalized treatment plan to reduce the disease burden of AP patients.

Methods

A total of 1295 patients with AP and 43 variables were extracted from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC) IV database. The included patients were randomly assigned to the training set and to the validation set at a ratio of 7 : 3. The chi-square test or Fisher's exact test was used to test the distribution of categorical variables, and Student's t-test was used for continuous variables. Multivariate logistic regression was used to establish a prognostic model for predicting the occurrence of sepsis in AP patients. The indicators to verify the overall performance of the model included the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration curves, the net reclassification improvement (NRI), the integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and a decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

The multifactor analysis results showed that temperature, phosphate, calcium, lactate, the mean blood pressure (MBP), urinary output, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), sodium, platelet count, and albumin were independent risk factors. All of the indicators proved that the prediction performance and clinical profitability of the newly established nomogram were better than those of other common indicators (including SIRS, BISAP, SOFA, and qSOFA).

Conclusions

The new risk-prediction system that was established in this research can accurately predict the probability of sepsis in patients with acute pancreatitis, and this helps clinicians formulate personalized treatment plans for patients. The new model can reduce the disease burden of patients and can contribute to the reasonable allocation of medical resources, which is significant for tertiary prevention.

Cost-effectiveness of the TherMax blood warmer during continuous renal replacement therapy

Hypothermia is a common adverse event during continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT), affecting multiple organ systems and increasing risk of poor health outcomes among patients with acute kidney injury (AKI) undergoing CRRT. TheraMax blood warmers are the next generation of extracorporeal blood warmers which reduce risk of hypothermia during CRRT. The purpose of this study is to elucidate the potential health economic impacts of avoiding CRRT-induced hypothermia by using the novel TherMax blood warming device. This study compares health care costs associated with use of the new TherMax blood warmer unit integrated with the PrisMax system compared to CRRT with a standalone blood warming device to avoid hypothermia in continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT). An economic model was developed in which relevant health states for each intervention were normothermia, hypothermia, discharge, and death. Clinical inputs and costs were obtained from a combination of retrospective chart review and publicly available summary estimates. The proportion of AKI patients treated with CRRT who became hypothermic (<36°C) during CRRT treatment was 34.5% in the TherMax group compared to 71.9% in the ‘standalone warmer’ group. Given the 78.7-year average life expectancy in the US and the assumed average patient age at discharge/death of 65.4 years, the total life-years gained by avoiding mortality related to hypothermia was 9.0 in the TherMax group compared to 8.0 in the ‘standalone warmer’ group. Cost per life-year gained was $8,615 in the TherMax group versus $10,115 in the ‘standalone warmer’ group for a difference of -$1,501 favoring TherMax. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was negative, indicating superior cost-effectiveness for TherMax versus ‘standalone warmer’. The TherMax blood warming device used with the PrisMax system is associated with lower risk of hypothermia, which our model indicates leads to lower costs, lower risk of mortality due to hypothermia, and superior cost-effectiveness.

The optimal oral body temperature cutoff and other factors predictive of sepsis diagnosis in elderly patients

INTRODUCTION:

METHODS:

RESULTS:

CONCLUSION:

Prevalence and Prognosis of Fever Symptoms, Hypo-, and Hyperthermia in Unselected Emergency Patients

Assessments of history and body temperature are cornerstones of the diagnostic workup in all patients presenting to emergency departments (ED). Yet, the objective measurement of temperature and the subjective perception of fever can differ. This is a secondary exploratory analysis of a consecutive all-comer study, performed at an adult ED in Switzerland. Trained medical students interviewed all patients if fever was present. Altered temperature (>38.0 °C/<36.0 °C) measured at triage using an ear thermometer was used as the reference standard for diagnostic performance. In case of a disagreement between fever symptoms and altered temperature, discordance was noted. Outcome measures for case severity (acute morbidity, hospitalization, intensive care, and in-hospital mortality) were extracted from the electronic health records. Odds ratios (OR) for discordance between signs and symptoms and outcomes were calculated. Among 2183 patients, 325 patients reported fever symptoms. The sensitivity of fever symptoms as a test for altered temperature was 36.3%. Specificity was 91.5%. The negative predictive value was 84.1%, positive likelihood ratio was 4.2 and negative likelihood ratio was 0.7. The adjusted OR for discordance between fever symptoms and altered temperature was 1.71 (95% CI: 1.2–2.44) for acute morbidity, 1.56 (95% CI: 1.13–2.15) for hospitalization, and 1.12 (95% CI: 0.64–1.59) for intensive care. Unadjusted OR for mortality was 1.5 (95% CI: 0.69–3.25). Fever symptoms and altered temperature broadly overlap, but presentations can be stratified according to concordance between signs and symptoms. In case of discordance, the odds for acute morbidity and hospitalization are increased. Discordance may therefore be further investigated as a red flag for a serious outcome.

