Stroke and mortality in patients with incident heart failure: the Diet, Cancer and Health (DCH) cohort study

Stroke outcomes following cardiac and aortic surgery are improved by the involvement of a stroke team

OBJECTIVES

Post-cardiac and aortic surgery stroke is often underreported. We detail our single-centre experience the following introduction of comprehensive consultant-led daily stroke service, to demonstrate the efficacy of a stroke team in recovery from stroke following cardiac and aortic surgeries.

METHODS

This retrospective, single-centre observational cohort study analysed consecutive patients undergoing cardiac and aortic surgery at our institution from August 2014 to December 2020. Main outcomes included stroke rate, predictors of stroke, and neurological deficit resolution or persistence at discharge and clinic follow-up.

RESULTS

A total of 12,135 procedures were carried out in the reference period. Among these, 436 (3.6%) suffered a stroke. Overall survival to discharge and follow-up were 86.0% and 84.0% respectively. Independent risk factors for post-operative stroke included advanced age (OR 1.033, 95% CI [1.023, 1.044], p < .001), female sex (OR 1.491, 95% [1.212, 1.827], p < .001), history of previous cardiac surgeries (OR 1.670, 95% CI [1.239, 2.218], p < .001), simultaneous coronary artery bypass graft + valve procedures (OR 1.825, 95% CI [1.382, 2.382], p < .001) and CPB time longer than 240 min (OR 3.384, 95% CI [2.413, 4.705], p < .001). Stroke patients managed by the multidisciplinary team demonstrated significantly higher rates of survival at discharge (87.3% vs. 61.9%, p = .001).

CONCLUSIONS

Perioperative stroke can be debilitating immediately long term. The involvement of specialist stroke teams plays a key role in reducing the long-term burden and mortality of this condition.

Oral anticoagulation in heart failure complicated by atrial fibrillation: A nationwide routine data study

BACKGROUND

This nationwide routine data analysis evaluates if oral anticoagulant (OAC) use in patients with heart failure (HF) and atrial fibrillation (AF) leads to a lower mortality and reduced readmission rate. Superiority of new oral anticoagulants (NOACs), compared to vitamin K antagonists (VKA), was analyzed for these endpoints.

METHODS

Anonymous data of patients with a health insurance at the Allgemeine Ortskrankenkasse and a claims record for hospitalization with the main diagnosis of HF and secondary diagnosis of AF (2017-2019) were included. A hospital stay in the previous year was an exclusion criterion. Mortality and readmission for all-cause and stroke/intracranial bleeding (ICB) were analyzed 91-365 days after the index hospitalization. Kaplan-Meier survival curves and multivariable Cox regression models were used to evaluate the impact of medication on outcome.

RESULTS

180,316 cases were included [81 years (IQR 76-86), 55.6% female, CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥ 2 (96.81%)]. In 80.6%, OACs were prescribed (VKA: 21.7%; direct factor Xa inhibitors (FXaI): 60.0%; direct thrombin inhibitors (DTI): 3.4%; with multiple prescriptions per patient included). Mortality rate was 19.1%, readmission rate was 29.9% and stroke/ICB occurred in 1.9%. Risk of death was lower with any OAC (HR 0.77, 95% CI [0.75-0.79]) but without significant differences in OAC type (VKA: HR 0.73, [0.71-0.76]; FXaI: HR 0.77, [0.75-0.78]; DTI: HR 0.71, [0.66-0.77]). The total readmission rate (HR 0.97, [0.94 to 0.99]) and readmission for stroke/ICB (HR 0.71, [0.65-0.77]) was lower with OAC.

CONCLUSIONS

Nationwide data confirm a reduction in mortality and readmission rate in HF-AF patients taking OACs, without NOAC superiority.

Duration of Heightened Risk of Acute Ischemic Stroke After Hospitalization for Acute Systolic Heart Failure

Background The duration and magnitude of increased stroke risk after a hospitalization for acute systolic heart failure (HF) remains uncertain. Methods and Results The authors performed a retrospective cohort study using claims (2008-2018) from a nationally representative 5% sample of Medicare beneficiaries aged ≥66 years. Cox regression models were fitted separately for the groups with and without acute systolic HF to examine its association with the incidence of ischemic stroke after adjustment for demographics, stroke risk factors, and Charlson comorbidities. Corresponding survival probabilities were used to compute the hazard ratio (HR) in each 30-day interval after discharge. The authors stratified patients by the presence of atrial fibrillation (AF) before or during the hospitalization for acute systolic HF. Among 2 077 501 eligible beneficiaries, 94 641 were hospitalized with acute systolic HF. After adjusting for demographics, stroke risk factors, and Charlson comorbidities, the risk of ischemic stroke was highest in the first 30 days after discharge from an acute systolic HF hospitalization for patients with AF (HR, 2.4 [95% CI, 2.1-2.7]) and without AF (HR, 4.6 [95% CI, 4.0-5.3]). The risk of stroke remained elevated for 60 days in patients with AF (HR, 1.4 [95% CI, 1.2-1.6]) and was not significantly elevated afterward. The risk of stroke remained significantly elevated through 330 days in patients without AF (HR, 2.1 [95% CI, 1.7-2.7]) and was no longer significantly elevated afterward. Conclusions A hospitalization for acute systolic HF is associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke up to 330 days in patients without concomitant AF.

Prevalence and incidence of stroke, white matter hyperintensities, and silent brain infarcts in patients with chronic heart failure: A systematic review, meta-analysis, and meta-regression

Introduction

Heart failure (HF) is associated with ischemic stroke (IS). However, there are limited studies on the prevalence of IS, white matter hyperintensities (WMHs), and silent brain infarcts (SBIs). Furthermore, interaction with ejection fraction (EF) is unclear.

Methods

We searched three databases (viz., PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane) for studies reporting the incidence or prevalence of IS, WMHs, and SBIs in HF. A total of two authors independently selected included studies. We used random-effects models, and heterogeneity was evaluated with I2 statistic. Meta-regression was used for subgroup analysis.

Results

In total, 41 articles involving 870,002 patients were retrieved from 15,267 records. Among patients with HF, the pooled proportion of IS was 4.06% (95% CI: 2.94–5.59), and that of WMHs and SBIs was higher at 15.67% (95% CI: 4.11–44.63) and 23.45% (95% CI: 14.53–35.58), respectively. Subgroup analysis of HFpEF and HFrEF revealed a pooled prevalence of 2.97% (95% CI: 2.01–4.39) and 3.69% (95% CI: 2.34–5.77), respectively. Subgroup analysis of WMH Fazekas scores 1, 2, and 3 revealed a decreasing trend from 60.57 % (95% CI: 35.13–81.33) to 11.57% (95% CI: 10.40–12.85) to 3.07% (95% CI: 0.95–9.47). The relative risk and hazard ratio of patients with HF developing IS were 2.29 (95% CI: 1.43–3.68) and 1.63 (95% CI: 1.22–2.18), respectively. Meta-regression showed IS prevalence was positively correlated with decreasing anticoagulant usage.

