Advances in measuring influenza burden of disease

Estimating averted illnesses from influenza vaccination for children and pregnant women - El Salvador, Panama, and Peru, 2011-2018

BACKGROUND

Estimating the burden of disease averted by vaccination can assist policymakers to implement, adjust, and communicate the value of vaccination programs. Demonstrating the use of a newly available modeling tool, we estimated the burden of influenza illnesses averted by seasonal influenza vaccination in El Salvador, Panama, and Peru during 2011-2018 among two influenza vaccine target populations: children aged 6-23 months and pregnant women.

METHODS

We derived model inputs, including incidence, vaccine coverage, vaccine effectiveness, and multipliers from publicly available country-level influenza surveillance data and cohort studies. We also estimated changes in illnesses averted when countries' vaccine coverage was achieved using four different vaccine deployment strategies.

RESULTS

Among children aged 6-23 months, influenza vaccination averted an estimated cumulative 2,161 hospitalizations, 81,907 medically-attended illnesses, and 126,987 overall illnesses during the study period, with a prevented fraction ranging from 0.3 % to 12.5 %. Among pregnant women, influenza vaccination averted an estimated cumulative 173 hospitalizations, 6,122 medically attended illnesses, and 16,412 overall illnesses, with a prevented fraction ranging from 0.2 % to 10.9 %. Compared to an influenza vaccine campaign with equal vaccine distribution during March-June, scenarios in which total cumulative coverage was achieved in March and April consistently resulted in the greatest increase in averted illness (23 %-3,129 % increase among young children and 22 %-3,260 % increase among pregnant women).

DISCUSSION

Influenza vaccination campaigns in El Salvador, Panama, and Peru conducted between 2011 and 2018 prevented hundreds to thousands of influenza-associated hospitalizations and illnesses in young children and pregnant women. Existing vaccination programs could prevent additional illnesses, using the same number of vaccines, by achieving the highest possible coverage within the first two months of an influenza vaccine campaign.

An electrochemical genomagnetic assay for detection of SARS-CoV-2 and Influenza A viruses in saliva

Viral respiratory infections represent a major threat to the population's health globally. Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) causes COVID-19 disease and in some cases the symptoms can be confused with Influenza disease caused by the Influenza A viruses. A simple, fast, and selective assay capable of identifying the etiological agent and differentiating the diseases is essential to provide the correct clinical management to the patient. Herein, we described the development of a genomagnetic assay for the selective capture of viral RNA from SARS-CoV-2 and Influenza A viruses in saliva samples and employing a simple disposable electrochemical device for gene detection and quantification. The proposed method showed excellent performance detecting RNA of SARS-CoV-2 and Influenza A viruses, with a limit of detection (LoD) and limit of quantification (LoQ) of 5.0 fmol L-1 and 8.6 fmol L-1 for SARS-CoV-2, and 1.0 fmol L-1 and 108.9 fmol L-1 for Influenza, respectively. The genomagnetic assay was employed to evaluate the presence of the viruses in 36 saliva samples and the results presented similar responses to those obtained by the real-time reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR), demonstrating the reliability and capability of a method as an alternative for the diagnosis of COVID-19 and Influenza with point-of-care capabilities.

Exploring the Lagged Correlation Between Baidu Index and Influenza-Like Illness - China, 2014-2019

Introduction

This study investigated the lagged correlation between Baidu Index for influenza-related keywords and influenza-like illness percentage (ILI%) across regions in China. The aim is to establish a scientific foundation for utilizing Baidu Index as an early warning tool for influenza-like illness epidemics.

Methods

In this study, data on ILI% and Baidu Index were collected from 30 provincial-level administrative divisions (PLADs) spanning April 2014 to March 2019. The Baidu Index was categorized into Overall Index, Ordinary Index, Prevention Index, Symptom Index, and Treatment Index based on search query themes. The lagged correlation between the Baidu Index and ILI% was examined through the cross-correlation function (CCF) method.

Results

Correlating the Baidu Overall Index of 30 PLADs with ILI% revealed CCF values ranging from 0.46 to 0.86, with a median lag of 0.5 days. Subcategory analysis indicated that the Prevention Index and Symptom Index exhibited quicker responses to ILI%, with median lags of -9 and -0.5 days, respectively, compared to 0 and 3 days for the Ordinary and Treatment Indexes. The median lag days between the Baidu Index and the ILI% were earlier in the northern PLADs compared to the southern PLADs.

Discussion

The Prevention and Symptom Indexes show promising predictive capabilities for influenza-like illness epidemics.

Development of chalcone-like derivatives and their biological and mechanistic investigations as novel influenza nuclear export inhibitors

Concerning the emergence of resistance to current anti-influenza drugs, our previous phenotypic-based screening study identified the compound A9 as a promising lead compound. This chalcone analog, containing a 2,6-dimethoxyphenyl moiety, exhibited significant inhibitory activity against oseltamivir-resistant strains (H1N1 pdm09), with an EC50 value of 1.34 μM. However, it also displayed notable cytotoxicity, with a CC50 value of 41.46 μM. Therefore, compound A9 was selected as a prototype structure for further structural optimization in this study. Initially, it was confirmed that the substituting the α,β-unsaturated ketone with pent-1,4-diene-3-one as a linker group significantly reduced the cytotoxicity of the final compounds. Subsequently, the penta-1,4-dien-3-one group was utilized as a privileged fragment for further structural optimization. Following two subsequent rounds of optimizations, we identified compound IIB-2, which contains a 2,6-dimethoxyphenyl- and 1,4-pentadiene-3-one moieties. This compound exhibited inhibitory effects on oseltamivir-resistant strains comparable to its precursor (compound A9), while demonstrating reduced toxicity (CC50 > 100 μM). Furthermore, we investigated its mechanism of action against anti-influenza virus through immunofluorescence, Western blot, and surface plasmon resonance (SPR) experiments. The results revealed that compound IIB-2 can impede virus proliferation by blocking the export of influenza virus nucleoprotein. Thusly, our findings further emphasize influenza nuclear export as a viable target for designing novel chalcone-like derivatives with potential inhibitory properties that could be explored in future lead optimization studies.

Increasing influenza vaccination coverage in healthcare workers: analysis of an intensified on-site vaccination campaign during the COVID-19 pandemic

PURPOSE

Influenza infections have substantial impact on healthcare institutions. While vaccination is the most effective preventive measure against influenza infection, vaccination coverage in healthcare workers is low. The study investigates the impact of an intensified influenza vaccination campaign in a maximum-care hospital on influenza vaccination coverage in healthcare workers during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020/21.

METHODS

Building on findings from our previously published review Schumacher et al. (Infection 49(3): 387, 2021), an intensified influenza vaccination campaign comprising a mobile vaccination team providing on-site vaccination and vaccination at a recurring central vaccination site in addition to promotional measures was performed and analysed regarding vaccination coverage. A survey querying vaccination motivation was performed. Campaign strategies and vaccination coverage of influenza seasons between 2017/18 and 2019/20 were analysed.

RESULTS

The influenza vaccination campaign 2020/21 led to a significant 2.4-fold increase yielding an overall vaccination coverage of 40% among healthcare workers. A significant increase in vaccination coverage was observed across all professional fields; especially among nurses, a 2.7-fold increase, reaching a vaccination coverage of 48%, was observed. The COVID-19 pandemic positively influenced vaccination decision in 72% of first time ever or first time in over ten years influenza vaccinees. Vaccination coverage during prior vaccination campaigns focusing on educational measures did not exceed 17%.

CONCLUSION

A mobile vaccination team providing on-site vaccination and vaccinations at a central vaccination site in addition to promotional measures can be implemented to increase influenza vaccination coverage in healthcare workers. Our concept can inform influenza and other vaccination campaigns for healthcare workers.

