Predicting the risk of cardiovascular disease in HIV-infected patients: the data collection on adverse effects of anti-HIV drugs study

Comparison of Four Predictive Scores for Cardiovascular Risk in Mexican People with HIV

Persons with HIV (PWH) face an increased risk of cardiovascular events due to immune activation, comorbidities, and certain antiretrovirals (ARVs). However, the current cardiovascular risk (CVR) scores are not specifically directed toward PWH. This study aimed to assess the agreement between different predictive CVR scores and explore their relationship with clinical and demographic data in Mexican PWH. A descriptive cross-sectional analysis was conducted in 200 PWH with a mean age of 42 years who were treated at a Mexican urban center from 2017 to 2018. The majority (83%) was on ARV treatment and 79.5% had undetectable viral loads (VLs). Moderate- to high-risk scores were infrequent, with Framingham Risk Score for Hard Coronary Heart Disease scores showing higher values, with very low concordance among all scores. Logistic regression analysis revealed significant associations between the CVR scores and the initial recorded VL, CD4 cell count, and elevated triglyceride levels. However, no associations were found with measures such as body mass index or abdominal circumference. Treatment with integrase strand transfer inhibitors (INSTIs), particularly first-generation inhibitors, showed strong associations with all predictive scores, notably ASCVD (odds ratio = 7.03, 95% confidence interval 1.67-29.64). The poor concordance among the CVR scores in PWH highlights the need for a specific score that considers comorbidities and ARV drugs. Despite the relatively young age of the participants, significant correlations were observed between INSTI use, initial VL, CD4 cell count, and triglyceride levels, which are factors not considered in the existing risk scores. Regardless of the actual value of the scores, screening for CVR in PWH is recommended.

Clinical Outcomes After Acute Coronary Syndromes or Revascularization Among People Living With HIV: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Importance

Clinical outcomes after acute coronary syndromes (ACS) or percutaneous coronary interventions (PCIs) in people living with HIV have not been characterized in sufficient detail, and extant data have not been synthesized adequately.

Objective

To better characterize clinical outcomes and postdischarge treatment of patients living with HIV after ACS or PCIs compared with patients in an HIV-negative control group.

Data Sources

Ovid MEDLINE, Embase, and Web of Science were searched for all available longitudinal studies of patients living with HIV after ACS or PCIs from inception until August 2023.

Study Selection

Included studies met the following criteria: patients living with HIV and HIV-negative comparator group included, patients presenting with ACS or undergoing PCI included, and longitudinal follow-up data collected after the initial event.

Data Extraction and Synthesis

Data extraction was performed following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) statement. Clinical outcome data were pooled using a random-effects model meta-analysis.

Main Outcome and Measures

The following clinical outcomes were studied: all-cause mortality, major adverse cardiovascular events, cardiovascular death, recurrent ACS, stroke, new heart failure, total lesion revascularization, and total vessel revascularization. The maximally adjusted relative risk (RR) of clinical outcomes on follow-up comparing patients living with HIV with patients in control groups was taken as the main outcome measure.

Results

A total of 15 studies including 9499 patients living with HIV (pooled proportion [range], 76.4% [64.3%-100%] male; pooled mean [range] age, 56.2 [47.0-63.0] years) and 1 531 117 patients without HIV in a control group (pooled proportion [range], 61.7% [59.7%-100%] male; pooled mean [range] age, 67.7 [42.0-69.4] years) were included; both populations were predominantly male, but patients living with HIV were younger by approximately 11 years. Patients living with HIV were also significantly more likely to be current smokers (pooled proportion [range], 59.1% [24.0%-75.0%] smokers vs 42.8% [26.0%-64.1%] smokers) and engage in illicit drug use (pooled proportion [range], 31.2% [2.0%-33.7%] drug use vs 6.8% [0%-11.5%] drug use) and had higher triglyceride (pooled mean [range], 233 [167-268] vs 171 [148-220] mg/dL) and lower high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (pooled mean [range], 40 [26-43] vs 46 [29-46] mg/dL) levels. Populations with and without HIV were followed up for a pooled mean (range) of 16.2 (3.0-60.8) months and 11.9 (3.0-60.8) months, respectively. On postdischarge follow-up, patients living with HIV had lower prevalence of statin (pooled proportion [range], 53.3% [45.8%-96.1%] vs 59.9% [58.4%-99.0%]) and β-blocker (pooled proportion [range], 54.0% [51.3%-90.0%] vs 60.6% [59.6%-93.6%]) prescriptions compared with those in the control group, but these differences were not statistically significant. There was a significantly increased risk among patients living with HIV vs those without HIV for all-cause mortality (RR, 1.64; 95% CI, 1.32-2.04), major adverse cardiovascular events (RR, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.01-1.22), recurrent ACS (RR, 1.83; 95% CI, 1.12-2.97), and admissions for new heart failure (RR, 3.39; 95% CI, 1.73-6.62).

Conclusions and Relevance

These findings suggest the need for attention toward secondary prevention strategies to address poor outcomes of cardiovascular disease among patients living with HIV.

Predictive model and risk analysis for coronary heart disease in people living with HIV using machine learning

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to construct a coronary heart disease (CHD) risk-prediction model in people living with human immunodeficiency virus (PLHIV) with the help of machine learning (ML) per electronic medical records (EMRs).

METHODS

Sixty-one medical characteristics (including demography information, laboratory measurements, and complicating disease) readily available from EMRs were retained for clinical analysis. These characteristics further aided the development of prediction models by using seven ML algorithms [light gradient-boosting machine (LightGBM), support vector machine (SVM), eXtreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), adaptive boosting (AdaBoost), decision tree, multilayer perceptron (MLP), and logistic regression]. The performance of this model was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Shapley additive explanation (SHAP) was further applied to interpret the findings of the best-performing model.

RESULTS

The LightGBM model exhibited the highest AUC (0.849; 95% CI, 0.814-0.883). Additionally, the SHAP plot per the LightGBM depicted that age, heart failure, hypertension, glucose, serum creatinine, indirect bilirubin, serum uric acid, and amylase can help identify PLHIV who were at a high or low risk of developing CHD.

CONCLUSION

This study developed a CHD risk prediction model for PLHIV utilizing ML techniques and EMR data. The LightGBM model exhibited improved comprehensive performance and thus had higher reliability in assessing the risk predictors of CHD. Hence, it can potentially facilitate the development of clinical management techniques for PLHIV care in the era of EMRs.

The dynamic risk factors of cardiovascular disease among people living with HIV: a real-world data study

BACKGROUND

This study aims to investigate the incidence and dynamic risk factors for cardiovascular diseases (CVD) among people living with HIV (PLWH).

METHODS

In this population-based statewide cohort study, we utilized integrated electronic health records data to identify adult (age ≥ 18) who were diagnosed with HIV between 2006 and 2019 and were CVD event-free at the HIV diagnosis in South Carolina. The associations of HIV-related factors and traditional risk factors with the CVD incidence were investigated during the overall study period, and by different follow-up periods (i.e., 0-5yrs, 6-10yrs 11-15yrs) using multivariable logistic regression models.

RESULTS

Among 9,082 eligible participants, the incidence of CVD was 18.64 cases per 1000 person-years. Overall, conventional risk factors, such as tobacco use, hypertension, obesity, chronic kidney disease (CKD), were persistently associated with the outcome across all three groups. While HIV-related factors, such as recent CD4 count (e.g., > 350 vs. <200 cells/mm3: adjusted odds ratio [aOR] range: 0.18-0.25), and percent of years in retention (e.g., 31-75% vs. 0-30%: aOR range: 0.24-0.57) were associated with lower odds of CVD incidence regardless of different follow up periods. The impact of the percent of days with viral suppression gradually diminished as the follow-up period increased.

CONCLUSIONS

Maintaining an optimal viral suppression might prevent CVD incidence in the short term, whereas restoring immune recovery may be beneficial for reducing CVD risk regardless of the duration of HIV diagnosis. Our findings suggest the necessity of conducting more targeted interventions during different periods of HIV infection.

Changes in atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk over time among people living with HIV

OBJECTIVE

To describe changes in atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk over time among people living with HIV (PLHIV).

METHODS

We used data from the TREAT Asia HIV Observational Database (TAHOD) and the Australian HIV Observational Database (AHOD). Five-year ASCVD risk was calculated using the D:A:D equation. Individuals were eligible for inclusion if they were aged ≥18 years, had started ART, had no previous history of ASCVD and had complete ASCVD risk factor data available within the first 5 years of ART initiation.

RESULTS

A total of 3368 adults contributed data, 3221 were from TAHOD and 147 were from AHOD. The median age at ART initiation was 36 [IQR 31-43] years for TAHOD participants, and 42 [IQR 35-50] years for AHOD participants. Most TAHOD (70.4%) and AHOD (91.8%) participants were male. Overall, ASCVD risk increased from 0.84% (95% CI 0.81%-0.87%) at ART initiation to 1.34% (95% CI 1.29%-1.39%) after 5 years on ART. After adjusting for traditional and HIV-associated ASCVD risk factors, ASCVD risk increased at a similar rate among sub-populations defined by HIV exposure (heterosexuals, men who have sex with men, people who inject drugs), race/ethnicity (Caucasian and Asian) and nadir CD4 at ART initiation (<200 and ≥200 cells/mm3).

CONCLUSIONS

These findings emphasize the growing burden of ASCVD risk among PLHIV and the need to develop interventions that are effective across a broad range of HIV sub-populations.

The Association of HIV-Specific Risk Factors with Cardiovascular Events in Addition to Traditional Risk Factors in People Living with HIV

Traditional cardiovascular risk scores underestimate the incidence of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) in people living with HIV (PLH). This study compared the effect of HIV-specific cardiovascular risk factors (CRF) with traditional CRF at baseline for their association with incident CVD in PLH. The ongoing, prospective HIV HEART Aging (HIVH) study assesses CVD in PLH in the German Ruhr Area since 2004. PLH from the HIVH study with at least 5 years of follow-up were examined with the help of Cox proportional hazards models using inverse probability-of-censoring weights. The models were adjusted for age and sex. The obtained hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence limits (CL) assessed the strength of the associations between CRF and CVD. One thousand two hundred forty-three individuals (male 1,040, female 203; mean age of 43 ± 10 years) with 116 incident CVD events were analyzed. After adjusting for the traditional CRF, the HIV-specific CRF "a history of AIDS" and "higher age at diagnosis of HIV infection" (per 10 years) were associated with an increased CVD risk (HR 1.55, 95% CL: 1.05-2.28 and HR 1.55, 95% CL: 1.09-1.22, respectively). Higher CD4/CD8 ratio (per standard deviation), longer cumulative duration of antiretroviral therapies, and longer duration of HIV infection (per 10 years) showed indications for a decreased CVD risk (HR 0.75, 95% CL: 0.58-0.97, HR 0.71, 95% CL: 0.41-1.23, and HR 0.63, 95% CL: 0.44-0.90, respectively). Out of the traditional CRF, current smoking showed the strongest impact on CVD risk (HR 3.12, 95% CL: 2.06-4.74). In conclusion, HIV-specific factors, such as history of AIDS and CD4/CD8 ratio, were independently associated with an increased cardiovascular risk. Traditional CRF maintained a major effect on CVD. Clinical Trials Number (NCT04330287).

