Risk Factors for Suicide and Suicidal Behavior Relevant to Emergency Health Care Settings: A Systematic Review of Post-2007 Reviews

Childhood adversity and mental health admission patterns prior to young person suicide (CHASE): a case-control 36 year linked hospital data study, Scotland UK 1981-2017

BACKGROUND

Childhood adversity is associated with increased later mental health problems and suicidal behaviour. Opportunities for earlier healthcare identification and intervention are needed.

AIM

To determine associations between hospital admissions for childhood adversity and mental health in children who later die by suicide.

METHOD

Population-based longitudinal case-control study. Scottish in-patient general and psychiatric records were summarised for individuals born 1981 or later who died by suicide between 1991 and 2017 (cases), and matched controls (1:10), for childhood adversity and mental health (broadly defined as psychiatric diagnoses and general hospital admissions for self-harm and substance use).

RESULTS

Records were extracted for 2477 'cases' and 24 777 'controls'; 2106 cases (85%) and 13 589 controls (55%) had lifespan hospitalisations. Mean age at death was 23.7; 75.9% were male. Maltreatment or violence-related childhood adversity codes were recorded for 7.6% cases aged 10-17 (160/2106) versus 2.7% controls (371/13 589), odds ratio = 2.9 (95% CI, 2.4-3.6); mental health-related admissions were recorded for 21.7% cases (458/2106), versus 4.1% controls (560/13 589), odds ratio = 6.5 (95% CI, 5.7-7.4); 80% of mental health admissions were in general hospitals. Using conditional logistic models, we found a dose-response effect of mental health admissions <18y, with highest adjusted odds ratio (aOR) for three or more mental health admissions: aORmale = 8.17 (95% CI, 5.02-13.29), aORfemale = 15.08 (95% CI, 8.07-28.17). We estimated that each type of childhood adversity multiplied odds of suicide by aORmale = 1.90 (95% CI, 1.64-2.21), aORfemale = 2.65 (95% CI, 1.94-3.62), and each mental health admission by aORmale = 2.06 (95% CI, 1.81-2.34), aORfemale = 1.78 (95% CI, 1.50-2.10).

CONCLUSIONS

Our lifespan study found that experiencing childhood adversity (primarily maltreatment or violence-related admissions) or mental health admissions increased odds of young person suicide, with highest odds for those experiencing both. Healthcare practitioners should identify and flag potential 'at-risk' adolescents to prevent future suicidal acts, especially those in general hospitals.

Suicidal Behavior and Early Maladaptive Schemas and Schema Domains

ABSTRACT

Suicidal behavior is a risk factor for suicide attempts. Identifying the factors that increase suicidal behavior risk is paramount for overall suicide prevention efforts. One model that may contribute to our understanding of the relationship between early life experiences and suicidal behavior is the schema theory. This study aimed to examine suicidal behavior, early maladaptive schemas (EMSs), and schema domains using a large Brazilian nonclinical sample. The study included 19,060 individuals. We assessed sociodemographic variables, suicidal behavior (Suicidal Behavior Questionnaire), and EMSs (Young Schema Questionnaire) using an online, Web-based survey. Our results showed that, when comparing participants with no ideation with those with serious suicide attempts, we found significant statistical differences in all EMSs (all p 's < 0.05), with higher scores in those with serious suicide attempts. Our results suggest that specific unmet emotional needs during childhood can affect mental health and result in serious suicide attempts in adulthood.

Identification of Risk Factors for Suicide and Insights for Developing Suicide Prevention Technologies: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Suicide is a termite that engulfs close to seven hundred thousand people worldwide each year. Existing work on risk factors that predict suicide lacks statistical associations, does not consider most countries, and has a wide range of risk factor domains. The goal of this systematic review and meta-analysis is to enhance our current understanding of suicidality by identifying risk factors that are most strongly associated with suicide and their impact on developing technological interventions for suicide prevention. A search strategy was carried out on four databases: (1) PsycINFO, (2) IEEE Xplore, (3) the ACM Digital Library, and (4) PubMed, and twenty-five studies were included based on the inclusion criteria. Factors statistically associated with suicide are any diagnosed mental disorder, adverse life events, past suicide attempts, low education level, loneliness or high levels of isolation, bipolar disorder, depression, multiple chronic health conditions, family history of suicide, sexual trauma, and being female. Domain-wise, comorbid disorders, and behavior-related risk factors are most strongly associated with suicide. We present a new hierarchical model of risk factors for suicide that advances our understanding of suicide and its causes. Finally, we present open research directions and considerations for developing suicide prevention technologies.