Network pharmacology and experimental validation of Maxing Shigan decoction in the treatment of influenza virus-induced ferroptosis

Influenza is an acute viral respiratory infection that has caused high morbidity and mortality worldwide. Influenza A virus (IAV) has been found to activate multiple programmed cell death pathways, including ferroptosis. Ferroptosis is a novel form of programmed cell death in which the accumulation of intracellular iron promotes lipid peroxidation, leading to cell death. However, little is known about how influenza viruses induce ferroptosis in the host cells. In this study, based on network pharmacology, we predicted the mechanism of action of Maxing Shigan decoction (MXSGD) in IAV-induced ferroptosis, and found that this process was related to biological processes, cellular components, molecular function and multiple signaling pathways, where the hypoxia inducible factor-1(HIF-1) signaling pathway plays a significant role. Subsequently, we constructed the mouse lung epithelial (MLE-12) cell model by IAV-infected in vitro cell experiments, and revealed that IAV infection induced cellular ferroptosis that was characterized by mitochondrial damage, increased reactive oxygen species (ROS) release, increased total iron and iron ion contents, decreased expression of ferroptosis marker gene recombinant glutathione peroxidase 4 (GPX4), increased expression of acyl-CoA synthetase long chain family member 4 (ACSL4), and enhanced activation of hypoxia inducible factor-1α (HIF-1α), induced nitric oxide synthase (iNOS) and vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) in the HIF-1 signaling pathway. Treatment with MXSGD effectively reduced intracellular viral load, while reducing ROS, total iron and ferrous ion contents, repairing mitochondrial results and inhibiting the expression of cellular ferroptosis and the HIF-1 signaling pathway. Finally, based on animal experiments, it was found that MXSGD effectively alleviated pulmonary congestion, edema and inflammation in IAV-infected mice, and inhibited the expression of ferroptosis-related protein and the HIF-1 signaling pathway in lung tissues.

The potential cost-effectiveness of next generation influenza vaccines in England and Wales: A modelling analysis

Next generation influenza vaccines are in development and have the potential for widespread health and economic benefits. Determining the potential health and economic impact for these vaccines is needed to drive investment in bringing these vaccines to the market, and to inform which groups public health policies on influenza vaccination should target. We used a mathematical modelling approach to estimate the epidemiological impact and cost-effectiveness of next generation influenza vaccines in England and Wales. We used data from an existing fitted model, and evaluated new vaccines with different characteristics ranging from improved vaccines with increased efficacy duration and breadth of protection, to universal vaccines, defined in line with the World Health Organisation (WHO) Preferred Product Characteristics (PPC). We calculated the cost effectiveness of new vaccines in comparison to the current seasonal vaccination programme. We calculated and compared the Incremental Cost-Effectiveness Ratio and Incremental Net Monetary Benefit for each new vaccine type. All analysis was conducted in R. We show that next generation influenza vaccines may result in a 21% to 77% reduction in influenza infections, dependent on vaccine characteristics. Our economic modelling shows that using any of these next generation vaccines at 2019 coverage levels would be highly cost-effective at a willingness to pay threshold of £20,000 for a range of vaccine prices. The vaccine threshold price for the best next generation vaccines in £-2019 is £230 (95%CrI £192 - £269) per dose, but even minimally-improved influenza vaccines could be priced at £18 (95%CrI £16 - £21) per dose and still remain cost-effective. This evaluation demonstrates the promise of next generation influenza vaccines for impact on influenza epidemics, and likely cost-effectiveness profiles. We have provided evidence towards a full value of vaccines assessment which bolsters the investment case for development and roll-out of next-generation influenza vaccines.

Association of influenza vaccination or influenza virus infection history with subsequent infection risk among children: The Japan Environment and Children's Study (JECS)

We measured the association between history of influenza vaccination by age 2 years and influenza virus (IFV) infection at ages 3 and 4 years by relative risk reduction. We also examined the association between history of IFV infection by age 2 years and recurrent IFV infection at age 3 years. This study included 73,666 children from a large Japanese birth cohort. Among children vaccinated never, once or twice when aged under 2 years, 16.0%, 10.8% and 11.3%, respectively, had been infected with IFV by age 3 years, and 19.2%, 14.5% and 16.0%, respectively, by age 4 years. Compared with no history of influenza vaccination, vaccination at ages 1 and/or 2 years reduced the risk of IFV infection at age 3 by 30%-32% and at age 4 by 17%-24%. The relative risk of recurrent IFV infection at ages 3 and 4 years increased in proportion to the number of prior infections by age 2. One-season-prior influenza vaccination history reduced the IFV infection risk at age 3 years by 25%-42%. Influenza vaccination most effectively protected children at age 3 who lacked older sibling(s) and did not attend nursery school. One-season-prior IFV infection increased the relative risk of recurrent infection at age 3 years (1.72-3.33). In conclusion, influenza vaccination-induced protection may partly extend to the next season. Owing to the relative risk reduction by influenza vaccination and the increased relative risk of IFV infection from prior-season infection, annual influenza vaccination is recommended.

Influenza Vaccination Implementation in Sri Lanka: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis

Influenza causes an estimated 3 to 5 million cases of severe illness annually, along with substantial morbidity and mortality, particularly in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Currently, Sri Lanka has no influenza vaccination policies and does not offer vaccination within the public healthcare sector. Therefore, we performed a cost-effectiveness analysis of influenza vaccine implementation for the Sri Lankan population. We designed a static Markov model that followed a population cohort of Sri Lankans in three age groups, 0-4, 5-64, and 65+ years, through two potential scenarios: trivalent inactivated vaccination (TIV) and no TIV across twelve-monthly cycles using a governmental perspective at the national level. We also performed probabilistic and one-way sensitivity analyses to identify influential variables and account for uncertainty. The vaccination model arm reduced influenza outcomes by 20,710 cases, 438 hospitalizations, and 20 deaths compared to no vaccination in one year. Universal vaccination became cost-effective at approximately 98.01% of Sri Lanka's 2022 GDP per capita (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio = 874,890.55 Rs/DALY averted; 3624.84 USD/DALY averted). Results were most sensitive to the vaccine coverage in the 5-64-year-old age group, the cost of the influenza vaccine dose in the 5-64-years-old age group, vaccine effectiveness in the under-5-years-old age group, and the vaccine coverage in the under-5-years-old age group. No value for a variable within our estimated ranges resulted in ICERs above Rs. 1,300,000 (USD 5386.15) per DALY adverted. Providing influenza vaccines was considered highly cost-effective compared to no vaccines. However, large-scale national studies with improved data are needed to better inform estimates and determine the impact of vaccination implementation.

Estimation of the influenza-associated respiratory hospitalization burden using sentinel surveillance data, Lebanon, 2015-2020

Introduction

Influenza epidemics cause around 3 to 5 million cases of severe illness worldwide every year. Estimates are needed for a better understanding of the burden of disease especially in low- and middle-income countries. The objective of this study is to estimate the number and rate of influenza-associated respiratory hospitalizations in Lebanon during five influenza seasons (2015-2016 to 2019-2020) by age and province of residence in addition to estimating the influenza burden by level of severity.

Methods

The severe acute respiratory infection sentinel surveillance system was used to compute influenza positivity from the influenza laboratory confirmed cases. The total of respiratory hospitalizations under the influenza and pneumonia diagnosis was retrieved from the Ministry of Public Health hospital billing database. Age-specific and province-specific frequencies and rates were estimated for each season. Rates per 100 000 population were calculated with 95% confidence levels.

Results

The estimated seasonal average of influenza-associated hospital admission was 2866 for a rate of 48.1 (95% CI: 46.4-49.9) per 100 000. As for the distribution by age group, the highest rates were seen in the two age groups ≥65 years and 0-4 years whereas the lowest rate was for the age group 15-49 years. For the distribution by province of residence, the highest influenza-associated hospitalization rates were reported from the Bekaa-Baalback/Hermel provinces.

Conclusion

This study shows the substantial burden of influenza in Lebanon mainly on high-risk groups (≥65 years and <5 years). It is crucial to translate these findings into policies and practices to reduce the burden and estimate the illness-related expenditure and indirect costs.