Conclusion

We obtained estimates for the prevalence of IS, WMH, and SBI in HF from systematic review of the literature.

Systematic review registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?RecordID=255126, PROSPERO [CRD42021255126].

The effect of anticoagulants on clinical outcomes of mortality, stroke, myocardial infarction, pulmonary embolism, and major bleeding for patients with heart failure in sinus rhythm

One to two percent of the population in developed countries are affected by chronic heart failure and this increases to greater than 10% in those over 70 years old. Heart failure (HF) predisposes patients to thromboembolic events. Anticoagulants are often used to prevent thromboembolic events in specific patient populations, such as those with atrial fibrillation. Currently, no guidance exists on the long-term use of anticoagulants for patients with HF in sinus rhythm. This article critically appraises a systematic review which assesses whether the long-term use of oral anticoagulants reduces total mortality and stroke in patients with HF in sinus rhythm.

Mendelian Randomization Study of Heart Failure and Stroke Subtypes

Background

Whether heart failure (HF) is an independent risk factor of ischemic stroke (IS) and hemorrhagic stroke remains controversial. We employed a multivariable Mendelian randomization (MR) to further investigate the causal effects of HF on the risk of stroke and stroke subtypes.

Methods

Genetically predicted HF was selected as an instrumental variable (IV) from published genome-wide association studies (GWAS) meta-analyses. Stroke data with different etiologies were extracted as outcome variables from another two GWAS meta-analyses. The random-effects inverse variance-weighted (IVW) model was applied as the main method, along with sensitivity analysis. Atrial fibrillation (AF), coronary heart disease (CHD), and systolic blood pressure (SBP) were controlled for mediating effects in multivariable MR.

Results

Genetically predicted HF was significantly associated with any IS [odds ratio (OR), 1.39; 95% CI, 1.12–1.74; p = 0.03], large artery stroke (LAS; OR, 1.84; 95% CI, 1.27–2.65; p = 0.001), and cardioembolic stroke (CES; OR, 1.73; 95% CI, 1.21–2.47; p = 0.003), but without small vessel stroke (SVS; OR, 1.1; 95% CI, 0.80–1.52; p = 0.56) and intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH; OR, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.41–1.83; p = 0.699) in univariable MR. However, these significant associations were attenuated to the null after adjusting for confounding factor in multivariable MR.

Conclusion

There was no direct causal association between HF and stroke in our study. The association between HF and IS can be driven by AF, CHD, and SBP.

Ischemic Stroke in Acute Decompensated Heart Failure: From the KCHF Registry

Background Heart failure (HF) is a known risk factor for ischemic stroke, but data regarding ischemic stroke during hospitalization for acute decompensated HF (ADHF) are limited. Methods and Results We analyzed the data from a multicenter registry (Kyoto Congestive Heart Failure [KCHF] Registry) that enrolled 4056 consecutive patients with ADHF in Japan (mean age, 78 years; men, 2238 patients [55%]; acute coronary syndrome [ACS], 239 patients [5.9%]). We investigated the incidence and predictors of ischemic stroke during hospitalization for ADHF. During the hospitalization, 63 patients (1.6%) developed ischemic stroke. The median interval from admission to the onset of ischemic stroke was 7 [interquartile range: 2-14] days, and the most common underlying cause was cardioembolism (64%). Men (OR, 1.87; 95%CI, 1.11-3.24), ACS (OR, 2.31; 95%CI, 1.01-4.93), absence of prior HF hospitalization (OR, 2.21; 95%CI, 1.24-4.21), and high B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP)/N-terminal proBNP (NT-proBNP) levels (above the median) at admission (OR, 3.15; 95%CI, 1.84-5.60) were independently associated with ischemic stroke. In patients without ACS, the independent risk factors for ischemic stroke were fully consistent with those in the main analysis. Higher quartiles of BNP/NT-proBNP levels were significantly associated with higher incidence of ischemic stroke (P for trend, <0.001). Patients with ischemic stroke showed higher in-hospital mortality, longer length of hospital stay, and poorer functional status at discharge. Conclusions During hospitalization for ADHF, 1.6% of the patients developed ischemic stroke. Men, ACS, absence of prior HF hospitalization, and high BNP/NT-proBNP levels at admission were independently associated with ischemic stroke.

Arterial thrombo-embolic events in cardiac amyloidosis: a look beyond atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Intracardiac thrombosis is reported to occur frequently in cardiac amyloidosis (CA). However, data regarding arterial thrombo-embolic events (AEs) in CA are limited. We aimed at assessing prevalence, clinical characteristics and predictors of AEs in a large multicentric CA cohort.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Four-hundred-six consecutive CA patients (134 AL, 73 ATTRm and 199 ATTRwt) from 5 Italian referral centres were retrospectively evaluated and followed-up for a median time of 19 months. Thirty-one patients (7.6%) suffered from an AE, of whom 10 (32.2%) were in sinus rhythm and had no history of AF. There were no significant differences in terms of age, gender and type of CA between patients with or without AEs. Fourteen (7.6%) of 185 patients on anticoagulation had an AE despite therapy. Anticoagulation therapy did not appear to fully protect from the risk of events (HR 1.23, 95%CI 0.52-2.92, p = .64). The only predictor of AEs, in particular among CA patients in sinus rhythm, was a CHA2DS2-VASC score ≥ 3 (HR 2.84, 95%CI 1.02-7.92, p = .05 in overall population; HR 10.13, 95%CI 1.12-91.19, p = .04 in patients in sinus rhythm).

CONCLUSIONS

In our large, multicentric, real-world cohort, prevalence and incidence rate of AEs was high. A consistent proportion of events occurred despite anticoagulation therapy or in patients in sinus rhythm. A higher CHA2DS2-VASc score might identify patients at risk of AEs also among those in sinus rhythm.

Neurological complications of heart failure

Heart failure (HF) is a major global cause of death with increasing absolute worldwide numbers of HF patients. HF results from the interaction between cardiovascular aging with specific risk factors, comorbidities, and disease modifiers. The failing heart and neuronal injury have a bidirectional interaction requiring specific management strategies. Decreased cardiac output has been associated with lower brain volumes. Cerebral blood flow (CBF) may normalize following heart transplantation among severe HF patients. Stroke and cognitive impairment remain the main neurologic conditions associated with HF. However, HF patients may also suffer from chronic cerebral hypoperfusion. It seems likely that HF-related ischemic strokes are primarily the result of cardiac embolism. Atrial fibrillation (AF) is present in half of stroke patient with HF. The increased risk of hemorrhagic strokes is less well characterized and likely multifactorial, but may in part reflect a higher use of long-term antithrombotic therapy. The steady improvement of neuroimaging techniques has demonstrated an increased prevalence of silent ischemic lesions among HF patients. The populations most likely to benefit from long-term anticoagulant therapy are HF patients with AF. Cognitive impairment in HF can have a variety of clinical manifestations from mild memory problems to dementia.

