Excess pneumonia and influenza hospitalizations associated with influenza epidemics in Portugal from season 1998/1999 to 2014/2015

Development and validation of nomogram for predicting the risk of transferring to the ICU for children with influenza

OBJECTIVE

Development of a nomogram model for predicting the magnitude of risk of transferring hospitalized children with influenza to the ICU.

METHODS

In a single-center retrospective study, 318 children with influenza who were hospitalized in our hospital from January 2018 to August 2023 were collected as study subjects. Children with influenza were randomly assigned to the training set and validation set in a ratio of 4:1. In the training set, risk factors were identified using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses, and a nomogram model was created on this basis. The validation set was used to evaluate the predictive power of the model.

RESULTS

Multifactorial logistic regression analysis revealed six independent risk factors for transfer to the ICU in hospitalized children with influenza, including elevated peripheral white blood cell counts, elevated large platelet ratios, reduced mean platelet width, reduced complement C3, elevated serum globulin levels, and reduced total immunoglobulin M levels. Using these six metrics as predictors to construct a nomogram graphical model, the C-index was 0.970 (95% Cl: 0.953-0.988). The areas under the curve for the training and validation sets were 0.966 (95%Cl 0.947-0.985) and 0.919 (95%Cl 0.851-0.986), respectively.

CONCLUSION

A nomogram for predicting the risk of transferring to the ICU for children with influenza was developed and validated, which demonstrates good calibration and clinical benefits.

Uncovering the burden of Influenza in children in Portugal, 2008-2018

BACKGROUND

Despite their higher risk of developing severe disease, little is known about the burden of influenza in Portugal in children aged < 5 years old. This study aims to cover this gap by estimating the clinical and economic burden of severe influenza in children, in Portugal, during ten consecutive influenza seasons (2008/09-2017/18).

METHODS

We reviewed hospitalizations in children aged < 5 years old using anonymized administrative data covering all public hospitals discharges in mainland Portugal. The burden of hospitalization and in-hospital mortality directly coded as due to influenza was supplemented by the indirect burden calculated from excess hospitalization and mortality (influenza-associated), estimated for four groups of diagnoses (pneumonia or influenza, respiratory, respiratory or cardiovascular, and all-cause), through cyclic regression models integrating the incidence of influenza. Means were reported excluding the H1N1pdm09 pandemic (2009/10).

RESULTS

The mean annual number of hospitalizations coded as due to influenza was 189 (41.3 cases per 100,000 children aged < 5 years old). Hospitalization rates decreased with increasing age. Nine-in-ten children were previously healthy, but the presence of comorbidities increased with age. Children stayed, on average, 6.1 days at the hospital. Invasive mechanical ventilation was used in 2.4% of hospitalizations and non-invasive in 3.1%. Influenza-associated excess hospitalizations between 2008 and 2018 were estimated at 1,850 in pneumonia or influenza, 1,760 in respiratory, 1,787 in respiratory or cardiovascular, and 1,879 in all-cause models. A total of 95 influenza-associated excess deaths were estimated in all-cause, 14 in respiratory or cardiovascular, and 9 in respiratory models. Over ten years, influenza hospitalizations were estimated to have cost the National Health Service at least €2.9 million, of which 66.5% from healthy children.

CONCLUSIONS

Influenza viruses led to a high number of hospitalizations in children. Most were previously healthy. Results should lead to a reflection on the adequate preventive measures to protect this age group.

Influenza hospitalisations in Spain between the last influenza and COVID-19 pandemic (2009-2019)

Knowing the burden of severe disease caused by influenza is essential for disease risk communication, to understand the true impact of vaccination programmes and to guide public health and disease control measures. We estimated the number of influenza-attributable hospitalisations in Spain during the 2010-2011 to 2019-2020 seasons - based on the hospitalisations due to severe acute respiratory infection (SARI) in Spain using the hospital discharge database and virological influenza information from the Spanish Influenza Sentinel Surveillance System (SISSS). The weekly numbers of influenza-attributable hospitalisations were calculated by multiplying the weekly SARI hospitalisations by the weekly influenza virus positivity, obtained from the SISSS in each season, stratified by age group and sex. The influenza-related hospitalisation burden is age-specific and varies significantly by influenza season. People aged 65 and over yielded the highest average influenza-attributable hospitalisation rates per season (615.6 per 100,000), followed by children aged under 5 (251.2 per 100,000). These results provide an essential contribution to influenza control and to improving existing vaccination programmes, as well as to the optimisation and planning of health resources and policies.

