1
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Kraus EA, Prithiviraj B, Hernandez M. Advancing transcriptomic profiling of airborne bacteria. Appl Environ Microbiol 2025; 91:e0014825. [PMID: 40293243 DOI: 10.1128/aem.00148-25] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/30/2025] Open
Abstract
Aerobiology research focusing on bioaerosol particle dynamics has catalogued the identity, distribution, and abundance of airborne microbes in a broad variety of indoor environments and, more recently, indoor disinfection methods for medically relevant microbes. Given their importance in environmental health and our constant exposure to airborne microbes in our daily lives, surprisingly little is known about the activity of live bioaerosols and their metabolic responses to aerosolization and suspension stress. In this context, microbial messenger RNA (mRNA) is a powerful information source of near-real-time organismal responses that cannot be attained through genomic, proteomic, or metabolomic studies. This review discusses current knowledge from transcriptomic studies describing airborne bacterial cellular activity in response to a myriad of environmental stresses imparted rapidly upon aerosolization and continued suspension as a microscopic bioaerosol. In the context of transcriptome profiling, potential artifacts associated with aerosolization/collection of bioaerosols are discussed from the perspective of preserving mRNA and maintaining its fidelity as it exists in airborne microbes. Recommendations for advancing live bioaerosol metabolic profiling through gene expression studies are presented to mitigate inherent artifacts and challenges with modern bioaerosol experiments. These recommendations include the use of larger experimental chambers, temperature control during aerosolization processes, and liquid capture bioaerosol sampling into a nucleic acid preservative to improve the fidelity of collected RNA and better capture the transcriptional activity of airborne microorganisms. Eventually, improvements in profiling bioaerosol activity can contribute toward answering fundamental questions on the aerobiome such as: is the atmosphere a temporary highway or a habitat for microorganisms?
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Bharath Prithiviraj
- Microbiome Science Platforms, Reckitt Health US, Montvale, New Jersey, USA
- Royal Society for Public Health, London, United Kingdom
| | - Mark Hernandez
- Environmental Engineering, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, Colorado, USA
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2
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Liu S, Wang Y, Xiao Y, Guo W, Li Y, Lu Y, Liu Y, Wang Y, Fu L, Feng B, Liu L. Impact of occupancy density and source location on inhalational exposure of infectious respiratory particles in a naturally ventilated fever clinic. BUILDING AND ENVIRONMENT 2025; 276:112839. [DOI: 10.1016/j.buildenv.2025.112839] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/04/2025]
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3
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Lavor V, Wei J, Coceal O, Grimmond S, Luo Z. Quanta emission rate during speaking and coughing mediated by indoor temperature and humidity. ENVIRONMENT INTERNATIONAL 2025; 198:109379. [PMID: 40179620 DOI: 10.1016/j.envint.2025.109379] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/29/2024] [Revised: 03/04/2025] [Accepted: 03/13/2025] [Indexed: 04/05/2025]
Abstract
In epidemiological prospective modelling, assessing the hypothetical infectious quanta emission rate (Eq) is critical for estimating airborne infection risk. Existing Eq models overlook environmental factors such as indoor relative humidity (RH) and temperature (T), despite their importance to droplet evaporation dynamics. Here we include these environmental factors in a prospective Eq model based on the airborne probability functions with emitted droplet distribution for speaking and coughing activities. Our results show relative humidity and temperature have substantial influence on Eq. Drier environments exhibit a notable increase in suspended droplets (cf. moist environments), with Eq having a 10-fold increase when RH decreases from 90 % to 20 % for coughing and a 2-fold increase for speaking at a representative summer indoor environment (T = 25° C). In warmer environments, Eq values are consistently higher (cf. colder), with increases of up to 22 % for coughing and 9 % for speaking. This indicates temperature has a smaller impact than humidity. We demonstrate that indoor environmental conditions are important when quantifying the quanta emission rate using a prospective method. This is essential for assessing airborne infection risk.
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Affiliation(s)
- Vitor Lavor
- School of the Built Environment, University of Reading, Reading, UK
| | - Jianjian Wei
- Institute of Refrigeration and Cryogenics, Key Laboratory of Refrigeration and Cryogenics Technology of Zhejiang Province, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
| | - Omduth Coceal
- Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, UK
| | - Sue Grimmond
- Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, UK
| | - Zhiwen Luo
- Welsh School of Architecture, Cardiff University, Cardiff, UK.
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4
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Sen N, Singh KK. Transmission of aerosols inside a moving auto rickshaw: a computational fluid dynamic study. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL 2025; 32:9103-9124. [PMID: 40106096 PMCID: PMC11968508 DOI: 10.1007/s11356-025-36245-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/12/2024] [Accepted: 03/04/2025] [Indexed: 03/22/2025]
Abstract
We report a 3D Euler-Lagrangian CFD model to quantify the dispersion and transport of aerosols in a moving, semi-open auto rickshaw. The vehicle has a driver at the front, with two passengers seated behind in the rear section. This mode of transport is commonly seen in developing countries across Asia and Africa. Aerosol particles are generated due to the continuous, unmasked speaking of a passenger inside the auto rickshaw. The Eulerian portion of the model has been validated against reported experimental data on flow fields in enclosures with and without obstacles. Three RANS-based turbulence models-standard k-ε, realizable k-ε, and SST k-ω-are compared with experimental data, and the standard k-ε model is found to be the most suitable. Since the sides of the auto rickshaw are open, there is significant air exchange with the surroundings, which greatly affects the spread of aerosol particles. The presence of a partition between the driver and the passenger compartment reduces the probability of infection transmission from 1 to 0. A decrease in the auto rickshaw's speed from 60 to 20 km/h also reduces the probability of spread from 1 to 0. Additionally, a lateral wind (perpendicular or oblique to the direction of travel) further decreases the probability of transmission from 1 to 0. For all cases, the face velocity for all passengers is computed. The state of dispersion is significantly influenced by the location of aerosol generation. The relative importance of the different scenarios studied is quantified. Finally, a set of recommendations is outlined and compared with those reported for other modes of public transport.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nirvik Sen
- Chemical Engineering Division, Bhabha Atomic Research Centre, Trombay, Mumbai, 400085, India.
| | - Krishna Kumar Singh
- Chemical Engineering Division, Bhabha Atomic Research Centre, Trombay, Mumbai, 400085, India
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5
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Armand P, Tâche J. 3D modelling and simulation of thermal effects and dispersion of particles carrying infectious respiratory agents in a railway transport coach. Sci Rep 2025; 15:2202. [PMID: 39819890 PMCID: PMC11739636 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-84411-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/19/2024] [Accepted: 12/23/2024] [Indexed: 01/19/2025] Open
Abstract
Even though the COVID-19 pandemic now belongs to the long history of infectious diseases that have struck humanity, pathogenic biological agents continue to pose a recurring threat in private places, but also and mainly in places where the public congregates. In our recent research published in this journal in 2022 and 2023, we considered the illustrative example of a commuter train coach in which a symptomatic or asymptomatic passenger, assumed to be infected with a respiratory disease, sits among other travellers. The passenger emits liquid particles containing, for example, COVID-19 virions or any other pathogen. The size spectrum of particles varies depending on whether they are produced during breathing, speaking, coughing or sneezing. More specifically, droplets associated with breathing are in the range of 1-10 µm in aerodynamic diameter, while at the other end of the spectrum, drops associated with coughing can reach 100-1000 µm. In the first part of our research, we used Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) to model and simulate in 3D the transport and dispersion of particles from 1 µm to 1 mm in the turbulent flow generated by the ventilation of the railway coach. We used both the Eulerian approach and the Lagrangian approach and showed that the results were strictly similar and illustrated the very distinct aerodynamics, on one hand, of the aerosol of droplets suspended in the air and, on the other hand, of the drops falling or behaving like projectiles depending on their initial speed. In the second part of our research, we developed a model of filtration through a typical surgical mask and possible leaks around the mask if it is poorly adjusted. We resumed the twin experiment of the railway coach and compared the distribution of droplets depending on whether the passengers (including the infected one) wear masks or not and whether the masks are perfectly fitted or worn loosely. Our method made it possible to quantify the particles suspended in the air of the railway coach depending on whether the infected passenger wore their mask more or less well. In this third article, we specifically explore how thermal effects due to the presence of passengers influence the spatio-temporal distribution in the railway coach of aerosols produced by the breathing infected person. We demonstrate that the influence of thermal effects on aerodynamics is very significant and can be very favourable for air decontamination if the ventilation system is judiciously configured. Beyond its application to a commuter train, our work confirms the value of validated CFD tools for describing the airflow and dispersion of particles in complex spaces that do not always allow experimentation. The models that we have developed are applicable to any other semi-confined, ventilated public place, such as a classroom, a hospital room or a performance hall, and they enable the objective assessment of whether the occupation of these spaces could be critical with regard to infectious contamination and of how to limit this ubiquitous risk.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Jérémie Tâche
- FLUIDIAN, 95450, Commeny, France
- Safran Transmission Systems, 92700, Colombes, France
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6
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Zhu C, Xie H, Chen X, Wang X, Meng J, Wei J, Zhao Z. Numerical simulation on exhaled aerosol transmission based on realistic oral-nasal structures and temperature distribution. JOURNAL OF THE AIR & WASTE MANAGEMENT ASSOCIATION (1995) 2024; 74:905-919. [PMID: 39401375 DOI: 10.1080/10962247.2024.2416927] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/21/2024] [Revised: 09/15/2024] [Accepted: 10/01/2024] [Indexed: 10/30/2024]
Abstract
Respiratory infections are currently understood to be caused by pathogens released through the nose or mouth of an infected individual, and subsequently transmitted to susceptible hosts. These pathogens are enclosed in liquid particles that are aerosolized from the respiratory tract during activities such as breathing, speaking, sneezing, and coughing. These particles vary widely in size, ranging from submicron to several microns. While past research has largely overlooked the human respiratory system, recent analysis has revealed that the actual structure of the nasal cavity significantly influences the prediction of aerosol transmission during exhalation. In this study, computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations were conducted to analyze the aerosol transmission generated during exhalation from the nasal and oral cavities. Realistic nasal and oral cavity structures were taken into account, and authentic temperature distributions were applied to the surfaces. Additionally, inhalation conditions for susceptible individuals were established to evaluate the risk of inhalation-generated exposure. Through various simulation scenarios, we separately discussed the impact of environmental wind speed, separation distance, and exhalation flow rate. The simulation results indicate that environmental wind amplifies the complexity of the flow field and the transmission and deposition of particles between two individuals. Under ambient wind velocities of 0.5 m/s and 1 m/s, it was observed that over 80% of the particles with a diameter of 1 µm inhaled through the nasal cavity accounted for the total deposition on the infected individual. Furthermore, high exhalation flow rates exhibited higher deposition ratios at close distances, in line with our expectations. Therefore, it is advisable to minimize close contact as much as possible during periods of frequent respiratory infections, and to wear masks in order to reduce the risk of inhalation exposure.Implications: During the activities such as breathing, speaking, sneezing, and coughing, liquid particles containing pathogens are aerosolized from the respiratory tract and are released from nose or mouth through the nebulization. In this study, we investigated the transmission of aerosols from human exhalation in the outdoor environment, innovatively taking the real oral-nasal structure and the active inhalation of vulnerable people into consideration, and explored the human-to-human transmission of respiratory viruses. The results are beneficial for public health assessment and policy development.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chong Zhu
- School of Energy and Mechanical Engineering, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing, People's Republic of China
| | | | - Xiaole Chen
- School of Energy and Mechanical Engineering, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing, People's Republic of China
| | - Xinye Wang
- School of Energy and Mechanical Engineering, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing, People's Republic of China
| | - Junguang Meng
- School of Energy and Mechanical Engineering, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing, People's Republic of China
| | | | - Zhonghui Zhao
- School of Energy and Mechanical Engineering, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing, People's Republic of China
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7
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Wu Q, Wang W, Liu K, Zhang Y, Chen B, Chen SH. Effects of meteorological factors on tuberculosis and potential modifiers in Zhejiang Province, China. Sci Rep 2024; 14:25430. [PMID: 39455672 PMCID: PMC11511933 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-76785-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/02/2024] [Accepted: 10/16/2024] [Indexed: 10/28/2024] Open
Abstract
Although some studies have explored the role of meteorological factors in the development of tuberculosis (TB), the majority have been confined to single regions, leading to inconsistent findings. Consequently, we conducted a multi-city study not only to determine whether meteorological factors significantly influence the risk of developing TB but also to assess the magnitude of these effects and explore potential modifying factors. Data on daily reported TB cases and meteorological factors were collected from January 1, 2013, to December 31, 2022, across 11 cities in Zhejiang Province. A distributed lag non-linear model using a quasi-Poisson distribution was employed. Multivariate meta-regression was used to obtain overall pooled estimates and assess heterogeneity. From 2013 to 2022, 267,932 TB cases were reported in Zhejiang Province. Notably, a nonlinear relationship was observed between temperature and TB, with the relative risk (RR) peaking at 1.0 °C (RR = 1.882, 95% CI 1.173-3.020). The effect of low temperature was immediate and significant for a 13-day lag period, with the maximum effect at lag0 (RR = 1.014, 95% CI 1.008-1.021). The exposure-response curve between relative humidity (RH) and TB exhibited an M-shape, with the RR peaking at 47.7% (RR = 1.642, 95% CI 1.044-2.582). The lag effect of low RH was significant at lag 25-59, with the highest RR observed at lag 32 (RR = 1.011, 95% CI 1.001-1.022). Gross domestic product (GDP) per person, population density, and latitude demonstrated significant modification effects. Our study showed that low temperature and RH were associated with an increased risk of TB. Additionally, GDP per person, population density, and latitude may play important roles in explaining the association between RH and TB. These findings provide scientific evidence for the development of geographically specific public health policies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Qian Wu
- Department of Tuberculosis Control and Prevention, Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, 3399 Binsheng Road BinJiang District, Hangzhou, 310000, Zhejiang, China
| | - Wei Wang
- Department of Tuberculosis Control and Prevention, Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, 3399 Binsheng Road BinJiang District, Hangzhou, 310000, Zhejiang, China
| | - Kui Liu
- Department of Tuberculosis Control and Prevention, Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, 3399 Binsheng Road BinJiang District, Hangzhou, 310000, Zhejiang, China
| | - Yu Zhang
- Department of Tuberculosis Control and Prevention, Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, 3399 Binsheng Road BinJiang District, Hangzhou, 310000, Zhejiang, China
| | - Bin Chen
- Department of Tuberculosis Control and Prevention, Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, 3399 Binsheng Road BinJiang District, Hangzhou, 310000, Zhejiang, China.
| | - Song-Hua Chen
- Department of Tuberculosis Control and Prevention, Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, 3399 Binsheng Road BinJiang District, Hangzhou, 310000, Zhejiang, China.
