Retinal age gap as a predictive biomarker for mortality risk

Fundus Image Deep Learning Study to Explore the Association of Retinal Morphology with Age-Related Macular Degeneration Polygenic Risk Score

BACKGROUND

Age-related macular degeneration (AMD) is a complex eye disorder with an environmental and genetic origin, affecting millions worldwide. The study aims to explore the association between retinal morphology and the polygenic risk score (PRS) for AMD using fundus images and deep learning techniques.

METHODS

The study used and pre-processed 23,654 fundus images from 332 subjects (235 patients with AMD and 97 controls), ultimately selecting 558 high-quality images for analysis. The fine-tuned DenseNet121 deep learning model was employed to estimate PRS from single fundus images. After training, deep features were extracted, fused, and used in machine learning regression models to estimate PRS for each subject. The Grad-CAM technique was applied to examine the relationship between areas of increased model activity and the retina's morphological features specific to AMD.

RESULTS

Using the hybrid approach improved the results obtained by DenseNet121 in 5-fold cross-validation. The final evaluation metrics for all predictions from the best model from each fold are MAE = 0.74, MSE = 0.85, RMSE = 0.92, R2 = 0.18, MAPE = 2.41. Grad-CAM heatmap evaluation showed that the model decisions rely on lesion area, focusing mostly on the presence of drusen. The proposed approach was also shown to be sensitive to artifacts present in the image.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings indicate an association between fundus images and AMD PRS, suggesting that deep learning models may effectively estimate genetic risk for AMD from retinal images, potentially aiding in early detection and personalized treatment strategies.

Validation of neuron activation patterns for artificial intelligence models in oculomics

Recent advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) have prompted researchers to expand into the field of oculomics; the association between the retina and systemic health. Unlike conventional AI models trained on well-recognized retinal features, the retinal phenotypes that most oculomics models use are more subtle. Consequently, applying conventional tools, such as saliency maps, to understand how oculomics models arrive at their inference is problematic and open to bias. We hypothesized that neuron activation patterns (NAPs) could be an alternative way to interpret oculomics models, but currently, most existing implementations focus on failure diagnosis. In this study, we designed a novel NAP framework to interpret an oculomics model. We then applied our framework to an AI model predicting systolic blood pressure from fundus images in the United Kingdom Biobank dataset. We found that the NAP generated from our framework was correlated to the clinically relevant endpoint of cardiovascular risk. Our NAP was also able to discern two biologically distinct groups among participants who were assigned the same predicted systolic blood pressure. These results demonstrate the feasibility of our proposed NAP framework for gaining deeper insights into the functioning of oculomics models. Further work is required to validate these results on external datasets.

Foundation model-driven distributed learning for enhanced retinal age prediction

OBJECTIVES

The retinal age gap (RAG) is emerging as a potential biomarker for various diseases of the human body, yet its utility depends on machine learning models capable of accurately predicting biological retinal age from fundus images. However, training generalizable models is hindered by potential shortages of diverse training data. To overcome these obstacles, this work develops a novel and computationally efficient distributed learning framework for retinal age prediction.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The proposed framework employs a memory-efficient 8-bit quantized version of RETFound, a cutting-edge foundation model for retinal image analysis, to extract features from fundus images. These features are then used to train an efficient linear regression head model for predicting retinal age. The framework explores federated learning (FL) as well as traveling model (TM) approaches for distributed training of the linear regression head. To evaluate this framework, we simulate a client network using fundus image data from the UK Biobank. Additionally, data from patients with type 1 diabetes from the UK Biobank and the Brazilian Multilabel Ophthalmological Dataset (BRSET) were utilized to explore the clinical utility of the developed methods.

RESULTS

Our findings reveal that the developed distributed learning framework achieves retinal age prediction performance on par with centralized methods, with FL and TM providing similar performance (mean absolute error of 3.57 ± 0.18 years for centralized learning, 3.60 ± 0.16 years for TM, and 3.63 ± 0.19 years for FL). Notably, the TM was found to converge with fewer local updates than FL. Moreover, patients with type 1 diabetes exhibited significantly higher RAG values than healthy controls in all models, for both the UK Biobank and BRSET datasets (P < .001).

DISCUSSION

The high computational and memory efficiency of the developed distributed learning framework makes it well suited for resource-constrained environments.

CONCLUSION

The capacity of this framework to integrate data from underrepresented populations for training of retinal age prediction models could significantly enhance the accessibility of the RAG as an important disease biomarker.

Sleep onset time as a mediator in the association between screen exposure and aging: a cross-sectional study

Excessive screen exposure has become a significant health concern. This study investigates the impact of screen time on aging in middle-aged and elderly populations. Healthy working adults over 45 years old in Shanghai, China, underwent general and ocular examinations. Questionnaires collected demographics, medical history, and screen exposure details. Aging was assessed using the retinal age gap, defined as the difference between the retinal age predicted by deep learning algorithms based on fundus images and chronological age. Pathway analysis tested the mediation effect of sleep duration and onset time on the relationship between screen usage and retinal age gap. The retinal age gap increased with longer screen exposure, from 0.49 ± 3.51 years in the lowest tertile to 5.13 ± 4.96 years in the highest tertile (Jonckheere-Terpstra test, p < 0.001). Each additional hour of screen exposure accelerated the retinal age gap by 0.087 years (95% CI, 0.027, 0.148, p = 0.005) in the fully adjusted linear model. Sleep onset time mediated the impact of screen usage on the retinal age gap (indirect effect, β = 0.11; 95% CI 0.04-0.24). The impact of screen usage in a light-off environment on the retinal age gap was fully mediated by sleep onset time (indirect effect, β = 0.22; 95% CI 0.07-0.38), with the proportion being 100%. Our study identified a correlation between excessive screen time and a wider retinal age gap in middle-aged and elderly individuals, likely due to delayed sleep onset. To mitigate the adverse effects on the retina and aging, it is important to limit screen usage and avoid screens before bedtime.

Estimating biological age from retinal imaging: a scoping review

BACKGROUND/AIMS

The emerging concept of retinal age, a biomarker derived from retinal images, holds promise in estimating biological age. The retinal age gap (RAG) represents the difference between retinal age and chronological age, which serves as an indicator of deviations from normal ageing. This scoping review aims to collate studies on retinal age to determine its potential clinical utility and to identify knowledge gaps for future research.

METHODS

Using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses checklist, eligible non-review, human studies were identified, selected and appraised. PubMed, Scopus, SciELO, PsycINFO, Google Scholar, Cochrane, CINAHL, Africa Wide EBSCO, MedRxiv and BioRxiv databases were searched to identify literature pertaining to retinal age, the RAG and their associations. No restrictions were imposed on publication date.

RESULTS

Thirteen articles published between 2022 and 2023 were analysed, revealing four models capable of determining biological age from retinal images. Three models, 'Retinal Age', 'EyeAge' and a 'convolutional network-based model', achieved comparable mean absolute errors: 3.55, 3.30 and 3.97, respectively. A fourth model, 'RetiAGE', predicting the probability of being older than 65 years, also demonstrated strong predictive ability with respect to clinical outcomes. In the models identified, a higher predicted RAG demonstrated an association with negative occurrences, notably mortality and cardiovascular health outcomes.

CONCLUSION

This review highlights the potential clinical application of retinal age and RAG, emphasising the need for further research to establish their generalisability for clinical use, particularly in neuropsychiatry. The identified models showcase promising accuracy in estimating biological age, suggesting its viability for evaluating health status.