Pathophysiology and Clinical Management of Dyslipidemia in People Living with HIV: Sailing through Rough Seas

Infections with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS) represent one of the greatest health burdens worldwide. The complex pathophysiological pathways that link highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) and HIV infection per se with dyslipidemia make the management of lipid disorders and the subsequent increase in cardiovascular risk essential for the treatment of people living with HIV (PLHIV). Amongst HAART regimens, darunavir and atazanavir, tenofovir disoproxil fumarate, nevirapine, rilpivirine, and especially integrase inhibitors have demonstrated the most favorable lipid profile, emerging as sustainable options in HAART substitution. To this day, statins remain the cornerstone pharmacotherapy for dyslipidemia in PLHIV, although important drug-drug interactions with different HAART agents should be taken into account upon treatment initiation. For those intolerant or not meeting therapeutic goals, the addition of ezetimibe, PCSK9, bempedoic acid, fibrates, or fish oils should also be considered. This review summarizes the current literature on the multifactorial etiology and intricate pathophysiology of hyperlipidemia in PLHIV, with an emphasis on the role of different HAART agents, while also providing valuable insights into potential switching strategies and therapeutic options.

HIResist: a database of HIV-1 resistance to broadly neutralizing antibodies

MOTIVATION

Changing the course of the human immunodeficiency virus type I (HIV-1) pandemic is a high public health priority with approximately 39 million people currently living with HIV-1 (PLWH) and about 1.5 million new infections annually worldwide. Broadly neutralizing antibodies (bnAbs) typically target highly conserved sites on the HIV-1 envelope glycoproteins (Envs), which mediate viral entry, and block the infection of diverse HIV-1 strains. But different mechanisms of HIV-1 resistance to bnAbs prevent robust application of bnAbs for therapeutic and preventive interventions.

RESULTS

Here we report the development of a new database that provides data and computational tools to aid the discovery of resistant features and may assist in analysis of HIV-1 resistance to bnAbs. Bioinformatic tools allow identification of specific patterns in Env sequences of resistant strains and development of strategies to elucidate the mechanisms of HIV-1 escape; comparison of resistant and sensitive HIV-1 strains for each bnAb; identification of resistance and sensitivity signatures associated with specific bnAbs or groups of bnAbs; and visualization of antibody pairs on cross-sensitivity plots. The database has been designed with a particular focus on user-friendly and interactive interface. Our database is a valuable resource for the scientific community and provides opportunities to investigate patterns of HIV-1 resistance and to develop new approaches aimed to overcome HIV-1 resistance to bnAbs.

AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION

HIResist is freely available at https://hiresist.ahc.umn.edu/.

The Determinants of Elevated Pathobiological Determination of Atherosclerosis in Youth Risk Score in Perinatally HIV-Infected Adolescents in South Africa

BACKGROUND

Youth living with perinatally acquired HIV infection (YLPHIV) are at risk of developing atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease.

METHODS

We determined the Pathobiological Determinants of Atherosclerosis in Youth (PDAY) coronary arteries (CA) and abdominal aorta (AA) risk scores among YLPHIV who are ≥15 years old in Cape Town Adolescent and Antiretroviral Cohort. PDAY score was calculated using non-high-density lipoprotein, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, hyperglycemia, hypertension, obesity, and smoking; a score ≥1 was considered elevated. HIV viremia was categorized as sustained (SV) = viral load (VL) >50 copies/mL, transient (TV) = mix of VL >50 and ≤50 copies/mL, or sustained-virologic suppression = VL <50 copies/mL throughout the study. Among YLPHIV, logistic models were fit to assess factors associated with elevated PDAY.

RESULTS

Overall, 218 YLPHIV [median age 16.8 (interquartile range: 15.9-17.8) years, male 47%] were included. Among YLPHIV, 8% (n = 17) had SV, and 54% (n = 118) had TV. Median antiretroviral therapy (ART) duration was 12 (interquartile range: 8-14) years. Among YLPHIV, 30.3% and 18.4% had elevated PDAY for CA and AA, respectively.Among YLPHIV, SV [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 18.4, P < 0.01] and TV (aOR = 2.10, P = 0.04) compared with virologic suppression and ART duration in years (aOR = 1.12, P = 0.03) were associated with elevated CA. Male sex was associated with both elevated CA and AA (aOR = 2.14, P = 0.02, and aOR = 3.43, P = 0.01, respectively) and association of SV with elevated AA (aOR = 3.24, P = 0.09).

CONCLUSIONS

A substantial proportion of YLPHIV have PDAY scores reflecting increased aggregate atherosclerotic risk. Among YLPHIV, viremia, lifetime ART duration, and male sex contribute to this risk, highlighting the importance of HIV control and the need to monitor cardiometabolic health.

Pilot study on the efficacy and safety of berberine in people with metabolic syndrome and human immunodeficiency virus infection

BACKGROUND

Antiretroviral therapy has increased the life expectancy of people living with HIV. However, this increase is not free of comorbidities, and metabolic syndrome is one of the most prevalent. Berberine is an alkaloid nutraceutical that has been shown to ameliorate metabolic disorders such as prediabetes, polycystic ovary syndrome, and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. However, it has not been tested in HIV infection. Therefore, we conducted a randomized controlled trial to evaluate the efficacy of berberine in improving metabolic syndrome.

METHODS AND RESULTS

In this double-blind, placebo-controlled trial, adults living with HIV under virological suppression and metabolic syndrome received either berberine 500 mg TID or placebo for 20 weeks. The primary outcomes were a composite of weight reduction, insulin resistance decrease, and lipid profile improvement. A total of 43 participants were randomized (22 in the berberine group and 21 in the placebo group); 36 participants completed the follow-up and were analyzed. The berberine group showed a reduction in weight and body mass index, lower insulin resistance, and a reduction in TNF-alpha. The control group had higher total cholesterol, c-LDL, and IL-6 concentration.

CONCLUSION

In people living with HIV under virological suppression, berberine was safe and improves clinical and biochemical components of metabolic syndrome. However, further studies with more participants and longer intervention periods need to be explored.

Association of Antiretroviral Therapy with Platelet Function and Systemic Inflammatory Response in People Living with HIV: A Cross-Sectional Study

People living with HIV (PLWHIV) present an increased risk of adverse cardiovascular events. We aimed to assess whether antiretroviral therapy (ART) pharmacologically enhances platelet reactivity and platelet activation intensity, and explore the potential association with underlying inflammatory status. This was a cross-sectional cohort study carried out among PLWHIV on diverse ART regimens. Platelet reactivity and activation intensity were assessed using the bedside point-of-care VerifyNow assay, in P2Y12 reaction units (PRU), measurements of monocyte-platelet complexes, and P-selectin and GPIIb/IIIa expression increase, following activation with ADP, respectively. Levels of major inflammatory markers and whole blood parameters were also evaluated. In total, 71 PLWHIV, 59 on ART and 22 healthy controls, were included in this study. PRU values were significantly elevated in PLWHIV compared to controls [Mean; 257.85 vs. 196.67, p < 0.0001], but no significant differences were noted between ART-naïve or ART-experienced PLWHIV, or between TAF/TDF and ABC based regimens, similar to systemic inflammatory response. However, within-group analysis showed that PRUs were significantly higher in ABC/PI vs ABC/INSTI or TAF/TDF + PI patients, in line with levels of IL-2. PRU values did not correlate strongly with CD4 counts, viral load, or cytokine values. P-selectin and GPIIb/IIIa expression increased following ADP activation and were significantly more prominent in PLWHIV (p < 0.005). Platelet reactivity and platelet activation intensity were shown to be increased in PLWHIV, but they did not appear to be related to ART initiation, similar to the underlying systemic inflammatory response.

Direct and indirect cardiovascular and cardiometabolic sequelae of the combined anti-retroviral therapy on people living with HIV

With reports of its emergence as far back as the early 1900s, human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) has become one of the deadliest and most difficult viruses to treat in the era of modern medicine. Although not always effective, HIV treatment has evolved and improved substantially over the past few decades. Despite the major advancements in the efficacy of HIV therapy, there are mounting concerns about the physiological, cardiovascular, and neurological sequelae of current treatments. The objective of this review is to (Blattner et al., Cancer Res., 1985, 45(9 Suppl), 4598s-601s) highlight the different forms of antiretroviral therapy, how they work, and any effects that they may have on the cardiovascular health of patients living with HIV, and to (Mann et al., J Infect Dis, 1992, 165(2), 245-50) explore the new, more common therapeutic combinations currently available and their effects on cardiovascular and neurological health. We executed a computer-based literature search using databases such as PubMed to look for relevant, original articles that were published after 1998 to current year. Articles that had relevance, in any capacity, to the field of HIV therapy and its intersection with cardiovascular and neurological health were included. Amongst currently used classes of HIV therapies, protease inhibitors (PIs) and combined anti-retroviral therapy (cART) were found to have an overall negative effect on the cardiovascular system related to increased cardiac apoptosis, reduced repair mechanisms, block hyperplasia/hypertrophy, decreased ATP production in the heart tissue, increased total cholesterol, low-density lipoproteins, triglycerides, and gross endothelial dysfunction. The review of Integrase Strand Transfer Inhibitors (INSTI), Nucleoside Reverse Transcriptase Inhibitors (NRTI), and Non-Nucleoside Reverse Transcriptase Inhibitors (NNRTI) revealed mixed results, in which both positive and negative effects on cardiovascular health were observed. In parallel, studies suggest that autonomic dysfunction caused by these drugs is a frequent and significant occurrence that needs to be closely monitored in all HIV + patients. While still a relatively nascent field, more research on the cardiovascular and neurological implications of HIV therapy is crucial to accurately evaluate patient risk.

Development and Validation of the HIV-CARDIO-PREDICT Score to Estimate the Risk of Cardiovascular Events in HIV-Infected Patients

IMPORTANCE

Commonly used risk assessment tools for cardiovascular disease might not be accurate for HIV-infected patients.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to develop a model to accurately predict the 10-year cardiovascular disease (CV) risk of HIV-infected patients.

DESIGN

In this retrospective cohort study, adult HIV-infected patients seen at Boston Medical Center between March 2012 and January 2017 were divided into model development and validation cohorts.

