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Ohama H, Hiraoka A, Tada T, Kariyama K, Itobayashi E, Tsuji K, Ishikawa T, Toyoda H, Hatanaka T, Kakizaki S, Naganuma A, Tada F, Tanaka H, Nakamura S, Nouso K, Tanaka K, Kumada T. Changes in clinical outcomes in Japanese patients with hepatocellular carcinoma due to hepatitis C virus following the development of direct-acting antiviral agents. J Gastroenterol Hepatol 2024; 39:1394-1402. [PMID: 38602340 DOI: 10.1111/jgh.16553] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/26/2023] [Revised: 03/11/2024] [Accepted: 03/20/2024] [Indexed: 04/12/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIM Direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) have been accessible in Japan since 2014. The aim of this study is to compare how the prognosis of patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV)-associated hepatocellular carcinoma (HCV-HCC) changed before and after DAA development. METHODS A retrospective analysis of 1949 Japanese HCV-HCC patients from January 2000 to January 2023 categorized them into pre-DAA (before 2013, n = 1169) and post-DAA (after 2014, n = 780) groups. Changes in clinical features and prognosis were assessed. RESULTS Despite no significant differences in BCLC stage between groups, the post-DAA group exhibited higher rates of sustained virological response (SVR) (45.6% vs. 9.8%), older age (73 vs 69 years), lower levels of AST (40 vs 56 IU/L), ALT (31 vs 46 IU/L), and AFP (11.7 vs 23.6 ng/mL), higher platelet count (13.5 vs 10.8 × 104/μL), better prothrombin time (88.0% vs 81.9%), and better ALBI score (-2.54 vs -2.36) (all P < 0.001). The post-DAA group also showed higher rates of curative treatments (74.1% vs 65.2%) and significantly improved recurrence-free survival (median 2.8 vs 2.1 years). Adjusted for inverse probability weighting, overall survival was superior in the post-DAA group (median 7.4 vs 5.6 years, P < 0.001). Subanalysis within the post-DAA group revealed significantly shorter overall survival for patients without SVR (median 4.8 years vs NA vs NA) compared to pre-SVR or post-SVR patients (both P < 0.001). No significant difference in OS was observed between the pre-SVR and post-SVR groups (P = 1.0). CONCLUSION The development of DAA therapy has dramatically improved the prognosis of HCV-HCC patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hideko Ohama
- Gastroenterology Center, Ehime Prefectural Central Hospital, Matsuyama, Japan
- Department of Gastroenterology, Takarazuka City Hospital, Hyogo, Japan
| | - Atsushi Hiraoka
- Gastroenterology Center, Ehime Prefectural Central Hospital, Matsuyama, Japan
| | - Toshifumi Tada
- Department of Internal Medicine, Japanese Red Cross Himeji Hospital, Himeji, Japan
| | - Kazuya Kariyama
- Department of Hepatology, Okayama City Hospital, Okayama, Japan
| | - Ei Itobayashi
- Department of Gastroenterology, Asahi General Hospital, Asahi, Japan
| | - Kunihiko Tsuji
- Center of Gastroenterology, Teine Keijinkai Hospital, Sapporo, Japan
| | - Toru Ishikawa
- Department of Gastroenterology, Saiseikai Niigata Hospital, Niigata, Japan
| | - Hidenori Toyoda
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Ogaki Municipal Hospital, Ogaki, Japan
| | - Takeshi Hatanaka
- Department of Gastroenterology, Gunma Saiseikai Maebashi Hospital, Gunma, Japan
| | - Satoru Kakizaki
- Department of Clinical Research, National Hospital Organization Takasaki General Medical Center, Takasaki, Japan
| | - Atsushi Naganuma
- Department of Gastroenterology, National Hospital Organization Takasaki General Medical Center, Takasaki, Japan
| | - Fujimasa Tada
- Gastroenterology Center, Ehime Prefectural Central Hospital, Matsuyama, Japan
| | - Hironori Tanaka
- Department of Gastroenterology, Takarazuka City Hospital, Hyogo, Japan
| | - Shinichiro Nakamura
- Department of Internal Medicine, Japanese Red Cross Himeji Hospital, Himeji, Japan
| | - Kazuhiro Nouso
- Department of Hepatology, Okayama City Hospital, Okayama, Japan
| | - Kazunari Tanaka
- Center of Gastroenterology, Teine Keijinkai Hospital, Sapporo, Japan
| | - Takashi Kumada
- Department of Nursing, Gifu Kyoritsu University, Ogaki, Japan
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Tada T, Kumada T, Hiraoka A, Kariyama K, Yasuda S, Tada F, Ohama H, Nouso K, Matono T, Nakamura S, Toyoda H. mADRES predicts hepatocellular carcinoma development in patients with hepatitis C virus who achieved sustained virological response. J Gastroenterol Hepatol 2024; 39:1164-1171. [PMID: 38403468 DOI: 10.1111/jgh.16512] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/25/2023] [Revised: 12/30/2023] [Accepted: 01/31/2024] [Indexed: 02/27/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIM The study aims to develop a novel predictive model including the fibrosis (FIB)-3 index for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) who achieved sustained virological response (SVR) with direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy. METHODS This study included 2529 patients in whom HCV was eradicated with DAA therapy. The after DAA recommendation for surveillance (ADRES) score, which is based on sex, FIB-4 index, and α-fetoprotein, was used to predict HCC development. We developed a modified ADRES (mADRES) score, in which the FIB-4 index was replaced by the FIB-3 index, and evaluated its usefulness in predicting HCC development compared with the ADRES score. RESULTS In the training set (n = 1770), multivariate analysis with Cox proportional hazards modeling showed that male sex (hazard ratio [HR], 2.11; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.48-3.01), FIB-3 index (HR, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.28-1.45), and α-fetoprotein (HR, 1.05; 95% CI, 1.03-1.07) are independently associated with HCC development. The incidence of HCC differed significantly by ADRES or mADRES score in multiple comparisons. Univariate Cox proportional hazards models showed that compared with the mADRES score 0 group, the HR for HCC development was 2.07 (95% CI, 1.02-4.19) for the mADRES score 1 group, 11.37 (95% CI, 5.80-22.27) for the mADRES score 2 group, and 21.95 (95% CI, 10.17-47.38) for the mADRES score 3 group. Similar results were obtained for mADRES score but not for ADRES score in the validation set (n = 759). CONCLUSION The mADRES score is useful for predicting HCC development after SVR.
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Affiliation(s)
- Toshifumi Tada
- Department of Internal Medicine, Japanese Red Cross Society Himeji Hospital, Himeji, Japan
| | - Takashi Kumada
- Department of Nursing, Gifu Kyoritsu University, Gifu, Japan
| | - Atsushi Hiraoka
- Gastroenterology Center, Ehime Prefectural Central Hospital, Matsuyama, Japan
| | - Kazuya Kariyama
- Department of Gastroenterology, Okayama City Hospital, Okayama, Japan
| | - Satoshi Yasuda
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Ogaki Municipal Hospital, Ogaki, Japan
| | - Fujimasa Tada
- Gastroenterology Center, Ehime Prefectural Central Hospital, Matsuyama, Japan
| | - Hideko Ohama
- Gastroenterology Center, Ehime Prefectural Central Hospital, Matsuyama, Japan
| | - Kazuhiro Nouso
- Department of Gastroenterology, Okayama City Hospital, Okayama, Japan
| | - Tomomitsu Matono
- Department of Internal Medicine, Himeji St. Mary's Hospital, Himeji, Japan
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hyogo Prefectural Harima-Himeji General Medical Center, Himeji, Japan
| | - Shinichiro Nakamura
- Department of Internal Medicine, Japanese Red Cross Society Himeji Hospital, Himeji, Japan
| | - Hidenori Toyoda
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Ogaki Municipal Hospital, Ogaki, Japan
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Toyoda H, Tada T, Uojima H, Nozaki A, Chuma M, Takaguchi K, Hiraoka A, Abe H, Itobayashi E, Matsuura K, Atsukawa M, Watanabe T, Shimada N, Nakamuta M, Kojima M, Tsuji K, Mikami S, Ishikawa T, Yasuda S, Tsutsui A, Arai T, Kumada T, Tanaka Y, Tanaka J, Chayama K. Comparison of six hepatocellular carcinoma prediction models in Japanese patients after sustained virologic response undergoing rigorous surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma. J Gastroenterol Hepatol 2024; 39:949-954. [PMID: 38291715 DOI: 10.1111/jgh.16494] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/20/2023] [Revised: 12/25/2023] [Accepted: 01/03/2024] [Indexed: 02/01/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIM While several predictive models for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) have been proposed, including those for patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection who have achieved sustained virologic response (SVR), the best model may differ between regions. We compared the ability of six reported models to stratify the risk of post-SVR HCC in Japan, where rigorous surveillance and early detection of HCC is common. METHODS A total of 6048 patients with no history of HCC who achieved SVR by oral direct-acting antiviral drugs were enrolled in this nationwide study. Patients continued HCC surveillance every 6 months after SVR. The incidence of post-SVR HCC was compared between risk groups using the aMAP score, FIB-4 index, Tahata model, GAF4 criteria, GES score, and ADRES score. RESULTS During the observation period with a median duration of 4.0 years after SVR, post-SVR HCC developed in 332 patients (5.5%). All six models performed significantly at stratifying the incidence of HCC. However, Harrell's C-index was below 0.8 for all models (range, 0.660-0.748), indicating insufficient stratification ability. CONCLUSION Although all six proposed models demonstrated a good ability to predict the development of post-SVR HCC, their ability to stratify the risk of post-SVRHCC was unsatisfactory. Further studies are necessary to identify the best model for assessing the risk of post-SVR HCC in regions where early detection of HCC is common.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hidenori Toyoda
- Department of Gastroenterology, Ogaki Municipal Hospital, Ogaki, Japan
| | - Toshifumi Tada
- Department of Internal Medicine, Japanese Red Cross Himeji Hospital, Himeji, Japan
| | - Haruki Uojima
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Kitasato University School of Medicine, Sagamihara, Japan
| | - Akito Nozaki
- Gastroenterology Center, Yokohama City University Medical Center, Yokohama, Japan
| | - Makoto Chuma
- Gastroenterology Center, Yokohama City University Medical Center, Yokohama, Japan
| | - Koichi Takaguchi
- Department of Hepatology, Kagawa Prefectural Central Hospital, Takamatsu, Japan
| | - Atsushi Hiraoka
- Gastroenterology Center, Ehime Prefectural Central Hospital, Matsuyama, Japan
| | - Hiroshi Abe
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Shinmatusdo Central General Hospital, Matsudo, Japan
| | - Ei Itobayashi
- Department of Gastroenterology, Asahi General Hospital, Asahi, Japan
| | - Kentaro Matsuura
- Department of Gastroenterology and Metabolism, Nagoya City University, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Nagoya, Japan
| | - Masanori Atsukawa
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Nippon Medical School, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Tsunamasa Watanabe
- Department of Internal Medicine, St. Marianna University School of Medicine, Kawasaki, Japan
| | - Noritomo Shimada