Retina Fundus Photograph-Based Artificial Intelligence Algorithms in Medicine: A Systematic Review

We conducted a systematic review of research in artificial intelligence (AI) for retinal fundus photographic images. We highlighted the use of various AI algorithms, including deep learning (DL) models, for application in ophthalmic and non-ophthalmic (i.e., systemic) disorders. We found that the use of AI algorithms for the interpretation of retinal images, compared to clinical data and physician experts, represents an innovative solution with demonstrated superior accuracy in identifying many ophthalmic (e.g., diabetic retinopathy (DR), age-related macular degeneration (AMD), optic nerve disorders), and non-ophthalmic disorders (e.g., dementia, cardiovascular disease). There has been a significant amount of clinical and imaging data for this research, leading to the potential incorporation of AI and DL for automated analysis. AI has the potential to transform healthcare by improving accuracy, speed, and workflow, lowering cost, increasing access, reducing mistakes, and transforming healthcare worker education and training.

Standardization and clinical applications of retinal imaging biomarkers for cardiovascular disease: a Roadmap from an NHLBI workshop

The accessibility of the retina with the use of non-invasive and relatively low-cost ophthalmic imaging techniques and analytics provides a unique opportunity to improve the detection, diagnosis and monitoring of systemic diseases. The National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute conducted a workshop in October 2022 to examine this concept. On the basis of the discussions at that workshop, this Roadmap describes current knowledge gaps and new research opportunities to evaluate the relationships between the eye (in particular, retinal biomarkers) and the risk of cardiovascular diseases, including coronary artery disease, heart failure, stroke, hypertension and vascular dementia. Identified gaps include the need to simplify and standardize the capture of high-quality images of the eye by non-ophthalmic health workers and to conduct longitudinal studies using multidisciplinary networks of diverse at-risk populations with improved implementation and methods to protect participant and dataset privacy. Other gaps include improving the measurement of structural and functional retinal biomarkers, determining the relationship between microvascular and macrovascular risk factors, improving multimodal imaging 'pipelines', and integrating advanced imaging with 'omics', lifestyle factors, primary care data and radiological reports, by using artificial intelligence technology to improve the identification of individual-level risk. Future research on retinal microvascular disease and retinal biomarkers might additionally provide insights into the temporal development of microvascular disease across other systemic vascular beds.

Deep Learning-Based Vascular Aging Prediction From Retinal Fundus Images

Purpose

The purpose of this study was to establish and validate a deep learning model to screen vascular aging using retinal fundus images. Although vascular aging is considered a novel cardiovascular risk factor, the assessment methods are currently limited and often only available in developed regions.

Methods

We used 8865 retinal fundus images and clinical parameters of 4376 patients from two independent datasets for training a deep learning algorithm. The gold standard for vascular aging was defined as a pulse wave velocity ≥1400 cm/s. The probability of the presence of vascular aging was defined as deep learning retinal vascular aging score, the Reti-aging score. We compared the performance of the deep learning model and clinical parameters by calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC). We recruited clinical specialists, including ophthalmologists and geriatricians, to assess vascular aging in patients using retinal fundus images, aiming to compare the diagnostic performance between deep learning models and clinical specialists. Finally, the potential of Reti-aging score for identifying new-onset hypertension (NH) and new-onset carotid artery plaque (NCP) in the subsequent three years was examined.

Results

The Reti-aging score model achieved an AUC of 0.826 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.793-0.855) and 0.779 (95% CI = 0.765-0.794) in the internal and external dataset. It showed better performance in predicting vascular aging compared with the prediction with clinical parameters. The average accuracy of ophthalmologists (66.3%) was lower than that of the Reti-aging score model, whereas geriatricians were unable to make predictions based on retinal fundus images. The Reti-aging score was associated with the risk of NH and NCP (P < 0.05).

Conclusions

The Reti-aging score model might serve as a novel method to predict vascular aging through analysis of retinal fundus images. Reti-aging score provides a novel indicator to predict new-onset cardiovascular diseases.

Translational Relevance

Given the robust performance of our model, it provides a new and reliable method for screening vascular aging, especially in undeveloped areas.

Coordinate-wise monotonic transformations enable privacy-preserving age estimation with 3D face point cloud

The human face is a valuable biomarker of aging, but the collection and use of its image raise significant privacy concerns. Here we present an approach for facial data masking that preserves age-related features using coordinate-wise monotonic transformations. We first develop a deep learning model that estimates age directly from non-registered face point clouds with high accuracy and generalizability. We show that the model learns a highly indistinguishable mapping using faces treated with coordinate-wise monotonic transformations, indicating that the relative positioning of facial information is a low-level biomarker of facial aging. Through visual perception tests and computational 3D face verification experiments, we demonstrate that transformed faces are significantly more difficult to perceive for human but not for machines, except when only the face shape information is accessible. Our study leads to a facial data protection guideline that has the potential to broaden public access to face datasets with minimized privacy risks.

Deep learning-based prediction of one-year mortality in Finland is an accurate but unfair aging marker

Short-term mortality risk, which is indicative of individual frailty, serves as a marker for aging. Previous age clocks focused on predicting either chronological age or longer-term mortality. Aging clocks predicting short-term mortality are lacking and their algorithmic fairness remains unexamined. We developed a deep learning model to predict 1-year mortality using nationwide longitudinal data from the Finnish population (FinRegistry; n = 5.4 million), incorporating more than 8,000 features spanning up to 50 years. We achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.944, outperforming a baseline model that included only age and sex (AUC = 0.897). The model generalized well to different causes of death (AUC > 0.800 for 45 of 50 causes), including coronavirus disease 2019, which was absent in the training data. Performance varied among demographics, with young females exhibiting the best and older males the worst results. Extensive prediction fairness analyses highlighted disparities among disadvantaged groups, posing challenges to equitable integration into public health interventions. Our model accurately identified short-term mortality risk, potentially serving as a population-wide aging marker.

Association of retinal age gap with chronic kidney disease and subsequent cardiovascular disease sequelae: a cross-sectional and longitudinal study from the UK Biobank

Background

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) increases the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and is more prevalent in older adults. Retinal age gap, a biomarker of aging based on fundus images, has been previously developed and validated. This study aimed to investigate the association of retinal age gap with CKD and subsequent CVD complications.

Methods

A deep learning model was trained to predict the retinal age using 19 200 fundus images of 11 052 participants without any medical history at baseline. Retinal age gap, calculated as retinal age predicted minus chronological age, was calculated for the remaining 35 906 participants. Logistic regression models and Cox proportional hazards regression models were used for the association analysis.

Results

A total of 35 906 participants (56.75 ± 8.04 years, 55.68% female) were included in this study. In the cross-sectional analysis, each 1-year increase in retinal age gap was associated with a 2% increase in the risk of CKD prevalence [odds ratio 1.02, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.01-1.04, P = .012]. A longitudinal analysis of 35 039 participants demonstrated that 2.87% of them developed CKD in follow-up, and each 1-year increase in retinal age gap was associated with a 3% increase in the risk of CKD incidence (hazard ratio 1.03, 95% CI 1.01-1.05, P = .004). In addition, a total of 111 CKD patients (15.81%) developed CVD in follow-up, and each 1-year increase in retinal age gap was associated with a 10% increase in the risk of incident CVD (hazard ratio 1.10, 95% CI 1.03-1.17, P = .005).

Conclusions

We found that retinal age gap was independently associated with the prevalence and incidence of CKD, and also associated with CVD complications in CKD patients. This supports the use of this novel biomarker in identifying individuals at high risk of CKD and CKD patients with increased risk of CVD.