Fever is associated with earlier antibiotic onset and reduced mortality in patients with sepsis admitted to the ICU

To evaluate the association of body temperature with mortality in septic patients admitted to the ICU from the ward. In addition, we intend to investigate whether the timing of antibiotic administration was different between febrile and afebrile patients and whether this difference contributed to mortality. This is a retrospective cohort study that included sepsis patients admitted to the ICU from the ward between July 2017 and July 2019. Antibiotic administration was defined as the initiation of antimicrobial treatment or the expansion of the antimicrobial spectrum within 48 h prior to admission to the ICU. Regarding vital signs, the most altered vital sign in the 48 h prior to admission to the ICU was considered. Two hundred and eight patients were included in the final analysis. Antibiotic administration occurred earlier in patients with fever than in patients without fever. Antibiotic administration occurred before admission to the ICU in 27 (90.0%) patients with fever and in 101 (64.7%) patients without fever (p = 0.006). The mortality rate in the ICU was 88 in 176 (50.0%; 95% CI 42.5-57.5%) patients without fever and 7 in 32 (21.9%; 95% CI 6.7-37.0%) patients with fever (p = 0.004). In the multivariate analysis, absence of fever significantly increased the risk of ICU mortality (OR 3.462; 95% CI 1.293-9.272). We found an inverse association between body temperature and mortality in patients with sepsis admitted to the ICU from the ward. Although antibiotic administration was earlier in patients with fever and precocity was associated with reduced mortality, the time of antibiotic administration did not fully explain the lower mortality in these patients.

Prediction of mortality in Staphylococcus aureus bloodstream infection using quick Pitt bacteremia score

OBJECTIVES

The quick Pitt bacteremia score (qPitt) predicts mortality in patients with serious infections due to gram-negative bacteria. This retrospective cohort study examines utility of qPitt to predict mortality in patients with Staphylococcus aureus bloodstream infection (SAB).

METHODS

Multivariate logistic regression was used to examine risk factors for 28-day mortality in hospitalized adults with SAB at four Prisma Health hospitals in South Carolina, USA from January 2015 to December 2017. Area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) was used to examine model discrimination.

RESULTS

Among 692 patients with SAB, 305 (44%) had methicillin-resistant S. aureus (MRSA), and 129 (19%) died within 28 days. After adjustment for age, comorbidities, and MRSA, each component of the qPitt was associated with 28-day mortality. There was a 3-fold increase in the risk of 28-day mortality for each one-point increase in qPitt. Predicted 28-day mortality was 3%, 9%, 22%, 45%, and 70% for qPitt of 0, 1, 2, 3, and ≥4, respectively. AUROC of the qPitt in predicting 28-day, 14-day, and in-hospital mortality were 0.80, 0.81, and 0.80, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The qPitt predicts mortality with good discrimination in SAB. These results support using qPitt as a measure of acute severity of illness in future studies.

The association between the degree of fever as measured in the emergency department and clinical outcomes of hospitalized adult patients

BACKGROUND

Fever is a physiologic response to a wide range of pathologies and one of the most common complaints and clinical signs in the emergency medicine department (ED). The association between fever magnitude and clinical outcomes has been evaluated in specific populations with inconsistent results.

OBJECTIVES

In this study we aimed to investigate the association between the degree of fever in the ED and clinical outcomes of hospitalized febrile adult patients.

METHODS

This was a retrospective single-center cohort study of all the patients with maximal body temperature (BT) ≥ 38.0 °C, as recorded during the ED evaluation, who were hospitalized between January 2015 and December 2020. Patients with heatstroke were excluded. The primary outcome was 30-day all-cause mortality and secondary outcomes were intensive care unit (ICU) admission and development of acute kidney injury (AKI).

RESULTS

Fever was recorded among 8.1% of patients evaluated in the ED. Elevated BT was associated with increased risk of hospital admission (70.3% vs. 49.4%, p < 0.001), 30-day mortality (12.3% vs. 2.6%, p < 0.001), ICU admission (5.7% vs. 2.8%, p < 0.001), and AKI 11.7% vs. 3.8%, p < 0.001). After exclusion of nine patients with heatstroke, 21,252 hospitalized febrile patients were included in the final analysis. BT > 39.7 °C was progressively associated with increased mortality (OR 1.64-2.22, 95% CI 1.16-2.81, p < 0.005) as compared to BT 38.0-38.1 °C. More AKI events were observed in patients with BT > 39.5 °C (OR 1.48-2.91, 95% CI 1.11-3.66, p < 0.007). Temperature between 39.2 and 39.5 °C was associated with lower mortality (OR 0.62-0.71, 95% CI 0.51-0.87, p < 0.001). In a multiple logistic regression analysis BT > 39.9 °C was independently associated with increased mortality and AKI. BT > 39.7 °C was progressively associated with an increased risk of ICU admission.

CONCLUSION

Among febrile patients admitted to the hospital, BT > 39.5 °C was associated with adverse clinical course, as compared to patients with lower-grade fever (38.0-38.1 °C). These patients should be flagged on arrival to the ED and likely warrant more aggressive evaluation and treatment.

Fever and hypothermia represent two populations of sepsis patients and are associated with outside temperature

Background

Fever and hypothermia have been observed in septic patients. Their influence on prognosis is subject to ongoing debates.

Methods

We did a secondary analysis of a large clinical dataset from a quality improvement trial. A binary logistic regression model was calculated to assess the association of the thermal response with outcome and a multinomial regression model to assess factors associated with fever or hypothermia.

Results

With 6542 analyzable cases we observed a bimodal temperature response characterized by fever or hypothermia, normothermia was rare. Hypothermia and high fever were both associated with higher lactate values. Hypothermia was associated with higher mortality, but this association was reduced after adjustment for other risk factors. Age, community-acquired sepsis, lower BMI and lower outside temperatures were associated with hypothermia while bacteremia and higher procalcitonin values were associated with high fever.