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Otakanomori Hospital, Kashiwa, Japan
| | - Makoto Nakamuta
- Department of Gastroenterology, Clinical Research Institute, National Hospital Organization Kyushu Medical Center, Fukuoka, Japan
| | - Motoyuki Kojima
- Department of Gastroenterology, Clinical Research Institute, National Hospital Organization Kyushu Medical Center, Fukuoka, Japan
| | - Kunihiko Tsuji
- Center for Gastroenterology, Teine Keijinkai Hospital, Sapporo, Japan
| | - Shigeru Mikami
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Kikkoman General Hospital, Noda, Japan
| | - Toru Ishikawa
- Department of Hepatology, Saiseikai Niigata Hospital, Niigata, Japan
| | - Satoshi Yasuda
- Department of Gastroenterology, Ogaki Municipal Hospital, Ogaki, Japan
| | - Akemi Tsutsui
- Department of Hepatology, Kagawa Prefectural Central Hospital, Takamatsu, Japan
| | - Taeang Arai
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Nippon Medical School, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Takashi Kumada
- Department of Nursing, Gifu Kyoritsu University, Ogaki, Japan
| | - Yasuhito Tanaka
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Kumamoto University Faculty of Life Sciences, Kumamoto, Japan
| | - Junko Tanaka
- Department of Epidemiology, Infectious Disease Control, and Prevention, Hiroshima University Institute of Biomedical and Health Sciences, Hiroshima, Japan
| | - Kazuaki Chayama
- Department of Medical Innovation, Hiroshima University Institute of Biomedical and Health Sciences, Hiroshima, Japan
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Toyoda H, Kanneganti M, Melendez-Torres J, Parikh ND, Jalal PK, Piñero F, Mendizabal M, Ridruejo E, Cheinquer H, Casadei-Gardini A, Weinmann A, Peck-Radosavljevic M, Dufour JF, Radu P, Shiha G, Soliman R, Sarin SK, Kumar M, Wang JH, Tangkijvanich P, Sukeepaisarnjaroen W, Atsukawa M, Uojima H, Nozaki A, Nakamuta M, Takaguchi K, Hiraoka A, Abe H, Matsuura K, Watanabe T, Shimada N, Tsuji K, Ishikawa T, Mikami S, Itobayashi E, Singal AG, Johnson PJ. Regional Differences in Clinical Presentation and Prognosis of Patients With Post-Sustained Virologic Response Hepatocellular Carcinoma. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2024; 22:72-80.e4. [PMID: 37442316 DOI: 10.1016/j.cgh.2023.06.026] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/08/2023] [Revised: 06/05/2023] [Accepted: 06/29/2023] [Indexed: 07/15/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS Widespread use of direct-acting antivirals for hepatitis C virus infection has been paralleled with increased numbers of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after achieving sustained virologic response (post-SVR HCC) worldwide. Few data compare regional differences in the presentation and prognosis of patients with post-SVR HCC. METHODS We identified patients with advanced fibrosis (F3/F4) who developed incident post-SVR HCC between March 2015 and October 2021 from 30 sites in Europe, North America, South America, the Middle East, South Asia, East Asia, and Southeast Asia. We compared patient demographics, liver dysfunction, and tumor burden by region. We compared overall survival by region using Kaplan-Meier analysis and identified factors associated with survival using multivariable Cox regression analysis. RESULTS Among 8796 patients with advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis who achieved SVR, 583 (6.6%) developed incident HCC. There was marked regional variation in the proportion of patients detected by surveillance (range: 59.5%-100%), median maximum tumor diameter (range, 1.8-5.0 cm), and the proportion with multinodular HCC (range, 15.4%-60.8%). The prognosis of patients highly varied by region (hazard ratio range, 1.82-9.92), with the highest survival rates in East Asia, North America, and South America, and the lowest survival rates in the Middle East and South Asia. After adjusting for geographic region, HCC surveillance was associated with early stage detection (Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage 0/A, 71.0% vs 21.3%; P < .0001) and lower mortality rates (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.29; 95% CI, 0.18-0.46). CONCLUSIONS Clinical characteristics, including early stage detection, and prognosis of post-SVR HCC differed significantly across geographic regions. Surveillance utilization appears to be a high-yield intervention target to improve prognosis among patients with post-SVR HCC globally.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hidenori Toyoda
- Department of Gastroenterology, Ogaki Municipal Hospital, Ogaki, Japan.
| | - Mounika Kanneganti
- Department of Internal Medicine, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas
| | | | - Neehar D Parikh
- Department of Internal Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan
| | - Prasun K Jalal
- Division of Abdominal Transplantation, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas
| | - Federico Piñero
- Hospital Universitario Austral, School of Medicine, Austral University, Buenos Aires, Argentina
| | - Manuel Mendizabal
- Hospital Universitario Austral, School of Medicine, Austral University, Buenos Aires, Argentina
| | - Ezequiel Ridruejo
- Centro de Educación Medica e Investigaciones Clinicas, Norberto Quirno, Buenos Aires, Argentina
| | - Hugo Cheinquer
- Gastroenterology and Hepatology Division, Universidad de Federal do Rio Grande do Sul, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | | | - Arndt Weinmann
- Department of Internal Medicine I, University Medical Center of the Johannes Gutenberg University, Mainz, Germany
| | | | - Jean-Francois Dufour
- Hepatology-Department of Biomedical Research, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
| | - Pompilia Radu
- Hepatology-Department of Biomedical Research, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
| | - Gamal Shiha
- Hepatology and Gastroenterology Unit, Internal Medicine Department, Faculty of Medicine, Mansoura University, Egyptian Liver Research Institute and Hospital, El Mansoura, Egypt
| | - Riham Soliman
- Tropical Medicine Department, Faculty of Medicine, Port Said University, Port Said, Egypt
| | - Shiv K Sarin
- Department of Hepatology, Institute of Liver and Biliary Sciences, New Delhi, India
| | - Manoj Kumar
- Department of Hepatology, Institute of Liver and Biliary Sciences, New Delhi, India
| | - Jing-Houng Wang
- Division of Hepatogastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Kaohsiung Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Chang Gung University College of Medicine, Kaohsiung, Taiwan
| | - Pisit Tangkijvanich
- Center of Excellence in Hepatitis and Liver Cancer, Faculty of Medicine, Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok, Thailand
| | - Wattana Sukeepaisarnjaroen
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Khon Kaen University, Khon Kaen, Thailand
| | - Masanori Atsukawa
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Nippon Medical School, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Haruki Uojima
- Department of Gastroenterology, Internal Medicine, Kitasato University School of Medicine, Sagamihara, Japan
| | - Akito Nozaki
- Gastroenterology Center, Yokohama City University Medical Center, Yokohama, Japan
| | - Makoto Nakamuta
- Department of Gastroenterology, National Hospital Organization Kyushu Medical Center, Fukuoka, Japan
| | - Koichi Takaguchi
- Department of Hepatology, Kagawa Prefectural Central Hospital, Takamatsu, Japan
| | - Atsushi Hiraoka
- Gastroenterology Center, Ehime Prefectural Central Hospital, Matsuyama, Japan
| | - Hiroshi Abe
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Shinmatusdo Central General Hospital, Matsudo, Japan
| | - Kentaro Matsuura
- Department of Gastroenterology and Metabolism, Nagoya City University, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Nagoya, Japan
| | - Tsunamasa Watanabe
- Department of Internal Medicine, St. Marianna University School of Medicine, Kawasaki, Japan
| | - Noritomo Shimada
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Otakanomori Hospital, Kashiwa, Japan
| | - Kunihiko Tsuji
- Center for Gastroenterology, Teine Keijinkai Hospital, Sapporo, Japan
| | - Toru Ishikawa
- Department of Hepatology, Saiseikai Niigata Hospital, Niigata, Japan
| | - Shigeru Mikami
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Kikkoman General Hospital, Noda, Japan
| | - Ei Itobayashi
- Department of Gastroenterology, Asahi General Hospital, Asahi, Japan
| | - Amit G Singal
- Department of Internal Medicine, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas
| | - Philip J Johnson
- Department of Molecular and Clinical Cancer Medicine, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom
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Bojanic K, Bogojevic MS, Vukadin S, Sikora R, Ivanac G, Lucic NR, Smolic M, Tabll AA, Wu GY, Smolic R. Noninvasive Fibrosis Assessment in Chronic Hepatitis C Infection: An Update. J Clin Transl Hepatol 2023; 11:1228-1238. [PMID: 37577224 PMCID: PMC10412701 DOI: 10.14218/jcth.2022.00365] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/29/2022] [Revised: 11/04/2022] [Accepted: 02/27/2023] [Indexed: 07/03/2023] Open
Abstract
Liver biopsy is historically the gold standard for liver fibrosis assessment of chronic hepatitis C patients. However, with the introduction and validation of noninvasive tests (NITs) to evaluate advanced fibrosis, and the direct-acting antiviral agents for treatment of chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV), the role of NITs have become even more complex. There is now need for longitudinal monitoring and elucidation of cutoff values for prediction of liver-related complication after sustained virological response. The aim of this report is to provide a critical overview of the various NITs available for the assessment of liver fibrosis in HCV patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kristina Bojanic
- Faculty of Dental Medicine and Health Osijek, Josip Juraj Strossmayer University of Osijek, Osijek, Croatia
- Faculty of Medicine Osijek, Josip Juraj Strossmayer University of Osijek, Osijek, Croatia
- Health Center Osijek-Baranja County, Osijek, Croatia
| | | | - Sonja Vukadin
- Faculty of Dental Medicine and Health Osijek, Josip Juraj Strossmayer University of Osijek, Osijek, Croatia
- Faculty of Medicine Osijek, Josip Juraj Strossmayer University of Osijek, Osijek, Croatia
| | - Renata Sikora
- Faculty of Dental Medicine and Health Osijek, Josip Juraj Strossmayer University of Osijek, Osijek, Croatia
- Health Center Osijek-Baranja County, Osijek, Croatia
| | - Gordana Ivanac
- University Hospital Dubrava, Zagreb, Croatia
- School of Medicine, University of Zagreb, Zagreb, Croatia
| | - Nikola Raguz Lucic
- Faculty of Dental Medicine and Health Osijek, Josip Juraj Strossmayer University of Osijek, Osijek, Croatia
- Faculty of Medicine Osijek, Josip Juraj Strossmayer University of Osijek, Osijek, Croatia
| | - Martina Smolic
- Faculty of Dental Medicine and Health Osijek, Josip Juraj Strossmayer University of Osijek, Osijek, Croatia
- Faculty of Medicine Osijek, Josip Juraj Strossmayer University of Osijek, Osijek, Croatia
| | - Ashraf A. Tabll
- Microbial Biotechnology Department, Biotechnology Research Institute, National Research Center, Giza, Egypt
- Egypt Center for Research and Regenerative Medicine (ECRRM), Cairo, Egypt