A retrospective study of the clinical characteristics of 9 children with pulmonary embolism associated with Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to analyze the clinical characteristics and treatment of children with Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (MPP) who also present with pulmonary embolism (PE).

METHODS

This retrospective analysis examined the demographic data, clinical manifestations, laboratory tests, imaging characteristics, therapy, and prognosis of nine cases of children with Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (MPP) complicated by pulmonary embolism (PE). The study focused on patients admitted to the respiratory department of Tianjin Children's Hospital between January 2018 and December 2021.

RESULTS

The age range of the patients was 3 to 8 years old, with a median age of 7.5 years. The median number of days from pulmonary infection to the diagnosis of embolism was 14 days. All patients had refractory Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (RMPP). Among them, three patients reported chest pain, one of whom had hemoptysis, while five patients had dyspnea, and six patients experienced radiating pain at unusual sites. Five out of the nine children tested positive for lupus anticoagulant (LA), five for anticardiolipin antibody (ACA), three for anti-2-glycoprotein antibody IgM, four for reduced protein S or protein C activity, and three for elevated coagulation factor VIII. Moreover, six out of the nine children tested positive for antinuclear antibodies. All the children underwent CT pulmonary angiograms, which revealed filling defects. After sequential low-molecular heparin anticoagulation with rivaroxaban, nine children in this study showed a good prognosis, with two of them receiving thrombolytic therapy for combined cardiac embolism. Follow-up at 0.5-9 months showed the gradual resolution of the emboli in all 9 children, with no thrombotic recurrences and normalized autoantibodies and thrombophilia markers.

CONCLUSIONS

The majority of cases involving Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (MPP) combined with pulmonary embolism (PE) were diagnosed with refractory MPP (RMPP). However, PE did not always occur in the advanced stages of the disease. Most patients presented with transient autoantibody positivity, abnormal coagulation, and fibrinolytic balance. With timely treatment, the prognosis of MPP combined with PE is generally good. Additionally, rivaroxaban treatment has been shown to be safe and effective.

Estimation of the influenza-associated respiratory hospitalization burden using sentinel surveillance data, Lebanon, 2015-2020

Introduction

Influenza epidemics cause around 3 to 5 million cases of severe illness worldwide every year. Estimates are needed for a better understanding of the burden of disease especially in low- and middle-income countries. The objective of this study is to estimate the number and rate of influenza-associated respiratory hospitalizations in Lebanon during five influenza seasons (2015-2016 to 2019-2020) by age and province of residence in addition to estimating the influenza burden by level of severity.

Methods

The severe acute respiratory infection sentinel surveillance system was used to compute influenza positivity from the influenza laboratory confirmed cases. The total of respiratory hospitalizations under the influenza and pneumonia diagnosis was retrieved from the Ministry of Public Health hospital billing database. Age-specific and province-specific frequencies and rates were estimated for each season. Rates per 100 000 population were calculated with 95% confidence levels.

Results

The estimated seasonal average of influenza-associated hospital admission was 2866 for a rate of 48.1 (95% CI: 46.4-49.9) per 100 000. As for the distribution by age group, the highest rates were seen in the two age groups ≥65 years and 0-4 years whereas the lowest rate was for the age group 15-49 years. For the distribution by province of residence, the highest influenza-associated hospitalization rates were reported from the Bekaa-Baalback/Hermel provinces.

Conclusion

This study shows the substantial burden of influenza in Lebanon mainly on high-risk groups (≥65 years and <5 years). It is crucial to translate these findings into policies and practices to reduce the burden and estimate the illness-related expenditure and indirect costs.

Excess hospitalizations and mortality associated with seasonal influenza in Spain, 2008-2018

BACKGROUND

Influenza may trigger complications, particularly in at-risk groups, potentially leading to hospitalization or death. However, due to lack of routine testing, influenza cases are infrequently coded with influenza-specific diagnosis. Statistical models using influenza activity as an explanatory variable can be used to estimate annual hospitalizations and deaths associated with influenza. Our study aimed to estimate the clinical and economic burden of severe influenza in Spain, considering such models.

