Trends in esophageal cancer survival in United States adults from 1973 to 2009: A SEER database analysis

Advancements in immunotherapy for advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: a comprehensive review of current strategies and future directions

INTRODUCTION

Esophageal cancer (EC), particularly esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC), is characterized by high incidence and poor prognosis worldwide, necessitating novel therapeutic approaches like immunotherapy. This review explores the impact of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) on ESCC, especially focusing on PD-1/PD-L1 and CTLA-4 inhibitors. Our literature search, conducted across databases including PubMed, Web of Science, and EMBASE, from January 2010 to December 2023, aimed at identifying advancements, challenges, and future directions in the use of immunotherapy for ESCC.

AREAS COVERED

We provide a detailed analysis of clinical trials evaluating the efficacy of ICIs as monotherapy and in combination with chemotherapy, radiotherapy, and targeted therapy for locally advanced ESCC. Our findings highlight the significant survival benefits offered by ICIs, albeit with varying efficacy across patient populations, emphasizing the need for precise biomarkers to tailor treatment strategies.

EXPERT OPINION

The integration of immunotherapy into the ESCC treatment paradigm represents a significant shift, improving survival outcomes. Future research should focus on optimizing combination therapies and novel immunotherapeutic agents, incorporating genetic and tumor microenvironment analyses to enhance patient selection and treatment efficacy.

The Anastomotic Leak Triad: Preoperative Patient Characteristics, Intraoperative Risk Factors, and Postoperative Outcomes

INTRODUCTION

The aim of the study is to determine perioperative risk factors associated with anastomotic leak (AL) following Minimally Invasive Esophagectomy (MIE), and its association on cancer recurrence and overall survival.

METHODS

This retrospective observational study of electronic health record data included patients who underwent MIE for esophageal cancer between September 2013 and July 2023 at a tertiary center. The primary outcome was AL following esophagectomy, while secondary outcomes included time to cancer recurrence and overall survival. Perioperative patient factors were evaluated to determine their associations with both the primary and secondary outcomes. Propensity score matched logistic regression assessed associations between perioperative factors and AL. Kaplan-Meier survival curves compared cancer recurrence and overall survival by AL.

RESULTS

A total of 251 consecutive patients with esophageal cancer were included in the analysis; 15 (6%) developed AL. Anemia, hospital complications, hospital length of stay and 30-day readmissions significantly differed from those with and without AL (p = 0.037, < 0.001, < 0.001, and 0.016, respectively). Thirty and 90-day mortality were not statistically affected by presence of AL (p = 0.417, and 0.456, respectively). Logistic regression modeling showed drug history and anemia were significantly associated with AL (p = 0.022 and 0.011, respectively). The presence of AL did not significantly impact cancer recurrence or overall survival (p = 0.439 and 0.301, respectively).

CONCLUSION

The etiology of AL is multifactorial. Anastomotic leak is significantly associated with drug history, preoperative anemia, hospital length of stay and 30-day readmissions, but it was not significantly associated with 30- or 90-day mortality, cancer recurrence or overall survival. Patients should be optimized prior to undergoing MIE with special consideration for correcting anemia. Ongoing research is needed to identify more modifiable risk factors to minimize AL development and its associated morbidity.

The potential role of circular RNAs in regulating p53 in different types of cancers

P53 tumor suppressor is a major regulator of various cellular processes and functions. It has been reported that mutation or inactivation of p53 plays a crucial role in tumorigenesis in different types of cancers. Circular RNAs (circRNAs) are single-stranded non-coding RNAs that have significant post-transcriptional effects on the regulation of gene expression in various ways. These molecules can alter the expression and function of multiple genes and proteins. In the present study, we aimed to review circRNAs that regulate the expression, function, and stability of p53 and the possible interactions between these molecules and p53. Considering the importance of p53 in cancer and the network between p53 and circRNAs, future clinical trials targeting these circRNAs as therapeutic agents deserve worthy of attention.

Superior Anticancer and Antifungal Activities of New Sulfanyl-Substituted Niclosamide Derivatives

The approved anthelmintic salicylanilide drug niclosamide has shown promising anticancer and antimicrobial activities. In this study, new niclosamide derivatives with trifluoromethyl, trifluoromethylsulfanyl, and pentafluorosulfanyl substituents replacing the nitro group of niclosamide were prepared (including the ethanolamine salts of two promising salicylanilides) and tested for their anticancer activities against esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) cells. In addition, antifungal activity against a panel of Madurella mycetomatis strains, the most abundant causative agent of the neglected tropical disease eumycetoma, was evaluated. The new compounds revealed higher activities against EAC and fungal cells than the parent compound niclosamide. The ethanolamine salt 3a was the most active compound against EAC cells (IC50 = 0.8-1.0 µM), and its anticancer effects were mediated by the downregulation of anti-apoptotic proteins (BCL2 and MCL1) and by decreasing levels of β-catenin and the phosphorylation of STAT3. The plausibility of binding to the latter factors was confirmed by molecular docking. The compounds 2a and 2b showed high in vitro antifungal activity against M. mycetomatis (IC50 = 0.2-0.3 µM) and were not toxic to Galleria mellonella larvae. Slight improvements in the survival rate of G. mellonella larvae infected with M. mycetomatis were observed. Thus, salicylanilides such as 2a and 3a can become new anticancer and antifungal drugs.

Cholelithiasis and cholecystectomy increase the risk of gastroesophageal reflux disease and Barrett's esophagus

Background

Cholelithiasis or cholecystectomy may contribute to the development of gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD), Barrett's esophagus (BE), and esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) through bile reflux; however, current observational studies yield inconsistent findings. We utilized a novel approach combining meta-analysis and Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis, to assess the association between them.

Methods

The literature search was done using PubMed, Web of Science, and Embase databases, up to 3 November 2023. A meta-analysis of observational studies assessing the correlations between cholelithiasis or cholecystectomy, and the risk factors for GERD, BE, and EACwas conducted. In addition, the MR analysis was employed to assess the causative impact of genetic pre-disposition for cholelithiasis or cholecystectomy on these esophageal diseases.

Results

The results of the meta-analysis indicated that cholelithiasis was significantly linked to an elevated risk in the incidence of BE (RR, 1.77; 95% CI, 1.37-2.29; p < 0.001) and cholecystectomy was a risk factor for GERD (RR, 1.37; 95%CI, 1.09-1.72; p = 0.008). We observed significant genetic associations between cholelithiasis and both GERD (OR, 1.06; 95% CI, 1.02-1.10; p < 0.001) and BE (OR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.11-1.32; p < 0.001), and a correlation between cholecystectomy and both GERD (OR, 1.04; 95% CI, 1.02-1.06; p < 0.001) and BE (OR, 1.13; 95% CI, 1.06-1.19; p < 0.001). After adjusting for common risk factors, such as smoking, alcohol consumption, and BMI in multivariate analysis, the risk of GERD and BE still persisted.

Conclusion

Our study revealed that both cholelithiasis and cholecystectomy elevate the risk of GERD and BE. However, there is no observed increase in the risk of EAC, despite GERD and BE being the primary pathophysiological pathways leading to EAC. Therefore, patients with cholelithiasis and cholecystectomy should be vigilant regarding esophageal symptoms; however, invasive EAC cytology may not be necessary.

Impact of quality of life on mortality risk in patients with esophageal cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

This systematic review and meta-analysis investigated the impact of quality of life (QoL) on mortality risk in patients with esophageal cancer. A literature search was conducted using the CINAHL, PubMed/MEDLINE, and Scopus databases for articles published from inception to December 2022. Observational studies that examined the association between QoL and mortality risk in patients with esophageal cancer were included. Subgroup analyses were performed for time points of QoL assessment and for types of treatment. Seven studies were included in the final analysis. Overall, global QoL was significantly associated with mortality risk (hazard ratio 1.02, 95% confidence interval 1.01-1.04; p < 0.00004). Among the QoL subscales of QoL, physical, emotional, role, cognitive, and social QoL were significantly associated with mortality risk. A subgroup analysis by timepoints of QoL assessment demonstrated that pre- and posttreatment global and physical, pretreatment role, and posttreatment cognitive QoL were significantly associated with mortality risk. Moreover, another subgroup analysis by types of treatment demonstrated that the role QoL in patients with surgery, and the global, physical, role, and social QoL in those with other treatments were significantly associated with mortality risk. These findings indicate that the assessment of QoL in patients with esophageal cancer before and after treatment not only provides information on patients' condition at the time of treatment but may also serve as an outcome for predicting life expectancy. Therefore, it is important to conduct regular QoL assessments and take a proactive approach to improve QoL based on the results of these assessments.

The role of length of oral resection margin and survival in esophageal cancer surgery after neoadjuvant therapy: A retrospective propensity score-matched study

BACKGROUND

Multimodal therapy regimens became the standard of care for patients with esophageal cancer, whereas surgical resection remains at the center of curative treatment modalities. Current guidelines provide no recommendations on the extent of the oral resection margin, especially in the era of neoadjuvant therapy. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the relationship between the oral tumor-free resection margin and overall survival.

METHODS

Retrospective study with 382 1:1 propensity-matched patients out of 660 patients, operated between 2013 and 2019, with an Ivor-Lewis-esophagectomy for adenocarcinoma and squamous cell carcinoma of the esophagus or esophagogastric junction after neoadjuvant therapy. Independent pathologists measured the oral resection margin after formalin fixation.

RESULTS

The mean oral tumor-free resection margin was 37.2 ± 0.6 mm. The ideal cut-off for survival differences was determined for 33 mm. Patients with an oral resection margin of more than 33 mm had a better median overall survival (≤33 mm: 45.0 months, 95% confidence interval: 22.4-67.6 months, >33 mm: not reached, P = .005). An oral resection margin of more than 33 mm proved to be an independent favorable prognostic factor for patients' overall survival in multivariate Cox regression analyses (P = .049).

CONCLUSION

This study analyzed a patient cohort retrospectively after curative intended Ivor-Lewis-esophagectomy after neoadjuvant therapy. An oral resection margin of more than 33 mm is a factor for improved overall survival. Therefore, a minimum resection margin of 34 mm after fixation could be suggested.