| | - George Y. Wu
- University of Connecticut Health Center, Farmington, CT, USA
| | - Robert Smolic
- Faculty of Dental Medicine and Health Osijek, Josip Juraj Strossmayer University of Osijek, Osijek, Croatia
- Faculty of Medicine Osijek, Josip Juraj Strossmayer University of Osijek, Osijek, Croatia
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Toyoda H, Kikuchi K. Management of dialysis patients with hepatitis C virus in the era of direct-acting antiviral therapy. Ther Apher Dial 2023; 27:831-838. [PMID: 37217295 DOI: 10.1111/1744-9987.14003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/03/2023] [Revised: 04/24/2023] [Accepted: 05/06/2023] [Indexed: 05/24/2023]
Abstract
The clinical use of direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) for hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection has dramatically changed management of patients with HCV liver disease since 2014; this is also true for patients undergoing dialysis. Due to the high tolerability and antiviral efficacy of anti-HCV therapy, most dialysis patients with HCV infection should currently be candidates for this treatment. Many patients with HCV antibodies no longer have HCV infection, and it is difficult to identify patients with actual HCV infection based only on HCV antibody assays. Despite the high rate of successful HCV eradication, the risk of liver-related events such as hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the major complication of HCV infection, persists even after HCV cure, and patients at risk of HCC should undergo continuous HCC surveillance. Finally, the rarity of HCV reinfection and the survival benefit of HCV eradication in dialysis patients should be explored in further studies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hidenori Toyoda
- Department of Gastroenterology, Ogaki Municipal Hospital, Ogaki, Japan
| | - Kan Kikuchi
- Division of Nephrology, Shimoochiai Clinic, Tokyo, Japan
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7
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Lee YT, Fujiwara N, Yang JD, Hoshida Y. Risk stratification and early detection biomarkers for precision HCC screening. Hepatology 2023; 78:319-362. [PMID: 36082510 PMCID: PMC9995677 DOI: 10.1002/hep.32779] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 19.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/18/2022] [Revised: 08/25/2022] [Accepted: 08/28/2022] [Indexed: 12/08/2022]
Abstract
Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) mortality remains high primarily due to late diagnosis as a consequence of failed early detection. Professional societies recommend semi-annual HCC screening in at-risk patients with chronic liver disease to increase the likelihood of curative treatment receipt and improve survival. However, recent dynamic shift of HCC etiologies from viral to metabolic liver diseases has significantly increased the potential target population for the screening, whereas annual incidence rate has become substantially lower. Thus, with the contemporary HCC etiologies, the traditional screening approach might not be practical and cost-effective. HCC screening consists of (i) definition of rational at-risk population, and subsequent (ii) repeated application of early detection tests to the population at regular intervals. The suboptimal performance of the currently available HCC screening tests highlights an urgent need for new modalities and strategies to improve early HCC detection. In this review, we overview recent developments of clinical, molecular, and imaging-based tools to address the current challenge, and discuss conceptual framework and approaches of their clinical translation and implementation. These encouraging progresses are expected to transform the current "one-size-fits-all" HCC screening into individualized precision approaches to early HCC detection and ultimately improve the poor HCC prognosis in the foreseeable future.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yi-Te Lee
- California NanoSystems Institute, Crump Institute for Molecular Imaging, Department of Molecular and Medical Pharmacology, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California
| | - Naoto Fujiwara
- Liver Tumor Translational Research Program, Simmons Comprehensive Cancer Center, Division of Digestive and Liver Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas
| | - Ju Dong Yang
- Karsh Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, California; Comprehensive Transplant Center, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California; Samuel Oschin Comprehensive Cancer Institute, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, California
| | - Yujin Hoshida
- Liver Tumor Translational Research Program, Simmons Comprehensive Cancer Center, Division of Digestive and Liver Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas
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Minami T, Sato M, Toyoda H, Yasuda S, Yamada T, Nakatsuka T, Enooku K, Nakagawa H, Fujinaga H, Izumiya M, Tanaka Y, Otsuka M, Ohki T, Arai M, Asaoka Y, Tanaka A, Yasuda K, Miura H, Ogata I, Kamoshida T, Inoue K, Nakagomi R, Akamatsu M, Mitsui H, Fujie H, Ogura K, Uchino K, Yoshida H, Hanajiri K, Wada T, Kurai K, Maekawa H, Kondo Y, Obi S, Teratani T, Masaki N, Nagashima K, Ishikawa T, Kato N, Yotsuyanagi H, Moriya K, Kumada T, Fujishiro M, Koike K, Tateishi R. Machine learning for individualized prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma development after the eradication of hepatitis C virus with antivirals. J Hepatol 2023; 79:S0168-8278(23)00424-5. [PMID: 37716372 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhep.2023.05.042] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/22/2022] [Revised: 04/03/2023] [Accepted: 05/23/2023] [Indexed: 09/17/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS Accurate risk stratification for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after achieving a sustained viral response (SVR) is necessary for optimal surveillance. We aimed to develop and validate a machine learning (ML) model to predict the risk of HCC after achieving an SVR in individual patients. METHODS In this multicenter cohort study, 1742 patients with chronic hepatitis C who achieved an SVR were enrolled. Five ML models were developed including DeepSurv, gradient boosting survival analysis, random survival forest (RSF), survival support vector machine, and a conventional Cox proportional hazard model. Model performance was evaluated using Harrel' c-index and was externally validated in an independent cohort (977 patients). RESULTS During the mean observation period of 5.4 years, 122 patients developed HCC (83 in the derivation cohort and 39 in the external validation cohort). The RSF model showed the best discrimination ability using seven parameters at the achievement of an SVR with a c-index of 0.839 in the external validation cohort and a high discriminative ability when the patients were categorized into three risk groups (P <0.001). Furthermore, this RSF model enabled the generation of an individualized predictive curve for HCC occurrence for each patient with an app available online. CONCLUSIONS We developed and externally validated an RSF model with good predictive performance for the risk of HCC after an SVR. The application of this novel model is available on the website. This model could provide the data to consider an effective surveillance method. Further studies are needed to make recommendations for surveillance policies tailored to the medical situation in each country. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS A novel prediction model for HCC occurrence in patients after hepatitis C virus eradication was developed using machine learning algorithms. This model, using seven commonly measured parameters, has been shown to have a good predictive ability for HCC development and could provide a personalized surveillance system.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tatsuya Minami
- Department of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo
| | - Masaya Sato
- Department of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo
| | - Hidenori Toyoda
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Ogaki Municipal Hospital
| | - Satoshi Yasuda
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Ogaki Municipal Hospital
| | - Tomoharu Yamada
- Department of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo
| | - Takuma Nakatsuka
- Department of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo
| | - Kenichiro Enooku
- Department of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo
| | - Hayato Nakagawa
- Department of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo
| | - Hidetaka Fujinaga
- Department of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo
| | - Masashi Izumiya
- Department of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo
| | - Yasuo Tanaka
- Department of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo
| | - Motoyuki Otsuka
- Department of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo
| | - Takamasa Ohki
- Department of Gastroenterology, Mitsui Memorial Hospital
| | - Masahiro Arai
- Department of Gastroenterology, Toshiba General Hospital
| | | | - Atsushi Tanaka
- Department of Medicine, Teikyo University School of Medicine
| | | | - Hideaki Miura
- Department of Gastroenterology, Tokyo Yamate Medical Center
| | - Itsuro Ogata
- Department of Gastroenterology, Kawakita General Hospital
| | | | - Kazuaki Inoue
- Department of Gastroenterology, Showa University Fujigaoka Hospital
| | - Ryo Nakagomi
- Department of Gastroenterology, Kanto Central Hospital of the Mutual Aid Association of Public School Teacher
| | | | | | - Hajime Fujie
- Department of Gastroenterology, Tokyo Shinjuku Medical Center
| | - Keiji Ogura
- Department of Gastroenterology, Tokyo Metropolitan Police Hospital
| | - Koji Uchino
- Department of Gastroenterology, Japanese Red Cross Medical Center
| | - Hideo Yoshida
- Department of Gastroenterology, Japanese Red Cross Medical Center
| | | | | | | | - Hisato Maekawa
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Tokyo Takanawa Hospital
| | - Yuji Kondo
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Kyoundo Hospital
| | - Shuntaro Obi
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Kyoundo Hospital
| | - Takuma Teratani
- Department of Hepato-Bililary-Pancreatic Medicine, NTT Medical Center Tokyo
| | - Naohiko Masaki
- Clinical Laboratory Department, Center Hospital of the National Center for Global Health and Medicine
| | - Kayo Nagashima
- Department of Gastroenterology, National Disaster Medical Center
| | | | - Naoya Kato
- Department of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo
| | - Hiroshi Yotsuyanagi
- Division of Infectious Disease and Applied Immunology, The University of Tokyo the Institute of Medical Science Research Hospital
| | - Kyoji Moriya
- Department of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo
| | - Takashi Kumada
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Ogaki Municipal Hospital
| | - Mitsuhiro Fujishiro
- Department of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo
| | - Kazuhiko Koike
- Department of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo
| | - Ryosuke Tateishi
- Department of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo.