Current practice and effects of intravenous anticoagulant therapy in hospitalized acute heart failure patients with sinus rhythm

Although the risk of thromboembolism is increased in heart failure (HF) patients irrespective of atrial fibrillation (AF), especially during the acute decompensated phase, the effects of intravenous anticoagulants for these patients remain unclear. We sought to investigate the current practice and effects of intravenous anticoagulant therapy in acute HF (AHF) patients with sinus rhythm. We analyzed a nationwide prospective cohort from April 2012 to March 2016. We extracted 309,015 AHF adult patients. After application of the exclusion criteria, we divided the 92,573 study population into non-heparin [n = 70,621 (76.3%)] and heparin [n = 21,952 (23.7%)] groups according to the use of intravenous heparin for the first 2 consecutive days after admission. Multivariable logistic regression analyses demonstrated that heparin administration was not associated with in-hospital mortality (OR 0.97, 95% CI 0.91–1.03) and intracranial hemorrhage (OR 1.18, 95% CI 0.78–1.77), while heparin administration was significantly associated with increased incidence of ischemic stroke (OR 1.49, 95% CI 1.29–1.72) and venous thromboembolism (OR 1.62, 95% CI 1.14–2.30). In conclusion, intravenous heparin administration was not associated with favorable in-hospital outcomes in AHF patients with sinus rhythm. Routine additive use of intravenous heparin to initial treatment might not be recommended in AHF patients.

Insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 7 and risk of congestive heart failure hospitalization in patients with atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

The occurrence of congestive heart failure (CHF) hospitalization among patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) is a poor prognostic marker.

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to assess whether insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 7 (IGFBP-7), a marker of myocardial damage, identifies AF patients at high risk for this complication.

METHODS

We analyzed 2 prospective multicenter observational cohort studies that included 3691 AF patients. Levels of IGFBP-7 and N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) were measured from frozen plasma samples at baseline. The primary endpoint was hospitalization for CHF. Multivariable adjusted Cox regression analyses were constructed.

RESULTS

Mean patient age was 69 ± 12 years, 1028 (28%) were female, and 879 (24%) had a history of CHF. The incidence per 1000 patient-years across increasing IGFBP-7 quartiles was 7, 10, 32, and 85. The corresponding multivariable adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) (95% confidence interval [CI]) were 1.0, 1.05 (0.63-1.77), 2.38 (1.50-3.79), and 4.37 (2.72-7.04) (P for trend <.001). In a subgroup of 2812 patients without pre-existing CHF at baseline, the corresponding aHRs were 1.0, 0.90 (0.47-1.72), 1.69 (0.94-3.04), and 3.48 (1.94-6.24) (P for trend <.001). Patients with IGFBP-7 and NT-proBNP levels above the biomarker-specific median had a higher risk of incident CHF hospitalization (aHR 5.20; 3.35-8.09) compared to those with only 1 elevated marker (elevated IGFBP-7 aHR 2.17; 1.30-3.60); elevated NT-proBNP aHR 1.97; 1.17-3.33); or no elevated marker (reference).

CONCLUSION

Higher plasma levels of IGFBP-7 were strongly and independently associated with CHF hospitalization in AF patients. The prognostic information provided by IGFBP-7 was additive to that of NT-proBNP.

Long-Term Risk of Stroke and Poststroke Outcomes in Patients with Heart Failure: Two Nationwide Studies

Objective

To evaluate the long-term risk of stroke and poststroke adverse outcomes in patients with heart failure (HF).

Methods

We used research data from Taiwan’s National Health Insurance Program from 2000 to 2005 and identified 20,072 adults aged ≥30 years who were newly diagnosed with HF. Frequency matching based on age and sex was used to select a comparison cohort consisting of 80,288 adults without HF. Events of incident stroke were identified from medical claims during the 2000–2013 follow-up period. The adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of the association of stroke with HF were calculated with a multiple Cox proportional hazard model. Another nested stroke cohort study of 480,604 hospitalized stroke patients determined the adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% CIs for adverse events after stroke in patients with and without HF between 2000 and 2009.

Results

Compared with the non-HF cohort, HF patients had an increased risk of stroke (HR 2.32, 95% CI 2.21–2.43), including ischemic stroke and hemorrhagic stroke. The association between HF and stroke was significant in both sexes and in patients in all age groups and with various medical conditions. Previous HF was associated with poststroke mortality (OR 1.40, 95% CI 1.31–1.50), pneumonia (OR 1.33, 95% CI 1.28–1.38), and septicemia (OR 1.30, 95% CI 1.23–1.37).

Conclusion

HF was associated with a higher risk of stroke, and patients with HF had more complications and greater mortality after stroke.

The Role of Antithrombotic Therapy in Heart Failure

Heart failure is a major contributor to global morbidity and mortality burden affecting approximately 1-2% of adults in developed countries, mounting to over 10% in individuals aged >70 years old. Heart failure is characterized by a prothrombotic state and increased rates of stroke and thromboembolism have been reported in heart failure patients compared with the general population. However, the impact of antithrombotic therapy on heart failure remains controversial. Administration of antiplatelet or anticoagulant therapy is the obvious (and well-established) choice in heart failure patients with cardiovascular comorbidity that necessitates their use, such as coronary artery disease or atrial fibrillation. In contrast, antithrombotic therapy has not demonstrated any clear benefit when administered for heart failure per se, i.e. with heart failure being the sole indication. Randomized studies have reported decreased stroke rates with warfarin use in patients with heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction, but at the expense of excessive bleeding. Non-vitamin K oral anticoagulants have shown a better safety profile in heart failure patients with atrial fibrillation compared with warfarin, however, current evidence about their role in heart failure with sinus rhythm is inconclusive and further research is needed. In the present review, we discuss the role of antithrombotic therapy in heart failure (beyond coronary artery disease), aiming to summarize evidence regarding the thrombotic risk and the role of antiplatelet and anticoagulant agents in patients with heart failure.

Impact of atrial fibrillation in patients with heart failure and reduced, mid-range or preserved ejection fraction

Objective

To determine the prognostic value of atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with heart failure (HF) and preserved, mid-range or reduced ejection fraction (EF).

Methods

Patients hospitalised for acute HF were enrolled in the Korean Acute Heart Failure registry, a prospective, observational, multicentre cohort study, between March 2011 and February 2014. HF types were defined as reduced EF (HFrEF, LVEF <40%), mid-range EF (HFmrEF, LVEF 40%–49%) or preserved EF (HFpEF, LVEF ≥50%).