Genomics-driven screening for causal determinants of suicide attempt

OBJECTIVE

Each year, around one million people die by suicide. Despite its recognition as a public health concern, large-scale research on causal determinants of suicide attempt risk is scarce. Here, we leverage results from a recent genome-wide association study (GWAS) of suicide attempt to perform a data-driven screening of traits causally associated with suicide attempt.

METHODS

We performed a hypothesis-generating phenome-wide screening of causal relationships between suicide attempt risk and 1520 traits, which have been systematically aggregated on the Complex-Traits Genomics Virtual Lab platform. We employed the latent causal variable (LCV) method, which uses results from GWAS to assess whether a causal relationship can explain a genetic correlation between two traits. If a trait causally influences another one, the genetic variants that increase risk for the causal trait will also increase the risk for the outcome inducing a genetic correlation. Nonetheless, a genetic correlation can also be observed when traits share common pathways. The LCV method can assess whether the pattern of genetic effects for two genetically correlated traits support a causal association rather than a shared aetiology.

RESULTS

Our approach identified 62 traits that increased risk for suicide attempt. Risk factors identified can be broadly classified into (1) physical health disorders, including oesophagitis, fibromyalgia, hernia and cancer; (2) mental health-related traits, such as depression, substance use disorders and anxiety; and (3) lifestyle traits including being involved in combat or exposure to a war zone, and specific job categories such as being a truck driver or machine operator.

CONCLUSIONS

Suicide attempt risk is likely explained by a combination of behavioural phenotypes and risk for both physical and psychiatric disorders. Our results also suggest that substance use behaviours and pain-related conditions are associated with an increased suicide attempt risk, elucidating important causal mechanisms that underpin this significant public health problem.

Investigation of the association between lithium levels in drinking water and suicide mortality in Hungary

BACKGROUND

In recent decades, a series of ecological studies from various countries have attempted to reveal whether there is an association between trace amounts of lithium in drinking water and suicide mortality. With some notable exceptions, results have indicated that there is an inverse association between these two variables. Since Hungary had extremely high rates of suicide with a persistent spatial pattern, we consider that our country is ideal to investigate this research question.

METHODS

We carried out our research on Hungarian data at the level of districts (n = 197). The dependent variable was the age- and gender-standardized mortality ratio for suicide (sSMR). Our main explanatory variable was the tap water lithium level (Li) from public drinking water supply systems using their own water source (n = 1 325). Those data, which give full national coverage, were aggregated to the level of districts. Confounding factors were religiosity, alcohol consumption and income. Various regression models were used for statistical calculations.

RESULTS

Findings from our most appropriate regression model - adjusted for relevant confounding variables and able to handle spatial autocorrelation and heteroscedasticity - suggest a significant (p < 0.05) and a trend-like (p < 0.1) negative association between Li and sSMR in the total population and among males, respectively. However, such an association was not found between these two variables among females.

CONCLUSION

In line with the majority of findings from other countries, our results indicate that the intake of lithium with drinking water may have a gender-dependent suicide-protective effect.

Ethical concerns relating to genetic risk scores for suicide

Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) provide valuable information in research contexts regarding genomic changes that contribute to risks for complex psychiatric conditions like major depressive disorder. GWAS results can be used to calculate polygenic risk scores (PRS) for psychiatric conditions, such as bipolar disorder or schizophrenia, as well as for other traits, such as obesity or hypertension. Private companies that provide direct-to-consumer (DTC) genetic testing sometimes report PRS for a variety of traits. Recently, the first well-powered GWAS study for suicide death was published. PRS reports that claim to assess suicide risk are therefore likely to appear soon in the DTC setting. We describe ethical concerns regarding the commercial use of GWAS results related to suicide. We identify several issues that must be addressed before PRS for suicide risk is made available to the public through DTC: (a) the potential for misinterpretation of results, (b) consumers' perceptions about determinism and behavior change, (c) potential contributions to stigma, discrimination, and health disparities; and (d) ethical problems regarding the testing of children and vulnerable adults. Tests for genetic prediction of suicidality may eventually have clinical significance, but until then, the potential for individual and public harm significantly outweighs any potential benefit. Even if genetic prediction of suicidality improves significantly, information about genetic risk scores must be distributed cautiously, with genetic counseling, and with adequate safeguards.