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9
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Evaluation of the aMAP score for hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance: a realistic opportunity to risk stratify. Br J Cancer 2022; 127:1263-1269. [PMID: 35798825 PMCID: PMC9519948 DOI: 10.1038/s41416-022-01851-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/15/2021] [Revised: 04/13/2022] [Accepted: 05/09/2022] [Indexed: 12/19/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS The aMAP score is a model that predicts risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development in patients with chronic hepatitis. Its performance in a 'real world' surveillance setting has not yet been ascertained. PATIENTS AND METHODS We had access to a cohort of 3473 individuals enrolled in a rigorously implemented and prospectively accrued surveillance programme (patients undergoing regular ultrasound and biomarker examination between 1998 and 2021). During this period 445 had HCC detected. Of these, 77.8% had early stage disease (within Milan criteria), permitting potentially curative therapy to be implemented in nearly 70% of cases. We applied the recently developed aMAP score to classify patients according to their initial aMAP score in to low, medium and high-risk groups as proposed in the original publication. The performance of the aMAP score was assessed according to the concordance-index and calibration (i.e. agreement between observed and predicted risk). Allowance was made for competing causes of death. RESULTS The aMAP score achieved an overall C-index of 0.81 (95% CI: 0.79-0.82) consistent with the initial report and was unaffected by allowance for competing causes of death. Sub-group analysis showed that the results did not change significantly according to gender, or aetiology. However, aMAP discrimination was greater for younger individuals (versus older individuals), and also for individuals without cirrhosis. The HCC incidence rate was 0.98, 7.05 and 29.1 events per 1000 person-years in the low-, moderate- and high-risk aMAP groups, respectively. CONCLUSIONS The results from this 'real-world' cohort demonstrate that risk stratification is a realistic prospect and that identification of a subgroup of chronic liver disease patients who have a very low risk of HCC is feasible.
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10
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Shiha G, Soliman R, Mikhail NNH, Carrat F, Azzi J, Nathalie GC, Toyoda H, Uojima H, Nozaki A, Takaguchi K, Hiraoka A, Atsukawa M, Abe H, Matsuura K, Mikami S, Watanabe T, Tsuji K, Ishikawa T, Suri V, Osinusi A, Ni L, Zou J, Sarin SK, Kumar M, Jalal PK, Hashim MA, Hassan M, Lopez SA, Bañares R, Ahumada AM, Mousa NH, Eslam M, Waked I. International multicenter validation of GES score for HCC risk stratification in chronic hepatitis C patients. J Viral Hepat 2022; 29:807-816. [PMID: 35657138 DOI: 10.1111/jvh.13717] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/02/2022] [Revised: 03/15/2022] [Accepted: 04/03/2022] [Indexed: 12/28/2022]
Abstract
We have recently demonstrated the ability of a simple predictive model (GES) score to determine the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after using direct-acting antivirals. However, our results were restricted to Egyptian patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype 4. Therefore, we studied a large, independent cohort of multiethnic populations through our international collaborative activity. Depending on their GES scores, patients are stratified into low risk (≤ 6/12.5), intermediate risk (> 6-7.5/12.5), and high risk (> 7.5/12.5) for HCC. A total of 12,038 patients with chronic HCV were analyzed in this study, of whom 11,202 were recruited from 54 centers in France, Japan, India, the U.S., and Spain, and the remaining 836 were selected from the Gilead-sponsored randomized controlled trial conducted across the U.S., Europe, Canada, and Australia. Descriptive statistics and log-rank tests. The performance of the GES score was evaluated using Harrell's C-index (HCI). The GES score proved successful at stratifying all patients into 3 risk groups, namely low-risk, intermediate-risk, and high-risk. It also displayed significant predictive value for HCC development in all participants (p < .0001), with HCI ranging from 0.55 to 0.76 among all cohorts after adjusting for HCV genotypes and patient ethnicities. The GES score can be used to stratify HCV patients into 3 categories of risk for HCC, namely low-risk, intermediate-risk, and high-risk, irrespective of their ethnicities or HCV genotypes. This international multicenter validation may allow the use of GES score in individualized HCC risk-based surveillance programs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gamal Shiha
- Egyptian Liver Research Institute and Hospital (ELRIAH), El Mansoura, Egypt.,Hepatology and Gastroenterology Unit, Internal Medicine Department, Faculty of Medicine, Mansoura University, Mansoura, Egypt
| | - Reham Soliman
- Egyptian Liver Research Institute and Hospital (ELRIAH), El Mansoura, Egypt.,Tropical Medicine Department, Faculty of Medicine, Port Said University, Port Fuad, Egypt
| | - Nabiel N H Mikhail
- Egyptian Liver Research Institute and Hospital (ELRIAH), El Mansoura, Egypt.,Biostatistics and Cancer Epidemiology Department, South Egypt Cancer Institute, Assiut University, Asyut, Egypt
| | - Fabrice Carrat
- Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM), Institut Pierre Louis d'Epidémiologie et de Santé Publique, Sorbonne Université, Paris, France.,AP-HP, Sorbonne Université, Hôpital Saint-Antoine, Santé Publique, Paris, France
| | - Jessica Azzi
- Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM), Institut Pierre Louis d'Epidémiologie et de Santé Publique, Sorbonne Université, Paris, France
| | - Ganne-Carrié Nathalie
- APHP, Liver Unit, AP-HP, Hôpitaux Universitaires Paris Seine Saint-Denis, Bobigny, France.,Université Sorbonne Paris Nord, Bobigny, France.,Inserm, UMR-1138 « Functional Genomics of solid tumors », Centre de Recherche des Cordeliers, Université de Paris, Paris, France
| | - Hidenori Toyoda
- Department of Gastroenterology, Ogaki Municipal Hospital, Ogaki, Japan
| | - Haruki Uojima
- Department of Gastroenterology, Internal Medicine, Kitasato University School of Medicine, Sagamihara, Japan
| | - Akito Nozaki
- Gastroenterology Center, Yokohama City University Medical Center, Yokohama, Japan
| | - Koichi Takaguchi
- Department of Hepatology, Kagawa Prefectural Central Hospital, Takamatsu, Japan
| | - Atsushi Hiraoka
- Gastroenterology Center, Ehime Prefectural Central Hospital, Matsuyama, Japan
| | - Masanori Atsukawa
- Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Nippon Medical School, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Hiroshi Abe
- Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Shinmatusdo Central General Hospital, Matsudo, Japan
| | - Kentaro Matsuura
- Department of Virology & Liver Unit, Nagoya City University, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Nagoya, Japan
| | - Shigeru Mikami
- Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology, Kikkoman General Hospital, Noda, Japan
| | - Tsunamasa Watanabe
- Department of Internal Medicine, St. Marianna University School of Medicine, Kawasaki, Japan
| | - Kunihiko Tsuji
- Center for Gastroenterology, Teine Keijinkai Hospital, Sapporo, Japan
| | - Toru Ishikawa
- Department of Hepatology, Saiseikai Niigata Hospital, Niigata, Japan
| | - Vithika Suri
- Gilead Sciences, Inc, Foster City, California, USA
| | - Anu Osinusi
- Gilead Sciences, Inc, Foster City, California, USA
| | - Liyun Ni
- Gilead Sciences, Inc, Foster City, California, USA
| | - Jun Zou
- Gilead Sciences, Inc, Foster City, California, USA
| | - Shiv Kumar Sarin
- Department of Hepatology, Institute of Liver and Biliary Sciences, New Delhi, India
| | - Manoj Kumar
- Department of Hepatology, Institute of Liver and Biliary Sciences, New Delhi, India
| | - Prasun Kumar Jalal
- Division of Abdominal Transplantation, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas, USA
| | - Mahmoud A Hashim
- Division of Abdominal Transplantation, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas, USA
| | - Manal Hassan
- Division of Abdominal Transplantation, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas, USA.,Department of Epidemiology, Division of Cancer Prevention and Population Sciences, MD Anderson, Houston, Texas, USA
| | - Sonia Alonso Lopez
- Liver Unit, Hospital General Universitario Gregorio Marañon, Madrid, Spain.,Instituto De Investigación SanitariaGregorio Marañón (IiSGM), Centro de Investigación Biomédica En Red de Enfermedades Hepáticas y Digestivas (CIBEREHD), Madrid, Spain
| | - Rafael Bañares