Advances in diagnosis and management of cancer of the esophagus

Esophageal cancer is the seventh most common malignancy worldwide, with over 470 000 new cases diagnosed each year. Two distinct histological subtypes predominate, and should be considered biologically separate disease entities.1 These subtypes are esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) and esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). Outcomes remain poor regardless of subtype, with most patients presenting with late stage disease.2 Novel strategies to improve early detection of the respective precursor lesions, squamous dysplasia, and Barrett's esophagus offer the potential to improve outcomes. The introduction of a limited number of biologic agents, as well as immune checkpoint inhibitors, is resulting in improvements in the systemic treatment of locally advanced and metastatic esophageal cancer. These developments, coupled with improvements in minimally invasive surgical and endoscopic treatment approaches, as well as adaptive and precision radiotherapy technologies, offer the potential to improve outcomes still further. This review summarizes the latest advances in the diagnosis and management of esophageal cancer, and the developments in understanding of the biology of this disease.

Pembrolizumab for recurrent locally advanced or metastatic squamous cell carcinoma of the esophagus: a drug safety evaluation

INTRODUCTION

The prognosis of advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) remains poor and few effective drugs are available. Cisplatin plus 5-FU (CF) has been the standard first-line treatment for advanced ESCC. However, in the KEYNOTE-181 trial, the clinical outcomes were better in patients with programmed death ligand 1 (PD-L1)-positive advanced ESCC who received pembrolizumab, an immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI), than in those who received cytotoxic agents as second-line treatment. Moreover, the KEYNOTE-590 trial demonstrated the superiority of pembrolizumab plus CF over CF alone in terms of overall survival. Based on the results of KEYNOTE-590, pembrolizumab plus CF has become one of the standard treatments for advanced ESCC. However, the safety profile of ICI-containing therapy is different from that of conventional cytotoxic agents.

AREAS COVERED

Safety of pembrolizumab-containing therapies in patients with advanced ESCC.

EXPERT OPINION

Pembrolizumab-containing therapies are tolerable as first- and second-line treatments in patients with advanced ESCC. Although infrequent, immune-related adverse events may occur in patients on pembrolizumab-containing therapies. These events are potentially fatal and require treatment with steroids or immunosuppressive drugs. Regular physical and laboratory examinations, including measurement of hormone levels, are needed during and after pembrolizumab-containing therapies in clinical practice.

Esophagogastric Cancer: The Current Role of Radiation Therapy

Radiation therapy is an effective treatment modality in the management of patients with esophageal cancer regardless of tumor location (proximal, middle, or distal esophagus) or histology (squamous cell vs adenocarcinoma). The addition of neoadjuvant CRT to surgery in patients who are surgical candidates has consistently shown a benefit in terms of locoregional recurrence, pathologic downstaging, and overall survival. For patients who are not surgical candidates, CRT has a role as definitive treatment.

Latest insights into the global epidemiological features, screening, early diagnosis and prognosis prediction of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

As a highly invasive carcinoma, esophageal cancer (EC) was the eighth most prevalent malignancy and the sixth leading cause of cancer-related death worldwide in 2020. Esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) is the major histological subtype of EC, and its incidence and mortality rates are decreasing globally. Due to the lack of specific early symptoms, ESCC patients are usually diagnosed with advanced-stage disease with a poor prognosis, and the incidence and mortality rates are still high in many countries, especially in China. Therefore, enormous challenges still exist in the management of ESCC, and novel strategies are urgently needed to further decrease the incidence and mortality rates of ESCC. Although the key molecular mechanisms underlying ESCC pathogenesis have not been fully elucidated, certain promising biomarkers are being investigated to facilitate clinical decision-making. With the advent and advancement of high-throughput technologies, such as genomics, proteomics and metabolomics, valuable biomarkers with high sensitivity, specificity and stability could be identified for ESCC. Herein, we aimed to determine the epidemiological features of ESCC in different regions of the world, especially in China, and focused on novel molecular biomarkers associated with ESCC screening, early diagnosis and prognosis prediction.

Nur77-IRF1 axis inhibits esophageal squamous cell carcinoma growth and improves anti-PD-1 treatment efficacy

The nuclear receptor Nur77 plays paradoxical roles in numerous cancers. However, whether Nur77 inhibits esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) growth and affects immunological responses against ESCC has not been determined. The functional role of Nur77 in ESCC was investigated in this study using human ESCC cell lines, quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction (PCR), cell proliferation and colony formation assays, flow cytometry analysis, western blotting and animal models. The target gene controlled by Nur77 was verified using dual-luciferase reporter assays, chromatin immunoprecipitation analysis and functional rescue experiments. To examine the clinical importance of Nur77, 72 human primary ESCC tissues were subjected to immunohistochemistry. Taken together, these findings showed that, both in vitro and in vivo, Nur77 dramatically reduced ESCC cell growth and triggered apoptosis. Nur77 directly interacts with the interferon regulatory factor 1 (IRF1) promoter to inhibit its activity in ESCC. Pharmacological induction of Nur77 using cytosporone B (CsnB) inhibited ESCC cell proliferation and promoted apoptosis both in vitro and in vivo. Furthermore, CsnB increased CD8+ T-cell infiltration and cytotoxicity to inhibit the formation of ESCC tumors in an immunocompetent mouse model. In ESCC tissues, Nur77 expression was downregulated, and IRF1 expression was increased; moreover, their expression levels were negatively related. IRF1 and Nur77 were strongly correlated with overall survival. These findings suggested that Nur77 targets and regulates the IRF1/PD-L1 axis to serve as a tumor suppressor in ESCC. Graphical abstract of the regulatory mechanism of Nur77 overexpression downregulates IRF1 in the inhibition of ESCC progression and enhance anti-PD-1 therapy efficacy.

Routine image-enhanced endoscopic surveillance for metachronous esophageal squamous cell neoplasms in head and neck cancer patients

BACKGROUND

Esophageal squamous cell neoplasms (ESCNs) are common second primary tumors in patients with head and neck cancer. Image-enhanced endoscopy (IEE) with Lugol chromoendoscopy or magnifying narrow-band imaging both increase the detection of early ESCNs. No evidence-based ESCN surveillance program for head and neck cancer patients without a history of synchronous ESCNs exists. We aimed to evaluate the performance of an IEE surveillance program with magnifying narrow-band imaging endoscopy and Lugol chromoendoscopy.

METHODS

From April 2016, we routinely used IEE with magnifying narrow-band imaging and Lugol chromoendoscopy to evaluate patients with head and neck cancer history. All patients who were negative for ESCNs at the first surveillance endoscopy and received at least 2 IEEs through December 2019 were included. Demographic profiles, clinical data, cancer characteristics, IEE results and pathology reports were analyzed.

RESULTS

A total of 178 patients were included. Only 4 patients (2.2%) developed metachronous ESCNs during follow-up, all of whom received curative resection treatment. The interval for the development of metachronous ESCNs was 477 to 717 days. In multivariate Firth logistic regression and Kaplan‒Meier survival curve analysis, Lugol's voiding lesion type C had an increased risk of esophageal cancer development (adjusted odds ratio = 15.71; 95% confidence interval, 1.33-185.87, p = 0.029). Eight patients died during the study period, and none of them had metachronous ESCNs.

CONCLUSIONS

IEE with magnifying narrow-band imaging and Lugol chromoendoscopy is an effective surveillance program in head and neck cancer patients without a history of ESCNs. Annual surveillance can timely detect early ESCNs with low ESCN-related mortality.

Nivolumab in unresectable advanced, recurrent or metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

Esophageal cancer (EC) is the eighth most common cancer worldwide. In view of biology and anatomical restrictions, multimodality treatment strategies have been developed for EC. However, the prognosis of patients with advanced EC remains especially poor. Immunotherapy, such as PD-1/PD-L1 and CTLA-4/B7 blockade, has emerged as a potent treatment for many types of cancer and has been approved in many countries. Based on the results of the ATTRACTION-3 trial, nivolumab, an anti-PD-1 monoclonal antibody, was approved by the US FDA for patients with platinum-resistant, unresectable, recurrent or metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma. The CheckMate 648 trial demonstrated that the combination of nivolumab with platinum-based fluoropyrimidine chemotherapy and combination immunotherapy with nivolumab and ipilimumab, an anti-CTLA-4 monoclonal antibody, showed a survival benefit in patients with advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma compared with doublet chemotherapy. This review focuses on nivolumab-containing treatments for patients with advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

A four-gene signature predicts overall survival of patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma

Background

Esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) is an aggressive cancer with poor prognosis. Thus, this study aimed to identify a prognostic molecular signature to predict the overall survival (OS) of patients with EAC.

Methods

The mRNA microarray data sets GSE13898 and GSE26886 were downloaded from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database. RNA sequencing profile and clinical data of EAC patients were downloaded from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database. Differentially expressed genes (DEGs) between EAC tissues and adjacent non-cancerous tissues were obtained using R software. DEGs associated with prognosis of OS were assessed by univariate Cox analysis, and a prognostic signature was built using stepwise multivariate Cox analysis. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis and stratification analysis were conducted to evaluate its predictive performance. Functional enrichment analysis was performed for genes co-expressed with the signature to explore its biological functions in EAC.

Results

A total of 336 genes were identified to be differentially expressed between EAC tissues and adjacent non-cancerous tissues. After univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis, four genes (ALAD, ABLIM3, IL17RB and IFI6) were screened out to construct a prognostic signature. According to this signature, patients could be assigned into high-risk and low-risk group with significantly different OS (P=4.92e-05<0.0001). Multivariate Cox regression analysis suggested that the four-gene signature served as an independent factor in OS prediction. In the time-dependent ROC analysis, the areas under the curves (AUCs) were 0.804, 0.792 and 0.695 for 1-, 3- and 5-year survival prediction, respectively, suggesting a good performance. Functional enrichment analysis showed that the signature was mainly clustered in cell proliferation related biological processes or pathways.

Conclusions

The four-gene signature identified in the current study may be a potential prognostic factor for predicting OS of EAC patients.