Healthy diet, depression and quality of life: A narrative review of biological mechanisms and primary prevention opportunities

Unipolar depressive disorder (UDD) affects more than 264 million people worldwide and was projected well before the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 pandemic to be the leading cause of disability-adjusted life years lost in 2030. It is imperative for leading economies to implement preventive strategies targeted towards UDD, given consistent policies are currently lacking. Recently established similarities between the aetiological hypotheses of depression and cardiometabolic diseases are shifting paradigms within this field. It is believed that dietary practices could potentially reduce the incidence of depression; similar to their effects on metabolism. Thus, the aim of this review was to compile current evidence on healthy dietary patterns as suitable contributors towards primary prevention strategies against UDD. Most of the well-known biological mechanisms behind depression have been positively associated with healthful diets and dietary patterns to varying degrees. Interestingly, a common factor of UDD is the production and overall effects of inflammatory cytokines, such as interleukin-6, tumor necrosis factor-α, and C-reactive protein. These compounds have been associated with depressive symptoms, disturbances in neuroendocrine function, leaky gut, monoamine activity and brain function, while also being key factors in the development of cardiometabolic diseases. The Mediterranean diet (MD) in particular, is well supported by first-level evidence regarding its preventive qualities against metabolic and cardiovascular diseases and thus considered a model for healthy eating by various organizations. In one of the few clinical trials investigating these associations, the PREDIMED trial, individuals with diabetes assigned to a MD supplemented with mixed tree nuts experienced a 41% relative risk reduction for developing depression. Lastly, there is a need to include health related quality of life as an indicator of physical and mental well-being, considering its putative associations with depression and suicide risk. Going forward, focusing on clinical trials, using precise nutritional assessments, and identifying nutritional biomarkers which may be related to depression are needed to fully support the implementation of dietary recommendations in the field of psychiatry.

Childhood abuse experiences, depression and dissociation symptoms in relation to suicide attempts and suicidal ideation

This study aimed to examine associations between suicide attempts (SA), suicidal ideation (SI), depression, dissociative symptoms, emotional abuse, physical abuse and sexual abuse, and to explore predictors of SA and SI, as well as possible mediating factors. We also aimed to examine support for a dissociative depression subgroup. Participating in this study were 342 adults, of these were 138 respondents with a diagnosis of depression (DG), and 204 respondents comprising a community sample (CS). Respondents completed the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale - Revised (CESD-R), Childhood Trauma Questionnaire - Short Form (CTQ-SF), and Dissociative Experience Scale (DES). All but two (DES-Absorption and DES - Depersonalization/Derealization) of the study variable mean scores were higher in the DG than in the CS group. Regression analysis showed that SA was predicted by sexual abuse and DES-Amnesia in the CS group. Structural equation modeling revealed that in both groups the types of abuse were reciprocally correlated, emotional abuse was linked to dissociation, which in turn was related to depression, which is turn was predictive of suicide ideation. Depression had a full mediating effect between dissociation and suicide ideation in the CS, and a partial mediating effect in the DG. Sexual abuse had a direct effect upon depression and suicide ideation in the DG. Cluster analysis provided support for a dissociative depression subtype.

Religion and Health in Arctic Norway - the association of religious and spiritual factors with suicidal behaviour in a mixed Sámi and Norwegian adult population - The SAMINOR 2 Questionnaire Survey

Given the higher suicide rates among the adult population in the northernmost part of Norway and some unfavourable psychosocial outcomes associated with the Laestadian revival movement in this region, it is reasonable to investigate the relationship between religiosity/spirituality and suicidal behaviour in this context. This study used cross-sectional data from the population-based SAMINOR 2 questionnaire survey (2012; n = 11,222; 66% non-Sámi; 22% Laestadian-affiliated; 27% response rate) in mixed Sámi-Norwegian areas of Mid and North Norway. We analysed the associations between religious/spiritual factors and lifetime suicidal ideation and attempts, age at the first attempt, motives, and number of attempts. Multivariable-adjusted regression models considering sociodemographics, Sámi background and self-ascription, and health-related risk factors were applied. Sámi and Laestadian affiliations were significantly associated with religious self-ascription, regular attendance, and Established Church membership. In a fully adjusted model, Laestadian family background was negatively associated with lifetime suicide attempts (OR = 0.66, 95% CI: 0.47–0.93) compared with other family circumstances, whereas regular religious participation was inversely associated with suicide ideation (OR = 0.74, 95% CI: 0.61–0.91) compared with non- or rare attendance. The findings suggest that Laestadianism and religious attendance contribute to less suicidal behaviour among adults in Sámi-Norwegian areas.