Determinants of Chromatin Organization in Aging and Cancer-Emerging Opportunities for Epigenetic Therapies and AI Technology

This review article critically examines the pivotal role of chromatin organization in gene regulation, cellular differentiation, disease progression and aging. It explores the dynamic between the euchromatin and heterochromatin, coded by a complex array of histone modifications that orchestrate essential cellular processes. We discuss the pathological impacts of chromatin state misregulation, particularly in cancer and accelerated aging conditions such as progeroid syndromes, and highlight the innovative role of epigenetic therapies and artificial intelligence (AI) in comprehending and harnessing the histone code toward personalized medicine. In the context of aging, this review explores the use of AI and advanced machine learning (ML) algorithms to parse vast biological datasets, leading to the development of predictive models for epigenetic modifications and providing a framework for understanding complex regulatory mechanisms, such as those governing cell identity genes. It supports innovative platforms like CEFCIG for high-accuracy predictions and tools like GridGO for tailored ChIP-Seq analysis, which are vital for deciphering the epigenetic landscape. The review also casts a vision on the prospects of AI and ML in oncology, particularly in the personalization of cancer therapy, including early diagnostics and treatment optimization for diseases like head and neck and colorectal cancers by harnessing computational methods, AI advancements and integrated clinical data for a transformative impact on healthcare outcomes.

Prognostic potentials of AI in ophthalmology: systemic disease forecasting via retinal imaging

BACKGROUND

Artificial intelligence (AI) that utilizes deep learning (DL) has potential for systemic disease prediction using retinal imaging. The retina's unique features enable non-invasive visualization of the central nervous system and microvascular circulation, aiding early detection and personalized treatment plans for personalized care. This review explores the value of retinal assessment, AI-based retinal biomarkers, and the importance of longitudinal prediction models in personalized care.

MAIN TEXT

This narrative review extensively surveys the literature for relevant studies in PubMed and Google Scholar, investigating the application of AI-based retina biomarkers in predicting systemic diseases using retinal fundus photography. The study settings, sample sizes, utilized AI models and corresponding results were extracted and analysed. This review highlights the substantial potential of AI-based retinal biomarkers in predicting neurodegenerative, cardiovascular, and chronic kidney diseases. Notably, DL algorithms have demonstrated effectiveness in identifying retinal image features associated with cognitive decline, dementia, Parkinson's disease, and cardiovascular risk factors. Furthermore, longitudinal prediction models leveraging retinal images have shown potential in continuous disease risk assessment and early detection. AI-based retinal biomarkers are non-invasive, accurate, and efficient for disease forecasting and personalized care.

CONCLUSION

AI-based retinal imaging hold promise in transforming primary care and systemic disease management. Together, the retina's unique features and the power of AI enable early detection, risk stratification, and help revolutionizing disease management plans. However, to fully realize the potential of AI in this domain, further research and validation in real-world settings are essential.

Association between biological aging and diabetic retinopathy

The impact of aging on diabetic retinopathy (DR) remains underestimated. The current study aimed to investigate the association between biological aging and DR, in contrast to chronological age (CA). Using the National Health and Nutrition Survey data from 2005 to 2008. Biological aging was evaluated through the biological age (BA) and phenotypic age (PA), which were calculated from clinical markers. DR was identified in participants with diabetes mellitus (DM) when they exhibited one or more retinal microaneurysms or retinal blot hemorrhages under retinal imaging, with or without the presence of more severe lesions. Survey-weighted multivariable logistic regression was performed, and the regression model was further fitted using restricted cubic splines. The discriminatory capability and clinical utility of the model were evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and decision curve analysis (DCA). Based on weighted analyses, of the 3100 participants included in this study, of which 162 had DR. In the adjusted model, BA (odds ratio [OR] = 1.12, 95% CI, 1.06-1.18) and PA (OR = 1.11, 95% CI, 1.07-1.14) were associated with DR, while CA was not significantly (OR = 1.01, 95% CI, 0.99-1.03). Narrowing the analysis to DM participants and adjusting for factors like insulin showed similar results. ROC and DCA analyses indicate that BA/PA predicted DR better than CA and offer greater clinical utility. The positive association between BA/PA and DR was consistent across subgroups despite potential interactions. Biological aging heightens DR risk, with BA/PA showing a stronger association than CA. Our findings underscored the importance of timely anti-aging interventions for preventing DR.

Deep neural network-estimated age using optical coherence tomography predicts mortality

The concept of biological age has emerged as a measurement that reflects physiological and functional decline with ageing. Here we aimed to develop a deep neural network (DNN) model that predicts biological age from optical coherence tomography (OCT). A total of 84,753 high-quality OCT images from 53,159 individuals in the UK Biobank were included, among which 12,631 3D-OCT images from 8,541 participants without any reported medical conditions at baseline were used to develop an age prediction model. For the remaining 44,618 participants, OCT age gap, the difference between the OCT-predicted age and chronological age, was calculated for each participant. Cox regression models assessed the association between OCT age gap and mortality. The DNN model predicted age with a mean absolute error of 3.27 years and showed a strong correlation of 0.85 with chronological age. After a median follow-up of 11.0 years (IQR 10.9-11.1 years), 2,429 deaths (5.44%) were recorded. For each 5-year increase in OCT age gap, there was an 8% increased mortality risk (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.08, CI:1.02-1.13, P = 0.004). Compared with an OCT age gap within ± 4 years, OCT age gap less than minus 4 years was associated with a 16% decreased mortality risk (HR = 0.84, CI: 0.75-0.94, P = 0.002) and OCT age gap more than 4 years showed an 18% increased risk of death incidence (HR = 1.18, CI: 1.02-1.37, P = 0.026). OCT imaging could serve as an ageing biomarker to predict biological age with high accuracy and the OCT age gap, defined as the difference between the OCT-predicted age and chronological age, can be used as a marker of the risk of mortality.

Application of AI in biological age prediction

The development of anti-aging interventions requires quantitative measurement of biological age. Machine learning models, known as "aging clocks," are built by leveraging diverse aging biomarkers that vary across lifespan to predict biological age. In addition to traditional aging clocks harnessing epigenetic signatures derived from bulk samples, emerging technologies allow the biological age estimating at single-cell level to dissect cellular diversity in aging tissues. Moreover, imaging-based aging clocks are increasingly employed with the advantage of non-invasive measurement, making it suitable for large-scale human cohort studies. To fully capture the features in the ever-growing multi-modal and high-dimensional aging-related data and uncover disease associations, deep-learning based approaches, which are effective to learn complex and non-linear relationships without relying on pre-defined features, are increasingly applied. The use of big data and AI-based aging clocks has achieved high accuracy, interpretability and generalizability, guiding clinical applications to delay age-related diseases and extend healthy lifespans.

Crystalline lens nuclear age prediction as a new biomarker of nucleus degeneration

BACKGROUND

The crystalline lens is a transparent structure of the eye to focus light on the retina. It becomes muddy, hard and dense with increasing age, which makes the crystalline lens gradually lose its function. We aim to develop a nuclear age predictor to reflect the degeneration of the crystalline lens nucleus.

METHODS

First we trained and internally validated the nuclear age predictor with a deep-learning algorithm, using 12 904 anterior segment optical coherence tomography (AS-OCT) images from four diverse Asian and American cohorts: Zhongshan Ophthalmic Center with Machine0 (ZOM0), Tomey Corporation (TOMEY), University of California San Francisco and the Chinese University of Hong Kong. External testing was done on three independent datasets: Tokyo University (TU), ZOM1 and Shenzhen People's Hospital (SPH). We also demonstrate the possibility of detecting nuclear cataracts (NCs) from the nuclear age gap.