Rural Women Have a Prolonged Recovery Process after Esophagectomy

BACKGROUND

Gender and geographic access to care play a large role in health disparities in esophageal cancer care. The aim of our study was to evaluate disparities in peri-operative outcomes for patients undergoing esophagectomy based on gender and geographic location.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort of prospectively collected data from patients who underwent esophagectomy from 2003 to 2022 was identified and analyzed based on gender and county, which were aggregated into existing state-level "metropolitan" versus "rural" designations. The demographics, pre-operative treatment, surgical complications, post-operative outcomes, and length of stay (LOS) of each group were analyzed using chi-squared, paired t-tests and single-factor ANOVA.

RESULTS

Of the 1545 patients, men (83.6%) and women (16.4%) experienced similar rates of post-operative complications, but women experienced significantly longer hospital (p = 0.002) and ICU (p = 0.03) LOSs as compared with their male counterparts, with no differences in 30-day mortality. When separated by geographic criteria, rural women were further outliers, with significantly longer hospital LOSs (p < 0.001) and higher rates of ICU admission (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Rural female patients undergoing esophagectomy were more likely to have a longer inpatient recovery process compared with their female metropolitan or male counterparts, suggesting a need for more targeted interventions in this population.

Health-related quality of life trajectories up to 15 years after curative treatment for esophageal cancer: a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

The differentiation of specific, long-term health-related quality of life (HRQL) trajectories among esophageal cancer survivors remains unclear. The authors aimed to identify potentially distinctly different HRQL-trajectories and uncover the underlying factors of such trajectories in patients having undergone surgery (esophagectomy) for esophageal cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This nationwide, prospective, and longitudinal cohort study included 420 patients who underwent curative treatment for esophageal cancer, including esophageal cancer surgery, in Sweden from 2001to 2005. The main outcome was HRQL summary score trajectories, measured by the well-validated EORTC QLQ-C30 questionnaire at 6 months, 3, 5, 10, and 15 years after esophagectomy, and analyzed using growth mixture models. Potentially underlying factors for these trajectories (age, sex, education, proxy baseline HRQL, comorbidity, tumor histology, chemo(radio)therapy, pathological tumor stage, and postoperative complications) were analyzed using weighted logistic regression providing odds ratios (OR) with 95% CI.

RESULTS

Four distinct HRQL summary score trajectories were identified: Persistently good, improving, deteriorating, and persistently poor. The odds of belonging to a persistently poor trajectory were decreased by longer education (>12 years versus <9 years: OR 0.18, 95% CI: 0.05-0.66) and adenocarcinoma histology (adenocarcinoma versus squamous cell carcinoma: OR 0.37, 95% CI: 0.16-0.85), and increased by more advanced pathological tumor stage (III-IV versus 0-I: OR 2.82, 95% CI: 1.08-7.41) and postoperative complications (OR 2.94, 95% CI: 1.36-6.36).

CONCLUSION

Distinct trajectories with persistently poor or deteriorating HRQL were identified after curative treatment for esophageal cancer. Education, tumor histology, pathological tumor stage, and postoperative complications might influence HRQL trajectories. The results may contribute to a more tailored follow-up with timely and targeted interventions. Future research remains to confirm these findings.

Cancer-related fatigue trajectories up to 5 years after curative treatment for oesophageal cancer

BACKGROUND

Whether cancer-related fatigue develops differently after curative-intended oesophageal cancer treatment and the related modifiable factors are unclear.

METHODS

This population-based and longitudinal cohort included 409 oesophageal cancer patients who underwent curative oesophagectomy in 2013-2020 in Sweden. The main outcome was cancer-related fatigue trajectories with measurements at 1, 1.5, 2, 2.5, 3, 4 and 5 years postoperatively by validated EORTC QLQ-FA12 questionnaire, and analysed using growth mixture models. Weighted logistic regressions provided odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) for underlying sociodemographic, clinical, and patient-reported outcome factors in relation to the identified trajectories.

RESULTS

Two distinct overall cancer-related fatigue trajectories were identified: low level of persistent fatigue and high level of increasing fatigue, with 64% and 36% of patients, respectively. The odds of having high level of fatigue trajectory were increased by Charlson comorbidity index (≥ 2 versus 0: OR = 2.52, 95% CI 1.07-5.94), pathological tumour Stage (III-IV versus 0-I: OR = 2.52, 95% CI 1.33-4.77), anxiety (OR = 7.58, 95% CI 2.20-26.17), depression (OR = 15.90, 95% CI 4.44-56.93) and pain (continuous score: OR = 1.02, 95% CI 1.01-1.04).

CONCLUSIONS

Long-term trajectories with high level of increasing cancer-related fatigue and the associated modifiable factors were identified after oesophageal cancer treatment. The results may facilitate early identification and targeted intervention for such high-risk patients.

Graphical modeling of causal factors associated with the postoperative survival of esophageal cancer subjects

PURPOSE

To clarify the causal relationship between factors contributing to the postoperative survival of patients with esophageal cancer.

METHODS

A cohort of 195 patients who underwent surgery for esophageal cancer between 2008 and 2021 was used in the study. All patients had preoperative chest computed tomography (CT) and positron emission tomography-CT (PET-CT) scans prior to receiving any treatment. From these images, high throughput and quantitative radiomic features, tumor features, and various body composition features were automatically extracted. Causal relationships among these image features, patient demographics, and other clinicopathological variables were analyzed and visualized using a novel score-based directed graph called "Grouped Greedy Equivalence Search" (GGES) while taking prior knowledge into consideration. After supplementing and screening the causal variables, the intervention do-calculus adjustment (IDA) scores were calculated to determine the degree of impact of each variable on survival. Based on this IDA score, a GGES prediction formula was generated. Ten-fold cross-validation was used to assess the performance of the models. The prediction results were evaluated using the R-Squared Score (R2 score).

RESULTS

The final causal graphical model was formed by two PET-based image variables, ten body composition variables, four pathological variables, four demographic variables, two tumor variables, and one radiological variable (Percentile 10). Intramuscular fat mass was found to have the most impact on overall survival month. Percentile 10 and overall TNM (T: tumor, N: nodes, M: metastasis) stage were identified as direct causes of overall survival (month). The GGES casual model outperformed GES in regression prediction (R2  = 0.251) (p < 0.05) and was able to avoid unreasonable causality that may contradict common sense.

CONCLUSION

The GGES causal model can provide a reliable and straightforward representation of the intricate causal relationships among the variables that impact the postoperative survival of patients with esophageal cancer.

Optimal lymph node yield in oesophagectomy for oesophageal cancer: a nationwide population-based study

OBJECTIVES

The desirable lymph node count was determined to maximize the survival time expectancy according to the lymph node count among patients who have undergone oesophagectomy for oesophageal cancer.

METHODS

The data of national Finnish population-based cohort including all patients who have undergone oesophagectomy due to oesophageal cancer during 2002-2016 were used. Restricted mean survival time (RMST) estimates were determined by lymph node count, and the desirable count was determined using locally estimated scatterplot smoothing regression.

RESULTS

A total of 883 patients with the median follow-up time of 3.73 (interquartile range 1.43-7.50) years were included. The lymph node count of 27 (95% confidence interval 25-28) was associated with the highest RMST estimates. Sensitivity analyses indicated that in pN0 patients, the highest RMST estimates was observed at 26 (95% confidence interval 24-28) lymph nodes and in pN+ patients, the RMST estimates peaked at 28 (95% confidence interval 25-33) lymph nodes.

CONCLUSIONS

According to the findings of this study, at least 24 examined lymph nodes is the recommended target for the lymph node count after oesophagectomy for oesophageal cancer. The beneficial effect of this count on survival may be achieved regardless of nodal metastases.

The impact of minimally-invasive esophagectomy operative duration on post-operative outcomes

Background

Esophagectomy, an esophageal cancer treatment mainstay, is a highly morbid procedure. Prolonged operative time, only partially predetermined by case complexity, may be uniquely harmful to minimally-invasive esophagectomy (MIE) patients for numerous reasons, including anastomotic leak, tenuous conduit perfusion and protracted single-lung ventilation, but the impact is unknown. This multi-center retrospective cohort study sought to characterize the relationship between MIE operative time and post-operative outcomes.

Methods

We abstracted multi-center data on esophageal cancer patients who underwent MIE from 2010 to 2021. Predictor variables included age, sex, comorbidities, body mass index, prior cardiothoracic surgery, stage, and neoadjuvant therapy. Outcomes included complications, readmissions, and mortality. Association analysis evaluated the relationship between predictor variables and operative time. Multivariate logistic regression characterized the influence of potential predictor variables and operative time on post-operative outcomes. Subgroup analysis evaluated the association between MIE >4 h vs. ≤4 h and complications, readmissions and survival.

Results

For the 297 esophageal cancer patients who underwent MIE between 2010 and 2021, the median operative duration was 4.8 h [IQR: 3.7-6.3]. For patients with anastomotic leak (5.1%) and 1-year mortality, operative duration was elevated above the median at 6.3 h [IQR: 4.8-8.6], p = 0.008) and 5.3 h [IQR: 4.4-6.8], p = 0.04), respectively. In multivariate logistic regression, each additional hour of operative time increased the odds of anastomotic leak and 1-year mortality by 39% and 19%, respectively.

Conclusions

Esophageal cancer is a poor prognosis disease, even with optimal treatment. Operative efficiency, a modifiable surgical variable, may be an important target to improve MIE patient outcomes.

Induction immunotherapy plus chemotherapy followed by definitive chemoradiation therapy in locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: a propensity-score matched study

BACKGROUND

For patients with unresectable locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC), concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) is the current standard treatment; however, the prognosis remains poor. Immunotherapy combined with chemotherapy has demonstrated improved survival outcomes in advanced ESCC. Nevertheless, there is a lack of reports on the role of induction immunotherapy plus chemotherapy prior to CCRT for unresectable locally advanced ESCC. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of induction immunotherapy plus chemotherapy followed by definitive chemoradiotherapy in patients with unresectable locally advanced ESCC.