Results

Of 5414 patients enrolled, HFrEF, HFmrEF and HFpEF were seen in 3182 (58.8%), 875 (16.2%) and 1357 (25.1%) patients, respectively. The prevalence of AF significantly increased with increasing EF (HFrEF 28.9%, HFmrEF 39.8%, HFpEF 45.2%; p for trend <0.001). During follow-up (median, 4.03 years; IQR, 1.39–5.58 years), 2806 (51.8%) patients died. The adjusted HR of AF for all-cause death was 1.06 (0.93–1.21) in the HFrEF, 1.10 (0.87–1.39) in the HFmrEF and 1.22 (1.02–1.46) in the HFpEF groups. The HR for the composite of all-cause death or readmission was 0.97 (0.87–1.07), 1.14 (0.93–1.38) and 1.03 (0.88–1.19) in the HFrEF, HFmrEF and HFpEF groups, respectively, and the HR for stroke was 1.53 (1.03–2.29), 1.04 (0.57–1.91) and 1.90 (1.13–3.20), respectively. Similar results were observed after propensity score matching analysis.

Conclusions

AF was more common with increasing EF. AF was seen to be associated with increased mortality only in patients with HFpEF and was associated with an increased risk of stroke in patients with HFrEF or HFpEF.

Trial registration number

NCT01389843

Association of CHA2 DS2 -VASc Score with Stroke, Thromboembolism, and Death in Hip Fracture Patients

OBJECTIVES

Patients undergoing hip fracture surgery have a 10 times increased risk of stroke compared with the general population. We aimed to evaluate the association between the CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥75 years, diabetes, previous stroke/TIA [transient ischemic attack]/systemic embolism (2 points), vascular disease, age 65-74 years, and female sex) score and the risk of stroke, thromboembolism, and all-cause mortality in patients with hip fracture with or without atrial fibrillation (AF).

DESIGN

Nationwide prospective cohort study.

SETTING

Danish hospitals.

PARTICIPANTS

Subjects were all incident hip fracture patients in Denmark age 65 years and older with surgical repair procedures between 2004 and 2016 (n = 78,096). Participants were identified using the Danish Multidisciplinary Hip Fracture Registry.

MEASUREMENTS

We calculated incidence rates, cumulative incidences, and hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) by CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc score, stratified on AF history.

RESULTS

The cumulative incidence of ischemic stroke 1 year after hip fracture increased with ascending CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc score, and it was 1.9% for patients with a score of 1 and 8.6% for patients with a score above 5 in the AF group. Corresponding incidences in the non-AF group were 1.6% and 7.6%. Compared with a CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc score of 1, adjusted HRs were 5.53 (95% CI = 1.37-22.24) among AF patients and 4.91 (95% CI = 3.40-7.10) among non-AF patients with a score above 5. A dose-response-like association was observed for all cardiovascular outcomes. All-cause mortality risks and HRs were substantially higher for all CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc scores above 1 in both the AF group and the non-AF group.

CONCLUSION

Among patients with hip fracture, a higher CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc score was associated with increased risk of stroke, thromboembolism, and death. This finding applied both to patients with and without AF. Patients with high CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc scores had almost similar absolute risks for cardiovascular outcomes, irrespective of AF. J Am Geriatr Soc 68:1698-1705, 2020.

Predicting stroke and death in patients with heart failure using CHA2DS2-VASc score in Asia

Background

The CHA₂DS₂-VASc score is used to assess risk of mortality as well as to stratify risk of stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). This study evaluated whether CHA₂DS₂-VASc score was predictive of 1 and 2 year risks of stroke and death in Asian patients with heart failure (HF).

Methods

Patients hospitalized for HF were enrolled in the Korean Acute Heart Failure (KorAHF) registry, a prospective observational multicenter cohort study, between March 2011 and February 2014. Patients with a history of cancer before hospitalization for HF were excluded. The discriminatory properties of the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score were quantified using C-statistics.

Results

The study included 5158 patients with HF, 2091 with and 3067 without AF. Rates of stroke in these two groups were 4.5 and 2.8%, respectively, after 1 year, and 5.5 and 3.4%, respectively, after 2 years. Each 1-point increase in CHA₂DS₂-VASc score was associated with significantly increased risks of stroke and all-cause death in HF patients with and without AF (p-value < 0.05). The C-statistics of the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score for all-cause death in patients with and without AF were 0.600 and 0.630, respectively, at 1 year and 0.626 and 0.635, respectively, at 2 years. The C-statistics for stroke ranged from 0.593 to 0.639.

Conclusions

Among patients with incident HF with and without AF, CHA₂DS₂-VASc score was significantly associated with the risks of stroke and death. However, CHA₂DS₂-VASc score was only a modest predictor of stroke and death, indicating the need for studies evaluating modified CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores. The majority of strokes occurred relatively shortly after hospitalization for HF and that mortality rates in patients with HF remain high. Thus, early treatment after HF to prevent stroke is essential.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12872-019-1178-0) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Ejection fraction, B-type natriuretic peptide and risk of stroke and acute myocardial infarction among patients with heart failure

Background

Real‐world data on the clinical outcomes of heart failure (HF) across the spectrum of ejection fraction (EF) and the prognostic value of B‐type natriuretic peptide (BNP) have not been well examined.

Hypothesis

The real‐world association between the clinical outcomes of HF and EF or BNP levels may differ across different EF or BNP values.

Methods

The Optum Integrated Claims‐Clinical data (07/2009‐09/2016) was used to identify adult patients with ≥1 HF diagnosis during hospitalization or emergency room visit. Three EF cohorts were formed: reduced (rEF; EF < 40%), mid‐range (mrEF; EF 40%‐49%), and preserved EF (pEF; EF ≥ 50%). Stratifications by BNP levels were performed using median BNP as cutoff between high vs low BNP (H‐BNP vs L‐BNP).

Results

In total, 7005 HF patients with EF measurements (2456 patients with both HF and BNP measurements) were identified. rEF patients had higher risk of stroke (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.57, P = 0.010) and acute myocardial infarction (AMI) (HR = 2.42, P < 0.001) compared to pEF patients. H‐BNP was associated with a significantly higher risk of mortality (P < 0.001). rEF patients with H‐BNP had a significantly higher risk of stroke than those with L‐BNP.

Conclusions

Patients with rEF had a significantly higher rate of stroke and AMI vs pEF patients, as did patients with H‐BNP vs L‐BNP. The present study is the first to show the real‐world association of EF and BNP (alone and in combination) with clinical outcomes, further supporting the recommendation to use these markers in clinical practice. These results may help to guide future recommendations and improve the clinical management of HF.

Elevated Plasma D-Dimer Level Is Associated With Short-Term Risk of Ischemic Stroke in Patients With Acute Heart Failure

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The incidence of heart failure increases the subsequent risk of ischemic stroke, and its risk could be higher in the short-term period after an acute heart failure (AHF) event. However, its determinants remain to be clarified. Plasma D-dimer level reflects fibrin turnover and exhibits unique properties as a biomarker of thrombosis. The aim of this study is to investigate whether D-dimer level is a determinant of short-term incidence of ischemic stroke in patients with AHF.