Prevalence of anxiety, depression and suicidal behaviors among Brazilian undergraduate students: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The university context can be an overwhelming background, being especially harmful to undergraduates' mental health. Considering that several studies have reported on the prevalence of psychological distress among Brazilian undergraduate students, this study aimed to conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis of the prevalence and associated factors of anxiety, depression and suicidal behavior in this population.

METHODS

Studies reporting on the prevalence of anxiety, depression and suicidal behavior and its associated factors among Brazilian undergraduate students were systematically searched in scientific electronic databases. Pooled prevalence was calculated using a random-effects meta-analysis. Individual associated factors were summarized, and study characteristics associated with outcome prevalence were tested through meta-regression analysis.

RESULTS

Forty-seven articles were included, of which 44 were meta-analyzed (37,486 undergraduates). The pooled prevalence estimates of anxiety, depression and suicidal behavior were 37.75%, 28.51%, and 9.10%, respectively. Meta-regression analysis showed that investigations with probabilistic samples presented a higher prevalence of anxiety and that studies conducted within public institutions and with samples of exclusively medical students presented higher frequencies of depression.

LIMITATIONS

Cross-sectional data do not allow the establishment of temporality and causal inference. Furthermore, the high heterogeneity of the included studies may also constitute a weakness of this review.

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of anxiety, depression and suicidal behavior among Brazilian undergraduates was high. These results have scientific and practical implications, the former regarding the need for the standardization of the methodology of studies and the latter regarding the need for comprehensive mental health care for Brazilian undergraduates.

Investigation to identify individual socioeconomic and health determinants of suicidal ideation using responses to a cross-sectional, community-based public health survey

OBJECTIVES

To address a gap in knowledge by simultaneously assessing a broad spectrum of individual socioeconomic and potential health determinants of suicidal ideation (SI) using validated measures in a large UK representative community sample.

DESIGN

In this cross-sectional design, participants were recruited via random area probability sampling to participate in a comprehensive public health survey. The questionnaire examined demographic, health and socioeconomic factors. Logistic regression analysis was employed to identify predictors of SI.

SETTING

Community setting from high (n=20) and low (n=8) deprivation neighbourhoods across the North West of England, UK.

PARTICIPANTS

4319 people were recruited between August 2015 and January 2016. There were 809 participants from low-deprivation neighbourhoods and 3510 from high-deprivation neighbourhoods. The sample comprised 1854 (43%) men and 2465 (57%) women.

PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURES

SI was the dependent variable which was assessed using item 9 of the Patient Health Questionnaire-9 instrument.

RESULTS

454 (11%) participants reported having SI within the last 2 weeks. Model 1 (excluding mental health variables) identified younger age, black and minority ethnic (BME) background, lower housing quality and current smoker status as key predictors of SI. Higher self-esteem, empathy and neighbourhood belonging, alcohol abstinence and having arthritis were protective against SI. Model 2 (including mental health variables) found depression and having cancer as key health predictors for SI, while identifying as lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender or queer (LGBTQ) and BME were significant demographic predictors. Alcohol abstinence, having arthritis and higher empathy levels were protective against SI.

CONCLUSIONS

This study suggests that it could be useful to increase community support and sense of belonging using a public health approach for vulnerable groups (e.g. those with cancer) and peer support for people who identify as LGBTQ and/or BME. Also, interventions aimed at increasing empathic functioning may prove effective for reducing SI.

Hypertension Treatment Modality and Suicide Risk Among Veterans in Veterans Health Administration Care From 2015 to 2017

IMPORTANCE

The Veterans Health Administration (VHA) serves a population of veterans with a high prevalence of comorbid health conditions and increased risk for suicide.