METHODS

This study retrospectively collected clinical data of patients diagnosed with locally advanced ESCC who were treated with radical CCRT between 2017 and 2021 at our institution. The patients were divided into two groups: an induction immunotherapy plus chemotherapy group (induction IC group) or a CCRT group. To assess progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS), we employed the Kaplan-Meier method after conducting propensity score matching (PSM).

RESULTS

A total of 132 patients with unresectable locally advanced ESCC were included in this study, with 61 (45.26%) patients in the induction IC group and 71 (54.74%) patients in the CCRT group. With a median follow-up of 37.0 months, median PFS and OS were 25.2 and 39.2 months, respectively. The patients in the induction IC group exhibited a significant improvement in PFS and OS in comparison with those in the CCRT group (median PFS: not reached [NR] versus 15.9 months, hazard ratio [HR] 0.526 [95%CI 0.325-0.851], P = 0.0077; median OS: NR versus 25.2 months, HR 0.412 [95%CI 0.236-0.719], P = 0.0012). After PSM (50 pairs), both PFS and OS remained superior in the induction IC group compared to the CCRT group (HR 0.490 [95%CI 0.280-0.858], P = 0.011; HR 0.454 [95%CI 0.246-0.837], P = 0.0093), with 2-year PFS rates of 67.6 and 42.0%, and the 2-year OS rates of 74.6 and 52.0%, respectively. Multivariate analysis revealed that lower tumor stage, concurrent chemotherapy using double agents, and induction immunotherapy plus chemotherapy before CCRT were associated with better prognosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results showed for the first time that induction immunotherapy plus chemotherapy followed by CCRT for unresectable locally advanced ESCC provided a survival benefit with manageable safety profile. More prospective clinical studies should be warranted.

Trends in prevalence of esophageal adenocarcinoma: Findings from a statewide database of over 6 million patients

Esophageal cancer (EC) is a leading cause of cancer-related death in the west 1 . Esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) is the most common type of EC worldwide. However, in Western countries, including the United States, esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) is the most common 2 . EAC is most common in the lower esophagus whereas SCC is most common in the middle and upper esophagus 3 . The incidence of EAC has increased dramatically in western countries over the past few decades. 2 3 The exact reason for this rise in EAC has not been clearly understood. However, an increase in the prevalence of EAC risk factors is postulated as a potential explanation 4 . Although there are many identifiable EAC risk factors, including gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD), obesity, male sex, White race, and smoking 5 6 7 , Barrett's esophagus (BE) remains the major precursor lesion of esophageal adenocarcinoma. BE develops when there is a change in the normal squamous lining of the esophageal mucosa into intestinal metaplasia 8 9 . The incidence has also increased in the population over the past few decades 10 11 . There is a well-described progression within BE from non-dysplastic BE (NDBE), low-grade dysplasia (LGD), high-grade dysplasia (HGD), intramucosal carcinoma (IMC), to invasive EAC 12 13 . Recent data suggest that the increased incidence of EAC may have plateaued 1 . However, we questioned whether the prevalence of EAC is still increasing, especially at younger ages in lieu of recent trends showing an increase in the prevalence of colorectal cancer in younger patients. These findings resulted in a lowering of the colorectal cancer screening age cutoff to 45 years from 50 years 14 15 16 . Therefore, we aimed to assess the time trends in the prevalence and incidence of EAC and some of its risk factors in a large population of patients in Florida and to assess these trends based on age categories. We hypothesized that the prevalence of EAC and BE has increased over time at younger age groups.

Radiation therapy of the primary tumour and/or metastases of digestive metastatic cancers

Metastatic gastrointestinal cancer is not an uncommon situation, especially for pancreatic, gastric, and colorectal cancers. In this setting, few data are available on the impact of the treatment of the primary tumour. Oligometastatic disease is associated with longer survival in comparison with more advanced disease. Metastasis-directed therapy, such as stereotactic body radiotherapy, seems related to better outcomes, but the level of evidence is low. In most tumour locations, prospective data are very scarce and inclusion in ongoing trials is strongly recommended.

miRNA-221 and miRNA-483-3p Dysregulation in Esophageal Adenocarcinoma

Alterations in microRNA (miRNA) expression have been reported in different cancers. We assessed the expression of 754 oncology-related miRNAs in esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) samples and evaluated their correlations with clinical parameters. We found that miR-221 and 483-3p were consistently upregulated in EAC patients vs. controls (Wilcoxon signed-rank test: miR-221 p < 0.0001; miR-483-3p p < 0.0001). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed worse cancer-related survival among all EAC patients expressing high miR-221 or miR-483-3p levels (log-rank p = 0.0025 and p = 0.0235, respectively). Higher miR-221 or miR-483-3p levels also correlated with advanced tumor stages (Mann-Whitney p = 0.0195 and p = 0.0085, respectively), and overexpression of miR-221 was associated with worse survival in low-risk EAC patients. Moreover, a significantly worse outcome was associated with the combined overexpression of miR-221 and miR-483-3p (log-rank p = 0.0410). To identify target genes affected by miRNA overexpression, we transfected the corresponding mimic RNA (miRVANA) for either miR-221 or miR-483-3p in a well-characterized esophageal adenocarcinoma cell line (OE19) and performed RNA-seq analysis. In the miRNA-overexpressing cells, we discovered a convergent dysregulation of genes linked to apoptosis, ATP synthesis, angiogenesis, and cancer progression, including a long non-coding RNA associated with oncogenesis, i.e., MALAT1. In conclusion, dysregulated miRNA expression, especially overexpression of miR-221 and 483-3p, was found in EAC samples. These alterations were connected with a lower cancer-specific patient survival, suggesting that these miRNAs could be useful for patient stratification and prognosis.

Survival benefit of combined immunotherapy and chemoradiotherapy in locally advanced unresectable esophageal cancer: an analysis based on the SEER database

Background

While simultaneous chemoradiotherapy remains the established therapeutic modality for patients afflicted with locally advanced esophageal cancer, the effectiveness of this radical approach falls short of the desired outcome. Numerous investigations have illuminated the prospect of enhancing therapeutic efficacy through the amalgamation of chemoradiotherapy and immunotherapeutic interventions. Consequently, we embarked on an examination to scrutinize the potential survival advantages conferred by the confluence of chemoradiotherapy and immunotherapy in relation to locally advanced unresectable esophageal carcinoma, drawing upon the extensive SEER database for our analysis.

Methods

We extracted clinicopathological attributes and survival statistics of patients afflicted with locally advanced unresectable esophageal carcinoma, diagnosed within the temporal span encompassing the years 2004-2014 and 2019-2020, from the extensive SEER database. To discern disparities in both overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) between the cohorts subjected to chemoradiotherapy combined with immunotherapy and chemoradiotherapy alone, we employed analytical tools such as Kaplan-Meier analysis, the Log-rank test, the Cox regression proportional risk model, and propensity-matched score (PSM) methodology.

Results

A total of 7,758 eligible patients were encompassed in this research, with 6,395 individuals having undergone chemoradiotherapy alone, while 1,363 patients received the combined treatment of chemoradiotherapy and immunotherapy. After 1:4 propensity score matching, 6,447 patients were successfully harmonized, yielding a well-balanced cohort. The Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrated a substantial enhancement in OS (P = 0.0091) and CSS (P < 0.001) for the group subjected to chemoradiotherapy combined with immunotherapy as compared to chemoradiotherapy alone. Further multivariable analysis with PSM confirmed that chemoradiotherapy combined with immunotherapy benefits OS(HR=0.89, 95% CI 0.81-0.98) and CSS (HR=0.68, 95% CI 0.61-0.76). In addition, Univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses of the matched patient groups unveiled several independent prognostic factors for OS and CSS, including sex, age, marital status, tumor location, tumor size, pathologic grade, SEER historic staging, and treatment modality. Among these factors, being female, married, and receiving chemoradiotherapy combined with immunotherapy emerged as independent protective factors, while age exceeding 75 years, non-superior segment tumor location, tumor size greater than 6 cm, Grade 3-4 pathology, and regional SEER historic staging were all found to be independent risk factors. The survival advantage of the chemoradiotherapy combined with the immunotherapy group over the chemoradiotherapy alone group was substantial.

Conclusions

This investigation furnishes compelling evidence that the integration of immunotherapy with chemoradiotherapy confers a noteworthy survival advantage when contrasted with conventional chemoradiotherapy for individuals grappling with locally advanced unresectable esophageal carcinoma.

Lymph node metastasis-related lncRNA GAS6-AS1 facilitates the progression of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

Background

Lymph node metastasis is the main type of metastasis in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC), especially when the primary tumor invasion depth reaches above the adventitia layer (T3 stage), the incidence of lymph node metastasis increases sharply. Abnormal expression of long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) has been confirmed in ESCC, but there are still many unknown connections between lncRNAs and lymph node metastasis.

Methods

We used transcriptome sequencing (RNA-seq) to analyze 10 pairs of ESCC tissues with primary tumor stage T3 and their paired normal epithelium. Quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR) was used to further verify the sequencing results, and survival curve analysis, logistic regression analysis, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis were used to investigate its clinical application value. We investigated the growth and metastasis effects of lncRNA GAS6-AS1 on ESCC cell lines TE-1 and KYSE410 in vitro and in vivo. Other functional experiments included cell apoptosis and cell cycle experiments.

Results

Based on our RNA-seq data, lncRNA GAS6-AS1 is highly expressed in ESCC tissues, especially in cancer tissues with lymph node metastasis. The qRT-PCR experiment analysis showed that high expression of GAS6-AS1 was related to poor tumor differentiation and tumor stage. Logistic regression analysis showed that it was an independent risk factor for lymph node metastasis, and ROC analysis validated that it could predict lymph node metastasis. Further survival analysis suggested that high expression of GAS6-AS1 was associated with patients' poor prognosis. In vitro experiments, knocking down GAS6-AS1 inhibited the growth and metastasis of ESCC cells and inhibited tumor growth in vivo. In addition, knocking down GAS6-AS1 can inhibit cell cycle and promote cell apoptosis.

Conclusions

Our results revealed that lncRNA GAS6-AS1 obtained from RNA-seq can be used as an independent risk factor for ESCC lymph node metastasis and an effective biomarker to predict, and that it was related to the growth and metastasis of ESCC. It may represent a new biomarker to aid in the assessment of the lymph node metastasis of ESCC.