METHODS

We examined 721 consecutive hospitalized AHF patients with plasma D-dimer level on admission from our prospective registry between January 2013 and May 2016. The study end points were incidence of ischemic stroke during hospitalization and at 30 days after admission.

RESULTS

Of the total participants (mean age, 76 years; male, 60%; atrial fibrillation, 54%; mean left ventricular ejection fraction, 38%), in-hospital ischemic stroke occurred in 18 patients (2.5%) during a median hospitalization period of 21 days, and 30-day ischemic stroke occurred in 16 patients (2.2%). Higher D-dimer level on admission was an independent determinant of subsequent risk of in-hospital ischemic stroke even after adjustment by CHA₂DS₂-VASc score (odds ratio, 2.29; 95% confidence interval, 1.46-3.60; P<0.001) or major confounders, including age, atrial fibrillation, and antithrombotic therapy (odds ratio, 2.31; 95% confidence interval, 1.43-3.74; P<0.001). Subgroup analyses showed consistent findings in patients without atrial fibrillation (odds ratio, 2.46; 95% confidence interval, 1.39-4.54; P=0.002) and those without antithrombotic therapy (odds ratio, 2.79; 95% confidence interval, 1.53-5.57; P<0.001). Similar results were obtained for 30-day ischemic stroke as an alternative outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated plasma D-dimer level on admission was significantly associated with increased incidence of ischemic stroke shortly after admission for AHF, suggesting a predictive role of D-dimer for short-term ischemic stroke events in patients with AHF.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

URL: https://www.umin.ac.jp/ctr/index.htm. Unique identifier: UMIN000017024.

Heart Failure as a Risk Factor for Stroke

Heart failure (HF) is one of the major causes of death worldwide. Despite the high incidence of stroke in patients with HF, there has been a controversy as to whether HF itself is a risk factor for stroke. Recently, there is a great deal of evidence that HF itself increases the risk of stroke. In previous studies, the benefit of warfarin for stroke prevention in patients with HF was offset by the risk of bleeding. In the era of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants with low bleeding profiles, we can expect a more effective stroke prevention in patients with HF by selective anticoagulation. The purpose of this review is to describe the relationship between stroke and HF, which could be an unconventional risk factor and a potential intervention target for stroke prevention.

Risk of stroke in congestive heart failure with and without atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Heart failure has been associated with an increased risk for ischemic stroke. This study estimated the risk of stroke and thromboembolism for patients with congestive heart failure (CHF) in the context of the general population, especially compared to those with atrial fibrillation (AF).

METHODS

Data of patients discharged alive from 2003 to 2012 were extracted from the National Health Insurance Corporation sample cohort. Subjects were classified into control (n=90,277), CHF (n=4533), AF (n=1187), and CHF plus AF (n=1213) groups.

RESULTS

CHF was associated with an increased risk for ischemic stroke, which was significant after various adjustment models. Annualized stroke risk was 0.54 (0.52-0.57) per 100 person-years for the control group, 2.00 (1.79-2.21) for the CHF group, 2.27 (1.84-2.69) for the AF group, and 2.87 (2.38-3.36) for the CHF plus AF group. The CHA₂DS₂-VASc scoring schema had a moderate discriminatory value for stroke risk in patients with CHF as well as in AF. The risk of stroke for the CHF group was comparable to that of the AF group when stratified according to the CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores. Those with CHA₂DS₂-VASc score of 0 or 1 were at low risk for stroke for both CHF and AF.

CONCLUSION

Patients with CHF are at increased risk for ischemic stroke and thromboembolism. This study showed that the CHA₂DS₂-VASc schema can help stratify stroke risk for individual CHF patients. Stroke is a frequent complication among patients with CHF; therefore, safe and effective strategies to prevent stroke are needed.

Chocolate intake and risk of clinically apparent atrial fibrillation: the Danish Diet, Cancer, and Health Study

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the association between chocolate intake and incident clinically apparent atrial fibrillation or flutter (AF).

METHODS

The Danish Diet, Cancer, and Health Study is a large population-based prospective cohort study. The present study is based on 55 502 participants (26 400 men and 29 102 women) aged 50-64 years who had provided information on chocolate intake at baseline. Incident cases of AF were ascertained by linkage with nationwide registries.

RESULTS

During a median of 13.5 years there were 3346 cases of AF. Compared with chocolate intake less than once per month, the rate of AF was lower for people consuming 1-3 servings/month (hazard ratio (HR) 0.90, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.82 to 0.98), 1 serving/week (HR 0.83, 95% CI 0.74 to 0.92), 2-6 servings/week (HR 0.80, 95% CI 0.71 to 0.91) and ≥1 servings/day (HR 0.84, 95% CI 0.65 to 1.09; p-linear trend <0.0001), with similar results for men and women.

CONCLUSIONS

Accumulating evidence indicates that moderate chocolate intake may be inversely associated with AF risk, although residual confounding cannot be ruled out.

Risk of Stroke in Patients With Heart Failure

Background and Purpose—

The long-term risk of specific stroke subtypes among heart failure patients is largely unknown. We examined short-term and long-term risk of ischemic stroke, intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), and subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) in heart failure patients and in a general population comparison cohort.

Methods—

In this nationwide cohort study (1980−2012), we used Danish population-based medical registries to identify and follow (1) all patients hospitalized for the first time with heart failure and (2) a birth year–, sex-, and calendar year–matched general population comparison cohort. Age-, sex-, and comorbidity-adjusted stroke rate ratios were computed based on Cox regression analysis.

Results—

We included 289 353 patients with heart failure and 1 446 765 individuals from the general population in the analysis. One- and 5-year risks among heart failure patients were 1.4% and 3.9% for ischemic stroke, 0.2% and 0.5% for ICH, and 0.03% and 0.07% for SAH. The 30-day adjusted stroke rate ratio was increased markedly for ischemic stroke (5.08; 95% confidence interval, 4.58–5.63] and was also elevated for ICH (2.13; 95% confidence interval, 1.53–2.97) and SAH (3.52; 95% confidence interval, 1.54–8.08). Between 31 days and 30 years, risk of all stroke subtypes remained positively associated with heart failure (1.5- to 2.1-fold for ischemic stroke, 1.4- to 1.8-fold for ICH, and 1.1- to 1.7-fold for SAH) in comparison with the general population cohort.

Conclusions—

Heart failure was associated with increased short-term and long-term risk of all stroke subtypes, suggesting that heart failure is a potent and persistent risk factor for ischemic stroke, ICH, and SAH.