Modeling the effects of cigarette smoke extract on influenza B virus infections in mice

Influenza B virus (IBV) is a major respiratory viral pathogen. Due to a lack of pandemic potential for IBV, there is a lag in research on IBV pathology and immunological responses compared to IAV. Therefore, the impact of various lifestyle and environmental factors on IBV infections, such as cigarette smoking (CS), remains elusive. Despite the increased risk and severity of IAV infections with CS, limited information exists on the impact of CS on IBV infections due to the absence of suitable animal models. To this end, we developed an animal model system by pre-treating mice for two weeks with cigarette smoke extract (CSE), then infected them with IBV and monitored the resulting pathological, immunological, and virological effects. Our results reveal that the CSE treatment decreased IBV specific IgG levels yet did not change viral replication in the upper airway/the lung, and weight recovery post infection. However, higher concentrations of CSE did result in higher mortality post infection. Together, this suggests that CS induced inflammation coupled with IBV infection resulted in exacerbated disease outcome.

How do El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and local meteorological factors affect the incidence of seasonal influenza in New York state

Background

Research is lacking in examining how multiple climate factors affect the incidence of seasonal influenza. We investigated the associations between El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), meteorological factors, and influenza incidence in New York State, United States.

Method

We collected emergency department visit data for influenza from the New York State Department of Health. ENSO index was obtained from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Meteorological factors, Google Flu Search Index (GFI), and Influenza-like illness (ILI) data in New York State were also collected. Wavelet analysis was used to quantitatively estimate the coherence and phase difference of ENSO, temperature, precipitation, relative humidity, and absolute humidity with emergency department visits of influenza in New York State. Generalized additive models (GAM) were employed to examine the exposure-response relationships between ENSO, weather, and influenza. GFI and ILI data were used to simulate synchronous influenza visits.

Results

The influenza epidemic in New York State had multiple periodic and was primarily on the 1-year scale. The incidence of influenza closely followed the low ENSO index by an average of two months, and the lag period of ENSO on influenza was shorter during 2015-2018. Low temperature in the previous 2 weeks and low absolute humidity in the prior week were positively associated with influenza incidence in New York State. We found an l-shaped association between ENSO index and influenza, a parabolic relationship between temperature in the previous two weeks and influenza, and a linear negative association between absolute humidity in the previous week and influenza. The simulation models including GFI and ILI had higher accuracy for influenza visit estimation.

Conclusions

Low ENSO index, low temperature, and low absolute humidity may drive the influenza epidemics in New York State. The findings can help us deepen the understanding of the climate-influenza association, and help to develop an influenza forecasting model.

[Therapeutic Effect of Artesunate on Influenza A Viral Pneumonia]

Objective

To investigate the therapeutic effect of artesunate (ART) on influenza A viral pneumonia.

Methods

A total of 36 mice were evenly and randomly assigned to six groups, a normal control group (C group), a solvent control group (M group, 10% DMSO), a positive drug group (P group, oseltamivir, 1.25 mg/kg/day), ART high-dose group (ART-G group, 120 mg/kg/day), ART medium-dose group (ART-Z group, 60 mg/kg/day), and ART low-dose group (ART-D group, 30 mg/kg/day). Except for group C, which did not receive any influenza A virus intervention or intraperitoneal injection, mice in the five other groups were infected with influenza A virus through intranasal drip. Then, after 12 hours, mice in the five other groups received intraperitoneal injection of the assigned drugs and dosage once a day. The signs, body weight, and survival of the mice were observed over the course of treatment. After 7 days of treatment, the lung tissue of the mice was collected and weighed, and the lung index was calculated accordingly. HE staining was performed to observe the pathological changes in the lung tissue. The mRNA and protein expression levels of Toll-like receptor 4 (TLR4), nuclear factor kappa-B (NF-κB [p65]), tumor necrosis factor α (TNF-α), interleukin-6 (IL-6), and IL-1β were examined with RT-qPCR and Western blot, respectively.

Results

Compared with those in C group, mice in the M group had worse physical signs and lower body mass and survival, increased lung index, severe pathological changes in lung tissue, and increased levels of TLR4, NF-κB (p65), TNF-α, IL-6 and IL-1β mRNA and protein expression in their lung tissue ( P<0.05). Compared with those in M group, the mice in the ART groups had better physical signs, higher body mass and survival rate, decreased lung index, improvement of pathological changes in the lung tissue, and decreased levels of level of TLR4, NF-κB (p65), TNF-α, IL-6 and IL-1β mRNA and protein expression in the lung tissue ( P<0.05). Furthermore, the most prominent changes in these indexes were observed in the ART-G group.

Conclusion

ART has therapeutic effects on influenza A viral pneumonia, and the mechanisms are related to the inhibition of TLR4/p65 signaling pathway activation and anti-inflammation.

TRIM25 inhibits influenza A virus infection, destabilizes viral mRNA, but is redundant for activating the RIG-I pathway

The E3 ubiquitin ligase TRIM25 is a key factor in the innate immune response to RNA viruses. TRIM25 has been shown to play a role in the retinoic-acid-inducible gene-1 (RIG-I) pathway, which triggers expression of type 1 interferons upon viral infection. We and others have shown that TRIM25 is an RNA-binding protein; however, the role of TRIM25 RNA-binding in the innate immune response to RNA viruses is unclear. Here, we demonstrate that influenza A virus (IAV A/PR/8/34_NS1(R38A/K41A)) infection is inhibited by TRIM25. Surprisingly, previously identified RNA-binding deficient mutant TRIM25ΔRBD and E3 ubiquitin ligase mutant TRIM25ΔRING, which lack E3 ubiquitin ligase activity, still inhibited IAV replication. Furthermore, we show that in human-derived cultured cells, activation of the RIG-I/interferon type 1 pathway mediated by either an IAV-derived 5'-triphosphate RNA or by IAV itself does not require TRIM25 activity. Additionally, we present new evidence that instead of TRIM25 directly inhibiting IAV transcription it binds and destabilizes IAV mRNAs. Finally, we show that direct tethering of TRIM25 to RNA is sufficient to downregulate the targeted RNA. In summary, our results uncover a potential mechanism that TRIM25 uses to inhibit IAV infection and regulate RNA metabolism.

Evolutionary pressures rendered by animal husbandry practices for avian influenza viruses to adapt to humans

Commercial poultry operations produce and crowd billions of birds every year, which is a source of inexpensive animal protein. Commercial poultry is intensely bred for desirable production traits, and currently presents very low variability at the major histocompatibility complex. This situation dampens the advantages conferred by the MHC’s high genetic variability, and crowding generates immunosuppressive stress. We address the proteins of influenza A viruses directly and indirectly involved in host specificities. We discuss how mutants with increased virulence and/or altered host specificity may arise if few class I alleles are the sole selective pressure on avian viruses circulating in immunocompromised poultry. This hypothesis is testable with peptidomics of MHC ligands. Breeding strategies for commercial poultry can easily and inexpensively include high variability of MHC as a trait of interest, to help save billions of dollars as a disease burden caused by influenza and decrease the risk of selecting highly virulent strains.

Contemporary medicinal chemistry strategies for the discovery and optimization of influenza inhibitors targeting vRNP constituent proteins

Influenza is an acute respiratory infectious disease caused by the influenza virus, affecting people globally and causing significant social and economic losses. Due to the inevitable limitations of vaccines and approved drugs, there is an urgent need to discover new anti-influenza drugs with different mechanisms. The viral ribonucleoprotein complex (vRNP) plays an essential role in the life cycle of influenza viruses, representing an attractive target for drug design. In recent years, the functional area of constituent proteins in vRNP are widely used as targets for drug discovery, especially the PA endonuclease active site, the RNA-binding site of PB1, the cap-binding site of PB2 and the nuclear export signal of NP protein. Encouragingly, the PA inhibitor baloxavir has been marketed in Japan and the United States, and several drug candidates have also entered clinical trials, such as favipiravir. This article reviews the compositions and functions of the influenza virus vRNP and the research progress on vRNP inhibitors, and discusses the representative drug discovery and optimization strategies pursued.