SETTING

Boston Medical Center, a tertiary, academic medical center.

PARTICIPANTS

Adult HIV-infected patients, seen in inpatient and outpatient setting.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

We used logistic regression to create a prediction risk model for cardiovascular events using data from the development cohort. Using a point-based risk-scoring system, we summarized the relationship between risk factors and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. We then used the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) to evaluate model discrimination. Finally, we tested the model using a validation cohort.

RESULTS

1914 individuals met the inclusion criteria. The model had excellent discrimination for CVD risk [AUC 0.989; (95% CI: 0.986-0.993)] and included the following 11 variables: male sex (95% CI: 2.53-3.99), African American race/ethnicity (95% CI: 1.50-3.13), current age (95% CI: 0.07-0.13), age at HIV diagnosis (95% CI: -0.10-(-0.02)), peak HIV viral load (95% CI: 9.89 × 10^-7-3.00 × 10^-6), nadir CD4 lymphocyte count (95% CI: -0.03-(-0.02)), hypertension (95% CI: 0.20-1.54), hyperlipidemia (95% CI: 3.03-4.60), diabetes (95% CI: 0.61-1.89), chronic kidney disease (95% CI: 1.26-2.62), and smoking (95% CI: 0.12-2.39). The eleven-parameter multiple logistic regression model had excellent discrimination [AUC 0.957; (95% CI: 0.938-0.975)] when applied to the validation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Our novel HIV-CARDIO-PREDICT Score may provide a rapid and accurate evaluation of CV disease risk among HIV-infected patients and inform prevention measures.

Performance of Cardiovascular Risk Prediction Models Among People Living With HIV: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Importance

Extant data on the performance of cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk score models in people living with HIV have not been synthesized.

Objective

To synthesize available data on the performance of the various CVD risk scores in people living with HIV.

Data Sources

PubMed and Embase were searched from inception through January 31, 2021.

Study Selection

Selected studies (1) were chosen based on cohort design, (2) included adults with a diagnosis of HIV, (3) assessed CVD outcomes, and (4) had available data on a minimum of 1 CVD risk score.

Data Extraction and Synthesis

Relevant data related to study characteristics, CVD outcome, and risk prediction models were extracted in duplicate. Measures of calibration and discrimination are presented in tables and qualitatively summarized. Additionally, where possible, estimates of discrimination and calibration measures were combined and stratified by type of risk model.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Measures of calibration and discrimination.

Results

Nine unique observational studies involving 75 304 people (weighted average age, 42 years; 59 490 male individuals [79%]) living with HIV were included. In the studies reporting these data, 86% were receiving antiretroviral therapy and had a weighted average CD4+ count of 449 cells/μL. Included in the study were current smokers (50%), patients with diabetes (5%), and patients with hypertension (25%). Ten risk prediction scores (6 in the general population and 4 in the HIV-specific population) were analyzed. Most risk scores had a moderate performance in discrimination (C statistic: 0.7-0.8), without a significant difference in performance between the risk scores of the general and HIV-specific populations. One of the HIV-specific risk models (Data Collection on Adverse Effects of Anti-HIV Drugs Cohort 2016) and 2 of the general population risk models (Framingham Risk Score [FRS] and Pooled Cohort Equation [PCE] 10 year) had the highest performance in discrimination. In general, models tended to underpredict CVD risk, except for FRS and PCE 10-year scores, which were better calibrated. There was substantial heterogeneity across the studies, with only a few studies contributing data for each risk score.

Conclusions and Relevance

Results of this systematic review and meta-analysis suggest that general population and HIV-specific CVD risk models had comparable, moderate discrimination ability in people living with HIV, with a general tendency to underpredict risk. These results reinforce the current recommendations provided by the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association guidelines to consider HIV as a risk-enhancing factor when estimating CVD risk.

Prediction models for cardiovascular disease risk among people living with HIV: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

HIV continues to be a major global health issue. The relative risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) among people living with HIV (PLWH) was 2.16 compared to non-HIV-infections. The prediction of CVD is becoming an important issue in current HIV management. However, there is no consensus on optional CVD risk models for PLWH. Therefore, we aimed to systematically summarize and compare prediction models for CVD risk among PLWH.

Methods

Longitudinal studies that developed or validated prediction models for CVD risk among PLWH were systematically searched. Five databases were searched up to January 2022. The quality of the included articles was evaluated by using the Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool (PROBAST). We applied meta-analysis to pool the logit-transformed C-statistics for discrimination performance.

Results

Thirteen articles describing 17 models were included. All the included studies had a high risk of bias. In the meta-analysis, the pooled estimated C-statistic was 0.76 (95% CI: 0.72-0.81, I ² = 84.8%) for the Data collection on Adverse Effects of Anti-HIV Drugs Study risk equation (D:A:D) (2010), 0.75 (95% CI: 0.70-0.79, I ² = 82.4%) for the D:A:D (2010) 10-year risk version, 0.77 (95% CI: 0.74-0.80, I ² = 82.2%) for the full D:A:D (2016) model, 0.74 (95% CI: 0.68-0.79, I ² = 86.2%) for the reduced D:A:D (2016) model, 0.71 (95% CI: 0.61-0.79, I ² = 87.9%) for the Framingham Risk Score (FRS) for coronary heart disease (CHD) (1998), 0.74 (95% CI: 0.70-0.78, I ² = 87.8%) for the FRS CVD model (2008), 0.72 (95% CI: 0.67-0.76, I ² = 75.0%) for the pooled cohort equations of the American Heart Society/ American score (PCE), and 0.67 (95% CI: 0.56-0.77, I ² = 51.3%) for the Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE). In the subgroup analysis, the discrimination of PCE was significantly better in the group aged ≤40 years than in the group aged 40-45 years (P = 0.024) and the group aged ≥45 years (P = 0.010). No models were developed or validated in Sub-Saharan Africa and the Asia region.

Conclusions

The full D:A:D (2016) model performed the best in terms of discrimination, followed by the D:A:D (2010) and PCE. However, there were no significant differences between any of the model pairings. Specific CVD risk models for older PLWH and for PLWH in Sub-Saharan Africa and the Asia region should be established.Systematic Review Registration: PROSPERO CRD42022322024.

Low incidence of advanced neurological burden but high incidence of age-related conditions that are dementia risk factors in aging people living with HIV: a data-linkage 10-year follow-up study

Although increasing research is focusing on age-related comorbidities (ARC) among people living with HIV (PLHIV), no studies have concomitantly assessed non-HIV age-related neurological disorders (e.g., Alzheimer’s dementia). A total of 254 PLHIV and 69 HIV-negative controls completed baseline medical history and cognitive testing. ARC data were collected from medical records over the subsequent 9-10 years and included all types of strokes, all types of dementia, mild cognitive impairment, Parkinson's disease, motor neuron disease (grouped into a non-HIV age-related neurological category), cardiovascular disease, chronic kidney disease, chronic liver disease, chronic lung disease, non-AIDS cancers, osteoporosis, and diabetes. Kaplan–Meier curves assessed differences in the incident rates (per 1000 person year) of groups of ARC as defined above and combined ARC (i.e., development of any of the ARC) among younger (baseline age < 50) and older (baseline age ≥ 50) PLHIV and younger and older controls. Cox-proportional hazard models assessed the individual and interaction effects of HIV status and chronological age, in addition to a range of demographic and clinical variables including historical and baseline HIV brain involvement on the risk of developing combined ARC. Older PLHIV had a higher incidence of cardiovascular disease, osteoporosis, and combined ARC compared to other groups (p < 0.05). Incident rate of non-HIV age-related neurological disorders was 2.3 [0.93, 4.79] per 1000 person year. While this incident rate was higher in older PLHIV (5.37 [1.97, 11.92]) than older HIV-negative participants (3.58 [0.18-17.67]), this was not significant. In multivariate analyses, HIV status and chronological age, but not their interaction, and smoking were associated with higher risk of combined ARC (p < 0.05). In analyses focusing on PLHIV, older age and taking abacavir/efavirenz/atazanavir/darunavir containing antiretroviral treatments at the time of diagnosis were associated with greater ARC (p < 0.05). Non-HIV age-related neurological disorders are uncommon in older PLHIV, where the majority were < 70 years of age at the end of follow-up. However, the greater burden of ARC among older PLHIV, most of which are established dementia risk factors, warrants the establishment of commensurate prevention strategies and greater attention to neurocognitive screening.

Higher Risk of Dyslipidemia With Coformulated Elvitegravir, Cobicistat, Emtricitabine, and Tenofovir Alafenamide than Efavirenz, Lamivudine, and Tenofovir Disoproxil Fumarate Among Antiretroviral-Naive People Living With HIV in China

BACKGROUND

We aimed to examine the evolution of blood lipids and compare the risk of dyslipidemia between antiretroviral-naive people living with HIV who received tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF), lamivudine (3TC), and efavirenz (EFV) (TDF + 3TC + EFV) and those who received coformulated elvitegravir, cobicistat, emtricitabine, and tenofovir alafenamide (E/C/F/TAF).

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of 2343 antiretroviral-naive people living with HIV who initiated TDF + 3TC + EFV or E/C/F/TAF. A propensity score matching method was used to compare longitudinal changes of blood lipids between the 2 groups.

RESULTS

By using 1:3 matching ratio, we included 253 and 91 matched patients in TDF + 3TC + EFV group and E/C/F/TAF group, respectively. The levels of total cholesterol, triglyceride, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol were higher in E/C/F/TAF group than those in TDF + 3TC + EFV group at 3, 6, 9, and 12 months (Wilcoxon test, all Ps < 0.05), except for high-density lipoprotein cholesterol at 9 and 12 months. The cumulative rates of hypercholesterolemia, hypertriglyceridemia, and high LDL-C in PLWH with normal lipid levels in E/C/F/TAF group were higher than those in TDF + 3TC + EFV group (hypercholesterolemia, 59.7% vs 21.5%, P < 0.001; hypertriglyceridemia, 69.5% vs 46.3%, P < 00.001; and high LDL-C, 41.5% vs 14.2%, P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis showed treatment with E/C/F/TAF was associated with a significantly higher risk of hypercholesterolemia [adjusted hazard ratio (HR), 4.12; 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.65 to 6.41], hypertriglyceridemia (adjusted HR, 1.69; 95% CI: 1.18 to 2.43), and high LDL-C (adjusted HR, 4.60; 95% CI: 2.66 to 7.97).

CONCLUSIONS

We concluded that treatment with E/C/F/TAF resulted in higher risks of dyslipidemia compared with TDF + 3TC + EFV.