Prediction of Thromboembolic Events in Heart Failure Patients in Sinus Rhythm: The Hong Kong Heart Failure Registry

AIM

Heart failure (HF) increases the risk of thromboembolic events (TE). Study in a Caucasian population has shown that the CHA2DS2-VASc score predicts TE among HF patients without atrial fibrillation. We sought to assess the usefulness of the CHA2DS2-VASc score in predicting TE in an Asian population and refine the scoring system to improve its predictability of TE among HF patients in sinus rhythm.

METHODS

A total of 1,202 consecutive patients who were admitted to our institution for new-onset HF from 2005 to 2012 and without atrial fibrillation or anticoagulation were retrospectively reviewed.

RESULTS

The mean age was 77.6 ± 12.2 years and 51.7% were female. After 36.2 ± 30.1 months, 113 (9.4%) developed TE. The annual incidence was 0.54%, 1.54%, 2.98% and 5.04% per year in those who had a CHA2DS2-VASc score of 1, 2-3, 4-5 and ≥6, respectively. In multivariate analysis, age ≥75 years [Hazard ratio (HR) 2.59, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.23-5.46, p = 0.012), chronic ischemic heart disease (HR 1.54, 95% CI 1.02-2.31, p = 0.040) and chronic kidney disease (HR 1.66, 95% CI 1.09-2.53, p = 0.018) independently predicted TE. Incorporation of chronic ischemic heart disease and chronic kidney disease into the CHA2DS2-VASc score significantly increased the area under the Receiver Operating Curve from 0.57 (95% CI 0.54-0.59) to 0.61 (95% CI 0.55-0.66; p = 0.022).

CONCLUSION

The CHA2DS2-VASc score is useful for stratification of the risk of TE among HF patients in sinus rhythm. Incorporation of chronic ischemic heart disease and chronic kidney disease into the score modestly improves its predictive value.

Vascular Disease and Risk Stratification for Ischemic Stroke and All-Cause Death in Heart Failure Patients without Diagnosed Atrial Fibrillation: A Nationwide Cohort Study

Background

Stroke and mortality risk among heart failure patients previously diagnosed with different manifestations of vascular disease is poorly described. We conducted an observational study to evaluate the stroke and mortality risk among heart failure patients without diagnosed atrial fibrillation and with peripheral artery disease (PAD) or prior myocardial infarction (MI).

Methods

Population-based cohort study of patients diagnosed with incident heart failure during 2000–2012 and without atrial fibrillation, identified by record linkage between nationwide registries in Denmark. Hazard rate ratios of ischemic stroke and all-cause death after 1 year of follow-up were used to compare patients with either: a PAD diagnosis; a prior MI diagnosis; or no vascular disease.

Results

39,357 heart failure patients were included. When compared to heart failure patients with no vascular disease, PAD was associated with a higher 1-year rate of ischemic stroke (adjusted hazard rate ratio [HR]: 1.34, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.08–1.65) and all-cause death (adjusted HR: 1.47, 95% CI: 1.35–1.59), whereas prior MI was not (adjusted HR: 1.00, 95% CI: 0.86–1.15 and 0.94, 95% CI: 0.89–1.00, for ischemic stroke and all-cause death, respectively). When comparing patients with PAD to patients with prior MI, PAD was associated with a higher rate of both outcomes.

Conclusions

Among incident heart failure patients without diagnosed atrial fibrillation, a previous diagnosis of PAD was associated with a significantly higher rate of the ischemic stroke and all-cause death compared to patients with no vascular disease or prior MI. Prevention strategies may be particularly relevant among HF patients with PAD.

Embolic Stroke in Cardiomyopathy: Should Patients be Anticoagulated?

Despite advances in the treatment of patients with heart failure, mortality is still substantial. Part of this mortality is explained by cardioembolic stroke. Patients with heart failure are predisposed to developing cardioembolic strokes owing to abnormalities in Virchow's triad (endothelial function, relative hypercoagulable state, and static blood flow). Several randomized controlled trials have addressed whether patients with heart failure benefit from anticoagulation. Overall, the results suggest the risk of bleeding with anticoagulation outweighs any small benefit conferred by anticoagulation.

Diabetes mellitus and risk of ischemic stroke in patients with heart failure and no atrial fibrillation

OBJECTIVE

The risk of ischemic stroke, systemic thromboembolism, and all-cause death among heart failure patients previously diagnosed with diabetes mellitus is poorly described. We evaluated the risk of these endpoints among heart failure patients without diagnosed atrial fibrillation according to the presence of diabetes mellitus.

METHODS

Population-based nationwide cohort study of non-anticoagulated patients diagnosed with incident heart failure during 2000-2012, identified by record linkage between nationwide registries in Denmark. We calculated relative risks after 1year to evaluate the association between diabetes and risk of events in 39,357 heart failure patients, among whom 18.1% had diabetes. Analysis took into account competing risks of death.

RESULTS

Absolute risks of all endpoints were higher in patients with diabetes compared to patients without diabetes after 1-year follow-up (ischemic stroke: 4.1% vs. 2.8%; systemic thromboembolism: 11.9% vs. 8.6%; all-cause death: 22.1% vs. 21.4%). Diabetes was significantly associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke (adjusted relative risk [RR]: 1.27, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.07-1.51); systemic thromboembolism (RR: 1.20, 95% CI: 1.11-1.30); and all-cause death (RR: 1.17, 95% CI: 1.11-1.23). Additionally, time since diabetes diagnosis was associated with higher adjusted cumulative incidences of ischemic stroke, systemic thromboembolism, and all-cause death (p for trend, p<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Among heart failure patients without atrial fibrillation, diabetes was associated with a significantly increased risk of ischemic stroke, systemic thromboembolism, and all-cause death compared to those without diabetes, even after adjustment for concomitant cardiovascular risk factors. Increased focus on secondary prevention in heart failure patients with diabetes may be warranted.

Risk of atrial fibrillation associated with coffee intake: Findings from the Danish Diet, Cancer, and Health study

BACKGROUND

There have been discrepant findings on whether coffee consumption is associated with the rate of developing atrial fibrillation (AF).

METHODS AND RESULTS

We used data on 57,053 participants (27,178 men and 29,875 women) aged 50-64 years in the Danish Diet, Cancer and Health study. All participants provided information on coffee intake via food-frequency questionnaires at baseline. Incident AF was identified using nationwide registries. During a median follow-up of 13.5 years, 3415 AF events occurred. Compared with no intake, coffee consumption was inversely associated with AF incidence, with multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios of 0.93 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.74-1.15) for more than none to <1 cup/day, 0.88 (95% CI 0.71-1.10) for 1 cup/day, 0.86 (95% CI 0.71-1.04) for 2-3 cups/day, 0.84 (95% CI 0.69-1.02) for 4-5 cups/day, 0.79 (95% CI 0.64-0.98) for 6-7 cups/day and 0.79 (95% CI 0.63-1.00) for >7 cups/day (p-linear trend = 0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

In this large population-based cohort study, higher levels of coffee consumption were associated with a lower rate of incident AF.