Conclusions

Septic patients show either a hypothermic or a fever response. Whether hypothermia is a maladaptive response, as indicated by the higher mortality in hypothermic patients, or an adaptive response in patients with limited metabolic reserves under colder environmental conditions, remains an open question.

Trial registration The original trial whose dataset was analyzed was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT01187134) on August 23, 2010, the first patient was included on July 1, 2011.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13054-021-03776-2.

Modified Pitt bacteremia score for predicting mortality in patients with candidaemia: A multicentre seven-year retrospective study conducted in Japan

BACKGROUND

Several severity indexes have been reported for critically ill patients. The Pitt bacteremia score (PBS) is commonly used to predict the risk of mortality in patients with bacteraemia.

OBJECTIVES

To develop a scoring system for predicting mortality in candidaemia patients.

METHODS

Medical records at five Japanese tertiary hospitals were reviewed. Factors associated with mortality were analysed using logistic regression modelling. The discriminatory power of scoring models was evaluated by assessing the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI).

RESULTS

In total, 422 candidaemia patients were included. Higher PBS, dialysis and retainment of central venous catheter were independent risk factors for all-cause 30-day mortality. However, among the five PBS components, fever was not associated with mortality; therefore, we developed a modified version of the PBS (mPBS) by replacing fever with dialysis. AUC for PBS and mPBS were 0.74 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.68-0.80) and 0.76 (95% CI: 0.71-0.82), respectively. The increase in predictive ability of mPBS for 30-day mortality was statistically significant as assessed by NRI (0.24, 95% CI: 0.01-0.46, p = .04) and IRI (0.04, 95% CI: 0.02-0.06, p = .0008). When patients were stratified by mPBS into low (scores 0-3), moderate (4-7) and high risk (≥8), there were significant differences among the survival curves (p < .0001, log-rank test), and 30-day mortality rates were 13.8% (40/290), 36.8% (28/76) and 69.4% (34/49), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

mPBS can be a useful tool for predicting mortality in candidaemia patients.

Normothermia in Patients With Sepsis Who Present to Emergency Departments Is Associated With Low Compliance With Sepsis Bundles and Increased In-Hospital Mortality Rate

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the impact of normothermia on compliance with sepsis bundles and in-hospital mortality in patients with sepsis who present to emergency departments.

DESIGN

Retrospective multicenter observational study.

PATIENTS

Nineteen university-affiliated hospitals of the Korean Sepsis Alliance participated in this study. Data were collected regarding patients who visited emergency departments for sepsis during the 1-month period. The patients were divided into three groups based on their body temperature at the time of triage in the emergency department (i.e., hypothermia [< 36°C] vs normothermia [36-38°C] vs hyperthermia [> 38°C]).

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Of 64,021 patients who visited emergency departments, 689 with community-acquired sepsis were analyzed (182 hyperthermic, 420 normothermic, and 87 hypothermic patients). The rate of compliance with the total hour-1 bundle was lowest in the normothermia group (6.0% vs 9.3% in hyperthermia vs 13.8% in hypothermia group; p = 0.032), the rate for lactate measurement was lowest in the normothermia group (62.1% vs 73.1% vs 75.9%; p = 0.005), and the blood culture rate was significantly lower in the normothermia than in the hyperthermia group (p < 0.001). The in-hospital mortality rates in the hyperthermia, normothermia, and hypothermia groups were 8.5%, 20.6%, and 30.8%, respectively (p < 0.001), but there was no significant association between compliance with sepsis bundles and in-hospital mortality. However, in a multivariate analysis, compared with hyperthermia, normothermia was significantly associated with an increased in-hospital mortality (odds ratio, 2.472; 95% CI, 1.005-6.080). This association remained significant even after stratifying patients by median lactate level.

CONCLUSIONS

Normothermia at emergency department triage was significantly associated with an increased risk of in-hospital mortality and a lower rate of compliance with the sepsis bundle. Despite several limitations, our findings suggest a need for new strategies to improve sepsis outcomes in this group of patients.

Nonadherence to antibiotic guidelines in patients admitted to ICU with sepsis is associated with increased mortality: A registry-based, retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Early appropriate antibiotic therapy is an important component of the Surviving Sepsis Guidelines bundles that are associated with decreased in-hospital mortality. National antibiotic guidelines for the treatment of sepsis in Sweden have been available since 2008. Compliance with these guidelines is largely unknown, and whether it translates to improved patient outcome has not been studied.

OBJECTIVE

To assess mortality and its relationship to compliance with Swedish antibiotic guidelines. A secondary aim was to assess the effect of timing of antibiotic administration and mortality.

DESIGN

A registry-based, retrospective cohort study. Registry data were supplemented by manual extraction of data on antibiotic treatment from patient charts. The association between guideline compliance and mortality was evaluated using multivariable analysis. Three levels of compliance were predefined: full compliance - correct antibiotics and dose; partial compliance - correct antibiotic but wrong dose and/or wrong initial antibiotic but corrected within 24 h and/or wrong combination in a combined regime that is at least one antibiotic not in line with the national antibiotic guideline; no compliance - incorrect antibiotic.

SETTING

Two general ICUs in Sweden between 1 January 2011 and 31 December 2015.