Association of inflammatory biomarkers and cardiovascular risk scores in an Italian cohort of HIV positive patient undergoing antiretroviral therapy

BACKGROUND

Several algorithms have been developed to predict cardiovascular risk (CVR) over time, however none of them seem to be accurate when applied to HIV patients.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to assess plasma inflammatory biomarkers in relation to multiple CVR scores (FRS, ASCVD, PROCAM and the DAD-5 Years-Estimated-Risk) in an Italian cohort of HIV patients undergoing a combined Antiretroviral Therapy (cART).

METHODS

We enrolled HIV patients undergoing cART without any change in the HIV-related pharmacological therapy over the last 48 weeks Demographic and anamnestic data were collected, and a biochemical panel including the following biomarkers was collected: CRP, Cystatin-C, microalbuminuria, IL-18, IL-2, IL-4, IL-6, IL-10, TNF-α and IFN- γ. CVR scores were obtained for each patient and compared to the biochemical panel to assess statistical correlation.

RESULTS

90 Caucasian HIV patients were enrolled. Assessment of CVR scores showed FRS values of 6.98±6.11%, ASCVD 7.18±6.25%, PROCAM 6.7±7.4% and DAD-5 Years Estimated Risk 3.10±3.41%. We found correlations between the levels of circulating cytokines measured and the cardiovascular risk prediction scores.

CONCLUSIONS

Our data showed that the values of selected inflammatory biomarkers strongly correlate with the CVR scores, suggesting that they can be employed as reliable predictors of cardiovascular disease in HIV patients. The routine use of selected biomarkers associated with systemic inflammation could be a valid and readily available tool for clinicians to assess and monitor cardiovascular risk in HIV patients.

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Prevalence and determinants of non-communicable diseases including depression among HIV patients on antiretroviral therapy in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania

OBJECTIVE

People living with HIV/AIDS (PLHA) are experiencing growing co-morbidities due to an increase in life expectancy and the use of long-term antiretroviral therapy (ART). The lack of integrated non-communicable diseases (NCDs) screening and management at the HIV care and treatment centres (CTCs) make it difficult to determine the trends of NCD co-morbidity among patients with HIV. This study aimed to assess the burden and determinants of common NCDs, including depression among patients with HIV.

METHODS

Analytical cross-sectional study of 1318 HIV patients enrolled using systematic random sampling conducted from April to November 2020. Five large CTCs in district referral hospitals were selected representing the five districts of Dar es Salaam including Mwananyamala, Temeke, and Amana regional referral hospitals and Sinza and Vijibweni hospitals. The study population consisted of adult PLHA aged 18 years and above. The primary outcome measure was the prevalence of NCDs among HIV patients. Observation of actual NCD medications or their purchase receipts or booked NCD clinic appointments that PLHA had during the study period was used to verify the reported presence of NCDs. The secondary outcome measure was the prevalence of probable depression among PLHA. The locally validated Swahili Patient Health Questionnaire (PHQ-9) was used to screen for depressive symptom severity. A logistic regression model was used to identify factors associated with common NCDs and those associated with probable depression. Potential risk factors that were statistically significant at a P-value of 0.2 or less in univariable analysis were included as potential confounders in multivariable models.

RESULTS

The median age of participants was 42 (IQR 35-49) years, with 32.7% in the 36-45 years age group. The majority of patients were women (69%). Most (80.5%) had achieved HIV viral (VL) suppression (a serum HIV VL of <1000 copies/ml). Overall, 14.3% of self-reported an NCD with evidence of their current medication for the NCD from receipts for medication purchased and appointments from NCD clinics they attended. In the multivariable analyses, higher odds of NCDs were in older patients (>45 years) and those with a weight above 75 kg (P < 0.05). Male patients had 51% reduced odds of NCDs (aOR 0.49; 95% CI: 0.32-0.74) than females (P < 0.001). Probable depression prevalence was 11.8%, and depressed patients had more than twice the odds of having NCDs than those without depression (aOR 2.26; 95% CI: 1.45-3.51; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

This study determined co-existing previously diagnosed NCDs among PLHA accessing care and high levels of depressive symptom severity. We recommend additional research on the feasibility, acceptability, and cost implications of screening and treating NCDs on HIV care platforms to provide evidence for Tanzania's integrated HIV/NCD care model.

Brain aging and cardiovascular factors in HIV: a longitudinal volume and shape MRI study

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to examine the relative contributions of HIV infection, age, and cardiovascular risk factors to subcortical brain atrophy in people with HIV (PWH).

DESIGN

Longitudinal observational study.

METHODS

Virally suppressed PWH with low neuropsychological confounds (n  = 75) and demographically matched HIV-negative controls (n = 31) completed baseline and 18-month follow-up MRI scans, neuropsychological evaluation, cardiovascular assessments, and HIV laboratory tests. PWH were evaluated for HIV-associated neurocognitive disorder (HAND). Subcortical volumes were extracted with Freesurfer after removal of white matter hyperintensities. Volumetric and shape analyses were conducted using linear mixed-effect models incorporating interactions between age, time, and each of HIV status, HAND status, HIV disease factors, and cardiovascular markers.

RESULTS

Across baseline and follow-up PWH had smaller volumes of most subcortical structures compared with HIV-negative participants. In addition, over time older PWH had a more rapid decline in caudate volumes (P  = 0.041), predominantly in the more severe HAND subgroups (P = 0.042). Higher CD4+ cell counts had a protective effect over time on subcortical structures for older participants with HIV. Increased cardiovascular risk factors were associated with smaller volumes across baseline and follow-up for most structures, although a more rapid decline over time was observed for striatal volumes. There were no significant shape analyses findings.

CONCLUSION

The study demonstrates a three-hit model of general (as opposed to localized) subcortical injury in PWH: HIV infection associated with smaller volumes of most subcortical structures, HIV infection and aging synergy in the striatum, and cardiovascular-related injury linked to early and more rapid striatal atrophy.

Incidence of acute ischemic cerebrovascular events in a cohort of HIV-infected patients

The prevalence of vascular diseases in HIV (human immunodeficiency virus)-infected individuals has been comprehensively investigated. However, their incidence of ischemic cerebrovascular events has not been thoroughly examined. Our aim was to examine the rate of ischemic stroke or TIA (transient ischemic attack) in a defined HIV population and to find the risk factors that are characteristic in this population. A case-controlled retrospective cohort study of HIV patients followed up at Kaplan Medical Center between 2009 and 2017 was performed. The study included 300 patients who had been compared to a matched age and gender group. The data were collected by reviewing patients' files and imaging studies. The first goal was to compare the incidence of ischemic cerebrovascular events in both groups. Secondary endpoints were to characterize the types of cerebrovascular events and risk factors in the study group versus the general population. There were more ischemic stroke cases in the study group vs. the control group. After adjusting for vascular risk factors in a multivariate analysis, the odds ratio for a cerebrovascular accident in the HIV patient group was 2.29 (p = 0.057). Notably, in the comparative group, the vascular risk factors' rate (hyperlipidemia, IHD and smoking) was higher than in the HIV group. In this study, ischemic cerebrovascular events were more common in HIV-infected patients than in the control group, in spite of the fact that they had fewer vascular risk factors.

Circulating CD4+ TEMRA and CD4+ CD28- T cells and incident diabetes among persons with and without HIV

OBJECTIVE

A higher proportion of circulating memory CD4+ T cells is associated with prevalent diabetes mellitus in persons with HIV (PWH) and HIV-negative persons. We assessed whether circulating T-cell subsets could also identify individuals who will subsequently develop diabetes.

DESIGN

This is a longitudinal follow-up study of PWH and similar HIV-negative individuals from the Veterans Aging Cohort Study who provided peripheral mononuclear blood cells between 2005 and 2007.

METHODS

We quantified T-cell subsets using flow cytometry and functional assays to identify CD4+ and CD8+ naive, activated, senescent, memory (central, effector, and effector RA+), and TH1, TH2, and TH17-phenotype cells. The occurrence of an incident diabetes diagnosis (i.e. after baseline blood draw) was adjudicated by a two-physician chart review. Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for traditional risk factors, cytomegalovirus serostatus, and plasma inflammatory biomarkers assessed the relationship between T-cell subsets and incident diabetes.

RESULTS

One thousand, eight hundred and thirty-seven participants (1259 PWH) without diabetes at baseline were included; 69% were black, 95% were men, and median follow-up was 8.6 years. Higher baseline frequencies of CD4+ T effector memory RA+ (TEMRA) cells defined as CD45RA+ CD27- (P = 0.04) and senescent T cells defined as CD4+ CD28- (P = 0.04) were associated with incident diabetes in PWH only.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher frequencies of CD4+ TEMRA and CD4+ CD28- T cells were associated with incident diabetes in PWH only after adjustment for other factors. Additional studies are necessary to assess whether these cells act in blood via inflammatory mediators or reflect T-cell populations in metabolically active tissues.

Are Physical Fitness and CRP Related to Framingham Risk Score in HIV+ Adults?

Background. People living with HIV (PLWH) have increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). The Framingham Risk Score (FRS) predicts a 10-year CVD risk. Its relationships to physical fitness and C-reactive protein (CRP) are not well established. The current aim is to determine the links between FRS, physical fitness, and CRP in PLWH. Methods. Participants (n = 87) were assessed on multiple biomarkers. The FRS was calculated with the respective variables. Other variables that correlated significantly with FRS were entered into a regression equation to determine their relationship to FRS. Results. The FRS for men was more than twice that for women (12.8 vs 6.0, P < .001). Men were more fit than women, but most participants were not fit. Aerobic capacity was predictive of FRS in men, but not in women, and muscular strength was not predictive of FRS. Women had more than double the CRP compared with men (7.9 vs 3.5 mg/L, P < .01), and it was unrelated to FRS. Conclusions. In men, aerobic capacity was significantly predictive of FRS, but muscular strength and CRP were unrelated to FRS in both genders. These results do not conclusively demonstrate that physical fitness and CRP are related to FRS in PLWH.

Gut microbiota from Mexican patients with metabolic syndrome and HIV infection: an inflammatory profile

AIM

A remarkable increase in metabolic syndrome (MetS) has occurred in HIV-infected subjects. Gut dysbiosis is involved in the pathogenesis of metabolic disorders. Therefore, the aim is to explore the profile of the gut microbiota in Mexican population with HIV infection and MetS.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Thirty HIV-infected patients with MetS compared to a group of 30 patients without MetS, treated with integrase inhibitors and undetectable viral load were included in the study. Stool samples were analysed by 16S rRNA next-generation sequencing. High sensitivity C-reactive protein >3mg l^-1 and higher scores in cardiometabolic indices were associated with MetS. The group with MetS was characterized by a decrease in α-diversity, higher abundance of Enterobacteriaceae and Prevotella, as well as a dramatic decrease in bacteria producing short-chain fatty acids. Prevotella negatively correlated with Akkermansia, Lactobacillus, and Anaerostipes. Interestingly, the group without MetS presented higher abundance of Faecalibacterium, Ruminococcus, Anaerofilum, Oscillospira and Anaerostipes. Functional pathways related to energy metabolism and inflammation were increased in the group with MetS.