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8
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Li X, Mak CM, Ai Z, Ma KW, Wong HM. Propagation and evaporation of contaminated droplets, emission and exposure in surgery environments revealed by laser visualization and numerical characterization. JOURNAL OF HAZARDOUS MATERIALS 2024; 477:135338. [PMID: 39084008 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhazmat.2024.135338] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/09/2024] [Revised: 06/24/2024] [Accepted: 07/25/2024] [Indexed: 08/02/2024]
Abstract
The contaminated liquid mixture containing mucosalivary fluid and blood would be aerosolized during medical procedures, resulting in higher-risk exposures. The novelty of this research is integrating laser visualization and numerical characterization to assess the propagation and evaporation of contaminated droplets, and the interactive effects of humidity and temperature on exposure risks will be numerically evaluated in surgery environments. The numerical model evidenced by experiments can predict the mass balance of ejection droplets, the minimum required fallow time (FT) between appointments, and the disinfection region of greatest concern. Around 98.4 % of the ejection droplet mass will be removed after the cessation of ultrasonic scaling, while the initial droplet size smaller than 72.6μm will dehydrate and become airborne. The FT recommendation of 30 min is not over-cautious, and the extended FT (range of 28-37 min) should be instituted for low temperature (20.5 °C) and high humidity levels (60 %RH). The variation of the temperature and humidity in the range for human thermal comfort has little influence on the area of the disinfection region (0.15m2) and the cut-off size (72.6μm) of droplet deposition and suspension. This research can provide scientific evidence for the guidelines of environmental conditions in surgery rooms.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiujie Li
- Department of Building Environment and Energy Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China
| | - Cheuk Ming Mak
- Department of Building Environment and Energy Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China
| | - Zhengtao Ai
- Department of Building Environment and Energy, College of Civil Engineering, Hunan University, Changsha 410082, China
| | - Kuen Wai Ma
- Department of Building Environment and Energy Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China
| | - Hai Ming Wong
- Faculty of Dentistry, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
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9
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Mohamadyan W, Yousefi S, Weisany W. Development of edible nanoemulsions containing vitamin E using a low-energy method: Evaluation of particle size and physicochemical properties for food and beverage applications. Heliyon 2024; 10:e32415. [PMID: 39005908 PMCID: PMC11239471 DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e32415] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/20/2023] [Revised: 06/03/2024] [Accepted: 06/04/2024] [Indexed: 07/16/2024] Open
Abstract
Pasta, a globally popular dish, serves as a complete meal around the world. This research aims to improve the nutritional value of pasta by enriching it with vitamin E. Firstly, vitamin E and sesame oil were mixed in different ratios (1:10, 1:5, 10:10) and dissolved in an aqueous medium at 50 °C with different concentrations of Tween 80 (10 %, 20 %, 30 %). Coarse emulsions were formed by gradual addition of the oil phase to the aqueous phase, followed by equilibration using an Ultratrax mixer at 15,000 rpm for 5 min. The target nanoemulsions were then produced using an ultrasonic system. After 30 days of storage, the most stable nanoemulsions containing 10 % Tween 80 and a 1:10 ratio of vitamin E to sesame oil showed minimal changes. In addition, nanoemulsions with 10 % Tween 80 and a 10:10 ratio of vitamin E to sesame oil showed less turbidity than those with 20 % and 30 % Tween 80. Evaluation of enriched pasta for physical, chemical and sensory properties compared to non-enriched samples showed no significant differences in properties such as pH, ash, total solids, texture and colour characteristics (P < 0.05). Enriched pasta samples showed an increase in moisture content of 0.94 % and a decrease in weight loss of 2.13 % compared to the control, with improved brightness (L) and yellowness (b) due to the addition of nanoemulsion. Sensory evaluation showed higher scores for pasta samples enriched with nanoemulsions containing vitamin E compared to control samples. This pioneering study introduces nanoemulsion technology to improve the nutritional profile of pasta by enriching it with vitamin E. The research demonstrates the successful formulation of stable nanoemulsions and their positive effects on pasta properties, suggesting promising avenues for improving public health through innovative pasta enrichment methods.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wrya Mohamadyan
- Department of Food Science, Science and Research Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran
| | - Shima Yousefi
- Department of Food Science, Science and Research Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran
| | - Weria Weisany
- Department of Agronomy and Horticulture Science, Science and Research Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran
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10
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Longest AK, Rockey NC, Lakdawala SS, Marr LC. Review of factors affecting virus inactivation in aerosols and droplets. J R Soc Interface 2024; 21:18. [PMID: 38920060 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2024.0018] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/09/2024] [Accepted: 04/25/2024] [Indexed: 06/27/2024] Open
Abstract
The inactivation of viruses in aerosol particles (aerosols) and droplets depends on many factors, but the precise mechanisms of inactivation are not known. The system involves complex physical and biochemical interactions. We reviewed the literature to establish current knowledge about these mechanisms and identify knowledge gaps. We identified 168 relevant papers and grouped results by the following factors: virus type and structure, aerosol or droplet size, temperature, relative humidity (RH) and evaporation, chemical composition of the aerosol or droplet, pH and atmospheric composition. These factors influence the dynamic microenvironment surrounding a virion and thus may affect its inactivation. Results indicate that viruses experience biphasic decay as the carrier aerosols or droplets undergo evaporation and equilibrate with the surrounding air, and their final physical state (liquid, semi-solid or solid) depends on RH. Virus stability, RH and temperature are interrelated, but the effects of RH are multifaceted and still not completely understood. Studies on the impact of pH and atmospheric composition on virus stability have raised new questions that require further exploration. The frequent practice of studying virus inactivation in large droplets and culture media may limit our understanding of inactivation mechanisms that are relevant for transmission, so we encourage the use of particles of physiologically relevant size and composition in future research.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alexandra K Longest
- Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Virginia Tech , Blacksburg, VA, USA
| | - Nicole C Rockey
- Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Duke University , Durham, NC, USA
| | - Seema S Lakdawala
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, Emory University , Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Linsey C Marr
- Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Virginia Tech , Blacksburg, VA, USA
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Guo X, Zhou Y, Yan H, An Q, Liang C, Liu L, Qian J. Molecular Markers and Mechanisms of Influenza A Virus Cross-Species Transmission and New Host Adaptation. Viruses 2024; 16:883. [PMID: 38932174 PMCID: PMC11209369 DOI: 10.3390/v16060883] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/16/2024] [Revised: 05/25/2024] [Accepted: 05/28/2024] [Indexed: 06/28/2024] Open
Abstract
Influenza A viruses continue to be a serious health risk to people and result in a large-scale socio-economic loss. Avian influenza viruses typically do not replicate efficiently in mammals, but through the accumulation of mutations or genetic reassortment, they can overcome interspecies barriers, adapt to new hosts, and spread among them. Zoonotic influenza A viruses sporadically infect humans and exhibit limited human-to-human transmission. However, further adaptation of these viruses to humans may result in airborne transmissible viruses with pandemic potential. Therefore, we are beginning to understand genetic changes and mechanisms that may influence interspecific adaptation, cross-species transmission, and the pandemic potential of influenza A viruses. We also discuss the genetic and phenotypic traits associated with the airborne transmission of influenza A viruses in order to provide theoretical guidance for the surveillance of new strains with pandemic potential and the prevention of pandemics.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xinyi Guo
- School of Public Health (Shenzhen), Shenzhen Campus of Sun Yat-sen University, Shenzhen 518107, China;
| | - Yang Zhou
- Guangzhou Eighth People’s Hospital, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou 510440, China
| | - Huijun Yan
- Zhongshan School of Medicine, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510080, China; (H.Y.); (C.L.)
| | - Qing An
- College of Wildlife and Protected Area, Northeast Forestry University, Harbin 150040, China;
| | - Chudan Liang
- Zhongshan School of Medicine, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510080, China; (H.Y.); (C.L.)
- Guangdong Provincial Highly Pathogenic Microorganism Science Data Center, Guangzhou 510080, China
| | - Linna Liu
- Guangzhou Eighth People’s Hospital, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou 510440, China
| | - Jun Qian
- School of Public Health (Shenzhen), Shenzhen Campus of Sun Yat-sen University, Shenzhen 518107, China;
- Guangdong Provincial Highly Pathogenic Microorganism Science Data Center, Guangzhou 510080, China
- Shenzhen Key Laboratory of Pathogenic Microbes and Biosafety, Shenzhen 518107, China
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12
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Kulmala I, Taipale A, Sanmark E, Lastovets N, Sormunen P, Nuorti P, Saari S, Luoto A, Säämänen A. Estimated relative potential for airborne SARS-CoV-2 transmission in a day care centre. Heliyon 2024; 10:e30724. [PMID: 38756615 PMCID: PMC11096945 DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e30724] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/20/2023] [Revised: 05/01/2024] [Accepted: 05/02/2024] [Indexed: 05/18/2024] Open
Abstract
We estimated the hourly probability of airborne severe acute respiratory coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmission and further the estimated number of persons at transmission risk in a day care centre by calculating the inhaled dose for airborne pathogens based on their concentration, exposure time and activity. Information about the occupancy and activity of the rooms was collected from day care centre personnel and building characteristics were obtained from the design values. The generation rate of pathogens was calculated as a product of viral load of the respiratory fluids and the emission of the exhaled airborne particles, considering the prevalence of the disease and the activity of the individuals. A well-mixed model was used in the estimation of the concentration of pathogens in the air. The Wells-Riley model was used for infection probability. The approach presented in this study was utilised in the identification of hot spots and critical events in the day care centre. Large variation in the infection probabilities and estimated number of persons at transmission risk was observed when modelling a normal day at the centre. The estimated hourly infection probabilities between the worst hour in the worst room and the best hour in the best room varied in the ratio of 100:1. Similarly, the number of persons at transmission risk between the worst and best cases varied in the ratio 1000:1. Although there are uncertainties in the input values affecting the absolute risk estimates the model proved to be useful in ranking and identifying the hot spots and events in the building and implementing effective control measures.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ilpo Kulmala
- VTT Smart Energy and Built Environment, Visiokatu 4, PO Box 1300, FI-33101, Tampere, Finland
| | - Aimo Taipale
- VTT Smart Energy and Built Environment, Visiokatu 4, PO Box 1300, FI-33101, Tampere, Finland
| | - Enni Sanmark
- Helsinki University Hospital, Department of Otorhinolaryngology and Phoniatrics – Head and Neck Surgery, Helsinki, Finland
- University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
| | - Natalia Lastovets
- Tampere University, Faculty of Built Environment, Civil Engineering Unit, Korkeakoulunkatu 5D, FI-33720, Tampere, Finland
| | - Piia Sormunen
- Tampere University, Faculty of Built Environment, Civil Engineering Unit, Korkeakoulunkatu 5D, FI-33720, Tampere, Finland
| | - Pekka Nuorti
- Tampere University, Faculty of Social Sciences, Health Sciences Unit, Arvo Ylpön Katu 34, 33520, Tampere, Finland
| | - Sampo Saari
- Tampere University of Applied Sciences, Kuntokatu 3, 33520, Tampere, Finland
| | - Anni Luoto
- Granlund Oy, Malminkaari 21, 00700, Helsinki, Finland
| | - Arto Säämänen
- VTT Smart Energy and Built Environment, Visiokatu 4, PO Box 1300, FI-33101, Tampere, Finland
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13
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Goray M, Taylor D, Bibbo E, Fantinato C, Fonneløp AE, Gill P, van Oorschot RAH. Emerging use of air eDNA and its application to forensic investigations - A review. Electrophoresis 2024; 45:916-932. [PMID: 38419135 DOI: 10.1002/elps.202300228] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/11/2023] [Revised: 12/17/2023] [Accepted: 02/19/2024] [Indexed: 03/02/2024]
Abstract
Biological material is routinely collected at crime scenes and from exhibits and is a key type of evidence during criminal investigations. Improvements in DNA technologies allow collection and profiling of trace samples, comprised of few cells, significantly expanding the types of exhibits targeted for DNA analysis to include touched surfaces. However, success rates from trace and touch DNA samples tend to be poorer compared to other biological materials such as blood. Simultaneously, there have been recent advances in the utility of environmental DNA collection (eDNA) in identification and tracking of different biological organisms and species from bacteria to naked mole rats in different environments, including, soil, ice, snow, air and aquatic. This paper examines the emerging methods and research into eDNA collection, with a special emphasis on the potential forensic applications of human DNA collection from air including challenges and further studies required to progress implementation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mariya Goray
- College of Science and Engineering, Flinders University, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
| | - Duncan Taylor
- College of Science and Engineering, Flinders University, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
- Forensic Science SA, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
| | - Emily Bibbo
- College of Science and Engineering, Flinders University, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
| | - Chiara Fantinato
- Forensic Genetics Research Group, Department of Forensic Sciences, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway
- Department of Forensic Medicine, Institute of Clinical Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway
| | - Ane Elida Fonneløp
- Forensic Genetics Research Group, Department of Forensic Sciences, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway
- Centre for Ecological and Evolutionary Synthesis (CEES), Department of Biosciences, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway
| | - Peter Gill
- Forensic Genetics Research Group, Department of Forensic Sciences, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway
- Department of Forensic Medicine, Institute of Clinical Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway
| | - Roland A H van Oorschot
- Victoria Police Forensic Services Department, Office of Chief Forensic Scientist, Macleod, Victoria, Australia
- School of Agriculture, Biomedicine and Environment, La Trobe University, Bundoora, Victoria, Australia
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14
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Wolkoff P. Indoor air humidity revisited: Impact on acute symptoms, work productivity, and risk of influenza and COVID-19 infection. Int J Hyg Environ Health 2024; 256:114313. [PMID: 38154254 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijheh.2023.114313] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/16/2023] [Revised: 10/30/2023] [Accepted: 12/18/2023] [Indexed: 12/30/2023]
Abstract
Recent epidemiological and experimental findings reconfirm that low indoor air humidity (dry air) increases the prevalence of acute eye and airway symptoms in offices, result in lower mucociliary clearance in the airways, less efficient immune defense, and deteriorate the work productivity. New epidemiological and experimental research also support that the environmental conditions for the risk of infection of influenza and COVID-19 virus is lowest in the Goldilocks zone of 40-60% relative humidity (RH) by decrease of the airways' susceptibility, which can be elevated by particle exposure. Furthermore, low RH increases the generation of infectious virus laden aerosols exhaled from infected people. In general, elevation of the indoor air humidity from dry air increases the health of the airways concomitantly with lower viability of infectious virus. Thus, the negative effects of ventilation with dry outdoor air (low absolute air humidity) should be assessed according to 1) weakened health and functionality of the airways, 2) increased viability and possible increased transmissibility of infectious virus, and 3) evaporation of virus containing droplets to dry out to droplet nuclei (also possible at high room temperature), which increases their floating time in the indoor air. The removal of acid-containing ambient aerosols from the indoor air by filtration increases pH, viability of infectious viruses, and the risk of infection, which synergistically may further increase by particle exposure. Thus, the dilution of indoor air pollutants and virus aerosols by dry outdoor air ventilation should be assessed and compared with the beneficial health effects by control of the center zone of 40-60% RH, an essential factor for optimal functionality of the airways, and with the additional positive impact on acute symptoms, work productivity, and reduced risk of infection.