Immunotherapy Plus Chemoradiation Improves Overall Survival in Stage IV Esophageal Cancer: A Cohort Study

Background and Aims

The association of immunotherapy in combination with radiation therapy (RT) or chemoradiation with the overall survival (OS) of patients diagnosed with stage IV esophageal cancer (EC) is unknown. The aim of the current study is to explore the association of immunotherapy with OS in patients with advanced stage EC who received chemotherapy, RT, or chemoradiation.

Methods

We conducted a cohort study using the National Cancer Database and included patients diagnosed between 2013 and 2020 with stage IV esophageal adenocarcinoma or squamous cell carcinoma. The association of immunotherapy with OS was assessed with Cox proportional hazards regression, adjusted for age at diagnosis, race, sex, stage, histology, Charlson score, education, income, insurance, hospital type, place of living, region, distance to facility, year of diagnosis, and treatment modality.

Results

Of 18,260 patients, 2946 (17%) received immunotherapy. In the multivariable COX analysis, patients who received immunotherapy had significantly improved OS compared with no immunotherapy (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.71; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.67-0.75; P < .001). Chemotherapy plus immunotherapy was associated with improved OS compared to chemotherapy alone (HR: 0.69; 95% CI: 0.64-0.75; P < .001). RT plus immunotherapy was associated with improved OS compared to RT alone (HR: 0.60; 95% CI: 0.46-0.78; P < .001). Treatment with chemoradiation plus immunotherapy was associated with significantly improved OS compared with chemoradiation alone (HR 0.78; 95% CI: 0.71-0.86; P < .001).

Conclusion

The addition of immunotherapy to chemotherapy, RT, and chemoradiation was associated with improved OS compared with chemotherapy alone, RT alone, or chemoradiation alone in patients with stage IV EC.

Incidence and Impact of Preoperative Hiatal Hernia in Patients with Esophageal Carcinoma Undergoing Curative Surgical Resection

BACKGROUND

Hiatal hernia (HH) and gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) are risk factors for esophageal adenocarcinoma. High positive margin rates and poor survival were described among HH patients undergoing esophagectomy. We sought to describe incidence and impact of HH on outcomes following esophagectomy.

METHODS

Patients who underwent esophagectomy 2012-2019 for esophago-junctional carcinoma were included. CT studies were blindly reviewed by two radiologists. A third radiologist reviewed cases of disagreement. Hernias ≥ 3 cm were included in the HH group.

RESULTS

Overall, 66 patients (33%) had HH ≥ 3 cm. The no hernia group included 12 patients (6%) with < 3 cm HH and 106 (53%) without HH. Preoperative variables were comparable among groups. Location of anastomosis was similar among cohorts and predominantly cervical (n = 97, 82.2% vs 61, 92.4%, p = 0.113). Postoperatively, HH patients had higher incidence of atrial dysrhythmia (n = 11, 16.7% vs n = 6, 5.1% p = 0.015). Rates of R0 resections were similar (n = 62, 93.9%, vs n = 113, 95.8%, p = 0.724). HH patients had higher rates of signet ring cell histology (n = 14, 21.2% vs n = 9, 7.6% p = 0.025); this was confirmed on subgroup analysis including only adenocarcinoma patients (n = 14, 28.6% vs n = 8, 12.3%, p = 0.042). On Cox regression analysis, HH was not associated with disease-free or overall survival (HR 1.308, p = 0.274 and HR .905, p = 0.722).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with preoperative HH had higher rates of postoperative atrial dysrhythmias and signet ring cell features on pathology. In a population with predominant cervical anastomosis, positive margin rates were low and survival comparable among cohorts.

Long-term Cancer Survival Trends by Updated Summary Stage

BACKGROUND

Stage is the most important prognostic factor for understanding cancer survival trends. Summary stage (SS) classifies cancer based on the extent of spread: In situ, Localized, Regional, or Distant. Continual updating of staging systems poses challenges to stage comparisons over time. We use a consistent summary stage classification and present survival trends for 25 cancer sites using the joinpoint survival (JPSurv) model.

METHODS

We developed a modified summary stage variable, Long-Term Site-Specific Summary Stage, based on as consistent a definition as possible and applied it to a maximum number of diagnosis years, 1975-2019. We estimated trends by stage by applying JPSurv to relative survival data for 25 cancer sites in SEER-8, 1975-2018, followed through December 31, 2019. To help interpret survival trends, we report incidence and mortality trends using the joinpoint model.

RESULTS

Five-year relative survival improved for nearly all sites and stages. Large improvements were observed for localized pancreatic cancer [4.25 percentage points annually, 2007-2012 (95% confidence interval, 3.40-5.10)], distant skin melanoma [2.15 percentage points annually, 2008-2018 (1.73-2.57)], and localized esophagus cancer [1.18 percentage points annually, 1975-2018 (1.11-1.26)].

CONCLUSIONS

This is the first analysis of survival trends by summary stage for multiple cancer sites. The largest survival increases were seen for cancers with a traditionally poor prognosis and no organized screening, which likely reflects clinical management advances.

IMPACT

Our study will be particularly useful for understanding the population-level impact of new treatments and identifying emerging trends in health disparities research.

Determinants of Long-term Survival Decades After Esophagectomy for Esophageal Cancer

BACKGROUND

Long-term survival in esophagectomy patients with esophageal cancer is low due to tumor-related characteristics, with few reports of modifiable variables influencing outcome. We identified determinants of overall survival, time to recurrence, and disease-free survival in this patient cohort.

METHODS

Adult patients who underwent esophagectomy for primary esophageal cancer from January 5, 2000, through December 30, 2010, at our institution were identified. Univariate Cox models and multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to identify associations between modifiable and unmodifiable patient and clinical variables and outcome of survival for the total cohort and a subgroup with locally advanced disease.

RESULTS

We identified 870 patients with esophageal cancer who underwent esophagectomy. The median follow-up time was 15 years, and the 15-year overall survival rate was 25.2%, survival free of recurrence was 57.96%, and disease-free survival was 24.21%. Decreased overall survival was associated with the following unmodifiable variables: older age, male sex, active smoking status, history of coronary artery disease, advanced clinical stage, and tumor location. Decreased overall survival was associated with the following modifiable variables: use of neoadjuvant therapy, advanced pathologic stage, resection margin positivity, surgical reintervention, and blood transfusion requirement. The overall survival probability 6 years after esophagectomy was 0.920 (95% CI, 0.895-0.947), and time-to-recurrence probability was 0.988 (95% CI, 0.976-1.000), with a total of 17 recurrences and 201 deaths.

CONCLUSIONS

Once patients survive 5 years, recurrence is rare. Long-term survival can be achieved in high-volume centers adhering to National Comprehensive Cancer Network guidelines using multidisciplinary care teams that is double what has been previously reported in the literature from national databases.

Serum VEGF levels as a predictor of recurrence in patients with advanced‑stage esophageal squamous cell carcinoma following curative esophagectomy followed by chemotherapy or concurrent radiotherapy

The present study evaluated serum levels of vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) as a predictor of recurrence in patients with advanced-stage esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) following curative esophagectomy followed by chemotherapy or concurrent radiotherapy. Patients with locally advanced resectable ESCC underwent R0 esophagectomy followed by chemotherapy or concurrent radiotherapy as an adjuvant. Serum VEGF levels in 173 patients, including 57 patients with recurrent disease, and 183 healthy controls were determined using a Luminex assay. The results demonstrated that the serum VEGF levels were significantly higher in 57 patients with locally advanced resectable ESCC at recurrence compared with the levels at pre-treatment (P<0.001). The patients with recurrence exhibited significantly higher serum VEGF levels during chemotherapy or concurrent radiotherapy than patients with no recurrence (P<0.05). Patients with low serum VEGF levels had a significantly longer survival time than those with high serum VEGF levels prior to treatment (P<0.01). The median survival times were 70 and 25 months in patients with locally advanced resectable ESCC with serum VEGF levels <161.75 and ≥161.75 pg/ml following treatment, respectively (P<0.01). Compared with patients with VEGF levels <147 pg/ml following treatment, patients with locally advanced resectable ESCC with VEGF levels ≥147 pg/ml had a significantly higher risk of recurrence (P<0.01). Patients with low serum VEGF levels (<147 pg/ml) had significantly higher recurrence-free survival rates than those with high serum VEGF levels (≥147 pg/ml) following treatment (P<0.01). The findings of the present study demonstrate that serum VEGF levels are a potential predictor of recurrence and of the treatment outcomes of chemotherapy or concurrent radiotherapy in patients with locally advanced resectable ESCC.

Optimizing management for early-stage esophageal adenocarcinoma: longitudinal results from a multidisciplinary program

BACKGROUND

The management of early-stage esophageal cancer is nuanced. A multidisciplinary approach may optimize management through selection of candidates for surgical or endoscopic therapies. The objective of this research was to examine long-term outcomes of patients with early-stage esophageal cancer who undergo treatment with endoscopic resection or surgery.

METHODS

Data on patient demographics, co-morbidities, pathology results, OS and RFS were obtained for both the endoscopic resection group and esophagectomy group. Univariate analysis of OS and RFS were conducted using the Kaplan-Meier method with calculation of the log-rank test. Multivariate cox-proportional hazards models were created for OS and RFS using a hypothesis-driven approach. A multivariate logistic regression model was created to identify predictors of esophagectomy among patients undergoing initial endoscopic resection.

RESULTS

A total of 111 patients were included. The median OS for the surgery group was 67.0 months compared to 74.0 months in the endoscopic resection group (log-rank p = 0.93). The median RFS for the surgery group was 109.4 months compared to 63.3 months in the endoscopic resection group (log-rank p = 0.0127). On multivariable analysis, patients undergoing endoscopic resection had significantly worse RFS (HR 2.55, 95% CI 1.09-6.00; p = 0.032), but equivalent OS (HR 1.03, 95% CI 0.46-2.32; p = 0.941), compared to patients undergoing esophagectomy. High-grade disease (OR 5.43, 95% CI 1.13-26.10; p = 0.035) and submucosal involvement (OR 7.75, 95% CI 1.90-31.40; p = 0.004) were identified as significant predictors of proceeding to esophagectomy.