Enhanced cross protection by hetero prime-boost vaccination with recombinant influenza viruses containing chimeric hemagglutinin-M2e epitopes

Annual repeat influenza vaccination raises concerns about protective efficacy against mismatched viruses. We investigated the impact of heterologous prime-boost vaccination on inducing cross protection by designing recombinant influenza viruses with chimeric hemagglutinin (HA) carrying M2 extracellular domains (M2e-HA). Heterologous prime-boost vaccination of C57BL/6 mice with M2e-HA chimeric virus more effectively induced M2e and HA stalk specific IgG antibodies correlating with cross protection than homologous prime-boost vaccination. Induction of M2e and HA stalk specific IgG antibodies was compromised in 1-year old mice, indicating significant aging effects on priming subdominant M2e and HA stalk IgG antibody responses. This study demonstrates that a heterologous prime-boost strategy with recombinant influenza virus expressing extra M2e epitopes provides more effective cross protection than homologous vaccination.

Burden of Influenza-Associated Respiratory Hospitalizations, Vietnam, 2014-2016

Influenza burden estimates are essential to informing prevention and control policies. To complement recent influenza vaccine production capacity in Vietnam, we used acute respiratory infection (ARI) hospitalization data, severe acute respiratory infection (SARI) surveillance data, and provincial population data from 4 provinces representing Vietnam’s major regions during 2014–2016 to calculate provincial and national influenza-associated ARI and SARI hospitalization rates. We determined the proportion of ARI admissions meeting the World Health Organization SARI case definition through medical record review. The mean influenza-associated hospitalization rates per 100,000 population were 218 (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 197–238) for ARI and 134 (95% UI 119–149) for SARI. Influenza-associated SARI hospitalization rates per 100,000 population were highest among children <5 years of age (1,123; 95% UI 946–1,301) and adults >65 years of age (207; 95% UI 186–227), underscoring the need for prevention and control measures, such as vaccination, in these at-risk populations.

Influenza epidemiology and burden of disease in Mongolia, 2013-2014 to 2017-2018

Background

Mongolia is a vast, sparsely populated country in central Asia. Its harsh climate and nomadic lifestyle make the population vulnerable to acute respiratory infections, particularly influenza. Evidence on the morbidity, mortality and socioeconomic impact of influenza in Mongolia is scarce; however, routine surveillance for influenza-like illness (ILI), severe acute respiratory infection (SARI) and laboratory-detected influenza is conducted. This paper describes the epidemiology of influenza and the estimated burden of influenza-associated illness in Mongolia in the five influenza seasons between 2013–2014 and 2017–2018.

Methods

Demographic and laboratory data from 152 sentinel surveillance sites on all patients who met the case definitions of ILI and SARI between October 2013 and May 2018 were extracted and analysed as described in A Manual for Estimating Disease Burden Associated with Seasonal Influenza.

Results

The estimated annual influenza-associated ILI and SARI rates, presented as ranges, were 1279–2798 and 81–666 cases per 100 000 population, respectively. Children aged < 5 years accounted for 67% of all ILI cases and 79% of all SARI cases. The annual specimen positivity for influenza was highest (11–30% for ILI and 8–31% for SARI) for children aged 5– < 15 years and children < 2 years old, respectively. The annual mortality rate due to pneumonia and SARI was highest among children aged < 2 years (15.8–54.0 per 100 000 population). Although the incidence of influenza-associated ILI and SARI was lowest for people aged ³65 years, the mortality rate due to pneumonia and SARI (1.2–5.1 per 100 000) was higher than that for those aged 15–64 years.

Conclusion

The estimated influenza-associated ILI and SARI incidence rates are high in Mongolia, and children, especially those aged < 5 years, have the highest influenza-associated burden in Mongolia. These findings provide evidence for decision-makers in Mongolia to consider targeted influenza vaccination, particularly for children.

Estimating the national burden of hospitalizations for influenza-associated severe acute respiratory infection in the Lao People's Democratic Republic, 2016

Objective

Estimates of the burden of influenza are needed to inform prevention and control activities for seasonal influenza, including to support the development of appropriate vaccination policies. We used sentinel surveillance data on severe acute respiratory infection (SARI) to estimate the burden of influenza-associated hospitalizations in the Lao People's Democratic Republic.

Methods

Using methods developed by the World Health Organization, we combined data from hospital logbook reviews with epidemiological and virological data from influenza surveillance from 1 January to 31 December 2016 in defined catchment areas for two sentinel sites (Champasack and Luang Prabang provincial hospitals) to derive population-based estimates of influenza-associated SARI hospitalization rates. Hospitalization rates by age group were then applied to national age-specific population estimates using 2015 census data.

Results

We estimated the overall influenza-associated SARI hospitalization rate to be 48/100 000 population (95% confidence interval [CI]: 44–51) or 3097 admissions (95% CI: 2881–3313). SARI hospitalization rates were estimated to be as low as 40/100 000 population (95% CI: 37–43) and as high as 92/100 000 population (95% CI: 87–98) after accounting for SARI patient underascertainment in hospital logbooks. Influenza-associated SARI hospitalization rates were highest in children aged < 5 years (219; 95% CI: 198–241) and persons aged ³ 65 years (106; 95% CI: 91–121).

Discussion

Our findings have identified age groups at higher risk for influenza-associated SARI hospitalization, which will support policy decisions for influenza prevention and control strategies, including for vaccination. Further work is needed to estimate the burdens of outpatient influenza and influenza in specific high-risk subpopulations.

Spotlight influenza: Influenza surveillance before and after the introduction of point-of-care testing in Denmark, season 2014/15 to 2018/19

Background

In Denmark, influenza surveillance is ensured by data capturing from existing population-based registers. Since 2017, point-of-care (POC) testing has been implemented outside the regional clinical microbiology departments (CMD).

Aim

We aimed to assess influenza laboratory results in view of the introduction of POC testing.

Methods

We retrospectively observed routine surveillance data on national influenza tests before and after the introduction of POC testing as available in the Danish Microbiological Database. Also, we conducted a questionnaire study among Danish CMD about influenza diagnostics.

Results

Between the seasons 2014/15 and 2018/19, 199,744 influenza tests were performed in Denmark of which 44,161 were positive (22%). After the introduction of POC testing, the overall percentage of positive influenza tests per season did not decrease. The seasonal influenza test incidence was higher in all observed age groups. The number of operating testing platforms placed outside a CMD and with an instrument analytical time ≤ 3 h increased after 2017. Regionally, the number of tests registered as POC in the Danish Microbiological Database and the number of tests performed with an instrument analytical time ≤ 3 h or outside a CMD partially differed. Where comparable (71% of tests), the relative proportion of POC tests out of all tests increased from season 2017/18 to 2018/19. In both seasons, the percentage of positive POC tests resulted slightly lower than for non-POC tests.

Conclusion

POC testing integrated seamlessly into national influenza surveillance. We propose the use of POC results in the routine surveillance of seasonal influenza.

Likelihood of prior exposure to circulating influenza viruses resulting in cross-protection by CD8+ T cells against emergent H3N2v swine viruses infecting humans

Outbreaks of influenza in swine can result in potential threats to human public health. A notable occurrence was the emergence of swine-origin H1N1 influenza viruses in 2009. Since then, there have been several documented outbreaks of swine-origin influenza infecting humans in several countries. Sustained events have occurred when H1N1v, H1N2v, and H3N2v swine-origin viruses have infected humans visiting agricultural shows in the US. The predominant H3N2v viruses gained the matrix protein from the A(H1N1)pdm09 viruses, with reported human-to-human transmission raising fears of another pandemic. Current vaccines do not induce secondary cell-mediated immune responses, which may provide cross-protection against novel influenza A subtypes, however, population susceptibility to infection with seasonal influenza is likely to be influenced by cross-reactive CD8+ T-cells directed towards immunogenic peptides derived from viral proteins. This study involved a retrospective review of historical influenza viruses circulating in human populations from 1918 to 2020 to identify evidence of prior circulation of H3N3v immunogenic CD8+ T-cells peptides found in the NP and M1 proteins. We found evidence of prior circulation of H3N2v NP and M1 immunogenic peptides in historical influenza viruses. This provides insight into the population context in which influenza viruses emerge and may help inform immunogenic peptide selection for cytotoxic T-cell lymphocytes (CTL)-inducing influenza vaccines. Next-generation vaccines capable of eliciting CD8+ T-cell-mediated cross-protective immunity may offer a long-term alternative strategy for influenza vaccines.