OBJECTIVE

To replicate the findings of a previous study and assess whether exposure to angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs) is associated with differential suicide risk compared with angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs) among veterans receiving VHA care.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This nested case-control design included all suicide decedents from 2015 to 2017 with a VHA inpatient or outpatient encounter in the prior year and with either an active ACEI or ARB prescription in the 100 days prior to death. Using a 4:1 ratio, controls were matched to cases by age, sex, and hypertension and diabetes diagnoses. Controls were alive at the time of the death of the matched case, had a VHA encounter within the previous year, and had either an active ACEI or ARB medication fill within 100 days before the death of the matched case.

EXPOSURES

An active ACEI or ARB prescription within 100 days before the death of the case.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Cases were suicide decedents from 2015 to 2017 per National Death Index search results included in the Veteran Affairs/Department of Defense Mortality Data Repository.

RESULTS

Among 1309 cases, the median (interquartile range [IQR]) age was 68 (60-76) years and among 5217 controls, the median (IQR) age was 67 (60-76) years, and 1.9% of veterans in both groups were female. ARBs were received by 20.2% of controls and 19.6% of cases; ACEIs were received by 79.8% of controls and 80.4% of cases. The crude suicide odds ratio for ARBs vs ACEIs was 0.966 (95% CI, 0.828-1.127). Controlling for covariates, the adjusted odds ratio for ARBs was 0.985 (95% CI, 0.834-1.164). Sensitivity analyses using only those covariates that differed significantly between groups, restricting to veterans ages 65 and older, dropping matching criteria, and adjusting for the quantity and temporal proximity of ACEI and ARB exposure in the 100 days prior to the index date, had consistent findings.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

This case-control study did not identify differences in suicide risk by receipt of ARBs vs ACEIs in analyses specific to veterans receiving VHA care in contrast with findings from the referent study.

Vitamin D deficiency and suicidal ideation: A cross-sectional study of 157,211 healthy adults

OBJECTIVES

Vitamin D deficiency has been reported to be associated with various neuropsychiatric disorders. However, there are few studies addressing deficient vitamin D levels and suicidal ideation.

METHODS

Serum vitamin D of 157,211 Korean adult participants were measured using electrochemiluminescence immunoassay. A self-reported questionnaire was used to assess whether participants experienced suicidal ideation. Logistic regression model was used to estimate the odds ratio (OR) of suicidal ideation according to vitamin D levels. The regression was adjusted for a range of covariates.

RESULTS

Compared with sufficient vitamin D levels (≥20 ng/mL), deficient vitamin D levels (<10 ng/mL) were significantly associated with the risk of suicidal ideation (OR = 1.138, 95% Cl = 1.027-1.262). However, the OR of suicidal ideation was not significantly different between the vitamin D insufficient group (10-19.99 ng/mL) and sufficient group (≥20 ng/mL) (OR = 0.988, 95% Cl = 0.932-1.047).

CONCLUSION

Deficient vitamin D levels were significantly associated with the risk of suicidal ideation. However, the risk of suicidal ideation was not significantly different between the vitamin D insufficient group and sufficient group.

Aboriginal and Non-Aboriginal Emergency Department Presentations Involving Suicide-Related Thoughts and Behaviors

Background: Rates of hospital admission for suicide-related thoughts and behaviors (SRTBs) are elevated in the Northern Territory (NT) of Australia, especially by Aboriginal people, but very little is known about emergency department (ED) presentations. Aim: We aimed to profile ED presentations in the NT involving SRTBs by Indigenous status and compare discharge arrangements. Method: Logistic regression analyses were performed on data from electronic patient records of consecutive ED presentations involving SRTBs. Results: During the study period, 167 presentations were observed. Aboriginal patients were more likely to present from remote areas and to report substance misuse and family conflict or violence compared with non-Aboriginal patients. In both groups, males were more likely than females to be admitted as were persons presenting with self-harm compared with those who had suicidal thoughts only. No differences in discharge arrangements were identified by Indigenous status. Limitations: The small scale of the study and use of administrative records points to the need for further research to improve the quality of the evidence. Conclusion: While presentations by high-risk groups are more likely to be admitted for further care, the assessment of psychosocial risks and needs in EDs is vital to informing decisions for aftercare that support recovery in the community for Aboriginal patients and patients discharged from EDs.

Professional Adversities and Protective Factors Associated with Suicidal Ideation in Mexican Psychiatrists

BACKGROUND

Psychiatrists may be at an increased risk of suicide, since they encounter stressful factors in their everyday activities in addition to the sociodemographic factors for suicidal ideation reported for Mexican population.