- Liver Unit, Hospital General Universitario Gregorio Marañon, Madrid, Spain.,Instituto De Investigación SanitariaGregorio Marañón (IiSGM), Centro de Investigación Biomédica En Red de Enfermedades Hepáticas y Digestivas (CIBEREHD), Madrid, Spain
| | - Adriana M Ahumada
- Liver Unit, Hospital General Universitario Gregorio Marañon, Madrid, Spain
| | - Nasser Hamed Mousa
- Tropical Medicine Department, Faculty of Medicine, Mansoura University, Mansoura, Egypt
| | - Mohammed Eslam
- Storr Liver Centre, Westmead Institute for Medical Research, Westmead Hospital and University of Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
| | - Imam Waked
- Hepatology Department, National Liver Institute, Menoufia University, Shebeen El-Kom, Egypt
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11
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Azzi J, Dorival C, Cagnot C, Fontaine H, Lusivika-Nzinga C, Leroy V, De Ledinghen V, Tran A, Zoulim F, Alric L, Gournay J, Bronowicki JP, Decaens T, Riachi G, Mikhail N, Soliman R, Shiha G, Pol S, Carrat F, Ganne-Carrié N. Prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma in Hepatitis C patients with advanced fibrosis after sustained virologic response. Clin Res Hepatol Gastroenterol 2022; 46:101923. [PMID: 35405354 DOI: 10.1016/j.clinre.2022.101923] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/22/2021] [Revised: 03/07/2022] [Accepted: 04/05/2022] [Indexed: 02/04/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS Prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) occurrence in patients with chronic hepatitis C (HCV) who achieved a sustained virological response (SVR) after direct acting antivirals (DAAs) remains challenging. METHODS Among HCC-free HCV patients with advanced fibrosis enrolled in the ANRS CO22 HEPATHER cohort who achieved SVR 12 weeks after treatment with DAAs, HCC predictive models were developed using Cox multivariable regression. The derived score was externally validated in a large Egyptian cohort. Our main outcome was the HCC-free survival. RESULTS During follow-up (median 3.05 years), 153 out of 3531 patients developed a HCC. Main variables associated with HCC occurrence were: male gender, HCV genotype 3, esophageal varices, albumin < 40 g/L, total bilirubin >11 µmol/L and hypercholesterolemia before DAA initiation, together with age > 58 years, FIB-4 index ≥3.25 evaluated at SVR. A score was established allowing the stratification of patients by high (score ≥ 12/22), intermediate (7 ≤ score <12) and low risk of HCC (score < 7/22) with 3-yrs HCC incidence of 18.96%, 5.50% and 1.65%, respectively. The integrated time-dependent area under the ROC curve (i-AUC) was 0.76 in our patients and 0.61 in the validation cohort. CONCLUSION The externally validated HEPATHER HCC score has good short-term predictive performance in HCV- patients who achieved SVR12 after DAAs allowing to identify high-risk patients in whom HCC screening may be cost-effective and low-risk patients in whom HCC screening may be superfluous in the first 3 years after SVR.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jessica Azzi
- Sorbonne Université, Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM), Institut Pierre Louis d'Epidémiologie et de Santé Publique, Paris, France
| | - Céline Dorival
- Sorbonne Université, Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM), Institut Pierre Louis d'Epidémiologie et de Santé Publique, Paris, France
| | - Carole Cagnot
- ANRS (France Recherche Nord & Sud Sida-HIV Hépatites), Unit for Basic and Clinical Research on Viral Hepatitis, Paris, France
| | | | - Clovis Lusivika-Nzinga
- Sorbonne Université, Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM), Institut Pierre Louis d'Epidémiologie et de Santé Publique, Paris, France
| | - Vincent Leroy
- Department of Hepatology and Gastroenterology, Hôpital Henri Mondor, AP-HP, Université Paris-Est, INSERM U955, Créteil, France
| | - Victor De Ledinghen
- Hepatology Unit Hôpital Haut-Lévêque, Pessac, INSERM U1053, Université Bordeaux Segalen, Bordeaux, France
| | - Albert Tran
- Université Côte d'Azur, Nice, France; CHU de Nice, Digestive Center, Nice, France; INSERM, U1065, C3M, Team 8 « Chronic liver diseases associated with obesity and alcohol », Nice, France
| | - Fabien Zoulim
- Department of Hepatology, Hospices Civils de Lyon, INSERM U1052, Université de Lyon, Lyon, France
| | - Laurent Alric
- Department of Internal Medicine and Digestive Diseases, CHU Purpan, UMR 152 Pharma Dev, IRD Toulouse 3 University, France
| | - Jérôme Gournay
- Gastroenterology and Hepatology Department, Institut des Maladies de l'Appareil Digestif, University Hospital of Nantes, Nantes, France
| | - Jean-Pierre Bronowicki
- Inserm U1254 and Department of Hepato-Gastroenterology, University Hospital of Nancy Brabois, Université de Lorraine, Vandoeuvre-les-Nancy, France
| | - Thomas Decaens
- Department of Hepatology and Gastroenterology, CHU Grenoble-Alpes, Université Grenoble-Alpes, Institute for Advanced Biosciences INSERM U1209, Grenoble, France
| | - Ghassan Riachi
- Department of Hepatology and Gastroenterology, CHU Charles Nicolle, Rouen, France
| | - Nabiel Mikhail
- Egyptian Liver Research Institute and Hospital (ELRIAH), Mansoura, Egypt; Biostatistics and Cancer Epidemiology Department, South Egypt Cancer Institute, Assiut University, Assuit, Egypt
| | - Reham Soliman
- Egyptian Liver Research Institute and Hospital (ELRIAH), Mansoura, Egypt; Tropical Medicine Department, Faculty of Medicine, Port Said University, Port Said, Egypt
| | - Gamal Shiha
- Egyptian Liver Research Institute and Hospital (ELRIAH), Mansoura, Egypt; Hepatology and Gastroenterology Unit, Internal Medicine Department, Faculty of Medicine, Mansoura University, Mansoura, Egypt
| | - Stanislas Pol
- AP-HP, Hôpital Cochin, Unité d'Hépatologie, Paris, France; Université de Paris, INSERM U1223 and USM-20, Institut Pasteur, Paris, France
| | - Fabrice Carrat
- Sorbonne Université, Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM), Institut Pierre Louis d'Epidémiologie et de Santé Publique, Paris, France; AP-HP, Sorbonne Université, Hôpital Saint-Antoine, Santé Publique, Paris, France
| | - Nathalie Ganne-Carrié
- AP-HP, Hôpitaux Universitaires Paris Seine Saint-Denis, APHP, Liver Unit, Bobigny, France; Université Sorbonne Paris Nord, Bobigny, France; Inserm, UMR-1138 « Functional Genomics of solid tumors », Centre de Recherche des Cordeliers, Université de Paris, France.
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12
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Tada T, Kurosaki M, Tamaki N, Yasui Y, Mori N, Tsuji K, Hasebe C, Joko K, Akahane T, Furuta K, Kobashi H, Fujii H, Ishii T, Marusawa H, Kondo M, Kojima Y, Yoshida H, Uchida Y, Nakamura S, Izumi N. General evaluation score
for predicting the development of
hepatocellular carcinoma
in patients with advanced liver fibrosis associated with
hepatitis C virus
genotype 1 or 2 after
direct‐acting antiviral
therapy. JGH Open 2022; 6:487-495. [PMID: 35822118 PMCID: PMC9260214 DOI: 10.1002/jgh3.12778] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/24/2022] [Revised: 05/05/2022] [Accepted: 05/24/2022] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
Abstract
Background and Aim To validate a composite predictive model for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development in patients with advanced liver fibrosis associated with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) who have received direct‐acting antiviral (DAA) therapy and achieved sustained virologic response (SVR). Methods This study included 1258 patients with advanced liver fibrosis associated with HCV genotype 1, 2, or both. General evaluation score (GES), which is based on sex, age, fibrosis stage, albumin, and α‐fetoprotein, was used as a composite predictive model. Results There were 645 (51.3%) patients in the low‐risk group, 228 (18.1%) in the intermediate‐risk group, and 385 (30.6%) in the high‐risk group based on GES categories. The 12‐, 36‐, and 60‐month cumulative incidence of HCC was 0.7%, 5.3%, and 13.0%, respectively. Multivariable analysis with Cox proportional hazards models showed that male sex (hazard ratio [HR], 1.863; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.204–2.883), F4 fibrosis stage (HR, 3.199; 95% CI, 1.696–6.036), and albumin (HR, 0.489; 95% CI, 0.288–0.828) are independently associated with HCC development. The incidence of HCC differed significantly by GES‐based risk category (P < 0.001). Cox proportional hazards models showed that, with the low‐risk group as the referent, the HR for HCC development was 1.875 (95% CI, 1.000–3.514) in the intermediate‐risk group and 2.819 (95% CI, 1.716–4.630) in the high‐risk group. GES had better predictive ability for HCC development than fibrosis‐4 index according to time‐dependent receiver operating characteristic analysis. Conclusion GES is useful for predicting HCC development in patients with advanced liver fibrosis after SVR.