Cost-effectiveness of baloxavir marboxil compared with laninamivir for the treatment of influenza in patients at high risk for complications in Japan

OBJECTIVE

Baloxavir marboxil (baloxavir) is a single-dose antiviral which was previously found to be a cost-effective alternative to laninamivir in otherwise healthy adults in Japan. This study aimed at investigating the cost-effectiveness of baloxavir versus laninamivir in patients with influenza at high risk for complications.

METHODS

A decision tree was utilized to estimate costs and health gains associated with the use of antivirals. A lifetime horizon was applied to capture the long-term impact of influenza complications, and other events with associated costs and health outcomes were accounted for one influenza season. The study population was stratified into three categories: adolescents and non-elderly adults with high-risk conditions (HRC), elderly without other HRC, and elderly with other HRC. The cost-effectiveness was assessed from a public healthcare payer's perspective. The duration of influenza symptoms, probabilities of complications and probabilities of adverse events were obtained from a clinical trial and network meta-analysis. The costs of influenza and adverse events management were derived from the JammNet claims database. Utility values were informed by the clinical trial data and literature. Sensitivity analyses were also performed.

RESULTS

The baloxavir strategy was associated with higher costs (+¥144) and higher quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) in adults with HRC, elderly without HRC and elderly with HRC (+0.00078, +0.00183 and +0.00350 respectively). The overall incremental cost/QALY for baloxavir versus laninamivir was ¥68,855, which was below the willingness-to-pay threshold of ¥5 million/QALY gained. Key drivers of the model results were the probability of pneumonia and bronchitis. The probability of baloxavir being cost-effective was 72%.

CONCLUSIONS

This study suggests that influenza treatment with baloxavir is cost-effective compared with laninamivir in the adult high-risk population in Japan.

Barriers and activities to implementing or expanding influenza vaccination programs in low- and middle-income countries: A global survey

INTRODUCTION

Despite considerable global burden of influenza, few low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) have national influenza vaccination programs. This report provides a systematic assessment of barriers to and activities that support initiating or expanding influenza vaccination programs from the perspective of in-country public health officials.

METHODS

Public health officials in LMICs were sent a web-based survey to provide information on barriers and activities to initiating, expanding, or maintaining national influenza vaccination programs. The survey primarily included Likert-scale questions asking respondents to rank barriers and activities in five categories.

RESULTS

Of 109 eligible countries, 62% participated. Barriers to influenza vaccination programs included lack of data on cost-effectiveness of influenza vaccination programs (87%) and on influenza disease burden (84%), competing health priorities (80%), lack of public perceived risk from influenza (79%), need for better risk communication tools (77%), lack of financial support for influenza vaccine programs (75%), a requirement to use only WHO-prequalified vaccines (62%), and young children require two vaccine doses (60%). Activities for advancing influenza vaccination programs included educating healthcare workers (97%) and decision-makers (91%) on the benefits of influenza vaccination, better estimates of influenza disease burden (91%) and cost of influenza vaccination programs (89%), simplifying vaccine introduction by focusing on selected high-risk groups (82%), developing tools to prioritize target populations (80%), improving availability of influenza diagnostic testing (79%), and developing collaborations with neighboring countries for vaccine procurement (74%) and regulatory approval (73%). Responses varied by country region and income status.

CONCLUSIONS

Local governments and key international stakeholders can use the results of this survey to improve influenza vaccination programs in LMICs, which is a critical component of global pandemic preparedness for influenza and other pathogens such as coronaviruses. Additionally, strategies to improve global influenza vaccination coverage should be tailored to country income level and geographic location.

Effectiveness of influenza vaccination in infants and toddlers with and without prior infection history: The Japan Environment and Children's Study

We calculated the Poisson-regression-adjusted relative risk (RR) of new influenza infection by vaccination, prior infection, and vaccination after prior infection in a large Japanese birth cohort, using data from ≤89,253 children aged 6 months to 3 years. The effectiveness of risk reduction (1 - RR) by vaccination at ages 1.5-3 years was 21%-31%. The RR of new infection after prior infection vs. no prior infection was 2.58-19.3 at age 1-3 years. An analysis of the 1 - RR data stratified by having at least one senior sibling and/or attending nursery school revealed that vaccination reduced the RR by 22%-40%. The 1 - RR of new infection was 21% in 3-year-old children who were vaccinated after prior infection. All these findings are statistically significant. The results consistently indicate that, regardless of having at least one senior sibling, attending nursery school, and/or being previously infected with influenza, infants and toddlers will benefit from influenza vaccination.

Effectiveness of a brief intervention for acceptance of influenza vaccine in reluctant primary care patients

OBJECTIVE

To determine the effectiveness of a brief intervention in increasing influenza vaccination coverage compared with the usual advice in people who refuse it, and to record the main reasons for refusing to be vaccinated.

METHOD

A cluster randomized clinical trial was conducted in which the study population was individuals with high risk factors who initially had refused to be vaccinated against influenza. Professionals (doctors and nurses) who voluntarily accepted to participate were assigned randomly to the intervention group (brief intervention) and the control group (usual advice).

RESULTS

57 professionals recruited 524 people who had previously declined the influenza vaccination (271 in the control group and 253 in the intervention group). Brief intervention showed its effectiveness with an odds ratio of 2.48 (1.61-3.82; p<0.001), in individuals aged 60 or over, both healthy or with risk factors. The most frequent reasons for rejection of vaccination were the belief that there was no risk of getting sick (53.0%) and the fear of the side effects (33.3%).

CONCLUSIONS

Brief intervention is an effective tool in improving vaccination coverage in people who have initially rejected it.

Nucleic Acid-Based Sensing Techniques for Diagnostics and Surveillance of Influenza

Influenza virus poses a threat to global health by causing seasonal outbreaks as well as three pandemics in the 20th century. In humans, disease is primarily caused by influenza A and B viruses, while influenza C virus causes mild disease mostly in children. Influenza D is an emerging virus found in cattle and pigs. To mitigate the morbidity and mortality associated with influenza, rapid and accurate diagnostic tests need to be deployed. However, the high genetic diversity displayed by influenza viruses presents a challenge to the development of a robust diagnostic test. Nucleic acid-based tests are more accurate than rapid antigen tests for influenza and are therefore better candidates to be used in both diagnostic and surveillance applications. Here, we review various nucleic acid-based techniques that have been applied towards the detection of influenza viruses in order to evaluate their utility as both diagnostic and surveillance tools. We discuss both traditional as well as novel methods to detect influenza viruses by covering techniques that require nucleic acid amplification or direct detection of viral RNA as well as comparing advantages and limitations for each method. There has been substantial progress in the development of nucleic acid-based sensing techniques for the detection of influenza virus. However, there is still an urgent need for a rapid and reliable influenza diagnostic test that can be used at point-of-care in order to enhance responsiveness to both seasonal and pandemic influenza outbreaks.

Natural immunity to influenza A and B among Saudi blood donors in Al Madinah Al Munawarah, Saudi Arabia

Objectives:

To investigate the seroprevalence of influenza viruses (A and B) among blood donors in Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Methods:

The present investigation was conducted between April 2019 and July 2019. Participants were healthy adults recruited from the central blood bank Al Madinah Al Munawarah, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Immunoglobulin G (IgG) levels against influenza A and B were measured in serum samples using ELISA.

Results:

The results showed that 29.2% of the sample had significant concentrations of influenza A IgG antibody, whereas 38.6% had significant concentrations of influenza B IgG antibody. A strong correlation was found between the levels of influenza A and influenza B antibodies (r=0.708, p<0.001). The number of individuals identified as negative for influenza A IgG antibody increased with age (p<0.01). In addition, no correlations were identified between influenza A IgG and influenza B IgG and body mass index (BMI), (p>0.05). Finally, linear regression analysis showed that the level of influenza A antibody can be predicted by age (p<0.05) and body mass index (BMI) (p<0.05).

Conclusion:

Approximately one-third of Saudi Arabian adults presented significant levels of influenza A and B antibodies in our study. Demographic factors, including age and BMI, might contribute to influenza A antibody levels.