METHODS

The study comprised ten epidemic seasons (2008/2009-2017/2018) and used two approaches: (i) a direct method of estimating the seasonal influenza hospitalization, based on the number of National Health Service hospitalizations with influenza-specific International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes (ICD-9: 487-488; ICD-10: J09-J11), as primary or secondary diagnosis; (ii) an indirect method of estimating excess hospitalizations and deaths using broader groups of ICD codes in time-series models, computed for six age groups and four groups of diagnoses: pneumonia or influenza (ICD-9: 480-488, 517.1; ICD-10: J09-J18), respiratory (ICD-9: 460-519; ICD-10: J00-J99), respiratory or cardiovascular (C&R, ICD-9: 390-459, 460-519; ICD-10: I00-I99, J00-J99), and all-cause. Means, excluding the H1N1pdm09 pandemic (2009/2010), are reported in this study.

RESULTS

The mean number of hospitalizations with a diagnosis of influenza per season was 13,063, corresponding to 28.1 cases per 100,000 people. The mean direct annual cost of these hospitalizations was €45.7 million, of which 65.7% was generated by patients with comorbidities. Mean annual influenza-associated C&R hospitalizations were estimated at 34,894 (min: 16,546; max: 52,861), corresponding to 75.0 cases per 100,000 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 63.3-86.3) for all ages and 335.3 (95% CI: 293.2-377.5) in patients aged ≥ 65 years. We estimate 3.8 influenza-associated excess C&R hospitalizations for each hospitalization coded with an influenza-specific diagnosis in patients aged ≥ 65 years. The mean direct annual cost of the estimated excess C&R hospitalizations was €142.9 million for all ages and €115.9 million for patients aged ≥ 65 years. Mean annual influenza-associated all-cause mortality per 100,000 people was estimated at 27.7 for all ages.

CONCLUSIONS

Results suggest a relevant under-detected burden of influenza mostly in the elderly population, but not neglectable in younger people.

Excess hospitalizations and mortality associated with seasonal influenza in Portugal, 2008-2018

Background

Influenza can have a domino effect, triggering severe conditions and leading to hospitalization or even death. Since influenza testing is not routinely performed, statistical modeling techniques are increasingly being used to estimate annual hospitalizations and deaths associated with influenza, to overcome the known underestimation from registers coded with influenza-specific diagnosis. The aim of this study was to estimate the clinical and economic burden of severe influenza in Portugal.

Methods

The study comprised ten epidemic seasons (2008/09–2017/18) and used two approaches: (i) a direct method of estimating the seasonal influenza hospitalization incidence, based on the number of National Health Service hospitalizations with influenza-specific International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes (ICD-9: 487–488; ICD-10: J09-J11), as primary or secondary diagnosis; (ii) an indirect method of estimating excess hospitalizations and deaths using broader groups of ICD codes in time-series models, computed for six age groups and four groups of diagnoses: pneumonia or influenza (ICD-9: 480–488, 517.1; ICD-10: J09–J18), respiratory (ICD-9: 460–519; ICD-10: J00–J99), respiratory or cardiovascular (R&C, ICD-9: 390–459, 460–519; ICD-10: I00–I99, J00–J99), and all-cause. Means are reported excluding the H1N1pdm09 pandemic (2009/10).

Results

The mean number of hospitalizations coded as due to influenza per season was 1,207, resulting in 11.6 cases per 100,000 people. The mean direct annual cost of these hospitalizations was €3.9 million, of which 78.6% was generated by patients with comorbidities. Mean annual influenza-associated R&C hospitalizations were estimated at 5356 (min: 456; max: 8776), corresponding to 51.5 cases per 100,000 (95% CI: 40.9–62.0) for all age groups and 199.6 (95% CI: 163.9–235.8) for the population aged ≥ 65 years. The mean direct annual cost of the estimated excess R&C hospitalizations was €15.2 million for all age groups and €12.8 million for the population aged ≥ 65 years. Mean annual influenza-associated all-cause deaths per 100,000 people were estimated at 22.7 for all age groups.

Conclusions

The study findings suggest that there is an under-detection of influenza in the Portuguese population. A high burden of severe influenza remains to be addressed, not only in the elderly population but also in younger people.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12879-022-07713-8.