PATIENTS

Seven hundred and thirteen patients over the age of 18 with severe sepsis or septic shock identified through the Swedish ICU Registry.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary outcome was 30-day mortality.

RESULTS

Full compliance was observed in 47.0% of patients, partial compliance in 36.0%, and no compliance in 17.0%. Lack of compliance was independently associated with increased risk of 30-day mortality: the adjusted hazard ratio was 1.86 (95% CI 1.34 to 2.58 P < 0.001) for partial compliance and 2.18 (95% CI 1.34 to 3.40 P < 0.001) for no compliance. The time to first antibiotic administration was not associated with mortality.

CONCLUSION

Less than half of the patients with severe sepsis and septic shock received antibiotics according to Swedish national guidelines. Full compliance with the guidelines was associated with decreased mortality. The results of this study show that a strict approach to guideline compliance seems to be beneficial: half measures and inadequate doses should be avoided.

A Tangled Threesome: Circadian Rhythm, Body Temperature Variations, and the Immune System

Simple Summary

In mammals, including humans, the body temperature displays a circadian rhythm and is maintained within a narrow range to facilitate the optimal functioning of physiological processes. Body temperature increases during the daytime and decreases during the nighttime thus influencing the expression of the molecular clock and the clock-control genes such as immune genes. An increase in body temperature (daytime, or fever) also prepares the organism to fight aggression by promoting the activation, function, and delivery of immune cells. Many factors may affect body temperature level and rhythm, including environment, age, hormones, or treatment. The disruption of the body temperature is associated with many kinds of diseases and their severity, thus supporting the assumed association between body temperature rhythm and immune functions. Recent studies using complex analysis suggest that circadian rhythm may change in all aspects (level, period, amplitude) and may be predictive of good or poor outcomes. The monitoring of body temperature is an easy tool to predict outcomes and maybe guide future studies in chronotherapy.

Abstract

The circadian rhythm of the body temperature (CRBT) is a marker of the central biological clock that results from multiple complex biological processes. In mammals, including humans, the body temperature displays a strict circadian rhythm and has to be maintained within a narrow range to allow optimal physiological functions. There is nowadays growing evidence on the role of the temperature circadian rhythm on the expression of the molecular clock. The CRBT likely participates in the phase coordination of circadian timekeepers in peripheral tissues, thus guaranteeing the proper functioning of the immune system. The disruption of the CRBT, such as fever, has been repeatedly described in diseases and likely reflects a physiological process to activate the molecular clock and trigger the immune response. On the other hand, temperature circadian disruption has also been described as associated with disease severity and thus may mirror or contribute to immune dysfunction. The present review aims to characterize the potential implication of the temperature circadian rhythm on the immune response, from molecular pathways to diseases. The origin of CRBT and physiological changes in body temperature will be mentioned. We further review the immune biological effects of temperature rhythmicity in hosts, vectors, and pathogens. Finally, we discuss the relationship between circadian disruption of the body temperature and diseases and highlight the emerging evidence that CRBT monitoring would be an easy tool to predict outcomes and guide future studies in chronotherapy.

Prognostic significance of body temperature in the emergency department vs the ICU in Patients with severe sepsis or septic shock: A nationwide cohort study

BACKGROUND

Increased body temperature in the Emergency Department (BT-ED) and the ICU (BT-ICU) is associated with lower mortality in patients with sepsis. Here, we compared how well BT-ED and BT-ICU predict mortality; investigated mortality in various combinations of BT-ED and BT-ICU, and; compared degree of fever in the ED and ICU and associated quality of care.

METHODS

2385 adults who were admitted to an ICU within 24 hours of ED arrival with severe sepsis or septic shock were included.

RESULTS

Thirty-day mortality was 23.6%. Median BT-ED and BT-ICU was 38.1 and 37.6°C. Crude mortality decreased more than 5% points per°C increase for both BT-ED and BT-ICU. Adjusted OR for mortality was 0.82/°C increase for BT-ED (0.76-0.88, p < 0.001), and 0.89 for BT-ICU (0.83-0.95, p<0.001). Patients who were at/below median temperature in both the ED and in the ICU had the highest mortality, 32%, and those with over median in the ED and at/below in the ICU had the lowest, 16%, (p<0.001). Women had 0.2°C lower median BT-ED (p = 0.03) and 0.3°C lower BT-ICU (p<0.0001) than men. Older patients had lower BT in the ICU, but not in the ED. Fever was associated with a higher rate of sepsis bundle achievement in the ED, but lower nurse workload in the ICU.

CONCLUSIONS

BT-ED was more useful to prognosticate mortality than BT-ICU. Despite better prognosis in patients with elevated BT, fever was associated with higher quality of care in the ED. Future studies should assess how BT-ED can be used to improve triage of infected patients, assigning higher priority to patients with low-grade/no fever and vice versa. Patients with at/below median BT in both ED and ICU have the highest mortality and should receive special attention. Different BT according to sex and age also needs further study.

Hypothermia, Poorly Recognized by clinicians, is associated with Higher Mortality Among Critically Ill Patients with infections: A Retrospective Observational Study

We investigated the relationship between the presence of hypothermia in infection and mortality in 233 infectious critically ill patients. The adjusted hazard ratio for death at 28 days in the low body temperature group was 3.30 compared with the high body temperature group. The proportion of appropriate antimicrobial therapy significantly decreased with decreasing body temperature. The proportion of medical records that documented body temperature abnormality in the low body temperature group (33%) was significantly lower than that in the high body temperature group (69%). Delayed antimicrobial therapy in patients with hypothermia, which may be due to poor recognition by physicians, could result in mortality.