CONCLUSIONS

Through a multidisciplinary approach, patients with early-stage esophageal cancer achieve excellent RFS and OS. Submucosal involvement and high-grade disease place patients at increased risk for local disease recurrence; these patients may undergo endoscopic resection safely if treated with a multidisciplinary approach incorporating endoscopic surveillance and surgical consultation. Further risk-stratification models may enable better patient selection and optimization of long-term outcomes.

Early prediction of response to palliative chemotherapy in patients with stage-IV gastric and esophageal cancer

BACKGROUND

The goal of therapy for many patients with advanced stage malignancies, including those with metastatic gastric and esophageal cancers, is to extend overall survival while also maintaining quality of life. After weighing the risks and benefits of treatment with palliative chemotherapy (PC) with non-curative intent, many patients decide to pursue treatment. It is known that a subset of patients who are treated with PC experience significant side effects without clinically significant survival benefits from PC.

METHODS

We use data from 150 patients with stage-IV gastric and esophageal cancers to train machine learning models that predict whether a patient with stage-IV gastric or esophageal cancers would benefit from PC, in terms of increased survival duration, at very early stages of the treatment.

RESULTS

Our findings show that machine learning can predict with high accuracy whether a patient will benefit from PC at the time of diagnosis. More accurate predictions can be obtained after only two cycles of PC (i.e., about 4 weeks after diagnosis). The results from this study are promising with regard to potential improvements in quality of life for patients near the end of life and a potential overall survival benefit by optimizing systemic therapy earlier in the treatment course of patients.

Non-erosive gastro-oesophageal reflux disease and incidence of oesophageal adenocarcinoma in three Nordic countries: population based cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To assess the incidence rate of oesophageal adenocarcinoma among patients with non-erosive gastro-oesophageal reflux disease compared with the general population.

DESIGN

Population based cohort study.

SETTING

All patients in hospital and specialised outpatient healthcare in Denmark, Finland, and Sweden from 1 January 1987 to 31 December 2019.

PARTICIPANTS

486 556 adults (>18 years) who underwent endoscopy were eligible for inclusion: 285 811 patients were included in the non-erosive gastro-oesophageal reflux disease cohort and 200 745 patients in the validation cohort with erosive gastro-oesophageal reflux disease.

EXPOSURES

Non-erosive gastro-oesophageal reflux disease was defined by an absence of oesophagitis and any other oesophageal diagnosis at endoscopy. Erosive gastro-oesophageal reflux disease was examined for comparison reasons and was defined by the presence of oesophagitis at endoscopy.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The incidence rate of oesophageal adenocarcinoma was assessed for up to 31 years of follow-up. Standardised incidence ratios with 95% confidence intervals were calculated by dividing the observed number of oesophageal adenocarcinomas in each of the gastro-oesophageal reflux disease cohorts by the expected number, derived from the general populations in Denmark, Finland, and Sweden of the corresponding age, sex, and calendar period.

RESULTS

Among 285 811 patients with non-erosive gastro-oesophageal reflux disease, 228 developed oesophageal adenocarcinomas during 2 081 051 person-years of follow-up. The incidence rate of oesophageal adenocarcinoma in patients with non-erosive gastro-oesophageal reflux disease was 11.0/100 000 person-years. The incidence was similar to that of the general population (standardised incidence ratio 1.04 (95% confidence interval 0.91 to 1.18)), and did not increase with longer follow-up (1.07 (0.65 to 1.65) for 15-31 years of follow-up). For validity reasons, we also analysed people with erosive oesophagitis at endoscopy (200 745 patients, 1 750 249 person-years, and 542 oesophageal adenocarcinomas, corresponding to an incidence rate of 31.0/100 000 person-years) showing an increased overall standardised incidence ratio of oesophageal adenocarcinoma (2.36 (2.17 to 2.57)), which became more pronounced with longer follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with non-erosive gastro-oesophageal reflux disease seem to have a similar incidence of oesophageal adenocarcinoma as the general population. This finding suggests that endoscopically confirmed non-erosive gastro-oesophageal reflux disease does not require additional endoscopic monitoring for oesophageal adenocarcinoma.

Efficacy and Safety Profile of PD-1 Inhibitors Versus Chemotherapy in the Second-Line Treatment of Advanced Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials

Programmed death 1 (PD-1) inhibitors have emerged as the new standard of care for the second-line treatment of advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma. There have been lots of research lately concerning the topic. A comprehensive assessment of the efficacy and safety profile between PD-1 inhibitors and chemotherapy is warranted. Hence, we carried out a systematic review and meta-analysis to illustrate this issue. Pubmed, Embase, Cochrane Library, and Embase were searched systematically until May 1, 2022. We extracted data on efficacy and safety and calculated the pooled hazard ratios (HRs) and relative ratios (RRs) with 95% CI using randomized-effect or fixed-effect models. A subgroup analysis was applied to explore the factors modifying the response to PD-1 inhibitors. Ultimately, a total of 5 studies involving 1970 patients were included in our meta-analysis. PD-1 inhibitors group could attain greater overall survival (OS) benefit (HR = 0.73, 95% CI: 0.66-0.81, P < 0.001) and nearly favorable progression-free survival (HR = 0.89, 0.76-1.04, P = 0.13). Treatment-related adverse events (RR = 0.76, 95% CI: 0.64-0.91, P = 0.004) and level 3-5 treatment-related adverse events (RR = 0.40, 95% CI: 0.32-0.49, P < 0.001) were significantly diminished in PD-1 inhibitors groups. Among all modifying factors, programmed death ligand 1 combined positive score was positively associated with the patient's OS. The analysis suggests that PD-1 inhibitors exhibited better survival outcomes and safety profiles than standard-of-care chemotherapy. High levels of programmed death ligand 1 combined positive scores were associated with an enhanced response to PD-1 immunotherapies concerning OS.

Epidemiological Trend of Esophageal Cancer at a Tertiary Cancer Center in Mumbai, India, Over the Past 15 Years

BACKGROUND

In developed countries, there has been a definite change in the histopathological spectrum of esophageal cancer towards adenocarcinoma. There are limited data from India regarding the histopathological profile of patients with esophageal cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively evaluated patients with histologically proven esophageal cancer who were registered at the Tata Memorial Hospital (Mumbai, India) between 2003 and 2018. The primary aim of the study was to analyze the time-trend of the histological pattern of esophageal cancer. Our secondary objectives included evaluating whether there was any correlation between the histology of the esophageal cancer and the age, sex, socioeconomic status (the paying ability of the patient, which was reflected in the treatment category of the patient, i.e., private [full payment], general [subsidized payment], or no charge), comorbidities, and a history of substance abuse.

RESULTS

Among 7874 patients with esophageal cancer, 5092 (64.7%) were men, with a male-to-female ratio of 1.8:1. The median age was 57 years (IQR, 50-65). Of the 4912 patients in whom a history of tobacco or alcohol use had been elicited, 1360 (27.7%) had no history of substance abuse. A majority of the tumors (2942, 37.4%) originated in the middle-third of the esophagus. Squamous cell carcinoma was the predominant histological type, noted in 6413 (81.4%) patients and remained the most common histologic type consistently through the study with no evidence of a time-trend in the histological pattern. On the multivariate analysis, female sex and a history of substance abuse were associated with higher odds of squamous cell carcinoma, while the presence of comorbidities and lower esophageal/gastroesophageal junction primaries were associated with higher odds of adenocarcinoma.

CONCLUSIONS

There is no evidence of an epidemiological shift in the histopathologic spectrum of esophageal cancer in India over the last two decades. Four out of five Indian patients with esophageal cancer have squamous cell histology, with the commonest site of origin being the middle third. This is important to recognize, given the varying molecular spectrum and efficacy of therapeutic modalities based on histopathology.

Non-Contact Irreversible Electroporation in the Esophagus With a Wet Electrode Approach

Our objective was to develop a technique for performing irreversible electroporation (IRE) of esophageal tumors while mitigating thermal damage to the healthy lumen wall. We investigated noncontact IRE using a wet electrode approach for tumor ablation in a human esophagus with finite element models for electric field distribution, joule heating, thermal flux, and metabolic heat generation. Simulation results indicated the feasibility of tumor ablation in the esophagus using an catheter mounted electrode immersed in diluted saline. The ablation size was clinically relevant, with substantially lesser thermal damage to the healthy esophageal wall when compared to IRE performed by placing a monopolar electrode directly into the tumor. Additional simulations were used to estimate ablation size and penetration during noncontact wet-electrode IRE (wIRE) in the healthy swine esophagus. A novel catheter electrode was manufactured and wIRE evaluated in seven pigs. wIRE was performed by securing the device in the esophagus and using diluted saline to isolate the electrode from the esophageal wall while providing electric contact. Computed tomography and fluoroscopy were performed post-treatment to document acute lumen patency. Animals were sacrificed within four hours following treatment for histologic analysis of the treated esophagus. The procedure was safely completed in all animals; post-treatment imaging revealed intact esophageal lumen. The ablations were visually distinct on gross pathology, demonstrating full thickness, circumferential regions of cell death (3.52 ± 0.89 mm depth). Acute histologic changes were not evident in nerves or extracellular matrix architecture within the treatment site. Catheter directed noncontact IRE is feasible for performing penetrative ablations in the esophagus while avoiding thermal damage.

Burden of esophageal cancer between 2010 and 2019 in Asian countries by geographical region and sociodemographic index: A comparison with global data

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to describe the trends in incidence, mortality, and burden of esophageal cancer (EC) in Asia from 2010 through 2019 and compare with other global continental data.

METHODS

We collected EC data from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease study from 2010 to 2019 in 49 countries and territories in Asia based on the sociodemographic index (SDI). For all locations, annual case data and age-standardized rates (ASRs) were extracted to investigate the EC incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs). The ASR relative difference (%) between years and the male/female (M/F) ratio were calculated. Data are reported in values and 95% uncertainty interval (UI).