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Affiliation(s)
- Peder Wolkoff
- National Research Centre for the Working Environment, Denmark.
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15
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Berlanga FA, Gomez P, Esteban A, Liu L, Nielsen PV. Three dimensional analysis of the exhalation flow in the proximity of the mouth. Heliyon 2024; 10:e26283. [PMID: 38434078 PMCID: PMC10906307 DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e26283] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/01/2023] [Revised: 02/02/2024] [Accepted: 02/09/2024] [Indexed: 03/05/2024] Open
Abstract
The human exhalation flow is characterized in this work from the three-dimensional velocimetry results obtained by using the stereo particle image velocimetry (SPIV) measurement technique on the flow emitted from a realistic airway model. For this purpose, the transient exhalation flow through the mouth of a person performing two different breaths corresponding to two metabolic rates, standing relaxed (SR) and walking active (WA), is emulated and studied. To reproduce the flow realistically, a detailed three-dimensional model obtained from computed tomography measurements on real subjects is used. To cope with the variability of the experimental data, a subsequent analysis of the results is performed using the TR-PIV (time resolved particle image velocimetry) technique. Exhalation produces a transient jet that becomes a puff when flow emission ends. Three-dimensional vector fields of the jet velocity are obtained in five equally spaced transverse planes up to a distance of Image 1 from the mouth at equally spaced time instants Image 2 which will be referred to as phases (φ), from the beginning to the end of exhalation. The time evolution during exhalation of the jet area of influence, the velocity field and the jet air entrainment have been characterized for each of the jet cross sections. The importance of the use of realistic airway models for the study of this type of flow and the influence of the metabolic rate on its development are also analyzed. The results obtained contribute to the characterization of the human exhalation as a pathway of the transmission of pathogens such as SARS-CoV-2 virus.
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Affiliation(s)
- F A Berlanga
- Dept. de Mecánica, ETSII, Universidad Nacional de Educación a Distancia (UNED), E-28040, Madrid, Spain
| | - P Gomez
- Dept. de Mecánica, ETSII, Universidad Nacional de Educación a Distancia (UNED), E-28040, Madrid, Spain
| | - A Esteban
- Dept. de Mecánica, ETSII, Universidad Nacional de Educación a Distancia (UNED), E-28040, Madrid, Spain
| | - L Liu
- Dept. of Building Science and Technology, School of Architecture, Tsinghua University, Haidian District, Beijing, China
| | - P V Nielsen
- Dept. of the Built Environment, Aalborg Universitet, Thomas Manns Vej 23 9220 Aalborg Øst, Denmark
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16
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Feng Y, Fan Y, Luo X, Ge J. A Wells-Riley based COVID-19 infectious risk assessment model combining both short range and room scale effects. BUILDING SIMULATION 2024; 17:93-111. [DOI: 10.1007/s12273-023-1060-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/07/2023] [Revised: 06/13/2023] [Accepted: 06/29/2023] [Indexed: 01/05/2025]
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17
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Schijven JF, van Veen T, Delmaar C, Kos J, Vermeulen L, Roosien R, Verhoeven F, Schipper M, Peerlings B, Duizer E, Derei J, Lammen W, Bartels O, van der Ven H, Maas R, de Roda Husman AM. Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment of Contracting COVID-19 Derived from Measured and Simulated Aerosol Particle Transmission in Aircraft Cabins. ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH PERSPECTIVES 2023; 131:87011. [PMID: 37589660 PMCID: PMC10434022 DOI: 10.1289/ehp11495] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/27/2022] [Revised: 07/13/2023] [Accepted: 07/13/2023] [Indexed: 08/18/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND SARS-CoV-2 can be effectively transmitted between individuals located in close proximity to each other for extended durations. Aircraft provide such conditions. Although high attack rates during flights were reported, little was known about the risk levels of aerosol transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in aircraft cabins. OBJECTIVES The major objective was to estimate the risk of contracting COVID-19 from transmission of aerosol particles in aircraft cabins. METHODS In two single-aisle and one twin-aisle aircraft, dispersion of generated aerosol particles over a seven-row economy class cabin section was measured under cruise and taxi conditions and simulated with a computational fluid dynamic model under cruise conditions. Using the aerosol particle dispersion data, a quantitative microbial risk assessment was conducted for scenarios with an asymptomatic infectious person expelling aerosol particles by breathing and speaking. Effects of flight conditions were evaluated using generalized additive mixed models. RESULTS Aerosol particle concentration decreased with increasing distance from the infectious person, and this decrease varied with direction. On a typical flight with an average shedder, estimated mean risk of contracting COVID-19 ranged from 1.3 × 10 - 3 to 9.0 × 10 - 2 . Risk increased to 7.7 × 10 - 2 with a super shedder (< 3 % of cases) on a long flight. Risks increased with increasing flight duration: 2-23 cruise flights of typical duration and 2-10 flights of longer duration resulted in at least 1 case of COVID-19 due to onboard aerosol transmission by one average shedder, and in the case of one super shedder, at least 1 case in 1-3 flights of typical duration cruise and 1 flight of longer duration. DISCUSSION Our findings indicate that the risk of contracting COVID-19 by aerosol transmission in an aircraft cabin is low, but it will not be zero. Testing before boarding may help reduce the chance of a (super)shedder boarding an aircraft and mask use further reduces aerosol transmission in the aircraft cabin. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP11495.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jack F. Schijven
- Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands
- Department of Earth Sciences, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands
| | - Theo van Veen
- Royal Netherlands Aerospace Centre, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Christiaan Delmaar
- Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands
| | - Johan Kos
- Royal Netherlands Aerospace Centre, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Lucie Vermeulen
- Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands
| | - Rui Roosien
- Royal Netherlands Aerospace Centre, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
| | | | - Maarten Schipper
- Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands
| | - Bram Peerlings
- Royal Netherlands Aerospace Centre, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Erwin Duizer
- Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands
| | - Jonathan Derei
- Royal Netherlands Aerospace Centre, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Wim Lammen
- Royal Netherlands Aerospace Centre, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Onno Bartels
- Royal Netherlands Aerospace Centre, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
| | | | - Robert Maas
- Royal Netherlands Aerospace Centre, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Ana Maria de Roda Husman
- Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands
- Institute for Risk Assessment Sciences, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands
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18
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Martínez-Espinosa E, Carvajal-Mariscal I. Virus-laden droplet nuclei in vortical structures associated with recirculation zones in indoor environments: A possible airborne transmission of SARS-CoV-2. ENVIRONMENTAL ADVANCES 2023; 12:100376. [PMID: 37193349 PMCID: PMC10163794 DOI: 10.1016/j.envadv.2023.100376] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/02/2023] [Accepted: 05/03/2023] [Indexed: 05/18/2023]
Abstract
Droplet nuclei dispersion patterns in indoor environments are reviewed from a physics view to explore the possibility of airborne transmission of SARS-CoV-2. This review analyzes works on particle dispersion patterns and their concentration in vortical structures in different indoor environments. Numerical simulations and experiments reveal the formation of the buildings' recirculation zones and vortex flow regions by flow separation, airflow interaction around objects, internal dispersion of airflow, or thermal plume. These vortical structures showed high particle concentration because particles are trapped for long periods. Then a hypothesis is proposed to explain why some medical studies detect the presence of SARS-CoV-2 and others do not detect the virus. The hypothesis proposes that airborne transmission is possible if virus-laden droplet nuclei are trapped in vortical structures associated with recirculation zones. This hypothesis is reinforced by a numerical study in a restaurant that presented possible evidence of airborne transmission by a large recirculating air zone. Furthermore, a medical study in a hospital is discussed from a physical view for identifying the formation of recirculation zones and their relation with positive tests for viruses. The observations show air sampling site located in this vortical structure is positive for the SARS-CoV-2 RNA. Therefore, the formation of vortical structures associated with recirculation zones should be avoided to minimize the possibility of airborne transmission. This work tries to understand the complex phenomenon of airborne transmission as a way in the prevention of transmission of infectious diseases.
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Affiliation(s)
- E Martínez-Espinosa
- Industrial and Environmental Processes Department, Instituto de Ingeniería, UNAM, Ciudad Universitaria, Mexico City 04510, México
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19
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Chang L, Chong WT, Yau YH, Cui T, Wang XR, Pei F, Liu YQ, Pan S. An investigation of the PM 2.5 concentrations and cumulative inhaled dose during subway commutes in Changchun, China. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY : IJEST 2023:1-14. [PMID: 37360559 PMCID: PMC10208554 DOI: 10.1007/s13762-023-04994-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/14/2023] [Revised: 04/13/2023] [Accepted: 05/08/2023] [Indexed: 06/28/2023]
Abstract
Air quality in subway systems is crucial as it affects the health of passengers and staff. Although most tests of PM2.5 concentrations in subway stations have taken place in public areas, PM2.5 is less understood in workplaces. Few studies have estimated the cumulative inhaled dose of passengers based on real-time changes in PM2.5 concentrations as they commute. To clarify the above issues, this study first measured PM2.5 concentrations in four subway stations in Changchun, China, where measuring points included five workrooms. Then, passengers' exposure to PM2.5 during the whole subway commute (20-30 min) was measured and segmented inhalation was calculated. The results showed that PM2.5 concentration in public places ranged from 50 to 180 μg/m3, and was strongly correlated with outdoors. While the PM2.5 average concentration in workplaces was 60 µg/m3, and it was less affected by outdoor PM2.5 concentration. Passenger's cumulative inhalations in single commuting were about 42 μg and 100 μg when the outdoor PM2.5 concentrations were 20-30 μg/m3 and 120-180 μg/m3, respectively. The PM2.5 inhalation in carriages accounted for the largest proportion of the entire commuting, about 25-40%, because of the longer exposure time and higher PM2.5 concentrations. It is recommended to improve the tightness of the carriage and filter the fresh air to improve the air quality inside. The average daily PM2.5 inhaled by staff was 513.53 μg, which was 5-12 times higher than that of passengers. Installing air purification devices in workplaces and reminding staff to take personal protection can positively protect their health.