Surgical Infection Society Research Priorities: A Narrative Review of Fourteen Years of Progress

Background: In 2006, the Surgical Infection Society (SIS) utilized a modified Delphi approach to define 15 specific priority research questions that remained unanswered in the field of surgical infections. The aim of the current study was to evaluate the scientific progress achieved during the ensuing period in answering each of the 15 research questions and to determine if additional research in these fields is warranted. Methods: For each of the questions, a literature search using the National Center for Biotechnology Information (NCBI) was performed by the Scientific Studies Committee of the SIS to identify studies that attempted to address each of the defined questions. This literature was analyzed and summarized. The data on each question were evaluated by a surgical infections expert to determine if the question was answered definitively or remains unanswered. Results: All 15 priority research questions were studied in the last 14 years; six questions (40%) were definitively answered and 9 questions (60%) remain unanswered in whole or in part, mainly because of the low quality of the studies available on this topic. Several of the 9 unanswered questions were deemed to remain research priorities in 2020 and warrant further investigation. These included, for example, the role of empiric antimicrobial agents in nosocomial infections, the use of inotropes/vasopressors versus volume loading to raise the mean arterial pressure, and the role of increased antimicrobial dosing and frequency in the obese patient. Conclusions: Several surgical infection-related research questions prioritized in 2006 remain unanswered. Further high-quality research is required to provide a definitive answer to many of these priority knowledge gaps. An updated research agenda by the SIS is warranted at this time to define research priorities for the future.

Let fever do its job: The meaning of fever in the pandemic era

Although fever is one of the main presenting symptoms of COVID-19 infection, little public attention has been given to fever as an evolved defense. Fever, the regulated increase in the body temperature, is part of the evolved systemic reaction to infection known as the acute phase response. The heat of fever augments the performance of immune cells, induces stress on pathogens and infected cells directly, and combines with other stressors to provide a nonspecific immune defense. Observational trials in humans suggest a survival benefit from fever, and randomized trials published before COVID-19 do not support fever reduction in patients with infection. Like public health measures that seem burdensome and excessive, fevers involve costly trade-offs but they can prevent infection from getting out of control. For infections with novel SARS-CoV-2, the precautionary principle applies: unless evidence suggests otherwise, we advise that fever should be allowed to run its course. Lay summary: For COVID-19, many public health organizations have advised treating fever with medicines such as acetaminophen or ibuprofen. Even though this is a common practice, lowering body temperature has not improved survival in laboratory animals or in patients with infections. Blocking fever can be harmful because fever, along with other sickness symptoms, evolved as a defense against infection. Fever works by causing more damage to pathogens and infected cells than it does to healthy cells in the body. During pandemic COVID-19, the benefits of allowing fever to occur probably outweigh its harms, for individuals and for the public at large.

Characterization of fever and sickness behavior regulated by cytokines during infection

In response to invasion of pathogens, hosts present fever and a series of behavioural changes including reduced grooming, reduction of foraging, decreased locomotion, withdrawing from social activities and reproductive process, which are collectively termed sickness behaviour. Fever as well as sickness behaviour are adaptive and benefit the host to reduce pathology caused by infections and opportunity costs for time away from foraging, reproduction and predator avoidance. Antipathogenic fever and sickness behaviour are mediated proximately by cytokines including pro- and anti-inflammatory cytokines. Pro-inflammation cytokines trigger these sickness responses, while anti-inflammatory cytokines constrain these responses and prevent damage to host from exaggerated responses. The present study reviews the characterization of fever and sickness behaviour regulated by cytokines during infection.

Roseomonas species infections in humans: a systematic review

Roseomonas species have been recognized to cause infections in immunocompromised individuals. The purpose of this study was to systemically review all published cases of Roseomonas infections in humans and describe the epidemiology, microbiology, antimicrobial susceptibility, treatment and outcomes of these infections in humans. We performed a systematic review of PubMed (through 20th Octrober 2019) for studies providing epidemiological, clinical, microbiological as well as treatment data and outcomes of Roseomonas species infections. A total of 37 studies, containing data of 99 patients, were included in the analysis. The most common Roseomonas infections were those of the bloodstream in 74.7% (74 patients), musculoskeletal infections in 8.1% (8 patients), skin and soft tissue infections (SSTIs) and peritoneal dialysis-associated peritonitis in 6.1% (6 patients) each. Epidemiology of these infections differed, with bacteremias being more prevalent in patients with malignancy and central venous lines, musculoskeletal infections being more prevalent after orthopedic surgery, and SSTIs occurring without any reported underlying cause. Resistance to beta-lactams was very high with penicillin, piperacillin/tazobactam resistance and cephalosporin resistance at 96.6%, 90.7% and 77.8% respectively, while quinolone resistance was 9.1%. Quinolones, carbapenems and cephalosporins are the most common agents used for treatment, irrespectively of the infection site. Overall mortality was 3% (3 patients), with the mortality attributed to Roseomonas being at 1% (1 patient).