FINDINGS

In the internal validation dataset, the nuclear age could be predicted with a mean absolute error (MAE) of 2.570 years (95% CI 1.886 to 2.863). Across the three external testing datasets, the algorithm achieved MAEs of 4.261 years (95% CI 3.391 to 5.094) in TU, 3.920 years (95% CI 3.332 to 4.637) in ZOM1-NonCata and 4.380 years (95% CI 3.730 to 5.061) in SPH-NonCata. The MAEs for NC eyes were 8.490 years (95% CI 7.219 to 9.766) in ZOM1-NC and 9.998 years (95% CI 5.673 to 14.642) in SPH-NC. The nuclear age gap outperformed both ophthalmologists in detecting NCs, with areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves of 0.853 years (95% CI 0.787 to 0.917) in ZOM1 and 0.909 years (95% CI 0.828 to 0.978) in SPH.

INTERPRETATION

The nuclear age predictor shows good performance, validating the feasibility of using AS-OCT images as an effective screening tool for nucleus degeneration. Our work also demonstrates the potential use of the nuclear age gap to detect NCs.

Retinal age gap as a predictive biomarker for future risk of clinically significant diabetic retinopathy

AIMS

Retinal age derived from fundus images has been verified as a novel ageing biomarker. We aim to explore the association between retinal age gap (retinal age minus chronological age) and incident diabetic retinopathy (DR).

METHODS

Retinal age prediction was performed by a deep learning model, trained and validated based on 19,200 fundus images of 11,052 disease-free participants. Retinal age gaps were determined for 2311 patients with diabetes who had no history of diabetic retinopathy at baseline. DR events were ascertained by data linkage to hospital admissions. Cox proportional hazards regression models were performed to evaluate the association between retinal age gaps and incident DR.

RESULTS

During the median follow-up period of 11.0 (interquartile range: 10.8-11.1) years, 183 of 2311 participants with diabetes developed incident DR. Each additional year of the retinal age gap was associated with a 7% increase in the risk of incident DR (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.07, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.02-1.12, P = 0.004), after adjusting for confounding factors. Participants with retinal age gaps in the fourth quartile had a significantly higher DR risk compared to participants with retinal age gaps in the lowest quartile (HR = 2.88, 95% CI 1.61-5.15, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

We found that higher retinal age gap was associated with an increased risk of incident DR. As an easy and non-invasive biomarker, the retinal age gap may serve as an informative tool to facilitate the individualized risk assessment and personalized screening protocol for DR.

The Semmelweis Study: a longitudinal occupational cohort study within the framework of the Semmelweis Caring University Model Program for supporting healthy aging

The Semmelweis Study is a prospective occupational cohort study that seeks to enroll all employees of Semmelweis University (Budapest, Hungary) aged 25 years and older, with a population of 8866 people, 70.5% of whom are women. The study builds on the successful experiences of the Whitehall II study and aims to investigate the complex relationships between lifestyle, environmental, and occupational risk factors, and the development and progression of chronic age-associated diseases. An important goal of the Semmelweis Study is to identify groups of people who are aging unsuccessfully and therefore have an increased risk of developing age-associated diseases. To achieve this, the study takes a multidisciplinary approach, collecting economic, social, psychological, cognitive, health, and biological data. The Semmelweis Study comprises a baseline data collection with open healthcare data linkage, followed by repeated data collection waves every 5 years. Data are collected through computer-assisted self-completed questionnaires, followed by a physical health examination, physiological measurements, and the assessment of biomarkers. This article provides a comprehensive overview of the Semmelweis Study, including its origin, context, objectives, design, relevance, and expected contributions.

Deep Learning and Machine Learning Algorithms for Retinal Image Analysis in Neurodegenerative Disease: Systematic Review of Datasets and Models

Purpose

Retinal images contain rich biomarker information for neurodegenerative disease. Recently, deep learning models have been used for automated neurodegenerative disease diagnosis and risk prediction using retinal images with good results.

Methods

In this review, we systematically report studies with datasets of retinal images from patients with neurodegenerative diseases, including Alzheimer's disease, Huntington's disease, Parkinson's disease, amyotrophic lateral sclerosis, and others. We also review and characterize the models in the current literature which have been used for classification, regression, or segmentation problems using retinal images in patients with neurodegenerative diseases.

Results

Our review found several existing datasets and models with various imaging modalities primarily in patients with Alzheimer's disease, with most datasets on the order of tens to a few hundred images. We found limited data available for the other neurodegenerative diseases. Although cross-sectional imaging data for Alzheimer's disease is becoming more abundant, datasets with longitudinal imaging of any disease are lacking.

Conclusions

The use of bilateral and multimodal imaging together with metadata seems to improve model performance, thus multimodal bilateral image datasets with patient metadata are needed. We identified several deep learning tools that have been useful in this context including feature extraction algorithms specifically for retinal images, retinal image preprocessing techniques, transfer learning, feature fusion, and attention mapping. Importantly, we also consider the limitations common to these models in real-world clinical applications.

Translational Relevance

This systematic review evaluates the deep learning models and retinal features relevant in the evaluation of retinal images of patients with neurodegenerative disease.

AI-integrated ocular imaging for predicting cardiovascular disease: advancements and future outlook

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains the leading cause of death worldwide. Assessing of CVD risk plays an essential role in identifying individuals at higher risk and enables the implementation of targeted intervention strategies, leading to improved CVD prevalence reduction and patient survival rates. The ocular vasculature, particularly the retinal vasculature, has emerged as a potential means for CVD risk stratification due to its anatomical similarities and physiological characteristics shared with other vital organs, such as the brain and heart. The integration of artificial intelligence (AI) into ocular imaging has the potential to overcome limitations associated with traditional semi-automated image analysis, including inefficiency and manual measurement errors. Furthermore, AI techniques may uncover novel and subtle features that contribute to the identification of ocular biomarkers associated with CVD. This review provides a comprehensive overview of advancements made in AI-based ocular image analysis for predicting CVD, including the prediction of CVD risk factors, the replacement of traditional CVD biomarkers (e.g., CT-scan measured coronary artery calcium score), and the prediction of symptomatic CVD events. The review covers a range of ocular imaging modalities, including colour fundus photography, optical coherence tomography, and optical coherence tomography angiography, and other types of images like external eye images. Additionally, the review addresses the current limitations of AI research in this field and discusses the challenges associated with translating AI algorithms into clinical practice.

Phenome- and genome-wide analyses of retinal optical coherence tomography images identify links between ocular and systemic health

The human retina is a multilayered tissue that offers a unique window into systemic health. Optical coherence tomography (OCT) is widely used in eye care and allows the noninvasive, rapid capture of retinal anatomy in exquisite detail. We conducted genotypic and phenotypic analyses of retinal layer thicknesses using macular OCT images from 44,823 UK Biobank participants. We performed OCT layer cross-phenotype association analyses (OCT-XWAS), associating retinal thicknesses with 1866 incident conditions (median 10-year follow-up) and 88 quantitative traits and blood biomarkers. We performed genome-wide association studies (GWASs), identifying inherited genetic markers that influence retinal layer thicknesses and replicated our associations among the LIFE-Adult Study (N = 6313). Last, we performed a comparative analysis of phenome- and genome-wide associations to identify putative causal links between retinal layer thicknesses and both ocular and systemic conditions. Independent associations with incident mortality were detected for thinner photoreceptor segments (PSs) and, separately, ganglion cell complex layers. Phenotypic associations were detected between thinner retinal layers and ocular, neuropsychiatric, cardiometabolic, and pulmonary conditions. A GWAS of retinal layer thicknesses yielded 259 unique loci. Consistency between epidemiologic and genetic associations suggested links between a thinner retinal nerve fiber layer with glaucoma, thinner PS with age-related macular degeneration, and poor cardiometabolic and pulmonary function with a thinner PS. In conclusion, we identified multiple inherited genetic loci and acquired systemic cardio-metabolic-pulmonary conditions associated with thinner retinal layers and identify retinal layers wherein thinning is predictive of future ocular and systemic conditions.