Influenza in High-Risk Hosts-Lessons Learned from Animal Models

Factoring significantly into the global burden of influenza disease are high-risk populations that suffer the bulk of infections. Classically, the very young, very old, and pregnant women have been identified as high-risk populations; however, recent research has uncovered several other conditions that contribute to severe infection. By using varied animal models, researchers have identified molecular mechanisms underpinning the increased likelihood for infection due to obesity and malnourishment, as well as insight into the role sex hormones play in antiviral immunity in males, in females, and across the life span. Additionally, novel comorbidity models have helped elucidate the role of chronic infectious and genetic diseases in influenza virus pathogenesis. Animal models play a vital role in understanding the contribution of host factors to influenza severity and immunity. An in-depth understanding of these host factors represents an important step in reducing the burden of influenza among the growing number of people living with one or more chronic medical conditions.

Impact of congenital heart disease on outcomes among pediatric patients hospitalized for influenza infection

Background

Young children and those with chronic medical conditions are at risk for complications of influenza including cardiopulmonary compromise. Here we aim to examine risks of mortality, clinical complications in children with congenital heart disease (CHD) hospitalized for influenza.

Methods

We analyzed data from in-hospital pediatric patients from 2003, 2006, 2009, 2012 and 2016 using the nationally representative Kids Inpatient Database (KID). We included children 1 year and older and used weighted data to compare the incidence of in-hospital mortality and rates of complications such as respiratory failure, acute kidney injury, need for mechanical ventilation, arrhythmias and myocarditis.

Results

Data from the KID estimated 125,470 children who were admitted with a diagnosis of influenza infection. Out of those, 2174(1.73%) patients had discharge diagnosis of CHD. Children with CHD who required hospitalization for influenza had higher in-hospital mortality (2.0% vs 0.5%), with an adjusted OR (aOR) of 2.8 (95% CI: 1.7–4.5). Additionally, acute respiratory failure and acute kidney failure were more likely among patients with CHD, with aOR of 1.8 (95% CI: 1.5–2.2) and aOR of 2.2 (95% CI: 1.5–3.1), respectively. Similarly, the rate of mechanical ventilatory support was higher in patients with CHD compared to those without, 14.1% vs 5.6%, aOR of 1.9 (95% CI: 1.6–2.3). Median length of hospital stay in children with CHD was longer than those without CHD [4 (IQR: 2–8) days vs. 2 (IQR: 2–4) days]. Outcomes were similar between those with severe vs non-severe CHD.

Conclusions

Children with CHD who require hospital admission for influenza are at significantly increased risk for in-hospital mortality, morbidities, emphasizing the need to reinforce preventative measures (e.g. vaccination, personal hygiene) in this particularly vulnerable population.

Influenza-associated mortality in hospital care: a retrospective cohort study of risk factors and impact of oseltamivir in an English teaching hospital, 2016 to 2017

Background

Evidence of an oseltamivir treatment effect on influenza A(H3N2) virus infections in hospitalised patients is incomplete.

Aims

This cohort study aimed to evaluate risk factors for death among PCR-confirmed hospitalised cases of seasonal influenza A(H3N2) of all ages and the impact of oseltamivir.

Methods

Participants included all 332 PCR-confirmed influenza A(H3N2) cases diagnosed between 30 August 2016 and 17 March 2017 in an English university teaching Hospital. Oseltamivir treatment effect on odds of inpatient death was assessed by backward stepwise multivariable logistic regression analysis.

Results

The odds of death were reduced by two thirds (odds ratio (OR): 0.32; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.11–0.93), in inpatients treated with a standard course of oseltamivir 75 mg two times daily for 5 days – compared with those untreated with oseltamivir, after adjustment for age, sex, current excess alcohol intake, receipt of 2016/17 seasonal influenza vaccine, serum haemoglobin and hospital vs community attribution of acquisition of influenza.

Conclusions

Oseltamivir treatment given according to National Institutes of Clinical Excellence (NICE); United States Centres for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC); Infectious Diseases Society of America (IDSA) and World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines was shown to be effective in reducing the odds of mortality in inpatients with PCR-confirmed seasonal influenza A(H3N2) after adjustment in a busy routine English hospital setting. Our results highlight the importance of hospitals complying with relevant guidelines for prompt seasonal influenza PCR testing and ensuring standard oseltamivir treatment to all PCR-confirmed cases of seasonal influenza.

Evaluation of Lateral-Flow Assay for Rapid Detection of Influenza Virus

Background

Influenza virus mainly causes acute respiratory infections in humans. However, the diagnosis of influenza is not accurate based on clinical evidence, as the symptoms of flu are similar to other respiratory virus. The lateral-flow assay is a rapid method to detect influenza virus. But the effectiveness of the technique in detecting flu viruses is unclear. Hence, a meta-analysis would be performed to evaluate the accuracy of LFA in detecting influenza virus.

Methods

Relevant literature was searched out in PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library databases with the keywords "lateral flow assay" and "flu virus". By Meta-DiSc software, pooled sensitivity, pooled specificity, positive likelihood ratio (PLR), negative likelihood ratio (NLR), diagnostic odds ratio (DOR), summary receiver operating characteristic curve (SROC), and area under the curve (AUC) can be calculated.

Results

This meta-analysis contains 13 studies and 24 data. The pooled sensitivity and specificity of the influenza virus detected by LFA were 0.84 (95% CI: 0.82-0.86) and 0.97 (95% CI: 0.97-0.98), respectively. The pooled values of PLR, NLR, DOR, and SROC were 32.68 (17.16-62.24), 0.17 (0.13-0.24), 334.07 (144.27-773.53), and 0.9877. No publication bias was found.

Conclusions

LFA exhibited high sensitivity and specificity in diagnosing influenza virus. It is a valuable alternative method which can diagnose influenza virus quickly. However, more evidence is required to confirm whether LFA is comparable to traditional methods for detecting the virus.

Burden of influenza in Romania. A retrospective analysis of 2014/15 - 2018/19 seasons in Romania

Introduction

Influenza is a seasonal epidemic with a heavy negative impact both on population health, and healthcare system utilization; until now, there are only two burden of disease studies in the Romanian context. This study aims to quantify the burden of influenza for the Romanian population for the seasons 2014/15 to 2018/19, using health administrative databases.

Methods

Incidence, hospitalization and mortality rates attributable to influenza as well as total number of influenza cases and deaths were estimated, for each season in the analyzed period, by combining the new cases reported by General Practitioners, Emergency Department presentations, hospitalizations, number of deaths, positivity rate of influenza, and probability to be consulted by a physician. Years of life lost due to premature death attributable to influenza complications were also computed.

Results

On average, 591,151 cases/season attributable to influenza were estimated during the period 2014/15 - 2018/19. The highest rates for incidence, hospitalization and presentation to emergency department were found in the age groups 0-4 years and 65 years and above. Influenza mortality rate was estimated at 3 per 100,000 persons and the 65 and above age group had the highest rate.

Conclusions

About 3% of the total Romanian population is estimated to develop an influenza attributable disease in a non-pandemic season. An overall increasing trend of the mortality rate attributable to influenza may be also underlined. On average, a person loses 12 years due to premature death caused by complications of influenza.

EGCG induces β-defensin 3 against influenza A virus H1N1 by the MAPK signaling pathway

Epigallocatechin gallate (EGCG) is the main component of green tea, which has been proven to inhibit a variety of viruses, including influenza A virus. However, the mechanism of EGCG against influenza virus remains to be further explored. The mechanism of EGCG against influenza virus was studied. The results showed that EGCG significantly increased the levels of HBD3 mRNA and protein, while the levels of phosphorylation of (p)-p38 MAPK, ERK and JNK after EGCG treatment were significantly up-regulated. p38 MAPK, ERK and JNK inhibitors significantly inhibited the expression of HBD3 induced by EGCG. On the other hand, EGCG significantly inhibited the expression of HA and NP proteins in influenza A virus H1N1, but attenuated the anti-influenza A virus effect of EGCG after silencing HBD3. Thus, the anti-influenza virus effect of EGCG is related to the induction of HBD3 expression. In addition, the expression of EGCG-induced HBD3 is related to the p38 MAPK, ERK and JNK signaling pathways. The research data show that EGCG can induce HBD3 expression through p38 MAPK, ERK and JNK signaling pathway to inhibit the replication of influenza A virus H1N1, providing a new and effective candidate drug for influenza virus.