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Affiliation(s)
- L. Chang
- Department of Mechanical Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Universiti Malaya, 50603 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
| | - W. T. Chong
- Department of Mechanical Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Universiti Malaya, 50603 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
- Centre for Energy Sciences, Universiti Malaya, 50603 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
| | - Y. H. Yau
- Department of Mechanical Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Universiti Malaya, 50603 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
- UM-JAF Laboratory, Department of Mechanical Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Universiti Malaya, 50603 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
| | - T. Cui
- Department of Building Environment and Energy Engineering, School of Civil Engineering, Chang’an University, Xi’an, 710061 China
| | - X. R. Wang
- Mechanical Engineering College, Tianjin University of Commerce, Tianjin, 300134 China
| | - F. Pei
- Department of Mechanical Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Universiti Malaya, 50603 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
| | - Y. Q. Liu
- Department of Mechanical Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Universiti Malaya, 50603 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
| | - S. Pan
- Beijing Key Laboratory of Green Built Environment and Energy Efficient Technology, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, 100124 China
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20
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Butler MJ, Sloof D, Peters C, Conway Morris A, Gouliouris T, Thaxter R, Keevil VL, Beggs CB. Impact of supplementary air filtration on aerosols and particulate matter in a UK hospital ward: a case study. J Hosp Infect 2023; 135:81-89. [PMID: 36842537 PMCID: PMC9957342 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhin.2023.02.006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/14/2022] [Revised: 02/15/2023] [Accepted: 02/16/2023] [Indexed: 02/28/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Aerosol spread of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) is a major problem in hospitals, leading to an increase in supplementary high-efficiency particulate air filtration aimed at reducing nosocomial transmission. This article reports a natural experiment that occurred when an air cleaning unit (ACU) on a medicine for older people ward was switched off accidentally while being commissioned. AIM To assess aerosol transport within the ward and determine whether the ACU reduced airborne particulate matter (PM) levels. METHODS An ACU was placed in a ward comprising two six-bedded bays plus three single-bed isolation rooms which had previously experienced several outbreaks of coronavirus disease 2019. During commissioning, real-time measurements of key indoor air quality parameters (PM1-10, CO2, temperature and humidity) were collected from multiple sensors over 2 days. During this period, the ACU was switched off accidentally for approximately 7 h, allowing the impact of the intervention on PM to be assessed. FINDINGS The ACU reduced the PM counts considerably (e.g. PM1 65.5-78.2%) throughout the ward (P<0.001 all sizes), with positive correlation found for all PM fractions and CO2 (r=0.343-0.817; all P<0.001). PM counts rose/fell simultaneously when the ACU was off, with correlation of PM signals from multiple locations (e.g. r=0.343-0.868; all P<0.001) for particulates <1 μm). CONCLUSION Aerosols migrated rapidly between the various ward subcompartments, suggesting that social distancing alone cannot prevent nosocomial transmission of SARS-CoV-2 as this fails to mitigate longer-range (>2 m) transmission. The ACU reduced PM levels considerably throughout the ward space, indicating its potential as an effective intervention to reduce the risk posed by infectious airborne particles.
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Affiliation(s)
- M J Butler
- Department of Medicine for the Elderly, Cambridge University Hospitals, Cambridge, UK
| | - D Sloof
- AirPurity UK, Ltd, Cambridge, UK
| | - C Peters
- Department of Microbiology, NHS Greater Glasgow and Clyde, Glasgow, UK
| | - A Conway Morris
- John V Farman Intensive Care Unit, Cambridge University Hospitals, Cambridge, UK; Division of Immunology, Department of Pathology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK; Department of Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | - T Gouliouris
- Department of Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | - R Thaxter
- Infection Prevention and Control, Cambridge University Hospitals, Cambridge, UK
| | - V L Keevil
- Department of Medicine for the Elderly, Cambridge University Hospitals, Cambridge, UK; Department of Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | - C B Beggs
- Department of Medicine for the Elderly, Cambridge University Hospitals, Cambridge, UK; Carnegie School of Sport, Leeds Beckett University, Leeds, UK.
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21
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Clements N, Arvelo I, Arnold P, Heredia NJ, Hodges UW, Deresinski S, Cook PW, Hamilton KA. Informing Building Strategies to Reduce Infectious Aerosol Transmission Risk by Integrating DNA Aerosol Tracers with Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY 2023; 57:5771-5781. [PMID: 37000413 DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.2c08131] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/19/2023]
Abstract
Using aerosol-based tracers to estimate risk of infectious aerosol transmission aids in the design of buildings with adequate protection against aerosol transmissible pathogens, such as SARS-CoV-2 and influenza. We propose a method for scaling a SARS-CoV-2 bulk aerosol quantitative microbial risk assessment (QMRA) model for impulse emissions, coughing or sneezing, with aerosolized synthetic DNA tracer concentration measurements. With point-of-emission ratios describing relationships between tracer and respiratory aerosol emission characteristics (i.e., volume and RNA or DNA concentrations) and accounting for aerosolized pathogen loss of infectivity over time, we scale the inhaled pathogen dose and risk of infection with time-integrated tracer concentrations measured with a filter sampler. This tracer-scaled QMRA model is evaluated through scenario testing, comparing the impact of ventilation, occupancy, masking, and layering interventions on infection risk. We apply the tracer-scaled QMRA model to measurement data from an ambulatory care room to estimate the risk reduction resulting from HEPA air cleaner operation. Using DNA tracer measurements to scale a bulk aerosol QMRA model is a relatively simple method of estimating risk in buildings and can be applied to understand the impact of risk mitigation efforts.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nicholas Clements
- Paul M. Rady Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, Colorado 80309, United States
| | - Ilan Arvelo
- SafeTraces, Inc., Pleasanton, California 94588, United States
| | - Phil Arnold
- SafeTraces, Inc., Pleasanton, California 94588, United States
| | | | - Ulrike W Hodges
- SafeTraces, Inc., Pleasanton, California 94588, United States
| | - Stan Deresinski
- Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California 94305, United States
| | - Peter W Cook
- Independent researcher, Atlanta, Georgia 30333, United States
| | - Kerry A Hamilton
- School of Sustainable Engineering and the Built Environment, Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona 85281, United States
- The Biodesign Institute Center for Environmental Health Engineering, Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona 85281, United States
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22
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Wang Y, Wei J, Gao CX, Jin T, Liu L. Tracing the origin of large respiratory droplets by their deposition characteristics inside the respiratory tract during speech. BUILDING SIMULATION 2023; 16:781-794. [PMID: 37101943 PMCID: PMC10009356 DOI: 10.1007/s12273-022-0982-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/06/2022] [Revised: 12/12/2022] [Accepted: 12/22/2022] [Indexed: 05/28/2023]
Abstract
Origin of differently sized respiratory droplets is fundamental for clarifying their viral loads and the sequential transmission mechanism of SARS-CoV-2 in indoor environments. Transient talking activities characterized by low (0.2 L/s), medium (0.9 L/s), and high (1.6 L/s) airflow rates of monosyllabic and successive syllabic vocalizations were investigated by computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations based on a real human airway model. SST k-ω model was chosen to predict the airflow field, and the discrete phase model (DPM) was used to calculate the trajectories of droplets within the respiratory tract. The results showed that flow field in the respiratory tract during speech is characterized by a significant laryngeal jet, and bronchi, larynx, and pharynx-larynx junction were main deposition sites for droplets released from the lower respiratory tract or around the vocal cords, and among which, over 90% of droplets over 5 µm released from vocal cords deposited at the larynx and pharynx-larynx junction. Generally, droplets' deposition fraction increased with their size, and the maximum size of droplets that were able to escape into external environment decreased with the airflow rate. This threshold size for droplets released from the vocal folds was 10-20 µm, while that for droplets released from the bronchi was 5-20 µm under various airflow rates. Besides, successive syllables pronounced at low airflow rates promoted the escape of small droplets, but do not significantly affect the droplet threshold diameter. This study indicates that droplets larger than 20 µm may entirely originate from the oral cavity, where viral loads are lower; it provides a reference for evaluating the relative importance of large-droplet spray and airborne transmission route of COVID-19 and other respiratory infections.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yihan Wang
- Institute of Refrigeration and Cryogenics, Key Laboratory of Refrigeration and Cryogenic Technology of Zhejiang Province, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, 310000 China
| | - Jianjian Wei
- Institute of Refrigeration and Cryogenics, Key Laboratory of Refrigeration and Cryogenic Technology of Zhejiang Province, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, 310000 China
| | - Caroline X. Gao
- Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC 3004 Australia
| | - Tao Jin
- Institute of Refrigeration and Cryogenics, Key Laboratory of Refrigeration and Cryogenic Technology of Zhejiang Province, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, 310000 China
| | - Li Liu
- Department of Building Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084 China
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23
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Bahramian A. Influence of indoor environmental conditions on airborne transmission and lifetime of sneeze droplets in a confined space: a way to reduce COVID-19 spread. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL 2023; 30:44067-44085. [PMID: 36680724 PMCID: PMC9867553 DOI: 10.1007/s11356-023-25421-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/04/2022] [Accepted: 01/16/2023] [Indexed: 06/17/2023]
Abstract
Effects of indoor temperature (T∞) and relative humidity (RH∞) on the airborne transmission of sneeze droplets in a confined space were studied over the T∞ range of 15-30 °C and RH∞ of 22-62%. In addition, a theoretical evaporation model was used to estimate the droplet lifetime based on experimental data. The results showed that the body mass index (BMI) of the participants played an important role in the sneezing jet velocity, while the impact of the BMI and gender of participants was insignificant on the size distribution of droplets. At a critical relative humidity RH∞,crit of 46%, the sneezing jet velocity and droplet lifetime were roughly independent of T∞. At RH∞ < RH∞,crit, the sneezing jet velocity decreased by increasing T∞ from 15 to 30 °C, while its trend was reversed at RH∞ > RH∞,crit. The maximum spreading distance of aerosols increased by decreasing the RH∞ and increasing T∞, while the droplet lifetime increased by decreasing T∞ at RH∞ > RH∞,crit. The mean diameter of aerosolized droplets was less affected by T∞ than the large droplets at RH∞ < RH∞,crit, while the mean diameter and number fraction of aerosols were more influenced by RH∞ than the T∞ in the range of 46% ≤ RH∞ ≤ 62%. In summary, this study suggests suitable indoor environmental conditions by considering the transmission rate and lifetime of respiratory droplets to reduce the spread of COVID-19.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alireza Bahramian
- Department of Chemical Engineering, Hamedan University of Technology, P.O. Box, Hamedan, 65155, Iran.
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24
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Tandjaoui-Lambiotte Y, Lomont A, Moenne-Locoz P, Seytre D, Zahar JR. Spread of viruses, which measures are the most apt to control COVID-19? Infect Dis Now 2023; 53:104637. [PMID: 36526247 PMCID: PMC9746078 DOI: 10.1016/j.idnow.2022.12.002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/11/2022] [Revised: 11/22/2022] [Accepted: 12/06/2022] [Indexed: 12/15/2022]
Abstract
The persistent debate about the modes of transmission of SARS-CoV2 and preventive measures has illustrated the limits of our knowledge regarding the measures to be implemented in the face of viral risk. Past and present (pandemic-related) scientific data underline the complexity of the phenomenon and its variability over time. Several factors contribute to the risk of transmission, starting with incidence in the general population (i.e., colonization pressure) and herd immunity. Other major factors include intensity of symptoms, interactions with the reservoir (proximity and duration of contact), the specific characteristics of the virus(es) involved, and a number of unpredictable elements (humidity, temperature, ventilation…). In this review, we will emphasize the difficulty of "standardizing" the situations that might explain the discrepancies found in the literature. We will show that the airborne route remains the main mode of transmission. Regarding preventive measures of prevention, while vaccination remains the cornerstone of the fight against viral outbreaks, we will remind the reader that wearing a mask is the main barrier measure and that the choice of type of mask depends on the risk situations. Finally, we believe that the recent pandemic should induce us in the future to modify our recommendations by adapting our measures in hospitals, not to the pathogen concerned, which is currently the case, but rather to the type of at-risk situation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Y Tandjaoui-Lambiotte
- Service de Pneumologie-Infectiologie, CH Saint Denis, 2 rue Dr. Delafontaine, 93200, France
| | - A Lomont
- Unité de Prévention du Risque Infectieux, Service de microbiologie clinique, GHU Paris Seine Saint-Denis, Université Sorbonne Paris Nord, France
| | - P Moenne-Locoz
- Unité de Prévention du Risque Infectieux, Service de microbiologie clinique, GHU Paris Seine Saint-Denis, Université Sorbonne Paris Nord, France
| | - D Seytre
- Unité de Prévention du Risque Infectieux, Service de microbiologie clinique, GHU Paris Seine Saint-Denis, Université Sorbonne Paris Nord, France
| | - J R Zahar
- Unité de Prévention du Risque Infectieux, Service de microbiologie clinique, GHU Paris Seine Saint-Denis, Université Sorbonne Paris Nord, France.