Burden of severe illness associated with laboratory confirmed influenza in adults aged 50-64 years: A rapid review

BACKGROUND

While the high burden of illness caused by seasonal influenza in children and the elderly is well recognize, less is known about the burden in adults 50-64 years of age. The lack of data for this age group is a key challenge in evaluating the cost-effectiveness of immunization programs. We aimed to assess influenza-associated hospitalization and mortality rates and case fatality rates for hospitalized cases among adults aged 50-64 years.

METHODS

This rapid review was conducted according to the PRISMA; we searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane, Web of Science, and grey literature for articles and reports published since 2010. Studies reporting rates of hospitalization and/or mortality associated with laboratory-confirmed influenza among adults 50-64 or 45-64 years of age for the 2010-11 through 2019-20 seasons were included.

RESULTS

Twenty studies from 13 countries were reviewed. Reported rates of hospitalization associated with laboratory-confirmed influenza were 5.7 to 112.8 per 100,000. Rates tended to be higher in the 2015-2019 compared with the 2010-2014 seasons and were higher in studies reporting data from high-income versus low and middle-income countries. Mortality rates were reported in only one study, with rates ranging from 0.8 to 3.5 per 100,000 in four different seasons. The case fatality rate among those hospitalized with influenza, as reported by population-based studies, ranged from 1.3% to 5.6%.

CONCLUSIONS

Seasonal influenza imposes a significant burden of morbidity on adults 50-64 years of age but with high heterogeneity across seasons and geographic regions. Ongoing surveillance is required to improve estimates of burden to better inform influenza vaccination and other public health policies.

Epidemiological Characterization and the Impact of Healthcare-Associated Pneumonia in Patients Admitted in a Northern Portuguese Hospital

Pneumonia is one of the main causes of hospitalization and mortality. It’s the fourth leading cause of death worldwide. Healthcare-associated infections are the most frequent complication of healthcare and affect hundreds of millions of patients around the world, although the actual number of patients affected is unknown due to the difficulty of reliable data. The main goal of this manuscript is to describe the epidemiological characteristics of patients admitted with pneumonia and the impact of healthcare-associated pneumonia (HCAP) in those patients. It is a quantitative descriptive study with retrospective analysis of the clinical processes of 2436 individuals for 1 year (2018) with the diagnosis of pneumonia. The individuals with ≤5 years old represented 10.4% (n = 253) and ≥65 were 72.6% (n = 1769). 369 cases resulted in death, which gives a sample lethality rate of 15.2%. The severity and mortality index were not sensitive to the death event. We found 30.2% (n = 735) individuals with HCAP and 0.41% (n = 59) with ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP). In only 59 individuals (2.4%) the agent causing pneumonia was isolated. The high fatality rate obtained shows that pneumonia is a major cause of death in vulnerable populations. Moreover, HCAP is one of the main causes of hospital admissions from pneumonia and death and the most pneumonias are treated empirically. Knowledge of the epidemiology characterization of pneumonia, especially associated with healthcare, is essential to increase the skills of health professionals for the prevention and efficient treatment of pneumonia.

Variability in published rates of influenza-associated hospitalizations: A systematic review, 2007-2018

Background

Influenza burden estimates help provide evidence to support influenza prevention and control programs at local and international levels.

Methods

Through a systematic review, we aimed to identify all published articles estimating rates of influenza-associated hospitalizations, describe methods and data sources used, and identify regions of the world where estimates are still lacking. We evaluated study heterogeneity to determine if we could pool published rates to generate global estimates of influenza-associated hospitalization.

Results

We identified 98 published articles estimating influenza-associated hospitalization rates from 2007-2018. Most articles (65%) identified were from high-income countries, with 34 of those (53%) presenting estimates from the United States. While we identified fewer publications (18%) from low- and lower-middle-income countries, 50% of those were published from 2015-2018, suggesting an increase in publications from lower-income countries in recent years. Eighty percent (n = 78) used a multiplier approach. Regression modelling techniques were only used with data from upper-middle or high-income countries where hospital administrative data was available. We identified variability in the methods, case definitions, and data sources used, including 91 different age groups and 11 different categories of case definitions. Due to the high observed heterogeneity across articles (I²>99%), we were unable to pool published estimates.

Conclusions

The variety of methods, data sources, and case definitions adapted locally suggests that the current literature cannot be synthesized to generate global estimates of influenza-associated hospitalization burden.