Etiology of acute undifferentiated fever in patients presenting to the emergency department of a tertiary care center in Karachi, Pakistan

Objective:

Our study aimed at identifying the characteristics and etiology of various causes of acute undifferentiated fever in patients presenting to the emergency department of a tertiary care hospital.

Methods:

This was a retrospective study conducted at the department of emergency medicine, Aga Khan University Hospital from January to June 2016. Adult patients presenting to Emergency department with acute undifferentiated fever were enrolled. Descriptive statistics were calculated in terms of mean±SD for continuous variables like age of the patients and duration of fever, whereas frequency and percentage were computed for categorical variables like gender and causes of fever.

Results:

A total of one hundred and fifty five patients were included. Out of these 97 (62.6%) were males and 58 (37.4%) were females. Most patients (25.2%, n= 39) were diagnosed as malaria followed closely by dengue fever (n=33, 21.3%) and then enteric fever (n= 10, 6.5%). while 41.9% (n=65) were diagnosed as suspected viral fever based on clinical judgment and inconclusive laboratory results.

Conclusion:

Malaria was found to be the most common confirmed cause of acute undifferentiated fever followed by dengue and enteric fever. The provision of accurate epidemiological data will enable resources to be directed towards key areas and will be of practical importance to clinicians.

Significance of body temperature in elderly patients with sepsis

Background

Elderly patients have a blunted host response, which may influence vital signs and clinical outcomes of sepsis. This study was aimed to investigate whether the associations between the vital signs and mortality are different in elderly and non-elderly patients with sepsis.

Methods

This was a retrospective observational study. A Japanese multicenter sepsis cohort (FORECAST, n = 1148) was used for the discovery analyses. Significant discovery results were tested for replication using two validation cohorts of sepsis (JAAMSR, Japan, n = 624; SPH, Canada, n = 1004). Patients were categorized into elderly and non-elderly groups (age ≥ 75 or < 75 years). We tested for association between vital signs (body temperature [BT], heart rate, mean arterial pressure, systolic blood pressure, and respiratory rate) and 90-day in-hospital mortality (primary outcome).

Results

In the discovery cohort, non-elderly patients with BT < 36.0 °C had significantly increased 90-day mortality (P = 0.025, adjusted hazard ratio 1.70, 95% CI 1.07–2.71). In the validation cohorts, non-elderly patients with BT < 36.0 °C had significantly increased mortality (JAAMSR, P = 0.0024, adjusted hazard ratio 2.05, 95% CI 1.29–3.26; SPH, P = 0.029, adjusted hazard ratio 1.36, 95% CI 1.03–1.80). These differences were not observed in elderly patients in the three cohorts. Associations between the other four vital signs and mortality were not different in elderly and non-elderly patients. The interaction of age and hypothermia/fever was significant (P < 0.05).

Conclusions

In septic patients, we found mortality in non-elderly sepsis patients was increased with hypothermia and decreased with fever. However, mortality in elderly patients was not associated with BT. These results illuminate the difference in the inflammatory response of the elderly compared to non-elderly sepsis patients.

Fever Incidence Is Much Lower in the Morning than the Evening: Boston and US National Triage Data

INTRODUCTION

In this observational study, we evaluated time-of-day variation in the incidence of fever that is seen at triage. The observed incidence of fever could change greatly over the day because body temperatures generally rise and fall in a daily cycle, yet fever is identified using a temperature threshold that is unchanging, such as ≥38.0° Celsius (C) (≥100.4° Fahrenheit [F]).

METHODS

We analyzed 93,225 triage temperature measurements from a Boston emergency department (ED) (2009-2012) and 264,617 triage temperature measurements from the National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey (NHAMCS, 2002-2010), making this the largest study of body temperature since the mid-1800s. Boston data were investigated exploratorily, while NHAMCS was used to corroborate Boston findings and check whether they generalized. NHAMCS results are nationally representative of United States EDs. Analyses focused on adults.

RESULTS

In the Boston ED, the proportion of patients with triage temperatures in the fever range (≥38.0°C, ≥100.4°F) increased 2.5-fold from morning to evening (7:00-8:59 PM vs 7:00-8:59 AM: risk ratio [RR] 2.5, 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.0-3.3). Similar time-of-day changes were observed when investigating alternative definitions of fever: temperatures ≥39.0°C (≥102.2°F) and ≥40.0°C (≥104.0°F) increased 2.4- and 3.6-fold from morning to evening (7:00-8:59 PM vs 7:00-8:59 AM: RRs [95% CIs] 2.4 [1.5-4.3] and 3.6 [1.5-17.7], respectively). Analyses of adult NHAMCS patients provided confirmation, showing mostly similar increases for the same fever definitions and times of day (RRs [95% CIs] 1.8 [1.6-2.1], 1.9 [1.4-2.5], and 2.8 [0.8-9.3], respectively), including after adjusting for 12 potential confounders using multivariable regression (adjusted RRs [95% CIs] 1.8 [1.5-2.1], 1.8 [1.3-2.4], and 2.7 [0.8-9.2], respectively), in age-group analyses (18-64 vs 65+ years), and in several sensitivity analyses. The patterns observed for fever mirror the circadian rhythm of body temperature, which reaches its highest and lowest points at similar times.