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Norvihoho LK, Yin J, Zhou ZF, Han J, Chen B, Fan LH, Lichtfouse E. Mechanisms controlling the transport and evaporation of human exhaled respiratory droplets containing the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus: a review. ENVIRONMENTAL CHEMISTRY LETTERS 2023; 21:1701-1727. [PMID: 36846189 PMCID: PMC9944801 DOI: 10.1007/s10311-023-01579-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/21/2022] [Accepted: 02/13/2023] [Indexed: 05/24/2023]
Abstract
Transmission of the coronavirus disease 2019 is still ongoing despite mass vaccination, lockdowns, and other drastic measures to control the pandemic. This is due partly to our lack of understanding on the multiphase flow mechanics that control droplet transport and viral transmission dynamics. Various models of droplet evaporation have been reported, yet there is still limited knowledge about the influence of physicochemical parameters on the transport of respiratory droplets carrying the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2. Here we review the effects of initial droplet size, environmental conditions, virus mutation, and non-volatile components on droplet evaporation and dispersion, and on virus stability. We present experimental and computational methods to analyze droplet transport, and factors controlling transport and evaporation. Methods include thermal manikins, flow techniques, aerosol-generating techniques, nucleic acid-based assays, antibody-based assays, polymerase chain reaction, loop-mediated isothermal amplification, field-effect transistor-based assay, and discrete and gas-phase modeling. Controlling factors include environmental conditions, turbulence, ventilation, ambient temperature, relative humidity, droplet size distribution, non-volatile components, evaporation and mutation. Current results show that medium-sized droplets, e.g., 50 µm, are sensitive to relative humidity. Medium-sized droplets experience delayed evaporation at high relative humidity, and increase airborne lifetime and travel distance. By contrast, at low relative humidity, medium-sized droplets quickly shrink to droplet nuclei and follow the cough jet. Virus inactivation within a few hours generally occurs at temperatures above 40 °C, and the presence of viral particles in aerosols impedes droplet evaporation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Leslie Kojo Norvihoho
- State Key Laboratory of Multiphase Flow in Power Engineering, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, 710049 Shaanxi People’s Republic of China
| | - Jing Yin
- State Key Laboratory of Multiphase Flow in Power Engineering, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, 710049 Shaanxi People’s Republic of China
| | - Zhi-Fu Zhou
- State Key Laboratory of Multiphase Flow in Power Engineering, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, 710049 Shaanxi People’s Republic of China
| | - Jie Han
- School of Human Settlements and Civil Engineering, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, 710049 Shaanxi People’s Republic of China
| | - Bin Chen
- State Key Laboratory of Multiphase Flow in Power Engineering, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, 710049 Shaanxi People’s Republic of China
| | - Li-Hong Fan
- The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, 710061 Shaanxi People’s Republic of China
| | - Eric Lichtfouse
- State Key Laboratory of Multiphase Flow in Power Engineering, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, 710049 Shaanxi People’s Republic of China
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26
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Strydom D, le Roux JD, Craig IK. State estimation for nonlinear state-space transmission models of tuberculosis. RISK ANALYSIS : AN OFFICIAL PUBLICATION OF THE SOCIETY FOR RISK ANALYSIS 2023; 43:339-357. [PMID: 35165919 DOI: 10.1111/risa.13901] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/14/2023]
Abstract
Given the high prevalence of tuberculosis (TB) and the mortality rate associated with the disease, numerous models, such as the Gammaitoni and Nucci (GN) model, were developed to model the risk of transmission. These models typically rely on a quanta generation rate as a measurement of infectivity. Since the quanta generation rate cannot be measured directly, the unique contribution of this work is to develop state estimators to estimate the quanta generation rate from available measurements. To estimate the quanta generation rate, the GN model is adapted into an augmented single-room GN model and a simplified two-room GN model. Both models are shown to be observable, i.e., it is theoretically possible to estimate the quanta generation rate given available measurements. Kalman filters are used to estimate the quanta generation rate. First, a continuous-time extended Kalman filter is used for both adapted models using a simulation and measurement sampling rate of 60 s. Accurate quanta generate rate estimates are achieved in both cases. A more realistic scenario is also considered with a measurement sampling rate of one day. For these estimates, a hybrid extended Kalman filter (HEKF) is used. Accurate quanta generation rate estimates are achieved for the more realistic scenario. Future work could potentially use the HEKFs, the adapted models, and real-time measurements in a control system feedback loop to reduce the transmission of TB in confined spaces such as hospitals.
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Affiliation(s)
- Duayne Strydom
- Department of Electrical, Electronic and Computer Engineering, University of Pretoria, South Africa
| | - Johan Derik le Roux
- Department of Electrical, Electronic and Computer Engineering, University of Pretoria, South Africa
| | - Ian Keith Craig
- Department of Electrical, Electronic and Computer Engineering, University of Pretoria, South Africa
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27
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Nishandar SR, He Y, Princevac M, Edwards RD. Fate of Exhaled Droplets From Breathing and Coughing in Supermarket Checkouts and Passenger Cars. ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH INSIGHTS 2023; 17:11786302221148274. [PMID: 36644342 PMCID: PMC9834932 DOI: 10.1177/11786302221148274] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/08/2022] [Accepted: 12/12/2022] [Indexed: 06/17/2023]
Abstract
The global pandemic of COVID-19 has highlighted the importance of understanding the role that exhaled droplets play in virus transmission in community settings. Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) enables systematic examination of roles the exhaled droplets play in the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in indoor environments. This analysis uses published exhaled droplet size distributions combined with terminal aerosol droplet size based on measured peak concentrations for SARS-CoV-2 RNA in aerosols to simulate exhaled droplet dispersion, evaporation, and deposition in a supermarket checkout area and rideshare car where close proximity with other individuals is common. Using air inlet velocity of 2 m/s in the passenger car and ASHRAE recommendations for ventilation and comfort in the supermarket, simulations demonstrate that exhaled droplets <20 μm that contain the majority of viral RNA evaporated leaving residual droplet nuclei that remain aerosolized in the air. Subsequently ~ 70% of these droplet nuclei deposited in the supermarket and the car with the reminder vented from the space. The maximum surface deposition of droplet nuclei/m2 for speaking and coughing were 2 and 819, 18 and 1387 for supermarket and car respectively. Approximately 15% of the total exhaled droplets (aerodynamic diameters 20-700 µm) were deposited on surfaces in close proximity to the individual. Due to the non-linear distribution of viral RNA across droplet sizes, however, these larger exhaled droplets that deposit on surfaces have low viral content. Maximum surface deposition of viral RNA was 70 and 1.7 × 103 virions/m2 for speaking and 2.3 × 104 and 9.3 × 104 virions/m2 for coughing in the supermarket and car respectively while the initial airborne concentration of viral RNA was 7 × 106 copies per ml. Integrating the droplet size distributions with viral load distributions, this study helps explain the apparent importance of inhalation exposures compared to surface contact observed in the pandemic.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sanika Ravindra Nishandar
- Department of Mechanical Engineering,
Bourns College of Engineering, University of California, Riverside, CA, USA
| | - Yucheng He
- Department of Mechanical Engineering,
Bourns College of Engineering, University of California, Riverside, CA, USA
| | - Marko Princevac
- Department of Mechanical Engineering,
Bourns College of Engineering, University of California, Riverside, CA, USA
| | - Rufus D Edwards
- Department of Epidemiology, Program in
Public Health, University of California Irvine, CA, USA
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28
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Argyropoulos CD, Skoulou V, Efthimiou G, Michopoulos AK. Airborne transmission of biological agents within the indoor built environment: a multidisciplinary review. AIR QUALITY, ATMOSPHERE, & HEALTH 2022; 16:477-533. [PMID: 36467894 PMCID: PMC9703444 DOI: 10.1007/s11869-022-01286-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/02/2021] [Accepted: 11/17/2022] [Indexed: 06/17/2023]
Abstract
The nature and airborne dispersion of the underestimated biological agents, monitoring, analysis and transmission among the human occupants into building environment is a major challenge of today. Those agents play a crucial role in ensuring comfortable, healthy and risk-free conditions into indoor working and leaving spaces. It is known that ventilation systems influence strongly the transmission of indoor air pollutants, with scarce information although to have been reported for biological agents until 2019. The biological agents' source release and the trajectory of airborne transmission are both important in terms of optimising the design of the heating, ventilation and air conditioning systems of the future. In addition, modelling via computational fluid dynamics (CFD) will become a more valuable tool in foreseeing risks and tackle hazards when pollutants and biological agents released into closed spaces. Promising results on the prediction of their dispersion routes and concentration levels, as well as the selection of the appropriate ventilation strategy, provide crucial information on risk minimisation of the airborne transmission among humans. Under this context, the present multidisciplinary review considers four interrelated aspects of the dispersion of biological agents in closed spaces, (a) the nature and airborne transmission route of the examined agents, (b) the biological origin and health effects of the major microbial pathogens on the human respiratory system, (c) the role of heating, ventilation and air-conditioning systems in the airborne transmission and (d) the associated computer modelling approaches. This adopted methodology allows the discussion of the existing findings, on-going research, identification of the main research gaps and future directions from a multidisciplinary point of view which will be helpful for substantial innovations in the field.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Vasiliki Skoulou
- B3 Challenge Group, Chemical Engineering, School of Engineering, University of Hull, Cottingham Road, Hull, HU6 7RX UK
| | - Georgios Efthimiou
- Centre for Biomedicine, Hull York Medical School, University of Hull, Cottingham Road, Hull, HU6 7RX UK
| | - Apostolos K. Michopoulos
- Energy & Environmental Design of Buildings Research Laboratory, University of Cyprus, P.O. Box 20537, 1678 Nicosia, Cyprus
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29
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Avni O, Dagan Y. Dispersion of free-falling saliva droplets by two-dimensional vortical flows. THEORETICAL AND COMPUTATIONAL FLUID DYNAMICS 2022; 36:993-1011. [PMID: 36373071 PMCID: PMC9638496 DOI: 10.1007/s00162-022-00633-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/23/2022] [Accepted: 10/07/2022] [Indexed: 06/16/2023]
Abstract
ABSTRACT The dispersion of respiratory saliva droplets by indoor wake structures may enhance the transmission of various infectious diseases, as the wake spreads virus-laden droplets across the room. Thus, this study analyzes the interaction between vortical wake structures and exhaled multi-component saliva droplets. A self-propelling analytically described dipolar vortex is chosen as a model wake flow, passing through a cloud of micron-sized evaporating saliva droplets. The droplets' spatial location, velocity, diameter, and temperature are traced, coupled to their local flow field. For the first time, the wake structure decay is incorporated and analyzed, which is proved essential for accurately predicting the settling distances of the dispersed droplets. The model also considers the nonvolatile saliva components, adequately capturing the essence of droplet-aerosol transition and predicting the equilibrium diameter of the residual aerosols. Our analytic model reveals non-intuitive interactions between wake flows, droplet relaxation time, gravity, and transport phenomena. We reveal that given the right conditions, a virus-laden saliva droplet might translate to distances two orders of magnitude larger than the carrier-flow characteristic size. Moreover, accounting for the nonvolatile contents inside the droplet may lead to fundamentally different dispersion and settling behavior compared to non-evaporating particles or pure water droplets. Ergo, we suggest that the implementation of more complex evaporation models might be critical in high-fidelity simulations aspiring to assess the spread of airborne respiratory droplets.
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Affiliation(s)
- Orr Avni
- Faculty of Aerospace Engineering, Technion - Israel Institute of Technology, 320003 Haifa, Israel
| | - Yuval Dagan
- Faculty of Aerospace Engineering, Technion - Israel Institute of Technology, 320003 Haifa, Israel
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30
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Assessment of COVID-19 aerosol transmission in a university campus food environment using a numerical method. GEOSCIENCE FRONTIERS 2022; 13:101353. [PMID: 37521137 PMCID: PMC8780192 DOI: 10.1016/j.gsf.2022.101353] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/13/2021] [Revised: 11/30/2021] [Accepted: 01/20/2022] [Indexed: 05/30/2023]
Abstract
With the prevalence of COVID-19, the phenomenon of viruses spreading through aerosols has become a focus of attention. Diners in university dining halls have a high risk of exposure to respiratory droplets from others without the protection of face masks, which greatly increases the risk of COVID-19 transmission. Therefore, the transmission mechanism of respiratory droplets in extremely crowded dining environments should be investigated. In this study, a numerical simulation of coughing at dining tables under two conditions was performed, namely the presence and absence of protective partitions, and the evaporation and condensation of aerosol droplets in the air were examined. By using the numerical method, we analyzed and verified the isolation effect of dining table partitions in the propagation of aerosol droplets. The effect of changes in room temperature on the diffusion of coughed aerosols when partitions were present was analyzed. We demonstrated how respiratory droplets spread through coughing and how these droplets affect others. Finally, we proposed a design for a dining table partition that minimizes the transmission of COVID-19.
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31
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Dabisch PA, Wood SP, Holland BP, Boydston JA, Beck KE, Green B, Biryukov J. Comparison of the survival of different isolates of SARS-CoV-2 in evaporating aerosols. AEROSOL SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY : THE JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN ASSOCIATION FOR AEROSOL RESEARCH 2022; 56:1146-1155. [PMID: 38075547 PMCID: PMC10698713 DOI: 10.1080/02786826.2022.2128712] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/15/2022] [Accepted: 09/16/2022] [Indexed: 07/21/2024]
Abstract
Numerous variants of SARS-CoV-2 with increased transmissibility have emerged over the course of the pandemic. Potential explanations for the increased transmissibility of these variants include increased shedding from infected individuals, increased environmental stability, and/or a lower infectious dose. Upon exhalation of a respiratory particle into the environment, water present in the particle is rapidly lost through evaporation, resulting in a decrease in particle size. The aim of the present study was to compare the losses of infectivity of different isolates of SARS-CoV-2 during the rapid evaporation of aerosol particles that occurs immediately post-generation to assess if there are differences suggestive of increased survival, and ultimately greater transmissibility, for more recent variants. Losses of infectivity of several isolates of SARS-CoV-2 suspended in viral culture media were assessed following aerosolization and evaporation in a flowing chamber. The results demonstrate that losses of infectivity measured post-evaporation were similar for three different isolates of SARS-CoV-2, including isolates from the more recent Delta and Omicron lineages. The average loss in infectivity across all three isolates was 61 ± 15% (-0.46 ± 0.17 log10 TCID50/L-air) at a relative humidity <30%. These results, together with those from several previous studies, suggest that it is unlikely that an increase in environmental stability contributes to the observed increases in transmissibility observed with more recent variants of SARS-CoV-2.