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Affiliation(s)
- Toshifumi Tada
- Department of Internal Medicine Japanese Red Cross Society Himeji Hospital Himeji Japan
| | - Masayuki Kurosaki
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology Musashino Red Cross Hospital Tokyo Japan
| | - Nobuharu Tamaki
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology Musashino Red Cross Hospital Tokyo Japan
| | - Yutaka Yasui
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology Musashino Red Cross Hospital Tokyo Japan
| | - Nami Mori
- Department of Gastroenterology Hiroshima Red Cross Hospital and Atomic‐Bomb Survivors Hospital Hiroshima Japan
| | - Keiji Tsuji
- Department of Gastroenterology Hiroshima Red Cross Hospital and Atomic‐Bomb Survivors Hospital Hiroshima Japan
| | - Chitomi Hasebe
- Department of Gastroenterology Japanese Red Cross Asahikawa Hospital Asahikawa Japan
| | - Koji Joko
- Center for Liver‐Biliary‐Pancreatic Disease Matsuyama Red Cross Hospital Matsuyama Japan
| | - Takehiro Akahane
- Department of Gastroenterology Japanese Red Cross Ishinomaki Hospital Ishinomaki Japan
| | - Koichiro Furuta
- Department of Gastroenterology Masuda Red Cross Hospital Masuda Japan
| | - Haruhiko Kobashi
- Department of Gastroenterology Japanese Red Cross Okayama Hospital Okayama Japan
| | - Hideki Fujii
- Department of Gastroenterology Japanese Red Cross Kyoto Daiichi Hospital Kyoto Japan
| | - Toru Ishii
- Department of Gastroenterology Japanese Red Cross Akita Hospital Akita Japan
| | - Hiroyuki Marusawa
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology Japanese Red Cross Osaka Hospital Osaka Japan
| | - Masahiko Kondo
- Department of Gastroenterology Japanese Red Cross Otsu Hospital Otsu Shiga Japan
| | - Yuji Kojima
- Department of Hepatology Japanese Red Cross Ise Hospital Ise Japan
| | - Hideo Yoshida
- Department of Gastroenterology Japanese Red Cross Medical Center Tokyo Japan
| | - Yasushi Uchida
- Department of Gastroenterology Japanese Red Cross Matsue Hospital Matsue Japan
| | - Shinichiro Nakamura
- Department of Internal Medicine Japanese Red Cross Society Himeji Hospital Himeji Japan
| | - Namiki Izumi
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology Musashino Red Cross Hospital Tokyo Japan
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13
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Tada T, Kumada T, Matono T, Nakamura S, Sue M, Matsuo Y, Takatani M, Iijima H, Tanaka J. Characteristics of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with hepatitis C virus who received direct‐acting antiviral therapy and achieved sustained virological response: The impact of a hepatologist on surveillance. JGH Open 2022; 6:462-469. [PMID: 35822120 PMCID: PMC9260217 DOI: 10.1002/jgh3.12774] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/20/2022] [Revised: 05/08/2022] [Accepted: 05/14/2022] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
Abstract
Background and Aim The relationship between the characteristics of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) diagnosed after sustained virological response (SVR) with direct‐acting antiviral (DAA) therapy and surveillance status has not been sufficiently investigated. This study investigated the clinical risk factors for HCC development and HCC characteristics according to which type of physician performed follow‐up after SVR. Methods A total of 1070 patients in whom hepatitis C virus (HCV) was eradicated with DAA therapy were evaluated. Results There were 458 patients followed by hepatologists (specialist group) and 612 followed by non‐hepatologists (non‐specialist group) after SVR. During the follow‐up period, 54 patients developed HCC. The 1‐, 2‐, 3‐, 4‐, and 5‐year cumulative incidence rates of HCC were 1.8, 4.1, 6.9, 10.5, and 17.2%, respectively. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis showed that male sex (hazard ratio [HR], 3.139; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.732–5.690), α‐fetoprotein level (HR, 1.056; 95% CI, 1.035–1.077), and fibrosis‐4 (FIB‐4) index (HR, 1.051; 95% CI, 1.017–1.085) were significantly associated with HCC development, while the follow‐up physician type after SVR was not. There were 25 patients with stage I HCC, 17 with stage II, 9 with stage III, and 3 with stage IV. Multivariate ordinal logistic regression showed that follow‐up physician type (non‐specialist) (HR, 39.100; 95% CI, 9.350–224.00) was independently associated with HCC stage, while α‐fetoprotein level and FIB‐4 index were not. Conclusion When patients have more risk factors for HCC development after SVR (i.e., male sex, elevated α‐fetoprotein, or elevated FIB‐4 index), they should be followed by a hepatologist for HCC surveillance.
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Affiliation(s)
- Toshifumi Tada
- Department of Internal medicine Japanese Red Cross Society Himeji Hospital Himeji Japan
- Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology Hyogo Medical University Nishinomiya Japan
| | | | - Tomomitsu Matono
- Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology Hyogo Medical University Nishinomiya Japan
- Department of Internal medicine Himeji St. Mary's Hospital Himeji Japan
| | - Shinichiro Nakamura
- Department of Internal medicine Japanese Red Cross Society Himeji Hospital Himeji Japan
| | - Masahiko Sue
- Department of Internal medicine Japanese Red Cross Society Himeji Hospital Himeji Japan
| | - Yu Matsuo
- Department of Internal medicine Japanese Red Cross Society Himeji Hospital Himeji Japan
| | - Masahiro Takatani
- Department of Internal medicine Japanese Red Cross Society Himeji Hospital Himeji Japan
| | - Hiroko Iijima
- Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology Hyogo Medical University Nishinomiya Japan
| | - Junko Tanaka
- Department of Epidemiology, Infectious Disease Control and Prevention, Graduate School of Biomedical and Health Sciences Hiroshima University Hiroshima Japan
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Fujii H, Kimura H, Hasebe C, Akahane T, Satou T, Kusakabe A, Kojima Y, Kondo M, Marusawa H, Kobashi H, Tsuji K, Ogawa C, Uchida Y, Joko K, Mitsuda A, Kurosaki M, Izumi N. Real‐world long‐term analysis of daclatasvir plus asunaprevir in patients with hepatitis C virus infection. JGH Open 2022; 6:344-352. [PMID: 35601120 PMCID: PMC9120887 DOI: 10.1002/jgh3.12749] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/17/2022] [Revised: 03/30/2022] [Accepted: 04/23/2022] [Indexed: 11/10/2022]
Abstract
Background and Aim Methods Results Conclusions
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Affiliation(s)
- Hideki Fujii
- Department of Gastroenterology Japanese Red Cross Kyoto Daiichi Hospital Kyoto Japan
| | - Hiroyuki Kimura
- Department of Gastroenterology Japanese Red Cross Kyoto Daiichi Hospital Kyoto Japan
| | - Chitomi Hasebe
- Department of Gastroenterology Asahikawa Red Cross Hospital Asahikawa Japan
| | - Takehiro Akahane
- Department of Gastroenterology Japanese Red Cross Ishinomaki Hospital Ishinomaki Japan
| | - Takashi Satou
- Department of Gastroenterology Nasu Red Cross Hospital Otawara Japan
| | - Atsunori Kusakabe
- Department of Gastroenterology Nagoya Daini Red Cross Hospital Nagoya Japan
| | - Yuji Kojima
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology Ise Red Cross Hospital Ise Japan
| | - Masahiko Kondo
- Department of Gastroenterology Otsu Red Cross Hospital Siga Japan
| | - Hiroyuki Marusawa
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology Osaka Red Cross Hospital Osaka Japan
| | - Haruhiko Kobashi
- Department of Hepatology Japanese Red Cross Okayama Hospital Okayama Japan
| | - Keiji Tsuji
- Department of Gastroenterology Hiroshima Red Cross Hospital and Atomic‐Bomb Survivors Hospital Hiroshima Japan
| | - Chikara Ogawa
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology Takamatsu Red Cross Hospital Takamatsu Japan
| | - Yasushi Uchida
- Department of Gastroenterology Matsue Red Cross Hospital Matsue Japan
| | - Kouji Joko
- Center for Liver and Biliary Diseases Matsuyama Red Cross Hospital Ehime Japan
| | - Akeri Mitsuda
- Department of Gastroenterology Japanese Red Cross Tottori Hospital Tottori Japan
| | - Masayuki Kurosaki
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology Musashino Red Cross Hospital Musashino Japan
| | - Namiki Izumi
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology Musashino Red Cross Hospital Musashino Japan
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15
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Kubota N, Fujiwara N, Hoshida Y. Liver cancer risk-predictive molecular biomarkers specific to clinico-epidemiological contexts. Adv Cancer Res 2022; 156:1-37. [PMID: 35961696 PMCID: PMC7616039 DOI: 10.1016/bs.acr.2022.01.005] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/24/2022]
Abstract
Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk prediction is increasingly important because of the low annual HCC incidence in patients with the rapidly emerging non-alcoholic fatty liver disease or cured HCV infection. To date, numerous clinical HCC risk biomarkers and scores have been reported in literature. However, heterogeneity in clinico-epidemiological context, e.g., liver disease etiology, patient race/ethnicity, regional environmental exposure, and lifestyle-related factors, obscure their real clinical utility and applicability. Proper characterization of these factors will help refine HCC risk prediction according to certain clinical context/scenarios and contribute to improved early HCC detection. Molecular factors underlying the clinical heterogeneity encompass various features in host genetics, hepatic and systemic molecular dysregulations, and cross-organ interactions, which may serve as clinical-context-specific biomarkers and/or therapeutic targets. Toward the goal to enable individual-risk-based HCC screening by incorporating the HCC risk biomarkers/scores, their assessment in patient with well-defined clinical context/scenario is critical to gauge their real value and to maximize benefit of the tailored patient management for substantial improvement of the poor HCC prognosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Naoto Kubota
- Liver Tumor Translational Research Program, Simmons Comprehensive Cancer Center, Division of Digestive and Liver Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, United States
| | - Naoto Fujiwara
- Liver Tumor Translational Research Program, Simmons Comprehensive Cancer Center, Division of Digestive and Liver Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, United States; Department of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Yujin Hoshida
- Liver Tumor Translational Research Program, Simmons Comprehensive Cancer Center, Division of Digestive and Liver Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, United States.