Incidence and predictors of ischemic stroke during hospitalization for congestive heart failure

Heart failure (HF) increases the risk of ischemic stroke. Data regarding the incidence and predictors of ischemic stroke during hospitalization for HF are limited. The study population of this retrospective cohort study consisted of patients with congestive HF, consecutively admitted to our center from October 2010 to April 2014. We excluded patients complicated with acute myocardial infarction, infective endocarditis, and takotsubo cardiomyopathy. We also excluded those with dialysis or mechanical circulatory support. We investigated the incidence of ischemic stroke during hospitalization for HF. Thereafter, we divided the patients without oral anticoagulants at admission into two groups: patients with ischemic stroke and those without it, and explored the predictors of ischemic stroke. A total of 558 patients (287 without atrial fibrillation (AF), 271 with AF) were enrolled. The mean age was 76.8 ± 12.3 years, and 244 patients (44 %) were female. The mean left-ventricular ejection fraction was 47.4 %. Oral anticoagulants were prescribed in 147 patients (8 without AF, 139 with AF). During hospitalization (median length 18 days), symptomatic ischemic stroke (excluding catheter-related) occurred in 15 patients (2.7 % of the total, 8 without AF, 7 with AF). Predictors significantly associated with increased risk of ischemic stroke in patients without oral anticoagulants were as follows; short-term increases in blood urea nitrogen after admission (at day 3; odds ratio (per 1 md/dl): 1.06, 95 % confidence interval (CI) 1.01-1.11, p = 0.02, and at day 7; odds ratio: 1.03, 95 % CI 1.00-1.07, p = 0.03, respectively), and previous stroke (odds ratio; 3.33, 95 % CI 1.01-11.00, p = 0.04). The incidence of ischemic stroke during hospitalization for HF was high, even in patients without AF. Previous stroke and short-term increases in blood urea nitrogen was significantly associated with the incidence of ischemic stroke.

Thromboembolic risk stratification of patients hospitalized with heart failure in sinus rhythm: a nationwide cohort study

AIMS

Patients with heart failure in sinus rhythm are at an increased risk of thromboembolic complications. So far, validated risk stratification tools are lacking for such patients, which makes the decision to initiate anti-thrombotic treatment difficult.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We included 136,545 patients admitted with heart failure in sinus rhythm from national registries from 1999 to 2012. Patients receiving oral anticoagulants were omitted from the study. First, we investigated if the CHA2DS2-VASc score could identify heart failure patients in sinus rhythm with high rates of thromboembolic complications. Second, we investigated if any single CHA2DS2-VASc risk factor carried a greater prognostic value with regard to thromboembolism. The risk of thromboembolism increased more than ninefold (hazard ratio 9.2, 95% confidence interval 6.8-12.5) in patients with all CHA2DS2-VASc risk factors compared with those with heart failure alone. The incidence rates of thromboembolism were clinically significant, averaging 6.0 (95% confidence interval 5.98-6.02) events per 100 patient years during the first year following diagnosis. Risk factors such as diabetes, age, vascular disease, and especially previous thromboembolism, conferred an independent risk of future thromboembolism.

CONCLUSION

The CHA2DS2-VASc risk stratification scheme was able to provide prognostic information on future thromboembolic events in patients with heart failure in sinus rhythm. The CHA2DS2-VASc scale could be easily implemented as an aid to clinicians in risk stratifying heart failure patients in sinus rhythm, for thromboembolism.

Blood pressure and prognosis in patients with incident heart failure: the Diet, Cancer and Health (DCH) cohort study

BACKGROUND

Our objective was to test the hypothesis that elevated blood pressure (BP) is associated with increased risk of stroke, bleeding and death in patients with incident heart failure (HF).

METHODS

We conducted a prospective cohort study among subjects who were participants in the Diet, Cancer and Health study, born in Denmark, aged 50-64 years at recruitment. We assessed stroke (ischemic stroke or systemic embolic events), major bleeding, death and the composite endpoint according to degree of BP control in patients with incident HF. BP was assessed prior to HF at cohort entry.

RESULTS

Of the whole cohort of 55,748 subjects, n = 2159 (35 % female) had incident HF, of which 12 % had treatment for hypertension. Median follow-up after incident HF was 3.5 years. High systolic (SBP), diastolic (DBP) and pulse (PP) pressures were associated with an increased risk of stroke, major bleeding and the composite endpoint. For death and stroke/death, the relation appeared U-shaped for SBP and DBP. When comparing the highest quartile group (Q4) to first quartile group (Q1), SBP (Q4: SBP >163 mmHg) was associated with significantly higher adjusted hazard rate ratio (HR) for stroke (HR 1.46, 95 % CI 1.00-2.14) and major bleeding (HR 1.68, 95 % CI 1.12-2.53). For DBP (Q4: DBP >94 mmHg), adjusted HR was significantly higher for major bleeding (HR 1.63, 95 % CI 1.13-2.38). The highest quartile of pulse pressure (Q4: PP >74 mmHg) was associated with non-significantly higher risk of stroke (HR 1.40, 95 % CI 0.94-2.06).

CONCLUSION

We have shown for the first time that amongst a population with incident HF, higher baseline systolic, diastolic and pulse pressure levels were associated with a higher rate of adverse events. Our data support the importance for optimised BP control, as part of the holistic management of HF patients.

Risk of bleeding and stroke with oral anticoagulation and antiplatelet therapy in patients with atrial fibrillation in Taiwan: a nationwide cohort study

Background

Data on the use of oral anticoagulation (OAC) and antiplatelet therapy and the risk of bleeding and stroke amongst Asian patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) are limited. We investigated the risks of bleeding and stroke with use of oral anticoagulation (OAC) and antiplatelet therapy as mono- or combination therapy, in patients with AF from a Chinese nationwide cohort study.

Methods

We studied a cohort of 10384 patients (57.2% men, age 67.8 ± 13.2 yrs) between 1999 and 2010 from the National Health Insurance Research Database in Taiwan. Records of prescriptions were obtained during follow-up. The main outcome was a recurrent stroke during the follow-up period. Time-dependent Cox proportional hazards models were used for this analysis.

Results

We documented 1009 events for bleeding, as well as 224 hemorrhagic stroke and 1642 ischemic stroke events during a median 3.2 (interquartile range, 1.05-6.54) years’ follow-up. Compared with warfarin users, patients with antiplatelet therapy had a lower risk of bleeding (adjusted relative risk [RR], 0.59, 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.49-0.71, p<0.001) whilst combination therapy had a non-statistically significant higher bleeding risk (RR, 1.33, 95%, 0.91-1.94, p = 0.20). Patients on antiplatelet monotherapy had a similar risk for ischemic stroke compared with OAC (RR 1.05, 95% CI, 0.89-1.25, p = 0.50), whilst those on combination therapy had a significantly higher risk (RR 1.90, 95% CI, 1.34-2.70, p<0.001).