Accurate estimation of biological age and its application in disease prediction using a multimodal image Transformer system

Aging in an individual refers to the temporal change, mostly decline, in the body's ability to meet physiological demands. Biological age (BA) is a biomarker of chronological aging and can be used to stratify populations to predict certain age-related chronic diseases. BA can be predicted from biomedical features such as brain MRI, retinal, or facial images, but the inherent heterogeneity in the aging process limits the usefulness of BA predicted from individual body systems. In this paper, we developed a multimodal Transformer-based architecture with cross-attention which was able to combine facial, tongue, and retinal images to estimate BA. We trained our model using facial, tongue, and retinal images from 11,223 healthy subjects and demonstrated that using a fusion of the three image modalities achieved the most accurate BA predictions. We validated our approach on a test population of 2,840 individuals with six chronic diseases and obtained significant difference between chronological age and BA (AgeDiff) than that of healthy subjects. We showed that AgeDiff has the potential to be utilized as a standalone biomarker or conjunctively alongside other known factors for risk stratification and progression prediction of chronic diseases. Our results therefore highlight the feasibility of using multimodal images to estimate and interrogate the aging process.

Retinal Vascular Measurements and Mortality Risk: Evidence From the UK Biobank Study

Purpose

This study aimed to investigate the association between quantitative retinal vascular measurements and the risk of all-cause and premature mortality.

Methods

In this population-based cohort study using the UK Biobank data, we employed the Retina-based Microvascular Health Assessment System to assess fundus images for image quality and extracted 392 retinal vascular measurements per fundus image. These measurements encompass six categories of vascular features: caliber, density, length, tortuosity, branching angle, and complexity. Univariate Cox regression models were used to identify potential indicators of mortality risk using data on all-cause and premature mortality from death registries. Multivariate Cox regression models were then used to test these associations while controlling for confounding factors.

Results

The final analysis included 66,415 participants. After adjusting for demographic, health, and lifestyle factors and genetic risk score, 18 and 10 retinal vascular measurements were significantly associated with all-cause mortality and premature mortality, respectively. In the fully adjusted model, the following measurements of different vascular features were significantly associated with all-cause mortality and premature mortality: arterial bifurcation density (branching angle), number of arterial segments (complexity), interquartile range and median absolute deviation of arterial curve angle (tortuosity), mean and median values of mean pixel widths of all arterial segments in each image (caliber), skeleton density of arteries in macular area (density), and minimum venular arc length (length).

Conclusions

The study revealed 18 retinal vascular measurements significantly associated with all-cause mortality and 10 associated with premature mortality. Those identified parameters should be further studied for biological mechanisms connecting them to increased mortality risk.

Translational Relevance

This study identifies retinal biomarkers for increased mortality risk and provides novel targets for investigating the underlying biological mechanisms.

eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) in aging clock models

XAI is a rapidly progressing field of machine learning, aiming to unravel the predictions of complex models. XAI is especially required in sensitive applications, e.g. in health care, when diagnosis, recommendations and treatment choices might rely on the decisions made by artificial intelligence systems. AI approaches have become widely used in aging research as well, in particular, in developing biological clock models and identifying biomarkers of aging and age-related diseases. However, the potential of XAI here awaits to be fully appreciated. We discuss the application of XAI for developing the "aging clocks" and present a comprehensive analysis of the literature categorized by the focus on particular physiological systems.

Automated Retinal Vessel Analysis Based on Fundus Photographs as a Predictor for Non-Ophthalmic Diseases-Evolution and Perspectives

The study of retinal vessels in relation to cardiovascular risk has a long history. The advent of a dedicated tool based on digital imaging, i.e., the retinal vessel analyzer, and also other software such as Integrative Vessel Analysis (IVAN), Singapore I Vessel Assessment (SIVA), and Vascular Assessment and Measurement Platform for Images of the Retina (VAMPIRE), has led to the accumulation of a formidable body of evidence regarding the prognostic value of retinal vessel analysis (RVA) for cardiovascular and cerebrovascular disease (including arterial hypertension in children). There is also the potential to monitor the response of retinal vessels to therapies such as physical activity or bariatric surgery. The dynamic vessel analyzer (DVA) remains a unique way of studying neurovascular coupling, helping to understand the pathogenesis of cerebrovascular and neurodegenerative conditions and also being complementary to techniques that measure macrovascular dysfunction. Beyond cardiovascular disease, retinal vessel analysis has shown associations with and prognostic value for neurological conditions, inflammation, kidney function, and respiratory disease. Artificial intelligence (AI) (represented by algorithms such as QUantitative Analysis of Retinal vessel Topology and siZe (QUARTZ), SIVA-DLS (SIVA-deep learning system), and many others) seems efficient in extracting information from fundus photographs, providing prognoses of various general conditions with unprecedented predictive value. The future challenges will be integrating RVA and other qualitative and quantitative risk factors in a unique, comprehensive prediction tool, certainly powered by AI, while building the much-needed acceptance for such an approach inside the medical community and reducing the "black box" effect, possibly by means of saliency maps.

Markers and mechanisms of death in Drosophila

Parameters correlated with age and mortality in Drosophila melanogaster include decreased negative geotaxis and centrophobism behaviors, decreased climbing and walking speed, and darkened pigments in oenocytes and eye. Cessation of egg laying predicts death within approximately 5 days. Endogenous green fluorescence in eye and body increases hours prior to death. Many flies exhibit erratic movement hours before death, often leading to falls. Loss of intestinal barrier integrity (IBI) is assayed by feeding blue dye ("Smurf" phenotype), and Smurf flies typically die within 0-48 h. Some studies report most flies exhibit Smurf, whereas multiple groups report most flies die without exhibiting Smurf. Transgenic reporters containing heat shock gene promoters and innate immune response gene promoters progressively increase expression with age, and partly predict remaining life span. Innate immune reporters increase with age in every fly, prior to any Smurf phenotype, in presence or absence of antibiotics. Many flies die on their side or supine (on their back) position. The data suggest three mechanisms for death of Drosophila. One is loss of IBI, as revealed by Smurf assay. The second is nervous system malfunction, leading to erratic behavior, locomotor malfunction, and falls. The aged fly is often unable to right itself after a fall to a side-ways or supine position, leading to inability to access the food and subsequent dehydration/starvation. Finally, some flies die upright without Smurf phenotype, suggesting a possible third mechanism. The frequency of these mechanisms varies between strains and culture conditions, which may affect efficacy of life span interventions.

Deep learning-based fundus image analysis for cardiovascular disease: a review

It is well established that the retina provides insights beyond the eye. Through observation of retinal microvascular changes, studies have shown that the retina contains information related to cardiovascular disease. Despite the tremendous efforts toward reducing the effects of cardiovascular diseases, they remain a global challenge and a significant public health concern. Conventionally, predicting the risk of cardiovascular disease involves the assessment of preclinical features, risk factors, or biomarkers. However, they are associated with cost implications, and tests to acquire predictive parameters are invasive. Artificial intelligence systems, particularly deep learning (DL) methods applied to fundus images have been generating significant interest as an adjunct assessment tool with the potential of enhancing efforts to prevent cardiovascular disease mortality. Risk factors such as age, gender, smoking status, hypertension, and diabetes can be predicted from fundus images using DL applications with comparable performance to human beings. A clinical change to incorporate DL systems for the analysis of fundus images as an equally good test over more expensive and invasive procedures may require conducting prospective clinical trials to mitigate all the possible ethical challenges and medicolegal implications. This review presents current evidence regarding the use of DL applications on fundus images to predict cardiovascular disease.