CONCLUSIONS

HIV-infected patients with MetS present a strong inflammatory microbiota profile; therefore, future strategies to balance intestinal dysbiosis should be implemented.

SIGNIFICANCE AND IMPACT OF STUDY

Dysbiosis in MetS HIV-infected patients is a promising therapeutic target.

Cardiovascular risk score associations with frailty in men and women with or at risk for HIV

OBJECTIVE

To understand the relationship between cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk and frailty among men (MWH) and women living with HIV (WWH), or at risk for HIV.

DESIGN

We considered 10-year coronary heart disease and atherosclerotic CVD risk by Framingham risk score (FRS, 2001 National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Program III) and Pooled Cohort Equations (PCE, 2013 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association) in relation to the Fried Frailty Phenotype (FFP) in the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study (MACS) and Women's Interagency HIV Study (WIHS).

METHODS

FFP was ascertained in MACS from 2004 to 2019 and in WIHS from 2005 to 2006 and 2011-2019. FFP score at least three of five components defined frailty. Repeated measures logistic regression (both cohorts) and Cox proportional hazards regression (MACS) were performed, controlled for education, income, cholesterol medication and hepatitis C virus serostatus, and among MWH and WWH, CD4+ cell count/μl, antiretroviral therapy, and HIV viral load.

RESULTS

There were 5554 participants (1265 HIV seronegative/1396 MWH; 768 seronegative/1924 WWH) included. Among men, high-risk FRS was associated with increased risk of incident frailty among seronegative [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR)) = 2.12, 95% confidence interval (CI):1.22-3.69] and MWH (aHR = 2.19, 95% CI: 1.33-3.61). Similar associations were seen with high-risk PCE and incident frailty among SN (aHR = 1.88, 95% CI: 1.48-2.39) and MWH (aHR = 1.59, 95% CI: 1.26-2.00). Among women, high-risk PCE was associated with frailty in SN [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 1.43, 95% CI: 1.02-2.00] and WWH (aOR = 1.36, 95% CI: 1.08-1.71); however, high-risk FRS was not (seronegative: aOR = 1.03, 95% CI: 0.30-3.49; WWH: aOR = 0.86, 95% CI: 0.23-3.20).

CONCLUSION

Higher CVD risk was associated with increased frailty regardless of HIV serostatus among men and women. These findings may inform clinical practices of screening for frailty.

Coronary artery plaque progression and cardiovascular risk scores in men with and without HIV-infection

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to assess the association of cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk scores and coronary artery plaque (CAP) progression in HIV-infected participants.

METHODS

We studied men with and without HIV-infection enrolled in the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study (MACS) CVD study. CAP at baseline and follow-up was assessed with cardiac computed tomography angiography (CCTA). We examined the association between baseline risk scores including pooled cohort equation (PCE), Framingham risk score (FRS), and Data collect of Adverse effects of anti-HIV drugs equation (D:A:D) and CAP progression.

RESULTS

We studied 495 men (211 HIV-uninfected, 284 HIV-infected). The adjusted odds ratio (aOR) of total plaque volume (TPV) and noncalcified plaque volume (NCPV) progression in the highest relative to lowest tertile was 9.4 [95% confidence interval (95% CI) 2.4-12.1, P < 0.001)] and 7.7 (95% CI 3.1-19.1, P < 0.001) times greater, respectively, among HIV-uninfected men in the PCE atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) high vs. low-risk category. Among HIV-infected men, the association for TPV and NCPV progression for the same PCE risk categories, odds ratio (OR) 2.8 (95% CI 1.4-5.8, P < 0.01) and OR 2.4 (95% CI 1.2-4.8, P < 0.05), respectively (P values for interaction by HIV = 0.02 and 0.08, respectively). Similar results were seen for the FRS risk scores. Among HIV-uninfected men, PCE high risk category identified the highest proportion of men with plaque progression in the highest tertile, although in HIV-infected men, high-risk category by D:A:D identified the greatest percentage of men with plaque progression albeit with lower specificity than FRS and PCE.

CONCLUSION

PCE and FRS categories predict CAP progression better in HIV-uninfected than in HIV-infected men. Improved CVD risk scores are needed to identify high-risk HIV-infected men for more aggressive CVD risk prevention strategies.

Biomarkers to predict cardiovascular disease in people living with HIV

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Cardiovascular diseases (CVD) is one of the leading cause of morbidity and mortality in antiretroviral treated people living with HIV (PWH) with risk score algorithms based on traditional risk factors being shown to be consistently unreliable in estimating risk in this population. This review aims to examine recent data published in last 18-24 months exploring biomarkers that may be useful in identifying PWH at risk of developing CVD.

RECENT FINDINGS

Ongoing research explores the association of inflammatory biomarkers with subclinical CVD with few studies examining their clinical utility in improving CVD risk prediction. Further mechanistic studies explore the role of monocyte/macrophages in CVD pathogenesis with some studies examining functional assays as better predictors of CVD risk.

SUMMARY

Although persistent associations with inflammatory markers and CVD are demonstrated, few biomarkers have emerged as being clinically useful. Large population studies are needed to assess their utility in improving CVD risk prediction in PWH.

Cardiovascular risk prediction equations underestimate risk in people living with HIV: Comparison and cut-point redefinition for 19 cardiovascular risk equations

BACKGROUND

Rates of cardiovascular disease are higher in people living with HIV. Early detection of high-risk subjects (applying cardiovascular risk equations) would allow preventive actions. D:A:D, ASCVD and FRS:CVD equations are the most recommended. However, controversies surround these equations and cut-points, which have the greatest capacity to discriminate high-risk subjects.

OBJECTIVES

The study aims (i) to assess the association/agreement between cardiovascular risk levels obtained with D:A:D and fifteen other cardiovascular risk equations, (ii) to detect cardiovascular risk equations capability to detect high-risk subjects, and (iii) to specify the optimal cardiovascular risk equation´s cut points for the prediction of carotid plaque presence, as a surrogate of high cardiovascular risk.

METHODS

86 adults with HIV were submitted to the clinical, laboratory and cardiovascular risk evaluation (including carotid ultrasound measurements). Cardiovascular risk was evaluated through multiple risk equations (e.g., D.A.D, ASCVD and FRS equations). Association and agreement between equations (Correlation, Bland-Altman, Williams´test) and equations capacity to detect plaque presence (ROC curves, sensitivity, specificity) were evaluated.

RESULTS

Cardiovascular risk equations showed a significant and positive correlation with plaque presence. Higher high-cardiovascular risk detection capability was obtained for ASCVD and D:A:D. Full D:A:D5y>0.88%, ASCVD>2.80% and FRS:CVD>2.77% correspond to a 80% sensitivity.

CONCLUSION

All cardiovascular risk equations underestimate the true risk in HIV subjects. The cut-points for high cardiovascular risk were found to vary greatly from recommended in clinical guidelines.

Increased Circulating Levels of Growth Differentiation Factor 15 in Association with Metabolic Disorders in People Living with HIV Receiving Combined Antiretroviral Therapy

Objective: People living with HIV (PLWH) have an increased cardiovascular risk (CVR) owing to dyslipidemia, insulin resistance, metabolic syndrome, and HIV/combination antiretroviral therapy (cART)-associated lipodystrophy (HALS). Atherosclerosis and inflammation are related to growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF15). The relationship between metabolic disturbances, HALS, and CVR with GDF15 in PLWH is not known. Research design and methods: Circulating GDF15 levels in 152 PLWH (with HALS = 60, without HALS = 43, cART-naïve = 49) and 34 healthy controls were assessed in a cross-sectional study. Correlations with lipids, glucose homeostasis, fat distribution, and CVR were explored. Results: PLWH had increased circulating GDF15 levels relative to controls. The increase was the largest in cART-treated PLWH. Age, homeostatic model assessment of insulin resistance 1 (HOMA1-IR), HALS, dyslipidemia, C-reactive protein, and CVR estimated with the Framingham score correlated with GDF15 levels. The GDF15-Framingham correlation was lost after age adjustment. No correlation was found between GDF15 and the D:A:D Data Collection on Adverse Effects of Anti-HIV Drugs (D:A:D) score estimated CVR. CVR independent predictors were patient group (naïve, HALS−, and HALS+) and cumulated protease inhibitor or nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor exposure. Conclusions: PLWH, especially when cART-treated, has increased GDF15 levels—this increase is associated with dyslipidemia, insulin resistance, metabolic syndrome, HALS, and inflammation-related parameters. GDF15 is unassociated with CVR when age-adjusted.

Comparison of Three Cardiovascular Risk Scores among HIV-Infected Patients in Korea: The Korea HIV/AIDS Cohort Study

Background

We investigated cardiovascular disease (CVD), risk factors for CVD, and applicability of the three known CVD risk equations in the Korean human immunodeficiency virus/ Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome (HIV/AIDS) cohort.

Materials and Methods

The study parcitipants were HIV-infected patients in a Korean HIV/AIDS cohort enrolled from 19 hospitals between 2006 and 2017. Data collected at entry to the cohort were analyzed. The 5-year CVD risk in each participant was calculated using three CVD risk equations: reduced CVD prediction model of HIV-specific data collection on adverse effects of anti-HIV drugs (R-DAD), Framingham general CVD risk score (FRS), and Korean Coronary Heart Disease Risk Score (KRS).

Results

CVD events were observed in 11 of 586 HIV-infected patients during a 5-year (median) follow-up period. The incidence of CVD was 4.11 per 1,000 person-years. Older age (64 vs. 41 years, P = 0.005) and diabetes mellitus (45.5% vs. 6.4%, P <0.001) were more frequent in patients with CVD. Using R-DAD, FRS, and KRS, 1.9%, 2.4%, and 0.7% of patients, respectively, were considered to have a very high risk (≥10%) of 5-year CVD. The discriminatory capacities of the three prediction models were good, with c-statistic values of 0.829 (P <0.001) for R-DAD, 0.824 (P <0.001) for FRS, and 0.850 (P = 0.001) for KRS.

Conclusion

The FRS, R-DAD, and KRS performed well in the Korean HIV/AIDS cohort. A larger cohort and a longer period of follow-up may be necessary to demonstrate the risk factors and develop an independent CVD risk prediction model specific to Korean patients with HIV.