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16
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Omran M, Fouda M, Abdelwahab AO, Nabeel MM, Abdelaziz AO, Omran D, Shousha HI. P53 is a risk factor of de-novo hepatitis C-related hepatocellular carcinoma treated with direct-acting antivirals: a case-control study. Eur J Gastroenterol Hepatol 2022; 34:220-226. [PMID: 33079785 DOI: 10.1097/meg.0000000000001962] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/10/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The mechanisms underlying de-novo hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) is still under investigation. This work aims to study P53 and hepatocyte growth factor (HGF) as possible diagnostics of de-novo hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following DAAs in comparison to alpha-fetoprotein (AFP). METHOD This case-control study included 166 patients with liver cirrhosis divided into group-1: patients without HCC (n = 50), group-2: patients with de-novo HCC following DAAs, and achieved sustained virological response (n = 50), and group-3: patients with HCC without DAAs (n = 66). P53 antibody and HGF were determined using a quantitative sandwich enzyme immunoassay technique (Cusabio Co, Houston, USA). RESULTS Patients with HCC showed significantly higher HGF. Patients with de-novo HCC following DAAs had significantly higher P53 than HCC without DAAs (P < 0.0001). The multiple logistic regression analysis showed that the P53 levels were significantly associated with susceptibility to de-novo HCC (P value = 0.004). The best overall formula was constructed for HCC diagnosis by entering significant markers into the regression model. A three markers model was developed = (1.22 + AFP X 0.002 + HGF X 0.001 + P53 X 0.001). The medians (percentiles) of combined three markers were 1.8 (1.0-2.1) in liver cirrhosis and 2.2 (2.0-2.9) in all HCC (P < 0.00001). The AUC of combined markers was greater than a single marker. The AUC was 0.87 to differentiate HCC from liver cirrhosis; AUC 0.91 to differentiate de-novo HCC after DAAs from liver cirrhosis. CONCLUSION P53 may serve as a diagnostic marker for de-novo HCC after DAAs therapy. HGF may serve as a diagnostic marker for HCC but not specific for de-novo HCC after DAAs therapy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mohamed Omran
- Chemistry Department, Faculty of Science, Helwan University
| | - Manar Fouda
- Chemistry Department, Faculty of Science, Helwan University
| | | | | | | | - Dalia Omran
- Endemic Medicine Department, Faculty of Medicine, Cairo University, Cairo, Egypt
| | - Hend Ibrahim Shousha
- Endemic Medicine Department, Faculty of Medicine, Cairo University, Cairo, Egypt
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17
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Tada T, Kurosaki M, Tamaki N, Yasui Y, Mori N, Tsuji K, Hasebe C, Joko K, Akahane T, Furuta K, Kobashi H, Kimura H, Yagisawa H, Marusawa H, Kondo M, Kojima Y, Yoshida H, Uchida Y, Nakamura S, Izumi N. A validation study of after direct-acting antivirals recommendation for surveillance score for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with hepatitis C virus infection who had received direct-acting antiviral therapy and achieved sustained virological response. JGH Open 2022; 6:20-28. [PMID: 35071784 PMCID: PMC8762616 DOI: 10.1002/jgh3.12690] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/08/2021] [Revised: 11/25/2021] [Accepted: 11/28/2021] [Indexed: 12/19/2022]
Abstract
Background and Aim The pathogenic process underlying the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is not yet clear in patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) who have received direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy and achieved sustained virological response (SVR). This study validated a composite predictive model for HCC in these patients. Methods This study included 3058 patients in whom HCV was eradicated with DAA therapy. After DAAs recommendation for surveillance (ADRES) score, which is based on sex, FIB-4 index, and α-fetoprotein, was used as a composite predictive model for HCC development. Results The 1-, 3-, and 5-year cumulative incidence rates of HCC were 0.9, 4.5, and 15.2%, respectively. Multivariate analysis with Cox proportional hazards models showed that male sex (hazard ratio [HR], 2.646; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.790-3.911), FIB-4 index >3.25 (HR, 2.891; 95% CI, 1.947-4.293), and α-fetoprotein >5 ng/mL (HR, 2.835; 95% CI, 1.914-4.200) are independently associated with HCC development. The incidence of HCC differed significantly by ADRES score (P < 0.001). Cox proportional hazards models showed that compared to the ADRES score 0 group, the HR for HCC development was 2.947 (95% CI, 1.367-6.354) in the ADRES score 1 group, 9.171 (95% CI, 4.339-19.380) in the ADRES score 2 group, and 20.630 (95% CI, 8.641-49.230) in the ADRES score 3 group. ADRES score had superior predictive power for HCC development compared with the FIB-4 index and α-fetoprotein according to time-dependent receiver operating characteristic analysis. Conclusion The ADRES score is useful for predicting HCC development after SVR.
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Affiliation(s)
- Toshifumi Tada
- Department of Internal Medicine Japanese Red Cross Society Himeji Hospital Himeji Japan
| | - Masayuki Kurosaki
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology Musashino Red Cross Hospital Tokyo Japan
| | - Nobuharu Tamaki
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology Musashino Red Cross Hospital Tokyo Japan
| | - Yutaka Yasui
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology Musashino Red Cross Hospital Tokyo Japan
| | - Nami Mori
- Department of Gastroenterology Hiroshima Red Cross Hospital and Atomic-Bomb Survivors Hospital Hiroshima Hiroshima Japan
| | - Keiji Tsuji
- Department of Gastroenterology Hiroshima Red Cross Hospital and Atomic-Bomb Survivors Hospital Hiroshima Hiroshima Japan
| | - Chitomi Hasebe
- Department of Gastroenterology Japanese Red Cross Asahikawa Hospital Asahikawa Hokkaido Japan
| | - Koji Joko
- Center for Liver-Biliary-Pancreatic Disease Matsuyama Red Cross Hospital Matsuyama Ehime Japan
| | - Takehiro Akahane
- Department of Gastroenterology Japanese Red Cross Ishinomaki Hospital Ishinomaki Miyagi Japan
| | - Koichiro Furuta
- Department of Gastroenterology Masuda Red Cross Hospital Masuda Shimane Japan
| | - Haruhiko Kobashi
- Department of Gastroenterology Japanese Red Cross Okayama Hospital Okayama Okayama Japan
| | - Hiroyuki Kimura
- Department of Gastroenterology Japanese Red Cross Kyoto Daiichi Hospital Kyoto Japan
| | - Hitoshi Yagisawa
- Department of Gastroenterology Japanese Red Cross Akita Hospital Akita Akita Japan
| | - Hiroyuki Marusawa
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology Japanese Red Cross Osaka Hospital Osaka Japan
| | - Masahiko Kondo
- Department of Gastroenterology Japanese Red Cross Otsu Hospital Otsu Shiga Japan
| | - Yuji Kojima
- Department of Hepatology Japanese Red Cross Ise Hospital Ise Mie Japan
| | - Hideo Yoshida
- Department of Gastroenterology Japanese Red Cross Medical Center Tokyo Japan
| | - Yasushi Uchida
- Department of Gastroenterology Japanese Red Cross Matsue Hospital Matsue Shimane Japan
| | - Shinichiro Nakamura
- Department of Internal Medicine Japanese Red Cross Society Himeji Hospital Himeji Japan
| | - Namiki Izumi
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology Musashino Red Cross Hospital Tokyo Japan
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18
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Predictive performance and clinical utility of HCC risk scores in chronic hepatitis C: a comparative study. Hepatol Int 2022; 16:159-170. [PMID: 35034266 DOI: 10.1007/s12072-021-10284-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/09/2021] [Accepted: 12/06/2021] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIM Many HCC risk prediction scores were developed to guide HCC risk stratification and identify CHC patients who either need intensified surveillance or may not require screening. There is a need to compare different scores and their predictive performance in clinical practice. We aim to compare the newest HCC risk scores evaluating their discriminative ability, and clinical utility in a large cohort of CHC patients. PATIENTS AND METHODS The performance of the scores was evaluated in 3075 CHC patients who achieved SVR following DAAs using Log rank, Harrell's c statistic, also tested for HCC-risk stratification and negative predictive values. RESULTS HCC developed in 212 patients within 5 years follow-up. Twelve HCC risk scores were identified and displayed significant Log rank (p ≤ 0.05) except Alonso-Lopez TE-HCC, and Chun scores (p = 0.374, p = 0.053, respectively). Analysis of the remaining ten scores revealed that ADRES, GES pre-post treatment, GES algorithm and Watanabe (post-treatment) scores including dynamics of AFP, were clinically applicable and demonstrated good statistical performance; Log rank analysis < 0.001, Harrell's C statistic (0.66-0.83) and high negative predictive values (94.38-97.65%). In these three scores, the 5 years cumulative IR in low risk groups be very low (0.54-1.6), so screening could be avoided safely in these patients. CONCLUSION ADRES, GES (pre- and post-treatment), GES algorithm and Watanabe (post-treatment) scores seem to offer acceptable HCC-risk predictability and clinical utility in CHC patients. The dynamics of AFP as a component of these scores may explain their high performance when compared to other scores.
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Yan CY, Fu ZJ, Liu GS, Li J, Sun CX. Value of heat shock protein 90 combined with alpha-fetoprotein in early diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma. Shijie Huaren Xiaohua Zazhi 2021; 29:1215-1221. [DOI: 10.11569/wcjd.v29.i21.1215] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the sixth most common cancer in the world, and early diagnosis mainly relies on serological examination. With the deepening of molecular research of heat shock protein 90 (HSP90) in hepatocellular carcinoma, this study innovatively explored the value of HSP90 combined with alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) in early diagnosis of HCC.
AIM To evaluate the diagnostic value of HSP90 combined with AFP in HCC.
METHODS A total of 383 subjects, including patients with primary liver cancer, those with posthepatitic cirrhosis (types B and C), and healthy subjects, were selected from August 2017 to July 2020. The serum concentration of AFP was measured by electrochemical method, the serum concentration of HSP90 was measured by ELLISA, and the results were processed and analyzed using statistical software.
RESULTS When AFP or HSP90 alone was used for the diagnosis of HCC, the sensitivity of HSP90 was higher than that of AFP, while the specificity of AFP was higher than that of HSP90. The sensitivity and specificity of AFP combined with HSP90 in the diagnosis of HCC were 87.8% and 91.2%, respectively.