LensAge index as a deep learning-based biological age for self-monitoring the risks of age-related diseases and mortality

Age is closely related to human health and disease risks. However, chronologically defined age often disagrees with biological age, primarily due to genetic and environmental variables. Identifying effective indicators for biological age in clinical practice and self-monitoring is important but currently lacking. The human lens accumulates age-related changes that are amenable to rapid and objective assessment. Here, using lens photographs from 20 to 96-year-olds, we develop LensAge to reflect lens aging via deep learning. LensAge is closely correlated with chronological age of relatively healthy individuals (R2 > 0.80, mean absolute errors of 4.25 to 4.82 years). Among the general population, we calculate the LensAge index by contrasting LensAge and chronological age to reflect the aging rate relative to peers. The LensAge index effectively reveals the risks of age-related eye and systemic disease occurrence, as well as all-cause mortality. It outperforms chronological age in reflecting age-related disease risks (p < 0.001). More importantly, our models can conveniently work based on smartphone photographs, suggesting suitability for routine self-examination of aging status. Overall, our study demonstrates that the LensAge index may serve as an ideal quantitative indicator for clinically assessing and self-monitoring biological age in humans.

Central obesity and its association with retinal age gap: insights from the UK Biobank study

BACKGROUND

Conflicting evidence exists on the association between ageing and obesity. Retinal age derived from fundus images has been validated as a novel biomarker of ageing. In this study, we aim to investigate the association between different anthropometric phenotypes based on body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (WC) and the retinal age gap (retinal age minus chronological age).

METHODS

A total of 35,550 participants with BMI, WC and qualified retinal imaging data available were included to investigate the association between anthropometric groups and retinal ageing. Participants were stratified into 7 different body composition groups based on BMI and WC (Normal-weight/Normal WC, Overweight/Normal WC, Mild obesity/Normal WC, Normal-weight/High WC, Overweight/High WC, Mild obesity/High WC, and Severe obesity/High WC). Linear regression and logistic regression models were fitted to investigate the association between the seven anthropometric groups and retinal age gap as continuous and categorical outcomes, respectively.

RESULTS

A total of 35,550 participants (55.6% females) with a mean age 56.8 ± 8.04 years were included in the study. Individuals in the Overweight/High WC, Mild obesity/High WC and Severe obesity/High WC groups were associated with an increase in the retinal age gap, compared with those in the Normal Weight/Normal WC group (β = 0.264, 95% CI: 0.105-0.424, P =0.001; β = 0.226, 95% CI: 0.082-0.371, P = 0.002; β = 0.273, 95% CI: 0.081-0.465, P = 0.005; respectively) in fully adjusted models. Similar findings were noted in the association between the anthropometric groups and retinal ageing process as a categorical outcome.

CONCLUSION

A significant positive association exists between central obesity and accelerated ageing indexed by retinal age gaps, highlighting the significance of maintaining a healthy body shape.

Environmental and genetic predictors of human cardiovascular ageing

Cardiovascular ageing is a process that begins early in life and leads to a progressive change in structure and decline in function due to accumulated damage across diverse cell types, tissues and organs contributing to multi-morbidity. Damaging biophysical, metabolic and immunological factors exceed endogenous repair mechanisms resulting in a pro-fibrotic state, cellular senescence and end-organ damage, however the genetic architecture of cardiovascular ageing is not known. Here we use machine learning approaches to quantify cardiovascular age from image-derived traits of vascular function, cardiac motion and myocardial fibrosis, as well as conduction traits from electrocardiograms, in 39,559 participants of UK Biobank. Cardiovascular ageing is found to be significantly associated with common or rare variants in genes regulating sarcomere homeostasis, myocardial immunomodulation, and tissue responses to biophysical stress. Ageing is accelerated by cardiometabolic risk factors and we also identify prescribed medications that are potential modifiers of ageing. Through large-scale modelling of ageing across multiple traits our results reveal insights into the mechanisms driving premature cardiovascular ageing and reveal potential molecular targets to attenuate age-related processes.

A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Applying Deep Learning in the Prediction of the Risk of Cardiovascular Diseases From Retinal Images

Purpose

The purpose of this study was to perform a systematic review and meta-analysis to synthesize evidence from studies using deep learning (DL) to predict cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk from retinal images.

Methods

A systematic literature search was performed in MEDLINE, Scopus, and Web of Science up to June 2022. We extracted data pertaining to predicted outcomes, model development, and validation and model performance metrics. Included studies were graded using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracies Studies 2 tool. Model performance was pooled across eligible studies using a random-effects meta-analysis model.

Results

A total of 26 studies were included in the analysis. There were 42 CVD risk-related outcomes predicted from retinal images were identified, including 33 CVD risk factors, 4 cardiac imaging biomarkers, 2 CVD risk scores, the presence of CVD, and incident CVD. Three studies that aimed to predict the development of future CVD events reported an area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) between 0.68 and 0.81. Models that used retinal images as input data had a pooled mean absolute error of 3.19 years (95% confidence interval [CI] = 2.95-3.43) for age prediction; a pooled AUROC of 0.96 (95% CI = 0.95-0.97) for gender classification; a pooled AUROC of 0.80 (95% CI = 0.73-0.86) for diabetes detection; and a pooled AUROC of 0.86 (95% CI = 0.81-0.92) for the detection of chronic kidney disease. We observed a high level of heterogeneity and variation in study designs.

Conclusions

Although DL models appear to have reasonably good performance when it comes to predicting CVD risk, further work is necessary to evaluate the real-world applicability and predictive accuracy.

Translational Relevance

DL-based CVD risk assessment from retinal images holds great promise to be translated to clinical practice as a novel approach for CVD risk assessment, given its simple, quick, and noninvasive nature.

Longitudinal fundus imaging and its genome-wide association analysis provide evidence for a human retinal aging clock

Biological age, distinct from an individual's chronological age, has been studied extensively through predictive aging clocks. However, these clocks have limited accuracy in short time-scales. Here we trained deep learning models on fundus images from the EyePACS dataset to predict individuals' chronological age. Our retinal aging clocking, 'eyeAge', predicted chronological age more accurately than other aging clocks (mean absolute error of 2.86 and 3.30 years on quality-filtered data from EyePACS and UK Biobank, respectively). Additionally, eyeAge was independent of blood marker-based measures of biological age, maintaining an all-cause mortality hazard ratio of 1.026 even when adjusted for phenotypic age. The individual-specific nature of eyeAge was reinforced via multiple GWAS hits in the UK Biobank cohort. The top GWAS locus was further validated via knockdown of the fly homolog, Alk, which slowed age-related decline in vision in flies. This study demonstrates the potential utility of a retinal aging clock for studying aging and age-related diseases and quantitatively measuring aging on very short time-scales, opening avenues for quick and actionable evaluation of gero-protective therapeutics.