AIM OF THE STUDY

To determine whether experiences inherent to the profession were related to the self-report of suicidal ideation among Mexican psychiatrists or could be attributed to factors previously reported in the general population (age, marital status, presence of a mental disorder and not having received specialized treatment).

METHODS

This was a cross-sectional retrospective study with 288 psychiatrists from Mexico who participated through an online survey where current working activities, self-reported mental health conditions (major depression, anxiety, burnout and suicidal ideation) and professional adversities (assaults, lawsuits, patients with suicidal ideation or who had committed suicide, perceived discrimination and social support) throughout the professional lifespan were evaluated.

RESULTS

Twenty-two psychiatrists (7.6%) reported having had suicidal ideation at some point in their training in psychiatry or their professional lives as psychiatrists. Depression and burnout were the most important predictors for suicidal ideation while greater satisfaction with social support was the most important protector, followed by being married/living together and having other physicians in the family.

CONCLUSIONS

Psychiatrist represent a risk population for suicidal ideation. As such, detection and attention are essential. Psychiatrists need to be encouraged to pursue healthy, lasting interpersonal relationships and seek professional help when required.

Protective Factors of Suicide and Suicidal Behavior Relevant to Emergency Healthcare Settings: A Systematic Review and Narrative Synthesis of Post-2007 Reviews

Suicide is a major public health concern and, with recent societal changes, such as economic and technological changes, there may be emerging protective factors that mitigate suicide risk that are unrecognized in emergency healthcare. This systematic review aims to identify protective factors for suicide that can feasibly be assessed in time-limited emergency healthcare settings. A systematic review of reviews was conducted via PsycINFO, CINAHL and Medline (2007-2015). Reviews were assessed for methodological quality using AMSTAR. A total of 24 reviews met the inclusion criteria and 8 were assessed as high quality and included in a narrative synthesis. Known protective factors were identified (e.g., social support), along with emerging protective factors (e.g., internet support). The review synthesizes recent research evidence on protective factors and discusses their relevance to emergency healthcare.

Depression in Ultra-endurance Athletes, A Review and Recommendations

Depression affects 6.7% of the adult population each year and studies indicate the annual prevalence is similar or even higher in athletes. It is often insidious and not recognized. There continues to be stigma and misunderstanding about the disorder that is a barrier to getting an accurate diagnosis and effective treatment. It is important for people living with depression to get professional help because the condition itself can be disabling, increases risk of suicide, and reduces quality of life. There is some evidence that depression and suicide risk is higher in endurance athletes such as track and field, marathoner, and ultramarathoners. There have been studies of athletes looking at rates reporting depressive symptoms and on factors in suicide attempts in the athletes. Studies have reviewed risk factors unique to athletes for depression. This article will review depression in the endurance athlete and approaches in treatment in that population.

Predicting suicide with the SAD PERSONS scale

BACKGROUND

Suicide is a major public health issue, and a priority requirement is accurately identifying high-risk individuals. The SAD PERSONS suicide risk assessment scale is widely implemented in clinical settings despite limited supporting evidence. This article aims to determine the ability of the SAD PERSONS scale (SPS) to predict future suicide in the emergency department.

METHODS

Five thousand four hundred sixty-two consecutive adults were seen by psychiatry consultation teams in two tertiary emergency departments with linkage to population-based administrative data to determine suicide deaths within 6 months, 1, and 5 years.

RESULTS

Seventy-seven (1.4%) individuals died by suicide during the study period. When predicting suicide at 12 months, medium- and high-risk scores on SPS had a sensitivity of 49% and a specificity of 60%; the positive and negative predictive values were 0.9 and 99%, respectively. Half of the suicides at both 6- and 12-month intervals were classified as low risk by SPS at index visit. The area under the curve at 12 months for the Modified SPS was 0.59 (95% confidence interval [CI] range 0.51-0.67). High-risk scores (compared to low risk) were significantly associated with death by suicide over the 5-year study period using the SPS (hazard ratio 2.49; 95% CI 1.34-4.61) and modified version (hazard ratio 2.29; 95% CI 1.24-2.29).

CONCLUSIONS

Although widely used in educational and clinical settings, these findings do not support the use of the SPS and Modified SPS to predict suicide in adults seen by psychiatric services in the emergency department.