RESULTS

In 2019, more than 70% of EC new cases, deaths, prevalence, and DALYs occurred in Asian countries. From 2010 to 2019, incidences, deaths, prevalence cases, and DALY number of EC increased over 1.10-, 1.07-, 1.14-, and 1.03-fold, in Asia. During this period, the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardized death rate (ASDR), age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR), and age-standardized DALYs rate (DALYs ASR) of EC decreased by 18, 21, 14, and 22%, respectively. The rate of decline in Asia is higher than in the world and other continents. In 2019, age-specific incidence, death, prevalence, and DALY cases of EC cancer peaked at 65-74, 70-74, 65-69, and 65-69 years, respectively. In 2019, the highest ASIR, ASDR, ASPR, and DALYs ASR of EC were observed in East Asian countries, while having the highest decreasing trend. In 2019, among high SDI Asian countries, Taiwan had the highest ASIR, ASPR, and DALYs ASR, and the United Arab Emirates had the highest ASDR. Among high-middle SDIs, Kazakhstan had the highest ASIR, ASPR, ASDR, and DALYs ASR; among middle SDIs, China had the highest ASIR, ASDR, and ASPR, and Viet Nam had the highest DALYs ASR; among low-middle SDIs, Mongolia had the highest ASIR, ASDR, ASPR, and DALY ASR of EC cancer. Among low SDI Asian countries, Pakistan had the highest ASIR and ASPR, and DALY ASR for EC cancer. For four indicators, in most countries, the ratio of men was higher than women, and in some countries, this ratio reached more than 10 times.

CONCLUSION

Although the rate of decline in incidence, death, prevalence and burden of EC in Asia was higher than in other areas in the last 10 years, more than 70% of these amounts occur in Asia. Therefore, it appears that adopting appropriate strategies in the field of identifying and controlling modifiable risk factors for EC, implementing screening programs, and timely diagnosis and treatment will help in reducing the burden of this disease in Asian countries.

Histology-Based Prediction of Therapy Response to Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy for Esophageal and Esophagogastric Junction Adenocarcinomas Using Deep Learning

PURPOSE

Quantifying treatment response to gastroesophageal junction (GEJ) adenocarcinomas is crucial to provide an optimal therapeutic strategy. Routinely taken tissue samples provide an opportunity to enhance existing positron emission tomography-computed tomography (PET/CT)-based therapy response evaluation. Our objective was to investigate if deep learning (DL) algorithms are capable of predicting the therapy response of patients with GEJ adenocarcinoma to neoadjuvant chemotherapy on the basis of histologic tissue samples.

METHODS

This diagnostic study recruited 67 patients with I-III GEJ adenocarcinoma from the multicentric nonrandomized MEMORI trial including three German university hospitals TUM (University Hospital Rechts der Isar, Munich), LMU (Hospital of the Ludwig-Maximilians-University, Munich), and UME (University Hospital Essen, Essen). All patients underwent baseline PET/CT scans and esophageal biopsy before and 14-21 days after treatment initiation. Treatment response was defined as a ≥35% decrease in SUVmax from baseline. Several DL algorithms were developed to predict PET/CT-based responders and nonresponders to neoadjuvant chemotherapy using digitized histopathologic whole slide images (WSIs).

RESULTS

The resulting models were trained on TUM (n = 25 pretherapy, n = 47 on-therapy) patients and evaluated on our internal validation cohort from LMU and UME (n = 17 pretherapy, n = 15 on-therapy). Compared with multiple architectures, the best pretherapy network achieves an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.81 (95% CI, 0.61 to 1.00), an area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC) of 0.82 (95% CI, 0.61 to 1.00), a balanced accuracy of 0.78 (95% CI, 0.60 to 0.94), and a Matthews correlation coefficient (MCC) of 0.55 (95% CI, 0.18 to 0.88). The best on-therapy network achieves an AUROC of 0.84 (95% CI, 0.64 to 1.00), an AUPRC of 0.82 (95% CI, 0.56 to 1.00), a balanced accuracy of 0.80 (95% CI, 0.65 to 1.00), and a MCC of 0.71 (95% CI, 0.38 to 1.00).

CONCLUSION

Our results show that DL algorithms can predict treatment response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy using WSI with high accuracy even before therapy initiation, suggesting the presence of predictive morphologic tissue biomarkers.

Low RCAN1.2 mRNA Expression Is Associated with Poor Prognosis of Patients with Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

Background: This study aims to explore the role of RCAN1 in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) cells, determine the mRNA level of three RCAN1 isoforms in ESCC tissue, and evaluate the prognostic value of three RCAN1 isoforms. Methods: Colony-forming assay, Wound-healing assay and Transwell assay were used to evaluate the effect of RCAN1 on cell proliferation, migration and invasion. The mRNA expression of three RCAN1 isoforms was detected in paired tumor and normal tissues from 100 ESCC patients by real-time PCR. Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox proportional hazards model were used to evaluate the prognostic value of three RCAN1 isoforms. A nomogram was used to predict the probability of 2-year and 5-year overall survival (OS). Results: In vitro, knockdown of RCAN1 could promote ESCC cell proliferation, migration and invasion abilities. Compared to the paired normal tissues, RCAN1 isoform 1 (RCAN1.1, P=0.0027) and RCAN1 isoform 2 (RCAN1.2, P=0.0006) were significantly decreased in tumor tissues. The low expression of RCAN1.2 mRNA was associated with advanced stage (P=0.0176) and lymph node metastasis (LNM, P=0.0219). ESCC patients with low RCAN1.2 mRNA levels had shorter survival time compared to those with high RCAN1.2 levels (P=0.007). Multivariate COX analysis indicated that RCAN1.2 mRNA level was an independent prognostic indicator of OS of patients with ESCC (hazard ratio=0.5266, P=0.03554). The concordance index of nomogram to predict OS was 0.693 based on LNM, RCAN1.2, tumor stage and patients' age. Conclusion: These findings show that RCAN1 gene play a role in preventing proliferation, migration, and invasive activity of ESCC cells. RCAN1.2 mRNA level is a novel prognostic marker in ESCC, targeting RCAN1.2 may provide a potential therapeutic approach in ESCC.

Elafin as a Prognostic Marker in Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma: A Pilot Study Using Three-Dimensional Imaging and Genomic Profiling

Esophageal cancers are globally the sixth deadliest malignancy, with limited curative options. The association of high serum elafin levels, a molecule produced by epithelial cells, with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) risk is established, but its link to poor ESCC prognosis remains unclear. To explore this question, we first used three-dimensional confocal imaging to create a model of the spatial distribution of elafin inside locoregional ESCC tissues. Then, after analyzing data obtained from whole-genome microarrays for ESCC cell lines and their more invasive sublines, we performed in vitro experiments using RNA sequencing to identify possible elafin-related pathways. Three-dimensional tissue imaging showed elafin distributed as an interweaved-like fibrous structure in the stroma of tissue obtained from patients with high serum levels of elafin and poorer prognoses. By contrast, the signal was confined inside or around the tumor nest in patients who had lower serum levels and better survival. The analysis of a TCGA dataset revealed that higher levels of elafin mRNA in stage I-IIIA ESCC patients were associated with shorter survival. The in vitro studies revealed that elafin promoted ESCC cell proliferation, migration, and invasion via the epithelial-mesenchymal transition pathway. Thus, elafin inhibition could potentially be used therapeutically to improve survival in patients with locoregional ESCC.

Treatment and survival analysis for 40-year SEER data on upper esophageal cancer

Background

Upper esophageal cancer (UEC) is rare in both Eastern and Western countries. The epidemiological characteristics and long-term survival of UEC patients are less known. In addition, the choice of optimal treatment for UEC has been controversial.

Methods

Cases of UEC (C15.3 and C15.0) arising during the period from 1973 to 2013 were identified and selected using the SEER database. Student's t-test and Pearson's chi-square test were used to compare the differences in parameters among different groups. Esophageal cancer-specific survival (ECSS) and overall survival (OS) rates were calculated by using the Kaplan-Meier method. Cox proportional hazard regression was used to analyze predictive factors.

Results

In the past 40 years, the cases of UEC have gradually increased, and the proportion of adenocarcinoma (AD) has gradually increased (from 3.6% to 11.8%, p < 0.001). There has been a significant increase (1973-1982 vs. 2004-2013) in median OS (7 months vs. 10 months, p < 0.001) and median ECSS (7 months vs. 11 months, p < 0.001) among UEC patients from 1973 to 2013. For the impact of different treatments, the results showed that the ECSS and OS of surgery without radiation (SWR) and radiation plus surgery (R+S) were superior to those of radiation without surgery (RWS). Subgroup analysis showed that ECSS and OS were highest among patients treated with SWR compared with R+S and RWS for patients with localized disease. For regional disease, ECSS and OS were highest among patients with R+S compared with SWR or RWS. Among patients with regional-stage squamous cell carcinoma (SCC), OS was higher with neoadjuvant radiotherapy or adjuvant radiotherapy compared with SWR. Multivariate analysis showed that radiotherapy sequence was dependently associated with OS among patients with regional-stage SCC.

Conclusion

Although the long-term survival of UEC remains poor, it has gradually increased since 1973. This should be closely related to the improvement of medical care over the past 40 years. Different treatment methods have a great influence on the long-term survival of UEC. For localized diseases, surgery may be a better choice. For regional disease, surgery plus adjuvant or neoadjuvant radiotherapy may be more beneficial to improve the long-term prognosis of UEC patients.

Prognostication and optimal criteria of circumferential margin involvement for esophageal cancer after chemoradiation and esophagectomy

Purpose

Circumferential radial margin (CRM) involvement by tumor after resection for esophageal cancer has been suggested as a significant prognostic factor. However, the prognostic value of CRM involvement after surgery with neoadjuvant concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) is unclear. This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of and survival outcomes in CRM involvement as defined by the Royal College of Pathologists (RCP) and the College of American Pathologists (CAP) for patients with esophageal cancer undergoing neoadjuvant CCRT and esophagectomy.

Methods

A total of 299 patients with esophageal cancer who underwent neoadjuvant CCRT followed by esophagectomy between 2006 and 2016 were enrolled in our study. The CRM status of the specimens obtained was determined pathologically according to both the CAP and RCP criteria. Survival analyses were performed and compared according to the two criteria.