Influenza-associated disease burden in mainland China: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Influenza causes substantial morbidity and mortality. Many original studies have been carried out to estimate disease burden of influenza in mainland China, while the full disease burden has not yet been systematically reviewed. We did a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the burden of influenza-associated mortality, hospitalization, and outpatient visit in mainland China. We searched 3 English and 4 Chinese databases with studies published from 2005 to 2019. Studies reporting population-based rates of mortality, hospitalization, or outpatient visit attributed to seasonal influenza were included in the analysis. Fixed-effects or random-effects model was used to calculate pooled estimates of influenza-associated mortality depending on the degree of heterogeneity. Meta-regression was applied to explore the sources of heterogeneity. Publication bias was assessed by funnel plots and Egger’s test. We identified 30 studies eligible for inclusion with 17, 8, 5 studies reporting mortality, hospitalization, and outpatient visit associated with influenza, respectively. The pooled influenza-associated all-cause mortality rates were 14.33 and 122.79 per 100,000 persons for all ages and ≥ 65 years age groups, respectively. Studies were highly heterogeneous in aspects of age group, cause of death, statistical model, geographic location, and study period, and these factors could explain 60.14% of the heterogeneity in influenza-associated mortality. No significant publication bias existed in estimates of influenza-associated all-cause mortality. Children aged < 5 years were observed with the highest rates of influenza-associated hospitalizations and ILI outpatient visits. People aged ≥ 65 years and < 5 years contribute mostly to mortality and morbidity burden due to influenza, which calls for targeted vaccination policy for older adults and younger children in mainland China.

Study on the relationship between the incidence of influenza and climate indicators and the prediction of influenza incidence

In recent 2 years, the incidence of influenza showed a slight upward trend in Guangxi; therefore, some joint actions should be done to help preventing and controlling this disease. The factors analysis of affecting influenza and early prediction of influenza incidence may help policy-making so as to take effective measures to prevent and control influenza. In this study, we used the cross correlation function (CCF) to analyze the effect of climate indicators on influenza incidence, ARIMA and ARIMAX (autoregressive integrated moving average model with exogenous input variables) model methods to do predictive analysis of influenza incidence. The results of CCF analysis showed that climate indicators (PM2.5, PM10, SO₂, CO, NO2, O₃, average temperature, maximum temperature, minimum temperature, average relative humidity, and sunshine duration) had significant effects on the incidence of influenza. People need to take good precautions in the days of severe air pollution and keep warm in cold weather to prevent influenza. We found that the ARIMAX (1,0,1)(0,0,1)₁₂ with NO₂ model has good predictive performance, which can be used to predict the influenza incidence in Guangxi, and the predicted incidence may be useful in developing early warning systems and providing important evidence for influenza control policy-making and public health intervention.

Characteristics of hospitalizations with an influenza diagnosis, France, 2012-2013 to 2016-2017 influenza seasons

Background

Estimating the global burden of influenza hospitalizations is required to allocate resources and assess interventions that aim to prevent severe influenza. In France, the current routine influenza surveillance system does not fully measure the burden of severe influenza cases. The objective was to describe the characteristics and severity of influenza hospitalizations by age‐group and by season between 2012 and 2017.

Methods

All hospitalizations with a diagnosis of influenza in metropolitan France between July 2012 and June 2017 were extracted from the French national hospital discharge database (PMSI). For each season, the total number of influenza hospitalizations, admissions to intensive care units (ICU), proportion of deaths, lengths of stay, and distribution in diagnosis‐related groups were described by age‐group.

Results

Over the five seasons, 91 255 hospitalizations with a diagnosis of influenza were identified. The average influenza hospitalization rate varied from 13/100 000 in 2013‐2014 to 46/100 000 in 2016‐2017. A high rate was observed in elderlies during the 2014‐2015 and 2016‐2017 seasons, dominated by A(H3N2) virus. The youngest were impacted in 2015‐2016, dominated by B/Victoria virus. The proportion of influenza hospitalizations with ICU admission was 10%, and was higher in age‐group 40‐79 years. The proportion of deaths and length of stay increased with age.

Conclusions

The description of influenza hospitalizations recorded in the PMSI give key information on the burden of severe influenza in France. Analyses of these data annually is valuable in order to document the severity of influenza hospitalizations by age‐group and according to the circulating influenza viruses.