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Affiliation(s)
- P A Dabisch
- National Biodefense Analysis and Countermeasures Center, Operated by Battelle National Biodefense Institute for the US Department of Homeland Security Science and Technology Directorate, Frederick, Maryland, USA
| | - S P Wood
- National Biodefense Analysis and Countermeasures Center, Operated by Battelle National Biodefense Institute for the US Department of Homeland Security Science and Technology Directorate, Frederick, Maryland, USA
| | - B P Holland
- National Biodefense Analysis and Countermeasures Center, Operated by Battelle National Biodefense Institute for the US Department of Homeland Security Science and Technology Directorate, Frederick, Maryland, USA
| | - J A Boydston
- National Biodefense Analysis and Countermeasures Center, Operated by Battelle National Biodefense Institute for the US Department of Homeland Security Science and Technology Directorate, Frederick, Maryland, USA
| | - K E Beck
- National Biodefense Analysis and Countermeasures Center, Operated by Battelle National Biodefense Institute for the US Department of Homeland Security Science and Technology Directorate, Frederick, Maryland, USA
| | - B Green
- National Biodefense Analysis and Countermeasures Center, Operated by Battelle National Biodefense Institute for the US Department of Homeland Security Science and Technology Directorate, Frederick, Maryland, USA
| | - J Biryukov
- National Biodefense Analysis and Countermeasures Center, Operated by Battelle National Biodefense Institute for the US Department of Homeland Security Science and Technology Directorate, Frederick, Maryland, USA
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32
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Keetels GH, Godderis L, van de Wiel BJH. Associative evidence for the potential of humidification as a non-pharmaceutical intervention for influenza and SARS-CoV-2 transmission. JOURNAL OF EXPOSURE SCIENCE & ENVIRONMENTAL EPIDEMIOLOGY 2022; 32:720-726. [PMID: 36104526 PMCID: PMC9472723 DOI: 10.1038/s41370-022-00472-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/15/2021] [Revised: 08/30/2022] [Accepted: 08/30/2022] [Indexed: 06/15/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Both influenza and SARS-CoV-2 viruses show a strong seasonal spreading in temperate regions. Several studies indicated that changes in indoor humidity could be one of the key factors explaining this. OBJECTIVE The purpose of this study is to quantify the association between relevant epidemiological metrics and humidity in both influenza and SARS-CoV-2 epidemic periods. METHODS The atmospheric dew point temperature serves as a proxy for indoor relative humidity. This study considered the weekly mortality rate in the Netherlands between 1995 and 2019 to determine the correlation between the dew point and the spread of influenza. During influenza epidemic periods in the Netherlands, governmental restrictions were absent; therefore, there is no need to control this confounder. During the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, governmental restrictions strongly varied over time. To control this effect, periods with a relatively constant governmental intervention level were selected to analyze the reproduction rate. We also examine SARS-CoV-2 deaths in the nursing home setting, where health policy and social factors were less variable. Viral transmissibility was measured by computing the ratio between the estimated daily number of infectious persons in the Netherlands and the lagged mortality figures in the nursing homes. RESULTS For both influenza and SARS-CoV-2, a significant correlation was found between the dew point temperature and the aforementioned epidemiological metrics. The findings are consistent with the anticipated mechanisms related to droplet evaporation, stability of virus in the indoor environment, and impairment of the natural defenses of the respiratory tract in dry air. SIGNIFICANCE This information is helpful to understand the seasonal pattern of respiratory viruses and motivate further study to what extent it is possible to alter the seasonal pattern by actively intervening in the adverse role of low humidity during fall and winter in temperate regions. IMPACT A solid understanding and quantification of the role of humidity on the transmission of respiratory viruses is imperative for epidemiological modeling and the installation of non-pharmaceutical interventions. The results of this study indicate that improving the indoor humidity by humidifiers could be a promising technology for reducing the spread of both influenza and SARS-CoV-2 during winter and fall in the temperate zone. The identification of this potential should be seen as a strong motivation to invest in further prospective testing of this non-pharmaceutical intervention.
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Affiliation(s)
- G H Keetels
- Faculty of Mechanical, Maritime and Materials Engineering, Delft University of Technology, Mekelweg 2, 2628 CD, Delft, The Netherlands.
| | - L Godderis
- Centre for Environment and Health, Department of Public Health and Primary Care, KU Leuven (University of Leuven), Kapucijnenvoer 35, 3000, Leuven, Belgium
- IDEWE, External Service for Prevention and Protection at Work, Heverlee, Belgium
| | - B J H van de Wiel
- Faculty of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Delft University of Technology, Stevinweg 1, 2628 CN, Delft, The Netherlands
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33
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Ultrahigh sensitive and selective detection of single nucleotide polymorphism using peptide nucleic acid and ribonuclease H assembled DNA amplification (PRADA). Anal Chim Acta 2022; 1233:340423. [DOI: 10.1016/j.aca.2022.340423] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/12/2022] [Revised: 09/06/2022] [Accepted: 09/19/2022] [Indexed: 11/22/2022]
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34
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Morawska L, Buonanno G, Mikszewski A, Stabile L. The physics of respiratory particle generation, fate in the air, and inhalation. NATURE REVIEWS. PHYSICS 2022; 4:723-734. [PMID: 36065441 PMCID: PMC9430019 DOI: 10.1038/s42254-022-00506-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 31] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 08/03/2022] [Indexed: 05/31/2023]
Abstract
Given that breathing is one of the most fundamental physiological functions, there is an urgent need to broaden our understanding of the fluid dynamics that governs it. There would be many benefits from doing so, including a better assessment of respiratory health, a basis for more precise delivery of pharmaceutical drugs for treatment, and the understanding and potential minimization of respiratory infection transmission. We review the physics of particle generation in the respiratory tract, the fate of these particles in the air on exhalation and the physics of particle inhalation. The main focus is on evidence from experimental studies. We conclude that although there is qualitative understanding of the generation of particles in the respiratory tract, a basic quantitative knowledge of the characteristics of the particles emitted during respiratory activities and their fate after emission, and a theoretical understanding of particle deposition during inhalation, nevertheless the general understanding of the entire process is rudimentary, and many open questions remain.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lidia Morawska
- Queensland University of Technology, International Laboratory for Air Quality & Health (ILAQH), Brisbane, Queensland Australia
- Global Centre for Clean Air Research, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Surrey, Guildford, UK
| | - Giorgio Buonanno
- Queensland University of Technology, International Laboratory for Air Quality & Health (ILAQH), Brisbane, Queensland Australia
- Department of Civil and Mechanical Engineering, University of Cassino and Southern Lazio, Cassino, Italy
| | - Alex Mikszewski
- Queensland University of Technology, International Laboratory for Air Quality & Health (ILAQH), Brisbane, Queensland Australia
| | - Luca Stabile
- Department of Civil and Mechanical Engineering, University of Cassino and Southern Lazio, Cassino, Italy
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35
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Li S, Li Z, Dong Y, Shi T, Zhou S, Chen Y, Wang X, Qin F. Temporal-spatial risk assessment of COVID-19 under the influence of urban spatial environmental parameters: The case of Shenyang city. BUILDING SIMULATION 2022; 16:683-699. [PMID: 35968515 PMCID: PMC9364280 DOI: 10.1007/s12273-022-0918-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/10/2022] [Revised: 06/07/2022] [Accepted: 06/25/2022] [Indexed: 06/15/2023]
Abstract
Respiratory infection is the main route for the transmission of coronavirus pneumonia, and the results have shown that the urban spatial environment significantly influences the risk of infection. Based on the Wells-Riley model of respiratory infection probability, the study determined the human respiratory-related parameters and the effective influence range; extracted urban morphological parameters, assessed the ventilation effects of different spatial environments, and, combined with population flow monitoring data, constructed a method for assessing the risk of Covid-19 respiratory infection in urban-scale grid cells. In the empirical study in Shenyang city, a severe cold region, urban morphological parameters, population size, background wind speed, and individual behavior patterns were used to calculate the distribution characteristics of temporal and spatial concomitant risks in urban areas grids under different scenarios. The results showed that the correlation between the risk of respiratory infection in urban public spaces and the above variables was significant. The exposure time had the greatest degree of influence on the probability of respiratory infection risk among the variables. At the same time, the change in human body spacing beyond 1 m had a minor influence on the risk of infection. Among the urban morphological parameters, building height had the highest correlation with the risk of infection, while building density had the lowest correlation. The actual point distribution of the epidemic in Shenyang from March to April 2022 was used to verify the evaluation results. The overlap rate between medium or higher risk areas and actual cases was 78.55%. The planning strategies for epidemic prevention and control were proposed for the spatial differentiation characteristics of different risk elements. The research results can accurately classify the risk level of urban space and provide a scientific basis for the planning response of epidemic prevention and control and the safety of public activities.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sui Li
- School of Architecture and Planning, Shenyang Jianzhu University, Shenyang, Liaoning, 110168 China
- Institute of Ecological Urban Planning and Green Building, Shenyang Jianzhu University, Shenyang, Liaoning, 110168 China
| | - Zhe Li
- School of Architecture and Planning, Shenyang Jianzhu University, Shenyang, Liaoning, 110168 China
| | - Yixin Dong
- School of Architecture, Tianjin University, Tianjin, 300072 China
| | - Tiemao Shi
- School of Architecture and Planning, Shenyang Jianzhu University, Shenyang, Liaoning, 110168 China
- Institute of Spatial Planning and Design, Shenyang Jianzhu University, Shenyang, Liaoning, 110168 China
| | - Shiwen Zhou
- School of Architecture and Planning, Shenyang Jianzhu University, Shenyang, Liaoning, 110168 China
| | - Yumeng Chen
- School of Architecture and Planning, Shenyang Jianzhu University, Shenyang, Liaoning, 110168 China
| | - Xun Wang
- School of Science, Shenyang Jianzhu University, Shenyang, Liaoning, 110168 China
| | - Feifei Qin
- Institute of Ecological Urban Planning and Green Building, Shenyang Jianzhu University, Shenyang, Liaoning, 110168 China
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36
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Park J, Lee KS, Park H. Optimized mechanism for fast removal of infectious pathogen-laden aerosols in the negative-pressure unit. JOURNAL OF HAZARDOUS MATERIALS 2022; 435:128978. [PMID: 35472540 PMCID: PMC9020843 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhazmat.2022.128978] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/26/2022] [Revised: 04/09/2022] [Accepted: 04/18/2022] [Indexed: 05/07/2023]
Abstract
It has been frequently emphasized that highly contagious respiratory disease pathogens (such as SARS-CoV-2) are transmitted to the other hosts in the form of micro-sized aerosols (< 5 μm) in the air without physical contacts. Hospital environments such as negative-pressure unit are considered being consistently exposed to pathogens, so it is essential to quickly discharge them through the effective ventilation system. To achieve that, in the present study, we propose the optimized ventilation mechanism and design for the fastest removal of pathogen-laden aerosol using numerical simulations. We quantitatively evaluated the aerosol removal performance of various ventilation configurations (combinations of air exhaust and supply ducts), and found that the key mechanism is to form the coherent (preferentially upward) airflow structure to surround the respiratory flow containing the aerosol cluster. We believe that the present findings will play a critical role in developing the high-efficiency negative-pressure facility irrespective of its size and environments.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jooyeon Park
- Department of Mechanical Engineering, Seoul National University, Seoul 08826, South Korea
| | - Kwang Suk Lee
- Department of Urology, Gangnam Severance Hospital, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 06273, South Korea
| | - Hyungmin Park
- Department of Mechanical Engineering, Seoul National University, Seoul 08826, South Korea; Institute of Advanced Machines and Design, Seoul National University, Seoul 08826, South Korea.
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Multi-objective performance assessment of HVAC systems and physical barriers on COVID-19 infection transmission in a high-speed train. JOURNAL OF BUILDING ENGINEERING 2022; 53:104544. [PMCID: PMC9022448 DOI: 10.1016/j.jobe.2022.104544] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/19/2022] [Revised: 04/11/2022] [Accepted: 04/17/2022] [Indexed: 06/16/2023]
Abstract
A computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulation was performed to model and study the transmission risk associated with cough-related SARS-CoV-2 droplets in a real-world high-speed train (HST). In this study, the evaporating of the droplets was considered. Simulation data were post-processed to assess the fraction of the particles deposited on each passenger's face and body, suspended in air, and escaped from exhausts. Firstly, the effects of temperature, relative humidity, ventilation rate, injection source, exhausts' location and capacity, and adding the physical barriers on evaporation and transport of respiratory droplets are investigated in long distance HST. The results demonstrate that overall, 6–43% of the particles were suspended in the cabin after 2.7 min, depending on conditions, and 3–58% of the particles were removed from the cabin in the same duration. Use of physical barriers and high ventilation rate is therefore recommended for both personal and social protection. We found more exhaust capacity and medium relative humidity to be effective in reducing the particles' transmission potential across all studied scenarios. The results indicate that reducing ventilation rate and exhaust capacity, increased aerosols shelf time and dispersion throughout the cabin.
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38
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Saied AA. Should not airborne transmission be ignored in the 2022 monkeypox outbreak? Int J Surg 2022; 104:106762. [PMID: 35798203 PMCID: PMC9534014 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijsu.2022.106762] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/16/2022] [Accepted: 07/02/2022] [Indexed: 11/02/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- AbdulRahman A Saied
- National Food Safety Authority (NFSA), Aswan Branch, Aswan, 81511, Egypt; Ministry of Tourism and Antiquities, Aswan Office, Aswan, 81511, Egypt.