A pooled genome-wide screening strategy to identify and rank influenza host restriction factors in cell-based vaccine production platforms

Cell-derived influenza vaccines provide better protection and a host of other advantages compared to the egg-derived vaccines that currently dominate the market, but their widespread use is hampered by a lack of high yield, low cost production platforms. Identification and knockout of innate immune and metabolic restriction factors within relevant host cell lines used to grow the virus could offer a means to substantially increase vaccine yield. In this paper, we describe and validate a novel genome-wide pooled CRISPR/Cas9 screening strategy that incorporates a reporter virus and a FACS selection step to identify and rank restriction factors in a given vaccine production cell line. Using the HEK-293SF cell line and A/PuertoRico/8/1934 H1N1 influenza as a model, we identify 64 putative influenza restriction factors to direct the creation of high yield knockout cell lines. In addition, gene ontology and protein complex enrichment analysis of this list of putative restriction factors offers broader insights into the primary host cell determinants of viral yield in cell-based vaccine production systems. Overall, this work will advance efforts to address the public health burden posed by influenza.

Protecting people with multiple sclerosis through vaccination

Vaccination is one of the most effective and cost-efficient methods for protecting people with multiple sclerosis (MS) from infections. However, use of vaccines has often been problematic because of misguided concerns that they may exacerbate the disease and/or that some disease-modifying therapies may influence the immune response to immunisations and/or their safety. People with MS risk higher morbidity and mortality from vaccine-preventable infections. It is, therefore, important to address any patient’s reluctance to accept vaccination and to provide clear guidance for clinicians on which vaccinations to consider proactively. We have reviewed the current literature and provide recommendations regarding vaccines in adults with MS, including specific advice regarding vaccination safety in patients receiving—or going to receive—disease-modifying therapies, vaccination during pregnancy, pretravel counselling and patient education.

Antibody responses to influenza A(H1N1)pdm infection

We investigated humoral immune response to influenza A(H1N1)pdm infection and found 32 (22%) of the infected individuals identified by PCR failed to produce a ≥ 4-fold hemagglutinin inhibition assay (HAI) response; a subset of 18 (56%) produced an alternate antibody response (against full-length HA, HA stalk, or neuraminidase). These individuals had lower pre-existing HAI antibody titers and showed a pattern of milder illness. An additional subset of 14 (44%) did not produce an alternate antibody response, had higher pre-existing antibody titers against full-length & stalk HA, and were less sick. These findings demonstrate that some individuals mount an alternate antibody response to influenza infection. In order to design more broadly protective influenza vaccines it may be useful to target these alternate sites. These findings support that there are influenza cases currently being missed by solely implementing HAI assays, resulting in an underestimation of the global burden of influenza infection.

Depletion of Host and Viral Sphingomyelin Impairs Influenza Virus Infection

Influenza A virus (IAV) is a major human respiratory pathogen causing annual epidemics as well as periodic pandemics. A complete understanding of the virus pathogenesis and host factors involved in the viral lifecycle is crucial for developing novel therapeutic approaches. Sphingomyelin (SM) is the most abundant membrane sphingolipid. It preferentially associates with cholesterol to form distinct domains named lipid rafts. Sphingomyelinases, including acid sphingomyelinase (ASMase), catalyzes the hydrolysis of membrane SM and consequently transform lipid rafts into ceramide-enriched membrane platforms. In this study, we investigated the effect of SM hydrolysis on IAV propagation. Depleting plasma membrane SM by exogenous bacterial SMase (bSMase) impaired virus infection and reduced virus entry, whereas exogenous SM enhanced infection. Moreover, the depletion of virus envelope SM also reduced virus infectivity and impaired its attachment and internalization. Nonetheless, inhibition of ASMase by desipramine did not affect IAV infection. Similarly, virus replication was not impaired in Niemann-Pick disease type A (NPA) cells, which lack functional ASMase. IAV infection in A549 cells was associated with suppression of ASMase activity starting at 6 h post-infection. Our data reveals that intact cellular and viral envelope SM is required for efficient IAV infection. Therefore, SM metabolism can be a potential target for therapeutic intervention against influenza virus infection.

An approach to the influenza chimeric subunit vaccine (3M2e-HA2-NP) provides efficient protection against lethal virus challenge

OBJECTIVES

Vaccination is the most effective preventive strategy for influenza disease. As the virus undergoes high antigenic drift, it requires a constant reformulation to obtain high protection.

RESULTS

Immunogenicity of a purified chimeric protein containing conserved regions of influenza A/H1N1 viruses including the Hemagglutinin stalk domain, Nucleoprotein, and Matrix protein produced in a prokaryotic system was assessed in vitro and in vivo, alone or in combination with adjuvants by evaluating antibody responses, cytokine production, lymphocyte proliferative assay, and mortality rate after challenge. The animals that received the chimeric protein had specific antibody responses, elicited memory CD4 cells, cytokines of Th1 and Th2 cells and showed 75% protection against influenza virus lethal challenge. The animals injected with the chimeric protein supplemented with Alum showed improved immune responses, but they had 67% protection. In other words, although Alum adjuvant enriched the chimera specific immune responses potently, it could not enhance its protectivity.

CONCLUSION

Regarding the immunogenicity and protectivity of the chimeric protein construct against influenza, findings of the study suggested that the chimeric protein could be considered as a promising influenza vaccine candidate.

Impact of early neuraminidase inhibitor treatment on clinical outcomes in patients with influenza B-related pneumonia: a multicenter cohort study

The aim of this study is to evaluate the impact of early (within 2 days after disease onset) neuraminidase inhibitor (NAI) administration on clinical outcomes in patients with laboratory-confirmed influenza B-related pneumonia (FluB-p). This was a multicenter study conducted from 1 January 2013 to 1 May 2019. Data of immunocompetent adult and adolescent FluB-p patients hospitalized at five different teaching hospitals in China were retrospectively collected, including demographic and clinical features as well as clinical and treatment outcomes. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to assess the effects of early NAI administration on clinical outcomes in FluB-p patients. In total, 386 hospitalized patients with community-onset FluB-p were included in this study, of whom 39.6% (153/386) were treated with NAI early. After adjusting for the weighted propensity scores of treatment, systemic corticosteroid, and antibiotic uses, the results of multivariate logistic regression model indicated that early NAI treatment was associated with the decreased risks of invasive ventilation [odd ratio (OR) 0.325, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.123-0.858; p = 0.023), admittance to intensive care unit (OR 0.425, 95% CI 0.204-0.882; p = 0.022), and 30-day mortality (OR 0.416, 95% CI 0.184-0.944, p = 0.036)] in FluB-p patients. In addition, the multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that early NAI treatment (OR 0.306, 95% CI 0.063-0.618; p = 0.010) was an independent predictor for 30-day mortality in patients with FluB-p. Early NAI treatment was associated with better clinical outcomes in FluB-p patients, which supports the recommendations of its use in severe influenza illness.

Differences in nasal immunoglobulin A responses to influenza vaccine strains after live attenuated influenza vaccine (LAIV) immunization in children

Different vaccine strains included in the live attenuated influenza vaccine (LAIV) have variable efficacy. The reasons for this are not clear and may include differences in immunogenicity. We report a Phase IV open-label study on the immunogenicity of a single dose of quadrivalent LAIV (Fluenz™ Tetra) in children during the 2015/16 season, to investigate the antibody responses to different strains. Eligible children were enrolled to receive LAIV; nasal samples were collected before and approximately 4 weeks after immunization. There was a significant increase in nasal immunoglobulin (Ig)A to the H3N2, B/Victoria lineage (B/Brisbane) and B/Yamagata lineage (B/Phuket) components, but not to the H1N1 component. The fold change in nasal IgA response was inversely proportional to the baseline nasal IgA titre for H1N1, H3N2 and B/Brisbane. We investigated possible associations that may explain baseline nasal IgA, including age and prior vaccination status, but found different patterns for different antigens, suggesting that the response is multi-factorial. Overall, we observed differences in immune responses to different viral strains included in the vaccine; the reasons for this require further investigation.