Weight Gain and Lipid Profile Changes in Koreans with Human Immunodeficiency Virus undergoing Integrase Strand Transfer Inhibitor-Based Regimens

Background

This study explored the relationship between integrase strand transfer inhibitor (INSTI)-based anti-retroviral agents and weight gain over time, and the risk factors for weight gain in Korean people living with human immunodeficiency virus (PLWH).

Materials and Methods

The study was conducted retrospectively in PLWHs 18 years of age or older who took one of three INSTI-based single-tablet regimens (STRs) (tenofovir disoproxil fumarate/emtricitabine/elvitegravir/cobicistat [TDF/F/EVG/c], tenofovir alafenamide/emtricitabine/elvitegravir/cobicistat [TAF/F/EVG/c], and abacavir/lamivudine/dolutegravir [ABC/3TC/DTG]) for more than 2 years at three university-affiliated hospitals in South Korea from May 2014 to December 2020. Analysis was performed in the treatment-naïve and treatment-experienced groups, respectively.

Results

Individual INSTI-based STRs were associated with weight gain at the 24-month follow up in both treatment-naïve (n = 179) and treatment-experienced (n = 290) groups. Body mass index (BMI) categories changed over time for TAF/F/EVG/c and ABC/3TC/DTG, with significant increases in the rates of overweight and obesity in treatment-naïve patients, whereas there was no change for TDF/F/EVG/c. TAF/F/EVG/c significantly increased total cholesterol (TC), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), and triglyceride (TG) compared to other regimens over 24 months. In the treatment-naïve group, a baseline CD4⁺ T cell count <100 cells/mm³, human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) viral load (VL) ≥100,000 copies/mL, no physical exercise, and TAF/F/EVG/c (vs. TDF/F/EVF/c) were risk factors for ≥10% weight gain. In the treatment-experienced group, age <45 years, BMI <25 kg/m², and no physical exercise were risk factors for ≥5% weight gain.

Conclusion

INSTI-based STR continued to increase body weight at the 24-month follow up in treated and untreated Korean PLWH. Exercise, together with demographic-, HIV-, and anti-retroviral therapy-related factors, influenced weight gain. Therefore, when prescribing an INSTI-based STR, weight gain and metabolic changes should be closely monitored in PLWH with these risk factors.

Cardiovascular risk assessment in people living with HIV compared to the general population

AIMS

We prospectively assessed and compared the accuracy of cardiovascular risk scores in people living with HIV (PLWH) and individuals from the general population.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation Score 2 (SCORE2), the Pooled Cohort Equations (PCE), and the HIV-specific Data Collection on Adverse events of Anti-HIV Drugs (D:A:D) score were calculated in participants free from atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) between 2003 and 2009. In total, 6373 [mean age, 40.6 years (SD, 9.9)] PLWH from the Swiss HIV Cohort Study (SHCS) and 5403 [52.8 years (SD, 10.7)] individuals from the CoLaus|PsyCoLaus study were eligible for analysis. We tested discrimination and calibration, and the value of adding HIV-specific factors to scores using the net reclassification improvement (NRI). During mean follow-ups of 13.5 (SD, 4.1) in SHCS and 9.9 (SD, 2.3) years in CoLaus|PsyCoLaus study, 533 (8.4%) and 374 (6.9%) people developed an incident ASCVD, respectively. This translated into age-adjusted incidence rates of 12.9 and 7.5 per 1000 person-year, respectively. In SHCS, SCORE2, PCE, and D:A:D presented comparable discriminative capacities [area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.745 (95% confidence interval, CI, 0.723-0.767), 0.757 (95% CI, 0.736-0.777), and 0.763 (95% CI, 0.743-0.783)]. Adding HIV-specific variables (CD4 nadir and abacavir exposure) to SCORE2 and PCE resulted in an NRI of -0.1% (95% CI, -1.24 to 1, P = 0.83) and of 2.7% (95% CI, 0.3-5.1, P = 0.03), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

PLWH present a two-fold higher rate of incident ASCVD compared to individuals from the general population. SCORE2 and PCE, which are clinically easier to use (reduced set of variables without adding HIV-specific factors), are valid to predict ASCVD in PLWH.

Obesity in young South African women living with HIV: A cross-sectional analysis of risk factors for cardiovascular disease

BACKGROUND

Young South African women are faced with a dual epidemic of HIV and obesity, placing them at a high risk of developing atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (CVD). We sought to determine the prevalence of CVD risk factors in a cohort of reproductive-aged South African women living with HIV (WLHIV).

METHODS

While the main purpose of an ongoing intervention study is the reduction of cardiovascular disease through the integration of CVD screening and prevention in the HIV management plan for women of reproductive age (ISCHeMiA trial), we present the prevalence of risk factors for CVD in this cohort of young women at baseline. Sociodemographic, conventional CVD risk factors, HIV-related factors and self body image perception were assessed through study questionnaires and standardized clinical and laboratory procedures.

RESULTS

Of the 372 WLHIV enrolled from November 2018 to May 2019, 97% had received efavirenz-based antiretroviral treatment (ART) for at least 1 year and 67.5% (248/367) of women were overweight or obese at the time of enrolment. The prevalence of metabolic syndrome was 17.6% (95%CI 11.6-22.8) at a median age of 35 years (IQR 30.5-40.5). A significant proportion of women had abnormally low levels of high-density lipoprotein (43.2%, 80/185) and elevated levels of high sensitivity C-reactive protein (59.5%, 110/185). Seventy five percent of overweight women with an increased waist circumference reported to be satisfied with their body image.

CONCLUSIONS

The high prevalence of metabolic syndrome, obesity and elevated markers of inflammation in young South African WLHIV, underscores the need for a proactive integrated management approach to prevent atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in low and middle income settings.

Coronary Artery Calcification and Plaque Characteristics in People Living With HIV: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background

Studies have reported that people living with HIV have higher burden of subclinical cardiovascular disease, but the data are not adequately synthesized. We performed meta‐analyses of studies of coronary artery calcium and coronary plaque in people living with HIV.

Methods and Results

We performed systematic search in electronic databases, and data were abstracted in standardized forms. Study‐specific estimates were pooled using meta‐analysis. 43 reports representing 27 unique studies and involving 10 867 participants (6699 HIV positive, 4168 HIV negative, mean age 52 years, 86% men, 32% Black) were included. The HIV‐positive participants were younger (mean age 49 versus 57 years) and had lower Framingham Risk Score (mean score 6 versus 18) compared with the HIV‐negative participants. The pooled estimate of percentage with coronary artery calcium >0 was 45% (95% CI, 43%–47%) for HIV‐positive participants, and 52% (50%–53%) for HIV‐negative participants. This difference was no longer significant after adjusting for difference in Framingham Risk Score between the 2 groups. The odds ratio of coronary artery calcium progression for HIV‐positive versus ‐negative participants was 1.64 (95% CI, 0.91–2.37). The pooled estimate for prevalence of noncalcified plaque was 49% (95% CI, 47%–52%) versus 20% (95% CI, 17%–23%) for HIV‐positive versus HIV‐negative participants, respectively. Odds ratio for noncalcified plaque for HIV‐positive versus ‐negative participants was 1.23 (95% CI, 1.08–1.38). There was significant heterogeneity that was only partially explained by available study‐level characteristics.

Conclusions

People living with HIV have higher prevalence of noncalcified coronary plaques and similar prevalence of coronary artery calcium, compared with HIV‐negative individuals. Future studies on coronary artery calcium and plaque progression can further elucidate subclinical atherosclerosis in people living with HIV.

Impact of switch from tenofovir disoproxil fumarate-based regimens to tenofovir alafenamide-based regimens on lipid profile, weight gain and cardiovascular risk score in people living with HIV

Background

As cardiovascular diseases represent the main cause of non-AIDS related death in people living with HIV (PLWH) with undetectable viral load, we evaluated lipid profile, weight gain and calculated cardiovascular risk change after switching from tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF)-based regimens to tenofovir alafenamide (TAF)-based regimens.

Methods

For this retrospective study, we selected HIV-infected patients with suppressed viral load who fitted in one of the two groups below: First group (TDF/TDF): Patients treated continuously with TDF-based regimens. Second group (TDF/TAF): Patients treated with TDF-regimens during at least 6 months then switched to TAF-regimens while maintaining other drugs unchanged. Available data included date of birth, gender, ethnicity, lymphocyte T CD4⁺ count, weight, height, blood pressure, current/ex/non-smoker, diabetes mellitus, familial cardiovascular event, lipid profile, duration and nature of antiretroviral therapy. Lipid parameters, weight and calculated cardiovascular risk using 5-year reduced DAD score algorithm [Friis-Møller et al. in Eur J Cardiovasc Prev Rehabil 17:491–501, 2010] were analyzed in each groups.

Results

Switching from TDF to TAF resulted in a significant increase in triglycerides levels, total cholesterol and HDL cholesterol. LDL cholesterol and total cholesterol/HDL ratio did not show significant changes. Calculated cardiovascular risk increased after switch from TDF- to TAF-based therapy.

Conclusions

Together with favorable outcomes at the bone and kidney levels, potential negative impact of TAF on lipid profile should be included in the reflection to propose the most appropriate and tailored ARV treatment.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12879-021-06479-9.

The data-collection on adverse effects of anti-HIV drugs (D:A:D) model for predicting cardiovascular events: External validation in a diverse cohort of people living with HIV

OBJECTIVES

Little is known about the external validity of the Data-collection on Adverse Effects of Anti-HIV Drugs (D:A:D) model for predicting cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk among people living with HIV (PLWH). We aimed to evaluate the performance of the updated D:A:D model for 5-year CVD risk in a diverse group of PLWH engaged in HIV care.

METHODS

We used data from an institutional HIV registry, which includes PLWH engaged in care at a safety-net HIV clinic. Eligible individuals had a baseline clinical encounter between 1 January 2013 and 31 December 2014, with follow-up through to 31 December 2019. We estimated 5-year predicted risks of CVD as a function of the prognostic index and baseline survival of the D:A:D model, which were used to assess model discrimination (C-index), calibration and net benefit.

RESULTS

Our evaluable population comprised 1029 PLWH, of whom 30% were female, 50% were non-Hispanic black, and median age was 45 years. The C-index was 0.70 [95% confidence limits (CL): 0.64-0.75]. The predicted 5-year CVD risk was 3.0% and the observed 5-year risk was 8.9% (expected/observed ratio = 0.33, 95% CL: 0.26-0.54). The model had a greater net benefit than treating all or treating none at a risk threshold of 10%.

CONCLUSIONS

The D:A:D model was miscalibrated for CVD risk among PLWH engaged in HIV care at an urban safety-net HIV clinic, which may be related to differences in case-mix and baseline CVD risk. Nevertheless, the HIV D:A:D model may be useful for decisions about CVD intervention for high-risk patients.