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Li Y, Wu C, Cao G, Guan D, Zhan C. Transmission characteristics of respiratory droplets aerosol in indoor environment: an experimental study. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH RESEARCH 2022; 32:1768-1779. [PMID: 33825604 DOI: 10.1080/09603123.2021.1910629] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/15/2021] [Accepted: 03/25/2021] [Indexed: 06/12/2023]
Abstract
Transmission of droplets has been recognized as an important form of infection for the respiratory diseases. This study investigated the distribution of human respiratory droplets and assessed the effects of air change rate and generated velocity on droplet transmission using an active agent in an enclosed chamber (46 m3). Results revealed that the higher the air change rate was, the fewer viable droplets were detected in the range of <3.3 μm with ventilation; an increased air change rate can increase the attenuation of droplet aerosol. Without ventilation, the viable droplet size was observed to mainly distribute greater than 3.3 μm, which occupied up 87.5% of the total number. When the generated velocity was increased to 20 m/s, 29.38% of the viable droplets were detected at the position of 2.0 m. The findings are excepted to be useful for developing the technology of reducing droplet propagation and providing data verification for simulation research.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yanju Li
- School of Energy and Safety Engineering, Tianjin Chengjian University, Tianjin, China
| | - Chunbin Wu
- School of Energy and Safety Engineering, Tianjin Chengjian University, Tianjin, China
| | - Guoqing Cao
- Institute of Building Environment and Energy, China Academy of Building Research, Beijing, China
| | - Dexing Guan
- School of Energy and Safety Engineering, Tianjin Chengjian University, Tianjin, China
| | - Chaoguo Zhan
- School of Environmental Science and Safety Engineering, Tianjin University of Technology, Tianjin, China
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40
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Ge H, Zhao P, Choi S, Deng T, Feng Y, Cui X. Effects of face shield on an emitter during a cough process: A large-eddy simulation study. THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2022; 831:154856. [PMID: 35358516 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.154856] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/03/2022] [Revised: 03/03/2022] [Accepted: 03/23/2022] [Indexed: 06/14/2023]
Abstract
Face shield is a common personal protection equipment for pandemic. In the present work, three-dimensional computational fluid dynamic (CFD) method is used to simulate a cough jet from an emitter who wears a face shield. A realistic manikin model with a simplified mouth cavity is employed. A large eddy simulation with a dynamic structure subgrid scale model is applied to model the turbulence. An Eulerian-Lagrangian approach is adopted to model the two-phase flows, with which the droplets are represented by a cloud of particles. The droplet breakup, evaporation, dispersion, drag force, and wall impingement are considered in this model. An inlet velocity profile that is based on a variable mouth opening area is considered. Special attentions have been put the vortex structure and droplet re-distribution induced by the face shield. It is found that the multiple vortices are formed when the cough jet impinges on the face shield. Some droplets move backward and others move downward after the impinging. It is also found that a small modification of the face shield significantly modifies the flow field and droplet distribution. We conclude that face shield significantly reduces the risk factor in the front of the emitter, meanwhile the risk factor in the back of the emitter increases. When the receiver standing in front of the emitter is shorter than the emitter, the risk is still very high. More attentions should be paid on the design of the face field, clothes cleaning and floor cleaning of the emitters with face shields. Based on the predicted droplet trajectory, a conceptual model for droplet flux is proposed for the scenario with the face shield.
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Affiliation(s)
- Haiwen Ge
- Department of Mechanical Engineering, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX, USA
| | - Peng Zhao
- Department of Mechanical, Aerospace & Biomedical Engineering, UT Space Institute, University of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN, USA
| | - Sanghun Choi
- School of Mechanical Engineering, Kyungpook National University, Daegu, Republic of Korea
| | - Teng Deng
- School of Aerospace Engineering, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China
| | - Yaning Feng
- School of Aerospace Engineering, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China
| | - Xinguang Cui
- School of Aerospace Engineering, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.
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41
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Luo Q, Ou C, Hang J, Luo Z, Yang H, Yang X, Zhang X, Li Y, Fan X. Role of pathogen-laden expiratory droplet dispersion and natural ventilation explaining a COVID-19 outbreak in a coach bus. BUILDING AND ENVIRONMENT 2022; 220:109160. [PMID: 35615259 PMCID: PMC9122785 DOI: 10.1016/j.buildenv.2022.109160] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/01/2022] [Revised: 04/28/2022] [Accepted: 04/30/2022] [Indexed: 05/30/2023]
Abstract
The influencing mechanism of droplet transmissions inside crowded and poorly ventilated buses on infection risks of respiratory diseases is still unclear. Based on experiments of one-infecting-seven COVID-19 outbreak with an index patient at bus rear, we conducted CFD simulations to investigate integrated effects of initial droplet diameters(tracer gas, 5 μm, 50 μm and 100 μm), natural air change rates per hour(ACH = 0.62, 2.27 and 5.66 h-1 related to bus speeds) and relative humidity(RH = 35% and 95%) on pathogen-laden droplet dispersion and infection risks. Outdoor pressure difference around bus surfaces introduces natural ventilation airflow entering from bus-rear skylight and leaving from the front one. When ACH = 0.62 h-1(idling state), the 30-min-exposure infection risk(TIR) of tracer gas is 15.3%(bus rear) - 11.1%(bus front), and decreases to 3.1%(bus rear)-1.3%(bus front) under ACH = 5.66 h-1(high bus speed).The TIR of large droplets(i.e., 100 μm/50 μm) is almost independent of ACH, with a peak value(∼3.1%) near the index patient, because over 99.5%/97.0% of droplets deposit locally due to gravity. Moreover, 5 μm droplets can disperse further with the increasing ventilation. However, TIR for 5 μm droplets at ACH = 5.66 h-1 stays relatively small for rear passengers(maximum 0.4%), and is even smaller in the bus middle and front(<0.1%). This study verifies that differing from general rooms, most 5 μm droplets deposit on the route through the long-and-narrow bus space with large-area surfaces(L∼11.4 m). Therefore, tracer gas can only simulate fine droplet with little deposition but cannot replace 5-100 μm droplet dispersion in coach buses.
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Affiliation(s)
- Qiqi Luo
- School of Atmospheric Sciences, Sun Yat-sen University, and Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Zhuhai), Zhuhai, China
- Key Laboratory of Tropical Atmosphere-Ocean System (Sun Yat-sen University), Ministry of Education, Zhuhai, 519000, China
| | - Cuiyun Ou
- School of Atmospheric Sciences, Sun Yat-sen University, and Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Zhuhai), Zhuhai, China
- Key Laboratory of Tropical Atmosphere-Ocean System (Sun Yat-sen University), Ministry of Education, Zhuhai, 519000, China
| | - Jian Hang
- School of Atmospheric Sciences, Sun Yat-sen University, and Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Zhuhai), Zhuhai, China
- Key Laboratory of Tropical Atmosphere-Ocean System (Sun Yat-sen University), Ministry of Education, Zhuhai, 519000, China
| | - Zhiwen Luo
- School of the Built Environment, University of Reading, Reading, UK
| | - Hongyu Yang
- School of Atmospheric Sciences, Sun Yat-sen University, and Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Zhuhai), Zhuhai, China
- Key Laboratory of Tropical Atmosphere-Ocean System (Sun Yat-sen University), Ministry of Education, Zhuhai, 519000, China
| | - Xia Yang
- School of Atmospheric Sciences, Sun Yat-sen University, and Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Zhuhai), Zhuhai, China
- Key Laboratory of Tropical Atmosphere-Ocean System (Sun Yat-sen University), Ministry of Education, Zhuhai, 519000, China
| | - Xuelin Zhang
- School of Atmospheric Sciences, Sun Yat-sen University, and Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Zhuhai), Zhuhai, China
- Key Laboratory of Tropical Atmosphere-Ocean System (Sun Yat-sen University), Ministry of Education, Zhuhai, 519000, China
| | - Yuguo Li
- Department of Mechanical Engineering, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
| | - Xiaodan Fan
- School of Atmospheric Sciences, Sun Yat-sen University, and Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Zhuhai), Zhuhai, China
- Key Laboratory of Tropical Atmosphere-Ocean System (Sun Yat-sen University), Ministry of Education, Zhuhai, 519000, China
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42
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Ahlawat A, Mishra SK, Herrmann H, Rajeev P, Gupta T, Goel V, Sun Y, Wiedensohler A. Impact of Chemical Properties of Human Respiratory Droplets and Aerosol Particles on Airborne Viruses' Viability and Indoor Transmission. Viruses 2022; 14:v14071497. [PMID: 35891477 PMCID: PMC9318922 DOI: 10.3390/v14071497] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/08/2022] [Revised: 07/01/2022] [Accepted: 07/01/2022] [Indexed: 02/04/2023] Open
Abstract
The airborne transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has been identified as a potential pandemic challenge, especially in poorly ventilated indoor environments, such as certain hospitals, schools, public buildings, and transports. The impacts of meteorological parameters (temperature and humidity) and physical property (droplet size) on the airborne transmission of coronavirus in indoor settings have been previously investigated. However, the impacts of chemical properties of viral droplets and aerosol particles (i.e., chemical composition and acidity (pH)) on viability and indoor transmission of coronavirus remain largely unknown. Recent studies suggest high organic content (proteins) in viral droplets and aerosol particles supports prolonged survival of the virus by forming a glassy gel-type structure that restricts the virus inactivation process under low relative humidity (RH). In addition, the virus survival was found at neutral pH, and inactivation was observed to be best at low (<5) and high pH (>10) values (enveloped bacteriophage Phi6). Due to limited available information, this article illustrates an urgent need to research the impact of chemical properties of exhaled viral particles on virus viability. This will improve our fundamental understanding of indoor viral airborne transmission mechanisms.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ajit Ahlawat
- Leibniz Institute for Tropospheric Research, 04318 Leipzig, Germany; (H.H.); (A.W.)
- Correspondence:
| | | | - Hartmut Herrmann
- Leibniz Institute for Tropospheric Research, 04318 Leipzig, Germany; (H.H.); (A.W.)
| | - Pradhi Rajeev
- Department of Civil Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology (IIT), Kanpur 208016, India; (P.R.); (T.G.)
| | - Tarun Gupta
- Department of Civil Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology (IIT), Kanpur 208016, India; (P.R.); (T.G.)
| | - Vikas Goel
- School of Interdisciplinary Research, Indian Institute of Technology (IIT), Delhi 110016, India;
| | - Yele Sun
- LAPC, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100017, China;
| | - Alfred Wiedensohler
- Leibniz Institute for Tropospheric Research, 04318 Leipzig, Germany; (H.H.); (A.W.)
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43
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Wang Y, Liu Z, Liu H, Wu M, He J, Cao G. Droplet aerosols transportation and deposition for three respiratory behaviors in a typical negative pressure isolation ward. BUILDING AND ENVIRONMENT 2022; 219:109247. [PMID: 35669356 PMCID: PMC9159814 DOI: 10.1016/j.buildenv.2022.109247] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/16/2022] [Revised: 05/22/2022] [Accepted: 05/26/2022] [Indexed: 05/28/2023]
Abstract
Negative pressure isolation wards could provide safety for health care workers (HCWs) and patients infected with SARS-CoV-2. However, respiratory behavior releases aerosols containing pathogens, resulting in a potential risk of infection for HCWs. In this study, the spatiotemporal distribution of droplet aerosols in a typical negative pressure isolation ward was investigated using a full-scale experiment. In this experiment, artificial saliva was used to simulate the breathing behavior, which can reflect the effect of evaporation on droplet aerosols. Moreover, numerical simulations were used to compare the transport of droplet aerosols released by the three respiratory behaviors (breathing, speaking, and coughing). The results showed that droplet aerosols generated by coughing and speaking can be removed and deposited more quickly. Because reduction in the suspension proportion per unit time was much higher than that in the case of breathing. Under the air supply inlets, there was significant aerosol deposition on the floor, while the breathing area possessed higher aerosol concentrations. The risk of aerosol resuspension and potential infection increased significantly when HCWs moved frequently to these areas. Finally, more than 20% of the droplet aerosols escaped from the ward when the number of suspended aerosols in the aerosol space was 1%.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yongxin Wang
- Department of Power Engineering, North China Electric Power University, Baoding, Hebei, 071003, PR China
| | - Zhijian Liu
- Department of Power Engineering, North China Electric Power University, Baoding, Hebei, 071003, PR China
| | - Haiyang Liu
- Department of Power Engineering, North China Electric Power University, Baoding, Hebei, 071003, PR China
| | - Minnan Wu
- Department of Power Engineering, North China Electric Power University, Baoding, Hebei, 071003, PR China
| | - Junzhou He
- Department of Power Engineering, North China Electric Power University, Baoding, Hebei, 071003, PR China
| | - Guoqing Cao
- Institute of Building Environment and Energy, China Academy of Building Research, Beijing, 100013, PR China
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44
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Faleiros DE, van den Bos W, Botto L, Scarano F. TU Delft COVID-app: A tool to democratize CFD simulations for SARS-CoV-2 infection risk analysis. THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2022; 826:154143. [PMID: 35227716 PMCID: PMC8875768 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.154143] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/08/2021] [Revised: 02/20/2022] [Accepted: 02/21/2022] [Indexed: 05/05/2023]
Abstract
This work describes a modelling approach to SARS-CoV-2 dispersion based on experiments. The main goal is the development of an application integrated in Ansys Fluent to enable computational fluid dynamics (CFD) users to set up, in a relatively short time, complex simulations of virion-laden droplet dispersion for calculating the probability of SARS-CoV-2 infection in real life scenarios. The software application, referred to as TU Delft COVID-app, includes the modelling of human expiratory activities, unsteady and turbulent convection, droplet evaporation and thermal coupling. Data describing human expiratory activities have been obtained from selected studies involving measurements of the expelled droplets and the air flow during coughing, sneezing and breathing. Particle Image Velocimetry (PIV) measurements of the transient air flow expelled by a person while reciting a speech have been conducted with and without a surgical mask. The instantaneous velocity fields from PIV are used to determine the velocity flow rates used in the numerical simulations, while the average velocity fields are used for validation. Furthermore, the effect of surgical masks and N95 respirators on particle filtration and the probability of SARS-CoV-2 infection from a dose-response model have also been implemented in the application. Finally, the work includes a case-study of SARS-CoV-2 infection risk analysis during a conversation across a dining/meeting table that demonstrates the capability of the newly developed application.