Using Artificial Intelligence to Analyse the Retinal Vascular Network: The Future of Cardiovascular Risk Assessment Based on Oculomics? A Narrative Review

The healthcare burden of cardiovascular diseases remains a major issue worldwide. Understanding the underlying mechanisms and improving identification of people with a higher risk profile of systemic vascular disease through noninvasive examinations is crucial. In ophthalmology, retinal vascular network imaging is simple and noninvasive and can provide in vivo information of the microstructure and vascular health. For more than 10 years, different research teams have been working on developing software to enable automatic analysis of the retinal vascular network from different imaging techniques (retinal fundus photographs, OCT angiography, adaptive optics, etc.) and to provide a description of the geometric characteristics of its arterial and venous components. Thus, the structure of retinal vessels could be considered a witness of the systemic vascular status. A new approach called "oculomics" using retinal image datasets and artificial intelligence algorithms recently increased the interest in retinal microvascular biomarkers. Despite the large volume of associated research, the role of retinal biomarkers in the screening, monitoring, or prediction of systemic vascular disease remains uncertain. A PubMed search was conducted until August 2022 and yielded relevant peer-reviewed articles based on a set of inclusion criteria. This literature review is intended to summarize the state of the art in oculomics and cardiovascular disease research.

Eyes as the windows into cardiovascular disease in the era of big data

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a major cause of mortality and morbidity worldwide and imposes significant socioeconomic burdens, especially with late diagnoses. There is growing evidence of strong correlations between ocular images, which are information-dense, and CVD progression. The accelerating development of deep learning algorithms (DLAs) is a promising avenue for research into CVD biomarker discovery, early CVD diagnosis, and CVD prognostication. We review a selection of 17 recent DLAs on the less-explored realm of DL as applied to ocular images to produce CVD outcomes, potential challenges in their clinical deployment, and the path forward. The evidence for CVD manifestations in ocular images is well documented. Most of the reviewed DLAs analyze retinal fundus photographs to predict CV risk factors, in particular hypertension. DLAs can predict age, sex, smoking status, alcohol status, body mass index, mortality, myocardial infarction, stroke, chronic kidney disease, and hematological disease with significant accuracy. While the cardio-oculomics intersection is now burgeoning, very much remain to be explored. The increasing availability of big data, computational power, technological literacy, and acceptance all prime this subfield for rapid growth. We pinpoint the specific areas of improvement toward ubiquitous clinical deployment: increased generalizability, external validation, and universal benchmarking. DLAs capable of predicting CVD outcomes from ocular inputs are of great interest and promise to individualized precision medicine and efficiency in the provision of health care with yet undetermined real-world efficacy with impactful initial results.

Association between cardiovascular health metrics and retinal ageing

The study aims to investigate associations between cardiovascular health (CVH) metrics and retinal ageing indexed by retinal age gap. A total of 26,354 participants from the UK Biobank study with available CVH metrics and qualified retinal imaging were included in the present analysis. CVH included 7 metrics (smoking, physical activity, diet, body mass index [BMI], total cholesterol, blood pressure [BP], blood glucose). These were summarized to classify the overall CVH as poor (0-7), intermediate (8-10) or ideal (11-14). Retinal age gap was defined as the difference between biological age predicted by fundus images and chronological age. Accelerated and non-accelerated retinal ageing was defined if retinal age gap was in the upper or lower 50% quantiles of the study population, respectively. Linear and logistic regression models estimated the association of overall CVH and each metric of CVH with retinal age gap respectively. Our results showed that in the fully adjusted model, each one-unit score increase in overall CVH was negatively associated with retinal age gap (odds ratio [OR] = 0.89, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.87-0.92, P < 0.001). Compared with poor overall CVH, people with intermediate and ideal overall CVH had significantly lower retinal age gap (OR = 0.76, 95%CI: 0.67-0.85, P < 0.001; OR = 0.58, 95%CI: 0.50-0.67, P < 0.001). Similar associations were found between overall CVH and accelerated retinal ageing. CVH metrics including smoking, BMI, BP, and blood glucose were also significantly associated with higher retinal age gap. Taken together, we found a significant and inverse dose-response association between CVH metrics and retinal age gap, indicating that maintaining healthy metrics especially smoking, BMI, BP, and blood glucose may be crucial to slow down biological ageing.

Macular vessel density in the superficial plexus is not associated to cerebrospinal fluid core biomarkers for Alzheimer's disease in individuals with mild cognitive impairment: The NORFACE cohort

Background

Optical coherence tomography angiography (OCT-A) is a novel method in the dementia field that allows the detection of retinal vascular changes. The comparison of OCT-A measures with established Alzheimer's disease (AD)-related biomarkers is essential to validate the former as a marker of cerebrovascular impairment in the AD continuum. We aimed to investigate the association of macular vessel density (VD) in the superficial plexus quantified by OCT-A with the AT(N) classification based on cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) Aβ1-42, p181-tau and t-tau measurements in individuals with mild cognitive impairment (MCI).

Materials and methods

Clinical, demographic, ophthalmological, OCT-A and CSF core biomarkers for AD data from the Neuro-ophthalmology Research at Fundació ACE (NORFACE) project were analyzed. Differences in macular VD in four quadrants (superior, nasal, inferior, and temporal) among three AT(N) groups [Normal, Alzheimer and Suspected non-Alzheimer pathology (SNAP)] were assessed in a multivariate regression model, adjusted for age, APOE ε4 status, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, heart disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and smoking habit, using the Normal AT(N) group as the reference category.

Results

The study cohort comprised 144 MCI participants: 66 Normal AT(N), 45 Alzheimer AT(N) and 33 SNAP AT(N). Regression analysis showed no significant association of the AT(N) groups with any of the regional macular VD measures (all, p > 0.16). The interaction between sex and AT(N) groups had no effect on differentiating VD. Lastly, CSF Aβ1-42, p181-tau and t-tau measures were not correlated to VD (all r < 0.13; p > 0.13).

Discussion

Our study showed that macular VD measures were not associated with the AT(N) classification based on CSF biomarkers in patients with MCI, and did not differ between AD and other underlying causes of cognitive decline in our cohort.

Application of Deep Learning to Retinal-Image-Based Oculomics for Evaluation of Systemic Health: A Review

The retina is a window to the human body. Oculomics is the study of the correlations between ophthalmic biomarkers and systemic health or disease states. Deep learning (DL) is currently the cutting-edge machine learning technique for medical image analysis, and in recent years, DL techniques have been applied to analyze retinal images in oculomics studies. In this review, we summarized oculomics studies that used DL models to analyze retinal images-most of the published studies to date involved color fundus photographs, while others focused on optical coherence tomography images. These studies showed that some systemic variables, such as age, sex and cardiovascular disease events, could be consistently robustly predicted, while other variables, such as thyroid function and blood cell count, could not be. DL-based oculomics has demonstrated fascinating, "super-human" predictive capabilities in certain contexts, but it remains to be seen how these models will be incorporated into clinical care and whether management decisions influenced by these models will lead to improved clinical outcomes.

Association of Retinal Age Gap and Risk of Kidney Failure: A UK Biobank Study

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

The incidence of kidney failure is known to increase with age. We have previously developed and validated the use of retinal age based on fundus images as a biomarker of aging. However, the association of retinal age with kidney failure is not clear. We investigated the association of retinal age gap (the difference between retinal age and chronological age) with future risk of kidney failure.

STUDY DESIGN

Prospective cohort study.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

11,052 UK Biobank study participants without any reported disease for characterizing retinal age in a deep learning algorithm. 35,864 other participants with retinal images and no kidney failure were followed to assess the association between retinal age gap and the risk of kidney failure.

EXPOSURE

Retinal age gap, defined as the difference between model-based retinal age and chronological age.