Results

Positive CRM was found in 102 (34.1%) and 40 (13.3%) patients according to RCP and CAP criteria, respectively. The overall and progression-free survival rates were significantly lower in the CRM-positive group than in the CRM-negative group according to both the RCP and CAP criteria. However, under multivariate analysis, in addition to pathological T and N staging of the tumor, only CAP-defined CRM positivity was a significant prognostic factor with adjusted hazard ratios of 2.64 (1.56-4.46) and 2.25 (1.34-3.78) for overall and progression-free survival, respectively (P < 0.001).

Conclusion

In patients with esophageal cancer undergoing neoadjuvant CRT followed by esophagectomy, CAP-defined CRM positivity is an independent predictor of survival. Adjuvant therapy should be offered to patients with positive CRM.

Future trends in incidence and long-term survival of metastatic cancer in the United States

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have demonstrated epidemiological trends in individual metastatic cancer subtypes; however, research forecasting long-term incidence trends and projected survivorship of metastatic cancers is lacking. We assess the burden of metastatic cancer to 2040 by (1) characterizing past, current, and forecasted incidence trends, and (2) estimating odds of long-term (5-year) survivorship.

METHODS

This retrospective, serial cross-sectional, population-based study used registry data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER 9) database. Average annual percentage change (AAPC) was calculated to describe cancer incidence trends from 1988 to 2018. Autoregressive integrating moving average (ARIMA) models were used to forecast the distribution of primary metastatic cancer and metastatic cancer to specific sites from 2019 to 2040 and JoinPoint models were fitted to estimate mean projected annual percentage change (APC).

RESULTS

The average annual percent change (AAPC) in incidence of metastatic cancer decreased by 0.80 per 100,000 individuals (1988-2018) and we forecast an APC decrease by 0.70 per 100,000 individuals (2018-2040). Analyses predict a decrease in metastases to liver (APC = -3.40, 95% CI [-3.50, -3.30]), lung (APC (2019-2030) = -1.90, 95% CI [-2.90, -1.00]); (2030-2040) = -3.70, 95% CI [-4.60, -2.80]), bone (APC = -4.00, 95% CI [-4.30, -3.70]), and brain (APC = -2.30, 95% CI [-2.60, -2.00]). By 2040, patients with metastatic cancer are predicted to have 46.7% greater odds of long-term survivorship, driven by increasing plurality of patients with more indolent forms of metastatic disease.

CONCLUSIONS

By 2040, the distribution of metastatic cancer patients is predicted to shift in predominance from invariably fatal to indolent cancers subtypes. Continued research on metastatic cancers is important to guide health policy and clinical intervention efforts, and direct allocations of healthcare resources.

Assessment of efficacy and safety of advanced endoscopic irreversible electroporation catheter in the esophagus

Nonthermal irreversible electroporation (NTIRE) is emerging as a promising tissue ablation technique. However, maintaining irreversible electroporation (IRE) electrodes against displacement during strong esophageal spasms remains an obstacle. The present study aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of newly designed balloon-type endoscopic IRE catheters. Six pigs were randomly allocated to each catheter group, and each pig was subjected to four ablations at alternating voltages of 1500 V and 2000 V. Esophagogastroscopy was performed during the IRE. The ability of balloon-type catheters to execute complete IRE with 40 pulses was assessed. The success rate was higher for the balloon-type catheter than that for the basket-type (12/12 [100%] vs. 2/12 [16.7%], p < 0.001). Following gross inspection and histologic analysis of the 1500-V vs. 2000-V balloon-type catheter revealed a larger mucosal damage area (105.3 mm2 vs. 140.8 mm2, p = 0.004) and greater damage depth (476 μm vs. 900 μm, p = 0.02). Histopathology of the ablated tissue revealed separated epithelium, inflamed lamina propria, congested muscularis mucosa, necrotized submucosa, and disorganized muscularis propria. Balloon-type catheters demonstrated efficacy, achieving full electrical pulse sequences under NTIRE conditions, and a safe histological profile below 2000 V (1274 V/cm). Optimal electrical conditions and electrode arrays pose ongoing challenges.

Topical Alginate Protection against Pepsin-Mediated Esophageal Damage: E-Cadherin Proteolysis and Matrix Metalloproteinase Induction

Epithelial barrier dysfunction is a hallmark of gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) related to symptom origination, inflammatory remodeling and carcinogenesis. Alginate-based antireflux medications were previously shown to topically protect against peptic barrier disruption, yet the molecular mechanisms of injury and protection were unclear. Herein, Barrett's esophageal (BAR-T) cells were pretreated with buffered saline (HBSS; control), dilute alginate medications (Gaviscon Advance or Gaviscon Double Action, Reckitt Benckiser), a viscosity-matched placebo, or ADAM10 and matrix metalloproteinase (MMP) inhibitors before exposure to HBSS pH7.4 or pH4 ± 1 mg/mL pepsin for 10-60 min. Cell viability was assessed by ATP assay; mediators of epithelial integrity, E-cadherin, ADAM10, and MMPs were examined by Western blot and qPCR. Alginate rescued peptic reduction of cell viability (p < 0.0001). Pepsin-pH4 yielded E-cadherin fragments indicative of regulated intramembrane proteolysis (RIP) which was not rescued by inhibitors of known E-cadherin sheddases. Transcriptional targets of E-cadherin RIP fragments were elevated at 24 h (MMP-1,2,9,14; p < 0.01). Alginate rescued E-cadherin cleavage, ADAM10 maturation, and MMP induction (p < 0.01). Results support RIP as a novel mechanism of peptic injury during GERD. Alginate residue after wash-out to mimic physiologic esophageal clearance conferred lasting protection against pepsin-induced molecular mechanisms that may exacerbate GERD severity and promote carcinogenesis in the context of weakly acidic reflux.

Improving outcomes in patients with oesophageal cancer

The care of patients with oesophageal cancer or of individuals who have an elevated risk of oesophageal cancer has changed dramatically. The epidemiology of squamous cell and adenocarcinoma of the oesophagus has diverged over the past several decades, with a marked increase in incidence only for oesophageal adenocarcinoma. Only in the past decade, however, have molecular features that distinguish these two forms of the disease been identified. This advance has the potential to improve screening for oesophageal cancers through the development of novel minimally invasive diagnostic technologies predicated on cancer-specific genomic or epigenetic alterations. Surgical techniques have also evolved towards less invasive approaches associated with less morbidity, without compromising oncological outcomes. With improvements in multidisciplinary care, advances in radiotherapy and new tools to detect minimal residual disease, certain patients may no longer even require surgical tumour resection. However, perhaps the most anticipated advance in the treatment of patients with oesophageal cancer is the advent of immune-checkpoint inhibitors, which harness and enhance the host immune response against cancer. In this Review, we discuss all these advances in the management of oesophageal cancer, representing only the beginning of a transformation in our quest to improve patient outcomes.

Co-Expression of Chromatin Assembly Factor 1 Subunit A and Proliferating Cell Nuclear Antigen Is a Prognostic Biomarker of Esophageal Cancer

(1) Background: Esophageal cancer (EC) is an important global health challenge. Due to the lack of necessary biomarkers and therapeutic targets, the survival of EC patients is poor. The EC proteomic data of 124 patients recently published by our group provides a database for research in this field. (2) Methods: Bioinformatics analysis was used to identify DNA replication and repair-related proteins in EC. Proximity ligation assay, colony formation assay, DNA fiber assay, and flow cytometry were used to study the effects of related proteins on EC cells. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to evaluate the relationship between gene expression and the survival time of EC patients. (3) Results: Chromatin assembly factor 1 subunit A (CHAF1A) was highly correlated with proliferating cell nuclear antigen (PCNA) expression in EC. CHAF1A and PCNA colocalized in the nucleus of EC cells. Compared with the knockdown of CHAF1A or PCNA alone, the double knockdown of CHAF1A and PCNA could significantly inhibit EC cell proliferation. Mechanistically, CHAF1A and PCNA synergistically accelerated DNA replication and promoted S-phase progression. EC patients with high expression of both CHAF1A and PCNA had a worse survival rate. (4) Conclusion: we identify CHAF1A and PCNA as key cell cycle-related proteins leading to the malignant progression of EC, and these proteins could serve as important prognostic biomarkers and targets for EC.

Palliative Radiotherapy for Esophageal and Gastric Cancer: Population-Based Patterns of Utilization and Outcomes in Ontario, Canada

OBJECTIVE

Patients with incurable esophageal and gastric cancer may develop local symptoms for which palliative radiotherapy (PRT) may be considered. We sought to evaluate patterns in utilization and outcomes of patients receiving PRT for incurable esophageal and gastric cancer in Ontario, Canada using health administrative data.

METHODS

Linked health administrative databases were used to identify patients receiving PRT for incurable esophageal and gastric cancer. Primary outcomes were utilization and delivery of PRT, utilization of endoscopic dilation with or without stent insertion after completion of PRT and survival from 1) date of diagnosis and 2) start of PRT.

RESULTS

We identified 2500 patients who received PRT. Mean age was 70 ± 13 years and the majority (75%, n = 1873/2500) were male. Over half of the patients had a diagnosis of gastric cancer (58%, n = 1453/2500) and began PRT within 6 months of cancer diagnosis (85%, n = 2125/2500). Of the 2500 patients in the cohort, 2174 patients received EBRT with few receiving brachytherapy (n = 326) or EBRT and brachytherapy combined (n = 88). Over the study period, there was an increase in the number of patients receiving PRT (136 in 2007 to 290 in 2016), as well as in the use of advanced conformal radiotherapy techniques. Only 5% (115/2500) required dilation with or without stent insertion after completion of PRT. Median overall and cancer-specific survival of the cohort was 205 days and 209 days from date of diagnosis and 108 days and 110 days from start of PRT.

CONCLUSIONS

PRT is an important treatment for patients with incurable esophageal and gastric cancer who present with local symptoms. Utilization of PRT and advanced EBRT techniques increased over the study period. Few patients require endoscopic dilation with or without stent insertion after completion of PRT suggesting that PRT provides favorable symptom control.