Impact of national influenza vaccination strategy in severe influenza outcomes among the high-risk Portuguese population

BACKGROUND

All aged individuals with a chronic condition and those with 65 and more years are at increased risk of severe influenza post-infection complications. There is limited research on cases averted by the yearly vaccination programs in high-risk individuals. The objective was to estimate the impact of trivalent seasonal influenza vaccination on averted hospitalizations and death among the high-risk population in Portugal.

METHODS

The impact of trivalent seasonal influenza vaccination was estimated using vaccine coverage, vaccine effectiveness and the number of influenza-related hospitalizations and deaths. The number of averted events (NAE), prevented fraction (PF) and number needed to vaccinate (NVN) were estimated for seasons 2014/15 to 2016/17.

RESULTS

The vaccination strategy averted on average approximately 1833 hospitalizations and 383 deaths per season. Highest NAE was observed in the ≥65 years population (85% of hospitalizations and 95% deaths) and in the 2016/17 season (1957 hospitalizations and 439 deaths). On average, seasonal vaccination prevented 21% of hospitalizations in the population aged 65 and more, and 18.5% in the population with chronic conditions. The vaccination also prevented 29% and 19.5% of deaths in each group of the high-risk population. It would be needed to vaccinate 3360 high-risk individuals, to prevent one hospitalization and 60,471 high-risk individuals to prevent one death.

CONCLUSION

The yearly influenza vaccination campaigns had a sustained positive benefit for the high-risk population, reducing hospitalizations and deaths. These results can support public health plans toward increased vaccine coverage in high-risk groups.

Estimates of influenza-associated hospitalisations in tropical Singapore, 2010-2017: Higher burden estimated in more recent years

BACKGROUND

We previously estimated Singapore's influenza-associated hospitalisation rate for pneumonia and influenza (P&I) in 2010-2012 to be 29.6 per 100 000 person-years, which corresponds to 11.2% of all P&I hospitalisations.

OBJECTIVES

This study aims to update Singapore's estimates of the influenza-associated pneumonia and influenza (P&I) hospitalisation burden using the latest data from 2010 to 2017.

METHODS

We estimated the number of P&I hospitalisations associated with influenza using generalised additive models. We specified the weekly number of admissions for P&I and the weekly influenza positivity in the models, along with potential confounders such as weekly respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) positivity and meteorological data.

RESULTS

In 2010-2017, 16.3% of all P&I hospitalisations in Singapore were estimated to be attributed to influenza, corresponding to an excess influenza-associated P&I hospitalisation rate of 50.1 per 100 000 person-years. Higher excess rates were estimated for children aged 0-4 years (186.8 per 100 000 person-years) and elderly aged ≥ 65 years (338.0 per 100 000 person-years). Higher influenza-associated hospitalisation rates were estimated for 2016 and 2017 (67.9 and 75.1 per 100 000 persons, respectively) years when the influenza A(H3N2) subtype was dominant.

CONCLUSION

Influenza burden in Singapore has increased since 2010. Influenza vaccination programmes should continue to be prioritised for the young and the elderly.

The challenges of influenza for public health

Influenza, an infectious disease of the respiratory system, represents a major burden for public health. This disease affects all age groups with different prognosis, being life threatening for vulnerable individuals. Despite influenza being a vaccine-preventable disease, the control of the infection needs annual vaccination campaigns and constant improvements. Herein, the main challenges of influenza in relation to the pathogenic agent, the available vaccines and the health impact identified during the Light on Vax event, an expert meeting organized by the Asociación Española de Vacunología [Spanish Vaccinology Association] (AEV), are reported. Further possible steps in the control of influenza are also suggested. Ideally, the development of innovative and universal vaccines that would confer life-lasting and broader-spectrum immunity is highly desirable.

Burden of influenza-associated respiratory hospitalizations in the Americas, 2010-2015

BACKGROUND

Despite having influenza vaccination policies and programs, countries in the Americas underutilize seasonal influenza vaccine, in part because of insufficient evidence about severe influenza burden. We aimed to estimate the annual burden of influenza-associated respiratory hospitalizations in the Americas.

METHODS

Thirty-five countries in the Americas with national influenza surveillance were invited to provide monthly laboratory data and hospital discharges for respiratory illness (International Classification of Diseases 10th edition J codes 0-99) during 2010-2015. In three age-strata (<5, 5-64, and ≥65 years), we estimated the influenza-associated hospitalizations rate by multiplying the monthly number of respiratory hospitalizations by the monthly proportion of influenza-positive samples and dividing by the census population. We used random effects meta-analyses to pool age-group specific rates and extrapolated to countries that did not contribute data, using pooled rates stratified by age group and country characteristics found to be associated with rates.