CONCLUSION

Fever incidence is lower at morning triages than at evening triages. High fevers are especially rare at morning triage and may warrant special consideration for this reason. Studies should examine whether fever-causing diseases are missed or underappreciated during mornings, especially for sepsis cases and during screenings for infectious disease outbreaks. The daily cycling of fever incidence may result from the circadian rhythm.

Estimated plasma volume status (ePVS) could be an easy-to-use clinical tool to determine the risk of sepsis or death in patients with fever

INTRODUCTION

Capillary permeability can be increased in patients with sepsis. Indirect estimation of plasma volume status (ePVS) could identify more severely ill patients with fever.

METHODS

1502 patients evaluated for fever at the Emergency Department (ED) of Merano General Hospital (Italy) between June 1, 2018 and May 30, 2019. The ePVS value registered on ED admission and derived from complete blood count was considered. Associations between the ePVS value and the two outcomes of the study (30-day mortality and sepsis diagnosis) were studied.

RESULTS

Fifty-one of 1502 patients (3.4%) died at 30 days and 5.3% (80/1502) had a diagnosis of sepsis. The median ePVS in patients who died was higher than in those who survived (6.01 dL/g vs 4.49 dL/g, p < .001). In the multivariate analysis, ePVS higher than 4.52 dL/g presented an OR of 2.717 (CI95% 1.103-6.692, p = .020) for 30-day mortality and 1.824 (CI95% 1.055-3.154, p = .030) for the diagnosis of sepsis. ePVS presented a significant improvement in reclassification of the usual evaluation of patients with fever (NRI 21.6% for 30-day mortality and NRI 19.7 for sepsis diagnosis, p < .001).

CONCLUSION

The ePVS value was a useful additional predictive tool to assess the severity of illness in patients with fever.

Fever Is Associated with Reduced Mortality in Trauma and Surgical Intensive Care Unit-Acquired Infections

Background: Fever is a common response to both infectious and non-infectious physiologic insults in the critically ill, and in certain populations it appears to be protective. Fever is particularly common in trauma patients, and even more so in those with infections. The relationship between fever, trauma status, and mortality in patients with an infection is unclear. Patients and Methods: A review of a prospectively maintained institutional database over a 17-year period was performed. Surgical and trauma intensive care unit (ICU) patients with a nosocomial infection were extracted to compare in-hospital mortality among trauma and non-trauma patients with and without fever. Univariable analyses compared patient and infection characteristics between trauma and non-trauma patients. A multivariable logistic regression model was created to identify predictors of in-hospital mortality, with a focus on fever and trauma status. Results: Nine hundred forty-one trauma patients and 1,449 non-trauma patients with ICU-acquired infections were identified. Trauma patients were younger (48 vs. 59, p < 0.001), more likely to be male (73% vs. 56%, p < 0.001), more likely to require blood transfusion (74% vs. 47%, p < 0.001), had lower Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II scores (18 vs. 19, p = 0.02), and had lower rates of comorbidities. Trauma patients were more likely to develop a fever (72% vs. 43%, p < 0.001) and had lower in-hospital mortality (9.6% vs. 22.6%, p < 0.001). In multivariable analysis, non-trauma patients with fever had a lower odds of mortality compared with non-trauma patients without fever (odds ratio [OR] 0.63, p = 0.004). Trauma patients with fever had the lowest odds ratio for mortality when compared to non-trauma patients without fever (OR 0.25, p < 0.001). Conclusions: In this large cohort of trauma and surgical ICU patients with ICU-acquired infections, fever was associated with a lower odds of mortality in both trauma and non-trauma patients. Further investigation is needed to determine the mechanisms behind the interplay between trauma status, fever, and mortality.

The Pitt Bacteremia Score Predicts Mortality in Nonbacteremic Infections

BACKGROUND

Predicting mortality risk in patients is important in research settings. The Pitt bacteremia score (PBS) is commonly used as a predictor of early mortality risk in patients with bloodstream infections (BSIs). We determined whether the PBS predicts 14-day inpatient mortality in nonbacteremia carbapenem-resistant Enterobacteriaceae (CRE) infections.

METHODS

Patients were selected from the Consortium on Resistance Against Carbapenems in Klebsiella and Other Enterobacteriaceae, a prospective, multicenter, observational study. We estimated risk ratios to analyze the predictive ability of the PBS overall and each of its components individually. We analyzed each component of the PBS in the prediction of mortality, assessed the appropriate cutoff value for the dichotomized score, and compared the predictive ability of the qPitt score to that of the PBS.

RESULTS

In a cohort of 475 patients with CRE infections, a PBS ≥4 was associated with mortality in patients with nonbacteremia infections (risk ratio [RR], 21.9; 95% confidence interval [CI], 7.0, 68.8) and with BSIs (RR, 6.0; 95% CI, 2.5, 14.4). In multivariable analysis, the hypotension, mechanical ventilation, mental status, and cardiac arrest parameters of the PBS were independent risk factors for 14-day all-cause inpatient mortality. The temperature parameter as originally calculated for the PBS was not independently associated with mortality. However, a temperature <36.0°C vs ≥36°C was independently associated with mortality. A qPitt score ≥2 had similar discrimination as a PBS ≥4 in nonbacteremia infections.

CONCLUSIONS

Here, we validated that the PBS and qPitt score can be used as reliable predictors of mortality in nonbacteremia CRE infections.