OUTCOME

Incident kidney failure.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

A deep learning prediction model used to characterize retinal age based on retinal images and chronological age, and Cox proportional hazards regression models to investigate the association of retinal age gap with incident kidney failure.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up period of 11 (IQR, 10.89-11.14) years, 115 (0.32%) participants were diagnosed with incident kidney failure. Each 1-year greater retinal age gap at baseline was independently associated with a 10% increase in the risk of incident kidney failure (HR, 1.10 [95% CI, 1.03-1.17]; P=0.003). Participants with retinal age gaps in the fourth (highest) quartile had a significantly higher risk of incident kidney failure compared with those in the first quartile (HR, 2.77 [95% CI, 1.29-5.93]; P=0.009).

LIMITATIONS

Limited generalizability related to the composition of participants in the UK Biobank study.

CONCLUSIONS

Retinal age gap was significantly associated with incident kidney failure and may be a promising noninvasive predictive biomarker for incident kidney failure.

Retinal age gap as a predictive biomarker of stroke risk

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study is to investigate the association of retinal age gap with the risk of incident stroke and its predictive value for incident stroke.

METHODS

A total of 80,169 fundus images from 46,969 participants in the UK Biobank cohort met the image quality standard. A deep learning model was constructed based on 19,200 fundus images of 11,052 disease-free participants at baseline for age prediction. Retinal age gap (retinal age predicted based on the fundus image minus chronological age) was generated for the remaining 35,917 participants. Stroke events were determined by data linkage to hospital records on admissions and diagnoses, and national death registers, whichever occurred earliest. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate the effect of retinal age gap on risk of stroke. Logistic regression models were used to estimate the predictive value of retinal age and well-established risk factors in 10-year stroke risk.

RESULTS

A total of 35,304 participants without history of stroke at baseline were included. During a median follow-up of 5.83 years, 282 (0.80%) participants had stroke events. In the fully adjusted model, each one-year increase in the retinal age gap was associated with a 4% increase in the risk of stroke (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.04, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.00-1.08, P = 0.029). Compared to participants with retinal age gap in the first quintile, participants with retinal age gap in the fifth quintile had significantly higher risks of stroke events (HR = 2.37, 95% CI: 1.37-4.10, P = 0.002). The predictive capability of retinal age alone was comparable to the well-established risk factor-based model (AUC=0.676 vs AUC=0.661, p=0.511).

CONCLUSIONS

We found that retinal age gap was significantly associated with incident stroke, implying the potential of retinal age gap as a predictive biomarker of stroke risk.

An evaluation of aging measures: from biomarkers to clocks

With the increasing number of aged population and growing burden of healthy aging demands, a rational standard for evaluation aging is in urgent need. The advancement of medical testing technology and the prospering of artificial intelligence make it possible to evaluate the biological status of aging from a more comprehensive view. In this review, we introduced common aging biomarkers and concluded several famous aging clocks. Aging biomarkers reflect changes in the organism at a molecular or cellular level over time while aging clocks tend to be more of a generalization of the overall state of the organism. We expect to construct a framework for aging evaluation measurement from both micro and macro perspectives. Especially, population-specific aging clocks and multi-omics aging clocks may better fit the demands to evaluate aging in a comprehensive and multidimensional manner and make a detailed classification to represent different aging rates at tissue/organ levels. This framework will promisingly provide a crucial basis for disease diagnosis and intervention assessment in geroscience.

Federated Learning in Ocular Imaging: Current Progress and Future Direction

Advances in artificial intelligence deep learning (DL) have made tremendous impacts on the field of ocular imaging over the last few years. Specifically, DL has been utilised to detect and classify various ocular diseases on retinal photographs, optical coherence tomography (OCT) images, and OCT-angiography images. In order to achieve good robustness and generalisability of model performance, DL training strategies traditionally require extensive and diverse training datasets from various sites to be transferred and pooled into a "centralised location". However, such a data transferring process could raise practical concerns related to data security and patient privacy. Federated learning (FL) is a distributed collaborative learning paradigm which enables the coordination of multiple collaborators without the need for sharing confidential data. This distributed training approach has great potential to ensure data privacy among different institutions and reduce the potential risk of data leakage from data pooling or centralisation. This review article aims to introduce the concept of FL, provide current evidence of FL in ocular imaging, and discuss potential challenges as well as future applications.

Interplay between aging and other factors of the pathogenesis of age-related macular degeneration

Age-related macular degeneration (AMD) is a complex eye disease with the retina as the target tissue and aging as per definition the most serious risk factor. However, the retina contains over 60 kinds of cells that form different structures, including the neuroretina and retinal pigment epithelium (RPE) which can age at different rates. Other established or putative AMD risk factors can differentially affect the neuroretina and RPE and can differently interplay with aging of these structures. The occurrence of β-amyloid plaques and increased levels of cholesterol in AMD retinas suggest that AMD may be a syndrome of accelerated brain aging. Therefore, the question about the real meaning of age in AMD is justified. In this review we present and update information on how aging may interplay with some aspects of AMD pathogenesis, such as oxidative stress, amyloid beta formation, circadian rhythm, metabolic aging and cellular senescence. Also, we show how this interplay can be specific for photoreceptors, microglia cells and RPE cells as well as in Bruch's membrane and the choroid. Therefore, the process of aging may differentially affect different retinal structures. As an accurate quantification of biological aging is important for risk stratification and early intervention for age-related diseases, the determination how photoreceptors, microglial and RPE cells age in AMD may be helpful for a precise diagnosis and treatment of this largely untreatable disease.

The upcoming role of Artificial Intelligence (AI) for retinal and glaucomatous diseases

In recent years, the role of artificial intelligence (AI) and deep learning (DL) models is attracting increasing global interest in the field of ophthalmology. DL models are considered the current state-of-art among the AI technologies. In fact, DL systems have the capability to recognize, quantify and describe pathological clinical features. Their role is currently being investigated for the early diagnosis and management of several retinal diseases and glaucoma. The application of DL models to fundus photographs, visual fields and optical coherence tomography (OCT) imaging has provided promising results in the early detection of diabetic retinopathy (DR), wet age-related macular degeneration (w-AMD), retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) and glaucoma. In this review we analyze the current evidence of AI applied to these ocular diseases, as well as discuss the possible future developments and potential clinical implications, without neglecting the present limitations and challenges in order to adopt AI and DL models as powerful tools in the everyday routine clinical practice.

Retinal age gap as a predictive biomarker of future risk of Parkinson's disease

Introduction

retinal age derived from fundus images using deep learning has been verified as a novel biomarker of ageing. We aim to investigate the association between retinal age gap (retinal age–chronological age) and incident Parkinson’s disease (PD).

Methods

a deep learning (DL) model trained on 19,200 fundus images of 11,052 chronic disease-free participants was used to predict retinal age. Retinal age gap was generated by the trained DL model for the remaining 35,834 participants free of PD at the baseline assessment. Cox proportional hazards regression models were utilised to investigate the association between retinal age gap and incident PD. Multivariable logistic model was applied for prediction of 5-year PD risk and area under the receiver operator characteristic curves (AUC) was used to estimate the predictive value.

Results

a total of 35,834 participants (56.7 ± 8.04 years, 55.7% female) free of PD at baseline were included in the present analysis. After adjustment of confounding factors, 1-year increase in retinal age gap was associated with a 10% increase in risk of PD (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.10, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.01–1.20, P = 0.023). Compared with the lowest quartile of the retinal age gap, the risk of PD was significantly increased in the third and fourth quartiles (HR = 2.66, 95% CI: 1.13–6.22, P = 0.024; HR = 4.86, 95% CI: 1.59–14.8, P = 0.005, respectively). The predictive value of retinal age and established risk factors for 5-year PD risk were comparable (AUC = 0.708 and 0.717, P = 0.821).

Conclusion

retinal age gap demonstrated a potential for identifying individuals at a high risk of developing future PD.