RESULTS

Sixteen of 35 countries (46%) contributed primary data to the analyses, representing 79% of the America's population. The average pooled rate of influenza-associated respiratory hospitalization was 90/100,000 population (95% confidence interval 61-132) among children aged <5 years, 21/100,000 population (13-32) among persons aged 5-64 years, and 141/100,000 population (95-211) among persons aged ≥65 years. We estimated the average annual number of influenza-associated respiratory hospitalizations in the Americas to be 772,000 (95% credible interval 716,000-829,000).

CONCLUSIONS

Influenza-associated respiratory hospitalizations impose a heavy burden on health systems in the Americas. Countries in the Americas should use this information to justify investments in seasonal influenza vaccination-especially among young children and the elderly.

Indirect effect of 7-valent and 13-valent pneumococcal conjugated vaccines on pneumococcal pneumonia hospitalizations in elderly

Background

Pneumonia is one of the leading causes of mortality and has a high burden in morbidity. In Portugal, 7-valent pneumococcal conjugated vaccine (PCV) was used since 2001 and PCV10/13 since 2009, being the last introduced into the National Immunization Program in 2015.

Methods

We conducted an ecological study to evaluate the impact of PCV7 and PCV13 on pneumococcal pneumonia (PP) hospitalizations in adults aged 65 years or more in Portugal. National hospital discharge registry data from 1998/99 to 2015/16 were used, and PP hospitalization was defined as any hospitalization coded in primary diagnosis as 481 (ICD-9-CM) or J18 (ICD-10-CM). Poisson regression models adjusted for seasonality, influenza-like illness and allowing for overdispersion was used to estimate annual average change of PP hospitalization rate. To assess PP hospitalization trends before and after PCV7 and PCV13 introduction interrupted time series analysis was performed.

Results

In 1998/99 PP hospitalization rate was 7.0 per 10,000 inhabitants, varying between 3.2 (females, 65–74 years) to 20.7 (males, +85 years), and annually increasing by 16% during the pre-PCV7 period. Statistically significant reduction of 14% per year in PP hospitalization rate was observed after PCV7 introduction. Between 2004/05 and 2009/10 PP hospitalization rate decreased annually by 4% and after PCV13 introduction by 11% per year. In 2015/16 we found an overall reduction of 2.9 (CI 95%: 2.7; 3.1) PP hospitalizations per 10,000 inhabitants (598 hospitalizations) attributable to PCV13, varying from 2.2 (CI 95%: 1.3; 3.1) (female, 65–74 years) to 5.6 (CI 95%: 3.8; 7.5) (female, +85 years).

Conclusions

Our results suggest that introduction of both PCV7 and PCV13 vaccines resulted in the reduction of PP hospitalizations rates among older adults.

Burden of medically attended influenza in Norway 2008-2017

Background

The burden of influenza in Norway remains uncertain, and data on seasonal variations and differences by age groups are needed.

Objective

To describe number of patients diagnosed with influenza in Norway each season and the number treated in primary or specialist health care by age. Further, to compare the burden of seasonal influenza with the 2009‐2010 pandemic outbreak.

Methods

We used Norwegian national health registries and identified all patients diagnosed with influenza from 2008 to 2017. We calculated seasonal rates, compared hospitalized patients with patients in primary care and compared seasonal influenza with the 2009‐2010 pandemic outbreak.

Results

Each season, on average 1.7% of the population were diagnosed with influenza in primary care, the average rate of hospitalization was 48 per 100 000 population while the average number of hospitalized patients each season was nearly 2500. The number of hospitalized influenza patients ranged from 579 in 2008‐2009 to 4973 in 2016‐2017. Rates in primary care were highest among young adults while hospitalization rates were highest in patients 80 years and older and in children below 5 years. The majority of in‐hospital deaths were in patients 70 years and older. Fewer patients were hospitalized during the 2009‐2010 pandemic than in seasonal outbreaks, but during the pandemic, more people in the younger age groups were hospitalized and fatal cases were younger.

Conclusion

Influenza causes a substantial burden in primary care and hospitals. In non‐pandemic seasons, people above 80 years have the highest risk of influenza hospitalization and death.