Conclusion

In a national representative cohort, antiplatelet therapy had no significant difference in ischemic stroke risk to warfarin. For bleeding, aspirin had a lower risk compared to warfarin. This may reflect poor anticoagulation control, highlighting important missed opportunities for improved stroke prevention, especially in countries where anticoagulation management is suboptimal.

Female sex is associated with a lower risk of stroke in patients with heart failure

BACKGROUND

Stroke in patients with heart failure is associated with poor outcomes. Risk stratification schemes may improve clinical decision making in this patient population. This study investigated whether female sex is a risk factor for stroke in patients with heart failure in sinus rhythm.

METHODS

This is a population-based cohort study of patients diagnosed with heart failure during 2000 to 2012, identified by record linkage between nationwide Danish registries. Our primary outcome was stroke, and secondary outcome was thromboembolic event. We used relative risks (RRs) after 1 and 5 years to compare males with females within each of the following age groups: 50 to 59 years, 60 to 69 years, 70 to 79 years, 80 to 89 years, and 90+ years. Analyses took into account the competing risks of death.

RESULTS

During the study period, 84,142 patients were diagnosed with heart failure, of which 39,946 (47.5%) were females. At 5-year follow-up, female sex was associated with a lower risk of stroke compared with males (adjusted overall hazard ratio 0.91, 95% CI 0.85-0.96). The observed lower risks of stroke in females were not present in the older age groups, where the competing risk of death was substantial among males in particular. When considering a more broadly defined thromboembolic end point, a decreased risk among females persisted across nearly all age groups after 5-year follow-up (adjusted overall hazard ratio 0.93, 95% CI 0.91-0.96).

CONCLUSIONS

We found an association between female sex and decreased stroke risk in patients with heart failure, which persisted after adjustment for concomitant cardiovascular risk factors. The association was attenuated with increasing age, possibly because of competing risks of death.

Heart dysfunction in patients with acute ischemic stroke or TIA does not predict all-cause mortality at long-term follow-up

BACKGROUND

Despite heart failure being a substantial risk factor for stroke, few studies have evaluated the predictive value of heart dysfunction for all-cause mortality in patients with acute ischemic stroke, in particular in the elderly. The aim of this study was to investigate whether impaired heart function in elderly patients can predict all-cause mortality after acute ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA).

METHODS

A prospective long-term follow-up analysis was performed on a hospital cohort consisting of n = 132 patients with mean age 73 ± 9 years, presenting with acute ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack, without atrial fibrillation. All patients were examined by echocardiography during the hospital stay. Data about all-cause mortality were collected at the end of the follow-up period. The mean follow-up period was 56 ± 22 months.

RESULTS

In this cohort, 58% of patients with acute ischemic stroke or TIA had heart dysfunction. Survival analysis showed that heart dysfunction did not predict all-cause mortality in this cohort. Furthermore, in multivariate regression analysis age (HR 5.401, Cl 1.97-14.78, p < 0.01), smoking (HR 3.181, Cl 1.36-7.47, p < 0.01), myocardial infarction (HR 2.826, Cl 1.17-6.83, p < 0.05) were independent predictors of all-cause mortality.

CONCLUSION

In this population with acute ischemic stroke or TIA and without non-valvular atrial fibrillation, impaired heart function does not seem to be a significant predictor of all-cause mortality at long-term follow-up.

Updated meta-analysis on antithrombotic therapy in patients with heart failure and sinus rhythm

AIM

Heart failure (HF) is a prothrombotic state, but current evidence does not support the routine use of aspirin, antiplatelet agents, or anticoagulation in these patients in sinus rhythm (SR). We conducted an updated meta-analysis comparing these medications on outcomes in HF.

METHODS AND RESULTS

All randomized trials in patients with chronic HF and reduced ejection fraction (HFREF) in sinus rhythm (SR; n >100), in which the effect of aspirin, antiplatelet agents, or anticoagulants was determined, were prospectively evaluated. Four trials met the entry criteria. Intervention time was 28 months. No difference in all-cause mortality was seen when aspirin was compared with warfarin [n = 3701, relative risk (RR) 1.00, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.88-1.13, P = 0.94]. Compared with aspirin, significantly fewer strokes were seen with warfarin (n = 3701, RR 0.59, 95% CI 0.41-0.85, P = 0.004), and fewer fatal and non-fatal ischaemic strokes (n = 3368, RR 0.48, 95% CI 0.32-0.73, P = 0.0006). Warfarin doubled the risk of major haemorrhage compared with aspirin (n = 3701, RR 2.02, 95% CI 1.45-2.80, P < 0.0001); however, intracranial haemorrhage was rare. There was no significant difference in HF hospitalizations with aspirin vs. warfarin (n = 3701, RR 1.16, 95% CI 0.79-1.71, P = 0.45).

CONCLUSION

With warfarin compared with aspirin in HFREF in SR, significant reductions in stroke risk were observed but no mortality benefit was seen. Major haemorrhage doubled but intracranial haemorrhage was rare. These findings suggest that overall the benefit of warfarin in HFREF in SR outweighs the risk. Aspirin use did not increase HF hospitalization as has been previously suggested.

Thromboembolism and antithrombotic therapy for heart failure in sinus rhythm: an executive summary of a joint consensus document from the ESC Heart Failure Association and the ESC Working Group on Thrombosis

Chronic heart failure (HF) with either reduced or preserved left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction is common and remains an extremely serious disorder with a high mortality and morbidity. Many complications related to heart failure can be related to thrombosis. Epidemiological and pathophysiological data also link HF to an increased risk of thrombosis, leading to the clinical consequences of sudden death, stroke, systemic thromboembolism and/or venous thromboembolism. This executive summary of a joint consensus document of the Heart Failure Association (EHFA) of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) and the ESC Working Group on Thrombosis reviews the published evidence, summarises 'best practice', and puts forward consensus statements that may help to define evidence gaps and assist management decisions in everyday clinical practice. In HF patients with atrial fibrillation, oral anticoagulation is clearly recommended, and the CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores should be used to determine the likely risk-benefit ratio (thromboembolism prevention versus risk of bleeding) of oral anticoagulation. In HF patients with reduced LV ejection fraction who are in sinus rhythm there is no evidence of an overall benefit of vitamin K antagonists (e.g. warfarin) on mortality, with risk of major bleeding. Whilst there is the potential for a reduction in ischaemic stroke, there is currently no compelling reason to routinely use warfarin for these patients. Risk factors associated with increased risk of thromboembolic events should be identified and decisions regarding use of anticoagulation individualised. Patient values and preferences are important determinants when balancing the risk of thromboembolism against bleeding risk. Novel oral anticoagulants that offer a different risk-benefit profile compared with warfarin may appear as an attractive therapeutic option, but this would need to be confirmed in clinical trials.