Estimates of influenza-associated hospitalisations in tropical Singapore, 2010-2017: Higher burden estimated in more recent years

BACKGROUND

We previously estimated Singapore's influenza-associated hospitalisation rate for pneumonia and influenza (P&I) in 2010-2012 to be 29.6 per 100 000 person-years, which corresponds to 11.2% of all P&I hospitalisations.

OBJECTIVES

This study aims to update Singapore's estimates of the influenza-associated pneumonia and influenza (P&I) hospitalisation burden using the latest data from 2010 to 2017.

METHODS

We estimated the number of P&I hospitalisations associated with influenza using generalised additive models. We specified the weekly number of admissions for P&I and the weekly influenza positivity in the models, along with potential confounders such as weekly respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) positivity and meteorological data.

RESULTS

In 2010-2017, 16.3% of all P&I hospitalisations in Singapore were estimated to be attributed to influenza, corresponding to an excess influenza-associated P&I hospitalisation rate of 50.1 per 100 000 person-years. Higher excess rates were estimated for children aged 0-4 years (186.8 per 100 000 person-years) and elderly aged ≥ 65 years (338.0 per 100 000 person-years). Higher influenza-associated hospitalisation rates were estimated for 2016 and 2017 (67.9 and 75.1 per 100 000 persons, respectively) years when the influenza A(H3N2) subtype was dominant.

CONCLUSION

Influenza burden in Singapore has increased since 2010. Influenza vaccination programmes should continue to be prioritised for the young and the elderly.

An Influenza Virus Entry Inhibitor Targets Class II PI3 Kinase and Synergizes with Oseltamivir

Two classes of antivirals targeting the viral neuraminidase (NA) and endonuclease are currently the only clinically useful drugs for the treatment of influenza. However, resistance to both antivirals has been observed in clinical isolates, and there was widespread resistance to oseltamivir (an NA inhibitor) among H1N1 viruses prior to 2009. This potential for resistance and lack of diversity for antiviral targets highlights the need for new influenza antivirals with a higher barrier to resistance. In this study, we identified an antiviral compound, M85, that targets host kinases, epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR), and phosphoinositide 3 class II β (PIK3C2β) and is not susceptible to resistance by viral mutations. M85 blocks endocytosis of influenza viruses and inhibits a broad-spectrum of viruses with minimal cytotoxicity. In vitro, we found that combinations of M85 and oseltamivir have strong synergism. In the mouse model for influenza, treatment with the combination therapy was more protective against a lethal viral challenge than oseltamivir alone, indicating that development of M85 could lead to combination therapies for influenza. Finally, through this discovery of M85 and its antiviral mechanism, we present the first description of PIK3C2β as a necessary host factor for influenza virus entry.

The epidemiological signature of influenza B virus and its B/Victoria and B/Yamagata lineages in the 21st century

We describe the epidemiological characteristics, pattern of circulation, and geographical distribution of influenza B viruses and its lineages using data from the Global Influenza B Study. We included over 1.8 million influenza cases occurred in thirty-one countries during 2000–2018. We calculated the proportion of cases caused by influenza B and its lineages; determined the timing of influenza A and B epidemics; compared the age distribution of B/Victoria and B/Yamagata cases; and evaluated the frequency of lineage-level mismatch for the trivalent vaccine. The median proportion of influenza cases caused by influenza B virus was 23.4%, with a tendency (borderline statistical significance, p = 0.060) to be higher in tropical vs. temperate countries. Influenza B was the dominant virus type in about one every seven seasons. In temperate countries, influenza B epidemics occurred on average three weeks later than influenza A epidemics; no consistent pattern emerged in the tropics. The two B lineages caused a comparable proportion of influenza B cases globally, however the B/Yamagata was more frequent in temperate countries, and the B/Victoria in the tropics (p = 0.048). B/Yamagata patients were significantly older than B/Victoria patients in almost all countries. A lineage-level vaccine mismatch was observed in over 40% of seasons in temperate countries and in 30% of seasons in the tropics. The type B virus caused a substantial proportion of influenza infections globally in the 21^st century, and its two virus lineages differed in terms of age and geographical distribution of patients. These findings will help inform health policy decisions aiming to reduce disease burden associated with seasonal influenza.

Modelling of optimal timing for influenza vaccination as a function of intraseasonal waning of immunity and vaccine coverage

The influenza season in Australia usually peaks in August. Vaccination is recommended beginning in March-April. Recent studies suggest that vaccine effectiveness may wane over a given influenza season, leading to reduced effectiveness at the peak of the season. We aimed to quantify how changes in timing of influenza vaccination and declining vaccine coverage could change the percentages of prevented cases. Results from a systematic review were used to inform calculation of a waning function over time from vaccination. Age specific notification data and vaccine effectiveness and coverage estimates from 2007 to 2016 (2009 influenza pandemic year excluded) were used to model a new notification series where vaccine effectiveness is shifted in time to account for delayed vaccination by month from March to August. A sensitivity analysis was done on possible vaccine coverage changes and considering time gap between vaccine uptake and recommendation. Delaying vaccination from March to end of May prevents more cases over a season, but the variation in cases prevented by month of vaccination is not large. If delaying vaccination results in missed or forgotten vaccination and decrease coverage, delaying vaccination could have a net negative impact. Furthermore, considering a time gap between recommendation and uptake, earlier recommendation is more effective in preventing cases. The results are sensitive to assumptions of intra-seasonal waning of effectiveness. More research is required on intra-seasonal vaccine effectiveness waning and the effect of delayed vaccination on overall uptake to inform any potential changes to current vaccine scheduling recommendations.

Repeated vaccination against matched H3N2 influenza virus gives less protection than single vaccination in ferrets

Epidemiological studies suggest that humans who receive repeated annual immunization with influenza vaccine are less well protected against influenza than those who receive vaccine in the current season only. To better understand potential mechanisms underlying these observations, we vaccinated influenza-naive ferrets either twice, 10 months apart (repeated vaccination group; RV), or once (current season only group; CS), using a prime-boost regimen, and then challenged the ferrets with A/Hong Kong/4801/2014(H3N2). Ferrets that received either vaccine regimen were protected against influenza disease and infection relative to naive unvaccinated ferrets, but the RV group shed more virus, especially at the peak of virus shedding 2 days post infection (p < 0.001) and regained weight more slowly (p < 0.05) than those in the CS group. Qualitative, rather than quantitative, differences in the antibody response may affect protection after repeated influenza vaccination.

Progress and Remaining Gaps in Estimating the Global Disease Burden of Influenza

Influenza has long been a global public health priority because of the threat of another global pandemic. Although data are available for the annual burden of seasonal influenza in many developed countries, fewer disease burden data are available for low-income and tropical countries. In recent years, however, the surveillance systems created as part of national pandemic preparedness efforts have produced substantial data on the epidemiology and impact of influenza in countries where data were sparse. These data are leading to greater interest in seasonal influenza, including implementation of vaccination programs. However, a lack of quality data on severe influenza, nonrespiratory outcomes, and high-risk groups, as well as a need for better mathematical models and economic evaluations, are some of the major gaps that remain. These gaps are the focus of multilateral research and surveillance efforts that will strengthen global efforts in influenza control in the future.

Key considerations for successful implementation of maternal immunization programs in low and middle income countries

The Maternal Neonatal Tetanus Elimination program is proof of concept for the feasibility and potential for maternal immunization to reduce neonatal mortality particularly in low and middle-income countries. Introduction of any additional vaccine into the antenatal space, such as Influenza and Pertussis, and potentially Respiratory Syncytial Virus and Group B Streptococcus vaccines in the future, requires strengthening of antenatal care and immunization services. Successful implementation also requires robust disease surveillance in pregnant women and neonates and active surveillance for adverse events following immunization to monitor the impact and ensure the safe use of the vaccine. This review outlines five key elements essential for successful implementation of a maternal immunization program focusing particularly on low and middle-income countries. These include; relevant considerations in supporting a decision to undertake a maternal immunization program including knowledge of local disease epidemiology, involvement of the consumer, healthcare provider recommendation, equitable access to maternal vaccination, and systems for disease surveillance, program evaluation and safety monitoring.