Impact of Body Temperature Abnormalities on the Implementation of Sepsis Bundles and Outcomes in Patients With Severe Sepsis: A Retrospective Sub-Analysis of the Focused Outcome Research on Emergency Care for Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome, Sepsis and Trauma Study

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the impact of body temperature on disease severity, implementation of sepsis bundles, and outcomes in severe sepsis patients.

DESIGN

Retrospective sub-analysis.

SETTING

Fifty-nine ICUs in Japan, from January 2016 to March 2017.

PATIENTS

Adult patients with severe sepsis based on Sepsis-2 were enrolled and divided into three categories (body temperature < 36°C, 36-38°C, > 38°C), using the core body temperature at ICU admission.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Compliance with the bundles proposed in the Surviving Sepsis Campaign Guidelines 2012, in-hospital mortality, disposition after discharge, and the number of ICU and ventilator-free days were evaluated. Of 1,143 enrolled patients, 127, 565, and 451 were categorized as having body temperature less than 36°C, 36-38°C, and greater than 38°C, respectively. Hypothermia-body temperature less than 36°C-was observed in 11.1% of patients. Patients with hypothermia were significantly older than those with a body temperature of 36-38°C or greater than 38°C and had a lower body mass index and higher prevalence of septic shock than those with body temperature greater than 38°C. Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment scores on the day of enrollment were also significantly higher in hypothermia patients. Implementation rates of the entire 3-hour bundle and administration of broad-spectrum antibiotics significantly differed across categories; implementation rates were significantly lower in patients with body temperature less than 36°C than in those with body temperature greater than 38°C. Implementation rate of the entire 3-hour resuscitation bundle + vasopressor use + remeasured lactate significantly differed across categories, as did the in-hospital and 28-day mortality. The odds ratio for in-hospital mortality relative to the reference range of body temperature greater than 38°C was 1.760 (95% CI, 1.134-2.732) in the group with hypothermia. The proportions of ICU-free and ventilator-free days also significantly differed between categories and were significantly smaller in patients with hypothermia.

CONCLUSIONS

Hypothermia was associated with a significantly higher disease severity, mortality risk, and lower implementation of sepsis bundles.

Sex-based differences in ED management of critically ill patients with sepsis: a nationwide cohort study

Purpose

To compare management and outcomes for critically ill women and men with sepsis in the emergency medical services (EMS), the emergency department (ED) and the ICU.

Methods

We used two prospectively compiled Swedish national quality registers, the National Quality Sepsis Registry and the Swedish Intensive Care Registry to identify a nationwide cohort of 2720 adults admitted to an ICU within 24 h of arrival to any of 32 EDs, with a diagnosis of severe sepsis or septic shock between 2008 and 2015.

Results

Patients were 44.5% female. In the EMS, a higher fraction of men had all vital signs recorded—54.4 vs 49.9% (p = 0.02) and received IV fluids and oxygen—40.0 vs 34.8% (p = 0.02). In the ED, men had completed 1-h sepsis bundles in 41.5% of cases compared to 30.0% in women (p < 0.001), and shorter time to antibiotics—65 (IQR 30–136) vs 87 min (IQR 39–172) (p = 0.0001). There was no significant difference between men and women regarding ICU nursing workload, mechanical ventilation or ICU length of stay. In severity-adjusted multivariable analysis, OR for women achieving a completed sepsis bundle, compared to men was 0.64 (CI 0.51–0.81). Thirty-day mortality was 25.0% for women and 23.1% for men (p = 0.24). Adjusted OR for female death was 1.28 (CI 1.00–1.64), but the increased mortality was not mediated by differential bundle completion.

Conclusions

Women and men with severe sepsis or septic shock received differential care in the ED, but this did not explain higher odds of death in women.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1007/s00134-019-05910-9) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Admission Body Temperature in Critically Ill Patients as an Independent Risk Predictor for Overall Outcome

INTRODUCTION

Body temperature (BT) abnormalities are frequently observed in critically ill patients. We aimed to assess admission BT in a heterogeneous critically ill patient population admitted to an intensive care unit (ICU) as a prognostic parameter for intra-ICU and long-term mortality.

METHODS

A total of 6,514 medical patients (64 ± 15 years) admitted to a German ICU between 2004 and 2009 were included. A follow-up of patients was performed retrospectively. The association of admission BT with both intra-ICU and long-term mortality was investigated by logistic regression.

RESULTS

Patients with hypothermia (<36°C BT) were clinically worse and had more pronounced signs of multi-organ failure. Admission BT was associated with adverse overall outcome, with a 2-fold increase for hyperthermia (mortality 12%; odds ratio [OR] 1.80, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.43-2.26; p < 0.001), and a 4-fold increase for the risk of hypothermia (mortality 24%; OR 4.05, 95% CI 3.38-4.85; p < 0.001) with respect to intra-ICU and long-term mortality. Moreover, hypothermia was even more harmful than hyperthermia, and both were strongly associated with intra-ICU mortality, especially in patients admitted with acute coronary syndrome (hypothermia: hazard ratio 6.12, 95% CI 4.12-9.11; p < 0.001; hyperthermia: OR 2.70, 95% CI 1.52-4.79; p< 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Admission BT is an independent risk predictor for both overall intra-ICU and long-term mortality in critically ill patients admitted to an ICU. Therefore, BT at admission might not only serve as a parameter for individual risk stratification but can also influence individual therapeutic decision-making.