Assessing Cardiovascular Risk in People Living with HIV: Current Tools and Limitations

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

To provide the current state of the development and application of cardiovascular disease (CVD) prediction tools in people living with HIV (PLWH).

RECENT FINDINGS

Several risk prediction models developed on the general population are available to predict CVD risk, the most notable being the US-based pooled cohort equations (PCE), the Framingham risk functions, and the Europe-based SCORE (Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation). In validation studies in cohorts of PLWH, these models generally underestimate CVD risk, especially in individuals who are younger, women, Black race, or predicted to be at low/intermediate risk. An HIV-specific CVD prediction model, the Data Collection on Adverse Events of Anti-HIV Drugs (D:A:D) model, is available, but its performance is modest, especially in US-based cohorts. Enhancing CVD prediction with novel biomarkers of inflammation or coronary artery calcification is of interest but has not yet been evaluated in PLWH. Finally, studies on CVD risk prediction are lacking in diverse PLWH globally. While available risk models for CVD prediction in PLWH remain suboptimal, clinicians should remain vigilant of higher CVD risk in this population and should use any of these risk scores for risk stratification to guide preventive interventions. Focus on established traditional risk factors such as smoking remains critical in PLWH. Risk prediction functions tailored to PLWH in diverse settings will enhance clinicians' ability to deliver optimal preventive care.

Proportion of patients eligible for statin therapy substantially varies between different cardiovascular disease risk calculators and guidelines used

Because people living with HIV (PLWH) have an elevated risk for cardiovascular disease (CVD), prevention of CVD should be integrated in to HIV care. In this study, we compared the agreement between three risk scores and evaluated the indication for statin therapy based on guidelines of the American Heart Association and European AIDS Clinical Society. This study is a cross-sectional, single-center study. All PLWH ≥ 30 years without CVD and statin therapy were consecutively enrolled. Agreement between CVD risk estimates was assessed using Cohen's kappa coefficient. Of 488 PLWH, 41.2% were female with a median age of 47.8 years. D:A:D-R classified the highest proportion of patients in the categories of high/very high risk for CVD (17.8%) compared to SCORE (4.7%) and FRS (13.7%). D:A:D-R and SCORE (κ = 0.11) as well as D:A:D-R and FRS (κ = 0.33) showed poor agreement. Based on different CVD risk equations and guidelines, indication for statin therapy ranged from 34.8% to 92.0% of patients. In conclusion, a high proportion of PLWH is at high risk for CVD likely underestimated by treating physicians. Inconsistencies in the evaluation of CVD risk and primary prophylaxis should be tackled by an interdisciplinary approach.

Incorporating Frailty Into the Pooled Cohort Equations to Predict Cardiovascular Disease Among Persons With HIV

BACKGROUND

The 2013 Pooled Cohort Equations (PCEs) have underestimated cardiovascular disease (CVD) events among persons with HIV (PWH). We evaluate whether the addition of frailty improves PCE's ability to estimate CVD risk among aging PWH.

SETTING

Multicenter study.

METHODS

We assessed baseline frailty and 5-year atherosclerotic CVD risk using PCEs for participants in the AIDS Clinical Trials Group A5322 observational study. The primary outcome was incident CVD. We fit Cox proportional hazards regression models for incident CVD with (1) PCEs alone and (2) PCEs and frailty together (which included separate models for frailty score, frailty status, slow gait speed, and weak grip strength). We evaluated discrimination ability for the models with and without frailty by comparing their areas under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUCs) and Uno C-statistics, as well as by calculating the net reclassification improvement and integrated discrimination improvement.

RESULTS

The analysis included 944 A5322 participants (759 men, 185 women, median age 50 years, 47% White non-Hispanic). Thirty-nine participants experienced incident CVD during the study period. PCEs predicted 5-year CVD risk in all models. With frailty score, frailty status, slow gait speed, or weak grip strength added, the AUC and C-statistics were relatively unchanged, and the NRI and integrated discrimination improvement indicated little improvement in model discrimination. However, frailty score independently predicted CVD risk [frailty score: hazard ratio = 1.30, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.00 to 1.70, P = 0.05].

CONCLUSIONS

Frailty did not improve the predictive ability of PCEs. Baseline PCEs and frailty score independently predicted CVD. Incorporation of frailty assessment into clinical practice may provide corroborative and independent CVD risk estimation.

Coronary Artery Disease in Patients with HIV Infection: An Update

Premature cardiovascular disease among the HIV-infected population is of great concern among clinicians. The increased life expectancy of HIV-infected individuals is mainly due to the early detection of infection and the advent of antiretroviral therapy. Once known as a deadly disease, HIV infection has transitioned into a chronic condition. Cardiovascular disease in this population is thought to progress early due to traditional and non-traditional risk factors. Early detection of subclinical atherosclerosis has become a center of focus in research as our complete understanding of this process it not yet well known. Advancements in cardiac computed tomography angiography has enabled the exploration of coronary artery disease by further evaluation of coronary stenosis and plaque analysis. An increase in cardiovascular event rates in this population is currently thought to be linked to antiretroviral therapy, Framingham risk factors, and HIV. We sought to present an updated comprehensive review of the available literature on HIV related to atherosclerosis and cardiovascular risk.

Association of Lower Adiponectin Plasma Levels, Increased Age and Smoking with Subclinical Atherosclerosis in Patients with HIV-1 Infection

BACKGROUND

The association between subclinical atherosclerosis and traditional cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors, inflammatory and metabolic biomarkers has been demonstrated around the world and specifically Brazilian human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1)- infected individuals. However, the association between subclinical atherosclerosis and these aforementioned factors combined with anti-inflammatory biomarkers has not been examined in these populations.

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the association of the carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT) with CVD risk factors, inflammatory, metabolic and HIV-1 infection markers combined with adiponectin and interleukin (IL)-10 as anti-inflammatory variables.

METHODS

In this case-control study, 49 HIV-1-infected patients on combined antiretroviral therapy (cART) and 85 controls were compared for traditional CVD risk factors, inflammatory, metabolic, and anti-inflammatory variables. Further, we compared HIV-1-infected patients according to their cIMT (as continuous and categorized <0.9 or ≥0.9 mm variable) visualized by carotid ultrasonography doppler (USGD).

RESULTS

Twenty-four (48.9%) HIV-1-infected patients showed cIMT ≥0.9 mm. The patients had higher levels of C reactive protein on high sensitivity assay (hsCRP), tumor necrosis factor α, IL-6, IL-10, triglycerides, and insulin, and lower levels of adiponectin, total cholesterol and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol than controls (all p<0.05). Low levels of adiponectin were negatively associated with cIMT ≥0.9 mm (p=0.019), and explained 18.7% of the cIMT variance. Age (p=0.033) and current smoking (p=0.028) were positively associated with cIMT values, while adiponectin levels (p=0.008) were negatively associated with cIMT values; together, these three variables explained 27.3% of cIMT variance.

CONCLUSION

Low adiponectin was associated with higher cIMT in HIV-1-infected patients on cART. Low adiponectin levels in combination with age and smoking could explain, in part, the increased subclinical atherosclerosis observed in these patients. Adiponectin may be a good candidate for predicting subclinical atherosclerosis in the management of HIV-1-infected patients in public health care, especially where USGD is not available.

Cardiovascular Risk Assessment in People Living With HIV: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Real-Life Data

BACKGROUND

People living with HIV (PLWHIV) have a 2-fold higher risk of having a cardiovascular event than HIV-negative individuals.

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this article is to estimate the pooled proportion of moderate-high cardiovascular risk in PLWHIV obtained through different scores. In addition, this study also aims to establish the prevalence of dyslipidemia, smoking habits, diabetes and high blood pressure in the included studies.

METHODS

A bibliographic search was conducted in MEDLINE for studies on cardiovascular risk assessment in PLWHVI that took place during the period of inception to July 2018. The eligibility criteria for inclusion were: cross-sectional or longitudinal studies on HIV-positive adults in which the prevalence of moderate-high cardiovascular risk (or data to calculate it) was reported, and included at least one of the following cardiovascular risk scores: Framingham, ASCVD, D:A:D, Progetto Cuore, PROCAM, SCORE, Regicor, and World Health Organization scores.

RESULTS

Bibliographic search identified 278 studies. Finally, thirty-nine peer-reviewed publications were identified for a collective total of 13698 subjects. The pooled prevalence of moderate-high cardiovascular risk in PLWHIV obtained with nine different scores through random-effect modeling was 20.41% (95% CI: 16.77-24.31). The most prevalent concomitant cardiovascular risk factor was dyslipidemia (39.5%), smoking (33.0 %), high blood pressure (19.8%) and diabetes (7.24%).

CONCLUSION

Data obtained in this systematic review indicate that more than 1 in every five subjects with HIV have a moderate-high cardiovascular risk. In consequence, the burden of cardiovascular disease in PLWHIV represents a public health problem. There is an urgent need to develop strategies to prevent and detect cardiovascular risk effectively in PLWHIV.

Prediction of future cardiovascular events by Framingham, SCORE and asCVD risk scores is less accurate in HIV-positive individuals from the HIV-HEART Study compared with the general population

OBJECTIVES

Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) occur more often in people living with HIV (PLWH) than in the general population. It has been reported that CVD risk scores developed for the general population underestimate the CVD risk in PLWH. Performances of the Framingham Risk Score (FRS), the Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE) and the atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (asCVD) risk score in PLWH were compared with the general population to quantify score-specific differences in risk prediction.

METHODS

HIV-positive outpatients from the HIV-HEART (HIVH) study (n = 567) were compared with participants from the population-based Heinz Nixdorf Recall (HNR) study (n ~ 4440) both recruited from the German Ruhr area. During a follow-up time of around 5 years, the associations between the FRS and incident CVD and peripheral artery disease (CVD_pAD), SCORE and coronary heart disease (CHD), and asCVD and incident CVD were examined using logistic regression. Score performances were assessed by comparing the areas under the curve (AUCs).

RESULTS

The mean ages were 52.9 ± 6.7 and 59.1 ± 7.7 years in the HIVH and HNR studies, respectively. There were fewer incident CVD events in the HNR study than in the HIVH study (CVD_pAD: 3.9% vs. 12.1%; CHD: 2.1% vs. 7.8%; CVD: 3.5% vs. 9.9%). Age- and sex-adjusted CVD risk was greater with increasing FRS, SCORE and asCVD in both cohorts, but the scores performed more accurately in the HNR than in HIVH study (AUCs FRS: 0.71 vs. 0.65; SCORE: 0.70 vs. 0.62; asCVD: 0.74 vs. 0.62).

CONCLUSIONS

Associations between risk scores and future CVD were observed in both cohorts, but the score performances were less reliable in PLWH than in the general population.