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Affiliation(s)
- David Engler Faleiros
- Faculty of Mechanical, Maritime and Materials Engineering (3mE), TU Delft, the Netherlands
| | - Wouter van den Bos
- Faculty of Mechanical, Maritime and Materials Engineering (3mE), TU Delft, the Netherlands; SDC Verifier, the Netherlands.
| | - Lorenzo Botto
- Faculty of Mechanical, Maritime and Materials Engineering (3mE), TU Delft, the Netherlands
| | - Fulvio Scarano
- Faculty of Aerospace Engineering, TU Delft, the Netherlands
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45
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Liu F, Qian H. Uncertainty analysis of facemasks in mitigating SARS-CoV-2 transmission. ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION (BARKING, ESSEX : 1987) 2022; 303:119167. [PMID: 35307493 PMCID: PMC8926848 DOI: 10.1016/j.envpol.2022.119167] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/22/2021] [Revised: 02/14/2022] [Accepted: 03/14/2022] [Indexed: 05/09/2023]
Abstract
In the context of global spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) caused by a novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2), there is a controversial issue on whether the use of facemasks is promising to control or mitigate the COVID-19 transmission. This study modeled the SARS-CoV-2 transmission process and analyzed the ability of surgical mask and N95 in reducing the infection risk with Sobol's analysis. Two documented outbreaks of COVID-19 with no involvers wearing face masks were reviewed in a restaurant in Guangzhou (China) and a choir rehearsal in Mount Vernon (USA), suggesting that the proposed model can be well validated when airborne transmission is assumed to dominate the virus transmission indoors. Subsequently, the uncertainty analysis of the protection efficiency of N95 and surgical mask were conducted with Monte Carlo simulations, with three main findings: (1) the uncertainty in infection risk is primarily apportioned by respiratory activities, virus dynamics, environment factors and individual exposures; (2) wearing masks can effectively reduce the SARS-CoV-2 infection risk to an acceptable level (< 10-3) by at least two orders of magnitude; (3) faceseal leakage can reduce protection efficiency by approximately 4% when the infector is speaking or coughing, and by approximately 28% when the infector is sneezing. This work indicates the effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions during the pandemic, and implies the importance of the synergistic studies of medicine, environment, social policies and strategies, etc., on reducing hazards and risks of the pandemic.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fan Liu
- School of Energy and Environment, Southeast University, Nanjing, China; School of Environment and Architecture, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai, China
| | - Hua Qian
- School of Energy and Environment, Southeast University, Nanjing, China; Engineering Research Center for Building Energy Environments & Equipments, Ministry of Education, China.
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46
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Wang L, Lin T, Da Costa H, Zhu S, Stockman T, Kumar A, Weaver J, Spede M, Milton DK, Hertzberg J, Toohey DW, Vance ME, Miller SL, Srebric J. Characterization of aerosol plumes from singing and playing wind instruments associated with the risk of airborne virus transmission. INDOOR AIR 2022; 32:e13064. [PMID: 35762243 PMCID: PMC9328346 DOI: 10.1111/ina.13064] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/01/2021] [Revised: 04/25/2022] [Accepted: 05/23/2022] [Indexed: 06/15/2023]
Abstract
The exhalation of aerosols during musical performances or rehearsals posed a risk of airborne virus transmission in the COVID-19 pandemic. Previous research studied aerosol plumes by only focusing on one risk factor, either the source strength or convective transport capability. Furthermore, the source strength was characterized by the aerosol concentration and ignored the airflow rate needed for risk analysis in actual musical performances. This study characterizes aerosol plumes that account for both the source strength and convective transport capability by conducting experiments with 18 human subjects. The source strength was characterized by the source aerosol emission rate, defined as the source aerosol concentration multiplied by the source airflow rate (brass 383 particle/s, singing 408 particle/s, and woodwind 480 particle/s). The convective transport capability was characterized by the plume influence distance, defined as the sum of the horizontal jet length and horizontal instrument length (brass 0.6 m, singing 0.6 m and woodwind 0.8 m). Results indicate that woodwind instruments produced the highest risk with approximately 20% higher source aerosol emission rates and 30% higher plume influence distances compared with the average of the same risk indicators for singing and brass instruments. Interestingly, the clarinet performance produced moderate source aerosol concentrations at the instrument's bell, but had the highest source aerosol emission rates due to high source airflow rates. Flute performance generated plumes with the lowest source aerosol emission rates but the highest plume influence distances due to the highest source airflow rate. Notably, these comprehensive results show that the source airflow is a critical component of the risk of airborne disease transmission. The effectiveness of masking and bell covering in reducing aerosol transmission is due to the mitigation of both source aerosol concentrations and plume influence distances. This study also found a musician who generated approximately five times more source aerosol concentrations than those of the other musicians who played the same instrument. Despite voice and brass instruments producing measurably lower average risk, it is possible to have an individual musician produce aerosol plumes with high source strength, resulting in enhanced transmission risk; however, our sample size was too small to make generalizable conclusions regarding the broad musician population.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lingzhe Wang
- Department of Mechanical EngineeringUniversity of MarylandCollege ParkMarylandUSA
| | - Tong Lin
- Department of Mechanical EngineeringUniversity of MarylandCollege ParkMarylandUSA
| | - Hevander Da Costa
- Department of Mechanical EngineeringUniversity of MarylandCollege ParkMarylandUSA
| | - Shengwei Zhu
- Department of Mechanical EngineeringUniversity of MarylandCollege ParkMarylandUSA
| | - Tehya Stockman
- Department of Civil, Environmental, and Architectural EngineeringUniversity of Colorado BoulderBoulderColoradoUSA
| | - Abhishek Kumar
- Department of Mechanical EngineeringUniversity of Colorado BoulderBoulderColoradoUSA
| | - James Weaver
- National Federation of State High School AssociationsIndianapolisIndianaUSA
| | - Mark Spede
- Department of Performing ArtsClemson UniversityClemsonSouth CarolinaUSA
| | - Donald K. Milton
- Maryland Institute for Applied Environmental Health, School of Public HealthUniversity of MarylandCollege ParkMarylandUSA
| | - Jean Hertzberg
- Department of Mechanical EngineeringUniversity of Colorado BoulderBoulderColoradoUSA
| | - Darin W. Toohey
- Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic SciencesUniversity of Colorado BoulderBoulderColoradoUSA
| | - Marina E. Vance
- Department of Mechanical EngineeringUniversity of Colorado BoulderBoulderColoradoUSA
| | - Shelly L. Miller
- Department of Mechanical EngineeringUniversity of Colorado BoulderBoulderColoradoUSA
| | - Jelena Srebric
- Department of Mechanical EngineeringUniversity of MarylandCollege ParkMarylandUSA
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47
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Wang CT, Xu JC, Chan KC, Lee HH, Tso CY, Lin CSK, Chao CYH, Fu SC. Infection control measures for public transportation derived from the flow dynamics of obstructed cough jet. JOURNAL OF AEROSOL SCIENCE 2022; 163:105995. [PMID: 35382445 PMCID: PMC8971108 DOI: 10.1016/j.jaerosci.2022.105995] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/06/2022] [Revised: 03/21/2022] [Accepted: 03/21/2022] [Indexed: 06/14/2023]
Abstract
During the COVID-19 pandemic, WHO and CDC suggest people stay 1 m and 1.8 m away from others, respectively. Keeping social distance can avoid close contact and mitigate infection spread. Many researchers suspect that suggested distances are not enough because aerosols can spread up to 7-8 m away. Despite the debate on social distance, these social distances rely on unobstructed respiratory activities such as coughing and sneezing. Differently, in this work, we focused on the most common but less studied aerosol spread from an obstructed cough. The flow dynamics of a cough jet blocked by the backrest and gasper jet in a cabin environment was characterized by the particle image velocimetry (PIV) technique. It was proved that the backrest and the gasper jet can prevent the front passenger from droplet spray in public transportation where maintaining social distance was difficult. A model was developed to describe the cough jet trajectory due to the gasper jet, which matched well with PIV results. It was found that buoyancy and inside droplets almost do not affect the short-range cough jet trajectory. Infection control measures were suggested for public transportation, including using backrest/gasper jet, installing localized exhaust, and surface cleaning of the backrest.
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Affiliation(s)
- C T Wang
- Department of Mechanical Engineering, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
- Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong, China
| | - J C Xu
- Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong, China
| | - K C Chan
- Department of Mechanical Engineering, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
| | - H H Lee
- Department of Energy and Environment, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
| | - C Y Tso
- Department of Energy and Environment, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
| | - Carol S K Lin
- Department of Energy and Environment, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
| | - Christopher Y H Chao
- Department of Mechanical Engineering, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
- Department of Building Environment and Energy Engineering & Department of Mechanical Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China
| | - S C Fu
- Department of Mechanical Engineering, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
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48
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Droplets Transmission Mechanism in a Commercial Wide-Body Aircraft Cabin. APPLIED SCIENCES-BASEL 2022. [DOI: 10.3390/app12104889] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/01/2023]
Abstract
COVID-19 is a respiratory infectious disease that spreads readily between people, and an urgent issue of passengers’ exposure risk assessment in commercial aircraft has been raised because an aircraft cabin as a confined space may carry and transmit the disease worldwide. In this study, the droplets transmission process under different ventilation systems in a twin-aisle wide-body aircraft was studied using CFD simulations and the infection risk of passengers was assessed by the improved Wells–Riley model. Numerical results found that the transmission mechanism of droplets in the aircraft cabin was different depending on the type of ventilation systems and the location of the infectious source. Annular airflow could effectively enhance the ability of droplets transmission, while direct airflow, represented by displacement ventilation, could significantly inhibit droplets transmission. Accordingly, a new type of ventilation system was proposed based on the concept that the overall space is organized by annular airflow and the local area is direct airflow. Compared with sidewall mixing ventilation system, the infection risk of the new ventilation system presented in this study is reduced by 27%.
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Modeling and Predicting Pulmonary Tuberculosis Incidence and Its Association with Air Pollution and Meteorological Factors Using an ARIMAX Model: An Ecological Study in Ningbo of China. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2022; 19:ijerph19095385. [PMID: 35564780 PMCID: PMC9105987 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph19095385] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/20/2022] [Revised: 04/23/2022] [Accepted: 04/25/2022] [Indexed: 11/24/2022]
Abstract
The autoregressive integrated moving average with exogenous regressors (ARIMAX) modeling studies of pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) are still rare. This study aims to explore whether incorporating air pollution and meteorological factors can improve the performance of a time series model in predicting PTB. We collected the monthly incidence of PTB, records of six air pollutants and six meteorological factors in Ningbo of China from January 2015 to December 2019. Then, we constructed the ARIMA, univariate ARIMAX, and multivariate ARIMAX models. The ARIMAX model incorporated ambient factors, while the ARIMA model did not. After prewhitening, the cross-correlation analysis showed that PTB incidence was related to air pollution and meteorological factors with a lag effect. Air pollution and meteorological factors also had a correlation. We found that the multivariate ARIMAX model incorporating both the ozone with 0-month lag and the atmospheric pressure with 11-month lag had the best performance for predicting the incidence of PTB in 2019, with the lowest fitted mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 2.9097% and test MAPE of 9.2643%. However, ARIMAX has limited improvement in prediction accuracy compared with the ARIMA model. Our study also suggests the role of protecting the environment and reducing pollutants in controlling PTB and other infectious diseases.
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Handiso TB, Jifar MS, Nuriye Hagisso S. Coronavirus’s (SARS-CoV-2) airborne transmission. SAGE Open Med 2022; 10:20503121221094185. [PMID: 35492889 PMCID: PMC9047781 DOI: 10.1177/20503121221094185] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/20/2021] [Accepted: 03/19/2022] [Indexed: 01/08/2023] Open
Abstract
This scientific review of mode of transmission of COVID-19 is to aid
scientific community in generating hypothesis. The inadequate evidence
on SARS-CoV-2 transmission has hindered the development of effective
prevention strategy and resulted in continues pandemic of the
COVID-19. Therefore, in this review, existing evidence is discussed,
hypothesis is generated regarding COVID-19 mode of transmission, and
recommendations are forwarded based on existing body of knowledge.
Thus, two meters (2 m) physical distance is not completely safe even
for large droplets and wearing a face mask is a key in the prevention
of SARS-CoV-2 in public areas and confined space and public need to be
vaccinated.
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