CONCLUSION AFP combined with HSP90 can significantly improve the diagnostic value of either of them alone in HCC.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chun-Ying Yan
- First Department of Gastroenterology, Shaanxi Provincial People's Hospital, Xi'an 710000, Shaanxi Province, China
| | - Zuo-Jun Fu
- First Department of Gastroenterology, Shaanxi Provincial People's Hospital, Xi'an 710000, Shaanxi Province, China
| | - Gui-Sheng Liu
- First Department of Gastroenterology, Shaanxi Provincial People's Hospital, Xi'an 710000, Shaanxi Province, China
| | - Jiang Li
- Department of Oncology, Shaanxi Provincial People's Hospital, Xi'an 710000, Shaanxi Province, China
| | - Chen-Xi Sun
- First Department of Gastroenterology, Shaanxi Provincial People's Hospital, Xi'an 710000, Shaanxi Province, China
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20
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D'Ambrosio R, Degasperi E, Lampertico P. Predicting Hepatocellular Carcinoma Risk in Patients with Chronic HCV Infection and a Sustained Virological Response to Direct-Acting Antivirals. J Hepatocell Carcinoma 2021; 8:713-739. [PMID: 34235108 PMCID: PMC8254542 DOI: 10.2147/jhc.s292139] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/24/2021] [Accepted: 06/02/2021] [Indexed: 12/26/2022] Open
Abstract
Chronic infection with hepatitis C virus (HCV) may complicate with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), especially in patients with cirrhosis. Although the achievement of a sustained virological response (SVR) had been associated with a reduction in the risk of HCC already in the Interferon era, some concerns initially raised following the use of direct-acting antivirals (DAA), as their use was associated with increased risk of HCC development and aggressiveness. However, studies demonstrated that the risk of HCC was strongly influenced by pre-treatment fibrosis stage and, eventually, prior HCC history more than the type of antiviral therapy. According to published studies, rates of de-novo HCC ranged between 1.4% and 13.6% in patients with cirrhosis or advanced fibrosis vs 0.9% and 5.9% in those with chronic hepatitis C (CHC). Conversely, rates of recurrent HCC were higher, ranging between 3.2% and 49% in cirrhotics vs 0% and 40% in CHC patients. Most studies tried to identify predictors of HCC development, either de-novo or recurrent, and some authors were also able to build predictive scores for HCC risk stratification, which however still need prospective validation. Whereas some clinical features, such as age, gender, presence of comorbidities and fibrosis stage, may influence both de-novo and recurrent HCC, previous tumour burden before DAA seems to prevail over these features in recurrent HCC risk prediction.
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Affiliation(s)
- Roberta D'Ambrosio
- Foundation IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Milan, Italy
| | - Elisabetta Degasperi
- Foundation IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Milan, Italy
| | - Pietro Lampertico
- Foundation IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Milan, Italy.,CRC "A. M. and A. Migliavacca" Center for Liver Disease, Department of Pathophysiology and Transplantation, University of Milan, Milan, Italy
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21
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Kubota N, Fujiwara N, Hoshida Y. Clinical and Molecular Prediction of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Risk. J Clin Med 2020; 9:jcm9123843. [PMID: 33256232 PMCID: PMC7761278 DOI: 10.3390/jcm9123843] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/01/2020] [Revised: 11/20/2020] [Accepted: 11/23/2020] [Indexed: 02/07/2023] Open
Abstract
Prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk becomes increasingly important with recently emerging HCC-predisposing conditions, namely non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and cured hepatitis C virus infection. These etiologies are accompanied with a relatively low HCC incidence rate (~1% per year or less), while affecting a large patient population. Hepatitis B virus infection remains a major HCC risk factor, but a majority of the patients are now on antiviral therapy, which substantially lowers, but does not eliminate, HCC risk. Thus, it is critically important to identify a small subset of patients who have elevated likelihood of developing HCC, to optimize the allocation of limited HCC screening resources to those who need it most and enable cost-effective early HCC diagnosis to prolong patient survival. To date, numerous clinical-variable-based HCC risk scores have been developed for specific clinical contexts defined by liver disease etiology, severity, and other factors. In parallel, various molecular features have been reported as potential HCC risk biomarkers, utilizing both tissue and body-fluid specimens. Deep-learning-based risk modeling is an emerging strategy. Although none of them has been widely incorporated in clinical care of liver disease patients yet, some have been undergoing the process of validation and clinical development. In this review, these risk scores and biomarker candidates are overviewed, and strategic issues in their validation and clinical translation are discussed.
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Tani J, Morishita A, Sakamoto T, Takuma K, Nakahara M, Fujita K, Oura K, Tadokoro T, Mimura S, Nomura T, Yoneyama H, Kobara H, Himoto T, Tsutsui A, Senoh T, Nagano T, Ogawa C, Moriya A, Deguchi A, Takaguchi K, Masaki T. Simple scoring system for prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma occurrence after hepatitis C virus eradication by direct-acting antiviral treatment: All Kagawa Liver Disease Group Study. Oncol Lett 2020; 19:2205-2212. [PMID: 32194718 PMCID: PMC7038998 DOI: 10.3892/ol.2020.11341] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/27/2019] [Accepted: 12/12/2019] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
Direct acting antivirals (DAA) have recently been developed to treat patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, and interferon-free DAA treatment has improved the cure rate of patients. However, the occurrence rate of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following HCV eradication remains unknown. Therefore, the present study aimed to identify predictors of HCC occurrence following DAA treatment. Among 1,454 patients infected with HCV, 1,088 patients who achieved sustained virologic response and who had no history of HCC treatment were recruited between September 2014 and November 2018. The incidence of HCC in patients infected with HCV following DAA treatment, and the predictors contributing to HCC occurrence were identified using clinicopathological characteristics and blood test results. During the present study, 26 patients developed HCC. The incidence of HCC was 0.61, 1.88, 2.82 and 3.71% at 6, 12, 18 and 24 months after treatment with DAA, respectively. The results of multivariate analysis identified age [hazard ratio (HR), 1.0729; P=0.0044] and α-fetoprotein (AFP) level after DAA treatment (HR, 1.0486; P=0.0486) as independent factors that may contribute to HCC occurrence following DAA treatment. By using these two factors, a novel scoring system (0-2 points) was established to predict HCC occurrence following HCV eradication by DAA treatment. The incidence of HCC at 2 years was 0.3% in the 0 points group, 6.27% in the 1 point group and 18.37% in the 2 points group. In conclusion, AFP level after DAA treatment and age at DAA administration were identified as independent predictors of HCC occurrence in patients that were treated with DAA. The scoring system that was established in the present study is simple and easy, and using pre-treatment factors may be a convenient tool to predict the risk of HCC occurrence in HCV-free patients following DAA treatment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Joji Tani
- Department of Gastroenterology and Neurology, Faculty of Medicine, Kagawa University, Miki, Kagawa 761-0793, Japan
| | - Asahiro Morishita
- Department of Gastroenterology and Neurology, Faculty of Medicine, Kagawa University, Miki, Kagawa 761-0793, Japan
| | - Teppei Sakamoto
- Department of Gastroenterology and Neurology, Faculty of Medicine, Kagawa University, Miki, Kagawa 761-0793, Japan
| | - Kei Takuma
- Department of Gastroenterology and Neurology, Faculty of Medicine, Kagawa University, Miki, Kagawa 761-0793, Japan
| | - Mai Nakahara
- Department of Gastroenterology and Neurology, Faculty of Medicine, Kagawa University, Miki, Kagawa 761-0793, Japan
| | - Koji Fujita
- Department of Gastroenterology and Neurology, Faculty of Medicine, Kagawa University, Miki, Kagawa 761-0793, Japan
| | - Kyoko Oura
- Department of Gastroenterology and Neurology, Faculty of Medicine, Kagawa University, Miki, Kagawa 761-0793, Japan
| | - Tomoko Tadokoro
- Department of Gastroenterology and Neurology, Faculty of Medicine, Kagawa University, Miki, Kagawa 761-0793, Japan
| | - Shima Mimura
- Department of Gastroenterology and Neurology, Faculty of Medicine, Kagawa University, Miki, Kagawa 761-0793, Japan
| | - Takako Nomura
- Department of Gastroenterology and Neurology, Faculty of Medicine, Kagawa University, Miki, Kagawa 761-0793, Japan
| | - Hirohito Yoneyama
- Department of Gastroenterology and Neurology, Faculty of Medicine, Kagawa University, Miki, Kagawa 761-0793, Japan
| | - Hideki Kobara
- Department of Gastroenterology and Neurology, Faculty of Medicine, Kagawa University, Miki, Kagawa 761-0793, Japan
| | - Takashi Himoto
- Department of Medical Technology, Kagawa Prefectural University of Health Sciences, Takamatsu, Kagawa 761-0123, Japan
| | - Akemi Tsutsui
- Department of Hepatology, Kagawa Prefectural Central Hospital, Takamatsu, Kagawa 760-8557, Japan
| | - Tomonori Senoh
- Department of Hepatology, Kagawa Prefectural Central Hospital, Takamatsu, Kagawa 760-8557, Japan
| | - Takuya Nagano
- Department of Hepatology, Kagawa Prefectural Central Hospital, Takamatsu, Kagawa 760-8557, Japan
| | - Chikara Ogawa
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Takamatsu Red Cross Hospital, Takamatsu, Kagawa 760-0017, Japan
| | - Akio Moriya
- Department of Gastroenterology, Mitoyo General Hospital, Kanonji, Kagawa 769-1695, Japan
| | - Akihiro Deguchi
- Department of Gastroenterology, Kagawa Rosai Hospital, Marugame, Kagawa 763-8502, Japan
| | - Kouichi Takaguchi
- Department of Hepatology, Kagawa Prefectural Central Hospital, Takamatsu, Kagawa 760-8557, Japan
| | - Tsutomu Masaki
- Department of Gastroenterology and Neurology, Faculty of Medicine, Kagawa University, Miki, Kagawa 761-0793, Japan
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