Incidence of dyslipidemia in people with HIV who are treated with integrase inhibitors versus other antiretroviral agents

OBJECTIVE

To compare the incidence of dyslipidemia in people with HIV receiving integrase inhibitors (INSTI) versus boosted protease inhibitors (PI/b) and nonnucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NNRTI) within RESPOND consortium of prospective cohorts.

METHODS

Participants were eligible if they were at least 18 years, without dyslipidemia and initiated or switched to a three-drug antiretroviral therapy (ART)-regimen consisting of either INSTI, NNRTI, or PI/b for the first time, between 1 January 2012 and 31 December 2018. Dyslipidemia was defined as random total cholesterol more than 240 mg/dl, HDL less than 35 mg/dl, triglyceride more than 200 mg/dl, or initiation of lipid-lowering therapy. Poisson regression was used to determine the adjusted incidence rate ratios. Follow-up was censored after 3 years or upon ART-regimen discontinuation or last lipid measurement or 31 December 2019, whichever occurred first.

RESULTS

Overall, 4577 people with HIV were eligible (INSTI = 66.9%, PI/b = 12.5%, and NNRTI = 20.6%), 1938 (42.3%) of whom were ART-naive. During 1.7 (interquartile range, 0.6-3.0) median years of follow-up, 1460 participants developed dyslipidemia [incidence rate: 191.6 per 1000 person-years, 95% confidence interval (CI) 182.0-201.7]. Participants taking INSTI had a lower incidence of dyslipidemia compared with those on PI/b (adjusted incidence rate ratio 0.71; CI 0.59-0.85), but higher rate compared with those on NNRTI (1.35; CI 1.15-1.58). Compared with dolutegravir, the incidence of dyslipidemia was higher with elvitegravir/cobicistat (1.20; CI 1.00-1.43) and raltegravir (1.24; CI 1.02-1.51), but lower with rilpivirine (0.77; CI 0.63-0.94).

CONCLUSION

In this large consortium of heterogeneous cohorts, dyslipidemia was less common with INSTI than with PI/b. Compared with dolutegravir, dyslipidemia was more common with elvitegravir/cobicistat and raltegravir, but less common with rilpivirine.

The Prevalence and Risk Factors for Peripheral Arterial Disease in Adults Living With Human Immunodeficiency Virus

Adult patients with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) appear to be at high risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Peripheral arterial disease (PAD) is particularly concerning as it is associated with myocardial infarction and stroke. Nevertheless, the incidence of PAD is still unknown. The authors prospectively recruited HIV-infected patients from the outpatient clinic of the Department of Internal Medicine in our center. We assessed ankle-brachial index (ABI) using the VaSera system™ (Fukuda Denshi Co., Ltd). Patients were grouped into 3 ABI levels: an ABI ≤0.90 was considered abnormal and evidence of PAD, an ABI 1.0 to 1.40 was considered normal, and 0.91 to 0.99 was considered borderline. Cardiovascular risk factors were compared across all 3 levels of ABI and were analyzed using multivariate ordinal logistic regression. Eight hundred ninety-two patients were recruited. The mean age was 42.9 ± 10.0 years and 458 (51.4%) were males. There were 704, 149, and 39 patients in the normal, borderline, and abnormal ABI groups, respectively. The latter group of 39 patients was considered to have PAD, yielding a prevalence of 4.37% (95% confidence interval [CI] 3.21-5.93). Sex ratio, age, education levels, smoking rate, body mass index (BMI), blood pressure, prevalence of comorbidities with hypertension and coronary heart disease, median triglyceride level, reduced kidney function and HIV-1 RNA undetectable ratio, duration of HIV diagnosis, and duration on antiretroviral treatment were significantly different among 3 ABI subgroups. Independent risk factors associated with PAD were being female (odds ratio [OR]: 2.86; 95% CI: 1.94-4.22), being <30 years of age (OR: 4.66; 95% CI: 2.78-7.81), being overweight (BMI 25-25.9; OR: 0.39; 95% CI: 0.20-0.76), being obese (BMI: 30; OR: 3.53; 95% CI: 1.51-8.22), having a diastolic blood pressure ≥80 mmHg (OR: 0.50; 95% CI: 0.35-0.71), and having detectable HIV-1 RNA ≥20 copies/mL (OR: 1.85; 95% CI: 1.13-3.03). In conclusion, the prevalence of PAD in HIV-infected Thais was 4.37% in infected patients on therapy attending outpatient clinics. For this population, PAD appears to be relatively poorly correlated with traditional risk factors of CVD.

Myocardial Fibrosis and Inflammation by CMR Predict Cardiovascular Outcome in People Living With HIV

OBJECTIVES

The goal of this study was to examine prognostic relationships between cardiac imaging measures and cardiovascular outcome in people living with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) (PLWH) on highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART).

BACKGROUND

PLWH have a higher prevalence of cardiovascular disease and heart failure (HF) compared with the noninfected population. The pathophysiological drivers of myocardial dysfunction and worse cardiovascular outcome in HIV remain poorly understood.

METHODS

This prospective observational longitudinal study included consecutive PLWH on long-term HAART undergoing cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) examination for assessment of myocardial volumes and function, T1 and T2 mapping, perfusion, and scar. Time-to-event analysis was performed from the index CMR examination to the first single event per patient. The primary endpoint was an adjudicated adverse cardiovascular event (cardiovascular mortality, nonfatal acute coronary syndrome, an appropriate device discharge, or a documented HF hospitalization).

RESULTS

A total of 156 participants (62% male; age [median, interquartile range]: 50 years [42 to 57 years]) were included. During a median follow-up of 13 months (9 to 19 months), 24 events were observed (4 HF deaths, 1 sudden cardiac death, 2 nonfatal acute myocardial infarction, 1 appropriate device discharge, and 16 HF hospitalizations). Patients with events had higher native T1 (median [interquartile range]: 1,149 ms [1,115 to 1,163 ms] vs. 1,110 ms [1,075 to 1,138 ms]); native T2 (40 ms [38 to 41 ms] vs. 37 ms [36 to 39 ms]); left ventricular (LV) mass index (65 g/m² [49 to 77 g/m²] vs. 57 g/m² [49 to 64 g/m²]), and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (109 pg/l [25 to 337 pg/l] vs. 48 pg/l [23 to 82 pg/l]) (all p < 0.05). In multivariable analyses, native T1 was independently predictive of adverse events (chi-square test, 15.9; p < 0.001; native T1 [10 ms] hazard ratio [95% confidence interval]: 1.20 [1.08 to 1.33]; p = 0.001), followed by a model that also included LV mass (chi-square test, 17.1; p < 0.001). Traditional cardiovascular risk scores were not predictive of the adverse events.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings reveal important prognostic associations of diffuse myocardial fibrosis and LV remodeling in PLWH. These results may support development of personalized approaches to screening and early intervention to reduce the burden of HF in PLWH (International T1 Multicenter Outcome Study; NCT03749343).

Carotid atherosclerosis in virologically suppressed HIV patients: comparison with a healthy sample and prediction by cardiovascular risk equations

OBJECTIVES

To compare the prevalence of carotid atherosclerosis in virologically suppressed HIV patients with that of a community sample, and to evaluate the capacity of various cardiovascular risk (CVR) equations for predicting carotid atherosclerosis.

METHODS

This was a cross-sectional study with two randomly selected groups: HIV patients from an HIV unit and a control group drawn from the community. Participants were matched by age (30-80 years) and sex without history of cardiovascular disease. Carotid plaque, common carotid intima-media thickness (cc-IMT) and subclinical atherosclerosis (carotid plaque and/or cc-IMT > 75^th percentile) were assessed by carotid ultrasound. The Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE), Framingham, REGICOR, reduced Data Collection on Adverse Effects of Anti-HIV Drugs (D:A:D), and COMVIH equations were applied, and their abilities to predict carotid plaque were compared using the area under the curve (AUC).

RESULTS

Each group included 379 subjects (77.8% men, age 49.7 years). Duration of antiretroviral therapy was 15.5 years. There were no differences between the groups for carotid plaque (HIV, 33.2%; control, 31.3%), mean cc-IMT (HIV, 0.63 mm; control, 0.61 mm) or subclinical atherosclerosis (HIV, 42.9%; control, 47.9%). Thymidine analogues were independently associated with subclinical atherosclerosis in HIV-infected patients. CVR equations revealed AUCs between 0.715 and 0.807 for prediction of carotid plaque; prediction was better in the control group and did not improve when HIV-adapted scales were used.

CONCLUSIONS

The features of carotid atherosclerosis did not differ between the HIV-infected and the control group, although CVR equations were more predictive for carotid plaque in controls than in HIV-infected patients. HIV-specific equations did not improve prediction.

Additive and Synergistic Cardiovascular Disease Risk Factors and HIV Disease Markers' Effects on White Matter Microstructure in Virally Suppressed HIV

BACKGROUND

It is unclear whether intermediate to high cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk and HIV disease status may have additive (ie, independent statistical effects concomitantly tested) or synergistic effects on white matter microstructure and cognition in virally suppressed HIV-infected (HIV+) men relative to sex and age-matched controls.

SETTING

Tertiary health care observational cohort.

METHODS

Eighty-two HIV+ men (mean age 55 ± 6 years, 10%-30% on various CVD drugs; 20% with previous CVD) and 40 HIV-uninfected (HIV-) men (none with previous CVD; 10%-20% on various CVD drugs) underwent diffusion tensor imaging and neuropsychological testing. A standard classification of intermediate to high CVD risk (CVD+ group) was based on the Framingham score ≥15% cutoff and/or a history of CVD. Fractional anisotropy (FA) and mean diffusivity (MD) were quantified in 11 white matter tracts.

RESULTS

Within the HIV- group, the CVD+ group had lower FA (P = 0.03) and higher MD (P = 0.003) in the corona radiata and higher MD in the corpus callosum (P = 0.02) and superior fasciculi (P = 0.03) than the CVD- group. Within the HIV+ group, the CVD+ group had lower FA in the superior fasciculi (P = 0.04) and higher MD in the uncinate fasciculus (P = 0.04), and lower FA (P = 0.01) and higher MD (P = 0.03) in the fornix than the CVD- group. The fornix alterations were also abnormal compared with the HIV- groups. The HIV+ CVD+ was more likely to have HIV-associated dementia. Older age, antihypertensive use, longer HIV duration, and higher C-reactive protein associated with lower FA and higher MD. Higher blood CD4 lymphocyte count and CD4/CD8 ratio associated with higher FA and lower MD.

CONCLUSIONS

In virally suppressed HIV, CVD risk factors have a mostly additive contribution to white matter microstructural alterations, leading to a different distribution of injury in HIV- and HIV+ persons with CVD. There was also evidence of a synergistic effect of CVD and HIV factors on the fornix white matter injury.